https://hicksjake.substack.comhttps://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!oqkK!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5769567-f46f-430b-a2f3-4278bf8984ad_1176x1096.jpeghttps://hicksjake.substack.comSubstackFri, 04 Sep 2026 13:31:08 GMThttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/ed-markey-d-vs-john-deaton-rhttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/ed-markey-d-vs-john-deaton-rThu, 03 Sep 2026 14:41:44 GMTIncumbent Ed Markey (D) is running for a third full term in the Senate. His opponent is attorney John Deaton (R). Markey is the favorite in deep blue Massachusetts. While Deaton is running as an anti-Trump Republican, it will not be enough in a federal race in Massachusetts to overcome the partisan lean of the Commonwealth. It will be interesting to see if Markey’s margin of victory is lower than previous cycles due to his age. Markey turned 80 in July and would be 86 at the end of his term should he, as is expected, be reelected.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/harriet-hageman-r-vs-james-w-byrdhttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/harriet-hageman-r-vs-james-w-byrdTue, 01 Sep 2026 14:39:11 GMTIn the equality state, Rep. Harriet Hageman (R) is seeking this open seat; her Democratic opponent is James W. Byrd. Wyoming is the strongest state in the nation for Republicans and should easily stay in the Republican column despite the national environment. If any state will survive a blue tsunami, it will be Wyoming.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/shelley-moore-capito-r-vs-rachelhttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/shelley-moore-capito-r-vs-rachelThu, 27 Aug 2026 14:09:53 GMTIncumbent Senator Shelly Moore Capito (R) is seeking a third term in ruby-red West Virginia. The state that gave Donald Trump his second-largest margin of victory in 2024 is widely expected to reelect Senator Capito to a third term in the Senate. Capito is one of the last remaining members of the large 2014 Republican freshman class that will be returning to DC in 2027.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/tom-cotton-r-vs-hallie-shoffner-dhttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/tom-cotton-r-vs-hallie-shoffner-dTue, 25 Aug 2026 15:54:20 GMTIncumbent Senator Tom Cotton is running for a third term against Democrat Hallie Shoffner. He is the heavy favorite to win in this deeply Republican state. Shoffner is focusing her campaign on kitchen table issues of affordability. Cotton has focused his time in the Senate on restricting all forms of immigration, opposition to criminal justice reform, and an aggressive military posture. At one time, Arkansas was a Democratic bastion, but that is no longer the case, and it would take a significant upset for Ms. Shoffner to be victorious.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/bill-hagerty-r-vs-marquita-bradshawhttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/bill-hagerty-r-vs-marquita-bradshawTue, 25 Aug 2026 02:24:48 GMTA rematch of the 2020 United States Senate election in Tennessee sees Bill Hagerty running against Marquita Bradshaw.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/ashley-moody-r-vs-angie-nixon-dhttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/ashley-moody-r-vs-angie-nixon-dThu, 20 Aug 2026 22:46:57 GMTSenator Ashley Moody is running for the remainder of Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s Senate term. She is facing State Rep. Angie Nixon. Moody easily won as expected in her Republican primary against nominal competition. Nixon scored a major upset, winning over a much better-funded candidate and favored candidate in the Democratic primary. Moody will be the heavy favorite in a state that has trended heavily Republican in recent years.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/mark-warner-d-vs-bert-mizusawa-rhttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/mark-warner-d-vs-bert-mizusawa-rTue, 18 Aug 2026 16:58:02 GMTIncumbent Senator Mark Warner is running for a fourth term against Major General Bret Mizusawa. The Senator should easily win reelection in 2026.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/john-hickenlooper-d-vs-mark-baisleyhttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/john-hickenlooper-d-vs-mark-baisleyThu, 13 Aug 2026 19:24:52 GMTIncumbent Senator John Hickenlooper (D) is running for a second term; his opponent is State Senator Mark Baisley (R). Hickenlooper, after facing a very tough primary challenge, is well positioned to easily be reelected in this reliable blue state. Hickenlooper was part of the team that helped shift Colorado blue. His opponent also is very conservative and not the type of Republican that can mount a creditable campaign to unseat the incumbent.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/jeff-merkley-d-vs-david-brock-smithhttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/jeff-merkley-d-vs-david-brock-smithSun, 09 Aug 2026 19:55:08 GMTIncumbent Senator Jeff Merkley is seeking a fourth term in the United States Senate he is running against State Senator David Brock Smith.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/jon-ossoff-d-vs-mike-collins-rhttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/jon-ossoff-d-vs-mike-collins-rTue, 04 Aug 2026 18:38:26 GMTIncumbent Senator Jon Ossoff (D) is seeking a second term in Georgia against Congressman Mike Collins (R). While Ossoff won a tight victory in 2020, in 2026 he appears to be on a path to an easy reelection in this pivotal swing state. Ossoff is casting himself as the voice of reason to the scandal-plagued MAGA firebrand Collins.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/don-siegelmanhttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/don-siegelmanThu, 30 Jul 2026 18:37:39 GMTI interviewed Governor Don Siegelman, the 51st Governor of Alabama. We covered issues concerning the death penalty and criminal justice reform.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/jim-risch-r-vsdavid-roth-dhttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/jim-risch-r-vsdavid-roth-dTue, 28 Jul 2026 21:03:07 GMTIncumbent Senator Jim Risch (R) will be facing Democratic nominee David Roth in this matchup. Roth was the 2022 Democratic nominee for the other Senate seat in Idaho; he faces a similar uphill challenge in this deep red state. Risch, the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, also has a considerable fundraising advantage. The only challenge Risch might encounter is voters concerned about his age, as he recently turned 83 and will turn 89 if he serves a full 6-year term.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/corey-booker-d-vs-justin-murphy-rhttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/corey-booker-d-vs-justin-murphy-rTue, 14 Jul 2026 18:36:02 GMTThe New Jersey Senate race finds incumbent Senator Corey Booker (D) seeking a third full term. He is running against the Republican nominee, Justin Murphy. New Jersey is a reliable Democratic state, and in a midterm that favors Democrats, he should easily win reelection to the Senate.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/what-are-we-doing-herehttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/what-are-we-doing-hereMon, 13 Jul 2026 01:16:43 GMTAn update on all of this: my Senate and gubernatorial videos. I hope y’all stick around even if we are giving governors the cold shoulder. I still love my senators, though.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/ben-ray-lujan-d-vs-larry-marker-rhttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/ben-ray-lujan-d-vs-larry-marker-rThu, 09 Jul 2026 17:33:47 GMTIncumbent Senator Ben Ray Luján (D) is running for a second term in the United States Senate. The New Mexico Republican Party failed to qualify a candidate through the traditional primary process; they instead nominated Larry Marker via a write-in campaign. Despite an unexpected close victory in 2020, Senator Luján should easily win reelection and increase his margin of victory. The New Mexico Republican Party is obviously in a state of disarray, and the national political environment favors Democrats.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/lindsey-graham-r-vsannie-andrewshttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/lindsey-graham-r-vsannie-andrewsFri, 26 Jun 2026 01:54:58 GMTI profile the United States Senate election in South Carolina between incumbent Senator Lindsey Graham, the Republican nominee, and Dr. Annie Andrews, the Democratic nominee. Senator Graham is seeking a fifth term in the Senate; he had a comfortable reelection in 2020 despite running against a well-financed opponent. South Carolina is a reliable Republican state, and Graham is expected to easily win reelection to the Senate.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/susan-mckenneyhttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/susan-mckenneyTue, 09 Jun 2026 00:04:18 GMTMy interview with Susan McKenney, chairwoman of the Marshall County, Alabama Democratic Party. She and I talked about the grassroots and local efforts of the Alabama Democratic Party.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/alabama-primary-wrap-uphttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/alabama-primary-wrap-upMon, 25 May 2026 01:21:14 GMTMy look back at the Alabama primary results.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/cindy-hyde-smith-r-vs-scott-colomhttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/cindy-hyde-smith-r-vs-scott-colomTue, 19 May 2026 00:29:22 GMTThe United States Senate election in Mississippi features Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith running against District Attorney Scott Colom. In 2023, Hyde-Smith blocked Mr. Colom’s appointment to the federal bench. Mr. Colom had wide bipartisan support for his nomination to the federal bench. Her blocking of his nomination inspired this run. While an ineffective Senator, Hyde-Smith is favored to win reelection to the Senate.

]]>https://hicksjake.substack.com/p/north-carolina-roy-cooper-d-vs-michaelhttps://hicksjake.substack.com/p/north-carolina-roy-cooper-d-vs-michaelSun, 17 May 2026 17:08:04 GMTThe 2026 Senate race in North Carolina is one of the marquee Senate elections of the 2026 cycle. It features former Governor Roy Cooper, the Democratic nominee, running against former Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Whatley, the Republican nominee. The two are running for an open Senate seat after current Republican Senator Thom Tillis announced he would not seek a third term in the summer of 2025. Senate races are always competitive in North Carolina. The Tar Heel State is a key swing state in any election cycle, although the state does tilt slightly in favor of the Republican Party. Cooper has never lost an election, and this is Whatley’s first election as a candidate. Cooper has been able to win on the same ballot statewide, in which Republicans also won further at the top of the ticket. I believe currently that Roy Cooper is the frontrunner and should win in November.

]]>