<script data-pm-proxy="intercept"></script><?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Investment Ecosystem Clippings]]></title><description><![CDATA[Images and words from around the ecosystem.]]></description><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vhQZ!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed95e04a-defd-43ee-939e-9b2f77ad60b5_299x299.png</url><title>Investment Ecosystem Clippings</title><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Fri, 04 Sep 2026 12:04:51 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[The Investment Ecosystem]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[investmentecosystem@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[investmentecosystem@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[investmentecosystem@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[investmentecosystem@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Clippings 17 ~ Down in the hole]]></title><description><![CDATA[The Fed chair spooks the short end, yet stock investors are in party mode. Plus, the biggest trading losses, private credit woes, a possible warning for Sun Belt real estate, and more.]]></description><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-17-down-in-the-hole</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-17-down-in-the-hole</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 30 Aug 2026 21:28:20 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!p-s0!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd64f09f6-6c38-40cd-9edd-43d63759d013_784x461.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>~ Warsh&#8217;s comments at Jackson Hole sent two-year rates up twelve basis points; they are now a full percent higher than at the start of the bombing of Iran.  (<em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-27/stock-market-today-dow-s-p-live-updates">Bloomberg</a></em>.) </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!p-s0!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd64f09f6-6c38-40cd-9edd-43d63759d013_784x461.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!p-s0!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd64f09f6-6c38-40cd-9edd-43d63759d013_784x461.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!p-s0!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd64f09f6-6c38-40cd-9edd-43d63759d013_784x461.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!p-s0!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd64f09f6-6c38-40cd-9edd-43d63759d013_784x461.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!p-s0!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd64f09f6-6c38-40cd-9edd-43d63759d013_784x461.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!p-s0!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd64f09f6-6c38-40cd-9edd-43d63759d013_784x461.png" width="784" height="461" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d64f09f6-6c38-40cd-9edd-43d63759d013_784x461.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:461,&quot;width&quot;:784,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:45740,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/213423884?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd64f09f6-6c38-40cd-9edd-43d63759d013_784x461.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!p-s0!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd64f09f6-6c38-40cd-9edd-43d63759d013_784x461.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!p-s0!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd64f09f6-6c38-40cd-9edd-43d63759d013_784x461.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!p-s0!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd64f09f6-6c38-40cd-9edd-43d63759d013_784x461.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!p-s0!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd64f09f6-6c38-40cd-9edd-43d63759d013_784x461.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The Fed chair emphasized that 2% is still the target rate for PCE inflation.  We&#8217;re nowhere close.  (Also <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2026-08-26/treasury-s-battle-against-rising-bond-yields-has-started">Bloomberg</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GPpi!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35bd4730-b680-4a3a-8bc9-98db816dc9d9_891x553.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GPpi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35bd4730-b680-4a3a-8bc9-98db816dc9d9_891x553.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GPpi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35bd4730-b680-4a3a-8bc9-98db816dc9d9_891x553.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GPpi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35bd4730-b680-4a3a-8bc9-98db816dc9d9_891x553.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GPpi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35bd4730-b680-4a3a-8bc9-98db816dc9d9_891x553.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GPpi!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35bd4730-b680-4a3a-8bc9-98db816dc9d9_891x553.png" width="891" height="553" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35bd4730-b680-4a3a-8bc9-98db816dc9d9_891x553.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GPpi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35bd4730-b680-4a3a-8bc9-98db816dc9d9_891x553.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GPpi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35bd4730-b680-4a3a-8bc9-98db816dc9d9_891x553.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GPpi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35bd4730-b680-4a3a-8bc9-98db816dc9d9_891x553.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ &#8220;Under inflation, bonds are no longer a good diversifier,&#8221; says the subtitle of this <em><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/59955452-1de0-40f0-a8d1-62139d502484?syn-25a6b1a6=1">Financial Times</a></em> chart of the week.  (Other periods, say 1970-1982, before disinflation kicked in, would be good to see in comparison.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nFqt!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2d3fcbc9-871d-4547-b64d-d999b44b703b_936x1092.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nFqt!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2d3fcbc9-871d-4547-b64d-d999b44b703b_936x1092.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nFqt!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2d3fcbc9-871d-4547-b64d-d999b44b703b_936x1092.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nFqt!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2d3fcbc9-871d-4547-b64d-d999b44b703b_936x1092.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nFqt!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2d3fcbc9-871d-4547-b64d-d999b44b703b_936x1092.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nFqt!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2d3fcbc9-871d-4547-b64d-d999b44b703b_936x1092.png" width="936" height="1092" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2d3fcbc9-871d-4547-b64d-d999b44b703b_936x1092.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1092,&quot;width&quot;:936,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:451023,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/213423884?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2d3fcbc9-871d-4547-b64d-d999b44b703b_936x1092.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nFqt!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2d3fcbc9-871d-4547-b64d-d999b44b703b_936x1092.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nFqt!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2d3fcbc9-871d-4547-b64d-d999b44b703b_936x1092.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nFqt!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2d3fcbc9-871d-4547-b64d-d999b44b703b_936x1092.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nFqt!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2d3fcbc9-871d-4547-b64d-d999b44b703b_936x1092.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Fund managers are in &#8220;party mode.&#8221;  (One of several BofA charts via Robin Wigglesworth of <em><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/e57f1e66-578e-42c9-8e59-37fe05067032">FT Alphaville</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FyRB!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdf678bfa-64be-4726-8103-c4c04221bfd8_922x505.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FyRB!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdf678bfa-64be-4726-8103-c4c04221bfd8_922x505.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FyRB!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdf678bfa-64be-4726-8103-c4c04221bfd8_922x505.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FyRB!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdf678bfa-64be-4726-8103-c4c04221bfd8_922x505.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FyRB!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdf678bfa-64be-4726-8103-c4c04221bfd8_922x505.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FyRB!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdf678bfa-64be-4726-8103-c4c04221bfd8_922x505.png" width="922" height="505" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/df678bfa-64be-4726-8103-c4c04221bfd8_922x505.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:505,&quot;width&quot;:922,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FyRB!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdf678bfa-64be-4726-8103-c4c04221bfd8_922x505.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FyRB!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdf678bfa-64be-4726-8103-c4c04221bfd8_922x505.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FyRB!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdf678bfa-64be-4726-8103-c4c04221bfd8_922x505.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FyRB!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdf678bfa-64be-4726-8103-c4c04221bfd8_922x505.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The loss at Situational Awareness didn&#8217;t seem to be as consequential as many of the others on this list of biggest trading losses from Toby Nangle of <em><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/340bf9e7-0e67-4d19-b671-3dc8186efb99">FT Alphaville</a></em>.  (Highlighting each bar on the site tells you more about that particular debacle.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kIUm!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8455ad47-d01e-405b-bc62-c6e8cc4009b9_954x784.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kIUm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8455ad47-d01e-405b-bc62-c6e8cc4009b9_954x784.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kIUm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8455ad47-d01e-405b-bc62-c6e8cc4009b9_954x784.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kIUm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8455ad47-d01e-405b-bc62-c6e8cc4009b9_954x784.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kIUm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8455ad47-d01e-405b-bc62-c6e8cc4009b9_954x784.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kIUm!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8455ad47-d01e-405b-bc62-c6e8cc4009b9_954x784.png" width="954" height="784" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8455ad47-d01e-405b-bc62-c6e8cc4009b9_954x784.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:784,&quot;width&quot;:954,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:72844,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/213423884?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8455ad47-d01e-405b-bc62-c6e8cc4009b9_954x784.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kIUm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8455ad47-d01e-405b-bc62-c6e8cc4009b9_954x784.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kIUm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8455ad47-d01e-405b-bc62-c6e8cc4009b9_954x784.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kIUm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8455ad47-d01e-405b-bc62-c6e8cc4009b9_954x784.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kIUm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8455ad47-d01e-405b-bc62-c6e8cc4009b9_954x784.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Thematic funds have historically produced subpar returns; will the big dollars being put into ETFs break that pattern or will it be more of the same?  (Moses Sternstein from <a href="https://www.a16z.news/p/charts-of-the-week-winds-of-thematic">Andreessen Horowitz</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HimJ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf570194-7578-4be8-8920-92e758f4282b_839x647.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HimJ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf570194-7578-4be8-8920-92e758f4282b_839x647.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HimJ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf570194-7578-4be8-8920-92e758f4282b_839x647.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HimJ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf570194-7578-4be8-8920-92e758f4282b_839x647.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HimJ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf570194-7578-4be8-8920-92e758f4282b_839x647.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HimJ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf570194-7578-4be8-8920-92e758f4282b_839x647.png" width="839" height="647" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/cf570194-7578-4be8-8920-92e758f4282b_839x647.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:647,&quot;width&quot;:839,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:315971,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/213423884?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf570194-7578-4be8-8920-92e758f4282b_839x647.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HimJ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf570194-7578-4be8-8920-92e758f4282b_839x647.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HimJ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf570194-7578-4be8-8920-92e758f4282b_839x647.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HimJ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf570194-7578-4be8-8920-92e758f4282b_839x647.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HimJ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf570194-7578-4be8-8920-92e758f4282b_839x647.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Is the tide turning for the UK market?  (<a href="https://read.aurelionresearch.com/p/uk-primer-the-equity-revival">Aurelion Research and AP Research</a>.) </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nIMo!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0968ca9b-41d9-41c7-8936-efeb4633fce0_852x453.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nIMo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0968ca9b-41d9-41c7-8936-efeb4633fce0_852x453.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nIMo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0968ca9b-41d9-41c7-8936-efeb4633fce0_852x453.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nIMo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0968ca9b-41d9-41c7-8936-efeb4633fce0_852x453.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nIMo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0968ca9b-41d9-41c7-8936-efeb4633fce0_852x453.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nIMo!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0968ca9b-41d9-41c7-8936-efeb4633fce0_852x453.png" width="852" height="453" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0968ca9b-41d9-41c7-8936-efeb4633fce0_852x453.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:453,&quot;width&quot;:852,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:275323,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/213423884?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0968ca9b-41d9-41c7-8936-efeb4633fce0_852x453.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nIMo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0968ca9b-41d9-41c7-8936-efeb4633fce0_852x453.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nIMo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0968ca9b-41d9-41c7-8936-efeb4633fce0_852x453.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nIMo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0968ca9b-41d9-41c7-8936-efeb4633fce0_852x453.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nIMo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0968ca9b-41d9-41c7-8936-efeb4633fce0_852x453.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The wobbles in the Mark Walter empire have caused ripple effects across the private credit and insurance landscape &#8212; and has hit Guggenheim&#8217;s debt hard.  (<em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-24/guggenheim-loan-drops-to-new-73-cent-low-with-firm-in-spotlight">Bloomberg</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJXl!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2933dc6-c33d-46dd-9760-7e8472753c73_790x413.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJXl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2933dc6-c33d-46dd-9760-7e8472753c73_790x413.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJXl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2933dc6-c33d-46dd-9760-7e8472753c73_790x413.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJXl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2933dc6-c33d-46dd-9760-7e8472753c73_790x413.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJXl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2933dc6-c33d-46dd-9760-7e8472753c73_790x413.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJXl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2933dc6-c33d-46dd-9760-7e8472753c73_790x413.png" width="790" height="413" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e2933dc6-c33d-46dd-9760-7e8472753c73_790x413.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:413,&quot;width&quot;:790,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:105731,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/213423884?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2933dc6-c33d-46dd-9760-7e8472753c73_790x413.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJXl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2933dc6-c33d-46dd-9760-7e8472753c73_790x413.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJXl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2933dc6-c33d-46dd-9760-7e8472753c73_790x413.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJXl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2933dc6-c33d-46dd-9760-7e8472753c73_790x413.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJXl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2933dc6-c33d-46dd-9760-7e8472753c73_790x413.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ This chart, from Sebastian Kian of <a href="https://www.morningstar.com/markets/private-credit-is-showing-more-signs-distress?utm_source=eloqua&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=AdvisorDigest&amp;utm_content=None_76851&amp;utm_id=40317">Morningstar</a>, is through the first quarter.  It shows the non-accrual holdings of public BDCs.  (The adjusted number includes all of the debt of a firm if any of it is in non-accrual status.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R626!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff518057e-32fd-4364-8a2e-c6d3deb52cfc_866x662.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R626!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff518057e-32fd-4364-8a2e-c6d3deb52cfc_866x662.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R626!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff518057e-32fd-4364-8a2e-c6d3deb52cfc_866x662.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R626!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff518057e-32fd-4364-8a2e-c6d3deb52cfc_866x662.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R626!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff518057e-32fd-4364-8a2e-c6d3deb52cfc_866x662.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R626!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff518057e-32fd-4364-8a2e-c6d3deb52cfc_866x662.png" width="866" height="662" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f518057e-32fd-4364-8a2e-c6d3deb52cfc_866x662.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:662,&quot;width&quot;:866,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:31214,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/213423884?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff518057e-32fd-4364-8a2e-c6d3deb52cfc_866x662.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R626!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff518057e-32fd-4364-8a2e-c6d3deb52cfc_866x662.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R626!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff518057e-32fd-4364-8a2e-c6d3deb52cfc_866x662.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R626!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff518057e-32fd-4364-8a2e-c6d3deb52cfc_866x662.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R626!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff518057e-32fd-4364-8a2e-c6d3deb52cfc_866x662.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Investor flows in non-listed BDCs have shifted hard in the last eighteen months.  (Leyla Kunimoto of <em><a href="https://www.accreditedinsight.com/p/no-sellers-at-a-26-haircut-apollo">Accredited Investor Insights</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w3hF!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2be43ee-1fe6-401f-8155-92c91747cf11_981x670.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w3hF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2be43ee-1fe6-401f-8155-92c91747cf11_981x670.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w3hF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2be43ee-1fe6-401f-8155-92c91747cf11_981x670.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w3hF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2be43ee-1fe6-401f-8155-92c91747cf11_981x670.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w3hF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2be43ee-1fe6-401f-8155-92c91747cf11_981x670.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w3hF!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2be43ee-1fe6-401f-8155-92c91747cf11_981x670.png" width="981" height="670" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d2be43ee-1fe6-401f-8155-92c91747cf11_981x670.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:670,&quot;width&quot;:981,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:70011,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/213423884?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2be43ee-1fe6-401f-8155-92c91747cf11_981x670.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w3hF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2be43ee-1fe6-401f-8155-92c91747cf11_981x670.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w3hF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2be43ee-1fe6-401f-8155-92c91747cf11_981x670.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w3hF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2be43ee-1fe6-401f-8155-92c91747cf11_981x670.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w3hF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2be43ee-1fe6-401f-8155-92c91747cf11_981x670.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Will a Boomer bust hit Sun Belt real estate (which has been weakening recently)?  From Nick Gerli of <a href="https://x.com/nickgerli1/status/2093779938809659495">Reventure</a>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJjg!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6ad4d683-707a-420c-a6f7-814de23a01d3_900x715.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJjg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6ad4d683-707a-420c-a6f7-814de23a01d3_900x715.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJjg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6ad4d683-707a-420c-a6f7-814de23a01d3_900x715.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJjg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6ad4d683-707a-420c-a6f7-814de23a01d3_900x715.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJjg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6ad4d683-707a-420c-a6f7-814de23a01d3_900x715.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJjg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6ad4d683-707a-420c-a6f7-814de23a01d3_900x715.jpeg" width="900" height="715" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6ad4d683-707a-420c-a6f7-814de23a01d3_900x715.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:715,&quot;width&quot;:900,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Image&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Image" title="Image" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJjg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6ad4d683-707a-420c-a6f7-814de23a01d3_900x715.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJjg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6ad4d683-707a-420c-a6f7-814de23a01d3_900x715.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJjg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6ad4d683-707a-420c-a6f7-814de23a01d3_900x715.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NJjg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6ad4d683-707a-420c-a6f7-814de23a01d3_900x715.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p><em>Over on the main site, the latest Fortnightly <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/08/17/the-wisdom-of-crowds-sell-side-analysts-and-commitments-behind-the-curtains/">edition</a> of curated links dug into the usual broad mix of topics of investment importance.  Among them the wisdom of crowds, sell-side analysts, those hidden hyperscaler commitments, codependency in the Treasury market, asset owner strategies, and much more.</em></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Clippings 16 ~ Hyperscaling]]></title><description><![CDATA[There has been one big story this year. Charts about that in this edition, plus fixed income and private assets.]]></description><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-16-hyperscaling</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-16-hyperscaling</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 16 Aug 2026 22:11:42 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ej0r!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd9a622f-b011-4638-8a2f-f25e1af5cc82_849x560.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>~ John Authers of <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-07-29/the-magnificent-seven-are-riding-into-the-sunset?cmpid=BBD072926_AUT&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_term=260729&amp;utm_campaign=authers&amp;sref=dO5cdrud">Bloomberg</a></em> sees a &#8220;remarkable&#8221; similarity between the relative performance rallies of the FANGs and the Magnificent 7 (including a snap-back since this chart was published on July 28).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ej0r!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd9a622f-b011-4638-8a2f-f25e1af5cc82_849x560.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ej0r!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd9a622f-b011-4638-8a2f-f25e1af5cc82_849x560.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ej0r!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd9a622f-b011-4638-8a2f-f25e1af5cc82_849x560.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ej0r!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd9a622f-b011-4638-8a2f-f25e1af5cc82_849x560.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ej0r!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd9a622f-b011-4638-8a2f-f25e1af5cc82_849x560.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ej0r!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd9a622f-b011-4638-8a2f-f25e1af5cc82_849x560.png" width="849" height="560" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd9a622f-b011-4638-8a2f-f25e1af5cc82_849x560.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ej0r!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd9a622f-b011-4638-8a2f-f25e1af5cc82_849x560.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ej0r!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd9a622f-b011-4638-8a2f-f25e1af5cc82_849x560.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ej0r!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd9a622f-b011-4638-8a2f-f25e1af5cc82_849x560.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Analysts are extrapolating this year&#8217;s strong earnings (driven by the big tech companies) into huge increases for 2027.  (Goldman Sachs, via <em><a href="https://thedailyshotbrief.com/p/the-daily-shot-brief-august-4-2026?utm_source=post-email-title&amp;publication_id=8870986&amp;post_id=209773439&amp;utm_campaign=email-post-title&amp;isFreemail=true&amp;r=r2jl&amp;triedRedirect=true&amp;utm_medium=email">Daily Shot Brief</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4M7W!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ba4ffc9-8c4d-4ef1-9643-9bac79b7defc_1700x1149.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4M7W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ba4ffc9-8c4d-4ef1-9643-9bac79b7defc_1700x1149.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4M7W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ba4ffc9-8c4d-4ef1-9643-9bac79b7defc_1700x1149.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4M7W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ba4ffc9-8c4d-4ef1-9643-9bac79b7defc_1700x1149.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4M7W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ba4ffc9-8c4d-4ef1-9643-9bac79b7defc_1700x1149.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The high level of concentration in the S&amp;P 500 from the big tech names doesn&#8217;t fully reflect the active risks involved.  (<a href="https://www.alliancebernstein.com/corporate/en/insights/investment-insights/so-why-dont-you-own-it-understanding-underweights-in-equities.html?utm_source=news.theideafarm.com&amp;utm_medium=newsletter&amp;utm_campaign=earnings-bubble-not-valuation&amp;_bhlid=7b1d13ec49d1ed9f99627fcb1267a85f7e1c91f3">AllianceBernstein</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWIi!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e9b94c-0930-419e-8fd2-a6456e8fb574_1328x865.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWIi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e9b94c-0930-419e-8fd2-a6456e8fb574_1328x865.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWIi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e9b94c-0930-419e-8fd2-a6456e8fb574_1328x865.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWIi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e9b94c-0930-419e-8fd2-a6456e8fb574_1328x865.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWIi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e9b94c-0930-419e-8fd2-a6456e8fb574_1328x865.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWIi!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e9b94c-0930-419e-8fd2-a6456e8fb574_1328x865.png" width="1328" height="865" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/21e9b94c-0930-419e-8fd2-a6456e8fb574_1328x865.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:865,&quot;width&quot;:1328,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:109982,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/210770474?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e9b94c-0930-419e-8fd2-a6456e8fb574_1328x865.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWIi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e9b94c-0930-419e-8fd2-a6456e8fb574_1328x865.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWIi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e9b94c-0930-419e-8fd2-a6456e8fb574_1328x865.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWIi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e9b94c-0930-419e-8fd2-a6456e8fb574_1328x865.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWIi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F21e9b94c-0930-419e-8fd2-a6456e8fb574_1328x865.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ From Torsten Slok of <a href="https://www.apollo.com/wealth/insights-news/insights/daily-spark/the-buyers-of-ai-are-still-waiting-for-the-payoff">Apollo</a>:  &#8220;The AI capex boom is so far only showing up in the sellers&#8217; margins, not the buyers&#8217;.&#8221;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!D0m_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F063d1861-a322-4cb6-8138-318a5e869df8_1993x798.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!D0m_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F063d1861-a322-4cb6-8138-318a5e869df8_1993x798.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!D0m_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F063d1861-a322-4cb6-8138-318a5e869df8_1993x798.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!D0m_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F063d1861-a322-4cb6-8138-318a5e869df8_1993x798.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!D0m_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F063d1861-a322-4cb6-8138-318a5e869df8_1993x798.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!D0m_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F063d1861-a322-4cb6-8138-318a5e869df8_1993x798.png" width="1456" height="583" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/063d1861-a322-4cb6-8138-318a5e869df8_1993x798.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:583,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:603483,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/210770474?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F063d1861-a322-4cb6-8138-318a5e869df8_1993x798.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!D0m_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F063d1861-a322-4cb6-8138-318a5e869df8_1993x798.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!D0m_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F063d1861-a322-4cb6-8138-318a5e869df8_1993x798.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!D0m_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F063d1861-a322-4cb6-8138-318a5e869df8_1993x798.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!D0m_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F063d1861-a322-4cb6-8138-318a5e869df8_1993x798.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ <a href="https://www.apollo.com/wealth/insights-news/insights/daily-spark/the-market-is-asking-questions">Slok again</a>:  &#8220;The market is asking three fundamental questions,&#8221; reflected in rising CDS spreads.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xf13!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee680d0-ee96-4f0e-9ac1-23b7752026f6_2021x823.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xf13!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee680d0-ee96-4f0e-9ac1-23b7752026f6_2021x823.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xf13!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee680d0-ee96-4f0e-9ac1-23b7752026f6_2021x823.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xf13!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee680d0-ee96-4f0e-9ac1-23b7752026f6_2021x823.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xf13!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee680d0-ee96-4f0e-9ac1-23b7752026f6_2021x823.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xf13!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee680d0-ee96-4f0e-9ac1-23b7752026f6_2021x823.png" width="1456" height="593" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5ee680d0-ee96-4f0e-9ac1-23b7752026f6_2021x823.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:593,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:424219,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/210770474?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee680d0-ee96-4f0e-9ac1-23b7752026f6_2021x823.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xf13!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee680d0-ee96-4f0e-9ac1-23b7752026f6_2021x823.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xf13!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee680d0-ee96-4f0e-9ac1-23b7752026f6_2021x823.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xf13!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee680d0-ee96-4f0e-9ac1-23b7752026f6_2021x823.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xf13!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee680d0-ee96-4f0e-9ac1-23b7752026f6_2021x823.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Also, seeing this historical decline in costs, <a href="https://www.alphapicks.co.uk/p/capex-circularity-and-collateral">AP Research</a> comments on GPUs as collateral:  &#8220;A lender may currently be financing multi-year debt against assets whose economic usefulness can be repriced significantly over a relatively short period.&#8221;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zB-i!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6191ee-aacd-402f-8620-42cc823c43c3_828x444.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zB-i!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6191ee-aacd-402f-8620-42cc823c43c3_828x444.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zB-i!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6191ee-aacd-402f-8620-42cc823c43c3_828x444.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zB-i!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6191ee-aacd-402f-8620-42cc823c43c3_828x444.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zB-i!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6191ee-aacd-402f-8620-42cc823c43c3_828x444.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zB-i!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6191ee-aacd-402f-8620-42cc823c43c3_828x444.png" width="828" height="444" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0d6191ee-aacd-402f-8620-42cc823c43c3_828x444.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:444,&quot;width&quot;:828,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:163906,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/210770474?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6191ee-aacd-402f-8620-42cc823c43c3_828x444.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zB-i!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6191ee-aacd-402f-8620-42cc823c43c3_828x444.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zB-i!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6191ee-aacd-402f-8620-42cc823c43c3_828x444.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zB-i!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6191ee-aacd-402f-8620-42cc823c43c3_828x444.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zB-i!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6191ee-aacd-402f-8620-42cc823c43c3_828x444.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The composition of capital spending has changed dramatically; what happens when tech reverses?  (<a href="https://www.a16z.news/p/charts-of-the-week-softwares-selective">Andreessen Horowitz</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ydhu!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0f5b3a9-11ee-44d9-860c-d315fa0dd2b8_672x537.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ydhu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0f5b3a9-11ee-44d9-860c-d315fa0dd2b8_672x537.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ydhu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0f5b3a9-11ee-44d9-860c-d315fa0dd2b8_672x537.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ydhu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0f5b3a9-11ee-44d9-860c-d315fa0dd2b8_672x537.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ydhu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0f5b3a9-11ee-44d9-860c-d315fa0dd2b8_672x537.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ydhu!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0f5b3a9-11ee-44d9-860c-d315fa0dd2b8_672x537.png" width="672" height="537" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0f5b3a9-11ee-44d9-860c-d315fa0dd2b8_672x537.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ydhu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0f5b3a9-11ee-44d9-860c-d315fa0dd2b8_672x537.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ydhu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0f5b3a9-11ee-44d9-860c-d315fa0dd2b8_672x537.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ydhu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0f5b3a9-11ee-44d9-860c-d315fa0dd2b8_672x537.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ What are the implications of the much steeper Japanese yield curve?  (Wei Li of <a href="https://lnkd.in/p/dKAe_dHT">BlackRock</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w1mv!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F425dae21-20c0-4ab5-8ed2-06e13988b0d4_996x484.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w1mv!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F425dae21-20c0-4ab5-8ed2-06e13988b0d4_996x484.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w1mv!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F425dae21-20c0-4ab5-8ed2-06e13988b0d4_996x484.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w1mv!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F425dae21-20c0-4ab5-8ed2-06e13988b0d4_996x484.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w1mv!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F425dae21-20c0-4ab5-8ed2-06e13988b0d4_996x484.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w1mv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F425dae21-20c0-4ab5-8ed2-06e13988b0d4_996x484.png" width="996" height="484" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/425dae21-20c0-4ab5-8ed2-06e13988b0d4_996x484.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:484,&quot;width&quot;:996,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:357947,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/210770474?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F425dae21-20c0-4ab5-8ed2-06e13988b0d4_996x484.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w1mv!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F425dae21-20c0-4ab5-8ed2-06e13988b0d4_996x484.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w1mv!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F425dae21-20c0-4ab5-8ed2-06e13988b0d4_996x484.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w1mv!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F425dae21-20c0-4ab5-8ed2-06e13988b0d4_996x484.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w1mv!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F425dae21-20c0-4ab5-8ed2-06e13988b0d4_996x484.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Increasing creditor-on-creditor violence upends historical patterns; &#8220;recovery rates are plummeting, with more first-lien lenders getting close to nothing&#8221; when firms file bankruptcy.  (<em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-05/safest-loans-suffer-more-catastrophic-losses-as-recoveries-wane">Bloomberg</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hkqx!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff528535d-7cea-45eb-a0e7-e119fb4d1bcd_791x527.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hkqx!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff528535d-7cea-45eb-a0e7-e119fb4d1bcd_791x527.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hkqx!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff528535d-7cea-45eb-a0e7-e119fb4d1bcd_791x527.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hkqx!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff528535d-7cea-45eb-a0e7-e119fb4d1bcd_791x527.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hkqx!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff528535d-7cea-45eb-a0e7-e119fb4d1bcd_791x527.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hkqx!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff528535d-7cea-45eb-a0e7-e119fb4d1bcd_791x527.png" width="791" height="527" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff528535d-7cea-45eb-a0e7-e119fb4d1bcd_791x527.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hkqx!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff528535d-7cea-45eb-a0e7-e119fb4d1bcd_791x527.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hkqx!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff528535d-7cea-45eb-a0e7-e119fb4d1bcd_791x527.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hkqx!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff528535d-7cea-45eb-a0e7-e119fb4d1bcd_791x527.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Toby Nangle explores the land of CCC bonds for the <em><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/6c79711b-d541-4b7d-8c82-54450fda973f">Financial Times</a></em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k4Tl!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6abdbeb1-f3fa-4f34-9227-0e4952bc5291_960x897.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k4Tl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6abdbeb1-f3fa-4f34-9227-0e4952bc5291_960x897.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k4Tl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6abdbeb1-f3fa-4f34-9227-0e4952bc5291_960x897.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k4Tl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6abdbeb1-f3fa-4f34-9227-0e4952bc5291_960x897.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k4Tl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6abdbeb1-f3fa-4f34-9227-0e4952bc5291_960x897.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k4Tl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6abdbeb1-f3fa-4f34-9227-0e4952bc5291_960x897.png" width="960" height="897" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6abdbeb1-f3fa-4f34-9227-0e4952bc5291_960x897.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:897,&quot;width&quot;:960,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:45739,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/210770474?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6abdbeb1-f3fa-4f34-9227-0e4952bc5291_960x897.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k4Tl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6abdbeb1-f3fa-4f34-9227-0e4952bc5291_960x897.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k4Tl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6abdbeb1-f3fa-4f34-9227-0e4952bc5291_960x897.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k4Tl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6abdbeb1-f3fa-4f34-9227-0e4952bc5291_960x897.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k4Tl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6abdbeb1-f3fa-4f34-9227-0e4952bc5291_960x897.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ It&#8217;s taking longer and longer to get your money back from private equity funds; can we call them &#8220;zombies&#8221;?  (<em><a href="https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/private-equity-assets-stuck-in-zombie-funds-are-at-a-record-high-4dbd01be">Wall Street Journal</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yFDu!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff4a6289d-5c6c-4ebd-bbab-745a7dd6a9c3_719x540.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yFDu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff4a6289d-5c6c-4ebd-bbab-745a7dd6a9c3_719x540.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yFDu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff4a6289d-5c6c-4ebd-bbab-745a7dd6a9c3_719x540.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yFDu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff4a6289d-5c6c-4ebd-bbab-745a7dd6a9c3_719x540.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yFDu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff4a6289d-5c6c-4ebd-bbab-745a7dd6a9c3_719x540.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yFDu!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff4a6289d-5c6c-4ebd-bbab-745a7dd6a9c3_719x540.png" width="719" height="540" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f4a6289d-5c6c-4ebd-bbab-745a7dd6a9c3_719x540.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:540,&quot;width&quot;:719,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:26715,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/210770474?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff4a6289d-5c6c-4ebd-bbab-745a7dd6a9c3_719x540.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yFDu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff4a6289d-5c6c-4ebd-bbab-745a7dd6a9c3_719x540.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yFDu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff4a6289d-5c6c-4ebd-bbab-745a7dd6a9c3_719x540.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yFDu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff4a6289d-5c6c-4ebd-bbab-745a7dd6a9c3_719x540.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yFDu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff4a6289d-5c6c-4ebd-bbab-745a7dd6a9c3_719x540.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Despite the big push from the purveyors of private assets, defined contribution plan sponsors are dragging their feet.  (<a href="https://www.mfs.com/en-us/institutions-and-consultants/insights/multi-asset/rethinking-private-assets-in-tdfs-case-for-public-market-solutions.html">MFS</a>.) </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BWC0!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffa8d7920-72f4-4e8b-9a06-886e2cdff9db_1353x651.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BWC0!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffa8d7920-72f4-4e8b-9a06-886e2cdff9db_1353x651.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BWC0!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffa8d7920-72f4-4e8b-9a06-886e2cdff9db_1353x651.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BWC0!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffa8d7920-72f4-4e8b-9a06-886e2cdff9db_1353x651.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BWC0!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffa8d7920-72f4-4e8b-9a06-886e2cdff9db_1353x651.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BWC0!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffa8d7920-72f4-4e8b-9a06-886e2cdff9db_1353x651.png" width="1353" height="651" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/fa8d7920-72f4-4e8b-9a06-886e2cdff9db_1353x651.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:651,&quot;width&quot;:1353,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:149815,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/210770474?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffa8d7920-72f4-4e8b-9a06-886e2cdff9db_1353x651.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BWC0!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffa8d7920-72f4-4e8b-9a06-886e2cdff9db_1353x651.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BWC0!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffa8d7920-72f4-4e8b-9a06-886e2cdff9db_1353x651.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BWC0!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffa8d7920-72f4-4e8b-9a06-886e2cdff9db_1353x651.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BWC0!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffa8d7920-72f4-4e8b-9a06-886e2cdff9db_1353x651.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p><em>The most recent <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/08/03/artful-dodges-removing-guidance-and-situational-awareness/">issue</a> of the Fortnightly includes sections on the artful dodges of some life insurance companies regarding affiliated entities, the implications of reduced guidance, and, yes, situational awareness.  Plus a host of other interesting topics.</em></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Clippings 15 ~ Slipping and sliding]]></title><description><![CDATA[There are some things that have gone up in this edition, but number that are down a lot, including software, the PEG ratio, short funds, IPOs, corporate spreads, and energy inventories.]]></description><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-15-slipping-and-sliding</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-15-slipping-and-sliding</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 28 Jul 2026 13:53:46 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4qw7!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb6d18ae8-c0cb-45bf-b1ed-470254accc1b_859x662.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>~ Just one of a number of great charts in &#8220;Software&#8217;s Selective Sell-Off&#8221; by Moses Sternstein for <em><a href="https://www.a16z.news/p/charts-of-the-week-softwares-selective">It&#8217;s time to build</a></em>, from Andreessen Horowitz.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4qw7!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb6d18ae8-c0cb-45bf-b1ed-470254accc1b_859x662.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4qw7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb6d18ae8-c0cb-45bf-b1ed-470254accc1b_859x662.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4qw7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb6d18ae8-c0cb-45bf-b1ed-470254accc1b_859x662.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4qw7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb6d18ae8-c0cb-45bf-b1ed-470254accc1b_859x662.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4qw7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb6d18ae8-c0cb-45bf-b1ed-470254accc1b_859x662.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4qw7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb6d18ae8-c0cb-45bf-b1ed-470254accc1b_859x662.png" width="859" height="662" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b6d18ae8-c0cb-45bf-b1ed-470254accc1b_859x662.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:662,&quot;width&quot;:859,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:322499,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/208730116?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb6d18ae8-c0cb-45bf-b1ed-470254accc1b_859x662.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4qw7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb6d18ae8-c0cb-45bf-b1ed-470254accc1b_859x662.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4qw7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb6d18ae8-c0cb-45bf-b1ed-470254accc1b_859x662.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4qw7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb6d18ae8-c0cb-45bf-b1ed-470254accc1b_859x662.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4qw7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb6d18ae8-c0cb-45bf-b1ed-470254accc1b_859x662.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The PEG ratio is very low and below the &#8220;magic&#8221; level of one.  (Chart via <a href="https://www.yardeni.com/charts/us-stock-market/stock-market-valuation/stock-market-p-e-ratios#chart-0xdzrwhvtx9">Yardeni Research</a>.  Some <a href="https://researchpuzzle.com/blog/2010/02/10/unpegged/">perspective on the ratio</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MMwv!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b51b4df-e24a-410a-b05e-4b5c8f13e940_1892x925.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MMwv!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b51b4df-e24a-410a-b05e-4b5c8f13e940_1892x925.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MMwv!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b51b4df-e24a-410a-b05e-4b5c8f13e940_1892x925.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MMwv!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b51b4df-e24a-410a-b05e-4b5c8f13e940_1892x925.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MMwv!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b51b4df-e24a-410a-b05e-4b5c8f13e940_1892x925.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MMwv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b51b4df-e24a-410a-b05e-4b5c8f13e940_1892x925.png" width="1456" height="712" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1b51b4df-e24a-410a-b05e-4b5c8f13e940_1892x925.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:712,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:295936,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/208730116?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b51b4df-e24a-410a-b05e-4b5c8f13e940_1892x925.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MMwv!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b51b4df-e24a-410a-b05e-4b5c8f13e940_1892x925.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MMwv!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b51b4df-e24a-410a-b05e-4b5c8f13e940_1892x925.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MMwv!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b51b4df-e24a-410a-b05e-4b5c8f13e940_1892x925.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MMwv!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1b51b4df-e24a-410a-b05e-4b5c8f13e940_1892x925.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The last three years &#8212; and especially the first half of this year &#8212; have shown an unusual amount of divergence between price and breadth.  (Spencer Jakab, <em><a href="https://trk.wsj.com/view/64d3991e856ebc3ad9520635rs6g1.ncs/9e6bdc63">Wall Street Journal</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omW1!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5277978b-86f3-48d7-aec3-0fa2cfec257e_898x682.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omW1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5277978b-86f3-48d7-aec3-0fa2cfec257e_898x682.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omW1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5277978b-86f3-48d7-aec3-0fa2cfec257e_898x682.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omW1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5277978b-86f3-48d7-aec3-0fa2cfec257e_898x682.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omW1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5277978b-86f3-48d7-aec3-0fa2cfec257e_898x682.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omW1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5277978b-86f3-48d7-aec3-0fa2cfec257e_898x682.png" width="898" height="682" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5277978b-86f3-48d7-aec3-0fa2cfec257e_898x682.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:682,&quot;width&quot;:898,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omW1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5277978b-86f3-48d7-aec3-0fa2cfec257e_898x682.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omW1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5277978b-86f3-48d7-aec3-0fa2cfec257e_898x682.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omW1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5277978b-86f3-48d7-aec3-0fa2cfec257e_898x682.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omW1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5277978b-86f3-48d7-aec3-0fa2cfec257e_898x682.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Charts of margin debt often prompt different interpretations from market participants.  Here&#8217;s one look from <a href="https://sakonnetresearch.com/the-relationship-between-margin-debt-and-u-s-stock-market-capitalization/">Sakonnet Research</a>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QZ2E!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7eda912-78e2-4550-ab95-6b78a9c4ff68_1322x558.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QZ2E!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7eda912-78e2-4550-ab95-6b78a9c4ff68_1322x558.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QZ2E!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7eda912-78e2-4550-ab95-6b78a9c4ff68_1322x558.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QZ2E!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7eda912-78e2-4550-ab95-6b78a9c4ff68_1322x558.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QZ2E!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7eda912-78e2-4550-ab95-6b78a9c4ff68_1322x558.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QZ2E!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7eda912-78e2-4550-ab95-6b78a9c4ff68_1322x558.png" width="1322" height="558" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a7eda912-78e2-4550-ab95-6b78a9c4ff68_1322x558.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:558,&quot;width&quot;:1322,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:361222,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/208730116?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7eda912-78e2-4550-ab95-6b78a9c4ff68_1322x558.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QZ2E!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7eda912-78e2-4550-ab95-6b78a9c4ff68_1322x558.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QZ2E!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7eda912-78e2-4550-ab95-6b78a9c4ff68_1322x558.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QZ2E!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7eda912-78e2-4550-ab95-6b78a9c4ff68_1322x558.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QZ2E!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7eda912-78e2-4550-ab95-6b78a9c4ff68_1322x558.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Short funds are disappearing.  (Caitlin McCabe in a <em><a href="https://www.wsj.com/finance/fahmi-quadir-industry-assassin-3d6ccd82">Wall Street Journal</a></em> profile of short seller Fahmi Quadir, who is switching to activist investing.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4gu1!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe854e90a-4f17-4cdb-a4cc-02d47842d011_360x410.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4gu1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe854e90a-4f17-4cdb-a4cc-02d47842d011_360x410.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4gu1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe854e90a-4f17-4cdb-a4cc-02d47842d011_360x410.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4gu1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe854e90a-4f17-4cdb-a4cc-02d47842d011_360x410.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4gu1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe854e90a-4f17-4cdb-a4cc-02d47842d011_360x410.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4gu1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe854e90a-4f17-4cdb-a4cc-02d47842d011_360x410.png" width="360" height="410" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e854e90a-4f17-4cdb-a4cc-02d47842d011_360x410.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:false,&quot;imageSize&quot;:&quot;normal&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:410,&quot;width&quot;:360,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:360,&quot;bytes&quot;:12690,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/208730116?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe854e90a-4f17-4cdb-a4cc-02d47842d011_360x410.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:&quot;center&quot;,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4gu1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe854e90a-4f17-4cdb-a4cc-02d47842d011_360x410.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4gu1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe854e90a-4f17-4cdb-a4cc-02d47842d011_360x410.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4gu1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe854e90a-4f17-4cdb-a4cc-02d47842d011_360x410.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4gu1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe854e90a-4f17-4cdb-a4cc-02d47842d011_360x410.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The SpaceX IPO has been a disappointment (so far), which fits with the recent underperformance for IPOs over the last several years.  (Torsten Slok, <a href="https://www.apollo.com/wealth/insights-news/insights/daily-spark/IPOs-Have-Been-a-Losing-Bet-Since-2019">Apollo</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WJ_4!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5dc6e75-eade-4bca-bf67-3514fbeba44f_819x404.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WJ_4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5dc6e75-eade-4bca-bf67-3514fbeba44f_819x404.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WJ_4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5dc6e75-eade-4bca-bf67-3514fbeba44f_819x404.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WJ_4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5dc6e75-eade-4bca-bf67-3514fbeba44f_819x404.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WJ_4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5dc6e75-eade-4bca-bf67-3514fbeba44f_819x404.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WJ_4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5dc6e75-eade-4bca-bf67-3514fbeba44f_819x404.png" width="819" height="404" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d5dc6e75-eade-4bca-bf67-3514fbeba44f_819x404.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:404,&quot;width&quot;:819,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:89215,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/208730116?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5dc6e75-eade-4bca-bf67-3514fbeba44f_819x404.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WJ_4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5dc6e75-eade-4bca-bf67-3514fbeba44f_819x404.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WJ_4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5dc6e75-eade-4bca-bf67-3514fbeba44f_819x404.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WJ_4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5dc6e75-eade-4bca-bf67-3514fbeba44f_819x404.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WJ_4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5dc6e75-eade-4bca-bf67-3514fbeba44f_819x404.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Corporate bonds have remained at very tight spreads; how far will they blow out in the next recession?  (Telis Demos in the <em><a href="https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/corporate-bonds-have-the-best-yields-in-years-they-still-arent-enough-aa391e8b">Wall Street Journal</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Cejf!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faaa48aa0-17e4-4dd6-acaa-00d89e0d137f_701x526.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Cejf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faaa48aa0-17e4-4dd6-acaa-00d89e0d137f_701x526.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Cejf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faaa48aa0-17e4-4dd6-acaa-00d89e0d137f_701x526.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Cejf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faaa48aa0-17e4-4dd6-acaa-00d89e0d137f_701x526.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Cejf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faaa48aa0-17e4-4dd6-acaa-00d89e0d137f_701x526.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Cejf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faaa48aa0-17e4-4dd6-acaa-00d89e0d137f_701x526.png" width="701" height="526" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/aaa48aa0-17e4-4dd6-acaa-00d89e0d137f_701x526.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:526,&quot;width&quot;:701,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:64337,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/208730116?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faaa48aa0-17e4-4dd6-acaa-00d89e0d137f_701x526.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Cejf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faaa48aa0-17e4-4dd6-acaa-00d89e0d137f_701x526.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Cejf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faaa48aa0-17e4-4dd6-acaa-00d89e0d137f_701x526.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Cejf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faaa48aa0-17e4-4dd6-acaa-00d89e0d137f_701x526.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Cejf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faaa48aa0-17e4-4dd6-acaa-00d89e0d137f_701x526.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Company exits from global buyout funds were mostly above their carrying values in the years from 2012 to 2025.  (<a href="https://www.msci.com/research-and-insights/blog-post/when-buyout-marks-meet-the-market">MSCI</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mofa!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2418921-42be-4c51-8dba-7a7886d74195_1599x718.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mofa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2418921-42be-4c51-8dba-7a7886d74195_1599x718.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mofa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2418921-42be-4c51-8dba-7a7886d74195_1599x718.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mofa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2418921-42be-4c51-8dba-7a7886d74195_1599x718.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mofa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2418921-42be-4c51-8dba-7a7886d74195_1599x718.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mofa!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2418921-42be-4c51-8dba-7a7886d74195_1599x718.png" width="1456" height="654" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a2418921-42be-4c51-8dba-7a7886d74195_1599x718.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:654,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:87017,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/208730116?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2418921-42be-4c51-8dba-7a7886d74195_1599x718.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mofa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2418921-42be-4c51-8dba-7a7886d74195_1599x718.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mofa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2418921-42be-4c51-8dba-7a7886d74195_1599x718.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mofa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2418921-42be-4c51-8dba-7a7886d74195_1599x718.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mofa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2418921-42be-4c51-8dba-7a7886d74195_1599x718.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ &#8220;A co-investment is not a lower-fee version of a diversified private equity fund.  It is a concentrated bet on a handful of companies [or just one] drawn from that fund.&#8221;  (<a href="https://mailchi.mp/verdadcap/concentrated-co-investments-ap83z0iegt?e=4c9d842aad">Verdad</a>; note that the analysis is based on simulated groups of potential co-investments within actual funds.  Therefore, the fund results are net returns and the co-invesment simulations are gross returns.)  </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZjgW!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5eb3e38-fe21-475c-84da-3557098eb34c_700x439.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZjgW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5eb3e38-fe21-475c-84da-3557098eb34c_700x439.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZjgW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5eb3e38-fe21-475c-84da-3557098eb34c_700x439.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZjgW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5eb3e38-fe21-475c-84da-3557098eb34c_700x439.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZjgW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5eb3e38-fe21-475c-84da-3557098eb34c_700x439.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZjgW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5eb3e38-fe21-475c-84da-3557098eb34c_700x439.png" width="700" height="439" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c5eb3e38-fe21-475c-84da-3557098eb34c_700x439.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:439,&quot;width&quot;:700,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:59442,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/208730116?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5eb3e38-fe21-475c-84da-3557098eb34c_700x439.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZjgW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5eb3e38-fe21-475c-84da-3557098eb34c_700x439.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZjgW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5eb3e38-fe21-475c-84da-3557098eb34c_700x439.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZjgW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5eb3e38-fe21-475c-84da-3557098eb34c_700x439.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZjgW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc5eb3e38-fe21-475c-84da-3557098eb34c_700x439.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Inventories of energy products continue to decline (from Josh Young, <em><a href="https://www.bisoninsights.info/p/bison-insights-overview-why-you-should">Bison Insights</a></em>) . . .</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-4Yj!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6875703a-7f50-4537-ab1d-0b2dbed21dbe_933x532.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-4Yj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6875703a-7f50-4537-ab1d-0b2dbed21dbe_933x532.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-4Yj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6875703a-7f50-4537-ab1d-0b2dbed21dbe_933x532.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-4Yj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6875703a-7f50-4537-ab1d-0b2dbed21dbe_933x532.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-4Yj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6875703a-7f50-4537-ab1d-0b2dbed21dbe_933x532.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-4Yj!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6875703a-7f50-4537-ab1d-0b2dbed21dbe_933x532.png" width="933" height="532" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6875703a-7f50-4537-ab1d-0b2dbed21dbe_933x532.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:532,&quot;width&quot;:933,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:247211,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/208730116?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6875703a-7f50-4537-ab1d-0b2dbed21dbe_933x532.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-4Yj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6875703a-7f50-4537-ab1d-0b2dbed21dbe_933x532.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-4Yj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6875703a-7f50-4537-ab1d-0b2dbed21dbe_933x532.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-4Yj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6875703a-7f50-4537-ab1d-0b2dbed21dbe_933x532.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-4Yj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6875703a-7f50-4537-ab1d-0b2dbed21dbe_933x532.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>. . . and input costs are rising.  Delta was first to report its fuel costs for the second quarter.  (<a href="https://www.calcbench.com/blog/post/blogger7408493712644028553/Here-Come-the-Surges-in-Airline-Fuel-Cost">Calcbench</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9ltu!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff9121c43-01c7-4eff-b852-4721ff35c406_1129x561.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9ltu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff9121c43-01c7-4eff-b852-4721ff35c406_1129x561.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9ltu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff9121c43-01c7-4eff-b852-4721ff35c406_1129x561.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9ltu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff9121c43-01c7-4eff-b852-4721ff35c406_1129x561.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9ltu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff9121c43-01c7-4eff-b852-4721ff35c406_1129x561.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9ltu!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff9121c43-01c7-4eff-b852-4721ff35c406_1129x561.png" width="1129" height="561" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f9121c43-01c7-4eff-b852-4721ff35c406_1129x561.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:561,&quot;width&quot;:1129,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:111273,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/208730116?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff9121c43-01c7-4eff-b852-4721ff35c406_1129x561.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9ltu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff9121c43-01c7-4eff-b852-4721ff35c406_1129x561.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9ltu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff9121c43-01c7-4eff-b852-4721ff35c406_1129x561.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9ltu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff9121c43-01c7-4eff-b852-4721ff35c406_1129x561.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9ltu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff9121c43-01c7-4eff-b852-4721ff35c406_1129x561.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Coders with less experience are facing a changed job market.  (<em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2026-07-16/tsmc-earnings-beat-fails-to-give-ai-stocks-fresh-impetus">Bloomberg</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4YiK!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F29aa42bd-1e25-42b7-861b-486167c5e8a5_896x581.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4YiK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F29aa42bd-1e25-42b7-861b-486167c5e8a5_896x581.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4YiK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F29aa42bd-1e25-42b7-861b-486167c5e8a5_896x581.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4YiK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F29aa42bd-1e25-42b7-861b-486167c5e8a5_896x581.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4YiK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F29aa42bd-1e25-42b7-861b-486167c5e8a5_896x581.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4YiK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F29aa42bd-1e25-42b7-861b-486167c5e8a5_896x581.png" width="896" height="581" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/29aa42bd-1e25-42b7-861b-486167c5e8a5_896x581.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:581,&quot;width&quot;:896,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:159275,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/208730116?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F29aa42bd-1e25-42b7-861b-486167c5e8a5_896x581.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4YiK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F29aa42bd-1e25-42b7-861b-486167c5e8a5_896x581.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4YiK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F29aa42bd-1e25-42b7-861b-486167c5e8a5_896x581.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4YiK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F29aa42bd-1e25-42b7-861b-486167c5e8a5_896x581.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4YiK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F29aa42bd-1e25-42b7-861b-486167c5e8a5_896x581.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p><em>The most recent piece on the main site was a <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/07/21/market-players-flows-and-common-language/">Fortnightly</a> titled &#8220;Market Players, Flows, and Common Language.&#8221;  As always, it contained a wide variety of great readings from across the investment ecosystem.</em></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Clippings 14 ~ Allocation decisions]]></title><description><![CDATA[Great charts on correlation, valuation, buybacks, target date funds, index flip-flops, private credit, and more.]]></description><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-14-allocation-decisions</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-14-allocation-decisions</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 16 Jul 2026 16:44:49 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lQPk!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ab94e08-17f0-4972-9ffb-272d61574fdf_651x497.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>~ How should a strategic allocation between stocks and bonds be &#8220;colored&#8221;?  Great chart from Wei Li of <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/posts/wei-li-a93561b_as-a-mathematician-my-pet-peeve-is-the-occasional-share-7482380241244475392-nlwP/">BlackRock</a>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lQPk!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ab94e08-17f0-4972-9ffb-272d61574fdf_651x497.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lQPk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ab94e08-17f0-4972-9ffb-272d61574fdf_651x497.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lQPk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ab94e08-17f0-4972-9ffb-272d61574fdf_651x497.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lQPk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ab94e08-17f0-4972-9ffb-272d61574fdf_651x497.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lQPk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ab94e08-17f0-4972-9ffb-272d61574fdf_651x497.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lQPk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ab94e08-17f0-4972-9ffb-272d61574fdf_651x497.png" width="651" height="497" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3ab94e08-17f0-4972-9ffb-272d61574fdf_651x497.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:497,&quot;width&quot;:651,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:366340,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/207068534?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ab94e08-17f0-4972-9ffb-272d61574fdf_651x497.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lQPk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ab94e08-17f0-4972-9ffb-272d61574fdf_651x497.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lQPk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ab94e08-17f0-4972-9ffb-272d61574fdf_651x497.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lQPk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ab94e08-17f0-4972-9ffb-272d61574fdf_651x497.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lQPk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ab94e08-17f0-4972-9ffb-272d61574fdf_651x497.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ And then there are valuation problems &#8212; high valuation hurts long-term returns (big chart), but the timing is uncertain (small chart); via <a href="https://ajovista.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Price-Earnings-Ratios-and-Subsequent-Stock-Returns.pdf">AJO Vista</a>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dVCK!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c751d0b-e712-4df3-8d61-a3af56429b84_1331x856.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dVCK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c751d0b-e712-4df3-8d61-a3af56429b84_1331x856.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dVCK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c751d0b-e712-4df3-8d61-a3af56429b84_1331x856.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dVCK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c751d0b-e712-4df3-8d61-a3af56429b84_1331x856.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dVCK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c751d0b-e712-4df3-8d61-a3af56429b84_1331x856.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dVCK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c751d0b-e712-4df3-8d61-a3af56429b84_1331x856.png" width="1331" height="856" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8c751d0b-e712-4df3-8d61-a3af56429b84_1331x856.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:856,&quot;width&quot;:1331,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:133395,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/207068534?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c751d0b-e712-4df3-8d61-a3af56429b84_1331x856.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dVCK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c751d0b-e712-4df3-8d61-a3af56429b84_1331x856.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dVCK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c751d0b-e712-4df3-8d61-a3af56429b84_1331x856.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dVCK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c751d0b-e712-4df3-8d61-a3af56429b84_1331x856.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dVCK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c751d0b-e712-4df3-8d61-a3af56429b84_1331x856.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ &#8220;The Wildest Value Gap Since 1999,&#8221; says Samuel Ziff of <a href="https://oldfieldpartners.com/publications/away-from-the-casino-tables-the-wildest-value-gap-since-1999/">Oldfield Partners</a>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNRd!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1be834ec-ad84-4aae-a0f5-c58e060dd574_1013x489.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNRd!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1be834ec-ad84-4aae-a0f5-c58e060dd574_1013x489.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNRd!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1be834ec-ad84-4aae-a0f5-c58e060dd574_1013x489.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNRd!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1be834ec-ad84-4aae-a0f5-c58e060dd574_1013x489.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNRd!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1be834ec-ad84-4aae-a0f5-c58e060dd574_1013x489.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNRd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1be834ec-ad84-4aae-a0f5-c58e060dd574_1013x489.png" width="1013" height="489" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1be834ec-ad84-4aae-a0f5-c58e060dd574_1013x489.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:489,&quot;width&quot;:1013,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:81885,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/207068534?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1be834ec-ad84-4aae-a0f5-c58e060dd574_1013x489.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNRd!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1be834ec-ad84-4aae-a0f5-c58e060dd574_1013x489.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNRd!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1be834ec-ad84-4aae-a0f5-c58e060dd574_1013x489.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNRd!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1be834ec-ad84-4aae-a0f5-c58e060dd574_1013x489.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNRd!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1be834ec-ad84-4aae-a0f5-c58e060dd574_1013x489.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ With the surge in capital spending and decline in free cash flow at the hyperscalers, their buybacks have dried up.  (Jeran Wittenstein, <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-06-18/big-tech-s-ai-spending-spree-is-making-stock-buybacks-disappear">Bloomberg</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UCK_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc26b7ada-8ab3-419f-a825-4006adfc5180_796x634.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UCK_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc26b7ada-8ab3-419f-a825-4006adfc5180_796x634.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UCK_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc26b7ada-8ab3-419f-a825-4006adfc5180_796x634.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UCK_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc26b7ada-8ab3-419f-a825-4006adfc5180_796x634.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UCK_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc26b7ada-8ab3-419f-a825-4006adfc5180_796x634.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UCK_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc26b7ada-8ab3-419f-a825-4006adfc5180_796x634.png" width="796" height="634" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c26b7ada-8ab3-419f-a825-4006adfc5180_796x634.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:634,&quot;width&quot;:796,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:47742,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/207068534?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc26b7ada-8ab3-419f-a825-4006adfc5180_796x634.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UCK_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc26b7ada-8ab3-419f-a825-4006adfc5180_796x634.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UCK_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc26b7ada-8ab3-419f-a825-4006adfc5180_796x634.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UCK_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc26b7ada-8ab3-419f-a825-4006adfc5180_796x634.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UCK_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc26b7ada-8ab3-419f-a825-4006adfc5180_796x634.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Equity exposure is baked in for most defined contribution plan participants; will that change after a prolonged bear market?  (<a href="https://meketa.com/leadership/target-date-funds-as-the-default-investment-option/">Meketa</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hdJf!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feabdea00-18fa-49e8-9c16-e0bc3c129802_977x501.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hdJf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feabdea00-18fa-49e8-9c16-e0bc3c129802_977x501.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hdJf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feabdea00-18fa-49e8-9c16-e0bc3c129802_977x501.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hdJf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feabdea00-18fa-49e8-9c16-e0bc3c129802_977x501.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hdJf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feabdea00-18fa-49e8-9c16-e0bc3c129802_977x501.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hdJf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feabdea00-18fa-49e8-9c16-e0bc3c129802_977x501.png" width="977" height="501" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/eabdea00-18fa-49e8-9c16-e0bc3c129802_977x501.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:501,&quot;width&quot;:977,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:75935,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/207068534?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feabdea00-18fa-49e8-9c16-e0bc3c129802_977x501.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hdJf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feabdea00-18fa-49e8-9c16-e0bc3c129802_977x501.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hdJf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feabdea00-18fa-49e8-9c16-e0bc3c129802_977x501.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hdJf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feabdea00-18fa-49e8-9c16-e0bc3c129802_977x501.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hdJf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feabdea00-18fa-49e8-9c16-e0bc3c129802_977x501.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ &#8220;Flip-flops may expose a weakness in cap-weighted indexing.&#8221;  (Rob Arnott and Lillian Wu, <a href="https://www.researchaffiliates.com/insights/publications/articles/1121-flip-flops-when-index-membership-doesn't-last">Reasearch Affiliates</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Bsw!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb94cb44d-e797-4ad5-9ab7-c9a502b6fdf3_983x741.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Bsw!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb94cb44d-e797-4ad5-9ab7-c9a502b6fdf3_983x741.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Bsw!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb94cb44d-e797-4ad5-9ab7-c9a502b6fdf3_983x741.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Bsw!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb94cb44d-e797-4ad5-9ab7-c9a502b6fdf3_983x741.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Bsw!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb94cb44d-e797-4ad5-9ab7-c9a502b6fdf3_983x741.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ &#8220;Retail remains the strongest structural buyer of US equities.&#8221;  (Scott Rubner, <a href="https://www.citadelsecurities.com/news-and-insights/global-market-intelligence/after-the-reset/">Citadel</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M9ad!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd0ce81e-1b66-48e1-bae4-ac90c64a8078_1062x586.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M9ad!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd0ce81e-1b66-48e1-bae4-ac90c64a8078_1062x586.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M9ad!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd0ce81e-1b66-48e1-bae4-ac90c64a8078_1062x586.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M9ad!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd0ce81e-1b66-48e1-bae4-ac90c64a8078_1062x586.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M9ad!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd0ce81e-1b66-48e1-bae4-ac90c64a8078_1062x586.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M9ad!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd0ce81e-1b66-48e1-bae4-ac90c64a8078_1062x586.png" width="1062" height="586" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/bd0ce81e-1b66-48e1-bae4-ac90c64a8078_1062x586.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:586,&quot;width&quot;:1062,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:135503,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/207068534?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd0ce81e-1b66-48e1-bae4-ac90c64a8078_1062x586.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M9ad!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd0ce81e-1b66-48e1-bae4-ac90c64a8078_1062x586.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M9ad!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd0ce81e-1b66-48e1-bae4-ac90c64a8078_1062x586.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M9ad!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd0ce81e-1b66-48e1-bae4-ac90c64a8078_1062x586.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!M9ad!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbd0ce81e-1b66-48e1-bae4-ac90c64a8078_1062x586.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ According to <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2026-07-14/jpmorgan-chase-goldman-sachs-face-new-competition-from-apollo-on-lending">Bloomberg</a></em>, &#8220;The buyout shop-turned-blue chip lender is muscling in on the turf of Wall Street stalwarts.&#8221;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u4NZ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faab04deb-eb61-4114-a853-a71247b2b991_781x563.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u4NZ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faab04deb-eb61-4114-a853-a71247b2b991_781x563.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u4NZ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faab04deb-eb61-4114-a853-a71247b2b991_781x563.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u4NZ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faab04deb-eb61-4114-a853-a71247b2b991_781x563.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u4NZ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faab04deb-eb61-4114-a853-a71247b2b991_781x563.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u4NZ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faab04deb-eb61-4114-a853-a71247b2b991_781x563.png" width="781" height="563" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/aab04deb-eb61-4114-a853-a71247b2b991_781x563.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:563,&quot;width&quot;:781,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:42567,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/207068534?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faab04deb-eb61-4114-a853-a71247b2b991_781x563.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u4NZ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faab04deb-eb61-4114-a853-a71247b2b991_781x563.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u4NZ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faab04deb-eb61-4114-a853-a71247b2b991_781x563.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u4NZ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faab04deb-eb61-4114-a853-a71247b2b991_781x563.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u4NZ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faab04deb-eb61-4114-a853-a71247b2b991_781x563.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ &#8220;What Medallia&#8217;s faceplant tells us about private credit,&#8221; from Toby Nangle for <em><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/7db5dff0-7b8a-4920-8676-8bd12e2649b4">FT Alphaville</a></em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZg!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe422428-fa46-49ec-a64b-216cad8df016_969x710.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe422428-fa46-49ec-a64b-216cad8df016_969x710.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe422428-fa46-49ec-a64b-216cad8df016_969x710.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe422428-fa46-49ec-a64b-216cad8df016_969x710.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe422428-fa46-49ec-a64b-216cad8df016_969x710.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe422428-fa46-49ec-a64b-216cad8df016_969x710.png" width="969" height="710" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe422428-fa46-49ec-a64b-216cad8df016_969x710.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe422428-fa46-49ec-a64b-216cad8df016_969x710.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe422428-fa46-49ec-a64b-216cad8df016_969x710.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tKZg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe422428-fa46-49ec-a64b-216cad8df016_969x710.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>SpaceX stock has been falling and has given up its post-IPO pop; but yields on its debt have risen a lot in a short time.  (Toby Nanagle, <em><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/3a023b95-66c3-41e1-b0ce-df752a499541">FT Alphaville</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yqeE!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd7327bc-b0a2-40af-82c7-101a6ee96ff9_959x669.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yqeE!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd7327bc-b0a2-40af-82c7-101a6ee96ff9_959x669.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yqeE!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd7327bc-b0a2-40af-82c7-101a6ee96ff9_959x669.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yqeE!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd7327bc-b0a2-40af-82c7-101a6ee96ff9_959x669.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yqeE!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd7327bc-b0a2-40af-82c7-101a6ee96ff9_959x669.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yqeE!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd7327bc-b0a2-40af-82c7-101a6ee96ff9_959x669.png" width="959" height="669" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/dd7327bc-b0a2-40af-82c7-101a6ee96ff9_959x669.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:669,&quot;width&quot;:959,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:55079,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/207068534?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd7327bc-b0a2-40af-82c7-101a6ee96ff9_959x669.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yqeE!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd7327bc-b0a2-40af-82c7-101a6ee96ff9_959x669.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yqeE!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd7327bc-b0a2-40af-82c7-101a6ee96ff9_959x669.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yqeE!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd7327bc-b0a2-40af-82c7-101a6ee96ff9_959x669.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yqeE!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdd7327bc-b0a2-40af-82c7-101a6ee96ff9_959x669.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ &#8220;Computer Costs Are Supposed to Go Down,&#8221; says Joe Weisenthal of <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2026-07-14/computer-costs-are-supposed-to-go-down">Bloomberg</a></em> (but see the recent bump).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IFx4!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70bcf401-4dc8-4a6c-bb4c-6aa733cd49ab_895x481.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IFx4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70bcf401-4dc8-4a6c-bb4c-6aa733cd49ab_895x481.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IFx4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70bcf401-4dc8-4a6c-bb4c-6aa733cd49ab_895x481.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IFx4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70bcf401-4dc8-4a6c-bb4c-6aa733cd49ab_895x481.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IFx4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70bcf401-4dc8-4a6c-bb4c-6aa733cd49ab_895x481.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IFx4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70bcf401-4dc8-4a6c-bb4c-6aa733cd49ab_895x481.png" width="895" height="481" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/70bcf401-4dc8-4a6c-bb4c-6aa733cd49ab_895x481.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:481,&quot;width&quot;:895,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:88174,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/207068534?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70bcf401-4dc8-4a6c-bb4c-6aa733cd49ab_895x481.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IFx4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70bcf401-4dc8-4a6c-bb4c-6aa733cd49ab_895x481.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IFx4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70bcf401-4dc8-4a6c-bb4c-6aa733cd49ab_895x481.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IFx4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70bcf401-4dc8-4a6c-bb4c-6aa733cd49ab_895x481.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IFx4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70bcf401-4dc8-4a6c-bb4c-6aa733cd49ab_895x481.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ A flashback from the financial crisis, via John Authers of <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-07-01/2008-template-in-hindsight-will-a-coming-crash-seem-obvious">Bloomberg</a></em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dW50!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94abfdf7-172d-4972-8887-61b41a634743_799x536.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dW50!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94abfdf7-172d-4972-8887-61b41a634743_799x536.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dW50!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94abfdf7-172d-4972-8887-61b41a634743_799x536.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dW50!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94abfdf7-172d-4972-8887-61b41a634743_799x536.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dW50!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94abfdf7-172d-4972-8887-61b41a634743_799x536.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dW50!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94abfdf7-172d-4972-8887-61b41a634743_799x536.png" width="799" height="536" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/94abfdf7-172d-4972-8887-61b41a634743_799x536.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:536,&quot;width&quot;:799,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:82820,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/207068534?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94abfdf7-172d-4972-8887-61b41a634743_799x536.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dW50!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94abfdf7-172d-4972-8887-61b41a634743_799x536.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dW50!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94abfdf7-172d-4972-8887-61b41a634743_799x536.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dW50!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94abfdf7-172d-4972-8887-61b41a634743_799x536.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dW50!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94abfdf7-172d-4972-8887-61b41a634743_799x536.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ <a href="https://www.derekthompson.org/p/america-1926-an-absurdly-deep-dive">Derek Thompson</a> takes a look back at social trends in 1926.  Here&#8217;s the trends in the composition of employment at the time.  Among the other charts is one on life expectancy.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EOow!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c12c2df-f1d3-41a9-a20d-6febeb131d0e_632x524.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EOow!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c12c2df-f1d3-41a9-a20d-6febeb131d0e_632x524.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EOow!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c12c2df-f1d3-41a9-a20d-6febeb131d0e_632x524.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EOow!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c12c2df-f1d3-41a9-a20d-6febeb131d0e_632x524.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EOow!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c12c2df-f1d3-41a9-a20d-6febeb131d0e_632x524.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EOow!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c12c2df-f1d3-41a9-a20d-6febeb131d0e_632x524.png" width="632" height="524" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6c12c2df-f1d3-41a9-a20d-6febeb131d0e_632x524.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:524,&quot;width&quot;:632,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:775045,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.derekthompson.org/i/204695201?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c12c2df-f1d3-41a9-a20d-6febeb131d0e_632x524.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EOow!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c12c2df-f1d3-41a9-a20d-6febeb131d0e_632x524.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EOow!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c12c2df-f1d3-41a9-a20d-6febeb131d0e_632x524.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EOow!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c12c2df-f1d3-41a9-a20d-6febeb131d0e_632x524.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EOow!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c12c2df-f1d3-41a9-a20d-6febeb131d0e_632x524.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p><em>Since the last set of &#8220;clippings,&#8221; there have been three postings on the main site.</em></p><p><em>Most importantly, an <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/06/29/the-ai-native-asset-manager/">essay</a> on &#8220;The AI-Native Asset Manager.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>Plus two Fortnightly collections of items from around the investment ecosystem:</em></p><p><em>~ <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/06/22/expectations-expectations-and-more-expectations/">Expectations, Expectations, and More Expectations</a>.</em></p><p><em>~ <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/07/06/fully-invested-semi-liquid-and-investment-hyperscalers/">Fully Invested, Semi-Liquid, and Investment Hyperscalers</a>.</em></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Clippings 13 ~ A long run]]></title><description><![CDATA[Elevated valuations (and some deflated ones), a turnaround in rate expectations, cutting back on tokens, and the K-shaped economy.]]></description><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-13-a-long-run</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-13-a-long-run</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 18 Jun 2026 14:52:59 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prGY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f92b11d-c9aa-45a0-a89c-5f868b43f458_822x311.webp" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>~ Technology has had an unusually long run as <em>the</em> dominant market sector (from Celia Dallas at <a href="https://www.cambridgeassociates.com/insight/vantagepoint-the-rearview-mirror-problem/">Cambridge Associates</a>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prGY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f92b11d-c9aa-45a0-a89c-5f868b43f458_822x311.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prGY!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f92b11d-c9aa-45a0-a89c-5f868b43f458_822x311.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prGY!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f92b11d-c9aa-45a0-a89c-5f868b43f458_822x311.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prGY!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f92b11d-c9aa-45a0-a89c-5f868b43f458_822x311.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prGY!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f92b11d-c9aa-45a0-a89c-5f868b43f458_822x311.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prGY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f92b11d-c9aa-45a0-a89c-5f868b43f458_822x311.webp" width="822" height="311" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3f92b11d-c9aa-45a0-a89c-5f868b43f458_822x311.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:311,&quot;width&quot;:822,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:41122,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;line chart and shaded areas showing market concentration peaking near major turning points. Bull vs bear markets for the S&amp;P 500&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="line chart and shaded areas showing market concentration peaking near major turning points. Bull vs bear markets for the S&amp;P 500" title="line chart and shaded areas showing market concentration peaking near major turning points. Bull vs bear markets for the S&amp;P 500" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prGY!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f92b11d-c9aa-45a0-a89c-5f868b43f458_822x311.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prGY!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f92b11d-c9aa-45a0-a89c-5f868b43f458_822x311.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prGY!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f92b11d-c9aa-45a0-a89c-5f868b43f458_822x311.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prGY!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f92b11d-c9aa-45a0-a89c-5f868b43f458_822x311.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Higher-valued stocks are becoming an increasing share of the U.S. market (Goldman Sachs, via <a href="https://bsky.app/profile/mikezaccardi.bsky.social/post/3mnmqn2xoat27">Mike Zaccardi</a>) . . .</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QfyW!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff76dc7af-fcec-4e79-ae79-a65f836228ac_658x523.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QfyW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff76dc7af-fcec-4e79-ae79-a65f836228ac_658x523.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QfyW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff76dc7af-fcec-4e79-ae79-a65f836228ac_658x523.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QfyW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff76dc7af-fcec-4e79-ae79-a65f836228ac_658x523.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QfyW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff76dc7af-fcec-4e79-ae79-a65f836228ac_658x523.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QfyW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff76dc7af-fcec-4e79-ae79-a65f836228ac_658x523.png" width="658" height="523" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f76dc7af-fcec-4e79-ae79-a65f836228ac_658x523.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:523,&quot;width&quot;:658,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:276027,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/202489039?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff76dc7af-fcec-4e79-ae79-a65f836228ac_658x523.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QfyW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff76dc7af-fcec-4e79-ae79-a65f836228ac_658x523.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QfyW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff76dc7af-fcec-4e79-ae79-a65f836228ac_658x523.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QfyW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff76dc7af-fcec-4e79-ae79-a65f836228ac_658x523.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QfyW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff76dc7af-fcec-4e79-ae79-a65f836228ac_658x523.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>. . . but some software stalwarts have had the air go out of them.  Here are Adobe&#8217;s valuation numbers on a hundred-point scale for the last ten years (via Koyfin).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d_AV!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9295f809-2551-4007-8b91-88e596cb1668_1012x697.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d_AV!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9295f809-2551-4007-8b91-88e596cb1668_1012x697.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d_AV!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9295f809-2551-4007-8b91-88e596cb1668_1012x697.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d_AV!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9295f809-2551-4007-8b91-88e596cb1668_1012x697.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d_AV!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9295f809-2551-4007-8b91-88e596cb1668_1012x697.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d_AV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9295f809-2551-4007-8b91-88e596cb1668_1012x697.png" width="1012" height="697" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/9295f809-2551-4007-8b91-88e596cb1668_1012x697.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:697,&quot;width&quot;:1012,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d_AV!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9295f809-2551-4007-8b91-88e596cb1668_1012x697.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d_AV!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9295f809-2551-4007-8b91-88e596cb1668_1012x697.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d_AV!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9295f809-2551-4007-8b91-88e596cb1668_1012x697.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d_AV!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9295f809-2551-4007-8b91-88e596cb1668_1012x697.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ While the headline is about retail&#8217;s somewhat higher weight than ten years ago, the punchline is in the footnote.  (<em><a href="https://www.ifre.com/people-and-markets/2437820/goldman-sachs-takes-fight-to-marketmakers-in-anonymised-trading-push">International Financing Review</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNBu!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F505ac3ec-d3a2-4536-97a8-370fe56a3771_504x593.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNBu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F505ac3ec-d3a2-4536-97a8-370fe56a3771_504x593.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNBu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F505ac3ec-d3a2-4536-97a8-370fe56a3771_504x593.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNBu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F505ac3ec-d3a2-4536-97a8-370fe56a3771_504x593.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNBu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F505ac3ec-d3a2-4536-97a8-370fe56a3771_504x593.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNBu!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F505ac3ec-d3a2-4536-97a8-370fe56a3771_504x593.png" width="504" height="593" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/505ac3ec-d3a2-4536-97a8-370fe56a3771_504x593.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:593,&quot;width&quot;:504,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:167630,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/202489039?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F505ac3ec-d3a2-4536-97a8-370fe56a3771_504x593.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNBu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F505ac3ec-d3a2-4536-97a8-370fe56a3771_504x593.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNBu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F505ac3ec-d3a2-4536-97a8-370fe56a3771_504x593.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNBu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F505ac3ec-d3a2-4536-97a8-370fe56a3771_504x593.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sNBu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F505ac3ec-d3a2-4536-97a8-370fe56a3771_504x593.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>The employment report earlier this month continued the turnaround in expectations for Fed policy moves that began with the attack on Iran (<a href="https://bsky.app/profile/augurinfinity.bsky.social/post/3mnkrmlgnm52z">Augur Infinity</a>) . . .</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LCi7!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94d77b29-9f5b-43ce-b80e-feee7ba4090e_704x382.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LCi7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94d77b29-9f5b-43ce-b80e-feee7ba4090e_704x382.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LCi7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94d77b29-9f5b-43ce-b80e-feee7ba4090e_704x382.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LCi7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94d77b29-9f5b-43ce-b80e-feee7ba4090e_704x382.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LCi7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94d77b29-9f5b-43ce-b80e-feee7ba4090e_704x382.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LCi7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94d77b29-9f5b-43ce-b80e-feee7ba4090e_704x382.png" width="704" height="382" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/94d77b29-9f5b-43ce-b80e-feee7ba4090e_704x382.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:382,&quot;width&quot;:704,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:51361,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/202489039?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94d77b29-9f5b-43ce-b80e-feee7ba4090e_704x382.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LCi7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94d77b29-9f5b-43ce-b80e-feee7ba4090e_704x382.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LCi7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94d77b29-9f5b-43ce-b80e-feee7ba4090e_704x382.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LCi7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94d77b29-9f5b-43ce-b80e-feee7ba4090e_704x382.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LCi7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94d77b29-9f5b-43ce-b80e-feee7ba4090e_704x382.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>. . . while yesterday&#8217;s debut of the Warsh Fed led the market to price even higher short-term rates (John Authers, <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-06-18/kevin-warsh-new-fed-chair-is-the-strong-silent-type">Bloomberg</a></em>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!irq-!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75b3c570-2ce7-49f2-b029-da6dba41e0ed_798x424.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!irq-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75b3c570-2ce7-49f2-b029-da6dba41e0ed_798x424.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!irq-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75b3c570-2ce7-49f2-b029-da6dba41e0ed_798x424.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!irq-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75b3c570-2ce7-49f2-b029-da6dba41e0ed_798x424.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!irq-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75b3c570-2ce7-49f2-b029-da6dba41e0ed_798x424.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ As expected, AI dominates the funding interests of limited partners, via <a href="https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/research/2026/05/the-most-wanted-exposure-lp-allocation-intent-and-unicorn-ai-deal-concentration-in-private-markets">S&amp;P Global</a>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_7gt!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2e7b614-7f56-40b3-a0be-626d2e74a1d1_1029x512.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_7gt!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2e7b614-7f56-40b3-a0be-626d2e74a1d1_1029x512.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_7gt!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2e7b614-7f56-40b3-a0be-626d2e74a1d1_1029x512.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_7gt!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2e7b614-7f56-40b3-a0be-626d2e74a1d1_1029x512.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_7gt!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2e7b614-7f56-40b3-a0be-626d2e74a1d1_1029x512.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_7gt!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2e7b614-7f56-40b3-a0be-626d2e74a1d1_1029x512.jpeg" width="1029" height="512" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d2e7b614-7f56-40b3-a0be-626d2e74a1d1_1029x512.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:512,&quot;width&quot;:1029,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:105618,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_7gt!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2e7b614-7f56-40b3-a0be-626d2e74a1d1_1029x512.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_7gt!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2e7b614-7f56-40b3-a0be-626d2e74a1d1_1029x512.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_7gt!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2e7b614-7f56-40b3-a0be-626d2e74a1d1_1029x512.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_7gt!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2e7b614-7f56-40b3-a0be-626d2e74a1d1_1029x512.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ There are signs of speculative activity everywhere, including this six-fold increase in levered ETFs in Korea and Japan just this year.  (Tracy Alloway of <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2026-06-12/leveraged-etfs-aren-t-just-a-korea-problem">Bloomberg</a></em>, from Nomura.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PyJC!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9fa0502-4eff-4793-820e-17f006199700_823x479.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PyJC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9fa0502-4eff-4793-820e-17f006199700_823x479.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PyJC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9fa0502-4eff-4793-820e-17f006199700_823x479.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PyJC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9fa0502-4eff-4793-820e-17f006199700_823x479.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PyJC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9fa0502-4eff-4793-820e-17f006199700_823x479.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PyJC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9fa0502-4eff-4793-820e-17f006199700_823x479.png" width="823" height="479" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e9fa0502-4eff-4793-820e-17f006199700_823x479.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:479,&quot;width&quot;:823,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:192123,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/202489039?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9fa0502-4eff-4793-820e-17f006199700_823x479.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PyJC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9fa0502-4eff-4793-820e-17f006199700_823x479.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PyJC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9fa0502-4eff-4793-820e-17f006199700_823x479.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PyJC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9fa0502-4eff-4793-820e-17f006199700_823x479.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PyJC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9fa0502-4eff-4793-820e-17f006199700_823x479.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ As an evergreen fund shrinks, the capped redemption amount falls, even if the shares tendered keeps increasing.  (Leyla Kunimoto of <em><a href="https://www.linkedin.com/posts/lkunimoto_the-interesting-thing-about-apollo-diversified-share-7471606063381905408-cNk4/">Accredited Investor Insights</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jl4Q!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23a97a56-b906-4210-9a07-95774fbabcf7_642x479.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jl4Q!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23a97a56-b906-4210-9a07-95774fbabcf7_642x479.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jl4Q!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23a97a56-b906-4210-9a07-95774fbabcf7_642x479.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jl4Q!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23a97a56-b906-4210-9a07-95774fbabcf7_642x479.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jl4Q!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23a97a56-b906-4210-9a07-95774fbabcf7_642x479.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jl4Q!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23a97a56-b906-4210-9a07-95774fbabcf7_642x479.png" width="642" height="479" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/23a97a56-b906-4210-9a07-95774fbabcf7_642x479.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:479,&quot;width&quot;:642,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:173246,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/202489039?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23a97a56-b906-4210-9a07-95774fbabcf7_642x479.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jl4Q!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23a97a56-b906-4210-9a07-95774fbabcf7_642x479.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jl4Q!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23a97a56-b906-4210-9a07-95774fbabcf7_642x479.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jl4Q!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23a97a56-b906-4210-9a07-95774fbabcf7_642x479.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jl4Q!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23a97a56-b906-4210-9a07-95774fbabcf7_642x479.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Some signs of pullback in token expenditures, from Frank Flight of <a href="https://www.citadelsecurities.com/news-and-insights/global-macro-strategy/tokenomics/">Citadel</a>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EvMC!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88efec34-76c9-4e87-9d0a-8f54d12cb321_985x610.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EvMC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88efec34-76c9-4e87-9d0a-8f54d12cb321_985x610.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EvMC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88efec34-76c9-4e87-9d0a-8f54d12cb321_985x610.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EvMC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88efec34-76c9-4e87-9d0a-8f54d12cb321_985x610.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EvMC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88efec34-76c9-4e87-9d0a-8f54d12cb321_985x610.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EvMC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88efec34-76c9-4e87-9d0a-8f54d12cb321_985x610.png" width="985" height="610" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/88efec34-76c9-4e87-9d0a-8f54d12cb321_985x610.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:610,&quot;width&quot;:985,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:151162,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/202489039?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88efec34-76c9-4e87-9d0a-8f54d12cb321_985x610.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EvMC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88efec34-76c9-4e87-9d0a-8f54d12cb321_985x610.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EvMC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88efec34-76c9-4e87-9d0a-8f54d12cb321_985x610.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EvMC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88efec34-76c9-4e87-9d0a-8f54d12cb321_985x610.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EvMC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88efec34-76c9-4e87-9d0a-8f54d12cb321_985x610.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ You&#8217;ve heard about the K-shaped economy; &#8220;The Record Divide Between Corporate Profits and Worker Pay&#8221; by Greg Ip in the <em><a href="https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/the-record-divide-between-corporate-profits-and-worker-pay-ea4c75bc">Wall Street Journal</a></em> includes these graphs.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dCBN!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffe2cc104-4cbf-4a89-a946-f439785a9844_729x1072.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dCBN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffe2cc104-4cbf-4a89-a946-f439785a9844_729x1072.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dCBN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffe2cc104-4cbf-4a89-a946-f439785a9844_729x1072.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dCBN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffe2cc104-4cbf-4a89-a946-f439785a9844_729x1072.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dCBN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffe2cc104-4cbf-4a89-a946-f439785a9844_729x1072.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dCBN!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffe2cc104-4cbf-4a89-a946-f439785a9844_729x1072.png" width="729" height="1072" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffe2cc104-4cbf-4a89-a946-f439785a9844_729x1072.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dCBN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffe2cc104-4cbf-4a89-a946-f439785a9844_729x1072.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dCBN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffe2cc104-4cbf-4a89-a946-f439785a9844_729x1072.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dCBN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffe2cc104-4cbf-4a89-a946-f439785a9844_729x1072.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p><em>You&#8217;ll always find a fresh mix of investment ideas in the Fortnightly.  The last <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/06/08/the-big-rocket-activists-and-valuation-as-mindset/">issue</a> was &#8220;The Big Rocket, Activists, and Valuation as Mindset.&#8221;</em></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Clippings 12 ~ Above target]]></title><description><![CDATA[Stubborn inflation, plunging oil inventories, surging semis, a changed Agg, AI slop, AI in fund selection, and more.]]></description><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-12-above-target</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-12-above-target</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 02 Jun 2026 14:59:00 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!STku!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F341172e4-c848-470e-9fc9-3d41d5b7fc53_723x503.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>~ The average inflation rate in the U.S. has remained stubbornly above the Fed&#8217;s target.  (<em><a href="https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/the-dangerous-brew-thats-rattling-bond-markets-b46def14?mod=itp_wsj&amp;mod=djemITP_h">Wall Street Journal</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!STku!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F341172e4-c848-470e-9fc9-3d41d5b7fc53_723x503.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!STku!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F341172e4-c848-470e-9fc9-3d41d5b7fc53_723x503.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!STku!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F341172e4-c848-470e-9fc9-3d41d5b7fc53_723x503.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!STku!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F341172e4-c848-470e-9fc9-3d41d5b7fc53_723x503.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!STku!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F341172e4-c848-470e-9fc9-3d41d5b7fc53_723x503.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!STku!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F341172e4-c848-470e-9fc9-3d41d5b7fc53_723x503.png" width="723" height="503" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/341172e4-c848-470e-9fc9-3d41d5b7fc53_723x503.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:503,&quot;width&quot;:723,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:79742,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/200167780?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F341172e4-c848-470e-9fc9-3d41d5b7fc53_723x503.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!STku!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F341172e4-c848-470e-9fc9-3d41d5b7fc53_723x503.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!STku!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F341172e4-c848-470e-9fc9-3d41d5b7fc53_723x503.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!STku!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F341172e4-c848-470e-9fc9-3d41d5b7fc53_723x503.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!STku!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F341172e4-c848-470e-9fc9-3d41d5b7fc53_723x503.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Oil looks to be a continuing factor of the inflation story around the world.  (Rory Johnston of <em><a href="https://bsky.app/profile/roryjohnston.bsky.social/post/3mn3s2mkikc24">Commodity Context</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wAzC!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88b42cc5-1509-4ad3-95a7-32f047c73f5e_1000x483.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wAzC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88b42cc5-1509-4ad3-95a7-32f047c73f5e_1000x483.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wAzC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88b42cc5-1509-4ad3-95a7-32f047c73f5e_1000x483.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wAzC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88b42cc5-1509-4ad3-95a7-32f047c73f5e_1000x483.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wAzC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88b42cc5-1509-4ad3-95a7-32f047c73f5e_1000x483.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wAzC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88b42cc5-1509-4ad3-95a7-32f047c73f5e_1000x483.webp" width="1000" height="483" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88b42cc5-1509-4ad3-95a7-32f047c73f5e_1000x483.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wAzC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88b42cc5-1509-4ad3-95a7-32f047c73f5e_1000x483.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wAzC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88b42cc5-1509-4ad3-95a7-32f047c73f5e_1000x483.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wAzC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F88b42cc5-1509-4ad3-95a7-32f047c73f5e_1000x483.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The first quarter produced some eye-popping numbers, most notably in net income and capex.  (From &#8220;roughly 3,600 filers,&#8221; via <a href="https://www.calcbench.com/blog/post/blogger5733115489165631503/Last-Call-on-Q1-Earnings-Updates">Calcbench</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7WSe!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2d0439e-b2b6-43a1-879e-f8b40ee50574_855x315.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7WSe!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2d0439e-b2b6-43a1-879e-f8b40ee50574_855x315.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7WSe!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2d0439e-b2b6-43a1-879e-f8b40ee50574_855x315.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7WSe!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2d0439e-b2b6-43a1-879e-f8b40ee50574_855x315.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7WSe!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2d0439e-b2b6-43a1-879e-f8b40ee50574_855x315.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7WSe!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2d0439e-b2b6-43a1-879e-f8b40ee50574_855x315.png" width="855" height="315" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2d0439e-b2b6-43a1-879e-f8b40ee50574_855x315.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7WSe!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2d0439e-b2b6-43a1-879e-f8b40ee50574_855x315.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7WSe!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2d0439e-b2b6-43a1-879e-f8b40ee50574_855x315.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7WSe!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2d0439e-b2b6-43a1-879e-f8b40ee50574_855x315.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The semis are red hot, even more than during the dot-com bubble.  (<a href="https://bsky.app/profile/datatrekresearch.bsky.social/post/3mmwbugxbsc2b">DataTrek</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RTwa!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07829444-c7be-43b5-8006-15ac35e2765b_1000x680.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RTwa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07829444-c7be-43b5-8006-15ac35e2765b_1000x680.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RTwa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07829444-c7be-43b5-8006-15ac35e2765b_1000x680.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RTwa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07829444-c7be-43b5-8006-15ac35e2765b_1000x680.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RTwa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07829444-c7be-43b5-8006-15ac35e2765b_1000x680.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RTwa!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07829444-c7be-43b5-8006-15ac35e2765b_1000x680.webp" width="1000" height="680" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/07829444-c7be-43b5-8006-15ac35e2765b_1000x680.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:680,&quot;width&quot;:1000,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RTwa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07829444-c7be-43b5-8006-15ac35e2765b_1000x680.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RTwa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07829444-c7be-43b5-8006-15ac35e2765b_1000x680.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RTwa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07829444-c7be-43b5-8006-15ac35e2765b_1000x680.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RTwa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07829444-c7be-43b5-8006-15ac35e2765b_1000x680.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ From &#8220;6 charts: SpaceX&#8217;s S-1 financials.&#8221;  (<a href="https://pitchbook.com/news/articles/6-charts-spacexs-s-1-financials">PitchBook</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wlAS!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7ac5970-a850-4376-8e7d-e2d77308794f_1538x925.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wlAS!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7ac5970-a850-4376-8e7d-e2d77308794f_1538x925.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wlAS!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7ac5970-a850-4376-8e7d-e2d77308794f_1538x925.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wlAS!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7ac5970-a850-4376-8e7d-e2d77308794f_1538x925.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wlAS!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7ac5970-a850-4376-8e7d-e2d77308794f_1538x925.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wlAS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7ac5970-a850-4376-8e7d-e2d77308794f_1538x925.png" width="1456" height="876" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a7ac5970-a850-4376-8e7d-e2d77308794f_1538x925.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:876,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:114346,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/200167780?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7ac5970-a850-4376-8e7d-e2d77308794f_1538x925.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wlAS!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7ac5970-a850-4376-8e7d-e2d77308794f_1538x925.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wlAS!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7ac5970-a850-4376-8e7d-e2d77308794f_1538x925.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wlAS!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7ac5970-a850-4376-8e7d-e2d77308794f_1538x925.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wlAS!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7ac5970-a850-4376-8e7d-e2d77308794f_1538x925.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ An interesting chart from Matt Robinson at <a href="https://www.ai-street.co/p/ai-in-mid-frequency-trading">AI Street</a>, on &#8220;the Pareto frontier between speed and intelligence.&#8221;  (What happens if you extend this beyond minutes to days or weeks or years?)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPYf!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F58bc9922-082f-406f-ac50-d6a91b4a452c_917x628.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPYf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F58bc9922-082f-406f-ac50-d6a91b4a452c_917x628.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPYf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F58bc9922-082f-406f-ac50-d6a91b4a452c_917x628.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPYf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F58bc9922-082f-406f-ac50-d6a91b4a452c_917x628.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPYf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F58bc9922-082f-406f-ac50-d6a91b4a452c_917x628.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPYf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F58bc9922-082f-406f-ac50-d6a91b4a452c_917x628.png" width="917" height="628" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/58bc9922-082f-406f-ac50-d6a91b4a452c_917x628.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:628,&quot;width&quot;:917,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:273042,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/200167780?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F58bc9922-082f-406f-ac50-d6a91b4a452c_917x628.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPYf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F58bc9922-082f-406f-ac50-d6a91b4a452c_917x628.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPYf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F58bc9922-082f-406f-ac50-d6a91b4a452c_917x628.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPYf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F58bc9922-082f-406f-ac50-d6a91b4a452c_917x628.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rPYf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F58bc9922-082f-406f-ac50-d6a91b4a452c_917x628.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The benchmark Aggregate bond index looks a lot different than it did twenty years ago.  (<a href="https://www.marquetteassociates.com/the-magnificent-one/">Marquette Associates</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41N-!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F701a7cba-9079-4d0a-a2cd-f97f9a60fa4b_753x352.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41N-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F701a7cba-9079-4d0a-a2cd-f97f9a60fa4b_753x352.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41N-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F701a7cba-9079-4d0a-a2cd-f97f9a60fa4b_753x352.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41N-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F701a7cba-9079-4d0a-a2cd-f97f9a60fa4b_753x352.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41N-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F701a7cba-9079-4d0a-a2cd-f97f9a60fa4b_753x352.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41N-!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F701a7cba-9079-4d0a-a2cd-f97f9a60fa4b_753x352.png" width="753" height="352" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/701a7cba-9079-4d0a-a2cd-f97f9a60fa4b_753x352.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:352,&quot;width&quot;:753,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41N-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F701a7cba-9079-4d0a-a2cd-f97f9a60fa4b_753x352.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41N-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F701a7cba-9079-4d0a-a2cd-f97f9a60fa4b_753x352.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41N-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F701a7cba-9079-4d0a-a2cd-f97f9a60fa4b_753x352.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41N-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F701a7cba-9079-4d0a-a2cd-f97f9a60fa4b_753x352.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Have funding strains gone away?  (<em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-28/us-funding-markets-are-flooded-with-cash-that-s-here-to-stay">Bloomberg</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AeXI!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faae29f0d-b9b4-48d4-84f7-539c7047d2c9_787x532.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AeXI!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faae29f0d-b9b4-48d4-84f7-539c7047d2c9_787x532.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AeXI!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faae29f0d-b9b4-48d4-84f7-539c7047d2c9_787x532.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AeXI!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faae29f0d-b9b4-48d4-84f7-539c7047d2c9_787x532.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AeXI!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faae29f0d-b9b4-48d4-84f7-539c7047d2c9_787x532.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AeXI!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faae29f0d-b9b4-48d4-84f7-539c7047d2c9_787x532.png" width="787" height="532" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/aae29f0d-b9b4-48d4-84f7-539c7047d2c9_787x532.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:532,&quot;width&quot;:787,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:73493,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/200167780?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faae29f0d-b9b4-48d4-84f7-539c7047d2c9_787x532.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AeXI!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faae29f0d-b9b4-48d4-84f7-539c7047d2c9_787x532.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AeXI!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faae29f0d-b9b4-48d4-84f7-539c7047d2c9_787x532.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AeXI!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faae29f0d-b9b4-48d4-84f7-539c7047d2c9_787x532.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AeXI!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faae29f0d-b9b4-48d4-84f7-539c7047d2c9_787x532.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ A survey from <a href="https://citywire.com/selector/news/agentic-has-arrived-in-fund-selection-as-ai-adoption-spreads/a2490955?refea=788830&amp;link_id=2203193">CityWire</a>, this is how fund selectors are using AI.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFC2!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdec19da9-a3a4-4548-b9d1-3c73ad3e6b27_714x638.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFC2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdec19da9-a3a4-4548-b9d1-3c73ad3e6b27_714x638.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFC2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdec19da9-a3a4-4548-b9d1-3c73ad3e6b27_714x638.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFC2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdec19da9-a3a4-4548-b9d1-3c73ad3e6b27_714x638.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFC2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdec19da9-a3a4-4548-b9d1-3c73ad3e6b27_714x638.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFC2!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdec19da9-a3a4-4548-b9d1-3c73ad3e6b27_714x638.png" width="714" height="638" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/dec19da9-a3a4-4548-b9d1-3c73ad3e6b27_714x638.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:638,&quot;width&quot;:714,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:69367,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/200167780?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdec19da9-a3a4-4548-b9d1-3c73ad3e6b27_714x638.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFC2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdec19da9-a3a4-4548-b9d1-3c73ad3e6b27_714x638.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFC2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdec19da9-a3a4-4548-b9d1-3c73ad3e6b27_714x638.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFC2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdec19da9-a3a4-4548-b9d1-3c73ad3e6b27_714x638.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFC2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdec19da9-a3a4-4548-b9d1-3c73ad3e6b27_714x638.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ &#8220;NAV squeezing&#8221; (buying secondaries and marking them up immediately) fades away as an &#8220;alpha&#8221; source when a portfolio gets bigger.  (Leyla Kunimoto, <em><a href="https://www.accreditedinsight.com/p/when-the-denominator-wins">Accredited Investor Insights</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk7a!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F793e9f84-2962-4dea-86fb-6f89ca3b003c_845x572.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk7a!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F793e9f84-2962-4dea-86fb-6f89ca3b003c_845x572.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk7a!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F793e9f84-2962-4dea-86fb-6f89ca3b003c_845x572.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk7a!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F793e9f84-2962-4dea-86fb-6f89ca3b003c_845x572.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk7a!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F793e9f84-2962-4dea-86fb-6f89ca3b003c_845x572.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk7a!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F793e9f84-2962-4dea-86fb-6f89ca3b003c_845x572.png" width="845" height="572" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/793e9f84-2962-4dea-86fb-6f89ca3b003c_845x572.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:572,&quot;width&quot;:845,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:83118,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/200167780?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F793e9f84-2962-4dea-86fb-6f89ca3b003c_845x572.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk7a!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F793e9f84-2962-4dea-86fb-6f89ca3b003c_845x572.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk7a!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F793e9f84-2962-4dea-86fb-6f89ca3b003c_845x572.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk7a!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F793e9f84-2962-4dea-86fb-6f89ca3b003c_845x572.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk7a!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F793e9f84-2962-4dea-86fb-6f89ca3b003c_845x572.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~  While the lack of up-to-date pricing smooths PE returns, it doesn&#8217;t help much during times of stress.  (<a href="https://corporate.vanguard.com/content/dam/corp/research/pdf/right_sizing_private_equity_in_a_portfolio_it_depends_on_more_than_you_think.pdf">Vanguard</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HcVP!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0328102f-7904-4bbf-8d80-e0412d623543_889x363.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HcVP!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0328102f-7904-4bbf-8d80-e0412d623543_889x363.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HcVP!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0328102f-7904-4bbf-8d80-e0412d623543_889x363.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HcVP!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0328102f-7904-4bbf-8d80-e0412d623543_889x363.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HcVP!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0328102f-7904-4bbf-8d80-e0412d623543_889x363.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HcVP!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0328102f-7904-4bbf-8d80-e0412d623543_889x363.png" width="889" height="363" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0328102f-7904-4bbf-8d80-e0412d623543_889x363.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:363,&quot;width&quot;:889,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:71657,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/200167780?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0328102f-7904-4bbf-8d80-e0412d623543_889x363.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HcVP!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0328102f-7904-4bbf-8d80-e0412d623543_889x363.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HcVP!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0328102f-7904-4bbf-8d80-e0412d623543_889x363.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HcVP!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0328102f-7904-4bbf-8d80-e0412d623543_889x363.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HcVP!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0328102f-7904-4bbf-8d80-e0412d623543_889x363.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ &#8220;How Much of the Internet Is AI Slop?&#8221; (<em><a href="https://www.statsignificant.com/p/how-much-of-the-internet-is-ai-slop">Stat Significant</a></em>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!piiO!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8103ecc8-c2f8-40a1-9866-d43166de5ab2_721x468.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!piiO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8103ecc8-c2f8-40a1-9866-d43166de5ab2_721x468.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!piiO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8103ecc8-c2f8-40a1-9866-d43166de5ab2_721x468.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!piiO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8103ecc8-c2f8-40a1-9866-d43166de5ab2_721x468.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!piiO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8103ecc8-c2f8-40a1-9866-d43166de5ab2_721x468.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!piiO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8103ecc8-c2f8-40a1-9866-d43166de5ab2_721x468.png" width="721" height="468" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8103ecc8-c2f8-40a1-9866-d43166de5ab2_721x468.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:468,&quot;width&quot;:721,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:131322,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/200167780?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8103ecc8-c2f8-40a1-9866-d43166de5ab2_721x468.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!piiO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8103ecc8-c2f8-40a1-9866-d43166de5ab2_721x468.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!piiO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8103ecc8-c2f8-40a1-9866-d43166de5ab2_721x468.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!piiO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8103ecc8-c2f8-40a1-9866-d43166de5ab2_721x468.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!piiO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8103ecc8-c2f8-40a1-9866-d43166de5ab2_721x468.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p><em>The most recent <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/05/25/who-owns-what-keeping-the-faith-and-disruption-afoot/">edition</a> of the Fortnightly was &#8220;Who Owns What, Keeping the Faith, and Disruption Afoot.&#8221;  Full of great investment readings.</em></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Clippings 11 ~ Breakout]]></title><description><![CDATA[The great oil depletion, the private equity drought, "research velocity," mutual funds lag, the pig in the python at SREIT, and Gen Z sours on AI.]]></description><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-11-breakout</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-11-breakout</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 19 May 2026 16:23:56 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7f4!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F167a2afd-7e29-4621-af16-fde3bed563ff_841x676.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>~ &#8220;Get me out of duration.&#8221;  Long bonds spike around the world.  (John Authers, <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-05-19/the-great-bond-car-wreck-in-slow-motion">Bloomberg</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7f4!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F167a2afd-7e29-4621-af16-fde3bed563ff_841x676.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7f4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F167a2afd-7e29-4621-af16-fde3bed563ff_841x676.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7f4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F167a2afd-7e29-4621-af16-fde3bed563ff_841x676.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7f4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F167a2afd-7e29-4621-af16-fde3bed563ff_841x676.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7f4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F167a2afd-7e29-4621-af16-fde3bed563ff_841x676.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7f4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F167a2afd-7e29-4621-af16-fde3bed563ff_841x676.png" width="841" height="676" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/167a2afd-7e29-4621-af16-fde3bed563ff_841x676.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:676,&quot;width&quot;:841,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:325218,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/198322421?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F167a2afd-7e29-4621-af16-fde3bed563ff_841x676.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7f4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F167a2afd-7e29-4621-af16-fde3bed563ff_841x676.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7f4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F167a2afd-7e29-4621-af16-fde3bed563ff_841x676.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7f4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F167a2afd-7e29-4621-af16-fde3bed563ff_841x676.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7f4!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F167a2afd-7e29-4621-af16-fde3bed563ff_841x676.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ &#8220;The World Is Burning Through Its Oil Safety Net.&#8221;<strong>  (</strong><em><a href="https://www.wsj.com/business/energy-oil/the-world-is-burning-through-its-oil-safety-net-ebf9d4fa?mod=itp_wsj&amp;mod=djemITP_h">Wall Street Journal</a>.)</em></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CBll!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb9d5e33a-3659-4f7a-b7fd-4461d88ba5a5_712x535.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CBll!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb9d5e33a-3659-4f7a-b7fd-4461d88ba5a5_712x535.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CBll!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb9d5e33a-3659-4f7a-b7fd-4461d88ba5a5_712x535.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CBll!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb9d5e33a-3659-4f7a-b7fd-4461d88ba5a5_712x535.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CBll!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb9d5e33a-3659-4f7a-b7fd-4461d88ba5a5_712x535.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CBll!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb9d5e33a-3659-4f7a-b7fd-4461d88ba5a5_712x535.png" width="712" height="535" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b9d5e33a-3659-4f7a-b7fd-4461d88ba5a5_712x535.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:535,&quot;width&quot;:712,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:30122,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/198322421?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb9d5e33a-3659-4f7a-b7fd-4461d88ba5a5_712x535.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CBll!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb9d5e33a-3659-4f7a-b7fd-4461d88ba5a5_712x535.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CBll!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb9d5e33a-3659-4f7a-b7fd-4461d88ba5a5_712x535.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CBll!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb9d5e33a-3659-4f7a-b7fd-4461d88ba5a5_712x535.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CBll!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb9d5e33a-3659-4f7a-b7fd-4461d88ba5a5_712x535.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Leverage in larger direct lending deals has increased, but it has fallen in the lower middle market.  (<a href="https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/regulatory/article/private-credit-pressure-points-vintage-matters-more-than-size-s101668502">S&amp;P Global</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_30Y!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb72f7371-4838-411d-8e1f-ce26e5088ed7_1005x663.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_30Y!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb72f7371-4838-411d-8e1f-ce26e5088ed7_1005x663.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_30Y!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb72f7371-4838-411d-8e1f-ce26e5088ed7_1005x663.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_30Y!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb72f7371-4838-411d-8e1f-ce26e5088ed7_1005x663.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_30Y!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb72f7371-4838-411d-8e1f-ce26e5088ed7_1005x663.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_30Y!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb72f7371-4838-411d-8e1f-ce26e5088ed7_1005x663.png" width="1005" height="663" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b72f7371-4838-411d-8e1f-ce26e5088ed7_1005x663.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:663,&quot;width&quot;:1005,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:55134,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/198322421?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb72f7371-4838-411d-8e1f-ce26e5088ed7_1005x663.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_30Y!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb72f7371-4838-411d-8e1f-ce26e5088ed7_1005x663.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_30Y!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb72f7371-4838-411d-8e1f-ce26e5088ed7_1005x663.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_30Y!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb72f7371-4838-411d-8e1f-ce26e5088ed7_1005x663.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_30Y!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb72f7371-4838-411d-8e1f-ce26e5088ed7_1005x663.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The PE &#8220;distribution drought&#8221; continues; from <a href="https://www.msci.com/research-and-insights/paper/the-state-of-private-markets-2026">MSCI</a>, &#8220;The State of Private Markets 2026.&#8221;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KCEi!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80953a34-9d83-4c7f-acd1-aee768b9a48a_1019x476.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KCEi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80953a34-9d83-4c7f-acd1-aee768b9a48a_1019x476.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KCEi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80953a34-9d83-4c7f-acd1-aee768b9a48a_1019x476.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KCEi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80953a34-9d83-4c7f-acd1-aee768b9a48a_1019x476.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KCEi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80953a34-9d83-4c7f-acd1-aee768b9a48a_1019x476.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KCEi!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80953a34-9d83-4c7f-acd1-aee768b9a48a_1019x476.png" width="1019" height="476" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/80953a34-9d83-4c7f-acd1-aee768b9a48a_1019x476.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:476,&quot;width&quot;:1019,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:65530,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/198322421?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80953a34-9d83-4c7f-acd1-aee768b9a48a_1019x476.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KCEi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80953a34-9d83-4c7f-acd1-aee768b9a48a_1019x476.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KCEi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80953a34-9d83-4c7f-acd1-aee768b9a48a_1019x476.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KCEi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80953a34-9d83-4c7f-acd1-aee768b9a48a_1019x476.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KCEi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80953a34-9d83-4c7f-acd1-aee768b9a48a_1019x476.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Does more &#8220;research velocity&#8221; &#8212; &#8220;It can be thought of as &#8216;name turnover,&#8217; unrelated to position sizes or trading volumes.&#8221; &#8212; predict outperformance?  (<a href="https://hs-147090370.f.hubspotemail-eu1.net/hubfs/147090370/03.%20Inalytics%20Research%20Short%20-%20Research%20Velocity.pdf">Inalytics</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P1sN!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84436c3-112b-496c-a8d8-dd8b0dc160a5_633x447.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P1sN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84436c3-112b-496c-a8d8-dd8b0dc160a5_633x447.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P1sN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84436c3-112b-496c-a8d8-dd8b0dc160a5_633x447.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P1sN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84436c3-112b-496c-a8d8-dd8b0dc160a5_633x447.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P1sN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84436c3-112b-496c-a8d8-dd8b0dc160a5_633x447.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P1sN!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84436c3-112b-496c-a8d8-dd8b0dc160a5_633x447.png" width="633" height="447" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f84436c3-112b-496c-a8d8-dd8b0dc160a5_633x447.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:447,&quot;width&quot;:633,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:51297,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/198322421?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84436c3-112b-496c-a8d8-dd8b0dc160a5_633x447.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P1sN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84436c3-112b-496c-a8d8-dd8b0dc160a5_633x447.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P1sN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84436c3-112b-496c-a8d8-dd8b0dc160a5_633x447.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P1sN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84436c3-112b-496c-a8d8-dd8b0dc160a5_633x447.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P1sN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff84436c3-112b-496c-a8d8-dd8b0dc160a5_633x447.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Large-cap mutual funds aren&#8217;t keeping up this year, according to a <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-14/stock-pickers-reel-as-ai-trade-leaves-just-1-in-4-beating-market">Bloomberg</a></em> article.  (Note that in only one year since 2018 has outperformance been over 50%.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bCS3!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e2eb8d5-6ad4-4470-865a-6b4f61176665_797x660.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bCS3!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e2eb8d5-6ad4-4470-865a-6b4f61176665_797x660.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bCS3!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e2eb8d5-6ad4-4470-865a-6b4f61176665_797x660.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bCS3!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e2eb8d5-6ad4-4470-865a-6b4f61176665_797x660.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bCS3!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e2eb8d5-6ad4-4470-865a-6b4f61176665_797x660.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bCS3!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e2eb8d5-6ad4-4470-865a-6b4f61176665_797x660.png" width="797" height="660" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e2eb8d5-6ad4-4470-865a-6b4f61176665_797x660.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bCS3!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e2eb8d5-6ad4-4470-865a-6b4f61176665_797x660.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bCS3!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e2eb8d5-6ad4-4470-865a-6b4f61176665_797x660.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bCS3!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e2eb8d5-6ad4-4470-865a-6b4f61176665_797x660.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The extraordinary rise in earnings at Nvidia &#8212; and its P/E ratio, which has retreated, via <a href="https://www.downtownjoshbrown.com/p/unsustainable-things-rarely-sustain">Josh Brown</a>. </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lrHC!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7c59ceb-0eca-447a-aa82-a3c497b064c9_1749x984.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lrHC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7c59ceb-0eca-447a-aa82-a3c497b064c9_1749x984.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lrHC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7c59ceb-0eca-447a-aa82-a3c497b064c9_1749x984.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lrHC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7c59ceb-0eca-447a-aa82-a3c497b064c9_1749x984.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lrHC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7c59ceb-0eca-447a-aa82-a3c497b064c9_1749x984.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lrHC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7c59ceb-0eca-447a-aa82-a3c497b064c9_1749x984.png" width="1456" height="819" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c7c59ceb-0eca-447a-aa82-a3c497b064c9_1749x984.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:819,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lrHC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7c59ceb-0eca-447a-aa82-a3c497b064c9_1749x984.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lrHC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7c59ceb-0eca-447a-aa82-a3c497b064c9_1749x984.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lrHC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7c59ceb-0eca-447a-aa82-a3c497b064c9_1749x984.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lrHC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7c59ceb-0eca-447a-aa82-a3c497b064c9_1749x984.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ According to <a href="https://www.acadian-asset.com/investment-insights/systematic-methods/misplaced-anxiety-a-reassessment-of-crowding-in-systematic-investing">Acadian</a>, fears of crowding in systematic strategies are misplaced (using the time before the 2007 &#8220;quant quake&#8221; as a benchmark for comparison).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xkMi!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc80b3b6b-d2d1-4d07-ab64-5df9edee2800_1353x629.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xkMi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc80b3b6b-d2d1-4d07-ab64-5df9edee2800_1353x629.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xkMi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc80b3b6b-d2d1-4d07-ab64-5df9edee2800_1353x629.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xkMi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc80b3b6b-d2d1-4d07-ab64-5df9edee2800_1353x629.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xkMi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc80b3b6b-d2d1-4d07-ab64-5df9edee2800_1353x629.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xkMi!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc80b3b6b-d2d1-4d07-ab64-5df9edee2800_1353x629.png" width="1353" height="629" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c80b3b6b-d2d1-4d07-ab64-5df9edee2800_1353x629.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:629,&quot;width&quot;:1353,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Figure 1: Generic factor market-excess returns &#8211; Pre-2007 versus recent years &quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Figure 1: Generic factor market-excess returns &#8211; Pre-2007 versus recent years " title="Figure 1: Generic factor market-excess returns &#8211; Pre-2007 versus recent years " srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xkMi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc80b3b6b-d2d1-4d07-ab64-5df9edee2800_1353x629.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xkMi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc80b3b6b-d2d1-4d07-ab64-5df9edee2800_1353x629.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xkMi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc80b3b6b-d2d1-4d07-ab64-5df9edee2800_1353x629.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xkMi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc80b3b6b-d2d1-4d07-ab64-5df9edee2800_1353x629.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The path of the Starwood Real Estate Income Trust looks likely to be repeated in other retail-oriented alternative vehicles.  (<em><a href="https://www.accreditedinsight.com/p/sreit-what-happens-when-you-buy-at">Accredited Investor Insights</a></em>:  &#8220;They were buying apartments at the top of the cycle, just as supply surged and interest rates were about to spike.&#8221;)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PxdX!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4686c9c4-b65e-4dcc-9f11-d68caa6e7268_805x597.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PxdX!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4686c9c4-b65e-4dcc-9f11-d68caa6e7268_805x597.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PxdX!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4686c9c4-b65e-4dcc-9f11-d68caa6e7268_805x597.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PxdX!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4686c9c4-b65e-4dcc-9f11-d68caa6e7268_805x597.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PxdX!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4686c9c4-b65e-4dcc-9f11-d68caa6e7268_805x597.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PxdX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4686c9c4-b65e-4dcc-9f11-d68caa6e7268_805x597.png" width="805" height="597" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4686c9c4-b65e-4dcc-9f11-d68caa6e7268_805x597.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PxdX!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4686c9c4-b65e-4dcc-9f11-d68caa6e7268_805x597.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PxdX!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4686c9c4-b65e-4dcc-9f11-d68caa6e7268_805x597.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PxdX!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4686c9c4-b65e-4dcc-9f11-d68caa6e7268_805x597.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ This <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2026-04-19/how-does-gen-z-feel-about-ai">Bloomberg</a></em> chart from a few weeks ago (&#8220;Gen Z Is Souring on AI,&#8221; using Gallup polling) presaged the booing of AI advocates giving college graduation speeches.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!I-8b!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24c8bf6c-76b1-4000-91e6-26e3b1b1e22d_852x332.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!I-8b!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24c8bf6c-76b1-4000-91e6-26e3b1b1e22d_852x332.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!I-8b!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24c8bf6c-76b1-4000-91e6-26e3b1b1e22d_852x332.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!I-8b!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24c8bf6c-76b1-4000-91e6-26e3b1b1e22d_852x332.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!I-8b!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24c8bf6c-76b1-4000-91e6-26e3b1b1e22d_852x332.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!I-8b!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24c8bf6c-76b1-4000-91e6-26e3b1b1e22d_852x332.png" width="852" height="332" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/24c8bf6c-76b1-4000-91e6-26e3b1b1e22d_852x332.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:332,&quot;width&quot;:852,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:55417,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/198322421?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24c8bf6c-76b1-4000-91e6-26e3b1b1e22d_852x332.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!I-8b!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24c8bf6c-76b1-4000-91e6-26e3b1b1e22d_852x332.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!I-8b!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24c8bf6c-76b1-4000-91e6-26e3b1b1e22d_852x332.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!I-8b!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24c8bf6c-76b1-4000-91e6-26e3b1b1e22d_852x332.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!I-8b!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F24c8bf6c-76b1-4000-91e6-26e3b1b1e22d_852x332.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p><em>Check out the latest Fortnightly selection of <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/05/11/the-ai-design-problem-in-the-weeds-and-voluntary-blindness/">curated reads</a> from around the investment ecosystem.</em></p><p></p><p></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Clippings 10 ~ Reflexivity]]></title><description><![CDATA[The wheels keep spinning in alternatives, credit, equities, spending, and even content creation.]]></description><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-10-reflexivity</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-10-reflexivity</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 07 May 2026 14:33:28 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g0jG!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4e5195a-7a28-448b-94d4-d9146736c640_943x652.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>~ The push for alternatives in retail is generating large paydays in the advisory channel (<em><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/dbc5aac7-fbfd-466a-aa46-bc562f249cec?syn-25a6b1a6=1">Financial Times</a></em>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g0jG!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4e5195a-7a28-448b-94d4-d9146736c640_943x652.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g0jG!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4e5195a-7a28-448b-94d4-d9146736c640_943x652.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g0jG!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4e5195a-7a28-448b-94d4-d9146736c640_943x652.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g0jG!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4e5195a-7a28-448b-94d4-d9146736c640_943x652.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g0jG!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4e5195a-7a28-448b-94d4-d9146736c640_943x652.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The credit cycle.  (<a href="https://verdadcap.com/archive/the-reflexivity-of-credit-markets">Verdad</a>, as found in &#8220;Reflexivity in Credit Markets,&#8221; Robin Greenwood, et al., <a href="https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=65875">Harvard Business School</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sAf1!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F87daec5f-1f73-44ab-83ca-091b83713687_988x565.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sAf1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F87daec5f-1f73-44ab-83ca-091b83713687_988x565.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sAf1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F87daec5f-1f73-44ab-83ca-091b83713687_988x565.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sAf1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F87daec5f-1f73-44ab-83ca-091b83713687_988x565.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sAf1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F87daec5f-1f73-44ab-83ca-091b83713687_988x565.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sAf1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F87daec5f-1f73-44ab-83ca-091b83713687_988x565.png" width="988" height="565" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/87daec5f-1f73-44ab-83ca-091b83713687_988x565.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:565,&quot;width&quot;:988,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:169974,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/196766541?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F87daec5f-1f73-44ab-83ca-091b83713687_988x565.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sAf1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F87daec5f-1f73-44ab-83ca-091b83713687_988x565.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sAf1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F87daec5f-1f73-44ab-83ca-091b83713687_988x565.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sAf1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F87daec5f-1f73-44ab-83ca-091b83713687_988x565.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sAf1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F87daec5f-1f73-44ab-83ca-091b83713687_988x565.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Will the divergence continue?  (John Authers, <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-04-16/iran-s-so-far-away-stocks-can-hit-a-record">Bloomberg</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-7pO!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff8c96e49-272b-4a93-ad99-0b5f432ccc73_839x527.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-7pO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff8c96e49-272b-4a93-ad99-0b5f432ccc73_839x527.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-7pO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff8c96e49-272b-4a93-ad99-0b5f432ccc73_839x527.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-7pO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff8c96e49-272b-4a93-ad99-0b5f432ccc73_839x527.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-7pO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff8c96e49-272b-4a93-ad99-0b5f432ccc73_839x527.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-7pO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff8c96e49-272b-4a93-ad99-0b5f432ccc73_839x527.png" width="839" height="527" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f8c96e49-272b-4a93-ad99-0b5f432ccc73_839x527.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:527,&quot;width&quot;:839,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:199273,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/196766541?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff8c96e49-272b-4a93-ad99-0b5f432ccc73_839x527.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-7pO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff8c96e49-272b-4a93-ad99-0b5f432ccc73_839x527.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-7pO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff8c96e49-272b-4a93-ad99-0b5f432ccc73_839x527.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-7pO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff8c96e49-272b-4a93-ad99-0b5f432ccc73_839x527.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-7pO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff8c96e49-272b-4a93-ad99-0b5f432ccc73_839x527.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Berkshire Hathaway keeps selling stocks . . . </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PEPg!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d4644ff-aaff-4d3f-9866-553eda3e4dfe_935x603.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PEPg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d4644ff-aaff-4d3f-9866-553eda3e4dfe_935x603.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PEPg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d4644ff-aaff-4d3f-9866-553eda3e4dfe_935x603.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PEPg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d4644ff-aaff-4d3f-9866-553eda3e4dfe_935x603.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PEPg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d4644ff-aaff-4d3f-9866-553eda3e4dfe_935x603.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PEPg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d4644ff-aaff-4d3f-9866-553eda3e4dfe_935x603.png" width="935" height="603" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4d4644ff-aaff-4d3f-9866-553eda3e4dfe_935x603.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:603,&quot;width&quot;:935,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:93074,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/196766541?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d4644ff-aaff-4d3f-9866-553eda3e4dfe_935x603.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PEPg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d4644ff-aaff-4d3f-9866-553eda3e4dfe_935x603.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PEPg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d4644ff-aaff-4d3f-9866-553eda3e4dfe_935x603.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PEPg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d4644ff-aaff-4d3f-9866-553eda3e4dfe_935x603.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PEPg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d4644ff-aaff-4d3f-9866-553eda3e4dfe_935x603.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption"></figcaption></figure></div><p>. . . and the cash pile gets bigger and bigger (both images from &#8220;Greg Abel leaves unanswered questions about Berkshire&#8217;s war chest,&#8221; <em><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/ab525fb8-6de1-4f2d-b37f-52f23ad48eac">Financial Times</a>)</em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c394!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c71d120-76ec-43c0-89c7-9e62b507fefe_937x600.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c394!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c71d120-76ec-43c0-89c7-9e62b507fefe_937x600.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c394!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c71d120-76ec-43c0-89c7-9e62b507fefe_937x600.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c394!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c71d120-76ec-43c0-89c7-9e62b507fefe_937x600.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c394!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c71d120-76ec-43c0-89c7-9e62b507fefe_937x600.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c394!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c71d120-76ec-43c0-89c7-9e62b507fefe_937x600.png" width="937" height="600" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0c71d120-76ec-43c0-89c7-9e62b507fefe_937x600.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:600,&quot;width&quot;:937,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:161275,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/196766541?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c71d120-76ec-43c0-89c7-9e62b507fefe_937x600.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c394!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c71d120-76ec-43c0-89c7-9e62b507fefe_937x600.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c394!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c71d120-76ec-43c0-89c7-9e62b507fefe_937x600.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c394!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c71d120-76ec-43c0-89c7-9e62b507fefe_937x600.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c394!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0c71d120-76ec-43c0-89c7-9e62b507fefe_937x600.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The scale and mix of KKR, via <em><a href="/__u/altgoesmainstream.substack.com/p/agm-alts-weekly-5326-alternative">Alt Goes Mainstream</a></em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vL2c!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0c71155-0bec-4eab-8103-2a3e5465a13e_1394x880.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vL2c!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0c71155-0bec-4eab-8103-2a3e5465a13e_1394x880.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vL2c!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0c71155-0bec-4eab-8103-2a3e5465a13e_1394x880.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vL2c!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0c71155-0bec-4eab-8103-2a3e5465a13e_1394x880.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vL2c!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0c71155-0bec-4eab-8103-2a3e5465a13e_1394x880.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vL2c!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0c71155-0bec-4eab-8103-2a3e5465a13e_1394x880.png" width="1394" height="880" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d0c71155-0bec-4eab-8103-2a3e5465a13e_1394x880.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:880,&quot;width&quot;:1394,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:106364,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/196766541?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0c71155-0bec-4eab-8103-2a3e5465a13e_1394x880.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vL2c!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0c71155-0bec-4eab-8103-2a3e5465a13e_1394x880.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vL2c!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0c71155-0bec-4eab-8103-2a3e5465a13e_1394x880.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vL2c!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0c71155-0bec-4eab-8103-2a3e5465a13e_1394x880.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vL2c!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0c71155-0bec-4eab-8103-2a3e5465a13e_1394x880.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ <a href="https://docsend.com/view/r7529dwrvpg3pufe">Arctos</a>: &#8220;New Fund? Get Ready for a Three-Year Slog&#8221; (North American and European buyout funds).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NHcX!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0d71cd3-bffb-449f-bac4-3549421dbfc0_477x342.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NHcX!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0d71cd3-bffb-449f-bac4-3549421dbfc0_477x342.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NHcX!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0d71cd3-bffb-449f-bac4-3549421dbfc0_477x342.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NHcX!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0d71cd3-bffb-449f-bac4-3549421dbfc0_477x342.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NHcX!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0d71cd3-bffb-449f-bac4-3549421dbfc0_477x342.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NHcX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0d71cd3-bffb-449f-bac4-3549421dbfc0_477x342.png" width="477" height="342" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a0d71cd3-bffb-449f-bac4-3549421dbfc0_477x342.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:342,&quot;width&quot;:477,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:35673,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/196766541?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0d71cd3-bffb-449f-bac4-3549421dbfc0_477x342.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NHcX!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0d71cd3-bffb-449f-bac4-3549421dbfc0_477x342.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NHcX!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0d71cd3-bffb-449f-bac4-3549421dbfc0_477x342.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NHcX!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0d71cd3-bffb-449f-bac4-3549421dbfc0_477x342.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NHcX!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa0d71cd3-bffb-449f-bac4-3549421dbfc0_477x342.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Treasury exposures by hedge funds (<em>Reuters</em>, via <em><a href="/__u/substack.com/@debtserious/note/c-254892137">Debt Serious</a></em>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jU9v!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7bc57db-3beb-485d-b875-8e9df6666ea6_917x480.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jU9v!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7bc57db-3beb-485d-b875-8e9df6666ea6_917x480.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jU9v!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7bc57db-3beb-485d-b875-8e9df6666ea6_917x480.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jU9v!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7bc57db-3beb-485d-b875-8e9df6666ea6_917x480.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jU9v!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7bc57db-3beb-485d-b875-8e9df6666ea6_917x480.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jU9v!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7bc57db-3beb-485d-b875-8e9df6666ea6_917x480.png" width="917" height="480" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c7bc57db-3beb-485d-b875-8e9df6666ea6_917x480.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:480,&quot;width&quot;:917,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:52591,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jU9v!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7bc57db-3beb-485d-b875-8e9df6666ea6_917x480.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jU9v!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7bc57db-3beb-485d-b875-8e9df6666ea6_917x480.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jU9v!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7bc57db-3beb-485d-b875-8e9df6666ea6_917x480.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jU9v!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7bc57db-3beb-485d-b875-8e9df6666ea6_917x480.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Recent deterioration in the U.S. savings rate (Spencer Jakab, <em><a href="https://trk.wsj.com/view/64d3991e856ebc3ad9520635r3oko.hyj/a2ead662">Bloomberg</a></em>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6nR!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F515051bb-a01e-4c63-a02f-3e7a6f358289_903x677.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6nR!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F515051bb-a01e-4c63-a02f-3e7a6f358289_903x677.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6nR!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F515051bb-a01e-4c63-a02f-3e7a6f358289_903x677.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6nR!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F515051bb-a01e-4c63-a02f-3e7a6f358289_903x677.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6nR!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F515051bb-a01e-4c63-a02f-3e7a6f358289_903x677.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6nR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F515051bb-a01e-4c63-a02f-3e7a6f358289_903x677.png" width="903" height="677" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/515051bb-a01e-4c63-a02f-3e7a6f358289_903x677.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:677,&quot;width&quot;:903,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:65449,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/196766541?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F515051bb-a01e-4c63-a02f-3e7a6f358289_903x677.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6nR!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F515051bb-a01e-4c63-a02f-3e7a6f358289_903x677.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6nR!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F515051bb-a01e-4c63-a02f-3e7a6f358289_903x677.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6nR!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F515051bb-a01e-4c63-a02f-3e7a6f358289_903x677.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6nR!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F515051bb-a01e-4c63-a02f-3e7a6f358289_903x677.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Can AI use conference call text to generate better returns?  (From &#8220;Large Language Models for Asset Pricing: Learning from Earnings Calls, <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6712298">Yizhong Zhang and Guofu Zhou</a>, via <em><a href="/__u/substack.com/@quantitativo/note/c-253874660?r=r2jl&amp;utm_medium=ios&amp;utm_source=notes-share-action">Quantitativo</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tvnc!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd11aec31-7f56-4842-a9ea-7cdf57d76fc9_2710x1648.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tvnc!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd11aec31-7f56-4842-a9ea-7cdf57d76fc9_2710x1648.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tvnc!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd11aec31-7f56-4842-a9ea-7cdf57d76fc9_2710x1648.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tvnc!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd11aec31-7f56-4842-a9ea-7cdf57d76fc9_2710x1648.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tvnc!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd11aec31-7f56-4842-a9ea-7cdf57d76fc9_2710x1648.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tvnc!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd11aec31-7f56-4842-a9ea-7cdf57d76fc9_2710x1648.png" width="2710" height="1648" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d11aec31-7f56-4842-a9ea-7cdf57d76fc9_2710x1648.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1648,&quot;width&quot;:2710,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:388992,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tvnc!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd11aec31-7f56-4842-a9ea-7cdf57d76fc9_2710x1648.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tvnc!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd11aec31-7f56-4842-a9ea-7cdf57d76fc9_2710x1648.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tvnc!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd11aec31-7f56-4842-a9ea-7cdf57d76fc9_2710x1648.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tvnc!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd11aec31-7f56-4842-a9ea-7cdf57d76fc9_2710x1648.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ &#8220;Thought leadership,&#8221; from Tom Fishburne, <em><a href="https://marketoonist.com/2026/05/content-about-content-about-content.html">Marketoonist</a></em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IwSf!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F63e10e7f-ca96-4026-bd25-001c5cdc2d9b_840x613.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IwSf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F63e10e7f-ca96-4026-bd25-001c5cdc2d9b_840x613.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IwSf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F63e10e7f-ca96-4026-bd25-001c5cdc2d9b_840x613.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IwSf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F63e10e7f-ca96-4026-bd25-001c5cdc2d9b_840x613.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IwSf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F63e10e7f-ca96-4026-bd25-001c5cdc2d9b_840x613.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IwSf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F63e10e7f-ca96-4026-bd25-001c5cdc2d9b_840x613.png" width="840" height="613" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/63e10e7f-ca96-4026-bd25-001c5cdc2d9b_840x613.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:613,&quot;width&quot;:840,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:295597,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/196766541?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F63e10e7f-ca96-4026-bd25-001c5cdc2d9b_840x613.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IwSf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F63e10e7f-ca96-4026-bd25-001c5cdc2d9b_840x613.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IwSf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F63e10e7f-ca96-4026-bd25-001c5cdc2d9b_840x613.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IwSf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F63e10e7f-ca96-4026-bd25-001c5cdc2d9b_840x613.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IwSf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F63e10e7f-ca96-4026-bd25-001c5cdc2d9b_840x613.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p><em>Interested in private equity?  This is a <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/04/25/private-equity-at-the-crossroads/">must read</a>.</em></p><p><em>Also on the main site, the most recent Fortnightly of <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/04/27/the-pull-of-consensus-the-repocalypse-and-competitive-advantage/">investment ideas</a>.</em></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Clippings 9 ~ Eating the asset class]]></title><description><![CDATA[Technology concerns, zombie funds, shuffling loans, small-staffed unicorns, and spending policies. (And cherry blossoms!)]]></description><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-9-eating-the-asset-class</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-9-eating-the-asset-class</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 20 Apr 2026 20:28:57 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5scB!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1abefc55-8ac5-404e-8da5-95b63bbbf153_797x553.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>~ While software exposure in private credit has gotten a lot of attention, around 50% of the exposure in the three main private equity categories comes from software and technology services . . .  </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5scB!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1abefc55-8ac5-404e-8da5-95b63bbbf153_797x553.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5scB!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1abefc55-8ac5-404e-8da5-95b63bbbf153_797x553.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5scB!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1abefc55-8ac5-404e-8da5-95b63bbbf153_797x553.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5scB!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1abefc55-8ac5-404e-8da5-95b63bbbf153_797x553.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5scB!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1abefc55-8ac5-404e-8da5-95b63bbbf153_797x553.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5scB!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1abefc55-8ac5-404e-8da5-95b63bbbf153_797x553.png" width="797" height="553" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1abefc55-8ac5-404e-8da5-95b63bbbf153_797x553.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:553,&quot;width&quot;:797,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:72941,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/194645100?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1abefc55-8ac5-404e-8da5-95b63bbbf153_797x553.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5scB!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1abefc55-8ac5-404e-8da5-95b63bbbf153_797x553.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5scB!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1abefc55-8ac5-404e-8da5-95b63bbbf153_797x553.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5scB!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1abefc55-8ac5-404e-8da5-95b63bbbf153_797x553.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5scB!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1abefc55-8ac5-404e-8da5-95b63bbbf153_797x553.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>. . . with the number of deals heavily weighted toward venture.  (Both charts via <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-09/private-markets-software-pain-is-about-to-get-a-lot-worse">Bloomberg</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQnk!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb1e8cdd-bb41-4064-93e7-723c21d6fed5_784x518.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQnk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb1e8cdd-bb41-4064-93e7-723c21d6fed5_784x518.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQnk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb1e8cdd-bb41-4064-93e7-723c21d6fed5_784x518.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQnk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb1e8cdd-bb41-4064-93e7-723c21d6fed5_784x518.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQnk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb1e8cdd-bb41-4064-93e7-723c21d6fed5_784x518.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQnk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb1e8cdd-bb41-4064-93e7-723c21d6fed5_784x518.png" width="784" height="518" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/bb1e8cdd-bb41-4064-93e7-723c21d6fed5_784x518.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:518,&quot;width&quot;:784,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:42215,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/194645100?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb1e8cdd-bb41-4064-93e7-723c21d6fed5_784x518.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQnk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb1e8cdd-bb41-4064-93e7-723c21d6fed5_784x518.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQnk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb1e8cdd-bb41-4064-93e7-723c21d6fed5_784x518.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQnk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb1e8cdd-bb41-4064-93e7-723c21d6fed5_784x518.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uQnk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb1e8cdd-bb41-4064-93e7-723c21d6fed5_784x518.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The &#8220;velocity of returned capital&#8221; for buyout funds, by quartile.  (From &#8220;Have You Seen The Dead Walking?&#8221; by <a href="https://upwellingcapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Have-You-Seen-The-Dead-Walking.pdf">Upwelling Capital Group</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JzhH!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F807d4f4b-c783-4a5a-b00a-b22586d297e2_889x396.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JzhH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/807d4f4b-c783-4a5a-b00a-b22586d297e2_889x396.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:396,&quot;width&quot;:889,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:70755,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/194645100?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F807d4f4b-c783-4a5a-b00a-b22586d297e2_889x396.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JzhH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F807d4f4b-c783-4a5a-b00a-b22586d297e2_889x396.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JzhH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F807d4f4b-c783-4a5a-b00a-b22586d297e2_889x396.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JzhH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F807d4f4b-c783-4a5a-b00a-b22586d297e2_889x396.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JzhH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F807d4f4b-c783-4a5a-b00a-b22586d297e2_889x396.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ From &#8220;The Vanishing: How BDCs Disappear Bad Loans&#8221; by <a href="/__u/roddubitsky.substack.com/p/the-vanishing-how-bdcs-disappear">Rod Dubitsky</a>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Myn7!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2aa03b42-e454-49b8-b1a9-c7b5efc6773e_1040x1028.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Myn7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2aa03b42-e454-49b8-b1a9-c7b5efc6773e_1040x1028.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Myn7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2aa03b42-e454-49b8-b1a9-c7b5efc6773e_1040x1028.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Myn7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2aa03b42-e454-49b8-b1a9-c7b5efc6773e_1040x1028.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Myn7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2aa03b42-e454-49b8-b1a9-c7b5efc6773e_1040x1028.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Myn7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2aa03b42-e454-49b8-b1a9-c7b5efc6773e_1040x1028.png" width="1040" height="1028" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2aa03b42-e454-49b8-b1a9-c7b5efc6773e_1040x1028.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1028,&quot;width&quot;:1040,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Myn7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2aa03b42-e454-49b8-b1a9-c7b5efc6773e_1040x1028.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Myn7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2aa03b42-e454-49b8-b1a9-c7b5efc6773e_1040x1028.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Myn7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2aa03b42-e454-49b8-b1a9-c7b5efc6773e_1040x1028.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Myn7!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2aa03b42-e454-49b8-b1a9-c7b5efc6773e_1040x1028.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Why are foreign central banks reducing their holdings of Treasuries at the New York Fed?  (<em><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/1c4189e9-36af-4779-b862-d868cf2aff76">Financial Times</a>.</em>)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8qLO!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6873a88-8f8f-424f-9de3-453845ddd742_867x550.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8qLO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6873a88-8f8f-424f-9de3-453845ddd742_867x550.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8qLO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6873a88-8f8f-424f-9de3-453845ddd742_867x550.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8qLO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6873a88-8f8f-424f-9de3-453845ddd742_867x550.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8qLO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6873a88-8f8f-424f-9de3-453845ddd742_867x550.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8qLO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6873a88-8f8f-424f-9de3-453845ddd742_867x550.png" width="867" height="550" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d6873a88-8f8f-424f-9de3-453845ddd742_867x550.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:550,&quot;width&quot;:867,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8qLO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6873a88-8f8f-424f-9de3-453845ddd742_867x550.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8qLO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6873a88-8f8f-424f-9de3-453845ddd742_867x550.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8qLO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6873a88-8f8f-424f-9de3-453845ddd742_867x550.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8qLO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6873a88-8f8f-424f-9de3-453845ddd742_867x550.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The US and the UK were quite similar in industry composition in 1900, but there are huge differences today.  (<a href="https://www.ubs.com/content/dam/assets/wm/static/cio/documents/giry2026-summary-public.pdf">UBS</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!43KQ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf1e8deb-dfa3-4cab-be95-d4610c0e4d01_899x685.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!43KQ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf1e8deb-dfa3-4cab-be95-d4610c0e4d01_899x685.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!43KQ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf1e8deb-dfa3-4cab-be95-d4610c0e4d01_899x685.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!43KQ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf1e8deb-dfa3-4cab-be95-d4610c0e4d01_899x685.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!43KQ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf1e8deb-dfa3-4cab-be95-d4610c0e4d01_899x685.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!43KQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf1e8deb-dfa3-4cab-be95-d4610c0e4d01_899x685.png" width="899" height="685" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/bf1e8deb-dfa3-4cab-be95-d4610c0e4d01_899x685.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:685,&quot;width&quot;:899,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:163300,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/194645100?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf1e8deb-dfa3-4cab-be95-d4610c0e4d01_899x685.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!43KQ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf1e8deb-dfa3-4cab-be95-d4610c0e4d01_899x685.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!43KQ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf1e8deb-dfa3-4cab-be95-d4610c0e4d01_899x685.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!43KQ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf1e8deb-dfa3-4cab-be95-d4610c0e4d01_899x685.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!43KQ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf1e8deb-dfa3-4cab-be95-d4610c0e4d01_899x685.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Flows have gone away from traditional active &#8212; in two directions.  (&#8220;US Asset Managers,&#8221; Greggory Warren, <a href="https://www.morningstar.com/business/insights/research/us-asset-manager-landscape">Morningstar</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wCio!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc15d2b09-e1ca-4fe2-a354-9f0da6404cd7_1027x394.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wCio!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc15d2b09-e1ca-4fe2-a354-9f0da6404cd7_1027x394.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wCio!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc15d2b09-e1ca-4fe2-a354-9f0da6404cd7_1027x394.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wCio!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc15d2b09-e1ca-4fe2-a354-9f0da6404cd7_1027x394.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wCio!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc15d2b09-e1ca-4fe2-a354-9f0da6404cd7_1027x394.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wCio!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc15d2b09-e1ca-4fe2-a354-9f0da6404cd7_1027x394.png" width="1027" height="394" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c15d2b09-e1ca-4fe2-a354-9f0da6404cd7_1027x394.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:394,&quot;width&quot;:1027,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:119629,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/194645100?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc15d2b09-e1ca-4fe2-a354-9f0da6404cd7_1027x394.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wCio!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc15d2b09-e1ca-4fe2-a354-9f0da6404cd7_1027x394.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wCio!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc15d2b09-e1ca-4fe2-a354-9f0da6404cd7_1027x394.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wCio!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc15d2b09-e1ca-4fe2-a354-9f0da6404cd7_1027x394.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wCio!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc15d2b09-e1ca-4fe2-a354-9f0da6404cd7_1027x394.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Not nearly as many &#8220;unicorns&#8221; are being minted these days, but the real eye-opener is the plunge in the average number of employees when they are so anointed.  (<em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-04-16/ai-startups-could-the-era-of-the-solo-unicorn-be-near">Bloomberg</a>.</em>)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hicm!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2482a38b-9a5e-433d-b3fb-e4060362096b_865x482.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hicm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2482a38b-9a5e-433d-b3fb-e4060362096b_865x482.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hicm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2482a38b-9a5e-433d-b3fb-e4060362096b_865x482.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hicm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2482a38b-9a5e-433d-b3fb-e4060362096b_865x482.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hicm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2482a38b-9a5e-433d-b3fb-e4060362096b_865x482.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hicm!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2482a38b-9a5e-433d-b3fb-e4060362096b_865x482.png" width="865" height="482" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2482a38b-9a5e-433d-b3fb-e4060362096b_865x482.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:482,&quot;width&quot;:865,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:78977,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/194645100?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2482a38b-9a5e-433d-b3fb-e4060362096b_865x482.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hicm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2482a38b-9a5e-433d-b3fb-e4060362096b_865x482.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hicm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2482a38b-9a5e-433d-b3fb-e4060362096b_865x482.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hicm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2482a38b-9a5e-433d-b3fb-e4060362096b_865x482.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hicm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2482a38b-9a5e-433d-b3fb-e4060362096b_865x482.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ After four decades, the trend to lower rates was broken, causing dislocations in the housing market.  (<a href="https://www.apolloacademy.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/US-housing-market-033026_v2.pdf">Apollo</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QNof!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0df83d2b-da27-49b0-9f44-b57e92088836_1043x392.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QNof!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0df83d2b-da27-49b0-9f44-b57e92088836_1043x392.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QNof!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0df83d2b-da27-49b0-9f44-b57e92088836_1043x392.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QNof!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0df83d2b-da27-49b0-9f44-b57e92088836_1043x392.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QNof!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0df83d2b-da27-49b0-9f44-b57e92088836_1043x392.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QNof!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0df83d2b-da27-49b0-9f44-b57e92088836_1043x392.png" width="1043" height="392" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0df83d2b-da27-49b0-9f44-b57e92088836_1043x392.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:392,&quot;width&quot;:1043,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:98000,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/194645100?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0df83d2b-da27-49b0-9f44-b57e92088836_1043x392.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QNof!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0df83d2b-da27-49b0-9f44-b57e92088836_1043x392.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QNof!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0df83d2b-da27-49b0-9f44-b57e92088836_1043x392.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QNof!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0df83d2b-da27-49b0-9f44-b57e92088836_1043x392.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QNof!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0df83d2b-da27-49b0-9f44-b57e92088836_1043x392.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ A critical governance decision, from &#8220;Endowment Spend Policy: Why Methodology Matters,&#8221; by Anne Duggan of <a href="https://www.tiff.org/endowment-spend-policy-why-methodology-matters/">TIFF</a>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DhlL!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f7560d2-f2c5-4f48-a771-76976bcc587b_875x416.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DhlL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f7560d2-f2c5-4f48-a771-76976bcc587b_875x416.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DhlL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f7560d2-f2c5-4f48-a771-76976bcc587b_875x416.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DhlL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f7560d2-f2c5-4f48-a771-76976bcc587b_875x416.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DhlL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f7560d2-f2c5-4f48-a771-76976bcc587b_875x416.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DhlL!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f7560d2-f2c5-4f48-a771-76976bcc587b_875x416.png" width="875" height="416" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7f7560d2-f2c5-4f48-a771-76976bcc587b_875x416.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:416,&quot;width&quot;:875,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:117265,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/194645100?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f7560d2-f2c5-4f48-a771-76976bcc587b_875x416.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DhlL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f7560d2-f2c5-4f48-a771-76976bcc587b_875x416.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DhlL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f7560d2-f2c5-4f48-a771-76976bcc587b_875x416.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DhlL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f7560d2-f2c5-4f48-a771-76976bcc587b_875x416.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DhlL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f7560d2-f2c5-4f48-a771-76976bcc587b_875x416.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ &#8220;For more than 1,200 years, Japanese noblemen, monks and bureaucrats have carefully recorded one of the most eagerly awaited days of the year . . .&#8221;  (<em><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/17/climate/japan-cherry-blossom-database-scientist.html">New York Times</a>.</em>)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Acco!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5981b30e-e08c-4551-981d-dd38325286f9_900x693.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Acco!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5981b30e-e08c-4551-981d-dd38325286f9_900x693.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Acco!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5981b30e-e08c-4551-981d-dd38325286f9_900x693.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Acco!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5981b30e-e08c-4551-981d-dd38325286f9_900x693.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Acco!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5981b30e-e08c-4551-981d-dd38325286f9_900x693.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Acco!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5981b30e-e08c-4551-981d-dd38325286f9_900x693.png" width="900" height="693" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5981b30e-e08c-4551-981d-dd38325286f9_900x693.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:693,&quot;width&quot;:900,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:133365,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/194645100?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5981b30e-e08c-4551-981d-dd38325286f9_900x693.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Acco!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5981b30e-e08c-4551-981d-dd38325286f9_900x693.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Acco!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5981b30e-e08c-4551-981d-dd38325286f9_900x693.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Acco!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5981b30e-e08c-4551-981d-dd38325286f9_900x693.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Acco!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5981b30e-e08c-4551-981d-dd38325286f9_900x693.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p><em>The April 13 <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/04/13/the-self-driving-portfolio-the-spreadsheet-challenge-and-the-problem-with-brainstorming/">Fortnightly</a> featured an example of a &#8220;self-driving portfolio,&#8221; the spreadsheet challenge for AI, the problem with brainstorming, pros and cons re: private credit, a certain risk mindset, and a bunch of other great reads.</em></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Clippings 8 ~ Pricing things]]></title><description><![CDATA[Pipeline inflation, credit culture, LP secondaries, the interval fund prisoner's dilemma, and other important ideas.]]></description><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-8-pricing-things</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-8-pricing-things</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 07 Apr 2026 15:39:44 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4A9!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c997e0e-5103-4aad-a8be-55a43202c14e_725x489.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>~ &#8220;The market has priced crude. It has not priced the cascade beneath it.&#8221; - <a href="https://www.campbellramble.ai/p/the-cascade">Alexander Campbell</a>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4A9!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c997e0e-5103-4aad-a8be-55a43202c14e_725x489.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4A9!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c997e0e-5103-4aad-a8be-55a43202c14e_725x489.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4A9!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c997e0e-5103-4aad-a8be-55a43202c14e_725x489.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4A9!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c997e0e-5103-4aad-a8be-55a43202c14e_725x489.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4A9!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c997e0e-5103-4aad-a8be-55a43202c14e_725x489.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4A9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c997e0e-5103-4aad-a8be-55a43202c14e_725x489.png" width="725" height="489" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2c997e0e-5103-4aad-a8be-55a43202c14e_725x489.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:489,&quot;width&quot;:725,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:360322,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/193355890?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c997e0e-5103-4aad-a8be-55a43202c14e_725x489.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4A9!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c997e0e-5103-4aad-a8be-55a43202c14e_725x489.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4A9!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c997e0e-5103-4aad-a8be-55a43202c14e_725x489.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4A9!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c997e0e-5103-4aad-a8be-55a43202c14e_725x489.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4A9!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c997e0e-5103-4aad-a8be-55a43202c14e_725x489.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Also, computer memory prices have skyrocketed (<a href="https://paulkedrosky.com/buyer-panic-as-memory-price-records-smashed/">Paul Kedrosky</a>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4Nj2!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6bfcc212-a6f7-4200-bfa1-90eeead70782_1386x1316.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4Nj2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6bfcc212-a6f7-4200-bfa1-90eeead70782_1386x1316.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4Nj2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6bfcc212-a6f7-4200-bfa1-90eeead70782_1386x1316.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4Nj2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6bfcc212-a6f7-4200-bfa1-90eeead70782_1386x1316.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4Nj2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6bfcc212-a6f7-4200-bfa1-90eeead70782_1386x1316.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4Nj2!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6bfcc212-a6f7-4200-bfa1-90eeead70782_1386x1316.jpeg" width="1386" height="1316" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6bfcc212-a6f7-4200-bfa1-90eeead70782_1386x1316.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1316,&quot;width&quot;:1386,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4Nj2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6bfcc212-a6f7-4200-bfa1-90eeead70782_1386x1316.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4Nj2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6bfcc212-a6f7-4200-bfa1-90eeead70782_1386x1316.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4Nj2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6bfcc212-a6f7-4200-bfa1-90eeead70782_1386x1316.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4Nj2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6bfcc212-a6f7-4200-bfa1-90eeead70782_1386x1316.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ A matrix for thinking about the credit culture of lenders, based upon the orientations of those doing the originating and those doing the underwriting.  (<em><a href="/__u/debtserious.substack.com/p/round-37-credit-culture-inside-the">Debt Serious</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G87D!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fccd0a9b9-115c-4cea-b56e-649306ca0668_681x306.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G87D!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fccd0a9b9-115c-4cea-b56e-649306ca0668_681x306.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G87D!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fccd0a9b9-115c-4cea-b56e-649306ca0668_681x306.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G87D!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fccd0a9b9-115c-4cea-b56e-649306ca0668_681x306.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G87D!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fccd0a9b9-115c-4cea-b56e-649306ca0668_681x306.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G87D!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fccd0a9b9-115c-4cea-b56e-649306ca0668_681x306.png" width="681" height="306" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ccd0a9b9-115c-4cea-b56e-649306ca0668_681x306.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:306,&quot;width&quot;:681,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:400726,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/193355890?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fccd0a9b9-115c-4cea-b56e-649306ca0668_681x306.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G87D!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fccd0a9b9-115c-4cea-b56e-649306ca0668_681x306.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G87D!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fccd0a9b9-115c-4cea-b56e-649306ca0668_681x306.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G87D!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fccd0a9b9-115c-4cea-b56e-649306ca0668_681x306.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G87D!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fccd0a9b9-115c-4cea-b56e-649306ca0668_681x306.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Prices relative to net asset value for limited partner secondary sales during 2025, via <a href="https://www.jefferies.com/insights/the-big-picture/2025-global-secondary-market-review-another-record-breaking-year/">Jefferies</a>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xLn9!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F283b793d-8a48-4376-8637-7f6e3b74d472_773x336.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xLn9!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F283b793d-8a48-4376-8637-7f6e3b74d472_773x336.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xLn9!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F283b793d-8a48-4376-8637-7f6e3b74d472_773x336.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xLn9!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F283b793d-8a48-4376-8637-7f6e3b74d472_773x336.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xLn9!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F283b793d-8a48-4376-8637-7f6e3b74d472_773x336.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xLn9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F283b793d-8a48-4376-8637-7f6e3b74d472_773x336.png" width="773" height="336" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/283b793d-8a48-4376-8637-7f6e3b74d472_773x336.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:336,&quot;width&quot;:773,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:160195,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/193355890?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F17c1dd58-503f-4afb-a174-47aa6d2847d2_773x340.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xLn9!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F283b793d-8a48-4376-8637-7f6e3b74d472_773x336.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xLn9!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F283b793d-8a48-4376-8637-7f6e3b74d472_773x336.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xLn9!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F283b793d-8a48-4376-8637-7f6e3b74d472_773x336.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xLn9!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F283b793d-8a48-4376-8637-7f6e3b74d472_773x336.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Do you think annual reports should be long and detailed or short and sweet?  (<em><a href="https://trk.wsj.com/view/64d3991e856ebc3ad9520635qq516.nd1/d571ed5d">Wall Street Journal</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U1AW!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F54a20622-7fc2-4d54-be78-91811d797ee3_757x592.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U1AW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F54a20622-7fc2-4d54-be78-91811d797ee3_757x592.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U1AW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F54a20622-7fc2-4d54-be78-91811d797ee3_757x592.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U1AW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F54a20622-7fc2-4d54-be78-91811d797ee3_757x592.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U1AW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F54a20622-7fc2-4d54-be78-91811d797ee3_757x592.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U1AW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F54a20622-7fc2-4d54-be78-91811d797ee3_757x592.png" width="757" height="592" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/54a20622-7fc2-4d54-be78-91811d797ee3_757x592.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:592,&quot;width&quot;:757,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:69315,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/193355890?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F54a20622-7fc2-4d54-be78-91811d797ee3_757x592.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U1AW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F54a20622-7fc2-4d54-be78-91811d797ee3_757x592.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U1AW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F54a20622-7fc2-4d54-be78-91811d797ee3_757x592.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U1AW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F54a20622-7fc2-4d54-be78-91811d797ee3_757x592.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U1AW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F54a20622-7fc2-4d54-be78-91811d797ee3_757x592.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Analysts are forecasting a rebound in margins from the 2025 decline (&#8220;Sell-side signals short-term pain, long-term gain,&#8221; <a href="https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/research/2026/02/sell-side-signals-short-term-pain-long-term-gain">S&amp;P Global</a>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!i454!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F92ef4afd-f975-422b-b618-f364deb1eff2_1082x512.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!i454!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F92ef4afd-f975-422b-b618-f364deb1eff2_1082x512.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!i454!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F92ef4afd-f975-422b-b618-f364deb1eff2_1082x512.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!i454!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F92ef4afd-f975-422b-b618-f364deb1eff2_1082x512.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!i454!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F92ef4afd-f975-422b-b618-f364deb1eff2_1082x512.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!i454!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F92ef4afd-f975-422b-b618-f364deb1eff2_1082x512.png" width="1082" height="512" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/92ef4afd-f975-422b-b618-f364deb1eff2_1082x512.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:512,&quot;width&quot;:1082,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:311260,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/193355890?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5265b34b-2eb2-49f7-85f7-6bea98421578_1085x567.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!i454!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F92ef4afd-f975-422b-b618-f364deb1eff2_1082x512.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!i454!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F92ef4afd-f975-422b-b618-f364deb1eff2_1082x512.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!i454!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F92ef4afd-f975-422b-b618-f364deb1eff2_1082x512.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!i454!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F92ef4afd-f975-422b-b618-f364deb1eff2_1082x512.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The S&amp;P multiple has dropped as it did in response to Trump&#8217;s tariff announcement a year ago, but strong earnings have led to less of a price drop.  (<em><a href="https://bsky.app/profile/dailychartbook.bsky.social/post/3mivhsfw6t52v">Daily Chartbook</a></em>, based on a chart from <em><a href="/__u/dualityresearch.substack.com/p/the-quiet-signals-tracking-early">Duality Research</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gGtN!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01765ff9-9b48-4881-9942-d942e599217b_997x480.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gGtN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01765ff9-9b48-4881-9942-d942e599217b_997x480.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gGtN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01765ff9-9b48-4881-9942-d942e599217b_997x480.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gGtN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01765ff9-9b48-4881-9942-d942e599217b_997x480.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gGtN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01765ff9-9b48-4881-9942-d942e599217b_997x480.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gGtN!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01765ff9-9b48-4881-9942-d942e599217b_997x480.webp" width="997" height="480" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/01765ff9-9b48-4881-9942-d942e599217b_997x480.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:480,&quot;width&quot;:997,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:33560,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gGtN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01765ff9-9b48-4881-9942-d942e599217b_997x480.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gGtN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01765ff9-9b48-4881-9942-d942e599217b_997x480.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gGtN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01765ff9-9b48-4881-9942-d942e599217b_997x480.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gGtN!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01765ff9-9b48-4881-9942-d942e599217b_997x480.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ For the third year running, asset owners have seen private equity lag public equity.  Here are the numbers for some of the big Canadian plans (<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-24/soaring-stocks-boosted-canada-s-crown-jewel-pensions-amid-pe-rut">Bloomberg</a>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xg1m!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb01ba880-ae19-491e-be25-c15ca18b886e_792x444.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xg1m!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb01ba880-ae19-491e-be25-c15ca18b886e_792x444.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xg1m!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb01ba880-ae19-491e-be25-c15ca18b886e_792x444.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xg1m!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb01ba880-ae19-491e-be25-c15ca18b886e_792x444.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xg1m!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb01ba880-ae19-491e-be25-c15ca18b886e_792x444.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xg1m!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb01ba880-ae19-491e-be25-c15ca18b886e_792x444.png" width="792" height="444" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b01ba880-ae19-491e-be25-c15ca18b886e_792x444.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:444,&quot;width&quot;:792,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:40640,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/193355890?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb01ba880-ae19-491e-be25-c15ca18b886e_792x444.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xg1m!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb01ba880-ae19-491e-be25-c15ca18b886e_792x444.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xg1m!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb01ba880-ae19-491e-be25-c15ca18b886e_792x444.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xg1m!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb01ba880-ae19-491e-be25-c15ca18b886e_792x444.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xg1m!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb01ba880-ae19-491e-be25-c15ca18b886e_792x444.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The hyperscalers have altered the investment grade universe (Torsten Slok, <a href="https://www.apolloacademy.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/OutlookForPublicAndPrivateMarkets_040526.pdf">Apollo Global</a>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bJV2!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c3222e3-0e10-46cb-8985-74f1bb39c749_1826x822.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bJV2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c3222e3-0e10-46cb-8985-74f1bb39c749_1826x822.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bJV2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c3222e3-0e10-46cb-8985-74f1bb39c749_1826x822.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bJV2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c3222e3-0e10-46cb-8985-74f1bb39c749_1826x822.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bJV2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c3222e3-0e10-46cb-8985-74f1bb39c749_1826x822.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bJV2!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c3222e3-0e10-46cb-8985-74f1bb39c749_1826x822.png" width="1456" height="655" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6c3222e3-0e10-46cb-8985-74f1bb39c749_1826x822.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:655,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:217791,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/193355890?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c3222e3-0e10-46cb-8985-74f1bb39c749_1826x822.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bJV2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c3222e3-0e10-46cb-8985-74f1bb39c749_1826x822.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bJV2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c3222e3-0e10-46cb-8985-74f1bb39c749_1826x822.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bJV2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c3222e3-0e10-46cb-8985-74f1bb39c749_1826x822.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bJV2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6c3222e3-0e10-46cb-8985-74f1bb39c749_1826x822.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The prisoner&#8217;s dilemma for interval investors and their advisors.  (Leyla Kunimoto of <em>Accredited Investor Insights</em>, via <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/posts/lkunimoto_the-redemption-decision-is-a-textbook-prisoners-activity-7442606992441126912-Ivdc/">LinkedIn</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hgg!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ded5169-b9d1-4645-a9e7-63fb5795f041_800x470.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hgg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ded5169-b9d1-4645-a9e7-63fb5795f041_800x470.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hgg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ded5169-b9d1-4645-a9e7-63fb5795f041_800x470.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hgg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ded5169-b9d1-4645-a9e7-63fb5795f041_800x470.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hgg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ded5169-b9d1-4645-a9e7-63fb5795f041_800x470.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hgg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ded5169-b9d1-4645-a9e7-63fb5795f041_800x470.jpeg" width="800" height="470" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/9ded5169-b9d1-4645-a9e7-63fb5795f041_800x470.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:470,&quot;width&quot;:800,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:81873,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;No alternative text description for this image&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="No alternative text description for this image" title="No alternative text description for this image" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hgg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ded5169-b9d1-4645-a9e7-63fb5795f041_800x470.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hgg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ded5169-b9d1-4645-a9e7-63fb5795f041_800x470.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hgg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ded5169-b9d1-4645-a9e7-63fb5795f041_800x470.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-hgg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ded5169-b9d1-4645-a9e7-63fb5795f041_800x470.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ &#8220;The United States is the only place we surveyed where more adults (ages 18 and older) describe the morality and ethics of others living in the country as bad (53%) than as good (47%).&#8221; - <a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/2026/03/05/in-25-country-survey-americans-especially-likely-to-view-fellow-citizens-as-morally-bad/">Pew Research</a>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Uj3!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5140f06a-941f-4a1e-b037-2189f6a5a853_731x1110.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Uj3!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5140f06a-941f-4a1e-b037-2189f6a5a853_731x1110.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Uj3!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5140f06a-941f-4a1e-b037-2189f6a5a853_731x1110.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Uj3!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5140f06a-941f-4a1e-b037-2189f6a5a853_731x1110.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Uj3!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5140f06a-941f-4a1e-b037-2189f6a5a853_731x1110.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Uj3!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5140f06a-941f-4a1e-b037-2189f6a5a853_731x1110.png" width="731" height="1110" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5140f06a-941f-4a1e-b037-2189f6a5a853_731x1110.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1110,&quot;width&quot;:731,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:950683,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/193355890?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5140f06a-941f-4a1e-b037-2189f6a5a853_731x1110.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Uj3!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5140f06a-941f-4a1e-b037-2189f6a5a853_731x1110.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Uj3!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5140f06a-941f-4a1e-b037-2189f6a5a853_731x1110.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Uj3!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5140f06a-941f-4a1e-b037-2189f6a5a853_731x1110.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Uj3!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5140f06a-941f-4a1e-b037-2189f6a5a853_731x1110.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p><em>The most recent Fortnightly of <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/03/30/rewiring-the-ecosystem-eyes-on-insurance-and-fundsmith-et-al/">great reads</a> on the main site featured sections on rewiring the ecosystem, eyes on private credit in insurance portfolios, Fundsmith (and other &#8220;structurally active&#8221; managers, overconfidence, the diligence environment, and many other interesting topics. </em></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Clippings 7 ~ Straight up]]></title><description><![CDATA[Great charts on oil, fixed income, pod shops, corporate investment, emerging manager performance, and much more.]]></description><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clipping-7-straight-up</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clipping-7-straight-up</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 23 Mar 2026 20:47:08 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pke6!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22368d02-19d8-428b-929a-6cf5e885abb9_832x384.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>~ The price at the pump (<a href="https://www.gasbuddy.com/charts">GasBuddy</a>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pke6!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22368d02-19d8-428b-929a-6cf5e885abb9_832x384.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pke6!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22368d02-19d8-428b-929a-6cf5e885abb9_832x384.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pke6!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22368d02-19d8-428b-929a-6cf5e885abb9_832x384.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pke6!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22368d02-19d8-428b-929a-6cf5e885abb9_832x384.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pke6!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22368d02-19d8-428b-929a-6cf5e885abb9_832x384.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pke6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22368d02-19d8-428b-929a-6cf5e885abb9_832x384.png" width="832" height="384" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/22368d02-19d8-428b-929a-6cf5e885abb9_832x384.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:384,&quot;width&quot;:832,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:130464,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/191870415?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22368d02-19d8-428b-929a-6cf5e885abb9_832x384.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pke6!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22368d02-19d8-428b-929a-6cf5e885abb9_832x384.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pke6!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22368d02-19d8-428b-929a-6cf5e885abb9_832x384.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pke6!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22368d02-19d8-428b-929a-6cf5e885abb9_832x384.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pke6!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22368d02-19d8-428b-929a-6cf5e885abb9_832x384.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ It&#8217;s worth noting that since the last time we worried about an important oil strait being closed (two years ago), that area, leading to the Red Sea, still hasn&#8217;t fully recovered in terms of oil throughput (<a href="https://www.carlyle.com/carlyle-compass/you-cant-print-molecules">Carlyle</a>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dwMF!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5e20b48f-fe59-43fb-8d4f-8306941a8fd7_800x468.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dwMF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5e20b48f-fe59-43fb-8d4f-8306941a8fd7_800x468.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dwMF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5e20b48f-fe59-43fb-8d4f-8306941a8fd7_800x468.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dwMF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5e20b48f-fe59-43fb-8d4f-8306941a8fd7_800x468.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dwMF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5e20b48f-fe59-43fb-8d4f-8306941a8fd7_800x468.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dwMF!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5e20b48f-fe59-43fb-8d4f-8306941a8fd7_800x468.png" width="800" height="468" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5e20b48f-fe59-43fb-8d4f-8306941a8fd7_800x468.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:468,&quot;width&quot;:800,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:135508,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/191870415?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5e20b48f-fe59-43fb-8d4f-8306941a8fd7_800x468.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dwMF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5e20b48f-fe59-43fb-8d4f-8306941a8fd7_800x468.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dwMF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5e20b48f-fe59-43fb-8d4f-8306941a8fd7_800x468.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dwMF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5e20b48f-fe59-43fb-8d4f-8306941a8fd7_800x468.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dwMF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5e20b48f-fe59-43fb-8d4f-8306941a8fd7_800x468.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Predicting forward returns is notoriously hard in equities, but not so in investment grade fixed income.  (From <a href="https://am.jpmorgan.com/content/dam/jpm-am-aem/global/en/insights/market-insights/guide-to-the-markets/mi-guide-to-the-markets-us.pdf">J.P. Morgan</a>&#8217;s &#8220;Guide to the Markets;&#8221; hat tip, <a href="/__u/behindthebalancesheet.substack.com/p/russell-napiers-warning-the-great">Stephen Clapham</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgNz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa431e922-becd-46cd-a263-f1a5fc61dda0_1337x761.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgNz!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa431e922-becd-46cd-a263-f1a5fc61dda0_1337x761.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgNz!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa431e922-becd-46cd-a263-f1a5fc61dda0_1337x761.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgNz!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa431e922-becd-46cd-a263-f1a5fc61dda0_1337x761.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgNz!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa431e922-becd-46cd-a263-f1a5fc61dda0_1337x761.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgNz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa431e922-becd-46cd-a263-f1a5fc61dda0_1337x761.png" width="1337" height="761" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a431e922-becd-46cd-a263-f1a5fc61dda0_1337x761.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:761,&quot;width&quot;:1337,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:152383,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/191870415?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa431e922-becd-46cd-a263-f1a5fc61dda0_1337x761.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgNz!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa431e922-becd-46cd-a263-f1a5fc61dda0_1337x761.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgNz!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa431e922-becd-46cd-a263-f1a5fc61dda0_1337x761.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgNz!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa431e922-becd-46cd-a263-f1a5fc61dda0_1337x761.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AgNz!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa431e922-becd-46cd-a263-f1a5fc61dda0_1337x761.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Pod shops have been extending their redemption windows (<a href="/__u/rupakghose.substack.com/p/in-the-eye-of-the-storm">Rupak Ghose</a>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z_fu!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55d4ca32-fe4f-4b37-8cf5-118340673161_786x384.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z_fu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55d4ca32-fe4f-4b37-8cf5-118340673161_786x384.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z_fu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55d4ca32-fe4f-4b37-8cf5-118340673161_786x384.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z_fu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55d4ca32-fe4f-4b37-8cf5-118340673161_786x384.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z_fu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55d4ca32-fe4f-4b37-8cf5-118340673161_786x384.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z_fu!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55d4ca32-fe4f-4b37-8cf5-118340673161_786x384.png" width="786" height="384" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55d4ca32-fe4f-4b37-8cf5-118340673161_786x384.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z_fu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55d4ca32-fe4f-4b37-8cf5-118340673161_786x384.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z_fu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55d4ca32-fe4f-4b37-8cf5-118340673161_786x384.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z_fu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55d4ca32-fe4f-4b37-8cf5-118340673161_786x384.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ <a href="https://www.gmo.com/americas/research-library/sink-or-swim_insights/">GMO</a> plots &#8220;a strong negative relationship between corporate investment and future equity returns.&#8221;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gn1C!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe916c206-9d2e-4d60-a498-2448d638d088_1073x438.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gn1C!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe916c206-9d2e-4d60-a498-2448d638d088_1073x438.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gn1C!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe916c206-9d2e-4d60-a498-2448d638d088_1073x438.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gn1C!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe916c206-9d2e-4d60-a498-2448d638d088_1073x438.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gn1C!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe916c206-9d2e-4d60-a498-2448d638d088_1073x438.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gn1C!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe916c206-9d2e-4d60-a498-2448d638d088_1073x438.png" width="1073" height="438" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e916c206-9d2e-4d60-a498-2448d638d088_1073x438.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:438,&quot;width&quot;:1073,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:115875,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/191870415?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe916c206-9d2e-4d60-a498-2448d638d088_1073x438.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gn1C!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe916c206-9d2e-4d60-a498-2448d638d088_1073x438.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gn1C!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe916c206-9d2e-4d60-a498-2448d638d088_1073x438.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gn1C!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe916c206-9d2e-4d60-a498-2448d638d088_1073x438.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gn1C!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe916c206-9d2e-4d60-a498-2448d638d088_1073x438.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Strategy labels can obscure what&#8217;s really in a private credit fund (<a href="https://www.msci.com/research-and-insights/blog-post/what-really-inside-your-private-credit-fund">MSCI</a>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sOWg!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacbfae1-2b01-464c-88d5-64955cd7539b_1575x946.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sOWg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacbfae1-2b01-464c-88d5-64955cd7539b_1575x946.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sOWg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacbfae1-2b01-464c-88d5-64955cd7539b_1575x946.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sOWg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacbfae1-2b01-464c-88d5-64955cd7539b_1575x946.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sOWg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacbfae1-2b01-464c-88d5-64955cd7539b_1575x946.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sOWg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacbfae1-2b01-464c-88d5-64955cd7539b_1575x946.png" width="1456" height="875" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/bacbfae1-2b01-464c-88d5-64955cd7539b_1575x946.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:875,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:126018,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/191870415?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacbfae1-2b01-464c-88d5-64955cd7539b_1575x946.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sOWg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacbfae1-2b01-464c-88d5-64955cd7539b_1575x946.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sOWg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacbfae1-2b01-464c-88d5-64955cd7539b_1575x946.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sOWg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacbfae1-2b01-464c-88d5-64955cd7539b_1575x946.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sOWg!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacbfae1-2b01-464c-88d5-64955cd7539b_1575x946.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ From <a href="https://www.stepstonegroup.com/news-insights/the-case-for-emerging-managers/">Stepstone</a>, &#8220;The case for emerging managers.&#8221;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c811!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b602059-6ff1-4eb2-ae36-8e7e31a6051b_1111x459.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c811!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b602059-6ff1-4eb2-ae36-8e7e31a6051b_1111x459.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c811!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b602059-6ff1-4eb2-ae36-8e7e31a6051b_1111x459.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c811!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b602059-6ff1-4eb2-ae36-8e7e31a6051b_1111x459.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c811!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b602059-6ff1-4eb2-ae36-8e7e31a6051b_1111x459.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c811!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b602059-6ff1-4eb2-ae36-8e7e31a6051b_1111x459.png" width="1111" height="459" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3b602059-6ff1-4eb2-ae36-8e7e31a6051b_1111x459.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:459,&quot;width&quot;:1111,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:90311,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/191870415?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F792942d3-4a44-4930-bd2b-d4c347e168da_1111x525.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c811!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b602059-6ff1-4eb2-ae36-8e7e31a6051b_1111x459.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c811!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b602059-6ff1-4eb2-ae36-8e7e31a6051b_1111x459.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c811!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b602059-6ff1-4eb2-ae36-8e7e31a6051b_1111x459.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c811!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3b602059-6ff1-4eb2-ae36-8e7e31a6051b_1111x459.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The <em><a href="https://www.top1000funds.com/cio-sentiment-survey-2026">Top1000Funds</a></em> CIO survey still shows more looking to add to alternatives than reduce them, but the current headwinds appear to be causing some rethinking.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ns3P!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00728b86-d7ee-4210-8335-ab8b4c06a307_691x488.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ns3P!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00728b86-d7ee-4210-8335-ab8b4c06a307_691x488.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ns3P!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00728b86-d7ee-4210-8335-ab8b4c06a307_691x488.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ns3P!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00728b86-d7ee-4210-8335-ab8b4c06a307_691x488.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ns3P!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00728b86-d7ee-4210-8335-ab8b4c06a307_691x488.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ns3P!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00728b86-d7ee-4210-8335-ab8b4c06a307_691x488.png" width="691" height="488" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/00728b86-d7ee-4210-8335-ab8b4c06a307_691x488.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:488,&quot;width&quot;:691,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:39923,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/191870415?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00728b86-d7ee-4210-8335-ab8b4c06a307_691x488.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ns3P!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00728b86-d7ee-4210-8335-ab8b4c06a307_691x488.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ns3P!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00728b86-d7ee-4210-8335-ab8b4c06a307_691x488.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ns3P!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00728b86-d7ee-4210-8335-ab8b4c06a307_691x488.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ns3P!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00728b86-d7ee-4210-8335-ab8b4c06a307_691x488.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Answers to the question, &#8220;How confident are you in your ability to identify top-performing GPs,&#8221; from a limited partner survey by <a href="https://commonplacehq.co/lp-survey">Commonplace</a>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DKWo!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e357b3b-8e91-4066-ac27-62828cec2611_642x417.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DKWo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e357b3b-8e91-4066-ac27-62828cec2611_642x417.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DKWo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e357b3b-8e91-4066-ac27-62828cec2611_642x417.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DKWo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e357b3b-8e91-4066-ac27-62828cec2611_642x417.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DKWo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e357b3b-8e91-4066-ac27-62828cec2611_642x417.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DKWo!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e357b3b-8e91-4066-ac27-62828cec2611_642x417.png" width="642" height="417" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2e357b3b-8e91-4066-ac27-62828cec2611_642x417.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:417,&quot;width&quot;:642,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:28523,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/191870415?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e357b3b-8e91-4066-ac27-62828cec2611_642x417.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DKWo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e357b3b-8e91-4066-ac27-62828cec2611_642x417.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DKWo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e357b3b-8e91-4066-ac27-62828cec2611_642x417.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DKWo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e357b3b-8e91-4066-ac27-62828cec2611_642x417.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DKWo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2e357b3b-8e91-4066-ac27-62828cec2611_642x417.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ This is from ten days ago, shown here only as a reminder that weird, useless norms like &#8220;technical corrections&#8221; are sticky (<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2026-03-13/a-60-40-portfolio-is-no-help-as-war-drives-stagflation-threat">Bloomberg</a>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6D7o!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ce492e6-e198-45e6-be2d-4985f2efdf81_791x466.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6D7o!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ce492e6-e198-45e6-be2d-4985f2efdf81_791x466.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6D7o!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ce492e6-e198-45e6-be2d-4985f2efdf81_791x466.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6D7o!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ce492e6-e198-45e6-be2d-4985f2efdf81_791x466.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6D7o!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ce492e6-e198-45e6-be2d-4985f2efdf81_791x466.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6D7o!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ce492e6-e198-45e6-be2d-4985f2efdf81_791x466.png" width="791" height="466" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/9ce492e6-e198-45e6-be2d-4985f2efdf81_791x466.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:466,&quot;width&quot;:791,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:52131,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/191870415?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ce492e6-e198-45e6-be2d-4985f2efdf81_791x466.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6D7o!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ce492e6-e198-45e6-be2d-4985f2efdf81_791x466.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6D7o!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ce492e6-e198-45e6-be2d-4985f2efdf81_791x466.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6D7o!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ce492e6-e198-45e6-be2d-4985f2efdf81_791x466.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6D7o!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ce492e6-e198-45e6-be2d-4985f2efdf81_791x466.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Spending on the &#8220;offices&#8221; of machines has eclipsed that for people (<a href="https://bsky.app/profile/augurinfinity.bsky.social/post/3mhqjipylcd2b">Augur Infinity</a>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jGB1!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80a5f5b5-77a8-492d-af8a-019876009ae0_1571x1096.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jGB1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80a5f5b5-77a8-492d-af8a-019876009ae0_1571x1096.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jGB1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80a5f5b5-77a8-492d-af8a-019876009ae0_1571x1096.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jGB1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80a5f5b5-77a8-492d-af8a-019876009ae0_1571x1096.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jGB1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80a5f5b5-77a8-492d-af8a-019876009ae0_1571x1096.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jGB1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80a5f5b5-77a8-492d-af8a-019876009ae0_1571x1096.png" width="1456" height="1016" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/80a5f5b5-77a8-492d-af8a-019876009ae0_1571x1096.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1016,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:364201,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/191870415?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80a5f5b5-77a8-492d-af8a-019876009ae0_1571x1096.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jGB1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80a5f5b5-77a8-492d-af8a-019876009ae0_1571x1096.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jGB1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80a5f5b5-77a8-492d-af8a-019876009ae0_1571x1096.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jGB1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80a5f5b5-77a8-492d-af8a-019876009ae0_1571x1096.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jGB1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80a5f5b5-77a8-492d-af8a-019876009ae0_1571x1096.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p><em>Recent postings on the main site include:</em></p><p><em>~ A <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/03/18/if-your-actions-are-predictable-will-you-generate-alpha/">look</a> at the predictability of portfolio managers actions and what that means for the production of alpha.</em></p><p><em>~ The regular Fortnightly set of <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/03/16/endowment-model-principles-desirable-characteristics-and-ai-scenarios/">curated readings</a>, including on endowment model principles, desirable characteristics for investment professionals, AI scenarios, and a baker&#8217;s dozen other topics of interest. </em></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Clippings 6 ~ Big moves]]></title><description><![CDATA[A wild day, a combustible region, a change in a big trend (maybe), and other important eye candy.]]></description><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-6-big-moves</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-6-big-moves</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 10 Mar 2026 13:52:08 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bmyF!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0b7c19e-b530-41d2-8a19-ed72ec0c762c_800x492.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>~ The war in Iran made oil futures go crazy yesterday (via <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-09/oil-drops-as-trump-signals-iran-conflict-near-end-markets-wrap">Bloomberg</a></em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-09/oil-drops-as-trump-signals-iran-conflict-near-end-markets-wrap">)</a> . . .</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bmyF!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0b7c19e-b530-41d2-8a19-ed72ec0c762c_800x492.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bmyF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0b7c19e-b530-41d2-8a19-ed72ec0c762c_800x492.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bmyF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0b7c19e-b530-41d2-8a19-ed72ec0c762c_800x492.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bmyF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0b7c19e-b530-41d2-8a19-ed72ec0c762c_800x492.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bmyF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0b7c19e-b530-41d2-8a19-ed72ec0c762c_800x492.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bmyF!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0b7c19e-b530-41d2-8a19-ed72ec0c762c_800x492.png" width="800" height="492" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0b7c19e-b530-41d2-8a19-ed72ec0c762c_800x492.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bmyF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0b7c19e-b530-41d2-8a19-ed72ec0c762c_800x492.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bmyF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0b7c19e-b530-41d2-8a19-ed72ec0c762c_800x492.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bmyF!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd0b7c19e-b530-41d2-8a19-ed72ec0c762c_800x492.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>. . . while the conflict has renewed awareness of an explosive region (this is from a great series of <em><a href="https://www.reuters.com/graphics/IRAN-CRISIS/MAPS/znpnmelervl/">Reuters</a></em> graphics from the start of the war).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lN_S!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F84ba4c88-8cfe-4ce6-96ee-b64285a1f52a_1189x1043.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lN_S!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F84ba4c88-8cfe-4ce6-96ee-b64285a1f52a_1189x1043.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lN_S!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F84ba4c88-8cfe-4ce6-96ee-b64285a1f52a_1189x1043.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lN_S!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F84ba4c88-8cfe-4ce6-96ee-b64285a1f52a_1189x1043.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lN_S!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F84ba4c88-8cfe-4ce6-96ee-b64285a1f52a_1189x1043.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lN_S!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F84ba4c88-8cfe-4ce6-96ee-b64285a1f52a_1189x1043.png" width="1189" height="1043" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/84ba4c88-8cfe-4ce6-96ee-b64285a1f52a_1189x1043.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1043,&quot;width&quot;:1189,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1198089,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/190429122?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F84ba4c88-8cfe-4ce6-96ee-b64285a1f52a_1189x1043.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lN_S!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F84ba4c88-8cfe-4ce6-96ee-b64285a1f52a_1189x1043.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lN_S!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F84ba4c88-8cfe-4ce6-96ee-b64285a1f52a_1189x1043.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lN_S!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F84ba4c88-8cfe-4ce6-96ee-b64285a1f52a_1189x1043.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lN_S!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F84ba4c88-8cfe-4ce6-96ee-b64285a1f52a_1189x1043.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Will the strong outperformance of the U.S. market resume or continue to revert?  (<a href="https://www.bcaresearch.com/marketing/insight/us-vs-world-tactical-tension/211886">BCA Research</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bSf5!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01a6138c-4e3c-4440-99fc-82cfd1641318_805x524.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bSf5!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01a6138c-4e3c-4440-99fc-82cfd1641318_805x524.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bSf5!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01a6138c-4e3c-4440-99fc-82cfd1641318_805x524.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bSf5!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01a6138c-4e3c-4440-99fc-82cfd1641318_805x524.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bSf5!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01a6138c-4e3c-4440-99fc-82cfd1641318_805x524.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bSf5!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01a6138c-4e3c-4440-99fc-82cfd1641318_805x524.png" width="805" height="524" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/01a6138c-4e3c-4440-99fc-82cfd1641318_805x524.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:524,&quot;width&quot;:805,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:159341,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/190429122?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01a6138c-4e3c-4440-99fc-82cfd1641318_805x524.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bSf5!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01a6138c-4e3c-4440-99fc-82cfd1641318_805x524.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bSf5!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01a6138c-4e3c-4440-99fc-82cfd1641318_805x524.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bSf5!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01a6138c-4e3c-4440-99fc-82cfd1641318_805x524.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bSf5!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01a6138c-4e3c-4440-99fc-82cfd1641318_805x524.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Secondaries have spiked higher during this decade.  (&#8220;The rise of secondaries: market maturation, misalignment or both?&#8221; Anna Morrison, <a href="https://www.bfinance.com/insights/as-private-market-secondaries-soar-investors-must-demand-discipline">bfinance</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FHej!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F51df44c6-c1ed-44e6-8045-23337f50bb64_870x589.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FHej!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F51df44c6-c1ed-44e6-8045-23337f50bb64_870x589.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FHej!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F51df44c6-c1ed-44e6-8045-23337f50bb64_870x589.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FHej!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F51df44c6-c1ed-44e6-8045-23337f50bb64_870x589.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FHej!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F51df44c6-c1ed-44e6-8045-23337f50bb64_870x589.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FHej!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F51df44c6-c1ed-44e6-8045-23337f50bb64_870x589.png" width="870" height="589" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/51df44c6-c1ed-44e6-8045-23337f50bb64_870x589.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:589,&quot;width&quot;:870,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:110854,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/190429122?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F51df44c6-c1ed-44e6-8045-23337f50bb64_870x589.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FHej!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F51df44c6-c1ed-44e6-8045-23337f50bb64_870x589.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FHej!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F51df44c6-c1ed-44e6-8045-23337f50bb64_870x589.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FHej!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F51df44c6-c1ed-44e6-8045-23337f50bb64_870x589.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FHej!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F51df44c6-c1ed-44e6-8045-23337f50bb64_870x589.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ With BlackRock &#8220;facing a rush to the exits&#8221; by investors in its HPS direct-lending fund, its stock took it on the chin, via <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-07/blackrock-s-retail-private-credit-hopes-run-into-market-s-angst?srnd=phx-markets&amp;sref=dO5cdrud">Bloomberg</a></em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z9EH!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F49cc05e1-7748-45ae-a9f3-7ba3f578037f_787x418.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z9EH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F49cc05e1-7748-45ae-a9f3-7ba3f578037f_787x418.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z9EH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F49cc05e1-7748-45ae-a9f3-7ba3f578037f_787x418.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z9EH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F49cc05e1-7748-45ae-a9f3-7ba3f578037f_787x418.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z9EH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F49cc05e1-7748-45ae-a9f3-7ba3f578037f_787x418.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z9EH!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F49cc05e1-7748-45ae-a9f3-7ba3f578037f_787x418.png" width="787" height="418" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/49cc05e1-7748-45ae-a9f3-7ba3f578037f_787x418.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:418,&quot;width&quot;:787,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:189092,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/190429122?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F49cc05e1-7748-45ae-a9f3-7ba3f578037f_787x418.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z9EH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F49cc05e1-7748-45ae-a9f3-7ba3f578037f_787x418.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z9EH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F49cc05e1-7748-45ae-a9f3-7ba3f578037f_787x418.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z9EH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F49cc05e1-7748-45ae-a9f3-7ba3f578037f_787x418.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z9EH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F49cc05e1-7748-45ae-a9f3-7ba3f578037f_787x418.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The charts are on different scales, but the trend is unmistakable.  (The top row is how this year&#8217;s numbers have changed over time; the bottom how next years&#8217; have.  From &#8220;Why Nvidia&#8217;s terrific quarter is getting a terrible reaction,&#8221; Luke Kawa, <a href="https://sherwood.news/markets/nvidia-q4-earnings-q1-guidance-ai-boom-wall-street-reaction-hyperscaler-cash-flow/">Sherwood</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Saop!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F10a559d7-fec5-42ab-b23b-f487be48b2cb_898x681.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Saop!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F10a559d7-fec5-42ab-b23b-f487be48b2cb_898x681.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Saop!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F10a559d7-fec5-42ab-b23b-f487be48b2cb_898x681.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Saop!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F10a559d7-fec5-42ab-b23b-f487be48b2cb_898x681.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Saop!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F10a559d7-fec5-42ab-b23b-f487be48b2cb_898x681.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Saop!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F10a559d7-fec5-42ab-b23b-f487be48b2cb_898x681.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Saop!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F10a559d7-fec5-42ab-b23b-f487be48b2cb_898x681.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The leaders in payment for order flow; quarterly totals (<em><a href="https://www.globaltrading.net/category/payment-for-order-flow/">Global Trading</a></em>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zt4W!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3489ef2-757e-4f4b-8718-dc339ae70145_1124x580.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zt4W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3489ef2-757e-4f4b-8718-dc339ae70145_1124x580.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zt4W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3489ef2-757e-4f4b-8718-dc339ae70145_1124x580.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zt4W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3489ef2-757e-4f4b-8718-dc339ae70145_1124x580.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zt4W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3489ef2-757e-4f4b-8718-dc339ae70145_1124x580.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zt4W!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3489ef2-757e-4f4b-8718-dc339ae70145_1124x580.png" width="1124" height="580" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e3489ef2-757e-4f4b-8718-dc339ae70145_1124x580.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:580,&quot;width&quot;:1124,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:188148,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/190429122?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3489ef2-757e-4f4b-8718-dc339ae70145_1124x580.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zt4W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3489ef2-757e-4f4b-8718-dc339ae70145_1124x580.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zt4W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3489ef2-757e-4f4b-8718-dc339ae70145_1124x580.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zt4W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3489ef2-757e-4f4b-8718-dc339ae70145_1124x580.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zt4W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3489ef2-757e-4f4b-8718-dc339ae70145_1124x580.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ After three years of narrow breadth, more stocks in the S&amp;P 500 have been outperforming the index (<a href="https://www.rbadvisors.com/insights/quality-value/">RBA</a>) . . .</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZZj!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcabe3f07-34f0-48b5-808f-0969d2d13b18_678x410.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZZj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcabe3f07-34f0-48b5-808f-0969d2d13b18_678x410.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZZj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcabe3f07-34f0-48b5-808f-0969d2d13b18_678x410.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZZj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcabe3f07-34f0-48b5-808f-0969d2d13b18_678x410.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZZj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcabe3f07-34f0-48b5-808f-0969d2d13b18_678x410.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZZj!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcabe3f07-34f0-48b5-808f-0969d2d13b18_678x410.png" width="678" height="410" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/cabe3f07-34f0-48b5-808f-0969d2d13b18_678x410.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:410,&quot;width&quot;:678,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:213134,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/190429122?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcabe3f07-34f0-48b5-808f-0969d2d13b18_678x410.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZZj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcabe3f07-34f0-48b5-808f-0969d2d13b18_678x410.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZZj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcabe3f07-34f0-48b5-808f-0969d2d13b18_678x410.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZZj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcabe3f07-34f0-48b5-808f-0969d2d13b18_678x410.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RZZj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcabe3f07-34f0-48b5-808f-0969d2d13b18_678x410.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>. . . but the top ten stocks are where the price action is (<a href="https://www.deshaw.com/assets/articles/DESCO_The_Concentration_Game_20260224.pdf?utm_source=news.theideafarm.com&amp;utm_medium=newsletter&amp;utm_campaign=energy-battles-ai-bubbles&amp;_bhlid=4f45da77f46b454bfc118080437092c6a82b4508">D. E. Shaw</a>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GBMa!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4074fee4-3732-4931-86aa-ad17a21add01_953x450.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GBMa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4074fee4-3732-4931-86aa-ad17a21add01_953x450.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GBMa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4074fee4-3732-4931-86aa-ad17a21add01_953x450.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GBMa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4074fee4-3732-4931-86aa-ad17a21add01_953x450.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GBMa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4074fee4-3732-4931-86aa-ad17a21add01_953x450.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GBMa!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4074fee4-3732-4931-86aa-ad17a21add01_953x450.png" width="953" height="450" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4074fee4-3732-4931-86aa-ad17a21add01_953x450.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:450,&quot;width&quot;:953,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:83811,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/190429122?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4074fee4-3732-4931-86aa-ad17a21add01_953x450.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GBMa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4074fee4-3732-4931-86aa-ad17a21add01_953x450.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GBMa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4074fee4-3732-4931-86aa-ad17a21add01_953x450.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GBMa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4074fee4-3732-4931-86aa-ad17a21add01_953x450.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GBMa!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4074fee4-3732-4931-86aa-ad17a21add01_953x450.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ A look at the &#8220;Board of Peace&#8221; invitees &#8212; and acceptances &#8212; in terms of credit ratings, from Toby Nangle of <em><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/bd570de4-bdeb-4cf1-9f7b-c3507c7dbcea">FT Alphaville</a></em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zcnu!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F65f7cf4f-0077-419f-88bd-7d12646d2a3b_885x577.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zcnu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F65f7cf4f-0077-419f-88bd-7d12646d2a3b_885x577.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zcnu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F65f7cf4f-0077-419f-88bd-7d12646d2a3b_885x577.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zcnu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F65f7cf4f-0077-419f-88bd-7d12646d2a3b_885x577.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zcnu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F65f7cf4f-0077-419f-88bd-7d12646d2a3b_885x577.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zcnu!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F65f7cf4f-0077-419f-88bd-7d12646d2a3b_885x577.png" width="885" height="577" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/65f7cf4f-0077-419f-88bd-7d12646d2a3b_885x577.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:577,&quot;width&quot;:885,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:81361,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/190429122?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F65f7cf4f-0077-419f-88bd-7d12646d2a3b_885x577.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zcnu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F65f7cf4f-0077-419f-88bd-7d12646d2a3b_885x577.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zcnu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F65f7cf4f-0077-419f-88bd-7d12646d2a3b_885x577.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zcnu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F65f7cf4f-0077-419f-88bd-7d12646d2a3b_885x577.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zcnu!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F65f7cf4f-0077-419f-88bd-7d12646d2a3b_885x577.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Extraordinary.  Via Scott Galloway&#8217;s <em><a href="https://www.profgalloway.com/the-vcel-movement/">No Mercy / No Malice</a></em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8x6b!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc96b855d-04ea-49d1-9514-14e3e8a5135d_839x475.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8x6b!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc96b855d-04ea-49d1-9514-14e3e8a5135d_839x475.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8x6b!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc96b855d-04ea-49d1-9514-14e3e8a5135d_839x475.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8x6b!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc96b855d-04ea-49d1-9514-14e3e8a5135d_839x475.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8x6b!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc96b855d-04ea-49d1-9514-14e3e8a5135d_839x475.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8x6b!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc96b855d-04ea-49d1-9514-14e3e8a5135d_839x475.png" width="839" height="475" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c96b855d-04ea-49d1-9514-14e3e8a5135d_839x475.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:475,&quot;width&quot;:839,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:70571,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/190429122?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc96b855d-04ea-49d1-9514-14e3e8a5135d_839x475.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8x6b!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc96b855d-04ea-49d1-9514-14e3e8a5135d_839x475.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8x6b!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc96b855d-04ea-49d1-9514-14e3e8a5135d_839x475.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8x6b!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc96b855d-04ea-49d1-9514-14e3e8a5135d_839x475.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8x6b!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc96b855d-04ea-49d1-9514-14e3e8a5135d_839x475.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p><em>The last <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/03/02/thought-exercises-creatures-of-the-system-and-the-gp-clawback/">Fortnightly</a> featured AI &#8220;thought exercises,&#8221; creatures of the investment system, the coming GP clawback, a moving investment letter, and a dozen other fascinating topics.</em></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Clippings 5 ~ Highs and lows]]></title><description><![CDATA[Market repricings, the AI prisoner's dilemma, bogus "risk," CMBS delinquencies, and a long (last) look at presidential approval ratings.]]></description><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-5-highs-and-lows</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-5-highs-and-lows</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 23 Feb 2026 21:22:08 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kAGd!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73c0f156-6d3b-448e-a26e-48af0f791699_747x540.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>~ A round trip of perceptions and valuation.  &#8220;Walmart Shares Are Expensive AI Insurance,&#8221; Spencer Jakab, <em><a href="https://trk.wsj.com/view/64d3991e856ebc3ad9520635qajoy.8pa/588c2ad1">Bloomberg</a></em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kAGd!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73c0f156-6d3b-448e-a26e-48af0f791699_747x540.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kAGd!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73c0f156-6d3b-448e-a26e-48af0f791699_747x540.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kAGd!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73c0f156-6d3b-448e-a26e-48af0f791699_747x540.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kAGd!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73c0f156-6d3b-448e-a26e-48af0f791699_747x540.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kAGd!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73c0f156-6d3b-448e-a26e-48af0f791699_747x540.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kAGd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73c0f156-6d3b-448e-a26e-48af0f791699_747x540.png" width="747" height="540" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/73c0f156-6d3b-448e-a26e-48af0f791699_747x540.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:540,&quot;width&quot;:747,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:112428,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/188827854?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73c0f156-6d3b-448e-a26e-48af0f791699_747x540.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kAGd!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73c0f156-6d3b-448e-a26e-48af0f791699_747x540.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kAGd!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73c0f156-6d3b-448e-a26e-48af0f791699_747x540.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kAGd!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73c0f156-6d3b-448e-a26e-48af0f791699_747x540.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kAGd!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73c0f156-6d3b-448e-a26e-48af0f791699_747x540.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ The stocks of the big alternatives managers have come under attack (&#8220;Partners Group to markets: pls chill OK,&#8221; Robin Wigglesworth, <em><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/badb0d8c-7212-49c1-b15c-65abe908cbd7">FT Alphaville</a></em>) . . .</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ro69!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7ef996d5-9c63-4fab-acfb-67c63cb0ff11_888x550.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ro69!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7ef996d5-9c63-4fab-acfb-67c63cb0ff11_888x550.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ro69!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7ef996d5-9c63-4fab-acfb-67c63cb0ff11_888x550.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ro69!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7ef996d5-9c63-4fab-acfb-67c63cb0ff11_888x550.png" width="888" height="550" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7ef996d5-9c63-4fab-acfb-67c63cb0ff11_888x550.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ro69!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7ef996d5-9c63-4fab-acfb-67c63cb0ff11_888x550.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>. . . even as they continue to push retail to invest in privates using bogus "risk&#8221; claims, here from Apollo by way of <em><a href="/__u/altsuniverse.substack.com/p/danger-on-the-efficient-frontier">The Alternatives Universe</a></em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OVQf!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01f73cc8-8291-4f4b-8be4-01c14e919e47_852x387.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OVQf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01f73cc8-8291-4f4b-8be4-01c14e919e47_852x387.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OVQf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01f73cc8-8291-4f4b-8be4-01c14e919e47_852x387.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OVQf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01f73cc8-8291-4f4b-8be4-01c14e919e47_852x387.png" width="852" height="387" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01f73cc8-8291-4f4b-8be4-01c14e919e47_852x387.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OVQf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01f73cc8-8291-4f4b-8be4-01c14e919e47_852x387.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OVQf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01f73cc8-8291-4f4b-8be4-01c14e919e47_852x387.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OVQf!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01f73cc8-8291-4f4b-8be4-01c14e919e47_852x387.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ <a href="https://www.trepp.com/trepptalk/office-cmbs-delinquency-hits-an-all-time-high-what-the-data-is-really-saying">Trepp</a>:  &#8220;Office CMBS Delinquency Hits an All-Time High: What the Data Is Really Saying.&#8221;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3lqG!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07075d24-8a56-4785-ab16-9930ba99314c_924x693.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3lqG!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07075d24-8a56-4785-ab16-9930ba99314c_924x693.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3lqG!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07075d24-8a56-4785-ab16-9930ba99314c_924x693.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3lqG!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07075d24-8a56-4785-ab16-9930ba99314c_924x693.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3lqG!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07075d24-8a56-4785-ab16-9930ba99314c_924x693.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3lqG!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07075d24-8a56-4785-ab16-9930ba99314c_924x693.png" width="924" height="693" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/07075d24-8a56-4785-ab16-9930ba99314c_924x693.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:693,&quot;width&quot;:924,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:99762,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/188827854?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07075d24-8a56-4785-ab16-9930ba99314c_924x693.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3lqG!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07075d24-8a56-4785-ab16-9930ba99314c_924x693.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3lqG!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07075d24-8a56-4785-ab16-9930ba99314c_924x693.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3lqG!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07075d24-8a56-4785-ab16-9930ba99314c_924x693.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3lqG!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07075d24-8a56-4785-ab16-9930ba99314c_924x693.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ In &#8220;The AI Prisoner&#8217;s Dilemma: Why Mega Cap Tech Spending May Enrich Everyone but Their Own Shareholders,&#8221; <a href="https://www.cornell-capital.com/publications/ai-prisoners-dilemma">Cornell Capital Group</a> offers this matrix . . .</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DbnK!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff219f4ba-3eca-4be6-92da-fbfae78e54a1_711x374.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DbnK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff219f4ba-3eca-4be6-92da-fbfae78e54a1_711x374.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DbnK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff219f4ba-3eca-4be6-92da-fbfae78e54a1_711x374.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DbnK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff219f4ba-3eca-4be6-92da-fbfae78e54a1_711x374.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DbnK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff219f4ba-3eca-4be6-92da-fbfae78e54a1_711x374.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DbnK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff219f4ba-3eca-4be6-92da-fbfae78e54a1_711x374.png" width="711" height="374" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f219f4ba-3eca-4be6-92da-fbfae78e54a1_711x374.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:374,&quot;width&quot;:711,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:94753,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/188827854?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff219f4ba-3eca-4be6-92da-fbfae78e54a1_711x374.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DbnK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff219f4ba-3eca-4be6-92da-fbfae78e54a1_711x374.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DbnK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff219f4ba-3eca-4be6-92da-fbfae78e54a1_711x374.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DbnK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff219f4ba-3eca-4be6-92da-fbfae78e54a1_711x374.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DbnK!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff219f4ba-3eca-4be6-92da-fbfae78e54a1_711x374.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>. . . fitting with this Bank of America chart from its Fund Manager Survey, which has been shared far and wide of late, including by <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-17/bofa-survey-shows-investor-worry-over-capex-race-at-record-high?srnd=phx-markets&amp;_bhlid=86d2bf0c7616472682d6c112cfd2f81b65b1b16d&amp;sref=dO5cdrud">Bloomberg</a></em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MVvQ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F19d99433-99d0-41a2-b8da-6aefc3384282_775x465.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MVvQ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F19d99433-99d0-41a2-b8da-6aefc3384282_775x465.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MVvQ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F19d99433-99d0-41a2-b8da-6aefc3384282_775x465.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MVvQ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F19d99433-99d0-41a2-b8da-6aefc3384282_775x465.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MVvQ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F19d99433-99d0-41a2-b8da-6aefc3384282_775x465.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MVvQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F19d99433-99d0-41a2-b8da-6aefc3384282_775x465.png" width="775" height="465" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/19d99433-99d0-41a2-b8da-6aefc3384282_775x465.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:465,&quot;width&quot;:775,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:189925,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/188827854?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F19d99433-99d0-41a2-b8da-6aefc3384282_775x465.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MVvQ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F19d99433-99d0-41a2-b8da-6aefc3384282_775x465.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MVvQ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F19d99433-99d0-41a2-b8da-6aefc3384282_775x465.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MVvQ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F19d99433-99d0-41a2-b8da-6aefc3384282_775x465.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MVvQ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F19d99433-99d0-41a2-b8da-6aefc3384282_775x465.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Market implied discount rates by sector (as compared to WACCs, from &#8220;What the Market Knows That WACC Doesn&#8217;t&#8221; by Kevin Prall for <em><a href="https://blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor/2026/02/19/what-the-market-knows-that-wacc-doesnt/">Enterprising Investor</a></em>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!agqr!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe43a79da-e4fc-439f-935d-d50daa55412f_798x563.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!agqr!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe43a79da-e4fc-439f-935d-d50daa55412f_798x563.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!agqr!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe43a79da-e4fc-439f-935d-d50daa55412f_798x563.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!agqr!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe43a79da-e4fc-439f-935d-d50daa55412f_798x563.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!agqr!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe43a79da-e4fc-439f-935d-d50daa55412f_798x563.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!agqr!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe43a79da-e4fc-439f-935d-d50daa55412f_798x563.png" width="798" height="563" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e43a79da-e4fc-439f-935d-d50daa55412f_798x563.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:563,&quot;width&quot;:798,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:108009,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/188827854?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe43a79da-e4fc-439f-935d-d50daa55412f_798x563.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!agqr!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe43a79da-e4fc-439f-935d-d50daa55412f_798x563.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!agqr!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe43a79da-e4fc-439f-935d-d50daa55412f_798x563.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!agqr!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe43a79da-e4fc-439f-935d-d50daa55412f_798x563.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!agqr!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe43a79da-e4fc-439f-935d-d50daa55412f_798x563.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Abrupt and large changes in credit ratings seem to be getting more common.  Here is a <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2026-02-14/seven-notch-downgrade-is-at-the-heart-of-brazil-s-corporate-debt-woes">Bloomberg</a></em> spread chart of a Ra&#237;zen (a Brazilian &#8220;sugar and ethanol giant&#8221;) bond after S&amp;P lowered its rating <em>seven</em> notches.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Et!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94bd70a5-57c4-4d02-883c-132dfc56784f_775x415.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Et!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94bd70a5-57c4-4d02-883c-132dfc56784f_775x415.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Et!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94bd70a5-57c4-4d02-883c-132dfc56784f_775x415.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Et!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94bd70a5-57c4-4d02-883c-132dfc56784f_775x415.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Et!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94bd70a5-57c4-4d02-883c-132dfc56784f_775x415.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Et!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94bd70a5-57c4-4d02-883c-132dfc56784f_775x415.png" width="775" height="415" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/94bd70a5-57c4-4d02-883c-132dfc56784f_775x415.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:415,&quot;width&quot;:775,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:107606,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/188827854?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94bd70a5-57c4-4d02-883c-132dfc56784f_775x415.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Et!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94bd70a5-57c4-4d02-883c-132dfc56784f_775x415.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Et!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94bd70a5-57c4-4d02-883c-132dfc56784f_775x415.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Et!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94bd70a5-57c4-4d02-883c-132dfc56784f_775x415.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Et!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F94bd70a5-57c4-4d02-883c-132dfc56784f_775x415.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ Buyout versus public multiples; note the multiples on large deals at the bottom (from McKinsey by way of <em><a href="https://www.accreditedinsight.com/p/record-multiples-bird-watching-and">Accredited Investor Insights</a></em>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Nev!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa58149d3-a37e-4f55-a715-a03c9fd9ceb1_1025x662.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Nev!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa58149d3-a37e-4f55-a715-a03c9fd9ceb1_1025x662.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Nev!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa58149d3-a37e-4f55-a715-a03c9fd9ceb1_1025x662.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Nev!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa58149d3-a37e-4f55-a715-a03c9fd9ceb1_1025x662.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Nev!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa58149d3-a37e-4f55-a715-a03c9fd9ceb1_1025x662.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Nev!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa58149d3-a37e-4f55-a715-a03c9fd9ceb1_1025x662.png" width="1025" height="662" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a58149d3-a37e-4f55-a715-a03c9fd9ceb1_1025x662.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:662,&quot;width&quot;:1025,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:98721,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/188827854?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa58149d3-a37e-4f55-a715-a03c9fd9ceb1_1025x662.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Nev!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa58149d3-a37e-4f55-a715-a03c9fd9ceb1_1025x662.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Nev!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa58149d3-a37e-4f55-a715-a03c9fd9ceb1_1025x662.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Nev!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa58149d3-a37e-4f55-a715-a03c9fd9ceb1_1025x662.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Nev!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa58149d3-a37e-4f55-a715-a03c9fd9ceb1_1025x662.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>~ With Gallup ending its longstanding presidential approval posting, here&#8217;s a look at the historical ranges by president (via &#8220;The Forecast&#8221; from <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2026-02-22/india-wants-to-be-the-ai-connector-for-the-global-south">Bloomberg</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KDjC!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F185ad3ab-bf99-4f8d-a7c9-dd7d25e38280_736x875.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KDjC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F185ad3ab-bf99-4f8d-a7c9-dd7d25e38280_736x875.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KDjC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F185ad3ab-bf99-4f8d-a7c9-dd7d25e38280_736x875.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KDjC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F185ad3ab-bf99-4f8d-a7c9-dd7d25e38280_736x875.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KDjC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F185ad3ab-bf99-4f8d-a7c9-dd7d25e38280_736x875.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KDjC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F185ad3ab-bf99-4f8d-a7c9-dd7d25e38280_736x875.png" width="736" height="875" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/185ad3ab-bf99-4f8d-a7c9-dd7d25e38280_736x875.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:875,&quot;width&quot;:736,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:271346,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/188827854?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F185ad3ab-bf99-4f8d-a7c9-dd7d25e38280_736x875.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KDjC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F185ad3ab-bf99-4f8d-a7c9-dd7d25e38280_736x875.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KDjC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F185ad3ab-bf99-4f8d-a7c9-dd7d25e38280_736x875.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KDjC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F185ad3ab-bf99-4f8d-a7c9-dd7d25e38280_736x875.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KDjC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F185ad3ab-bf99-4f8d-a7c9-dd7d25e38280_736x875.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p><em>The most recent <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/02/16/so-many-questions-evergreen-funds-private-credit-and-ai/">Fortnightly</a> of curated links featured readings about evergreen funds, private credit, AI, the changes at Princeton&#8217;s endowment, the nature of family office private investments, and an array of other interesting ideas.</em></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Clippings 4 ~ A Tesla triptych]]></title><description><![CDATA[Endowment flips, a second spike for Corning, China selling Treasuries, AI disruption, and big dispersion in liquid alts.]]></description><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-4-a-tesla-triptych</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-4-a-tesla-triptych</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 12 Feb 2026 15:28:37 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fXuW!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96aae954-b28a-40e9-b4fb-7f452df6f0d9_1021x630.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>~ A Tesla triptych.  (Charts from <a href="/__u/ftav.substack.com/p/what-becomes-of-tesla-when-another">FT Alphaville</a>; comment from <a href="https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:cpnt3bylxd75cvufdh4gb4ir/post/3mdjgws7fys2a">@bancsutherland</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fXuW!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96aae954-b28a-40e9-b4fb-7f452df6f0d9_1021x630.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fXuW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96aae954-b28a-40e9-b4fb-7f452df6f0d9_1021x630.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fXuW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96aae954-b28a-40e9-b4fb-7f452df6f0d9_1021x630.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fXuW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96aae954-b28a-40e9-b4fb-7f452df6f0d9_1021x630.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fXuW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96aae954-b28a-40e9-b4fb-7f452df6f0d9_1021x630.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fXuW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96aae954-b28a-40e9-b4fb-7f452df6f0d9_1021x630.png" width="1021" height="630" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96aae954-b28a-40e9-b4fb-7f452df6f0d9_1021x630.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fXuW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96aae954-b28a-40e9-b4fb-7f452df6f0d9_1021x630.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fXuW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96aae954-b28a-40e9-b4fb-7f452df6f0d9_1021x630.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fXuW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96aae954-b28a-40e9-b4fb-7f452df6f0d9_1021x630.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" 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y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aluD!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd1678f7e-a28f-477d-bc93-4afcdf6a58e5_1021x673.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aluD!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd1678f7e-a28f-477d-bc93-4afcdf6a58e5_1021x673.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aluD!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd1678f7e-a28f-477d-bc93-4afcdf6a58e5_1021x673.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aluD!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd1678f7e-a28f-477d-bc93-4afcdf6a58e5_1021x673.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aluD!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd1678f7e-a28f-477d-bc93-4afcdf6a58e5_1021x673.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aluD!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd1678f7e-a28f-477d-bc93-4afcdf6a58e5_1021x673.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aluD!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iuFm!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b6b3db8-9d1e-4886-bc13-d95833266c99_858x160.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iuFm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b6b3db8-9d1e-4886-bc13-d95833266c99_858x160.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iuFm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b6b3db8-9d1e-4886-bc13-d95833266c99_858x160.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iuFm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b6b3db8-9d1e-4886-bc13-d95833266c99_858x160.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iuFm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b6b3db8-9d1e-4886-bc13-d95833266c99_858x160.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iuFm!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b6b3db8-9d1e-4886-bc13-d95833266c99_858x160.png" width="858" height="160" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7b6b3db8-9d1e-4886-bc13-d95833266c99_858x160.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:160,&quot;width&quot;:858,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:30740,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/187672933?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b6b3db8-9d1e-4886-bc13-d95833266c99_858x160.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iuFm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b6b3db8-9d1e-4886-bc13-d95833266c99_858x160.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iuFm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b6b3db8-9d1e-4886-bc13-d95833266c99_858x160.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iuFm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b6b3db8-9d1e-4886-bc13-d95833266c99_858x160.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iuFm!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b6b3db8-9d1e-4886-bc13-d95833266c99_858x160.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ Of late, private-heavy allocations at the big endowments have flipped from the top of the performance pile to the bottom.  (&#8220;Yale&#8217;s Famed Investing Model Falters at a Fraught Time for Colleges,&#8221; Janet Lorin, <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2026-01-26/yale-s-famed-endowment-model-falters-at-a-tough-time-for-colleges">Bloomberg</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WSUJ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd83e4f01-2d10-4f41-94af-a4a7f41a8fcf_781x642.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WSUJ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd83e4f01-2d10-4f41-94af-a4a7f41a8fcf_781x642.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WSUJ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd83e4f01-2d10-4f41-94af-a4a7f41a8fcf_781x642.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WSUJ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd83e4f01-2d10-4f41-94af-a4a7f41a8fcf_781x642.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WSUJ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd83e4f01-2d10-4f41-94af-a4a7f41a8fcf_781x642.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WSUJ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd83e4f01-2d10-4f41-94af-a4a7f41a8fcf_781x642.png" width="781" height="642" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d83e4f01-2d10-4f41-94af-a4a7f41a8fcf_781x642.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:642,&quot;width&quot;:781,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:54348,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/187672933?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd83e4f01-2d10-4f41-94af-a4a7f41a8fcf_781x642.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WSUJ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd83e4f01-2d10-4f41-94af-a4a7f41a8fcf_781x642.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WSUJ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd83e4f01-2d10-4f41-94af-a4a7f41a8fcf_781x642.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WSUJ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd83e4f01-2d10-4f41-94af-a4a7f41a8fcf_781x642.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WSUJ!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd83e4f01-2d10-4f41-94af-a4a7f41a8fcf_781x642.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ Corning spikes, just like during the last tech infrastructure bubble.  (&#8220;Why a 175-Year-Old Glassmaker Is Suddenly an AI Superstar,&#8221; Christopher Mims, <em><a href="https://www.wsj.com/tech/corning-fiber-optics-ai-e045ba3b">Wall Street Journal</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ifT!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb2cfa913-5c87-4f2e-a7d2-f7726ed94e43_891x592.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ifT!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb2cfa913-5c87-4f2e-a7d2-f7726ed94e43_891x592.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ifT!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb2cfa913-5c87-4f2e-a7d2-f7726ed94e43_891x592.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ifT!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb2cfa913-5c87-4f2e-a7d2-f7726ed94e43_891x592.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ifT!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb2cfa913-5c87-4f2e-a7d2-f7726ed94e43_891x592.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ifT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb2cfa913-5c87-4f2e-a7d2-f7726ed94e43_891x592.png" width="891" height="592" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb2cfa913-5c87-4f2e-a7d2-f7726ed94e43_891x592.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ifT!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb2cfa913-5c87-4f2e-a7d2-f7726ed94e43_891x592.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ifT!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb2cfa913-5c87-4f2e-a7d2-f7726ed94e43_891x592.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ifT!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb2cfa913-5c87-4f2e-a7d2-f7726ed94e43_891x592.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ Disruption by AI is a theme taking hold in the market, led by the carnage in software stocks but spreading elsewhere.  (From the <em>Bloomberg</em> Markets Daily <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2026-02-05/crypto-markets-get-trapped-in-a-downward-spiral">newsletter</a> by Charles Riley.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gFlS!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe755687-7a9f-4eb5-9709-843f66865229_791x455.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gFlS!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe755687-7a9f-4eb5-9709-843f66865229_791x455.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gFlS!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe755687-7a9f-4eb5-9709-843f66865229_791x455.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gFlS!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe755687-7a9f-4eb5-9709-843f66865229_791x455.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gFlS!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe755687-7a9f-4eb5-9709-843f66865229_791x455.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gFlS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe755687-7a9f-4eb5-9709-843f66865229_791x455.png" width="791" height="455" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe755687-7a9f-4eb5-9709-843f66865229_791x455.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gFlS!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe755687-7a9f-4eb5-9709-843f66865229_791x455.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gFlS!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe755687-7a9f-4eb5-9709-843f66865229_791x455.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gFlS!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe755687-7a9f-4eb5-9709-843f66865229_791x455.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p>~ Will the U.S. regain economic momentum?  Chart from <a href="https://www.bcaresearch.com/marketing/insight/will-2026-provide-investors-breadth-fresh-air/210036">BCA Research</a>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0-Nx!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4af61d13-dcea-4483-bca6-5e8014064f92_853x535.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0-Nx!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4af61d13-dcea-4483-bca6-5e8014064f92_853x535.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0-Nx!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4af61d13-dcea-4483-bca6-5e8014064f92_853x535.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0-Nx!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4af61d13-dcea-4483-bca6-5e8014064f92_853x535.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0-Nx!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4af61d13-dcea-4483-bca6-5e8014064f92_853x535.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0-Nx!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4af61d13-dcea-4483-bca6-5e8014064f92_853x535.png" width="853" height="535" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4af61d13-dcea-4483-bca6-5e8014064f92_853x535.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:535,&quot;width&quot;:853,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:164719,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/187672933?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4af61d13-dcea-4483-bca6-5e8014064f92_853x535.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0-Nx!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4af61d13-dcea-4483-bca6-5e8014064f92_853x535.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0-Nx!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4af61d13-dcea-4483-bca6-5e8014064f92_853x535.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0-Nx!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4af61d13-dcea-4483-bca6-5e8014064f92_853x535.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0-Nx!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4af61d13-dcea-4483-bca6-5e8014064f92_853x535.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ Concerned about China selling Treasuries?  It&#8217;s been happening already &#8212; to Belgium?  (&#8220;China Urges Banks to Curb Exposure to US Treasuries,&#8221; <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-09/china-urges-banks-to-limit-holdings-of-us-treasuries-citing-market-volatility">Bloomberg</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P9XW!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d1f602d-6b69-4ebb-9338-c001e0484c51_777x469.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P9XW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d1f602d-6b69-4ebb-9338-c001e0484c51_777x469.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P9XW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d1f602d-6b69-4ebb-9338-c001e0484c51_777x469.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P9XW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d1f602d-6b69-4ebb-9338-c001e0484c51_777x469.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P9XW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d1f602d-6b69-4ebb-9338-c001e0484c51_777x469.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P9XW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d1f602d-6b69-4ebb-9338-c001e0484c51_777x469.png" width="777" height="469" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0d1f602d-6b69-4ebb-9338-c001e0484c51_777x469.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:469,&quot;width&quot;:777,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:56569,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/187672933?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d1f602d-6b69-4ebb-9338-c001e0484c51_777x469.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P9XW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d1f602d-6b69-4ebb-9338-c001e0484c51_777x469.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P9XW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d1f602d-6b69-4ebb-9338-c001e0484c51_777x469.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P9XW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d1f602d-6b69-4ebb-9338-c001e0484c51_777x469.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P9XW!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d1f602d-6b69-4ebb-9338-c001e0484c51_777x469.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ During this expansion, the amount of company debt falling to a CCC rating from S&amp;P vastly exceeds the amount recovering from one.  (Via <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2026-02-05/10-reasons-this-is-the-worst-crypto-winter-ever?cmpid=BBD020526_oddlots&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_term=260205&amp;utm_campaign=oddlots">Odd Lots</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fwj-!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd633da0-7dea-4ce3-ad21-ee2623bf0132_649x573.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fwj-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd633da0-7dea-4ce3-ad21-ee2623bf0132_649x573.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fwj-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd633da0-7dea-4ce3-ad21-ee2623bf0132_649x573.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fwj-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd633da0-7dea-4ce3-ad21-ee2623bf0132_649x573.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fwj-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd633da0-7dea-4ce3-ad21-ee2623bf0132_649x573.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fwj-!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd633da0-7dea-4ce3-ad21-ee2623bf0132_649x573.png" width="649" height="573" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/cd633da0-7dea-4ce3-ad21-ee2623bf0132_649x573.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:573,&quot;width&quot;:649,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:142034,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/187672933?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6e915204-c7c7-46c4-8728-a92ac2876222_649x640.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fwj-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd633da0-7dea-4ce3-ad21-ee2623bf0132_649x573.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fwj-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd633da0-7dea-4ce3-ad21-ee2623bf0132_649x573.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fwj-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd633da0-7dea-4ce3-ad21-ee2623bf0132_649x573.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fwj-!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcd633da0-7dea-4ce3-ad21-ee2623bf0132_649x573.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ The biggest liquid alts mutual funds in each category had sizable differences in 2025 performance (<a href="https://home.aqr.com/webmail/699193/3323494034/5421ad61cc8d87a2ef7c9b9548ccf08a7e39698c1b2ff20f990bf29590e9ad64">AQR</a>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_yJI!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc38550f-741f-4417-88fe-cf6200506599_732x359.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_yJI!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc38550f-741f-4417-88fe-cf6200506599_732x359.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_yJI!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc38550f-741f-4417-88fe-cf6200506599_732x359.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_yJI!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc38550f-741f-4417-88fe-cf6200506599_732x359.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_yJI!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc38550f-741f-4417-88fe-cf6200506599_732x359.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_yJI!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc38550f-741f-4417-88fe-cf6200506599_732x359.png" width="732" height="359" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/fc38550f-741f-4417-88fe-cf6200506599_732x359.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:359,&quot;width&quot;:732,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:53380,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/187672933?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc38550f-741f-4417-88fe-cf6200506599_732x359.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_yJI!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc38550f-741f-4417-88fe-cf6200506599_732x359.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_yJI!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc38550f-741f-4417-88fe-cf6200506599_732x359.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_yJI!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc38550f-741f-4417-88fe-cf6200506599_732x359.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_yJI!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc38550f-741f-4417-88fe-cf6200506599_732x359.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ From &#8220;All You Need to Know About Warsh,&#8221; from <em><a href="https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/all-you-need-know-warsh-alfonso-peccatiello-gnoze/">The Market Compass</a></em> by Alfonso Peccatiello.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G1X1!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc88a7131-fff2-49b8-b9bf-0bd1de9f3fc3_713x401.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G1X1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc88a7131-fff2-49b8-b9bf-0bd1de9f3fc3_713x401.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G1X1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc88a7131-fff2-49b8-b9bf-0bd1de9f3fc3_713x401.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G1X1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc88a7131-fff2-49b8-b9bf-0bd1de9f3fc3_713x401.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G1X1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc88a7131-fff2-49b8-b9bf-0bd1de9f3fc3_713x401.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G1X1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc88a7131-fff2-49b8-b9bf-0bd1de9f3fc3_713x401.png" width="713" height="401" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c88a7131-fff2-49b8-b9bf-0bd1de9f3fc3_713x401.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:401,&quot;width&quot;:713,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G1X1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc88a7131-fff2-49b8-b9bf-0bd1de9f3fc3_713x401.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G1X1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc88a7131-fff2-49b8-b9bf-0bd1de9f3fc3_713x401.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G1X1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc88a7131-fff2-49b8-b9bf-0bd1de9f3fc3_713x401.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!G1X1!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc88a7131-fff2-49b8-b9bf-0bd1de9f3fc3_713x401.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ About that &#8220;innovation funnel,&#8221; from Tom Fishburne&#8217;s <em><a href="https://marketoonist.com/2026/01/innovation-funnel-2.html">Marketoonist</a></em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zphi!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50de2e6b-bab7-44b9-85f9-ba5e9dc41ff8_1200x873.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zphi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50de2e6b-bab7-44b9-85f9-ba5e9dc41ff8_1200x873.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zphi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50de2e6b-bab7-44b9-85f9-ba5e9dc41ff8_1200x873.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zphi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50de2e6b-bab7-44b9-85f9-ba5e9dc41ff8_1200x873.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zphi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50de2e6b-bab7-44b9-85f9-ba5e9dc41ff8_1200x873.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zphi!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50de2e6b-bab7-44b9-85f9-ba5e9dc41ff8_1200x873.jpeg" width="1200" height="873" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/50de2e6b-bab7-44b9-85f9-ba5e9dc41ff8_1200x873.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:873,&quot;width&quot;:1200,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Innovation Funnel cartoon&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Innovation Funnel cartoon" title="Innovation Funnel cartoon" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zphi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50de2e6b-bab7-44b9-85f9-ba5e9dc41ff8_1200x873.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zphi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50de2e6b-bab7-44b9-85f9-ba5e9dc41ff8_1200x873.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zphi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50de2e6b-bab7-44b9-85f9-ba5e9dc41ff8_1200x873.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zphi!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50de2e6b-bab7-44b9-85f9-ba5e9dc41ff8_1200x873.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The most recent <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/02/02/bdcs-creditor-wars-and-hedge-fund-alpha/">Fortnightly</a> of links and commentary on the main site featured BDCs, creditor wars, hedge fund alpha, quant shops, zombie private equity, and much more.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Clippings 3 ~ Be careful what you wish for]]></title><description><![CDATA[Cutting interest rates (?), the basis trade, capex (and cash burn), goodbye mutual funds, and old insurance policies in a drawer.]]></description><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-3-be-careful-what-you-wish</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-3-be-careful-what-you-wish</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 24 Jan 2026 12:28:45 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AFTl!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe23764d9-dec2-42fe-a6f3-0179264198a4_970x614.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>~ Be careful what you wish for:  Cutting Fed funds 175 basis points has the long +100 bp.  From <a href="https://bilello.blog/2026/the-week-in-charts-1-21-26">Charlie Bilello</a>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AFTl!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe23764d9-dec2-42fe-a6f3-0179264198a4_970x614.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AFTl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe23764d9-dec2-42fe-a6f3-0179264198a4_970x614.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AFTl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe23764d9-dec2-42fe-a6f3-0179264198a4_970x614.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AFTl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe23764d9-dec2-42fe-a6f3-0179264198a4_970x614.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AFTl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe23764d9-dec2-42fe-a6f3-0179264198a4_970x614.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AFTl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe23764d9-dec2-42fe-a6f3-0179264198a4_970x614.png" width="970" height="614" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e23764d9-dec2-42fe-a6f3-0179264198a4_970x614.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:614,&quot;width&quot;:970,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:159561,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/185312571?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe23764d9-dec2-42fe-a6f3-0179264198a4_970x614.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AFTl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe23764d9-dec2-42fe-a6f3-0179264198a4_970x614.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AFTl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe23764d9-dec2-42fe-a6f3-0179264198a4_970x614.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AFTl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe23764d9-dec2-42fe-a6f3-0179264198a4_970x614.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AFTl!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe23764d9-dec2-42fe-a6f3-0179264198a4_970x614.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ Do we need to worry about the basis trade?  On &#8220;The $1.5tn Treasury basis trade boom,&#8221; by Robin Wigglesworth for <em><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/f66f528b-b10f-4f04-bdf3-672115e115d4">FT Alphaville</a></em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aB42!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5c738bf-5bc3-4d85-9139-eb9fb004365e_783x700.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aB42!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5c738bf-5bc3-4d85-9139-eb9fb004365e_783x700.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aB42!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5c738bf-5bc3-4d85-9139-eb9fb004365e_783x700.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aB42!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5c738bf-5bc3-4d85-9139-eb9fb004365e_783x700.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aB42!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5c738bf-5bc3-4d85-9139-eb9fb004365e_783x700.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aB42!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5c738bf-5bc3-4d85-9139-eb9fb004365e_783x700.png" width="783" height="700" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b5c738bf-5bc3-4d85-9139-eb9fb004365e_783x700.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:700,&quot;width&quot;:783,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aB42!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5c738bf-5bc3-4d85-9139-eb9fb004365e_783x700.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aB42!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5c738bf-5bc3-4d85-9139-eb9fb004365e_783x700.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aB42!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5c738bf-5bc3-4d85-9139-eb9fb004365e_783x700.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aB42!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5c738bf-5bc3-4d85-9139-eb9fb004365e_783x700.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ Will inflation move back up to a second peak (mirroring the seventies), slide toward the Fed&#8217;s 2% target, or stay stuck here?  (John Authers, <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-01-14/inflation-numbers-are-looking-too-good-to-trust">Bloomberg</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rNyC!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdba495fa-2b0b-41a7-b1b6-c88eb3c3b01d_1337x1063.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rNyC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdba495fa-2b0b-41a7-b1b6-c88eb3c3b01d_1337x1063.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rNyC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdba495fa-2b0b-41a7-b1b6-c88eb3c3b01d_1337x1063.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rNyC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdba495fa-2b0b-41a7-b1b6-c88eb3c3b01d_1337x1063.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rNyC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdba495fa-2b0b-41a7-b1b6-c88eb3c3b01d_1337x1063.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rNyC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdba495fa-2b0b-41a7-b1b6-c88eb3c3b01d_1337x1063.jpeg" width="1337" height="1063" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdba495fa-2b0b-41a7-b1b6-c88eb3c3b01d_1337x1063.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rNyC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdba495fa-2b0b-41a7-b1b6-c88eb3c3b01d_1337x1063.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rNyC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdba495fa-2b0b-41a7-b1b6-c88eb3c3b01d_1337x1063.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rNyC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdba495fa-2b0b-41a7-b1b6-c88eb3c3b01d_1337x1063.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ Today&#8217;s top ten in market cap doesn&#8217;t include any stocks from the 2005 group, and the percentage of the S&amp;P represented is almost double what it was then (&#8220;Guide to the Markets,&#8221; <a href="https://am.jpmorgan.com/content/dam/jpm-am-aem/global/en/insights/market-insights/guide-to-the-markets/mi-guide-to-the-markets-us.pdf">J.P. Morgan</a>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gwi2!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74c781f1-b221-4110-b64e-8332011955d6_981x572.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gwi2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74c781f1-b221-4110-b64e-8332011955d6_981x572.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gwi2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74c781f1-b221-4110-b64e-8332011955d6_981x572.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gwi2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74c781f1-b221-4110-b64e-8332011955d6_981x572.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gwi2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74c781f1-b221-4110-b64e-8332011955d6_981x572.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gwi2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74c781f1-b221-4110-b64e-8332011955d6_981x572.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gwi2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74c781f1-b221-4110-b64e-8332011955d6_981x572.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gwi2!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74c781f1-b221-4110-b64e-8332011955d6_981x572.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ The decomposition of the market return in each of the last five years, from <em>The Daily Shot</em>, via <em><a href="https://augurdigest.com/p/augur-digest-152#equities">Augur Digest</a>.</em></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIgj!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4adbec25-420e-469a-a7d6-0d611ebc657c_1040x716.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIgj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4adbec25-420e-469a-a7d6-0d611ebc657c_1040x716.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIgj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4adbec25-420e-469a-a7d6-0d611ebc657c_1040x716.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIgj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4adbec25-420e-469a-a7d6-0d611ebc657c_1040x716.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIgj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4adbec25-420e-469a-a7d6-0d611ebc657c_1040x716.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIgj!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4adbec25-420e-469a-a7d6-0d611ebc657c_1040x716.png" width="1040" height="716" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4adbec25-420e-469a-a7d6-0d611ebc657c_1040x716.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:716,&quot;width&quot;:1040,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:55168,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIgj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4adbec25-420e-469a-a7d6-0d611ebc657c_1040x716.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIgj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4adbec25-420e-469a-a7d6-0d611ebc657c_1040x716.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIgj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4adbec25-420e-469a-a7d6-0d611ebc657c_1040x716.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIgj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4adbec25-420e-469a-a7d6-0d611ebc657c_1040x716.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ The capex boom at hyperscalers (Wei Li, BlackRock, via <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7417530079850876928/">LinkedIn</a>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YHwq!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F011b18b9-ac2f-42bd-a933-1f7ec4eb78aa_1018x876.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YHwq!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F011b18b9-ac2f-42bd-a933-1f7ec4eb78aa_1018x876.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YHwq!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F011b18b9-ac2f-42bd-a933-1f7ec4eb78aa_1018x876.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YHwq!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F011b18b9-ac2f-42bd-a933-1f7ec4eb78aa_1018x876.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YHwq!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F011b18b9-ac2f-42bd-a933-1f7ec4eb78aa_1018x876.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YHwq!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F011b18b9-ac2f-42bd-a933-1f7ec4eb78aa_1018x876.jpeg" width="1018" height="876" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/011b18b9-ac2f-42bd-a933-1f7ec4eb78aa_1018x876.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:876,&quot;width&quot;:1018,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YHwq!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F011b18b9-ac2f-42bd-a933-1f7ec4eb78aa_1018x876.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YHwq!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F011b18b9-ac2f-42bd-a933-1f7ec4eb78aa_1018x876.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YHwq!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F011b18b9-ac2f-42bd-a933-1f7ec4eb78aa_1018x876.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YHwq!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F011b18b9-ac2f-42bd-a933-1f7ec4eb78aa_1018x876.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ The AI cash burn in perspective.  (&#8220;Who Captures the Value When AI Inference Becomes Cheap?&#8221; Les Barclays, <em><a href="/__u/lesbarclays.substack.com/p/who-captures-the-value-when-ai-inference">This Is Not Investment Advice</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6wOk!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ae98a98-f6fd-42a4-94d3-38ace3609311_1538x1020.heic" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6wOk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ae98a98-f6fd-42a4-94d3-38ace3609311_1538x1020.heic 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6wOk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ae98a98-f6fd-42a4-94d3-38ace3609311_1538x1020.heic 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6wOk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ae98a98-f6fd-42a4-94d3-38ace3609311_1538x1020.heic 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6wOk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ae98a98-f6fd-42a4-94d3-38ace3609311_1538x1020.heic 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6wOk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ae98a98-f6fd-42a4-94d3-38ace3609311_1538x1020.heic" width="1456" height="966" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1ae98a98-f6fd-42a4-94d3-38ace3609311_1538x1020.heic&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:966,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:79095,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/heic&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://lesbarclays.substack.com/i/182266187?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ae98a98-f6fd-42a4-94d3-38ace3609311_1538x1020.heic&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6wOk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ae98a98-f6fd-42a4-94d3-38ace3609311_1538x1020.heic 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6wOk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ae98a98-f6fd-42a4-94d3-38ace3609311_1538x1020.heic 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6wOk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ae98a98-f6fd-42a4-94d3-38ace3609311_1538x1020.heic 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6wOk!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ae98a98-f6fd-42a4-94d3-38ace3609311_1538x1020.heic 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ Money flowing to passive, alternatives, and ETFs has changed the trajectory of traditional mutual funds.  (&#8220;Mutual Fund Rollouts at Lowest Level Since Reagan Era,&#8221; Brian Ponte, <em><a href="https://www.financialadvisoriq.com/c/5073414/713364">Financial Advisor IQ</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4X81!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b864ad8-a89a-48cd-a429-4c10e6a1651c_811x753.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4X81!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b864ad8-a89a-48cd-a429-4c10e6a1651c_811x753.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4X81!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b864ad8-a89a-48cd-a429-4c10e6a1651c_811x753.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4X81!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b864ad8-a89a-48cd-a429-4c10e6a1651c_811x753.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4X81!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b864ad8-a89a-48cd-a429-4c10e6a1651c_811x753.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4X81!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b864ad8-a89a-48cd-a429-4c10e6a1651c_811x753.png" width="811" height="753" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6b864ad8-a89a-48cd-a429-4c10e6a1651c_811x753.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:753,&quot;width&quot;:811,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4X81!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b864ad8-a89a-48cd-a429-4c10e6a1651c_811x753.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4X81!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b864ad8-a89a-48cd-a429-4c10e6a1651c_811x753.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4X81!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b864ad8-a89a-48cd-a429-4c10e6a1651c_811x753.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4X81!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b864ad8-a89a-48cd-a429-4c10e6a1651c_811x753.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ Has the fast rise of private credit hit a speed bump?  (&#8220;Private credit investors pull $7bn from Wall Street&#8217;s biggest funds,&#8221; Eric Platt, <em><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/8d7a9c3d-8e1c-40be-915c-7118c4946468">Financial Times</a>)</em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AmKH!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f015845-1e65-419a-a39d-47a5de824be7_884x569.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AmKH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f015845-1e65-419a-a39d-47a5de824be7_884x569.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AmKH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f015845-1e65-419a-a39d-47a5de824be7_884x569.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AmKH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f015845-1e65-419a-a39d-47a5de824be7_884x569.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AmKH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f015845-1e65-419a-a39d-47a5de824be7_884x569.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AmKH!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f015845-1e65-419a-a39d-47a5de824be7_884x569.png" width="884" height="569" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8f015845-1e65-419a-a39d-47a5de824be7_884x569.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:569,&quot;width&quot;:884,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:141866,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/185312571?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f015845-1e65-419a-a39d-47a5de824be7_884x569.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AmKH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f015845-1e65-419a-a39d-47a5de824be7_884x569.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AmKH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f015845-1e65-419a-a39d-47a5de824be7_884x569.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AmKH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f015845-1e65-419a-a39d-47a5de824be7_884x569.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AmKH!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f015845-1e65-419a-a39d-47a5de824be7_884x569.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ Rupak Ghose&#8217;s <a href="/__u/rupakghose.substack.com/p/point72-the-reincarnation-of-sac">posting</a> on &#8220;the reincarnation of SAC Capital&#8221; includes this look at returns from the major pod shops.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7e2_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1a564de-ee7d-481d-8c8a-21f2cffd4202_895x448.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7e2_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1a564de-ee7d-481d-8c8a-21f2cffd4202_895x448.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7e2_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1a564de-ee7d-481d-8c8a-21f2cffd4202_895x448.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7e2_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1a564de-ee7d-481d-8c8a-21f2cffd4202_895x448.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7e2_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1a564de-ee7d-481d-8c8a-21f2cffd4202_895x448.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7e2_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1a564de-ee7d-481d-8c8a-21f2cffd4202_895x448.png" width="895" height="448" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c1a564de-ee7d-481d-8c8a-21f2cffd4202_895x448.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:448,&quot;width&quot;:895,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7e2_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1a564de-ee7d-481d-8c8a-21f2cffd4202_895x448.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7e2_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1a564de-ee7d-481d-8c8a-21f2cffd4202_895x448.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7e2_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1a564de-ee7d-481d-8c8a-21f2cffd4202_895x448.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7e2_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1a564de-ee7d-481d-8c8a-21f2cffd4202_895x448.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ A paragraph that catches the eye &#8212; in &#8220;Innovation Biopics&#8221; from <em><a href="/__u/arbesman.substack.com/p/innovation-biopics">Cabinet of Wonders</a></em> by Samuel Arbesman.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j05r!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c95d2df-a8b1-465f-92cf-2a07fe7d7f26_869x292.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j05r!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c95d2df-a8b1-465f-92cf-2a07fe7d7f26_869x292.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j05r!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c95d2df-a8b1-465f-92cf-2a07fe7d7f26_869x292.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j05r!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c95d2df-a8b1-465f-92cf-2a07fe7d7f26_869x292.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j05r!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c95d2df-a8b1-465f-92cf-2a07fe7d7f26_869x292.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j05r!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c95d2df-a8b1-465f-92cf-2a07fe7d7f26_869x292.png" width="869" height="292" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5c95d2df-a8b1-465f-92cf-2a07fe7d7f26_869x292.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:292,&quot;width&quot;:869,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:68134,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/185312571?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c95d2df-a8b1-465f-92cf-2a07fe7d7f26_869x292.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j05r!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c95d2df-a8b1-465f-92cf-2a07fe7d7f26_869x292.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j05r!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c95d2df-a8b1-465f-92cf-2a07fe7d7f26_869x292.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j05r!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c95d2df-a8b1-465f-92cf-2a07fe7d7f26_869x292.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j05r!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c95d2df-a8b1-465f-92cf-2a07fe7d7f26_869x292.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ From &#8220;The golden age of vaccine development&#8221; in <em><a href="https://www.worksinprogress.news/p/the-golden-age-of-vaccine-development">The Works in Progress Newsletter</a></em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TI3L!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75c272de-16bf-44e6-af96-19f80ffcea5b_2500x2412.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TI3L!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75c272de-16bf-44e6-af96-19f80ffcea5b_2500x2412.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TI3L!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75c272de-16bf-44e6-af96-19f80ffcea5b_2500x2412.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TI3L!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75c272de-16bf-44e6-af96-19f80ffcea5b_2500x2412.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TI3L!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75c272de-16bf-44e6-af96-19f80ffcea5b_2500x2412.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TI3L!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75c272de-16bf-44e6-af96-19f80ffcea5b_2500x2412.png" width="2500" height="2412" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/75c272de-16bf-44e6-af96-19f80ffcea5b_2500x2412.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:2412,&quot;width&quot;:2500,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:238154,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.worksinprogress.news/i/183697361?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde18956f-ec3d-4347-aa16-2dea71c5cdda_2500x2556.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TI3L!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75c272de-16bf-44e6-af96-19f80ffcea5b_2500x2412.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TI3L!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75c272de-16bf-44e6-af96-19f80ffcea5b_2500x2412.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TI3L!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75c272de-16bf-44e6-af96-19f80ffcea5b_2500x2412.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TI3L!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75c272de-16bf-44e6-af96-19f80ffcea5b_2500x2412.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The most recent <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2026/01/19/private-equity-data-boutique-manager-failures-and-mania-and-value-in-esg/">Fortnightly</a> set of curated links and commentary included lead sections on private equity data, boutique manager failures, and mania and value in ESG, plus a number of other readings across the spectrum of asset classes and strategies.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Clippings 2 ~ Changes (mostly)]]></title><description><![CDATA[Tech stocks, employment trends, Asian fixed income, a precious (metal) year, margins on the move, a sticky presidential cycle, etc.]]></description><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-2-changes-mostly</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-2-changes-mostly</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 07 Jan 2026 22:00:07 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_bUL!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1f6bc65-486f-480a-9813-bc89482d0ad1_828x684.webp" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for taking a look at this new Substack.  If you&#8217;d like the occasional quick look at some important snippets from around the ecosystem, please <a href="/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/subscribe">subscribe</a>.</p><p>~ Jim Paulsen on &#8220;New Era&#8221; stocks versus spending, via <em><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2026-01-02/get-ready-to-talk-about-deepseek-again">Odd Lots</a> </em>(Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_bUL!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1f6bc65-486f-480a-9813-bc89482d0ad1_828x684.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_bUL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1f6bc65-486f-480a-9813-bc89482d0ad1_828x684.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_bUL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1f6bc65-486f-480a-9813-bc89482d0ad1_828x684.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_bUL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1f6bc65-486f-480a-9813-bc89482d0ad1_828x684.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_bUL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1f6bc65-486f-480a-9813-bc89482d0ad1_828x684.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_bUL!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1f6bc65-486f-480a-9813-bc89482d0ad1_828x684.webp" width="828" height="684" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c1f6bc65-486f-480a-9813-bc89482d0ad1_828x684.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:684,&quot;width&quot;:828,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_bUL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1f6bc65-486f-480a-9813-bc89482d0ad1_828x684.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_bUL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1f6bc65-486f-480a-9813-bc89482d0ad1_828x684.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_bUL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1f6bc65-486f-480a-9813-bc89482d0ad1_828x684.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_bUL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc1f6bc65-486f-480a-9813-bc89482d0ad1_828x684.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ Small employers have been retrenching.  (&#8220;The Economic Divide Between Big and Small Companies Is Growing,&#8221; Harriet Torry and Justin Lahart, <em><a href="https://www.wsj.com/business/the-economic-divide-between-big-and-small-companies-is-growing-f3bcf222">Wall Street Journal</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FA0W!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5080d55e-0c1f-40be-86fc-eae34c1d14bd_766x594.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FA0W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5080d55e-0c1f-40be-86fc-eae34c1d14bd_766x594.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FA0W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5080d55e-0c1f-40be-86fc-eae34c1d14bd_766x594.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FA0W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5080d55e-0c1f-40be-86fc-eae34c1d14bd_766x594.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FA0W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5080d55e-0c1f-40be-86fc-eae34c1d14bd_766x594.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FA0W!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5080d55e-0c1f-40be-86fc-eae34c1d14bd_766x594.png" width="766" height="594" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5080d55e-0c1f-40be-86fc-eae34c1d14bd_766x594.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:594,&quot;width&quot;:766,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:39392,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/183564768?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5080d55e-0c1f-40be-86fc-eae34c1d14bd_766x594.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FA0W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5080d55e-0c1f-40be-86fc-eae34c1d14bd_766x594.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FA0W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5080d55e-0c1f-40be-86fc-eae34c1d14bd_766x594.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FA0W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5080d55e-0c1f-40be-86fc-eae34c1d14bd_766x594.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FA0W!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5080d55e-0c1f-40be-86fc-eae34c1d14bd_766x594.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ Significant change in the relationship between bond yields in the biggest Asian economies.  (&#8220;Japan&#8217;s Bond Widows Are Finally Having Their Day,&#8221; John Authers, <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-01-07/japan-s-bond-widows-are-finally-having-their-day">Bloomberg</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0E_R!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff2cc8b8e-6f78-4ad9-b6ab-90290d091a3b_787x517.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0E_R!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff2cc8b8e-6f78-4ad9-b6ab-90290d091a3b_787x517.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0E_R!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff2cc8b8e-6f78-4ad9-b6ab-90290d091a3b_787x517.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0E_R!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff2cc8b8e-6f78-4ad9-b6ab-90290d091a3b_787x517.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0E_R!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff2cc8b8e-6f78-4ad9-b6ab-90290d091a3b_787x517.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0E_R!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff2cc8b8e-6f78-4ad9-b6ab-90290d091a3b_787x517.png" width="787" height="517" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f2cc8b8e-6f78-4ad9-b6ab-90290d091a3b_787x517.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:517,&quot;width&quot;:787,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:63376,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/183564768?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff2cc8b8e-6f78-4ad9-b6ab-90290d091a3b_787x517.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0E_R!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff2cc8b8e-6f78-4ad9-b6ab-90290d091a3b_787x517.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0E_R!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff2cc8b8e-6f78-4ad9-b6ab-90290d091a3b_787x517.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0E_R!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff2cc8b8e-6f78-4ad9-b6ab-90290d091a3b_787x517.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0E_R!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff2cc8b8e-6f78-4ad9-b6ab-90290d091a3b_787x517.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ A golden year, one in a group of 2025 charts from the <em><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/6e32f728-51a7-4677-b5e4-fff33f05e730">Financial Times</a></em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eH6T!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e2e6165-f61e-4cf1-b1f3-8daaa1f9a4c0_878x555.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eH6T!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e2e6165-f61e-4cf1-b1f3-8daaa1f9a4c0_878x555.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eH6T!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e2e6165-f61e-4cf1-b1f3-8daaa1f9a4c0_878x555.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eH6T!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e2e6165-f61e-4cf1-b1f3-8daaa1f9a4c0_878x555.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eH6T!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e2e6165-f61e-4cf1-b1f3-8daaa1f9a4c0_878x555.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eH6T!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e2e6165-f61e-4cf1-b1f3-8daaa1f9a4c0_878x555.png" width="878" height="555" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e2e6165-f61e-4cf1-b1f3-8daaa1f9a4c0_878x555.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eH6T!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e2e6165-f61e-4cf1-b1f3-8daaa1f9a4c0_878x555.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eH6T!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e2e6165-f61e-4cf1-b1f3-8daaa1f9a4c0_878x555.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eH6T!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e2e6165-f61e-4cf1-b1f3-8daaa1f9a4c0_878x555.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ Comparing the AI investment cycle to previous ones (are we still early in the cycle?) &#8212; from <a href="https://corporate.vanguard.com/content/dam/corp/research/pdf/isg_vemo_2026.pdf">Vanguard</a>, &#8220;AI exuberance: Economic upside, stock market downside.&#8221;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WDs_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b14a47d-206f-41cc-b56f-0a820d901b47_681x264.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WDs_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b14a47d-206f-41cc-b56f-0a820d901b47_681x264.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WDs_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b14a47d-206f-41cc-b56f-0a820d901b47_681x264.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WDs_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b14a47d-206f-41cc-b56f-0a820d901b47_681x264.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WDs_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b14a47d-206f-41cc-b56f-0a820d901b47_681x264.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WDs_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b14a47d-206f-41cc-b56f-0a820d901b47_681x264.png" width="681" height="264" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b14a47d-206f-41cc-b56f-0a820d901b47_681x264.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WDs_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b14a47d-206f-41cc-b56f-0a820d901b47_681x264.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WDs_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b14a47d-206f-41cc-b56f-0a820d901b47_681x264.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WDs_!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b14a47d-206f-41cc-b56f-0a820d901b47_681x264.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ There&#8217;s a lot of overlap across business development company portfolios (overall and regarding non-accruals); chart from Raymond James via <a href="/__u/larryswedroe.substack.com/p/how-diverse-are-bdc-portfolios">Larry Swedroe</a> in &#8220;How Diverse Are BDC Portfolios?&#8221;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S1KO!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff62b9d47-f923-4a21-8eaf-73d3e2ba1594_935x523.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S1KO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff62b9d47-f923-4a21-8eaf-73d3e2ba1594_935x523.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S1KO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff62b9d47-f923-4a21-8eaf-73d3e2ba1594_935x523.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S1KO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff62b9d47-f923-4a21-8eaf-73d3e2ba1594_935x523.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S1KO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff62b9d47-f923-4a21-8eaf-73d3e2ba1594_935x523.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S1KO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff62b9d47-f923-4a21-8eaf-73d3e2ba1594_935x523.png" width="935" height="523" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f62b9d47-f923-4a21-8eaf-73d3e2ba1594_935x523.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:523,&quot;width&quot;:935,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:286129,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S1KO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff62b9d47-f923-4a21-8eaf-73d3e2ba1594_935x523.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S1KO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff62b9d47-f923-4a21-8eaf-73d3e2ba1594_935x523.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S1KO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff62b9d47-f923-4a21-8eaf-73d3e2ba1594_935x523.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S1KO!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff62b9d47-f923-4a21-8eaf-73d3e2ba1594_935x523.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ Corporate spreads are tight.  (ICE BofA US Corporate Index Option-Adjusted Spread, <a href="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BAMLC0A0CM">FRED</a>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6sgC!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb7b1e59-890f-4833-9af4-0fbca3424476_1635x532.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6sgC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb7b1e59-890f-4833-9af4-0fbca3424476_1635x532.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6sgC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb7b1e59-890f-4833-9af4-0fbca3424476_1635x532.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6sgC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb7b1e59-890f-4833-9af4-0fbca3424476_1635x532.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6sgC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb7b1e59-890f-4833-9af4-0fbca3424476_1635x532.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6sgC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb7b1e59-890f-4833-9af4-0fbca3424476_1635x532.png" width="1456" height="474" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/bb7b1e59-890f-4833-9af4-0fbca3424476_1635x532.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:474,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:57844,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/183564768?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb7b1e59-890f-4833-9af4-0fbca3424476_1635x532.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6sgC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb7b1e59-890f-4833-9af4-0fbca3424476_1635x532.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6sgC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb7b1e59-890f-4833-9af4-0fbca3424476_1635x532.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6sgC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb7b1e59-890f-4833-9af4-0fbca3424476_1635x532.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6sgC!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbb7b1e59-890f-4833-9af4-0fbca3424476_1635x532.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ The geographic composition of the MSCI Frontier Markets Index has changed dramatically.  (&#8220;Frontier Markets,&#8221; Braden Clark, et al., <a href="https://meketa.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/MEKETA_Frontier-Markets.pdf">Meketa</a>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_fTs!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1195b3d-bf05-495e-a428-ce10867d80ca_881x551.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_fTs!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1195b3d-bf05-495e-a428-ce10867d80ca_881x551.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_fTs!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1195b3d-bf05-495e-a428-ce10867d80ca_881x551.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_fTs!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1195b3d-bf05-495e-a428-ce10867d80ca_881x551.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_fTs!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1195b3d-bf05-495e-a428-ce10867d80ca_881x551.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_fTs!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1195b3d-bf05-495e-a428-ce10867d80ca_881x551.png" width="881" height="551" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b1195b3d-bf05-495e-a428-ce10867d80ca_881x551.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:551,&quot;width&quot;:881,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:40567,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/183564768?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1195b3d-bf05-495e-a428-ce10867d80ca_881x551.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_fTs!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1195b3d-bf05-495e-a428-ce10867d80ca_881x551.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_fTs!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1195b3d-bf05-495e-a428-ce10867d80ca_881x551.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_fTs!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1195b3d-bf05-495e-a428-ce10867d80ca_881x551.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_fTs!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1195b3d-bf05-495e-a428-ce10867d80ca_881x551.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ Margins have increased a lot this decade (<a href="https://www.carsongroup.com/insights/blog/carson-investment-research-team-charts-of-the-year/">Carson Group</a>; hat tip <a href="https://abnormalreturns.com/2026/01/02/friday-links-investment-self-confidence/">Abnormal Returns</a>).</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AyT8!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab98684a-282f-43ec-adbe-964891c1bc82_797x799.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AyT8!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab98684a-282f-43ec-adbe-964891c1bc82_797x799.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AyT8!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab98684a-282f-43ec-adbe-964891c1bc82_797x799.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AyT8!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab98684a-282f-43ec-adbe-964891c1bc82_797x799.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AyT8!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab98684a-282f-43ec-adbe-964891c1bc82_797x799.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AyT8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab98684a-282f-43ec-adbe-964891c1bc82_797x799.png" width="797" height="799" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ab98684a-282f-43ec-adbe-964891c1bc82_797x799.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:799,&quot;width&quot;:797,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:160891,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/183564768?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab98684a-282f-43ec-adbe-964891c1bc82_797x799.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AyT8!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab98684a-282f-43ec-adbe-964891c1bc82_797x799.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AyT8!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab98684a-282f-43ec-adbe-964891c1bc82_797x799.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AyT8!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab98684a-282f-43ec-adbe-964891c1bc82_797x799.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AyT8!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fab98684a-282f-43ec-adbe-964891c1bc82_797x799.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Bizarre.  (Via &#8220;The Return of the Weirdo,&#8221; Ted Gioia, <em><a href="https://www.honest-broker.com/p/the-return-of-the-weirdo">The Honest Broker</a></em>.)</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CWZq!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F313935fb-39f2-4b54-a964-2f964b6f14b3_829x404.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CWZq!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F313935fb-39f2-4b54-a964-2f964b6f14b3_829x404.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CWZq!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F313935fb-39f2-4b54-a964-2f964b6f14b3_829x404.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CWZq!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F313935fb-39f2-4b54-a964-2f964b6f14b3_829x404.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CWZq!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F313935fb-39f2-4b54-a964-2f964b6f14b3_829x404.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CWZq!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F313935fb-39f2-4b54-a964-2f964b6f14b3_829x404.png" width="829" height="404" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/313935fb-39f2-4b54-a964-2f964b6f14b3_829x404.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:404,&quot;width&quot;:829,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:197137,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/183564768?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F313935fb-39f2-4b54-a964-2f964b6f14b3_829x404.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CWZq!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F313935fb-39f2-4b54-a964-2f964b6f14b3_829x404.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CWZq!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F313935fb-39f2-4b54-a964-2f964b6f14b3_829x404.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CWZq!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F313935fb-39f2-4b54-a964-2f964b6f14b3_829x404.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CWZq!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F313935fb-39f2-4b54-a964-2f964b6f14b3_829x404.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The latest <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2025/12/29/spray-and-pray-an-equilibrium-of-disequilibrium-and-two-sides-of-capitalism/">posting</a> on the main Investment Ecosystem site featured sections on the Tiger Global &#8220;spray and pray&#8221; approach, the history of information markets, and two very different sides of capitalism.  Plus, private credit, alternative asset managers, mission investing, good finance books, nine more current topics, and a look back at the investor Philip Fisher. </p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Clippings 1 ~ The first step]]></title><description><![CDATA[Global yields, the private-to-public belly flop, adjusted earnings, cratering debt, hemorrhaging funds, NFTs, and more.]]></description><link>https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-1-the-first-step</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/p/clippings-1-the-first-step</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Brakke]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 22 Dec 2025 22:47:50 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Q7bh!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3c942b-da8f-4091-8e46-58f0632dff8d_790x474.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Welcome to the first edition of <em>Investment Ecosystem Clippings</em>.  This is what you&#8217;ll receive &#8212; snippets that you can run through quickly, along with links if you want more information.</p><p>~ &#8220;Global Bond Yields Hit 16-Year High on Fading Rate-Cut Bets,&#8221; Ruth Carson and Matthew Burgess, <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-10/-disappointment-trade-propels-global-bond-yields-to-2009-levels">Bloomberg</a></em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Q7bh!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3c942b-da8f-4091-8e46-58f0632dff8d_790x474.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Q7bh!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3c942b-da8f-4091-8e46-58f0632dff8d_790x474.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Q7bh!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3c942b-da8f-4091-8e46-58f0632dff8d_790x474.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Q7bh!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3c942b-da8f-4091-8e46-58f0632dff8d_790x474.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Q7bh!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3c942b-da8f-4091-8e46-58f0632dff8d_790x474.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Q7bh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3c942b-da8f-4091-8e46-58f0632dff8d_790x474.png" width="790" height="474" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1f3c942b-da8f-4091-8e46-58f0632dff8d_790x474.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:474,&quot;width&quot;:790,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:62779,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/181046229?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00a310a1-fcbc-4a73-b7ed-7e5ab80f48b4_790x488.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Q7bh!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3c942b-da8f-4091-8e46-58f0632dff8d_790x474.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Q7bh!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3c942b-da8f-4091-8e46-58f0632dff8d_790x474.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Q7bh!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3c942b-da8f-4091-8e46-58f0632dff8d_790x474.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Q7bh!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3c942b-da8f-4091-8e46-58f0632dff8d_790x474.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ The Bluerock belly flop, via Robin Wigglesworth of <em><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/bc85d15f-b2e4-48a6-9ae7-a670b3c00399">FT Alphaville</a></em>, &#8220;Private market marks, say hello to public markets.&#8221;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jyiV!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d1c52df-b2ea-42f8-8055-c2c78bea11fa_700x470.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jyiV!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d1c52df-b2ea-42f8-8055-c2c78bea11fa_700x470.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jyiV!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d1c52df-b2ea-42f8-8055-c2c78bea11fa_700x470.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jyiV!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d1c52df-b2ea-42f8-8055-c2c78bea11fa_700x470.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jyiV!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d1c52df-b2ea-42f8-8055-c2c78bea11fa_700x470.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jyiV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d1c52df-b2ea-42f8-8055-c2c78bea11fa_700x470.png" width="700" height="470" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3d1c52df-b2ea-42f8-8055-c2c78bea11fa_700x470.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:470,&quot;width&quot;:700,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:63678,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Line chart of Net asset value of BPRE ($) showing Private marks versus public valuations&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Line chart of Net asset value of BPRE ($) showing Private marks versus public valuations" title="Line chart of Net asset value of BPRE ($) showing Private marks versus public valuations" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jyiV!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d1c52df-b2ea-42f8-8055-c2c78bea11fa_700x470.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jyiV!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d1c52df-b2ea-42f8-8055-c2c78bea11fa_700x470.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jyiV!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d1c52df-b2ea-42f8-8055-c2c78bea11fa_700x470.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jyiV!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3d1c52df-b2ea-42f8-8055-c2c78bea11fa_700x470.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~&#8220;The Ones Writing It Off,&#8221; Eric Cinnamond, <a href="https://www.palmvalleycapital.com/post/the-ones-writing-it-off">Palm Valley Capital Management</a>.  Earnings are getting more and more &#8220;adjusted.&#8221;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d5TE!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9247ecea-21cb-4276-b9a0-04f1e0dfc0e2_909x455.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d5TE!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9247ecea-21cb-4276-b9a0-04f1e0dfc0e2_909x455.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d5TE!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9247ecea-21cb-4276-b9a0-04f1e0dfc0e2_909x455.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d5TE!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9247ecea-21cb-4276-b9a0-04f1e0dfc0e2_909x455.png" width="909" height="455" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9247ecea-21cb-4276-b9a0-04f1e0dfc0e2_909x455.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d5TE!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9247ecea-21cb-4276-b9a0-04f1e0dfc0e2_909x455.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d5TE!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9247ecea-21cb-4276-b9a0-04f1e0dfc0e2_909x455.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d5TE!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9247ecea-21cb-4276-b9a0-04f1e0dfc0e2_909x455.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ &#8220;First Brands Loan Hits 30 Cents as Fresh Rescue Seen as Critical,&#8221; Reshmi Basu, et al., <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-11/first-brands-loan-hits-30-cents-as-fresh-rescue-seen-as-critical">Bloomberg</a></em>.  &#8220;Seeing the super-senior debt crater at a speed that bankruptcy experts say is virtually unprecedented.&#8221;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mrdT!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad64c556-b674-4d53-b5db-787cbe44d3ed_799x500.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mrdT!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad64c556-b674-4d53-b5db-787cbe44d3ed_799x500.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mrdT!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad64c556-b674-4d53-b5db-787cbe44d3ed_799x500.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mrdT!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad64c556-b674-4d53-b5db-787cbe44d3ed_799x500.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mrdT!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad64c556-b674-4d53-b5db-787cbe44d3ed_799x500.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mrdT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad64c556-b674-4d53-b5db-787cbe44d3ed_799x500.png" width="799" height="500" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ad64c556-b674-4d53-b5db-787cbe44d3ed_799x500.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:500,&quot;width&quot;:799,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:67409,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/181046229?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2965d485-4819-46c9-a97e-d6bc861fe90e_799x509.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mrdT!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad64c556-b674-4d53-b5db-787cbe44d3ed_799x500.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mrdT!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad64c556-b674-4d53-b5db-787cbe44d3ed_799x500.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mrdT!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad64c556-b674-4d53-b5db-787cbe44d3ed_799x500.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mrdT!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad64c556-b674-4d53-b5db-787cbe44d3ed_799x500.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ &#8220;Hedge funds double down using near-record leverage in quest to boost returns,&#8221; Anirban Sen and Nell Mackenzie, <em><a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/hedge-funds-double-down-using-near-record-leverage-quest-boost-returns-2025-12-03/?_bhlid=85baedeaf248b142685f9b51edcb7d7ed52e080c">Reuters</a></em>.  Multi-manager funds have grown at a much faster pace than other hedge funds in the last few years.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wNAc!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e0dc977-ba14-4d38-9a25-0208df35d91e_1113x768.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wNAc!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e0dc977-ba14-4d38-9a25-0208df35d91e_1113x768.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wNAc!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e0dc977-ba14-4d38-9a25-0208df35d91e_1113x768.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wNAc!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e0dc977-ba14-4d38-9a25-0208df35d91e_1113x768.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wNAc!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e0dc977-ba14-4d38-9a25-0208df35d91e_1113x768.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wNAc!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e0dc977-ba14-4d38-9a25-0208df35d91e_1113x768.png" width="1113" height="768" 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/__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e0dc977-ba14-4d38-9a25-0208df35d91e_1113x768.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wNAc!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e0dc977-ba14-4d38-9a25-0208df35d91e_1113x768.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wNAc!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e0dc977-ba14-4d38-9a25-0208df35d91e_1113x768.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wNAc!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e0dc977-ba14-4d38-9a25-0208df35d91e_1113x768.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ Bank lending to non-bank financial institutions, from &#8220;Non-Banks Are Now a Big Banking Business,&#8221; Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal, <em><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-12-08/non-banks-are-now-a-big-banking-business">Bloomberg</a></em>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Tw9v!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb78cd9dc-69f4-477d-84cb-327d104dd9b9_732x401.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Tw9v!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb78cd9dc-69f4-477d-84cb-327d104dd9b9_732x401.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Tw9v!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb78cd9dc-69f4-477d-84cb-327d104dd9b9_732x401.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Tw9v!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb78cd9dc-69f4-477d-84cb-327d104dd9b9_732x401.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Tw9v!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb78cd9dc-69f4-477d-84cb-327d104dd9b9_732x401.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Tw9v!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb78cd9dc-69f4-477d-84cb-327d104dd9b9_732x401.png" width="732" height="401" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b78cd9dc-69f4-477d-84cb-327d104dd9b9_732x401.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:401,&quot;width&quot;:732,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:34812,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/181046229?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5b5db70-5bde-4d6d-946a-ee7801c13e98_732x463.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Tw9v!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb78cd9dc-69f4-477d-84cb-327d104dd9b9_732x401.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Tw9v!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb78cd9dc-69f4-477d-84cb-327d104dd9b9_732x401.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Tw9v!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb78cd9dc-69f4-477d-84cb-327d104dd9b9_732x401.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Tw9v!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb78cd9dc-69f4-477d-84cb-327d104dd9b9_732x401.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ A decade of outflows from active equity mutual funds and more estimated for 2026 by Bank of America, via <a href="https://bsky.app/profile/mikezaccardi.bsky.social/post/3madkhzig5u2r">Mike Zaccardi</a>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BLcL!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea99e95d-8f10-4e9f-82f2-23ddbb64a459_580x439.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BLcL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea99e95d-8f10-4e9f-82f2-23ddbb64a459_580x439.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BLcL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea99e95d-8f10-4e9f-82f2-23ddbb64a459_580x439.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BLcL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea99e95d-8f10-4e9f-82f2-23ddbb64a459_580x439.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BLcL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea99e95d-8f10-4e9f-82f2-23ddbb64a459_580x439.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BLcL!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea99e95d-8f10-4e9f-82f2-23ddbb64a459_580x439.jpeg" width="580" height="439" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ea99e95d-8f10-4e9f-82f2-23ddbb64a459_580x439.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:439,&quot;width&quot;:580,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:47757,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BLcL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea99e95d-8f10-4e9f-82f2-23ddbb64a459_580x439.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BLcL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea99e95d-8f10-4e9f-82f2-23ddbb64a459_580x439.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BLcL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea99e95d-8f10-4e9f-82f2-23ddbb64a459_580x439.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BLcL!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea99e95d-8f10-4e9f-82f2-23ddbb64a459_580x439.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ &#8220;Whatever Happened to NFTs?&#8221; Barry Ritholtz, <em><a href="https://ritholtz.com/2025/12/what-happened-nfts/">The Big Picture</a></em>.  Notice the billions of dollars brought in by these top sellers; prices on many of them are down more than 95%.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1VuY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45bb18bf-8427-42be-8e9d-1dc7065c5a4d_1526x1119.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1VuY!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45bb18bf-8427-42be-8e9d-1dc7065c5a4d_1526x1119.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1VuY!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45bb18bf-8427-42be-8e9d-1dc7065c5a4d_1526x1119.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1VuY!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45bb18bf-8427-42be-8e9d-1dc7065c5a4d_1526x1119.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1VuY!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45bb18bf-8427-42be-8e9d-1dc7065c5a4d_1526x1119.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1VuY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45bb18bf-8427-42be-8e9d-1dc7065c5a4d_1526x1119.png" width="1526" height="1119" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/45bb18bf-8427-42be-8e9d-1dc7065c5a4d_1526x1119.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1119,&quot;width&quot;:1526,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:366557,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1VuY!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45bb18bf-8427-42be-8e9d-1dc7065c5a4d_1526x1119.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1VuY!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45bb18bf-8427-42be-8e9d-1dc7065c5a4d_1526x1119.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1VuY!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45bb18bf-8427-42be-8e9d-1dc7065c5a4d_1526x1119.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1VuY!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45bb18bf-8427-42be-8e9d-1dc7065c5a4d_1526x1119.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ Posted by Leyla Kunimoto on <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/posts/lkunimoto_asset-managers-selecting-benchmarks-to-include-activity-7404998060646236160-_afr/">LinkedIn</a>.  </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yaLo!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfc76c50-8ad8-4e72-a5cd-2cc27389007a_554x421.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yaLo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfc76c50-8ad8-4e72-a5cd-2cc27389007a_554x421.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yaLo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfc76c50-8ad8-4e72-a5cd-2cc27389007a_554x421.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yaLo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfc76c50-8ad8-4e72-a5cd-2cc27389007a_554x421.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yaLo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfc76c50-8ad8-4e72-a5cd-2cc27389007a_554x421.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yaLo!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfc76c50-8ad8-4e72-a5cd-2cc27389007a_554x421.png" width="554" height="421" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/cfc76c50-8ad8-4e72-a5cd-2cc27389007a_554x421.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:421,&quot;width&quot;:554,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:120604,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/181046229?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9708f67-e2a3-470d-840b-e81ef810d0b8_554x435.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yaLo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfc76c50-8ad8-4e72-a5cd-2cc27389007a_554x421.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yaLo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfc76c50-8ad8-4e72-a5cd-2cc27389007a_554x421.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yaLo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfc76c50-8ad8-4e72-a5cd-2cc27389007a_554x421.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yaLo!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfc76c50-8ad8-4e72-a5cd-2cc27389007a_554x421.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ From <a href="https://www.aqr.com/Insights/Research/White-Papers/Active-Extension">AQR</a>&#8217;s &#8220;Active Extension: A Potential Solution for Improving Equity Returns.&#8221;  An example of a chart that&#8217;s trying to do too much.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noMj!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f8ca89e-c130-42c1-8ac3-b2295d7c8ca6_979x633.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noMj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f8ca89e-c130-42c1-8ac3-b2295d7c8ca6_979x633.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noMj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f8ca89e-c130-42c1-8ac3-b2295d7c8ca6_979x633.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noMj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f8ca89e-c130-42c1-8ac3-b2295d7c8ca6_979x633.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noMj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f8ca89e-c130-42c1-8ac3-b2295d7c8ca6_979x633.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noMj!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f8ca89e-c130-42c1-8ac3-b2295d7c8ca6_979x633.png" width="979" height="633" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7f8ca89e-c130-42c1-8ac3-b2295d7c8ca6_979x633.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:633,&quot;width&quot;:979,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:81617,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/181046229?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e0a811b-f43f-4619-8161-28c9822043e8_979x650.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noMj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f8ca89e-c130-42c1-8ac3-b2295d7c8ca6_979x633.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noMj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f8ca89e-c130-42c1-8ac3-b2295d7c8ca6_979x633.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noMj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f8ca89e-c130-42c1-8ac3-b2295d7c8ca6_979x633.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!noMj!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f8ca89e-c130-42c1-8ac3-b2295d7c8ca6_979x633.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>~ From &#8220;A Battle with My Blood,&#8221; Tatiana Schlossberg, <em><a href="https://www.newyorker.com/culture/the-weekend-essay/a-battle-with-my-blood">New Yorker</a></em>.  </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nL48!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f847f0-a6a8-4e1b-a9d7-02efba5e5950_878x105.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nL48!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f847f0-a6a8-4e1b-a9d7-02efba5e5950_878x105.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nL48!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f847f0-a6a8-4e1b-a9d7-02efba5e5950_878x105.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nL48!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f847f0-a6a8-4e1b-a9d7-02efba5e5950_878x105.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nL48!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f847f0-a6a8-4e1b-a9d7-02efba5e5950_878x105.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nL48!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f847f0-a6a8-4e1b-a9d7-02efba5e5950_878x105.png" width="878" height="105" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f7f847f0-a6a8-4e1b-a9d7-02efba5e5950_878x105.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:105,&quot;width&quot;:878,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:29643,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://investmentecosystem.substack.com/i/181046229?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa264ff43-38ec-418e-bec8-6344f05271c1_878x114.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nL48!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_424, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f847f0-a6a8-4e1b-a9d7-02efba5e5950_878x105.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nL48!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_848, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f847f0-a6a8-4e1b-a9d7-02efba5e5950_878x105.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nL48!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f847f0-a6a8-4e1b-a9d7-02efba5e5950_878x105.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nL48!, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/investmentecosystem.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f847f0-a6a8-4e1b-a9d7-02efba5e5950_878x105.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Over on the main Investment Ecosystem site, the latest Fortnightly <a href="https://investmentecosystem.com/2025/12/15/fairy-tales-and-marvels-in-the-ecosystem/">issue</a> of curated links includes items about trillion-dollar valuations, risk management 2.0, bubble talk, portfolios of active funds, and a dozen other topics of interest.</p><p><em>Since this is the first attempt at one of these, let us know if there are any problems for you in accessing or reading it.  We&#8217;ll get the kinks worked out.  (And feel free to send ideas too.)</em></p>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>