<script data-pm-proxy="intercept"></script><?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[What You Missed]]></title><description><![CDATA[Writing and Reporting on Modern Geopolitics :)]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FVkk!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed3a37dc-4626-4c47-a325-2aa1de5382b7_312x321.jpeg</url><title>What You Missed</title><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Tue, 01 Sep 2026 07:49:28 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[ryanbdresden@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[ryanbdresden@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[ryanbdresden@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[ryanbdresden@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: August 31, 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: Iceland, Nepal, Niger, Israel, and China]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-august-31-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-august-31-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 31 Aug 2026 22:12:28 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/39cd630a-6393-4b11-958d-542f68aaf88c_750x1000.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Key Themes: Security is Reshaping Politics, Degradation of Traditional Alliances, and From Stability toward Adaptation</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><span>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Iceland Votes to Steer Clear of European Union Talks&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/30/world/europe/iceland-eu-referendum-talks.html</span></strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6kQ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45fd4415-89ce-4745-80d9-41a054568ea4_1024x691.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6kQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45fd4415-89ce-4745-80d9-41a054568ea4_1024x691.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6kQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45fd4415-89ce-4745-80d9-41a054568ea4_1024x691.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6kQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45fd4415-89ce-4745-80d9-41a054568ea4_1024x691.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6kQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45fd4415-89ce-4745-80d9-41a054568ea4_1024x691.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6kQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45fd4415-89ce-4745-80d9-41a054568ea4_1024x691.webp" width="1024" height="691" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45fd4415-89ce-4745-80d9-41a054568ea4_1024x691.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6kQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45fd4415-89ce-4745-80d9-41a054568ea4_1024x691.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6kQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45fd4415-89ce-4745-80d9-41a054568ea4_1024x691.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z6kQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F45fd4415-89ce-4745-80d9-41a054568ea4_1024x691.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong><span>Iceland</span></strong><span> has decided to reject the resumption of its European Union accession talks. With ever-increasing international tensions, many Icelanders, including Prime Minister Kristr&#250;n Frostad&#243;ttir, believed that pursuing membership in a large supranational bloc like the European Union could provide greater economic and geopolitical security. Restarting accession talks would have further integrated Iceland into the broader European community while potentially strengthening the EU by adding a wealthy, stable North Atlantic state.</span></p><p><span>The vote saw around 82.5% of eligible voters go to the polls, one of the highest turnouts in recent Icelandic elections, with &#8220;No&#8221; votes receiving 52.8%. Icelandic voters viewed the referendum as a question of how best to maintain the country&#8217;s prosperous and secure state. Many &#8220;No&#8221; voters expressed concern over fishing rights, with Icelandic sovereignty as a whole serving as a key pillar of the opposition campaign. The fishing industry has long been a central part of Icelandic national identity, with &#8220;No&#8221; supporters playing off this national mythos and emphasizing the importance of maintaining control over Icelandic waters.</span></p><p><span>&#8220;Yes&#8221; voters viewed economic security as one of their primary concerns. With inflation and high interest rates putting pressure on Icelandic households, supporters argued that closer integration with the EU could provide greater long-term economic stability. Some also viewed eventual euro adoption as an economic benefit, although adopting the euro would not be an immediate consequence of joining the EU.</span></p><p><span>It is important to note that Iceland is already closely integrated with the European Union. It is a member of the Schengen Area, which allows passport-free travel among participating European countries, and the European Economic Area (EEA), which gives Iceland access to the EU&#8217;s single market alongside Norway and Liechtenstein.</span></p><p><span>The &#8220;Yes&#8221;-&#8220;No&#8221; divide was starkly urban-rural as well. Reykjav&#237;k and its surrounding areas were more supportive of resuming negotiations, while rural constituencies voted predominantly &#8220;No.&#8221;</span></p><p><span>As the EU has increasingly taken on a greater role in European security and defense, interest in closer European integration has also grown among prospective member states like Iceland. A spike in security concerns followed President Donald Trump&#8217;s months-long campaign surrounding the purchase or acquisition of Greenland. Prospective U.S. Ambassador to Iceland Billy Long also spoke about Iceland becoming the 52nd state before quickly apologizing.</span></p><p><span>While Icelanders do not broadly view the United States as an existential threat, Iceland is the only NATO member without a standing military of its own and relies heavily on its allies for defense and security. The United States has increasingly appeared to some Icelanders as a less predictable partner, while the EU has emerged as a potential additional source of economic and geopolitical stability.</span></p><p><em><span>What does the &#8220;No&#8221; vote against resuming EU accession talks mean for Icelandic and broader European politics?</span></em></p><div><hr></div><p>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Nepal&#8217;s Glaciers Will Flood Again. Can Scientists Predict the Next One?&#8217; - https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/article/nepal-glacier-floods-warming-climate-disaster</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DxNo!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff94aac1-694c-4a05-ba4d-39bb0ec12300_718x477.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DxNo!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff94aac1-694c-4a05-ba4d-39bb0ec12300_718x477.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DxNo!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff94aac1-694c-4a05-ba4d-39bb0ec12300_718x477.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DxNo!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff94aac1-694c-4a05-ba4d-39bb0ec12300_718x477.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DxNo!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff94aac1-694c-4a05-ba4d-39bb0ec12300_718x477.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DxNo!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff94aac1-694c-4a05-ba4d-39bb0ec12300_718x477.png" width="718" height="477" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff94aac1-694c-4a05-ba4d-39bb0ec12300_718x477.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DxNo!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff94aac1-694c-4a05-ba4d-39bb0ec12300_718x477.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DxNo!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff94aac1-694c-4a05-ba4d-39bb0ec12300_718x477.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DxNo!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fff94aac1-694c-4a05-ba4d-39bb0ec12300_718x477.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong><span>Nepal</span></strong><span> has been hit by catastrophic flooding following the collapse of a glacier and underlying bedrock in the Himalayas. The disaster, which struck the Nepal-Tibet border on August 26, sent enormous quantities of ice, rock, mud, and debris down the mountain valleys, devastating communities in Nepal and Tibet. More than 900 people have now been reported dead, with thousands more missing, while tens of thousands of people have been affected.</span></p><p><span>The disaster is particularly brutal; however, the onset of anthropogenic climate change has made glacial instability an increasingly important concern in mountain regions around the world. As temperatures rise, glaciers retreat, while warming can also destabilize permafrost and the rock surrounding high-altitude glaciers. Scientists caution that climate change cannot yet be directly attributed to this specific collapse, but a warmer climate is increasing the conditions under which these hazards can occur.</span></p><p><span>While areas such as the Himalayas are at particular risk, frozen peaks from New Zealand to Norway to Chile face similar challenges. Glacial retreat can create unstable glacial lakes, while the sudden collapse of ice, rock, or natural dams can unleash enormous floods downstream. These events, known as glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs), can reach communities with little warning and limited defenses. A 2019 </span><em><span>National Geographic</span></em><span> report, citing research published in </span><em><span>Science Bulletin</span></em><span>, identified 210 potentially hazardous glacial lakes in the region that threatened human settlements.</span></p><p><span>Other recent disasters demonstrate the extraordinary scale of these hazards. In 2025, a landslide into Alaska&#8217;s Tracy Arm fjord generated a tsunami with an initial wave height of roughly 328 feet, while the event was later estimated to have produced a wave run-up of more than 1,500 feet. The landslide occurred above a glacier that had been weakening, illustrating how ice loss and unstable mountain slopes can interact to produce extreme events.</span></p><p><span>In Switzerland, the village of Blatten was struck by a massive glacier-related landslide in 2025. The event buried much of the village beneath ice, rock, and debris, but advance monitoring and evacuation efforts meant that no civilians or animals were killed. The disaster nevertheless caused hundreds of millions of dollars in damage and demonstrated both the destructive potential of glacier instability and the value of early-warning systems.</span></p><p><span>The most recent tragedy on the Nepal-Tibet border provides another warning. Satellite imagery indicates that a section of the Langtang Lirung glacier and the bedrock beneath it collapsed, sending ice and rock into the valley and transforming the resulting debris into a devastating flood. The collapse also altered river channels and created new areas of instability downstream.</span></p><p><span>The Andes are also highly vulnerable. Glacial outburst floods have repeatedly affected communities across the mountain range, demonstrating that the risks associated with retreating glaciers are not confined to the Himalayas. As glaciers shrink, the formation and expansion of glacial lakes can create new hazards for communities located downstream.</span></p><p><span>The Blatten case demonstrates the resilience that effective monitoring and evacuation can provide. The local glacier had been recognized as a potential threat, and close monitoring allowed residents to evacuate before the collapse. While the village suffered enormous material losses, no civilians or animals were injured. The lesson is clear: early-warning systems can save lives, even when they cannot prevent the physical disaster itself.</span></p><p><span>Yet such systems are expensive and require strong infrastructure. Developing countries and remote regions, including those surrounding the Himalayas, may struggle to monitor thousands of glaciers, lakes, valleys, and mountain slopes across an enormous and difficult landscape. The scale of the Himalayan range makes comprehensive monitoring particularly challenging, while many communities lack the financial and technological resources required for advanced warning systems.</span></p><p><em><span>What can be done, locally, regionally, and internationally, to stem the flow of these disasters?</span></em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong><span>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Niger&#8217;s military-led government says it contained mutiny: What next?&#8217; - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/30/nigers-military-led-government-says-it-contained-mutiny-what-next</span></strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K7cx!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf7c9c81-b98b-40ed-a5ee-056be0402294_770x513.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K7cx!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf7c9c81-b98b-40ed-a5ee-056be0402294_770x513.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K7cx!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf7c9c81-b98b-40ed-a5ee-056be0402294_770x513.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K7cx!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf7c9c81-b98b-40ed-a5ee-056be0402294_770x513.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K7cx!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf7c9c81-b98b-40ed-a5ee-056be0402294_770x513.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K7cx!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf7c9c81-b98b-40ed-a5ee-056be0402294_770x513.jpeg" width="770" height="513" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/cf7c9c81-b98b-40ed-a5ee-056be0402294_770x513.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:513,&quot;width&quot;:770,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A soldier checks a vehicle at a roadside checkpoint following a mutineers' attack on the airport and the presidency in Niamey, Niger, August 29, 2026. REUTERS/Stringer&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A soldier checks a vehicle at a roadside checkpoint following a mutineers' attack on the airport and the presidency in Niamey, Niger, August 29, 2026. REUTERS/Stringer" title="A soldier checks a vehicle at a roadside checkpoint following a mutineers' attack on the airport and the presidency in Niamey, Niger, August 29, 2026. REUTERS/Stringer" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K7cx!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf7c9c81-b98b-40ed-a5ee-056be0402294_770x513.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K7cx!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf7c9c81-b98b-40ed-a5ee-056be0402294_770x513.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K7cx!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf7c9c81-b98b-40ed-a5ee-056be0402294_770x513.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!K7cx!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcf7c9c81-b98b-40ed-a5ee-056be0402294_770x513.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong><span>Niger</span></strong><span> has quelled a military mutiny in its capital, Niamey, exposing deepening divisions within the country&#8217;s armed forces and raising questions about the stability of its military government. On August 29, mutinous soldiers seized parts of Base 101, a major military installation located within the Diori Hamani International Airport complex, before clashes spread toward the presidential palace and state broadcaster. Hours of gunfire and explosions followed before forces loyal to the government regained control. Dozens of soldiers were reportedly killed or arrested.</span></p><p><span>Niger&#8217;s government, led by General Abdourahamane Tchiani, took power in a coup three years ago, overthrowing President Mohamed Bazoum. Since Tchiani&#8217;s rise, Niger has moved sharply away from its former Western partners, particularly France and the United States, while deepening its relationship with Russia. Russian Africa Corps forces were requested by the Nigerien government to help suppress the mutiny, providing ground and aerial assistance during the operation to retake Base 101.</span></p><p><span>The intervention illustrates just how central Russia has become to the survival of Niger&#8217;s military government. Africa Corps is a Russian state-controlled paramilitary organization that replaced and absorbed much of Wagner&#8217;s former African operations. Its involvement also creates an unusual dynamic: Russian forces that were invited to help Niger fight jihadist groups were ultimately deployed against members of Niger&#8217;s own military.</span></p><p><span>The fighting began at Base 101, where mutineers reportedly took soldiers hostage and exchanged fire with government forces. The base is particularly significant because it houses elements of the unified military force of the Alliance of Sahel States (AES), a regional security bloc consisting of Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso. The AES was established in 2023 as the three countries sought to coordinate their response to armed insurgencies and distance themselves from the regional Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS).</span></p><p><span>The identity of the rebellion&#8217;s ultimate ringleaders remains unclear. Reporting indicates that many of the mutineers were young soldiers, some reportedly originating from southwestern Niger&#8212;an area that has suffered heavily from jihadist violence. Frustration appears to have centered on the government&#8217;s inability to contain armed groups affiliated with Islamic State and al-Qaeda, as well as mounting military casualties and concerns over soldiers&#8217; welfare.</span></p><p><span>The mutiny is particularly significant because security was one of the central justifications for Tchiani&#8217;s 2023 coup. The junta argued that the elected government had failed to protect Niger from armed groups. Yet jihadist violence has continued and, in some areas, intensified. Niger has experienced repeated attacks on military positions and civilian infrastructure, including multiple attacks around Niamey&#8217;s airport in 2026.</span></p><p><span>Tchiani&#8217;s government has responded to this insecurity by dramatically restructuring Niger&#8217;s foreign relationships. French forces withdrew following the coup, while the United States subsequently withdrew its military presence after Niger suspended its military cooperation agreement with Washington. Niger has instead strengthened security ties with Russia and coordinated more closely with Mali and Burkina Faso through the AES.</span></p><p><span>The government has received political backing from its AES partners, while Algeria and other regional partners have also expressed support. Algeria reportedly provided military assistance during the crisis, while the precise extent of direct involvement by Mali and Burkina Faso remains less clear.</span></p><p><span>The failed mutiny may therefore represent more than an isolated challenge to Tchiani&#8217;s rule. It exposes a fundamental contradiction at the heart of Niger&#8217;s military government: the junta came to power promising greater security, yet the persistence of jihadist violence has now begun to threaten the cohesion of the military itself.</span></p><p><em><span>What can Niger do to prevent this military discontent from developing into a broader political and security crisis?</span></em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong><span>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;As elections near, Netanyahu casts Turkey as Israel&#8217;s latest enemy&#8217; - https://www.cnn.com/2026/08/25/middleeast/elections-near-netanyahu-casts-turkey-as-israels-latest-enemy-intl</span></strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AZv-!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F582ef2a1-3722-473e-83d9-509fdea7b0ee_860x645.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AZv-!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F582ef2a1-3722-473e-83d9-509fdea7b0ee_860x645.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AZv-!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F582ef2a1-3722-473e-83d9-509fdea7b0ee_860x645.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AZv-!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F582ef2a1-3722-473e-83d9-509fdea7b0ee_860x645.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AZv-!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F582ef2a1-3722-473e-83d9-509fdea7b0ee_860x645.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AZv-!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F582ef2a1-3722-473e-83d9-509fdea7b0ee_860x645.avif" width="860" height="645" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/582ef2a1-3722-473e-83d9-509fdea7b0ee_860x645.avif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:645,&quot;width&quot;:860,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:97376,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/avif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/213620318?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F582ef2a1-3722-473e-83d9-509fdea7b0ee_860x645.avif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AZv-!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F582ef2a1-3722-473e-83d9-509fdea7b0ee_860x645.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AZv-!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F582ef2a1-3722-473e-83d9-509fdea7b0ee_860x645.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AZv-!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F582ef2a1-3722-473e-83d9-509fdea7b0ee_860x645.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AZv-!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F582ef2a1-3722-473e-83d9-509fdea7b0ee_860x645.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong><span>Israel&#8217;s</span></strong><span> upcoming election has brought renewed international attention to the country&#8217;s increasingly confrontational rhetoric toward Turkey. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu&#8217;s Likud Party recently unveiled a billboard depicting Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdo&#287;an, and Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem, labeling them collectively as threats to Israel. The billboard appeared as Netanyahu increasingly placed Turkey at the center of his campaign&#8217;s security messaging.</span></p><p><span>Days later, Israeli jets struck the Abu al-Duhur airbase in northern Syria over what Israeli officials described as a significant potential Turkish military buildup at the site. The strike caused damage but no reported casualties. Israel said it had intelligence indicating that Turkey intended to deploy troops, radar, and air-defense systems at the base, while Syrian and Turkish officials disputed the characterization of the planned Turkish presence.</span></p><p><span>Throughout his political career, Benjamin Netanyahu has cultivated an image as Israel&#8217;s security candidate. Having served as prime minister on and off since 1996, Netanyahu has repeatedly presented himself as the leader best equipped to protect Israel from external threats. That image has become particularly important since the October 7, 2023, Hamas attacks and the wars and confrontations that followed across Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, and Iran.</span></p><p><span>The Abu al-Duhur strike, however, produced an unusually public disagreement between Israel and the United States. Tom Barrack, the U.S. ambassador to Turkey and special envoy for Syria, said the strike risked rapidly escalating into a direct confrontation between Israel and Turkey. Barrack went further, suggesting that one possible explanation was that Israel had sought to &#8220;bait&#8221; Turkey into a confrontation ahead of Israel&#8217;s election.</span></p><p><span>Barrack&#8217;s comments were disputed by Israeli officials. Defense Minister Israel Katz said the Israeli military had received clear intelligence indicating that Turkey intended to establish a military presence at Abu al-Duhur that could threaten Israel. Katz said the intelligence was shared with relevant U.S. authorities and that Israel first warned the Syrian government before authorizing the strike. Netanyahu&#8217;s government has argued that the attack was intended to prevent Syria from violating an existing &#8220;status quo in security matters,&#8221; rather than to provoke Turkey.</span></p><p><span>Turkey and Israel have long competed over influence in the Middle East, although their relationship has fluctuated considerably. The collapse of Bashar al-Assad&#8217;s government in Syria in 2024 has created a particularly complicated arena for competition. Turkey has developed close ties with Syria&#8217;s new government, while Israel has sought to maintain military freedom of action and establish security buffers along its northern frontier.</span></p><p><span>The dispute over Abu al-Duhur illustrates how quickly those competing interests can collide. Turkish military officials had visited the base shortly before the Israeli strike, although Syrian officials said the visit concerned rehabilitation work and military cooperation rather than the establishment of a permanent Turkish base. Israel nevertheless maintained that it possessed intelligence indicating that Turkey intended to expand its military presence there.</span></p><p><span>Turkish officials subsequently accused Netanyahu&#8217;s government of pursuing expansionist and destabilizing policies ahead of Israel&#8217;s election. Netanyahu responded by calling Erdo&#287;an an &#8220;antisemitic tyrant who oppresses his own people,&#8221; further escalating the rhetoric between the two governments.</span></p><p><span>The political context is impossible to ignore. Israel&#8217;s election is scheduled for October 27, and Netanyahu currently faces a difficult political environment. Polling has suggested that Likud is not guaranteed to emerge as the largest party, while opposition figures have increasingly presented themselves as alternatives to Netanyahu&#8217;s leadership.</span></p><p><span>Since October 7, Israel has increasingly adopted a strategy of striking potential threats before they become more dangerous. From Gaza and Lebanon to Syria and Iran, the government has repeatedly expanded or defended military operations as necessary to prevent adversaries from developing capabilities that could threaten Israel. The danger is that this strategy becomes increasingly difficult to contain when it involves another major state.</span></p><p><em><span>How will Washington respond if Israel increases its rhetoric&#8212;or military operations&#8212;against NATO ally Turkey?</span></em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong><span>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Faster, higher, funnier: what we learned from China&#8217;s robot games&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/aug/23/the-guardian-view-on-the-new-hungary-de-orbanising-at-pace</span></strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SmJu!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41848f09-4316-45cb-ad19-9021ba7f900d_1240x992.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SmJu!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41848f09-4316-45cb-ad19-9021ba7f900d_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SmJu!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41848f09-4316-45cb-ad19-9021ba7f900d_1240x992.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SmJu!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41848f09-4316-45cb-ad19-9021ba7f900d_1240x992.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SmJu!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41848f09-4316-45cb-ad19-9021ba7f900d_1240x992.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SmJu!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41848f09-4316-45cb-ad19-9021ba7f900d_1240x992.avif" width="1240" height="992" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/41848f09-4316-45cb-ad19-9021ba7f900d_1240x992.avif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:992,&quot;width&quot;:1240,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:62325,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/avif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/213620318?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41848f09-4316-45cb-ad19-9021ba7f900d_1240x992.avif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SmJu!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41848f09-4316-45cb-ad19-9021ba7f900d_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SmJu!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41848f09-4316-45cb-ad19-9021ba7f900d_1240x992.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SmJu!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41848f09-4316-45cb-ad19-9021ba7f900d_1240x992.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SmJu!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41848f09-4316-45cb-ad19-9021ba7f900d_1240x992.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong><span>China</span></strong><span> has hosted the second World Humanoid Robot Games, showcasing equally awe-inspiring feats alongside growing trepidation about the country&#8217;s rapid technological development. Officially, the five-day competition in Beijing featured more than 2,000 humanoid robots from 666 teams across 51 events, including sprinting, soccer, boxing, weightlifting, and practical tasks. The games offered a striking display of China&#8217;s progress in robotics, with international observers describing the country&#8217;s development as &#8220;staggering.&#8221;</span></p><p><span>Viewers have found the robotic competition humorous, impressive, and even emotional. Robots competed in martial arts and boxing, while humanoids raced over 100 meters and competed in weightlifting. One robot, Tiangong Ultra, eventually completed the 100-meter sprint in 8.86 seconds&#8212;well below Usain Bolt&#8217;s human world record of 9.58 seconds.</span></p><p><span>Yet the robots were often as faulty as they were impressive. Some crashed into barriers, others collapsed during races, and one robot broke apart during a sprint. A robot competing in weightlifting also lost its balance and fell onto the judges&#8217; table.</span></p><p><span>The Chinese technological flex comes as competition with the United States over artificial intelligence, robotics, and advanced manufacturing intensifies. The United States has recently increased restrictions on Chinese robotics companies. In July, the Federal Communications Commission announced restrictions on new foreign-made humanoid robots, citing national-security concerns, while the Pentagon added Chinese robotics company Unitree to a list of companies it considers connected to China&#8217;s military.</span></p><p><span>China&#8217;s lead in humanoid manufacturing is substantial. Beijing officials said that Chinese humanoid robot shipments exceeded 40,000 units during the first half of 2026, representing roughly 97% of global shipments according to their figures. The exact market-share figure should be treated cautiously, but there is little doubt that China currently dominates the manufacturing and deployment of humanoid robots. Elon Musk&#8217;s Tesla is developing its Optimus humanoid, expected to enter production later this year.</span></p><p><span>Humanoid development is not purely about entertainment and awe. China&#8217;s Communist Party has increasingly identified robotics and embodied artificial intelligence as strategic technologies capable of addressing labor shortages, demographic decline, manufacturing needs, and national-security requirements. Beijing&#8217;s broader industrial policy has encouraged the development of humanoid robots as part of its push toward advanced manufacturing and artificial intelligence.</span></p><p><span>This raises difficult moral and political questions. What happens when humanoid robots move beyond factories and exhibitions into everyday life? Instead of watching one robot box another, what happens when a humanoid becomes a border-inspection officer, security guard, or armed surveillance platform?</span></p><p><span>Yet what many observers found most impressive at the games was not necessarily the robots&#8217; intelligence. It was the progress made in constructing increasingly capable robotic bodies. Humanoids can now run at remarkable speeds, jump extraordinary heights, maintain balance, and manipulate objects with increasing precision. The hardware is advancing rapidly. The software remains the bottleneck.</span></p><p><span>The future of humanoid robotics may therefore arrive more gradually than the Beijing games suggest. A &#8220;ChatGPT moment&#8221; for physical AI, when humanoids become capable enough and inexpensive enough to enter ordinary workplaces and homes at scale, could still be a decade away.</span></p><p><em><span>A decade from now, which nations will embrace humanoids as essential infrastructure&#8212;and which will decide that the social, economic, and security risks are simply too great?</span></em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:1121686}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-august-31-2026?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-august-31-2026?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>Leaders of the &#8220;No to E.U.&#8221; campaign reacting as early results came in during a rally in Reykjavik, Iceland, on Saturday. [Marco Di Marco, Associated Press]</p></li><li><p><span>A house is partially submerged in mud and debris following a devastating flash flood that struck Nepal on August 26, 2026. Scientists say floods and avalanches like this are more likely to strike as mountains warm. [Ritesh Shukla, Getty Images]</span></p></li><li><p>A soldier looks at a vehicle at a roadside checkpoint following a mutineers' attack on the airport and the presidency in Niamey, Niger, August 29, 2026 [Al Jazeera, Reuters]</p></li><li><p><span>A drone view of an election billboard by Benjamin Netanyahu&#8217;s Likud Party depicting Iran&#8217;s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Hezbollah chief Naim Qassem and a text in Hebrew that reads &#8220;They Want Netanyahu to Lose, Don&#8217;t let them Win&#8221;, in Tel Aviv, Israel on August 17. [</span>Amir Cohen/Reuters]</p></li><li><p>Robots can run fast or box, but they can&#8217;t do both. [Achmad Ibrahim, AP]</p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: August 24, 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: Zambia, China, Vietnam, Venezuela, and Hungary]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-august-24-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-august-24-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 24 Aug 2026 21:34:30 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/232b7912-ea29-42cf-a58d-596d8f28a8e4_735x977.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Key Themes: Institutions vs Concentrated Power, Accountability after Institutional Failure, and A Challenge to the Status Quo</p><div><hr></div><p><em>Author&#8217;s Note: This is my first article back in a few months! I took a short break due to a slew of personal reasons, now excited to come back to the (hopefully regular) status quo! Keep your inbox peeled to not Miss!</em></p><div><hr></div><p>1&#65039;&#8419;<strong><span>&#8216;Zambia&#8217;s tainted election threatens its reputation&#8217; - https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2026/08/20/zambias-tainted-election-threatens-its-reputation</span></strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!V_3o!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd501eb7-1c88-4de0-a262-c6d562a71b08_1280x720.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!V_3o!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd501eb7-1c88-4de0-a262-c6d562a71b08_1280x720.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!V_3o!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd501eb7-1c88-4de0-a262-c6d562a71b08_1280x720.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!V_3o!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd501eb7-1c88-4de0-a262-c6d562a71b08_1280x720.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!V_3o!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd501eb7-1c88-4de0-a262-c6d562a71b08_1280x720.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!V_3o!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd501eb7-1c88-4de0-a262-c6d562a71b08_1280x720.jpeg" width="1280" height="720" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/fd501eb7-1c88-4de0-a262-c6d562a71b08_1280x720.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:720,&quot;width&quot;:1280,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Zambian incumbent President and United Party for National Development  presidential candidate Hakainde Hichilema leaves after casting his ballot&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Zambian incumbent President and United Party for National Development  presidential candidate Hakainde Hichilema leaves after casting his ballot" title="Zambian incumbent President and United Party for National Development  presidential candidate Hakainde Hichilema leaves after casting his ballot" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!V_3o!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd501eb7-1c88-4de0-a262-c6d562a71b08_1280x720.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!V_3o!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd501eb7-1c88-4de0-a262-c6d562a71b08_1280x720.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!V_3o!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd501eb7-1c88-4de0-a262-c6d562a71b08_1280x720.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!V_3o!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd501eb7-1c88-4de0-a262-c6d562a71b08_1280x720.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong><span>Zambia</span></strong><span> is slipping further away from its position as a bastion of democracy on the African continent. Hakainde Hichilema was elected president in 2021, with many Zambians hoping his ascent would steer the nation toward a freer and fairer future. Hichilema has led the United Party for National Development (UPND) since 2006, making it a staple of Zambian politics. The UPND lost to Edgar Lungu and his Patriotic Front in 2015. In April 2017, Lungu&#8217;s government arrested Hichilema on allegations of treason, a move that was internationally condemned and protested, ultimately leading to Hichilema&#8217;s release in August of that year.</span></p><p><span>Hichilema pledged liberal democratic norms during his campaign, leaving a large majority of Zambians content with the direction of their nation&#8217;s democracy. However, the recent August 2026 election has further marred the nation&#8217;s democratic standing. Allegations of inflated vote totals, the killing of a former cabinet minister by state security forces, and a suspension of vote counting have drawn suspicion and scrutiny. State security forces have remained at voting centers as votes were tallied, seemingly at the direction of the executive. Some constituencies have reportedly recorded more presidential votes than votes cast for parliamentary candidates, despite voting occurring at the same time. These constituencies account for an estimated 30 constituencies and potentially hundreds of thousands of votes. While significant, these discrepancies appear unlikely on their own to have altered the final result.</span></p><p><span>Yet votes are not the only issue regarding the nation&#8217;s stability. The aforementioned killing of former cabinet minister Mutotwe Kafwaya occurred during a security raid at a location associated with main opposition candidate Brian Mundubile. Zambian officials claimed the raid was conducted to combat a planned military insurrection, while Mundubile has described these allegations as a &#8220;total fabrication.&#8221; The full circumstances surrounding the raid and Kafwaya&#8217;s death remain disputed.</span></p><p><span>Zambia has experienced multiple peaceful transfers of power since the restoration of multiparty democracy in 1991. It has long been seen as remarkably stalwart in its traditions of liberalism and suffrage. Yet, like many other regions around the globe, democratic backsliding can increasingly be seen as a consistent pattern rather than a diverging one. The suspension of vote counting, reported intimidation and violence, questions surrounding the transparency of the tabulation process, and the presence of security forces have all raised concerns about the country&#8217;s democratic trajectory.</span></p><p><em><span>How much do international democratic norms shape the values of a nation like Zambia?</span></em></p><div><hr></div><p>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Founder of China&#8217;s Evergrande jailed for life after pleading guilty to fraud&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/aug/20/evergrande-founder-jailed-life-fraud-hui-ka-yan</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JO59!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5202653b-a95d-4236-9929-559e99a05642_1240x992.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JO59!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5202653b-a95d-4236-9929-559e99a05642_1240x992.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JO59!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5202653b-a95d-4236-9929-559e99a05642_1240x992.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JO59!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5202653b-a95d-4236-9929-559e99a05642_1240x992.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JO59!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5202653b-a95d-4236-9929-559e99a05642_1240x992.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JO59!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5202653b-a95d-4236-9929-559e99a05642_1240x992.jpeg" width="1240" height="992" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5202653b-a95d-4236-9929-559e99a05642_1240x992.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:992,&quot;width&quot;:1240,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JO59!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5202653b-a95d-4236-9929-559e99a05642_1240x992.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JO59!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5202653b-a95d-4236-9929-559e99a05642_1240x992.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JO59!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5202653b-a95d-4236-9929-559e99a05642_1240x992.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JO59!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5202653b-a95d-4236-9929-559e99a05642_1240x992.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong><span>China</span></strong><span> has sentenced Hui Ka Yan, founder of Evergrande and Forbes&#8217; 2017 richest person in China, to life in prison. At his peak, Hui was worth $42.5 billion, making him China&#8217;s richest man and Asia&#8217;s wealthiest person.</span></p><p><span>Hui was sentenced on charges including fundraising fraud, misuse of funds, illegal loans, securities fraud, and bribery. The court also ordered the confiscation of his personal assets. Evergrande and its main property subsidiary were fined a combined 15.82 billion yuan ($2.3 billion), while 56 other individuals connected to the company were also sentenced, with several senior executives receiving prison terms ranging from six to 18 years.</span></p><p><span>Evergrande&#8217;s 2021 financial crisis, when the company defaulted on its debt, became a defining moment in China&#8217;s broader property crisis. With liabilities exceeding $300 billion, the company&#8217;s collapse threatened not only investors and creditors but also millions of homebuyers and the broader Chinese economy.</span></p><p><span>The roots of the crisis extend to 2020, when Beijing introduced new restrictions designed to limit excessive borrowing and reduce systemic risk within the property sector. Known as the &#8220;three red lines,&#8221; the regulations restricted developers&#8217; access to additional borrowing based on their leverage and liquidity. Evergrande, one of China&#8217;s largest property developers, was particularly exposed to these measures because of its aggressive reliance on debt. The COVID-19 pandemic compounded these pressures, contributing to a broader contraction in China&#8217;s property market.</span></p><p><span>Evergrande&#8217;s downfall has had consequences that continue to reverberate today. The company was delisted from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and eventually entered liquidation after efforts to restructure its debts failed. Its collapse contributed to falling home prices, unfinished housing projects, declining construction activity, and weakening consumer confidence across China. Other major developers, including Country Garden and China Vanke, have also faced severe financial difficulties, demonstrating that Evergrande was not an isolated case.</span></p><p><span>Hui&#8217;s downfall is therefore larger than the collapse of one company. His rise reflected the extraordinary expansion of China&#8217;s property market, while his conviction illustrates Beijing&#8217;s increasing willingness to punish corporate leaders whose financial practices are seen as threatening economic stability. Evergrande&#8217;s case demonstrates the risks of excessive leverage, opaque financial reporting, and an economic model heavily dependent on continually rising property values.</span></p><p><span>Yet the crisis also raises a broader question. If the Chinese government can punish corporate leaders after a financial collapse, can it prevent the underlying conditions that produce such crises in the first place? The property sector remains under significant pressure, while China&#8217;s government has increasingly turned toward manufacturing, technology, and other strategic industries to drive growth.</span></p><p><em><span>What can be learned from the Evergrande crisis, and what sectors are at risk of making similar mistakes?</span></em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong><span>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;At Tree 55, Vietnam&#8217;s Gen Z Demands to Hold the Privileged Accountable&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/19/world/asia/vietnam-crash-tree-55-community-party-official.html</span></strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QIMQ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa590f883-c975-471e-8de4-7baddf91515c_1024x682.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QIMQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa590f883-c975-471e-8de4-7baddf91515c_1024x682.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QIMQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa590f883-c975-471e-8de4-7baddf91515c_1024x682.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QIMQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa590f883-c975-471e-8de4-7baddf91515c_1024x682.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QIMQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa590f883-c975-471e-8de4-7baddf91515c_1024x682.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QIMQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa590f883-c975-471e-8de4-7baddf91515c_1024x682.webp" width="1024" height="682" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a590f883-c975-471e-8de4-7baddf91515c_1024x682.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:682,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A tree's base on a sidewalk is covered in flower bouquets and small items. A person in light blue adds more flowers.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A tree's base on a sidewalk is covered in flower bouquets and small items. A person in light blue adds more flowers." title="A tree's base on a sidewalk is covered in flower bouquets and small items. A person in light blue adds more flowers." srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QIMQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa590f883-c975-471e-8de4-7baddf91515c_1024x682.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QIMQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa590f883-c975-471e-8de4-7baddf91515c_1024x682.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QIMQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa590f883-c975-471e-8de4-7baddf91515c_1024x682.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QIMQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa590f883-c975-471e-8de4-7baddf91515c_1024x682.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong><span>Vietnam&#8217;s </span></strong><span>youth are increasingly challenging government corruption and favoritism, with &#8220;Tree 55&#8221; at the centerpiece of recent outrage. Tree 55 is the site of a fatal 2025 traffic accident in which 18-year-old &#272;&#7895; Ng&#7885;c Ph&#432;&#417;ng Th&#249;y and her father were struck by a BMW. The crash occurred on May 30, 2025, when former National Assembly deputy Nguy&#7877;n S&#7929; C&#432;&#417;ng&#8217;s vehicle crossed into the opposite lane and collided with their motorbike. Th&#249;y suffered catastrophic injuries and died approximately 10 days later, just days before her high school graduation examinations.</span></p><p><span>For more than a year, little information about the case was publicly available. That changed in August 2026, when Vietnamese authorities officially identified C&#432;&#417;ng as the driver. Authorities stated that he had confessed, compensated the victim&#8217;s family, and that the family had requested that he not be prosecuted. C&#432;&#417;ng was consequently exempted from criminal liability.</span></p><p><span>The decision has sparked widespread outrage among Vietnamese Gen Z, who argue that the case demonstrates the unequal application of justice between politically connected officials and ordinary citizens. Millions of social-media posts have circulated under hashtags associated with C&#432;&#417;ng and the BMW, while young people have placed flowers, ribbons, and messages at Tree 55, transforming the location into what has become known as the &#8220;Justice Tree.&#8221; After flowers were removed from the site, supporters created a virtual version of the tree online, allowing the campaign to continue beyond the physical location.</span></p><p><span>The campaign has also produced a wave of speculation about an alleged government cover-up. Online users have circulated claims involving falsified evidence, manipulated sobriety records, artificial-intelligence-generated material, and political interference. These allegations remain largely unverified and should be distinguished from the facts established by Vietnamese authorities. A recently circulated video purportedly shows the BMW after the crash and individuals leaving the vehicle, but online claims identifying one of those individuals as C&#432;&#417;ng&#8217;s wife, L&#226;m Th&#7883; Ph&#432;&#417;ng Thanh, remain allegations rather than facts.</span></p><p><span>Thanh&#8217;s connection to the controversy has nevertheless intensified public attention. As C&#432;&#417;ng&#8217;s wife and a senior government official, her position has made her a focus of online speculation about whether political connections influenced the handling of the case. Neither C&#432;&#417;ng nor Thanh has publicly provided a detailed account of the incident, while Th&#249;y&#8217;s father has appeared publicly asking people to respect the family&#8217;s privacy.</span></p><p><span>The controversy has also become intertwined with broader concerns over censorship and political expression. Vietnamese Gen Z has increasingly used social media, anonymous accounts, symbolic protests, and decentralized campaigns to express dissatisfaction without necessarily organizing large demonstrations. The white ribbon tied to backpacks and the memorials at Tree 55 have become symbols of solidarity and resistance. One message left at the site read: &#8220;Rest in peace down there, sister. We Gen-Z will handle everything.&#8221;</span></p><p><span>The significance of Tree 55 extends beyond one traffic accident. For Vietnam&#8217;s younger generation, the case has become a vehicle for expressing a broader belief that political connections can produce a two-tiered system of accountability. The campaign demonstrates how social media can create pressure even within a one-party state, particularly when decentralized users transform a localized tragedy into a national symbol.</span></p><p><span>Vietnam&#8217;s leadership has long prioritized economic development and political stability. Yet the emergence of an increasingly connected and politically conscious generation creates a difficult balancing act: suppressing the movement too aggressively could amplify perceptions of censorship and favoritism, while allowing it to expand could encourage broader challenges to governmental authority.</span></p><p><span>The government&#8217;s decision to publicly address the case suggests that officials recognize the strength of the online backlash. The question now is whether Vietnam can contain the controversy as an isolated demand for justice or whether Tree 55 becomes a broader symbol of Gen Z&#8217;s challenge to political privilege and government accountability.</span></p><p><em><span>How will the Vietnamese government respond if Gen Z protests continue in this direction?</span></em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong><span>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Venezuela abandoning the bolivar and adopting the U.S. dollar would be the biggest currency switch since the advent of the euro, Hanke says&#8217; - https://fortune.com/2026/08/22/dollarization-venezuela-bolivar-currency-switch-hyperinflation-oil-revenue-debt-steve-hanke/</span></strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EEXd!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdc4d0f6a-3dfd-4c14-be93-551fcaf1183d_576x384.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EEXd!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdc4d0f6a-3dfd-4c14-be93-551fcaf1183d_576x384.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EEXd!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdc4d0f6a-3dfd-4c14-be93-551fcaf1183d_576x384.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EEXd!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdc4d0f6a-3dfd-4c14-be93-551fcaf1183d_576x384.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EEXd!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdc4d0f6a-3dfd-4c14-be93-551fcaf1183d_576x384.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EEXd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdc4d0f6a-3dfd-4c14-be93-551fcaf1183d_576x384.webp" width="708" height="472" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/dc4d0f6a-3dfd-4c14-be93-551fcaf1183d_576x384.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:384,&quot;width&quot;:576,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:708,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Venezuelan Bolivar banknotes and a US one-dollar bill in Caracas on January 28, 2019.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Venezuelan Bolivar banknotes and a US one-dollar bill in Caracas on January 28, 2019." title="Venezuelan Bolivar banknotes and a US one-dollar bill in Caracas on January 28, 2019." srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EEXd!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdc4d0f6a-3dfd-4c14-be93-551fcaf1183d_576x384.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EEXd!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdc4d0f6a-3dfd-4c14-be93-551fcaf1183d_576x384.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EEXd!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdc4d0f6a-3dfd-4c14-be93-551fcaf1183d_576x384.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EEXd!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdc4d0f6a-3dfd-4c14-be93-551fcaf1183d_576x384.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong><span>Venezuela</span></strong><span> is considering abandoning the bol&#237;var in favor of the U.S. dollar. This follows a proposal from Johns Hopkins University economist Steve Hanke, known as the &#8220;Money Doctor&#8221; for his work advising governments facing monetary instability. Hanke has recently been appointed a special adviser to Antonio Ecarri, a leading member of Venezuela&#8217;s National Assembly, and is working on legislation that would abolish the bol&#237;var and shut down the country&#8217;s central bank. Hanke estimates that the proposal has a 50%&#8211;80% chance of being approved.</span></p><p><span>Venezuela, with inflation running at roughly 400% annually, has seen its currency decimated over the past decade. The IMF currently projects 2026 consumer-price inflation at 387.4%, while other estimates based on Venezuelan data have placed inflation considerably higher. The bol&#237;var has also lost approximately 78% of its value against the U.S. dollar over the past year.</span></p><p><span>Hanke&#8217;s solution is a complete pivot toward dollarization. Under his proposal, Venezuela would abandon the bol&#237;var and eliminate the Central Bank of Venezuela, removing the government&#8217;s ability to finance spending by printing money. For Hanke, monetary stability is the foundation for restoring the rest of the Venezuelan economy: without stable prices, he argues, investment, employment, and economic growth cannot be sustained.</span></p><p><span>Hanke has extensive experience with currency transitions. In 1999, he advised Montenegro as it abandoned the Yugoslav dinar in favor of the Deutsche Mark. He later advised Ecuador during its transition to the U.S. dollar in 2000 and served as an informal adviser to Zimbabwe during its 2009 dollarization. Hanke also previously attempted to introduce a currency-board system in Venezuela during the mid-1990s, although the proposal failed to gain sufficient political support.</span></p><p><span>Hanke believes that &#8220;it would be the biggest switch from domestic currencies to an alternative since the introduction of the euro in 1999.&#8221; Yet Venezuela has already undergone a significant degree of informal dollarization. The U.S. dollar is widely used for everyday transactions, while the bol&#237;var has continued to lose purchasing power. This existing reliance on dollars could make an official transition easier than it would be in an economy where the domestic currency remains dominant.</span></p><p><span>However, abandoning the bol&#237;var would come with significant risks. Venezuela would surrender its independent monetary policy, lose seigniorage revenue from issuing its own currency, and effectively transfer monetary policy to the U.S. Federal Reserve. Eliminating the central bank would also remove an important lender-of-last-resort function for Venezuelan banks during a financial crisis. Dollarization would therefore solve one problem&#8212;monetary instability&#8212;while creating new limitations on the government&#8217;s ability to respond to future economic shocks.</span></p><p><span>Argentina offers a useful comparison. President Javier Milei campaigned on radical economic reform and previously advocated dollarization, but his government ultimately retained the peso. His administration has nevertheless managed to bring inflation down dramatically through fiscal adjustment and other reforms. The Argentine experience demonstrates that dollarization is not the only possible route toward monetary stabilization, even if it remains one of the most radical.</span></p><p><span>For Venezuela, the potential benefits could extend well beyond inflation. Dollarization could reduce currency risk and make long-term investment more predictable, potentially encouraging foreign capital into the country&#8217;s oil industry and other sectors. Hanke argues that greater monetary stability would also make it easier to renegotiate Venezuela&#8217;s enormous external debt, currently estimated at around $250 billion, by improving expectations for future oil revenues and government repayment capacity.</span></p><p><span>Yet dollarization cannot solve Venezuela&#8217;s structural problems on its own. The country still faces damaged infrastructure, weak institutions, political uncertainty, limited access to credit, and an economy heavily dependent on oil. Venezuela&#8217;s experience demonstrates that monetary reform can provide a foundation for recovery, but it cannot substitute for institutional reform and productive investment.</span></p><p><em><span>Can replacing a failed national currency provide the foundation for rebuilding an economy, or does true economic recovery require institutional reforms that go far beyond monetary policy?</span></em></p><p><em><span>What impacts could dollarization have on Venezuela and the greater South American continent? And how beneficial could it be for the United States?</span></em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong><span>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;The Guardian view on the new Hungary: de-Orb&#225;nising at pace&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/aug/23/the-guardian-view-on-the-new-hungary-de-orbanising-at-pace</span></strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LeHQ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a2d468b-19c0-4b96-977a-9c43dc0d9b33_1240x992.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LeHQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a2d468b-19c0-4b96-977a-9c43dc0d9b33_1240x992.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LeHQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a2d468b-19c0-4b96-977a-9c43dc0d9b33_1240x992.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LeHQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a2d468b-19c0-4b96-977a-9c43dc0d9b33_1240x992.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LeHQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a2d468b-19c0-4b96-977a-9c43dc0d9b33_1240x992.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LeHQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a2d468b-19c0-4b96-977a-9c43dc0d9b33_1240x992.jpeg" width="1240" height="992" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7a2d468b-19c0-4b96-977a-9c43dc0d9b33_1240x992.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:992,&quot;width&quot;:1240,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LeHQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a2d468b-19c0-4b96-977a-9c43dc0d9b33_1240x992.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LeHQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a2d468b-19c0-4b96-977a-9c43dc0d9b33_1240x992.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LeHQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a2d468b-19c0-4b96-977a-9c43dc0d9b33_1240x992.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LeHQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a2d468b-19c0-4b96-977a-9c43dc0d9b33_1240x992.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong><span>Hungary </span></strong><span>has experienced its first summer without Viktor Orb&#225;n at the helm in more than 16 years. How has it fared so far?</span></p><p><span>P&#233;ter Magyar, Hungary&#8217;s new prime minister, has embarked on a program of reforms that rivals the country&#8217;s political transformation following the fall of communism. Since taking office in May 2026, Magyar and his Tisza Party have moved rapidly to dismantle many of the institutions and political networks established during Orb&#225;n&#8217;s 16 years in power.</span></p><p><span>One of the clearest symbols of this transformation has been Magyar&#8217;s replacement of President Tam&#225;s Sulyok with Andr&#225;s Baka. Baka, a former president of Hungary&#8217;s Supreme Court, was removed from his judicial position during the Orb&#225;n era in a move later found by the European Court of Human Rights to have violated his rights. Conversely, Magyar had accused Sulyok, an Orb&#225;n ally, of enabling the erosion of Hungary&#8217;s rule of law.</span></p><p><span>Hungary&#8217;s National Day also demonstrated the symbolic nature of the country&#8217;s political transition. State television, long criticized for its pro-government bias, displayed the message: &#8220;Public media should not lie. We are sorry for doing it for so long.&#8221; Reforming public media and reducing political influence over state institutions were central elements of Magyar&#8217;s campaign and remain key components of his government&#8217;s agenda.</span></p><p><span>Magyar&#8217;s government has also launched an expansive anti-corruption campaign. Estimates suggest that more than &#8364;100 billion in public funds, including potentially misused European Union money, may have been diverted or improperly allocated during Orb&#225;n&#8217;s tenure. Investigators within the newly established National Asset Recovery and Protection Office have been tasked with tracing and recovering assets connected to alleged corruption and political favoritism.</span></p><p><span>Hungary is also moving closer to the European Union after years of confrontation with Brussels. Magyar&#8217;s government has committed to participating in the European Public Prosecutor&#8217;s Office, strengthening cooperation on financial crimes and the protection of EU funds. The decision represents a significant break from Orb&#225;n&#8217;s approach and could help restore Hungary&#8217;s standing within broader European rule-of-law and anti-corruption mechanisms.</span></p><p><span>Yet Magyar&#8217;s rapid de-Orb&#225;nization campaign has generated concerns of its own. Constitutional measures intended to remove Orb&#225;n-era officials and prevent some former Fidesz politicians from returning to political office have prompted accusations of political retaliation. Even Baka, whose own career was damaged under Orb&#225;n, has emphasized that Hungary&#8217;s democratic restoration must be based on justice rather than revenge.</span></p><p><span>Despite these concerns, Magyar continues to enjoy substantial public support. His government has drawn backing from Hungarians across the political spectrum, while the economic and political networks that prospered under Orb&#225;n are now being forced to adapt to a less politically favorable environment. Companies closely associated with the former government have already faced increased uncertainty as the new administration reviews state spending and procurement practices.</span></p><p><span>The European Union now represents one of the most important tests of Magyar&#8217;s new government. More than &#8364;10 billion in frozen funds could eventually be released if Hungary demonstrates meaningful progress in combating corruption and restoring rule-of-law standards. A successful rapprochement with Brussels would provide Magyar with both a political victory and substantial resources to support Hungary&#8217;s economic recovery.</span></p><p><em><span>How could this newly transformed Hungary reshape domestic policy while altering the dynamics of the European Union as a whole?</span></em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive weekly geopolitical news and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Below, vote on the articles you would most like me to cover in-depth, and feel free to comment with any questions or remarks you have!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:1067186}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-august-24-2026?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-august-24-2026?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>President Hakainde Hichilema&#8217;s image as a liberal reformer is tarnished, too. [Getty Images, The Economist] </p></li><li><p>Hui Ka Yan, the founder of the property developer Evergrande, in court in Shenzhen. The court said he had &#8216;severely disrupted the order of the socialist market economy&#8217;. [Xinhua, AP]</p></li><li><p>Flowers at the site of a crash that killed an 18-year-old student last year in Hanoi, Vietnam. [Agence France-Presse, Getty Images]</p></li><li><p><span>Venezuelan Bolivar banknotes and a US one-dollar bill in Caracas on January 28, 2019</span><strong><span>. [</span></strong><span>YuriCortez, AFP/Getty Images]</span></p></li><li><p>P&#233;ter Magyar speaks during a ceremony in Budapest marking the country's national day. [Attila Kisbenedek, AFP/Getty Images]</p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: May 11, 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: Hungary, Argentina, The United Kingdom, Australia, and India]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-may-11-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-may-11-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 11 May 2026 17:49:03 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/fd872fb2-1b25-4970-96c9-f6e1f895e39b_414x600.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Key Themes: The Global Rise of Populism and Nationalism, Collapse or Weakening of Traditional Parties, and Politics Increasingly Defined by Identity and Culture</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;P&#233;ter Magyar sworn in as Hungary&#8217;s prime minister ending 16-year Orb&#225;n era&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/may/09/hungary-prime-minister-peter-magyar-sworn-in-viktor-oban</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3OT_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdfb840d4-c6d5-4ede-b9bb-217f2e3e96b3_1240x992.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3OT_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdfb840d4-c6d5-4ede-b9bb-217f2e3e96b3_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3OT_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdfb840d4-c6d5-4ede-b9bb-217f2e3e96b3_1240x992.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3OT_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdfb840d4-c6d5-4ede-b9bb-217f2e3e96b3_1240x992.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3OT_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdfb840d4-c6d5-4ede-b9bb-217f2e3e96b3_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3OT_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdfb840d4-c6d5-4ede-b9bb-217f2e3e96b3_1240x992.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3OT_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdfb840d4-c6d5-4ede-b9bb-217f2e3e96b3_1240x992.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3OT_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdfb840d4-c6d5-4ede-b9bb-217f2e3e96b3_1240x992.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Hungary</strong> has sworn in P&#233;ter Magyar to lead the nation, with many hoping a new era of change will be ushered in across both the country and the European continent. Viktor Orb&#225;n, who ruled Hungary for 16 years, was ousted following corruption scandals and growing voter dissatisfaction with the Hungarian quality of life under his tenure. Magyar and his Tisza party decisively defeated Orb&#225;n and his Fidesz party, winning over 55% of the vote compared to Fidesz&#8217;s 36.72%.</p><p>Orb&#225;n had long been supported by nationalist and right-wing movements across the globe, with American Vice President J.D. Vance arriving in Budapest days before the election to express support for his administration. Magyar has promised sweeping change, announcing that a &#8220;new chapter&#8221; in Hungarian history is about to be written, with his government offering not merely a policy shift, but a transformation of Hungary&#8217;s fundamental systems and institutions.</p><p>Under Orb&#225;n, Hungary became regarded as one of the most corrupt nations within the European Union, while increasingly diverging from many of the values that broadly unify the bloc. Magyar is seeking to dismantle Orb&#225;n-appointed leadership structures while reframing the nation as inclusive to all Hungarians. On May 9, roaring crowds applauded Magyar&#8217;s rise to power, with tens of thousands attending celebrations in Budapest. Hungarians appeared proud both of their national identity and of their place within Europe. The EU flag has returned to Hungary&#8217;s parliament after being removed in 2014 under Orb&#225;n&#8217;s orders.</p><p>Magyar is a relatively new political figure, having remained a member of the Fidesz party until his break with it in 2024, when he publicly condemned what he described as the exploitation of the Hungarian working class. The new Tisza-dominated parliament, holding 141 out of 199 seats, will be the first Hungarian parliament without Orb&#225;n&#8217;s leadership since the country democratized following the collapse of the Soviet Bloc in the 1990s.</p><p>Over time, Hungary had increasingly become viewed as a pariah state within Europe, with anti-EU, pro-Russian, and hyper-nationalist rhetoric becoming more prominent in public discourse. Magyar has pledged to reverse this trajectory, promising to return Hungary to a more liberal and pro-European course while deepening cooperation with the EU. The swearing-in ceremony deliberately took place on Europe Day, commemorating the origins of the European Union. Its symbolism reflected not only a turning point in Hungarian politics, but potentially a broader shift across Europe as well.</p><p>Magyar now faces the challenge of managing a stagnating economy, reversing Hungary&#8217;s ongoing brain drain, and reforming institutions and media networks that have long been sympathetic to&#8212;or directly controlled by&#8212;Orb&#225;n-aligned interests. At the same time, Magyar himself is a center-right leader, with left-wing parties remaining largely absent from mainstream Hungarian policymaking. <em>How may Magyar shape both national and supranational policy?</em></p><div><hr></div><p>2&#65039;&#8419; <strong>&#8216;The country where lethal hantavirus cases are on the rise. Experts blame climate change&#8217; - https://edition.cnn.com/2026/05/09/americas/hantavirus-cases-double-argentina-climate-change-latam-intl</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TzpK!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc61e0ac4-694a-4d1b-8967-fa3e44b54df0_860x573.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TzpK!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc61e0ac4-694a-4d1b-8967-fa3e44b54df0_860x573.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TzpK!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc61e0ac4-694a-4d1b-8967-fa3e44b54df0_860x573.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TzpK!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc61e0ac4-694a-4d1b-8967-fa3e44b54df0_860x573.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TzpK!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc61e0ac4-694a-4d1b-8967-fa3e44b54df0_860x573.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TzpK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc61e0ac4-694a-4d1b-8967-fa3e44b54df0_860x573.webp" width="860" height="573" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc61e0ac4-694a-4d1b-8967-fa3e44b54df0_860x573.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TzpK!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc61e0ac4-694a-4d1b-8967-fa3e44b54df0_860x573.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TzpK!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc61e0ac4-694a-4d1b-8967-fa3e44b54df0_860x573.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TzpK!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc61e0ac4-694a-4d1b-8967-fa3e44b54df0_860x573.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Argentina</strong> has become the center of global concern following a hantavirus outbreak linked to the cruise ship MV Hondius, intensifying fears over modern pandemic preparedness and international disease containment. In 2026, Argentina has already recorded 32 hantavirus-related deaths, nearly double the number reported last year, while infection rates have reached levels not seen since 2018. International alarm escalated after the Dutch-flagged cruise ship MV Hondius departed from Argentina carrying infected passengers on a voyage toward South Africa before eventually being rerouted to Spain&#8217;s Canary Islands. The World Health Organization (WHO) has confirmed at least three deaths connected to the outbreak aboard the vessel, which carried roughly 147 passengers and crew from more than 20 countries, including American, British, Dutch, and Spanish nationals.</p><p>Spanish authorities, in coordination with the WHO and European health agencies, accepted the ship near Tenerife in what officials described as an unprecedented international health operation. Passengers have been evacuated in stages under strict quarantine and medical screening procedures, with Spanish nationals transferred directly to a military hospital in Madrid. Health personnel wearing hazmat suits and respirators managed the disembarkation process, while the ship itself remained isolated offshore.</p><p>The outbreak has renewed scientific and political attention toward hantavirus, particularly the Andes strain believed to be associated with western Argentina. Unlike most hantaviruses, the Andes strain is capable of limited human-to-human transmission, although experts emphasize that it spreads far less efficiently than COVID-19. Current evidence suggests that initial infection still requires exposure to infected rodent urine, feces, or saliva, while secondary transmission between humans generally demands prolonged close contact. The WHO and multiple epidemiologists have publicly stated that this outbreak does not presently resemble the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 and is unlikely to become a comparable global pandemic.</p><p>Climate change and habitat disruption have increasingly been cited as major contributors to the resurgence of rodent-borne illnesses. Scientists note that rising temperatures, ecosystem displacement, severe storms, and wildfires are altering the habitats of the long-tailed mouse, the primary carrier associated with hantavirus in Patagonia and southern Argentina. Human expansion into previously isolated environments, alongside rising international tourism and ecological disruption, has increased the likelihood of zoonotic spillover events.</p><p>The crisis has also revived broader questions about whether the world learned meaningful lessons from COVID-19. In several respects, global response systems appear more coordinated than they were in 2020. International communication between governments, health agencies, airlines, and hospitals occurred rapidly, while quarantine protocols, tracing systems, and multinational cooperation were implemented almost immediately once the severity of the outbreak became clear. Spain&#8217;s willingness to receive the vessel under WHO guidance reflected a greater level of international coordination than was often seen during the early stages of COVID-19.</p><p>At the same time, the outbreak has exposed continuing vulnerabilities. Governments remain deeply concerned about border management, quarantine enforcement, healthcare capacity, and the political consequences of even limited outbreaks. Public fear has spread quickly online, often outpacing verified scientific information. Smaller nations and regions lacking advanced medical infrastructure&#8212;such as Cape Verde or remote Atlantic territories visited by the ship&#8212;struggled to respond effectively, forcing larger states and international organizations to intervene.</p><p>The MV Hondius outbreak may not show whether another COVID-19 pandemic is imminent. <em>But are international organizations, regional blocs, and individual governments prepared to combat another potential pandemic?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;We welcome scrutiny, Reform UK says after major election gains&#8217; - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cz62d2482x1o</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5dAn!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa551edff-1d63-4eb4-a6a6-653ab64f83ee_2048x1366.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5dAn!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa551edff-1d63-4eb4-a6a6-653ab64f83ee_2048x1366.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5dAn!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa551edff-1d63-4eb4-a6a6-653ab64f83ee_2048x1366.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5dAn!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa551edff-1d63-4eb4-a6a6-653ab64f83ee_2048x1366.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5dAn!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa551edff-1d63-4eb4-a6a6-653ab64f83ee_2048x1366.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5dAn!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa551edff-1d63-4eb4-a6a6-653ab64f83ee_2048x1366.webp" width="1456" height="971" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a551edff-1d63-4eb4-a6a6-653ab64f83ee_2048x1366.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:971,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:171810,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/197242400?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa551edff-1d63-4eb4-a6a6-653ab64f83ee_2048x1366.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5dAn!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa551edff-1d63-4eb4-a6a6-653ab64f83ee_2048x1366.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5dAn!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa551edff-1d63-4eb4-a6a6-653ab64f83ee_2048x1366.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5dAn!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa551edff-1d63-4eb4-a6a6-653ab64f83ee_2048x1366.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5dAn!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa551edff-1d63-4eb4-a6a6-653ab64f83ee_2048x1366.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>The United Kingdom</strong>&#8217;s recent local council elections foreshadow an increasingly unstable future for Prime Minister Keir Starmer and the Labour Party. Across England, Scotland, and Wales, voters elected representatives to more than 1,000 local council seats, with Nigel Farage and Reform UK emerging as the dominant story of the elections. Reform secured over 1,300 council seats and control of numerous English councils, while also making breakthroughs in Scotland and Wales.</p><p>The elections confirmed the continued collapse of Britain&#8217;s traditional two-party system. The Conservative Party, after more than a decade and a half in government marked by austerity, Brexit turmoil, economic stagnation, and declining public services, continues to hemorrhage support. Much of its former voter base has migrated toward Reform UK, which has effectively inherited the nationalist and anti-immigration space once occupied by both the Conservatives and Farage&#8217;s earlier party, UK Independence Party (UKIP).</p><p>At the same time, Labour&#8217;s landslide 2024 victory has failed to translate into sustained enthusiasm for Starmer&#8217;s leadership. Polling now places Starmer among the least popular leaders in Europe, while Labour suffered some of its worst local-election performances for a governing party in decades. Reform&#8217;s rise has been fueled largely by anti-immigration sentiment, frustration over the cost-of-living crisis, distrust of political institutions, and perceptions that Labour has failed to materially improve daily life since taking office.</p><p>Reform&#8217;s gains were especially concentrated in regions that strongly supported Brexit in 2016, highlighting how the political and cultural forces behind Brexit remain highly influential. Farage himself remains arguably the single most consequential figure behind Britain&#8217;s departure from the European Union, having spent decades mobilizing Eurosceptic sentiment through UKIP and later Reform UK. Yet polling simultaneously shows that many Britons now believe Brexit damaged Britain&#8217;s economy and international standing. This contradiction&#8212;regret over Brexit&#8217;s outcomes alongside continued support for Brexit-style politics&#8212;reveals the depth of Britain&#8217;s political fragmentation.</p><p>The results in Scotland and Wales were particularly significant because Reform broke through in regions historically resistant to English right-wing populism. In Scotland, Reform matched Labour in several areas while trailing only the Scottish National Party in parts of the country. In Wales, Reform emerged as one of the largest parties in the Senedd landscape behind only Plaid Cymru. These gains suggest that dissatisfaction with establishment politics is no longer confined to England and may increasingly reshape the entire constitutional structure of the United Kingdom.</p><p>A surging Reform UK could have several long-term consequences for Britain. Domestically, it may push national politics further toward populist nationalism, stricter immigration policy, harsher law-and-order measures, and renewed cultural polarization. Even if Reform does not immediately enter government, both Labour and the Conservatives may increasingly adopt elements of Farage&#8217;s rhetoric in an attempt to recapture defecting voters. Britain&#8217;s political center could therefore continue shifting rightward, especially on migration and sovereignty issues.</p><p>Economically, continued political fragmentation may deepen uncertainty around investment, trade, and Britain&#8217;s relationship with Europe. Reform remains deeply skeptical of closer EU cooperation and has positioned itself against attempts to rebuild stronger post-Brexit ties with Brussels. If Reform becomes a governing force, Britain could move toward a more confrontational relationship with the European Union once again.</p><p>For Europe more broadly, Reform&#8217;s rise reflects a continental trend rather than an isolated British phenomenon. Across Europe, nationalist and populist-right parties continue gaining support amid inflation, migration pressures, housing crises, and distrust of traditional political institutions. Reform UK&#8217;s success mirrors the trajectories of parties such as National Rally in France, Alternative for Germany in Germany, and Brothers of Italy in Italy. The broader European political order increasingly appears defined by fragmentation, weakened centrist parties, and growing ideological polarization.</p><p>The council elections ultimately revealed a Britain that remains politically unsettled nearly a decade after Brexit. Neither Labour nor the Conservatives currently commands durable public confidence, while Reform has successfully positioned itself as the primary outlet for anti-establishment anger. <em>What does a surging Reform mean for the United Kingdom and the wider European continent?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Australia&#8217;s populist One Nation scores first-ever lower house victory&#8217; - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/9/australias-populist-one-nation-scores-first-ever-lower-house-victory</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q9Rs!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4abd67f0-2443-4655-a977-273c6634fee3_770x513.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q9Rs!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4abd67f0-2443-4655-a977-273c6634fee3_770x513.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q9Rs!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4abd67f0-2443-4655-a977-273c6634fee3_770x513.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q9Rs!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4abd67f0-2443-4655-a977-273c6634fee3_770x513.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q9Rs!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4abd67f0-2443-4655-a977-273c6634fee3_770x513.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q9Rs!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4abd67f0-2443-4655-a977-273c6634fee3_770x513.webp" width="770" height="513" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4abd67f0-2443-4655-a977-273c6634fee3_770x513.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q9Rs!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4abd67f0-2443-4655-a977-273c6634fee3_770x513.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q9Rs!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4abd67f0-2443-4655-a977-273c6634fee3_770x513.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q9Rs!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4abd67f0-2443-4655-a977-273c6634fee3_770x513.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Australia</strong>&#8217;s far-right populist party, Pauline Hanson&#8217;s One Nation, has secured its first-ever seat in the Australian House of Representatives, marking a symbolic breakthrough in Australian politics and reflecting wider global trends toward nationalist and anti-establishment movements. David Farley, an agribusiness consultant and regional advocate, won the New South Wales seat of Farrer in a by-election following the resignation of former Liberal leader Sussan Ley. Farley defeated independent candidate Michelle Milthorpe with roughly 57&#8211;59% of the two-candidate-preferred vote, ending more than seven decades of conservative Coalition dominance in the electorate.</p><p>Farley campaigned heavily on rural economic frustration, cost-of-living concerns, water security, opposition to high immigration, and skepticism toward climate-oriented &#8220;net zero&#8221; policies. One Nation leader Pauline Hanson described the victory as proof that voters in regional Australia increasingly feel abandoned by the major parties.</p><p>Although the victory does little to alter the immediate balance of power in Canberra, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and the Australian Labor Party still hold a commanding majority in parliament, it is politically significant because it transforms One Nation from a long-running protest movement into a party with genuine lower-house representation. For nearly thirty years, One Nation had influenced Australian politics primarily through Senate seats and pressure campaigns rather than direct representation in government formation.</p><p>The result is therefore less important numerically than culturally and strategically. It demonstrates that the political conditions fueling right-wing populism elsewhere in the world&#8212;economic anxiety, distrust of institutions, rural decline, dissatisfaction with immigration policy, and resentment toward metropolitan political elites&#8212;are increasingly present in Australia as well. Analysts noted that Farley&#8217;s strongest support came from smaller regional communities experiencing population decline, shrinking services, and economic stagnation.</p><p>At the same time, whether the result should be viewed as a national warning sign or merely an isolated by-election upset remains debated. There are several reasons for caution before interpreting the result as a dramatic political realignment. Farrer was a unique race: Labor did not contest the seat, the Liberal and National parties were divided and weakened internally, and voter frustration toward the conservative Coalition was unusually high following leadership instability. One Nation also benefited from preference flows and anti-establishment protest voting that may not replicate nationally.</p><p>Australia&#8217;s broader political structure also differs significantly from countries where far-right parties have surged into government. Compulsory voting, preferential voting systems, and relatively strong centrist institutions historically make it more difficult for extremist or fringe movements to dominate nationally. Unlike in parts of Europe or the United States, Australia&#8217;s political culture has generally rewarded moderation and coalition-building over ideological absolutism.</p><p>The Australian case also mirrors developments in the United Kingdom, where Nigel Farage and Reform UK have surged by channeling anti-establishment anger and immigration concerns.<em> Is the Australian election case one to be wary of, or is it just a drop in the bucket and an outlier?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Where Have Modi&#8217;s Rivals Gone? India Under One Party&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/05/world/asia/india-modi-congress-west-bengal-elections.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dru7!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe82b0169-f50e-4a23-8a97-c649e5765c35_1024x704.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dru7!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe82b0169-f50e-4a23-8a97-c649e5765c35_1024x704.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dru7!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe82b0169-f50e-4a23-8a97-c649e5765c35_1024x704.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dru7!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe82b0169-f50e-4a23-8a97-c649e5765c35_1024x704.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dru7!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe82b0169-f50e-4a23-8a97-c649e5765c35_1024x704.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dru7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe82b0169-f50e-4a23-8a97-c649e5765c35_1024x704.webp" width="1024" height="704" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e82b0169-f50e-4a23-8a97-c649e5765c35_1024x704.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:704,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:96406,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/197242400?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe82b0169-f50e-4a23-8a97-c649e5765c35_1024x704.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dru7!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe82b0169-f50e-4a23-8a97-c649e5765c35_1024x704.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dru7!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe82b0169-f50e-4a23-8a97-c649e5765c35_1024x704.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dru7!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe82b0169-f50e-4a23-8a97-c649e5765c35_1024x704.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dru7!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe82b0169-f50e-4a23-8a97-c649e5765c35_1024x704.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>India </strong>is increasingly under the control of Prime Minister Narendra Modi as more regional elections move the nation toward a one-party state. Modi&#8217;s initial 2014 campaign led with the slogan of a &#8220;Congress-free India.&#8221; Congress, the founding party of independent India, had largely reigned over the nation for eight decades. However, since Modi&#8217;s rise to power, the party has continuously degraded and declined. The 2014 election proved pivotal, as Congress&#8217;s hold over the national parliament cratered from 206 seats to just 44.</p><p>Now, the largest counter to Modi&#8217;s policy comes from regional parties, though their sway is largely confined to local politics rather than broader Indian projects. Following recent elections in West Bengal and Tamil Nadu, gains for Modi&#8217;s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) have further weakened the opposition. The BJP secured a historic victory in West Bengal, winning the state for the first time.</p><p>The BJP seeks to rule India as an orthodox Hindu nation with an assimilated and unified Indian identity. This contrasts with the vision of India&#8217;s first Prime Minister, Jawaharlal Nehru, who believed in a diverse and pluralist state. While there are many sects of Hinduism, Hindus collectively make up roughly 80% of India&#8217;s population, and one of the BJP&#8217;s main tenets has been building a unified Hindu identity.</p><p>The BJP performed relatively poorly in the 2024 national election and has since focused heavily on regaining voters. Modi&#8217;s most recent term has emphasized quick wins and &#8220;bread-and-butter&#8221; issues rather than larger-scale ideological projects. Throughout 2026, the BJP has continued winning local and regional elections, including major victories in Haryana, Maharashtra, and West Bengal.</p><p>Opposition parties have alleged interference at the polls, claiming Modi has used executive branch powers to assist BJP operations. Voter roll revision exercises have been pointed to as evidence, particularly in Muslim-heavy regions of West Bengal. Critics argued the revisions disproportionately affected minorities, though the enormous vote gap likely meant the overall result would not have changed.</p><p>In West Bengal and Tamil Nadu, change was wanted and ushered in, though not necessarily national change, but regional change. Issues such as unemployment, inflation, and the cost of living affect India&#8217;s poorer states to a greater extent. There is growing youth resentment toward the Indian labor market, yet frustration has often turned against regional leaders rather than Modi himself, somewhat ironically benefiting the BJP.</p><p>There can be benefits to dominant-party rule in India. A stronger central government can provide political stability, policy continuity, and quicker implementation of infrastructure and economic projects in a nation of over 1.4 billion people. Supporters argue Modi has helped create a stronger national identity and a more assertive India internationally.</p><p>However, there are also significant detractors. A weakening opposition can erode democratic checks and balances, while increasing centralization risks undermining India&#8217;s federal and pluralist traditions. Critics fear that a unipolar Hindu identity may marginalize minorities and weaken the secular foundations envisioned at India&#8217;s independence. Additionally, systems heavily centered around one dominant figure can become unstable once that leader eventually leaves office.</p><p>Modi is set to lead India until at least 2029, though his political future beyond a third term remains unclear. There is no obvious successor within the BJP, and likewise no clear rival capable of challenging Modi&#8217;s broader vision for India. <em>What can be the benefits of a uniparty rule in India? What are the detractors?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive weekly geopolitical news and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Below, vote on the articles you would most like me to cover in-depth, and feel free to comment with any questions or remarks you have!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:510856}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-may-11-2026?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-may-11-2026?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>P&#233;ter Magyar receives a standing ovation in parliament during his swearing-in ceremony. [Bernadett Szab&#243;, Reuters]</p></li><li><p>Medics escort a patient, second right, evacuated from the MV Hondius cruise ship with suspected hantavirus infection, to an ambulance after being flown to Schiphol airport, Amsterdam, Netherlands, on May 6. [Peter Dejong/AP]</p></li><li><p>Nigel Farage, Britain&#8217;s Reform U.K. leader, spoke to the media in the London Borough of Havering, Britain, on Friday. [Jack Taylor, Reuters]</p></li><li><p>One Nation leader Pauline Hanson and winning candidate David Farley embrace as their party wins the Farrer by-election on May 9, in Albury, Australia [Jesse Thompson, Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>A billboard features the temple in Ayodhya, India, one of the signature projects of Mr. Modi&#8217;s first two terms as prime minister. [Sajjad Hussain, Agence France-Presse/Getty Images]</p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: May 4, 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: Argentina, Saudi Arabia, Zambia, Sweden, and Myanmar]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-may-4-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-may-4-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 06 May 2026 10:10:29 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/548e5ddb-6d10-4a75-bfc0-e391751ae849_280x392.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Key Themes: Crisis of Legitimacy and Authority, From Ambition to Constraint, Technology vs Human Reality, Rebalancing of Global Power and Influence</p><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q-KI!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f452dbe-42ef-403a-a73d-af7b8cdb771f_6400x3224.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q-KI!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f452dbe-42ef-403a-a73d-af7b8cdb771f_6400x3224.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q-KI!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f452dbe-42ef-403a-a73d-af7b8cdb771f_6400x3224.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q-KI!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f452dbe-42ef-403a-a73d-af7b8cdb771f_6400x3224.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q-KI!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f452dbe-42ef-403a-a73d-af7b8cdb771f_6400x3224.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q-KI!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f452dbe-42ef-403a-a73d-af7b8cdb771f_6400x3224.png" width="1456" height="733" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8f452dbe-42ef-403a-a73d-af7b8cdb771f_6400x3224.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:733,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:3062050,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/196639077?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f452dbe-42ef-403a-a73d-af7b8cdb771f_6400x3224.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q-KI!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f452dbe-42ef-403a-a73d-af7b8cdb771f_6400x3224.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q-KI!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f452dbe-42ef-403a-a73d-af7b8cdb771f_6400x3224.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q-KI!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f452dbe-42ef-403a-a73d-af7b8cdb771f_6400x3224.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q-KI!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f452dbe-42ef-403a-a73d-af7b8cdb771f_6400x3224.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><em>What You Missed World Ledger: Circa April 2026</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Argentina Eyes the Falklands Again. This Time, the U.S. May Not Back Britain&#8217; - https://time.com/article/2026/04/25/falkland-islands-javier-milei-trump/</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5-of!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8fd10ef5-72f3-4064-b115-01506ffae4b6_1080x720.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5-of!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8fd10ef5-72f3-4064-b115-01506ffae4b6_1080x720.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5-of!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8fd10ef5-72f3-4064-b115-01506ffae4b6_1080x720.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5-of!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8fd10ef5-72f3-4064-b115-01506ffae4b6_1080x720.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5-of!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8fd10ef5-72f3-4064-b115-01506ffae4b6_1080x720.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5-of!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8fd10ef5-72f3-4064-b115-01506ffae4b6_1080x720.webp" width="1080" height="720" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8fd10ef5-72f3-4064-b115-01506ffae4b6_1080x720.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:720,&quot;width&quot;:1080,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:57646,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/196639077?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8fd10ef5-72f3-4064-b115-01506ffae4b6_1080x720.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5-of!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8fd10ef5-72f3-4064-b115-01506ffae4b6_1080x720.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5-of!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8fd10ef5-72f3-4064-b115-01506ffae4b6_1080x720.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5-of!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8fd10ef5-72f3-4064-b115-01506ffae4b6_1080x720.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5-of!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8fd10ef5-72f3-4064-b115-01506ffae4b6_1080x720.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Argentina </strong>once more looks to enforce its claim over the Falkland Islands as Donald Trump has further sought to remove non-American presences from the Americas. President Javier Milei of Argentina has reignited tensions between Argentina and the United Kingdom. Milei recently stated, &#8220;The Malvinas (the Argentine name for the Falklands) were, are, and always will be Argentine.&#8221; He announced that he was doing everything possible to return them to what he believes are their rightful owners, with sovereignty considered non-negotiable.</p><p>The most recent conflict over the 3,600-populated islands was in 1982, when Argentina attempted an invasion but was promptly defeated by the British. The Argentines last held the lands following their war of independence from Spain in the 1820s. The British seized the Falklands in 1833 and later established them as a British colony. Unlike many other colonial territories, the islands had no indigenous population before European settlement. The land first saw Argentine settlers, though most settlement occurred under British rule.</p><p>Argentina has never relinquished its claim over the islands. The 1982 Falklands War occurred after escalating tensions, including Argentine actions on South Georgia. Argentine forces, under the de facto rule of Lieutenant General Leopoldo Galtieri, deployed warships expecting limited resistance. However, Margaret Thatcher, then Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, backed by U.S. President Ronald Reagan, launched a 74-day military campaign that resulted in over 900 deaths and an Argentine surrender.</p><p>Milei&#8217;s renewed pressure follows reports of internal Pentagon discussions suggesting Washington may reconsider its implicit support of European territorial claims in the Western Hemisphere. With NATO allies increasingly at odds with the United States over conflicts such as Iran, Trump has introduced measures that appear aimed at penalizing a perceived lack of support.</p><p>United Kingdom Prime Minister Keir Starmer has reaffirmed that &#8220;sovereignty rests with the U.K.,&#8221; a position broadly supported by Britain&#8217;s major political parties. The United States has historically supported Britain&#8217;s position on the Falklands, although recent rhetoric suggests possible shifts in tone. Starmer has also stated that he has no intention of joining America&#8217;s war with Iran, emphasizing that his decisions will be guided solely by the needs and interests of the British public.</p><p>Argentina is economically and militarily in no position to challenge British control of the islands directly; however, even implicit U.S. backing &#8212; however unprecedented &#8212; could raise tensions and risk future conflict. <em>Will this Pentagon report signal a broader shift in U.S. policy toward other territories, such as French Guiana or the Dutch Caribbean?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;What the End of Saudi Arabia&#8217;s Big-Spending Era Means for the Kingdom and Beyond&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/01/world/middleeast/saudi-arabia-spending-sports-liv-golf.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UKAX!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f17d3fa-32d4-4408-9a92-316ae6bcbcdc_1024x683.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UKAX!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f17d3fa-32d4-4408-9a92-316ae6bcbcdc_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UKAX!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UKAX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f17d3fa-32d4-4408-9a92-316ae6bcbcdc_1024x683.webp" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7f17d3fa-32d4-4408-9a92-316ae6bcbcdc_1024x683.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:57030,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/196639077?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f17d3fa-32d4-4408-9a92-316ae6bcbcdc_1024x683.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UKAX!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f17d3fa-32d4-4408-9a92-316ae6bcbcdc_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UKAX!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f17d3fa-32d4-4408-9a92-316ae6bcbcdc_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UKAX!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f17d3fa-32d4-4408-9a92-316ae6bcbcdc_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UKAX!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7f17d3fa-32d4-4408-9a92-316ae6bcbcdc_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Saudi Arabia</strong> has spent vast sums of its wealth on mega-projects and global investments &#8212; but with financial pressures mounting, what comes next?</p><p>The kingdom launched an ambitious public image campaign following the rise of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, aiming to transform its reputation from a conservative desert state into a global middle power. From sports to entertainment, Saudi Arabia sought to reshape the cultural zeitgeist and expand its international influence.</p><p>However, many of these projects, already struggling to generate returns, are now being scaled back as oil revenues decline and fiscal pressures grow. The kingdom relied heavily on its sovereign wealth vehicle, the Public Investment Fund (PIF), a fund approaching $1 trillion, to bankroll these initiatives.</p><p>A major example is LIV Golf, a multi-billion-dollar effort that attracted some of the sport&#8217;s biggest stars. Despite over $5 billion in investment since 2022, the league has failed to become financially sustainable. Saudi Arabia has now confirmed it will withdraw funding after the 2026 season, forcing the league to seek outside investors or risk collapse.</p><p>Across the sports world, this decision will have ripple effects: player salaries may decline, teams will scramble for sponsorships, and the broader sports investment model backed by Gulf capital will face increased scrutiny. The PIF has explicitly stated that such large-scale international spending no longer aligns with its current priorities.</p><p>At the same time, Saudi Arabia is redirecting resources toward domestic and strategic priorities&#8212;particularly major upcoming events such as the 2030 World Expo and the 2034 FIFA World Cup. These projects are viewed as essential to long-term economic diversification and global positioning.</p><p>The financial strain is real. Saudi Arabia recently posted a budget deficit of over $30 billion, driven by falling oil revenues and rising expenditures tied to these mega-projects. Meanwhile, flagship initiatives like NEOM and &#8220;The Line&#8221; have been scaled back or reconsidered as costs balloon and timelines slip.</p><p>Even cultural investments have not been spared, as reports indicate Saudi funding cuts to international institutions such as the Metropolitan Opera due to the broader economic impact of regional instability.</p><p><em>With the UAE&#8217;s recent departure from OPEC, the US-Iran War has cascaded massive knock-on effects around the globe. What other reactions may occur from Gulf states due to draining profits?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Zambia is the world&#8217;s walking safari capital&#8217; - https://www.bbc.com/travel/article/20260427-zambia-is-the-worlds-walking-safari-capital</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iGjJ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc731a6cc-6491-42f7-bfb3-371c3686b7f5_1024x576.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iGjJ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc731a6cc-6491-42f7-bfb3-371c3686b7f5_1024x576.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iGjJ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc731a6cc-6491-42f7-bfb3-371c3686b7f5_1024x576.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iGjJ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc731a6cc-6491-42f7-bfb3-371c3686b7f5_1024x576.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iGjJ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc731a6cc-6491-42f7-bfb3-371c3686b7f5_1024x576.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Zambia</strong> is emerging as a major tourist destination, becoming a preferred international site for safaris. Wildlife tourism is growing worldwide, with African reserves from Kenya to Tanzania capturing global attention. However, this rising popularity often comes with ecological strain, prompting conservationists to seek alternative, more sustainable methods of sightseeing.</p><p>In Zambia, the white rhino has been driven to near extinction due to mass poaching and hunting in the 1980s, compounded by weak regulation and poor conservation practices. Traditionally, most safari experiences involve travelers moving through reserves in vans or trucks. Zambia, however, is increasingly promoting walking safaris as a more eco-friendly and immersive alternative.</p><p>Rather than simply observing nature, visitors are encouraged to become part of it. Walking safaris shift the focus away from only large, charismatic animals like elephants and lions, and instead highlight smaller details&#8212;flora, insects, animal tracks, and even the scent of the landscape itself. This slower, more intimate engagement reflects a broader conservation ethos.</p><p>South Luangwa National Park (along with Lower Zambezi and Kafue National Parks) has become a leader in this movement, showcasing how tourism can align with environmental preservation. Zambia is widely regarded as the birthplace of the walking safari, a concept pioneered in the 1950s by Norman Carr, who sought to replace hunting with conservation-based tourism.</p><p>Walking safaris require far greater expertise than traditional game drives. Guides undergo years of rigorous training, mastering animal behavior, tracking, and regional geography to ensure both safety and educational value. Only a small percentage of safaris&#8212;roughly 2&#8211;3%&#8212;are conducted on foot, as many tourists still prefer the convenience and perceived safety of vehicles.</p><p>However, mass appeal is not the goal. The strength of Zambia&#8217;s model lies in its exclusivity and depth. By limiting scale and emphasizing quality, walking safaris reduce environmental pressure while offering a more authentic experience. A move away from spectator tourism and one towards participatory conservation.</p><p><em>What are other natural spectacles that could evolve toward heightened eco-friendly models?</em></p><div><hr></div><p>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;I took an algorithm to court in Sweden. The algorithm won&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/apr/30/i-took-an-algorithm-to-court-in-sweden-the-algorithm-won</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_pH1!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb12816a8-fdb3-4c84-bccb-1566be300b96_1240x992.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_pH1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb12816a8-fdb3-4c84-bccb-1566be300b96_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_pH1!, 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb12816a8-fdb3-4c84-bccb-1566be300b96_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_pH1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb12816a8-fdb3-4c84-bccb-1566be300b96_1240x992.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_pH1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb12816a8-fdb3-4c84-bccb-1566be300b96_1240x992.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_pH1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb12816a8-fdb3-4c84-bccb-1566be300b96_1240x992.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Sweden </strong>is seeing growing debates surrounding the use of artificial and generative intelligence and its relationship with society. In 2020, in Gothenburg, the city used an artificial intelligence system to determine school placements. Described as objective, unbiased, and a way to optimize efficiency, the program was rolled out for primary education.</p><p>Yet problems emerged immediately. Children were assigned to schools with which they had no connection, no reasonable transit routes, and little consideration for safety. Administrators initially dismissed complaints, directing frustrated parents to appeal individual placements instead.</p><p>A year later, an audit revealed that the algorithm had assigned children based on &#8220;as-the-crow-flies&#8221; distances rather than realistic walking routes. While the system was eventually corrected, roughly 700 children had already been placed in incorrect schools, with many forced to remain there.</p><p>The consequences extended beyond those directly affected. One misplaced student displaced another, creating cascading effects across the entire school system&#8212;shifting placements, routines, and daily lives. What may appear as a technical error instead reshaped a broader social ecosystem.</p><p>Algorithmic failures are not isolated to this Gothenburg case. Similar issues have appeared across Europe, from postal service scandals in the United Kingdom to childcare benefit algorithms in the Netherlands. In some instances, lives have not just been disrupted but severely damaged, with limited legal accountability.</p><p>Charlotta Kronblad, a researcher and parent affected by the Gothenburg case, brought a lawsuit challenging the legality of the system itself. However, lacking access to the source code, she relied on case studies demonstrating incorrect placements. The court ruled that direct access to the algorithm was required to meet the evidentiary threshold, effectively making the burden of proof impossible to meet.</p><p>This reflects a broader legal dilemma: courts increasingly treat algorithmic systems as neutral tools, placing the burden of proof on individuals harmed by them. In practice, this creates a presumption of innocence for opaque technological systems, while victims are left without meaningful avenues for redress.</p><p><em>What can be done internationally, regionally, and locally to begin regulations among the ever-increasing use of artificial intelligence in systems and institutions?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Myanmar ex-leader Aung San Suu Kyi moved to house arrest, military says&#8217; - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cz72j8eex4eo</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!szY0!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F473dd8f8-7511-4b37-acae-3a766bd2a896_1024x575.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!szY0!, 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/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!szY0!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F473dd8f8-7511-4b37-acae-3a766bd2a896_1024x575.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Myanmar</strong>&#8217;s civil war continues to evolve as former leader Aung San Suu Kyi has now been moved to house arrest. Suu Kyi, a Nobel Peace Prize laureate, has been detained since the military coup led by Min Aung Hlaing in 2021. Her &#8220;remaining sentence is to be served at a designated residence,&#8221; according to state authorities.</p><p>She had previously spent 15 years under house arrest during an earlier period of military rule, becoming a global symbol of democratic resistance. However, since her detention in 2021, she has been largely cut off from the outside world. Reports indicate that her legal team and family have had little to no contact with her for years, raising serious concerns about her health and even whether she is still alive.</p><p>The military government recently released a photograph, likely from 2022, showing Suu Kyi alongside officials, though its timing and authenticity have been questioned. This limited disclosure underscores the junta&#8217;s tight control over information surrounding her condition.</p><p>The move to house arrest comes amid shifting dynamics in Myanmar&#8217;s ongoing civil war. Despite continued resistance, the military retains control over key institutions, while large portions of the country remain contested by ethnic armed groups and pro-democracy forces. The junta has also attempted to legitimize its rule through widely criticized elections, which excluded major groups and much of the population.</p><p>At the same time, the decision to ease Suu Kyi&#8217;s conditions appears to be politically calculated. Analysts suggest the junta is seeking to improve its international standing, particularly with regional actors like ASEAN, after years of diplomatic isolation. Indeed, regional leaders have already called for greater access to Suu Kyi as part of broader peace efforts.</p><p>Suu Kyi&#8217;s legacy remains deeply complicated. Once celebrated globally for her pro-democracy activism, her international reputation declined sharply after she defended Myanmar&#8217;s actions against the Rohingya population. Yet domestically, she still represents a powerful symbol of civilian rule and democratic aspiration.</p><p><em>As the civil war within Myanmar continues to rage on, how could further knowledge and a possible release of Kyi shape regional dynamics?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive weekly geopolitical news and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Below, vote on the articles you would most like me to cover in-depth, and feel free to comment with any questions or remarks you have!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:507935}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-may-4-2026?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-may-4-2026?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>Argentina's President Javier Milei attends a ceremony to honor victims of the 1982 war between Argentina and Britain in the Malvinas Islands, marking the 44th anniversary of the conflict, in Buenos Aires, Argentina, on April 2, 2026. [Matias Baglietto/NurPhoto, Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>A picture of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, in 2022. [Tamir Kalifa, The New York Times]</p></li><li><p>Walking safari guests follow the guides at all times, to observe wildlife respectfully and safely. [Barbara Noe Kennedy, BBC]</p></li><li><p>The &#196;lvsborgsbron suspension bridge over the G&#246;ta &#228;lv; city authorities failed to factor in the river when allocating school places. [Josef Kubes/Alamy, The Guardian] </p></li><li><p>State TV broadcast a picture of the Nobel laureate in confinement [Myanmar State TV, BBC]</p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: April 27, 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: Angola, Bulgaria, Mali, Turkey, and Venezuela]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-april-27-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-april-27-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 28 Apr 2026 10:17:38 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/307b18b1-0f66-447d-b94e-0f09b97e8879_768x1086.webp" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Key Themes: Geopolitical Realignment and New Alliances, Strategic Importance of Geography, Institutions Under Pressure, and Crisis as Opportunity </p><div><hr></div><p><em>Author&#8217;s Note: Apologies for the lack of new the past few weeks. I was on holiday, and I will be moving shortly. The next few weeks may see some turbulence as well, but hopefully back to regular programming soon! </em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;In Angola, Pope Faces the Legacy of Colonialism&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/18/world/africa/pope-leo-slavery-africa-angola.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u0cD!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60942f48-42b2-4071-b33e-822360ecc91c_1024x683.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u0cD!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60942f48-42b2-4071-b33e-822360ecc91c_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u0cD!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60942f48-42b2-4071-b33e-822360ecc91c_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u0cD!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60942f48-42b2-4071-b33e-822360ecc91c_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u0cD!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60942f48-42b2-4071-b33e-822360ecc91c_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u0cD!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60942f48-42b2-4071-b33e-822360ecc91c_1024x683.webp" width="1024" height="683" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60942f48-42b2-4071-b33e-822360ecc91c_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u0cD!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60942f48-42b2-4071-b33e-822360ecc91c_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u0cD!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60942f48-42b2-4071-b33e-822360ecc91c_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!u0cD!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60942f48-42b2-4071-b33e-822360ecc91c_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Angola </strong>welcomes the Pope during his African tour, seeking to embrace one of the continent&#8217;s largest Catholic communities while also reshaping relics of the Church&#8217;s past. Pope Leo XIV joined Southern Africa&#8217;s oldest Catholic community, dating back 500 years. The nation hosts over 20 million Catholics, yet has no cardinal within its borders.</p><p>Africa is the least proportionately represented continent within the Vatican, with only 14 out of 121 elected cardinals. Every single cardinal in Africa represents around 365,000 African Catholics. Many individual countries have worse representation in terms of their voice being heard within the Church; however, no continent faces such a disparity.</p><p>In the 15th century, Portuguese sailors entered the then-Kongo Kingdom, bringing with them a wave of Catholicism. The Kingdom quickly embraced these religious practices, with over half of the population considered Catholic within three decades. The Kongo sent an envoy seeking representation within the Vatican, requesting a local bishopric. Instead, the kingdom&#8217;s Church was represented via the Portuguese colony of S&#227;o Tom&#233;.</p><p>In its half-millennium of service to the Catholic Church, Angola has been granted only two cardinals, while its former colonial counterpart, Portugal, today hosts six.</p><p>Pope Leo XIV, whose trip is largely focused on spirituality rather than policy, is seen as having an opportunity to connect his roots with the African continent and to elevate the region within the Church&#8217;s future vision. As a bishop, Pope Leo visited the continent more than a dozen times. He is a member of the Order of St. Augustine, a sect founded by a religious leader with Algerian roots. One of the main tenets of the order is assisting populations most at risk.</p><p>Angola today faces massive wealth inequality, with the highest earners living lavishly from the country&#8217;s abundant oil riches, while many live on under $4 a day. The nation is also one of the youngest in the world, with three-quarters of the population under 30. Africa is one of the only regions experiencing sustained population growth, positioning it for significantly greater global influence in the coming decades.</p><p>Regional leaders hope that Leo&#8217;s visit can bring solidarity to a nation still divided following the end of its 27-year civil war in 2002. Angola is home to one of the most popular Christian pilgrimages in Southern Africa: the shrine of Mama Muxima. The site is historically significant as a place where enslaved people were baptized before being sent across the Atlantic to the New World.</p><p>Today, around 40&#8211;55% of Angolans identify as Catholic, with the Church increasingly competing with other Christian movements such as evangelical and Protestant denominations.</p><p>The Angolan Church faces challenges similar to many of its African counterparts: a lack of representation both internationally and domestically, alongside the need to address growing fragmentation and competing sects. While Angolan Catholic leadership argues that the Vatican could provide greater support to the continent, there is also recognition that African Catholics themselves could do more to strengthen and promote the Church.</p><p><em>Will Pope Leo&#8217;s visit to Angola be a unifying moment for the nation? How will his visit differ from those to neighboring countries?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Moscow-friendly Rumen Radev wins absolute majority in Bulgarian elections&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/apr/19/bulgaria-election-rumen-radev-boyko-borissov</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bP5N!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc56f1a8e-0017-4db8-8ea6-69c9cb2338d1_1240x992.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bP5N!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc56f1a8e-0017-4db8-8ea6-69c9cb2338d1_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bP5N!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc56f1a8e-0017-4db8-8ea6-69c9cb2338d1_1240x992.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bP5N!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc56f1a8e-0017-4db8-8ea6-69c9cb2338d1_1240x992.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bP5N!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc56f1a8e-0017-4db8-8ea6-69c9cb2338d1_1240x992.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Bulgaria</strong> has overwhelmingly elected a pro-Moscow, eurosceptic leader, while Hungary has decisively ousted longtime leader Viktor Orb&#225;n. Rumen Radev and his Progressive Bulgaria party secured a resounding 44.6% of the vote, winning 131 of the nation&#8217;s 240 parliamentary seats.</p><p>Radev has effectively secured a majority, with the party receiving the second-most votes&#8212;the conservative GERB&#8212;trailing far behind at around 13.4%. Bulgaria has now held eight elections since 2021, with the country plagued by corruption and recurring political scandals.</p><p>Radev previously served as President of Bulgaria from 2021 to 2026, resigning earlier this year following mass protests. Now set to become Prime Minister, he has emphasized remaining committed to Bulgaria&#8217;s European path while also advocating for a stronger, more independent national direction.</p><p>Radev campaigned against Bulgaria joining the Eurozone earlier this year and has largely opposed major support packages for Ukraine in its war against Russia. He received congratulations from Moscow following his victory, while his foreign policy positions remained intentionally vague during the campaign.</p><p>At the same time, Radev has stated that Bulgaria&#8217;s role within the EU should not mirror that of Orb&#225;n&#8217;s Hungary as an outlier, suggesting a more pragmatic rather than confrontational approach.</p><p>Despite his strong mandate, Radev does not hold unrestricted power to enact structural reforms. Constitutional or major institutional changes, such as to the judiciary, require a larger parliamentary majority than he currently commands. This could, however, shift if he forms a coalition with smaller parties.</p><p>Radev has centered his campaign on anti-corruption messaging, tapping into widespread public frustration. After years of instability, many Bulgarians are eager for any meaningful change.</p><p><em>How will Radev govern and pursue reform while remaining bound by EU laws and regulations? Will he steer Bulgaria toward a position similar to Hungary&#8217;s, acting as a brake on EU integration and reform?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Armed groups launch coordinated attacks across Mali&#8217; - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/clyx7nnrkqdo</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TUGU!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78925973-1b7e-42c6-b5c7-f9cb4793ca64_1024x573.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TUGU!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78925973-1b7e-42c6-b5c7-f9cb4793ca64_1024x573.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TUGU!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78925973-1b7e-42c6-b5c7-f9cb4793ca64_1024x573.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TUGU!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78925973-1b7e-42c6-b5c7-f9cb4793ca64_1024x573.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TUGU!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78925973-1b7e-42c6-b5c7-f9cb4793ca64_1024x573.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TUGU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78925973-1b7e-42c6-b5c7-f9cb4793ca64_1024x573.webp" width="1024" height="573" 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/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TUGU!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78925973-1b7e-42c6-b5c7-f9cb4793ca64_1024x573.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Mali </strong>faces escalating armed violence as coordinated attacks rage across the nation. In the capital, Bamako, explosions and gunfire have been reported across multiple districts. The military has announced that it is defending the capital, stating that militants have fled certain areas, though clashes remain ongoing.</p><p>From Kati and Gao to S&#233;var&#233; and Kidal, nearly every region of Mali has experienced surges in violence and rising extremism. Islamist insurgent groups such as al-Qaeda&#8211;linked Jama&#8217;at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM), alongside separatist forces like the Azawad Liberation Front (FLA), have long destabilized the country and inflicted widespread terror on civilians.</p><p>Recent reports indicate that JNIM and the FLA have coordinated attacks across Mali, marking a significant escalation in the conflict. Leaders from both groups have confirmed cooperation, with ongoing fighting against Malian government forces and Russian-backed mercenaries.</p><p>These insurgent and rebel groups appear to be attempting to sever government control over the north, seeking dominance over large portions of the country. The FLA has reportedly taken control of key northern areas such as Kidal, while other regions remain contested.</p><p>Checkpoints have been established nationwide, and Bamako has imposed curfews on the civilian population. Meanwhile, the African Union and the United Nations have condemned the violence and called for an immediate cessation of hostilities.</p><p>Mali, like many nations across the Sahel, has seen militant and insurgent groups grow in strength and boldness over recent years. A major coordinated offensive launched in April 2026&#8212;described as one of the largest in years&#8212;targeted cities across the country, including the capital.</p><p>International efforts to stabilize Mali have faltered. UN peacekeepers and French forces withdrew following the 2020&#8211;2021 military coups, leaving a security vacuum that has since been filled in part by Russian mercenary forces.</p><p>Now governed by a military junta under General Assimi Go&#239;ta, promises of security and stability have largely failed to materialize. Armed groups continue to expand their reach, and the humanitarian and security situation remains dire.</p><p>The crisis is further compounded by human rights abuses, both by insurgent groups and by state forces and their allies, deepening mistrust among local populations and fueling recruitment into militant movements.</p><p><em>What can be done by international organizations and regional governments to lessen the extended crisis in Mali?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Turkey promotes &#8216;Middle Corridor&#8217; as Strait of Hormuz alternative&#8217; - https://www.ft.com/content/a1ea2038-b4d7-4d94-bd02-bfb65d730f45?syn-25a6b1a6=1</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FfjP!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F088e0ac9-49e2-4e00-9b5f-94671b81f38f_1400x933.avif" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F088e0ac9-49e2-4e00-9b5f-94671b81f38f_1400x933.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FfjP!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F088e0ac9-49e2-4e00-9b5f-94671b81f38f_1400x933.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FfjP!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F088e0ac9-49e2-4e00-9b5f-94671b81f38f_1400x933.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FfjP!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F088e0ac9-49e2-4e00-9b5f-94671b81f38f_1400x933.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Turkey</strong>, in an effort to counter the bottleneck that a closure of the Strait of Hormuz could create, has thrown its own hat into the ring as an alternative route for oil and trade movement. The Alican border crossing between Turkey and Armenia, closed for 32 years, has seen renewed attention and increased development following recent regional shifts.</p><p>Armenia and Azerbaijan, alongside the United States, have signed a tentative peace agreement regarding borders and future relations. A new project, labelled the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity (TRIPP), may help open a trade route with potentially global implications.</p><p>Turkey has long positioned itself as a middle ground between world powers and rival blocs, situated at the crossroads of Europe, the Caucasus, the Middle East, and wider Asia and Africa. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdo&#287;an stated, &#8220;We wholeheartedly believe that this global crisis will open new doors for our country.&#8221;</p><p>The proposed route would function as a Europe-Asia land corridor and pipeline system, offering a much faster alternative to current maritime shipping. Existing sea routes can take around 40 days, while the overland Middle Corridor from Turkey to China is projected to reduce transit times to roughly 12&#8211;15 days.</p><p>Partner blocs such as the European Union and NATO are hopeful about such projects, viewing alternative transportation corridors as increasingly important for economic security and risk mitigation.</p><p>One proposed energy route would bring Gulf oil while bypassing both the Strait of Hormuz and the Suez Canal. However, this would likely require transit through unstable parts of Iraq. Another possible route through Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Syria has also been discussed, though it would likely take at least a decade to fully materialize.</p><p>TRIPP itself is a U.S.-backed road and rail corridor through Armenia connecting Azerbaijan with its exclave of Nakhchivan, while helping underpin the Armenia-Azerbaijan peace process.</p><p>Building the broader Middle Corridor gives Turkey a major opportunity to strengthen links into Europe, but the route still carries strategic risks further east. Freight crossing the Caspian Sea must still pass through waters heavily influenced by Russia, while Iran borders its southern edge. Northern Turkish access also reaches the Black Sea, another region shaped heavily by Russian naval presence.</p><p>Turkey is geographically positioned to link continents, yet it is also modernly situated amid zones of persistent conflict.</p><p><em>Will the idea of TRIPP continue beyond a Donald Trump presidency? How effectively can Turkey leverage ongoing geopolitical conflict for long-term economic success?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Venezuela was promised an economic revival. But three months of minimum wage doesn&#8217;t add up to a single US dollar&#8217; - https://edition.cnn.com/2026/04/23/americas/venezuela-economy-delcy-rodriguez-intl-latam</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4jE!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3f87dc9-8fe9-4329-97b8-9f54c6e59bfc_860x572.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4jE!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3f87dc9-8fe9-4329-97b8-9f54c6e59bfc_860x572.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4jE!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3f87dc9-8fe9-4329-97b8-9f54c6e59bfc_860x572.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4jE!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3f87dc9-8fe9-4329-97b8-9f54c6e59bfc_860x572.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4jE!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3f87dc9-8fe9-4329-97b8-9f54c6e59bfc_860x572.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4jE!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3f87dc9-8fe9-4329-97b8-9f54c6e59bfc_860x572.avif" width="860" height="572" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f3f87dc9-8fe9-4329-97b8-9f54c6e59bfc_860x572.avif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:572,&quot;width&quot;:860,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:87202,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/avif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/195731655?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3f87dc9-8fe9-4329-97b8-9f54c6e59bfc_860x572.avif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4jE!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3f87dc9-8fe9-4329-97b8-9f54c6e59bfc_860x572.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4jE!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3f87dc9-8fe9-4329-97b8-9f54c6e59bfc_860x572.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4jE!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3f87dc9-8fe9-4329-97b8-9f54c6e59bfc_860x572.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w4jE!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3f87dc9-8fe9-4329-97b8-9f54c6e59bfc_860x572.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Venezuela</strong>ns had looked toward the recent capture and ousting of leader Nicol&#225;s Maduro as a possible turning point for improved living standards; however, so far, they have seen little reprieve.</p><p>On January 3 of this year, Nicol&#225;s Maduro and his wife were taken into U.S. custody over drug trafficking allegations following a military operation in Caracas. Although many were initially hopeful, ordinary Venezuelans have found their daily lives largely unchanged, with three months of minimum wage reportedly not even amounting to one U.S. dollar.</p><p>Rampant inflation, alongside rising fuel and food prices, has perpetuated a cycle of severe impoverishment and financial instability, which the new government has done little to resolve immediately. Delcy Rodr&#237;guez, the former Vice President of Venezuela, was swiftly inaugurated as president following Maduro&#8217;s capture.</p><p>Rodr&#237;guez has, unlike Maduro, sought extensive U.S. aid and cooperation in hopes of bringing Venezuela back into the global marketplace. U.S. sanctions have been eased, while Rodr&#237;guez has restarted conversations with international financial institutions and opened the door to new foreign investment.</p><p>Seeking to focus on domestic production, Rodr&#237;guez has promoted foreign capital, alongside plans to expand oil production and exports. Businesses, however, continue to feel the immense burden of hyperinflation. Prices for goods can rise sharply, while property values and savings remain unstable.</p><p>Despite Venezuela&#8217;s enormous oil wealth and potential prosperity, average citizens continue to suffer while national institutions provide minimal relief. The rapidly changing economic environment has led many Venezuelans to choose between buying a meal and paying for transportation.</p><p>Rodr&#237;guez recently announced that by Labor Day, May 1, a more reasonable minimum wage increase would be introduced nationwide. Citizens have expressed cautious hope, but remain wary of optimistic economic promises.</p><p>Venezuela&#8217;s inflation remains extraordinarily high, with structural reforms still needed to create any lasting recovery. Stabilizing the currency, restoring confidence, and rebuilding productive capacity are among the first necessary steps toward economic calm.</p><p>For many Venezuelans, however, economic change can only come alongside political change as well. At present, Rodr&#237;guez remains set to lead the country on an open-ended interim basis, while calls for elections continue.</p><p><em>Will the new U.S. partnership deliver growth and greater opportunity for the Venezuelan people? Or will it simply redirect the country&#8217;s resources away from locals and into the hands of international corporations?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive weekly geopolitical news and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Below, vote on the articles you would most like me to cover in-depth, and feel free to comment with any questions or remarks you have!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:503377}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-april-27-2026?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-april-27-2026?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>In Luanda on Friday. Several Angolan clergy members said they looked forward to Leo&#8217;s sharing a positive message while in the country. [Themba Hadebe, Associated Press] </p></li><li><p>Radev speaks to journalists in Sofia after polls closed in Sunday's election.  [Valentina Petrova, AP]</p></li><li><p>FLA spokesman Mohamed Elmaouloud Ramadane said the attacks had been planned "for a long time." [Jake Lapham/Makuochi Okafor<strong>, </strong>BBC]</p></li><li><p>The TRIPP project, unveiled at the White House in February, is partly designed to help end the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan.  [Prime Minister of the Republic of Armenia, FT]</p></li><li><p>People walk as they are reflected in a puddle on the street near commercial shops in Caracas, Venezuela, January 31, 2026. [Maxwell Briceno/Reuters]</p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: March 30, 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: Denmark, Yemen, Myanmar, The Philippines, and Cuba]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-march-30-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-march-30-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:53:01 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6e66dbb1-2568-4298-9dee-ae568dd9d9f8_308x500.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Key Themes: Energy as a Strategic Weapon, Fragmentation Over Ideological Unity, Rise of Proxy and Indirect Conflict, and Globalization Under Strain</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;It&#8217;s All About the Pigs, Stupid&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/25/world/europe/denmark-elections-pigs-frederiksen.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!soNX!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F839127af-dd41-4813-86c3-42957f62418e_1024x683.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!soNX!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F839127af-dd41-4813-86c3-42957f62418e_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!soNX!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F839127af-dd41-4813-86c3-42957f62418e_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!soNX!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F839127af-dd41-4813-86c3-42957f62418e_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!soNX!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F839127af-dd41-4813-86c3-42957f62418e_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!soNX!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F839127af-dd41-4813-86c3-42957f62418e_1024x683.webp" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/839127af-dd41-4813-86c3-42957f62418e_1024x683.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:62614,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/192725883?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F839127af-dd41-4813-86c3-42957f62418e_1024x683.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!soNX!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F839127af-dd41-4813-86c3-42957f62418e_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!soNX!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F839127af-dd41-4813-86c3-42957f62418e_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!soNX!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F839127af-dd41-4813-86c3-42957f62418e_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!soNX!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F839127af-dd41-4813-86c3-42957f62418e_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Denmark</strong>&#8217;s election has left a leader scorned and a nation deeply divided. Mette Frederiksen, the current Prime Minister of Denmark, has seen her popularity dwindle after more than two decades in Danish politics. International discourse surrounding Greenland and her staunch defense of the island against Donald Trump granted her some political clout; however, domestic politics ultimately proved to be her downfall.</p><p>Frederiksen, seeking to use the Greenland crisis as a springboard for a potential third term, called snap elections. Danish voters, while praising her coordination with NATO allies and her role in fostering a moment of European solidarity, have largely grown apathetic toward her and the centre-left Social Democrats&#8217; rule.</p><p>Voters had a choice of 12 parties, with the Social Democrats still receiving the highest vote share at around 22%. However, this fell well short of a majority and marked the party&#8217;s worst performance in over a century.</p><p>Frederiksen subsequently resigned her post, leaving the Danish premiership up for negotiation. She is now attempting to form a coalition with other left-leaning parties in a bid to retain leadership.</p><p>Unusually, pigs have emerged as a central issue in Danish political debate, with the country&#8217;s roughly 12 million swine outnumbering its population. Farmers view pig production as essential to Denmark&#8217;s agricultural economy, while environmentalists argue that such high concentrations damage soil and contaminate drinking water.</p><p>Frederiksen has also championed a proposed wealth tax, which has faced opposition from wealthier farmers and more moderate parties, further complicating coalition negotiations.</p><p>Danish politics has become increasingly fragmented, with single-issue parties gaining prominence. Rather than competing over broad ideological questions such as foreign policy or major societal reforms&#8212;areas where many parties now largely agree&#8212;political divisions are increasingly shaped by local and sector-specific concerns.</p><p>While this relative consensus on traditional issues is notable, it has elevated niche topics such as water quality, pensions, and agricultural practices to the forefront of political debate. Party fragmentation, however, is not unique to Denmark; it reflects a broader trend across Europe. Even long-established parties such as the Conservatives and Labour in the United Kingdom have experienced declining vote shares amid the rise of newer, more specialized or radical movements.</p><p>Although Frederiksen is no longer broadly popular across the Danish electorate, her position as leader of the Social Democrats still places her in a strong position to secure a third term through coalition-building. The Danish electorate remains largely left-leaning, with the election highlighting fragmentation within a shared ideological space rather than a decisive shift to the right.</p><p><em>Is fragmentation a worrying trend in Denmark and across Europe?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;What the Houthis&#8217; entry into the Iran war means for the conflict and the wider region&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/29/what-the-houthis-entry-into-the-iran-war-means-for-the-conflict-and-the-wider-region</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-2vW!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f7bd75b-71a8-4657-80ee-2bce8803c9d6_1240x992.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-2vW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f7bd75b-71a8-4657-80ee-2bce8803c9d6_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-2vW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f7bd75b-71a8-4657-80ee-2bce8803c9d6_1240x992.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-2vW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f7bd75b-71a8-4657-80ee-2bce8803c9d6_1240x992.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-2vW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f7bd75b-71a8-4657-80ee-2bce8803c9d6_1240x992.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-2vW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f7bd75b-71a8-4657-80ee-2bce8803c9d6_1240x992.avif" width="1240" height="992" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f7bd75b-71a8-4657-80ee-2bce8803c9d6_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-2vW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f7bd75b-71a8-4657-80ee-2bce8803c9d6_1240x992.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-2vW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f7bd75b-71a8-4657-80ee-2bce8803c9d6_1240x992.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-2vW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f7bd75b-71a8-4657-80ee-2bce8803c9d6_1240x992.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Yemen</strong>&#8217;s Houthis attacks, and their potential entry into the wider regional Iran war, may shut down the only viable alternative corridor for Gulf oil shipments. The Houthis are an Iran-backed proxy group based in western Yemen, controlling a vast swath of territory in a country still embroiled in civil war.</p><p>They have recently resumed missile strikes against Israel following a year-long hiatus, raising concerns over their potential obstruction of the Bab al-Mandab Strait. In effect, such a move could eliminate Indian Ocean access for Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states, leaving oil exports either routed through an already strained Suez Canal or vulnerable to Iranian interference.</p><p>The Houthis have controlled much of western Yemen since their 2014 uprising and have consistently targeted Israel and its allies for over a decade. By 2023, they expanded operations to include attacks on U.S.-linked shipping in the Red Sea. A ceasefire mediated by Oman in 2025 brought relative stability, though the Houthis explicitly excluded Israel from its terms. Once a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas was reached, Houthi attacks temporarily ceased.</p><p>Iran&#8217;s apparent willingness to negotiate with the United States contributed to a pause in Houthi activity; however, the escalation into a broader regional war may prompt Tehran to reactivate its proxy network.</p><p>The Bab al-Mandab Strait is a critical maritime chokepoint, serving as the southern gateway to the Red Sea and the Suez Canal, and thus a key link between Europe and Asia. If blocked, shipping would be forced to reroute around Africa via the Cape of Good Hope&#8212;dramatically increasing transit times and costs during an already volatile period.</p><p>Yemen has long been a battleground for regional influence, with Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates backing opposing factions. While the Houthis could escalate disruption, they also border Saudi Arabia, one of the states most vulnerable to a closure of remaining export routes.</p><p>The Houthis possess the leverage to extract concessions, potentially acting as gatekeepers of maritime access, but any escalation risks pulling Yemen&#8217;s decade-long civil war deeper into a wider regional conflict involving multiple actors and competing interests.</p><p><em>What, then, is likely to arise from the increasingly critical Bab al-Mandab Strait?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Who is fighting in Myanmar&#8217;s multi-front civil war?&#8217; - https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2026/3/27/who-is-fighting-in-myanmars-multi-front-civil-war</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe7fe83a0-7b99-4eb9-97d2-524ffa99435c_770x513.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_AAy!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe7fe83a0-7b99-4eb9-97d2-524ffa99435c_770x513.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_AAy!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe7fe83a0-7b99-4eb9-97d2-524ffa99435c_770x513.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_AAy!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe7fe83a0-7b99-4eb9-97d2-524ffa99435c_770x513.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Myanmar</strong>&#8217;s years-long civil war has led to blurred battle lines and no clear leadership structure in sight. Six years ago, Myanmar&#8217;s military installed a regime, ousting the elected government and civilian leadership, bringing the nation into conflict over ethnicity, religion, and politics.</p><p>Myanmar, formerly Burma, had a delicate peace following its independence from Great Britain in 1948. Many ethnic communities believed they would find greater autonomy in their newly independent state, but instead found a strong military tradition of self-defense and a &#8220;law of the jungle&#8221; political environment.</p><p>The Burmese military has received arms from Russia and China and has been combating protesters with modern military equipment. It carried out a massive crackdown following the 2021 democracy rallies, leading to major ebbs and flows in the balance of power among various factions. Nearly 100,000 people are estimated to have been killed, with over 3.6 million displaced.</p><p>The current military regime is led by Senior General Min Aung Hlaing, focusing on elevating the Bamar majority while centralizing other groups under its banner. Its goals revolve around enforcing Buddhist values and consolidating power among groups it deems loyal.</p><p>The military suffered significant losses in the early years of the conflict, but general splintering among opposition forces and external support from countries such as China have helped it reclaim territory. Unlike other groups, the military presents a unified banner under a strongman leader. While internal divisions could emerge, unity remains a key factor in the army&#8217;s continued effectiveness.</p><p>The People&#8217;s Defence Force (PDF) is the largest armed resistance group to emerge following the military coup. It is supported by the National Unity Government (NUG), a shadow government formed by former Myanmar leaders before their removal from power.</p><p>The PDF is largely composed of members of the Bamar ethnic group as well, but is far more fragmented due to weak centralization. Unlike the pro-military Bamar base, the PDF represents a pro-democracy movement. It acquires arms through scavenging and black-market sales, and its warfare remains largely sporadic. Competing ethnic interests have made unity within the PDF increasingly difficult.</p><p>Various ethnic armed groups&#8212;roughly twenty with territorial influence&#8212;have achieved significant success in weakening the military government&#8217;s control. These groups draw strong support from ethnic minorities seeking to defend their regions and cultures from the Bamar-dominated military. However, they themselves remain deeply fragmented across Myanmar.</p><p>Many of these groups control regions rich in rare earths and other valuable resources, which brings increased regional and international attention. Their lack of unity enables the military to pursue a divide-and-conquer strategy. These groups may be fighting for autonomy, independence, or the restoration of previous powers, with little shared ideology beyond opposition to military rule.</p><p>Many minority groups operate along Myanmar&#8217;s borders, allowing the conflict to spill into neighboring countries. Other smaller resistance movements are more explicitly political, viewing the civil war as an opportunity to enact broader revolutionary change.</p><p>The military is expected to continue making slow and costly gains, while resistance forces remain resilient but divided. With no unified opposition and continued external influence, there is no clear end to the conflict in sight.</p><p>The conflict is expected to remain prolonged and attritional, with no clear resolution in sight. <em>What is likely to occur within Myanmar - and who might intervene (directly or indirectly)?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Marcos promises &#8216;flow of oil&#8217; as Philippines declares energy emergency&#8217; - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3ex8ez3717o</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WQeP!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06bcd520-1704-407e-90b9-666fdbf57f53_1024x576.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WQeP!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06bcd520-1704-407e-90b9-666fdbf57f53_1024x576.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WQeP!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06bcd520-1704-407e-90b9-666fdbf57f53_1024x576.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WQeP!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06bcd520-1704-407e-90b9-666fdbf57f53_1024x576.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WQeP!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06bcd520-1704-407e-90b9-666fdbf57f53_1024x576.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WQeP!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06bcd520-1704-407e-90b9-666fdbf57f53_1024x576.webp" width="1024" height="576" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/06bcd520-1704-407e-90b9-666fdbf57f53_1024x576.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:576,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:68336,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/192725883?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06bcd520-1704-407e-90b9-666fdbf57f53_1024x576.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WQeP!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06bcd520-1704-407e-90b9-666fdbf57f53_1024x576.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WQeP!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06bcd520-1704-407e-90b9-666fdbf57f53_1024x576.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WQeP!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06bcd520-1704-407e-90b9-666fdbf57f53_1024x576.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WQeP!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06bcd520-1704-407e-90b9-666fdbf57f53_1024x576.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>The Philippines </strong>has declared a state of emergency as its drastic deficits, exacerbated by the Iran War, have shut down much of the nation. The country is currently facing a massive shortage of oil reserves, with Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos announcing that 1 million barrels of oil&#8212;equivalent to roughly 45 days of supply&#8212;will be added to the national stockpile.</p><p>Approximately 98% of Philippine oil is imported from Gulf states, marking near-total dependence on the region for one of society&#8217;s most critical resources. The Philippines is the first nation to declare a state of emergency due to the Iran War; however, it is unlikely to be the last.</p><p>Oil pressure is expected to worsen if the region experiences prolonged instability, as damaged infrastructure, such as refineries and energy facilities, could take years to recover. The state of emergency was enacted to allow the government to deploy immediate relief efforts addressing both energy shortages and the broader Philippine economy.</p><p>Marcos has begun both domestic and international efforts to address the oil crisis. Officials in Washington are discussing the possibility of allowing oil purchases from U.S.-sanctioned states, citing the Philippines&#8217; urgent need for energy. Within the country, Marcos has established committees to oversee the distribution of aid, including food and other essential resources.</p><p>Oil prices within the Philippines have surged dramatically for average consumers, contributing to growing political pressure. Transport workers and opposition groups have criticized the government&#8217;s handling of the crisis, with strikes emerging in response to rising fuel costs and economic strain.</p><p>The executive order also includes measures to prevent economic disruption, including restrictions on strikes. However, workers&#8217; unions have raised concerns about rising living costs alongside diminishing labor rights. Transport groups are planning further strikes, demanding the removal of fuel taxes and higher wages.</p><p>In response, the Marcos administration has introduced fuel subsidies and reduced working hours to conserve energy. Coal usage is expected to increase as liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices surge and supplies dwindle.</p><p>The Philippines is not alone in facing severe economic strain. Asian markets more broadly have reacted sharply to the conflict, with many countries implementing emergency conservation measures and preparing for prolonged energy disruption.</p><p><em>What levers can Marcos use to help his nation out of the crisis? Which nation may be next to use emergency powers, and how would this be enacted?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Trump allowed a Russian oil tanker to reach Cuba, breaking the island&#8217;s fuel blockade. Here&#8217;s the latest&#8217; - https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/30/americas/us-russian-oil-tanker-access-cuba-intl-hnk</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R9bq!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F328e74fd-472c-45d3-a3f1-f648bed0a0c6_1024x575.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R9bq!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F328e74fd-472c-45d3-a3f1-f648bed0a0c6_1024x575.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R9bq!, 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/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R9bq!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F328e74fd-472c-45d3-a3f1-f648bed0a0c6_1024x575.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Cuba</strong> is seeing a moment of relief as a Russian oil tanker has been permitted to dock despite the American blockade of the island, after the nation faced critical shortages. While there have been conflicting reports, a tanker carrying an estimated 700,000 barrels of oil has reached Cuban waters, offering hope to a nation in darkness. Cuban and Russian officials have confirmed the shipment, with permission granted by the American government.</p><p>The United States has enforced a fuel blockade on Cuba for over three months, with Cuba viewed as a potential next target of Donald Trump. Following the capture of Venezuelan President Nicol&#225;s Maduro, Trump increased pressure on the Cuban government, calling for its removal from power and openly suggesting the possibility of force.</p><p>Despite ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, including significant troop movements to the region, threats toward Cuba have continued to escalate. The blockade led to widespread blackouts across the island, with essential services such as hospitals operating at minimal capacity.</p><p>Trump acknowledged the tanker&#8217;s arrival in Cuba, stating, &#8220;They have to survive.&#8221; However, the administration has remained firm in its sanctions and blockade policies, emphasizing that the tanker was permitted solely for humanitarian reasons and that future shipments will be evaluated on a case-by-case basis.</p><p>While the tanker will provide temporary relief, it is relatively insufficient compared to Cuba&#8217;s actual needs. The country requires refined fuels such as diesel rather than crude oil, meaning the shipment must first be processed&#8212;a process that could take days or weeks. It is estimated that the delivered oil may last only 15 to 30 days, raising the likelihood of a similar crisis if further shipments are not secured.</p><p>Cuba is effectively depleted of oil reserves and has minimal domestic production capacity. Venezuela was previously its largest supplier, but shipments ceased following Maduro&#8217;s removal. Mexico had provided limited supplies but halted shipments under the threat of U.S. sanctions.</p><p>The island&#8217;s power grid has collapsed multiple times in recent weeks, severely disrupting public services and food distribution. Rural regions, already facing significant hardship, have been disproportionately affected, with existing challenges further exacerbated by the crisis.</p><p><em>Will Trump allow further Russian or international aid into the island? And what is the United States&#8217; long-term plan for Cuba and its leadership?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive weekly geopolitical news and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Below, vote on the articles you would most like me to cover in-depth, and feel free to comment with any questions or remarks you have!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:486952}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-march-30-2026?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-march-30-2026?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>Ms. Frederiksen is expected to team up with left-wing politicians like Pia Olsen Dyhr, leader of the Green Left, which came in second.[Liselotte Sabroe/Ritzau Scanpix Foto, Associated Press]</p></li><li><p>Houthi forces said they had fired ballistic missiles at &#8216;sensitive Israeli military sites&#8217; and would continue military operations until the &#8216;aggression&#8217; came to an end on all fronts [Mohammed Hamoud, Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>A soldier with the Myanmar army stands guard near Mongyai, northern Shan State [Anthony Wallace, AFP]</p></li><li><p>The Philippines has been hit hard by oil price surges since the conflict in the Middle East escalated in early March. [Noel Celis, Reuters]</p></li><li><p>Many petrol stations in Havana have remained closed amid the shortages. [BBC, EPA/Shutterstock]</p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: March 23, 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: Russia, Lebanon, Slovenia, Nigeria, and Colombia]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-march-23-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-march-23-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 23 Mar 2026 14:14:48 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/60f40075-00b3-457f-8a23-381d0f9de2c0_500x750.webp" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Key Themes: Politicization of Identity (Religion, Ethnicity, Culture), State Weakness vs. Non-State Power, Conflict Driven by Structural Pressures, and Domestic Conflicts</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Is This Cuddly, Big-Eared Rascal Leading Russia to Ruin?&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/16/world/europe/russia-cheburashka-movie.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fFF_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F91a667f3-9515-4b64-aa8a-4d0e891caa42_1024x693.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fFF_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F91a667f3-9515-4b64-aa8a-4d0e891caa42_1024x693.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fFF_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F91a667f3-9515-4b64-aa8a-4d0e891caa42_1024x693.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fFF_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F91a667f3-9515-4b64-aa8a-4d0e891caa42_1024x693.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fFF_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F91a667f3-9515-4b64-aa8a-4d0e891caa42_1024x693.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fFF_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F91a667f3-9515-4b64-aa8a-4d0e891caa42_1024x693.webp" width="1024" height="693" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/91a667f3-9515-4b64-aa8a-4d0e891caa42_1024x693.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:693,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Russian Olympic athletes in red and white tracksuits on a red surface, some lying and smiling. A flag and a spire-topped building are in the background.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Russian Olympic athletes in red and white tracksuits on a red surface, some lying and smiling. A flag and a spire-topped building are in the background." title="Russian Olympic athletes in red and white tracksuits on a red surface, some lying and smiling. A flag and a spire-topped building are in the background." srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fFF_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F91a667f3-9515-4b64-aa8a-4d0e891caa42_1024x693.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fFF_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F91a667f3-9515-4b64-aa8a-4d0e891caa42_1024x693.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fFF_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F91a667f3-9515-4b64-aa8a-4d0e891caa42_1024x693.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fFF_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F91a667f3-9515-4b64-aa8a-4d0e891caa42_1024x693.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Russia </strong>is seeing the start of a culture war among its citizens, with some seeking nostalgic relief and others forming a conservative base pushing for a revival of Russian glory. Cheburashka, a fictional Russian icon, has seen a resurgence in the country as new films have brought the character back into the limelight. Originally a Soviet cartoon character, Cheburashka&#8212;whose exact background is unknown but is often described as a monkey-bear-like creature&#8212;offered children across the USSR a sense of joy and escapism from the heavier subject matter that defined much of their daily lives.</p><p>The release of <em>Cheburashka 2</em> in January 2026, following the original film in 2023, has introduced a new generation to the character and fostered widespread affection for it. However, the renewed popularity and public enthusiasm for Cheburashka have also sparked a backlash. Some critics argue that the cartoon rots children&#8217;s brains and distracts the country from broader imperial ambitions tied to identity and power.</p><p><em>Cheburashka</em> (2023) was met with mass praise in Moscow, becoming a highly successful domestic alternative to sanctioned Hollywood films and the highest-grossing Russian film of all time . While criticism of Cheburashka existed in 2023, tensions escalated in 2025&#8211;2026 following a parliamentary debate in which a lawmaker controversially claimed that Cheburashka was Jewish, reigniting cultural and political discussion .</p><p>Much of the anti-Cheburashka sentiment stems from nationalist thinkers who seek to position Russia as an imperial power and a defender of Eastern Orthodoxy. In this context, the character has become a symbolic battleground. It is often difficult to determine whether critiques are sincerely ideological or simply provocative rhetoric, with some extreme voices even blaming Cheburashka for contributing to the collapse of the Soviet Union.</p><p>Right-wing political theorists in Russia have increasingly used Cheburashka as a Trojan horse for broader critiques of Russian society and culture, turning the character into a vehicle for promoting narratives about restoring the Russian Empire. At the same time, Cheburashka&#8217;s origins complicate these claims: the character and its original adaptations were created by artists, some of whom were Jewish, and scholars have noted parallels between the character&#8217;s story and the experiences of Jewish communities in the Soviet Union .</p><p>The Kremlin&#8217;s State Duma culture committee has since introduced proposals aimed at ensuring that Russian films align more closely with state values, with some lawmakers criticizing Cheburashka and calling for increased censorship. Despite this, Cheburashka has become a widely embraced cultural icon, adored by civilians and even soldiers, appearing across a range of media and imagery.</p><p>With <em>Cheburashka 3</em> set for release in early 2027, the character&#8217;s place in Russian society remains the subject of growing debate. <em>What, then, are the uses of cultural icons in the realm of politics, as illustrated by the case of Cheburashka?</em></p><div><hr></div><p>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;It&#8217;s been 18 months since the last war in Lebanon. This time it&#8217;s different&#8217; - https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/21/middleeast/lebanon-this-war-is-different-intl</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BPgf!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa58bfa3-08be-4d84-811f-4a16ac28b92f_780x520.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BPgf!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa58bfa3-08be-4d84-811f-4a16ac28b92f_780x520.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BPgf!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa58bfa3-08be-4d84-811f-4a16ac28b92f_780x520.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BPgf!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa58bfa3-08be-4d84-811f-4a16ac28b92f_780x520.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BPgf!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa58bfa3-08be-4d84-811f-4a16ac28b92f_780x520.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BPgf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa58bfa3-08be-4d84-811f-4a16ac28b92f_780x520.jpeg" width="780" height="520" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/aa58bfa3-08be-4d84-811f-4a16ac28b92f_780x520.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:520,&quot;width&quot;:780,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;The Israel Defence Forces have repeatedly issued evacuation orders for wide swathes of southern Lebanon, as it targets Hezbollah personnel and infrastructure.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="The Israel Defence Forces have repeatedly issued evacuation orders for wide swathes of southern Lebanon, as it targets Hezbollah personnel and infrastructure." title="The Israel Defence Forces have repeatedly issued evacuation orders for wide swathes of southern Lebanon, as it targets Hezbollah personnel and infrastructure." srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BPgf!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa58bfa3-08be-4d84-811f-4a16ac28b92f_780x520.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BPgf!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa58bfa3-08be-4d84-811f-4a16ac28b92f_780x520.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BPgf!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa58bfa3-08be-4d84-811f-4a16ac28b92f_780x520.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BPgf!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa58bfa3-08be-4d84-811f-4a16ac28b92f_780x520.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Lebanon</strong> is in a state of national emergency following the onset of the United States&#8211;Israeli war with Iran, with its own territory constantly under threat. In 2024, Israel began a campaign in Lebanon&#8217;s southern region aimed at dismantling the Iran-backed Hezbollah, which has long controlled the border area. Again in 2026, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have launched a renewed campaign seeking to eliminate Iranian proxies within Lebanon.</p><p>Since the escalation began on March 2, more than 1,000 people have been killed in Lebanon, with no signs of a rapid withdrawal. UNICEF (the United Nations International Children&#8217;s Emergency Fund) reported that 100 children were killed in 2024 and over 111 in 2026, with growing international concern over whether the IDF&#8217;s ends justify the means.</p><p>The IDF has blamed Hezbollah for the damage inflicted on the Lebanese civilian population, stating: &#8220;We have a terror organization who have a strategy to put our civilians in the line of fire and their civilians in the line of fire. We&#8217;re doing everything we can to avoid that.&#8221; The IDF has also compared its campaign in Lebanon to its operations in Gaza, aiming to defeat Israel&#8217;s enemies and combat what it classifies as terrorist organizations.</p><p>Israeli strikes are often preceded by warnings, leaving civilians constantly checking their phones to determine whether their area will be targeted next. A siege-like situation has developed across the capital, Beirut, with no clear safe zones. Increasing Israeli rhetoric comparing the 2026 campaign in Lebanon to the 2024&#8211;2025 war in Gaza has instilled fear among Lebanese civilians.</p><p>Over one million people have already been displaced, worsening instability in an already fragile and divided nation. Lebanon, a country structured around diverse religious, cultural, and ethnic communities, is now experiencing deeper fragmentation and displacement.</p><p>The Lebanese government has taken a more outspoken anti-Hezbollah stance than in 2024, even declaring the group&#8217;s military activity illegal, while public anger grows toward both Hezbollah and Israel.</p><p>International aid agencies are facing mounting challenges, including funding cuts and repeated strikes near or on their facilities. Emergency responses&#8212;such as tents and field hospitals&#8212;are being set up across the country, but conditions remain dire.</p><p><em>What is the endgame of the key actors in the IDF, Hezbollah, and the Lebanese government? What can international organizations realistically do to help individuals the most in need?</em></p><div><hr></div><p>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Slovenia goes to polls in election marked by claims of anti-Romany rhetoric&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/22/slovenia-election-voting-campaign-claims-anti-romany-rhetoric</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HiLL!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa68def3-6b5c-49a2-a6f2-83457c21df0c_1240x992.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HiLL!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa68def3-6b5c-49a2-a6f2-83457c21df0c_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HiLL!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa68def3-6b5c-49a2-a6f2-83457c21df0c_1240x992.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HiLL!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa68def3-6b5c-49a2-a6f2-83457c21df0c_1240x992.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HiLL!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa68def3-6b5c-49a2-a6f2-83457c21df0c_1240x992.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HiLL!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa68def3-6b5c-49a2-a6f2-83457c21df0c_1240x992.avif" width="1240" height="992" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa68def3-6b5c-49a2-a6f2-83457c21df0c_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HiLL!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa68def3-6b5c-49a2-a6f2-83457c21df0c_1240x992.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HiLL!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa68def3-6b5c-49a2-a6f2-83457c21df0c_1240x992.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HiLL!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa68def3-6b5c-49a2-a6f2-83457c21df0c_1240x992.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Slovenia</strong>&#8217;s national election may prove to be a litmus test for Eastern Europe, and the European Union more broadly, with a scandal on the right having the potential to tip the scales. Slovenia&#8217;s elections on March 22 pit centre-left Robert Golob against right-wing populist Janez Jan&#353;a in a contest to determine the nation&#8217;s prime minister.</p><p>Jan&#353;a, a Trump ally, has been projected to hold a slight lead, running on a platform of strong nationalism and Euroscepticism. Both candidates have been criticised over their positions toward Slovenia&#8217;s Roma minority. Golob has been accused of framing the community as a national security concern, while Jan&#353;a has claimed they exploit state resources.</p><p>Roma communities in Slovenia face stark inequalities, including significantly lower life expectancy and limited access to healthcare, infrastructure, and social mobility. Debates over public services and austerity have shaped the election, with fears that further cuts will disproportionately harm already marginalised groups.</p><p>The so-called &#8220;&#352;utar law,&#8221; introduced in November 2025, grants authorities the power to raid designated &#8220;high-risk&#8221; areas without warrants. While not explicitly targeting Roma communities, critics argue it disproportionately affects them and reinforces systemic discrimination. The law was introduced under Golob&#8217;s government, though Jan&#353;a has advocated for even stricter measures.</p><p>Minority populations in Slovenia find themselves caught between what many perceive as two unfavourable options, with little sense of political representation. Further controversy has clouded the campaign: leaked audio involving Golob has raised allegations of corruption, while Jan&#353;a has been accused of links to the Israeli intelligence firm Black Cube, itself associated with election interference. Both men deny wrongdoing.</p><p>While minority rights offer little clear divide between the candidates, broader ideological questions&#8212;whether Slovenia continues along a liberal path or shifts further right&#8212;define the choice facing voters.</p><p><em>What, then, is the best course of action for a minority voter, such as a Roma individual, in an election where both options appear to challenge their existence?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;&#8217;Peace is a gradual thing&#8217;: How land, cattle and identity fuel a deadly Nigerian conflict&#8217; - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/clyv1j8ne7ko</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zQCH!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff9bd9999-9141-4a4c-8e67-9035bfac8dfa_1024x576.webp" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff9bd9999-9141-4a4c-8e67-9035bfac8dfa_1024x576.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Nigeria </strong>is experiencing increasing religious violence across the nation. Tensions between the country&#8217;s Christian and Muslim populations have grown increasingly dire, as attacks on both communities have risen in recent years. In April 2025, 52 people were killed in an attack in Zike, central Nigeria, targeting a Christian group, with suspicion falling on the neighbouring Muslim Fulani community.</p><p>Much of northern Nigeria has been affected by Islamist militant groups such as Boko Haram, which have carried out widespread attacks, often impacting Muslim communities as well. In December 2025, the United States launched missile strikes in collaboration with the Nigerian military on suspected terrorist sites, alongside an increased military presence in the region.</p><p>Ethnic and religious violence has become a persistent feature of life in Nigeria, a country with a highly diverse demographic composition of both religious groups and over 50 ethnicities. The Nigerian government is widely perceived as weak in protecting its population, with local governments often performing even worse. Local politicians have exploited internal divisions for personal gain, whether through preferential treatment or coercion.</p><p>There is little justice for victims of attacks. Nigeria&#8217;s military has struggled to contain violence, and the police have been largely unable to prosecute perpetrators. Local religious leaders often argue that the violence is rooted more in competition for resources and political power than in religion itself.</p><p>Land lies at the heart of much of the conflict, with herders and farmers competing over the same territory. These groups are often divided along religious lines, with Fulani Muslim herders and predominantly Christian farming communities. For generations, working the land has been central to both identity and survival, meaning that threats to land are existential threats.</p><p>Nigeria also has one of the fastest-growing populations in the world, placing further strain on already scarce resources such as land and water. While peace initiatives have been launched, often led by local elders, much of the violence is now carried out by young people who have grown up knowing only conflict.</p><p>Institutional failures have eroded public trust in the government, both in terms of protection and justice.</p><p><em>What can be done to support a peace process that is hamstrung by weak governmental capacity?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;DEA names Colombian president &#8216;priority target&#8217; as US prosecutors probe ties to drug traffickers&#8217; - https://apnews.com/article/us-investigation-petro-colombian-president-95886306b7c3107df584e154726a8737</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xpxR!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F49d0bdcb-b887-4fd0-8038-97fd61b91c8a_2880x1920.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xpxR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F49d0bdcb-b887-4fd0-8038-97fd61b91c8a_2880x1920.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xpxR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F49d0bdcb-b887-4fd0-8038-97fd61b91c8a_2880x1920.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xpxR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F49d0bdcb-b887-4fd0-8038-97fd61b91c8a_2880x1920.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xpxR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F49d0bdcb-b887-4fd0-8038-97fd61b91c8a_2880x1920.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xpxR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F49d0bdcb-b887-4fd0-8038-97fd61b91c8a_2880x1920.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xpxR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F49d0bdcb-b887-4fd0-8038-97fd61b91c8a_2880x1920.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Colombia</strong>n President Gustavo Petro has been labelled a priority target by the United States government due to alleged links to drug trafficking across the Americas. The U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) has opened a probe into Petro, building on investigations dating back to 2022 regarding possible collaboration with Mexico&#8217;s Sinaloa Cartel and alleged benefits granted to Colombian traffickers who supported his presidential campaign.</p><p>Petro has denied all allegations, stating that political opponents on the far right stand to benefit from what he describes as a distraction campaign. Prosecutors in New York have been interviewing drug traffickers about their potential connections to Petro, including whether he assisted in blocking extraditions to the United States. Current allegations centre on claims that officials within Petro&#8217;s circle may have offered relief to traffickers; however, no claims directly implicating Petro have been verified.</p><p>The increased scrutiny followed U.S. President Donald Trump labelling Petro an &#8220;illegal drug dealer,&#8221; leading to sanctions against Petro and his family in late 2025. Petro has criticised U.S. actions in the Caribbean targeting alleged drug-trafficking vessels, while Washington has argued that Colombia is not doing enough to combat the drug trade. Trump also revoked Petro&#8217;s U.S. visa and imposed tariffs on Colombia after disputes over deportation policies.</p><p>Following the U.S. capture of former Venezuelan President Nicol&#225;s Maduro, Trump extended similar threats toward Colombia, citing comparable justifications. However, by February 2026, relations appeared to have temporarily stabilised, with Trump describing Petro as &#8220;terrific.&#8221;</p><p>Criminal organisations have long shaped Latin America, particularly through the drug trade. Colombia remains the world&#8217;s largest producer of cocaine, a legacy tied to figures such as Pablo Escobar in the 1980s. Since Escobar&#8217;s death, his cartel has fragmented into numerous smaller groups competing for power across the region.</p><p><em>Will the United States and Colombia deepen cooperation in combating the drug trade, or will relations deteriorate further?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive weekly geopolitical news and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Below, vote on the articles you would most like me to cover in-depth, and feel free to comment with any questions or remarks you have!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:481983}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-march-23-2026?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-march-23-2026?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>Members of Russia&#8217;s team for the 2006 Winter Olympics holding plush Cheburashkas. [Agence France-Presse, Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>The Israel Defence Forces have repeatedly issued evacuation orders for wide swathes of southern Lebanon, as it targets Hezbollah personnel and infrastructure. [Odd Andersen, AFP/Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>Robert Golob and Janez Jan&#353;a take part in a televised debate on Friday. [Jure Makovec, AFP/Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>Tens of thousands of people in Plateau have been repeatedly forced from their homes because of attacks. [BBC, AFP/Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>Colombia&#8217;s President Gustavo Petro speaks after voting during legislative elections in Bogota, Colombia, Sunday, March 8, 2026. [AP Photo, Fernando Vergara]</p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: March 16, 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: Nepal, Norway, Taiwan, Sierra Leone, and Cuba]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-march-16-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-march-16-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 16 Mar 2026 14:15:41 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f4981ec8-f229-4ee5-a5e6-21bdad8d6609_331x472.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Key Themes: Generational Change and New Leadership, The Influence of Global Power Politics, Globalization, and Development Challenges</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;The rapper who railed against corruption now set to be Nepal&#8217;s new leader&#8217; - https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/13/asia/nepal-balendra-shah-prime-minister-rapper-intl-hnk</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JJzT!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c9d0cd4-507a-42c3-8900-ac1bfd79800a_1316x847.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JJzT!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c9d0cd4-507a-42c3-8900-ac1bfd79800a_1316x847.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JJzT!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c9d0cd4-507a-42c3-8900-ac1bfd79800a_1316x847.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JJzT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c9d0cd4-507a-42c3-8900-ac1bfd79800a_1316x847.webp" width="1316" height="847" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c9d0cd4-507a-42c3-8900-ac1bfd79800a_1316x847.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JJzT!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c9d0cd4-507a-42c3-8900-ac1bfd79800a_1316x847.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JJzT!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c9d0cd4-507a-42c3-8900-ac1bfd79800a_1316x847.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JJzT!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7c9d0cd4-507a-42c3-8900-ac1bfd79800a_1316x847.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Nepal </strong>has elected a rapper to its highest office, following the massive transformation brought about by its Gen Z revolution. Balendra Shah, elected Prime Minister of Nepal, has been speaking about politics for a decade, even during his days as a musician. In Shah&#8217;s music, he sang about corruption and inequality, rapping about his vision for a better future for his nation. Shah, better known by his stage name of Balen, had his Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) sweep the Nepalese elections with the largest vote share in modern Nepalese history.</p><p>Shah&#8217;s victory was ushered in by massive youth turnout and support, many of whom may have been inspired by his music to take action during last year&#8217;s revolution. Nepal has had a tenuous political history since the end of monarchism in the nation, with over a dozen governments since 2008. Shah&#8217;s victory marks a stark departure from the politics of the status quo, moving away from the longtime political elite communist parties and more toward progressivism.</p><p>Shah had long been frustrated by the status of his home, Kathmandu, seeing the potential of his capital squandered by political malpractice. He used rap as an outlet&#8212;drawing inspiration from artists like 50 Cent and Tupac Shakur&#8212;to speak out against those in power. Shah later ran an independent campaign for mayor of Kathmandu in 2022 and was able to oust establishment candidates, becoming the first independent mayor of the city.</p><p>Shah&#8217;s mayorship can be described as fiercely Nepalese in many senses of the word. He pursued heritage projects, government transparency, and anti-corruption campaigns at home. Diplomatically, Shah has taken firm positions regarding both India and China, often criticizing their political positioning and expressing concern about the influence of larger powers over Nepal. He has also verbally criticized the United States, and his mayoral tenure showed little diplomatic restraint in public rhetoric.</p><p>The 2025 Gen Z revolution in Nepal began after a government blackout of social media platforms amid massive youth unrest. In 2024, more than 20% of the nation&#8217;s youth (aged 15&#8211;24) were unemployed, contributing to a growing brain drain. With nearly a quarter of the nation&#8217;s GDP coming from remittances sent from abroad, prospects at home have become increasingly grim. With protesters being shot at and government buildings burning, Shah released what supporters called &#8220;the soundtrack of the revolution.&#8221;</p><p>The masses called for Shah to take leadership of the nation, but he waited for Nepal&#8217;s democratic institutions to act, biding his time for months. Shah, at only 35 years old, would ultimately defeat the 74-year-old former prime minister K. P. Sharma Oli. Nepal has therefore marked a stark shift in age, policy, and political expression in its leadership.</p><p><em>What will Shah&#8217;s priorities be after his overwhelming mandate to bring change to Nepal?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Meet Renate Reinsve, the Norwegian actress who&#8217;s tipped to win an Oscar&#8217; - https://www.thetimes.com/life-style/celebrity/article/renate-reinsve-interview-sentimental-value-oscars-jddrjcg63</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3iAH!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b339001-6c87-4d1f-abd5-0fff0e9f4014_1200x674.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3iAH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b339001-6c87-4d1f-abd5-0fff0e9f4014_1200x674.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3iAH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b339001-6c87-4d1f-abd5-0fff0e9f4014_1200x674.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3iAH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b339001-6c87-4d1f-abd5-0fff0e9f4014_1200x674.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3iAH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b339001-6c87-4d1f-abd5-0fff0e9f4014_1200x674.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3iAH!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b339001-6c87-4d1f-abd5-0fff0e9f4014_1200x674.webp" width="1200" height="674" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7b339001-6c87-4d1f-abd5-0fff0e9f4014_1200x674.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:674,&quot;width&quot;:1200,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Renate Reinsve photographed for The Sunday Times STYLE cover shoot.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Renate Reinsve photographed for The Sunday Times STYLE cover shoot." title="Renate Reinsve photographed for The Sunday Times STYLE cover shoot." srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3iAH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b339001-6c87-4d1f-abd5-0fff0e9f4014_1200x674.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3iAH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b339001-6c87-4d1f-abd5-0fff0e9f4014_1200x674.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3iAH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b339001-6c87-4d1f-abd5-0fff0e9f4014_1200x674.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3iAH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b339001-6c87-4d1f-abd5-0fff0e9f4014_1200x674.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Norway </strong>is poised for another international cultural victory following its Olympic performance, with <em>Sentimental Value</em> emerging as a major contender at the 2026 Oscars. Actress Renate Reinsve has become a burgeoning star in Hollywood after another success under Danish-Norwegian director Joachim Trier. First achieving international recognition with the film The Worst Person in the World, Reinsve now leads <em>Sentimental Value</em>, which has been nominated for nine Academy Awards and eight BAFTA Awards. Reinsve herself received nominations for Best Actress at both ceremonies.</p><p>Reinsve hails from Solbergelva, a small village outside Oslo, and grew up surrounded by American media and culture. Her curiosity for the arts had long been a defining part of her identity. At age nine, when most Norwegian children transition from outdoor play to desk learning, Reinsve recalled thinking, &#8220;It&#8217;s going to ruin my creativity, to break something in me.&#8221;</p><p>Reinsve often struggled to fit into traditional environments. She was repeatedly removed from groups due to her attitude&#8212;whether scouts, family work, or school. Unable to find a sense of belonging elsewhere, she eventually joined a local theatre group. At sixteen, after being expelled from school, Reinsve booked a one-way flight to Edinburgh when flights were on sale for &#163;1. She quickly ran out of money and worked at a local hostel before eventually returning to Norway after two years abroad.</p><p>After a brief period working in a grocery store, where she was also fired, Reinsve applied to theatre school. She had been planning to move to Italy with her former partner, who dreamed of becoming a carpenter, when she received a message from Trier. Trier, with whom she had previously worked on smaller projects, had just finished writing <em>The Worst Person in the World</em>. The film&#8217;s lead character, Julie, had been written for Reinsve.</p><p>The film became an international success, resonating widely with audiences due to its relatability and modern themes. Reinsve&#8217;s career has since continued to rise with <em>Sentimental Value</em>, a family drama in which she stars alongside veteran Scandinavian actor Stellan Skarsg&#229;rd. The film itself has earned nine Oscar nominations&#8212;including Best Picture, Best Actress for Reinsve, and Best Director for Trier&#8212;cementing it as one of Norway&#8217;s most successful international cinema exports.</p><p>Skarsg&#229;rd, one of the few Scandinavian actors to achieve long-term international prominence, has lived in Stockholm for most of his life despite pressure to move to a more film-centric city. He has argued that remaining at home helps maintain work-life balance and prevents actors from &#8220;losing their mind.&#8221; Reinsve appears to have taken that advice, choosing to continue living in Oslo while flying abroad for film work when necessary.</p><p>Since the Best Picture victory of Parasite at the Academy Awards in 2019, international films and actors have increasingly gained recognition in Hollywood. <em>With the growing appeal of global cinema, will more stars choose to remain in their local creative industries while working internationally? Or is the gravitational pull of places like Hollywood still too strong for any significant shift away from the traditional centre of the film industry?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;China&#8217;s Military Has Quietly Cut Flying Near Taiwan&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/11/world/asia/taiwan-china-military-planes.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xqCt!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80bd0de9-aa47-410b-9d3b-00894fa6c83d_1024x683.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xqCt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80bd0de9-aa47-410b-9d3b-00894fa6c83d_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xqCt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80bd0de9-aa47-410b-9d3b-00894fa6c83d_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xqCt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80bd0de9-aa47-410b-9d3b-00894fa6c83d_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xqCt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80bd0de9-aa47-410b-9d3b-00894fa6c83d_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xqCt!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80bd0de9-aa47-410b-9d3b-00894fa6c83d_1024x683.webp" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/80bd0de9-aa47-410b-9d3b-00894fa6c83d_1024x683.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Military personnel in camouflage uniforms hold a large red and blue flag with a white sun. 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A gray drone is in the foreground, with military vehicles in the background." srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xqCt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80bd0de9-aa47-410b-9d3b-00894fa6c83d_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xqCt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80bd0de9-aa47-410b-9d3b-00894fa6c83d_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xqCt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80bd0de9-aa47-410b-9d3b-00894fa6c83d_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xqCt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F80bd0de9-aa47-410b-9d3b-00894fa6c83d_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Taiwan</strong>, which has for years been under constant aerial pressure from China, has found surprising military relief in recent weeks. For an island accustomed to the sound of Chinese aircraft overhead, only two planes were detected around Taiwan between February 27 and March 11. This marks the longest period since 2021 with such low recorded activity, with part of that earlier lull coinciding with a tropical storm.</p><p>The People&#8217;s Liberation Army (PLA) has occasionally reduced activity in the past due to China&#8217;s annual legislative session. However, these periods have still often included moments of sabre-rattling, with dozens of fighter jets scrambled in a single day. The sudden decline in flights has therefore raised questions among analysts and officials in Taipei.</p><p>China&#8217;s reason for easing pressure on Taiwan could be linked to diplomatic considerations. Some analysts suggest Beijing may be attempting to soften tensions ahead of a late March or early April summit between Chinese leader Xi Jinping and U.S. President Donald Trump. Others point to broader geopolitical factors, including the ongoing war involving the United States, Israel, and Iran, which could affect energy supplies and operational costs for sustained air patrols.</p><p>However, it is highly unlikely that the lull indicates preparations for an imminent invasion of Taiwan. Taiwan&#8217;s defence minister, Wellington Koo, emphasised that despite the temporary drop in aerial pressure, Taiwan should not lower its guard. China&#8217;s broader stance toward Taiwan remains unchanged, and Chinese naval activity around the island has continued at normal levels.</p><p>Other theories have also emerged. Some analysts point to recent purges of senior officials within the PLA, which may be affecting military structure or operational routines. Others believe the pause could reflect a restructuring of military planning, potentially preparing for future exercises or shifts in strategy.</p><p>The coming weeks may prove decisive. China&#8217;s legislative session has now concluded, and Chinese military aircraft have already begun returning to the skies around Taiwan after the unusual lull. Observers will therefore closely watch whether this was merely a temporary pause or a sign of a more deliberate shift in Beijing&#8217;s pressure campaign.</p><p><em>Why may China be loosening aerial pressure on Taiwan? Will Trump&#8217;s visit bring any change to Chinese-Taiwanese-American relations?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;In Sierra Leone, a New Maternal Care Center Aims to be a Blueprint&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/feb/27/north-korea-kim-jong-un-daughter-ju-ae-succession</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g_2R!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fafc0e08f-7af3-4bcc-8e08-f420b3012fd6_1024x683.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g_2R!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fafc0e08f-7af3-4bcc-8e08-f420b3012fd6_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g_2R!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fafc0e08f-7af3-4bcc-8e08-f420b3012fd6_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g_2R!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fafc0e08f-7af3-4bcc-8e08-f420b3012fd6_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g_2R!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fafc0e08f-7af3-4bcc-8e08-f420b3012fd6_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g_2R!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fafc0e08f-7af3-4bcc-8e08-f420b3012fd6_1024x683.webp" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/afc0e08f-7af3-4bcc-8e08-f420b3012fd6_1024x683.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Isata Dumbuya holds a microphone as she speaks during a meeting. &quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Isata Dumbuya holds a microphone as she speaks during a meeting. " title="Isata Dumbuya holds a microphone as she speaks during a meeting. " srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g_2R!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fafc0e08f-7af3-4bcc-8e08-f420b3012fd6_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g_2R!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fafc0e08f-7af3-4bcc-8e08-f420b3012fd6_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g_2R!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fafc0e08f-7af3-4bcc-8e08-f420b3012fd6_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!g_2R!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fafc0e08f-7af3-4bcc-8e08-f420b3012fd6_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Sierra Leone</strong> is positioning itself as a case study for rapid medical infrastructure improvement. Isata Dumbuya, a Sierra Leone native and decades-long worker in the National Health Service, has set out to reform her nation&#8217;s record-high healthcare challenges. Following years of civil war and the devastating Ebola outbreak, Sierra Leone recorded one of the world&#8217;s highest maternal mortality rates.</p><p>The country urgently needed stronger medical infrastructure across many sectors, especially maternal, adolescent, and neonatal care. In 2018, Dumbuya moved back from the United Kingdom and began working with global health nonprofits at Koidu Government Hospital. She later became Director of Partners In Health in Sierra Leone, focusing largely on training nurses and midwives in all stages of pregnancy care.</p><p>Currently, Dumbuya is overseeing the construction of a $25 million Paul E. Farmer Maternal Center of Excellence, which aims to set a new standard of healthcare within the nation. The center is being built in Koidu and is a joint venture with the Ministry of Health. It is designed both as a treatment facility and as a training center to serve the population today while preparing new doctors and medical staff for the future. The facility will include 120 beds, multiple operating theaters, and the country&#8217;s first neonatal intensive care unit outside the capital.</p><p>Dumbuya has sought to bring international standards to the project and hopes the center will serve as a beacon of progress for West Africa. The facility is expected to cost roughly $1 million per year to operate, and while most patients will be Sierra Leonean, neighboring Guineans and Liberians are also expected to seek care there.</p><p>The construction itself has reflected a broader social effort. Over 60% of the workers on the project were women, many of whom had no prior construction experience but believed they were building something that would serve generations to come.</p><p>Sierra Leone has already seen significant progress. Maternal deaths have fallen dramatically&#8212;from 1,682 deaths per 100,000 births in 2000 to about 354 in 2023&#8212;an improvement of nearly 80 percent. However, the country still ranks among the nations with the highest maternal mortality rates in the world.</p><p>The broader hope is that the Maternal Center of Excellence will prove its value and eventually be replicated across the countryside. Expanding similar facilities could reduce pressure on a single hospital and provide greater access for rural populations who currently travel long distances for care.</p><p><em>What are the possible limiting factors to Dumbuya&#8217;s dream, and how can Sierra Leone choose governmental priorities if focused medical efforts are no longer seen as top order?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Cuba confirms negotiations with US as country faces effects of oil blockade&#8217; - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwy8zv9gp0go</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FQi5!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b0b611b-4e21-45f4-9925-1380a0d95954_1024x576.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b0b611b-4e21-45f4-9925-1380a0d95954_1024x576.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FQi5!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b0b611b-4e21-45f4-9925-1380a0d95954_1024x576.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FQi5!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b0b611b-4e21-45f4-9925-1380a0d95954_1024x576.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FQi5!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b0b611b-4e21-45f4-9925-1380a0d95954_1024x576.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Cuba</strong>, following months of military, economic, and diplomatic pressure from the United States, is opening channels of discussion on the measures it must take to receive any material aid. Miguel D&#237;az&#8209;Canel has announced that discussions between his government and the United States under Donald Trump have begun to seek a joint solution to the grievances between the two nations.</p><p>The island nation has faced rising pressure from the American government following the leadership change in Venezuela, which cut off a key source of subsidized oil. Without these shipments, Cuba has gone months without reliable fuel imports. Because the country relies heavily on imported fuel to power its electricity grid and transportation systems, shortages have spread across the economy&#8212;from gasoline to food to electricity.</p><p>Cuba has been under extensive tariffs and embargoes from the United States since the Cold War, beginning with the U.S. trade embargo imposed in 1962. In recent months, the Trump administration intensified pressure by implementing measures that effectively created a fuel blockade, threatening tariffs against countries that continue to supply oil to the island. These actions have triggered widespread blackouts and economic strain across Cuba.</p><p>Trump recently described Cuba as a country that could &#8220;fall very soon,&#8221; making the remarks during a regional security meeting with Latin American allies aimed at combating cartel violence. Several figures in his cabinet&#8212;most prominently Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who is of Cuban descent&#8212;have called for political change on the island. For the administration, the issue also carries domestic political importance due to the influence of Cuban-American voters in Florida, many of whom strongly support the end of the communist government in Havana. This is much akin to Venezuelan-Americans who have called for the overthrow of Nicol&#225;s Maduro, or even Iranian-Americans who have protested in support of strikes against the Ayatollah.</p><p>In a gesture of goodwill, the Cuban government announced it will release 51 prisoners as talks begin. The move reportedly followed discussions with the Vatican and occurred shortly before the Christian observance of Holy Week. Cuban officials described the decision as part of a humanitarian tradition and a signal that dialogue remains possible despite the deep political divide.</p><p>At the same time, Cuba is facing pressure from multiple directions. The loss of Venezuela as a reliable partner has severely weakened its regional support network, while other international allies have been cautious about openly challenging U.S. sanctions. Internally, protests and public frustration have grown amid worsening shortages and power outages.</p><p><em>What ground does Cuba have to negotiate on, and what result would the Trump cabinet accept if not regime change?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive weekly geopolitical news and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Below, vote on the articles you would most like me to cover in-depth, and feel free to comment with any questions or remarks you have!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:474299}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-march-16-2026?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-march-16-2026?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>Balendra Shah celebrates with his supporters in Damak, Jhapa district, Nepal, on March 7, 2026. [Adnan Abidi, Reuters]</p></li><li><p>Renate Reinsve. Dress, &#163;5,000, Louis Vuitton. [Olivia Malone, The Sunday Times Style]</p></li><li><p>Taiwanese soldiers display the island&#8217;s flag during a military exercise in Taichung in January. [Ann Wang, Reuters]</p></li><li><p>Ms. Dumbuya at a meeting to discuss the final stages before the opening of the Maternal Center of Excellence in Sierra Leone, a $25 million maternal and child health facility with a staff of almost 500 that includes obstetricians, gynecologists, nurses, midwives and administrators. [Sean Andrew Bangura, PIH]</p></li><li><p>D&#237;az-Canel said Cuba's electricity grid was increasingly "unstable". [Getty Images, BBC]</p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: March 2, 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: The Philippines, The United Kingdom, Afghanistan, North Korea, and Uganda]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-march-2-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-march-2-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 02 Mar 2026 13:39:17 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c8cf9967-9971-4137-9f46-824a0541bd81_658x900.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ckM1!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed7fc89e-646f-41df-ab96-685d0e06f3e1_6460x3403.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ckM1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed7fc89e-646f-41df-ab96-685d0e06f3e1_6460x3403.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ckM1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed7fc89e-646f-41df-ab96-685d0e06f3e1_6460x3403.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ckM1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed7fc89e-646f-41df-ab96-685d0e06f3e1_6460x3403.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ckM1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed7fc89e-646f-41df-ab96-685d0e06f3e1_6460x3403.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ckM1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed7fc89e-646f-41df-ab96-685d0e06f3e1_6460x3403.png" width="1456" height="767" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed7fc89e-646f-41df-ab96-685d0e06f3e1_6460x3403.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ckM1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed7fc89e-646f-41df-ab96-685d0e06f3e1_6460x3403.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ckM1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed7fc89e-646f-41df-ab96-685d0e06f3e1_6460x3403.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ckM1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fed7fc89e-646f-41df-ab96-685d0e06f3e1_6460x3403.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><em>What You Missed</em> Circa February 26&#8217;</p><div><hr></div><p>Key Themes: Escalation of Conflict and Violence, Human Rights Under Pressure, International Scrutiny, Political Upheaval and Realignment</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Were Duterte&#8217;s Speeches Orders to Kill or Hyperbole?&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/27/world/asia/rodrigo-duterte-icc-trial-hague.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pr5Z!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa5713af-ddb2-4bc3-bb14-7b07707a6c45_1024x683.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pr5Z!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa5713af-ddb2-4bc3-bb14-7b07707a6c45_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pr5Z!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa5713af-ddb2-4bc3-bb14-7b07707a6c45_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pr5Z!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa5713af-ddb2-4bc3-bb14-7b07707a6c45_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pr5Z!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa5713af-ddb2-4bc3-bb14-7b07707a6c45_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pr5Z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa5713af-ddb2-4bc3-bb14-7b07707a6c45_1024x683.webp" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/aa5713af-ddb2-4bc3-bb14-7b07707a6c45_1024x683.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;People outside a building holding flags as well as banners with slogans like &#8220;Hold Duterte Accountable Now!!&#8221; and &#8220;Marcos Duterte Walang Pinagiba.&#8221;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="People outside a building holding flags as well as banners with slogans like &#8220;Hold Duterte Accountable Now!!&#8221; and &#8220;Marcos Duterte Walang Pinagiba.&#8221;" title="People outside a building holding flags as well as banners with slogans like &#8220;Hold Duterte Accountable Now!!&#8221; and &#8220;Marcos Duterte Walang Pinagiba.&#8221;" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pr5Z!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa5713af-ddb2-4bc3-bb14-7b07707a6c45_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pr5Z!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa5713af-ddb2-4bc3-bb14-7b07707a6c45_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pr5Z!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa5713af-ddb2-4bc3-bb14-7b07707a6c45_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pr5Z!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa5713af-ddb2-4bc3-bb14-7b07707a6c45_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>The Philippines</strong>&#8217; former President Rodrigo Duterte is at the center of a debate over whether his speeches amounted to orders to kill or were simply inflammatory rhetoric. Duterte, known for his expansive and hard-hitting crackdown on drugs across the nation, is now facing legal proceedings to determine whether he committed crimes against humanity during his rule. Being tried at the International Criminal Court (ICC) in The Hague, his nine-year-long campaign led to thousands of civilian deaths, which prosecutors argue were the result of state-sanctioned violence.</p><p>Prosecutors have relied heavily on Duterte&#8217;s speeches and public statements as evidence, asserting that his increasingly hostile language helped incite vigilante and police justice at will. The hearing concluded on Friday, and now a three-judge panel has up to 60 days to decide whether the case will proceed to trial.</p><p>The ICC proceedings drew global attention, with people in the Philippines and abroad following developments closely. Families of victims of the anti-drug campaign were present in the courtroom gallery to observe the hearings.</p><p>Duterte, who was mayor of Davao City for 20 years and served as President of the Philippines from 2016 to 2022, built much of his platform around combating illegal drugs. Under his leadership, extrajudicial killings and assassinations were effectively tolerated and, in some cases, financially incentivized. Shortly after assuming the presidency, Duterte addressed the military, stating that killings in the name of anti-drug security would be pardoned&#8212;a line prosecutors cite as evidence of incitement, while the defense contends his language was purely hyperbolic.</p><p>Although widely criticized and controversial, Duterte retains a significant base of supporters, including many in the Filipino diaspora. Some of his followers justify his actions as necessary to achieve public safety and have called for his release.</p><p>Duterte was allowed to be absent from the hearing due to claimed health issues, although ICC judges had previously ruled he was fit to take part in proceedings.</p><p>With his supporters and detractors deeply divided, the judiciary&#8217;s decision now lies in the ICC&#8217;s hands. <em>What is the expected result from the three-judge panel? And what would a trial confirmation or release mean for the Philippines?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;How a working-class plumber threw a wrench in Starmer&#8217;s election plans&#8217; - https://edition.cnn.com/2026/02/27/uk/britain-green-party-plumber-starmer-defeat-intl</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFDR!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3672fb0-ba2c-42db-a74f-254b772016c6_860x573.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFDR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3672fb0-ba2c-42db-a74f-254b772016c6_860x573.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFDR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3672fb0-ba2c-42db-a74f-254b772016c6_860x573.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFDR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3672fb0-ba2c-42db-a74f-254b772016c6_860x573.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFDR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3672fb0-ba2c-42db-a74f-254b772016c6_860x573.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFDR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3672fb0-ba2c-42db-a74f-254b772016c6_860x573.jpeg" width="860" height="573" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a3672fb0-ba2c-42db-a74f-254b772016c6_860x573.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:573,&quot;width&quot;:860,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Hannah Spencer said she may have to cancel plumbing work after being elected as the Member of Parliament for Gorton and Denton on Friday.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Hannah Spencer said she may have to cancel plumbing work after being elected as the Member of Parliament for Gorton and Denton on Friday." title="Hannah Spencer said she may have to cancel plumbing work after being elected as the Member of Parliament for Gorton and Denton on Friday." srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFDR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3672fb0-ba2c-42db-a74f-254b772016c6_860x573.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFDR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3672fb0-ba2c-42db-a74f-254b772016c6_860x573.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFDR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3672fb0-ba2c-42db-a74f-254b772016c6_860x573.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CFDR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3672fb0-ba2c-42db-a74f-254b772016c6_860x573.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>The United Kingdom</strong> has just witnessed a major political upset in the Gorton and Denton by-election, where the Green Party of England and Wales won a seat long held by Labour, significantly altering the political landscape. Green candidate Hannah Spencer, a plumber and local councilor, won 14,980 votes (40.7 %), defeating Reform UK&#8217;s Matt Goodwin on 10,578 votes (28.7 %) and the Labour Party&#8217;s Angeliki Stogia on 9,364 votes (25.4 %). This was the Greens&#8217; first-ever Westminster by-election victory, and it made Spencer the party&#8217;s fifth MP in the 650-seat House of Commons, as well as the first Green MP in northern England.</p><p>Spencer&#8217;s campaign emphasized everyday economic pressures such as the cost-of-living crisis and appealed to working-class voters through both her personal background and policy messaging. In her victory speech, she highlighted how many people feel &#8220;bled dry&#8221; by economic inequality, an appeal that resonated across a diverse constituency.</p><p>The scale of the upset was striking: Labour&#8217;s vote share collapsed from over 50% in the 2024 general election to just around 25%, while the Greens rose from third place two years ago to win outright. Reform UK&#8217;s second-place showing also marked a significant shift, though the Greens managed to edge ahead.</p><p>The Spencer campaign did not shy away from progressive outreach; in fact, it actively embraced it by tailoring its messaging to reflect the constituency&#8217;s diversity and concerns. The Green Party distributed campaign materials in languages spoken locally, including Urdu and Bangla, and emphasized issues such as the cost of living, public services, and opposition to Islamophobia &#8212; messaging that helped mobilize support in a constituency with a substantial Muslim population.</p><p>Reform UK&#8217;s candidate Matt Goodwin took a very different tone. He focused heavily on immigration and cultural identity, and at one campaign event, he suggested that being British is not necessarily defined by ethnic background. He argued that people born in the UK from minority ethnic backgrounds were &#8216;not always British in character&#8217;.</p><p>The result has triggered an intense reaction across the UK political scene. For the Labour Party and Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer, the loss of a seat they held since 1931 is widely seen as a demoralizing blow and has intensified internal debate about strategy, messaging, and leadership direction. Senior figures in Labour have argued the party must avoid taking progressive voters for granted or doubling down on attempts to outflank Reform UK on immigration and other issues, as this risks alienating core supporters.</p><p>In contrast, Reform UK leader Nigel Farage and his allies have criticized the result, with Farage claiming without evidence that voting rules disadvantaged British-born voters and that alleged &#8220;family voting&#8221; practices influenced the outcome &#8212; allegations now being examined by electoral authorities.</p><p>For the Green Party, the victory is being hailed as a historic breakthrough that could signal broader opportunities ahead, especially as local, Scottish, and Welsh elections approach. The Greens have also seen a surge in membership, now over 200,000, reinforcing their organizational strength and grassroots momentum.</p><p>With traditional party loyalties fracturing and voter volatility increasing, independent and working-class voters are increasingly willing to shift their support outside the historic two-party system. <em>How may this result shape party strategies for the upcoming Scottish and Welsh elections, and what issues are likely to matter most to those voters?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Why are Afghanistan and Pakistan fighting?&#8217; - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cdjmrxkwk3mo</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pc4x!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F373b1360-c2ba-4a4e-b7e9-4d3704da9488_1024x576.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pc4x!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F373b1360-c2ba-4a4e-b7e9-4d3704da9488_1024x576.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pc4x!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F373b1360-c2ba-4a4e-b7e9-4d3704da9488_1024x576.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pc4x!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F373b1360-c2ba-4a4e-b7e9-4d3704da9488_1024x576.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pc4x!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F373b1360-c2ba-4a4e-b7e9-4d3704da9488_1024x576.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Pc4x!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F373b1360-c2ba-4a4e-b7e9-4d3704da9488_1024x576.webp" width="1024" height="576" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F373b1360-c2ba-4a4e-b7e9-4d3704da9488_1024x576.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Afghanistan </strong>and Pakistan have entered full-scale conflict as years of posturing and saber-rattling have finally exploded into open warfare. On Thursday, Pakistan struck Kabul, the Afghan capital, as well as other cities, in a significant escalation of its operations against the Taliban government, which Pakistan accuses of harboring militant groups and failing to contain cross-border attacks. In response to these strikes, the Taliban government announced that it had launched its own ground and air operations into neighboring Pakistan, claiming to have captured territory and inflicted casualties on Pakistani forces. These exchanges followed a week in which Pakistani airstrikes in eastern Afghanistan killed civilians, according to United Nations reporting, further inflaming tensions along the long and contested Durand Line border.</p><p>Islamabad has insisted that all of its offensives are acts of self-defenses aimed at dismantling militant hideouts, particularly those of the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and allied groups; Pakistan has repeatedly linked these organizations to attacks on its territory, including a deadly bombing in February that killed more than 30 worshippers at a Shia mosque. Islamabad also claims that the Afghan Taliban leadership has provided a haven and support to these groups, allegations Kabul denies. Pakistan&#8217;s defense minister has publicly declared that the two neighbors are in &#8220;open war,&#8221; a phrase underscoring just how far the situation has deteriorated.</p><p>Pakistan&#8217;s military advantage is significant: it possesses a modern air force, strike aircraft and missile capabilities, alongside a large conventional army. Afghanistan&#8217;s Taliban government, by contrast, lacks a comparable conventional air force and relies heavily on guerrilla tactics and anti-air defense systems to resist. Nonetheless, the Taliban has attempted retaliatory strikes and defensive operations against Pakistani aircraft and positions, escalating what had already been the worst conflict between the two in years. The human cost has been apparent in civilian areas near the border and in Afghan cities like Kabul, where loud explosions and gunfire have been reported.</p><p>These hostilities have occurred against a backdrop of a fragile and previously faltering truce process mediated by countries such as Qatar and Turkey, which had temporarily paused earlier clashes but ultimately failed to produce lasting peace. Both sides have exchanged claims about casualties and achievements, but independent verification of these figures remains scarce and contested. Civilian deaths and injuries have been documented by international missions such as the United Nations, adding to the urgency of calls from global actors for restraint and diplomatic engagement.</p><p>The state of the average Afghan remains precarious, facing economic, health and security instability amid sanctions on the Taliban government and dwindling resources. <em>Will this conflict cool down as it did temporarily in October, or continue to escalate into a broader campaign drawing millions more into danger?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;North Korea&#8217;s &#8216;most beloved&#8217; child: what the key congress revealed about Kim Jong-un&#8217;s succession plans&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/feb/27/north-korea-kim-jong-un-daughter-ju-ae-succession</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Vd_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe4a0a12d-f58d-4549-a742-71a7803eff91_3800x2516.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Vd_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe4a0a12d-f58d-4549-a742-71a7803eff91_3800x2516.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Vd_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe4a0a12d-f58d-4549-a742-71a7803eff91_3800x2516.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Vd_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe4a0a12d-f58d-4549-a742-71a7803eff91_3800x2516.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Vd_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe4a0a12d-f58d-4549-a742-71a7803eff91_3800x2516.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Vd_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe4a0a12d-f58d-4549-a742-71a7803eff91_3800x2516.jpeg" width="1456" height="964" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e4a0a12d-f58d-4549-a742-71a7803eff91_3800x2516.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:964,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Vd_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe4a0a12d-f58d-4549-a742-71a7803eff91_3800x2516.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Vd_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe4a0a12d-f58d-4549-a742-71a7803eff91_3800x2516.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Vd_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe4a0a12d-f58d-4549-a742-71a7803eff91_3800x2516.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Vd_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe4a0a12d-f58d-4549-a742-71a7803eff91_3800x2516.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>North Korea</strong> has begun outlining its succession plan to the world following the reign of leader Kim Jong-un. International observers increasingly believe that Kim Ju-ae, the daughter of Jong-un, is most likely to take over her father&#8217;s rule despite the nation&#8217;s longstanding patriarchal traditions. The recent Workers&#8217; Party Congress, held once every five years with top officials from across North Korea&#8217;s ruling party in attendance, featured displays of national strength, and Ju-ae appeared prominently at the closing military parade. Her repeated presence at high-profile state events and ceremonial gatherings alongside her father and visible engagement with senior government and military leaders are widely seen as efforts to position her for future leadership. Pyongyang recently released rare images of Ju-ae firing a rifle at a shooting range, a symbolic gesture that analysts say suggests she is being groomed as a successor. This appearance added to other recent outings, including her role in the party&#8217;s key military parade and attendance at significant events, reinforcing speculation that she could be designated Kim Jong-un&#8217;s successor.</p><p>Despite this speculation, North Korean state media and officials have never formally confirmed her name or proclaimed her as a successor, and the regime continues to maintain strict control over all leadership narratives. Her name has become known to the outside world mainly through foreign media reports and intelligence assessments, with South Korea&#8217;s intelligence services saying that Pyongyang appears to have started a process of positioning Ju-ae for future leadership, although no official succession announcement has been made.</p><p>Some analysts argue that Kim may be using his daughter as a symbolic political asset to project strength and continuity while obscuring the regime&#8217;s true succession strategy from foreign observers. They note that entrenched patriarchal and hierarchical norms within North Korea&#8217;s political and military elite could make the transition to female leadership more complicated, and that longtime male officials may resist such a significant break from tradition. Others point out that Ju-ae&#8217;s increasing visibility &#8212; including her ability to handle a weapon in state-released imagery, her matching attire with her father at public displays, and her proximity to power &#8212; is being carefully crafted to bolster her legitimacy.</p><p>What would a female leader mean for the communist state, both for its citizenry and military leadership?</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Two women arrested in Uganda for allegedly kissing in public could face life sentence&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2026/feb/26/women-arrested-uganda-kissing-public-lgbtq-laws</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1cnB!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34473272-3fd3-474e-ba37-f7811c243f59_3800x2534.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1cnB!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34473272-3fd3-474e-ba37-f7811c243f59_3800x2534.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1cnB!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34473272-3fd3-474e-ba37-f7811c243f59_3800x2534.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1cnB!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34473272-3fd3-474e-ba37-f7811c243f59_3800x2534.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1cnB!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34473272-3fd3-474e-ba37-f7811c243f59_3800x2534.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1cnB!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34473272-3fd3-474e-ba37-f7811c243f59_3800x2534.jpeg" width="1456" height="971" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34473272-3fd3-474e-ba37-f7811c243f59_3800x2534.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1cnB!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34473272-3fd3-474e-ba37-f7811c243f59_3800x2534.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1cnB!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34473272-3fd3-474e-ba37-f7811c243f59_3800x2534.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1cnB!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34473272-3fd3-474e-ba37-f7811c243f59_3800x2534.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Uganda </strong>is overseeing a high-profile case involving alleged same-sex activity amid ongoing backlash against LGBTQ+ people in one of the most anti-LGBTQ+ nations in the world. In Uganda, same-sex relations are criminalized, and under the Anti-Homosexuality Act of 2023, signed into law by President Yoweri Museveni, penalties for consensual same-sex activity include life imprisonment, while &#8220;aggravated homosexuality&#8221; can attract the death penalty, and other offences like &#8220;promotion of homosexuality&#8221; carry lengthy prison terms.</p><p>In Arua City in northwest Uganda, two women, identified in local reporting as Wendy Faith and Alesi Diana Denise, were arrested after neighbors reported them for allegedly kissing in public and engaging in a same-sex relationship. Police said they acted on community complaints, and officers later searched the pair&#8217;s shared room; as of the latest reports, the women have been released on police bond while investigations continue, and no formal charge has yet been filed.</p><p>This incident comes amid wider concern from human rights groups that the Anti-Homosexuality Act has deepened a hostile environment for LGBTQ+ people. Activists say the law has fueled harassment, surveillance, blackmail, and extortion, with mounting reports of discrimination and attacks, including arbitrary arrests and social violence directed at people believed to be LGBTQ+.</p><p>The law&#8217;s passage and implementation have been widely condemned internationally. United Nations officials, human rights organizations and foreign governments have criticized the act for violating fundamental human rights and increasing discrimination against sexual minorities. Earlier legal challenges to the Act had sought to overturn the legislation on constitutional grounds, but Uganda&#8217;s Constitutional Court upheld the Anti-Homosexuality Act in 2024, allowing its core provisions to remain in force, though a few technical sections were struck down; opponents have since appealed that ruling to the Supreme Court.</p><p>Advocates note the law has had chilling effects beyond arrests, including pressure on LGBTQ+ Ugandans to conceal their identities, alter personal behavior and avoid public visibility to evade punishment and social stigma. Human rights organizations have documented a rise in discrimination and violence since the law&#8217;s passage, including in both offline spaces and online harassment, and they warn that opportunities for safe interaction, access to services, and community engagement have sharply declined.</p><p><em>Will the international community respond differently than it has over the past three years, as evidence of increasing abuses accumulates and as comparative human rights norms push for more sustained diplomatic, economic or policy pressure?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive weekly geopolitical news and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Below, vote on the articles you would most like me to cover in-depth, and feel free to comment with any questions or remarks you have!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:463638}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-march-2-2026?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-march-2-2026?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>Outside the International Criminal Court this week. Hearings have drawn critics and supporters of Rodrigo Duterte, who as president of the Philippines, ordered a brutal crackdown on drugs. [Simon Wohlfahrt, Agence France-Presse/Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>Hannah Spencer said she may have to cancel plumbing work after being elected as the Member of Parliament for Gorton and Denton on Friday. [Jon Super/AP]</p></li><li><p>The Taliban do not have the upper hand militarily, but are experienced in guerrilla and unconventional warfare. [The BBC, Reuters] </p></li><li><p>Father and daughter inspect an army training exercise at an undisclosed location. [KCNA VIA KNS, AFP/Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>Jewelry for sale at a shelter for lesbian, bisexual and queer women in Kampala. [Luke Dray, Getty Images]</p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: February 23, 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: Australia, South Korea, Peru, Hungary, and Ethiopia]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-february-23-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-february-23-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2026 14:45:24 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/476d5386-3423-4d5e-b870-7f37812c7c22_765x1200.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Key Themes: Leadership Durability and Public Trust, Sovereignty vs. Strategic Alignment, and Institutional Resilience and Democratic Norms</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;How $40-a-Pack Cigarettes Pushed Australians to the Black Market&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/15/world/asia/how-40-a-pack-cigarettes-pushed-australians-to-the-black-market.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Bhqh!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9a5269d8-62a3-4583-bab8-2b0b8b7731c0_1024x683.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Bhqh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9a5269d8-62a3-4583-bab8-2b0b8b7731c0_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Bhqh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9a5269d8-62a3-4583-bab8-2b0b8b7731c0_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Bhqh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9a5269d8-62a3-4583-bab8-2b0b8b7731c0_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Bhqh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9a5269d8-62a3-4583-bab8-2b0b8b7731c0_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Bhqh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9a5269d8-62a3-4583-bab8-2b0b8b7731c0_1024x683.webp" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/9a5269d8-62a3-4583-bab8-2b0b8b7731c0_1024x683.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Three people walk on a corner by a tobacconist&#8217;s shop.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Three people walk on a corner by a tobacconist&#8217;s shop." title="Three people walk on a corner by a tobacconist&#8217;s shop." srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Bhqh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9a5269d8-62a3-4583-bab8-2b0b8b7731c0_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Bhqh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9a5269d8-62a3-4583-bab8-2b0b8b7731c0_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Bhqh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9a5269d8-62a3-4583-bab8-2b0b8b7731c0_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Bhqh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9a5269d8-62a3-4583-bab8-2b0b8b7731c0_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Australia </strong>faces a heated debate over how to handle narcotic sales, as sin taxes have contributed to a massive expansion of the black market. In efforts to curb smoking nationwide, taxes on products like cigarettes have made the legal purchase among the most expensive in the world, with a standard pack running about $40. This large price tag follows numerous tax hikes over the past decade, and while overall smoking has declined, there has been a substantial rise in black-market sales. It is estimated that a significant portion of cigarette consumption in Australia now comes from illicit trade, driven by the price differential between legal and illegal products.</p><p>As the trade continues to move underground in attempts to evade government scrutiny, gang violence has increased, with drug movement and zone control becoming increasingly valuable. The Australian government acknowledges a crisis surrounding illegal tobacco, but has remained firm on its continued heavy taxation of the product. Health authorities, including the World Health Organization, have found taxation to be one of the most effective tools to reduce unhealthy practices, but critics argue the policy has unintended consequences.</p><p>The government&#8217;s response has focused on policing and regulation, which some detractors describe as a form of pseudo-prohibition. Purchasing bootleg cigarettes has become commonplace for many Australians, with illicit products selling for far below the state-mandated price. Illegal imports commonly originate from abroad, and unregulated outlets have proliferated where enforcement is limited.</p><p>The so-called &#8220;cigarette wars&#8221; have intensified in Australia, transforming the issue from one of public health to one of crime and public safety. Hundreds of violent incidents linked to the illicit tobacco trade have resulted in arson, property destruction, and even fatalities. Instead of moving smokers away from the habit, many working-class individuals have turned to black-market routines simply because cheap alternatives are more accessible.</p><p>Although legal smoking rates have fallen overall, the complex causes behind this decline are debated. At the same time, tobacco-related crime and underhanded dealings have significantly risen. <em>What is the most effective strategy for Australia moving forward in tackling its tobacco epidemic while managing the unintended consequences of its current policies?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;The Country That&#8217;s Madly in Love With AI&#8217; - https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2026/02/21/south-korea-ai-popular-why-00789618</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Cix!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75ae6170-9eff-452f-96ed-c6ecdba93253_600x435.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Cix!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75ae6170-9eff-452f-96ed-c6ecdba93253_600x435.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Cix!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75ae6170-9eff-452f-96ed-c6ecdba93253_600x435.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Cix!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75ae6170-9eff-452f-96ed-c6ecdba93253_600x435.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Cix!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75ae6170-9eff-452f-96ed-c6ecdba93253_600x435.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Cix!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75ae6170-9eff-452f-96ed-c6ecdba93253_600x435.jpeg" width="600" height="435" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/75ae6170-9eff-452f-96ed-c6ecdba93253_600x435.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:435,&quot;width&quot;:600,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&#51060; AI&#47196; &#49373;&#49457;&#46108; &#44305;&#44256; &#51060;&#48120;&#51648;&#46308;&#51008; &#50900;&#49828;&#53944;&#47532;&#53944; &#54028;&#51060;&#45240;&#49884;&#50640; &#51032;&#54644; &#51228;&#51089;&#46096;&#51004;&#47728; &#54620;&#44397;&#51032; &#51064;&#44592; &#48288;&#51060;&#52964;&#47532; &#47588;&#51109; &#45236;&#48512; &#48317;&#47732;&#50640; &#51204;&#49884;&#46076; &#51080;&#45796;. 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(&#51228;&#44277;: &#50900;&#49828;&#53944;&#47532;&#53944; &#54028;&#51060;&#45240;&#49884;) &#9426;&#52380;&#51648;&#51068;&#48372; 2026.02.22." srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Cix!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75ae6170-9eff-452f-96ed-c6ecdba93253_600x435.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Cix!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75ae6170-9eff-452f-96ed-c6ecdba93253_600x435.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Cix!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75ae6170-9eff-452f-96ed-c6ecdba93253_600x435.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Cix!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F75ae6170-9eff-452f-96ed-c6ecdba93253_600x435.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>South Korea</strong>n society generally views artificial intelligence (AI) as a solution to societal challenges and a key driver of the future, rather than a threat. Many South Koreans encounter AI in public and professional settings with curiosity and optimism, especially in creative and productivity tools. Surveys and usage data indicate that South Koreans adopt AI at a higher rate in the workplace than Americans, with roughly 51.8 % of workers reporting AI use on the job , nearly double the rate in the United States, and many engaging with AI daily for hours at a time.</p><p>South Korea&#8217;s general public sentiment toward AI tends to be more positive compared to Western countries. Broader regional research suggests that Asian countries report higher optimism about AI&#8217;s benefits than the U.S. or U.K., with much higher shares of people expecting positive impacts from the technology, though exact South Korea-specific comparative figures vary by study.</p><p>Part of this cultural enthusiasm for AI may stem from South Korea&#8217;s historical context. Technology has long been seen as a source of national strength and economic transformation, contributing to rapid industrialization and global competitiveness in sectors like semiconductors, consumer electronics, and telecommunications. These success stories reinforce the belief that embracing emerging technologies supports national resilience and prosperity.</p><p>For many South Koreans, adopting new technologies isn&#8217;t viewed purely through a profit lens but also as a means of maintaining competitiveness, whether in education, the workplace, or international markets. In a country facing deep demographic challenges such as low birth rates and an aging workforce, AI and automation are often seen as tools for boosting productivity and mitigating future labor shortages.</p><p>Government policy generally supports AI innovation and integration, investing in infrastructure and research while aiming to strike a balance between growth and governance. South Korean authorities have recently enacted foundational AI legislation designed to promote industry growth with principles-based regulation, distinguishing their approach from more restrictive frameworks seen in the EU.</p><p>While optimism remains high, South Koreans also express concerns &#8212; particularly around job displacement, cybersecurity, and ethical risks &#8212; even as many believe the benefits of AI outweigh the risks. A broad survey of attitudes showed that a large majority see positive potential in AI applications, though significant portions also acknowledge risks and support thoughtful oversight.</p><p>Despite some fears about job automation, the public and private sectors in South Korea are largely aligned on promoting AI adoption, with widespread usage across business, manufacturing, and consumer contexts. <em>Will this pervasive optimism and strategic investment help South Korea enter a new phase of technological leadership, maintaining competitiveness in an increasingly AI-driven global economy?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Peru installs Jose Balcazar as interim president after Jeri ousted in political upheaval&#8217; - https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/peru-congress-elects-jose-balcazar-new-interim-president-2026-02-19/</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R8K3!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6574711-8be4-459a-a520-9c345d75e567_770x513.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R8K3!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6574711-8be4-459a-a520-9c345d75e567_770x513.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R8K3!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6574711-8be4-459a-a520-9c345d75e567_770x513.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R8K3!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6574711-8be4-459a-a520-9c345d75e567_770x513.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R8K3!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6574711-8be4-459a-a520-9c345d75e567_770x513.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R8K3!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6574711-8be4-459a-a520-9c345d75e567_770x513.jpeg" width="770" height="513" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d6574711-8be4-459a-a520-9c345d75e567_770x513.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:513,&quot;width&quot;:770,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Jose Maria Balcazar votes for Peru's next president&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Jose Maria Balcazar votes for Peru's next president" title="Jose Maria Balcazar votes for Peru's next president" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R8K3!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6574711-8be4-459a-a520-9c345d75e567_770x513.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R8K3!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6574711-8be4-459a-a520-9c345d75e567_770x513.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R8K3!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6574711-8be4-459a-a520-9c345d75e567_770x513.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!R8K3!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd6574711-8be4-459a-a520-9c345d75e567_770x513.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Peru</strong>&#8217;s political instability deepened this week as Jos&#233; Jer&#237;, who had served only four months as interim president, was removed from office by the Peruvian Congress amid a corruption and influence-peddling scandal involving undisclosed meetings with a Chinese businessman. Lawmakers voted 75&#8211;24 to oust him after evidence surfaced of the meetings, which were not recorded in the official schedule and raised concerns about potential conflicts of interest. Jer&#237; denies wrongdoing and asserts his innocence, but the legislature pressed ahead with the motion.</p><p>Following his removal on 17 February 2026, Congress elected Jos&#233; Mar&#237;a Balc&#225;zar as the new interim president, making him Peru&#8217;s eighth person to hold the presidency in less than a decade. Balc&#225;zar, an 83-year-old lawmaker and former judge, won the congressional vote and will serve in the transitional role until the general election scheduled for 12 April, with the newly elected president taking office on 28 July 2026 if no runoff is needed.</p><p>Peru&#8217;s chronic executive instability comes as the presidential election campaign accelerates. Because no candidate is widely expected to secure a majority in the first round, a runoff election later this year appears likely, underscoring ongoing fragmentation within the party system and low public trust in political institutions. Analysts also note that while Peru&#8217;s economy, backed by orthodox fiscal policies, has remained relatively stable despite leadership churn, the frequency of presidential turnover continues to weaken confidence in governance.</p><p>This latest upheaval is part of a longer pattern of political crisis: protests rocked the country following the removal of the previous president, Dina Boluarte, in late 2025, and periods of unrest have become frequent as successive leaders are ousted under corruption allegations or on charges of &#8220;moral incapacity.&#8221;</p><p><em>With repeated scandals and congressional removals eroding public trust in elected leadership, how can Peru rebuild confidence in its democratic processes and strengthen institutional stability ahead of this year&#8217;s crucial elections?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Orb&#225;n&#8217;s nemesis turns his nationalist playbook against him&#8217; - https://www.politico.eu/article/hungary-viktor-orban-nemesis-peter-magyar-turns-his-nationalist-playbook-against-him-and-its-working/</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRlY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ad3cb83-f222-4040-850e-950a2d84092b_1160x773.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRlY!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ad3cb83-f222-4040-850e-950a2d84092b_1160x773.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRlY!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ad3cb83-f222-4040-850e-950a2d84092b_1160x773.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRlY!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ad3cb83-f222-4040-850e-950a2d84092b_1160x773.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRlY!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ad3cb83-f222-4040-850e-950a2d84092b_1160x773.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRlY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ad3cb83-f222-4040-850e-950a2d84092b_1160x773.jpeg" width="1160" height="773" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0ad3cb83-f222-4040-850e-950a2d84092b_1160x773.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:773,&quot;width&quot;:1160,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Hungarian Opposition Leader Peter Magyar Delivers Annual Review Speech&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Hungarian Opposition Leader Peter Magyar Delivers Annual Review Speech" title="Hungarian Opposition Leader Peter Magyar Delivers Annual Review Speech" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRlY!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ad3cb83-f222-4040-850e-950a2d84092b_1160x773.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRlY!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ad3cb83-f222-4040-850e-950a2d84092b_1160x773.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRlY!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ad3cb83-f222-4040-850e-950a2d84092b_1160x773.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BRlY!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ad3cb83-f222-4040-850e-950a2d84092b_1160x773.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Hungary</strong>&#8217;s upcoming election has decades-long leader Viktor Orb&#225;n facing an opponent of his own creation. P&#233;ter Magyar, a member of the European Parliament and leader of the Tisza Party, has built a strong opposition campaign and is now emerging as a serious contender to lead Hungary. Magyar has adopted Orb&#225;n&#8217;s language of Euroscepticism and Hungarian nationalism to criticise Orb&#225;n&#8217;s actions and performance as prime minister. Brussels, which has long hoped for a departure from Orb&#225;nist policies, particularly as he has repeatedly clashed with the bloc&#8217;s agenda, including recently over Ukrainian aid, is unlikely to find a dramatically stronger partner in Magyar.</p><p>Magyar previously worked within Orb&#225;n&#8217;s Fidesz party but broke away, arguing that Orb&#225;n&#8217;s treatment of the ethnic Hungarian diaspora and of the national Roma community runs counter to Hungary&#8217;s national interest. Orb&#225;n has enjoyed widespread support from ethnic Hungarians abroad through a clear path to citizenship and protected rights tied to their status, along with strong promotion of the Hungarian language in education&#8212;key pillars of his political platform. However, recent controversies, such as sidestepping discussion of World War II&#8211;era decrees linked to ally Robert Fico of Slovakia, have given Magyar room to attack. Fico and Orb&#225;n have largely aligned within a broader anti-Brussels bloc, expressing stronger support for Russia and advocating greater sovereignty within the Union.</p><p>Magyar has been firm in his commitment to maintaining Hungary as a strong EU member state while prioritising Hungarian national policies. His Tisza Party positions itself as moderate between Brussels and Budapest, emphasising peace, Central European unity, and a negotiated settlement in Ukraine as areas of potential agreement. At the same time, issues such as heightened border controls, the security apparatus, weapons packages for Ukraine, and international trade deals are matters on which Magyar has sparred with EU leadership.</p><p>Tisza currently leads early polling at 49% to Fidesz&#8217;s 38%, making a Magyar victory highly possible. <em>Would his election to the prime ministership substantially change the dynamics within the bloc, or would Hungary under a former Fidesz insider ultimately continue along a similar path?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Ethiopia faces renewed strain with Tigray and Eritrea&#8217; - https://www.dw.com/en/ethiopia-faces-renewed-strain-with-tigray-and-eritrea/a-76056011</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OXim!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F286abc0e-76b3-46d3-93d6-aef5f5908109_1280x853.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OXim!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F286abc0e-76b3-46d3-93d6-aef5f5908109_1280x853.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OXim!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F286abc0e-76b3-46d3-93d6-aef5f5908109_1280x853.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OXim!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F286abc0e-76b3-46d3-93d6-aef5f5908109_1280x853.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OXim!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F286abc0e-76b3-46d3-93d6-aef5f5908109_1280x853.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OXim!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F286abc0e-76b3-46d3-93d6-aef5f5908109_1280x853.jpeg" width="1280" height="853" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/286abc0e-76b3-46d3-93d6-aef5f5908109_1280x853.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:853,&quot;width&quot;:1280,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Een TDF-militair bewaakt op archiefbeeld een controlepost bij de stad Hawzen.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Een TDF-militair bewaakt op archiefbeeld een controlepost bij de stad Hawzen." title="Een TDF-militair bewaakt op archiefbeeld een controlepost bij de stad Hawzen." srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OXim!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F286abc0e-76b3-46d3-93d6-aef5f5908109_1280x853.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OXim!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F286abc0e-76b3-46d3-93d6-aef5f5908109_1280x853.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OXim!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F286abc0e-76b3-46d3-93d6-aef5f5908109_1280x853.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OXim!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F286abc0e-76b3-46d3-93d6-aef5f5908109_1280x853.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Ethiopia </strong>is facing ever-increasing border tensions with a neighboring state as sovereignty and territorial disputes escalate. Within the nation&#8217;s northern region of Tigray, regional stability remains fragile as the longstanding political representation of the Tigray People&#8217;s Liberation Front (TPLF) has splintered into several competing factions.</p><p>Tigray has long been a contested region, with the 2022 Pretoria peace agreement marking a hopeful step toward unity and reconciliation. A two-year conflict between the Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) and the TPLF ended with that agreement, but the subsequent peace has been rocky. Ethiopia has accused neighboring Eritrea of supporting rival factions, further straining relations.</p><p>Soldiers from both the ENDF and TPLF have been deployed across parts of Tigray following the TPLF&#8217;s internal split, and signs of renewed armed conflict are increasing. Local communities have already been significantly affected by rising tensions, with prices surging and resources becoming increasingly scarce.</p><p>International bodies have called for restraint and dialogue between the parties. Journalists within the region have been barred from reporting, with some forced to leave the country entirely. Both local and international reporting have faced challenges within Ethiopia, which ranks 145th in the world for press freedom.</p><p>Eritrea, whether or not the claims of its support for TPLF factions are substantiated, has directly faced Ethiopia&#8217;s criticism. Ethiopia, a landlocked nation of over 130 million people, has looked to its northern neighbor for sea access and the ability to influence key routes around the strategic Horn of Africa. Both nations have begun mass mobilization campaigns, with troops already stationed along their shared border.</p><p>Eritrea gained independence from Ethiopia after a 30-year revolution, followed by two subsequent conflicts after its 1991 sovereignty. Ethiopia has long struggled with regional and internal stability issues, both within its diverse population and in its relationships with neighboring rivals.</p><p><em>With the Horn of Africa already engulfed in violence and instability, will outside pressures and regional tensions spill over and draw Ethiopia into renewed conflict?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive weekly geopolitical news and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Below, vote on the articles you would most like me to cover in-depth, and feel free to comment with any questions or remarks you have!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:456610}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-february-23-2026?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-february-23-2026?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>Outside a tobacconist on Chapel Street in Melbourne. [Matthew Abbott, The New York Times]</p></li><li><p>These AI-generated advertisements, provided by Wallstreat Financier, are displayed on the walls inside the popular South Korean bakery. [Wallstreat Financier, POLITICO]</p></li><li><p>Jose Maria Balcazar, a member of Peru's Congress, casts his vote as Congress holds a session to elect a new president following Jose Jeri's ousting over a scandal involving undisclosed meetings with a Chinese businessman, in Lima, Peru February 18, 2026. [Ernesto Arias, Peru Congress/REUTERS]</p></li><li><p>As the country heads toward an April election, conservative opposition leader P&#233;ter Magyar has emerged as the prime minister&#8217;s most serious challenger yet. | [J&#225;nos Kummer, Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>Northern Tigray is war-weary after the conflict that ended in 2022 with a peace agreement. [Ben Curtis, AP/picture alliance]</p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: February 16, 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: Cuba, Northern Ireland, Egypt, Bangladesh, and Switzerland]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-february-16-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-february-16-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 17 Feb 2026 13:05:06 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2e357deb-cbdb-48ec-8e34-0164bcf3f6b1_803x1200.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Key Themes: National Sovereignty vs. External Pressure, Soft Power as Political Strategy, Geopolitical Realignment, and Demographic &amp; Migration Pressures</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;No fuel, no tourists, no cash &#8211; this was the week the Cuban crisis got real&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/news/ng-interactive/2026/feb/15/cuba-crisis-oil-shortage-venezuela-donald-trump-havana</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8oG8!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde59a3e4-29d8-4a1e-8cb4-b348b6443afa_1240x1548.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8oG8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde59a3e4-29d8-4a1e-8cb4-b348b6443afa_1240x1548.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8oG8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde59a3e4-29d8-4a1e-8cb4-b348b6443afa_1240x1548.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8oG8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde59a3e4-29d8-4a1e-8cb4-b348b6443afa_1240x1548.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8oG8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde59a3e4-29d8-4a1e-8cb4-b348b6443afa_1240x1548.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8oG8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde59a3e4-29d8-4a1e-8cb4-b348b6443afa_1240x1548.jpeg" width="1240" height="1548" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/de59a3e4-29d8-4a1e-8cb4-b348b6443afa_1240x1548.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1548,&quot;width&quot;:1240,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8oG8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde59a3e4-29d8-4a1e-8cb4-b348b6443afa_1240x1548.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8oG8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde59a3e4-29d8-4a1e-8cb4-b348b6443afa_1240x1548.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8oG8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde59a3e4-29d8-4a1e-8cb4-b348b6443afa_1240x1548.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8oG8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fde59a3e4-29d8-4a1e-8cb4-b348b6443afa_1240x1548.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Cuba </strong>is at a tipping point as stressors from the American embargo starve the nation of necessary resources. The early-January capture of ex-President Nicol&#225;s Maduro of Venezuela has demonstrated the appetite and ability of the American military to exert its influence over the Western Hemisphere, with Cuba positioned as its next target. The decades-long communist state has long been a thorn in the American government&#8217;s side, serving as a beacon for communism in America&#8217;s backyard while also supporting like-minded movements across Latin America.</p><p>Cuba today stands largely alone, with allies like Venezuela deposed and Russia preoccupied with Ukraine; the island is metaphorically and physically being surrounded by threats, alongside heightened pressure from the American government on any Cuban partners. The nation has seen nearly one-fifth of its population emigrate in the last four years, as economic instability and hyperinflation leave little hope for those remaining on the island.</p><p>The United States is currently implementing a fuel and oil blockade on Cuba, with the island&#8217;s supply drying up rapidly. The fuel crisis is not just impacting people&#8217;s ability to travel but is also creating domino effects in food supply and distribution. From electricity to water, millions will be impacted. Cuban diplomats believe a way forward may be to provide proof of active starvation and political dissent, demonstrating to the American State Department and populace that humanitarian aid must be sent in.</p><p>The United States has actively embargoed Cuba for 68 years; however, a January tariff threat by Donald Trump has expanded the embargo to international trade. Mexico, a longtime trade partner of Cuba and the nation&#8217;s largest oil supplier, has canceled all tankers to the island. Mexico, among other states, has warned of a looming humanitarian crisis if greater aid is not provided to Cuban citizens.</p><p>The Cuban state is losing its means of commerce. The American blockade and tariff threats have massively cut trade flows from Cuba. Fuel shortages have already impacted tourism and, consequently, local businesses, while decades-long exchange programs involving Cuban doctors and intellectuals have begun to wane.</p><p><em>As a new Cuban crisis expands, what is the endgame of the American state? Marco Rubio, Secretary of State, expressed at the Munich Security Conference this past week that no regime change will occur; however, other posturing may suggest otherwise. What do the Cuban people want, and what can they do?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;How to Get From &#8216;Derry Girls&#8217; to &#8216;Heaven&#8217;: Via Comedic Mystery&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/12/arts/television/lisa-mcgee-how-to-get-from-heaven-to-belfast.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PAWz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8a79f916-5a72-496e-9ca6-2aef9f96811d_1024x683.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PAWz!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8a79f916-5a72-496e-9ca6-2aef9f96811d_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PAWz!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8a79f916-5a72-496e-9ca6-2aef9f96811d_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PAWz!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8a79f916-5a72-496e-9ca6-2aef9f96811d_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PAWz!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8a79f916-5a72-496e-9ca6-2aef9f96811d_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PAWz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8a79f916-5a72-496e-9ca6-2aef9f96811d_1024x683.webp" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8a79f916-5a72-496e-9ca6-2aef9f96811d_1024x683.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Three people stand with their hands folded in a room with a coffin in it.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Three people stand with their hands folded in a room with a coffin in it." title="Three people stand with their hands folded in a room with a coffin in it." srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PAWz!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8a79f916-5a72-496e-9ca6-2aef9f96811d_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PAWz!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8a79f916-5a72-496e-9ca6-2aef9f96811d_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PAWz!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8a79f916-5a72-496e-9ca6-2aef9f96811d_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PAWz!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8a79f916-5a72-496e-9ca6-2aef9f96811d_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Northern Ireland, </strong>via Lisa McGee, is attempting to shed traditional Irish stereotypes through a more modern lens of the nation and its people. McGee, a playwright and screenwriter, is a highly acclaimed creator best known for Derry Girls, a satirical yet realistic timepiece set in Northern Ireland during the Troubles of the 1990s. McGee, alongside Netflix, has just premiered How to Get to Heaven From Belfast, a murder-mystery series set in the same location as <em>Derry Girls</em>, but in the modern day.</p><p>McGee has drawn on scenes from her childhood to set the stage for her productions, shaping Belfast through the many facets the city holds. Belfast, the capital of Northern Ireland, has been a point of contention surrounding territory, diplomacy, culture, and religion for decades&#8212;indeed, for centuries. The city has often been conjured as a place trapped between an imagined past and an imagined future, with McGee instead attempting to situate it firmly in the present.</p><p>While local legacies are impossible to erase, <em>How to Get to Heaven From Belfast</em> attempts to explore the complexity and multifaceted nature of the characters who inhabit the city. Modern politics can be seen through seemingly casual conversations shaped by the division between Ireland and Northern Ireland, as well as through the use of the Irish language in the region. Contemporary Irish pop culture is woven throughout the show, offering history buffs and Irish enthusiasts layers of contextual knowledge adjacent to the show&#8217;s main narrative arc.</p><p><em>How can a TV show act as a surrogate for politics? What are the benefits and drawbacks of using such a lens to address today&#8217;s hot-button issues?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Why is Egypt bolstering ties with Somalia now?&#8217; - https://www.dw.com/en/why-is-egypt-bolstering-ties-with-somalia-now/a-75958140</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7BR!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69f43bf9-3588-4102-94c9-6b2b96171cb4_1110x624.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7BR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69f43bf9-3588-4102-94c9-6b2b96171cb4_1110x624.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7BR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69f43bf9-3588-4102-94c9-6b2b96171cb4_1110x624.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7BR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69f43bf9-3588-4102-94c9-6b2b96171cb4_1110x624.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7BR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69f43bf9-3588-4102-94c9-6b2b96171cb4_1110x624.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7BR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69f43bf9-3588-4102-94c9-6b2b96171cb4_1110x624.jpeg" width="1110" height="624" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/69f43bf9-3588-4102-94c9-6b2b96171cb4_1110x624.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:624,&quot;width&quot;:1110,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi stands (right) next to Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud in Cairo&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi stands (right) next to Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud in Cairo" title="Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi stands (right) next to Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud in Cairo" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7BR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69f43bf9-3588-4102-94c9-6b2b96171cb4_1110x624.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7BR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69f43bf9-3588-4102-94c9-6b2b96171cb4_1110x624.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7BR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69f43bf9-3588-4102-94c9-6b2b96171cb4_1110x624.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!q7BR!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F69f43bf9-3588-4102-94c9-6b2b96171cb4_1110x624.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Egypt</strong> is building bridges with Somalia in pursuit of regional influence and deterrence. Cairo has gradually expanded its presence around the Red Sea and the Persian Gulf, using targeted alliances and treaties to position itself strategically for the future. Most recently, Egypt sent over a thousand troops to Mogadishu, Somalia, under the auspices of an African Union peacekeeping force.</p><p>Somalia has experienced persistent instability since the collapse of its government in 1991. Groups such as al-Shabaab, regional warlords, and pirate networks have maintained footholds in peripheral regions of the country, with the peacekeeping mission intended to curb ongoing violence and aggression. Complicating matters further is Somaliland, a breakaway region in northern Somalia that operates as a semi-sovereign state and seeks broader international recognition.</p><p>Somalia occupies a critical geostrategic position at the Horn of Africa, overseeing major international shipping lanes connecting the Indian Ocean to routes leading toward the Suez Canal. A key factor behind Egypt&#8217;s growing involvement in the Horn stems from its rising tensions with Ethiopia, the upstream nation along the Nile. Somaliland recently struck a deal with Ethiopia, granting the landlocked country access to its ports in exchange for potential diplomatic recognition.</p><p>So far, only Israel has formally recognized Somaliland as an independent state, a decision that may be influenced by Somaliland&#8217;s strategic location across the water from Yemen, where the rival Houthi movement operates. The Houthis are frequently linked with Hamas in Gaza, further complicating Egypt&#8217;s political positioning as its relationship with Israel faces new strains following the recognition of Somaliland.</p><p>Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have also maintained sustained campaigns for influence in the region, providing aid and support to paramilitary actors in Sudan and South Sudan. Meanwhile, all Nile Basin nations face a looming challenge: the newly unveiled Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), which began operations late last year. The dam raises fears in Egypt that its water supply could become subject to Ethiopian control. Cairo has consistently objected to the dam&#8217;s construction and implementation, citing existential concerns over water security.</p><p>Somalia, which has previously disputed boundaries with Ethiopia, may view the presence of Egyptian troops as both a deterrent against potential Ethiopian encroachment and a reinforcement of domestic security against extremist threats. For Egypt, establishing a local military presence enhances its surveillance capabilities and strategic leverage in the Gulf and surrounding waterways.</p><p><em>With so many regional and international powers vying for influence, is the region edging toward becoming a geopolitical powder keg?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Could BNP&#8217;s landslide win open a new geopolitical chapter for Bangladesh?&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/04/world/africa/nigeria-attack-woro-nuku.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XG_4!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb58c2932-5ea3-4d60-8dd6-74d31fdbb5e0_770x513.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XG_4!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb58c2932-5ea3-4d60-8dd6-74d31fdbb5e0_770x513.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XG_4!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb58c2932-5ea3-4d60-8dd6-74d31fdbb5e0_770x513.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XG_4!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb58c2932-5ea3-4d60-8dd6-74d31fdbb5e0_770x513.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XG_4!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb58c2932-5ea3-4d60-8dd6-74d31fdbb5e0_770x513.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XG_4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb58c2932-5ea3-4d60-8dd6-74d31fdbb5e0_770x513.jpeg" width="770" height="513" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b58c2932-5ea3-4d60-8dd6-74d31fdbb5e0_770x513.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:513,&quot;width&quot;:770,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;People vote during the 13th general election in Dhaka, Bangladesh, February 12, 2026. REUTERS/Mohammad Ponir Hossain\n\n&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="People vote during the 13th general election in Dhaka, Bangladesh, February 12, 2026. REUTERS/Mohammad Ponir Hossain

" title="People vote during the 13th general election in Dhaka, Bangladesh, February 12, 2026. REUTERS/Mohammad Ponir Hossain

" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XG_4!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb58c2932-5ea3-4d60-8dd6-74d31fdbb5e0_770x513.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XG_4!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb58c2932-5ea3-4d60-8dd6-74d31fdbb5e0_770x513.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XG_4!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb58c2932-5ea3-4d60-8dd6-74d31fdbb5e0_770x513.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XG_4!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb58c2932-5ea3-4d60-8dd6-74d31fdbb5e0_770x513.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Bangladesh</strong>&#8217;s elections will shape the years ahead following the nation&#8217;s Gen Z revolution, which helped spark a broader global movement in 2025. The Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), under the leadership of Tarique Rahman, led a decisive campaign to claim victory in the national election. The BNP secured 212 of the country&#8217;s 299 parliamentary seats, significantly outweighing the Jamaat-e-Islami opposition, which won 77 seats.</p><p>Sheikh Hasina, the longtime former Prime Minister of Bangladesh&#8212;currently on trial in The Hague for crimes against humanity&#8212;condemned the results as a sham. India and Pakistan both congratulated Rahman on his victory, as regional posturing may shift following political changes in the world&#8217;s eighth-most populous nation.</p><p>India, under Prime Minister Narendra Modi, has sought to build positive relations with the incoming administration, reflecting the two nations&#8217; long shared history, culture, and people. Modi previously launched a broad diplomatic outreach to Bangladesh during Hasina&#8217;s tenure, hoping to strengthen a South Asian sphere of influence to counter rivals China and Pakistan. In recent years, however, diplomacy fell to a low point following Hasina&#8217;s ousting and the installation of a temporary government. India has since renewed its outreach toward Bangladesh, engaging closely with likely Prime Minister Rahman and Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar.</p><p>A BNP-led Bangladesh is expected to take a more moderate stance than the Hasina-led government regarding India, aiming to balance relations among all major regional powers. Bangladeshi youth have grown increasingly critical of India, citing border disputes and economic imbalances as sources of tension.</p><p>Meanwhile, relations with Pakistan have improved since Hasina&#8217;s removal, with civilian and diplomatic exchanges on the rise. Trade agreements are emerging, and enhanced security cooperation, including discussions of joint defense initiatives, has been reported. Bangladesh, once part of Pakistan, retains deep cultural ties, yet it must always contend with India as its immediate neighbor.</p><p>China, another key regional actor, is also seeking to expand its influence. Beijing maintained strong partnerships under Hasina&#8217;s leadership, with its Belt and Road Initiative funding major infrastructure projects through loans and investment flows.</p><p>Bangladesh now has multiple partnership options and considerable leverage, but it must decide how to position itself strategically. Regional and global powers, including the United States, will closely watch how the BNP government navigates its foreign policy, as its choices could shape South Asian geopolitics for years to come.</p><p><em>Which partner is Bangladesh most likely to prioritize under a BNP government, and why?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Switzerland to vote on plan to cap population at 10mn&#8217; - https://www.ft.com/content/675538b9-2a7b-4296-aad9-2a930e61f369</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c0Xg!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcca64b4-45b1-45a4-8216-0a409bdc846b_700x394.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c0Xg!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcca64b4-45b1-45a4-8216-0a409bdc846b_700x394.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c0Xg!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcca64b4-45b1-45a4-8216-0a409bdc846b_700x394.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c0Xg!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcca64b4-45b1-45a4-8216-0a409bdc846b_700x394.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c0Xg!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcca64b4-45b1-45a4-8216-0a409bdc846b_700x394.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c0Xg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcca64b4-45b1-45a4-8216-0a409bdc846b_700x394.png" width="700" height="394" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/fcca64b4-45b1-45a4-8216-0a409bdc846b_700x394.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:394,&quot;width&quot;:700,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c0Xg!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcca64b4-45b1-45a4-8216-0a409bdc846b_700x394.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c0Xg!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcca64b4-45b1-45a4-8216-0a409bdc846b_700x394.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c0Xg!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcca64b4-45b1-45a4-8216-0a409bdc846b_700x394.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!c0Xg!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcca64b4-45b1-45a4-8216-0a409bdc846b_700x394.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Switzerland </strong>will vote on a measure to cap the country&#8217;s population at 10 million residents. Under Switzerland&#8217;s system of direct democracy, any initiative requires at least 100,000 signatures to trigger a national referendum. The right-wing Swiss People&#8217;s Party (SVP) is backing the proposal, which is scheduled for a June vote.</p><p>The measure would impose a population ceiling of 10 million by 2050, with automatic corrective measures triggered if the population reaches 9.5 million before that date. Switzerland currently has approximately 9.1 million residents, and about 27% of them are foreign nationals&#8212;one of the highest foreign-born shares in Europe. Since 1970, Switzerland&#8217;s population has nearly doubled, largely due to immigration.</p><p>Polling suggests support for the initiative stands at around 48%, reflecting broader European trends of anti-immigration sentiment, housing shortages, and concerns about infrastructure strain.</p><p>If passed, Switzerland could be required to renegotiate key agreements with the European Union, particularly those governing the free movement of people. Business groups have labeled the proposal a &#8220;chaos initiative,&#8221; warning of major economic disruption. Multinationals such as Nestl&#233; and Roche rely heavily on international labor, both high-skilled and general workforce.</p><p>The proposal could also strain Switzerland&#8217;s position within the European Free Trade Association and place pressure on frameworks like the Schengen Agreement and the Dublin Regulation. Some observers warn that negotiations could resemble the tensions seen during Brexit.</p><p>Both Switzerland&#8217;s executive and legislative branches have advised against the referendum.<em> If the referendum passes, Switzerland may gain political control and short-term domestic relief, but at the potential cost of economic dynamism and diplomatic friction. What is the cost-benefit for Swiss nationals if the vote passes? What would it mean for Europe and the EU?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:450801}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-february-16-2026?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-february-16-2026?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>Diplomats in Havana are preparing for an alternative Trump tactic: the country being starved until people take to the streets and the US can step in. [The Guardian, Ruaridh Nicoll]</p></li><li><p>&#8220;How to Get to Heaven From Belfast&#8221; demands that audiences recognize the island of Ireland as a place that is as diverse, complicated and unreconciled as anywhere else. [Christopher Barr, Netflix]</p></li><li><p>Egypt is keen on strengthening ties with Somalia, albeit for its own strategic objective. [Egyptian President Office, SIPA/picture alliance]</p></li><li><p>People vote during the general election in Dhaka, on February 12, 2026 [Mohammad Ponis Hossain, Reuters]</p></li><li><p>Representatives of the Swiss People&#8217;s Party demonstrate in favour of the proposal, which has widespread support due to frustration over housing and &#8216;unchecked immigration&#8217;. [Fabrice Coffrini, AFP/Getty Images]</p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: February 9, 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: Costa Rica, Russia, Italy, Nigeria, and China]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-february-2-2026-c54</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-february-2-2026-c54</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 09 Feb 2026 13:58:46 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/29301941-0344-4393-9e75-87b743fe25cc_270x380.avif" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Key Themes: Symbolism Driving Public Sentiment, Regional Instability with Global Ripples, and Public Disillusionment Alongside a Demand for Results</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Costa Rica Elects Right-Wing Candidate Amid Fears Over Crime&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/01/world/americas/costa-rica-election-fernandez.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eM6R!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8cc1412-07b4-48d8-a902-f8a4399d5fe3_1024x683.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eM6R!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8cc1412-07b4-48d8-a902-f8a4399d5fe3_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eM6R!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8cc1412-07b4-48d8-a902-f8a4399d5fe3_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eM6R!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8cc1412-07b4-48d8-a902-f8a4399d5fe3_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eM6R!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8cc1412-07b4-48d8-a902-f8a4399d5fe3_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eM6R!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8cc1412-07b4-48d8-a902-f8a4399d5fe3_1024x683.webp" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b8cc1412-07b4-48d8-a902-f8a4399d5fe3_1024x683.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:71340,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/187364537?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8cc1412-07b4-48d8-a902-f8a4399d5fe3_1024x683.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eM6R!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8cc1412-07b4-48d8-a902-f8a4399d5fe3_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eM6R!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8cc1412-07b4-48d8-a902-f8a4399d5fe3_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eM6R!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8cc1412-07b4-48d8-a902-f8a4399d5fe3_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eM6R!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb8cc1412-07b4-48d8-a902-f8a4399d5fe3_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Costa Rica</strong>, akin to many other Latin American nations, has shifted to the right in its recent presidential election. Laura Fern&#225;ndez won the presidency, becoming the nation&#8217;s second female leader at just 39 years old. Fern&#225;ndez secured a first-round victory with roughly 48 % of the vote, compared with about 33 % for her closest competitor.</p><p>Fern&#225;ndez was widely seen as the hand-picked successor of outgoing President Rodrigo Chaves, who was ineligible to run again due to constitutional term limits. She campaigned on a continuation of his agenda and on a tough-on-crime platform in response to rising violence and drug-related crime that Costa Rica has experienced in recent years.</p><p>Her primary campaign focus has been on public security, promising stronger law enforcement and harsher penalties for organized crime. She has expressed support for measures similar to those implemented by El Salvador&#8217;s President Nayib Bukele, including states of emergency in high-crime areas and building high-security facilities to detain gang and cartel members.</p><p>Costa Rica has long been considered one of the more peaceful countries in Latin America, in part due to its lack of a standing army; internal security is principally the responsibility of police forces. Fern&#225;ndez has indicated she will strengthen cooperation with international law enforcement agencies to combat drug trafficking and organized crime.</p><p>Fern&#225;ndez has also signaled support for conservative social policies and has emphasized &#8220;traditional values&#8221; in her rhetoric.</p><p>Her party, the Sovereign People&#8217;s Party (Partido Pueblo Soberano), is poised to hold a majority in the Legislative Assembly. However, it fell short of the supermajority needed for sweeping constitutional changes. Observers have expressed concern that a highly centralized executive majority could pressure Costa Rica&#8217;s democratic checks and balances.</p><p>The victory continues a broader trend of right-leaning, security-focused leadership in parts of Latin America, and Fern&#225;ndez&#8217;s alignment with leaders like Bukele suggests possible shifts in diplomatic and policy priorities in Central America. <em>Will Costa Rica&#8217;s election change regional politics?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Russian general shot several times in Moscow&#8217; - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3686nzexp3o</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Bx8!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc91bff7e-d7e8-4735-af56-303c27885898_1024x576.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Bx8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc91bff7e-d7e8-4735-af56-303c27885898_1024x576.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Bx8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc91bff7e-d7e8-4735-af56-303c27885898_1024x576.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Bx8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc91bff7e-d7e8-4735-af56-303c27885898_1024x576.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Bx8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc91bff7e-d7e8-4735-af56-303c27885898_1024x576.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Bx8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc91bff7e-d7e8-4735-af56-303c27885898_1024x576.webp" width="1024" height="576" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc91bff7e-d7e8-4735-af56-303c27885898_1024x576.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Bx8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc91bff7e-d7e8-4735-af56-303c27885898_1024x576.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Bx8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc91bff7e-d7e8-4735-af56-303c27885898_1024x576.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1Bx8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc91bff7e-d7e8-4735-af56-303c27885898_1024x576.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Russia </strong>has a senior general shot on a Moscow street and left severely wounded, but in stable condition, according to Russian authorities.</p><p>Lt. Gen. Vladimir Alexeyev was attacked in a residential area of the Russian capital. Officials quickly pointed to possible involvement by Ukrainian intelligence services, though no evidence has yet been made public.</p><p>Alexeyev is one of the highest-ranking figures in Russia&#8217;s military intelligence structure. His attempted assassination marks the fourth attack on a high-profile Russian military official within the past year.</p><p>Investigators are reviewing surveillance footage and evidence from the scene, but authorities say no suspect has yet been definitively identified.</p><p>Alexeyev has previously been awarded the title Hero of Russia for his role in Moscow&#8217;s involvement in the Syrian civil war and other military operations over the past several decades. He has also been involved in state-level negotiations concerning Ukrainian territories.</p><p>The shooting occurred just one day after Russia&#8217;s military intelligence chief, Igor Kostyukov, reportedly held talks with American and Ukrainian diplomats in Abu Dhabi.</p><p>Alexeyev has faced international sanctions over alleged involvement in covert operations and suspected assassination attempts on European soil.</p><p>Ukraine, which has in the past claimed responsibility for certain attacks inside Russian territory, has not issued a formal statement regarding this incident.</p><p>Attempts on the lives of senior Russian military officials across various branches have become increasingly frequent since Russia&#8217;s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.</p><p>It remains unclear whether the attack will have a direct impact on ongoing or future peace negotiations. <em>Would any confirmed Ukrainian involvement, or proof of non-involvement, significantly influence diplomatic narratives on grandstanding matters?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;How Italy&#8217;s most polarizing politician hitched his comeback to the Winter Olympics&#8217; - https://www.politico.eu/article/matteo-salvini-italy-comeback-winter-olympics/</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kytH!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96993a54-c2dd-4d41-a61c-619c3739c6e2_1600x1200.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kytH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96993a54-c2dd-4d41-a61c-619c3739c6e2_1600x1200.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kytH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96993a54-c2dd-4d41-a61c-619c3739c6e2_1600x1200.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kytH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96993a54-c2dd-4d41-a61c-619c3739c6e2_1600x1200.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kytH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96993a54-c2dd-4d41-a61c-619c3739c6e2_1600x1200.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kytH!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96993a54-c2dd-4d41-a61c-619c3739c6e2_1600x1200.jpeg" width="1456" height="1092" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/96993a54-c2dd-4d41-a61c-619c3739c6e2_1600x1200.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1092,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kytH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96993a54-c2dd-4d41-a61c-619c3739c6e2_1600x1200.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kytH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96993a54-c2dd-4d41-a61c-619c3739c6e2_1600x1200.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kytH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96993a54-c2dd-4d41-a61c-619c3739c6e2_1600x1200.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kytH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F96993a54-c2dd-4d41-a61c-619c3739c6e2_1600x1200.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Italy </strong>is hosting the 2026 Winter Olympic Games in Milan and Cortina, and some politicians are hoping to turn the event&#8217;s momentum into political capital.</p><p>Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini is seeking to use the Games to rebuild influence after his right-wing League party suffered further internal fractures, including the departure of Roberto Vannacci to form a rival political movement.</p><p>Salvini&#8217;s League draws much of its support from northern Italy, particularly in regions surrounding Milan. He is aiming to showcase the Olympics as a model for how major international events can drive long-term regional development. His message centers on infrastructure investment tied to the Games and how targeted development in Lombardy could improve quality of life for decades.</p><p>Historically, the League has emphasized regional autonomy and northern economic strength rather than nationwide initiatives. Some longtime supporters have expressed frustration that the party&#8217;s recent focus on national defense spending and large-scale infrastructure projects in southern Italy, such as the proposed Messina Strait bridge, strays from its traditional priorities.</p><p>With significant Olympic-related investment flowing into the north, including transit upgrades, job creation, and tourism development, Salvini is positioning himself as a leader who can deliver tangible benefits to his political base. He has increasingly framed himself as a politician of action rather than obstruction, tying both his credibility and future ambitions to the perceived success of the Games.</p><p>However, Salvini has lost ground within Italy&#8217;s broader right wing as Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has consolidated power and shifted the national agenda away from some of the League&#8217;s core themes. The Olympics present Salvini with an opportunity to reassert relevance by highlighting local gains achieved under his influence.</p><p>Funding for Olympic projects has been relatively accessible, particularly as League-aligned regional governments in Lombardy and Veneto have had significant sway over public works planning. At the same time, critics have raised environmental and geological concerns about how certain developments are being implemented, warning that high-risk areas may be overlooked in favor of spectacle.</p><p>There are also longstanding worries about post-Olympic economic fallout. Past host cities have sometimes struggled with underused infrastructure and public debt after the spotlight fades. The 2006 Winter Olympics in Turin are frequently cited as an example of how promised long-term benefits did not fully materialize for local residents.</p><p>Success could strengthen his argument that regionally focused investment delivers real results, while cost overruns, environmental damage, or underused facilities could reinforce criticism that Olympic-driven development often prioritizes short-term prestige over lasting public benefit. <em>Can the Milan&#8211;Cortina Games revive Salvini&#8217;s political fortunes?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Gunmen in Nigeria Kill More Than 160, Aid Official Says&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/04/world/africa/nigeria-attack-woro-nuku.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8o1f!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3a6840a-27f8-45e9-945b-2a969629ab24_1440x810.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8o1f!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3a6840a-27f8-45e9-945b-2a969629ab24_1440x810.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8o1f!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3a6840a-27f8-45e9-945b-2a969629ab24_1440x810.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8o1f!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3a6840a-27f8-45e9-945b-2a969629ab24_1440x810.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8o1f!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3a6840a-27f8-45e9-945b-2a969629ab24_1440x810.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8o1f!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3a6840a-27f8-45e9-945b-2a969629ab24_1440x810.jpeg" width="1440" height="810" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e3a6840a-27f8-45e9-945b-2a969629ab24_1440x810.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:810,&quot;width&quot;:1440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8o1f!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3a6840a-27f8-45e9-945b-2a969629ab24_1440x810.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8o1f!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3a6840a-27f8-45e9-945b-2a969629ab24_1440x810.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8o1f!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3a6840a-27f8-45e9-945b-2a969629ab24_1440x810.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8o1f!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe3a6840a-27f8-45e9-945b-2a969629ab24_1440x810.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Nigeria </strong>has suffered one of its deadliest domestic terror attacks in decades after armed raiders stormed villages in the country&#8217;s central region, leaving hundreds feared dead.</p><p>The attacks took place in Kwara State, where the communities of Woro and Nuku were overrun and largely destroyed. The identity of the assailants has not been officially confirmed, though early suspicion has fallen on Boko Haram, the Islamist militant group that has destabilized large parts of northern Nigeria for more than a decade.</p><p>The Nigerian Red Cross has placed the confirmed death toll at 167, a figure expected to rise as search teams continue to sift through burned homes and collapsed buildings. Many residents remain missing.</p><p>Nigeria has drawn renewed international attention amid rising insecurity, including commentary from former U.S. President Donald Trump, who has publicly condemned violence against Christian communities in the country and suggested the possibility of American intervention if protections are not strengthened.</p><p>Nigeria is home to tens of millions of both Christians and Muslims, and while religious tensions do exist, data on the precise role of interreligious violence in individual attacks is often inconclusive. Militant Islamist groups, however, have significantly expanded their reach across West Africa in recent years, exploiting weak governance and porous borders.</p><p>The Nigerian government has deployed military and counterterrorism forces to affected regions, particularly in the north, but has struggled to contain the insurgency due to limited resources, difficult terrain, and the militants&#8217; ability to regroup and recruit.</p><p>Groups such as Boko Haram have long relied on raids, kidnappings, and looting to fund operations and grow their ranks. The scale of destruction in Woro and Nuku suggests the latest assault may have been intended more as a show of force and intimidation than for material gain.</p><p>International aid aimed at counterterrorism and post-conflict recovery has declined in recent years, as global priorities have shifted and some major assistance programs have been scaled back.</p><p><em>What can regional actors do to protect communities? And what can Nigeria strive towards for a longer-term solution for itself and the region?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Stable genius? How a defective &#8216;crying horse&#8217; toy went viral in China&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jan/28/viral-crying-horse-toy-china</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w0-h!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe28f0f6-e3db-4145-acf8-f5a92dc92b55_1240x992.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w0-h!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe28f0f6-e3db-4145-acf8-f5a92dc92b55_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w0-h!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe28f0f6-e3db-4145-acf8-f5a92dc92b55_1240x992.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w0-h!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe28f0f6-e3db-4145-acf8-f5a92dc92b55_1240x992.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w0-h!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe28f0f6-e3db-4145-acf8-f5a92dc92b55_1240x992.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w0-h!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe28f0f6-e3db-4145-acf8-f5a92dc92b55_1240x992.avif" width="1240" height="992" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/be28f0f6-e3db-4145-acf8-f5a92dc92b55_1240x992.avif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:992,&quot;width&quot;:1240,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:48311,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/avif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/187364537?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe28f0f6-e3db-4145-acf8-f5a92dc92b55_1240x992.avif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w0-h!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe28f0f6-e3db-4145-acf8-f5a92dc92b55_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w0-h!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe28f0f6-e3db-4145-acf8-f5a92dc92b55_1240x992.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w0-h!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe28f0f6-e3db-4145-acf8-f5a92dc92b55_1240x992.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w0-h!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe28f0f6-e3db-4145-acf8-f5a92dc92b55_1240x992.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>China</strong> sees a production error turning a festive Lunar New Year toy into an unexpected cultural symbol &#8212;  with a misprinted plush horse gaining popularity for its gloomy expression rather than holiday cheer.</p><p>The Lunar New Year begins on February 17, marking the start of the Year of the Horse. To celebrate, Chinese toymaker Happy Sister released a line of bright red horse plushies intended to convey joy and good fortune. However, a manufacturing mistake left many of the toys with an exaggerated frown and an expression that social media users have described as &#8220;tired,&#8221; &#8220;resigned,&#8221; or &#8220;on the verge of tears.&#8221;</p><p>Instead of being discarded, the flawed toys have surged in popularity online, where they are being embraced as a lighthearted but pointed reflection of modern work life. Many users have dubbed the toy the &#8220;crying horse,&#8221; sharing photos and memes that portray it as a mascot for workplace exhaustion.</p><p>The trend has struck a chord in a country where long working hours remain common. The intense &#8220;996&#8221; schedule, working from 9 a.m. to 9 p.m., six days a week, was declared illegal by Chinese courts in 2021, but employees in some industries say the culture of overwork persists.</p><p>Online commenters have framed the toy as a metaphor for their daily lives. In popular posts, the misprinted frowning horse represents their weary office persona, while the original smiling version symbolizes their more relaxed selves at home.</p><p>The toy&#8217;s rise also reflects the growing appeal of &#8220;ugly-cute&#8221; characters &#8212; unconventional designs that evoke empathy through imperfection. Similar trends have propelled the popularity of offbeat collectible dolls and mascots in Asia and beyond, where awkward or melancholic expressions resonate with younger consumers.</p><p>What began as a factory error has turned into a commercial success. Demand has reportedly outpaced expectations, prompting expanded production, while images of the toy have begun circulating internationally as an example of viral consumer culture.</p><p>Though intended as a symbol of celebration, the misprinted horse has instead become a quiet emblem of shared fatigue, and proof that even a manufacturing flaw can capture the mood of the moment.<em> Is this phenomenon unique to China or the region? And why was the crying horse toy able to find so much success within China and international attention?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive weekly geopolitical news and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Below, vote on the articles you would most like me to cover in-depth, and feel free to comment with any questions or remarks you have!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:446782}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-february-2-2026-c54?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-february-2-2026-c54?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>Laura Fern&#225;ndez, Costa Rica&#8217;s president-elect, celebrating her election victory alongside supporters on Sunday evening. [Cesar Rodriguez, The New York Times]</p></li><li><p>Lt Gen Vladimir Alexeyev is number two in the main directorate of Russia's GRU military intelligence. [BBC, Russian Defense Ministry]</p></li><li><p>Illustration. [Nat&#225;lia Delgado, POLITICO]</p></li><li><p>A man digs a grave in Woro to bury a victim of Tuesday&#8217;s jihadi attack [Light Oriye Tamunotonye, AFP/Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>Crying horse plush toys sit on display ahead of the Chinese Lunar New Year, which will welcome the Year of the Horse [Nicoco Chan, Reuters]</p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: February 2, 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: Mozambique, The Netherlands, India, Albania, and The Philippines]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-february-2-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-february-2-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 03 Feb 2026 12:33:14 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b7543023-4b80-4e81-8212-33db55825caa_674x1000.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Key Themes: Governance Under Strain, Security vs. Civil Liberties, Institutional Trust and Legitimacy, and Realignment of Power in a Multipolar World</p><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UOm1!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68165379-ddb7-4701-b14a-b45321cb3d68_6400x3224.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UOm1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68165379-ddb7-4701-b14a-b45321cb3d68_6400x3224.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UOm1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68165379-ddb7-4701-b14a-b45321cb3d68_6400x3224.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UOm1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68165379-ddb7-4701-b14a-b45321cb3d68_6400x3224.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UOm1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68165379-ddb7-4701-b14a-b45321cb3d68_6400x3224.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UOm1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68165379-ddb7-4701-b14a-b45321cb3d68_6400x3224.png" width="1456" height="733" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68165379-ddb7-4701-b14a-b45321cb3d68_6400x3224.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UOm1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68165379-ddb7-4701-b14a-b45321cb3d68_6400x3224.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UOm1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68165379-ddb7-4701-b14a-b45321cb3d68_6400x3224.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UOm1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68165379-ddb7-4701-b14a-b45321cb3d68_6400x3224.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><em>What You Missed</em> Circa January 26&#8217;</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;People cling to treetops as &#8216;worst floods in a generation&#8217; sweep Mozambique&#8217; - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cddgq9z4899o</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9IJM!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbef39897-cb2c-42c1-bd56-5ff868ff11b1_1024x576.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9IJM!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbef39897-cb2c-42c1-bd56-5ff868ff11b1_1024x576.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9IJM!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbef39897-cb2c-42c1-bd56-5ff868ff11b1_1024x576.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9IJM!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbef39897-cb2c-42c1-bd56-5ff868ff11b1_1024x576.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9IJM!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbef39897-cb2c-42c1-bd56-5ff868ff11b1_1024x576.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9IJM!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbef39897-cb2c-42c1-bd56-5ff868ff11b1_1024x576.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Mozambique </strong>is contending with infrastructure collapse following massive floods that have overwhelmed local, state, and regional facilities. Much of Southern Africa is experiencing turmoil, with Mozambique alone having rescued tens of thousands from rising waters. The Inkomati River, north of the capital city, Maputo, burst its banks, flooding hundreds of neighborhoods.</p><p>Coming in to assist the already 650,000 affected are rescue teams from across the globe. Most have had to leave all their belongings and livelihoods behind, with no sign of a possible return on the horizon and no safe way to secure their goods. Many are facing the possibility of losing everything, including their lives, with internal disputes weighing on the minds of the citizenry.</p><p>Heavy rains are expected to continue across the nation, and in South Africa, the source of the river. Vehicle passage through many southern and eastern regions is heavily restricted or ill-advised, as travel is expected to remain disrupted. Even regions not directly affected by mass flooding are experiencing the negative effects. The lack of protected infrastructure has led to weakening supply lines, with cities facing shortages of basic goods and sharp increases in costs.</p><p>Shelters across the nation are increasing by the day, with a growing strain further overwhelming already stretched aid sites. Classrooms are being used as temporary shelters to help accommodate the rising number of people seeking aid. With schools disrupted, the Mozambican government is considering changes to the academic calendar to make up for lost time.</p><p><em>With flooding only likely to worsen, what can Mozambique do to lessen further disasters?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;The new Dutch government has big plans. Here are 5 things to know.&#8217; - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/21/spains-train-drivers-call-for-strike-as-deadly-derailments-fuel-concern</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RP4N!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd87f07b4-8d4f-4601-a472-25a548b3d738_1280x930.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RP4N!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd87f07b4-8d4f-4601-a472-25a548b3d738_1280x930.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RP4N!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd87f07b4-8d4f-4601-a472-25a548b3d738_1280x930.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RP4N!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd87f07b4-8d4f-4601-a472-25a548b3d738_1280x930.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RP4N!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd87f07b4-8d4f-4601-a472-25a548b3d738_1280x930.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RP4N!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd87f07b4-8d4f-4601-a472-25a548b3d738_1280x930.avif" width="1280" height="930" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd87f07b4-8d4f-4601-a472-25a548b3d738_1280x930.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RP4N!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd87f07b4-8d4f-4601-a472-25a548b3d738_1280x930.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RP4N!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd87f07b4-8d4f-4601-a472-25a548b3d738_1280x930.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RP4N!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd87f07b4-8d4f-4601-a472-25a548b3d738_1280x930.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>The Netherlands</strong> has established a coalition government to lead the nation following years of political discombobulation. The coalition is comprised of the election winner, the center-left D66, the center-right Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA), and the liberal People&#8217;s Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD).</p><p>The coalition presented a 67-page agenda which, contrary to D66&#8217;s generally progressive policy outlook, focuses on austerity and defense spending. The coalition&#8217;s priority is policy-building under their newly revealed slogan, &#8220;Let&#8217;s get to work!&#8221;, as they aim to combat years of political polarization within the nation. General investments are aimed at easing the housing crisis and phasing out nitrogen emissions, with the largest expenditure being the newly approved &#8364;19 billion defense package intended to meet NATO standards.</p><p>Funding is being reallocated away from education and international aid to meet these new demands, with general healthcare costs expected to rise alongside a new &#8364;184-per-year &#8220;freedom tax.&#8221; Migration, a major political issue across the continent, is also a key priority. Deportations are expected to increase, alongside broader asylum reforms. There is an emphasis on deportations only to safe countries and transit hubs, and an international asylum summit is expected to be hosted later this year.</p><p>The new coalition is also looking to deepen the nation&#8217;s collaboration with the EU, particularly on defense and migration. As it stands, the coalition is set to govern as a minority government, holding fewer than half of the seats needed for a majority in either the lower house or the upper chamber. This will require piecemeal cooperation with other parliamentary groups, with the two largest opposition parties being the ideologically opposed leftist GreenLeft&#8211;Labour alliance (GL&#8211;PvdA) and the far-right Party for Freedom (PVV).</p><p>The government is expected to fully take shape by the end of February.</p><p><em>Will the new coalition government prove more stable than the previous Schoof government? Which voices from other parties will be heard the loudest alongside the new coalition?</em></p><div><hr></div><p>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;India and EU announce 'mother of all trade deals&#8217; - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/crrnee01r9jo</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yPe0!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1fbf779d-871f-44df-8af4-d536daa69f13_1024x576.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yPe0!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>India </strong>and the EU have established a free trade deal that has been 20 years in the making, further aligning &#8220;middle powers&#8221; as Washington and Beijing begin to lose global influence. Amid rising tensions with longtime trade ally the United States, both India and the 27-member European Union have confirmed a deal that will allow for easier, freer trade across economies representing roughly 25% of the world&#8217;s GDP and over 2 billion people.</p><p>Alongside the trade deal, several tariffs are expected to be slashed in tandem with a new security partnership. The landmark agreement also extends to travel and immigration, with a mobility framework already in place. India will gain greater access to European goods such as wine, beer, and olive oil, while EU nations will receive cheaper gems, leather products, and motor vehicles, among other exports.</p><p>Both the EU and India have emphasized the importance of bilateral agreements during uncertain times, pushing back against widespread tariff campaigns. While both markets have high hopes for expanded export opportunities, local laws regarding regulatory compliance and carbon footprint standards could complicate the process for manufacturers.</p><p>The deal was confirmed in the same month that the EU signed another major trade agreement with the MERCOSUR bloc of South American countries. In the past year alone, India has signed seven trade deals with other nations, many of them with non-EU European countries. The EU is India&#8217;s largest import market, with bilateral trade reaching nearly &#8364;100 billion between 2024 and 2025.</p><p>Further collaboration in areas such as defense and environmental policy is also expected.<em> As the world attempts to move away from the bipolar power structure dominated by the US and China over the past decade, how much influence do these middle powers truly hold?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Albania Created an &#8216;A.I. Minister&#8217; to Curb Corruption. Then Its Developers Were Accused of Graft.&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/27/world/europe/albania-ai-corruption-graft.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_eE5!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cac3b3c-874f-440d-91af-45dbf7f59f8e_683x1024.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_eE5!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cac3b3c-874f-440d-91af-45dbf7f59f8e_683x1024.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_eE5!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cac3b3c-874f-440d-91af-45dbf7f59f8e_683x1024.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_eE5!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cac3b3c-874f-440d-91af-45dbf7f59f8e_683x1024.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_eE5!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cac3b3c-874f-440d-91af-45dbf7f59f8e_683x1024.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_eE5!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cac3b3c-874f-440d-91af-45dbf7f59f8e_683x1024.webp" width="683" height="1024" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2cac3b3c-874f-440d-91af-45dbf7f59f8e_683x1024.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1024,&quot;width&quot;:683,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:49036,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/186658052?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cac3b3c-874f-440d-91af-45dbf7f59f8e_683x1024.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_eE5!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cac3b3c-874f-440d-91af-45dbf7f59f8e_683x1024.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_eE5!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cac3b3c-874f-440d-91af-45dbf7f59f8e_683x1024.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_eE5!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cac3b3c-874f-440d-91af-45dbf7f59f8e_683x1024.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_eE5!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cac3b3c-874f-440d-91af-45dbf7f59f8e_683x1024.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Albania</strong>, in its efforts to combat corruption, has found its solutions&#8217; integrity questioned. The country created an AI avatar, Diella, described as the world&#8217;s first computer government minister. Albania has been seeking to join the European Union for decades, with corruption and graft being the main factors stalling its accession.</p><p>The bot has spoken in Albania&#8217;s Parliament and at international conferences, acting in many ways like a typical minister. Diella&#8217;s general duties revolve around assisting citizens with government services, a system long plagued by bribery and mismanagement. It is specifically designed to lower corruption rates; however, it currently has no means of independently tracking ongoing fraud.</p><p>Prime Minister Edi Rama has made EU membership his primary objective, stating he intends to leave office once Albania joins. At its current pace, Albania could enter as soon as 2030, though EU officials continue to view several sectors as lacking transparency and accountability.</p><p>Various investigations have been launched, including into Diella&#8217;s founding body, the National Information Agency (NIA). The NIA&#8217;s director and deputy director have both been placed under house arrest on allegations linked to organized crime. Many high-profile Albanian officials have also been implicated in criminal investigations, with Albania maintaining one of the highest pretrial detention rates in Europe.</p><p>Rama has publicly supported the investigations; however, top officials close to him have also faced accusations. This has led to violent protests calling for his government&#8217;s resignation. There are claims that Diella has been configured to overlook certain fraud indicators, allowing specific cases to slip through scrutiny.</p><p>Overall, corruption remains a wide-ranging issue, especially in the awarding of public contracts, yet Diella is still widely viewed as a net positive step for the country.</p><p><em>Can an AI program be used to replace government ministers? In which sectors might this be beneficial, and what are the potential drawbacks?</em></p><div><hr></div><p>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Philippines: Are terror laws being used to silence critics?&#8217; - https://www.dw.com/en/how-anti-terror-laws-are-being-used-in-the-philippines-to-silence-critics/a-75729580</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4pSB!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82ba0661-a350-49f2-8324-4de5761bb236_1110x624.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4pSB!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82ba0661-a350-49f2-8324-4de5761bb236_1110x624.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4pSB!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82ba0661-a350-49f2-8324-4de5761bb236_1110x624.jpeg" width="1110" height="624" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82ba0661-a350-49f2-8324-4de5761bb236_1110x624.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4pSB!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82ba0661-a350-49f2-8324-4de5761bb236_1110x624.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4pSB!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82ba0661-a350-49f2-8324-4de5761bb236_1110x624.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4pSB!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F82ba0661-a350-49f2-8324-4de5761bb236_1110x624.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>The Philippines </strong>increasingly views regional disorder through a security lens that critics say threatens freedom of speech. Journalist Frenchie Mae Cumpio was recently arrested on charges of financing terrorism following a six-year legal battle. Independent observers note that the nation&#8217;s loosely defined anti-terror laws can be broadly applied, allowing them to be weaponized against civil society when the government deems certain speech unacceptable.</p><p>The case against Cumpio is widely seen as a landmark one that could set a precedent for more severe repercussions and broader use of such charges. Her prosecution has reportedly relied heavily on witness testimony, with little to no hard evidence presented to justify her imprisonment. Overreliance on testimonial evidence has been a recurring theme in Philippine legal cases for years, with due process seen by critics as increasingly undermined.</p><p>The number of such cases has risen sharply, with more than 5,500 terrorism-related cases filed in the past five years. Human rights organizations have also documented widespread &#8220;red-tagging&#8221;, accusations of communist ties, used across multiple administrations to target activists, journalists, and civil society groups. Pressure on these communities first intensified under former President Rodrigo Duterte during his war on drugs and following the passage of the Anti-Terrorism Act of 2020. President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. is widely viewed as continuing many of these policies.</p><p>Although Marcos campaigned on strengthening democracy and freedom, many citizens report feeling fearful about expressing their views. Continued erosion of civil liberties risks creating a society where people withhold critical information and no longer trust their neighbors.</p><p><em>How can Filipino society come together to defend democratic values when exercising free speech may put their livelihoods at risk?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive weekly geopolitical news and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Below, vote on the articles you would most like me to cover in-depth, and feel free to comment with any questions or remarks you have!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:443446}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-february-2-2026?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-february-2-2026?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>People cling to treetops as &#8216;worst floods in a generation&#8217; sweep Mozambique. [BBC, /EPA/Shutterstock]</p></li><li><p>Rob Jetten, center, and his liberal D66 party alongside his coalition partners &#8212; the center-right Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA) and the liberal People&#8217;s Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD). [Koen van Weel, EPA]</p></li><li><p>Von der Leyen (first from left) and Costa (third from left) were the chief guests at India's Republic Day celebrations on Monday. [Narendra Modi, X]</p></li><li><p>Diella on a screen during the parliamentary session for the voting of the new government of Albania, in September. [Adnan Beci, Agence France-Presse/Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>Cumpio and Domequil were arrested along with three others, who became known as 'The 'Tacloban five'<em> [</em>Zedrich Xylak Madrid, ZUMA Press Wire/picture alliance]</p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: January 26, 2026 ]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: Vietnam, Spain, Afghanistan, Cyprus, and Peru]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-january-26-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-january-26-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 26 Jan 2026 14:47:52 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/03a671bf-c672-4e73-b206-9b0423670503_570x716.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Power Consolidation and Political Legitimacy, Infrastructure, Systems Under Strain, and Reform Pressures, and Great-Power Competition and External Influence</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Vietnam&#8217;s leader returns to power with bold promises. Can he deliver?&#8217; - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c20zzq8we8wo</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lwJ6!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F385320e9-ee3b-4131-a6c4-1585cece4c83_1024x576.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lwJ6!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F385320e9-ee3b-4131-a6c4-1585cece4c83_1024x576.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lwJ6!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F385320e9-ee3b-4131-a6c4-1585cece4c83_1024x576.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lwJ6!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F385320e9-ee3b-4131-a6c4-1585cece4c83_1024x576.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lwJ6!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F385320e9-ee3b-4131-a6c4-1585cece4c83_1024x576.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lwJ6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F385320e9-ee3b-4131-a6c4-1585cece4c83_1024x576.webp" width="1024" height="576" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/385320e9-ee3b-4131-a6c4-1585cece4c83_1024x576.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:576,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:52230,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/185815842?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F385320e9-ee3b-4131-a6c4-1585cece4c83_1024x576.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lwJ6!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F385320e9-ee3b-4131-a6c4-1585cece4c83_1024x576.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lwJ6!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F385320e9-ee3b-4131-a6c4-1585cece4c83_1024x576.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lwJ6!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F385320e9-ee3b-4131-a6c4-1585cece4c83_1024x576.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lwJ6!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F385320e9-ee3b-4131-a6c4-1585cece4c83_1024x576.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Vietnam</strong>&#8217;s Communist Party has reappointed To Lam to lead the nation for the next five years. Lam was chosen as party chief by over 1,500 party delegates, forming a unified bloc in support of his appointment. It was widely expected that Lam would continue to lead Vietnam; however, who will be appointed to Congress remains less certain. Lam and his public security faction have long been in conflict with Vietnam&#8217;s military faction, with congressional delegates shaping how much power can ultimately be concentrated under Lam.</p><p>Nguyen Phu Trong previously led Vietnam under old-style communist theory but was replaced by Lam following his death 18 months ago. Lam, formerly the head of Vietnam&#8217;s national security agency, oversaw mass purges under corruption allegations. Once Lam took office, he implemented wide-sweeping bureaucratic cuts aimed at making the state more efficient and less congested, laying off over 100,000 government workers and overhauling the nation&#8217;s administrative systems.</p><p>In a move starkly opposed to Vietnam&#8217;s longstanding socialist ideology, Lam announced that the country&#8217;s private sector would be &#8220;the most important&#8221; driving force of the national economy. In the same speech, Lam outlined ambitious goals to lift Vietnam out of the Southeast Asian &#8220;middle-income trap&#8221; by focusing on a knowledge- and technology-based economy. A key pillar of this strategy is to further elevate existing private-sector winners onto the global stage, granting state support to help Vietnamese firms compete internationally.</p><p>Over recent decades, Vietnam has significantly expanded its middle class, reduced poverty, and increased opportunities for its citizens. However, innovation and further economic growth have begun to stagnate. The state still owns vast numbers of enterprises nationwide, many of which receive preferential access to land and resources. Additionally, much of Vietnam&#8217;s manufacturing remains at the lower end of the value chain, centered on outsourcing for foreign capital and investment.</p><p>Southeast Asian nations previously experienced rapid economic growth as workers migrated from rural regions to urban manufacturing centers. Today, however, many of these economies are specialized in increasingly outdated industries, while facing challenges such as population decline and natural resource dependence, offering little relief. Vietnam has attempted to break into the global marketplace through its megaconglomerate Vingroup, particularly in industries such as EVs; however, so far, these efforts have largely been dismissed by consumer markets.</p><p><em>Will a further consolidation of power under Lam lead to a greater shift away from Vietnam&#8217;s socialist roots? What methods can the Vietnamese government implement to escape the classic &#8220;middle-income trap&#8221;?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Spain&#8217;s train drivers call for strike as deadly derailments fuel concern&#8217; - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/21/spains-train-drivers-call-for-strike-as-deadly-derailments-fuel-concern</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AwOQ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc4e13f96-22eb-47e1-b62c-406e2144ba4d_770x513.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AwOQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc4e13f96-22eb-47e1-b62c-406e2144ba4d_770x513.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AwOQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc4e13f96-22eb-47e1-b62c-406e2144ba4d_770x513.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AwOQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc4e13f96-22eb-47e1-b62c-406e2144ba4d_770x513.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AwOQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc4e13f96-22eb-47e1-b62c-406e2144ba4d_770x513.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AwOQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc4e13f96-22eb-47e1-b62c-406e2144ba4d_770x513.webp" width="770" height="513" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc4e13f96-22eb-47e1-b62c-406e2144ba4d_770x513.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AwOQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc4e13f96-22eb-47e1-b62c-406e2144ba4d_770x513.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AwOQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc4e13f96-22eb-47e1-b62c-406e2144ba4d_770x513.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AwOQ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc4e13f96-22eb-47e1-b62c-406e2144ba4d_770x513.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Spain </strong>is seeking to regroup following a disastrous week for its transportation system, as multiple train crashes across the country have killed dozens. Nationwide, four separate derailments have left dozens dead and prompted a national strike called by Spain&#8217;s largest train drivers&#8217; union. Semaf, a Spanish train operators&#8217; union, is demanding criminal liability for those responsible for what it describes as inadequate infrastructure and safety measures across the rail network.</p><p>Last Sunday, two high-speed trains collided in C&#243;rdoba, killing 43 people. On Tuesday, a train in Gelida struck a wall and fell onto the tracks, leaving 37 injured. Later that same day near Barcelona, another train derailed, though no major injuries were reported. Then, on Thursday, a further accident involving a crane injured several dozen passengers.</p><p>Spain, second only to China in its implementation of high-speed rail, has long been heralded for its fast, efficient, and affordable train system. However, commuters and lawmakers alike have now turned sharply against the industry, demanding sweeping reforms. In August of last year, Semaf requested an investigation into suspected rail-line flaws linked to increased usage and higher operating speeds, but those concerns appear to have been largely disregarded.</p><p>In the short term, speed limits on several high-speed lines have been reduced, with delays becoming increasingly common. A full-scale investigation is underway into the C&#243;rdoba crash, with both human error and sabotage already ruled out. Spain&#8217;s rail network, which underwent liberalization under Prime Minister Pedro S&#225;nchez, saw increased competition and lower fares. However, the resulting surge in usage has placed immense strain on the infrastructure, with delays exceeding 15 minutes now a regular occurrence.</p><p>Spain is also among the lowest spenders on rail-line maintenance per capita within the EU, despite receiving substantial funding during S&#225;nchez&#8217;s tenure. <em>For a country that prides itself on its high-speed rail system, does a week marked by repeated disasters warrant a full systemic review? And what must be done to rebuild public trust in Spain&#8217;s transportation network?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;An Unlikely Source of Crypto Innovation: Afghanistan&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/24/world/asia/crypto-innovation-afghanistan.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zRrh!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60c2f62e-7150-4f10-a3fc-a46b1158b03f_1024x731.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zRrh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60c2f62e-7150-4f10-a3fc-a46b1158b03f_1024x731.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zRrh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60c2f62e-7150-4f10-a3fc-a46b1158b03f_1024x731.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zRrh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60c2f62e-7150-4f10-a3fc-a46b1158b03f_1024x731.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zRrh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60c2f62e-7150-4f10-a3fc-a46b1158b03f_1024x731.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zRrh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60c2f62e-7150-4f10-a3fc-a46b1158b03f_1024x731.webp" width="1024" height="731" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60c2f62e-7150-4f10-a3fc-a46b1158b03f_1024x731.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zRrh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60c2f62e-7150-4f10-a3fc-a46b1158b03f_1024x731.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zRrh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60c2f62e-7150-4f10-a3fc-a46b1158b03f_1024x731.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zRrh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F60c2f62e-7150-4f10-a3fc-a46b1158b03f_1024x731.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Afghanistan </strong>is emerging as an unexpected hotbed for cryptocurrency innovation. Despite being led by a largely internet-skeptical Taliban government, new Afghan start-ups are focusing on the use of cryptocurrency to access the global financial system. The United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) has long assisted Afghanistan and Afghans, operating in tandem with Afghan fintech firm HesabPay to support families in need.</p><p>Donations from organizations such as Mercy Corps aim to deliver aid to refugees worldwide; however, international money transfers remain difficult and expensive due to high-risk classifications and steep transaction fees. In response, Sanzar Kakar, an Afghan-American entrepreneur, created HesabPay as a payroll processor for Afghanistan following the Taliban takeover and the subsequent collapse of the nation&#8217;s financial sector.</p><p>HesabPay is a blockchain-based mobile application that enables instant digital transfers between personal wallets, bypassing traditional banking systems. Roughly $60 million USD moves through digital wallets in Afghanistan each month, with UN agencies alone distributing approximately $25 million via the app. However, risks associated with crypto-based transfers are heightened in heavily sanctioned countries, as digital wallets may face sudden freezes or closures due to political pressures.</p><p>While digital transfers are often easier and safer than moving physical cash, they are also easier to monitor and, if necessary, halt. Blockchain technology creates a transparent digital trail that records the sender, recipient, amount, and transaction history, providing greater accountability for humanitarian assistance. To address concerns over terrorism financing, scams, and money laundering, HesabPay has implemented extensive compliance safeguards, increasing donor confidence when operating in high-risk regions.</p><p>Although users are currently unable to connect HesabPay to traditional brick-and-mortar banks, there are hopes that future integration will allow customers to withdraw physical cash using a HesabPay-issued card.<em> Are platforms like HesabPay a future-proof solution for humanitarian aid delivery? And can such applications find broader adoption in more stable states?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;How Britain&#8217;s Bases in Cyprus Could Be a Blueprint for Trump&#8217;s Greenland Deal&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/22/world/europe/greenland-trump-bases-cyprus.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!42Bj!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9dd292e-2b2f-4d52-a411-ba5430dd9dae_1024x683.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!42Bj!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9dd292e-2b2f-4d52-a411-ba5430dd9dae_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!42Bj!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9dd292e-2b2f-4d52-a411-ba5430dd9dae_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!42Bj!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9dd292e-2b2f-4d52-a411-ba5430dd9dae_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!42Bj!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9dd292e-2b2f-4d52-a411-ba5430dd9dae_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!42Bj!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9dd292e-2b2f-4d52-a411-ba5430dd9dae_1024x683.webp" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c9dd292e-2b2f-4d52-a411-ba5430dd9dae_1024x683.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:61558,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/185815842?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9dd292e-2b2f-4d52-a411-ba5430dd9dae_1024x683.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!42Bj!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9dd292e-2b2f-4d52-a411-ba5430dd9dae_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!42Bj!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9dd292e-2b2f-4d52-a411-ba5430dd9dae_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!42Bj!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9dd292e-2b2f-4d52-a411-ba5430dd9dae_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!42Bj!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9dd292e-2b2f-4d52-a411-ba5430dd9dae_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Cyprus</strong> has long been home to British military bases, with its strategic military and economic importance paralleling recent American interest in Greenland under Donald Trump. The United Kingdom has maintained a 60-year agreement with the EU member state of Cyprus, establishing Sovereign Base Areas (SBAs), dating back to the island&#8217;s transition away from British colonial rule.</p><p>Trump, while backing away from earlier rhetoric suggesting full annexation of Greenland, has since shifted toward demands for total American autonomy over U.S. military bases and expanded American mining operations in the region. Under its agreement with Cyprus, the United Kingdom established two SBAs as part of granting the island sovereignty. These bases function as direct British Crown territory, comparable to the Falkland Islands or Gibraltar.</p><p>Although no passport checks are required when crossing between EU and UK jurisdictions within Cyprus, the land occupied by the SBAs is governed by British law rather than EU regulations. One key advantage of this arrangement for the UK is near-total military control over strategically vital territory without the responsibility of governing the civilian populations living around the bases. However, Britain does not retain rights to Cyprus&#8217;s natural resources, meaning any comparable American investment in Greenland would likely require explicit provisions within a future treaty.</p><p>In the early years of the British-Cypriot agreement, the UK compensated Cyprus for the use of the land. After five years and approximately $33 million USD in payments, however, compensation ceased. Since the 1960s, there have been repeated but unsuccessful efforts to compel Britain to resume payments or return the land. The SBAs have frequently been sites of protest, particularly during periods of heightened tension in the Middle East, with demonstrators calling for self-determination and greater sovereignty for local communities.</p><p>Similar frameworks now appear to be emerging in Greenland, with ongoing discussions regarding the extent of control the United States would be granted. A deal offering Washington near-total military and resource autonomy would provide the U.S. with most of the strategic benefits of territorial access while avoiding the political and administrative burdens of governance.</p><p><em>Is this model of neo-colonialism likely to expand and deepen as the decade progresses? And do such arrangements offer any tangible benefits to local populations, or do they solely serve external powers?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Peru&#8217;s interim president embroiled in scandal over secret meetings with Chinese businessmen&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jan/22/peru-president-chinese-businessmen-secret-meeting</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7MdH!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98e84502-4c38-45d0-8ede-1cdcbf35558e_1240x826.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7MdH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, 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data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/98e84502-4c38-45d0-8ede-1cdcbf35558e_1240x826.avif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:826,&quot;width&quot;:1240,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:24770,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/avif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/185815842?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98e84502-4c38-45d0-8ede-1cdcbf35558e_1240x826.avif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7MdH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98e84502-4c38-45d0-8ede-1cdcbf35558e_1240x826.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7MdH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98e84502-4c38-45d0-8ede-1cdcbf35558e_1240x826.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7MdH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98e84502-4c38-45d0-8ede-1cdcbf35558e_1240x826.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7MdH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98e84502-4c38-45d0-8ede-1cdcbf35558e_1240x826.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Peru </strong>is embroiled in a political scandal after its interim president was exposed for holding undisclosed meetings with Chinese nationals. Jos&#233; Jer&#237; has led Peru since October 2025, following the impeachment of former president Dina Boluarte amid corruption scandals and her designation as one of the world&#8217;s most unpopular leaders. Now, Jer&#237; himself is facing scrutiny after being discovered meeting with Chinese businessmen in the capital&#8217;s Chinatown, as the United States and China increasingly compete for influence across Latin America.</p><p>Jer&#237; has denied allegations of corruption, stating that &#8220;it could be understood as a trap,&#8221; while opposition forces within the government have spearheaded an impeachment petition against him. Two videos have since emerged showing Jer&#237; attending the meetings, apparently in disguise, contradicting his public explanations regarding the nature and purpose of the encounters.</p><p>China is Peru&#8217;s largest trading partner, with firms such as COSCO Shipping Ports facilitating direct trade routes between the two countries. Meanwhile, the U.S. State Department has recently approved a potential $1.5 billion sale of equipment and services to Peru, largely focused on naval infrastructure, in a move widely seen as an effort to counter China&#8217;s growing influence in the country.</p><p>Jer&#237; has announced that he will not resign, insisting that he has &#8220;done no wrong&#8221; and is currently set to remain in office until June 2026. <em>With mounting pressure from Washington to curb foreign influence in the region, could this scandal thrust Peru into the spotlight of a potential Trump administration? And will Jer&#237; be able to weather the controversy while harboring ambitions of winning the presidency in the nation&#8217;s upcoming elections?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive weekly geopolitical news and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Below, vote on the articles you would most like me to cover in-depth, and feel free to comment with any questions or remarks you have!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:439272}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-january-26-2026?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-january-26-2026?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>To Lam will lead the party and country for the next five years. [Vietnam News Agency, Handout/EPA/Shutterstock]</p></li><li><p>A view of a high-speed train that derailed and hit another train on January 18, 2026, in Adamuz, southern Spain. [Al Jazeera, AFP]</p></li><li><p>Using blockchain made it easier for Mercy Corps to send funds to Syria, where cash is scarce and international banks generally do not do business. [The New York Times, Emile Ducke]</p></li><li><p>Prime Minister Keir Starmer of Britain speaking at the Akrotiri British Sovereign Base Area in Cyprus, in 2024. [The New York Times, Kirsty Wigglesworth]</p></li><li><p>Peru's interim president, Jos&#233; Jer&#237;, appears before the congressional oversight and accountability committee in Lima on Wednesday. [Paolo Aguilar, EPA]</p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: January 19, 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: China, Myanmar, Uganda, Italy, and Colombia]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-january-19-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-january-19-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 19 Jan 2026 14:04:13 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7dab78ea-a3ab-4661-83b5-1b75e769ad20_872x1200.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Key Themes: Power Concentration and Leadership Longevity, State Sovereignty vs. External Pressure, and Short-Term Stability vs. Long-Term Fragility</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Beijing Won Its War for Blue Skies, but Villagers Are Paying the Price&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/13/world/asia/china-coal-ban-air-pollution-heating.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5sH1!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec16d888-6ff2-439d-beaf-0af253a46dcb_1024x683.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5sH1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec16d888-6ff2-439d-beaf-0af253a46dcb_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5sH1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec16d888-6ff2-439d-beaf-0af253a46dcb_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5sH1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec16d888-6ff2-439d-beaf-0af253a46dcb_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5sH1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec16d888-6ff2-439d-beaf-0af253a46dcb_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5sH1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec16d888-6ff2-439d-beaf-0af253a46dcb_1024x683.webp" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ec16d888-6ff2-439d-beaf-0af253a46dcb_1024x683.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A person with gray hair, eyes partly closed, wears a red and white checkered jacket. A gray truck and buildings are in the background.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A person with gray hair, eyes partly closed, wears a red and white checkered jacket. A gray truck and buildings are in the background." title="A person with gray hair, eyes partly closed, wears a red and white checkered jacket. A gray truck and buildings are in the background." srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5sH1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec16d888-6ff2-439d-beaf-0af253a46dcb_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5sH1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec16d888-6ff2-439d-beaf-0af253a46dcb_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5sH1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec16d888-6ff2-439d-beaf-0af253a46dcb_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5sH1!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec16d888-6ff2-439d-beaf-0af253a46dcb_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>China</strong> has reduced emissions around major cities in an effort to create a cleaner environment, but the resulting power shortages are leaving villagers without reliable access to energy. Since 2017, many Chinese provinces have banned the use of coal to minimize environmental damage, offering natural gas as an alternative solution. Natural gas is much cleaner and was initially subsidized until this winter, when the subsidies were cut. Its price is roughly three times that of coal, leaving many villagers to decide whether to pay an exorbitantly higher bill or brave the cold.</p><p>Beijing, once known for a skyline coated in smog that posed serious health risks to citizens, has begun to clear. Air quality metrics have been a high priority for the Chinese government, with reports showing that heavy pollution days dropped by 98% in 2025 compared to 2013. China&#8217;s &#8220;blue sky defense war&#8221; was met with skepticism among Chinese nationals, as new gas demand far outweighed supply and subsidy amounts.</p><p>Across the world, citizens have seen soaring energy prices, with Chinese energy companies cutting off many consumers in rural regions while prioritizing urban users. Poorer, more remote populations often face the brunt of energy costs while receiving fewer subsidy benefits compared to city officials and workers. As the Chinese economy slows, lower-income families are increasingly struggling to decide which bills to prioritize.</p><p>Some villages have become more lax in enforcing coal-burning regulations, especially for elderly residents, with officials reducing surveillance. For many villagers, hope for future energy solutions likely does not lie in natural gas, but in renewable energy. China leads the world in wind and solar production, with electricity costs continuing to decrease. Heat pumps, for example, offer a long-term solution for warmth. However, they come with high upfront costs and, like unsubsidized natural gas, remain inaccessible to much of the poorer population.</p><p>The improvement in air quality is widely acknowledged by locals who have faced increased costs as a result. Many note that the transition was not worth it for them. The Chinese government has largely resolved a major historical issue, but at the expense of some of its poorest citizens.<em> If the government can no longer offer sweeping subsidies, is the measure worth it? Will addressing man-made issues, such as climate change, always come with a human cost?</em></p><div><hr></div><p>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Myanmar begins defence in landmark genocide case at UN court&#8217; - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1wz8vyq54xo</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ORWv!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8edec41e-e61b-405d-b5c8-14ce21e6cc3c_1024x575.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ORWv!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8edec41e-e61b-405d-b5c8-14ce21e6cc3c_1024x575.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ORWv!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8edec41e-e61b-405d-b5c8-14ce21e6cc3c_1024x575.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ORWv!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8edec41e-e61b-405d-b5c8-14ce21e6cc3c_1024x575.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ORWv!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8edec41e-e61b-405d-b5c8-14ce21e6cc3c_1024x575.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ORWv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8edec41e-e61b-405d-b5c8-14ce21e6cc3c_1024x575.webp" width="1024" height="575" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8edec41e-e61b-405d-b5c8-14ce21e6cc3c_1024x575.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ORWv!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8edec41e-e61b-405d-b5c8-14ce21e6cc3c_1024x575.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ORWv!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8edec41e-e61b-405d-b5c8-14ce21e6cc3c_1024x575.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ORWv!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8edec41e-e61b-405d-b5c8-14ce21e6cc3c_1024x575.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Myanmar </strong>will face the International Court of Justice (ICJ) in a landmark genocide case that extends beyond its own borders. The country is accused of crimes against humanity, specifically genocide, against the Rohingya people. Ko Ko Hlaing, representing the Myanmar government, has denied the allegations, labelling them &#8220;unsubstantiated.&#8221; The Gambia has brought the case forward, alleging that state-level policies were enacted to eliminate the Muslim population from Myanmar&#8217;s borders.</p><p>In 2017, following a massive military crackdown, thousands of Rohingya were killed, and more than 700,000 fled to Bangladesh in search of refuge from the Myanmar government. In 2021, a military coup overthrew the nation&#8217;s civilian government, and the country has since been embroiled in civil war. Fractured along regional, ethnic, and religious lines, Myanmar has been mired in conflict for over half a decade.</p><p>The Rohingya, primarily located in Rakhine State, have continued to face violence and oppression from Myanmar&#8217;s military government. Hlaing has claimed that the region is rife with terrorism and that military actions were undertaken to suppress terrorist activity. The Gambia, which initiated the genocide case in 2019, argues that the documented violence against women and children cannot reasonably be classified as counterterrorism. The case is backed by the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation and its 56 member states.</p><p>Currently, more than one million Rohingya live in Bangladesh, forming one of the largest refugee populations in the world. Hlaing stated that any finding of genocide would leave an indelible stain on Myanmar and its people. Over the coming weeks, witnesses are expected to testify before the court, with a final ruling anticipated by the end of the year. The ICJ&#8217;s decision is likely to set a major precedent for how genocide is defined and adjudicated in the 21st century, with implications for other cases&#8212;such as the Israeli case brought by South Africa&#8212;facing potential to reverberate through international politics. <em>What is the expected ruling of the case, and how will its acceptance or denial affect future geopolitics?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;What a seventh term for 81-year-old leader means for Uganda&#8217; - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx20qj1pwrwo</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wZZW!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74698148-815e-47f5-a04f-79c9d2d4c965_1024x576.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wZZW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74698148-815e-47f5-a04f-79c9d2d4c965_1024x576.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wZZW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74698148-815e-47f5-a04f-79c9d2d4c965_1024x576.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wZZW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74698148-815e-47f5-a04f-79c9d2d4c965_1024x576.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wZZW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74698148-815e-47f5-a04f-79c9d2d4c965_1024x576.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wZZW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74698148-815e-47f5-a04f-79c9d2d4c965_1024x576.webp" width="1024" height="576" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74698148-815e-47f5-a04f-79c9d2d4c965_1024x576.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wZZW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74698148-815e-47f5-a04f-79c9d2d4c965_1024x576.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wZZW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74698148-815e-47f5-a04f-79c9d2d4c965_1024x576.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wZZW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F74698148-815e-47f5-a04f-79c9d2d4c965_1024x576.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Uganda </strong>has reelected its president for a seventh term in an election marred by uncertainty and confusion. President Yoweri Museveni secured an overwhelming victory, winning 72% of the national vote. One of the world&#8217;s oldest serving leaders, Museveni, at 81, has demonstrated that his leadership remains strongly preferred as he enters his 30th year in office. Museveni first assumed power in 1996 after ousting Milton Obote as a rebel leader.</p><p>Museveni largely campaigned on name recognition and promises of continued stability under his rule. He has pledged to guide Uganda toward middle-income country status by 2030 and is relying on a nascent oil industry to support this ambition. However, speculation has surrounded Museveni&#8217;s health, with several campaign stops reportedly ending abruptly.</p><p>Bobi Wine, a singer and former member of parliament, was Museveni&#8217;s strongest challenger and has denounced the results as fraudulent. He reportedly went into hiding following a raid on his residence by government forces. This marks another electoral defeat for Wine, who received just 25% of the vote, down from 35% in the 2021 election. Wine has alleged that the Museveni government deployed troops to multiple opposition rallies, with reports of supporters being attacked and killed. Facing continued repression, Wine risks political exile as opposition space in the country continues to shrink.</p><p>While Uganda&#8217;s immediate political future remains tied to Museveni, greater uncertainty surrounds the question of succession. His party, the National Resistance Movement (NRM), has long dominated Uganda&#8217;s political institutions. In late 2025, Central Executive Committee elections saw intense jockeying for position, as candidates prepared for a future in which leadership may be determined more by succession than by electoral competition.</p><p>Army Chief General Muhoozi Kainerugaba, Museveni&#8217;s son, has seen the largest rise in influence within the party over the past year. Diplomacy, the military, and key administrative roles are increasingly controlled by Museveni&#8217;s relatives and close allies, with Kainerugaba placing loyalists across state institutions. Given Uganda&#8217;s history of military rule, the country risks a return to entrenched dynastic governance.</p><p><em>How can a nation prevent familial succession? And if Uganda remains relatively safe and stable, would citizens even want change?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Italy unveils Arctic strategy to boost business as polar race heats up&#8217; - https://www.politico.eu/article/italy-launches-arctic-mission-to-boost-business/</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TzRt!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa43126d0-52b7-4aa2-9e25-8e2671698826_1280x853.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TzRt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa43126d0-52b7-4aa2-9e25-8e2671698826_1280x853.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TzRt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa43126d0-52b7-4aa2-9e25-8e2671698826_1280x853.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TzRt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa43126d0-52b7-4aa2-9e25-8e2671698826_1280x853.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TzRt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa43126d0-52b7-4aa2-9e25-8e2671698826_1280x853.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Italy </strong>is seeking to bolster its Arctic posture as questions surrounding regional security and growing competition with China and Russia intensify. Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has presented a new regional strategy centred on Arctic security and future business opportunities. Following continued claims by U.S. President Donald Trump that Greenland should be owned by the United States for national security reasons, NATO allies have been scrambling to find a diplomatic roadmap to manage and contain expanding territorial rhetoric.</p><p>Meloni stated that the Arctic must be preserved as &#8220;an area of peace, cooperation, and prosperity,&#8221; while emphasising the growing importance of the region for NATO and EU members to coordinate and present a unified position. An Italian delegation is set to visit Washington, D.C., to discuss access to critical minerals with U.S. officials, particularly in relation to Greenland and the wider Arctic region.</p><p>Italy&#8217;s Arctic ambitions focus on defence, energy, and space-based industries. Rome is scheduled to host the Arctic Circle Rome Forum &#8212; Polar Dialogue &#8212; in March, bringing together officials and experts from political, economic, and security sectors involved in Arctic affairs. This follows recent defence deployments by several EU nations to Greenland for patrol operations amid heightened tensions stemming from Trump&#8217;s rhetoric. Italy notably did not contribute troops, instead calling for a unified NATO and United Nations&#8211;led approach.</p><p>Despite its geographic distance from the region, Italy is expanding its Arctic engagement. <em>With this geographic handicap, what steps must the Italian state take if it wants to become a key Arctic stakeholder?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Trump&#8217;s other Latin American feud: why Colombia&#8217;s Petro is not Maduro&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jan/12/trump-latin-america-feud-colombia-gustavo-petro</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TO7l!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3d4c110-e28d-4a25-afed-7abb96ae8e1b_1240x744.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TO7l!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3d4c110-e28d-4a25-afed-7abb96ae8e1b_1240x744.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TO7l!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3d4c110-e28d-4a25-afed-7abb96ae8e1b_1240x744.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TO7l!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3d4c110-e28d-4a25-afed-7abb96ae8e1b_1240x744.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TO7l!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3d4c110-e28d-4a25-afed-7abb96ae8e1b_1240x744.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TO7l!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3d4c110-e28d-4a25-afed-7abb96ae8e1b_1240x744.avif" width="1240" height="744" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f3d4c110-e28d-4a25-afed-7abb96ae8e1b_1240x744.avif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:744,&quot;width&quot;:1240,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:49311,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/avif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/184991625?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3d4c110-e28d-4a25-afed-7abb96ae8e1b_1240x744.avif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TO7l!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3d4c110-e28d-4a25-afed-7abb96ae8e1b_1240x744.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TO7l!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3d4c110-e28d-4a25-afed-7abb96ae8e1b_1240x744.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TO7l!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3d4c110-e28d-4a25-afed-7abb96ae8e1b_1240x744.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TO7l!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3d4c110-e28d-4a25-afed-7abb96ae8e1b_1240x744.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Colombian </strong>President Gustavo Petro has positioned himself as a bulwark against United States influence in the region. Following the brazen kidnapping of Venezuelan dictator Nicol&#225;s Maduro, President Donald Trump and his administration&#8212;among other regional actions&#8212;threatened Petro and Colombia if they did not comply with U.S. demands. Petro, as he has done since Trump&#8217;s second inauguration, remained calm and publicly confident in both his leadership and popular mandate.</p><p>Elected in 2022, Petro became Colombia&#8217;s first left-wing president and has sought to move the country beyond its legacy of military-dominated governance. Trump, as he has done with Venezuela, has accused Colombia of enabling a massive influx of drugs into the United States via its territory. Unlike Venezuela, however, Petro remains a broadly legitimate and popular leader, with no serious allegations of electoral fraud or criminal indictments against him.</p><p>A bounty was placed on Maduro during the Biden administration, while Petro has received international praise. Both Trump and Petro engaged in rhetorical posturing that appeared to edge toward confrontation, though a sudden phone call temporarily defused tensions. The U.S.&#8211;Colombian tit-for-tat dominated much of 2025. Petro rejected U.S. demands for mass deportations of Colombian citizens, saw Colombia labelled a &#8220;narco-state,&#8221; and had his U.S. visa revoked following a confrontational speech at the United Nations General Assembly in New York. The Trump administration subsequently sanctioned Petro and members of his family over alleged narcotics crimes, despite no evidence of his direct involvement.</p><p>Colombia does produce the largest volume of cocaine in the world, with the trade dominated by groups such as the Gulf Clan, the National Liberation Army (ELN), and dissident factions of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC). Drug trafficking has long plagued the country, yet Petro oversaw record drug seizures in 2025. Until the phone call, he had been a consistent target of the Trump administration due to his outspoken criticism of U.S. policy.</p><p>Colombia now approaches a critical political moment: legislative elections begin in March, followed by presidential elections in May. Petro is constitutionally barred from seeking a second term. <em>Will the recent diplomatic thaw between Petro and Trump lead to a more cooperative future, or merely delay further confrontation? And will increasing U.S. pressure strengthen left-wing support, or provide the Colombian right with a rallying point?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive weekly geopolitical news and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Below, vote on the articles you would most like me to cover in-depth, and feel free to comment with any questions or remarks you have!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:435400}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-january-19-2026?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-january-19-2026?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>Ms. Zhao, who lives in the village in Quyang County, relies on a pension of just $15 a month, and says she often cannot afford to turn on her heat now that coal burning has been banned. [Qilai Shen, The New York Times]</p></li><li><p>Hundreds of thousands of Rohingya people fled Myanmar during an army crackdown in 2017. [Reuters, BBC]</p></li><li><p>The opposition says the election was marred by rigging and intimidation. [Reuters, BBC]</p></li><li><p>The new strategy reflects the polar north&#8217;s growing geopolitical and economic importance, as U.S. President Donald Trump seeks to expand American influence by acquiring or seizing Greenland from Denmark. [Sebnem Coskun, Anadolu/Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>Gustavo Petro and Donald Trump have exchanged a volley of insults and threats. [Luis Robayo, Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images]</p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: January 12, 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: Yemen, Kazakhstan, Trinidad and Tobago, Guinea, and Iran]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-january-12-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-january-12-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 12 Jan 2026 14:57:28 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/19c64bc1-f37c-4699-be85-18056fcf5cbe_842x1191.webp" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Key Themes: Fragile Sovereignty Under Foreign Pressure, Power Decided by Force, Geography Driving Conflict, and Shifting Old Power Structures</p><div><hr></div><p><em>Editor&#8217;s Note: I&#8217;m sorry for the past week&#8217;s absences. Winter break + sickness took me out longer than expected. Otherwise, enjoy 2026&#8217;s first What You Missed!</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Yemeni southern separatists in Riyadh announce disputed disbanding of STC&#8217; - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/9/yemens-separatist-southern-transitional-council-announces-its-dissolution</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIk6!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20032d34-51df-4b9d-9ee9-fa56f2012df1_770x513.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIk6!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20032d34-51df-4b9d-9ee9-fa56f2012df1_770x513.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIk6!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20032d34-51df-4b9d-9ee9-fa56f2012df1_770x513.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIk6!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20032d34-51df-4b9d-9ee9-fa56f2012df1_770x513.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIk6!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20032d34-51df-4b9d-9ee9-fa56f2012df1_770x513.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIk6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20032d34-51df-4b9d-9ee9-fa56f2012df1_770x513.jpeg" width="770" height="513" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/20032d34-51df-4b9d-9ee9-fa56f2012df1_770x513.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:513,&quot;width&quot;:770,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Members of the Southern Giants Brigade sit in the back of military vehicles.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Members of the Southern Giants Brigade sit in the back of military vehicles." title="Members of the Southern Giants Brigade sit in the back of military vehicles." srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIk6!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20032d34-51df-4b9d-9ee9-fa56f2012df1_770x513.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIk6!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20032d34-51df-4b9d-9ee9-fa56f2012df1_770x513.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIk6!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20032d34-51df-4b9d-9ee9-fa56f2012df1_770x513.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pIk6!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20032d34-51df-4b9d-9ee9-fa56f2012df1_770x513.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 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The STC was founded in May 2017 as a separatist movement seeking to break Southern Yemen away from the Yemeni state. The territory seeking secession largely corresponds to the former People&#8217;s Republic of South Yemen (PRSY). The PRSY collapsed following the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991 and merged with Yemen that same year. Just four years later, it attempted to secede again, leading to continued clashes with the central government in Sana&#8217;a that persist today.</p><p>On Yemeni public broadcasting, the STC&#8217;s Secretary-General, Abdulrahman Jalal al-Subaihi, announced that the group, in collaboration with the Saudi Arabian government, would disband to create a more sustainable peace in the region. The Saudi government has claimed that the United Arab Emirates has been backing the STC to further instability along the kingdom&#8217;s southern border. However, STC spokesman Anwar al-Tamimi, speaking from the UAE, dismissed the claims of an STC breakup as &#8220;ridiculous.&#8221; Under the STC&#8217;s own constitution, major decisions must be approved by both its council and its president.</p><p>Meanwhile, Yemen&#8217;s national assembly has called for protests across major cities following reports that STC leaders are fleeing. In December, the STC launched a major military operation in eastern Yemen, briefly seizing large swaths of territory before they were quickly retaken by the central government.</p><p>Yemen is currently fragmented among four major forces: the Saudi-backed national government, the STC (allegedly backed by the UAE), the Iran-backed Houthis, and Al-Qaeda, all competing for regional control. Yemen&#8217;s strategic position along the Red Sea and major international shipping lanes makes it a focal point of regional power struggles.</p><p><em>Will the STC leadership&#8217;s apparent withdrawal from the front lines lead to the group&#8217;s collapse? And if so, will the Yemeni government be able to restore national control and stability?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;How Chevron Aims to Tap More Oil Below Kazakhstan&#8217;s Grassy Plains&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/03/business/chevron-kazakhstan-oil.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cagt!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec6d3e5f-03b0-493e-8b00-1df0132bfb0f_1024x683.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cagt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec6d3e5f-03b0-493e-8b00-1df0132bfb0f_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cagt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec6d3e5f-03b0-493e-8b00-1df0132bfb0f_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cagt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec6d3e5f-03b0-493e-8b00-1df0132bfb0f_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cagt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec6d3e5f-03b0-493e-8b00-1df0132bfb0f_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cagt!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec6d3e5f-03b0-493e-8b00-1df0132bfb0f_1024x683.webp" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ec6d3e5f-03b0-493e-8b00-1df0132bfb0f_1024x683.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;People sitting in front of multiple screens.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="People sitting in front of multiple screens." title="People sitting in front of multiple screens." srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cagt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec6d3e5f-03b0-493e-8b00-1df0132bfb0f_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cagt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec6d3e5f-03b0-493e-8b00-1df0132bfb0f_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cagt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec6d3e5f-03b0-493e-8b00-1df0132bfb0f_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cagt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fec6d3e5f-03b0-493e-8b00-1df0132bfb0f_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Kazakhstan</strong> is rich in oil reserves across its vast territory, with American companies increasingly looking to move in as Russian influence in the country diminishes. The Tengiz oil field, located in the Zhylyoi District of the Atyrau Region, was discovered by the Soviets in 1979; however, it remained largely untapped until Chevron entered the region in 1993. Tengizchevroil (TCO), which controls production at Tengiz, is 50 percent owned by Chevron following the 1993 deal that granted the company near-majority control for 40 years. The agreement, set to expire in 2033, is now up for extension and is the subject of ongoing negotiations between Chevron and TCO.</p><p>Kazakhstan&#8217;s main oil export pipeline runs through Russia and was recently targeted by Ukrainian attacks aimed at disrupting key parts of the Russian state. Chevron is projected to earn roughly $4 billion from the Tengiz field in 2025. TCO and Tengiz were also central to Kazakhstan&#8217;s break from the Soviet Union, providing both economic stability and a pathway to build ties with the United States. Recent inspections have led Chevron to expand operations into one of the largest oil projects in the world, with estimated reserves of 25 billion barrels. Tengiz is among the ten largest oil fields globally, yet its production remains well below potential due to aging facilities and equipment. Neighboring areas also show strong prospects following geological surveys.</p><p>Kazakhstan&#8217;s greatest challenge in exploiting its oil lies in geography. The country is landlocked, with its western access to the Caspian Sea heavily influenced by Russia. From there, most exports flow via Russian infrastructure to the Black Sea port of Novorossiysk. Kazakhstan is also part of OPEC+, the group of oil-producing nations that seeks to regulate global supply. Growing pressure from American and other partners to increase output often conflicts with OPEC+ production limits.</p><p>While Tengiz accounts for roughly 13 percent of Chevron&#8217;s global production, it represents about 10 percent of Kazakhstan&#8217;s GDP. About 90 percent of the facility&#8217;s 4,000 workers are Kazakh nationals, and nearby cities have been significantly developed through TCO investment. The company has improved local infrastructure, supported small businesses, and funded charitable initiatives. As a result, the continuation and expansion of TCO&#8217;s operations are critical not only to international energy markets but especially to the livelihoods of local communities.</p><p><em>What other regional and international pressures could shape the future of Tengiz?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Trinidad and Tobago went all in with the US &#8211; it will prove a costly misjudgment&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/world/commentisfree/2026/jan/10/trinidad-and-tobago-us-veneauela-costly-misjudgment</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BJVx!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8a717848-7de1-47b2-ac8b-4ab02dafb16b_1240x992.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" 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/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BJVx!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8a717848-7de1-47b2-ac8b-4ab02dafb16b_1240x992.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Trinidad and Tobago</strong> has made major inroads with the United States during the second Trump presidency, placing a significant gamble on its regional sovereignty and stability. Following the American kidnapping of Venezuelan President Nicol&#225;s Maduro, Trinidad and Tobago may now face the ire of a scorned neighbor. The country&#8217;s prime minister, Kamla Persad-Bissessar, has been denounced by Venezuelan leadership for what they describe as her complicity with an imperialist American state. Persad-Bissessar has hedged all her bets on Washington while openly disparaging neighboring island nations, leaving little flexibility in her diplomatic approach. She stated that her country was &#8220;not the ATM of the Caribbean,&#8221; breaking CARICOM (the Caribbean Community) norms of unity in times of hardship.</p><p>Many Caribbean states have historically sought partnerships with Venezuela through economic ties, particularly under former President Hugo Ch&#225;vez. The most notable initiative was Petrocaribe, established in 2005, which linked much of the Caribbean to Venezuelan oil financing. Trinidad and Tobago, following the mass Venezuelan exodus of the past decade, now hosts the largest number of Venezuelan refugees in the Caribbean.</p><p>During the operation to seize Maduro, Trinidad and Tobago assisted the U.S. military, with joint exercises and expanded radar installations conducted under the banner of counter-narcotics security. This marks a sharp reversal from the policy of the previous prime minister, Keith Rowley, who instead courted Maduro and alienated Washington.</p><p>As a result, Trinidad and Tobago has boxed itself into a corner, leaving the already small island state with little leverage in diplomatic negotiations.<em> If the Venezuelan government comes to view Trinidad and Tobago as a geopolitical adversary, how will this affect past joint economic agreements? And will the island state ultimately gain any lasting benefit from its alliance with Washington?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Guinea&#8217;s Coup Leader Wins Election After Barring Leading Opponents&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/01/world/africa/guinea-election-mamady-doumbouya.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8JzW!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9acb2424-3fb6-4c35-8655-2cbd6428d139_1024x683.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8JzW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9acb2424-3fb6-4c35-8655-2cbd6428d139_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8JzW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9acb2424-3fb6-4c35-8655-2cbd6428d139_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8JzW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9acb2424-3fb6-4c35-8655-2cbd6428d139_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8JzW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9acb2424-3fb6-4c35-8655-2cbd6428d139_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8JzW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9acb2424-3fb6-4c35-8655-2cbd6428d139_1024x683.webp" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/9acb2424-3fb6-4c35-8655-2cbd6428d139_1024x683.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;People in camouflage uniforms with red berets and tactical vests stand around Colonel Mamady Doumbouya,who is wearing a white jacket and cap.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="People in camouflage uniforms with red berets and tactical vests stand around Colonel Mamady Doumbouya,who is wearing a white jacket and cap." title="People in camouflage uniforms with red berets and tactical vests stand around Colonel Mamady Doumbouya,who is wearing a white jacket and cap." srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8JzW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9acb2424-3fb6-4c35-8655-2cbd6428d139_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8JzW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9acb2424-3fb6-4c35-8655-2cbd6428d139_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8JzW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9acb2424-3fb6-4c35-8655-2cbd6428d139_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8JzW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9acb2424-3fb6-4c35-8655-2cbd6428d139_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Guinea </strong>has seen a former general win the country&#8217;s most recent election, taking a reported more than 80 percent of the vote, according to figures released by his own government agency. Colonel Mamady Doumbouya seized power in September 2021, when he and his army carried out a coup, dissolved the civilian government, and installed him as interim president.</p><p>The most recent election followed Doumbouya&#8217;s dismantling of the independent electoral commission and the disqualification of his strongest political rivals. Of the few candidates allowed to run, several conceded the race before voting concluded. Abdoulaye Y&#233;ro Bald&#233;, widely regarded as the strongest opposition figure, has taken the results to court and is challenging Doumbouya&#8217;s legitimacy.</p><p>Political analysts had expected the lopsided outcome, both because of Doumbouya&#8217;s manipulation of the political process and his growing popularity among some civilians, who see him as bringing international attention and new opportunities to the country. The election was the first in generations without large-scale violence, and supporters view his victory as a chance to entrench Guinean sovereignty and lift the nation out of poverty.</p><p><em>What will happen to Doumbouya&#8217;s political opponents once he is formally sworn in, including journalists and academics? And how, if at all, will his governance change now that he is officially president, after effectively ruling the country since 2021?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Iran protesters tell of brutal police response as regime lashes out&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2026/jan/10/iran-protesters-tell-of-brutal-police-response-deaths-and-forced-confessions</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HFS4!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffdbce32e-11c3-418e-be42-bded4c6b0764_1240x992.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HFS4!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffdbce32e-11c3-418e-be42-bded4c6b0764_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HFS4!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffdbce32e-11c3-418e-be42-bded4c6b0764_1240x992.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HFS4!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffdbce32e-11c3-418e-be42-bded4c6b0764_1240x992.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HFS4!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffdbce32e-11c3-418e-be42-bded4c6b0764_1240x992.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HFS4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffdbce32e-11c3-418e-be42-bded4c6b0764_1240x992.avif" width="1240" height="992" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/fdbce32e-11c3-418e-be42-bded4c6b0764_1240x992.avif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:992,&quot;width&quot;:1240,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:72056,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/avif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/184219204?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffdbce32e-11c3-418e-be42-bded4c6b0764_1240x992.avif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HFS4!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffdbce32e-11c3-418e-be42-bded4c6b0764_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HFS4!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffdbce32e-11c3-418e-be42-bded4c6b0764_1240x992.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HFS4!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffdbce32e-11c3-418e-be42-bded4c6b0764_1240x992.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HFS4!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffdbce32e-11c3-418e-be42-bded4c6b0764_1240x992.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Iran </strong>has erupted into nationwide protests for a third consecutive week, despite an intense government crackdown marked by threats, arrests, and killings. On Thursday, Iranian authorities imposed a nationwide internet shutdown in an attempt to prevent international coordination and support for the protesters. Thousands of demonstrators across hundreds of cities have rallied against Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, with many calling for the return of the deposed Shah.</p><p>U.S. President Donald Trump has lent rhetorical support to the protest movement, stating that American forces would be used if Iranian authorities continue to kill protesters. Reza Pahlavi, the son of the former Shah, has urged supporters to take to the streets and raise the pre-revolutionary Iranian flag featuring the lion and sun. The stated goal of the movement is not merely to protest but to seize control of cities and strategic locations, thereby stripping power from the Islamic Republic.</p><p>Outside observers face major difficulties in assessing the situation, as the internet shutdown has sharply limited the flow of information. Activists have reported widespread police brutality to international media, claims that human-rights organizations consider credible but cannot independently verify. The Iranian government, meanwhile, claims that its security forces are under attack by violent demonstrators, blaming foreign agitators such as the United States.</p><p>What began as protests over a rapidly deteriorating economy has evolved into a broad anti-government uprising. The United States and the European Union have expressed strong support for the protesters and their demands.</p><p><em>If Iran were to experience a regime change, who would be most likely to fill the power vacuum left by the Ayatollah? And which regional and international actors stand to gain&#8212;or lose the most&#8212;from a fundamental shift in Iranian governance?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive weekly geopolitical news and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Below, vote on the articles you would most like me to cover in-depth, and feel free to comment with any questions or remarks you have!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:431552}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-january-12-2026?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-january-12-2026?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>Members of a pro-government militia are deployed in Aden following the withdrawal of STC forces [Al Jazeera, AFP]</p></li><li><p>A TCO control center where operators can monitor and adjust oil and gas flows across the field. [Desir&#233; Van Den Berg, The New York Times]</p></li><li><p>Trinidad and Tobago&#8217;s prime minister, Kamla Persad-Bissessar, meets US secretary of state Marco Rubio last September in Washington. [Mark Schiefelbein, AP]</p></li><li><p>Col. Mamady Doumbouya of Guinea during his final campaign rally in Conakry last week. [Patrick Meinhardt, Agence France-Presse-Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>Protesters in Tehran on 9 January. [MAHSA, Middle East Images-AFP-Getty Images]</p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: December 8]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: Spain, Sri Lanka, Tunisia, Guinea-Bissau, and Honduras]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-december-8</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-december-8</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 08 Dec 2025 14:35:39 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/433d227c-0af4-4df4-a1dd-09792e9c6ae3_867x1300.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Key Themes: Fraud &amp; Manipulation, Crisis as a Catalyst, Erosion of Democratic Norms, and International influence, Intervention, and External Pressure</p><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HWNU!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68856e34-da00-4478-95b0-1860b99f29f2_6400x3224.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HWNU!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68856e34-da00-4478-95b0-1860b99f29f2_6400x3224.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HWNU!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68856e34-da00-4478-95b0-1860b99f29f2_6400x3224.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HWNU!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68856e34-da00-4478-95b0-1860b99f29f2_6400x3224.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HWNU!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68856e34-da00-4478-95b0-1860b99f29f2_6400x3224.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HWNU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68856e34-da00-4478-95b0-1860b99f29f2_6400x3224.png" width="1456" height="733" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/68856e34-da00-4478-95b0-1860b99f29f2_6400x3224.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:733,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2653303,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/180981661?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68856e34-da00-4478-95b0-1860b99f29f2_6400x3224.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HWNU!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68856e34-da00-4478-95b0-1860b99f29f2_6400x3224.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HWNU!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68856e34-da00-4478-95b0-1860b99f29f2_6400x3224.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HWNU!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68856e34-da00-4478-95b0-1860b99f29f2_6400x3224.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!HWNU!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F68856e34-da00-4478-95b0-1860b99f29f2_6400x3224.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>What You Missed Circa November 25&#8217;</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Spain Sees Itself as a Beacon for Immigrants. So Do Many Latin Americans.&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/04/world/europe/spain-migration-latin-america.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ftwH!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55c0f159-09e2-440f-9b40-42c3571f69b3_1024x691.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ftwH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55c0f159-09e2-440f-9b40-42c3571f69b3_1024x691.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ftwH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55c0f159-09e2-440f-9b40-42c3571f69b3_1024x691.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ftwH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55c0f159-09e2-440f-9b40-42c3571f69b3_1024x691.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ftwH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55c0f159-09e2-440f-9b40-42c3571f69b3_1024x691.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ftwH!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55c0f159-09e2-440f-9b40-42c3571f69b3_1024x691.webp" width="1024" height="691" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/55c0f159-09e2-440f-9b40-42c3571f69b3_1024x691.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:691,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Mr. S&#225;nchez in a dark blue suit outside in front of glass doors.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Mr. S&#225;nchez in a dark blue suit outside in front of glass doors." title="Mr. S&#225;nchez in a dark blue suit outside in front of glass doors." srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ftwH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55c0f159-09e2-440f-9b40-42c3571f69b3_1024x691.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ftwH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55c0f159-09e2-440f-9b40-42c3571f69b3_1024x691.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ftwH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55c0f159-09e2-440f-9b40-42c3571f69b3_1024x691.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ftwH!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F55c0f159-09e2-440f-9b40-42c3571f69b3_1024x691.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Spain </strong>has positioned itself as a beacon of immigration in the West during a time of massive anti-migrant sentiment. Anchored by its staunch left-wing government, the country continues to keep its gates open to huddled masses seeking a new beginning. For many from former Spanish colonies across Latin America, the transition is relatively accessible through unique visas and a soft landing via shared language, culture, and lifestyle.</p><p>Across Europe, many countries face a sharp decline in birth rates; with an ageing population, they face growing risks related to labour-force shortages and pension sustainability. Migration is a quick solution to this problem, and Spain, fully embracing this strategy, now hosts over three million foreign-born workers.</p><p>Unlike many other European nations, Spain benefits from a large community of immigrants who often share cultural and linguistic ties, facilitating integration. Yet despite this advantage, resistance from parts of the local populace has prevented even larger migration waves from former colonies.</p><p>The contrast is even stronger when comparing the situation of Latin American immigrants with that of many hopeful African migrants, especially those arriving by boat, who typically face much stricter bureaucratic hurdles and social resistance.</p><p>The government of Spain, led by Elma Saiz, Minister of Inclusion, Social Security and Migration, views the current moment as critical for shaping the country&#8217;s future demographics. For Saiz, the re-election of Donald Trump in the United States &#8212; and the subsequent severe crackdown on immigration, especially Latin American migration, via U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and the State Department &#8212; has caused many Latin Americans to reconsider the American Dream. This makes Spain a prime destination for economic aspiration.</p><p>Interestingly, even members of Vox, Spain&#8217;s growing right-wing party, have voiced support for Latin American immigrants, calling them &#8220;hard-working.&#8221; However, Vox supporters and politicians typically view immigration from Africa, particularly from Morocco, as problematic, citing cultural differences and security risks. Meanwhile, the Spanish government pushes back against such narratives, arguing that poverty, not nationality, is the main driver of social risk.</p><p>Immigration has provided vital relief for lower-skilled sectors: many jobs that native Spaniards no longer wish to fill are now occupied by immigrants. As a result, Spain is pushing for more legal migration pathways and improved bureaucratic processes, while simultaneously cracking down on illegal migration and enhancing cooperation with neighbouring African countries.</p><p>For many Latin Americans, life in Spain offers opportunity and stability. If the government continues to streamline legal migration and integration, while preventing exploitation, the country could see a significant influx of newcomers.</p><p><em>Who stands to gain most from these migratory measures? And can other European countries replicate such a model successfully?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Cyclone catastrophe in Sri Lanka awakens volunteer spirit&#8217; - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c058n10727po</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4P6i!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa6d4d907-5aa5-487c-aca3-c47633292c85_1024x576.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4P6i!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa6d4d907-5aa5-487c-aca3-c47633292c85_1024x576.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4P6i!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa6d4d907-5aa5-487c-aca3-c47633292c85_1024x576.webp" width="1024" height="576" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa6d4d907-5aa5-487c-aca3-c47633292c85_1024x576.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4P6i!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa6d4d907-5aa5-487c-aca3-c47633292c85_1024x576.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4P6i!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa6d4d907-5aa5-487c-aca3-c47633292c85_1024x576.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4P6i!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa6d4d907-5aa5-487c-aca3-c47633292c85_1024x576.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Sri Lanka</strong> is facing continued devastation as floods, mudslides and other natural disasters wreck the nation. Alongside much of Southeast Asia, Sri Lanka has had hundreds of thousands displaced and hundreds killed, due to Cyclone Ditwah. The country is enduring the worst flooding in decades, with the United Nations reporting that almost one million people have been affected.</p><p>Anura Kumara Dissanayake has declared a State of Emergency and called on volunteers to assist the reeling nation. All 25 districts have been hit, with Gampaha District, Colombo District, Puttalam District and Mannar District among the hardest hit.</p><p>The Sri Lankan military has deployed vehicles and personnel to assist in rescue and recovery operations, while international aid has also begun to flow in.<a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/11/29/sri-lanka-seeks-foreign-help-as-cyclone-ditwah-death-toll-reaches-123?utm_source=chatgpt.com"> </a>The country has been struggling under geographic, economic, and political pressures over recent years; existing aid channels have helped somewhat to allow a safer transition during the current disaster.</p><p>Past activism has laid the groundwork for current assistance efforts, including food kitchens, relief camps, and donation drives. However, Dissanayake has faced political backlash for what some opposition lawmakers view as a lack of preparation to mitigate the damage. The opposition used the cyclone as a political platform. Dissanayake urged citizens to set aside political differences and unite; in response, some opposition members walked out of parliament, claiming that the move limited debate.</p><p>Larger international organisations and neighbouring countries have begun relief operations. Emergency teams from regional partners are helping, while global institutions coordinate broader support.</p><p><em>With mass weather disasters becoming more frequent across the region, what can nations do to better future-proof themselves and mitigate the impacts of such disasters?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Tunisia&#8217;s main union calls nationwide strike as president&#8217;s crackdown escalates&#8217; - https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/tunisias-powerful-ugtt-union-announces-nationwide-strike-january-21-2025-12-05/</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GdUh!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79d16df5-84d2-45ba-a2d0-06c0f577c828_720x435.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GdUh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79d16df5-84d2-45ba-a2d0-06c0f577c828_720x435.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GdUh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79d16df5-84d2-45ba-a2d0-06c0f577c828_720x435.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GdUh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79d16df5-84d2-45ba-a2d0-06c0f577c828_720x435.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GdUh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79d16df5-84d2-45ba-a2d0-06c0f577c828_720x435.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GdUh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79d16df5-84d2-45ba-a2d0-06c0f577c828_720x435.avif" width="720" height="435" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79d16df5-84d2-45ba-a2d0-06c0f577c828_720x435.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GdUh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79d16df5-84d2-45ba-a2d0-06c0f577c828_720x435.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GdUh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79d16df5-84d2-45ba-a2d0-06c0f577c828_720x435.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GdUh!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79d16df5-84d2-45ba-a2d0-06c0f577c828_720x435.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Tunisia </strong>furthers its descent into political strife as its ruling government continues to arrest and apprehend opposition forces. President Kais Saied has intensified a campaign of institutional erosion, advancing what many perceive as a path toward autocracy. Since 2021, when Saied dissolved parliament in a bid to fight corruption and mismanagement, civil liberties and political rights in Tunisia have steadily declined.</p><p>Hundreds of Tunisians have protested for weeks, demanding the release of political prisoners and calling for an end to the suppression of NGOs and critics. The Tunisian General Labour Union (TGLU), with over a million members, has announced a nationwide strike on January 21 to challenge Saied and force political bargaining. Initially supportive of his anti-corruption drive, the union grew disillusioned as Saied&#8217;s regime revealed its increasingly unilateral nature.</p><p>Following the wave of optimism post-Arab Spring (and Tunisia&#8217;s transition to democracy in 2011), the country has endured a troubled period of economic, regional, and political instability &#8212; conditions that have paved the way for leaders like Saied. Growing tensions and political crackdown suggest further instability ahead.</p><p><em>What can Tunisians do to resist further governmental suppression? What outside actors or institutions are looking to influence or assist Tunisia&#8217;s civil society and democratic forces?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Guinea-Bissau Installs Military Ruler After Claims of a &#8216;Fabricated&#8217; Coup&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/27/world/africa/guinea-bissau-coup.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pFFF!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F973ca094-d57d-4aaa-97f3-64db6f3a36b5_2048x1366.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pFFF!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F973ca094-d57d-4aaa-97f3-64db6f3a36b5_2048x1366.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pFFF!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F973ca094-d57d-4aaa-97f3-64db6f3a36b5_2048x1366.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pFFF!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F973ca094-d57d-4aaa-97f3-64db6f3a36b5_2048x1366.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pFFF!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F973ca094-d57d-4aaa-97f3-64db6f3a36b5_2048x1366.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Guinea-Bissau</strong> continues the trend of West African military generals commandeering the government. Umaro Sissoco Embal&#243;, who has served as President of Guinea-Bissau since the 2020 election, was recently deposed in a coup by the country&#8217;s military. Horta Inta-a has now been sworn in as transitional leader to oversee the nation until political matters are resolved.</p><p>Guinea-Bissau held its election at the start of the month; the results were expected just as the coup occurred. The opposition, including leaders such as Fernando Dias, has denounced the coup as staged, calling it a veiled attempt to retain power after a purported electoral loss. Inta-a, a longtime ally of Embal&#243;, is set to lead for at least a year. Both Embal&#243; and Dias have fled: Embal&#243; reportedly crossed into Senegalese territory, while Dias&#8217;s current whereabouts remain unknown.</p><p>Both claimed victory, but the electoral commission&#8217;s results cannot be verified, as they were never formally announced, and the commission offices were stormed by military forces. Guinea-Bissau, in its post-colonial period, has repeatedly endured coups and military takeovers, with no president serving two consecutive terms in over three decades of &#8220;democracy.&#8221;</p><p>The military claims the takeover was necessary to combat corruption and electoral tampering; however, independent observers have found no publicly available evidence to support those claims. The entire West Africa region, including the African Union (AU) and the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), have called for the military to proceed with elections and return the country to constitutional order.</p><p><em>What will Inta-a and the Guinea-Bissau military command do in the interim? Will they surrender power when due and commit to a legitimate electoral process?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Honduran presidential candidate says Trump interfered in election&#8217; - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/5/honduran-presidential-candidate-says-trump-interfered-in-election-report</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dF6X!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5afd59d-b654-4279-b74e-7661ae577165_770x513.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dF6X!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5afd59d-b654-4279-b74e-7661ae577165_770x513.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dF6X!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5afd59d-b654-4279-b74e-7661ae577165_770x513.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dF6X!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5afd59d-b654-4279-b74e-7661ae577165_770x513.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dF6X!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5afd59d-b654-4279-b74e-7661ae577165_770x513.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dF6X!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5afd59d-b654-4279-b74e-7661ae577165_770x513.webp" width="770" height="513" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5afd59d-b654-4279-b74e-7661ae577165_770x513.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dF6X!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5afd59d-b654-4279-b74e-7661ae577165_770x513.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dF6X!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5afd59d-b654-4279-b74e-7661ae577165_770x513.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dF6X!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff5afd59d-b654-4279-b74e-7661ae577165_770x513.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Honduras </strong>faced a razor-thin election, with candidates accusing the U.S. of interfering. Salvador Nasralla, the former vice-president and centrist candidate, has been projected to have lost to Nasry Asfura by fewer than 20,000 votes. As election day drew to a close, Asfura received unexpected support from U.S. President Donald Trump. Trump labelled Nasralla a &#8220;borderline communist&#8221; and threatened the deterioration of U.S.&#8211;Honduran relations if Asfura were to lose.</p><p>After the early vote-count results showed a near tie between the two leading candidates, Trump alleged fraud and corruption. He also pardoned the controversial former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hern&#225;ndez, a week before the election. Hern&#225;ndez was an ally of Asfura. According to preliminary tallies, about 88 % of the votes had been counted: Asfura led with roughly 40.19 %, compared to Nasralla&#8217;s 39.49 %.</p><p>Many Hondurans are closely connected to the United States &#8212; through family, work, or politics &#8212; so Trump&#8217;s threats of American opposition likely resonated strongly. Nasralla has argued that Trump&#8217;s interference damaged his election chances.</p><p><em>Would a Nasralla victory have triggered American backlash in Honduras, and if so, what would that look like? What does another right-wing victory in Central America mean for the region?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive weekly geopolitical news and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Below, vote on the articles you would most like me to cover in-depth, and feel free to comment with any questions or remarks you have!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:416225}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-december-8?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-december-8?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>Prime Minister Pedro S&#225;nchez of Spain at Moncloa Palace in Madrid in November. More than a million foreign-born workers have arrived since Mr. S&#225;nchez took power in 2018. [Violeta Santos Moura, Reuters]</p></li><li><p>Volunteers have been taking fishing boats out to rescue flood victims and deliver aid. [BBC Sinhala, The BBC]</p></li><li><p>Noureddine Taboubi, Secretary General of the Tunisian General Labour Union (UGTT), gives a speech as UGTT members demonstrate, after earlier this month President Kais Saied&#8217;s supporters staged a rally outside UGTT headquarters, urging Saied to suspend the union following a transport strike, in Tunis, Tunisia August 21, 2025. [Reuters, Jihed Abidellaoui]</p></li><li><p>General Horta Inta-a during his swearing-in ceremony as the transitional leader of Guinea-Bissau. [Patrick Meinhardt, Agence France-Presse]</p></li><li><p>Honduran centrist candidate Salvador Nasralla, during an interview in Tegucigalpa, Honduras, on December 4, 2025 [Fredy Rodriguez, Reuters]</p><p></p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: November 24, 2025]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: Ukraine, Tanzania, Bangladesh, Poland, and New Zealand]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-november-24-2025</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-november-24-2025</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 24 Nov 2025 14:44:38 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/99ae7dd1-5ac1-49e9-a5df-58cb4e8137e8_270x380.webp" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Key Themes: Democratic Backsliding and Authoritarianism, External Interference and Geopolitical Pressure, and Ethics, Accountability, and the Struggle for Justice</p><div><hr></div><p>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;A huge corruption scandal threatens Ukraine&#8217;s government&#8217; - https://www.economist.com/europe/2025/11/17/a-huge-corruption-scandal-threatens-ukraines-government</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!obE8!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30be283e-6348-4bc9-acec-af0c6ef6b116_834x469.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!obE8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30be283e-6348-4bc9-acec-af0c6ef6b116_834x469.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!obE8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30be283e-6348-4bc9-acec-af0c6ef6b116_834x469.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!obE8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30be283e-6348-4bc9-acec-af0c6ef6b116_834x469.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!obE8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30be283e-6348-4bc9-acec-af0c6ef6b116_834x469.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!obE8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30be283e-6348-4bc9-acec-af0c6ef6b116_834x469.png" width="834" height="469" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/30be283e-6348-4bc9-acec-af0c6ef6b116_834x469.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:469,&quot;width&quot;:834,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy looks down over his right shoulder.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy looks down over his right shoulder." title="Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy looks down over his right shoulder." srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!obE8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30be283e-6348-4bc9-acec-af0c6ef6b116_834x469.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!obE8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30be283e-6348-4bc9-acec-af0c6ef6b116_834x469.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!obE8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30be283e-6348-4bc9-acec-af0c6ef6b116_834x469.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!obE8!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30be283e-6348-4bc9-acec-af0c6ef6b116_834x469.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Ukraine </strong>faces internal turmoil as longstanding pre-war corruption continues to fester across the nation. Many within President Volodymyr Zelensky&#8217;s closest governmental circle have been charged with various counts of deceit and fraud. Ukraine&#8217;s anti-corruption bodies have completed a 15-month investigation into government members and their networks, finding officials, from ministers to judges, guilty. Cases range from the diversion of public funds into private coffers to the manipulation of public works projects, which were often shelved or diluted for personal gain.</p><p>While the war with Russia rages on, and civilian living standards deteriorate amid widespread losses of electricity and internet services, some among Ukraine&#8217;s highest ranks have continued to seek greater personal rewards. Corruption in Ukraine dates back decades, and this instability has long been cited as a key reason for limited support from blocs such as the European Union.</p><p>In July, under Zelensky&#8217;s directive, many of Ukraine&#8217;s anti-corruption bodies came under intense scrutiny after an attempt to pass a law that would remove their independent status. Mass national protests forced the bill to be scrapped; however, the damage to Zelensky&#8217;s domestic reputation lingers. His proximity to many of the accused places him in a precarious position among a population that has endured a lifetime of political disappointment.</p><p>These developments allow Russia to sow further division within Ukrainian society and risk weakening international support. Five officials have already been arrested, with more likely to follow. Zelensky now faces a difficult decision: carry out a sweeping purge of allies and partners, finding suitable replacements in the process, or face public outrage for failing to act decisively. All of this unfolds as Russia continues to intensify its assault on the nation.</p><p><em>What is the best course of action for Zelensky, and what path offers the greatest stability for Ukraine?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Tanzania&#8217;s descent into repression is a stark warning of how fast Africa&#8217;s progress can be eroded&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2025/nov/18/tanzania-africa-governance-human-rights-tanzania-samia-suluhu-hassan-uganda-drc-rwanda-sudan</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wiPs!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7004f30-5cff-4a31-8b1b-0d02b828e3ba_1760x1174.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wiPs!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7004f30-5cff-4a31-8b1b-0d02b828e3ba_1760x1174.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wiPs!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7004f30-5cff-4a31-8b1b-0d02b828e3ba_1760x1174.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wiPs!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7004f30-5cff-4a31-8b1b-0d02b828e3ba_1760x1174.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wiPs!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7004f30-5cff-4a31-8b1b-0d02b828e3ba_1760x1174.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wiPs!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7004f30-5cff-4a31-8b1b-0d02b828e3ba_1760x1174.jpeg" width="1456" height="971" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d7004f30-5cff-4a31-8b1b-0d02b828e3ba_1760x1174.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:971,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wiPs!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7004f30-5cff-4a31-8b1b-0d02b828e3ba_1760x1174.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wiPs!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7004f30-5cff-4a31-8b1b-0d02b828e3ba_1760x1174.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wiPs!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7004f30-5cff-4a31-8b1b-0d02b828e3ba_1760x1174.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wiPs!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7004f30-5cff-4a31-8b1b-0d02b828e3ba_1760x1174.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Tanzania</strong>&#8217;s recent political disorder has pushed one of Africa&#8217;s brightest spots into a darkening chapter. Optimism surrounding Africa&#8217;s future has long been high among scholars and theorists, who point to its booming population, vast resource wealth, and expanding infrastructure as signs of a continent poised to shape its own future. Yet demographics alone do not tell the full story. Governance, security, and political stability have regressed, with coups, rebellions, insurgencies, and civil wars throwing much of the continent into persistent turmoil. Improper governance continues to hinder development, while democracy and human rights face mounting challenges.</p><p>For decades, Tanzania stood as a bastion of strong civil governance in Africa following its independence from Great Britain in 1961. Although stable, the country was dominated by the Chama Cha Mapinduzi (&#8220;Party of the Revolution,&#8221; or CCM) throughout its post-colonial history. Six decades of CCM rule saw a major rupture during this year&#8217;s election. Samia Suluhu Hassan, who assumed the presidency after the sudden death of John Magufuli, entered the electoral season seemingly fearful of losing power. Her government banned and arrested opposition figures and prominent leaders ahead of the vote. The National Electoral Commission, overseen by her administration, declared her the winner with 97.6% of the vote.</p><p>The result sparked outrage among civil society groups, international observers, and Tanzanian voters. The election was widely condemned as a sham and exhibited clear signs of autocratic consolidation, igniting nationwide protests. The military response was brutal: home raids, violent crackdowns, and crowd dispersal reportedly left thousands dead. Critics and activists have since gone missing, while accusations of crimes against humanity committed by the Tanzanian government continue to rise. Tanzania and President Hassan deny all such allegations.</p><p>Tanzania&#8217;s crisis reflects a wider continental trend and the deepening anxieties within Africa. Stability and safety are never assured, and democratic backsliding remains a constant risk. War, unrest, and political repression plague several nations, as leaders across the continent cling to power by any means necessary. Gen Z has watched this unfold and, in many countries, has taken up the mantle of revolution. With some movements proving more successful than others.</p><p><em>Whether Tanzania can return to normalcy remains uncertain. Will it reclaim its legacy of relative stability, or will it follow the long-lamented path of continental instability and fear?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Bangladesh&#8217;s ousted leader Sheikh Hasina sentenced to death&#8217; - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cpwvg99e8vdo</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_55K!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0abf8a7-0b1c-4eb9-a3a7-b99ed2429147_1024x683.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_55K!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_55K!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0abf8a7-0b1c-4eb9-a3a7-b99ed2429147_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Bangladesh </strong>has confirmed the death penalty for its former Prime Minister following the country&#8217;s Gen Z&#8211;led revolution. Sheikh Hasina, the nation&#8217;s ousted leader, was found guilty of crimes against humanity for her government&#8217;s actions against student protesters during the summer of 2024. After years of repressive rule and the suppression of dissent, her counter-revolutionary crackdown resulted in more than 1,400 deaths and ultimately led to her overthrow.</p><p>The International Crimes Tribunal (ICT) in Bangladesh&#8212;originally established to investigate genocide and mass atrocities&#8212;found Hasina guilty on three counts, a verdict supported by several international observers, including representatives from the United Nations. Bangladesh is now governed by Nobel Peace Prize laureate Muhammad Yunus, who was appointed to lead the interim government following the student uprising.</p><p>Hasina has denied all charges and challenges to her authority, accusing Yunus and others of orchestrating a politically motivated smear campaign intended to destroy her party and undermine the people&#8217;s will. She is currently in exile in India, and New Delhi&#8217;s reluctance to extradite her threatens to further strain relations between the two neighbours.</p><p>On the day of the verdict, widespread unrest erupted around the courthouse. Bombings, fires, and other disturbances had escalated in the days leading up to the ruling, and crowds reportedly broke into celebration when the sentence was announced. Hasina&#8217;s legal team has demanded a retrial and is considering an appeal to the International Criminal Court in The Hague.</p><p>Bangladesh is preparing for its first post-revolution elections in February, though Hasina and her party have been barred from participating. Neither she nor her party has issued an apology or shown remorse for the events of 2024, raising questions about their political future.</p><p><em>Can the guilty verdict bring a sense of closure to victims and a nation burdened by decades of trauma? And who stands to benefit most from the tribunal&#8217;s decision?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Poland closes last Russian consulate after &#8216;act of state terrorism&#8217; on railway&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/nov/19/poland-closes-last-russian-consulate-after-act-of-state-terrorism-on-railway</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pDFt!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde118c1-14c0-403b-88af-cf138885d7fe_1240x826.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pDFt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde118c1-14c0-403b-88af-cf138885d7fe_1240x826.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pDFt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde118c1-14c0-403b-88af-cf138885d7fe_1240x826.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pDFt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde118c1-14c0-403b-88af-cf138885d7fe_1240x826.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pDFt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde118c1-14c0-403b-88af-cf138885d7fe_1240x826.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pDFt!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde118c1-14c0-403b-88af-cf138885d7fe_1240x826.jpeg" width="1240" height="826" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde118c1-14c0-403b-88af-cf138885d7fe_1240x826.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pDFt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde118c1-14c0-403b-88af-cf138885d7fe_1240x826.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pDFt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde118c1-14c0-403b-88af-cf138885d7fe_1240x826.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pDFt!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffde118c1-14c0-403b-88af-cf138885d7fe_1240x826.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Poland </strong>faces heightened tensions after an infrastructure attack, allegedly carried out by Russian-linked spies, brought the war in Ukraine closer than ever to Polish territory. In eastern Poland, explosions were detonated along the Warsaw&#8211;Lublin railway line, a critical route connecting Poland to Ukraine. The Polish government has classified the incident as an act of state-sponsored terror and has begun the process of closing a Russian consulate. Since Russia&#8217;s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Poland has systematically reduced diplomatic channels with Moscow; the consulate in Warsaw was the last remaining.</p><p>Thus far, four arrests have been made, with more expected in the coming days. Ukrainian nationals suspected of working on behalf of the Russian government have been linked to the attack. Authorities believe the intent was to harm civilians, sow fear, and weaken cooperation between Ukraine and its European partners.</p><p>The Polish government has announced the closure of the Gda&#324;sk consulate as the first step in a broader response. Russia has retaliated by declaring it will reduce Polish diplomatic presence within its borders. Moscow has denied all accusations of wrongdoing against Poland or any EU member state.</p><p>European officials across the continent have associated a series of sporadic sabotage attempts and terror acts with the Russian state, warning that they are part of a broader strategy to undermine European defence and unity. Polish and Ukrainian authorities are now working closely on the investigation, while Polish military officials prepare a range of defensive measures should further incidents occur. The Polish military is expected to deploy 10,000 soldiers to protect critical infrastructure nationwide.</p><p><em>What would a confirmed Russian terror attack inside the European Union mean for escalation across the continent? And will blocs such as NATO and the EU coordinate more closely on domestic Polish security in response?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;These Books Were Judged by Their A.I. Covers, and Disqualified&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/19/books/new-zealand-ocham-book-awards-ai.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nmEO!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9bbfba43-c17e-468e-a452-1b0b503e09b9_1368x915.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nmEO!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9bbfba43-c17e-468e-a452-1b0b503e09b9_1368x915.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nmEO!, 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9bbfba43-c17e-468e-a452-1b0b503e09b9_1368x915.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nmEO!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9bbfba43-c17e-468e-a452-1b0b503e09b9_1368x915.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nmEO!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9bbfba43-c17e-468e-a452-1b0b503e09b9_1368x915.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nmEO!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9bbfba43-c17e-468e-a452-1b0b503e09b9_1368x915.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>New Zealand</strong>&#8217;s national book competition has pushed the AI debate into the spotlight after several submissions were disqualified for featuring AI-generated cover art. Multiple authors, unaware that their publishers had used AI tools, submitted works with generated artwork and were subsequently removed from the contest. The Ockham New Zealand Book Awards, one of the nation&#8217;s most prestigious literary competitions, hands out nine awards each year. The top prize approaches $36,000, with all awards now out of reach for the disqualified writers.</p><p>Ockham stated that the ban was implemented to comply with international AI-related rules governing artwork. The authors themselves had not used AI in their writing, nor had their editing teams; nevertheless, their collective work was penalised due to an oversight in the production of the cover art. The book covers were suspected of being AI-generated, and after confirmation from the authors, Ockham&#8217;s panel rejected the entries.</p><p>Sugarcube Studios, the group responsible for the cover designs, argued that AI should be used to assist creators and help bring artistic visions to life&#8212;not to replace the spirit of human creativity. Many within the creative community view the rise of AI as a significant threat to their profession and to artistic expression more broadly. Others, however, argued that the disqualification was unnecessarily severe, noting that the writing itself was entirely independent of the AI-generated artwork.</p><p><em>Does AI have a place in creative competitions such as literary awards, even when its use is unrelated to the core judged component? And what regulations are needed to ensure both fairness and an environment that still supports artistic innovation?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive weekly geopolitical news and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Below, vote on the articles you would most like me to cover in-depth, and feel free to comment with any questions or remarks you have!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:408567}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-november-24-2025?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-november-24-2025?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>Volodymyr Zelensky faces his biggest challenge since the invasion. [Reuters, The Economist]</p></li><li><p>Buses set ablaze after clashes erupted in Dar es Salaam during the Tanzanian presidential elections. [AFP, Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>Anti-government protesters stormed Hasina&#8217;s palace in Dhaka in August 2024. [Lightrocket, Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>Donald Tusk, Poland&#8217;s prime minister (second right), visited the site of the sabotage on Monday. [KPRM, Reuters]</p></li><li><p>New Zealand&#8217;s top book award disqualifies two authors over AI artwork. [Getty, The Independent] </p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: November 17, 2025]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: Mexico, The United Kingdom, Iraq, Algeria, and Thailand]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-november-17-2025</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-november-17-2025</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 17 Nov 2025 14:07:52 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f0642909-c837-44f3-8633-33bbce51adaf_1000x1513.webp" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Key Themes: Youth-Driven Political Upheaval &amp; Public Protest, Fragile Governance, State Capacity Challenges, and Immigration, Identity, &amp; Social Cohesion</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Gen Z protests against Mexico president turn violent amid anger over mayor&#8217;s death&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/nov/16/gen-z-protests-against-mexico-president-turn-violent-amid-anger-over-mayors-death</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tAlO!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F183588f2-0277-4857-bee1-83d4d99a5ab1_1240x992.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tAlO!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F183588f2-0277-4857-bee1-83d4d99a5ab1_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tAlO!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F183588f2-0277-4857-bee1-83d4d99a5ab1_1240x992.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tAlO!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F183588f2-0277-4857-bee1-83d4d99a5ab1_1240x992.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tAlO!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F183588f2-0277-4857-bee1-83d4d99a5ab1_1240x992.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tAlO!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F183588f2-0277-4857-bee1-83d4d99a5ab1_1240x992.avif" width="1240" height="992" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F183588f2-0277-4857-bee1-83d4d99a5ab1_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tAlO!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F183588f2-0277-4857-bee1-83d4d99a5ab1_1240x992.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tAlO!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F183588f2-0277-4857-bee1-83d4d99a5ab1_1240x992.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tAlO!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F183588f2-0277-4857-bee1-83d4d99a5ab1_1240x992.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Mexico</strong>&#8217;s capital erupted into protest as the Gen Z revolution spread to the Americas. Thousands of young people flooded the streets of Mexico City to oppose President Claudia Sheinbaum&#8217;s policies and her perceived inaction on Mexico&#8217;s struggles with corruption and crime. While Sheinbaum maintains a high approval rating of over 70%, many young citizens&#8212;backed by opposition party leaders&#8212;point to the proliferation of gang violence and the growing stranglehold of cartels across large regions of the country.</p><p>The protests are the culmination of years of tension, with the November 1 assassination of Carlos Alberto Manzo Rodr&#237;guez becoming a breaking point. Rodr&#237;guez, the former mayor of Uruapan in Michoac&#225;n, led a campaign against the cartels and initiated major crackdowns on their operations. His efforts, his eventual killing, and the government&#8217;s subsequent inaction have angered many civilians.</p><p>Protesters waved a black skull pirate flag, a reference to the anime <em>One Piece</em>, which has become an international symbol of youth action and purpose. Demonstrators clashed with police, leaving more than 100 people injured. Sheinbaum responded by claiming that the protests were infiltrated by right-wing parties seeking influence and supported by international actors intent on harming the Mexican government.</p><p>The Gen Z revolution has sparked mass change, toppled governments, forced leaders into exile, and driven national reform. In some regions, however, it has been stifled or has collapsed, and even where successful, the resulting power vacuums remain unresolved. <em>Will the recent protests in Mexico grow into a broader movement? Will they coalesce around a single issue, such as confronting cartel violence? Or will they fade and fracture?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Britain to announce &#8216;most significant&#8217; change to asylum rules in years, setting Europe&#8217;s longest route to settlement&#8217; - https://edition.cnn.com/2025/11/16/uk/britain-asylum-reform-shabana-mahmood-hnk-intl</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mUM_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbabc1aac-aa8b-414e-8e5c-9327456b651c_1202x801.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mUM_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbabc1aac-aa8b-414e-8e5c-9327456b651c_1202x801.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mUM_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbabc1aac-aa8b-414e-8e5c-9327456b651c_1202x801.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mUM_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbabc1aac-aa8b-414e-8e5c-9327456b651c_1202x801.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mUM_!, 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbabc1aac-aa8b-414e-8e5c-9327456b651c_1202x801.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mUM_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbabc1aac-aa8b-414e-8e5c-9327456b651c_1202x801.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mUM_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbabc1aac-aa8b-414e-8e5c-9327456b651c_1202x801.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mUM_!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbabc1aac-aa8b-414e-8e5c-9327456b651c_1202x801.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>The United Kingdom</strong>, in a move to counter far-right gains, is reshaping its asylum system. The Labour government, led by Prime Minister Keir Starmer, is preparing reforms to what it describes as a &#8220;broken&#8221; system. Under the proposed changes, refugee status would shift from permanent to temporary, and the wait time for permanent settlement would increase from five years to twenty.</p><p>These reforms follow a year of protests and growing public anger, much of it driven by the increasingly hard-right Reform UK party. Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood announced that the proposals would be fully unveiled this week. The central elements of the plan include changes to refugee status and settlement timelines, the return of illegal boat crossings to France, the repatriation of asylum seekers whose home countries are deemed safe, and the removal of automatic social benefits for asylum seekers who can work but choose not to.</p><p>Denmark&#8212;known for its strict immigration policies&#8212;has adopted similar approaches while maintaining a social democratic government. The United Kingdom now appears poised to follow this model, and perhaps go even further, potentially creating the longest pathway to citizenship in Europe by more than double.</p><p>The response across the political spectrum has been sharply divided. Left-leaning voters argue that the measures are too harsh and lack compassion. Right-leaning voters claim the plan does not go far enough, allowing continued strain on British society. Leaders from other major parties, such as the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats, have characterized the proposal as necessary and pragmatic. Meanwhile, refugee and asylum advocacy groups have strongly criticized the reforms, calling them a risk to human rights that will put more lives in danger.</p><p>Critics also question whether the Danish model can be replicated in Britain, especially with such an extended timeline to settlement; Denmark&#8217;s approach hinges heavily on integration, which becomes far more difficult under prolonged temporary status.</p><p><em>Will Labour&#8217;s new plan address the root causes of the UK&#8217;s immigration challenges? Will the strategy draw Reform UK voters back toward the center, or will it further energize the far-right base?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Iraq&#8217;s PM al-Sudani may win the elections, but lose his post&#8217; - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/11/10/iraqs-pm-al-sudani-may-win-the-elections-but-lose-his-post</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prXJ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feff2bb20-0162-45d6-bd45-8e83721c39bb_770x513.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prXJ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feff2bb20-0162-45d6-bd45-8e83721c39bb_770x513.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prXJ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feff2bb20-0162-45d6-bd45-8e83721c39bb_770x513.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prXJ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feff2bb20-0162-45d6-bd45-8e83721c39bb_770x513.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prXJ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feff2bb20-0162-45d6-bd45-8e83721c39bb_770x513.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prXJ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feff2bb20-0162-45d6-bd45-8e83721c39bb_770x513.webp" width="770" height="513" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/eff2bb20-0162-45d6-bd45-8e83721c39bb_770x513.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:513,&quot;width&quot;:770,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:24854,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/179142003?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feff2bb20-0162-45d6-bd45-8e83721c39bb_770x513.webp&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prXJ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feff2bb20-0162-45d6-bd45-8e83721c39bb_770x513.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prXJ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feff2bb20-0162-45d6-bd45-8e83721c39bb_770x513.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prXJ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feff2bb20-0162-45d6-bd45-8e83721c39bb_770x513.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!prXJ!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feff2bb20-0162-45d6-bd45-8e83721c39bb_770x513.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Iraq</strong>&#8217;s incumbent prime minister hopes to hold onto power ahead of the nation&#8217;s upcoming elections. Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani has built his government around the goal of rebuilding Iraq after decades of violence, seeking to position the country as a partner to both Washington and Tehran. He has attempted to construct a broad base of support, currently leading a coalition of seven parties that includes tribal leaders, independents, and both Sunni and Shia figures. Al-Sudani&#8217;s own party, the Al-Furratain Current, remains the smallest within this coalition.</p><p>Although al-Sudani has been largely successful in assembling and managing a wide-ranging joint government, his party itself has gained little broad appeal. Even if the coalition achieves the historic wins it is projected to secure, a rapid fragmentation remains highly plausible. Many of those expected to win parliamentary seats are likely to form transactional relationships with al-Sudani and his party, aligning only when politically convenient, rather than acting as a cohesive bloc of MPs united under his agenda. The coalition&#8217;s breadth creates significant risk: it grants individual members substantial leverage to shift sides at will.</p><p>Al-Sudani&#8217;s party mantra, &#8220;Construction and Development,&#8221; emphasizes nation-building and modernization. Yet large parts of the country feel neglected. Baghdad has received the overwhelming majority of investment, with major projects concentrated in the capital, while many provinces continue to lack schools, roads, and hospitals. As a result, al-Sudani&#8217;s support remains strongest in areas where his initiatives have visibly progressed.</p><p>His bid for a second term ultimately depends on the State Coordination Framework (SCF), in keeping with Iraq&#8217;s Muhasasa system&#8212;a power-sharing arrangement that designates Shia parties to choose the prime minister, Kurds to select the president, and Sunnis to appoint the speaker of parliament. Al-Sudani must therefore manage his sprawling coalition while simultaneously building support within the Shia political base if he hopes to remain in power.</p><p><em>How would a weak Iraqi government affect regional stability? Is the Muhasasa system still viable in the long term, or does it risk deepening fragmentation? What structural issues lie within this model&#8212;and could its constraints ultimately hinder Iraq&#8217;s ability to govern effectively?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;French &#8216;counter-monument&#8217; holds up a mirror to ghosts of colonial Algeria&#8217; - https://www.france24.com/en/france/20251116-french-counter-monument-holds-up-mirror-ghosts-colonialism-algeria-nancy</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!98Nr!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa9849bf1-b48f-49ac-ba6d-081ed3a1fb20_980x804.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!98Nr!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa9849bf1-b48f-49ac-ba6d-081ed3a1fb20_980x804.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!98Nr!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa9849bf1-b48f-49ac-ba6d-081ed3a1fb20_980x804.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!98Nr!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa9849bf1-b48f-49ac-ba6d-081ed3a1fb20_980x804.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!98Nr!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa9849bf1-b48f-49ac-ba6d-081ed3a1fb20_980x804.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!98Nr!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa9849bf1-b48f-49ac-ba6d-081ed3a1fb20_980x804.jpeg" width="576" height="472.55510204081634" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a9849bf1-b48f-49ac-ba6d-081ed3a1fb20_980x804.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:804,&quot;width&quot;:980,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:576,&quot;bytes&quot;:113928,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/i/179142003?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa9849bf1-b48f-49ac-ba6d-081ed3a1fb20_980x804.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!98Nr!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa9849bf1-b48f-49ac-ba6d-081ed3a1fb20_980x804.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!98Nr!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa9849bf1-b48f-49ac-ba6d-081ed3a1fb20_980x804.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!98Nr!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa9849bf1-b48f-49ac-ba6d-081ed3a1fb20_980x804.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!98Nr!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa9849bf1-b48f-49ac-ba6d-081ed3a1fb20_980x804.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Algeria</strong> is set to confront its colonial past as a monument controversy sparks renewed discourse. In Nancy, France, a counter-monument has been erected, the first of its kind. The &#8220;Disorientation Table,&#8221; as the installation is called, stands opposite the statue of Sergeant Blandan, a colonial officer known for his 19th-century conquest of Algeria. The statue once stood in Boufarik, Algeria, as a symbol of domination and French colonial rule. Its current placement in France is in a neighborhood with a large population of Algerian descent.</p><p>The newly unveiled counter-monument aims to challenge the authority of Blandan&#8217;s statue and provide passersby with a fuller, more honest history. Standing at 1.59 meters, the same height as Blandan, it is inscribed in both French and Arabic. In the French historical imagination, Blandan has been portrayed as a heroic figure, even a martyr who died for his nation&#8217;s imperial ambitions. When the original statue was erected in Algeria, it was during a period marked by intense efforts to &#8220;Frenchify&#8221; the Algerian population and territory.</p><p>Following Algeria&#8217;s bloody war of independence from 1954 to 1962, hundreds of statues like Blandan&#8217;s were repatriated to France, many placed in Mediterranean coastal cities. The legacy of this period remains painful: intergenerational trauma persists among many Algerian descendants living in France, who continue to navigate dual identities and a history marked by violence and forced assimilation.</p><p>The Disorientation Table seeks to offer <em>mal poli</em>&#8212;a rough, unpolished confrontation with the colonial past. France, where people of Algerian descent make up roughly 10% of the population, has been slow to publicly disseminate information about its actions in North Africa. President Emmanuel Macron has worked to shed more light on historical facts but has consistently rejected the prospect of repentance, apologies, or reparations. He has strongly defended keeping all statues&#8212;both in France and in former colonial territories&#8212;arguing that removing historical artifacts serves no one. Politicians across the French political spectrum largely agree, favoring contextualization over removal.</p><p><em>The concept of a counter-monument offers a new approach: one that seeks to erode the symbolic power of controversial monuments while preserving them as historical artifacts. Could this model gain traction elsewhere? And where might such counter-monuments find the strongest opportunities for implementation?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Thailand Suspends Trump-Backed Peace Talks With Cambodia&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/10/world/asia/thailand-cambodia-peace-talks-trump.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!417u!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04d9c24d-662b-4983-b2e4-990c5ebc01fe_1024x683.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!417u!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04d9c24d-662b-4983-b2e4-990c5ebc01fe_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!417u!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04d9c24d-662b-4983-b2e4-990c5ebc01fe_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!417u!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04d9c24d-662b-4983-b2e4-990c5ebc01fe_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!417u!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04d9c24d-662b-4983-b2e4-990c5ebc01fe_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Thailand </strong>and <strong>Cambodia</strong>&#8217;s fragile ceasefire has collapsed after a lingering landmine detonated, bringing renewed violence between the two nations. The peace agreement, only two weeks old and brokered after an ASEAN conference with backing from United States President Donald Trump, fell apart when two Thai soldiers were injured by a landmine in a disputed border region.</p><p>Thai Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul announced that talks with Cambodia must be halted immediately, arguing that too many acts of violence remain unresolved. The ceasefire had included plans for the release of prisoners of war, but all previously agreed-upon measures have now been nullified and suspended indefinitely.</p><p>Cambodia&#8217;s Lt. Gen. Rath Dararoth, the country&#8217;s top defense official, stated that his forces remain committed to protecting the citizens of both Cambodia and Thailand. Tensions originally flared on July 24, when both sides exchanged gunfire for five days before a temporary ceasefire was established. Long-standing disputes over border demarcation and land ownership remain the central source of disagreement, with neither country willing to relinquish its claims.</p><p>Negotiations between Thailand, Cambodia, the United States, and Malaysia were hoped to produce a lasting settlement. Trump hailed the &#8220;Kuala Lumpur Peace Accord&#8221; as one of the conflicts he had helped bring toward closure, but the renewed violence underscores how difficult peacemaking remains, even for the United States.</p><p>The dispute stretches back more than a century. After the French withdrawal from colonial territories, previously assumed borders were redrawn, leaving behind deep nationalist grievances and decades of unresolved tension.</p><p><em>If international mediation is faltering, what alternative avenues exist to finally bring this conflict to an end?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive weekly geopolitical news and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Below, vote on the articles you would most like me to cover in-depth, and feel free to comment with any questions or remarks you have!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:406548}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-november-17-2025?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-november-17-2025?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>Many of the demonstrators waved flags with the pirate skull symbol associated with recent Gen Z protests. [Anadolu, Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>UK Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood arrives at 10 Downing Street to attend the nation&#8217;s weekly cabinet meeting in London in October 2025. [Leon Neal, Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>PM Mohammed Shia al-Sudani speaks at his Construction and Development coalition&#8217;s rally before parliamentary elections in Mosul, on October 18, 2025. On the podium is the coalition logo with &#8216;Iraq First&#8217; below it, above the coalition&#8217;s name [Nabil al-Jourani, AP]</p></li><li><p>Malek Kellou and his daughter Doroth&#233;e-Myriam Kellou read from the Disorentiation Table in Nancy. [Doroth&#233;e-Myriam Kellou, France24]</p></li><li><p>A Thai soldier walking near the disputed Thai-Cambodian border in August, where land mines were found deployed. [Chalinee Thirasupa, Reuters]</p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What You Missed: November 10, 2025]]></title><description><![CDATA[This Week: Nigeria, Switzerland, Mexico, Egypt, and the Philippines]]></description><link>https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-november-10-2025</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-november-10-2025</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Dresden]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2025 15:49:13 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/751ab430-5279-4eb5-8d03-3700843ed17d_1200x1697.webp" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Key Themes: Preparedness vs. Vulnerability, Symbolism and National Identity, Power of Reform &amp; Legal/Institutional Change, and Global/External Pressures &amp; Dependencies</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>1&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Even Without Benin Bronzes, This New Museum Aims to Be a Powerhouse&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/07/arts/design/museum-of-west-african-art-nigeria.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Ps0!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b4d58dc-1270-45b5-91ac-fdea48665c12_1024x683.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Ps0!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b4d58dc-1270-45b5-91ac-fdea48665c12_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Ps0!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b4d58dc-1270-45b5-91ac-fdea48665c12_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Ps0!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b4d58dc-1270-45b5-91ac-fdea48665c12_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Ps0!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b4d58dc-1270-45b5-91ac-fdea48665c12_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Ps0!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b4d58dc-1270-45b5-91ac-fdea48665c12_1024x683.webp" width="1024" height="683" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b4d58dc-1270-45b5-91ac-fdea48665c12_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Ps0!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b4d58dc-1270-45b5-91ac-fdea48665c12_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Ps0!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b4d58dc-1270-45b5-91ac-fdea48665c12_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8Ps0!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9b4d58dc-1270-45b5-91ac-fdea48665c12_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Nigeria</strong>, with its newest museum, hopes to attract tourists and become a cultural powerhouse in the region. The Museum of West African Art (MOWAA) is set to open this week following half a decade of construction and development. The project&#8217;s timeline has remarkably stayed on schedule, despite the nation&#8217;s history of stalled developments of national projects due to unrest and disorder.</p><p>Located in Benin City, the museum has been marred by controversy surrounding the return of the nation&#8217;s Benin Bronzes, looted by the British during the Scramble for Africa and since dispersed across the Western world. British, German, French, and American institutions have pledged funds to support MOWAA, with some museums even committing to return the ancient artifacts.</p><p>In 2023, Ewuare II, the ceremonial king of the region where Benin City lies, received authorization from former Nigerian president Muhammadu Buhari to house the statues himself. MOWAA was then forced to reorient its mission, now appealing to a broader audience and positioning itself as a home for contemporary Nigerian artists.</p><p>The museum aims to serve as a center for higher education, research, and innovation&#8212;bringing together scientists and creators alike. Nigeria&#8217;s full cultural focus has been directed toward MOWAA, with rappers, designers, and curators from across the nation collaborating with the institution.</p><p>Ewuare II has described MOWAA as a ploy to seize his family&#8217;s privately owned artifacts, arguing that all Western funding should instead be redirected toward a royal museum. Protesters have begun gathering around the museum grounds ahead of its opening, with some residents questioning the museum&#8217;s purpose.</p><p><em>Is there a duty for Western governments to return the artifacts&#8212;even if local royalty and some civilians object? And can MOWAA truly spur greater cultural development for the nation?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>2&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Switzerland is spending millions revamping its vast network of bunkers&#8217; - https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/10/25/switzerland-nuclear-bunkers-overhaul/</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RNMI!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0083b15b-c31d-4a04-a343-f812d48b0fc1_1000x667.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RNMI!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0083b15b-c31d-4a04-a343-f812d48b0fc1_1000x667.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RNMI!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0083b15b-c31d-4a04-a343-f812d48b0fc1_1000x667.webp" width="1000" height="667" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0083b15b-c31d-4a04-a343-f812d48b0fc1_1000x667.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RNMI!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0083b15b-c31d-4a04-a343-f812d48b0fc1_1000x667.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RNMI!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0083b15b-c31d-4a04-a343-f812d48b0fc1_1000x667.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RNMI!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0083b15b-c31d-4a04-a343-f812d48b0fc1_1000x667.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Switzerland </strong>is investing heavily in its already extensive bunker network as civilian protection becomes an increasingly prominent concern. The country has the most bunkers per capita in the world, with mountain fortresses capable of housing thousands of civilians in the event of a crisis. Switzerland maintains roughly 370,000 shelters, enough to guarantee a protected space for each of its 9 million residents.</p><p>In response to shifting global dynamics, the Swiss government has pledged hundreds of millions of dollars over the next fifteen years to modernize these bunkers to contemporary standards. An additional $1.2 billion has been allocated specifically to update filtration and air systems. Like several European nations, Switzerland has accelerated its defense posture in security, arms, and technological capabilities following Russia&#8217;s invasion of Ukraine.</p><p>The 1963 Federal Law for Civil Protection grants Swiss citizens the legal right to shelter, and the bunker mindset has become ingrained in Swiss national identity. The government and military are preparing for the possibility of a &#8220;poly-crisis&#8221;&#8212;simultaneous emergencies arising from multiple directions. While many Swiss households already possess personal shelters, these spaces are widely dispersed and lack centralized coordination. Large-scale infrastructure proposals aim to allow residents to continue aspects of daily life, such as work or schooling, even while living in protected conditions.</p><p>Doomsday preparation has become a growing trend worldwide, and Swiss companies specializing in bunker construction and survival technology are gaining significant international traction. Switzerland&#8217;s longstanding culture of defense and self-protection has granted it centuries of expertise, now serving as a valuable export. In countries like the United States, demand for private bunkers has surged amid ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.</p><p>For Switzerland, national defense is not driven by an immediate crisis, but by preparing for what <em>could</em> happen. With threats perceived as ever-present, protecting the civilian population remains a top priority.</p><p><em>Should other nations adopt Switzerland&#8217;s model of widespread preparedness? And is such a system even feasible in states with different geographies, political cultures, and population structures?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>3&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Sexual Assault of Mexico&#8217;s President Exposes Challenges of Her Equality Push&#8217; - https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/06/world/americas/mexico-sheinbaum-women-abuse.html</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xjax!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe96a9ed7-9f2f-4fb2-a22d-f5fd2a24d256_1024x683.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xjax!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe96a9ed7-9f2f-4fb2-a22d-f5fd2a24d256_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xjax!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe96a9ed7-9f2f-4fb2-a22d-f5fd2a24d256_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xjax!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe96a9ed7-9f2f-4fb2-a22d-f5fd2a24d256_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xjax!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe96a9ed7-9f2f-4fb2-a22d-f5fd2a24d256_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xjax!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe96a9ed7-9f2f-4fb2-a22d-f5fd2a24d256_1024x683.webp" width="1024" height="683" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe96a9ed7-9f2f-4fb2-a22d-f5fd2a24d256_1024x683.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xjax!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe96a9ed7-9f2f-4fb2-a22d-f5fd2a24d256_1024x683.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xjax!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe96a9ed7-9f2f-4fb2-a22d-f5fd2a24d256_1024x683.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xjax!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe96a9ed7-9f2f-4fb2-a22d-f5fd2a24d256_1024x683.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Mexico</strong>, with its first female president, is facing a renewed national debate on gender following a recent sexual assault against her. Claudia Sheinbaum, in her first year in office, has prioritized creating a safer society for women in a historically male-dominated country. Recently, a man groped Sheinbaum and attempted to kiss her on national television&#8212;an incident that, for many women, symbolized that even the highest position of authority does not guarantee safety.</p><p>The assault has served as a stark reminder of the systemic issues of inequality and violence that continue to plague Mexico. Many citizens, particularly in urban centers, feel powerless against aggressors and have little confidence in police or state authorities to investigate crimes or deliver justice.</p><p>Sheinbaum campaigned on the promise that her administration would be uniquely capable of delivering meaningful reforms for women. Since taking office, she has implemented pension programs for women, codified equal pay into law, and expanded public care programs. Her administration has also enacted new legal provisions that recognize gender as a relevant factor in the classification of certain crimes.</p><p>In response to the assault, Sheinbaum introduced a nationwide initiative targeting sexual abuse, pushing to make such offenses punishable in every state. While femicide rates, though still above the global average, have declined over the past three years, general assaults have remained largely unchanged. Most troublingly, of the nearly 220,000 reports of violence against women last year, roughly 93% went uninvestigated or unprosecuted.</p><p>A broader goal of the Sheinbaum administration is to strengthen the justice system&#8217;s ability to protect women. However, the challenges are systemic, cultural, and deeply rooted in Mexico&#8217;s social history.</p><p><em>What does it mean for Sheinbaum, and for Mexico as a whole, to truly provide greater protection and support for women?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>4&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;A look inside Egypt&#8217;s newly unveiled Grand Egyptian Museum&#8217; - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/11/4/a-look-inside-egypts-newly-unveiled-grand-egyptian-museum</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aDMW!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe5806184-02aa-422a-b354-20da654b5007_770x512.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aDMW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe5806184-02aa-422a-b354-20da654b5007_770x512.webp 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aDMW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe5806184-02aa-422a-b354-20da654b5007_770x512.webp 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aDMW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe5806184-02aa-422a-b354-20da654b5007_770x512.webp 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!aDMW!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe5806184-02aa-422a-b354-20da654b5007_770x512.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Egypt </strong>has revealed its decades-long museum project aiming to rival the pyramids. After decades of construction, over a billion USD in costs, and years of political instability and revolution, the Grand Egyptian Museum is set to be unveiled this week. The museum will house more than 100,000 ancient artifacts spanning the entire 5,000-year history of Egypt.</p><p>Heralded as the &#8216;fourth pyramid&#8217; of the Giza Plateau, the museum&#8217;s design evokes the original pyramids. The vast complex will include smaller museums, parks, conference centres, and commercial zones. Visitors enter through a massive statue of Ramses II, then proceed through galleries showcasing the dynasties of Egypt. The largest collection is the Tutankhamun gallery, which includes his tomb, masks, chariots, and other artefacts discovered in the Valley of the Kings.</p><p>The museum itself is among the largest in the world, covering nearly 500,000 square feet&#8212;ranking behind only five other museums globally. It forms part of the Egyptian government&#8217;s multifaceted strategy to transform the country into a hub of global commerce, technology, and culture. Tourism is a major sector in Egypt, contributing 8% of the nation&#8217;s GDP in 2024. Egypt is aiming to become the next Dubai or Abu Dhabi, launching mega-projects nationwide to leverage its history and wealth. However, international and regional instability, corruption, and soaring costs have made these proposals extremely challenging.</p><p><em>Will the newly opened Grand Egyptian Museum be a success, bringing in more tourists and wealth to the nation? Could it inspire other countries to pursue similar projects?</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>5&#65039;&#8419; &#8216;Eight dead and more than a million displaced after super typhoon Fung-wong slams the Philippines&#8217; - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/nov/10/super-typhoon-fung-wong-philippines</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VitT!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9300b3a-2494-439f-9fbb-26a9b7a59987_1240x992.avif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VitT!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_424, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9300b3a-2494-439f-9fbb-26a9b7a59987_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VitT!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9300b3a-2494-439f-9fbb-26a9b7a59987_1240x992.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VitT!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9300b3a-2494-439f-9fbb-26a9b7a59987_1240x992.avif 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VitT!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9300b3a-2494-439f-9fbb-26a9b7a59987_1240x992.avif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VitT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9300b3a-2494-439f-9fbb-26a9b7a59987_1240x992.avif" width="1240" height="992" 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/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9300b3a-2494-439f-9fbb-26a9b7a59987_1240x992.avif 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VitT!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_848, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9300b3a-2494-439f-9fbb-26a9b7a59987_1240x992.avif 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VitT!, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9300b3a-2494-439f-9fbb-26a9b7a59987_1240x992.avif 1272w, 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8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>The Philippines</strong> faces another devastating typhoon, tearing through a nation that has already braced for multiple disasters this week. More than 1.4 million residents have been forced to evacuate following the devastation caused by Typhoon Fung&#8209;wong. At least eight people have been killed, with many more missing. The tropical storm is set to sweep across two-thirds of the Philippines with flooding, rain, and winds already uprooting communities. Disaster is apparent across the islands as the typhoon exacerbates existing vulnerabilities and spawns further calamity.</p><p>Just last week, Typhoon Kalmaegi battered the Philippines, killing hundreds and leaving many missing. The country&#8217;s already strained infrastructure has been pushed to the limit: evacuation centres are at full capacity and power grids are collapsing. Fung-wong &#8212; originally projected to be a mega-typhoon &#8212; is among the strongest to hit the islands in decades. The storm is expected to cover much of the southeast Pacific region, with landfall forecasts pointing to Taiwan and Vietnam this week.</p><p>Fung-wong is the 21st storm to strike the Philippines in 2025 alone, marking roughly a 100% increase in frequency over the last 20 years. Scientists attribute this uptick largely to anthropogenic climate change, which increases disaster intensity and frequency. Storms in the Philippines cause an estimated $3.5 billion in damages annually, and protection projects thus far have failed to yield sustainable results.</p><p><em>Is there a viable way for a nation like the Philippines to defend against ever-increasing climate attacks? Or are the costs simply too great to bear?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">What You Missed is a reader-supported publication. To receive weekly geopolitical news and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Below, vote on the articles you would most like me to cover in-depth, and feel free to comment with any questions or remarks you have!</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:403680}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-november-10-2025?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/ryanbdresden.substack.com/p/what-you-missed-november-10-2025?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><div><hr></div><blockquote><p>Photo Credits:</p></blockquote><ol><li><p>Although no Benin Bronzes will be on display, other African treasures are on show. [Stephen Tayo, The New York Times]</p></li><li><p>A photo shared by the Civil Protection force in Vaud canton shows beds set up in a shelter. Swiss regulations state the outer shell of a bunker must be made from reinforced concrete with blast doors, ventilation systems, emergency exits and air locks designed to withstand nuclear, biological or chemical weapons. [Dimitri Gusarov, SSCM]</p></li><li><p>Ms. Sheinbaum has created a new pension program for women and successfully pushed Congress to change the constitution to enshrine pay equality. [Marian Carrasquero, The New York Times]</p></li><li><p>Visitors walk past ancient Egyptian statues along the grand staircase at the Grand Egyptian Museum during partial trial operation on October 15, 2024 [Sayed Hassan, Getty Images]</p></li><li><p>Floodwaters triggered by typhoon Fung-wong hit Catanduanes province, the Philippines on 9 Nov, 2025. [Xinhua, Shutterstock]<br></p></li></ol>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>