Separating the turn:

came out with the headline that one of their long-time scientists is leaving to start his own AI company.

Right out the gate on this GOOGL sold off hard to the downside. Over the last 10 days after there earnings GOOGL has gone from a low of 314(7/23) to a high of 384(today). From where the news came out to the LOD it was an over $200B change in market cap off that move headline, this to me is screaming overreaction. This was a good scenario to me of how some turns are treated differently than others and what made this one so good.

What made this turn better than others:

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Buying the breakout:

Had started stalking this yesterday when the Q’s and SOXL put in more bounce to the upside, AVGO had been consolidating for about 2 months and then over the last few weeks had put in a clean flag along with very clean higher lows, I had wrote in discord last night “Best looking chart to me for now is AVGO, It has put in a pretty tight daily flag and has made higher lows after bouncing around the 200/D. $400 is a major level of res with it rejecting a few times around there, Ideally I would like to see one more day of slow hold below the $400.00 level and then look to buy that break out trade, however, if tomorrow off the open there is a a handful of volume to it and indexes stay up overnight (worth noting /NQ is back into its 50/D which has been a huge support/res ema it has had for the last 4+ months) then I want to be looking at buying that ORB and looking for some type of opening low stop, if there is a clean flush off the open and then a turn can be looking for something like this as well. Ill look to take shares and then buy calls on this as well, chart looks really good.”

Into the open, indexes were up around 1% and AVGO had moved over the $400.00

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Capitulation:

Had been pretty quiet in the morning with action, had traded SNDK to the short side on the 1950 break down and then had started looking at SCAG for a blowout move to the upside when SLV started hitting mean reversion scanner at around $51 and deeper into the flush and eventual turn.

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Bankruptcy:

Sleep Number filed for Chapter 11 and entered a court-supervised sale process, with Sleep Country Canada acting as the “stalking horse” bidder for a $415M asset purchase. The company expects up to $260M in DIP financing to keep operating while the sale process runs. Most importantly for SNBR common stock, the company said the shares are “significantly out of the money” based on the sale price and that common shareholders could face a complete or significant loss, with Nasdaq delisting expected.

Translation for trading: the operating business may survive, but the public equity is likely impaired/wiped unless something materially better happens in court.

This reminds me a lot of the $BYND move from October and I often draw parallels to that move due to the structuring of it and how it setup. You have a trash financials company running on trash news that catches too many people early on and ends up blowing out and fading later. Funny enough as of writing this now they just got a delisting notice.

Trading the move:

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Full annotations on and :

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Simplicity of the trade:

released very positive earnings, they beat on all expectations and showed year over year growth of 33%. As a lot of the tech names, they increased their CAPEX by about $20B which still contributed to a level of fear after the ER release which is nothing new in the world of tech companies increasing CAPEX.

After earnings, META sold off all of after-hours and then into pre-market as well. Right before the open it made a small bounce to the upside and immediate upon open sold off hard below. I talk about in discord often how I want to find mean reversion

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Headline dumb enough to send it:

Allbirds went public in late 2021 amid the DTC/sustainability boom, commanding a peak valuation north of $4 billion (intraday highs near $578 pre-split equivalent). The story was compelling at the time: premium, eco-friendly wool sneakers targeting tech professionals and conscious consumers, with strong early revenue traction. By early 2026, the equity had declined approximately 99% from its highs, with the market capitalization shrinking to roughly $21 million ahead of the AI announcement. At that depressed level, short interest hovered in the mid-to-high teens percent of the float (around 18% as of late March).

On April 15, 2026 announced a $50 million senior secured convertible financing facility and a strategic pivot. The company planned to rebrand as NewBird AI, divest the remaining footwear operations, and enter the AI compute infrastructure space—specifically offering GPU hardware-as-a-service to address alleged shortages in access to AI training capacity.

There has been so many recent headlines in small caps within the last few months of distressed companies turning into “AI driven” companies. It reminds me of back in 2025 how we had the “Crypto Treasury” headlines.

Most of you reading this would know that a lot of the times, the more stupid the headline in small caps the more explosive the move could be. BIRD fit this example perfectly, down -99%, decent short interest, up over 100% into the open along with consolidating into the open with extremely cheap locates = outlier move.

Waiting for the entry:

From the initial move on BIRD in the pre-market into the open I had little interest in getting involved on the short side, I had put in discord that I pretty much wanted to sit on hands until later on this move. The initial tape doing an FBO over the 7.80 high and instantly being bought up while over VWAP was a good indication to me this was going to get trappy/head higher.

For the first few hours it did the same move again and again, it would make a move to the upside and then consolidate with higher lows while in a flag and then make the move to the upside again. Each of these moves was held over VWAP and with an insta bid as soon as it dipped. This is telling me I do not want any part of this short yet.

Instead of writing all this out here, this is another example in from discord of what I was thinking real time. One of the things I hate trading is when there is constant FBOs that go LU LD LU LD etc, it is always trappy PA and punishes those for waiting for “backside” moves on them.

For these black swan moves one of the things I always need to see is some form of expansion in range + volume along with some form of paradigm shift in the tape. On the move from $6 to $12, everything felt extremely “controlled”. Volume was steady, there was a clear bid on it the whole time and was right after the open. It then went into the consolidation phase with the flags and FBOs, once again showing no type of expansion.

Once BIRD broke out of the 14 high there started to be the expansion I was looking for with the entry, it had started pushing up along with being the most vertical it had been of the entire move. Once it had reached over $20 is where I started getting interested in the short. I will leave the full annotated chart below of what I wanted but

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Waiting for volume:

surprisingly has had extremely low volume each and everyday since this initial move has happened. The highest DVol so far has been on 4/8 when it put in just below 7M daily volume. Along with this, the spread has been sitting at around a $2-3 spread for the majority of the day. Daily prior bar lows have held essentially for this entire move gong back to the start at 3/20.

Every day for the last week there has been about the same move over and over, price will pop up on open, sell down and then grind right back up into the close, usually sitting at HOD. Volume is always highest at open and then the subsequent grind up has near no volume and larger spreads, up until the last few days… I have been steady avoid CAR for the full move up until Thursday 4/9 where into the close we say an entire change in tape.

Up into that close there were 3 things that had not happened yet which made me take the first swing idea in discord up into the close (later covered on Friday once it broke back above VWAP later in the day).

1: Spread had gotten as tight as $0.01 into the close of the day, compared to an avg $2.00 spread.

2: The volume profile into the close was the cleanest it had been the entire day, each candle was putting in higher volume into the close.

3: Price movement was the most exponential of the entire move so far on any intraday time frame.

What this signals to me and how I will be trading it:

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Dear in Headlights:

Had a few entries earlier in the day on that were more of scalps, had initial blow out area up into the $6 area and then scalps up into $7-8 area. Up into this HOD area though I should have gotten more aggressive in hindsight as the edge was there and I just stared at it.

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Idea behind trade:

I assume everyone reading this knows that memory names have been hot these last few months so no need for me to get into that but both Samsung Electronics and SK hynix are the two dominant memory manufacturers in South Korea, and together they control a massive share of the global DRAM and NAND markets — just like Micron ($MU). All three companies produce commodity DRAM used in PCs, servers, and data centers, as well as NAND flash for storage. More importantly today, they’re major players in high-bandwidth memory (HBM), the advanced DRAM used in AI GPUs.

I had avoided the move on the way up on since it had really just grinded steady higher every day, it reminded me of when it would just put in grind up green day after green day. Eventually set up for one of the better daily setups and gave confirmation to get in short, one of the cleaner daily moves in a few months.

Setup behind the trade:

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Going long $IGV:

Almost my entire twitter feed over the last few weeks has been about how software is going away completely due to Anthropic. Mean reversion trades for me always go back to one of my first posts on here about “trading in a chem lab” Chem Lab : when peak fear is involved and the system takes too much load t eventually breaks and reverts back to the mean. When you have a reaction that is happening like this if you add a catalyst you can accelerate the underlying to cause that break of the system. Over the weekend Citrini did just that with their article that went extremely viral about how AI will take over white collar jobs by 2028.

On Monday 2/23/26, software all across the board sold off heavily. had broken down on the lows it was holding a base in and put in an almost 5% red day. Volume was peaking to a near ATH on it and everyone was peak fear all over twitter during this time. This to me was “the catalyst” needed for the bounce, at the same time the market was down heavy adding to the fuel. I had written in watchlist I was looking at software starting to get interesting for a bounce the night of 2/23 but needed to see some form of strength to get involved.

Getting long:

Whenever I get something that is a bigger picture idea like this I want to be buying into strength, this goes for really anything, if a sector is hot and good news comes out on a ticker in that sector, I want to be long that strength, if an LC has been in a huge daily level looking to break out and there is a catalyst to it I want to be long that strength. I never want to be fading something that has steady strength. Immediately off the open indexes did a dip and rip, there was clear buying pressure across indexes during this time and almost every name had what felt like a good bid to it.

Before getting into the technicals side of it, once again is important to look at where strength is, if overall indexes are strong that can only help a sector like software, /NQ had been pushing very steadily and I was wanting any dip to form to create a clean higher low. Indexes the entire move back up held strong and was one of the first time there was very visible buying in indexes to me in quite some time.

NQ from 2/24

Off the immediate open of , there was a small dip and then immediate rip essentially mirroring the indexes. Looking at the chart of IGV off the open, one can

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Idea behind the trade:

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Points to Consider:

SNDK from the start of 2026 was a low of $244 all the way to a peak of $725. So within the span of a month you have a large cap moving 3x. If you take it from its IPO date conception of Feb 24, 2025 it started at $37…. that is a 1,859% move from inception to high.

SNDK was a name that continued to do the same thing over and over since the start of this year. It would fade some and then rebid extremely aggressive the very next day or even intraday if it sold off hard at open. PA of it was not the best either, it would often have a $1-2 spread which made it annoying for any type of intraday trade. The 14-day ATR sat at around $50-60 so the intraday range was rather huge. Something to point out here is when ATR is that big on a name that is this “whippy” you have to play wider in my opinion, getting very aggressive in a very tight range is a quick way to start taking unnecessary losses.

Executions:

I had avoided and avoided anything on for the majority of the entire move just due to that crappy PA comment from above. Earnings were on 1/29/26 which came out as positive and resulted in an almost 20% move…. On 1/30/26 it made a -21% down day THE DAY after earnings if you just measure RTH HOD to LOD from which is where I thought this could be the end of the move and then look to piece into something the next day for the swing against that high but sure enough it made the major rebid move once again. It had consolidated in pre-market on 2/3/26 and then blew out on highest opening candle volume of the move yet, this resulted in a +36% spike from the low of that Friday on 1/30 to high there on 2/3. Off the open I was interested at all in trading it since it had been doing these moves almost every day now for what seemed like months.

Later into the day memory names such as started looking weak and started sitting below VWAP for the majority of the day after the HOD volume blow out off open from above. My thesis here started to become “We are

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What I look for:

One of the first things that I really look for in these is if there is any type of daily or higher time frame idea behind it, over the last 2 months, whenever /NQ has flirted with the 50/D ema there has been noticeably more range in indexes, both to upside and downside. It has been one of the most looked at things every day now.

Once /NQ got below the 50/D is when I started really looking at what other factors

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Examples:

Take from 12/30/25 and from 12/31/25. Both of these tickers were pretty rigged, however, both gave a pretty clear cut picture of this early on and if you can adhere to the set of rules you can add +EV to your overall playbook.

Ill take INBS as an example first since EKSO relates directly to it. Off the open INBS had the limit up move into 10min halt. Hard to tell off the bat on these if the rig is present since not really any pm action to it so was initial avoid just based off this:

As it kept moving after the open one of the MAIN things I have seen in this SC world really over the last quarter started popping up and it became pretty clear avoid to me. At around 45min after open it was evident that there was a rig on this and in discord I

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What the heck happened:

Well… no one really knows. This was one of the weirdest intraday moves I have seen. You have a $100B mkt cap company with a 3.5B free float that is based out of Inida that is moving WHILE the NSE (National stock exchange of India) is closed and did not make any move up into the close on the NSE. So just the US ADR of INFY made that move on Friday.

The only other move that I feel fits in a similar category to this would have been back on 11/2/2021 when it moved from $173-$540. There are a few things to consider here in comparison of the two though that I think makes a drastic difference.

1: There had been news (adding EV fleet and that news during 2021 was red hot) and ER previously on CAR that fueled part of the move, where for INFY there was not a single news release or recent ER.

2: CAR during that time had a confirmed 56.5M shares outstanding while INFY has an estimated 4.15B shares outstanding, this is 73x more than CAR had.

3: The free float of CAR during that time was estimated to be around 30-40M while INFY has an estimated free float of 3.5B…

4: INFY had not done anything in Indian market that day before and was purely trading off of NYSE ADR, CAR is a US listed company and would have no other foreign market influence to it.

Onto the move itself:

It had initially hit volume scanner once it had made it up into the $21 range and started getting eyes in on it. Something to note here as well is that with all the recent China rigs that had been going on this started to feel like it could be another and it made it “scary” in that sense. Some of the positives again on this though were that it was not on SSR (Which has been the extreme china rig theme lately) and the PA itself was “weird” but did not look overly rigged, it also is a $100B company with loads of revenue… not some China SC with no revenue and constant 424B5’s being filed every other month.

When it had made the 10:10est halt is when it started to look more interesting, when it opened again 10:15est is when it made one of the weirdest moves I have seen. It opened at $24.20 from a close price of $26.60, immediately went LU again on extremely low volume. This is where I think it spooked a good amount of people for the future blow off. Going back and looking in discord could see same level of confusion after the fact. With how scary some of the China rigs have been really the last 3 months a lot of alarm bells were going on after that.

Halt opening:

On the opening of that halt is when this really did make one of the sickest moves of the last few months and gave the spot for entry that I was looking for, when it opened

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Market seriously been so slow in general this last month + any type of SC mover being ultra rigged and LC doing basically nothing all day had ChatGPT help me learn to code to an extent and ended up building out this:

Twitter video below to see it in action

https://x.com/Deconsecrated2/status/2001392086252466431?s=20

I basically have it show simplest things off the bat and then have it “warn” me if there are any red flags present. I also have it find directors names immediately which is pretty helpful when you see company as US listed but the directors name is “Yin Chigga Huang”.

When you type a ticker and press Enter, you get:

• Country of origin

• Headquarters location

• Exchange

• Sector / Industry

• Market cap

• Price

• 52-week high / low

• % off 52-week high

• Average volume (10-day)

• Shares outstanding

• Free float

• Insider ownership

• Institutional ownership

• Revenue / debt

• Employee count

• Last stock split (if any)

• Directors (best effort)

Red Flag are:

Values turn red when:

• Country of origin is Hong Kong, China, or Singapore

• Headquarters mentions Cayman, Hong Kong, China, or Singapore

• Free float is below 2.5M shares

I am no coding genius as this took me about 10 hours to build since I just started but works really nicely to have if something pops up on scan and you can type ticker in and get a relatively easy idea.

If you want the steps and code on how to make it here is how, literally takes 5min of copy and pasting it:

STEP-BY-STEP SETUP (DO THIS EXACTLY)

STEP 1 — Create a folder

1. Go to your Documents folder

2. Right-click → New Folder

3. Name it: Quick_Stats

STEP 2 — Create the Python file

1. Open the Quick_Stats folder

2. Right-click → New → Text Document

3. Name it:

quick_stats.py

1. If Windows asks to change the file extension, click Yes

STEP 3 — Open the file

• Right-click: quick_stats.py

• Open with Notepad (or any text editor)

STEP 4 — Copy & paste the FULL CODE below

⚠️ Important:
Delete anything in the file first.
Then paste everything below:

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Intraday Stats + Blow off trade:

Pretty good start to December, main focuses today were and then a few other names that were more scalp based.

Win rate was up great today, from the last post going over where I talked about MFE to MAE and win rate sitting in around 40-55% depending on the day in November it was nice to have an increase on this today, obviously 80% is pretty high but when stuff is working like today feels good to get that mental boost up. Profit factor obviously too little of trades to be weighted in.

Losing trade of today was looking to get in on when BTC started to hold a bid and how clean of a flush COIN gave, unfortunately was a little too early and BTC rolled for about another 5min then the nice mean reversion came in after stopping out. Then other 2 losses were on smaller scalps trades.

Main para blow off trades for me were and — pretty clean volume capitulations off both but will go over IRBT here.

How I trade it:

Pretty clean move on this, there had been clean buying on this for most of the entire

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There’s been a wave of FED-related headlines over the weekend — and even more just in the last few hours. Between Trump floating the idea of $2,000 “tariff checks” and the government shutdown appearing close to resolution, markets are clearly taking a positive cue. As of this evening, indices are up roughly half a percent, with the Nasdaq futures (/NQ) breaking above their prior daily bar high for the first time since this recent downtrend began.

That’s a small but meaningful shift in structure — and in my view, it signals the highest expected-value opportunity lies on the long side heading into tomorrow’s session. Momentum seems to be aligning with sentiment: the market has wanted a clean resolution to the shutdown, and it’s finally getting it.

Speculative Names Showing Life

A few speculative tickers have been setting up beautifully.

• HTZ and OPEN are both consolidating in large flag formations.

• OPEN, in particular, has completely retraced Friday’s post-earnings drop and is now pressing back toward that key daily flag zone. If it can reclaim and hold that level then go for the breakout I can see this heading to its ATH over $11.

  

  

META – Oversold and Back in Play

META has been heavily sold over the past several weeks, pushing it into a price range I find attractive both for long-term positioning and short-term trading opportunities. I started adding around the $608 level late last week in discord in the LT account. Ideally looking for some type of an ORB move on this out the gate tomorrow and then look to swing remaining portion of this in intraday accounts off this idea.

SNDK – Outlier Momentum

SNDK has gone parabolic. Just two months ago, shares were trading below $50; now it’s sitting near $240. The move has been relentless, and Friday marked its first significant volume surge since this trend began. Ideally, we’ll see a gap up Monday followed by a gap continuation into Tuesday, setting up a for a FRD type of trade.

NVDA – Bid Returns at the Trendline

NVDA showed strong accumulation into its daily trendline, closing near highs. I’m expecting continued strength here — especially if we see any incremental positive news related to U.S.–China trade relations.

The Macro Landscape Ahead

Looking further out, the economic calendar heats up later this week along with more earnings as well this week.

• Thursday: CPI report

• Friday: PPI data

Both are key catalysts that could add volatility to the market’s tone — particularly if inflation prints come in softer than expected, reinforcing the narrative that the Fed is nearing the end of its tightening cycle.

Longer-Term Play:

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