Dear reader,

You have received our cutting-edge US Macro forecasts as a Dysrupt Labs Substack subscriber. After a year of further development, we will officially relaunch in January 2025, resuming the weekly macroeconomic Substack. 

Our forecasts are generated through our platform, Almanis where participants contribute forecasts and are ranked based on their predictive accuracy, reflected in a dynamic leaderboard. Forecasters are recognized and rewarded for their demonstrated skill and expertise—never by chance. Participation in the panel is free for all forecasters.

In anticipation of the official relaunch of Almanis, we invite you to participate in a special event competition - the US Presidential Election Sprint - offering a £16,000 GBP prize pool, distributed among the top 50 forecasters. 

Key Details:

• Starting Date: 26th October 2024, 9:00 AM ET

• End Date: 5th November 2024, 7:00 AM ET

• Duration: 10 days, covering the final stretch of this crucial election

• Performance measurement: Participants will be allocated 10,000 points to manage throughout the competition. Additional points will be provided during the January relaunch if required.

• Performance rewards will be issued after the competition concludes. Any unresolved or inconclusive questions will be settled on 21st January 2025, with rewards distributed the following day.

• Exclusive Access: Participation is closed to the public and accessible by application only. Will you rise to the challenge and predict the election's key outcomes?

KYC Verification: Ensuring a Secure Experience

To maintain a safe and reliable environment for all participants, we require all forecasters to complete a Know-Your-Customer (KYC) verification. This step safeguards our platform against manipulation and cyber threats, ensuring a fair competition for all. Your personal data will remain confidential and secure, processed through Veriff. For more details, visit www.veriff.com.

Platform Security & Enhancements

Our KYC system is part of a comprehensive platform upgrade. Following a temporary suspension of Almanis due to cyber attacks, we’ve fortified our security infrastructure to protect both our platform and community. These enhancements ensure a better and more secure experience moving forward.

Official Almanis Relaunch

Almanis will officially relaunch in January 2025, resuming macroeconomic and geopolitical forecasting competitions and the weekly Macroeconomic Substacks. This will be an invitation-only community, and by participating in the US Election Sprint, you will secure your access to the platform in January.

Leaderboard Rewards:

• 1st Place: £2,000 GBP

• 2nd Place: £1,750 GBP

• 3rd Place: £1,500 GBP

• 4th Place: £1,250 GBP

• 5th Place: £1,000 GBP 

• 6th - 10th Place: £500 GBP each

• 11th - 20th Place: £300 GBP each

• 21st - 50th Place: £100 GBP each

How to Participate:

If you're ready to participate, click the link below to complete the KYC verification process. Once verified, you’ll receive an invitation to the new Almanis platform.

Get Verified Here

For any inquiries, feel free to reach out to us at support@slowvoice.com. We look forward to your participation and seeing you on Almanis!

Best regards,
The Almanis Team

1. AUS CPI

2. AUS Building

3. AUS Cash Rate

4. AUS Earnings

5. AUS GDP

6. AUS Net Foreign Debt

7. AUS Unemployment

AUS CPI

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change in the prices paid by consumers over time. The price is of a market basket of consumer goods and services. The CPI measures inflation as experienced by consumers in their day-to-day living expenses. Almanis forecasts future CPI reports, specifically for the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in the U.S. City Average (not seasonally adjusted).

AUS Building

AUS Buildings dwelling commencements include the total number of public and private housing and other private residential buildings started in Australia. Each residential unit is counted as a separate commencement.

Almanis forecasts percentage change in dwelling commencements on a quarterly frequency.

AUS Cash Rate

The cash rate is a rate set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) representing the interest that banks and lenders have to pay on the money that they borrow.

Almanis forecasts future values of the RBA cash rate. This is announced by the RBA in a statement immediately following its monthly meeting.

AUS Earnings

AUS Earnings are estimates for average weekly ordinary time earnings for full-time adults (seasonally adjusted). These are reported biannually in May and November, in AUD.

AUS GDP

Nominal AUS Gross domestic product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the United States over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly GDP reports.

AUS Net Foreign Debt

Net foreign debt is equal to gross foreign debt less non-equity assets such as foreign reserves held by the Reserve Bank and lending by residents of Australia to non-residents.

Almanis forecasts the reported quarterly Net Foreign Debt, in AUD billions.

AUS Unemployment

The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployment is defined as adults not employed or self-employed that are currently looking for work. Specifically, Almanis provides forecasts on the month-on-month percentage point change in unemployment, which is reported on a monthly basis.

For more information:

Probabilities in AU Macroeconomics

Our forecasts are generated continuously in real time. Our newsletters are free retrospectives on our platform and forecasts.

We make our money from selling live data feeds and providing a SaaS version of the platform for managers making their institutional forecasts.

We use machine learning to enhance the accuracy and timeliness of forecasts on macro, geopolitical and corporate earnings events.

Contact karlmattingly@dysruptlabs.com if you want to know more.

Subscribe to receive these probabilities and more direct to your inbox:

Subscribe now

• EU Real GDP

• EU Retail Trade

• EU Inflation

• EU Unemployment

EU Real GDP

EU Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the Euro area (EA19) over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Real GDP adjusts GDP for inflation and is, therefore, a measure of an economy's "true" growth since it controls changes in the ambient price level of goods and services.

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly and annual real GDP reports.

EU Retail Trade

Total Retail Trade measures the value of monthly sales by kind of business for retail and food service firms located in the Euro Area.

Almanis provides forecasts on future monthly and annual retail trade values, released monthly.

EU Inflation

The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices: All Items for EA19 is a consumer price index (CPI) for the Euro area and, as such, is a measure of inflation.

Almanis provides forecasts for future EA19 CPI reports.

EU Unemployment

Harmonized Unemployment Rate: Total: All Persons for EA19 is a measure of unemployment in the Euro Area. The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployment is defined as adults not employed or self-employed that are currently looking for work.

Almanis provides forecasts for future reports of EA19 unemployment, which are released monthly.

For more information on these probabilities:

Probabilities in EU Macro

Downloadable PDF

Subscribe to receive these probabilities and more, direct to your inbox:

Subscribe now

1. US CPI

2. US GDP

3. US Housing Index

4. US Housing Starts

5. US Nonfarm Payroll

6. US PCE

7. US PPI

8. US Retail Sales

9. US Unemployment

US CPI

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change in the prices paid by consumers over time. The price is of a market basket of consumer goods and services. The CPI measures inflation as experienced by consumers in their day-to-day living expenses. Almanis forecasts future CPI reports, specifically for the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in the U.S. City Average (not seasonally adjusted).

US GDP

Nominal US Gross domestic product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the United States over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly and annual GDP reports.

US Housing Index

Almanis forecasts future values of the Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index. This index is compiled by Standard & Poor's, tracking changes in the value of residential real estate nationally.

Almanis forecasts monthly and annual outlooks on this index of US real estate.

US Housing Starts

Housing Starts or New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units are the number of new residential construction projects that begin during the specified month. They are a valuable economic indicator for activity in the residential real estate sector.

Almanis forecasts future housing starts on a monthly frequency. The housing start bins forecasted by Almanis are in thousands of units, e.g. "e. 1000 to 1180" represents between 1 million and 1.18 million housing units started that month.

US Nonfarm Payroll

Non-farm payroll employment is the number of individuals employed by goods, construction and manufacturing companies in the US. It is a measure of employment in the US economy.

Almanis forecasts month on month changes in non-farm payrolls, which are reported monthly by the BLS. The Almanis forecast is expressed on units of thousands: e.g. "e. -3.3 to 106.3" represents a month on month change in non-farm payrolls between -3,000 and +106,300.

US PCE

Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) is a measure of imputed household expenditures over a period of time. It is used to construct the PCE price index, currently the primary inflation index used by the US Federal Reserve.

Almanis forecasts the monthly percentage change of the PCE and the annual values of change in PCE. Reports on the PCE are released monthly.

US PPI

The Producer Price Index (PPI) is a price index that measures the average changes in prices received by domestic producers for their output. As such, it is a measure of inflation.

Almanis forecasts monthly percentage change of the PPI and the annual values of change in PPI. Reports on the PPI are released monthly.

US Retail Sales

The U.S. Census Bureau conducts the Advance Monthly Retail Trade and Food Services Survey to provide an early estimate of monthly sales by kind of business for retail and foodservice firms located in the United States.

Almanis provides forecasts on future monthly and annual advanced estimates, released monthly.

US Unemployment

The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployment is defined as adults not employed or self-employed that are currently looking for work. Specifically, Almanis provides forecasts on the U-3 measure of unemployment, which is reported on a monthly basis.

For more information:

Probabilities in US Macroeconomics

Downloadable PDF

Our forecasts are generated continuously in real-time. Our newsletters are free retrospectives on our platform and forecasts.

We make our money from selling live data feeds and providing a SaaS version of the platform for managers making their institutional forecasts.

We use machine learning to enhance the accuracy and timeliness forecasts on macro, geopolitical and corporate earnings events.

Contact karlmattingly@dysruptlabs.com if you want to know more.

Subscribe to receive these probabilities and more, direct to your inbox:

Subscribe now

1. AUS CPI

2. AUS Building

3. AUS Cash Rate

4. AUS Earnings

5. AUS GDP

6. AUS Net Foreign Debt

7. AUS Unemployment

AUS CPI

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change in the prices paid by consumers over time. The price is of a market basket of consumer goods and services. The CPI measures inflation as experienced by consumers in their day-to-day living expenses. Almanis forecasts future CPI reports, specifically for the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in the U.S. City Average (not seasonally adjusted).

AUS Building

AUS Buildings dwelling commencements include the total number of public and private housing and other private residential buildings started in Australia. Each residential unit is counted as a separate commencement.

Almanis forecasts percentage change in dwelling commencements on a quarterly frequency.

AUS Cash Rate

The cash rate is a rate set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) representing the interest that banks and lenders have to pay on the money that they borrow.

Almanis forecasts future values of the RBA cash rate. This is announced by the RBA in a statement immediately following its monthly meeting.

AUS Earnings

AUS Earnings are estimates for average weekly ordinary time earnings for full-time adults (seasonally adjusted). These are reported biannually in May and November, in AUD.

AUS GDP

Nominal AUS Gross domestic product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the United States over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly GDP reports.

AUS Net Foreign Debt

Net foreign debt is equal to gross foreign debt less non-equity assets such as foreign reserves held by the Reserve Bank and lending by residents of Australia to non-residents.

Almanis forecasts the reported quarterly Net Foreign Debt, in AUD billions.

AUS Unemployment

The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployment is defined as adults not employed or self-employed that are currently looking for work. Specifically, Almanis provides forecasts on the month-on-month percentage point change in unemployment, which is reported on a monthly basis.

For more information:

Probabilities in AU Macroeconomics

Our forecasts are generated continuously in real time. Our newsletters are free retrospectives on our platform and forecasts.

We make our money from selling live data feeds and providing a SaaS version of the platform for managers making their institutional forecasts.

We use machine learning to enhance the accuracy and timeliness of forecasts on macro, geopolitical and corporate earnings events.

Contact karlmattingly@dysruptlabs.com if you want to know more.

Subscribe to receive these probabilities and more direct to your inbox:

Subscribe now

• EU Real GDP

• EU Retail Trade

• EU Inflation

• EU Unemployment

EU Real GDP

EU Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the Euro area (EA19) over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Real GDP adjusts GDP for inflation and is, therefore, a measure of an economy's "true" growth since it controls changes in the ambient price level of goods and services.

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly and annual real GDP reports.

EU Retail Trade

Total Retail Trade measures the value of monthly sales by kind of business for retail and food service firms located in the Euro Area.

Almanis provides forecasts on future monthly and annual retail trade values, released monthly.

EU Inflation

The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices: All Items for EA19 is a consumer price index (CPI) for the Euro area and, as such, is a measure of inflation.

Almanis provides forecasts for future EA19 CPI reports.

EU Unemployment

Harmonized Unemployment Rate: Total: All Persons for EA19 is a measure of unemployment in the Euro Area. The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployment is defined as adults not employed or self-employed that are currently looking for work.

Almanis provides forecasts for future reports of EA19 unemployment, which are released monthly.

For more information on these probabilities:

Probabilities in EU Macro

Downloadable PDF

Subscribe to receive these probabilities and more, direct to your inbox:

Subscribe now

1. US CPI

2. US GDP

3. US Housing Index

4. US Housing Starts

5. US Nonfarm Payroll

6. US PCE

7. US PPI

8. US Retail Sales

9. US Unemployment

US CPI

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change in the prices paid by consumers over time. The price is of a market basket of consumer goods and services. The CPI measures inflation as experienced by consumers in their day-to-day living expenses. Almanis forecasts future CPI reports, specifically for the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in the U.S. City Average (not seasonally adjusted).

US GDP

Nominal US Gross domestic product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the United States over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly and annual GDP reports.

US Housing Index

Almanis forecasts future values of the Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index. This index is compiled by Standard & Poor's, tracking changes in the value of residential real estate nationally.

Almanis forecasts monthly and annual outlooks on this index of US real estate.

US Housing Starts

Housing Starts or New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units are the number of new residential construction projects that begin during the specified month. They are a valuable economic indicator for activity in the residential real estate sector.

Almanis forecasts future housing starts on a monthly frequency. The housing start bins forecasted by Almanis are in thousands of units, e.g. "e. 1000 to 1180" represents between 1 million and 1.18 million housing units started that month.

US Nonfarm Payroll

Non-farm payroll employment is the number of individuals employed by goods, construction and manufacturing companies in the US. It is a measure of employment in the US economy.

Almanis forecasts month on month changes in non-farm payrolls, which are reported monthly by the BLS. The Almanis forecast is expressed on units of thousands: e.g. "e. -3.3 to 106.3" represents a month on month change in non-farm payrolls between -3,000 and +106,300.

US PCE

Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) is a measure of imputed household expenditures over a period of time. It is used to construct the PCE price index, currently the primary inflation index used by the US Federal Reserve.

Almanis forecasts the monthly percentage change of the PCE and the annual values of change in PCE. Reports on the PCE are released monthly.

US PPI

The Producer Price Index (PPI) is a price index that measures the average changes in prices received by domestic producers for their output. As such, it is a measure of inflation.

Almanis forecasts monthly percentage change of the PPI and the annual values of change in PPI. Reports on the PPI are released monthly.

US Retail Sales

The U.S. Census Bureau conducts the Advance Monthly Retail Trade and Food Services Survey to provide an early estimate of monthly sales by kind of business for retail and foodservice firms located in the United States.

Almanis provides forecasts on future monthly and annual advanced estimates, released monthly.

US Unemployment

The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployment is defined as adults not employed or self-employed that are currently looking for work. Specifically, Almanis provides forecasts on the U-3 measure of unemployment, which is reported on a monthly basis.

For more information:

Probabilities in US Macroeconomics

Downloadable PDF

Our forecasts are generated continuously in real-time. Our newsletters are free retrospectives on our platform and forecasts.

We make our money from selling live data feeds and providing a SaaS version of the platform for managers making their institutional forecasts.

We use machine learning to enhance the accuracy and timeliness forecasts on macro, geopolitical and corporate earnings events.

Contact karlmattingly@dysruptlabs.com if you want to know more.

Subscribe to receive these probabilities and more, direct to your inbox:

Subscribe now

1. AUS CPI

2. AUS Building

3. AUS Cash Rate

4. AUS Earnings

5. AUS GDP

6. AUS Net Foreign Debt

7. AUS Unemployment

AUS CPI

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change in the prices paid by consumers over time. The price is of a market basket of consumer goods and services. The CPI measures inflation as experienced by consumers in their day-to-day living expenses. Almanis forecasts future CPI reports, specifically for the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in the U.S. City Average (not seasonally adjusted).

AUS Building

AUS Buildings dwelling commencements include the total number of public and private housing and other private residential buildings started in Australia. Each residential unit is counted as a separate commencement.

Almanis forecasts percentage change in dwelling commencements on a quarterly frequency.

AUS Cash Rate

The cash rate is a rate set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) representing the interest that banks and lenders have to pay on the money that they borrow.

Almanis forecasts future values of the RBA cash rate. This is announced by the RBA in a statement immediately following its monthly meeting.

AUS Earnings

AUS Earnings are estimates for average weekly ordinary time earnings for full-time adults (seasonally adjusted). These are reported biannually in May and November, in AUD.

AUS GDP

Nominal AUS Gross domestic product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the United States over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly GDP reports.

AUS Net Foreign Debt

Net foreign debt is equal to gross foreign debt less non-equity assets such as foreign reserves held by the Reserve Bank and lending by residents of Australia to non-residents.

Almanis forecasts the reported quarterly Net Foreign Debt, in AUD billions.

AUS Unemployment

The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployment is defined as adults not employed or self-employed that are currently looking for work. Specifically, Almanis provides forecasts on the month-on-month percentage point change in unemployment, which is reported on a monthly basis.

For more information:

Probabilities in AU Macroeconomics

Our forecasts are generated continuously in real time. Our newsletters are free retrospectives on our platform and forecasts.

We make our money from selling live data feeds and providing a SaaS version of the platform for managers making their institutional forecasts.

We use machine learning to enhance the accuracy and timeliness of forecasts on macro, geopolitical and corporate earnings events.

Contact karlmattingly@dysruptlabs.com if you want to know more.

Subscribe to receive these probabilities and more direct to your inbox:

Subscribe now

• EU Real GDP

• EU Retail Trade

• EU Inflation

• EU Unemployment

EU Real GDP

EU Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the Euro area (EA19) over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Real GDP adjusts GDP for inflation and is, therefore, a measure of an economy's "true" growth since it controls changes in the ambient price level of goods and services.

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly and annual real GDP reports.

EU Retail Trade

Total Retail Trade measures the value of monthly sales by kind of business for retail and food service firms located in the Euro Area.

Almanis provides forecasts on future monthly and annual retail trade values, released monthly.

EU Inflation

The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices: All Items for EA19 is a consumer price index (CPI) for the Euro area and, as such, is a measure of inflation.

Almanis provides forecasts for future EA19 CPI reports.

EU Unemployment

Harmonized Unemployment Rate: Total: All Persons for EA19 is a measure of unemployment in the Euro Area. The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployment is defined as adults not employed or self-employed that are currently looking for work.

Almanis provides forecasts for future reports of EA19 unemployment, which are released monthly.

For more information on these probabilities:

Probabilities in EU Macro

Downloadable PDF

Subscribe to receive these probabilities and more, direct to your inbox:

Subscribe now

1. US CPI

2. US GDP

3. US Housing Index

4. US Housing Starts

5. US Nonfarm Payroll

6. US PCE

7. US PPI

8. US Retail Sales

9. US Unemployment

US CPI

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change in the prices paid by consumers over time. The price is of a market basket of consumer goods and services. The CPI measures inflation as experienced by consumers in their day-to-day living expenses. Almanis forecasts future CPI reports, specifically for the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in the U.S. City Average (not seasonally adjusted).

US GDP

Nominal US Gross domestic product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the United States over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly and annual GDP reports.

US Housing Index

Almanis forecasts future values of the Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index. This index is compiled by Standard & Poor's, tracking changes in the value of residential real estate nationally.

Almanis forecasts monthly and annual outlooks on this index of US real estate.

US Housing Starts

Housing Starts or New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units are the number of new residential construction projects that begin during the specified month. They are a valuable economic indicator for activity in the residential real estate sector.

Almanis forecasts future housing starts on a monthly frequency. The housing start bins forecasted by Almanis are in thousands of units, e.g. "e. 1000 to 1180" represents between 1 million and 1.18 million housing units started that month.

US Nonfarm Payroll

Non-farm payroll employment is the number of individuals employed by goods, construction and manufacturing companies in the US. It is a measure of employment in the US economy.

Almanis forecasts month on month changes in non-farm payrolls, which are reported monthly by the BLS. The Almanis forecast is expressed on units of thousands: e.g. "e. -3.3 to 106.3" represents a month on month change in non-farm payrolls between -3,000 and +106,300.

US PCE

Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) is a measure of imputed household expenditures over a period of time. It is used to construct the PCE price index, currently the primary inflation index used by the US Federal Reserve.

Almanis forecasts the monthly percentage change of the PCE and the annual values of change in PCE. Reports on the PCE are released monthly.

US PPI

The Producer Price Index (PPI) is a price index that measures the average changes in prices received by domestic producers for their output. As such, it is a measure of inflation.

Almanis forecasts monthly percentage change of the PPI and the annual values of change in PPI. Reports on the PPI are released monthly.

US Retail Sales

The U.S. Census Bureau conducts the Advance Monthly Retail Trade and Food Services Survey to provide an early estimate of monthly sales by kind of business for retail and foodservice firms located in the United States.

Almanis provides forecasts on future monthly and annual advanced estimates, released monthly.

US Unemployment

The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployment is defined as adults not employed or self-employed that are currently looking for work. Specifically, Almanis provides forecasts on the U-3 measure of unemployment, which is reported on a monthly basis.

For more information:

Probabilities in US Macroeconomics

Downloadable PDF

Our forecasts are generated continuously in real-time. Our newsletters are free retrospectives on our platform and forecasts.

We make our money from selling live data feeds and providing a SaaS version of the platform for managers making their institutional forecasts.

We use machine learning to enhance the accuracy and timeliness forecasts on macro, geopolitical and corporate earnings events.

Contact karlmattingly@dysruptlabs.com if you want to know more.

Subscribe to receive these probabilities and more, direct to your inbox:

Subscribe now

1. AUS CPI

2. AUS Building

3. AUS Cash Rate

4. AUS Earnings

5. AUS GDP

6. AUS Net Foreign Debt

7. AUS Unemployment

AUS CPI

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change in the prices paid by consumers over time. The price is of a market basket of consumer goods and services. The CPI measures inflation as experienced by consumers in their day-to-day living expenses. Almanis forecasts future CPI reports, specifically for the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in the U.S. City Average (not seasonally adjusted).

AUS Building

AUS Buildings dwelling commencements include the total number of public and private housing and other private residential buildings started in Australia. Each residential unit is counted as a separate commencement.

Almanis forecasts percentage change in dwelling commencements on a quarterly frequency.

AUS Cash Rate

The cash rate is a rate set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) representing the interest that banks and lenders have to pay on the money that they borrow.

Almanis forecasts future values of the RBA cash rate. This is announced by the RBA in a statement immediately following its monthly meeting.

AUS Earnings

AUS Earnings are estimates for average weekly ordinary time earnings for full-time adults (seasonally adjusted). These are reported biannually in May and November, in AUD.

AUS GDP

Nominal AUS Gross domestic product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the United States over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly GDP reports.

AUS Net Foreign Debt

Net foreign debt is equal to gross foreign debt less non-equity assets such as foreign reserves held by the Reserve Bank and lending by residents of Australia to non-residents.

Almanis forecasts the reported quarterly Net Foreign Debt, in AUD billions.

AUS Unemployment

The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployment is defined as adults not employed or self-employed that are currently looking for work. Specifically, Almanis provides forecasts on the month-on-month percentage point change in unemployment, which is reported on a monthly basis.

1. US CPI

2. US GDP

3. US Housing Index

4. US Housing Starts

5. US Nonfarm Payroll

6. US PCE

7. US PPI

8. US Retail Sales

9. US Unemployment

US CPI

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change in the prices paid by consumers over time. The price is of a market basket of consumer goods and services. The CPI measures inflation as experienced by consumers in their day-to-day living expenses. Almanis forecasts future CPI reports, specifically for the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in the U.S. City Average (not seasonally adjusted).

US GDP

Nominal US Gross domestic product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the United States over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly and annual GDP reports.

US Housing Index

Almanis forecasts future values of the Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index. This index is compiled by Standard & Poor's, tracking changes in the value of residential real estate nationally.

Almanis forecasts monthly and annual outlooks on this index of US real estate.

US Housing Starts

Housing Starts or New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units are the number of new residential construction projects that begin during the specified month. They are a valuable economic indicator for activity in the residential real estate sector.

Almanis forecasts future housing starts on a monthly frequency. The housing start bins forecasted by Almanis are in thousands of units, e.g. "e. 1000 to 1180" represents between 1 million and 1.18 million housing units started that month.

US Nonfarm Payroll

Non-farm payroll employment is the number of individuals employed by goods, construction and manufacturing companies in the US. It is a measure of employment in the US economy.

Almanis forecasts month on month changes in non-farm payrolls, which are reported monthly by the BLS. The Almanis forecast is expressed on units of thousands: e.g. "e. -3.3 to 106.3" represents a month on month change in non-farm payrolls between -3,000 and +106,300.

US PCE

Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) is a measure of imputed household expenditures over a period of time. It is used to construct the PCE price index, currently the primary inflation index used by the US Federal Reserve.

Almanis forecasts the monthly percentage change of the PCE and the annual values of change in PCE. Reports on the PCE are released monthly.

US PPI

The Producer Price Index (PPI) is a price index that measures the average changes in prices received by domestic producers for their output. As such, it is a measure of inflation.

Almanis forecasts monthly percentage change of the PPI and the annual values of change in PPI. Reports on the PPI are released monthly.

US Retail Sales

The U.S. Census Bureau conducts the Advance Monthly Retail Trade and Food Services Survey to provide an early estimate of monthly sales by kind of business for retail and foodservice firms located in the United States.

Almanis provides forecasts on future monthly and annual advanced estimates, released monthly.

For more information:

Probabilities in US Macroeconomics

Our forecasts are generated continuously in real-time. Our newsletters are free retrospectives on our platform and forecasts.

We make our money from selling live data feeds and providing a SaaS version of the platform for managers making their institutional forecasts.

We use machine learning to enhance the accuracy and timeliness forecasts on macro, geopolitical and corporate earnings events.

Contact karlmattingly@dysruptlabs.com if you want to know more.

Subscribe to receive these probabilities and more, direct to your inbox:

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• EU Real GDP

• EU Retail Trade

• EU Inflation

• EU Unemployment

EU Real GDP

EU Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the Euro area (EA19) over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Real GDP adjusts GDP for inflation and is, therefore, a measure of an economy's "true" growth since it controls changes in the ambient price level of goods and services.

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly and annual real GDP reports.

EU Retail Trade

Total Retail Trade measures the value of monthly sales by kind of business for retail and food service firms located in the Euro Area.

Almanis provides forecasts on future monthly and annual retail trade values, released monthly.

EU Inflation

The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices: All Items for EA19 is a consumer price index (CPI) for the Euro area and, as such, is a measure of inflation.

Almanis provides forecasts for future EA19 CPI reports.

EU Unemployment

Harmonized Unemployment Rate: Total: All Persons for EA19 is a measure of unemployment in the Euro Area. The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployment is defined as adults not employed or self-employed that are currently looking for work.

Almanis provides forecasts for future reports of EA19 unemployment, which are released monthly.

For more information on these probabilities:

Probabilities in EU Macro

Downloadable PDF

Subscribe to receive these probabilities and more, direct to your inbox:

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1. US CPI

2. US GDP

3. US Housing Index

4. US Housing Starts

5. US Nonfarm Payroll

6. US PCE

7. US PPI

8. US Retail Sales

9. US Unemployment

US CPI

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change in the prices paid by consumers over time. The price is of a market basket of consumer goods and services. The CPI measures inflation as experienced by consumers in their day-to-day living expenses. Almanis forecasts future CPI reports, specifically for the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in the U.S. City Average (not seasonally adjusted).

US GDP

Nominal US Gross domestic product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the United States over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly and annual GDP reports.

US Housing Index

Almanis forecasts future values of the Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index. This index is compiled by Standard & Poor's, tracking changes in the value of residential real estate nationally.

Almanis forecasts monthly and annual outlooks on this index of US real estate.

US Housing Starts

Housing Starts or New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units are the number of new residential construction projects that begin during the specified month. They are a valuable economic indicator for activity in the residential real estate sector.

Almanis forecasts future housing starts on a monthly frequency. The housing start bins forecasted by Almanis are in thousands of units, e.g. "e. 1000 to 1180" represents between 1 million and 1.18 million housing units started that month.

US Nonfarm Payroll

Non-farm payroll employment is the number of individuals employed by goods, construction and manufacturing companies in the US. It is a measure of employment in the US economy.

Almanis forecasts month on month changes in non-farm payrolls, which are reported monthly by the BLS. The Almanis forecast is expressed on units of thousands: e.g. "e. -3.3 to 106.3" represents a month on month change in non-farm payrolls between -3,000 and +106,300.

US PCE

Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) is a measure of imputed household expenditures over a period of time. It is used to construct the PCE price index, currently the primary inflation index used by the US Federal Reserve.

Almanis forecasts the monthly percentage change of the PCE and the annual values of change in PCE. Reports on the PCE are released monthly.

US PPI

The Producer Price Index (PPI) is a price index that measures the average changes in prices received by domestic producers for their output. As such, it is a measure of inflation.

Almanis forecasts monthly percentage change of the PPI and the annual values of change in PPI. Reports on the PPI are released monthly.

US Retail Sales

The U.S. Census Bureau conducts the Advance Monthly Retail Trade and Food Services Survey to provide an early estimate of monthly sales by kind of business for retail and foodservice firms located in the United States.

Almanis provides forecasts on future monthly and annual advanced estimates, released monthly.

US Unemployment

The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployment is defined as adults not employed or self-employed that are currently looking for work. Specifically, Almanis provides forecasts on the U-3 measure of unemployment, which is reported on a monthly basis.

For more information:

Probabilities in US Macroeconomics

Downloadable PDF

Our forecasts are generated continuously in real-time. Our newsletters are free retrospectives on our platform and forecasts.

We make our money from selling live data feeds and providing a SaaS version of the platform for managers making their institutional forecasts.

We use machine learning to enhance the accuracy and timeliness forecasts on macro, geopolitical and corporate earnings events.

Contact karlmattingly@dysruptlabs.com if you want to know more.

Subscribe to receive these probabilities and more, direct to your inbox:

Subscribe now

• EU Real GDP

• EU Retail Trade

• EU Inflation

• EU Unemployment

EU Real GDP

EU Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the Euro area (EA19) over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Real GDP adjusts GDP for inflation and is, therefore, a measure of an economy's "true" growth since it controls changes in the ambient price level of goods and services.

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly and annual real GDP reports.

EU Retail Trade

Total Retail Trade measures the value of monthly sales by kind of business for retail and food service firms located in the Euro Area.

Almanis provides forecasts on future monthly and annual retail trade values, released monthly.

EU Inflation

The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices: All Items for EA19 is a consumer price index (CPI) for the Euro area and, as such, is a measure of inflation.

Almanis provides forecasts for future EA19 CPI reports.

EU Unemployment

Harmonized Unemployment Rate: Total: All Persons for EA19 is a measure of unemployment in the Euro Area. The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployment is defined as adults not employed or self-employed that are currently looking for work.

Almanis provides forecasts for future reports of EA19 unemployment, which are released monthly.

For more information on these probabilities:

Probabilities in EU Macro

Downloadable PDF

Subscribe to receive these probabilities and more, direct to your inbox:

Subscribe now

1. US CPI

2. US GDP

3. US Housing Index

4. US Housing Starts

5. US Nonfarm Payroll

6. US PCE

7. US PPI

8. US Retail Sales

9. US Unemployment

US CPI

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change in the prices paid by consumers over time. The price is of a market basket of consumer goods and services. The CPI measures inflation as experienced by consumers in their day-to-day living expenses. Almanis forecasts future CPI reports, specifically for the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in the U.S. City Average (not seasonally adjusted).

US GDP

Nominal US Gross domestic product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the United States over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly and annual GDP reports.

US Housing Index

Almanis forecasts future values of the Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index. This index is compiled by Standard & Poor's, tracking changes in the value of residential real estate nationally.

Almanis forecasts monthly and annual outlooks on this index of US real estate.

US Housing Starts

Housing Starts or New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units are the number of new residential construction projects that begin during the specified month. They are a valuable economic indicator for activity in the residential real estate sector.

Almanis forecasts future housing starts on a monthly frequency. The housing start bins forecasted by Almanis are in thousands of units, e.g. "e. 1000 to 1180" represents between 1 million and 1.18 million housing units started that month.

US Nonfarm Payroll

Non-farm payroll employment is the number of individuals employed by goods, construction and manufacturing companies in the US. It is a measure of employment in the US economy.

Almanis forecasts month on month changes in non-farm payrolls, which are reported monthly by the BLS. The Almanis forecast is expressed on units of thousands: e.g. "e. -3.3 to 106.3" represents a month on month change in non-farm payrolls between -3,000 and +106,300.

US PCE

Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) is a measure of imputed household expenditures over a period of time. It is used to construct the PCE price index, currently the primary inflation index used by the US Federal Reserve.

Almanis forecasts the monthly percentage change of the PCE and the annual values of change in PCE. Reports on the PCE are released monthly.

US PPI

The Producer Price Index (PPI) is a price index that measures the average changes in prices received by domestic producers for their output. As such, it is a measure of inflation.

Almanis forecasts monthly percentage change of the PPI and the annual values of change in PPI. Reports on the PPI are released monthly.

US Retail Sales

The U.S. Census Bureau conducts the Advance Monthly Retail Trade and Food Services Survey to provide an early estimate of monthly sales by kind of business for retail and foodservice firms located in the United States.

Almanis provides forecasts on future monthly and annual advanced estimates, released monthly.

US Unemployment

The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployment is defined as adults not employed or self-employed that are currently looking for work. Specifically, Almanis provides forecasts on the U-3 measure of unemployment, which is reported on a monthly basis.

For more information:

Probabilities in US Macroeconomics

Downloadable PDF

Our forecasts are generated continuously in real-time. Our newsletters are free retrospectives on our platform and forecasts.

We make our money from selling live data feeds and providing a SaaS version of the platform for managers making their institutional forecasts.

We use machine learning to enhance the accuracy and timeliness forecasts on macro, geopolitical and corporate earnings events.

Contact karlmattingly@dysruptlabs.com if you want to know more.

Subscribe to receive these probabilities and more, direct to your inbox:

Subscribe now

• EU Real GDP

• EU Retail Trade

• EU Inflation

• EU Unemployment

EU Real GDP

EU Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the Euro area (EA19) over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Real GDP adjusts GDP for inflation and is, therefore, a measure of an economy's "true" growth since it controls changes in the ambient price level of goods and services.

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly and annual real GDP reports.

EU Retail Trade

Total Retail Trade measures the value of monthly sales by kind of business for retail and food service firms located in the Euro Area.

Almanis provides forecasts on future monthly and annual retail trade values, released monthly.

EU Inflation

The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices: All Items for EA19 is a consumer price index (CPI) for the Euro area and, as such, is a measure of inflation.

Almanis provides forecasts for future EA19 CPI reports.

EU Unemployment

Harmonized Unemployment Rate: Total: All Persons for EA19 is a measure of unemployment in the Euro Area. The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployment is defined as adults not employed or self-employed that are currently looking for work.

Almanis provides forecasts for future reports of EA19 unemployment, which are released monthly.

For more information on these probabilities:

Probabilities in EU Macro

Downloadable PDF

Subscribe to receive these probabilities and more, direct to your inbox:

Subscribe now

• EU Real GDP

• EU Retail Trade

• EU Inflation

• EU Unemployment

EU Real GDP

EU Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the Euro area (EA19) over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Real GDP adjusts GDP for inflation and is, therefore, a measure of an economy's "true" growth since it controls changes in the ambient price level of goods and services.

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly and annual real GDP reports.

EU Retail Trade

Total Retail Trade measures the value of monthly sales by kind of business for retail and food service firms located in the Euro Area.

Almanis provides forecasts on future monthly and annual retail trade values, released monthly.

EU Inflation

The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices: All Items for EA19 is a consumer price index (CPI) for the Euro area and, as such, is a measure of inflation.

Almanis provides forecasts for future EA19 CPI reports.

EU Unemployment

Harmonized Unemployment Rate: Total: All Persons for EA19 is a measure of unemployment in the Euro Area. The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployment is defined as adults not employed or self-employed that are currently looking for work.

Almanis provides forecasts for future reports of EA19 unemployment, which are released monthly.

For more information on these probabilities:

Probabilities in EU Macro

Downloadable PDF

Subscribe to receive these probabilities and more, direct to your inbox:

Subscribe now

1. US CPI

2. US GDP

3. US Housing Index

4. US Housing Starts

5. US Nonfarm Payroll

6. US PCE

7. US PPI

8. US Retail Sales

9. US Unemployment

US CPI

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change in the prices paid by consumers over time. The price is of a market basket of consumer goods and services. The CPI measures inflation as experienced by consumers in their day-to-day living expenses. Almanis forecasts future CPI reports, specifically for the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in the U.S. City Average (not seasonally adjusted).

US GDP

Nominal US Gross domestic product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the United States over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly and annual GDP reports.

US Housing Index

Almanis forecasts future values of the Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index. This index is compiled by Standard & Poor's, tracking changes in the value of residential real estate nationally.

Almanis forecasts monthly and annual outlooks on this index of US real estate.

US Housing Starts

Housing Starts or New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units are the number of new residential construction projects that begin during the specified month. They are a valuable economic indicator for activity in the residential real estate sector.

Almanis forecasts future housing starts on a monthly frequency. The housing start bins forecasted by Almanis are in thousands of units, e.g. "e. 1000 to 1180" represents between 1 million and 1.18 million housing units started that month.

US Nonfarm Payroll

Non-farm payroll employment is the number of individuals employed by goods, construction and manufacturing companies in the US. It is a measure of employment in the US economy.

Almanis forecasts month on month changes in non-farm payrolls, which are reported monthly by the BLS. The Almanis forecast is expressed on units of thousands: e.g. "e. -3.3 to 106.3" represents a month on month change in non-farm payrolls between -3,000 and +106,300.

US PCE

Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) is a measure of imputed household expenditures over a period of time. It is used to construct the PCE price index, currently the primary inflation index used by the US Federal Reserve.

Almanis forecasts the monthly percentage change of the PCE and the annual values of change in PCE. Reports on the PCE are released monthly.

US PPI

The Producer Price Index (PPI) is a price index that measures the average changes in prices received by domestic producers for their output. As such, it is a measure of inflation.

Almanis forecasts monthly percentage change of the PPI and the annual values of change in PPI. Reports on the PPI are released monthly.

US Retail Sales

The U.S. Census Bureau conducts the Advance Monthly Retail Trade and Food Services Survey to provide an early estimate of monthly sales by kind of business for retail and foodservice firms located in the United States.

Almanis provides forecasts on future monthly and annual advanced estimates, released monthly.

US Unemployment

The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployment is defined as adults not employed or self-employed that are currently looking for work. Specifically, Almanis provides forecasts on the U-3 measure of unemployment, which is reported on a monthly basis.

For more information:

Probabilities in US Macroeconomics

Downloadable PDF

Our forecasts are generated continuously in real-time. Our newsletters are free retrospectives on our platform and forecasts.

We make our money from selling live data feeds and providing a SaaS version of the platform for managers making their institutional forecasts.

We use machine learning to enhance the accuracy and timeliness forecasts on macro, geopolitical and corporate earnings events.

Contact karlmattingly@dysruptlabs.com if you want to know more.

Subscribe to receive these probabilities and more, direct to your inbox:

Subscribe now

• EU Real GDP

• EU Retail Trade

• EU Inflation

• EU Unemployment

EU Real GDP

EU Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced within the Euro area (EA19) over a specified time period. Changes in GDP are frequently used to indicate a nation's economic growth (or shrinkage).

Real GDP adjusts GDP for inflation and is, therefore, a measure of an economy's "true" growth since it controls changes in the ambient price level of goods and services.

Almanis provides forecasts on future quarterly and annual real GDP reports.

EU Retail Trade

Total Retail Trade measures the value of monthly sales by kind of business for retail and food service firms located in the Euro Area.

Almanis provides forecasts on future monthly and annual retail trade values, released monthly.

EU Inflation

The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices: All Items for EA19 is a consumer price index (CPI) for the Euro area and, as such, is a measure of inflation.

Almanis provides forecasts for future EA19 CPI reports.

EU Unemployment

Harmonized Unemployment Rate: Total: All Persons for EA19 is a measure of unemployment in the Euro Area. The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployment is defined as adults not employed or self-employed that are currently looking for work.

Almanis provides forecasts for future reports of EA19 unemployment, which are released monthly.

For more information on these probabilities:

Probabilities in EU Macro

Downloadable PDF

Subscribe to receive these probabilities and more, direct to your inbox:

Subscribe now