Cyclica

🟣 DE Weekly Cycle Completed (+327%), from $161 to $689 | Cyclica

Cyclica — Wed, 02 Sep 2026 22:42:56 GMT

Ticker: DE
Timeframe: Weekly

Another major weekly cycle has reached completion.

DE activated at $161.12 in July 2020.

Step 1 arrived shortly afterward.

Six years later, the cycle has now reached Step 2 at $689.11, completing a +327.70% extension from activation.

The weighted outcome: +268.16%.

One of the largest completed cycles in the Cyclica dataset is now officially closed.

📊 DE Cycle Data

Activation Date: July 6, 2020
Activation Area: $161.12
Step 1: $209.46
Step 1 Date: August 24, 2020
Step 2: $689.11
Completion Date: September 2, 2026

📈 Performance Breakdown

Activation → Step 1: +30.00%

Activation → Step 2: +327.70%

Weighted Cycle Contribution: +268.16%

The complete sequence is now part of the historical record:

Activation → Step 1 → Step 2 → Completed

📉 DE Weekly Chart

$161 → $689.

The final chart makes the move easy to recognize.

But this cycle started in July 2020, when none of today’s outcome was known.

Back then, there was only an activation.

📚 Two DE Cycles. Two Major Extensions.

There are now two completed DE cycles in the Cyclica historical dataset.

And both developed into substantial long-term sequences.

2009 → 2020

Activation: $44.24
Step 1: +30.02%
Final Outcome: +146.81%
Weighted Outcome: +123.45%

2020 → 2026

Activation: $161.12
Step 1: +30.00%
Final Outcome: +327.70%
Weighted Outcome: +268.16%

Two different market periods.

Two independent cycles.

Two outcomes above +100%.

That historical record is notable.

It is also not predictive.

There is no guarantee that a future DE cycle — or any other Cyclica cycle — will develop in the same way.

📊 Cycle Progression — Closed Cycles

The chart above aggregates completed Cyclica cycles in chronological order of completion.

Each data point represents one closed cycle using its weighted outcome.

Results are cumulative and non-compounded.

Active cycles are excluded.

This is not a representation of portfolio growth, invested capital or compounded performance. It is a historical representation of how weighted outcomes from independent Cyclica cycles have accumulated across the dataset.

📊 434 Closed Cycles. +29,139% Cumulative.

DE becomes the 434th closed cycle in the historical dataset.

And with its +268.16% weighted contribution, the cumulative historical figure has now moved above another milestone.

Cyclica Metrics

Tickers in the Basket: 89
Total Activations: 493
Closed Cycles: 434
Active Cycles: 57
Winning Cycles: 285
Losing Cycles: 149
Winning Rate: 65.67%

Historical Performance

Cumulative Weighted Historical: +29,139.88% (non-compounded)
Cycles Above +100%: 125
Average Cycles per Year: 18.26
Maximum Losing Streak: 10

DE is now the 125th cycle in the dataset to exceed +100%.

One exceptional cycle can attract attention.

434 completed cycles provide the context.

👀 DE Is Finished. 57 Cycles Aren’t.

DE is easy to recognize today.

The activation is known.

The +327% is known.

The six-year sequence is complete.

But that isn’t where the attention moves next.

There are currently 57 active Cyclica cycles.

Their outcomes haven’t been written yet.

Some will terminate.

Some will reach Step 1 and stop there.

Some may continue much further.

And perhaps one of them is currently sitting at the beginning of a sequence that will look completely obvious several years from now.

We don’t know which one.

That’s precisely why they are being tracked before the outcome becomes known.

DE belongs to the historical record now.

The next cycle doesn’t.

🔒 Full Disclaimer

This publication is provided solely for educational and informational purposes.

Cyclica is a rules-based market-cycle tracking framework. It is not an investment advisory service, portfolio management service, trading signal service, or recommendation service.

Nothing contained in this publication constitutes investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, a solicitation, an offer, or a recommendation to buy, sell, hold, or otherwise transact in DE or any other financial instrument.

All cycle levels, historical outcomes, performance statistics, charts and other figures shown are observations generated from predefined historical rules and are presented for research and educational purposes.

All historical performance figures are presented on a cumulative and non-compounded basis. Individual cycles are independent observations. The cumulative weighted historical figure does not represent the performance of an investment account, portfolio, fund, or continuous allocation of capital.

Historical results may not reflect transaction costs, taxes, spreads, slippage, liquidity constraints, execution differences or other factors that can materially affect real-world results.

Past performance and historical cycle behavior do not guarantee or predict future results. Previous DE cycles provide no indication or guarantee that a future DE cycle — or any other active or future cycle — will produce similar results.

Active cycles have unresolved outcomes and are excluded from closed-cycle performance statistics where indicated. References to active or developing cycles should not be interpreted as recommendations or predictions regarding their future direction.

Readers should conduct their own research and, where appropriate, consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.

Educational only. Not financial advice.

🧩 Cyclica Index Update — New Inclusion

Cyclica — Mon, 31 Aug 2026 14:05:29 GMT

This is another real-time addition to the Index sequence, recorded now.

Every component follows the same process: it enters only when the model conditions are satisfied, remains part of the Index while those conditions remain valid, and eventually leaves according to the predefined methodology.

No result is assumed in advance.

Another New Component Enters the Index

The Cyclica Index is designed to evolve continuously rather than remain tied to a static group of securities.

New inclusions are generated by the model itself.

Some will eventually produce positive outcomes.

Others will not.

Both remain permanently part of the historical record.

That is the point of documenting every inclusion when it happens: the complete sequence can be followed without reconstructing it retrospectively.

The identity of today’s new component and its official Index record are available below for PRO members.

🔒 PRO — New Index Inclusion

🔵 Cyclica Weekly Recap — August 31, 2026

Cyclica — Mon, 31 Aug 2026 07:02:19 GMT

For the first time in this recent phase, the Cyclica Index has reached 8 active setups out of a maximum of 8.

Two new structures activated during the last week, bringing the Index from six active setups earlier this month, to seven, and now to eight.

But what makes the current snapshot particularly interesting is the age distribution underneath that number.

The oldest active structures have been developing for almost two months. The newest joined the sequence only 4 days ago.

Different starting points, different stages, different charts.

The same rules.

🔥 Cyclica Index — Historical Tracking

The historical sample continues to grow.

Tracking now covers more than 10 years, beginning January 1, 2016, with 274 setups recorded through the same rules-based framework.

📊 Historical Metrics

Tracking Since: January 1, 2016
Tickers Tracked: 64
Total Historical Setups: 274
Completed Setups: 266
Currently Active Setups: 8
Positive Outcome Rate: 69.17%
Average Setup Outcome: +7.52%
Median Setup Outcome: +5.84%
Average Positive Outcome: +14.90%
Average Negative Outcome: -9.16%
Best Historical Outcome: +66.33%
Largest Historical Negative Outcome: -28.42%
Cumulative Tracked Outcome: +1,999.00%

The completed historical sample now contains 266 setups, with approximately 7 out of every 10 producing a positive tracked outcome.

And while the sample continues growing, the relationship between positive and negative outcomes remains interesting: the average positive outcome stands at +14.90%, versus -9.16% for the average negative outcome.

One setup doesn’t tell us much.

Two hundred and seventy-four give us considerably more to study.

⚙️ What’s Active Inside the Cyclica Index?

This is probably the most interesting snapshot we’ve had since I started including the Index in these weekly recaps.

🔥 8 of 8 Setups Are Now Active

Active Setups: 8
Maximum Simultaneously Tracked: 8
Current Setup Utilization: 100%
Average Age of Active Setups: ~31 days
Oldest Active Setups: 56 days
Newest Active Setup: 4 days
Active for at Least One Month: 4
Activated During August: 4
Activated During the Last 14 Days: 3
Activated During the Last 7 Days: 2

The distribution is almost a perfect example of how the Cyclica logic works.

Two structures have been active for 56 days.

Another has been developing for 49 days.

One for 35 days.

Then we have progressively younger structures at 28, 14, 7 and 4 days.

There wasn’t one moment when everything suddenly became active.

The sequence built gradually.

One activation at a time.

🌎 The Broader Cyclica Universe Is Expanding Too

The Index isn’t the only place where activity increased.

The broader Cyclica universe has now reached 58 active cycles, up from 56 in the previous recap, while total historical activations climbed to 493.

📊 Cyclica System Snapshot

Tickers on the Basket: 89
Total Activations: 493
Closed Cycles: 433
Active Cycles: 58
Winning Cycles: 284
Losing Cycles: 149
Winning Rate: 65.59%
Cycles Above +100%: 124
Average Cycles per Year: 18.26
Maximum Losing Streak: 10
Cumulative Weighted Historical: +28,871.72%

So while relative leadership has become more selective recently, the number of structures actively being tracked has actually expanded.

That’s an interesting combination.

🏆 Long-Term Active Leaders

Several structures continue to sit at the top of the active Cyclica universe:

DE
IBN
JPM
CB
CM
AMZN
TJX
GD
CVX

Some of these names have been here for a long time.

And that’s intentional.

Cyclica doesn’t look for a reason to replace an existing cycle simply because something newer or faster appears elsewhere.

If the structure remains active according to the framework, the tracking continues.

🚀 Strongest Active Cycles vs SPY — Last 30 Days

Relative leadership narrowed again this week.

Current Relative Leaders

MRK → +14.6% vs SPY
PFE → +10.2%
T → +8.7%

There are currently 2 active cycles outperforming SPY by more than 10% over the last month.

That number has moved around considerably during recent weeks, which is precisely why I find it useful to track consistently rather than looking at it only when leadership is exceptionally strong.

Leadership expands.

Leadership contracts.

Then it rotates again.

🌐 Breadth & Participation

Looking across all 58 active cycles:

Average Performance from Activation: +45.25%
Average Active Duration: 180 days

That second number continues to stand out.

The average active Cyclica structure has now been developing for approximately six months.

Six months contains a lot of noise.

Good weeks, bad weeks, expansions, pullbacks and periods where almost nothing happens.

The framework is designed to look through all of that and follow the larger structure.

⚡ Top Active Cycles — Last 7 Days

This week’s strongest expansions were more measured than some of the moves we’ve seen recently:

MSFT → +6.3%
MO → +3.9%
AAPL → +3.3%

MSFT returns to the top of the weekly ranking after already appearing repeatedly among the strongest structures during August.

Persistence is usually more interesting to me than a single explosive week.

🔻 Deeper Pullbacks — Last 7 Days

At the opposite end of the weekly distribution:

PYPL → -12.8%
XOM → -5.1%
TSLA → -3.9%

These remain active structures despite their seven-day moves.

That’s an important distinction.

A difficult week and a completed cycle are two completely different things.

🧭 Hot Tickers Nearby the Activation Level

The observation list has become shorter this week.

👀 5 Structures Currently Under Observation

AppLovin
Meta Platforms
Netflix
Oracle
Qualcomm

These are not active Cyclica cycles.

They’re simply structures close enough to the activation area to deserve attention while the complete rules-based process continues developing.

And I actually like seeing this list shrink when activations are increasing.

The objective isn’t to maintain a permanently large watchlist.

It’s to wait until structures either qualify or move away.

🧩 Cyclica by Category

The historical database also lets us look beyond individual names and study how cycles have developed across different areas of the market.

Historical Cumulative Tracking by Category

👑 Mag7 → +4,339.13%
🏥 Healthcare Leaders → +2,604.98%
🤖 AI Infrastructure → +2,402.71%
🏭 Industrial Expansion → +1,825.50%
🛡️ Defensive Compounders → +1,494.37%
⚡ Energy & Infrastructure → +1,267.07%
🏦 Financial Giants → +1,153.13%

Long-duration cycles haven’t belonged to one sector, one narrative or one particular type of company.

They’ve appeared across the market.

🔵 Final Thoughts

August ends with one of the most active Cyclica snapshots we’ve seen recently.

The Cyclica Index is now tracking 8 active setups out of 8.

The broader universe has expanded to 58 active cycles.

Historical activations have reached 493.

And 124 historical cycles have expanded beyond +100% from their original activation.

But perhaps the most interesting part is how we arrived here.

The eight currently active Index setups didn’t appear together.

Their ages are:

56, 56, 49, 35, 28, 14, 7 and 4 days.

The sequence built itself gradually as individual structures qualified.

That’s Cyclica.

No need to decide when the market should be active. Let the structures tell you.

All data shown represents rules-based historical and ongoing tracking for educational and informational purposes only. Historical outcomes do not guarantee future results. Nothing presented here represents investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument.

🧩 Cyclica Index Update — New Inclusion

Cyclica — Thu, 27 Aug 2026 14:07:26 GMT

A new component has entered the Cyclica Index after meeting the predefined conditions of the model.

Following the most recent exit, the Index had temporarily moved to 7 active components.

The new inclusion brings it immediately back to 8 out of 8 available slots occupied.

No outcome is known yet.

This is simply another new entry in a sequence that has been tracked under the same predefined methodology since January 1, 2016.

Cyclica Index — Current Snapshot

With this new inclusion, the Index now stands at:

Tickers Tracked: 64
Maximum Simultaneous Components: 8
Currently Active: 8

Cumulative Tracked Outcome: +1,999.00%
Total Return: +801.75%
CAGR: +22.93%
Maximum Drawdown: -23.76%
Profit Factor: 2.61x

Total Recorded Trades: 274
Closed Trades: 266
Win Rate: 69.17%

Historical Trade Statistics

Average Trade: +7.52%
Median Trade: +5.84%
Average Winner: +14.90%
Average Loser: -9.16%
Best Trade: +66.33%
Worst Trade: -28.42%

Average Occupied Slots: 6
Tracking Since: January 1, 2016

A New Component, Before the Outcome Is Known

This is one of the principles behind the Cyclica Index.

Every inclusion is documented when the model conditions are met, not after we know whether it will eventually become a winner or a loser.

The same happens on the other side.

When an exit condition is recorded, the component leaves the Index and its final outcome becomes part of the historical record.

One component recently left.

A new one has now qualified.

The Index is back to full capacity.

The identity of the new component and the complete model record are available below for PRO members.

🔒 PRO — New Index Inclusion

🏁 Cyclica Index Update — $KO Exited the Index

Cyclica — Thu, 27 Aug 2026 13:54:29 GMT

$KO has exited the Cyclica Index after the predefined model conditions were met.

The cycle entered the Index on May 18, 2026 and remained active for 100 days.

Completed Index Record

Ticker: $KO
Index Record ID: CY0178
Cycle: C4
Index Slot: 2
Inclusion Date: May 18, 2026
Exit Date: August 26, 2026
Inclusion Reference Price: $80.90
Exit Reference Price: $89.20
Tracked Outcome: +10.26%
Duration: 100 days
Status: Closed — removed from the Index

+10.26% Added to the Historical Record

$KO entered the Cyclica Index at a reference price of $80.90.

One hundred days later, the model recorded its exit at $89.20, completing the cycle with a +10.26% tracked outcome.

The result now becomes part of the permanent Cyclica Index history.

Just as with every other component, the inclusion was recorded before the outcome was known and the subsequent development was tracked according to the same predefined methodology.

The Index Keeps Moving

A Cyclica Index component does not remain active indefinitely.

Components enter when the predefined conditions are met, remain part of the Index while the model continues to track them, and leave when the corresponding exit conditions occur.

$KO has now completed that process.

Its +10.26% outcome is closed and becomes part of the historical record, while the available Index slot can be used by a future qualifying component.

Every inclusion and every exit remains in the record, positive or negative.

No result is added retrospectively based on what happened afterward.

Follow the dedicated Cyclica Index thread for this update:

The Cyclica Index is a rules-based model simulation. Index inclusions, removals and performance figures describe the model and are not personalized investment recommendations or instructions to trade.

Full methodology, performance calculation, risks and disclosures:
tizycharts.com/disclosure

🟢 Cyclica Index Update — $CRM Entered the Index

Cyclica — Mon, 24 Aug 2026 15:07:24 GMT

New Index Inclusion

Ticker: $CRM
Index Record ID: CY0185
Cycle: C1
Index Slot: 8
Inclusion Date: August 24, 2026
Reference Price: $208.42
Status: Active in the Index

$CRM is now part of the ongoing Cyclica Index tracking and will be followed according to the same predefined methodology applied to every component.

No outcome has been recorded yet.

Cyclica Index — Current Numbers

As of August 24, 2026, the Cyclica Index currently tracks 64 tickers, with a maximum of 8 simultaneous components.

Since tracking began on January 1, 2016, the model has recorded:

Cumulative Tracked Outcome: +1,988.74%
Total Return: +801.75%
CAGR: +22.95%
Maximum Drawdown: -23.76%
Profit Factor: 2.61x

Total Trades: 274
Closed Trades: 265
Open Trades: 8
Win Rate: 69.06%

Historical Trade Statistics

Average Trade: +7.50%
Median Trade: +5.64%
Average Winner: +14.92%
Average Loser: -9.16%
Best Trade: +66.33%
Worst Trade: -28.42%
Average Occupied Slots: 6

Another Component Enters the Index

Every inclusion is recorded when the predefined model conditions are met, before the eventual outcome is known.

Positive outcomes remain in the historical record.

Negative outcomes remain in the historical record.

Nothing is added retrospectively based on what happened afterward.

$CRM is now part of that sequence.

Follow the dedicated Cyclica Index thread for this update:

The Cyclica Index is a rules-based model simulation. Index inclusions and performance figures describe the model and are not personalized investment recommendations or instructions to trade.

🟢 A New Cycle Has Activated

Cyclica — Mon, 24 Aug 2026 14:33:21 GMT

🔖 Menu

Historical Context
Historical Performance
Cyclica System Metrics
What Members Track
Why Cycles Matter
Current Cycle (PRO)
Disclaimer

📊 Historical Context

This asset has already completed 7 Cyclica cycles.

The historical range is enormous.

One cycle failed with a loss exceeding -50%.

Two different cycles later expanded beyond +220%.

Others reached Step 1 before ultimately producing much smaller outcomes.

And today, a new weekly cycle has activated.

Here is the complete historical sequence:

→ Jan 2002 → -50.9%

→ Nov 2002 → +30.1% → +95.0%

→ May 2009 → +30.0% → -13.8%

→ Jan 2012 → +30.0% → +227.2%

→ Mar 2016 → +30.0% → +223.8%

→ Nov 2019 → +31.4% → +41.1%

→ Feb 2023 → +30.0% → +1.8%

→ Aug 2026 → NEW CYCLE ACTIVE

Six of the seven completed cycles reached the first positive Step.

But what happened afterward varied dramatically.

That’s the part of the sequence Cyclica is designed to track.

🚀 Historical Performance

Looking only at the final price development of each completed cycle gives us:

→ -50.89%

→ +95.04%

→ -13.80%

→ +227.18%

→ +223.83%

→ +41.06%

→ +1.79%

But Cyclica also records a Weighted Outcome, reflecting the predefined progression of the framework rather than simply measuring the distance between activation and the final price.

For these same seven historical cycles:

→ Jan 2002 → -50.89% Weighted

→ Nov 2002 → +82.04% Weighted

→ May 2009 → -5.04% Weighted

→ Jan 2012 → +187.74% Weighted

→ Mar 2016 → +185.07% Weighted

→ Nov 2019 → +39.13% Weighted

→ Feb 2023 → +7.43% Weighted

🔥 Total Historical Outcome

Adding the raw final outcomes of the seven completed cycles:

+523.21%

But the metric that matters most inside the Cyclica framework is the cumulative Weighted Historical Outcome:

+445.48% WEIGHTED

That number includes everything.

The -50.9% failure.

The cycle that reached +30% before ultimately reversing.

The smaller positive cycles.

And the two major expansions that developed beyond +220%.

Nothing is removed from the sequence.

No losing cycle disappears from the historical record.

And now an eighth cycle has entered active tracking.

📈 Cyclica System Metrics

Zooming out from this single asset to the complete Cyclica universe:

→ 89 Tickers in the Basket

→ 493 Total Activations

→ 433 Closed Cycles

→ 58 Active Cycles

→ 284 Winning Cycles

→ 149 Losing Cycles

65.59% Historical Winning Rate

Across those completed cycles:

→ 124 Cycles have exceeded +100%

→ 18.26 Average Cycles per Year

→ 10 Maximum Losing Streak

And across the complete historical dataset:

+28,871.72% Cumulative Weighted Historical Outcome

The range across individual years has also been significant:

→ Best Historical Year → +3,228.16% — 2017

→ Worst Historical Year → -650.20% — 2002

This is why looking only at the best historical cycles would tell an incomplete story.

The long-term dataset contains expansions, failures, losing streaks and difficult years.

They are all part of the same framework.

👀 What Members Track

Cyclica doesn’t wait for a +200% move to become obvious before talking about it.

Every qualified cycle is documented from activation:

🟢 Activation Area

→ Step Progression

🔴 Invalidation Levels

🔄 Ongoing Cycle Updates

📊 Historical Context

⚖️ Weighted Outcome

⏱️ Tracking While the Cycle Is Active

The historical +227% and +224% cycles are easy to identify today.

At activation, they weren’t +200% winners.

They were simply new cycles with unknown outcomes.

Exactly like today’s.

The complete Cyclica framework and ongoing tracking are currently available for $7/month.

🎯 Why Cycles Matter

This asset illustrates the asymmetry behind the framework particularly well.

There have been:

→ 7 completed cycles

→ 6 reaching the first positive Step

→ 2 eventually expanding beyond +220%

→ 1 major failure of -50.9%

→ +445.48% cumulative Weighted Outcome

The objective wasn’t to know beforehand that the 2012 and 2016 cycles would become the biggest expansions.

And today’s activation doesn’t tell us whether the next outcome will resemble those cycles or one of the failures.

Historical data provides context.

It doesn’t provide certainty.

The framework simply identifies the qualified structure and follows the sequence until completion.

Today, that process starts again.

🔒 Current Cycle (PRO)

🔵 KO Weekly Cycle Reaches +30%, Step 1 Is Now Complete | Cyclica

Cyclica — Mon, 24 Aug 2026 14:26:11 GMT

Ticker: KO
Timeframe: Weekly

A new milestone has just been reached on Coca-Cola.

The current KO weekly cycle, activated at $70.84, has now reached Step 1 at $92.09, marking a +30.00% expansion from activation.

But this cycle isn’t finished.

In fact, this is where it becomes more interesting.

📊 Current KO Cycle

Activation Date: February 24, 2025
Activation Area: $70.84
Step 1: $92.09
Step 1 Date: August 24, 2026
Current Price: ~$92.32
Performance from Activation: +30.00%
Cycle State: Active

The sequence has now progressed:

Activation → Step 1 → ?

The next part remains unknown.

📉 KO Weekly Chart

Step 1 is now part of the record.

What happens after Step 1 isn’t.

📚 What Happened After Step 1 in Previous KO Cycles?

KO has produced three completed cycles in the historical Cyclica dataset.

And they tell three very different stories.

2000 → 2003

Activation: $28.97
Final Outcome: −31.58%

The cycle terminated without reaching Step 1.

2003 → 2009

Activation: $22.97
Step 1: +30.04%
Final Outcome: −14.37%
Weighted Outcome: −5.49%

Step 1 was reached, but continuation did not follow.

2009 → 2024

Activation: $23.50
Step 1: +30.00%
Final Outcome: +194.64%
Weighted Outcome: +161.71%

This time, Step 1 was only the beginning of a much longer sequence.

2025 → Today

Activation: $70.84
Step 1: +30.00%

And now we wait.

👀 This Is Exactly Why Step 1 Matters

The historical record gives us no certainty about what happens next.

That’s the point.

One previous KO cycle never reached Step 1.

Another reached it and later terminated.

Another reached it and eventually extended to almost +195%.

The current cycle has now arrived at the same structural milestone.

What comes next has not been written yet.

Historical outcomes are context, not forecasts, and there is no guarantee that the current cycle will resemble any previous one.

📊 Cycle Progression — Closed Cycles

(INSERT CUMULATIVE PERFORMANCE CHART HERE)

This chart aggregates completed Cyclica cycles in chronological order of completion.

Each data point represents a closed cycle using its weighted outcome.

Results are cumulative and non-compounded.

Active cycles — including the current KO cycle — are excluded.

This is not a representation of portfolio growth or compounded capital. It is a historical representation of how weighted outcomes from independent Cyclica cycles have accumulated across the dataset.

📊 Cyclica — System Statistics

KO becomes another cycle to reach Step 1 while the broader dataset continues to grow.

Current Dataset

Tickers in the Basket: 89
Total Activations: 492
Closed Cycles: 433
Active Cycles: 57
Winning Cycles: 284
Losing Cycles: 149
Winning Rate: 65.59%

Historical Performance

Cumulative Weighted Historical: +28,871.72% (non-compounded)
Cycles Above +100%: 124
Average Cycles per Year: 18.22
Maximum Losing Streak: 10
Best Year: +3,228.16% (2017)
Worst Year: −650.20% (2002)

🔄 KO Isn’t a Completed Story Yet

Completed cycles are easy to analyze.

Everything is already known.

This one is different.

KO has reached Step 1 today.

The +30% is known.

The next phase isn’t.

And alongside KO, 56 other cycles remain active across the Cyclica basket.

Some will terminate.

Some may continue.

Some may eventually develop into much larger sequences.

We don’t know which ones.

That’s precisely why they’re being tracked now rather than discussed only after the final chart becomes obvious.

KO is no longer waiting for Step 1.

Now we get to see what comes after it.

🔒 Full Disclaimer

This publication is provided solely for educational and informational purposes.

Cyclica is a rules-based market-cycle tracking framework. It is not an investment advisory service, portfolio management service, trading signal service, or recommendation service.

Historical results may not reflect transaction costs, taxes, spreads, slippage, liquidity constraints, execution differences or other factors that can materially affect real-world results.

Past performance and historical cycle behavior do not guarantee or predict future results. In particular, previous KO cycles — including the historical +194.64% cycle — provide no indication or guarantee that the current KO cycle will produce a similar outcome.

Readers should conduct their own research and, where appropriate, consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.

Educational only. Not financial advice.

🟢 A New Cycle Has Activated

Cyclica — Mon, 24 Aug 2026 14:08:24 GMT

🔖 Menu

Historical Context
Cyclica Snapshot
What Members Track
Why Cycles Matter
Current Cycle (PRO)
Disclaimer

📊 Historical Context

Six previous cycles. Six times reaching the first +30% Step.

And today, a new weekly cycle has activated on this same asset.

The historical sequence is particularly interesting because there hasn’t been a single completed cycle on this stock that failed before reaching Step 1.

But what happened after +30% varied enormously.

→ Mar 2005 → +30.0% → +57.1%

→ Sep 2006 → +30.0% → +32.9%

→ Apr 2009 → +30.1% → +156.0%

→ Feb 2012 → +30.0% → +290.9%

→ Jan 2019 → +30.0% → +24.4%

→ Feb 2023 → +30.3% → +31.6%

→ Aug 2026 → NEW CYCLE ACTIVE

So far, the historical record on this asset is simple:

6 completed cycles → 6 reached Step 1.

But reaching Step 1 has never told us how far the cycle would ultimately travel.

Some stopped around that area.

One expanded beyond +150%.

Another eventually reached almost +300%.

And that’s exactly why the entire cycle matters more than the first milestone.

Today, the sequence starts again.

📈 Cyclica Snapshot

Across the entire Cyclica basket, the historical tracking currently includes:

→ 89 Tickers Tracked

→ 491 Total Activations

→ 433 Closed Cycles

→ 56 Active Cycles

→ 284 Winning Cycles

→ 149 Losing Cycles

→ 65.59% Winning Rate

→ 124 Cycles Above +100%

→ 18.19 Average Cycles per Year

→ 10 Maximum Losing Streak

→ 28,871.72% Cumulative Weighted Historical

The historical range also includes very different market environments:

→ Best Year: +3,228.16% — 2017

→ Worst Year: -650.20% — 2002

The winners are included.

The failures are included.

The difficult periods are included.

Nothing disappears from the historical sequence because the outcome wasn’t favorable.

And now another qualified cycle has entered the tracking.

👀 What Members Track

Cyclica isn’t built around showing large historical moves after they have already happened.

Every qualified active cycle is followed from the beginning:

🟢 Activation Area

→ Step Progression

🔴 Invalidation Levels

🔄 Ongoing Cycle Updates

📊 Historical Context

⏱️ Tracking While the Cycle Is Active

That’s an important distinction.

Looking back today, the historical +290.9% cycle is obvious.

At activation, it wasn’t a +290.9% cycle.

It was simply another qualified structure with an unknown future.

The same was true for the cycle that eventually stopped around +30%.

And the same is true today.

The complete Cyclica framework and ongoing tracking are currently available for $7/month.

🎯 Why Cycles Matter

This asset provides one of the cleanest examples in the Cyclica database.

Every one of its six completed historical cycles reached the first +30% Step.

But their subsequent development ranged from approximately +24% to almost +291%.

That’s a huge difference.

The first Step tells us that the cycle has progressed.

It doesn’t tell us where the cycle ends.

That’s why Cyclica continues tracking after Step 1, through further expansion, deterioration and eventual invalidation.

Historical consistency also doesn’t turn today’s activation into a prediction.

6 out of 6 in the past does not make the seventh predetermined.

It simply gives us historical context.

The new cycle has qualified under the same framework.

Now we track what happens next.

🔒 Current Cycle (PRO)

🔵 Cyclica Weekly Recap — August 22, 2026

Cyclica — Sat, 22 Aug 2026 07:42:31 GMT

Another week, another activation.

The Cyclica Index has now recorded 273 historical setups since tracking began in January 2016, and this week a new structure joined the active group.

That brings the number of currently active setups to 7 out of a maximum of 8.

What I find particularly interesting right now isn’t simply the number of active setups, but how different their stages are: one has been developing for more than three months, while the newest activated only five days ago.

That’s Cyclica in a nutshell.

Different structures. Different stages. Same rules.

🔥 Cyclica Index — Historical Tracking

More than ten years of rules-based tracking now sit behind the Cyclica Index.

📊 Historical Metrics

Tracking Since: January 1, 2016
Tickers Tracked: 64
Total Historical Setups: 273
Completed Setups: 265
Currently Active Setups: 7
Positive Outcome Rate: 69.06%
Average Setup Outcome: +7.50%
Median Setup Outcome: +5.64%
Average Positive Outcome: +14.92%
Average Negative Outcome: -9.16%
Best Historical Outcome: +66.33%
Largest Historical Negative Outcome: -28.42%
Cumulative Tracked Outcome: +1,988.74%

Across the completed historical sample, approximately 7 out of every 10 setups have produced a positive tracked outcome.

The relationship between positive and negative outcomes also remains important: the average positive outcome stands at +14.92%, compared with -9.16% for the average negative one.

The objective isn’t for every activation to work.

The interesting part is what happens when exactly the same framework is repeated hundreds of times.

⚙️ What’s Active Inside the Cyclica Index?

This week brought another activation.

There are now 7 active setups, the highest level possible before reaching the framework’s maximum of eight simultaneous setups.

Current Activity

Active Setups: 7
Maximum Simultaneously Tracked: 8
Current Setup Utilization: 87.5%
Average Age of Active Setups: 40 days
Oldest Active Setup: 96 days
Newest Active Setup: 5 days
Active for More Than One Month: 4
Activated During the Last 30 Days: 3

This is exactly why I like looking at the Index as a sequence rather than a snapshot.

The oldest current structure has been developing for 96 days.

Three others have already been active for at least 40 days.

And at the other end of the spectrum, the newest structure has been active for just 5 days.

They don’t need to begin together.

They don’t need to complete together.

Each one simply follows its own cycle until the rules say otherwise.

🌎 The Broader Cyclica Universe

Beyond the Index, the full Cyclica universe has now reached another milestone.

📊 Cyclica System Snapshot

Tickers on the Basket: 89
Total Activations: 491
Closed Cycles: 433
Active Cycles: 56
Winning Cycles: 284
Losing Cycles: 149
Winning Rate: 65.59%
Cycles Above +100%: 124
Average Cycles per Year: 18.19
Maximum Losing Streak: 10
Cumulative Weighted Historical: +28,871.72%

The number that changed this week is particularly interesting:

124 historical cycles have now expanded beyond +100% from activation.

That doesn’t happen quickly. And that’s precisely the point of tracking long-duration structures.

🏆 Top Active Cycles Since Activation

Several of the strongest active structures continue to sit near the top of the historical rankings:

DE
IBN
JPM
CM
CB
TJX
GD
AMZN
JCI

Some have been developing for a very long time.

Cyclica doesn’t replace an existing structure simply because another ticker suddenly becomes more exciting. As long as the underlying cycle remains active according to the framework, the tracking continues.

🚀 Strongest Active Cycles vs SPY — Last 30 Days

Relative leadership remains selective, but several structures continue separating themselves from the broader market.

Current Leaders

MSFT → +22.9% vs SPY
MRK → +13.2%
DIS → +12.4%

Overall, 4 active cycles are currently outperforming SPY by more than 10% over the last month.

MSFT remains the standout, with more than 22% of relative outperformance over the period.

🌐 Breadth & Participation

Looking across all currently active Cyclica structures:

Active Cycles: 56
Average Performance from Activation: +45.84%
Average Active Duration: 178 days

The average active structure has therefore been developing for almost six months.

That time component matters.

A long-duration cycle isn’t supposed to prove itself in a few sessions. Sometimes the most important part of the process is simply allowing an existing structure enough time to develop.

⚡ Top Active Cycles — Last 7 Days

This week’s strongest expansions came from:

MRK → +14.8%
TSLA → +10.8%
PFE → +6.7%

MRK stands out in particular.

It is currently among the strongest active cycles over the last seven days while simultaneously ranking among the strongest relative performers versus SPY over the last month.

That’s the kind of persistence worth watching.

🔻 Deeper Pullbacks — Last 7 Days

Elsewhere, several active structures experienced deeper short-term retracements:

AVGO → -11.4%
WMT → -10.6%
TJX → -7.9%

A seven-day pullback doesn’t define a long-duration cycle.

Expansion, consolidation and retracement can all coexist inside the same active universe at the same time.

🧭 Hot Tickers Nearby the Activation Level

And then there are the structures that haven’t activated yet.

👀 8 Structures Currently Under Observation

Lennar
Netflix
SoFi Technologies
Salesforce
Adobe
Intuit
MicroStrategy
Johnson & Johnson

These aren’t active Cyclica cycles.

They’re simply structures that have moved onto the observation list while the full rules-based activation process continues to develop.

Some may eventually activate.

Others may never get there.

And that’s perfectly fine.

Most cycles spend considerably more time preparing than expanding. The waiting phase is part of the process itself.

🧩 Cyclica by Category

Looking across the historical database by structural group also gives us a wider perspective.

Historical Cumulative Tracking

👑 Mag7 → +4,339.13%
🏥 Healthcare Leaders → +2,604.98%
🤖 AI Infrastructure → +2,402.71%
🏭 Industrial Expansion → +1,825.50%
🛡️ Defensive Compounders → +1,494.37%
⚡ Energy & Infrastructure → +1,267.07%
🏦 Financial Giants → +1,153.13%

Different sectors have produced very different sequences over time, but long-duration cycles have appeared across virtually every major area of the market.

🔵 Final Thoughts

This week, a few numbers tell most of the story.

273 historical Cyclica Index setups.

69.06% positive outcomes across the completed sample.

7 setups currently active out of a maximum of 8.

491 activations across the broader Cyclica universe.

56 cycles currently active.

And now 124 historical cycles above +100% from activation.

But underneath all those numbers, the logic remains very simple.

One current Index setup is 96 days old.

Another is 5 days old.

And eight other structures haven’t activated at all.

There is no need to force them into the same timeline.

Every cycle gets its own time.

🟣 MRNA Weekly Cycle Completed (+245%) — From $33 to $116 and above | Cyclica

Cyclica — Wed, 19 Aug 2026 13:43:32 GMT

Ticker: MRNA
Timeframe: Weekly

Another major weekly cycle has reached completion.

MRNA activated at $33.59 in December 2025.

Eight months later, Step 2 has been reached at $116.02.

That represents a +245.40% move from activation and a +202.32% weighted contribution to the Cyclica historical dataset.

The finished chart gets the attention.

But the important part happened much earlier, when $33.59 was simply an activation and nobody knew what the sequence would eventually become.

📊 MRNA Cycle Data

Activation Date: December 22, 2025
Activation Area: $33.59
Step 1: $43.67
Step 1 Date: January 20, 2026
Step 2: $116.02
Completion Date: August 19, 2026

📈 Performance Breakdown

Activation → Step 1: +30.01%

Activation → Step 2: +245.40%

Weighted Cycle Contribution: +202.32%

MRNA has now completed the full weekly sequence:

Activation → Step 1 → Step 2 → Completed

📉 MRNA Weekly Chart

At $116, the move is easy to see.

At $33, there was no +245% printed on the chart.

There was only a new cycle.

That distinction is exactly why Cyclica exists.

📚 MRNA Has Been Here Before, With Very Different Outcomes

This is not the first MRNA cycle in the dataset.

And the previous cycles are important because they show exactly why one completed winner should never be viewed in isolation.

2019 → 2020

Activation: $19.21
Step 1: +30.04%
Final Outcome: +12.44%
Weighted: +15.96%

2022 → 2023

Activation: $172.85
Final Outcome: −58.43%
Weighted: −58.43%

2024

Activation: $104.98
Step 1: +30.01%
Final Outcome: −2.57%
Weighted: +3.94%

2025 → 2026

Activation: $33.59
Step 1: +30.01%
Final Outcome: +245.40%
Weighted: +202.32%

Same ticker.

Same framework.

Very different outcomes.

That is why Cyclica tracks the complete dataset — winners, losers and everything in between.

Historical cycles provide context. They are not a guarantee of future outcomes.

📊 Cycle Progression — Closed Cycles

This chart aggregates completed Cyclica cycles in chronological order of completion.

Each data point represents a closed cycle and uses its weighted outcome.

Results are cumulative and non-compounded.

Active cycles are excluded.

This is not a representation of portfolio growth or compounded capital.

It is a historical representation of how the weighted outcomes of independent Cyclica cycles have accumulated across the dataset.

📊 433 Closed Cycles. One Framework.

MRNA becomes the 433rd closed cycle in the historical dataset.

Cyclica Metrics

Tickers in the Basket: 89
Total Activations: 491
Closed Cycles: 433
Active Cycles: 56
Winning Cycles: 284
Losing Cycles: 149
Winning Rate: 65.59%

Historical Performance

Cumulative Weighted Historical: +28,871.72% (non-compounded)
Cycles Above +100%: 124
Average Cycles per Year: 18.19
Maximum Losing Streak: 10

One +245% cycle is interesting.

433 completed cycles tell the bigger story.

👀 MRNA Is Finished. The Search Isn’t.

MRNA is easy to discuss today.

The cycle is complete.

The +245% is known.

The chart tells the whole story.

But that wasn’t true in December when the cycle activated at $33.59.

And that is where the focus moves now.

There are currently 56 active cycles inside Cyclica.

Their final outcomes are unknown.

Some will terminate.

Some may reach Step 1 and go no further.

And somewhere among them could be another sequence that, months or years from now, looks as obvious as MRNA does today.

The goal isn’t to discover those charts after they’ve already happened.

It’s to have the structure on the radar while the story is still being written.

🔒 Full Disclaimer

This publication is provided solely for educational and informational purposes.

Cyclica is a rules-based market-cycle tracking framework. It is not an investment advisory service, portfolio management service, trading signal service, or recommendation service.

Performance figures are presented on a cumulative and non-compounded basis. Individual cycles are independent observations. The cumulative weighted historical figure does not represent the performance of an investment account, portfolio, fund, or continuous allocation of capital.

Historical results may not reflect transaction costs, taxes, spreads, slippage, liquidity constraints, execution differences or other factors that can materially affect real-world results.

Past performance and historical cycle behavior do not guarantee or predict future results. A ticker that produced a positive historical cycle may subsequently produce a negative cycle, and similar structural conditions may lead to materially different outcomes.

Readers should conduct their own research and, where appropriate, consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.

Educational only. Not financial advice.

🟢 Cyclica Index Update — $NOW Entered the Index

Cyclica — Mon, 17 Aug 2026 13:49:28 GMT

Every Inclusion Is Recorded

The Cyclica Index is updated as the model evolves.

New inclusions are recorded when the predefined conditions are met, and every subsequent positive or negative development remains part of the historical record.

Nothing is added retrospectively based on the final outcome.

$NOW is now part of that sequence.

The Cyclica Index is a rules-based model simulation. Index inclusions and performance figures describe the model and are not personalized investment recommendations or instructions to trade.

Follow the live Cyclica Index thread:

The Cyclica Index is a rules-based model simulation. Index inclusions and performance figures describe the model and are not personalized investment recommendations or instructions to trade.

Full details for members inside:

🟢 A New Cycle Has Activated

Cyclica — Mon, 17 Aug 2026 13:36:20 GMT

🔖 Menu

Historical Context
Cyclica Snapshot
What Members Track
Why Cycles Matter
Current Cycle (PRO)
Disclaimer

📊 Historical Context

Four of the five previous cycles on this asset reached the first +30% Step.

One of them eventually expanded beyond +255%.

Others developed into gains of more than +50% and +60%.

The most recent cycle, however, went the other way and closed at approximately -31%.

Today, a new weekly cycle has activated.

Here is the complete historical sequence:

→ Feb 2013 → +30.0% → +63.4%

→ Jun 2016 → +30.1% → +255.5%

→ Nov 2019 → +30.0% → +51.6%

→ Feb 2023 → +30.0% → +57.8%

→ May 2025 → -31.0%

→ Aug 2026 → NEW CYCLE ACTIVE

There is a clear contrast here.

Four consecutive cycles reached Step 1.

Then the most recent cycle failed without getting there.

Now the structure has activated again.

There is no assumption that this new cycle will behave like the winners that came before it, nor that it will repeat the most recent failure.

That’s why the tracking starts at activation.

📈 Cyclica Snapshot

With today’s new activation, Cyclica has now recorded:

→ 89 Tickers Tracked

→ 491 Total Activations

→ 432 Closed Cycles

→ 57 Active Cycles

→ 283 Winning Cycles

→ 149 Losing Cycles

→ 65.51% Winning Rate

→ 123 Cycles Above +100%

→ 18.19 Average Cycles per Year

→ 10 Maximum Losing Streak

→ 28,669.39% Cumulative Weighted Historical

These numbers include the winners, the failures, and everything in between.

No cycle is removed because it didn’t work.

Every qualified activation remains part of the historical record.

And today, another one has been added.

👀 What Members Track

Cyclica isn’t about finding a chart years later and pointing at the move that worked.

Every active cycle is followed from the moment the structure activates:

🟢 Activation Area

→ Step Progression

🔴 Invalidation Levels

🔄 Ongoing Cycle Updates

📊 Historical Context

⏱️ Tracking While the Cycle Is Active

That distinction matters.

A historical +255% move is easy to see today.

It wasn’t +255% when the cycle activated.

It was simply another active cycle with an unknown outcome.

That’s the part Cyclica tracks.

The complete framework is currently available for $7/month.

🎯 Why Cycles Matter

This asset gives us a particularly clean example.

Four consecutive historical cycles reached the first +30% Step:

→ +63.4%

→ +255.5%

→ +51.6%

→ +57.8%

Then came a completely different outcome:

→ -31.0%

The framework didn’t change because the previous four worked.

And it doesn’t change because the last one failed.

There is no prediction attached to today’s activation.

The new cycle simply qualifies under the same rules as every cycle that came before it.

Now we track what happens next.

🔒 Current Cycle (PRO)

🔵 Cyclica Weekly Recap — August 14, 2026

Cyclica — Fri, 14 Aug 2026 21:50:58 GMT

This week I want to start again with the Cyclica Index, because the historical sample behind it is becoming increasingly meaningful.

The tracking now covers more than 10 years, from January 2016 through today, with 272 historical setups generated through the same rules-based framework.

At the moment, 6 setups are active, each at a different stage of its cycle.

No need to predict what happens next. The rules determine when a structure becomes active, and the tracking simply follows the sequence from there.

🔥 Cyclica Index — Historical Tracking

The Cyclica Index currently tracks a universe of 64 tickers, with a maximum of 8 setups simultaneously active.

📊 Historical Metrics

Tracking Since: January 1, 2016
Tickers Tracked: 64
Total Historical Setups: 272
Completed Setups: 265
Currently Active Setups: 6
Positive Outcome Rate: 69.06%
Average Setup Outcome: +7.50%
Median Setup Outcome: +5.64%
Average Positive Outcome: +14.92%
Average Negative Outcome: -9.16%
Best Historical Outcome: +66.33%
Largest Historical Negative Outcome: -28.42%
Cumulative Tracked Outcome: +1,988.74%

Across the complete historical sample, approximately 7 out of every 10 completed setups have produced a positive tracked outcome.

Another number I continue to watch closely is the relationship between positive and negative outcomes: the historical average positive setup stands at +14.92%, compared with -9.16% for the average negative one.

The framework doesn’t require every activation to work.

What matters is what the complete sequence looks like when the same rules are repeated hundreds of times.

⚙️ What’s Active Inside the Cyclica Index?

There are currently 6 active setups, but they’re far from being at the same stage.

Active Setups: 6
Maximum Simultaneously Tracked: 8
Average Age of Current Setups: ~38 days
Oldest Active Setup: 88 days
Newest Active Setup: 11 days
Setups Active for More Than One Month: 4
Setups Activated During the Last 30 Days: 2

This is one of the things I like most about following the Index week after week.

One structure has now been active for almost three months, while the newest has only been developing for 11 days.

Nothing starts at the same time, and nothing needs to finish at the same time.

The sequence simply keeps evolving as new structures qualify and older ones eventually complete their cycles.

🌎 The Broader Cyclica Universe

Now let’s zoom out.

The Cyclica Index is only one part of the much larger universe continuously tracked by Cyclica.

📊 Cyclica System Snapshot

Tickers on the Basket: 89
Total Activations: 490
Closed Cycles: 432
Active Cycles: 56
Winning Cycles: 283
Losing Cycles: 149
Winning Rate: 65.51%
Cycles Above +100%: 123
Average Cycles per Year: 18.15
Maximum Losing Streak: 10
Cumulative Weighted Historical: +28,669.39%

With almost 500 historical activations, the broader database continues to provide a very different perspective from looking at isolated charts one at a time.

🏆 Top Active Cycles Since Activation

Some of the structures currently active have been developing for a very long time.

Long-Term Leaders

DE
IBN
TJX
CM
JPM
CB
GD
AMZN
JCI

These aren’t necessarily the stocks making the biggest move this week.

And that’s exactly the point.

Cyclica isn’t constantly replacing an existing structure simply because another ticker suddenly becomes more exciting. If the underlying cycle remains active according to the framework, it continues to be tracked.

🚀 Strongest Active Cycles vs SPY — Last 30 Days

Relative leadership remains concentrated in a small group of active cycles.

Current Leaders

MSFT → +22.4% vs SPY
T → +13.3%
COP → +10.9%

Overall, 3 active cycles are currently outperforming SPY by more than 10% over the last month.

MSFT remains the clear relative-strength leader of the group, with a spread of more than 22% versus SPY during the period.

🌐 Breadth & Participation

Looking at the entire active universe rather than individual names:

Active Cycles: 56
Average Performance from Activation: +50.53%
Average Active Duration: 178 days

That means the average active Cyclica structure has now been developing for almost six months.

That’s an important number because Cyclica was never designed around what happens tomorrow or next week.

Some structures need time.

⚡ Top Active Cycles — Last 7 Days

This week’s strongest expansions came from:

MRNA → +11.1%
DIS → +8.8%
COP → +7.5%

COP is particularly interesting this week because it appears in both groups: among the strongest seven-day performers and among the strongest active cycles relative to SPY over the last month.

Short-term momentum and broader relative strength are currently moving together.

🔻 Deeper Pullbacks — Last 7 Days

Elsewhere in the active universe, several structures experienced deeper pullbacks:

PDD → -6.9%
AVGO → -6.0%
AMZN → -5.3%

I prefer calling these deeper pullbacks rather than simply focusing on the week’s worst performers.

A seven-day move is only one small part of a cycle that can remain active for months.

🧭 Hot Tickers Nearby the Activation Level

Then we have the names that are not active yet.

This week, 8 structures remain on the observation list:

Intuitive Surgical
Netflix
Oracle
Salesforce
Qualcomm
Intuit
Agnico Eagle Mines
Adobe

None of these represents an active Cyclica cycle yet.

They’re here because their structures are becoming interesting enough to keep on the radar while the complete activation process continues to develop.

That’s an important distinction.

Most cycles spend considerably more time preparing than expanding.

The waiting phase is part of the process itself.

🧩 Cyclica by Category

Another way I like to look at the historical database is by separating the universe into broader structural groups.

Historical Cumulative Tracking by Category

👑 Mag7 → +4,339.13%
🏥 Healthcare Leaders → +2,604.98%
🤖 AI Infrastructure → +2,402.71%
🏭 Industrial Expansion → +1,825.50%
🛡️ Defensive Compounders → +1,494.37%
⚡ Energy & Infrastructure → +1,267.07%
🏦 Financial Giants → +1,153.13%

The objective here isn’t to choose a “winning sector.”

It’s to see how long-duration cycles have historically developed across very different parts of the market.

🔵 Final Thoughts

There are several numbers worth remembering from this week.

272 historical Cyclica Index setups.

69.06% positive outcomes.

6 setups currently active.

490 activations across the broader Cyclica universe.

56 cycles currently active.

123 historical cycles that expanded beyond +100%.

And another 8 structures currently sitting on the observation list.

Some cycles are already years into their development.

Some started only a few weeks ago.

Others haven’t activated at all.

That’s the entire idea behind Cyclica.

Don’t force the next move. Define the structure, wait for the rules, and track what happens next.

🟢 A New Cycle Has Activated

Cyclica — Mon, 10 Aug 2026 13:50:52 GMT

🔖 Menu

Historical Context
Cyclica Snapshot
What Members Track
Why Cycles Matter
Current Cycle (PRO)
Disclaimer

📊 Historical Context

Only three previous cycles have been recorded on this asset since 2000.

All three reached the first +30% Step.

But what happened afterward was completely different.

One developed into a massive multi-year expansion of more than +285%.

The other two eventually reversed and closed almost flat on the full cycle.

Today, after more than three months since the previous cycle closed, a new weekly cycle has activated.

Here is the complete historical sequence:

→ Apr 2000 → +30.0% → -10.2%

→ Nov 2002 → +30.0% → +285.9%

→ Apr 2020 → +30.0% → -9.8%

→ Aug 2026 → NEW CYCLE ACTIVE

This is a particularly interesting history because simply reaching +30% tells us very little about what comes next.

The 2002 cycle kept developing for years and eventually expanded beyond +285%.

The other two reached the same initial Step before eventually giving the move back.

Same framework.

Same first milestone.

Completely different paths.

📈 Cyclica Snapshot

With today’s new activation, the Cyclica historical tracking now includes:

→ 89 Tickers Tracked

→ 490 Total Activations

→ 431 Closed Cycles

→ 57 Active Cycles

→ 283 Winning Cycles

→ 148 Losing Cycles

→ 65.66% Winning Rate

→ 123 Cycles Above +100%

→ 18.15 Average Cycles per Year

→ 10 Maximum Losing Streak

→ 28,719.97% Cumulative Weighted Historical

One more cycle has now entered the active sequence.

Whether it eventually fails, reaches the first Step and reverses, or develops into something much larger is unknown.

And that’s precisely why the tracking starts now rather than after the answer becomes obvious.

👀 What Members Track

Cyclica isn’t just a list of historical winners.

Every active cycle is followed through the same predefined sequence:

🟢 Activation Area

→ Step Progression

🔴 Invalidation Levels

🔄 Ongoing Cycle Updates

📊 Historical Context

⏱️ Tracking While the Cycle Is Active

The important part isn’t seeing a +200% or +300% cycle years later on a chart.

The important part is having the structure available when the cycle has just activated and nobody knows what it will eventually become.

The complete Cyclica tracking is currently available for just $7/month.

🎯 Why Cycles Matter

This asset is a particularly good example of why Cyclica follows the entire sequence rather than celebrating an initial move.

All three historical cycles reached approximately +30%.

Yet their later developments couldn’t have been more different.

→ One ultimately reached +285.9%

→ One later fell back to -10.2%

→ One later fell back to -9.8%

A +30% Step isn’t the end of the cycle.

It’s simply another stage of it.

Cyclica keeps tracking what happens next, including further progression and eventual invalidation, until the cycle is completed.

Today, that process starts again.

🔒 Current Cycle (PRO)

🔵 Cyclica Index and Weekly Recap — August 8, 2026

Cyclica — Sat, 08 Aug 2026 08:21:31 GMT

This week, the main focus is on the Cyclica Index Tracking Model, the rules-based framework built to measure a shorter sequence of Cyclica setups over time.

The framework follows a fixed universe of 64 tickers, with a maximum of 8 setups tracked simultaneously. Every activation and completion is recorded using the same predefined methodology, allowing the historical behavior of the model to be measured consistently over time.

No forecasts and no discretionary selection after the outcome is known.

Just the same rules applied repeatedly.

🔥 Cyclica Index Tracking Model

Historical Tracking

Tickers Tracked: 64
Maximum Simultaneous Setups: 8
Total Historical Setups: 272
Completed Setups: 265
Currently Active Setups: 6
Positive Outcome Rate: 69.06%
Average Setup Outcome: +7.50%
Median Setup Outcome: +5.64%
Average Positive Outcome: +14.92%
Average Negative Outcome: -9.16%
Best Historical Outcome: +66.33%
Largest Historical Negative Outcome: -28.42%
Cumulative Tracked Outcome: +1,988.74%

Across 272 historical setups, approximately seven out of ten completed with a positive tracked outcome, while the average positive outcome has been larger than the average negative one.

The objective here isn’t for every setup to work.

It’s to measure what happens when exactly the same framework is applied repeatedly across a large historical sample.

⚙️ What’s Active Right Now?

There are currently 6 active setups inside the Cyclica Index Tracking Model.

And they’re all at different stages.

Active Setups: 6
Maximum Simultaneously Tracked: 8
Average Time Active: ~32 days
Oldest Active Setup: 82 days
Newest Active Setup: 5 days
New Activations During the Last 30 Days: 3

This is probably the part I’ll be watching most closely every week.

Some structures have been developing for months, others only started a few days ago, and new activations can appear while older setups remain active.

Nothing needs to happen every week.

The sequence simply keeps moving as the underlying rules are met.

📊 Cyclica System Snapshot

Outside the shorter Cyclica Index Tracking Model, the broader Cyclica universe also remained highly active this week.

Tickers on the Basket: 89
Total Activations: 489
Closed Cycles: 431
Active Cycles: 56
Winning Cycles: 283
Losing Cycles: 148
Winning Rate: 65.66%
Cycles Above +100%: 123
Average Cycles per Year: 18.11
Maximum Losing Streak: 10
Cumulative Weighted Historical: +28,719.97%

🏆 Top Active Cycles Since Activation

Current Long-Term Leaders

DE → +285.32%
IBN → +196.57%
TJX → +189.49%
JPM → +165.22%
CB → +162.01%
CM → +160.76%
AMZN → +154.95%
GD → +150.48%
JCI → +138.54%

Some of these structures have now been developing for a very long time.

That’s an important part of Cyclica: a structure isn’t replaced simply because something else starts moving faster. As long as the underlying cycle remains active according to the framework, the tracking continues.

🚀 Strongest Active Cycles vs SPY — Last 30 Days

MSFT → +27.2% vs SPY
TMO → +10.3%
T → +10.2%

There are currently 3 active cycles outperforming SPY by more than 10% over the last month.

🌐 Breadth & Participation

Active Cycles: 56
Average Performance from Activation: +50.60%
Average Active Duration: 177 days

The average active cycle has therefore been developing for almost six months, another reminder of how different long-duration cycle tracking can look compared with short-term market noise.

⚡ Top Active Performers — Last 7 Days

MSFT → +28.0%
AMZN → +21.1%
NVDA → +17.9%

Three established active cycles produced double-digit expansions over the last seven days.

🔻 Deeper Pullbacks — Last 7 Days

APP → -13.2%
MO → -8.8%
NVO → -8.4%

Expansion and contraction can exist simultaneously inside the same universe. That’s exactly why the complete sequence matters more than any individual week.

🧭 Hot Tickers Nearby the Activation Level

These structures are not active Cyclica cycles.

They’re simply names showing renewed momentum and currently sitting on the observation list.

👀 8 Structures Under Observation

ORCL — Oracle → +24.87% last 7 days
AEM — Agnico Eagle Mines → +23.81%
SOFI — SoFi Technologies → +20.52%
ISRG — Intuitive Surgical → +7.28%
MSTR — MicroStrategy → +7.16%
LEN — Lennar → +4.28%
CRM — Salesforce → +2.31%
META — Meta Platforms → +1.11%

Three of these structures gained more than 20% during the last seven days, although none of that automatically represents a Cyclica activation.

They remain under observation until the complete rules-based process confirms otherwise.

Most cycles spend significantly more time preparing than expanding.

The waiting phase is part of the process itself.

🔵 Final Thoughts

This week gives us a particularly interesting snapshot of Cyclica.

There are 56 active long-duration cycles, several historical leaders still above +150% from activation, 8 rebuilding structures under observation, and 6 shorter Cyclica Index setups currently active.

Some structures are already mature.

Others have only just started developing.

And others haven’t activated at all.

Different stages, different durations, but the same basic idea:

define the rules first, then track what happens.

All data shown represents rules-based historical and ongoing tracking for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Cyclica Index

Cyclica — Tue, 04 Aug 2026 21:43:44 GMT

Objective

The Cyclica Index is a rules-based tracking model designed to monitor selected long-term bullish cycles across a predefined universe of liquid stocks.

Its objective is to measure the historical and ongoing performance of a transparent, systematic Index using the same predefined methodology over time.

What Members Receive

Members receive access to the complete Cyclica Index activity as it develops.

This includes:

every new Index activation;
activation dates and activation areas;
every position closure;
Reserve position entries and replacements;
the complete list of active Index positions;
updated Index statistics and performance;
the complete historical activity log;
every Index update documented before the final outcome is known.

The public publication contains selected updates and summary statistics.

Members receive the complete chronological tracking record together with the latest updated Index statistics.

Historical Simulation

Simulation Period: January 1, 2016 — July 14, 2026

Ticker Universe: 62

Maximum Simultaneous Positions: 8

Maximum Reserve Positions: 1

Historical Performance

Total Historical Return: +802.65%

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR): +23.23%

Maximum Accounting Drawdown: -18.23%

Profit Factor: 2.69x

Index Activity

Official Activations: 182

Reserve Trades: 87

Total Trades: 269

Closed Trades: 264

Open Trades: 5

Trade Statistics

Winning Rate: 69.32%

Average Trade: +7.50%

Median Trade: +5.84%

Average Winner: +14.92%

Average Loser: -9.37%

Best Trade: +66.33%

Worst Trade: -32.48%

Index Exposure

Average Occupied Positions: 5.99 / 8

Average Allocation: 72.11%

Time Fully Allocated: 40.28%

Cumulative Trade Outcome

Cumulative Historical Trade Outcome: +1,980.61%

Cumulative Trade Outcome represents the arithmetic sum of completed trade returns.

It is presented separately from the Index return and should not be interpreted as compounded Index performance.

Important Information

The Cyclica Index is an educational, rules-based tracking model created for research and informational purposes.

It is not an investment fund, managed portfolio, investment service, investment recommendation or financial advice.

The Index documents the output of predefined rules applied consistently over time in order to measure and monitor a hypothetical Index.

Historical results are derived from historical market data and do not guarantee future results.

The historical simulation does not include commissions, taxes, bid-ask spreads, slippage, financing costs, currency conversion costs or other trading expenses.

Index statistics are updated continuously as new activations and position closures occur.

Nothing published through Cyclica should be interpreted as personalized investment advice or as a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any financial instrument.

Disclosure

The Cyclica Index is maintained exclusively as a rules-based tracking model.

The publisher does not manage third-party capital through the Cyclica Index.

The Index is intended to document and monitor the output of a predefined methodology and should not be interpreted as a live managed investment portfolio.

Readers remain solely responsible for their own investment decisions and risk management.

🟢 A New Cycle Has Activated

Cyclica — Mon, 03 Aug 2026 13:59:25 GMT

🔖 Menu

Historical Context
Cyclica Snapshot
What Members Track
Why Cycles Matter
Current Cycle (PRO)
Disclaimer

📊 Historical Context

One previous cycle on this asset returned more than +270%.

Two others delivered gains of nearly +200% and +155%.

There have also been periods where consecutive cycles failed, producing losses of more than 20%.

Today, a new cycle has activated.

That’s what makes long-term cycle investing different from simply reacting to price.

The same rules-based framework has historically identified exceptional long-term trends, moderate winners, and unsuccessful cycles.

At activation, there is no way to know which path the next cycle will take.

Historical outcomes on this asset:

→ Jul 2000 → +30.0% → -1.2%

→ May 2003 → +30.0% → +39.6%

→ Jun 2009 → +30.0% → +271.7%

→ May 2016 → -23.1%

→ May 2017 → -18.6%

→ Feb 2019 → +33.0% → +196.6%

→ May 2023 → +30.0% → +154.9%

The strongest cycles weren’t obvious when they began.

Neither were the weakest.

📈 Cyclica Snapshot

Since tracking began, Cyclica has recorded:

→ 487 Total Activations

→ 431 Closed Cycles

→ 54 Active Cycles

→ 65.66% Winning Rate

→ 123 Cycles Above +100%

→ 28,719.97% Cumulative Historical Outcome

Today, one more cycle joins that sequence.

The objective isn’t to predict whether this cycle will become another long-term winner.

The objective is to recognize the structure early and follow it consistently while uncertainty still exists.

👀 What Members Track

Every active cycle inside Cyclica includes:

✅ Activation Area

✅ Step Progression

✅ Invalidation Levels

✅ Ongoing Cycle Updates

✅ Historical Context

✅ Real-Time Tracking

Members follow every cycle from activation through each stage of its development using the same objective framework.

Access is currently available for $7/month.

🎯 Why Cycles Matter

This asset has experienced every type of cycle.

Small gains.

Failed attempts.

Explosive multi-year expansions.

Recent gains exceeding +150% and +196% demonstrate that meaningful trends can still emerge many years after earlier successes.

Every activation starts with uncertainty.

The framework remains exactly the same.

🔒 Current Cycle (PRO)

🟢 A New Cycle Has Activated

Cyclica — Mon, 03 Aug 2026 13:54:30 GMT

🔖 Menu

Historical Context
Cyclica Snapshot
What Members Track
Why Cycles Matter
Current Cycle (PRO)
Disclaimer

📊 Historical Context

One previous cycle on this asset returned more than +275%.

Two others exceeded +100%.

The three most recent completed cycles, however, all ended with losses between -22% and -24%.

Today, a new cycle has activated.

That’s exactly why long-term cycle investing is so compelling.

The same rules-based framework has historically identified major multi-year trends, but it has also filtered through periods where several consecutive cycles failed.

At the moment of activation, there is no way to know whether the next cycle will become another failed attempt or the beginning of a new long-term expansion.

Historical outcomes on this asset:

→ Apr 2000 → +30.0% → +102.3%

→ May 2009 → +30.0% → +275.3%

→ Sep 2017 → +30.0% → +103.0%

→ Aug 2022 → -24.4%

→ Dec 2023 → -22.7%

→ Aug 2025 → -23.6%

Three consecutive failed cycles.

Now, a new sequence begins.

📈 Cyclica Snapshot

Since tracking began, Cyclica has recorded:

→ 489 Total Activations

→ 431 Closed Cycles

→ 56 Active Cycles

→ 65.66% Winning Rate

→ 123 Cycles Above +100%

→ 28,719.97% Cumulative Historical Outcome

Today, one more cycle joins that sequence.

The objective isn’t to predict whether this cycle will reverse the recent pattern or continue it.

The objective is to identify the structure early and follow it consistently while uncertainty still exists.

👀 What Members Track

Every active cycle inside Cyclica includes:

✅ Activation Area

✅ Step Progression

✅ Invalidation Levels

✅ Ongoing Cycle Updates

✅ Historical Context

✅ Real-Time Tracking

Members follow every cycle from activation through each stage of its development using the same rules-based framework.

Access is currently available for $7/month.

🎯 Why Cycles Matter

This asset is a great example of why Cyclica follows rules instead of narratives.

After producing long-term gains exceeding +100%, +275%, and +100%, it then delivered three consecutive losing cycles.

Markets change.

Cycles change.

The framework doesn’t.

Every new activation is evaluated using the same objective process, regardless of what happened before.

🔒 Current Cycle (PRO)

🔵 Cyclica Weekly Recap — August 1, 2026

Cyclica — Sat, 01 Aug 2026 08:03:54 GMT

Every week the market tells a slightly different story.

Sometimes leadership expands. Sometimes it contracts. And sometimes the most interesting developments aren’t happening inside today’s strongest performers, but among the names quietly rebuilding beneath the surface.

This week, 6 active cycles continue outperforming SPY by more than 10% over the last month, while another group of high-quality companies keeps improving as they move closer to potential activation territory.

That’s exactly what Cyclica is built to monitor.

📊 Cyclica System Snapshot

Current Cyclica metrics:

Tickers on the Basket: 89
Total Activations: 487
Closed Cycles: 431
Active Cycles: 54
Winning Cycles: 283
Losing Cycles: 148
Winning Rate: 65.66%
Cycles Above +100%: 123
Average Cycles per Year: 18.04
Maximum Losing Streak: 10
Cumulative Weighted Historical: +28,719.97%

The system continues to evolve steadily while maintaining a remarkably consistent long-term profile built around patience, selectivity, and structural trend following.

🏆 Top Active Cycles Since Activation

These remain the strongest active structures currently tracked by Cyclica.

Long-Term Leaders

DE → +267.84%
IBN → +194.31%
TJX → +182.27%
CB → +162.29%
JPM → +160.97%
CM → +160.43%
AMZN → +152.26%
GD → +144.97%
JCI → +129.84%

The biggest long-term winners continue proving the same principle: exceptional performance is usually the result of persistence rather than speed.

🚀 Strongest Active Cycles vs SPY (30 Days)

Leadership remains healthy, although more selective than it was a few weeks ago.

Relative Strength Leaders

MSFT → +18.7% vs SPY
CVX → +16.0%
COP → +14.7%

There are currently 6 active cycles outperforming SPY by more than 10% over the last month.

Leadership continues rotating between sectors while maintaining a solid foundation across the active universe.

🌐 Breadth & Participation

A quick look at the current state of the system:

Active Cycles: 54
Average Performance from Activation: +47.15%
Average Active Duration: 176 days

The average cycle continues lasting almost six months, reinforcing the long-term philosophy behind Cyclica.

⚡ Top Active Performers — Last 7 Days

Several active cycles accelerated strongly this week.

Weekly Leaders

MSFT → +19.1%
AMZN → +10.9%
ADP → +9.6%

The strongest performers continue coming from established trends rather than speculative short-term moves.

🔻 Deeper Pullbacks This Week

Even healthy leadership experiences periods of weakness.

This week’s largest pullbacks came from:

TSLA → -16.8%
MAS → -8.4%
MRNA → -5.6%

Temporary weakness is part of every long-duration cycle. Some of the strongest historical trends experienced multiple meaningful pullbacks before continuing higher.

🧭 Hot Tickers Nearby the Activation Level

This remains one of the most valuable sections of the report.

These companies are not active cycles yet, but they continue improving after extended rebuilding phases and remain among the strongest candidates currently under observation.

Structures Under Observation

CRM — Salesforce → +12.90% last 7 days
INTU — Intuit → +11.11%
DHR — Danaher → +8.84%
MCK — McKesson → +5.18%
NFLX — Netflix → +4.64%
ISRG — Intuitive Surgical → +3.71%
HDB — HDFC Bank → +3.24%
ORCL — Oracle → +3.20%

The next generation of leaders rarely appears overnight. More often, it starts with quiet improvement while the market is focused elsewhere.

🔵 Final Thoughts

One of the most encouraging aspects of this week’s data is that leadership remains resilient despite continued market rotation.

Established cycles continue delivering solid performance, while a fresh group of quality companies is gradually moving closer to potential activation.

Some of today’s leaders will eventually complete their cycles.

The objective of Cyclica is to already be watching the ones that may become tomorrow’s leaders.