Quarterbacks

Beau Pribula, Virginia (32% Owned) - I wasn’t planning to write about Pribula this week. Then he went out and posted the highest quarterback rating in the nation while rushing for 110 yards in a conference game. You have my attention. Should be rostered everywhere.

Marcus Stokes, Memphis (24% Owned) - I told you about him last week. Stokes validated the offseason hype in his Memphis debut, throwing for 223 yards and two touchdowns while adding 45 rushing yards in a road win over UNLV. We already knew about the 3,297 passing yards and 40 total touchdowns he posted at West Florida. Now we know the rushing upside translates to the FBS level as well.

Luke Weaver, San Jose State (14% Owned) - I told you about him last week, too. Weaver accounted for three touchdowns against No. 14 USC and looked completely comfortable running the Spartans’ offense. San Jose State quarterbacks have been fantasy relevant for years, and Weaver adds some rushing upside to the equation. I’m all in.

Running Backs

Micah Ford, Stanford (49% Owned) - I wasn’t planning to write about Ford this week. Then he went out and posted 28 touches and 3 TDs. You have my attention. Should be rostered everywhere.

Jaylin Carter, Memphis (12% Owned) - I told you about the wrong Memphis RB last week, apparently. Carter was a freshman role player at Southern Miss last year. Last night, he looked like Memphis’ RB1 in a road win over UNLV.

Devon Rice, Hawaii (2% Owned) - Rice touched the ball 16 times and scored twice against Stanford. The former Kansas State transfer found the end zone as both a runner and receiver. Rice isn’t a must-add yet, but he’s exactly the type of player I’m happy to stash before the rest of the fantasy community notices.

Wide Receivers

Trent Mosley, Southern Cal (46% Owned) - You want to have the USC WR1 on your roster. Through one game, looks like Mosley is that dude. Seven catches, 118 yards, and a TD for the true freshman. Should be rostered everywhere.

Carson Clark, San Jose State (15% Owned) - You want to have the SJSU slot in your lineup every week. The true freshman Clark shined in that spot with six catches for 74 yards against the best defense he will see all season. Wheels up.

Li’atama Uiliata, Hawaii (2% Owned) - Hawaii threw the ball 50 times against Stanford, and Uiliata led the team with eight catches, 62 yards, and a touchdown. We spend all offseason trying to identify target hogs. Sometimes they introduce themselves in Week 0.

Tight Ends

Jelani Thurman, UNC (16% Owned) - Ireland wasn’t exactly a fantasy football showcase, but Thurman looked like the only functional offensive player on the field. The former Ohio State transfer immediately became the focal point of the passing game. H/T … sometimes the best waiver wire advice is hiding in the comments section.

Reis Kessel, NDSU (10% Owned) - I told you all to watch out for the Bison last week, and Kessel specifically delivered with 4 catches and a TD. North Dakota State lost six of its top seven pass catchers from last season, and Kessel looks ready to step into a featured role. Expect more of the same against Fordham in Week 1.

Super Deep #60Teamer Pickup Candidates

WR Onterrio Smith, Sac State (1% owned) - His dad played for the Vikings. Whizzinator Junior saw a whopping 15 targets in week zero. That’s gonna cost a lot of your FA budget.

RB Jalen Likely, Jax State (4% owned) - Doesn’t look like the second coming of Cam Cook, but he got the most carries for the Gamecocks, and he won’t be facing a playoff team like NDSU every week.

WR Broderick Malone, NM State (1% owned) - 8 targets, 96 yards, and a TD vs Florida State. If you are fishing for upside, this is the pond.

Time 4 Action

Your homework for today:

• Check every league for quarterbacks who are still sleeping on the waiver wire. Beau Pribula, Marcus Stokes, and Luke Weaver shouldn’t survive many more waiver runs.

• Don’t overthink workload. Micah Ford had 28 touches. Onterrio Smith saw 15 targets. Opportunity matters.

• If you’re in a deep league, get weird. That’s where championships are won. One day you’re adding Broderick Malone and Whizzinator Junior. The next day you’re explaining to your friends how you got them before everyone else.

• Thank you to subscriber Joe Kane for spotting Jelani Thurman before the rest of us.

• Tell your friends to follow @CFF_Jacko on X and Substack for more free CFF content.

Remember: It’s only Week 0. We’re probably overreacting. Just make sure you’re overreacting faster than everyone else. 😎

National Champion:

🦆Oregon Ducks 🦆

Roster is loaded. Big Ten is on a roll. Dante Moore might go #1 overall. The defense should be one of the nation’s best. Plus, they have my boy Dierre Hill, the best backup RB in America.

Surprise Playoff Team

🦬North Dakota State Bison 🦬

I’m planting my flag in Fargo.

10 FCS national titles since 2011.

They can absolutely play at this level. They have the physicality and culture to win every game on their schedule. They start week zero as a big favorite over another G6 team that could win it’s conference in Jacksonville State.

Fantasy RB1

🍊Desean Bishop, Tennessee 🍊

If I looked like him, I wouldn’t even own a shirt.

Bishop is my most-owned round-one back for a reason.

He scored 16 times and rushed for more than 1,000 yards last year… including 9 in his final 5 games. The offense is about to get a lot better with a 5 Star QB rather than Joey JAG-ular. Proven volume, plus he chased off Star Thomas and Peyton Lewis. Wheels up.

Fantasy WR1

🦉Easton Messer, FAU 🦉

Messer is my most-owned round-one WR.

Dude saw 132 targets last year. He returns alongside his QB, Caden Veltkamp, and the same offensive brain trust that fed him the ball relentlessly.

Watch my boy lead the nation in catches and win me multiple leagues finishing with Tulsa, USF, and ECU in the playoffs.

Fantasy QB1

🌄Davon Dampier, Utah 🌄

Over his final eight games last season, Dampier averaged 37 fantasy points per game.

Dampier has always been a cheat code with his legs. Before transferring to Utah, he led the entire country in yards per carry at New Mexico.

Then something interesting happened.

He transferred up to Utah and his passing efficiency exploded.

Fantasy TE1

⚔️Dylan Wade, UCF ⚔️

Wade is already the best pass catcher and probably the best athlete on his team.

Everyone is chasing the next breakout TE, but I want the guy who already broke out.

523 yards and 43 receptions were already single-season records for his school. Now he comes back with Mackey Award buzz.

Playoff opponents… Arizona State, Iowa State, Colorado.

Time 4 Action

If you’ve read CFF Jacko this offseason, this isn’t really a surprise.

My guys.

🍊 DeSean Bishop

🦉 Easton Messer

🌄 Devon Dampier

⚔️ Dylan Wade

Screenshot this article.

Roast me in December. 😎🍿

We have FBS college football tomorrow!!!

The first waiver run of the season!

Here are some guys that popped late in camp and/or have low ownership for some other reason.

Quarterbacks

Marcus Stokes Memphis (29% Owned) - Named the starter for the Tigers recently. Veteran dual-threat transfer from West Florida. 3,297 pass yards and 40 total TDs last year. Get in before people see him in Week Zero.

Skyler Locklear Missouri State (26% Owned) - Named the starter for the Bears recently. Veteran dual-threat transfer from UTEP. 19 TDs in six starts last year (7 on the ground).

Luke Weaver SJSU (14% Owned) - Named the starter for Spartans recently. They are going to throw the ball a million times. Weaver started two games previously… 240+ yards both times. 5 passing TDs. 56 rushing yards. Week 1 opponent is Eastern Michigan.

Running Backs

Dallan Hayden Memphis (28% Owned) - Ohio State knows how to recruit RBs. 4.7 YPC behind the Colorado 2025 Offensive line? I think this Memphis native is returning home for a big season. If I’m wrong, you can still drop him before week 1.

CoCo Brown Sam Houston State (25% Owned) - Very under the radar pick, but I have a bunch of shares. Great PPR upside (4 games with 6+ catches). 5.8 YPC in limited action. Should be RB1 in a much-improved offense under Phil Longo.

Mel Brown Colorado State (18% Owned) - Jim Mora arrived in Fort Collins and brought Brown with him from UConn. Last season, Mora’s RB1 ran for 1,240 yards and 15 TDs. Brown averaged 8.2 YPC before a collarbone injury ended his season and is currently listed as Colorado State’s RB1.

Wide Receivers

Josh Dallas Georgia Southern (29% Owned) - TheCFFSite projects JUST 9 WRs with more catches than Dallas. He was injured in 2025, but people forget he went for 614 yards and 6 TDs as a sophomore. Max Johnson was just named starter at QB, and he brings 24 P4 starts to Satesboro. Wheels up vs Charleston Southern Week 1.

Ray Ray Joseph East Carolina (12% Owned) - Josh Chevalier and I own all these shares. Joseph is a former 4-star from Miami… where he was roommates with the expected starting QB for the Pirates (Emory Williams). ECU has historically been a great CFF school… and now they hire Jordan Davis from North Texas. His UNT offense finished #1 nationally in scoring and total offense and #2 in passing offense last season. 🚀

Tristian Gardner Coastal Carolina (24% Owned) - LINK

Corri Milliner North Texas (26% Owned) - LINK

Tight Ends

Hayden Hansen Oklahoma (13% Owned) - Most people assumed Rocky Beers would be TE1 in Norman. This week’s announcement says Hansen is the guy. 6-foot-8 268 pounds. Caught 30 balls in the SEC last season at Florida. Worth a claim if you have a TE on IR.

Reis Kessel North Dakota State (12% Owned) - The G5 Hive turned me onto Kessel, calling him a breakout candidate and one of the most important offensive players for NDSU’s jump to FBS. The Bison lost 6 of their top 7 pass catchers and Kessel returns as the most experienced receiving option after averaging 22.3 yards per catch. Sleeper playoff team. You heard it here first.

Time 4 Action

Your homework for today.

• Go through all your leagues and make sure you are fully leveraging your IR spots.

• Fill out your empty roster spots with some of these ballers via waivers.

• Tell your friends to follow @CFF_Jacko on X and Substack for more free CFF content.

  CFF Jacko is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

He was also among the national leaders in yards per attempt… and he was also a freshman.

That’s why he is our next Volume Rabbit: he produces elite results with minimal touches

.

9.4 YPA is Elite

Carr is a QB you can draft in the middle rounds.

Compare him to his ADP peers, and you see that he does more with less volume.

A lot more.

Heisman winner Fernando Mendoza led the nation with 9.5 YPA.

Carr’s 9.4 is the highest-ranking QB returning to his team in 2026.

Carr posed for improvement

Most QBs make their biggest mental jump after Year 1 as a starter. Better pre-snap identification means more big play opportunities become touchdowns.

Carr threw a TD in every game last year, and 24 in total. Pretty good.

Now let’s see what he can do in year two, when he isn’t in competition with multiple NFL players in the backfield for touchdowns.

Carr scored 3 rushing touchdowns in 2025.

He’s not a LaNorris Sellers or Devon Dampier, but he’s far from a statue.

He scored 22 rushing TDs and ran for more than 1,000 yards in high school.

A few more red-zone rushes. A few more red-zone passes.

It doesn’t take much to imagine him being a star in 2026.

Vegas agrees. Check out the Heisman odds:

Heisman Winners Are Not Round 13 Quality

We are not drafting Carr like most Heisman favorites.

We are actually drafting him like he isn’t going to improve at all.

That makes no sense.

Maybe I need to remind you what Heisman-winning QB numbers look like.

Time 4 Action

CJ Carr is a Volume Rabbit. His efficiency is already at Heisman-level.

Carr’s 9.4 YPA as a freshman exceeded the Heisman-winning marks posted by Bryce Young (8.9) and Caleb Williams (9.1).

Notre Dame lost 34 touchdowns from its NFL-caliber backfield. Somebody is going to absorb those scoring opportunities.

My money is on the quarterback.

Especially in 5-point and 6-point passing TD formats.

Grab Carr a round early.

Let it be known… I listen to the people, and give them more of what they want.

Eric Froton is THE voice of CFF this offseason, complete with a move to Yahoo! after multiple FSWA College Sports Writer of the Year Awards.

I’ve got data on three drafts with Eric this offseason: King’s Classic, Golden Pig Invitational, and a Chasing the Natty Live Draft.

What can we learn? Our boy is locked in, but he has bias like all of us.

NFL Draft Lens

I have a theory.

Eric doesn’t play CFF like me, because he has a unique lived experience.

For years he wrote about the NFL Draft for NBC Sports. Lots of tape. Lots of well informed opinions… on a particular slice of the CFF universe.

He goes to Elite 11. He runs routes with Julian Sayin, not Caden Veltkamp.

After digging through three of his expert drafts, 80 total selections, I kept waiting to find the boring picks. The safe picks.

The veteran G5 producer coming who stayed put after nearly 1,000 yards.

Never happened.

Instead, I found former five-stars, future NFL players, recruiting darlings, elite athletes, transfer reclamation projects, and a disturbing number of players whose fantasy value is based almost entirely on “what if this guy becomes awesome?”

When you start looking at his draft boards through that lens, everything suddenly makes sense.

The reaches. The obsessions. The Kromahs.

Especially the Kromahs.

Let’s crack open the Froton Portfolio.

Flag Plant QBs

Across three drafts, Froton repeatedly drafted the same collection of quarterbacks:

That isn’t random.

That’s a worldview.

Because none of those players were drafted for safety.

Dante Moore is a former No. 4 overall recruit nationally. Nico was No. 2. Jackson Arnold was No. 10.

The type of player NFL scouts fall in love with before he ever takes a college snap.

Then reality happened. The path got messy. The hype cooled.

A lot of fantasy managers moved on.

Froton didn’t.

Froton drafts them like he remembers how much talent remains under the hood.

Gunner Stockton has an NFL profile too.

Steve “Peanut Butter” Angeli led the whole country in on/off splits last season, since Syracuse hit a brick wall when he got injured.

Micah Alejado is not like the others. I bet our West-Coast based boy watched a lot of late-night Hawaii games, and liked what he saw.

My takeaway. Most fantasy managers want certainty.

Froton wants potential, and he has watched all of those guys enough to flag plant them.

Multiple Flex Shares

Froton definately has a type.

P4 studs with NFL futures. Only 15% of his picks live in the G6.

Here is his “This Dude can Play on Sundays Table”

Kromah isn’t merely a favorite. It’s the whole Froton thesis.

A former elite RB recruit with a three down profile, receiving ability, pass protection, NFL frame and traits.

The rest of us see a crowded depth chart, a scout sees the NFL future.

Kromah. Davidson. Wingo. Wesco. Craver. Brooks.

Lot of track stars and Blue Chips in that group for sure.

Froton isn’t drafting what these players have done.

He’s drafting what he thinks they’re about to become.

To Hell with ADP

When the G5 Hive tells you about a Troy WR, smart people take notes.

When Froton reaches an NFL talent without a clear success record. I take notes.

The ADP table shows where Froton was willing to ignore consensus and draft the player anyway.

That’s where the real information lives.

Time 4 Action

What am I doing differently now?

I’ve got some Froton specials I’m moving up my board.

QB: Dante Moore

Watch our boy have a monster season. Win a title. Go #1 overall.

RB: Peyton Lewis

Eric’s biggest repeated disagreement with the market, has elite speed and traits.

WR: Ryan Wingo

Froton always says to target WR2 and even WR3 in elite passing systems.

After 80 picks, one thing became crystal clear:

Most fantasy managers draft production and sprinkle in upside.

Eric Froton drafts upside and sprinkles in production.

And whether you agree with it or not, that’s one hell of a way to build a portfolio.

Link to the full 2.5 hour live stream is here.

14 Experts participated.

Mike Bainbridge from The CFF Site, Eric Froton from Yahoo, and the defending champion John Laub from The College Fantasy Football Hall of Fame… just to name a few.

Here is the full board.

New Faces

There were two new names in this draft that I hadn’t seen drafted before: Troy WR Howard Kinchen and NDSU TE Reis Kessell.

Both of these were taken by the G5 Hive, so they likely know things the rest of us don’t.

That said… I’m much more interested in Kinchen.

Troy is entering a new offensive era. They hired a new OC, Adam Austin, from high-scoring Tarleton State offense that averaged more than 42 point per game.

A breakout WR1 on a Sun Belt team can easily become a weekly starter for you, and he’s basically free… so add him to your queue at the end of your next draft.

Drafted Before ADP

I’m using the July ADP from Fantasy Points to identify reaches/fade vs ADP.

Tristian Gardner — I covered this last week. Nice pick by Tom Harvey.

Daniel Hill — Pick 210 doesn’t seem crazy for the potential Bama RB1. But I’m not jumping on this bandwagon. I think the carries get split, and the Alabama running game isn’t magically getting better in 2026.

Adjatay Dabbs — This flag plant by Chris Battistel is exactly what you expect from a CFF expert. Unknown name, big upside. Dabbs transferred with his coach from Mercer to Toledo. Another Mr. November candidate… he ended the season on a heater. I’m buying.

Jayce Brown — Joe Arpasi made a big splash here. Brown’s ADP has been held down by concerns about who will be the WR1 at LSU. Joe think’s he knows the answer. We already know Brown looks good in purple. He’s twice put up WR1 seasons at Kansas State, averaging >17 yards per catch. Little early for me, but I do think LSU’s top receiver will deliver above this value.

Chris Henry — Every expert has biases. Shane Hallam is an NFL Draft guy. Henry is an elite Ohio State WR with obvious NFL upside. I’m sure the high school tape on Henry looks really good. He is fishing in the right pond, but he might be a little early.

Drafted After ADP

I have drafted all five of these guys, but the experts didn’t like them.

Buyer beware.

Others dominate with very few touches.

Tristian Gardner is the second type.

He is a VolumeRabbit.

He caught 75% of his targets, averaged 15.5 yards per catch, and scored six touchdowns on just 30 receptions last season.

So why is the this the first time you are hearing his name?

Because the market isn’t paying attention.

That’s about to change. 🐰

Mr. November

Tristian Gardner wasn’t treated like a fantasy star last season.

He never recorded more than five receptions in a game.

Most fantasy managers never noticed him.

Then November happened.

Over Missouri State’s final four games, Gardner caught 14 passes for 239 yards and four touchdowns.

He scored in four straight games and averaged over 17 yards per reception during the stretch.

Coastal Connection

Then came the transfer.

Not to a Power Four program.

Not to a bigger NIL deal.

Not to chase a crowded depth chart.

Gardner followed his coaching staff from Missouri State to Coastal Carolina.

That matters.

When coaches leave and bring players with them, they aren’t guessing what they have. They’ve already seen the practices. They’ve already seen the work ethic.

Gardner isn’t arriving in Conway as an unknown transfer fighting to introduce himself.

He’s arriving with built-in trust.

The same staff that watched him become Mr. November specifically brought him along for the ride.

That gives him a legitimate path to immediate playing time in a wide-open Coastal Carolina receiver room.

And that’s the thing about Volume Rabbits.

They don’t become league winners because they suddenly get better.

They become league winners because someone finally gives them more touches.

Free Lotto Ticket

Gardner’s Blue Chip ADP is WR198.

That’s where the market values him.

The market is wrong.

I’ve drafted Gardner nine times already.

Not because he’s guaranteed to break out.

Because the profile is too good to ignore.

He caught 75% of his targets, averaged 15.5 yards per reception, scored six touchdowns on just 30 catches, and finished the season playing his best football.

Now he’s reunited with the coaching staff that already knows exactly what he can do.

The market sees a former Missouri State receiver.

I see a VolumeRabbit.

That’s why I keep drafting him.

A player who survives on volume over skill.

Today, we’re talking about the opposite.

Volume Rabbits make the most of limited touches with explosive ability.

Nobody fits that description better than Oregon RB Dierre Hill.

Production > Opportunity

Hill did not get treated like a future fantasy star last season.

He was given just 75 carries as a freshman on a 13-2 Oregon squad whose only losses came against the eventual national champion.

He never got more than 10 carries in any single game.

When he got the ball, he was a weekly jump scare.

• Five carries for 94 yards against Northwestern.

• One carry, one touchdown against Oklahoma State.

• Five carries for 62 yards and a touchdown against Rutgers.

• Six carries for 76 yards and a touchdown in the CFP.

• Five carries for 86 yards against Indiana in the semifinals.

Every week felt the same.

A handful of touches.

A few explosive plays.

Another reminder that Oregon might have something special.

The opportunity said committee back.

The production said future star.

Explosion is Real

Hill averaged 8.7 yards per carry as a freshman.

Not against one bad defense in garbage time.

Not during a two-game heater.

Over an entire season on a CFP team.

PFF gave Hill a 91 overall grade, the highest mark among all freshman running backs in college football.

None of this came out of nowhere.

As a high school senior, Hill rushed for 2,588 yards and 40 touchdowns, earning Illinois Gatorade Player of the Year honors.

He arrived as one of the nation’s top running back recruits after building a reputation as a home-run hitter every time he touched the football.

Normally, when a player averages nearly nine yards per carry, I’m looking for reasons to fade it.

With Hill, I’m finding reasons to believe it.

The explosiveness isn’t a fluke.

It’s the résumé.

Volume Is Coming

The best part about Dierre Hill’s breakout case?

He doesn’t need Oregon to reinvent its offense.

Oregon lost a significant chunk of its backfield production this offseason.

Oregon lost 192 running back carries this offseason.

Hill got just 75.

He doesn’t need to become a workhorse.

He simply needs the opportunity to catch up with the talent.

Time 4 Action

Blue Chip ADP has Hill at RB54.

That’s 135th overall.

Round 12?

Crazy town.

In my most recent draft, the Golden Pig Invitational, Eric Froton grabbed Hill in Round 6.

That’s a lot closer to where he belongs.

The production is real.

The explosiveness is real.

The volume is next.

Feed the Rabbit.

Only three freshman TEs reached 30 targets last season.

Grant Hollier earned 22 of his in November.

Blue Chip drafters are letting him slide to ADP 250.

That’s the kind of upside I’m willing to chase.

Freshman TEs Aren’t Supposed To Do This

Freshman tight ends rarely make an impact.

Grant Hollier did.

Over Georgia State’s final four games, Hollier produced:

• 13 receptions

• 164 receiving yards

• 2 touchdowns

• 10.4 fantasy points per game

More importantly, he saw 22 targets during that stretch.

That wasn’t just the best mark on his team.

It was the highest November target total among all freshman tight ends in the player pool.

Not Your Typical Tight End

Part of the reason I’m so intrigued by Hollier is that he doesn’t look like a traditional freshman tight end. He looks like a TEITO, Eric Froton (TM).

Georgia State lists him at 6-foot-3 and 225 pounds, giving him more of a big-slot profile than a sixth offensive lineman.

The receiving pedigree was there long before he arrived in Atlanta.

At River Ridge High School, Hollier caught:

• 115 career passes

• 2,078 receiving yards

• 26 touchdowns

Those are wide receiver numbers.

Freshman tight ends rarely earn volume because coaches don’t trust them.

Grant Hollier already earned that trust.

By November, Georgia State wasn’t treating him like a developmental tight end.

It was treating him like a weapon in the passing game.

November Spike. ADP Value

Blue Chip drafters are selecting:

• DJ Vonnahme as TE5

• Kaegin Chudzinski as TE12

• Grant Hollier as TE20

Yet Hollier led this group with 22 November targets.

The market has already rewarded Vonnahme’s freshman season.

The market has already rewarded Chudzinski’s freshman season.

But the freshman tight end who led the group in November targets is still available nearly 100 picks later.

One of these things is not like the others.

The market sees a sophomore tight end from a 3-9 Georgia State team.

I see a freshman who finished 2025 playing some of the best football of his season.

That’s the kind of profile I’m willing to bet on.

Time 4 Action

Blue Chip drafters are selecting Grant Hollier as TE20 (ADP 249).

Freshman tight ends don’t earn 22 November targets by accident.

The market is saying those targets don’t matter.

The market is wrong.

Draft Grant Hollier and watch what comes next.

We’re heading back to Northeast Ohio today.

This time, we’re talking about a wide receiver who caught more than half of his season passes during Akron’s final three games.

His name is Marcel Williams.

And I think the market completely missed his breakout.

The Breakout Nobody Noticed

The Zips final three games were all MACtion games, and Marcel Williams went from promising freshman to Akron’s WR1.

• Tuesday, Nov. 4 vs UMass — 4 catches, 104 yards

• Tuesday, Nov. 11 vs Kent State — 14 catches, 206 yards, 2 TDs

• Tuesday, Nov. 18 at Bowling Green — 6 catches, 74 yards

That’s 24 receptions, 384 yards, and 2 touchdowns in three games.

More importantly, it was 53% of his season receptions, 60% of his season receiving yards, and 100% of his touchdowns.

Most fantasy managers weren’t watching Akron football on Tuesday nights.

Freshman Transformation

Through the first 9 games, Williams totaled:

• 21 receptions

• 257 yards

• 0 touchdowns

Did Williams suddenly become a better player in November?

I doubt it.

I think Akron finally realized what it had.

The result?

25.5 fantasy points per game in November.

Only four returning WR averaged more fantasy points per game during the month.

One of These Things is Not Like The Others

I have a feeling you already know the other names on that list.

Easton Messer is being drafted as WR3 on BlueChip.

Wyatt Young is WR6.

Malachi Toney is WR2.

Amare Thomas is WR5.

Marcel Williams?

WR51.

One of these things is not like the others.

The market looks at Marcel Williams and sees a MAC receiver who finished with 45 catches, 641 yards, and 2 touchdowns.

I see a receiver who became a legit WR1 during the final month of the season.

Time 4 Action

Blue Chip drafters are selecting Marcel Williams as WR51 (ADP 146 overall).

I‘m not just betting on three Tuesday night games.

I’m betting on what those three games revealed.

By November, Akron wasn’t looking for its WR1 anymore. It had found him.

Draft Marcel Williams in Round 11 and watch Tuesday Night Football with Glee.

When Bill O’Brien looked at the Boston College rushing attack after a 2-10 season, he went shopping in the transfer portal.

He chose a Liberty running back who averaged more than 34 PPR points per game during the final month of 2025, rushing for nearly 1,000 yards in his last five contests.

The market sees a G5 transfer moving up in competition.

I see a coach who needed an RB1 and found one.

Holy November Batman!

Let’s start with the obvious.

Evan Dickens didn’t just have a good finish to the 2025 season. He authored one of the most ridiculous late-season runs in college football.

Over Liberty’s final five games, Dickens piled up 945 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns.

That’s not a hot streak.

That’s league-winning production.

Dickens averaged more than 30 carries per game during that stretch.

Liberty handed him the keys to the offense and he responded by running through just about everyone in his path.

One month later, Bill O’Brien came shopping.

Return of the BC Bell Cow

O’Brien would love to make Evan Dickens his next bell cow.

Last season’s Boston College offense was supposed to be built around the run, but game script had other plans.

The Eagles finished 2-10, spent most Saturdays playing from behind, and their RB1, Turbo Richard, managed just 145 carries all season.

That’s fewer than Dickens had in November.

When O’Brien has a running back he trusts, he’s shown a willingness to feed him.

• Zach Zwinak topped 200 carries at Penn State, multiple times.

• Brian Robinson handled 271 carries for Alabama in 2021.

• And at Boston College, Kye Robichaux averaged 23 carries and 21 PPR points per game during November of 2024 after he took control of that job.

That’s the version of Bill O’Brien’s offense I expect to see again in 2026.

Transfer Up. Production Down?

Is Dicken’s going to keep scoring 34 PPG in the ACC?

Of course not. That’s insane.

But does he need to?

Could he replicate Robichaux’s numbers and carry the ball 20+ times per game?

I think so.

And if he does, we’re talking about roughly 21 PPR points per game.

In fact, only four returning backs averaged more fantasy points per game last season.

That looks like a group of first rounders to me.

Time 4 Action

I’m not betting on Liberty-November Dickens.

I’m betting on Bill O’Brien finding his next bell cow.

If Kye Robichaux was worth 21 PPR points per game in this offense, Evan Dickens might be worth even more.

Blue Chip drafters are selecting Dickens as RB44 (ADP 99 overall).

That’s a bet I’m willing to make.

Draft him in round 8 and get ready to Run Like the Dickens.

These are players that lit up college football in the fantasy playoffs last season, but the market hasn’t responded yet.

Case in point… Roman Gagliano, QB Middle Tennessee.

Epic November of 2025

Gagliano didn’t give us one random spike week.

He gave us three straight smash starts:

• 40 FP vs Western Kentucky

• 38 FP vs Sam Houston

• 34 FP vs New Mexico State

That’s league-winning production in the November playoffs.

In his three starts, he averaged 37 fantasy points per game, throwing for 917 yards and six touchdowns while adding 176 rushing yards and two rushing scores.

The Kingdom is Growing

MTSU offense was dead.

Through the first nine games of the season, the Blue Raiders averaged just 333 yards per game.

Then Nick Vattiato got hurt.

Freshman Roman Gagliano stepped in.

Over his three starts, MTSU exploded to 487 yards per game.

That’s a 46% increase in offensive production.

Gagliano didn’t inherit a thriving offense.

He resurrected one.

Run it Back

Middle Tennessee’s 2026 November schedule:

• Western Kentucky

• Liberty

• Sam Houston

• New Mexico State

Sound familiar?

It should.

Gagliano gets another shot at the SAME 3 TEAMS as last November.

If we’re looking for Mr. November, it’s hard to ignore a quarterback who already shredded three teams on his 2026 November schedule.

That’s exactly the type of profile I’m looking to buy.

Time 4 Action

Roman Gagliano is going QB42 in ADP on BlueChip.

Last November, he was QB3 overall in his first three games as a starter.

The market sees an unproven quarterback on a bad team.

I see a player who already showed us what a league-winning ceiling looks like.

Long live the Roman Empire.

You win your league by drafting the right quarterback.

Every year, the biggest advantage in fantasy football comes from identifying the very best players before the rest of your league.

I think Devon Dampier has national #1 overall in his range of outcomes.

That’s why he’s one of my guys.

Dampier is Ascending

The QB1 performance is staring right at us. It’s already happened.

Over his final 8 games, Dampier averaged 37 fantasy points per game.

That’s more than current QB1 in ADP Brad Jackson.

He scored 60 points in the bowl game vs. Nebraska.

Dampier has always been a great rushing threat.

He led the WHOLE COUNTRY in yards per carry in 2024.

So he transferred up to Utah from New Mexico in 2025.

Surprise… his passing efficiency got better. A lot better!

• 30% increase in yards per attempt.

• More TDs.

• Fewer INTs.

• Improved completion percentage

You think he’s not going to improve again in year two within this same system?

Market Moving… I’m Still Buying

Fantasy Points says drafters have spent the entire offseason chasing Dampier up draft boards.

No quarterback appears more frequently on my rosters than Dampier.

I have him in more than 50% of my leagues.

No other “expert” has taken him from me yet.

Time 4 Action

The marketplace says he is worthy of a fifth round pick.

• The finish to 2025 says something different.

• The rushing profile and spike games say something different.

• The year-over-year passing improvement says something different.

I’ll keep clicking the button in round 4.

I loaded up early this spring.

Now? The market caught up.

And I might be out.

The Case for Gant

Start with the obvious: the dude gets fed.

• 17.8 carries per game (top‑20 nationally)

• 213 total carries — clear workhorse

Check the game log:

• 25 carries

• 28 carries

• 22 carries

• 22 carries

That’s not rotational usage.

That’s a coaching staff saying: This man is our offense.

Mr. November

Gant wasn’t just a full-season volume play.

He got better when it mattered.

November is time for the Fantasy Playoffs, and Gant made me some money last year.

ADP: Moving on up

This spring, I drafted Gant in the 9th or 10th round a bunch of times.

Those days are gone.

His ADP started at ~100th overall in Feb/March… but now he is a going before the end of round 5 in May/June. (FantasyPoints ADP)

That’s a full-blown market correction.

And I get it.

The dude ran for 1,032 yards, and he didn’t transfer up. Not many of those around.

Time 4 Action

Gant’s longest run last year was 36 yards. He had only three games with a 20+ yard rush. The receiving profile is thin too: 9 catches, 48 yards.

That’s why I’m not sure I want more shares in the 5th round.

In Round 10, I’ll buy a MAC VolumeTurtle™ all day.

In Round 5?

Now I need more.

Fantrax ADP 350. He goes undrafted more often that not.

And yet… he’s my most-drafted wide receiver this spring.

Because when you click his name, you’re drafting a big play waiting to happen.

Ignore the Full-Year Stats

Best ball doesn’t care about your averages.

It cares about your peaks.

And when he’s healthy, Milliner peaks.

• 2024 — a nameless freshman… until November
  → 18 PPG with multiple spike weeks

• 2025 — picked up right where he left off
  → 20 PPG before he got hurt

Zoom out, and the numbers look pedestrian.

Zoom in, and I see upside at the end of my draft.

Big Plays for Breakfast

Milliner isn’t a volume grinder.

He’s a chunk-play receiver.

His touchdowns average 37 yards.

His catches average 17.

Most receivers live in the 11–13 range.
At 15, you’re stretching the field.

At 17? He doesn’t rack up production.
He hits it all at once.

North Texas is not the same

Milliner transferred this offseason from UAB to North Texas.

North Texas wasn’t just good last year.
They led the country in scoring.

But this isn’t the same offense.

The head coach is gone.
The quarterback and top weapons moved up to Oklahoma State.

The receiver room is wide open.

No established alpha. No locked-in target leader.

And for a player like Milliner, that’s enough.

Time 4 Action

If Milliner gets targets in this offense, he can still Moss the AAC in 2026.

Most drafters will see:

• inconsistency

• incomplete seasons

• a name they don’t recognize

I see:

• a spike-week profile going undrafted.

He’s my most-drafted tight end this spring.

Follow the Targets

Start with the signal that actually matters.

Wade saw 60 targets last season, which ranked among the best in the country. That turned into:

• 43 catches

• 523 yards

• 5 touchdowns (team-high for UCF)

This isn’t projection. It already happened.

Among players returning to the same offense, only 2 tight ends cleared 43 receptions:

• Terrance Carter of TT

• Dylan Wade of UCF

That’s the list.

Now Layer in the Profile

Wade isn’t a boring inline tight end. MY GUYS never are.

He’s a 240-pound former quarterback, basketball star, and state champion in track and field.

He’s a red-zone weapon. An athlete. A mismatch.

My boy, @CFFroton, would call him a TEITO (Tight End In Title Only).

Wade wins like a receiver:

• Wide alignments

• Moves well in space

• EATS high-value targets near the goal line

That’s how you lead your team in receiving touchdowns.

Some tight ends rely on scheme to generate volume: Wade creates his own.

Knights of the Future

The story gets even better.

UCF massively upgraded the quarterback position.

Alonza Barnett arrives after accounting for 38 total touchdowns last season. A dual-threat playmaker who isn’t afraid to push the ball down the field.

That’s a different profile than what Wade had in 2025. Tayven Jackson was efficient for UCF, but he averaged under 11 yards per throw.

Barnett forces defenses to stretch, and when that happens, mismatches show up.

Time 4 Action

Wade had an 84-yard TE last season.

Ask yourself: can your TE do that?

Draft the volume. Draft the profile. Draft the mismatch.

Draft MY GUY… Dylan Wade.

Many people in my audience may not speak that language fluently.

The key is to the translation is that every world cup nation is actually like a college football program. I’ll explain…

Take the United States. The U.S. starts with a round-robin group of Paraguay, Australia, and Türkiye. In this framework, that’s basically Texas A&M trying to finish ahead of Michigan State, Southern Cal, and South Carolina.

You’d think A&M should do it. But those opponents have a wide range of possible performance.

A second example: Saudi Arabia beat Argentina 2-1 in 2022, one of the biggest shocks in World Cup history. In college football terms, that’s basically Oklahoma State walking into Columbus and beating Ohio State. It sounds absurd right up until it happens.

It’s not just a gimmick. It’s a way to think about the tournament in familiar terms:

• talent versus system

• brand versus results

• blue bloods versus dangerous cinderellas

• regional rivalries AND crazy fans

So here’s the full 2026 World Cup field — reimagined as college football.

CONCACAF (North America, Central America, Caribbean)

• Mexico — Texas
  Massive brand, huge expectations, fertile recruiting territory, and a permanent assumption that anything short of relevance is failure.

• United States — Texas A&M
  Endless resources, premium athletes, huge fan support, and just enough underachievement to keep everyone arguing about what the ceiling really is.

• Canada — Texas Tech
  Up-and-comer with recent momentum, real offensive juice, and just enough edge to make bigger brands uncomfortable.

• Panama — SMU
  Smaller profile, clean structure, and good enough to punish anyone who overlooks them.

• Haiti — Baylor
  Flashes of skill and upside that make you squint and wonder if there’s more here than the broader track record suggests… but probably not.

• Curaçao — West Virginia
  Dangerous, weird, and capable of being much more annoying than the logo suggests. Ruined my Texas thing because I didn’t realize which conference they were in. Actually still kinda works.

CONMEBOL (South America)

• Argentina — Ohio State
  The standard-setting power in its neighborhood… loaded with elite talent, measured only by championships, and defined as much by its rivalry as its results.

• Brazil — Michigan
  The winningest, most iconic program globally… flashy, tradition-rich, and constantly compared against its primary rival for historical supremacy.

• Uruguay — Indiana
  Surprise… they have won the whole thing before! Still more dangerous than you might expect.

• Colombia — Nebraska
  Passionate, talent-rich, and structurally capable, but still chasing a true return to the top tier.

• Ecuador — Iowa
  Wins by environment and structure… physical, disciplined, and uniquely difficult to deal with on its home turf.

• Paraguay — Michigan State
  The annoying, physical neighbor who drags better teams into ugly fights and occasionally flips the whole regional hierarchy for a season.

UEFA (Europe)

• France — LSU
  A pure talent gold mine. Half the world seems to be sourcing players from here, even when they’re suiting up for someone else.

• Spain — Georgia
  Red-and-black obsessed operation that controls every inch of the game and somehow always feels one speeding ticket away from trouble.

• England — Notre Dame
  Global brand, rivals everywhere, massive following, and a constant debate about whether the results really match the spotlight.

• Portugal — Florida
  I went to Michigan and my brother went to Florida… I guess that makes us Portuguese… high-end talent and just enough chaos to keep things interesting.

• Netherlands — Tennessee
  You know them when you see them: bright orange, unmistakable identity, and a fan base that shows up loud.

• Belgium — Ole Miss
  Recently rose above its traditional weight class with elite talent, but asking it to consistently outgun the LSUs of the world is still a stretch.

• Germany — Alabama
  Ruthless, efficient, and historically dominant. Built to win championships and not particularly interested in style points. A little bit down this year… maybe?

• Croatia — Kentucky
  Checkerboards everywhere: distinct look, disciplined play, and a knack for showing up bigger than expected.

• Switzerland — Penn State
  Proudly independent, historically consistent, and always good enough to matter without fully breaking into the inner circle.

• Austria — Auburn
  Closely tied to Germany in ways that go well beyond sports, and occasionally capable of dragging the whole thing into chaos.

• Norway — Wisconsin
  Big, physical, built around a clear identity, and usually anchored by one or two absolute stars.

• Sweden — Minnesota
  Cold-weather, fundamentally sound, and quietly competent year after year.

• Czech Republic — Arkansas
  Has its moments and flashes real quality, but consistency has been hard to maintain in the modern era.

• Scotland — Purdue
  Shares state with a much bigger national brand, but the Irish/English barely acknowledge them.

• Bosnia & Herzegovina — Boise State
  Classic Cinderella… crashed the party by knocking off a giant (Oklahoma is Italy) just to get here.

• Türkiye — South Carolina
  Loud, intense, and fueled by a red-hot environment. Dangerous at their best and impossible to fully trust week to week.

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CAF (Africa)

• Morocco — Clemson
  Proven it belongs with the elite after a breakthrough run. No longer a surprise, just a contender.

• Senegal — Florida State
  Loaded with high-end athletes and recent success, still trying to lock in true year-to-year dominance.

• Algeria — NC State
  Dangerous, capable of big wins, but volatility is baked into the experience.

• Egypt — Louisville
  Runs through one superstar engine (imagine Mo Sallah as Lamar Jackson). When he’s rolling, everything looks different.

• Ivory Coast — Miami (FL)
  The talent is always there… it just never quite turns into sustained top-tier results.

• Tunisia — Duke
  Organized, disciplined, and consistently respectable, but not built for deep runs.

• DR Congo — Boston College
  Physical, disciplined, and built to win uncomfortable games. More dangerous than flashy.

• South Africa — North Carolina
  Brand, history, and built-in advantages, yet still trying to turn it into modern success.

• Cape Verde — Wake Forest
  Small footprint, high efficiency. Does more with less and executes cleaner than expected… but not good.

• Ghana — Virginia Tech
  Emotional, physical, and capable of big-stage moments. When the energy is right, they’re a problem… just not good lately.

AFC + OFC (Asia and Oceania)

• South Korea — Washington
  Clean, technical, and consistently competitive. They play the beautiful game far from the traditional powers, but they do it well.

• Japan — Oregon
  Fast, innovative, and built for tempo. The rivalry with Korea feels a lot like the Pacific Northwest in CFF. Awesome uniforms.

• Iraq — Army
  Tough, emotional, and resilient. Wins come through grit, edge, and the willingness to turn the whole match into a street fight on the streets of Bagdad.

• Iran — Navy
  Structured, disciplined, and strategic. Plays a controlled game and forces you to execute in tight spaces, like the Straight of Hormuz.

• Qatar — Air Force
  Built around infrastructure, resources, and organization—everything is planned, funded, and carefully engineered.

• Saudi Arabia — Oklahoma State
  Fueled by oil money and big ambitions… T. Boone Pickens would absolutely respect the operating model.

• Jordan — Arizona State
  Flashes just enough to stay relevant, but consistency is always the missing piece.

• Uzbekistan — Cal
  Smart, quietly talented, and feels like it should break through any year now.

• Australia — Southern Cal
  Historically tied to England / Notre Dame, but fully operating on its own terms now. Physical, proud, and always measuring itself against that legacy brand.

• New Zealand — UCLA
  Isolated, dominant locally, and used to being the biggest name in its neighborhood. Still trying to prove it belongs on the biggest stage.

Time 4 Action

At some point, you have to stop comparing and make a pick.

I’ll take Spain (Georgia) vs Argentina (Ohio State) in the final.

System vs talent, red-and-black discipline against a blue-blood machine.

And like most seasons, I’ll trust the talent:

Argentina wins it.

That’s the baseline.

The reason Chudzinski is the TE most drafted by experts is simple: he plays in a system that doubles that volume.

The BC Target Machine

Boston College doesn’t use the TE like most of college football.

Their 28% TE target rate isn’t “above average” — it’s in different tier.

No wonder. Their TE coach, Will Lawing, is also their offensive coordinator. They run a lot of multiple-TE sets and an NFL-style offense that targets them.

The offense has decent volume too. Throwing for 280 yards per game in 2025. I love facing ACC defenses.

This is where you want to shop for tight ends.

TRUE Production Outlier

Systems are important. So are skill sets.

At 6’3” and 235, Chudzinski is a converted WR.

His line as TRUE freshman: 24 catches, 313 yards. 4 TDs.

That’s a very rare level of production.

How rare?

• 2021: Brock Bowers

• 2022: 0

• 2023: 0

• 2024: 0

• 2025: DJ Vonnahme… and Chudzinski

That’s the entire list.

Magnet for Experts

In my spring draft sample, Chudzinski’s ADP is 209. He is going as TE#15.

That’s 100 picks after Vonnahme.

More often than not, he is being drafted by a CFF content creator:

• Josh Chevalier wants all of his shares

• Greg Brandt is grabbing him multiple rounders above ADP

• I recently grabbed him in round 23

Midway through your draft, the market gives you options.

Experts keep picking the same one.

Time 4 Action

Jeremiah Franklin graduated and took his 49 catches with him.

Boston College’s next TE1 should be in your queue.

Draft the system. Draft the ceiling. Draft Chud.

That’s where you guess.

And that’s where Sean Wilson keeps getting taken by people who know ball.

Because Wilson is sitting in the exact kind of offensive environment you want, coming off one of the rarest freshman volume seasons in college football, and still priced cheaply enough that casual drafters don’t feel any urgency to act.

Volume First, Everything Else Later

In 2025, the Blue Hens averaged 41 pass attempts per game, which placed the them 6th nationally in passing volume. They also averaged 292 passing yards per game, putting them in the top 10 nationally by passing output, and finished with over 3,800 team passing yards on the season.

Delaware doesn’t just throw the ball.

They build the offense around it.

Wilson led this high-volume WR room as a freshman. The next two most productive receivers behind him are gone — and so are their targets.

This is Where Experts Stop Guessing

In my spring draft sample, Wilson’s ADP is 76. He is going as WR#24.

He’s not flying up the board, but the experts are consistently grabbing him at this price.

More often than not, he is being drafted by a CFF content creator:

• Josh Chevalier

• Jared Palmgren

• Eliot Mays

• Chris Battistel

At WR24, the market gives you options. Experts keep picking the same one.

The Future is Bright

Good system. Good volume. But what about the upside?

Go back to that table.

68 RECEPTIONS.

That number matters. Because freshman WRs almost never get there.

Since 2021, the list of freshmen with more than 68 catches is tiny:

• Malachi Corley (Western Kentucky) — 73 in 2021

• Pofele Ashlock (Hawaii) — 83 in 2023

• KC Concepcion (NC State) — 71 in 2023

• Jeremiah Smith (Ohio State) — 76 in 2024

• Malachi Toney (Miami) — 109 in 2025

Sean Wilson did it.

Now he returns to the same high-volume systema with a WR3 price tag.

Time 4 Action

In Round 7, you’re choosing between guesses.

Different names. Same uncertainty.

But this one isn’t guesswork.

• Elite passing volume

• Freshman WR1 usage already proven

• 100+ targets leaving the room

• Experts consistently landing on him

That’s not hype.

That’s a profile.

Subscribe now

You can find him sitting at RB#29 in your Fantrax queue at the start of the draft.

Maybe he could be your RB3?

Only if you enjoy watching him score points on someone else’s roster.

Behold… the VOLUME

Sutton handled 254 carries last season.

At San Diego State, that kind of usage isn’t accidental. It’s structural.

They want to run. They’ve always wanted to run. And when they find a back they trust, they lean on him.

That matters more than anything else in this beautiful CFF game of ours.

One of these things is not like the others.

Why isn’t Sutton a 1st round pick?

People look at SDSU and see:

• no passing game

• low scoring

• limited ceiling

And they stop there.

Yet Sutton already produced inside those constraints.

Defenses loaded the box. Everyone in the stadium knew what was coming. It didn’t matter. Sutton still delivered elite volume and usable efficiency.

That’s the floor case. 15 ppg.

The Sean Lewis Upside Scenario

SSDSU’s offense improved in 2025. It’s probably improving again in 2026. Because this isn’t random — it’s a pattern. Notice the trend we have seen from Sean Lewis.

Year 1: Broken

SDSU: 21 ppg. 2-10 record

Kent State: 24 ppg. 2-10 record.

Year 2: Functional

SDSU: 26 ppg. 9-4 record

Kent State: 29ppg. 7-6 record.

Year 3: Ceiling

SDSU: 2026 ???

Kent State: 50 ppg. 3-1 record. ~300 rushing yards per game.

Any improvement in this offense and Sutton could be a MEGA STAR.

Experts aren’t letting Sutton get back to you

If you want to know where a player should go, don’t look at ADP.

Look at what the sharpest drafters actually do when they’re in the room.

My personal spring draft sample is 16 drafts.

11 TIMES an expert selected Lucky Sutton.

Not just one hype man, the whole CFF content-creation community is grabbing multiple shares.

• Jared Palmgren

• Greg Brandt

• Eliot Mays

• Felix Sharpe

Early in the offseason, Sutton was going in the 30s.

In recent drafts? He’s going 17th. 21st. 19th. A full round earlier and climbing.

Time 4 Action

At this point, there isn’t much left to debate.

You’re looking at a player who:

• handled 250+ carries last season

• already produced in a bottom-tier offense

• now sits in a system that predictably improves

• and is being pulled up draft boards by sharp drafters

That’s not a projection.

That’s a profile.