<script data-pm-proxy="intercept"></script><?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Lost Fore Words Newsletter ]]></title><description><![CDATA[Weekly Newsletter summarising the week’s play on the European and PGA Tour from both a statistical and opinionated standpoint.]]></description><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JdFf!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Flostforewords.substack.com%2Fimg%2Fsubstack.png</url><title>Lost Fore Words Newsletter </title><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Fri, 04 Sep 2026 08:21:35 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="/__u/lostforewords.substack.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Lost Fore Words]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[lostforewords@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[lostforewords@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[lostforewords@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[lostforewords@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Omega European Masters First Round Leaders]]></title><description><![CDATA[My picks in the First Round Leader Market this week in Switzerland]]></description><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/omega-european-masters-first-round</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/omega-european-masters-first-round</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 02 Sep 2026 22:24:03 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The DP World takes centre stage this week, and there are a few names I like in the First Round Leader market.</p><p>I did look at Sergio Garcia, but I will stick to my win bet on him, and not go full-Sergio, despite him being a former winner of this event, and a fast starter in recent weeks.</p><p>There are no great concerns from a tee time perspective, so I will split my picks throughout the day, to give us a chance in both waves.</p><p>You&#8217;re probably going to need to shoot a 62 to feel confident of leading here on day 1, but a 63 will put you in contention. It might play a shot tougher this year, as there&#8217;s been reports of tougher rough than usual, but I often think that&#8217;s overblown in the build up. We will have to wait and see what effect that change has. For me you&#8217;d still be aiming for a 63 to have a real go here on Thursday.</p><p>This is also a course where course form/history is sticky, so I will generally favour those that have extensive, and positive experience at this event in the past.</p><p>With all this in mind, here are my picks for the week.</p><h4><strong>Nacho Elvira 60/1 e/w - StarSports (7 Places 1/5 Odds)</strong></h4><p>Teeing up with his compatriot and former winner, Sergio Garcia, Elvira should enjoy his opening round here, something he&#8217;s done in the past.</p><p>He led here after round 1 in 2023 before somehow missing the cut, and overall he&#8217;s finished the week inside the top 20 here four times, twice cracking the top 10.</p><p>Across those best efforts, he&#8217;s shot a 64, two 65s and two 66s, and he added another 66 last year. His best round was the 63 he shot when tying the first round lead here three years ago.</p><p>He led after round 1 last week, which might cause pause for some, but we&#8217;ve seen golfers back up first round leads with another many times on the main tours, and I see no reason why that couldn&#8217;t be the case here.</p><p>Elvira tees off with his fellow Spaniard at 8am</p><h4><strong>Joost Luiten 60/1 e/w - StarSports (7 Places 1/5 Odds)</strong></h4><p>Joost Luiten was close for me in the outright market, but I ultimately decided against that. For the same reasons I liked him in the outright market though, I like him in this market as well, with steady course form and a good recent run both feeding into a potential first round lead.</p><p>He&#8217;s finished 5th and 6th in his last two starts at this event, and three years ago when he finished 23rd, he was inside the top 7 after round 1.</p><p>Over the years he has shot some low rounds here, including a third round 63 in 2012, a 65 to sit 7th after day one in 2022, and four rounds of 66 or better over his last two visits, including a 64 and another 65.</p><p>He&#8217;s hitting his irons well in recent weeks, and if he keeps that up tomorrow, he could threaten the top of the leaderboard after 18 holes.</p><p>Luiten gives us an afternoon starter, as he tees it up at 13:25 local time tomorrow.</p><h4><strong>Tom Vaillant 60/1 e/w - StarSports (7 Places 1/5 Odds)</strong></h4><p>I&#8217;ll<strong> </strong>give Frenchman, Tom Vaillant another shot this week, but instead of asking him to win, I&#8217;ll look for another spike round.</p><p>Vaillant might be going out in the final round, but he&#8217;s got plenty to build on in recent weeks. </p><p>He opened with rounds of 65 and 64 to sit 4th after round 1, and sit in the lead at halfway at the Soudal Open. On his following start he shot a second round 65 to sit 5th after 36 holes. At the Italian Open, he opened 65-66 to sit 3rd after each round, and just last week he shot a 69 on day two to climb into the top 10.</p><p>Three times this season he&#8217;s been inside the top 10 after round 1, and he&#8217;s twice been the first round leader at this level, in Bahrain, and at Wentworth. He&#8217;s led after round 1 once in each of the last two seasons, so I say he&#8217;s due another.</p><p>He&#8217;s 2/2 for made cuts here, with four rounds of 67 or better, including a 64-66 weekend here 12 months ago.</p><p>Vaillant is out in the final group and can ruin everyone&#8217;s day with a 62 tomorrow.</p><h4><strong>Lucas Bjerregaard 90/1 e/w - StarSports (7 Places 1/5 Odds)</strong></h4><p>Lucas Bjerregaard was the first name on the list for me this week, and anyone that&#8217;s listened to this week&#8217;s podcasts won&#8217;t be surprised by that. We talked about his positive course form here, having nearly won the event, and he&#8217;s also played well in spells in recent weeks.</p><p>When he lost here in a playoff he shot a final round 63 and he had already shot a 65 on Friday, to put himself into the frame. That was in 2018, so time has obviously passed, but there&#8217;s been some positive signs here more recently as well.</p><p>Last year he closed out with rounds of 66, 66, and 65 and that&#8217;s a very good sign he&#8217;s capable of still contending here, even when he&#8217;s far from his best.</p><p>That&#8217;s encouraging then, given his recent run of form, which has seen him shoot low rounds here and there, even if he&#8217;s not putting the final results together.</p><p>In recent months, he&#8217;s opened with a round of 64 to sit 3rd after round 1 of the Austrian Open, and a 68 to sit 4th after round 1 in an International Series event in Morocco.</p><p>Three starts ago he opened with a round of 66 to sit 2nd on day one and he opened with a 70 to sit 6th on day one of the NEXO a fortnight ago. Last week he played solidly enough at the Dormy Open on the HotelPlanner Tour to give him some confidence heading to the Alps.</p><p>It looks good for Bjerregaard who starts at 8:50 tomorrow morning local time. </p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[BMW Championship First Round Leaders]]></title><description><![CDATA[Four Picks in This Week&#8217;s FRL Market]]></description><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/bmw-championship-first-round-leaders</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/bmw-championship-first-round-leaders</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 19 Aug 2026 13:07:31 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We are down to 50 players this week, so fancy prices are hard to come by in this market, but to me, there&#8217;s still value.</p><p>We came close to some decent returns last week, with both Fleetwood and Cauley just missing out on the reduced 5 places, in what ended up being a sizeable tie for 6th, let&#8217;s now see if we can get the solo leader this week&#8230;</p><h2>Fastest Starters in the field this week:</h2><p><strong>Hideki Matsuyama:</strong></p><ul><li><p>8th on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 68.90</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 64 (Farmers Insurance Open)</p></li></ul><p><strong>Michael Thorbjornsen:</strong></p><ul><li><p>11th on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 69.00</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 64 (CJ Cup Byron Nelson)</p></li></ul><p><strong>Scottie Scheffler:</strong></p><ul><li><p>14th on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 69.11</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 63 (American Express)</p></li></ul><p><strong>Xander Schauffele:</strong></p><ul><li><p>16th on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 69.17</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 66 (Rocket Classic)</p></li></ul><p><strong>Bud Cauley:</strong></p><ul><li><p>17th on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 69.19</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 64 (Travelers Championship)</p></li></ul><h2>Players in the Field With the Most Rounds in the 60s This Season</h2><ul><li><p>Si Woo Kim - 49</p></li><li><p>Scottie Scheffler - 47</p></li><li><p>Jacob Bridgeman - 46</p></li><li><p>Ryan Gerard - 46</p></li><li><p>Ryo Hisatsune - 46</p></li></ul><h2>Birdie or Better Percentage Leaders in the Field This Week</h2><ul><li><p>Scottie Scheffler (27.46%)</p></li><li><p>Si Woo Kim (25.52%)</p></li><li><p>Wyndham Clark (25.40%)</p></li><li><p>Jake Knapp (24.90%)</p></li><li><p>Collin Morikawa (24.90%)</p></li></ul><h2>All the First Round Leaders at the BMW Championship since 2021</h2><p>Here are all the first round leaders at the BMW Championship since 2021.</p><p>It is worth noting that unlike the other two legs of the FedEx Cup Playoffs, the BMW Championship changes courses each year, so keep that in mind. </p><p>The last time Bellerive held a PGA Tour event, was the 2018 PGA Championship, and I&#8217;ll include that result below as well.</p><p><strong>2021 (Caves Valley)</strong> - Sam Burns (11:01am), Jon Rahm (11:21am), Rory McIlroy (1:55pm) - 64 </p><p><strong>2022 (Wilmington CC) </strong>- Keegan Bradley (10:00am) - 64</p><p><strong>2023 (Olympia Fields)</strong> - Rory McIlroy (12:10pm), Brian Harman (12:21pm) - 65</p><p><strong>2024 (Castle Pines)</strong> - Keegan Bradley (9:20am) - 66</p><p><strong>2025 (Caves Valley)</strong> - Robert MacIntyre (1:05pm) - 62</p><p><strong>2018 PGA Championship (Bellerive)</strong> - Gary Woodland (2:26pm #1 Tee) - 64</p><p>It&#8217;s worth noting everyone goes off the 1st tee in the BMW Championship, so there cannot be a draw bias in that respect, and Gary Woodland shot a 64 to lead on day one of the PGA Championship, so unless anything happens weather wise, I&#8217;m happy to split across the morning and afternoon starters as well.</p><p>The wind does pick up in the afternoon, but given the reduced gap in tee times, with only 50 players out there, I&#8217;m not going to let tee times dictate decisions this week, as there are no extreme differences throughout the day. </p><h3><strong>BMW Championship First Round Leader Tips</strong></h3><p>Here are my picks for the week. Every player will start on hole 1, so there will be no tee time bias, and as noted above, the weather hasn&#8217;t impacted my decision at this point either.</p><h4><strong>Gary Woodland 50/1 e/w (VirginBet 5 Places &#188; Odds)</strong></h4><p>Gary Woodland is about as straightforward a candidate for first round leader as it gets this week.</p><p>First of all, he&#8217;s the most recent player to lead after round 1 on this golf course. He opened with a 64 to lead on day one of the 2018 PGA Championship and he followed that with a 66 to stay in the lead.</p><p>He didn&#8217;t win that week, but he still managed to finish 6th, and he&#8217;s since gone on to win a major championship, go through a major brain surgery, and then come back and win on the PGA Tour again this season. Special.</p><p>That win at the Houston Open earlier this year also marked the start of an incredible run of first round scoring. </p><p>He was 2nd after round 1 in Houston, and in his next three starts, his round 1 positions read: 10-4-6. A couple of slow starts followed, but then he was right on the scoring wagon again, and has found himself inside the top 7 on day 1, in four of his last eight starts. That means in 8 of his last 13 starts he&#8217;s been on the first page of the leaderboard on day one, and on four occasions he&#8217;d have been in the top 5 and secured place money. Place terms would have also been bigger in previous events, meaning it&#8217;s realistically meant each way money in 6 of his last 13, based on six places across the board in those events.</p><p>Adam Scott is the only player in this field to finish ahead of him at that 2018 PGA Championship, and there are very few that can match his recent round 1 scoring exploits.</p><p>Despite all these fast starts, he hasn&#8217;t actually held the first round lead since 2022, so he&#8217;s more than due as well.</p><p>He also tees off at 9:36, partnered with Adam Scott, who between them can reminisce about their week here in 2018, while setting the pace.</p><p>Time for another low one, Gary.</p><h4><strong>Rickie Fowler 40/1 e/w (General, 5 Places &#188; Odds)</strong></h4><p>Normally I would write these in price order, but I want to make it abundantly clear that while I like Rickie Fowler, Gary Woodland is my clear no.1 choice this week, based on round 1 consistency.</p><p>I also want to be clear, I didn&#8217;t just look at the 2018 PGA Championship leaderboard and see Woodland and Fowler 1-2 and hope for a repeat 8 years later. </p><p>Instead, it was Fowler&#8217;s opening round at the Rocket two weeks ago that saw him sat 2nd, and his opening rounds in this tournament in recent years that caught the eye.</p><p>Fowler has only made it to the BMW Championship twice in the last five years, but both times he&#8217;s been inside the top 4 after the opening round of play, and given he&#8217;s been inside the top 10 after round 1 five times this season, including when 2nd a fortnight ago, there&#8217;s an argument to say he&#8217;s due as well.</p><p>Rounds of 63 and 65 at the Truist, a third round 63 at the John Deere, and the same score to open at the Rocket, Fowler has shown plenty of scoring ability in recent months, and his 66 in round 3 last week was another encouraging round of golf.</p><p>Fowler tees it up with last year&#8217;s BMW Championship first round leader, Robert MacIntyre at 12:09 on Thursday.</p><h4><strong>Michael Brennan 40/1 e/w (Coral, Ladbrokes, VirginBet, William Hill 5 Places &#188; Odds)</strong></h4><p>Finally I&#8217;ll take a punt on the big-hitting Michael Brennan, who can follow the Gary Woodland blueprint from 2018 here, and smash his way around Bellerive.</p><p>One of the best drivers on Tour, and a streaky iron player before last week, Michael Brennan is now a two-time winner, who will be looking to step up in bigger events, after winning the Bank of Utah and the Wyndham.</p><p>He has the tools, and if we are to forgive him for last week, struggling after season-changing win, he has the recent form as well.</p><p>Brennan has record seven rounds of 65 or better in his last four starts, and even last week, when he struggled, he shot a Saturday 67. This should be a better test for him as well.</p><p>Three times in his last seven starts, Brendan has been inside the top 9 after day one, and now he can do the same amongst the big boys.</p><p>Brennan will tee it up with another fast starter, Eric Cole at 11:18am on Thursday.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Bonus Bets - Irish Challenge, Boise Open]]></title><description><![CDATA[A couple of picks across the Hotel Planner and Korn Ferry Tours, after Robby Shelton landed us full place money at 60/1 last week in the Pinnacle Bank Championship]]></description><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/bonus-bets-irish-challenge-challenge</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/bonus-bets-irish-challenge-challenge</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 13 Aug 2026 00:45:07 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hopefully some of you will reads this before tee off in the Irish Challenge in the morning, if you&#8217;re in the UK, it&#8217;s an ask, but you&#8217;ll have time to bet on the Boise Open as well.</p><p>Let&#8217;s crack straight on with the Irish Challenge.</p><h4><strong>Irish Challenge</strong></h4><p>Last week, our 80/1 shot, Meyer De Beco was going well in the Scottish Challenge, sat in 5th at halfway and 3rd going into the final round, but he ended up finishing 39th.</p><p>Let&#8217;s hope that our picks this week can stay the course and finish off a good week.</p><p>First up is <strong>Will Enefer </strong>who finished 5th on this course last year, which added to a 2nd place finish he registered in this event back in 2023.</p><p>It was a new course last year, but Enefer rose to the challenge well, making it back-to-back top 5s in an event he had previously finished 30th in twice before as well.</p><p>He has missed his last two cuts, but before that he had finished 14th and 26th in his previous two starts and it wasn&#8217;t long ago that he posted 4th and 9th place finishes in back to back weeks in May. </p><p>He&#8217;s made 7 of his last 10 cuts, four times finishing inside the top 20, and twice inside the top 10, and when 18th at the English Open, he was inside the top 10 for the first two rounds, so he&#8217;s really in good enough form to compete at a course and event he&#8217;s enjoyed over the years.</p><p>Missed cuts in his last two come at a bad time, but I do think it&#8217;s eased out his price to a reasonable 60/1.</p><p>The second and final pick for me in this event is another Irish Challenge specialist, <strong>Ryan Lumsden </strong>who has back-to-back 4th place finishes at this event in 2023 and 2024, so while he hasn&#8217;t played this course, he has enjoyed the event.</p><p>Lumsden also returned to form in Scotland last week, with a 15th place finish, and that adds to a 14th at the Swiss Challenge not too long ago.</p><p>He&#8217;s already played well at two different courses in this event, so why not make it a hat trick, after a decent comeback result, in Scotland this last weekend. Triple digits appeal.</p><p><strong>Irish Challenge Bets Summary:</strong></p><p>Will Enefer 60/1 e/w (VirginBet 6 Places 1/5 Odds)</p><p>Ryan Lumsden 100/1 e/w (VirginBet 6 Places 1/5 Odds)</p><h4><strong>Boise Open</strong></h4><p>We came close with 60/1 Robby Shelton, who was in contention all week at the Pinnacle Bank Championship, let&#8217;s hope our three picks can go all the way.</p><p><strong>Michael Johnson </strong>leads the charge for me this week, as he comes to a course he enjoyed last year, in a good run of form, with four top 10s and five top 12 finishes overall in past ten starts.</p><p>Three of those top 10 finishes have come in his past five starts, and he&#8217;s made the weekend in the other two events, being better placed at halfway in both.</p><p>When 45th in the Blue Championship he was 31st at halfway, and when 67th in Utah two starts ago, he was 33rd at halfway, thanks to a Friday 64.</p><p>6th last week, and 4th going into Sunday, Johnson comes into this one confident, and that only adds to a 10th at the Evans Scholar where he opened with a 65 and closed with a 64, a 7th at the Memorial Health, where he shot rounds of 63 and 64, 12th in Knoxville, where he was 4th at halfway thanks to a Friday 63, and 7th the week before that, after a strong finish.</p><p>Johnson missed his first four cuts at this course, but last year eventually made the weekend, sat in 11th at halfway, ultimately finishing 25th. Hopefully he figured it out last year, and can now contend here, given his current form.</p><p><strong>Chan Kim</strong> is the same price but offers better course form, having won this event on just his second visit, and a year after missing the cut.</p><p>That win was in 2023, so it was some time ago, but he now returns off the back of a timely 12th place finish last week, which ended a tough run.</p><p>Kim missed two cuts in a row at this level before his 12th last week, but he had started well in both, shooting a 66, to sit 14th after round 1 of the Evans Scholar, and a 64 in round 1 of the Utah Championship, to sit 8th at Thursday&#8217;s end.</p><p>Before that, he was bang in contention for three rounds at the ISCO Championship on the PGA Tour, sitting inside the top 5 for the first three rounds, and he had held the 36-hole lead at the OccuNet Classic where he finished 35th and he had finished 13th and 3rd in the two weeks prior to that effort. </p><p>I think he&#8217;s worth a bet at this course, given his former win, his decent form, and his 10 wins across the Japanese and Korn Ferry tours, two coming on the latter.</p><p>Finally, I am going to take a flyer on<strong> Cameron Champ</strong> at triple digits.</p><p>He shot a final round 65 last week, to finish 19th and that was his fourth top 25 finish on this Tour in 2026.</p><p>Sure, he&#8217;s struggling at the PGA Tour level this year, but he&#8217;s showing signs when dropping down, with a 6th at the Abaco Classic to start the year, before finishing 25th in Argentina, 9th at the Suncoast Classic, and then 19th last week.</p><p>We know he can win at this level, he did so in 2018, before quickly adding three PGA Tour titles in 2018, 2019, and 2021.</p><p>It will be fun to track him again&#8230;</p><p><strong>Boise Open Bets Summary:</strong></p><p>Michael Johnson 40/1 e/w (VirginBet 6 Places 1/5 Odds)</p><p>Chan Kim 40/1 e/w (Coral, SpreadEx, BOYLESports 6 Places 1/5 Odds)</p><p>Cameron Champ 125/1 e/w (VirginBet 6 Places 1/5 Odds)</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[FedEx St Jude First Round Leader]]></title><description><![CDATA[Four Picks in this week&#8217;s First Round Leader market]]></description><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/fedex-st-jude-first-round-leader</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/fedex-st-jude-first-round-leader</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 12 Aug 2026 23:23:31 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Full fields are a thing of the past, as we enter the FedEx Cup Playoffs, which means we are down to just 69 players (nice!) - as Daniel Berger has decided not to enter (bold.)</p><p>This will affect the value we will see in the first round leader market this week, but there is still plenty of interest from my side.</p><p>Without further ado, let&#8217;s get into this week&#8217;s event and my four selections.</p><h2>Fastest Starters in the field this week:</h2><p><strong>Ricky Castillo:</strong></p><ul><li><p>6th on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 68.72</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 65 (Charles Schwab Challenge, Canadian Open)</p></li></ul><p><strong>Nick Taylor:</strong></p><ul><li><p>10th on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 68.95</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 62 (Sony Open)</p></li></ul><p><strong>Hideki Matsuyama:</strong></p><ul><li><p>12th on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 69.05</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 64 (Farmers Insurance Open)</p></li></ul><p><strong>Michael Brennan:</strong></p><ul><li><p>16th on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 69.18</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 65 CJ (Houston Open, RBC Heritage, 3M Open, Rocket Classic)</p></li></ul><p><strong>Matt Fitzpatrick:</strong></p><ul><li><p>16th on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 69.18</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 64 (Travelers Championship</p></li></ul><p><strong>Scottie Scheffler:</strong></p><ul><li><p>16th on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 69.18</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 63 (American Express)</p></li></ul><h2>Players in the Field With the Most Rounds in the 60s This Season</h2><ul><li><p>Si Woo Kim - 46</p></li><li><p>Ryo Hisatsune - 45</p></li><li><p>Jacob Bridgeman - 44</p></li><li><p>Ryan Gerard - 44</p></li><li><p>Kieth Mitchell - 43</p></li></ul><h2>Birdie or Better Percentage Leaders in the Field This Week</h2><ul><li><p>Scottie Scheffler (27.19)</p></li><li><p>Si Woo Kim (25.75%)</p></li><li><p>Collin Morikawa (25.56%)</p></li><li><p>Wyndham Clark (25.42%)</p></li><li><p>Jake Knapp (25.00%)</p></li></ul><h2>All the First Round Leaders at the FedEx St Jude Championship since 2021</h2><p>Here are all the first round leaders the FedEx St Jude Championship since 2021. In 2021 it was a WGC, before turning into and staying a playoff event ever since.</p><p><strong>2021</strong> - Harris English (10:43am #1) - 62</p><p><strong>2022 </strong> - Si Woo Kim (7:48am #1) J.J. Spaun (8:21am #1) - 62</p><p><strong>2023</strong> - Jordan Spieth (10:51am #1) - 63</p><p><strong>2024</strong> - Chris Kirk (8:40am #1) - 64</p><p><strong>2025</strong> - Akshay Bhatia (7:50am #1) - 62</p><h2>FedEx St Jude Championship First Round Leader Tips</h2><p>Here are my picks for the week. Every player will start on hole 1, so there will be no bias there. It&#8217;s going to be a bit hot later in the day, and the wind will pick up mid morning before settling again, so I&#8217;ll have a couple of really early plays and then pick two elsewhere.</p><h4><strong>Tommy Fleetwood 28/1 e/w (Coral, Ladbrokes 5 Places &#188; Odds)</strong></h4><p>Tommy Fleetwood comes into this one with six-straight finishes of 14th or better, so he&#8217;s in fine form, and now he returns to a course where he&#8217;s been inside the top 5 after round 1 in back to back years.</p><p>It&#8217;s not just the opening round where Fleetwood has played well here at this course, he&#8217;s shot 9 rounds of 66 or better in six visits, which is incredible consistency, and it was around this time last year, he got his breakthrough win.</p><p>He&#8217;s struggled to follow that win up as some might have imagined, but with a couple of weeks to go before a whole year is up, he&#8217;s got time to double his tally, and Southwind has proven a happy hunting ground in the past.</p><p>I won&#8217;t back him to win this week, but he can start the fastest, which I think is a better bet, at 28/1, especially given his 8:10am tee time.</p><h4><strong>Patrick Cantlay 33/1 e/w (General 5 Places &#188; Odds)</strong></h4><p>Patrick Cantlay has found his scoring boots, and we know he enjoys the playoffs, and this golf course, so this feels like a perfect recipe for a first round lead at Southwind.</p><p>Cantlay made his course debut in 2019, opening with a 65 to sit 2nd after day one, and a year later, he shot the same score on Saturday. In 2023 he closed with rounds of 66 and 64, which was enough to get him into a playoff, which he eventually lost to Lucas Glover, so that was further evidence he really enjoys this layout.</p><p>Since that effort in 2023, Cantlay has finished 12th and 9th here, shooting 66 three times in eight rounds. While he will have to go lower to claim the first round lead here, he is capable.</p><p>In recent weeks, Cantlay has found himself in a great position after the opening day&#8217;s play. He opened with a 65 at the Travelers to sit 8th on day one and followed with a round of 64 in round 3, and then he joined Bernd Wiesberger in shooting a 65 in round 1 to lead, before missing the cut, at the Scottish Open. He bounced back quickly with a 28th at the Open Championship, and then he finished 8th at the Rocket Classic, opening with a 64 to sit 4th after 18 holes, and a 66 on Friday, to lead at halfway.</p><p>Clearly, Cantlay is working his way back, and when an elite level player starts to flash you should stand up and take notice, especially if it&#8217;s a player who&#8217;s held 7 first round leads in his career, 8 if you include the Zurich.</p><p>He&#8217;ll wish he was teeing off earlier, but he still has a morning start, with an 11am tee time.</p><h4><strong>Bud Cauley 70/1 e/w (VirginBet 5 Places &#188; Odds)</strong></h4><p>Bud Cauley has enjoyed a fantastic season, finally breaking through to win in Canada, and now he can make a hot start in the FedEx Cup Playoffs as well.</p><p>In his last four events, he&#8217;s found himself the top 13 three times after round 1, with his best effort coming when opening with a 64 at the Travelers to sit 2nd.</p><p>A Thursday 65 last week at the Wyndham adds to that recent effort at the Travelers, so it looks like he&#8217;s found his touch on day one again, and he now returns to a course where he started fast last year.</p><p>An opening 64 here last year saw him sit 3rd after round 1, and considering his first three efforts here resulted in either a missed cut or a withdrawal, it&#8217;s certainly encouraging seeing him start so quickly last year.</p><p>It might seem a bit simple, combining a few quick starts recently, with an opening 64 here last year, but why over complicate it at 70/1 in a limited field? </p><p>Cauley tees off at 12:15pm, with perennial fast starter and all round great playing partner, Aaron Rai. </p><p>Over to you, Bud. Enjoy the blistering heat&#8230;</p><h4><strong>Eric Cole 70/1 e/w (bet365 5 Places &#188; Odds)</strong></h4><p>Now for an early bird. Eric Cole tees off at 7:40am, alongside Alex Noren on Thursday, and statistically it&#8217;s been beneficial to tee off in the morning here over the years.</p><p>Cole has enjoyed success in the opening round this season as well, twice holding the first round lead, at the Travelers and the Canadian Open.</p><p>That adds to two first round leads that he posted in 2025, so four times he&#8217;s shot the lowest score of the day on Thursday on the PGA Tour the past two seasons, which is an excellent strike rate in that time.</p><p>Cole ranks 12th in Birdie Average and Birdie or Better Percentage this season, and 15th in Total Birdies, making him one of the more reliable players when it comes to Birdie making. That will serve him well here at a gettable course, which he&#8217;s shown over the years, he can take advantage of.</p><p>In two starts at Southwind, Cole has finished 18th and 31st, and he opened with a 66 on debut to sit 5th after round 1, and closed with a 63 on his last start here, to finish inside the top 20. That&#8217;s two eye-catching rounds in as many visits, and he comes in, having gone low in recent weeks.</p><p>1st after round 1 at the Travelers, a second round 63 at the John Deere, where he also closed with a 65, and a second round 64 at the Open are all exciting rounds heading into the weekend. He added to that last week with an opening 63 to sit 4th after day 1 of the Wyndham, and that should give him all the confidence he needs to play well here again.</p><p>There will be now dew sweeping at Southwind, but he&#8217;s among the earlier starters and that will help on Thursday.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Bonus Bets - Scottish Challenge, Pinnacle Bank Championship, LIV New York]]></title><description><![CDATA[On a quiet week, I thought it was worth looking at some bonus selections, across multiple other Tours]]></description><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/bonus-bets-scottish-challenge-pinnacle</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/bonus-bets-scottish-challenge-pinnacle</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 06 Aug 2026 00:26:19 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t know how regular this will be, typically two events is enough for me to focus on and then write about, but let&#8217;s see how we get on this week, and go from there!</p><p>Let&#8217;s start with the Challenge Tour, then look at two events stateside, on the Korn Ferry and LIV Tours.</p><h4><strong>Scottish Challenge</strong></h4><p>The temptation is to stick to the home contingent, but I think there&#8217;s value elsewhere, and we&#8217;ll kick off with what looks to be a great 45/1 shot&#8230;.</p><p><strong>Matteo Cristoni </strong>is 45/1 on BetMGM, and with 6 places on offer, I&#8217;ll take a shot on a player who has four top 11 finishes in his last seven starts, including an 11th in his DP World Tour, at home at the Italian Open.</p><p>Performing like that in his home Open, while making his DPWT debut may well be a sign of a proper player, and he&#8217;s finished 21st, 8th and 11th in his last three events to boot.</p><p>A five-under par round, which included seven birdies on Sunday, saw him threaten the top 10 again last week, and that should give him confidence as he returns to Scotland.</p><p>He&#8217;ll have early memories of winning the Scotland Boys&#8217; as an under 16 player, but more recently he&#8217;s finished 5th at the Scottish Men&#8217;s Open Championship in 2024, and while he was a ridiculous 20 shots shy of the winner, that&#8217;s a big effort and one that should serve him well this week.</p><p>Cristoni also finished 12th in the St Andrews Links Trophy in 2023, so it&#8217;s been a happy stomping ground, for the well-travelled golfer.</p><p><strong>James Meyer De Beco</strong> posted the best finish of his career at this course 12 months ago, and he was better placed, going into Sunday, sitting 3rd after 54 holes, before eventually finishing 5th.</p><p>Add in the fact he&#8217;s now posted three top 11 finishes in his last ten starts, including in two of his last three, he should return here full of confidence and at 80/1, I think he&#8217;s worth betting on.</p><p><strong>Scottish Challenge Bets Summary:</strong></p><p>Matteo Cristoni 45/1 e/w (BetMGM 6 Places 1/5 Odds)</p><p>James Meyer De Beco 80/1 e/w (BetMGM 6 Places 1/5 Odds)</p><h4><strong>Pinnacle Bank Championship</strong></h4><p>It&#8217;s back to a regular tour stop this week on the Korn Ferry, as The Club at Indian Creek plays host to the Pinnacle Bank Championship once again.</p><p>Part of the schedule since 2017, we have seen a nice blend of breakthrough talents and veteran golfers win here, and I think it&#8217;s worth siding with a couple of players at opposite ends of their Korn Ferry tour career.</p><p><strong>Petr Hruby </strong>was the first to catch the eye, with two top 10s in his last three starts and a 27th last time out.</p><p>Even before this recent run of form, Hruby was showing flashes, notably when finishing 31st on the PGA Tour at Myrtle Beach, and then when 7th after round 1 at the OccuNet Classic.</p><p>Given this sustained run of form over the last month, which includes rounds of 64 and 65 when 10th two starts ago, and a second round 63 last week that catapulted him into 12th at halfway last week, I am willing to give the Czech youngster a chance to prove himself in contention, as that&#8217;s the next natural step for him.</p><p>He&#8217;ll want to take advantage of this purple patch, and at 66/1 with BetMGM, he looks decent value, with 6 places on offer.</p><p>At the other end of the spectrum is four-time KFT winner, <strong>Robby Shelton</strong>, who has twice had a two-win season, in 2019 and 2022.</p><p>One of those four wins came at this course and he&#8217;s followed it up with a 3rd last year, where he was the 54-hole leader, after his Saturday 63.</p><p>He&#8217;s coming good at the right time now, with six top-34 finishes in his last eight starts, the best being a 7th, four starts ago.</p><p>Last week he opened with a 65 and shot a third round 64, but despite two other sub-70 rounds, he only finished 27th, such is the low-scoring nature of last week&#8217;s event. When 29th three starts ago, he was also 2nd after round 1, and still 10th going into the final round, with a Sunday 75 ultimately seeing him fall to 29th.</p><p>Repeat course form on the Korn Ferry Tour normally means a player hasn&#8217;t managed to consolidate his spot on the PGA Tour, but Shelton does have eight top 10 finishes to his name at the top level, and as a four-time winner on this Tour, we should pay attention to his excellent course form and flashes of recent form, rather than focus on any negatives.</p><p>At 60/1, Shelton looks good value with 6 places on offer.</p><p><strong>Pinnacle Bank Championship Bets Summary:</strong></p><p>Robby Shelton 60/1 e/w (BetMGM 6 Places 1/5 Odds)</p><p>Petr Hruby 66/1 e/w (BetMGM 6 Places 1/5 Odds)</p><h4><strong>LIV Golf New York</strong></h4><p>This is the third time LIV returns to Trump Bedminster, and it will be interesting to see who responds the best, given what&#8217;s going in the world of LIV right now. </p><p><strong>Carlos Ortiz </strong>is the first to catch the eye, as he&#8217;s finished 4th and 11th in his first two visits here, and comes into this one, having finished 4th at the BMW International Open on the DP World Tour, and 10th in the LIV UK event.</p><p>With six places on offer, he&#8217;s already paid off for each way bettors here once, and he wouldn&#8217;t need much improvement on last year to do it again.</p><p>His top 10 last time was his third on LIV this season, and given he had a very good chance of winning in Germany on the DP World Tour, staying in contention for the final three rounds, he looks primed.</p><p>I then think, Anthony Kim looks slightly overpriced at 80/1 on bet365.</p><p>It feels like an eternity since Kim won in Adelaide, capturing the imagination of the golfing world again, but he&#8217;s also added a 6th in Virgina and a 12th last time out in the UK.</p><p>Kim put together his best approach week of the season, at JCB, including when he won, and he coupled that with his best driving week of the year, gaining strokes for just the second time. </p><p>Completely neutral around the greens, it was only the putter that held him back at JCB, and given he had gained strokes on the greens for three straight events before that, I&#8217;m hoping it&#8217;s a blip.</p><p><strong>LIV Golf New York Bets Summary:</strong></p><p>Carlos Ortiz 22/1 e/w (bet365 5 Places 1/4 Odds)</p><p>Anthony Kim 80/1 e/w (bet365 5 Places 1/4 Odds)</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Wyndham Championship First Round Leader Picks]]></title><description><![CDATA[Five Picks in this week&#8217;s First Round Leader Market]]></description><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/wyndham-championship-first-round</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/wyndham-championship-first-round</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 05 Aug 2026 21:38:28 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It was fun, getting back to writing these this past week, and while it was a so-so return betting wise, Doug Ghim did finish in a tie for 6th, to suggest we were on the right track.</p><p>If you have any feedback on the structure of these articles, and how you would like them to read or what you would like me to include going forward, please reach out, but I&#8217;ll otherwise continue with what I put together last week.</p><p>The Wyndham Championship is our last shot at betting on a regular PGA Tour event this season, with the field reducing to 70 or less during the playoffs.</p><p>With that in mind, this is our best chance at a longshot winner in this market for while, so let&#8217;s go get one.</p><h2>Fastest Starters in the field this week:</h2><p><strong>Taylor Moore:</strong></p><ul><li><p>1st on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 68.60</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 62 (CJ Cup Byron Nelson)</p></li></ul><p><strong>Beau Hossler:</strong></p><ul><li><p>2nd on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 68.71</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 65 (Sony Open)</p></li></ul><p><strong>Patrick Fishburn:</strong></p><ul><li><p>3rd on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 68.75</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 64 (Rocket Classic)</p></li></ul><p><strong>Doug Ghim:</strong></p><ul><li><p>3rd on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 68.75</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 67 (CJ Cup Byron Nelson, Canadian Open, Rocket Classic)</p></li></ul><p><strong>Ricky Castillo:</strong></p><ul><li><p>5th on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 68.82</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 65 (Charles Schwab, Canadian Open)</p></li></ul><h2>Players in the Field With the Most Rounds in the 60s This Season</h2><ul><li><p>Ryo Hisatsune - 44</p></li><li><p>Christiaan Bezuidenhout - 43</p></li><li><p>Ryan Gerard - 43</p></li><li><p>Keith Mitchell - 42</p></li><li><p>Tom Kim - 39</p></li></ul><h2>Birdie or Better Percentage Leaders in the Field This Week</h2><ul><li><p>Kevin Yu (24.56%)</p></li><li><p>Keith Mitchell (24.10%)</p></li><li><p>Ryan Gerard (23.93%)</p></li><li><p>Eric Cole (23.69%)</p></li><li><p>Stephan Jaeger (23.39%)</p></li></ul><h2>All the First Round Leaders at the Wyndham Championship since 2020</h2><p><strong>2020</strong> - Harold Varner III (8:20am #1), Roger Sloan (12:15pm #1), Tom Hoge (12:15pm #1) - 62</p><p><strong>2021</strong> - Russell Henley (8:40am #1) - 62</p><p><strong>2022 </strong> - John Huh (6:50am #1) - 61</p><p><strong>2023</strong> - Russell Henley (1:00pm #1) - 62</p><p><strong>2024</strong> - Beau Hossler (11:18am #1) - 60</p><p><strong>2025</strong> - Joel Dahmen (8:29am #10) - 61          </p><h2>Wyndham Championship First Round Leader Tips</h2><p>Here are my picks for the week. There does seem to be a slight bias to starting on the 1st tee, with Dahmen last year the first round leader since 2020, to start on 10, and the AM tee time generally looks favourable. I will still have a couple in the afternoon wave, with an afternoon player often coming within two of the first round lead each year.</p><h4><strong>Ryan Gerard 40/1 e/w (BetMGM 6 Places 1/5 Odds)</strong></h4><p>Ryan Gerard is having a breakout season, and while he&#8217;s yet to win this year, he&#8217;s a three-time runner-up on the PGA Tour, and that&#8217;s adds to a 2nd at the Mauritius Open late last year as well.</p><p>In addition to many great finishes, Gerard has started fast on many occasion this season as well, despite him sitting 95th in Round 1 Scoring Average.</p><p>That poor ranking is down to a poor start to the season in terms of first round scoring, but he&#8217;s really found his Thursday scoring boots in the second half. </p><p>In his last seven PGA Tour starts, Gerard has twice held a share of the first round lead at the Charles Schwab Challenge and the Memorial Tournament, and in his last two starts he&#8217;s sat 2nd and 4th after round 1. Even in Scotland where he was 26th after round 1, he was still within three shots of the opening day lead.</p><p>Gerard ranks inside the top 3 in this field, for both Rounds in the 60s and Birdie or Better Percentage,  and when you couple that with his recent starts the only negative is his course form.</p><p>He&#8217;s played here twice and missed the cut both times, but he has shot rounds of 67 and 68 in his opening rounds here, so given his form, and the fact I think he&#8217;s course-proof at the moment, he looks a good price to go low again.</p><p>Gerard tees off at 1:05pm on day 1.</p><h4><strong>Mac Meissner 55/1 e/w (BetMGM 6 Places 1/5 Odds)</strong></h4><p>Mac Meissner may not have started fast of late, but he&#8217;s stringing some good results together and is certainly putting together some low rounds in recent months.</p><p>In addition to his recent form, Meissner has finished 12th and 2nd here in two visits, sitting inside the top 10 after round 1 both times, with two opening 65s and a second round 63 to his name over those two starts at this course.</p><p>Those of you looking solely at first round stats will note that Meissner has not been inside the top 20 after round 1 in any of his six most recent starts and he&#8217;s in fact been outside 50 on Thursday in five of those.</p><p>The good news is, he&#8217;s played well on the other days. A third round 64 at the Myrtle Beach Classic helped him secure a top 10 there, and he shot the same score on day 2 at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson where he finished 31st. A week later he opened 66-67-67 at the Charles Schwab where he finished 3rd, and another 64, this time on Sunday, secured another top 10 at the John Deere. A third round 64 at the Scottish and a Saturday 65 at the Rocket are all constant reminders he&#8217;s playing well, and he can take advantage of an early start here. </p><p>His second round 63 here last year was the second best round of the day, with Cam Young, the eventual winner, pipping him to the post that day with a 62, and he opened with a 65 and closed with a 66, so he was good all week.</p><p>While Meissner has preferred a later tee time this season, I am confident he loves this course enough to go and shoot a low one, even if it does mean an early breakfast, as he tees off at 7:01am.</p><h4><strong>Patrick Fishburn 100/1 e/w (StarSports 6 Places 1/5 Odds)</strong></h4><p>Patrick Fishburn ranks 3rd overall in Round 1 Scoring Average, and tee times don&#8217;t dictate his ability to go low.</p><p>Fishburn averages 68.63 in Early Round 1 Scoring Average, which puts him 16th on the PGA Tour in that category and while his average is slightly higher in Late Round 1 Scoring Average (68.88), he ranks 9th among his peers on Tour.</p><p>With that in mind, I&#8217;m not worried about his 2:11pm tee time, which puts him in the penultimate group, and while I would prefer he was teeing off from the 1st, his recent scoring and course record suggests there&#8217;s plenty of value in his 100/1 price.</p><p>Fishburn has been inside the top 9 after round 1, in four of his last six events, and only once has he sat outside the top 25 on Thursday, in that time. Twice he&#8217;s been inside the top 6 in this span so would have provided each-way returns for bettors, and I think that can continue this week.</p><p>Last year, he sat inside the top 20 after round 1 but his opening 66 wasn&#8217;t enough to threaten the Thursday leaders. Two 65s over the weekend were encouraging though, and given his recent efforts, he has to be considered a strong contender on day one.</p><h4><strong>Stephan Jaeger 110/1 e/w (SpreadEx 6 Places 1/5 Odds)</strong></h4><p>Stephan Jaeger has shown moments of brilliance here at Sedgefield in recent years, with a final round 62 his standout effort here four years ago.</p><p>Two years ago, he opened with rounds of 67-66-64 here, to make it back-to-back top 15 finishes at the course, and even when he&#8217;s missed cuts here in the past, he&#8217;s shot rounds of 68, so he&#8217;s very capable of scoring here.</p><p>His five most recent starts have seen him sit 3rd, 1st, 19th, 67th and 6th after round 1, and in those starts he&#8217;s been hitting his irons well for the most part as well.</p><p>Three times in those five starts he&#8217;s ranked inside the top 15 for SG Approach, twice inside the top 5 in that category for the week. If he can keep hitting his irons this way, he&#8217;s set up well to lead after day 1 at Sedgefield.</p><p>Prior to this run of recent starts and in addition to his share of the first round lead at the ISCO Championship, Jaeger also held a share of the first round lead at the PGA Championship, which was held at the Donald Ross-designed, Aronimink, so hopefully he&#8217;ll enjoy a another D Ross design here this week.</p><p>Jaeger ranks inside the top 5 for birdie or better percentage among the players in the field this week, and ranks inside the top 7 for both Par 3 Birdie or Better and Par 5 Birdie or Better leaders. He will need to do better on the Par 4s than he has done throughout this season, but he&#8217;s ready to take advantage of the two Par 3s and Par 5s here.</p><p>He does prefer an early start, but I won&#8217;t let his 12:43pm tee time put me off at triple digit odds.</p><h4><strong>Brian Campbell 150/1 e/w (BetMGM 6 Places 1/5 Odds)</strong></h4><p>Brian Campbell has played here twice and missed the cut both times, but he shot an opening 63 to sit 3rd at Thursday&#8217;s end, before missing the cut on debut in 2017, and last year he opened with a 66, to sit inside the top 20 before packing his bags on Friday.</p><p>He&#8217;s had a rough year, but last week, he led the field in SG Approach, and he now returns to a very suitable course, despite two short weeks here.</p><p>He will circle this event on his calendar as one he can compete at, given the lack of distance required off the tee, and I like his chances of staying hot, after a good iron week at the Rocket Classic.</p><p>Despite a bunch of missed cuts this year, he&#8217;s been inside the top 20 four times after round 1, and we know he can flash when out of form, even going onto win, let alone just start fast.</p><p>Let&#8217;s see how he does from his 7:45am tee time, as he starts on the 1st tee.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Rocket Classic First Round Leader]]></title><description><![CDATA[Four picks for this week&#8217;s First Round Leader Market]]></description><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/rocket-classic-first-round-leader</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/rocket-classic-first-round-leader</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 30 Jul 2026 00:17:35 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s been a while. </p><p>I haven&#8217;t used Substack in a long time, and I&#8217;m not entirely sure what drew me to doing it again at 11:10pm on a Wednesday night, but here we are.</p><p>For a long time, my first round leader picks have been quick hitters, with no justification on X. While I think that&#8217;s a format a tonne of people prefer, and ultimately it makes my life easier, I&#8217;m a huge advocate for justifying picks. That way, you get to see how I at least drew the wrong conclusion&#8230;</p><p>Anyway, here are my five First Round Leader picks for the Rocket Mortgage Classic, and how I got there, with some additional field context as well.</p><h2>Fastest Starters in the field this week:</h2><p><strong>Taylor Moore:</strong></p><ul><li><p>1st on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 68.60</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 62 (CJ Cup Byron Nelson)</p></li></ul><p><strong>Beau Hossler:</strong></p><ul><li><p>2nd on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 68.69</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 65 (Sony Open)</p></li></ul><p><strong>Lee Hodges:</strong></p><ul><li><p>3rd on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 68.93</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 64 (Charles Schwab, John Deere)</p></li></ul><p><strong>Nick Taylor:</strong></p><ul><li><p>4th on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 68.95</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 62 (Sony Open)</p></li></ul><p><strong>Ricky Castillo:</strong></p><ul><li><p>5th on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 69.00</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 65 (Charles Schwab, Canadian Open)</p></li></ul><p><strong>Austin Eckroat:</strong></p><ul><li><p>5th on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 69.00</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - 65 (CJ Cup Byron Nelson)</p></li></ul><p><strong>Doug Ghim:</strong></p><ul><li><p>5th on the PGA Tour in Round 1 Scoring Average</p></li><li><p>Average Round 1 Score - 69.00</p></li><li><p>Lowest Round 1 Score This Season - (CJ Cup Byron Nelson, Charles Schwab, Canadian Open)</p></li></ul><h2>Players in the Field With the Most Rounds in the 60s This Season</h2><ul><li><p>Si Woo Kim - 43</p></li><li><p>Ryo Hisatsune - 42</p></li><li><p>Jacob Bridgeman - 41</p></li><li><p>Christiaan Bezuidenhout - 40</p></li><li><p>Ryan Gerard - 39</p></li></ul><h2>Birdie or Better Percentage Leaders in the Field This Week</h2><ul><li><p>Si Woo Kim (25.85%)</p></li><li><p>Wyndham Clark (25.78%)</p></li><li><p>Jake Knapp (25.00%)</p></li><li><p>Kevin Yu (24.74%)</p></li><li><p>Akshay Bhatia (24.17%)</p></li><li><p>Jacob Bridgeman (24.17%)</p></li></ul><h2>All the First Round Leaders at the Rocket Classic</h2><p><strong>2019</strong> - Nate Lashley - 63 (8:05 am #1)</p><p><strong>2020</strong> - Doc Redman - 65 (6:55 am #1)</p><p>             Kevin Kisner - 65 (12:50pm #10)</p><p>             Scott Stallings - 65 (7:55 am #1)</p><p><strong>2021</strong> - Davis Thompson - 63 (8:35 am #10)</p><p><strong>2022</strong> - Tony Finau - 64 (7:18 am #10), </p><p>             Taylor Pendrith - 64 (8:13 am #10)</p><p><strong>2023</strong> - Peter Kuest - 64 (8:46 am #1)</p><p>             Taylor Moore - 64 (12:54 pm #1)</p><p><strong>2024</strong> - Akshay Bhatia - 64 (12:43 pm #1)</p><p><strong>2025</strong> - Kevin Roy - 62 (12:10 pm #1)</p><p>             Aldrich Potgieter - 62 (12:21 pm #10)</p><h2>Rocket Classic First Round Leader Tips</h2><p>Here are my picks for the week - with no evident bias on tee times or starting tee, I think it&#8217;s worth splitting across the morning and afternoon tee times.</p><h4>J.J. Spaun 45/1 e/w (PricedUp 6 Places 1/5 Odds)</h4><p>J.J. Spaun held the first round lead two weeks in a row, at the Memorial and the Charles Schwab Challenge, and he&#8217;s been 14th, 27th and 39th after round 1 in his past three starts, which is steady enough.</p><p>He clearly enjoys the course as well, having sat inside the top 1 after round 1 in 3 of the past 5 years, and inside the top 11 four times in total, plus, if anything, I would expect the course changes to suit him, with perhaps less emphasis on just outright distance off the tee.</p><p>9 times in his career, Spaun has held the first round lead on the PGA Tour, 4 of which have come over the last two years. Add two first round leads on the Korn Ferry Tour and you have a players who&#8217;s well known for fast starts, and given the form he&#8217;s in, there&#8217;s every chance he adds a 10th FRL on the PGA Tour, at a course where he&#8217;s finished inside the top 10 in two of his last three visits.</p><p>Spaun will tee off at 12:54 pm from the 1st tee, which is fine as he ranks inside the top 30 for late round 1 scoring average.</p><h4>Eric Cole 70/1 e/w (BetMGM 6 Places 1/5 Odds)</h4><p>Cole has started slowly in his past three events, but before that he had held two first round leads in a row, at the Canadian Open and the Travelers.</p><p>Despite a slow start at the Open Championship last time, Cole shot a second round 64 and third round 66, both huge positives, and he also shot a second round 63 at the John Deere Classic, which was the round of the day, before closing out with a 65. So despite a couple of slow starts in recent weeks, he&#8217;s still displayed excellent scoring ability.</p><p>Now, he returns to the Rocket Classic, where he finished 6th on debut and was in 4th place after round 1, so with a lot of good scoring form in recent weeks, and two first round leads in his past five starts - I can&#8217;t help but think he&#8217;s overpriced at 70/1.</p><p>Cole will tee off at in the opening group, from the 1st tee, at 7am local time.</p><h4>Doug Ghim 70/1 e/w (BetMGM 6 Places 1/5 Odds)</h4><p>Doug Ghim has been playing excellent golf, shooting 29 rounds in the 60s in his last 38, and he&#8217;s -22 on Par 4s in those 38 rounds, a bonus given two of the par 5s have been changed to long par 4s here.</p><p>Ghim has been hit and miss here, but he has been inside the top 10 after round 1 once in his career at Detroit Golf Club, and he was in 7th place after round 1 four starts ago, so he&#8217;s got a recent fast start, as well as a decent round 1 effort in Detroit.</p><p>He may have missed his last two cuts, but the long-term form is good, and he shot two rounds of 65 at the John Deere Classic just three starts ago, so there&#8217;s still plenty to like.</p><p>Ghim is another morning starter, with an 8:28 am tee time from the 10th tee on Thursday.</p><h4>Taylor Moore 90/1 e/w (BetMGM 6 Places 1/5 Odds)</h4><p>Taylor Moore comes into this one out of form, having missed his last three cuts, but he returns to a course he clearly loves, and statistically he&#8217;s the fastest starter on Tour this season, ranking 1st in Round 1 Scoring Average.</p><p>Moore finished inside the top 10 here in his first three starts, finishing 6th, 4th and 10th, and he sat 8th, 1st and 17th after round 1, on those visits.</p><p>Given he has held the first round lead here before and recently led after round 1 at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson, I&#8217;m happy to take a shot on him at decent odds.</p><p>Moore gives us another afternoon starter, as he starts his round at 1:38 pm from the 1st tee. He leads the Tour in late round 1 scoring average this season, as well as leading the Tour in late round 1 scoring, so the afternoon tee time suits me.</p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[DP World Tour Championship & RSM Classic Recaps + SG Data]]></title><description><![CDATA[Welcome back to the newsletter, as we take a look back at some exciting events this past weekend.]]></description><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/dp-world-tour-championship-and-rsm</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/dp-world-tour-championship-and-rsm</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 22 Nov 2021 13:21:00 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/88648f8c-9ca1-4249-a54a-e4e0c5266390_3000x3000.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Welcome back to the newsletter, as we take a look back at some exciting events this past weekend.</p><p>Apologies for not getting to this in a while. Now that I am doing two articles a week with Oddschecker, my uni work has started up again (October) and we&#8217;ve had a few events without Strokes Gained data, I have decided to let this take a back seat for a while. Two events have just passed, the last of the European Tour season at the DP World Tour Championship and the last PGA Tour event of 2021, the RSM Classic, so now felt like the time to roll it back.</p><p>There&#8217;s no rest for the wicked though, as the relentless golf schedule continues, as the 2022 DP World Tour (yes it&#8217;s no longer the European Tour) starts this week in South Africa. We have three weeks there before a winter break, so keep your eyes on those and your ears open for the podcast, which will continue throughout. </p><p>Some admin as ever.</p><p>I want to thank those that have signed up to this newsletter. Your support is appreciated and I continue to rely on this. I would also love it if you could share this newsletter around. We had a huge influx of subs week one due to people sharing, so please continue to do so. Never think you sharing is insignificant.</p><p>You can continue to help me by subscribing to the Lost Fore Words on Apple Podcasts&nbsp;<a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/lost-fore-words/id1506245957">here</a>, and leaving a 5-star review. Please do go and do that if you enjoy the podcast, as it has huge implications for any progress in the future.</p><p>Secondly Skylar Hoke and I are really enjoying our show on Mayo Media Network - European Tour Picks &amp; Bets. Subscribe to the Mayo Media Network&nbsp;<a href="https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCJrBgtSiXKOdpoyvVqqhWww/videos">here</a>, to ensure you do not miss those videos.</p><p>Also last but not least, the Lost Fore Words podcast is delighted to announce a new partnership. On the podcast, you are going to hear us talking about MANSCAPED&#8482;. MANSCAPED&#8482; are the best in men&#8217;s below-the-waist grooming. MANSCAPED&#8482; offers precision-engineered tools for your family jewels. MANSCAPED&#8482; just launched their fourth generation trimmer, The Lawn Mower&#174; 4.0 all across Europe! You heard that right&#8230;.. The 4.0! &nbsp;Join over 2 million men worldwide who trust MANSCAPED&#8482; and with this exclusive offer for you, you can enjoy 20% off and free worldwide shipping with the code:&nbsp;<strong>LFW20</strong>&nbsp;at manscaped.com.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9o2C!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd783584a-f96c-4224-bd32-e960e672e451_960x1200.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9o2C!, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/w_424, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>DP World Tour Championship</strong></p><p>It was a lively week as ever at the DP World Tour in terms of the tournament, and while the Race to Dubai race was anti-climatic and somewhat ridiculous (I won&#8217;t bore people with that again..) it was at least a good tournament. </p><p>Rory McIlroy flew out of the blocks, going six-under through his first eight holes, before bogeying the 9th to finish the front-nine, and go out in 31. A slightly calmer back-nine, which saw two birdies and no bogeys meant an opening round 65 and a two-shot lead over three others (Christiaan Bezuidenhout, JB Hansen and Tapio Pulkannen). </p><p>Round two, and Rory relinquished his lead to John Catlin, Sam Horsfield and Shane Lowry who through 36-holes were 10-under and one clear of Rory and Alexander Bjork. </p><p>A busy moving day saw some interchanging leads, but McIlroy ended the day on top at 14-under, one clear of Sam Horsfield and two clear of Bjork and Robert MacIntyre. McIlroy and MacIntyre were two of the six players to shoot a Saturday 67 but the round of the day belonged to Tyrrell Hatton, who shot a 66, but could only climb to 17th due to a disappointing first two days.</p><p>Going into the final round, the top-10 read like this:</p><p>1 - Rory McIlroy (-14) </p><p>2 - Sam Horsfield (-13)</p><p>T3 Alexander Bjork (-12)</p><p>T3 Robert MacIntyre (-12)</p><p>T5 John Catlin (-11)</p><p>T5 JB Hansen (-11)</p><p>T5 Shane Lowry (-11)</p><p>T5 Collin Morikawa (-11)</p><p>T9 Martin Kaymer (-10)</p><p>T10 Marcus Armitage (-9)</p><p>T10 Dean Burmester (-9)</p><p>T10 Johannes Veerman (-9)</p><p>This meant major winners, Morikawa and Lowry were lurking but ultimately, on a course he&#8217;s won at twice before, it was Rory&#8217;s to lose. </p><p>Unfortunately, that was the case. Matthew Fitzpatrick was firing on all cylinders and was one point eight-under for his round, but two late bogeys on 16 and 17 meant a round of 66 after a birdie at 18, which left him in the clubhouse at -14.</p><p>At this stage Rory was -15 after birdies at #2 and #10 offset a bogey on the par-3 4th, and a birdie putt at the 13th just missed. It looked likely that -16 would be enough, and he just needed one birdie coming home, and then a few things happened. Rory&#8217;s missed chance at the par-5 14th from 10 feet, his approach that clattered the flag on 15 and Collin Morikawa.</p><p>The missed opportunity on 14 was frustrating enough, but clattering the flag with a wedge on 15 and bouncing back into the bunker where he was short-sided was worse. It did look as though Rory&#8217;s pitch was going to go long but he could have two-putted from 25-30ft or got a really lucky bounce to drop by the pin, but he instead he had a tough bunker shot, and his first bogey.</p><p>Morikawa had to wait until his 7th hole for his first birdie and the second didn&#8217;t come until the 12th, but after that it was a flurry. The American birdied five of his last seven holes to show why he&#8217;s arguably the best in the world, alongside Jon Rahm. </p><p>Rory, clearly ratted by the events at 15, finished bogey-bogey-par-bogey, to finish +2 for the day and five shy of Morikawa in T6. This summed up Rory&#8217;s season so far, that has had a few highs but many lows, and this felt another tough one to take.</p><p><strong>Strokes Gained Leaders at the DP World Tour Championship</strong></p><p><em>*Denotes players who were in the top-10 of more than one category</em></p><p><strong>SG Approach:</strong></p><p>1) Martin Kaymer (+4.907)</p><p>2) Laurie Canter (+4.870)</p><p>3) Min Woo Lee (+4.718)</p><p>4) Paul Casey (+4.513)</p><p>5) JB Hansen (+4.311)</p><p>6) Dean Burmester (+3.929)</p><p>7) Jeff Winther (+3.871)</p><p>8) Rory McIlroy (+3.734)</p><p>9) Shane Lowry (+3.446)</p><p>10) Collin Morikawa (+3.404)</p><p><strong>SG Off-the-Tee:</strong></p><p>1) <strong>Dean Burmester</strong> (+4.838)</p><p>2) Thomas Pieters (+4.208)</p><p>3) <strong>Min Woo Lee</strong> (+2.763)</p><p>4) Nicolai Hojgaard (+2.734)</p><p>5) Grant Forrest (+2.480)</p><p>6) <strong>Laurie Canter</strong> (+2.474)</p><p>7) Sam Horsfield (+2.333)</p><p>8) <strong>Collin Morikawa</strong> (+2.290)</p><p>9) Guido Migliozzi (+2.286)</p><p>10) Johannes Veerman (+1.928)</p><p><strong>SG Around-the-Green:</strong></p><p>1) Masahiro Kawamura (+3.385)</p><p>2) Marcus Armitage (+2.824)</p><p>3) <strong>Jeff Winther</strong> (+2.566)</p><p>4) Joakim Lagergren (+2.465)</p><p>5) <strong>Paul Casey</strong> (+1.921)</p><p>6) <strong>Collin Morikawa</strong> (+1.846)</p><p>7) Antoine Rozner (+1.786)</p><p>8) <strong>Shane Lowry</strong> (+1.782)</p><p>9) <strong>Dean Burmester</strong> (+1.721)</p><p>10) Sean Crocker (+1.568)</p><p><strong>SG Tee-to-Green:</strong></p><p>1) <strong>Dean Burmester</strong> (+10.488)</p><p>2) <strong>Min Woo Lee</strong> (+8.268)</p><p>3) <strong>Collin Morikawa </strong>(+7.540)</p><p>4) <strong>Paul Casey </strong>(+5.756)</p><p>5) <strong>Rory McIlroy </strong>(+5.685)</p><p>6) <strong>Thomas Pieters </strong>(+4.597)</p><p>7) <strong>Laurie Canter </strong>(+4.557)</p><p>8) <strong>Jeff Winther (</strong>+4.273<strong>)</strong></p><p>9) <strong>Marcus Armitage </strong>(+4.089)</p><p>10) Abraham Ancer (+4.014)</p><p><strong>SG Putting</strong>:</p><p>1) Alexander Bjork (+8.806)</p><p>2) Matthew Fitzpatrick (+8.715)</p><p>3) Robert MacIntyre (+8.446)</p><p>4) Tyrrell Hatton (+7.416)</p><p>5) Ian Poulter (+6.802)</p><p>6) Grant Forrest (+6.375)</p><p>7) Joakim Lagergren (+6.016)</p><p>8) Adri Arnuas (+4.855)</p><p>9) Garrick Higgo (+4.503)</p><p>10) Thomas Detry (+3.634)</p><p><strong>Winners and Losers from the DP World Tour Championship</strong></p><p><strong>Winners</strong></p><p><strong>Alexander Bjork - </strong>Got into the field by the skin of his teeth, at 51st in the R2D ranking heading in. Ends the week in a tie for 2nd, his best finish outside of winning the China Open in 2018. That was his third top-6 finish of the season and his eight finish of T45 of better in his last ten starts. Clearly returning to form, he will look forward to a big 2022.</p><p><strong>Robert MacIntyre - </strong>A big return to form for the Scotsman this week, after a pretty poor run of form, he&#8217;ll be delighted with a top-4 finish. Maybe some frustration as he legitimately could have won, having made a a double and two more bogeys between 12 and 17, but a positive week nonetheless. Should now use this as a platform for a really big season on the newly-branded DP World Tour, as the distraction of a PGA Tour card is in the rear-view for now.</p><p><strong>Nicolai Hojgaard - </strong>T4 finishes seem to be routine for one half of the Hojgaard twins these days, but it was an impressive effort in a really good field. Save his best round until last, and shot four rounds in the 60&#8217;s, so he was steady all week. While the focus has been on Rasmus for a long time, Nicolai is slowly taking over, and I don&#8217;t think it will be long before he matches his brother&#8217;s tally of three wins. </p><p><strong>Losers</strong></p><p><strong>Rory McIlroy - </strong>I am trying to take the approach of not being too down on Rory, as I have been guilty in the past, but this was certainly a throwaway. Bounced back poorly from the bad break at 15, and showed no signs of getting over it. His ripped shirt says all you needed to know, he was frustrated. 2022 looks like a big year for him, so he will look to put this behind him quickly. </p><p><strong>Bernd Wiesberger - </strong>An nine-under 63 on Sunday saved face somewhat, but the best tee-to-green player in the field this past week, was also the worst player for most of it. A four-over 76 saw him start the week bottom of the leaderboard, and he followed it up with the same score on Friday to open up a five-shot gulf between him and Kawamura in 51st. Another 75 on Saturday meant there was now nine(!!) shots between him and James Morrison in 51st, and he was +11 thru three rounds. That 63 on Sunday ensured he finished four places away from last, but it was a poor week for someone that&#8217;s had such a good season. It was good to see him do that on Sunday though, so he has some sort of positive to take away. That 63 was the round of the week, but happened with no pressure on him. </p><p><strong>Ones to Watch</strong></p><p>With a trio of events in South Africa, I will flag up a couple of names that might play well in that spell, as opposed to looking any further ahead. Among my last three newsletters I have flagged <strong>JB Hansen</strong> and <strong>Thomas Pieters</strong> in this section and they both won before the season was out. </p><p><strong>Daniel Gavins - </strong>Daniel Gavins had an impressive 2021, sealing his first European Tour title at the ISPS Handa, before playing very well at the Alfred Dunhill Links (6th) and Valderrama (T11). The last two times he&#8217;s ventured to South Africa he has finished T7 and T12 in the Cape Town Open and Dimension Data Pro-Am respectively, and that T7 in Cape Town came after shooting 73 in round one. A weaker field, and a part of the world he seems to enjoy, I am willing to chance Gavins can win in this three-week stretch given he ranks #1 over the past 8 weeks in SG Approach among those in this week&#8217;s Joburg Open field. He&#8217;s ranked 1st, 7th and 11th in three of his five recent starts in that category.</p><p><strong>Jayden Trey Schaper - </strong>Expected to breakthrough sometime soon on the European Tour, Schaper will be looking to follow in the likes of Garrick Higgo&#8217;s footsteps, and his form since returning to the Sunshine Tour says he can. In eight starts since August, Schaper has a 2nd, a 5th, three T9 finishes, a T12 and two missed cuts. Should he make the weekend at the Joburg, I would expect a good run at winning his first title since turning pro. The following two weeks will give him chances also. I suspect he will play all three, so it&#8217;s worth backing the upside of one of South Africa&#8217;s brightest talents, in his home events.</p><p><strong>Oliver Wilson - </strong>I flagged Wilson a while ago in this section, and he&#8217;s shown some form since. T11 and T12 in his two starts before missing the cut in Dubai, Wilson has got the juices flowing again. We know the upside of this talented Englishman and while the form he showed at the peak of his career may be unattainable now, we have seen with the likes of Richard Bland, that writing someone off is a silly thing to do. Wilson arguably a decent amount more talented than Bland in their respective heydays, there&#8217;s reason to believe a couple of wins on the European Tour are on the horizon yet. South Africa has been good to Wilson in the past, and should have been the site of his first win in 2007. He returns to Randpark this week, where he finished T3 in 2018 SA Open, behind an inspired Louis Oosthuizen. Given his current form, and the long run the rest of the field has been on, I think he can capitalise in this spell before Christmas.</p><p><strong>RSM Classic</strong></p><p>I will confess I didn&#8217;t see much of this tournament, but the bits I did see, mainly on Sunday I was really impressed with how well Talor Gooch played to get his first win. The way Mackenzie Hughes, a former winner of this event, was charging you would forgive Gooch for stumbling, but he was on fire all day. </p><p>Hughes&#8217; 62 was brilliant, Tyler McCumber&#8217;s course record-tying 60 was better, but the 64 Gooch shot en-route to victory was the most impressive of the three. </p><p>Webb Simpson does what he does at the RSM, finishing in a tie for 8th, and players such as Sebastian Munoz (3rd), Tom Hoge (T4) and Taylor Moore (T8) will be especially pleased with their weeks. </p><p><strong>Strokes Gained Leaders at the RSM Classic</strong></p><p><em>Important to note that all SG Data is taken from the Seaside Course only, so what the players did on the Plantation Course in either Round 1 or 2 has not contributed to these numbers.</em></p><p><strong>SG Approach:</strong></p><p>1) Webb Simpson (+9.836)</p><p>2) Talor Gooch (+6.280)</p><p>3) Mackenzie Hughes (+6.247)</p><p>4) Aaron Rai (+5.645)</p><p>5) Sebastian Munoz (+5.143)</p><p>6) Tyler McCumber (+4.873)</p><p>7) Cameron Smith (+4.518)</p><p>8) Tom Hoge (+4.365)</p><p>9) Corey Conners (+4.194)</p><p>10) Andrew Novak (+3.824)</p><p><strong>SG Off-the-Tee:</strong></p><p>1) Luke List (+4.255)</p><p>2) Brendan Steele (+3.298)</p><p>3) Charles Howell III (+3.289)</p><p>4) Keith Mitchell (+3.234)</p><p>5) Troy Merritt (+3.028)</p><p>6) Vincent Whaley (+2.577)</p><p>7) Joel Dahmen (+2.575)</p><p>8) Justin Rose (+2.556)</p><p>9) Adam Scott (+2.365)</p><p>10) Lanto Griffin (+2.161)</p><p><strong>SG Around-the-Green:</strong></p><p>1) Seamus Power (+3.349)</p><p>2) <strong>Talor Gooch</strong> (+2.883)</p><p>3) David Skinns (+2.430)</p><p>4) Sung-Hoon Kang (+2.417)</p><p>5) Jonathan Byrd (+2.399)</p><p>6) Taylor Moore (+2.183)</p><p>7) J.J. Spaun (+2.010)</p><p>8) Kevin Streelman (+1.997)</p><p>9) <strong>Tom Hoge</strong> (+1.886)</p><p>10) <strong>Luke List</strong> (+1.711)</p><p><strong>SG Tee-to-Green:</strong></p><p>1) <strong>Webb Simpson</strong> (+11.978)</p><p>2) <strong>Mackenzie Hughes</strong> (+9.417)</p><p>3) <strong>Talor Gooch</strong> (+8.635)</p><p>4) <strong>Luke List</strong> (+8.573)</p><p>5) <strong>Sebastian Munoz</strong> (+8.508)</p><p>6) <strong>Troy Merritt</strong> (+7.393)</p><p>7) <strong>Tyler McCumber</strong> (+6.610)</p><p>8) <strong>Seamus Power</strong> (+6.508)</p><p>9) <strong>Tom Hoge</strong> (+6.334)</p><p>10) Aaron Rai (+5.636)</p><p><strong>SG Putting</strong>:</p><p>1) Wyndham Clark (+8.283)</p><p>2) Adam Long (+7.226)</p><p>3) Denny McCarthy (+5.562)</p><p>4) Mito Pereira (+5.479)</p><p>5) <strong>Tyler McCumber</strong> (+5.055)</p><p>6) T<strong>alor Gooch</strong> (+5.030)</p><p>7) Taylor Pendrith (+5.020)</p><p>8) Joel Dahmen (+4.080)</p><p>9) Mac McGreevy (+3.507)</p><p>10) Keith Mitchell (+3.473)</p><p><strong>Winners and Losers from the RSM Classic</strong></p><p><strong>Winners</strong></p><p><strong>Tyler McCumber - </strong>Flirted with the magic number, needing a birdie down 18 for the elusive 59, but he came up way short with his approach, as you might expect from someone who has the chance to do something like that. More importantly though, McCumber finished in a tie for 4th, his second top-5 on the PGA Tour. Far from the consistent type, McCumber will always take a top-5 finish anywhere he can get it, and his final-round 60 secured that.</p><p><strong>Taylor Moore - </strong>A first career hole-in-one and first top-10 on the PGA Tour, that&#8217;s some week. Something of a late bloomer, Moore is starting to really settle in the professional ranks, and will look to add a PGA Tour win to the KFT title he secured last season. Going the right away about it so far.</p><p><strong>Tom Hoge - </strong>Tom Hoge has been striking the ball really well for a while now, and while he&#8217;s been consistent, the top finishes has so far eluded him. Tied 4th this week, Hoge can use this a springboard for success in the coming months. Look to the Sony Open, where Hoge has looked likely to win before.</p><p><strong>Losers</strong></p><p><strong>Kevin Kisner - </strong>A former winner and runner-up at the RSM, much is expected of Kisner in this event. He missed the cut by a distance, with only five players worse than him thru two rounds. </p><p><strong>Rory Sabbatini - </strong>Rory Sabbatini finished his first day with five birdies in his last six holes and was -4 after round one. He then self-reported himself to the rules official as he had a tracking sticker left on his three-wood club face. He was disqualified for using a non-conforming club. Ouch.</p><p><strong>Harris English - </strong>One of the favourites coming in, rightly or wrongly, English would have hoped for a big week. Instead it was another missed cut, and we are left wondering whether that grip change on his putter that was forced upon him has really played with his psyche. If it has, it could be a while before he&#8217;s contending again.</p><p><strong>Ones to Watch</strong></p><p>Maybe hard to tell when we are now going on a break until January, but I will name a couple of players to keep an eye on for the early part of the season.</p><p><strong>Taylor Moore - </strong>Data Golf has Moore ranked 55th in their world rankings, against the 128th position he holds in the OWGR. 17th, 24th and 8th in three of his first five starts on the PGA Tour this season, Moore has made a hot start to his rookie season on the PGA Tour, and that can continue at the Sony Open, which has been friendly to rookies and maiden winners in the past.</p><p><strong>Luke List - </strong>Despite disappointing slightly in the final round this past week, List has continued his fine form, and I do think that first win is coming. He&#8217;s had good finishes in the past at both the Sony and the Desert Classic where he&#8217;s likely to start his year, and his game should suit Torrey Pines more than his record suggests, so there&#8217;s three good events for him to start the year, while in hot form. A good week in one of those three should be expected. </p><p><strong>Denny McCarthy - </strong>Denny McCarthy never starts his year in Hawaii, but he should this time. T15-T11-T10 in his last three appearances, McCarthy is slowly trending toward some career-best form, and he&#8217;ll want to capitalise. Normally his putter is the main focus and that was the case at the RSM, but he flashes great ball-striking weeks to and on a shorter track, where its about making enough putts, like Hawaii or the Desert Classic, McCarthy could break through.</p><p>That&#8217;s all from me folks. It may well be the last one of 2021 also, with just one event each week to look at, and probably no SG Data in South Africa. Please keep tuning in to the Lost Fore Words podcast and the DP World Tour Picks &amp; Bets Show on the Mayo Media Network, as both will continue for the next three weeks at least, as we work our way into December. For those readers who I don&#8217;t get a chance to interact with, have a wonderful Christmas and New Year, for those that do reach out via Twitter - I&#8217;ll still be there!</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Open de Espana & Shriners Children Open Preview]]></title><description><![CDATA[Welcome back to the newsletter, as we take a look back at some exciting events this past weekend.]]></description><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/open-de-espana-and-shriners-children</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/open-de-espana-and-shriners-children</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 12 Oct 2021 12:41:01 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/88648f8c-9ca1-4249-a54a-e4e0c5266390_3000x3000.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Welcome back to the newsletter, as we take a look back at some exciting events this past weekend.</p><p>Some admin as ever.</p><p>I want to thank those that have signed up to this newsletter. Your support is appreciated and I continue to rely on this. I would also love it if you could share this newsletter around. We had a huge influx of subs week one due to people sharing, so please continue to do so. Never think you sharing is insignificant.</p><p>You can continue to help me by subscribing to the Lost Fore Words on Apple Podcasts&nbsp;<a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/lost-fore-words/id1506245957">here</a>, and leaving a 5-star review. Please do go and do that if you enjoy the podcast, as it has huge implications for any progress in the future.</p><p>Secondly Skylar Hoke and I are really enjoying our show on Mayo Media Network - European Tour Picks &amp; Bets. Subscribe to the Mayo Media Network&nbsp;<a href="https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCJrBgtSiXKOdpoyvVqqhWww/videos">here</a>, to ensure you do not miss those videos.</p><p>Also last but not least, the Lost Fore Words podcast is delighted to announce a new partnership. From next week onwards on the podcast, you are going to hear us talking about MANSCAPED&#8482;. MANSCAPED&#8482; are the best in men&#8217;s below-the-waist grooming. MANSCAPED&#8482; offers precision-engineered tools for your family jewels. MANSCAPED&#8482; just launched their fourth generation trimmer, The Lawn Mower&#174; 4.0 all across Europe! You heard that right&#8230;.. The 4.0! &nbsp;Join over 2 million men worldwide who trust MANSCAPED&#8482; and with this exclusive offer for you, you can enjoy 20% off and free worldwide shipping with the code:&nbsp;<strong>LFW20</strong>&nbsp;at manscaped.com.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9o2C!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd783584a-f96c-4224-bd32-e960e672e451_960x1200.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9o2C!, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/w_424, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Guys, the podcast and newsletter are free and it will remain that way. Having a sponsor on the podcast and subsequently this newsletter is huge for us, so if you do visit the site and end up ordering anything with the code it would not only be massively appreciated, but if you let me know by screenshotting your order, we may well be able to get a prize draw going on the podcast.</p><p><strong>Open de Espana</strong></p><p>Jon Rahm was the overwhelming favourite going into the weekend in Madrid, after starting the week off hot. He trailed Will Besseling by one stroke going into Saturday and many thought the hat-trick of wins at this event was nothing more than a procession, but it wasn&#8217;t to be. </p><p>Two Spaniards did contest the title though, with Adri Arnaus and Rafa Cabrera Bello needing an extra play-off hole to separate them, with the latter coming up trumps. It looked as though Arnaus was going to claim his maiden victory for most of the final round, and even on 18 with Cabrera Bello in tree trouble, it still looked like the youngster would win. Rafa put his second shot into the front bunker though, and splashed out to a few feet to make a par, leaving Arnuas a putt to win. Understandably riddled with nerves, Arnaus put an unconvincing stroke on the ball and had to settle for par as well. </p><p>Both went left with their tee shots on the first play off hole down 18, and from there it was who had the best touch to hit a 60 yard pitch. Bello put his within birdie range, while Arnuas didn&#8217;t catch his, and the rest as they say was history. </p><p>Julien Guerrier played fairly well in the final group as the two Spaniards competed for the title, but it was Cabrera Bello who secured his 4th Tour victory and first in over four years. A two-under par final round, despite not having his best iron game was decent for Guerrier, when in contention for his first victory, but he didn&#8217;t quite have it in the end. </p><p>The round of the day belonged to Wilco Nienaber with a 64, despite hitting the ball all over the complex, while four others (Grant Forrest, Fabrizio Zanotti, Connor Syme and Renato Paratore) posted Sunday 65&#8217;s. </p><p><strong>Strokes Gained Leaders at the Open de Espana</strong></p><p><em>*Denotes players who were in the top-10 of more than one category</em></p><p><strong>SG Approach:</strong></p><p>1) Edoardo Molinari (+9.700)</p><p>2) Shubhankar Sharma (+8.780)</p><p>3) Alvaro Quiros (+7.336)</p><p>4) Adrian Otaegui (+6.849)</p><p>5) Richard Bland (+6.547)</p><p>6) Rafa Cabrera Bello (+6.318)</p><p>7) Lorenzo Gagli (+5.692)</p><p>8) Jazz Janewattananond (+5.677)</p><p>9) Jordan Smith (+5.429)</p><p>10) Marcus Armitage (+5.308)</p><p><strong>SG Off-the-Tee:</strong></p><p>1) Jon Rahm (+5.173)</p><p>2) Will Besseling (+4.485)</p><p>3) <strong>Jordan Smith</strong> (+4.329)</p><p>4) Bernd Wiesberger (+3.972)</p><p>5) Adrian Meronk (+3.910)</p><p>6) Victor Dubuisson (+3.792)</p><p>6) Connor Syme (+3.792)</p><p>8) Alexander Levy (+3.552)</p><p>9) Steven Brown (+3.299)</p><p>10) Jack Senior (+3.229)</p><p><strong>SG Around-the-Green: </strong></p><p>1) Joachim B. Hansen (+5.306</p><p>2) Kalle Samooja (+4.406)</p><p>3) Santiago Ben Tarrio (+4.330)</p><p>4) Jean-Baptiste Gonnet (+4.197)</p><p>5) Min Woo Lee (+4.182)</p><p>6) Julien Guerrier (+3.892)</p><p>7) Luke Donald (+3.781)</p><p>8) Fabrizio Zanotti (+3.376)</p><p>9) Adri Arnaus (+3.153)</p><p>10) Andrew Johnston (+3.101)</p><p><strong>SG Tee-to-Green:</strong> </p><p>1) <strong>Shubhankar Sharma</strong> (+10.285)</p><p>2) <strong>Jordan Smith</strong> (+10.177)</p><p>3) <strong>Rafa Cabrera Bello</strong> (+9.767)</p><p>4) <strong>Fabrizio Zanotti</strong> (+9.167)</p><p>5) <strong>Bernd Wiesberger</strong> (+8.271)</p><p>6) <strong>Richard Bland</strong> (+7.774)</p><p>7) <strong>Edoardo Molinari</strong> (+7.641)</p><p>8) <strong>Alexander Levy</strong> (+7.552)</p><p>9) <strong>Alvaro Quiros</strong> (+7.538)</p><p>10) <strong>Andrew Johnston</strong> (+7.399)</p><p><strong>SG Putting</strong>:</p><p>1) <strong>Adri Arnaus</strong> (+7.938)</p><p>2) Wilco Nienaber (+7.387)</p><p>3) Marc Warren (+7.150)</p><p>4) Grant Forrest (+6.988)</p><p>5) David Puig (+6.715)</p><p>6) Renato Paratore (+6.643)</p><p>7) <strong>Will Besseling</strong> (+5.698)</p><p>8) Jorge Campillo (+5.447)</p><p>9) Jacobo Pastor (+5.382)</p><p>10) Ross McGowan (+5.363)</p><p><strong>Winners and Losers from the Open de Espana</strong></p><p><strong>Winners</strong></p><p><strong>Julien Guerrier</strong> - I was relatively impressed with Guerrier over the weekend, as he took steps forward in each of the first three rounds (11-6-2) before dropping one spot to 3rd on Sunday. He still carded an under-par round though, when in contention which was impressive given his lack of experience in this arena. He also climbed to 103 in the Race to Dubai rankings, which will help in the quest to keep his card. </p><p><strong>Marc Warren</strong> - Warren came into the week off the back of seven-straight missed cuts but managed to make the weekend and then some, finishing T9. Four sub-70 rounds will do him good heading into the business-end of the season.</p><p><strong>David Puig</strong> - David Puig was a highly-rated amateur coming into the week and was within three of the lead at times during the weekend. A final round 70 saw him fall to a tie for 34th but it was impressive still, given this is his first appearance in an OWGR-record event. </p><p><strong>Losers</strong></p><p><strong>Thorbjorn Olesen</strong> - Olesen&#8217;s court case will take place in December and the Dane would have hoped to get some good golf in before that arrived. Instead he&#8217;s missed six-straight cuts and seven of his last eight, and his second-round 76 meant he wasn&#8217;t close to making the weekend. Another enforced break could be upcoming and that might be playing on his mind. </p><p><strong>Jon Rahm - </strong>Harsh of course, but the World No.1 was poor over the weekend and a T17 finish in this level of field is nowhere near good enough for a player of his calibre. Will try to put that right at the claustrophobic Valderrama this week. </p><p><strong>Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez</strong> - An opening-round 62 was a huge return to form after nine-straight missed cuts, the trouble was subsequent rounds of 73-76-71 saw him finish T71. After a huge confidence boost on Thursday, he was immediately brought down a peg.</p><p><strong>Ones to Watch</strong></p><p><strong>Alvaro Quiros</strong> - After a really tough spell, Quiros has made four of his last six cuts and now returns to Valderrama where he continues to improve. Another fortnight in Spain will be good for this former elite-level European Tour player. </p><p><strong>John Murphy - </strong>Former Walker Cup player, John Murphy shone at the Alfred Dunhill Links where he finished T9. He backed that up with a T24 finish last week in Madrid and that makes it five top-24 finishes in thirteen starts across the European and Challenge Tours in 2021.</p><p><strong>Shriners Open</strong></p><p>Sungjae Im won this past weekend in Vegas and for much of the round looked like he could win with a final-round 59, after birdies in 9 and of his first 13 holes. In the end he parred in from there on but he still beat Matthew Wolff by four strokes. </p><p>Wolff went into the final round one-stroke shy of 54-hole leader, Adam Schenk who was chasing his first win on Tour and there wasn&#8217;t a lot of good golf between them on the last day. Wolff shot a 68 but had his putter to thank for that, as he drained putts from all over the green. It was hard to know how he was going to react being in contention again for the first time since his return to golf, and unfortunately it wasn&#8217;t his best. He rallied well at the end though to guarantee 2nd place and he can take the positives. </p><p><strong>Strokes Gained Leaders at the Shriners Childrens Open</strong></p><p><strong>SG Approach:</strong></p><p>1) Russell Henley (+7.286)</p><p>2) Seamus Power (+6.522)</p><p>3) Matthew NeSmith (+6.386)</p><p>4) Andrew Putnam (+6.324)</p><p>5) Talor Gooch (+5.646)</p><p>6) Sungjae Im (+5.427)</p><p>7) Viktor Hovland (+5.283)</p><p>8) Mito Pereira (+5.268)</p><p>9) Adam Hadwin (+5.171)</p><p>10) Adam Schenk (+4.909)</p><p><strong>SG Off-the-Tee:</strong></p><p>1) <strong>Viktor Hovland</strong> (+5.417)</p><p>2) Corey Conners (+4.497)</p><p>3) <strong>Mito Pereira</strong> (+4.378)</p><p>4) Kyoung-Hoon Lee (+3.884)</p><p>5) Sam Burns (+3.697)</p><p>6) Carlos Ortiz (+2.947)</p><p>7) Chad Ramey (+2.770)</p><p>8) Lucas Glover (+2.762)</p><p>9) <strong>Sungjae Im</strong> (+2.569)</p><p>10) Joel Dahmen (+2.535)</p><p><strong>SG Around-the-Green: </strong></p><p>1) Rory Sabbatini (+6.079)</p><p>2) Danny Willett (+5.107)</p><p>3) <strong>Talor Gooch (+</strong>4.398)</p><p>4) Jimmy Walker (+3.875)</p><p>5) Matt Jones (+3.348)</p><p>6) Jonas Blixt (+3.070)</p><p>7) Mark Hubbard (+3.038)</p><p>8) Martin Laird (+2.956)</p><p>9) Charles Howell (+2.886)</p><p>10) Michael Thompson (+2.844)</p><p><strong>SG Tee-to-Green:</strong> </p><p>1) <strong>Sungjae Im</strong> (+10.488)</p><p>2) <strong>Rory Sabbatini</strong> (+10.465)</p><p>3) Louis Oosthuizen (+8.886)</p><p>4) <strong>Talor Gooch</strong> (+8.836)</p><p>5) <strong>Sam Burns</strong> (+8.161)</p><p>6) <strong>Russell Henley</strong> (+7.337)</p><p>7) Aaron Wise (+7.153)</p><p>8) <strong>Seamus Power</strong> (+7.043)</p><p>9) <strong>Joel Dahmen</strong> (+6.792)</p><p>10) <strong>Jimmy Walker</strong> (+6.755)</p><p><strong>SG Putting</strong>:</p><p>1) <strong>Adam Schenk</strong> (+8.623)</p><p>2) Marc Leishman (+7.509)</p><p>3) Matthew Wolff (+6.881)</p><p>4) Taylor Moore (+6.640)</p><p>5) J.J. Spaun (+6.584)</p><p>6) Nate Lashley (+6.012)</p><p>7) Lanto Griffin (+5.637)</p><p>8) Robert Streb (+5.536)</p><p>9) <strong>Sungjae Im (</strong>+5.513<strong>)</strong></p><p>10) <strong>Corey Conners</strong> (+5.393)</p><p><strong>Winners and Losers from the Shriners Open</strong></p><p><strong>Winners</strong></p><p><strong>Adam Schenk</strong> - Adam Schenk has three top-5 finishes on the PGA Tour, and they have all come in his last nine starts. This continued experience will only serve him well the next time he&#8217;s in the hunt, and he can learn from the polar-opposite performances of his playing partner, Matthew Wolff and eventual winner, Sungjae Im. Still, the T3 is best finish on Tour and it came in a decent field. Has to be a positive.</p><p><strong>Hayden Buckley</strong> - Hayden Buckley made it two top-10&#8217;s from two PGA Tour starts in his rookie season, and he will hope to carry that on after having to sit for two weeks due to the limited fields in the CJ Cup and ZOZO Champiosnhips. A final round 63 showed his potential for low rounds and he will look to keep this up while the fields are weaker in this fall season. </p><p><strong>Harry Hall</strong> - There was a lot of excitement surrounding Harry Hall who had recently carded a round of 60 of TPC Summerlin, putting him on people&#8217;s radar at 500/1. A resident in Vegas following his UNLV education, Hall would have had his supporters this week, and he delivered with a T8 finish. This was his first top-10 finish on the PGA Tour, coming on just his third start and after breaking through with a win on the Korn Ferry Tour last year, he looks likely to continue his progression. No small feat performing when everyone expects something brilliant from you. </p><p><strong>Losers</strong></p><p><strong>Sam Ryder - </strong>After opening with a 67 on Thursday it looked like business as usual for Ryder who plays good golf at the Shriners generally, but a second round 74 saw him miss the cut. </p><p><strong>Garrick Higgo</strong> - It has been pretty rough for Garrick Higgo since winning the Palmetto on his first regular PGA Tour start. He&#8217;s missed 7 of 11 cuts, withdrawn from another event and his best finish in that span is a T41. Regression to the mean, or is there a problem?</p><p><strong>Hideki Matsuyama</strong> - The Masters champion opened with a 65 but ended up finishing almost last of those that made the weekend. No long-term worries for a player who won his first major this year and opened the new season with a T6, but he would like to capitalise on fast starts when they come. May get the chance to put it right quickly at the CJ Cup.</p><p><strong>Ones to Watch</strong></p><p><strong>Jimmy Walker</strong> - Continues to show signs that he is working his way back to being competitive at this level, and if that continues we could see him adding to his win tally again soon. After being diagnosed with Lyme disease, it looked a long road back for Walker, but he seems to be facing the challenge head on. T11-T45-T24 in his last three starts, consistency is starting to creep in, and his iron game is returning. </p><p><strong>Hayden Buckley</strong> - Two top-8 finishes in his first two starts of the season, the next natural progression it to contend more fiercely in an event. Has done well on Sunday in both events and if he can put four rounds together we could see him win early, building on his win on the Korn Ferry last year. A win in Canada in 2019, the Korn Ferry in 2021, it would be another huge step to win at this level, but he certainly looks capable. </p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Alfred Dunhill Links & Sanderson Farms Recap]]></title><description><![CDATA[Welcome back to the newsletter, as we take a look back at some exciting events this past weekend.]]></description><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/alfred-dunhill-links-and-sanderson</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/alfred-dunhill-links-and-sanderson</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 04 Oct 2021 12:58:16 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/88648f8c-9ca1-4249-a54a-e4e0c5266390_3000x3000.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Welcome back to the newsletter, as we take a look back at some exciting events this past weekend. </p><p>Some admin as ever.</p><p>I want to thank those that have signed up to this newsletter. Your support is appreciated and I continue to rely on this. I would also love it if you could share this newsletter around. We had a huge influx of subs week one due to people sharing, so please continue to do so. Never think you sharing is insignificant.</p><p>You can continue to help me by subscribing to the Lost Fore Words on Apple Podcasts&nbsp;<a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/lost-fore-words/id1506245957">here</a>, and leaving a 5-star review. Please do go and do that if you enjoy the podcast, as it has huge implications for any progress in the future.</p><p>Secondly Skylar Hoke and I are really enjoying our show on Mayo Media Network - European Tour Picks &amp; Bets. Subscribe to the Mayo Media Network&nbsp;<a href="https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCJrBgtSiXKOdpoyvVqqhWww/videos">here</a>, to ensure you do not miss those videos.</p><p>Also last but not least, the Lost Fore Words podcast is delighted to announce a new partnership. From next week onwards on the podcast, you are going to hear us talking about MANSCAPED&#8482;. MANSCAPED&#8482; are the best in men&#8217;s below-the-waist grooming. MANSCAPED&#8482; offers precision-engineered tools for your family jewels. MANSCAPED&#8482; just launched their fourth generation trimmer, The Lawn Mower&#174; 4.0 all across Europe! You heard that right&#8230;.. The 4.0! &nbsp;Join over 2 million men worldwide who trust MANSCAPED&#8482; and with this exclusive offer for you, you can enjoy 20% off and free worldwide shipping with the code:&nbsp;<strong>LFW20</strong>&nbsp;at manscaped.com.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9o2C!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd783584a-f96c-4224-bd32-e960e672e451_960x1200.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9o2C!, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/w_424, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Guys, the podcast and newsletter are free and it will remain that way. Having a sponsor on the podcast and subsequently this newsletter is huge for us, so if you do visit the site and end up ordering anything with the code it would not only be massively appreciated, but if you let me know by screenshotting your order, we may well be able to get a prize draw going on the podcast.</p><p><strong>Alfred Dunhill Links</strong></p><p>Another fine win to add to his collection, for Danny Willett who previously had 2nd, 5th and 6th place finishes in this event. Advised at 100/1 on both Lost Fore Words and the European Tour Picks &amp; Bets, it was nice to see this accomplished champion get over the line. His career since winning the Masters has gone through waves, and he acknowledged as much in his post-round interview, when he said (paraphrasing) &#8220;it seems to be the case this happens every two years&#8221;.</p><p>Willett started his week off with a five-under 67 at Carnoustie and trailed leaders, Adri Arnaus, Nicolas Colsaerts, Tyrrell Hatton and Haotong Li by three strokes. Hatton a former two-time winner of this event was looking to make amends after throwing away this event in 2018 when going for a hat-trick of victories here. He too started his week off at Carnoustie, while Arnaus and Colsaerts signed for their 64&#8217;s at the Old Course and Li made his hay at Kingsbarns. </p><p>Only 19 players shot in the 60&#8217;s on Friday, so any under-par round was pretty good going given the weather. Hatton led after 36 holes at -10, with fellow Englishman in 2nd at -9. Rounding out the top-5 were Haotong Li and Willett (-8), and Jeff Winther and Tommy Fleetwood (-7). </p><p>Willett continued his fine form on Saturday, with his 66 the second-best round of the day, bettered only by Richard Bland who carded an impressive 64 around the Old Course. Thru 54 holes Willett (-14) held a three-shot lead going into Sunday, with four (Bland, Hatton, Shane Lowry and John Murphy) all sitting in T2 at -11. This group of five all played the Old Course on Saturday so it appears that those that went Carnoustie-Kingsbarns-Old Course held a decent advantage. </p><p>It was pretty much plain sailing on the final day for Willett, who never really looked under pressure, despite Richard Bland tying the lead at one point and Joakim Lagergren threatening at several points during the round. It was Lagergren&#8217;s compatriot Kristoffer Broberg who alongside Dean Burmester shot the round&#8217;s of the day with 65&#8217;s, while Lagergren himself was next-best with a 66. There were a plethora of 67&#8217;s, including Hatton and Fleetwood who along with Lowry performed brilliantly given their Ryder Cup disappointment. </p><p>All in all, a superb front-running performance once again from former Masters champion, Willett who has had his fair share of health issues this year. </p><p><strong>Strokes Gained Leaders at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship</strong></p><p><em>*Denotes players who were in the top-10 of more than one category</em></p><p><strong>SG Approach:</strong></p><p>1) Kristoffer Broberg (+12.831)</p><p>2) Haotong Li (+10.730)</p><p>3) Ewen Ferguson (+7.724)</p><p>4) Luke Donald (+6.816)</p><p>5) Danny Willett (+6.686)</p><p>6) Eddie Pepperell (+6.674)</p><p>7) Nicolas Colsaerts (+6.325)</p><p>8) Tommy Fleetwood (+6.265)</p><p>9) Grant Forrest (+6.214)</p><p>10) Tom Lewis (+5.996)</p><p><strong>SG Off-the-Tee:</strong></p><p>1) Matthieu Pavon (+5.824)</p><p>2) <strong>Tommy Fleetwood (+4.906)</strong></p><p>3) Nicolai Hojgaard (+4.879)</p><p>4) Callum Shinkwin (+4.729)</p><p>5) Ryan Fox (+4.546)</p><p>6) Wilco Nienaber (+4.251)</p><p>7) Mathias Schmid (+3.333)</p><p>8) Jorge Campillo (+3.273)</p><p>9) Troy Merritt (+3.042)</p><p>10)<strong> </strong>Joakim Lagergren (+2.667)</p><p><strong>SG Around-the-Green:</strong></p><p>1) Julian Suri (+6.366)</p><p>2) Alex Noren (+4.576)</p><p>3) <strong>Ryan Fox</strong> (+3.968)</p><p>4) Marcus Armitage (+3.923)</p><p>5) Adrian Otaegui (+3.315)</p><p>6) Guido Migliozzi (+3.094)</p><p>7) <strong>Eddie Pepperell</strong> (+2.956)</p><p>8) Richie Ramsay (+2.778)</p><p>9) <strong>Haotong Li</strong> (+2.474)</p><p>10) Adri Arnuas (+2.386)</p><p><strong>SG Tee-to-Green:</strong></p><p>1) <strong>Kristoffer Broberg</strong> (+15.713)</p><p>2) <strong>Haotong Li</strong> (+13.256)</p><p>3) <strong>Tommy Fleetwood</strong> (+12.476)</p><p>4) <strong>Eddie Pepperell</strong> (+9.905)</p><p>5) <strong>Mathias Schmid</strong> (+9.753)</p><p>6) Shane Lowry (+9.255)</p><p>7) <strong>Danny Willett</strong> (+8.956)</p><p>8) <strong>Ewen Ferguson</strong> (+8.478)</p><p>9) <strong>Tom Lewis (+8.252)</strong></p><p>10) <strong>Adrian Otaegui</strong> (+7.206)</p><p><strong>SG Putting</strong>:</p><p>1) <strong>Joakim Lagergren</strong> (+10.040)</p><p>2) Daniel Gavins (+8.728)</p><p>3) Jeff Winther (+7.423)</p><p>4) Dean Burmester (+7.213)</p><p>5) <strong>Matthieu Pavon</strong> (+7.423)</p><p>6) Branden Grace (+6.688)</p><p>7)<strong> Richard Bland (+6.064)</strong></p><p>8) <strong>Jorge Campillo</strong> (+6.008)</p><p>9) <strong>Danny Willett</strong> (+5.496)</p><p>10) Oliver Fisher (+5.192)</p><p><em>All stats c/o<a href="https://www.tour-tips.com/index.htm">&nbsp;tour-tips.com</a>&nbsp;- a sponsor of the Lost Fore Words podcast.</em></p><p><strong>Winners and Losers from the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship</strong></p><p><strong>Winners</strong></p><p><strong>Haotong Li</strong> - Easy one to start. Li had not made a cut in 2021 in 14 previous starts, yet he managed to finish T14 this week. Links golf is one of his favourite tests and that may be a significant factor in his performance, but it was nice to see all the same. </p><p><strong>Richard Bland - </strong>A third top-5 finish in his past five starts, the fairytale season continues for 48-year old, Richard Bland. Sure there were some short putts missed on Sunday, and he should maybe have pushed Willett more, but a win, five more top-5&#8217;s and another T8 finish this season is a heck of a return. </p><p><strong>Thomas Aiken - </strong>Aiken finished T24 this week, which is his first top-25 finish since October 2019. 5 starts and 4 missed cuts (T60 at Wentworth his only weekend performance) in 2020 and 8 starts in 2021 with 6 missed cuts and a withdraw, it must have been nice for the South African to play some golf on Sunday. A 68 on Sunday was his best round of the week, but he shot no worse than 72 all week which is impressive given his previous struggles. </p><p><strong>Losers</strong></p><p><strong>Vincent Norrman - </strong>Harsh perhaps given he is just getting going in his professional career, but after finishing T12 in four of his first five European Tour starts, the bar has been set high for the Swede. It wasn&#8217;t as much the missed cut, but the fact he shot rounds of 77-76-76  that is quite worrying given its his third missed cut in a row. He now hasn&#8217;t broken 70 since the third round of the ISPS Handa in August.</p><p><strong>Matthew Jordan</strong> - Well fancied before the off, given his former efforts here and his love for golf on the British Isles, missing Sunday will be a tough pill to swallow for the up-and-comer. Back-to-back missed cuts here and at Wentworth, after three top-15&#8217;s in four prior starts, Jordan will be looking to put things right quickly in Spain.</p><p><strong>Romain Langasque - </strong>After opening his week with a 65 to sit T5, Langasque was looking for back-to-back made cuts for the first time since April, but he managed to miss the 54-hole cut after a fine start. A hugely talented golfer, the consistency has never quite been there for him in his European Tour career and that is something he needs to work on. A big part of being successful on Tour is grinding to make the weekend when you don&#8217;t have it, and that is something he&#8217;s struggled with.</p><p><strong>Ones to Watch</strong></p><p><strong>Adri Arnaus</strong> - Home comforts over the next three weeks could lead to success for Arnaus, who is looking for that breakthrough victory. In 6 starts in Spain/Canary Islands, Arnuas has three top-4&#8217;s and an 8th place finish, including a 4th at this week&#8217;s venue. Expect him to find some of his best form of the season in October. </p><p><strong>JB Hansen - </strong>Another player who will relish a return to Spain is Dane, Joachim B Hansen. He broke through with his first victory in South Africa last year, but he&#8217;s also finished 4-7-17-22 in his last four starts in Spain. He missed the cut on the links, but had back-to-back top-22 finishes at Wentworth and the Dutch Open so this three-week stretch could come at a great time. </p><p><strong>Richie Ramsay - </strong>Five top-25 finishes, including a pair of top-10&#8217;s in his last eight starts, if this proven winner can get his irons firing on the same week his putter is behaving, he may well find the winners&#8217; circle again before the year is out. </p><p><strong>Sanderson Farms Championship</strong></p><p>I will admit I did not catch an awful lot of this event this week, so it will be a short summary. </p><p>Sahith Theegala who became just the fifth person in history to win the Haskins, Hogan and Nicklaus awards all in the same year, made an impressive start to this championship. Theegala opened with a 64 to lead after day one, and followed this up with a pair of 67&#8217;s on Friday and Saturday to hold the lead going into Sunday, albeit sharing it with Nick Watney and Will Zalatoris. Zalatoris broke the course record on Friday, carding a 61 and Nick Watney was well on his way to a first top-10 since September 2019. </p><div class="twitter-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://twitter.com/tomjacobs93/status/1444728216275587080?s=21&quot;,&quot;full_text&quot;:&quot;For context. Watney missed 18-straight cuts from 2020 Barracuda to Rocket Mortgage this July. He has since made five of last six cuts, including T30 last week. Let&#8217;s hope this is a sign of things to come.&quot;,&quot;username&quot;:&quot;TomJacobs93&quot;,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Tom Jacobs&quot;,&quot;profile_image_url&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;Sun Oct 03 18:17:03 +0000 2021&quot;,&quot;photos&quot;:[],&quot;quoted_tweet&quot;:{},&quot;reply_count&quot;:0,&quot;retweet_count&quot;:0,&quot;like_count&quot;:1,&quot;impression_count&quot;:0,&quot;expanded_url&quot;:{},&quot;video_url&quot;:null,&quot;video_preview_media_key&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true}" data-component-name="Twitter2ToDOM"></div><p></p><p>Sam Burns quietly went about his business all week, 17th after Rd 1, 7th after Rd 2, 2nd after Rd 3 and going into Sunday looked the most likely to win sitting just one back of the inexperienced Theegala. </p><p>Burns did in fact get the job done, leading the field off-the-tee while ranking 2nd in approaches and that will get it done an awful lot of the time. </p><p><strong>Strokes Gained Leaders at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship</strong></p><p><em>*Denotes players who were in the top-10 of more than one category</em></p><p><strong>SG Approach:</strong></p><p>1) Henrik Norlander (+8.390)</p><p>2) Sam Burns (+8.278)</p><p>3) Kurt Kitayama (+5.686)</p><p>4) Mito Pereira (+5.572)</p><p>5) Si Woo Kim (+4.960)</p><p>6) Roger Sloan (+4.716)</p><p>7) Jimmy Walker (+3.877)</p><p>8) Joseph Bramlett (+3.746)</p><p>9) Peter Malnati (+3.492)</p><p>10) Andrew Landry (+3.482)</p><p><strong>SG Off-the-Tee:</strong></p><p>1) <strong>Sam Burns</strong> (+6.162)</p><p>2) Trey Mullinax (+5.757)</p><p>3) Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra (+5.090)</p><p>4) Seth Reeves (+4.742)</p><p>5) Luke List (+4.145)</p><p>6) Emiliano Grillo (+3.158)</p><p>7) Hayden Buckley (+3.138)</p><p>8) Cameron Young (+3.057)</p><p>9) Corey Conners (+3.065)</p><p>10)<strong> </strong>Kevin Streelman (+2.978)</p><p><strong>SG Around-the-Green:</strong></p><p>1) Aaron Wise (+5.758)</p><p>2) Sungjae Im (+5.575)</p><p>3) William McGirt (+4.488)</p><p>4) Stephan Jaeger (+4.299)</p><p>5) Alex Smalley (+4.272)</p><p>6) Denny McCarthy (+3.765)</p><p>7) Chesson Hadley (+3.250)</p><p>8) Sahith Theegala (+3.113)</p><p>9) <strong>Luke List</strong> (+2.786)</p><p>10) <strong>Henrik Norlander</strong> (+2.761)</p><p><strong>SG Tee-to-Green:</strong></p><p>1) <strong>Sam Burns </strong>(+14.824)</p><p>2) <strong>Luke List</strong> (+8.853)</p><p>3) <strong>Henrik Norlander</strong> (+8.761)</p><p>4) <strong>Mito Pereira</strong> (+8.545)</p><p>5) <strong>Sahith Theegala</strong> (+6.844)</p><p>6) <strong>Corey Conners</strong> (+6.794)</p><p>7) <strong>Si Woo Kim</strong> (+6.721)</p><p>8) <strong>Cameron Young</strong> (+6.487)</p><p>9) CT Pan (+6.223)</p><p>10) <strong>Aaron Wise</strong> (+6.100)</p><p><strong>SG Putting</strong>:</p><p>1) Nick Watney (+11.658)</p><p>2) Nate Lashley (+8.358)</p><p>3) Harold Varner II (+6.127)</p><p>4) Mackenzie Hughes (+5.874)</p><p>5) Adam Long (+5.835)</p><p>6) Andrew Landry (+5.726)</p><p>7) <strong>Trey Mullinax</strong> (+5.502)</p><p>8) <strong>Cameron Young</strong> (+5.352)</p><p>9) <strong>Hayden Buckley</strong> (+5.078)</p><p>10) Grant Hirschman (+4.904)</p><p><em>All stats c/o<a href="https://www.tour-tips.com/index.htm">&nbsp;tour-tips.com</a>&nbsp;- a sponsor of the Lost Fore Words podcast.</em></p><p><strong>Winners and Losers from the Sanderson Farms Championship</strong></p><p><strong>Winners</strong></p><p><strong>Sahith Theegala</strong> - He may well have fallen away on Sunday, with three bogeys between holes 10-13 but nothing can replace the experience gained this week. Leading a PGA Tour event for the first time, especially when doing it for three rounds is an important part of the learning curve, and he knows what it feels like to contend now. We will hear plenty more about Theegala in 2022 and beyond. </p><p><strong>Nick Watney</strong> - Very easy selection. No top-10&#8217;s since September 2019, Watney just made his sixth cut in seven starts after previously missing 18 in a row. He bounced back in the best way, finishing T2 and contending once again. Impressive.</p><p><strong>Cameron Young</strong> - A first of what could be many top-10&#8217;s on the PGA Tour, Young powered his way to a T2 finish, with a lone-bogey on the 14th yesterday scuppering his chances of making the playoff with Sam Burns. This did come on a par-5 which should be his bread and butter, but he will learn from that, just like Theegala and take advantage of such holes in the future. This was his first made cut on Tour and he turned it into a T2 finish, a great effort. His college teammate, Will Zalatoris has shown the pathway to quick success on the PGA Tour and he will hope to emulate his efforts. </p><p><strong>Losers</strong></p><p><strong>Gary Woodland</strong> - It has been tough sledding for Woodland at times since becoming a major champion at the US Open in 2019, so it would have felt good starting the week off with a 67 to sit T7 after round one. A second-round 73 followed however and he missed the weekend. Perhaps a touch harsh to include him at the top of this list, but he&#8217;s the sort you&#8217;d expect to improve his position when making as good start. </p><p><strong>Sam Saunders - </strong>Saunders is a player that must take advantage of any start he gets on the PGA Tour at the moment, and unfortunately he couldn't do that after Monday Qualifying for this event. Much has been expected of Saunders, being the Grandson of the late, Arnold Palmer but he&#8217;s not made a cut on the PGA Tour since March 2020, with his last top-10 coming at the John Deere in July 2019. It&#8217;s unfair to say time is running out at 34-years of age, but he will want to turn the tide soon.</p><p><strong>Patton Kizzire</strong> - Sat in a tie for 7th with Woodland after Round 1, Kizzire took 11 more strokes (78) on Friday to miss the cut by a distance. He would have liked to play the weekend to prepare for this week&#8217;s Shriners Hospital for Children Open, where he has two top-4 finishes. Still, the missed cut will help his odds this week. </p><p><strong>Ones to Watch</strong></p><p><strong>Kevin Na</strong> - Back-to-back Vegas weeks can only be a good thing for Na, who is former two-time winner and one-time runner-up of the Shriners. Two 2nd&#8217;s at the Wyndham and John Deere and tied for the lowest 72-hole score at the Tour Championship, Na will love the home events this coming fortnight. </p><p><strong>Nick Watney - </strong>T2 finish last week, and six made cuts in his last seven as previously stated should give this multiple Tour winner some renewed confidence for the rest of the year. A Vegas resident, Watney will look to impress at the Shriners, where he has three top-10&#8217;s and a further two top-16 finishes. </p><p><strong>Cameron Tringale</strong> - Currently on a run of seven-straight made cuts, which includes six top-26 finishes, it feels like it has got to happen soon for this veteran, if it is ever going to happen. Maybe it comes this week at the Shriners, where he recorded one of his three 2nd place finishes (2015) on the PGA Tour.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Short Ryder Cup recap]]></title><description><![CDATA[Morning all, and welcome back in to the newsletter.]]></description><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/short-ryder-cup-recap</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/short-ryder-cup-recap</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 27 Sep 2021 10:05:42 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/88648f8c-9ca1-4249-a54a-e4e0c5266390_3000x3000.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Morning all, and welcome back in to the newsletter. Apologies for my tardiness last week, it was a busy content week for the Ryder Cup. </p><p>Some admin as ever. </p><p>I want to thank those that have signed up to this newsletter. Your support is appreciated and I continue to rely on this. I would also love it if you could share this newsletter around. We had a huge influx of subs week one due to people sharing, so please continue to do so. Never think you sharing is insignificant.</p><p>You can continue to help me by subscribing to the Lost Fore Words on Apple Podcasts&nbsp;<a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/lost-fore-words/id1506245957">here</a>, and leaving a 5-star review. Please do go and do that if you enjoy the podcast, as it has huge implications for any progress in the future.</p><p>Secondly Skylar Hoke and I are really enjoying our show on Mayo Media Network - European Tour Picks &amp; Bets. Subscribe to the Mayo Media Network&nbsp;<a href="https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCJrBgtSiXKOdpoyvVqqhWww/videos">here</a>, to ensure you do not miss those videos.</p><p>Also last but not least, the Lost Fore Words podcast is delighted to announce a new partnership. From next week onwards on the podcast, you are going to hear us talking about MANSCAPED&#8482;. MANSCAPED&#8482; are the best in men&#8217;s below-the-waist grooming. MANSCAPED&#8482; offers precision-engineered tools for your family jewels. MANSCAPED&#8482; just launched their fourth generation trimmer, The Lawn Mower&#174; 4.0 all across Europe! You heard that right&#8230;.. The 4.0! &nbsp;Join over 2 million men worldwide who trust MANSCAPED&#8482; and with this exclusive offer for you, you can enjoy 20% off and free worldwide shipping with the code:&nbsp;<strong>LFW20</strong>&nbsp;at manscaped.com.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9o2C!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd783584a-f96c-4224-bd32-e960e672e451_960x1200.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9o2C!, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/w_424, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/lostforewords.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd783584a-f96c-4224-bd32-e960e672e451_960x1200.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9o2C!, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd783584a-f96c-4224-bd32-e960e672e451_960x1200.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" 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y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Guys, the podcast and newsletter are free and it will remain that way. Having a sponsor on the podcast and subsequently this newsletter is huge for us, so if you do visit the site and end up ordering anything with the code it would not only be massively appreciated, but if you let me know by screenshotting your order, we may well be able to get a prize draw going on the podcast.</p><p><strong>Let&#8217;s talk some Ryder Cup</strong></p><p>To be honest, everything I expected to happen (other than Casey failing to record a point!) happened. The European team was no match for USA&#8217;s strength in depth, and that was before considering the course setup. </p><p>Friday Morning foursomes rolled around and to be honest, the pairings filled me with dread. I wanted Rahm/Hovland &amp; Rory/Lowry and we got is Rahm/Garcia, which Harrington suggested wouldn&#8217;t happen and Rory/Poulter (sigh). Now I will start off saying Garcia and Rahm worked out, so that cannot be criticised. You could argue that Rahm could have won with anyone, but he halved with Hatton Friday evening, so that&#8217;s not really the case. The dynamic worked. </p><p>The rest of the pairings were awful though. Hovland and Casey couldn&#8217;t buy a putt, Westwood and Fitzpatrick should never have been a pairing and Rory was once again left to pair with a player who in the buildup looked unsuited to the test. Rory himself played poorly all week, but I certainly think he could have lifted his game with Hovland or Lowry, he showed his game was in good enough shape on Sunday.</p><p>The afternoon pairings looked better suited, but Europe didn&#8217;t even manage the full point that Garcia and Rahm did in the morning, instead halving two matches to lose 3-1 again.</p><p>A third-straight 3-1 session on Saturday and the job was done for the US in my opinion. Europe couldn&#8217;t come back from that, and Harrington even took the desperate measure of dropping Rory for the afternoon to spark something, which never looked the right decision. </p><p>The Singles score went as expected (8-4) although I did think 9-3 was on the cards, but those that won their matches surprised me. Rory went out with a point to prove Sunday and did so, taking down Xander Schauffele pretty comfortably. It was 3&amp;2 in the end, but could have been 4&amp;3. Maybe Rory just wanted to see the 16th hole for the first time all week!</p><p>Ian Poulter and Lee Westwood secured historic points, but as they both will admit, they mean very little in such a loss. For Westwood it will hold significance, as it will almost certainly be his last as a player and he had son, Sam on the bag. He is also the most likely candidate to Captain in Italy, so it will be interesting to see how that pans out. For Poulter, he may well make one final push for Italy, especially if he plays more on the European Tour, but that remains to be seen. </p><p>Hovland halved his match with Morikawa after a ding-dong battle and Fleetwood tied Spieth to ensure Spieth is still win-less in 7 singles matches across the Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup. Fleetwood can probably feel hardest done by this week, as he was criminally underused. He didn&#8217;t make the putts needed to beat Spieth/Thomas on Friday afternoon, but the half was good, and he looks a player better suited to Foursomes which he was benched twice for. </p><p>All in all, it was a special USA performance. Dustin Johnson became just the fifth player in Ryder Cup history to go 5-0-0, Morikawa went unbeaten as a Rookie (3-0-1) as did Scheffler (2-0-1) who also managed to take down World No.1, Jon Rahm, who had an incredible Ryder Cup individually as well.</p><p>I will be back next week with Strokes-Gained recaps for the Dunhill Links &amp; Sanderson Farms Championship. </p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[BMW PGA CHAMPIONSHIP REVIEW + RYDER CUP TALK]]></title><description><![CDATA[Morning everyone.]]></description><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/bmw-pga-championship-review-ryder</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/bmw-pga-championship-review-ryder</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 13 Sep 2021 13:25:53 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9o2C!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd783584a-f96c-4224-bd32-e960e672e451_960x1200.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Morning everyone. What a week we have just had, with the European Tour taking centre stage. It was really nice to see the majority of golf twitter following along with the European Tour, when perhaps week-to-week it is not in their interests, and the event didn&#8217;t disappoint. </p><p>Before we get into that, just a little admin as ever.  I want to thank those that have signed up to this newsletter. Your support is appreciated and I continue to rely on this. I would also love it if you could share this newsletter around. We had a huge influx of subs week one due to people sharing, so please continue to do so. Never think you sharing is insignificant.  </p><p>You can continue to help me by subscribing to the Lost Fore Words on Apple Podcasts&nbsp;<a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/lost-fore-words/id1506245957">here</a>, and leaving a 5-star review. Please do go and do that if you enjoy the podcast, as it has huge implications for any progress in the future.</p><p>Secondly Skylar Hoke and I are really enjoying our show on Mayo Media Network - European Tour Picks &amp; Bets. Subscribe to Mayo Media Network&nbsp;<a href="https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCJrBgtSiXKOdpoyvVqqhWww/videos">here</a>, to ensure you do not miss those videos.</p><p>Also last but not least, the Lost Fore Words podcast is delighted to announce a new partnership. From next week onwards on the podcast, you are going to hear us talking about MANSCAPED&#8482;. MANSCAPED&#8482; are the best in men&#8217;s below-the-waist grooming. MANSCAPED&#8482; offers precision-engineered tools for your family jewels. MANSCAPED&#8482; just launched their fourth generation trimmer, The Lawn Mower&#174; 4.0 all across Europe! You heard that right&#8230;.. The 4.0! &nbsp;Join over 2 million men worldwide who trust MANSCAPED&#8482; and with this exclusive offer for you, you can enjoy 20% off and free worldwide shipping with the code:&nbsp;<strong>LFW20</strong>&nbsp;at manscaped.com. </p><p></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9o2C!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd783584a-f96c-4224-bd32-e960e672e451_960x1200.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9o2C!, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/w_424, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/lostforewords.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Guys, the podcast and newsletter are free and it will remain that way. Having a sponsor on the podcast and subsequently this newsletter is huge for us, so if you do visit the site and end up ordering anything with the code it would not only be massively appreciated, but if you let me know by screenshotting your order, we may well be able to get a prize draw going on the podcast.</p><p><strong>Onto Wentworth!</strong></p><p>Without the Ryder Cup permutations, which we will come onto later, the event alone was exhilarating and Team Europe finally being decided on Sunday was just an extra layer. </p><p>After the opening day, two well-known players shared the lead. Kiradech Aphibarnrat emphatically confirmed his return to form with an opening 64, and was joined by South Africa&#8217;s, Christiaan Bezuidenhout. Lurking one shot further back was Adam Scott, so Friday was certainly going to be interesting. </p><p>On Ryder Cup watch was Justin Rose, Henrik Stenson, Shane Lowry, Bernd Wiesberger and Lee Westwood. On Thursday it was Rose who emerged with the best round, sitting T4 at -5, with Stenson on -3, Lowry and Westwood -2 and Wiesberger -1. </p><p>Wiesberger could theoretically get into the side with a top-50 finish, depending on other performances and before the cut, you wonder if this factored into his play. </p><p>Round 2 saw some changes behind Aphibarnrat who held onto his lead, with a second-round 68 leaving him on a -12 total. Four players shot the low-round of the day (65), putting themselves in favorable positions. Of those, Italy&#8217;s Francesco Laporta sat highest going into the weekend as he was in 2nd and one shot behind the lead, while Billy Horschel climbed to 5th place and three back, Sam Horsfield 14th place and five back and Antoine Rozner ensured some weekend play, beating his opening round 77 by 12 shots to make the cut on the number. </p><p>Ryder Cup watch continued into the weekend and Rose continued to impress sitting in T5 after another decent round (68), while Lowry made a move with a 66 to sit T8. Wiesberger loosened up with a second-round 67 to sit T19 and Stenson and Westwood shared 36th place with a host of others. </p><p>Round 3 saw some big moves once again, but one player who may not have had his best day Saturday but still sat 2nd going into Sunday was England&#8217;s, Laurie Canter. Such was his consistency this week, I would be remiss not to mention his efforts. T4 after Round 1, T2 after Round 2, and 2nd after Round 3, this is a highly impressive level of consistency from someone looking for their maiden victory, especially in an event of this magnitude. Canter is not your typical player looking for their first win, he first turned pro in 2011, is 31-years old and has not yet won as a professional at any level. He has however since 2019 and especially following lockdown, revitalized his game. A perennial success story at European Tour Q-school, Canter was clearly fed up of the pressures of that event, and after losing in a play-off on the Challenge Tour in September 2019, where Dale Whitnell had to shoot 64-63 over the weekend to even catch him, Canter was ready to kick on at the top level. 2020 saw him finish 10th at the Hero Open, T5 at the Wales Open, 2nd at the Portugal Masters where he threw all he could at a rampant George Coetzee, T2 at the Italian Open which he arguably should have won, and T5 at the season-ending DP World Tour Championship. Having now been in the final group of the Italian Open, DP World Tour and the BMW PGA Championship, its fair to say he&#8217;s building up some strong experience. </p><p>Other highlights from round 3, included a trio of 66&#8217;s from Sean Crocker, Joakim Lagergren and Justin Walters. Crocker sat in 7th and within three of Francesco Laporta&#8217;s -13 lead going into Sunday, while Lagergren and Walters sat a further shot back at -10. </p><p>Ryder Cup watch was in full swing going into the final round. Lowry and Wiesberger were sat in a tie for 7th going into Sunday, after Adam Scott birdied late which saw Lowry drop from T5 to T7 and put him on the outside looking in for a Ryder Cup spot. </p><p>The final day came and Lee Westwood hemorrhaged shots all over the course. A bogey-double bogey-double bogey finish to the front-9 and a triple-bogey on 11 were all part of a final-round 77. Despite this, Westwood (T71) and Wiesberger (T11) secured Ryder Cup spots, leaving Shane Lowry (also T11) at the mercy of Captain Harrington. With Ian Poulter (MC), Sergio Garcia (DNP) and Justin Rose (T6) all needing a pick, there may have been some concerns for the Irishman but it wasn&#8217;t an issue in the end. I personally believe Poulter and Garcia were in a long time ago, as Harrington has alluded to, and given Lowry&#8217;s calmness on the course yesterday I think he knew he was going regardless. Rose will feel aggrieved after a bogey-free 65 which ended birdie-eagle still wasn&#8217;t enough, but it was tough to see past the selected three. In the end, I think the right three are going, even if Rose is better suited to the course than Poulter. </p><p>Back to the event itself now, and it was the 36-hole leader, Aphibarnrat who made waves early. The man from Thailand birdied five of his seven holes, and after starting his back-nine par-birdie-eagle his lead after 12 holes was as big as three. Another birdie at 16 saw him atop the leaderboard at -19 but after finding the bushes on 17 and eventually making bogey, he shared the lead with Horschel and Canter as the former had just birdied 15.</p><p>With Aphibarnrat in the clubhouse at -18 after a bogey-par finish on the two closing par-5&#8217;s, it came down to Jamie Donaldson, Billy Horschel and Laurie Canter. Donaldson needed an eagle at the last to finish on -19 and from 15 feet never really threatened the hole. A tap-in for the Welshman saw him tie the clubhouse lead, leaving Horschel and Canter a clear path. </p><p>Canter was just short of the green in two on hole 17 leaving an up and down for birdie and the outright lead, but he thinned his wedge thru the back of the green and had to scramble for par. Meanwhile Horschel nearly found water with his tee shot on 18, but escaped and laid up to give himself a shot into the green to setup birdie. He stuffed the approach and duly converted! At -19 he was the new clubhouse leader. </p><p>Canter needed eagle for the win and birdie to tie, but started off the hole in the worst way, finding a bunker down the left. A forced layup meant he had to find birdie in similar fashion to Horschel which he couldn&#8217;t do, leaving the American the victor!</p><p>Horschel continues to grow his fandom over here in the UK, particularly wooing the West Ham fans among the golfing crowds. A classy operator who clearly enjoys testing his game across the globe, his visits certainly improve the field. He will return to the European Tour again at the Dunhill Links. </p><p><strong>Strokes Gained at the BMW PGA Championship</strong></p><p><em> *Bold denotes players who were in the top-10 of more than one category</em></p><p><strong>SG Approach</strong></p><p>1) Billy Horschel (+9.440)</p><p>2) Justin Rose (+8.616)</p><p>3) Laurie Canter (+8.412)</p><p>4) Tapio Pulkkanen (+7.459)</p><p>5) Justin Walters (+7.302)</p><p>6) Martin Kaymer (+6.976)</p><p>7) Shabhunkar Sharma (+6.807)</p><p>8) Francesco Laporta (+6.028)</p><p>9) Alexander Bjork (+6.017)</p><p>10) Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+5.829)</p><p><strong>SG Off-the-Tee</strong></p><p>1) Mathias Schwab (+6.340)</p><p>2) <strong>Billy Horschel</strong> (+5.118)</p><p>3) Bernd Wiesberger (+4.911)</p><p>4) <strong>Francesco Laporta</strong> (+4.907)</p><p>5) Andrew Johnston (+4.597)</p><p>6) Masahiro Kawamura (+4.435)</p><p>7) Fabrizio Zanotti (+3.961)</p><p>8) Aaron Rai (+3.751)</p><p>9) Viktor Hovland (+3.689)</p><p>10) Jamie Donaldson (+3.597)</p><p><strong>SG Around-the-Green</strong></p><p>1) George Coetzee (+4.578)</p><p>2) Thomas Pieters (+4.489)</p><p>3) Stephen Gallacher (+4.380)</p><p>4) Bernd Wiesberger (+3.648)</p><p>5) Richard Bland (+3.584)</p><p>6) Wade Ormsby (+3.355)</p><p>7) Jordan Smith (+3.310)</p><p>8) Ross Fisher (+3.271)</p><p>9) Nicolai Hojgaard (+3.163)</p><p>10) Daniel Gavins (+3.158)</p><p><strong>SG Tee-to-Green</strong></p><p>1) <strong>Billy Horschel</strong> (+14.612)</p><p>2) <strong>Bernd Wiesberger</strong> (+13.151)</p><p>3) <strong>Shabhunkar Sharma </strong>(+11.376)</p><p>4) Justin Rose (+11.629)</p><p>5) <strong>Laurie Canter</strong> (+11.441)</p><p>6) <strong>Andrew Johnston</strong> (+10.259)</p><p>7) <strong>Jamie Donaldson</strong> (+9.890)</p><p>8) <strong>Thomas Pieters</strong> (+9.869)</p><p>9) <strong>Francesco Laporta</strong> (+9.342)</p><p>10) <strong>Fabrizio Zanotti </strong>(+9.200)</p><p><strong>SG Putting</strong></p><p>1) <strong>Christiaan Bezuidenhout </strong>(+9.216)</p><p>2) Kiradech Aphibarnrat (+6.957)</p><p>3) Lucas Bjerregaard (+6.623)</p><p>4) Mathias Schwab (+5.802)</p><p>5) Joel Stalter (+5.484)</p><p>6) <strong>Stephen Gallacher</strong> (+4.675)</p><p>7) Adam Scott (+4.648)</p><p>8) <strong>George Coetzee </strong>(+4.568)</p><p>9) Adrian Otaegui (+4.543)</p><p>10) Matthew Fitzpatrick (+4.289)</p><p>All stats c/o of tour-tips.com - a sponsor of the Lost Fore Words podcast.</p><p><strong>Winners and Losers from the BMW PGA Championship</strong></p><p><strong>Winners</strong></p><p>Kiradech Aphibarnrat - One bad shot on 17 derailed his chances of victory on Sunday, and his below-average Saturday undid his great work in the other three rounds. With that said though, this was his first top-10 in almost two years (last was a T8 at the CJ Cup in October 2019) and for the most part he looked capable of winning, and maybe even the most likely. Wrapping up his PGA Tour card a fortnight ago and nearly winning this past week suggests Kiradech is ready to go again, after a difficult period during and after the pandemic-affected schedules.</p><p>Francesco Laporta - A third top-6 finish in his last seven starts, Laporta may well be finding a new level in his golf game. He was so impressive when finishing 2nd behind Rozner at the Golf in Dubai Championship at the end of 2020, and he now looks to be finding his groove again. 4th at the Irish Open, T4 in his home event and T6 at the flagship event suggests he&#8217;s a man for the big moments. The Italian has two Challenge Tour victories to his name, both in 2019, so the next natural progression is a win on the European Tour. He&#8217;s not playing in Holland, but look for him in Spain and Portugal. </p><p>Shane Lowry, Bernd Wiesberger, Lee Westwood - Despite Westwood ultimately playing pretty poorly he just held on to his Ryder Cup spot, while Lowry earned himself a Captain&#8217;s Pick (probably more due to his season as a whole) and Austrian Bernd Wiesberger also clinched a spot. I think it was massively important for the latter to get in automatically because had he not, I think Justin Rose was on the plane to Whistling Straits. </p><p><strong>Losers</strong></p><p>Justin Rose - If Lowry, Wiesberger and Westwood were winners due to their Ryder Cup spots, Rose naturally has to go down as a loser. A win could have got him in the event automatically, and it also could have shaken up the Captain&#8217;s picks significantly had he needed it still. Unfortunately his level-par round on Saturday cost him a chance of victory, but he can still be proud of his play this week. Harsh to put someone on the loser list for a T6 finish, but he misses out on a big goal of his, and his play this week just wasn&#8217;t enough to change that. A win may have done so. </p><p>Tyrrell Hatton - Being defending champion always comes with obligations and this can detract from your overall play, but Hatton was really looking for a good week, in order to head to Whistling Straits with some confidence. Instead it was a fourth missed cut in his last six appearances and he now heads to the Ryder Cup looking for form rather than being one of Europe&#8217;s go-to players. Not a good position to be in. </p><p>Thomas Detry - One of a number of players that could have got into the Ryder Cup with a win or T2 finish, Detry was obviously keen to impress. Instead, he signed for an incorrect scorecard in round two and found himself disqualified from the event. His three-under 69 was good enough to put him T11 after day one, and would have been around the top-25 heading into the weekend but for his mistake. A tough rule, but one that&#8217;s been in place forever, Detry will be more careful in the future. </p><p><strong>Ones to Watch on the European Tour</strong></p><p>Thomas Pieters - Pieters will be among the favorites this week in Hollands given his previous win at the KLM Open, but I am still not sure his return to form has been spoken about enough, due to other players emerging. 18th and 9th place finishes the past two weeks add to his T12 in Ireland and or someone that didn&#8217;t play at all in April and has suffered multiple injuries in recent seasons, Pieters will be hoping to end this season strongly. A good week in a country that&#8217;s been good to him this week should help him kick on and I would bet he will draw inspiration from not being at the Ryder Cup in two weeks time, nor ever being in line for the team. That in itself could well be motivation. </p><p>Gavin Green - Gavin Green came up on the podcast last week as an outside selection after his improved iron play in recent weeks. His opening-round 78 was among the worst, but he was right on track for a 66 in round two and a birdie on 18 would have seen him post a 65, but he instead carded a quadruple-bogey 9 to miss the cut handedly in the end. A birdie there would have seen him miss by one, but the seven birdies he made on Friday suggest there&#8217;s some life in his game again. If he can find something off the tee, and he did gain over half a stroke in that department Friday or head to a course where its a bit more generous off the tee or driver isn&#8217;t required, he could well be a factor again. </p><p>Ricardo Gouveia - Gouveia&#8217;s recent form reads 1-1-T4-MC-T3 and while this has all been on the Challenge Tour, evidence suggests he can have an impact at this level when in good shape. The man from Portugal has six top-10 finishes to his name from 2017-2019 on the European Tour and I would not be on him adding to that tally this week, nor any subsequent starts he gets at this level before officially graduating at the end of the year. Three of those top-10 finishes also came at the Nedbank (T3), the Qatar Masters (T6) and the British Masters (T9) all of which boasted strong fields at the time. </p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Tour Championship & Italian Open ]]></title><description><![CDATA[Happy Monday once again!]]></description><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/tour-championship-and-italian-open</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/tour-championship-and-italian-open</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 06 Sep 2021 14:52:49 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vW2F!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fpbs.substack.com%2Fmedia%2FE-m06UHX0AA2Zm_.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Happy Monday once again!</p><p>An eventful weekend in Golf with the Solheim Cup, Korn Ferry finals as well as our PGA and European Tour events. Team Europe take a 9-7 into the final round of the Solheim Cup and will hope to come out on top in the Singles to complete the victory.</p><p>Before I get into this week&#8217;s newsletter, I just wanted to thank those that have signed up. Your support is appreciated, and I continue to rely on this.</p><p>You can continue to help me by subscribing to the Lost Fore Words on Apple Podcasts&nbsp;<a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/lost-fore-words/id1506245957">here</a>, and leaving a 5-star review. Please do go and do that if you enjoy the podcast, as it has huge implications for any progress in the future.</p><p>Secondly Skylar Hoke and I are really enjoying our show on Mayo Media Network - European Tour Picks &amp; Bets. Subscribe to Mayo Media Network&nbsp;<a href="https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCJrBgtSiXKOdpoyvVqqhWww/videos">here</a>, to ensure you do not miss those videos.</p><p>&#8212;</p><p>I am going to keep my debrief on the Tour Championship short. It is not an event I enjoy, I think there are a tonne of flaws, and ultimately it needs fixing. That said, there were some exceptional performances, notably by Kevin Na, who tied Jon Rahm atop the 72-hole score leaderboard, and he may well be wondering whether he is due a call from Captain Stricker.  </p><p>Na defied poor course form to end the week unofficially the joint-winner (work that one out) with Jon Rahm, while Patrick Cantlay who finished 4th over the 72-holes, reaped the FedEx Cup rewards. It was Rahm who made the fastest start on the 72-hole leaderboard as he opened with a pair of 65&#8217;s to lead after both Thursday and Friday, and a pair of 68&#8217;s ensured he went &#8220;wire-to-wire&#8221; on that front. Na was one behind on Thursday and stayed within the top-4 all week, and Cantlay stayed inside the top-6, eventually finishing 4th to secure his $15m.</p><p>Matching weekend rounds of 67-64 from Xander Schauffele and Daniel Berger saw them climb to T5 and T11 respectively in the overall Tour Championship leaderboard, while 3rd and 8th in the 72-hole scoring - another fine East Lake showing from Xander.</p><p>At the other end of the scale, a fast start saw Harris English sit 3rd after Round 1 and 8th after Round 2 in the 72-hole scoring, but a poor weekend saw him fall to mid-table and he will be hoping that doesn&#8217;t factor into any Wildcard Selection decision from Stricker.</p><p><strong>Strokes Gained Leaders at the Tour Championship</strong></p><p><em>*Denotes players who were in the top-10 of more than one category  </em></p><p><strong>SG Approach:</strong></p><p>1) Viktor Hovland (+8.070)</p><p>2) Kevin Na (+6.010)</p><p>3) Xander Schauffele (+4.701)</p><p>4) Justin Thomas (+3.433)</p><p>5) Patrick Cantlay (+3.022)</p><p>6) Daniel Berger (+2.795)</p><p>7) Abraham Ancer (+2.367)</p><p>8) Jason Kokrak (+1.884)</p><p>9) Tony Finau (+1.590)</p><p>10) Corey Conners (+1.502)</p><p><strong>SG Off-the-Tee:</strong></p><p>1) Bryson DeChambeau (+4.093) - colour me shocked.</p><p>2) Sergio Garcia (+3.599)</p><p>3) <strong>Patrick Cantlay </strong>(+3.324)</p><p>4) <strong>Jon Rahm</strong> (+2.978)</p><p>5) <strong>Corey Conners</strong> (+2.554)</p><p>6) Billy Horschel (+2.544)</p><p>7) Jordan Spieth (+1.266)</p><p>8) Scottie Scheffler (+1.217)</p><p>9) <strong>Daniel Berger</strong> (+1.047)</p><p>10)<strong> Jason Kokrak </strong>(+0.960)</p><p><strong>SG Around-the-Green: </strong></p><p>1) <strong>Jon Rahm</strong> (+4.804)</p><p>2) Hideki Matsuyama (+3.374)</p><p>3) <strong>Scottie Scheffler </strong>(+2.454)</p><p>4) <strong>Kevin Na</strong> (+2.368) </p><p>5) Louis Oosthuizen (+1.711)</p><p>6) Patrick Reed (+1.655)</p><p>7) <strong>Daniel Berger</strong> (+1.380)</p><p>8) Rory McIlroy (+0.895)</p><p>9) <strong>Viktor Hovland</strong> (+0.750)</p><p>10) <strong>Jordan Spieth</strong> (+0.436)</p><p><strong>SG Tee-to-Green: </strong></p><p>1) <strong>Viktor Hovland</strong> (+8.725)</p><p>2) <strong>Patrick Cantlay</strong> (+6.452)</p><p>3) <strong>Kevin Na</strong> (+6.333)</p><p>4) <strong>Jon Rahm</strong> (+6.253)</p><p>5) <strong>Daniel Berger</strong> (+5.223)</p><p>6) <strong>Justin Thomas</strong> (+3.732)</p><p>7) <strong>Xander Schauffele</strong> (+3.610)</p><p>8) <strong>Billy Horschel</strong> (+3.458)</p><p>9) <strong>Scottie Scheffler</strong> (+3.231)</p><p>10) <strong>Sergio Garcia</strong> (+2.367)</p><p><strong>SG Putting</strong>:</p><p>1) <strong>Dustin Johnson</strong> (+9.478)</p><p>2) Sam Burns (+4.777)</p><p>3) <strong>Xander Schauffele</strong> (+3.616)</p><p>4) <strong>Jon Rahm</strong> (+2.973)</p><p>5) <strong>Kevin Na</strong> (+2.893)</p><p>6) Erik Van Rooyen (+2.537)</p><p>7)<strong> Justin Thomas</strong> (+2.494)</p><p>8) <strong>Patrick Reed </strong>(+2.196)</p><p>9) <strong>Billy Horschel</strong> (+1.768)</p><p>10) <strong>Rory McIlroy</strong> (+0.926)</p><p><em>All stats c/o<a href="https://www.tour-tips.com/index.htm">&nbsp;tour-tips.com</a>&nbsp;- a sponsor of the Lost Fore Words podcast.</em></p><p><strong>Winners and Losers from the Tour Championship</strong></p><p><strong>Winners</strong></p><p><strong>Patrick Cantlay - </strong>$15m - that is all</p><p><strong>Kevin Na - </strong>Kevin defied the odds as he so often does to finish T1 in the 72-hole scoring and 3rd overall in the FedEx Cup. This is a big achievement for a player who you would say has a disadvantage at many courses due to his lack of length off the tee. He&#8217;s also never had a great record at East Lake, so in a Ryder Cup year, this was a great time to turn that around. With the plethora of options available and perhaps more suited to Whistling Straits, it still looks unlikely but Na did all he could to make that team.</p><p><strong>Losers</strong></p><p><strong>Brooks Koepka - </strong>Brooks had to withdraw mid-way thru Round 3 after injuring the same wrist he&#8217;s had problems with in the past, after hitting a tree root. Will he be fit in time for the Ryder Cup, and also his all-important showdown with Barstool owner, Dave Portnoy? Who knows. </p><p><strong>Collin Morikawa - </strong>Whether it be injury (back), fatigue, a loss of form or a combination of the three, this spell could not have come at a worse time. In the playoffs, Morikawa missed the cut at the Northern Trust, finished 63rd out of 69 at The Barclays and 28th out of 29 at the Tour Championship. Expected to be one of the stars on his Ryder Cup debut, Morikawa will hope a fortnight off will be enough to recuperate in time.</p><p><strong>Ones to Watch</strong></p><p>I will do bring this section back next week for the PGA Tour when we look ahead to the new season with an event in Napa. </p><p><strong>Italian Open</strong></p><p>Anyone for a Danish?</p><p>The Italian Open was a decent event, and gave us a sneak-peek of what to expect for the 2023 Ryder Cup. While the Pro&#8217;s didn&#8217;t have too many positive things to say about the course, and it certainly didn&#8217;t stand out as a venue, it did at least provide a good test. </p><p>After day one, three players, Henrik Stenson, Kalle Samooja and Min Woo Lee shared the lead at -7. Among the chasing pack going into Friday were home bods, Edoardo Molinari (-6) and Francesco Laporta (-5), Englishman Tommy Fleetwood (-5) and twin brother of last week&#8217;s winner, Nicolai Hojgaard (-5). </p><p>Going into the weekend, there was a shake up but a few of these names remained. Min Woo Lee (-10) continued his good form and held a two-shot over four players, Adri Arnaus, Tommy Fleetwood, Mikko Korhonen and Czech Open winner, Johannes Veerman. </p><p>Moving day saw a lot of changes once again, as overnight leader Min Woo Lee carded a 71 to surrender his lead for the first time, as Denmark&#8217;s Nicolai Hojgaard shot the lowest round of the day (65) to take a slender one-stroke lead into Sunday at -13. Of the chasers, Tommy Fleetwood sitting one back was no doubt marked the danger man, and the one Nicolai would be looking over his shoulder at. </p><p>Sunday came around, and it was a slow start for those closest to Hojgaard - Fleetwood and Daniel Van Tonder. The former started his round with five-straight pars before making bogeys at 6 and 8 and it felt like the same story we have been used to in recent months for Fleetwood. Of all the people affected by the pandemic, he might be the most high-profile player to suffer. He has not been the same calibre of player since the break, and has failed to convert a couple of good chances, and this was no different. Hojgaard, despite getting off to a relatively slow start himself (bogeyed 2, birdied 4 &amp; 9) took a two-shot lead into the back-nine and despite some distance chasers in Adrian Meronk and Masahiro Kawamura, he looked fairly safe. That was until the 14th hole where he made the first of back-to-back bogeys to slip into a tie for the lead going down the last at -12 with Meronk and Fleetwood. Meronk was in the clubhouse, Fleetwood had just made a good up-and-down on 18 to secure his birdie to ensure his -12 score, and Hojgaard was left with a chance to win. Birdie and you win, par you&#8217;re in a playoff and bogey and you are going home empty handed, it&#8217;s a good position to be in on a closing par-5. After missing the fairway, he laid up to 98 yards and stuffed his approach to a few feet for what looked an easy win in the end. </p><p>He front-ran fairly well all day, not doing anything special, but enough to secure the win against tough opposition. You could argue the chasing pack made it easier for him as Van Tonder disappeared into the abyss with 7 bogeys and a triple for a whopping 79, while the rest of the chasing pack, other than Fleetwood came from further afield and had too much to do. Meronk played very well and would have given a scare but it was ultimately not enough. Fleetwood had a great chance to put the pressure on, standing on 16th tee with a chance to take the lead at the short par-4 but he put his tee shot into the water, and just failed to make his par save to put a bogey on the card. Hojgaard nearly followed him in, but just managed to avoid it and give himself a safe run a victory.</p><p><strong>Strokes Gained Leaders at the Italian Open</strong></p><p><em>*Denotes players who were in the top-10 of more than one category  </em></p><p><strong>SG Approach:</strong></p><p>1) Edoardo Molinari (+9.172)</p><p>2) Richard Bland (+8.995)</p><p>3) Guido Migliozzi (+7.915)</p><p>4) Sam Horsfield (+7.513)</p><p>5) Adrian Meronk (+7.136)</p><p>6) Johannes Veerman (+6.959)</p><p>7) Victor Perez (+6.520)</p><p>8) Fabrizio Zanotti (+6.092)</p><p>9) Darren Fichardt (+5.793)</p><p>10) Matthew Southgate (+5.603)</p><p><strong>SG Off-the-Tee:</strong></p><p>1) Nicolai Hojgaard (+6.932)</p><p>2) Sean Crocker (+6.018)</p><p>3) Paul Waring (+3.590)</p><p>4) Callum Shinkwin (+3.196)</p><p>5) Masahiro Kawamura (+2.846)</p><p>6) Thomas Pieters (+2.810)</p><p>7) Dean Burmester (+2.763)</p><p>8) <strong>Adrian Meronk</strong> (+2.719)</p><p>9) Min Woo Lee (+2.664)</p><p>10)<strong> </strong>Antoine Rozner <strong>(+2.621)</strong></p><p><strong>SG Around-the-Green: </strong></p><p>1) Daniel Van Tonder (+6.886)</p><p>2) <strong>Min Woo Lee</strong> (+5.859)</p><p>3) Jonathan Caldwell (+5.476)</p><p>4) Dale Whitnell (+4.834)</p><p>5) Grant Forrest (+4.724)</p><p>6) Francesco Laporta (+3.637)</p><p>7) <strong>Dean Burmester</strong> (+3.414)</p><p>8) Pablo Larrazabal (+3.316)</p><p>9) Shubhankar Sharma (+3.011)</p><p>10) Steven Brown (+2.706)</p><p><strong>SG Tee-to-Green: </strong></p><p>1) <strong>Nicolai Hojgaard</strong> (+12.326)</p><p>2) <strong>Edoardo Molinari</strong> (+12.228)</p><p>3) <strong>Min Woo Lee</strong> (+10.862)</p><p>4) <strong>Adrian Meronk</strong> (+10.619)</p><p>5) <strong>Thomas Pieters</strong> (+8.462)</p><p>6) <strong>Francesco Laporta </strong>(+8.419)</p><p>7) <strong>Richard Bland</strong> (+8.086)</p><p>8) <strong>Masahiro Kawamura</strong> (+7.768)</p><p>9) <strong>Callum Shinkwin</strong> (+7.451)</p><p>10) John Catlin (+7.405)</p><p><strong>SG Putting</strong>:</p><p>1) Tommy Fleetwood (+10.657)</p><p>2) Scott Jamieson (+9.456)</p><p>3) Adri Arnaus (+8.855)</p><p>4) George Coetzee (+7.801)</p><p>5) Mikko Korhonen (+7.602)</p><p>6) Tapio Pulkkanen (+6.612)</p><p>7)<strong> </strong>Sami Valimaki (+6.552)</p><p>8) <strong>Pablo Larrazabal</strong> (+5.826)</p><p>9) Joakim Lagergren (+5.369)</p><p>10) Dave Coupland (+5.307)</p><p><em>All stats c/o<a href="https://www.tour-tips.com/index.htm">&nbsp;tour-tips.com</a>&nbsp;- a sponsor of the Lost Fore Words podcast.</em></p><p><strong>Winners and Losers from the Italian Open</strong></p><p><strong>Winners</strong></p><p>Nicolai Hojgaard - A hugely talented player in his own right, the pressure only increases when your twin brother is piling up the wins. With Rasmus winning three times already on Tour, Nicolai would have been determined to get in on the action, and he did. The twins are the only two players born in the 2000&#8217;s to win on the European or PGA Tour.</p><p>Adrian Meronk - Another supremely talented golfer, looking for his maiden victory on the European Tour, Meronk took another huge step forward yesterday and on many other weeks probably would have got over the line. Starting the final round 6 shots back, Poland&#8217;s Meronk knew he had to go low, and go low he did. His 66 was bettered only by Pablo Larrazabal (65) and for the third round in a row, Meronk took a step forward. 37th, 26th, 12th and 2nd is a really good progression throughout the week, never shooting over-par and its another top finish to add to his European Tour collection. A third top-3 finish of the year, the breakthrough looks close. </p><p>Richard Bland - A fifth top-5 finish in his past nine events, which included his first European Tour title at the British Masters, the fairy tale season continues for the 48-year old.  </p><p><strong>Losers</strong></p><p>Tommy Fleetwood - Perhaps harsh as he will see this as a step forward before the Ryder Cup, and it was considering it was his first strokeplay top-10 since Bay Hill in March, but is also felt like another opportunity missed. A chance to win on Sunday surrounded by inexperienced players, the chance for Tommy to get back in the winners&#8217; circle was there. He will hope to back it up with another good week at Wentworth.</p><p>Daniel Van Tonder - Van Tonder went into Sunday one back, but a final round 79 saw him fall away dramatically and he was all over the show with every facet of his game on Sunday. Not what we expect from this emerging talent and hopefully an isolated incident. </p><p><strong>Ones to Watch</strong></p><p>Masahiro Kawamura - Nicolai Hojgaard, who has been flashing great figures tee-to-green an approach all season broke through last week and it could soon be Kawamura&#8217;s turn. He is 11th in this loaded field at Wentworth in SG-Tee-to-Green over the past 15 weeks, and given he has been 3-10-49-13-11 in his past five starts in approach, he looks to be in great shape. Three top-5&#8217;s in his past six starts and two more top-21&#8217;s in that span, it feels like a huge week is coming the Japanese golfer&#8217;s way. 20th at Wentworth last year,  where he sat 10th after 54-holes, maybe this is the week. </p><p>Victor Perez - Has been a bit of form in recent months, but two top-18 finishes in his last three, a return to Wentworth where he finished 2nd on debut and a visit to the Dunhill Links, a tournament he won in 2019 and close to his base (based in Scotland), expect Perez&#8217;s form to improve over the next month. He will be hoping to go one better at this course and win to make the Ryder Cup side. </p><p>According to @VC606 on Twitter, these results can see the list of players below still make the team. A huge week ahead. <br></p><div class="twitter-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://twitter.com/vc606/status/1434877930769895424?s=21&quot;,&quot;full_text&quot;:&quot;The players who have a last chance to catch a direct qualifying place for <span class=\&quot;tweet-fake-link\&quot;>@RyderCupEurope</span> via the European Points list this week <span class=\&quot;tweet-fake-link\&quot;>@BMWPGA</span>.\n\nFor ex. <span class=\&quot;tweet-fake-link\&quot;>@BWiesberger</span> needs a Top 50 finish to overtake Rory, but if one of the 'yellows' wins, Bernd will need some extra, etc... <span class=\&quot;tweet-fake-link\&quot;>@padraig_h</span> &quot;,&quot;username&quot;:&quot;VC606&quot;,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Nosferatu&quot;,&quot;profile_image_url&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;Mon Sep 06 13:55:32 +0000 2021&quot;,&quot;photos&quot;:[{&quot;img_url&quot;:&quot;https://pbs.substack.com/media/E-m06UHX0AA2Zm_.png&quot;,&quot;link_url&quot;:&quot;https://t.co/KG24p8UQGf&quot;,&quot;alt_text&quot;:null}],&quot;quoted_tweet&quot;:{},&quot;reply_count&quot;:0,&quot;retweet_count&quot;:1,&quot;like_count&quot;:14,&quot;impression_count&quot;:0,&quot;expanded_url&quot;:{},&quot;video_url&quot;:null,&quot;video_preview_media_key&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true}" data-component-name="Twitter2ToDOM"></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Omega European Masters & BMW Championship]]></title><description><![CDATA[Happy Monday folks!]]></description><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/omega-european-masters-and-bmw-championship</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/omega-european-masters-and-bmw-championship</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 30 Aug 2021 12:43:48 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Happy Monday folks! Another bonkers week in the world of Golf made for enjoyable but also some difficult viewing for fans of certain players across both Tours. </p><p>Before I get into this week&#8217;s newsletter, I just wanted to thank those that have signed up already. Your support is always appreciated, and I will continue to rely on this as the weeks progress. </p><p>You can continue to help me by subscribing to the Lost Fore Words on Apple Podcasts <a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/lost-fore-words/id1506245957">here</a>, and leaving a 5-star review. Please do go and do that if you enjoy the podcast, as it has huge implications for any progress in the future.</p><p>Secondly Skylar Hoke and I are really enjoying our show on Mayo Media Network - European Tour Picks &amp; Bets. Subscribe to Mayo Media Network <a href="https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCJrBgtSiXKOdpoyvVqqhWww/videos">here</a>, to ensure you do not miss those videos. </p><p>That&#8217;s the admin all done, so let&#8217;s start with the most recent event, the BMW Championship. Heading into Sunday Bryson DeChambeau and Patrick Cantlay shared the 54-hole lead at 21-under par, with the chasing pack led by South Korea&#8217;s, Sungjae Im who was three shots back.</p><p>At the start of the week, this was highlighted by many as the perfect course for the DeChambeau, and this was clearly the case. An opening-round 68 wasn&#8217;t the fastest of starts, as he sat four shots back of Sam Burns, Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy, but a second round 60 saw him ascend to the top of the leaderboard. It was on that final hole that Bryson missed the chance to shoot 59 by a matter of inches,  and that in the end began the theme of missed opportunities. A par-par start to round three was followed by a birdie-eagle-eagle stretch between 3 &amp; 5 and another birdie at 8 secured a front-nine 30. A one-over back nine however which featured three birdies, two bogeys and a double saw Bryson surrender the outright lead going into Sunday, opening the door for Cantlay and indeed giving a glimmer of hope to the rest of the pack. </p><p>Cantlay was phenomenal in his own right this week, and that should not be forgotten. Despite losing 2.820 strokes tee-to-green on Thursday, Patrick still managed to open his account with a 66, with six birdies froms hole 10-16 being the deciding factor. This was in no small part down to his putter that day, as he gained over 6 strokes (+6.037) on the greens on day one, which appeared unsustainable. An uptick from tee-to-green was expected as was a regression on the greens and while both were true, there wasn&#8217;t as big of a drop on the greens as expected. Cantlay gained over 5 strokes again on Friday (+5.137) and despite losing strokes on Saturday (-0.383), Cantlay manged to break the record for the most strokes-gained on the greens since tracking began in 2004 (+14.577). While Cantlay has built his success around an incredible all-round game, his strengths have always focused around his elite tee-to-green game and if anything had been questioned it was his putter, but this week it was clearly the opposite, with the American ranking 1st in SG Putting and 28th in Tee-to-Green, on a week in which he lost strokes in the opening and closing round in the latter.</p><p>A note on that final round though before getting in to some other permutations. The front two never really gave anyone hope with Cantlay opening his round with four birdies in his first five, dropping just one shot on the front - at the 9th. Bryson didn&#8217;t drop a shot until the 17th hole, with birdies at 1, 4 and 6 on the front before birdies at 10-11-12 gave him the lead. Bryson probably should have closed Cantlay out at 17, as the latter found the water hazard, but he fluffed his own chip to leave himself 12-feet for par which he missed. Cantlay proceeded to pour in an 8-foot bogey-save just one hole after making an 8ft par-save to stay within one going down 17, both fitting moments that highlighted the difference in victory. This continued into the play-off , where Bryson had chances to win but failed to convert birdies putts, until the 5th hole where he hit a wedge to six-feet and converted, the problem? Cantlay had hit his tee shot to two feet! An 18-foot birdie putt on the sixth play-off hole from Cantlay secured victory and although a missed opportunity for Bryson, the way these two played showed there&#8217;s clearly two very different ways to get it done, with neither being favourable to the other - good golf is good golf. </p><div class="twitter-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://twitter.com/PGATOUR/status/1432142271949021194?s=20&quot;,&quot;full_text&quot;:&quot;Vote for this week's <span class=\&quot;tweet-fake-link\&quot;>@MichelobULTRA</span> Moment.\n\nPatrick Cantlay's playoff dart vs. Charl Schwartzel's eagle hole-out. \n\n<span class=\&quot;tweet-fake-link\&quot;>#ULTRAMoment</span>&quot;,&quot;username&quot;:&quot;PGATOUR&quot;,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;PGA TOUR&quot;,&quot;profile_image_url&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;Mon Aug 30 00:45:00 +0000 2021&quot;,&quot;photos&quot;:[],&quot;quoted_tweet&quot;:{},&quot;reply_count&quot;:0,&quot;retweet_count&quot;:40,&quot;like_count&quot;:509,&quot;impression_count&quot;:0,&quot;expanded_url&quot;:{},&quot;video_url&quot;:null,&quot;video_preview_media_key&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false}" data-component-name="Twitter2ToDOM"></div><p>Elsewhere both Erik Van Rooyen and Sergio Garcia were the only two from the outside looking in, to force their way into the final-30, with 5th and T6 finishes respectively. Van Rooyen has been on a tear in recent weeks, securing his first victory at the Barracuda Championship, before finishing 7th and 5th in the first two playoff events. Sergio&#8217;s 6th place finish was the latest in a line of solid form dating back to the Charles Schwab in May but his double-bogey at 5, after being -4 thru 4 in the final round has been a familiar sight in contention this season. His ball-striking has been up there with the very best for large parts of the season, but a questionable short game is something he will want to repair in time for East Lake next week and indeed the Ryder Cup.</p><p>While two players moved their way into the final-30, K-H Lee squandered his chance as a bogey on his 72nd hole means Patrick Reed, who is currently recovering from bilateral pneumonia, retained 30th spot. At this stage it looks like the field may be at 29 next week and Team USA may be without &#8220;Captain America&#8221;. Charley Hoffman and Max Homa who started their weeks in 29th and 30th in the rankings were the two to make way for Van Rooyen and Garcia and so the final field is set. </p><ul><li><p>1. Patrick Cantlay (4) - 4301.55 points</p></li><li><p>2. Bryson DeChambeau (9) - 3189.30 points</p></li><li><p>3. Tony Finau (1) - 3564.14 points</p></li><li><p>4. Jon Rahm (2) - 3063.26 points</p></li><li><p>5. Cameron Smith (3) - 2820.52 points</p></li><li><p>6. Justin Thomas (5) - 2370.88 points</p></li><li><p>7. Harris English (8) - 2247.86 points</p></li><li><p>8. Abraham Ancer (10) - 2240.91 points</p></li><li><p>9. Jordan Spieth (7) - 2232.08 points</p></li><li><p>10. Sam Burns (12) - 2213.85 points</p></li><li><p>11. Collin Morikawa (6) - 2187.76 points</p></li><li><p>12. Sungjae Im (25) - 2141.42 points</p></li><li><p>13. Viktor Hovland (14) - 1951.37 points</p></li><li><p>14. Louis Oosthuizen (11) - 1935.49 points</p></li><li><p>15. Dustin Johnson (22) - 1889.88 points</p></li><li><p>16. Rory McIlroy (28) - 1877.81 points</p></li><li><p>17. Xander Schauffele (13) - 1854.45 points</p></li><li><p>18. Jason Kokrak (17) - 1847.04 points</p></li><li><p>19. Kevin Na (18) - 1815.82 points</p></li><li><p>20. Brooks Koepka (15) - 1793.10 points</p></li><li><p>21. Corey Conners (20) - 1684.23 points</p></li><li><p>22. Hideki Matsuyama (16) - 1681.32 points</p></li><li><p>23. Stewart Cink (19) - 1655.90 points</p></li><li><p>24. Joaquin Niemann (21) - 1629.35 points</p></li><li><p>25. Scottie Scheffler (24) - 1608.04 points</p></li><li><p>26. Daniel Berger (23) - 1594.36 points</p></li><li><p>27. Erik van Rooyen (45) - 1447.67 points</p></li><li><p>28. Sergio Garcia (44) - 1399.69 points</p></li><li><p>29. Billy Horschel (27) - 1397.43 points</p></li><li><p>30. Patrick Reed (26) - 1380.82 points</p></li></ul><p><strong>Strokes Gained Leaders at the BMW Championship</strong></p><p>*Denotes players who were in the top-10 of more than one category</p><p><strong>SG Approach:</strong></p><p>1) Erik Van Rooyen (+6.533)</p><p>2) Harold Varner III (+5.107)</p><p>3) Webb Simpson (+5.011)</p><p>4) KH Lee (+4.737)</p><p>5) Scottie Scheffler (+4.076)</p><p>6) Joaquin Niemann (+3.917)</p><p>7) Sungjae Im (+3.363)</p><p>8) Jason Kokrak (+3.348)</p><p>9) Kevin Na (+2.956)</p><p>10) Daniel Berger (+2.913)</p><p><strong>SG Off-the-Tee:</strong></p><p>1) Bryson DeChambeau (+8.032) </p><p>2) Rory McIlroy (+4.710)</p><p>3) Viktor Hovland (+3.590)</p><p>4) Dustin Johnson (+3.388)</p><p>5) Sergio Garcia (+2.932)</p><p>6) Sam Burns (+2.282)</p><p>7) Brooks Koepka (+1.953)</p><p>8) <strong>Erik Van Rooyen</strong> (+1.797)</p><p>9) Cameron Champ (+1.705)</p><p>10) Jon Rahm (+ 1.688)</p><p><strong>SG Around-the-Green:</strong></p><p>1) Patton Kizzire (+3.461)</p><p>2) Kevin Kisner (+3.268)</p><p>3) Lee Westwood (+3.245)</p><p>4) Cameron Davis (+3.109)</p><p>5) Si-Woo Kim (+3.078)</p><p>6) Corey Conners (+3.076)</p><p>7) <strong>Daniel Berger (+</strong>3.031<strong>)</strong></p><p>8) Harry Higgs (+2.987)</p><p>9) Sebastian Munoz (+2.596)</p><p>10) Alex Noren (+2.092)</p><p><strong>SG Tee-to-Green:</strong></p><p>1) <strong>Erik Van Rooyen</strong> (+8.344)</p><p>2) <strong>Harold Varner III</strong> (+6.750)</p><p>3) <strong>Bryson DeChambeau </strong>(+6.452)</p><p>4) <strong>Rory McIlroy </strong>(+6.199)</p><p>5) <strong>Sungjae Im </strong>(+5.654)</p><p>6) <strong>Daniel Berger </strong>(+5.156)</p><p>7) Justin Thomas (+4.734)</p><p>8) <strong>KH Lee </strong>(+4.400)</p><p>9) <strong>Joaquin Niemann </strong>(+4.353)</p><p>10) <strong>Sam Burns </strong>(+4.089)</p><p><strong>SG Putting: </strong></p><p>1) Patrick Cantlay (+14.577) LOL</p><p>2) <strong>Bryson DeChambeau </strong>(+9.358)</p><p>3) <strong>Jon Rahm</strong> (+6.886)</p><p>4) <strong>Sungjae Im</strong> (+6.156)</p><p>5) Hudson Swafford (+6.006)</p><p>6) Tony Finau (+5.990)</p><p>7) <strong>Dustin Johnson</strong> (+5.815)</p><p>8) <strong>Sergio Garcia</strong> (+5.231)</p><p>9) Abraham Ancer (+5.198)</p><p>10) <strong>Rory McIlroy</strong> (+4.611)</p><p><em>All stats c/o<a href="https://www.tour-tips.com/index.htm"> tour-tips.com</a> - a sponsor of the Lost Fore Words podcast.</em></p><p><strong>Winners and Losers from the BMW Championship</strong>:</p><p>I think these ones write themselves this week, with Cantlay, Garcia and Van Rooyen all enjoying success, while Charley Hoffman and Max Homa will look back to the week in disappointment, as they miss out on not only this week at the Tour Championship, but the spoils that go with it. <strong>Alex Noren </strong>will be haunted by a bogey on 18 which cost him a spot at East Lake and also potentially a pick for Team Europe in the Ryder Cup as his T9 finish extended a great season results-wise, but wasn&#8217;t enough to get the jobs he had hoped done. </p><p><strong>Ones to Watch:</strong></p><p>This is hard at this point of the PGA Tour season, as only 30 or even 29 players will tee it up this week, and then due to the Ryder Cup, there will be some star players resting either side of that event, but I do think there&#8217;s a couple of high-profile names to consider.</p><p><strong>Dustin Johnson </strong>has had an up-and-down season. His win at Augusta back in November 2020 (remember that?) ensured his streak of consecutive seasons with a PGA Tour victory extended to 14 and that will be the biggest win of his career. The downside is that Johnson has not been the force he usually is since that win at Augusta. Yes he won in Saudi on the European Tour, but he has just five top-10&#8217;s on the PGA Tour since, with his T6 finish last week his best finish on Tour in 2021. Missed cuts at the Masters (not unusual for a defending champion) and the PGA Championship got his major season off to a concerning start but T19 and T8 finishes at the PGA and Open Championship have steadied the ship. Four of his five top-10&#8217;s on the PGA Tour in 2021 have come in his last eight starts and he now returns to the Tour Championship, a course where he has five top-6 finishes (72-hole scoring) in his last eight visits. Expect him to go well this week, as he looks to make 2021 a winning one on both sides of the Atlantic. Johnson despite continuing that season-streak will want to get a PGA Tour win before 2021 is out, as this would be the first calendar year since 2014 that he didn&#8217;t grab one if doesn&#8217;t get one before the calendar turns. Johnson missed 6-months of play in 2014 and had back-to-back 2nd place finishes in February, so you feel he&#8217;d have got one then if all was well, and he will not be used to this long period without success in his home country.</p><p>I would be remiss if I did not also mention the returning form of <strong>Sungjae Im. </strong>I was such a big fan of the South Korean coming off of the Korn Ferry Tour and he&#8217;s been exceptional since he got to the big time, but after getting his first and so far only PGA Tour victory early last year at the Honda Classic, it&#8217;s been a bit rough. A lot of focus I imagine for both he and Si-Woo Kim must have been on the Olympics in Tokyo where a medal would have ensured they avoided military service, and I would hazard a guess that this could have led to the long-term downturn in form. Since Tokyo though he has improved every week - T46-T24-T16-3 and I would not be surprised to see him emerge victorious at one of the early events of the new PGA Tour season, if he does not succeed at East Lake first. </p><p>&#8212;</p><p>Still with me? Great. I will take this moment to ask you this.. This is the first time I am recapping both events in the same newsletter. Would you rather I split the two in order to keep each newsletter short, or would you prefer it was kept to one, as not to fill up your inbox? Share your thoughts with me on Twitter @TomJacobs93 or by comment on this newsletter.</p><p><strong>European Masters</strong></p><p>The European Masters, another event that typified European Tour Sunday&#8217;s in which you never quite know who&#8217;s going to get it down, even when it looks obvious going down 18! </p><p>One of last week&#8217;s players in my &#8220;Ones to Watch&#8221; list was James Morrison, and he duly delivered, on Thursday at least. The Englishman carded a opening-round 60 (-10) to lead by three going into Friday. By the end of play Friday he was five back, thanks to a second-round 74, and it didn&#8217;t get much better over the weekend. After the conclusion of moving day, he was actually a stroke closer to the lead despite shooting level-par and went into the final day four shots shy of <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gruTqVfnG9g&amp;list=PLAudWD2O3TTFJx5kQNRpoBAvJWig8iFjG&amp;index=28">European Tour Picks &amp; Bets</a> selection, Sean Crocker and Renato Paratore, but another poor day ensured a modest finish after such a hot start.</p><p>Queuing up behind the leading pair were going to Sunday were; Jorge Campillo, Matthew Jordan and Ross McGowan at -9 while 36-hole leader, Dean Burmester was two behind, after carding a 3-over round on moving day. </p><p>Crocker started his final round with a chance to win for the second time in as many weeks, as the American sat two shots back going into the final day last week and also led at one stage on the final day. It wasn&#8217;t to be again this week though. A slow start for Crocker saw him drop two shots in the first 5 holes, seeing him fall away from the early lead, and Henrik Stenson who birdied five of his first six, and Ross McGowan who birdied four times on the front-9 were the ones to put the pressure on Renato Paratore. </p><p>Going into the back-9, McGowan had the lead, but he did not break par on any hole coming in, making three bogeys and instead it was experienced head, Bernd Wiesberger and Dane sensation, Rasmus Hojgaard who made the noise on the back-9. After Stenson had set the clubhouse target at -11, that was the score Hojgaard knew he had to beat and with Wiesberger at -14 behind him, he decided -12 wasn&#8217;t going to be enough. He instead thought he would need to birdie the last to get in at -13 and hope for a Bernd Wiesberger mistake to force a playoff, and he duly delivered on his part. His birdie at the final hole saw him shoot a final-round 63, tying Stenson for the low round of the day, but it still felt like it wouldn&#8217;t be enough. With a potential Ryder Cup spot and a fifth European Tour title in the past three years up for grabs, Wiesberger stood on the 18th tee requiring a par to win. His tee shot found a bunker on the last and a mishit from there found the greenside pond. He had a bogey putt to force the playoff with the young superstar, but it wasn&#8217;t to be and the chance for a 9th European Tour title aside, Bernd will be most devastated about missing the chance book his place in the Ryder Cup side. This feels like his last best remaining chance to make the team, with the plethora of talent coming through and he will hope he can make an impression over the next two to keep himself in the hunt. </p><p><strong>Strokes Gained Leaders at the European Masters</strong></p><p>*Denotes players who were in the top-10 of more than one category</p><p><strong>SG Approach:</strong></p><p>1) Sean Crocker (+8.586)</p><p>2) Adrien Saddier (+8.449)</p><p>3) Henrik Stenson (+7.999)</p><p>4) John Catlin (+7.404)</p><p>5) Rasmus Hojgaard (+6.617)</p><p>6) Antoine Rozner (+6.463)</p><p>7) Lee Slattery (+6.401)</p><p>8) Renato Paratore (+6.084)</p><p>9) Francesco Molnari (+6.022)</p><p>10) Nacho Elvira (+5.989)</p><p><strong>SG Off-the-Tee:</strong></p><p>1) Andrew Johnston (+6.126)</p><p>2) <strong>Rasmus Hojgaard</strong> (+4.930)</p><p>3) <strong>Antoine Rozner</strong> (+4.442)</p><p>4) Will Besseling (+4.301)</p><p>5) Guido Migliozzi (+4.209)</p><p>6) Matthew Jordan (+4.032)</p><p>7) <strong>Sean Crocker</strong> (+3.997)</p><p>8) Bernd Wiesberger (+3.945)</p><p>9) Daniel Van Tonder (+3.926)</p><p>10) <strong>John Catlin</strong> (+3.882)</p><p><strong>SG Around-the-Green:</strong></p><p>1) Scott Jamieson (+4.600)</p><p>2) <strong>Henrik Stenson </strong>(+4.502)</p><p>3) <strong>Guido Migliozzi</strong> (+4.388)</p><p>4) Jamie Donaldson (+4.135)</p><p>5) James Morrison (+4.065)</p><p>6) Min Woo Lee (+3.430)</p><p>7) <strong>Adrien Saddier </strong>(+2.968)</p><p>8) Paul Peterson (+2.925)</p><p>9) Andrea Pavan (+2.867)</p><p>10) Fabrizio Zanotti (+2.772)</p><p><strong>SG Tee-to-Green:</strong></p><p>1) <strong>Antoine Rozner </strong>(+12.455)</p><p>2) <strong>Adrien Saddier</strong> (+11.834)</p><p>3) <strong>John Catlin</strong> (+11.730)</p><p>4) <strong>Sean Crocker</strong> (+ 11.673)</p><p>5) <strong>Bernd Wiesberger</strong> (+10.697)</p><p>6) <strong>Matthew Jordan</strong> (+10.423)</p><p>7) <strong>Daniel Van Tonder</strong> (+9.939)</p><p>8) <strong>Rasmus Hojgaard</strong> (+9.331)</p><p>9) <strong>Henrik Stenson </strong>(+8.402)</p><p>10) <strong>Guido Migliozzi</strong> (+7.432)</p><p><strong>SG Putting:</strong></p><p>1) Calum Hill (+11.206)</p><p>2) Hugo Leon (+8.254)</p><p>3) Marcus Kinhult (+6.635)</p><p>4) Ross McGowan (+6.167)</p><p>5) Renato Paratore (+5.969)</p><p>6) Thomas Detry (+5.772)</p><p>7) Andrea Pavan (+5.738)</p><p>8) Miguel Angel Jimenez (+5.400)</p><p>9) Martin Kaymer (+5.153)</p><p>10) Marcel Siem (+4.853)</p><p><em>All stats c/o<a href="https://www.tour-tips.com/index.htm"> tour-tips.com</a> - a sponsor of the Lost Fore Words podcast.</em></p><p><strong>Winners and Losers from the European Masters</strong></p><p><strong>Winners</strong></p><p><strong>Matthew Jordan - </strong>No one had a better week than Rasmus Hojgaard, that much is obvious and he leads the way in terms of young talent, having won three times on the European Tour before the age of 21, but another player full of potential is England&#8217;s, Matthew Jordan.  Jordan is of course 25, so seems quite far behind Rasmus in terms of development, but he turned professional just three years ago, already has a Challenge Tour victory to his name and is now regularly featuring on European Tour leaderboards. He has been inside the top-6 twice in his past three starts and has broken par on both Saturday and Sunday on both occasions, suggesting he&#8217;s not frightened of being in the mix. Only going one or two-under over the weekend isn&#8217;t going to get it done often, but it wasn&#8217;t disastrous this past week especially as the scoring proved tough for many. After being in the mix for the second time in recent weeks, it really appears Jordan is getting back to something like his best after a tough year, and he looks ready to win on the European Tour. This was his fourth top-6 finish on the European Tour in two years and he heads to the Italian Open with the knowledge that his lone Challenge Tour victory came in this country and a T30 finish in the event last year, with opening and closing rounds of 66 suggest he could go well again should the new course suit.</p><p><strong>Ross McGowan</strong> - Yes he bogeyed three holes on the back 9 and failed to register a birdie to lose by three, but Ross McGowan hasn&#8217;t played good golf since this time last year when he won the Italian Open, and the fact he&#8217;s made his last three cuts (67th, T23, T4) after missing 18 of his past 20 since that win last year, suggests he has reason to be happy. He&#8217;ll be buoyant after last week and keen to prove that the last three weeks is the level he should be playing at more often. For the first 9 holes yesterday he looked great in contention, and he&#8217;s now been on both sides of success on Sunday&#8217;s in the last 12 months, so let&#8217;s see if he can keep his form up and defend his title admirably this week.</p><p><strong>Callum Hill - </strong>Callum Hill posted his third top-10 in as many weeks, taking his total to 9 top-10&#8217;s, including his maiden victory at the Cazoo Classic two starts ago, since the start of 2020. Hill was showing a lot of promise when golf returned last year and looked like the type that benefitted from the lack of crowds and resort-style courses, but he&#8217;s now stepping up when the schedule has returned to something like normal. Weekend rounds of 67-66 to make his way inside the top-7 and keep him around the top-20 in the Race to Dubai rankings is a strong sign that this may be his level and not just a hot run of form. Only Hojgaard (70-63) matched Hill over the final two rounds in Switzerland, and he now heads into a part of the schedule that features a strong field in Italy, a Rolex Series event at Wentworth and the prestigious Alfred Dunhill Links in his home country in fine fettle.</p><p><strong>Losers</strong></p><p><strong>Bernd Wiesberger</strong> - As cruel as it is, you simply cannot leave Wiesberger off this list. He had the chance to make the European Ryder Cup team and claim his 9th European Tour win and double-bogeyed the final hole to lose by one. Tough lesson for a supremely talented and by all accounts likeable player, but it&#8217;s a moment he needs to forget in a hurry. H still has a chance to make the team, automatically or otherwise with strong showings over the next two weeks, but the pressure is now on. </p><p><strong>Dean Burmester </strong>- Dean Burmester was -11 and in the lead after 36 holes, but weekend rounds of 73-75 saw him fall into a tie for 40th and that&#8217;s a worrying showing for someone that may still have something to prove, despite his win in Tenerife earlier in the year. </p><p><strong>Ones to Watch</strong></p><p><strong>Henrik Stenson, Bernd Wiesberger, Rasmus Hojgaard, Justin Rose, Victor Perez and Alex Noren - </strong>Put simply, these are the guys in the running for that final spot on the European team. Perez purely because a win could get him automatically, otherwise I would probably remove him from the list. Justin Rose is arguably the safest option and maybe the most likely at this stage, but Henrik Stenson has found form at the very best time to vie for that mantle. If either of those two won over the next two weeks and Alex Noren or Bernd Wiesberger didn&#8217;t, I think it comes down to the experienced pair. Stenson wouldn&#8217;t have even been in reckoning until two weeks ago, and given the quality of fields he&#8217;s performed well in, probably still wouldn&#8217;t make it for me, but he gets a chance on experience alone. Hojgaard is one worth considering because a win or  another couple of weeks contending could seriously give something for Padraig Harrington to think about, but ultimately it is probably too early. It may seem harsh to leave Robert MacIntyre off this list, but I think his desire to pursue a PGA Tour card, which absolutely should have been his priority, has probably cost him. I see it as win or bust for him at Wentworth, and with many others on this list in the same situation, I don&#8217;t see it being him that emerges. </p><p><strong>Oliver Wilson - </strong>This may seem a bit generous for someone who before the past fortnight had done very little all season, but the likeable Oliver Wilson has now finished T35 and T21 in his past two events, and last week in Crans he improved every round. He now returns to Italy, where he&#8217;s finished 2nd before albeit at a different course, Wentworth where again he&#8217;s finished 2nd and the Dunhill Links where in 2014 he secured a well overdue first and so far only victory on the European Tour. A wily competitor, who&#8217;s three victories across the European and Challenge Tours have come between August and October, it may be this time of year when Wilson feels at his best. His iron game has improved which has led to these results and if can improve off the tee, he may stand a chance of contending for the first time in a while.</p><p> </p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[He did it.]]></title><description><![CDATA[Tony Finau - A winner again.]]></description><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/he-did-it</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/he-did-it</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 23 Aug 2021 23:24:09 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!29Qv!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd51e3691-f7d7-43e3-819a-2ed5284e08b2_2033x1135.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Tony Finau wins The Northern Trust. <br></p><p>That is all. <br></p><p></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link 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stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Czech Masters summary & statistical leaders]]></title><description><![CDATA[Hello all,]]></description><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/czech-masters-summary-and-statistical</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/czech-masters-summary-and-statistical</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 23 Aug 2021 13:21:59 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aS50!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fcdn.substack.com%2Fimage%2Fupload%2Fw_728%2Cc_limit%2Fpfl5htuaieuwmgrzblou" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hello all, </p><p>Welcome to the first edition of the Lost Fore Words newsletter. Most week&#8217;s this will be for both the European and PGA Tour events, but with a Monday (or potentially Tuesday!) finish for The Northern Trust, I thought I would get out a Czech Masters piece. <br></p><p>Each week you will be able to find my analysis and previews for the upcoming events in two places - SUBSCRIBE to both below!!</p><p><strong>Lost Fore Words Podcast</strong> - Subscribe to the podcast on Apple - https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/lost-fore-words/id1506245957</p><p><strong>European Tour Picks &amp; Bets show on Mayo Media Network&#8217;s </strong>YouTube Channel - https://youtube.com/c/MayoMediaNetwork</p><p>First of all, a big congratulations to American, Johannes Veerman who won his maiden European Tour title this week. This was his 59th European Tour start, and last season he made 15/19 cuts and posted four top-10&#8217;s, so it feels like it has been coming. His 3rd place finish at the 2021 Irish Open had been his previous best, and he was 2nd after 54-holes that week, one shot behind eventual winner, Lucas Herbert.</p><p>As it pretty standard for the European Tour there were a lot of changes at the top of the leaderboard over the weekend, particularly Sunday despite 54-hole leader, Tapio Pulkkanen opening up a four-shot lead early after two birdies in his first four holes. While Pulkkanen started the final round in fine form, Veerman seemingly struggled to get anything going thru three holes, starting par-bogey-par. Birdies at 4, 6 and 9 however saw him pull within one of Pulkkanen after 9, and he eventually leapfrogged him on 10 with a birdie as the Finn dropped his second shot in three holes. Veerman bogeyed the 11th hole to bring others back into the frame, with four sharing the lead at one point, including fellow American Sean Crocker who had made four birdies in a row at 9, 10, 11 and 12 to lead and major champion, Henrik Stenson who joined the party after a 63-feet birdie putt on 13. Pulkkanen fired back though, with birdies at 12, 15 and 16 handing him the outright lead once again heading into the final two holes, as the others surrendered their chances. Veerman had to follow Pulkkanen&#8217;s lead at 16 and birdie to stay within one and after the leader bogeyed 17, Veerman parred to make it feel like a match-play situation between the playing partners down 18. Pulkkanen found the rough on 18 and eventually the water, to make a costly double-bogey, leaving Veerman the chance to par in and claim a two-stroke victory.</p><div class="twitter-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://twitter.com/europeantour/status/1429395340772495362?s=21&quot;,&quot;full_text&quot;:&quot;What a putt <span class=\&quot;tweet-fake-link\&quot;>@henrikstenson</span>!\n\nHe joins the lead.\n\n<span class=\&quot;tweet-fake-link\&quot;>#CzechMasters</span> &quot;,&quot;username&quot;:&quot;EuropeanTour&quot;,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;The European Tour&quot;,&quot;profile_image_url&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;Sun Aug 22 10:49:40 +0000 2021&quot;,&quot;photos&quot;:[{&quot;img_url&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.substack.com/image/upload/w_728,c_limit/l_twitter_play_button_rvaygk,w_120/pfl5htuaieuwmgrzblou&quot;,&quot;link_url&quot;:&quot;https://t.co/mQU694YC6h&quot;,&quot;alt_text&quot;:null}],&quot;quoted_tweet&quot;:{},&quot;reply_count&quot;:0,&quot;retweet_count&quot;:7,&quot;like_count&quot;:155,&quot;impression_count&quot;:0,&quot;expanded_url&quot;:{},&quot;video_url&quot;:&quot;https://video.twimg.com/ext_tw_video/1429395031710965763/pu/vid/540x540/8dYWBegzEG5D0YhU.mp4?tag=12&quot;,&quot;video_preview_media_key&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false}" data-component-name="Twitter2ToDOM"></div><p>So who were the winners and losers this week? Outside of the obvious in Veerman there were plenty of players who will look back on their week in Prague with fondness.</p><p><strong>Winners</strong></p><p><strong>Tapio Pulkkanen</strong> - This is controversial as I could easily place him the losers section, finishing bogey-double-bogey over the final two to give away the chance at a first European Tour victory, but I think this could be a valuable experience. This was his first 54-hole lead on the European Tour, and he&#8217;s never been better than 4th going into the final-round, when he was 5 strokes back of Garrick Higgo in the Canary Islands earlier this year. In fact, he&#8217;s only ever been the 54-hole leader one other time as a Professional and that was on the Nordic Golf League in 2015, when he converted a three-shot overnight lead into victory. His sole Challenge Tour victory came when one off the pace going into Sunday and he&#8217;s never been closer than five strokes of the leader going into Sunday on the European Tour. For 16 holes he played some great stuff, and just fell at the final hurdles. More experienced players have done the same, if not worse and he could well push on from this experience.</p><p><strong>Andrea Pavan </strong>- It is not often you celebrate a T70 finish, but this was Andrea Pavan&#8217;s first made cut for over a year, with his T34 finish at last year&#8217;s English Championship in early August his last weekend rounds on the European Tour. A former winner here, confidence in his surroundings would have been a factor, and after a year from hell the Italian sat 17th after 36, thanks to second-round 66. That was unfortunately his only sub-par round of the week (74, 77, 79) but just being in the event for four days has to be a plus at this stage. That 66 was just his fourth round in the 60&#8217;s since his previous made cut last year and his lowest round on Tour since a final-round 65 in Spain in October 2019.</p><p><strong>Henrik Stenson </strong>- Talking of slumps, 2016 Open Championship winner, former FedEx Cup champion, 2 x Race to Dubai winner, and winner of 21 titles worldwide, Henrik Stenson had failed to post a top-10 anywhere since winning the 18-man Hero World Challenge in December 2019. Given that event is classed as unofficial, you have to go back to this time two years ago, when he finished T3 in his home event (the Scandinavian Invitational) for his last official top-10. Many will see this week as a failure, after he double-bogeyed the 16th hole to give away the chance of victory to less-experienced players, but after such a spell this could be just what he needs to get back to where he belongs - at the top of leaderboards.</p><p><strong>The Danes</strong> -  A Danish duo at two very different stages of their careers finished inside the top-10 this week. Wily veteran, Soren Kjeldsen finished in a share of 7th with his compatriot Benjamin Poke this week. This was Kjeldsen&#8217;s first top-10 since his first start of 2019 at the Abu Dhabi Championship, and in Poke&#8217;s case this was his first top-10 ever at this level.</p><p><strong>David Coupland </strong>- This may be a bit of a stretch but the Englishman finished T23 this week and climbed 7 places to 128th in the Race to Dubai standings. He now sits just one spot outside of the cut-off point to keep his European Tour card for next year. </p><p><strong>Elsewhere</strong> - Despite a double-bogey at the last to cost him a victory, England&#8217;s, <strong>Aaron Rai </strong>earned a PGA Tour card for next season thanks to his 2nd place finish at the first Korn Ferry Tour Finals event. <strong>Lucas Herbert</strong> and <strong>Mathias Schwab </strong>will also have PGA Tour cards for 2021/22 thanks to T4 finishes. Herbert has played some great stuff on both Tour&#8217;s this season, with a win at the Irish Open the highlight and Schwab will be a popular selection on betting cards due to his elite ball-striking, despite never getting over the line (yet!)</p><p><strong>Losers</strong></p><p><strong>Sam Horsfield - </strong>Harsh? Maybe, but one thing is for sure, Sam Horsfield&#8217;s least-favourite restaurant must be TGI <strong>Friday&#8217;s. </strong>There is something mentally standing in Horsfield&#8217;s way when it comes to performing in the second round in recent starts, and until he sorts that out, it might be a while before he adds to his two victories last season. At the PGA Championship in May, Horsfield sat 2nd after round one, only to shoot 80 on Friday. An opening 64 in Sweden saw him lead on Thursday but he took 10 strokes more on Friday to sit 34th going into the weekend, and it was a familiar story at the Cazoo Open (67-72 moving from 5th to 9th) and this past week (68-72 moving from 3rd to 17th.) Last week was a real chance for him to put himself in contention for a wildcard selection on the European Ryder Cup team but a final-round 75 saw him fall from 6th to 23rd and given he was just four-strokes off the lead heading into Sunday, despite a poor Friday, that&#8217;s a huge concern. He now has just three potential starts to impress captain, Padraig Harrington. </p><p><strong>Vincent Norrman</strong> - Regressing to the mean may be the story for the young Swede, as he has now missed back-to-back cuts after making five of his first six cuts on the European Tour (with his first two events coming when he was still an amateur). After finishing T12 as an amateur at his home event - the Scandinavian Mixed - Norrman has finished T5-T61-T10-T11 and the Czech Masters looked right up his alley, but it wasn&#8217;t to be this week. With the upcoming events (European Masters, Italian Open and the BMW PGA) all courses that potentially favour accuracy over length, it will be interesting to see how the big-hitter bounces back.</p><p><strong>Adri Arnaus - </strong>With a T60 finish, this was Adri Arnaus&#8217; eight-straight finish of T38 or worse, and that best finish of T38 came in a 60-man field at the Olympics. After starting the year with T12 and T9 finishes in the Desert Swing, it looked like Arnaus could continue his fine start to European Tour life and indeed pick up his first victory, but a run of two missed-cuts, a WD and a T62 followed in his next four starts and his only relief came when T8 and T4 in back-to-back weeks in Tenerife and Gran Canaria. This wasn&#8217;t the season he or anyone else expected and he will need to turn it around quickly, as he sits a disappointing 74th in the Race to Dubai.</p><p><strong>Strokes-Gained leaders at the Czech Masters:</strong></p><p>*<strong>Bold </strong>denotes top-10 in more than one category</p><p><strong>SG Approach:                                   </strong></p><p>1) Sean Crocker + 10.818     <strong> </strong></p><p>2) Matthew Baldwin + 8.756     </p><p>3) Paul Peterson + 8.645         </p><p>4) Tapio Pulkkanen <strong>+ </strong>8.453</p><p>5) Nicolai Hojgaard + 7.704   </p><p>6) Joost Luiten + 6.054           </p><p>7) Damien Perrier + 4.999  </p><p>8) Sam Horsfield + 4.962        </p><p>9) Lee Slatterty + 4.813          </p><p>10) Brandon Stone + 4.658</p><p><strong>SG OTT:</strong></p><p>1) <strong>Brandon Stone + </strong>5.831</p><p>2) Dean Burmester + 5.300</p><p>3) Callum Shinkwin + 4.955</p><p>4) <strong>Sean Crocker + </strong>4.861</p><p>5) <strong>Nicolai Hojgaard +</strong> 4.144</p><p>6) <strong>Johannes Veerman +</strong> 3.766</p><p>7) Berry Henson + 3.699</p><p>8) J.C. Ritchie + 3.428</p><p>9) Ryan Fox + 3.057</p><p>10) Jacques Kruyswijk + 3.015</p><p><strong>SG Around-the-Green:</strong></p><p>1) Sihwan Kim + 6.170</p><p>2) Filip Mruzek + 4.689</p><p>3) Ondrej Lieser + 3.426</p><p>4) Marcel Siem + 3.413</p><p>5) Henrik Stenson + 3.185</p><p>6) <strong>Jacques Kruyswijk</strong> + 3.154</p><p>7) Niklas Lemke + 3.116</p><p>8) Andrea Pavan + 3.068</p><p>9) Ross McGowan + 3.001</p><p>10) <strong>Dave Coupland + </strong>2.968</p><p><strong>SG T2G:</strong></p><p>1) <strong>Sean Crocker + </strong>16.429</p><p>2) <strong>Nicolai Hojgaard + </strong>13.157</p><p>3) <strong>Johannes Veerman + </strong>11.166</p><p>4)<strong> Paul Peterson + </strong>10.796</p><p>5) <strong>Tapio Pulkkanen +</strong> 9.999</p><p>6) <strong>Jacques Kruyswijk + </strong>9.498</p><p>7) <strong>Damien Perrier + </strong>8.972</p><p>8) Richard Mansell + 8.637</p><p>9) Dave Coupland + 8.297</p><p>10) <strong>Dean Burmester + </strong>8.072</p><p><strong>SG Putting: </strong></p><p>1) Soren Kjeldsen +8.661</p><p>2) Joakim Lagergren + 7.210</p><p>3) <strong>Henrik Stenson + </strong>6.122</p><p>4) Aaron Cockerill + 5.944</p><p>5) Benjamin Poke + 5.834</p><p>6) Andrea Pavan + 5.552</p><p>7) Jazz Janewattanond + 5.476</p><p>8) Jake McLeod + 5.474 </p><p>9) Liam Johnston + 5.052</p><p>10) Rory Sabbatini +4.824</p><p><strong>Ones to Watch (European Tour) </strong></p><p>In this section each week, I will highlight a couple of players who look to be rounding into some form, and may well be headed to a course they like in the coming weeks, or have seen a huge uptick in the iron game. </p><p><strong>James Morrison </strong>- A solid European Tour pro for a number of years now, James Morrison although inconsistent is someone to keep an eye on when his game is in good shape. He has a decent record at Crans where they play this week, as he&#8217;s made his last five-straight cuts there, after missing the weekend on his first four attempts. His best finish there is 18th, but he&#8217;s been in and around the top-10 after multiple rounds, and he now comes into the event off the back of T13 and 2nd place finishes in his last two starts. He has four top-17 finishes in his last seven starts total including 2nd and 3rd place finishes, so a third victory on the European Tour may well be due. He&#8217;s also finished 4th at Valderrama in the past and has finished 1st and 2nd in the Open de Espana at other courses, so if he can keep up his form until they return there, he may well prosper. A top-10 at the BMW PGA in the past as well suggests the upcoming events may suit the Englishman. Morrison has ranked 11th and 7th in his last two starts in SG: Approach, so is clearly hitting his irons well. </p><p><strong>Kalle Samooja - </strong>Samooja has ranked 23rd and 2nd in his last two starts in SG: Approach, finished 8th on his last start at the Cazoo Classic and returns to a course this week that he lost in a playoff at on his debut. An improving player with four top-10&#8217;s in 2021, his first European Tour victory may well come round soon. </p><p><strong>Maverick Antcliff - </strong>Despite some pretty mediocre results of late, Maverick Antcliff is certainly someone to keep tabs on. If there is any uptick in his short game in the coming weeks, he is bound to flash. A three-time winner in China in 2019 he certainly knows how to win, and if he can tidy up that weakness, even to average his irons should also keep in the mix. In Crans this week he will be playing a course where you do need to putt lights-out to win, so this could be a good setup for him.</p><p>Finally a nod to the current The Northern Trust Leaderboard. Play was already postponed until today and they are now facing at least a three-hour delay to today&#8217;s play as well. As it stands:</p><p>1) Cameron Smith (-16)</p><p>1) Jon Rahm (-16)</p><p>3) Erik Van Rooyen (-15)</p><p>4) Tony Finau (-14)</p><p>4) Justin Thomas (-14)</p><p>6) Tom Hoge (-13)</p><p>6) Viktor Hovland (-13)</p><p>6) Shane Lowry (-13)</p><p>9) Corey Conners (-12)</p><p>9) Harold Varner III (-12)</p><p></p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://lostforewords.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share Lost Fore Words Newsletter &quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/lostforewords.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share Lost Fore Words Newsletter </span></a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Weekly Newsletter summarising the week’s play on the European and PGA Tour ]]></title><description><![CDATA[Welcome to the Lost Fore Words Newsletter by me, Tom Jacobs.]]></description><link>https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/coming-soon</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://lostforewords.substack.com/p/coming-soon</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Jacobs]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 20 Aug 2021 19:14:39 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Welcome to the Lost Fore Words Newsletter  by me, Tom Jacobs. The Lost Fore Words Newsletter is aimed at the avid golf fan wanting a summary of the past week&#8217;s event and a look ahead at the upcoming week. </p><p>Sign up now so you don&#8217;t miss the first issue.</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://lostforewords.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/lostforewords.substack.com/subscribe"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p>In the meantime, <a href="/__u/lostforewords.substack.com/p/coming-soon?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share">tell your friends</a>!</p>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>