<script data-pm-proxy="intercept"></script><?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[LLMQuant Newsletter]]></title><description><![CDATA[We are LLMQuant, an open-source community focusing on AI, LLM (large language model) and Quantitative Finance. We aim to leverage AI to investment research with feasible collection of techniques and solutions.]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ILXl!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F12d5fa7b-cfba-4bbf-a911-13db809d971d_1400x1400.png</url><title>LLMQuant Newsletter</title><link>https://llmquant.substack.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Tue, 01 Sep 2026 10:09:56 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="/__u/llmquant.substack.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[llmquant@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[llmquant@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[llmquant@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[llmquant@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[The factor zoo is full of mirages. A small group of style premia has survived a century of data, multiple asset classes, brutal drawdowns, and the test that matters most: real implementation.]]></title><description><![CDATA[Wall Street's Open Secret: Why the Best-Known Quant Trades Still Make Money]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-factor-zoo-is-full-of-mirages</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-factor-zoo-is-full-of-mirages</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 31 Aug 2026 13:50:37 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uINb!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F00a65132-3a3c-43f4-880c-458727bc1e2e_1498x864.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Investors have been told that alpha must be scarce, secret, and expensive. If a strategy appears in an academic journal, the market should absorb it. If thousands of quants know the same signal, competition should erase the return. If a trade can be described in a few sentences, surely it cannot deserve a premium fee. That logic sounds elegant. Markets are less obedient.</p><p>In their August 2026, <em><a href="http://chrome-extension://efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj/https://www.aqr.com/-/media/AQR/Documents/White-Papers/Academic-Alpha-A-Re-Introduction-to-Style-Premia-Investing.pdf?sc_lang=en">Academic Alpha: A (Re)Introduction to Style Premia Investing</a></em>, Thomas Maloney and Tobias Moskowitz argue that a class of well-researched, transparent, and systematic strategies still deserves a place in modern portfolios. These strategies, often grouped under alternative risk premia or style premia, seek returns from persistent patterns such as value, momentum, carry, and defensive investing. The ideas are public. The implementation is where the edge lives.</p><p>This distinction matters because style premia suffered a reputational collapse during the Quant Winter of 2018 to 2020. Several products lost money, investor patience evaporated, and parts of the industry closed. Yet the strategies that survived later recovered strongly. The episode exposed a deeper truth: investors often abandon diversification precisely when it begins behaving differently from everything else they own.</p><p>Academic alpha is therefore more than a factor story. It is a test of whether investors can separate a valid long-run premium from a short-run period of pain.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The $100 Billion Warning: Why Japan Still Cannot Stop the Yen’s Fall]]></title><description><![CDATA[Behind the renewed decline lies a deeper conflict between American interest rates, Japan&#8217;s energy dependence, fiscal pressure and a central bank that cannot move fast without creating new risks.]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-100-billion-warning-why-japan</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-100-billion-warning-why-japan</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 29 Aug 2026 14:48:13 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CYm5!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff25fea54-e849-4aee-aa73-19e10b0a227a_862x576.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h3>Tokyo Spent a Fortune and Bought Only Time</h3><p>Japan has just conducted one of the most aggressive currency defence campaigns in modern financial history. Between July 30 and August 26, Japanese authorities spent &#165;15.4 trillion, equivalent to roughly $96.5 billion, buying yen in the foreign exchange market. The intervention included rare coordination with the United States and briefly lifted the currency from almost &#165;164 per dollar to around &#165;155.20.</p><p>Less than a month later, USD/JPY was back near 160.</p><p>On August 28, the exchange rate reached approximately 159.97, rising 0.42 percent in a single session. The yen remains around 8.9 percent weaker than one year ago. More than half of the exchange rate improvement created by the intervention has already disappeared. Tokyo deployed a record amount of capital, shocked speculative traders and secured international support, yet the market gradually returned to the same fundamental calculation that had weakened the yen in the first place.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[72,000 Stars, No Sustainable Business: Why OpenBB Failed Even as Its Vision Came True]]></title><description><![CDATA[The open-source finance platform won developers, anticipated AI agents, and still could not survive. Its shutdown reveals where value really accumulates in financial technology.]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/72000-stars-no-sustainable-business</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/72000-stars-no-sustainable-business</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 26 Aug 2026 11:53:05 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/55d0ada8-7960-4645-ad2c-48c3c10ce01f_1192x1066.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On August 25, 2026, OpenBB announced that it was winding down as a company. It said that it had failed to build a sustainable business and would release OpenBB Workspace, OpenBB Copilot, its Excel add-in, and the Open Data Platform under a permissive open-source licence. Existing users were told to check their email for account timelines and export instructions. The company is closing, while the code is being given another life. (See <a href="https://openbb.co/blog/openbb-belongs-to-everyone/">OpenBB&#8217;s announcement</a>)</p><p>That distinction does little to soften the commercial verdict. OpenBB had one of the strongest brands in open-source finance. Its main GitHub repository accumulated more than 72,000 stars, 7,500 forks, and nearly 6,900 commits. The company says its products reached millions of people. It built a Python data platform, a web workspace, an AI copilot, an Excel integration, a Snowflake application, an app marketplace, and support for MCP before agentic finance became fashionable. (Check <a href="https://github.com/OpenBB-finance/OpenBB">OpenBB on GitHub</a>)</p><p>Yet admiration did not become enough revenue. OpenBB&#8217;s story therefore deserves more than the familiar explanation that startups often run out of cash. It exposes a deeper problem in financial software: a product can be technically excellent, widely used, and directionally correct while occupying the least profitable layer of the value chain.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LcWW!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa42c81-9834-403d-85bf-f80500c83699_2388x988.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LcWW!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_424, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa42c81-9834-403d-85bf-f80500c83699_2388x988.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LcWW!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_848, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa42c81-9834-403d-85bf-f80500c83699_2388x988.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LcWW!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa42c81-9834-403d-85bf-f80500c83699_2388x988.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LcWW!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa42c81-9834-403d-85bf-f80500c83699_2388x988.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LcWW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa42c81-9834-403d-85bf-f80500c83699_2388x988.png" width="1456" height="602" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7fa42c81-9834-403d-85bf-f80500c83699_2388x988.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:602,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:334066,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://llmquant.substack.com/i/212835446?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa42c81-9834-403d-85bf-f80500c83699_2388x988.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LcWW!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_424, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa42c81-9834-403d-85bf-f80500c83699_2388x988.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LcWW!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_848, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa42c81-9834-403d-85bf-f80500c83699_2388x988.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LcWW!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa42c81-9834-403d-85bf-f80500c83699_2388x988.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LcWW!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7fa42c81-9834-403d-85bf-f80500c83699_2388x988.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2>The Viral Beginning Created the Wrong Commercial Signal</h2>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Market Has a Language Model Now]]></title><description><![CDATA[M3 was trained on 31.9 billion order events to simulate liquidity, price impact, and alternative market futures. Its most important achievement may be turning the limit order book into a laboratory]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-market-has-a-language-model-now</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-market-has-a-language-model-now</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 24 Aug 2026 23:48:47 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KSUz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe08b988d-e5fb-4fff-90a1-8c28753f3565_1584x720.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Most financial AI systems begin with a familiar question: where will the price move next? A new paper on <a href="http://chrome-extension://efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj/https://arxiv.org/pdf/2608.19227">M3</a>, the Market Microstructure Model, starts somewhere deeper. Before a price can rise or fall, thousands of orders must arrive, liquidity must appear or disappear, trades must consume the book, and market participants must react to the state created by everyone before them.</p><p>The model is presented as a state-event generative foundation model for market microstructure. It converts order events into tokens, conditions generation on the limit order book, and passes every generated order through a deterministic matching engine. Rather than producing one price forecast, it can generate many executable future trajectories.</p><p>This shift matters because the most valuable questions in trading are often counterfactual. What happens to the spread if liquidity suddenly vanishes? How does a large execution program alter the orders that follow it? How wide is the distribution of possible prices over the next five minutes? Historical data contain only the path that actually occurred. A credible market world model could let researchers examine the paths that did not.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Great Capital Collision: Bridgewater’s Greg Jensen on AI, High Rates and the End of the One-Market World]]></title><description><![CDATA[AI could drive most of the next phase of US growth while creating relatively few jobs. Meanwhile, governments, technology companies and nations are competing for the same scarce capital.]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-great-capital-collision-bridgewaters</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-great-capital-collision-bridgewaters</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 22 Aug 2026 13:04:00 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f64a7d97-f0a4-408f-a0f2-3582348d08bc_852x462.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For the past 15 years, investors learned a remarkably profitable formula: own US equities, concentrate on technology, trust the dollar and treat every setback as another opportunity to buy American assets. Bridgewater Co-CIO Greg Jensen believes that experience may now be turning into a trap.</p><p>In a wide-ranging <a href="https://www.nbim.no/en/news-and-insights/podcast/2025/-greg-jensen-building-bridgewater-mastering-ai-and-the-power-of-radical-transparency/">conversation with Nicolai Tangen</a>, Jensen describes three forces reshaping global markets. The first is the rise of modern mercantilism, as economic policy becomes increasingly organised around national security and industrial power. The second is an AI investment cycle moving from software into power, chips and physical infrastructure. The third is the extraordinary concentration of global wealth in US equities and illiquid assets.</p><p>Together, these forces point toward a more fragmented, capital-hungry and inflation-sensitive world. The market may still look familiar on the surface, but the machinery underneath it is changing rapidly.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Agent Economy Has a Management Problem]]></title><description><![CDATA[Google DeepMind&#8217;s new framework reveals why smarter models alone cannot build a safe agentic economy, and why delegation may become AI&#8217;s next critical infrastructure layer]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-agent-economy-has-a-management</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-agent-economy-has-a-management</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 21 Aug 2026 11:32:42 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jNo3!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F97fddd36-3a98-48d8-bb51-6c9377f9c01c_1552x750.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>AI agents are rapidly gaining the ability to search the web, write software, analyse data, negotiate purchases, operate tools, and coordinate with other agents. Yet the larger the task becomes, the less useful raw intelligence is on its own. An agent must decide how to divide the objective, who should perform each component, how much authority they should receive, how their work will be verified, and who becomes responsible when something fails.</p><p>This is the central argument of <em><a href="https://arxiv.org/pdf/2602.11865">Intelligent AI Delegation</a></em>, a paper by Google DeepMind. The authors contend that current multi-agent systems depend heavily on hard-coded workflows, brittle prompts, and simplistic routing heuristics. These methods may work inside controlled demonstrations, but they become dangerous when agents interact across companies, financial systems, supply chains, and public infrastructure.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jNo3!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F97fddd36-3a98-48d8-bb51-6c9377f9c01c_1552x750.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jNo3!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_424, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F97fddd36-3a98-48d8-bb51-6c9377f9c01c_1552x750.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jNo3!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_848, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F97fddd36-3a98-48d8-bb51-6c9377f9c01c_1552x750.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jNo3!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F97fddd36-3a98-48d8-bb51-6c9377f9c01c_1552x750.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jNo3!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F97fddd36-3a98-48d8-bb51-6c9377f9c01c_1552x750.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jNo3!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F97fddd36-3a98-48d8-bb51-6c9377f9c01c_1552x750.png" width="1456" height="704" 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/__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F97fddd36-3a98-48d8-bb51-6c9377f9c01c_1552x750.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jNo3!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_848, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F97fddd36-3a98-48d8-bb51-6c9377f9c01c_1552x750.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jNo3!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F97fddd36-3a98-48d8-bb51-6c9377f9c01c_1552x750.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jNo3!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F97fddd36-3a98-48d8-bb51-6c9377f9c01c_1552x750.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Google DeepMind Found a Better Way for AI to Catch Its Own Mistakes]]></title><description><![CDATA[Generative verifiers turn reward modeling into next-token prediction, lifting GSM8K Best-of-N accuracy from 73.0% to 93.4% and revealing a powerful new path for scalable AI reasoning]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/google-deepmind-found-a-better-way</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/google-deepmind-found-a-better-way</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 19 Aug 2026 11:22:17 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cuKT!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa43df5cd-33c8-4829-b793-772bc72338f6_1370x686.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Large language models can produce remarkably convincing answers while hiding a fatal error inside one line of reasoning. That weakness has created a fundamental problem for advanced AI systems: generating possible solutions is becoming easier, but reliably identifying the correct one remains difficult.</p><p>Google DeepMind&#8217;s ICLR 2025 study, &#8220;<a href="https://arxiv.org/pdf/2408.15240">Generative Verifiers: Reward Modeling as Next-Token Prediction</a>,&#8221; proposes an elegant solution. Instead of training a verifier to compress its judgment into an opaque numerical score, the researchers train it to generate a critique and predict whether the solution is correct through an ordinary Yes or No token.</p><p>This apparently small redesign produces striking results. On algorithmic reasoning tasks, Best-of-32 performance rises from 5.0% to 45.3%. On GSM8K grade-school mathematics, it increases from 73.0% to 93.4%. A verifier trained only on grade-school mathematics also generalises to harder competition problems, raising MATH500 performance from 28.0% to 44.6%.</p><p>The deeper lesson is clear. Reasoning systems may improve dramatically when evaluation becomes a form of reasoning itself.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The AI Quant Lab That Learns From Its Own Backtests Without Cheating]]></title><description><![CDATA[AQuA reports a 2.50 out-of-sample Sharpe, but its real breakthrough is an architecture designed to stop autonomous research agents from manufacturing false alpha.]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-ai-quant-lab-that-learns-from</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-ai-quant-lab-that-learns-from</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 17 Aug 2026 11:20:34 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!76U4!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F866833e6-af53-4543-b22a-0a214700b861_1322x794.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Artificial intelligence can now propose trading ideas, write experiments, compare models, and revise its own research agenda. That sounds like the beginning of an autonomous hedge fund. It also sounds like a machine built to automate backtest overfitting at industrial speed.</p><p>A new paper from researchers affiliated with Princeton, Stanford, and Ant Group confronts that danger. AQuA contains two independent research systems. One discovers crypto factors. The other develops models for US equities. Each remembers what worked, what failed, and why, then uses that evidence to shape the next experiment.</p><p>The results are striking. The crypto system reaches a combined information coefficient of roughly 0.190. The equity model produces a per-stock IC of 0.0843 and a held-out Sharpe as high as 2.50 after costs. Yet the deeper idea is architectural: if an AI researcher cannot reliably avoid leakage, remove its ability to create leakage.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[86 Times More Tokens in Six Months: Inside the Firm Where AI Agents Now Write Trading Signals]]></title><description><![CDATA[Man Group has pushed 15 to 20 models through a machine driven research pipeline and into a human investment committee.]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/86-times-more-tokens-in-six-months</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/86-times-more-tokens-in-six-months</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 14 Aug 2026 08:02:53 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/LgwCPSgzGTg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There are many ways to ask whether a financial institution has actually adopted AI, and most of them produce answers you cannot trust. Press releases are cheap. Innovation labs are cheap. Job titles with the word transformation in them are very cheap. Token consumption is not. Every token is a paid unit of inference, requested by a person or an agent who wanted an answer badly enough to spend the money. It is one of the few adoption metrics that resists theater.</p><p>By that measure, something serious has happened at Man Group. In a recent Bloomberg Odd Lots conversation, Chief Technology Officer Gary Collier and Head of Data and AI Tushara Fernando disclosed that internal token usage has grown roughly 86 times since January of this year. That is not a technology team experimenting at the margins. Compounded over the period, the growth rate sits somewhere around 50 to 65 percent per month, sustained without pause. Curves like that do not come from a pilot project. They come from a workflow that has become load bearing.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Bridgewater’s 50-Year AI Moat: Inside the Agent System Building an Artificial Investor]]></title><description><![CDATA[PAT can compress hours of investment research into minutes.]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/bridgewaters-50-year-ai-moat-inside</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/bridgewaters-50-year-ai-moat-inside</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 11 Aug 2026 23:03:12 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b1067fa9-04c3-4cd6-a2c7-c757d6a2f54c_1672x941.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bridgewater Associates is converting nearly 50 years of investment logic, research methods, proprietary data and analytical tools into infrastructure that AI agents can use.</p><p>Its Applied AI team recently revealed the architecture behind PAT, the Pocket Analyst Tool. According to Bridgewater, PAT has been deployed internally for several months and is used by hundreds of investment professionals. It can complete certain exploratory research tasks in minutes that would previously have occupied a specialist analyst for hours.</p><p>The speed is impressive, but it is not the most important part of the story.</p><p>Bridgewater is building PAT around a fundamentally different idea from the universal AI assistant. Instead of asking one general agent to search, calculate, code, validate and explain everything, the firm decomposes investment research into specialized workflows. Different agents handle data discovery, research planning, code generation, execution, validation and institutional learning.</p><p>Together, these capabilities point toward a much larger ambition: an Artificial Investor capable of performing the full research cycle currently completed by human investors.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Alpha Factory Illusion: Why Your Factor Mining Agent Only Looks Like It Is Learning]]></title><description><![CDATA[A structural teardown of LLM driven factor discovery, the two architectural ceilings nobody warns you about, and the exact numeric thresholds at which you should switch the machine off]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-alpha-factory-illusion-why-your</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-alpha-factory-illusion-why-your</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 10 Aug 2026 08:54:20 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ayz0!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb0096069-61d7-44f5-b3b2-be1448bdbc82_2636x1170.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Everyone in the quant community is talking about factor mining skills right now. You hand the agent a research direction, walk away, and a few days later a batch of factor expressions is waiting for you. It sounds like the most restful workflow ever invented.</p><p>Then you actually run one. After three or four days of continuous iteration, something strange shows up in the logs. The type of error keeps changing. The total volume of errors barely moves.</p><h2>Three Days of Errors That Never Actually Shrink</h2><p>In the early rounds the failures are directional. Momentum, reversal, volatility, the whole canon of classical paradigms marches through one after another, backtest IC means hover near the floor, and the pass rate stays miserable. In the middle rounds the failures become operational. Field names are wrong, data types do not match, and the backtest engine simply throws and returns. In the late rounds the system starts making strategic adjustments on its own, running a correlation self check before submission and voluntarily discarding any candidate that sits too close to the existing pool.</p><p>Read that arc quickly and it looks like maturation. Rookie mistakes, then mechanical competence, then strategic self discipline. That is roughly the career path of a human researcher, compressed into seventy two hours.</p><p>The analogy is seductive. The systems we have actually run give a different answer.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Ninety Percent Problem: Why Almost Every "Enterprise AI Agent" Is Still a Chatbot in Costume]]></title><description><![CDATA[Skill routing, registries, permission layers, and MCP explained end to end, plus the arithmetic that quietly decides which agents survive contact with production]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-ninety-percent-problem-why-almost</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-ninety-percent-problem-why-almost</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 08 Aug 2026 08:24:26 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JLRB!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ea2d0b5-4430-4a90-a020-c7d7d5223137_2004x1164.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>The Demo That Dies in Three Days</h2><p>Across the last several years of enterprise AI deployment, a consistent pattern has emerged in project reviews. Of roughly fifty self-described &#8220;enterprise AI agent&#8221; builds examined in recent months, the overwhelming majority, on the order of nine in ten, reduce on inspection to a chat window wrapped around a system prompt. A user types a question, a model returns text, and a thin layer of role-play sits between them. Such systems demo beautifully. Placed in front of real business traffic, they typically expose their limits within days.</p><p>One retail deployment illustrates the failure mode precisely. A customer asked the agent to cancel an order. The agent responded with a well written, entirely useless walkthrough of how order cancellation works. The model had classified a command as a knowledge question, because nothing in the architecture gave it a path to execute anything. Model capability was never the constraint. The architecture was wrong before the first token was generated.</p><p>The distinction that matters is a shift in job description. A chatbot answers questions. An enterprise agent interprets a task, selects the right internal capability, executes against real systems, and returns a result that changes the state of the business. That transition demands four things at minimum: business intent understanding, invocation of internal capabilities, control over permission and data boundaries, and orchestration of multi-step work. None of those four can be solved by tuning a prompt.</p><h2>Anatomy of One Request</h2>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Agent That Keeps a Diary of Its Own Failures]]></title><description><![CDATA[SESA couples zero-data self-play with an evolving skill memory, and the ablations reveal something uncomfortable about where agent capability actually lives]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-agent-that-keeps-a-diary-of-its</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-agent-that-keeps-a-diary-of-its</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 05 Aug 2026 08:48:50 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DENv!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faf51293b-305b-4590-b8e3-d5eb2b287e1a_1142x904.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Every serious attempt to build a self-improving AI agent runs into the same wall. An agent can generate its own practice problems, attempt them, and update its weights on the outcome. What it cannot easily do is remember the specific lesson. A failed search trajectory contributes a gradient, that gradient is averaged into a parameter update, and the concrete insight behind the failure evaporates. The agent gets marginally better at everything and explicitly better at nothing.</p><p>A team has published a framework that attacks this directly. The study <em><a href="https://arxiv.org/pdf/2607.29468">Self-Play Meets Skill Evolution</a></em>, introduces SESA, short for Self-Evolving Skill-Augmented Agent. The core move is deceptively simple: take the failures that self-play normally discards, write them down as human-readable strategy cards, and feed them back into the next round of training. The results across seven question-answering benchmarks and seven model backbones are consistent, and the ablation study contains a finding that should change how practitioners think about memory-augmented agents.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The 600-Call Problem: Why Your AI Agent Costs Far More Than It Should]]></title><description><![CDATA[A new 63-page survey maps 117 methods across memory, tool use, and planning, and exposes the one number almost nobody bothers to report.]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-600-call-problem-why-your-ai</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-600-call-problem-why-your-ai</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2026 17:36:05 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!deDW!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F456f9ff5-481e-465d-bb3b-0e7508a11a84_1414x928.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There is a number buried in a new survey that should stop any founder shipping agents in production. To resolve a single deep research problem, an agent may call a search API roughly six hundred times. Not six. Six hundred. Each of those calls drags a payload of tokens back into the context window, and every one of those tokens gets re-read on the next turn, and the turn after that, and the turn after that.</p><p>The paper is called <em><a href="https://arxiv.org/pdf/2601.14192">Toward Efficient Agents: A Survey of Memory, Tool Use, and Planning</a></em>, by seventeen researchers spanning nine institutions. It runs to 63 pages and 244 references, and it tabulates 117 distinct methods. What makes it worth your attention has nothing to do with its size. The survey asks a question the industry has been quietly avoiding while it celebrates capability: when an agent gets smarter, who pays, and how much?</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!deDW!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F456f9ff5-481e-465d-bb3b-0e7508a11a84_1414x928.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!deDW!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_424, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F456f9ff5-481e-465d-bb3b-0e7508a11a84_1414x928.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!deDW!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_848, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F456f9ff5-481e-465d-bb3b-0e7508a11a84_1414x928.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!deDW!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F456f9ff5-481e-465d-bb3b-0e7508a11a84_1414x928.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!deDW!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F456f9ff5-481e-465d-bb3b-0e7508a11a84_1414x928.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!deDW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F456f9ff5-481e-465d-bb3b-0e7508a11a84_1414x928.png" width="1414" height="928" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/456f9ff5-481e-465d-bb3b-0e7508a11a84_1414x928.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:928,&quot;width&quot;:1414,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1350962,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://llmquant.substack.com/i/209645801?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F456f9ff5-481e-465d-bb3b-0e7508a11a84_1414x928.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!deDW!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_424, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F456f9ff5-481e-465d-bb3b-0e7508a11a84_1414x928.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!deDW!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_848, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F456f9ff5-481e-465d-bb3b-0e7508a11a84_1414x928.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!deDW!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F456f9ff5-481e-465d-bb3b-0e7508a11a84_1414x928.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!deDW!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F456f9ff5-481e-465d-bb3b-0e7508a11a84_1414x928.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div>
      <p>
          <a href="/__u/llmquant.substack.com/p/the-600-call-problem-why-your-ai">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Harness Is the Moat: Reading Andrew Ng's OpenWorker Line by Line]]></title><description><![CDATA[Eleven thousand stars in under a month, twenty five connectors, and an approval gate on every dangerous action.]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-harness-is-the-moat-reading-andrew</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-harness-is-the-moat-reading-andrew</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 02 Aug 2026 15:48:56 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UEwl!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4e7e0a6d-f26c-494b-b042-eb566d01446c_2560x1600.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h3>Two Launches, Two Months, One Sentence</h3><p>In May, Tencent Cloud went overseas with WorkBuddy, pitched not as a chatbot that answers questions but as an AI office partner that hands back finished work. Fewer than sixty days later, in July, Andrew Ng released OpenWorker with a tagline that reads like an echo: an agent that &#8220;doesn&#8217;t just chat with you, but delivers finished work.&#8221; Open source, local first, model agnostic.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4nda!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b37ecdd-7615-4491-af8f-62a1024e07a2_1080x210.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4nda!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_424, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b37ecdd-7615-4491-af8f-62a1024e07a2_1080x210.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4nda!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_848, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b37ecdd-7615-4491-af8f-62a1024e07a2_1080x210.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4nda!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b37ecdd-7615-4491-af8f-62a1024e07a2_1080x210.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4nda!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b37ecdd-7615-4491-af8f-62a1024e07a2_1080x210.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4nda!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b37ecdd-7615-4491-af8f-62a1024e07a2_1080x210.jpeg" width="1080" height="210" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7b37ecdd-7615-4491-af8f-62a1024e07a2_1080x210.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:210,&quot;width&quot;:1080,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:44915,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4nda!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_424, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b37ecdd-7615-4491-af8f-62a1024e07a2_1080x210.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4nda!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_848, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b37ecdd-7615-4491-af8f-62a1024e07a2_1080x210.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4nda!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b37ecdd-7615-4491-af8f-62a1024e07a2_1080x210.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4nda!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b37ecdd-7615-4491-af8f-62a1024e07a2_1080x210.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>When two teams on opposite sides of the Pacific converge on the same sentence within a single quarter, the sentence stops being marketing. It becomes a market signal. The interesting question is no longer whether AI coworkers are coming, but which layer of the stack captures the value once they arrive.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YQdS!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d0a84dc-1863-4620-aa77-1b1e2952a383_1024x127.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YQdS!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_424, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d0a84dc-1863-4620-aa77-1b1e2952a383_1024x127.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YQdS!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_848, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d0a84dc-1863-4620-aa77-1b1e2952a383_1024x127.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YQdS!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d0a84dc-1863-4620-aa77-1b1e2952a383_1024x127.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YQdS!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d0a84dc-1863-4620-aa77-1b1e2952a383_1024x127.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YQdS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d0a84dc-1863-4620-aa77-1b1e2952a383_1024x127.jpeg" width="1024" height="127" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4d0a84dc-1863-4620-aa77-1b1e2952a383_1024x127.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:127,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:31829,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YQdS!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_424, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d0a84dc-1863-4620-aa77-1b1e2952a383_1024x127.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YQdS!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_848, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d0a84dc-1863-4620-aa77-1b1e2952a383_1024x127.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YQdS!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d0a84dc-1863-4620-aa77-1b1e2952a383_1024x127.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YQdS!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d0a84dc-1863-4620-aa77-1b1e2952a383_1024x127.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><h3>What Actually Ships When You Install It</h3>
      <p>
          <a href="/__u/llmquant.substack.com/p/the-harness-is-the-moat-reading-andrew">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Connect Your AI Agent to 26 Financial Data Tools in 3 Steps]]></title><description><![CDATA[Set up LLMQuant Data MCP once, and your AI agent can pull SEC filings, research papers, market prices, macro indicators, and prediction market data on its own. No glue code, no custom integrations.]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/connect-your-ai-agent-to-26-financial</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/connect-your-ai-agent-to-26-financial</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 01 Aug 2026 09:01:27 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W67K!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3a4847-e6a8-4621-b353-7900720ecde4_2170x5276.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This works with Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor, Claude Code, Codex, Gemini CLI, and any other MCP-compatible client.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W67K!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3a4847-e6a8-4621-b353-7900720ecde4_2170x5276.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W67K!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_424, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3a4847-e6a8-4621-b353-7900720ecde4_2170x5276.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W67K!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_848, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3a4847-e6a8-4621-b353-7900720ecde4_2170x5276.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W67K!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3a4847-e6a8-4621-b353-7900720ecde4_2170x5276.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W67K!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3a4847-e6a8-4621-b353-7900720ecde4_2170x5276.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W67K!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3a4847-e6a8-4621-b353-7900720ecde4_2170x5276.png" width="1456" height="3540" 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/__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3a4847-e6a8-4621-b353-7900720ecde4_2170x5276.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W67K!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_848, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3a4847-e6a8-4621-b353-7900720ecde4_2170x5276.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W67K!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3a4847-e6a8-4621-b353-7900720ecde4_2170x5276.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W67K!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f3a4847-e6a8-4621-b353-7900720ecde4_2170x5276.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2>Step 1: Pick your connection method</h2><p>There are two ways to connect, depending on where your client runs.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://llmquant.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">LLMQuant Newsletter is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p><strong>Opt&#8230;</strong></p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[22% Gone in Five Weeks: What Actually Broke in the July 2026 Momentum Crash]]></title><description><![CDATA[Nothing was wrong with the fundamentals. Everything was wrong with the positioning.]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/22-gone-in-five-weeks-what-actually</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/22-gone-in-five-weeks-what-actually</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 31 Jul 2026 17:32:11 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BqWj!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4cb3eddd-7257-4915-b9bd-05fb03df1d26_1344x832.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In July, Samsung Electronics posted the highest quarterly operating profit in its history, 89.4 trillion won, and the stock fell 7% that day. When a factor&#8217;s long leg is owned by the entire market simultaneously, good news can&#8217;t save it.</p><h2>1. How deep is the wound</h2><p>For the first half of 2026, momentum was the undisputed king of global equities. On Goldman Sachs&#8217; construction, its momentum factor index returned roughly <strong>+57%</strong> in H1, not a single stock, but a long/short hedged factor portfolio.</p><p>Then, starting from the June 22 high, it gave back <strong>22%</strong> in five weeks.</p><p>The same disclosure from Tony Pasquariello, head of Goldman&#8217;s hedge fund business, came with two other details: sentiment indicators sitting in the <strong>98th percentile</strong> over five years, and speculative leverage at multi-year highs.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4g9C!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb49874d2-4553-496f-9565-2a9130e6651e_1312x720.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4g9C!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_424, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb49874d2-4553-496f-9565-2a9130e6651e_1312x720.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4g9C!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_848, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb49874d2-4553-496f-9565-2a9130e6651e_1312x720.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4g9C!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b49874d2-4553-496f-9565-2a9130e6651e_1312x720.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:720,&quot;width&quot;:1312,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:90330,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://llmquant.substack.com/i/209265152?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb49874d2-4553-496f-9565-2a9130e6651e_1312x720.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4g9C!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_424, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb49874d2-4553-496f-9565-2a9130e6651e_1312x720.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4g9C!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_848, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb49874d2-4553-496f-9565-2a9130e6651e_1312x720.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4g9C!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb49874d2-4553-496f-9565-2a9130e6651e_1312x720.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4g9C!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb49874d2-4553-496f-9565-2a9130e6651e_1312x720.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[LLMQuant X Hermes|The One Prompt That Turns Hermes Into a 24/7 AI Research Analyst]]></title><description><![CDATA[Automate premarket briefs, earnings alerts, 13F tracking, portfolio reviews and prediction market scans without writing code or manually connecting APIs]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/llmquant-x-hermesthe-one-prompt-that</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/llmquant-x-hermesthe-one-prompt-that</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 29 Jul 2026 11:38:10 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Stc2!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbbeb0f8d-acff-4af9-ba61-ce49133614ba_1758x768.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Most investors do not suffer from a shortage of information. They suffer from fragmented attention.</p><p>Prices sit on one screen, company filings on another, macroeconomic releases arrive through a calendar, institutional holdings hide inside 13F reports, and prediction markets move while most of the world is asleep. The real challenge is converting these sc&#8230;</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Stock Market Has a Secret Social Network, and a Graph Neural Net Just Drew the Map]]></title><description><![CDATA[FinGAT beat the best ranking models by 12% on Taiwan, S&P 500 and NASDAQ without being told a single fact about how companies are connected.]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-stock-market-has-a-secret-social</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-stock-market-has-a-secret-social</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 26 Jul 2026 16:45:22 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_6xu!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb89d5c25-171e-421f-af91-9c3ac358e8aa_2028x910.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Almost every quantitative finance paper of the last decade has been chasing the wrong target. The literature is crowded with models that predict tomorrow&#8217;s closing price to three decimal places, and investors do not care. Nobody allocates capital by asking what a stock will be worth. They ask which five names, out of hundreds, will pay them the most tomorrow morning. That gap between prediction and selection is where <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.10159">FinGAT</a> plants its flag.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_6xu!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb89d5c25-171e-421f-af91-9c3ac358e8aa_2028x910.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_6xu!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_424, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb89d5c25-171e-421f-af91-9c3ac358e8aa_2028x910.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_6xu!, /__u/llmquant.substack.com/w_848, 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17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>What makes the paper worth an hour of your attention has little to do with the deep learning fashion of the moment. The provocation sits deeper. FinGAT argues that the relationships between listed companies, the invisible web of supply chains, rivalries and shared exposure that every experienced investor senses but nobody can document, can be learned directly from price movements alone. No knowledge graph. No industry database. No analyst telling the model that TSMC feeds Apple. Just prices, and a network that infers who is listening to whom.</p><h2>Why Knowing the Price Is Not the Same as Knowing the Trade</h2>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The 25x Number That Decides When You Get to Stop Working]]></title><description><![CDATA[Most people chase a vague feeling of "enough." The ones who retire early chase a single ratio, run it through five engineered strategies, and let compounding do the rest. Here is the whole blueprint.]]></description><link>https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-25x-number-that-decides-when</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://llmquant.substack.com/p/the-25x-number-that-decides-when</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[LLMQuant]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 23 Jul 2026 11:22:17 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ktXR!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9d6b80a0-ab39-4eb7-9720-466e8fdf4acf_1416x846.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ask ten people how much they need to retire and you will get ten shrugs. That fog is the real reason most savers drift for decades and then panic at fifty-five. The antidote is not more hustle or a hotter stock tip. The antidote is a number, a plan built from a few durable strategies, and the patience to let math work while everyone else reacts to headlines.</p><p>The framework below comes from Steve Hanly of Engineered Portfolio, who treats a financial life the way an engineer treats a bridge: define the load, choose materials that survive stress, and model the failure points before you ever pour concrete. What follows translates his five-part system into plain language, with the actual numbers that make each move worth your attention.</p><h2>Start With the Finish Line, Not the First Step</h2>
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          <a href="/__u/llmquant.substack.com/p/the-25x-number-that-decides-when">
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