Nearly everyone in USL1 decided to share the points last week, which was great for every game astoundingly going BTTS - Yes scorelines. In the USLC, only two of the games last weekend ended in a draw. We end August with another step towards the playoff races for both leagues. Outside of USL, European leagues are back in full fixtures, MLS is as unpredictable as ever, NASCAR’s regular season finale at Daytona is Saturday night, and college football week zero is here! It’s a full sports weekend, let’s make it a great one ahead!

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, August 28.

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USLC: Pittsburgh draw no bet (1.80), Pittsburgh to score first (1.90), Indy Eleven v Louisville BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.95), Lexington v Las Vegas First half draw (2.37), Lexington ML (1.57), Rhode Island to score first (1.40), Birmingham v Jacksonville BTTS - Yes (1.80), Jacksonville first half win or draw (1.72), Colorado Springs v El Paso Draw at halftime (2.30), Charleston first half ML (1.83), Charleston v Miami Over 2.5 total goals (1.57), Charleston -1.5 spread (2.10)

USL1: Portland to score first, Richmond win or draw (5.00), Draw result (3.50), Richmond 1-1 Portland scoreline wager (7.50), Spokane ML (1.66), AV Alta v Naples Over 2.5 total goals (1.72)

Parlays: New Mexico win or draw, El Paso win or draw (3.25), Richmond win or draw, Westchester win or draw (2.76)

Beyond USL: Brentford to score first (1.83), Kashima Antlers ML (1.72), Arbroath ML (2.10), Ross County ML (1.66), Raith Rovers ML (1.85), Over 2.5 total goals, Over 1.5 Liverpool team goals (1.75), Chelsea ML (1.85), Charlotte ML (1.80), Chicago win or draw, BTTS - Yes (1.75), Nashville ML (1.70), Hany Mukhtar (NSH) goal or assist (1.72), Cavalry, Forge ML parlay (1.87), PSG win or draw, BTTS - Yes (1.80), Inter Milan, Juventus ML parlay (1.74), Norris podium finish (1.33), Mercedes double podium finish (2.10), Under 18.5 classified drivers (2.10), Top Chevy: Kyle Larson (3.40), Top Ford: Ryan Blaney (2.45), Christopher Bell top five (1.95), Ryan Blaney top five (1.86), Denny Hamlin top ten (1.44), Kyle Larson top ten (1.74), Chase Elliott H2H v William Byron (1.86), Ryan Blaney outright win (5.50) Bell or Blaney either to win (2.90)

USL Championship

Pittsburgh v Tampa Bay

2.75 - 3.20 - 2.25

Fresh off defeats for both teams in their most recent match, we start our USLC Saturday with the defending champion, Pittsburgh Riverhounds, hosting the current league favorite (though maybe we should be taking Pittsburgh more seriously as per John Morrissey…), Tampa Bay Rowdies. Last week, the Rowdies lost 1-0 away at Detroit, the first time Tampa Bay had been on the losing end of a “win to nil” scoreline since June 13th and first time on the road since October 2025. The Rowdies now visit a stadium they have not won at since June 2022 (since Jurassic World Dominion (2022) was in theaters), although Tampa Bay has beaten Pittsburgh in their last two meetings. The Riverhounds lost a match on Wednesday away at El Paso where they nearly escaped with a draw only to concede the losing goal at 90+3’ for their first loss since July 29th.

A defeat for either team in this match would not have me sounding the panic alarm yet for either side, Tampa Bay has not lost back-to-back games since May 2025, and while Pittsburgh lost back-to-back home games as recently as July of this season, I still believe in the mystique of FNB Stadium being a fortress for the Riverhounds. These two sides are below 50% hit rate in BTTS - Yes scorelines, so that wager is one I believe we should tail, while also keeping this match low-scoring (Pittsburgh matches are averaging 2.18 total goals per game). With just one halftime in their last 16 games where they have trailed at the break, I do think Pittsburgh gets the halftime result, but do you believe in this Rowdies team to walk out of this ground with a draw at minimum for the first time since April 2024?

Bet 1: BTTS - No (1.83)

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals (1.75)

Bet 3: Pittsburgh win or draw halftime, Pittsburgh win or draw fulltime (1.72)

Brooklyn v Jacksonville

1.66 - 3.80 - 3.90

Just like that, the race for the wooden spoon is on! It’s been a tough year for both of the league’s expansion teams as they sit #12 and #13 in the East, for Brooklyn and Jacksonville respectively. For Brooklyn, it’s now losses in their last four games having been shutout in three of those games, while also going winless in their last five games (the fifth game being a 2-2 draw with Jacksonville). Sporting Jax has been on the losing end of 14 games this season, but managed to put their second win on the board last week with a massive 3-2 win over Birmingham off of a Danny Wilson goal at 90+11’ on the clock! While it is likely time to put to bed any playoff chances for both of these teams, there is still pride to play for and waiting to avoid the wooden spoon for these teams’ third meeting of the season. The previous two games were 2-2 draws, but as we move to Brooklyn for this match, does the venue possibly impact how this match goes?

I think at minimum, we have to do BTTS - Yes and Over 2.5 total goals for this game, but would I be crazy in wanting to back Jacksonville in this match? Could certainly see them getting the opening goal and in three of their last five games played, they’ve been leading or tied at halftime. Just this once, let’s see if Sporting Jax can come through for us in a fulltime results wager.

Bet 1: BTTS, Over 2.5 total goals (1.90)

Bet 2: Jacksonville win or draw halftime, Jacksonville win or draw fulltime (2.30)

Possible scoreline sprinkle, Brooklyn 2-2 Jacksonville (13.00)

Hartford v Birmingham

1.85 - 3.40 - 3.60

If you’re Birmingham, these last two weeks has to feel like rock bottom of the season. Two weeks in a row where Legion have not only scored first ultimately to lose, but conceded that losing goal deep into 90+’ stoppage time. For Birmingham already seven points out of a playoff spot, behind their opponents this weekend, it’s starting to look like time is running out. Hartford sat idle last weekend, almost to their own chagrin as they find themselves coming into excellent form with two massive wins, one in the Cup over Charlotte, and one in the league over Miami (the latter of which where they scored first in a league match for the first time since June 13th). While a win this weekend for Hartford wouldn’t entirely close the door on the playoff race in the East, it could very well create a sizable gap over teams ninth place and lower in the conference. Not to mention that Hartford have not lost any of their last five games played against Birmingham, I feel like I have to take the hosts to get the result in this match—particularly if Birmingham are going to keep feeling the effects of these demoralizing defeats into this weekend.

Bet 1: Hartford ML (1.85)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes (1.61)

Lexington v Colorado Springs

2.10 - 3.40 - 2.87

I believe the Lexington lesson for the team this year is to fade them on the road and to back them at home, as the Kentucky side lost midweek to New Mexico, confirming two defeats in their last two road games. But Lexington at home is another team it feels, having won their last four home games, a record that bodes well considering their opponents, Colorado Springs, have just two wins away from home this season and none since June 20th. The Switchbacks also enter this match with just one win their last five games played in the league (with four defeats in the other matches). Keeping this one very simple until Colorado Springs can show me something else on the road, but backing Lexington with the win and to score some goals for themselves.

Bet 1: Lexington ML, Over 1.5 total goals (2.62)

Bet 2: Lexington to score first, Lexington over 1.5 team goals (2.62)

Louisville v Detroit

1.70 - 3.60 - 4.20

Had Louisville won the derby last week, this could’ve been a fun matchup for a possible fight for second place in the East (it’s going to be Charleston ultimately is it…?). Louisville lost to Indy Eleven last week for the first time in the derby since August 2022, and it’s dropped them from the current top four in the East. Detroit meanwhile has thrown their hat into the ring for the second seed in the conference as they picked up a massive 1-0 win over East leaders Tampa Bay last weekend. Now, DCFC return to the site of their upset win in the playoffs last season where they knocked out Players Shield Winning Louisville City in the first round. Detroit are actually unbeaten inside 90’ in the three previous matches against Louisville and have been a real thorn in the side of the Kentucky club on frequent occasions.

However, Lynn Family Stadium remains an elusively tough place to play for Detroit, as their playoff victory in November of last year was the lone victory they have pulled off in this venue. Detroit do enter this game with a streak of their last four road matches having gone unbeaten, while Louisville’s last four home games have been unbeaten themselves. Both sides are capable of walking away with three points from this match, but I see this being a tense affair that ends in a scoring draw.

Bet 1: Draw (3.60)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes (1.83)

Oakland v Orange County

1.85 - 3.40 - 3.50

Is Orange County okay? Never mind the club has lost their lead atop the Western Conference after their surprising 5-1 loss to Tulsa last week, OCSC has now lost three consecutive games in the league for the first time since August 2024. A wobble has now risked turning into a full collapse if Orange County cannot get a result out of this weekend’s game. Oakland managed to stop their seven match winless run last week with a win over San Antonio (who have been struggling just like Orange County, themselves as of late). It’s brought the Roots just three points behind the final playoff spot in the West, can this latest win possibly propel Ryan Martin’s Oakland team further up the table and possibly make a late charge for a playoff spot in these final weeks of the season?

If that is to happen, Oakland will need to get their first win over Orange County since April 2025. Orange County has also won their last two visits to the Coliseum, including a 1-0 win over the Roots back in March of this year. During this three match losing streak by Orange County, they have conceded the opening goal in each game, and have been behind at halftime of those three defeats as well. That being said, Oakland’s first goal percentage of just 32% is the second lowest in the conference, and the Roots have won a halftime scoreline just once in their last 15 games played. Which of these two clubs can help the other one out of their respective ruts of form, or will they just cancel each other out?

Bet 1: Draw (3.40)

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals (2.00)

Tulsa v Rhode Island

2.70 - 3.10 - 2.37

Where did that performance come from Tulsa? In their last seven games, Tulsa failed to score multiple goals, including getting shutout three of those games (two of which were leading into their latest match). That latest match was a huge 5-1 win over at the time, the Western Conference leaders away at Orange County. It was the first time since August 2025 that Tulsa scored five goals in a match, and it was their biggest ever win over Orange County since May 2017—or when Guardians of the Galaxy vol. 2 (2017) was in theaters (the best Guardians of the Galaxy film in my opinion I may add…). For Rhode Island, they rebounded from their defeat against Tampa Bay with a resounding 3-1 win over Monterey Bay last weekend, their highest scoring game since June 13th. While Tulsa remain competitive for not just a home playoff game, but the Western Conference #1 seed, Rhode Island are looking for a result that can help provide more cushion to the playoff cutline in the East.

In nine road games played in the league this year, none of them have finished as a draw for Rhode Island. Tulsa’s last four home games have featured BTTS - No scorelines in each of them, each one also going under 2.5 total goals. Despite the previous games for both teams having plenty of goals to them, I imagine this match comes back to reality for each side. Take this one to be low-scoring, but the opening goal of this match might be all this match needs for a winner.

Bet 1: Under 2.5 total goals, Tulsa or Rhode Island to win double chance (2.87)

El Paso v Loudoun

1.60 - 3.75 - 4.33

It’s the Phil Baki derby! And what a time to be entering this match if you are the El Paso Locomotive, winners of five in a row in the league (with four clean sheet wins in that time). It’s moved El Paso into a fight for the #1 seed in the West alongside New Mexico—coincidentally, both El Paso and New Mexico will play each other on the final day of the season. Locomotive are the league’s hottest team while Loudoun are unbeaten in five of their last six games (and have clean sheets in four of those games). Is the ‘LADS protocol’ in effect for this one, surely an in-form El Paso team cannot be losing this match to a, still tough to beat, Loudoun side if they seriously want to be fighting for the #1 seed in the West. El Paso has won each of their two previous visits to Loudoun, and Loudoun has just one win at home this season—though with eight draws.

I think the move to play is picking El Paso as the more likely to get the result, but I don’t want to completely write off a very challenging Loudoun side in this match. I do think it will be a close affair this game, but the angle to play as of late has been Locomotive and I feel I have to follow that thread.

Bet 1: El Paso ML (1.60)

Bet 2: Draw halftime wager (2.37)

Bet 3: BTTS - No, Under 2.5 total goals (2.75)

New Mexico v San Antonio

2.10 - 3.25 - 3.00

When these sides met in March, their seasons seemed to be going in opposite directions. Remember, New Mexico lost had lost three of their first five games while San Antonio opened the year with three wins from their first five games (and were unbeaten in 11 of their first 12 played). Now, I am all in on New Mexico, winners of seven of their last eight games—and unbeaten in their last eleven games. Meanwhile, San Antonio seems like are reaching a point to stop backing them as they made it two consecutive defeats with a loss last week to Oakland (another shutout defeat too). San Antonio had not lost back-to-back games since October of last year, and now they have to venture to a ground where New Mexico have won five of their last six home games (and San Antonio has not won at since 2023).

While New Mexico ML is my pick, alongside scoring the opening goal (which has happened in eight of the last eleven games for New Mexico), some of the other bets of this match is tougher to call. Despite also being unbeaten at halftime of these last eleven games they hadn’t lost at fulltime, New Mexico has only been ahead at the break just three times in their last eleven games. But as I am fully fading San Antonio of late, perhaps it’s worth betting on the visitors not to score in this match as well. A few wagers offered.

Bet 1: New Mexico ML, New Mexico win or draw halftime (2.20)

Bet 2: New Mexico to score first, New Mexico over 1.5 team goals (2.62)

Bet 3: New Mexico win to nil (3.75)

Monterey Bay v Sacramento

3.50 - 3.30 - 1.90

What looked like a righting of the ship in June, has turned back into a frustrating stretch of results in July and August for Monterey Bay. Eight games since their last win in the league, and while they have scored in six of those games, three of which having scored multiple goals, the defense has been porous. MBFC has been outscored 18-9 in each of the eight games since their last win. Sacramento have gone unbeaten in their last three games played and have just one defeat in their last seven matches played. Despite this run of form, Republic sit just three points above the playoff cutline in the West, but are within a match of the home playoff spots—a testament to how congested the West is at the moment. I am completely fading Monterey Bay in recent weeks and while their scoring record of late this season is notable, and the fact that they have scored in their last three games against Sacramento, I can’t trust this MBFC team right now. Republic are looking for their first win away at Monterey Bay since June 2024, but I think they have the better side to keep Monterey Bay out of the back of the net multiple times and get the result for themselves.

Bet 1: Sacramento ML, Monterey Bay under 1.5 team goals (2.05)

Bet 2: Sacramento win or draw halftime, Sacramento to score first (1.70)

Las Vegas v Charleston

3.00 - 3.50 - 2.05

There we go Charleston, that’s a performance I was hoping to find from you as of late. The Battery have marked the Summer with numerous high-scoring victories and while they had to wait until Monday for their latest one, a 5-0 win over Miami, it’s a much better showing than their 3-1 defeat to Pittsburgh tough weeks ago. It’s put the Battery back into the driver’s seat for second in the East at the moment. For Las Vegas, their six-match long unbeaten run reached an end last week against Lexington, a result we had picked as well. Many in the West might very well have eyes on this match as the Lights currently hold the final playoff spot in the conference and as they face a Charleston team they have not beaten since April 2022 (and lost 6-0 in April 2024 when last these clubs faced), it could very well become an opportunity for the playoff race in the West to be shaken up with a possible Lights defeat. Las Vegas are still unbeaten in their last three home games and Charleston have just one win in their last four road games, but perhaps I am just riding the high of the Battery’s latest performance that I have to back the South Carolina club in this one…but don’t expect Las Vegas to roll over so easily this time around.

Bet 1: Charleston win or draw halftime, Charleston win or draw fulltime (1.44)

Bet 2: Charleston to score first, Over 1.5 total goals (2.05)

Phoenix v Indy Eleven

1.83 - 3.50 - 3.50

It’s the John Morrissey derby! Off the back of their massive derby day win over Louisville, Indy Eleven make the trip to the desert to take on Phoenix Rising. A late Ihsan Sacko goal from Rising rescued a draw against Sacramento last week and keeps them within a match of the Western Conference playoff line. For Indy Eleven, who are now six points clear of ninth in the East, another result this weekend can mark a crucial step towards securing the club’s first playoff berth since 2024. To Indy’s benefit historically, they have yet to lose Phoenix on two previous meetings, needing come from behind goals to rescue the result in each of those games. While Indy Eleven has scored the opening goal in each of their last three games played, another match on the road has me a bit concerned for the Indiana club (who needed a 90+2’ own goal against Jacksonville two weeks ago to secure their first ever road win on the season, in August…). Phoenix are unbeaten in their last three home games, scoring first in two of them. Rising’s match last week against Sacramento actually ended a nine game run of Phoenix matches being tied at halftime while Indy Eleven are unbeaten at halftime of their last three games played.

If this game was on neutral site, I think Indy Eleven are the better team here based on current form, but the venue has to play a role here given how poor Indy Eleven have been on the road this season. Phoenix’s home record has been good, only two defeats in ten home games this season, but it could be much better. Might be the toughest game to call on paper this weekend so probably a fulltime result to avoid betting. But I think there are still goals to be found here.

Bet 1: Draw at halftime (2.25)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes ( 1.66)

USL1

Charlotte v AV Alta

1.48 - 4.33 - 5.25

Get your USL1 weekend started with Charlotte v AV Alta tonight! The Independence, unbeaten in their last five games played in the league, can put more pressure on league leaders Union Omaha, with a win in this match (a loss very likely means we can begin adding Omaha’s name to the Shield once more). AV Alta were one of the few teams involved in a game last week that did not result in a draw, as they were on the losing side of a match against Naples. AV Alta has now lost four of their last five games played, and allowed the opening goal in three of those four defeats. It’s become a bit of worry for the visitors, as they now sit just two points above the playoff cutline with Corpus Christi and Fort Wayne (the latter with four matches in hand) close behind them in the table.

With AV Alta well out of form, and Charlotte playing at home as the league’s best team as per points won in home games in USL1, have to side with the hosts to get the win in this one. Let’s make it a few bets on this match.

Bet 1: Charlotte ML (1.48)

Bet 2: Charlotte HT/FT, Over 2.5 total goals (2.70)

Chattanooga v Boise

2.80 - 3.40 - 2.20

Just above AV Alta in the table sit Chattanooga and Boise, who face off in the first match on Saturday night. The winner of this game very likely puts themselves in a much more comfortable spot to reach the postseason, especially if the Red Wolves can put together a win given their matches in hand over the rest of the playoff field save for Spokane and Fort Wayne. Despite the 2-1 halftime lead last week against the NY Cosmos, Chattanooga had to settle for a draw while Boise came back from 2-0 down to tie Knoxville 2-2 with the tying goal coming in 83’ played. Boise has been in better form of these two sides, picking up a result in six of their last seven games played (and in three of their last four road games played). For Chattanooga, it’s just one win in their last five games played and they really let three points slip away from them in that match.

I think Boise very well has a good chance at getting a result out of this match, and can do so in a high-scoring fashion as the last five games for Chattanooga and four of the last five games for Boise, all went over 2.5 total goals. Backing the visitors in this one.

Bet: Boise win or draw, over 2.5 total goals (2.50)

Greenville v Naples

2.05 - 3.40 - 3.00

Are Naples back? Only six points behind the playoff cutline in USL1 as they have now won three of their last four games after beating Omaha on Wednesday this week. After losing seven games in a row in the league that resulted in a coaching change, Naples have quietly been finding their form again and while it may come up short for an ultimate playoff appearance, this turnaround has been welcomed. Greenville enter this match with no wins in any of their last five games played, though they have scored in four of those games—and scored the opening goal in two of them. Defense has been the issue for the Triumph, who have not kept a clean sheet since July 8th, eight matches ago in the league. If Naples are able to find a goal, that might be enough to see a result out for the visitors—especially considering that Naples have won the last two games they’ve played against Greenville. I think this will be another match where the opening goal will be massive, and Naples has not scored first in any of their last six road games. Going to hesitantly take Greenville to get the scoring started tomorrow, but I think Naples can possibly find a result from this one, I’m just not entirely confident enough to parlay both.

Bet 1: Greenville to score first (1.80)

Bet 2: Naples draw no bet (2.25)

Portland v Fort Wayne

2.40 - 3.60 - 2.40

Last week represented the fifth time in a row that Portland scored the opening goal only to ultimately drop the points in the end, it was a result we had predicted as well—a very “2025 Westchester” like play to this year’s Portland team which will likely be the reason that Hearts of Pine find themselves out of the playoffs. The idle could not have come at a better time for Fort Wayne though who had lost their last four games played prior to their week off last week. This match now begins an absolute sprint to the finish for Fort Wayne, who have the most games in hand over any other team in the league bar Spokane and Chattanooga, at the moment. I believe momentum will be huge for Fort Wayne in determining if they can make it into the playoffs, and they’ll want to start that quest for the postseason with a good result.

For as great of an atmosphere that Fitzpatrick Stadium is, Portland having the worst home record in USL1 play this season is extremely disappointing to the Hearts faithful I’m sure. I do believe Portland can continue their streak of getting the opening goal in matches, but I am not sure I totally believe in this struggling Fort Wayne team right now to get their first road win since June 20th. But I’ll keep doing this wager until Portland can convert an opening lead into a win.

Bet: Portland to score first, Fort Wayne win or draw (4.75)

Richmond v Madison

3.30 - 3.70 - 1.85

The last ‘Henny Derby’ of the season as Madison makes the trip to City Stadium looking to do the double over Richmond after already beating the Kickers 4-0 back in July. With just one defeat in their last 12 games played in the league and already a five point gap to fifth in the league for a home playoff spot, I think we can start penciling in Madison for a top four finish in the regular season and preparing Breese Stevens Field for a home playoff game. Still, this derby is quite meaningful as Madison has won three of the last four meetings against Richmond, but it was a 5-1 win for the Kickers the last time Madison was away at this ground. Derbies can produce the most hard to predict results just for the emotions on both sides—see Indy Eleven getting their first win over Louisville in quite some time last week—and perhaps that is the chance that Richmond need for this game.

June 2023 was the last time Madison had shutout Richmond at City Stadium, so if you can take a BTTS - Yes wager, I’d bet it for this one. Just one of the last six meetings of these two teams went under 2.5 total goals as well, so this is a match to tune in for if you’re a neutral and looking for a good contest. These odds are enticing enough for me to pick Madison ML, and over 2.5 total goals, but perhaps Madison DNB is a bit safer.

Bet 1: Madison ML (1.85)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals (1.65)

Westchester v Spokane

No odds as of writing

Just like Chattanooga and Fort Wayne, Spokane have some matches in hand over the rest of the league which they can certainly use to propel themselves into the postseason—especially as the Velocity have wins in four of their last five games in the league. But don’t count out Westchester so easily, as the New York club has just one defeat in their last six games played (and has scored multiple goals in four of those six games, though being shutout in the other two). It does worry me a bit that Spokane on the road in the league this season has just one win and have scored just four goals while conceding eleven (across just seven road games played though). In fact, nine of their final twelve games played are on the road for Spokane. This end of year travel, already from a rather remote destination in the league like Spokane, is not making for an ideal slate of fixtures. Westchester have won four of their last five home games, and scored at least three goals in each of those four wins as well. I believe coupled with the travel Spokane are facing, and how adept Westchester has been at home of late, I’m going to back the hosts in this match, and for another high-scoring showcase for the fans in Mount Vernon.

Bet: Westchester ML, Over 2.5 total goals

Omaha v NY Cosmos

1.33 - 5.00 - 6.50

Omaha saw their seven match unbeaten run reach an end on Wednesday as they lost 2-0 to Naples away. It was the first time Omaha failed to score in a match since June 20th. More importantly, it’s allowed the door to remain open for Charlotte and Madison, both with two games in hand over Omaha, in the Players’ Shield race. Meanwhile, the Cosmos had a hard-fought 3-3 draw with Chattanooga last week to extend their unbeaten run to a third consecutive game, the first time since April that the Cosmos have gone three games without a defeat. Despite all of that preceding this match, this is still a first versus worst meeting for Omaha and the Cosmos respectively and I think being back at home for Omaha will be massive, as the side has not lost at home all season (though the last home game, the 1-1 draw with Sarasota nearly caused a home loss).

Very simple this one for me, Omaha should win, but I am not sure if they will be getting the halftime result as well. Let’s play more for the opening goal and expect the Cosmos to keep this one exciting with scores of their own.

Bet 1: Omaha ML, Omaha to score first (1.50)

Bet 2: Cosmos +1.5 spread (1.975)

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Charlotte, Omaha, Madison ML parlay (3.65)

• Hartford, Sacramento ML parlay (3.51)

• New Mexico, El Paso, Charleston ML parlay (8.61)

BTTS/Goals Parlay:

• Charlotte v AV Alta, Richmond v Madison, Omaha v Boise all over 2.5 total goals (3.23)

• BTTS - Yes: Brooklyn v Jacksonville, Louisville v Detroit, Phoenix v Indy Eleven (4.93)

• BTTS - No: New Mexico v San Antonio, Lexington v Colorado Springs (4.41)

• El Paso v Loudoun, Tulsa v Rhode Island both under 2.5 total goals (3.80)

Underdog Parlay:

• Pittsburgh win or draw, Fort Wayne win or draw, Boise win or draw (2.95)

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USLC Parlay: 13.60

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USL1 Parlay (not including Westchester v Spokane): 2.96

Non-USL Related Bets

Other Soccer:

MLS

• Charlotte draw no bet (2.00)

• LAFC ML (2.00)

• NY Red Bulls v Philadelphia, Toronto v NYCFC BTTS - Yes parlay (2.14)

• Houston, Vancouver ML parlay (2.40)

• Nashville ML (1.80)

• Nashville v Cincinnati BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.80)

• Colorado ML (2.00)

MLS Player Props

• Pep Biel (CLT) goal or assist (1.72)

• Evander Ferreira (CIN) goal or assist (1.72)

• Son Heung-Min (LAFC) ATGS (2.20)

• Robert Lewandkowski (CHI) ATGS (2.00)

• Guilherme Augusto (HOU) ATGS (2.40)

England/Scotland

• Liverpool ML, Coventry v Hull BTTS - Yes parlay (2.62)

• Bournemouth v Everton over 2.5 total goals (1.90)

• Brighton win or draw v Chelsea (1.90)

• Joao Pedro (CHE) goal or assist (1.72)

• Cole Palmer, Joao Pedro, Morgan Rogers (CHE) all 1+ shot on target (2.70)

• Leeds v Brentford and Chelsea v Brighton BTTS - Yes (2.61)

• Leeds draw no bet (1.83)

• Arsenal ML (1.53)

• Tottenham v Newcastle

  • Draw at halftime (2.37)

  • BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.83)

  • Newcastle to score first (2.10)

  • Yoane Wissa and Harvey Barnes (NEW) each 1+ shot on target (2.40)

  • Savio (TOT) ATGS (4.00)

  • Over 10.5 total corners (1.83)

• Middlesbrough v West Brom BTTS - Yes (1.80)

• Blackburn ML (2.50)

• Norwich ML (2.20)

• West Ham ML (1.79)

• Sheffield Wednesday ML (1.79)

• Aberdeen win or draw (1.95)

• Celtic, Hearts ML parlay (2.01)

• St Mirren ML (2.45)

• Kilmarnock v Dundee United and Dundee FC v Hibernian BTTS - Yes (2.69)

• Ayr United ML (1.65)

• Partick Thistle ML, Over 2.5 total goals (2.00)

• Ross County, Hamilton ML parlay (2.00)

Elsewhere (J-League, Europe, Canada)

• Sanfreece Hiroshima ML (1.61)

• Machida Zelvia ML (1.96)

• Kawasaki Frontale ML (1.53)

• Kashima Antlers ML (1.69)

• Vissel Kobe v Cerezo Osaka BTTS - Yes (1.75)

• Urawa Red Diamonds v Yokohama F-Marinos BTTS - Yes (1.80)

• Hoffenheim ML (2.25)

• Bayer Leverkusen, RB Leipzig ML parlay (2.46)

• Freiburg ML (1.90)

• Sevilla v Atletico Madrid BTTS - Yes (1.75)

• Juventus, Inter Milan ML parlay (1.80)

• Fiorentina v Frosinone BTTS - Yes (1.80)

• Paris FC ML (2.05)

• Lyon, Rennes ML parlay (2.08)

• Atletico Ottawa, Forge FC ML parlay (3.08)

• Halifax Wanderers ML (2.10)

Other Sports:

College Football Week Zero

• USC -38.5 (1.86)

• Stanford -4.5 (2.00)

• NC State +4.5 (1.83)

• Memphis +4.5 (1.86)

• Stanford, TCU, Eastern Michigan ML parlay: 2.50

NASCAR - Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway

*Note, as a superspeedway track, Daytona is extremely unpredictable. Take caution (no pun intended) before making these bets.

Manufacturer Plays:

• Top Chevy: William Byron (6.50)

• Top Ford: Austin Cindric (5.50)

• Top Toyota: Chase Briscoe (7.00)

Placement Bets:

• Ryan Blaney top ten finish (1.90)

• Chase Elliott top ten finish (2.10)

• William Byron top ten finish (2.20)

• Denny Hamlin top ten finish (2.20)

• Ty Gibbs top ten finish (3.00)

• Austin Cindric top five finish (3.75)

• Long-shot top ten finish pick: Corey Heim (3.25)

Head-to-Head Bets:

• Chase Briscoe H2H v Alex Bowman (1.68)

• Chase Elliott H2H v Joey Logano (2.10)

• Ty Gibbs H2H v Kyle Larson (2.15)

Outright Win Bets:

• Austin Cindric (15.00)

• Chase Briscoe (21.00)

Final Thoughts

Alex Ashton of LeagueOneUpdater has had some great articles this week previewing the storylines of USL1 that he is following, as well as making the case for and against some MVP contenders for the league. Give each article a read!

I am doing NFL fantasy football again this year with my draft on Saturday night. Planning out my draft strategy has been taking up a good bit of my idle thoughts as of late (drafting 12th out of 14 teams in the first round makes for a brutally tough draft). I’ll share my drafted squad afterwards on Saturday evening…

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USL was all together again last weekend with the return of the USL Super League, as well as the Championship and League One moving towards the dramatic conclusions of their regular seasons entering the final third of their campaigns. As the European football calendar starts again, and the wider sports world all moving into their Fall season schedules, we will have no shortage of options to wager on this weekend! Let’s make it a fun weekend ahead!

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, August 21.

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USLC: Loudoun to score under 0.5 team goals (2.25), Hartford ML (1.72), Hartford v Miami Draw halftime result (2.30), Indy Eleven ML (1.75), Tampa Bay to score first (1.57), Tampa Bay v Rhode Island BTTS - No (2.00), Colorado Springs v Birmingham Draw at halftime (2.40), El Paso to score first (2.10), El Paso win or draw first half (1.40), New Mexico ML (2.05), New Mexico to score first, Under 2.5 total goals (3.75), Louisville to score first (1.61), Las Vegas ML (1.80), Sacramento v Lexington Halftime Draw (2.10), Sacramento v Lexington Under 2.5 total goals (1.75)

USL1: Charlotte -1.0 spread (1.95), Westchester ML (2.05), Westchester to score first (1.72), Fort Wayne v Chattanooga Over 2.5 total goals (1.72),

Parlays: Indy Eleven, Tampa Bay ML parlay (3.00), Las Vegas, New Mexico ML parlay (3.69), BTTS - No parlay: Detroit v Loudoun, Tampa Bay v Rhode Island (3.81), Over 2.5 total goals: Charlotte v Sarasota, Fort Wayne v Chattanooga (2.71), Madison ML, Over 2.5 total goals, Madison halftime ML, Omaha ML, Over 2.5 total goals

Beyond USL: Atlanta v NY Red Bulls, Charlotte v Columbus BTTS - Yes parlay (2.20), Nashville or draw, BTTS - Yes (1.95), Chicago ML, Over 2.5 total goals (1.83), Millwall ML (2.65), Huddersfield, Bradford ML parlay (2.55), Grimsby ML (1.76), Rangers v St Mirren BTTS - Yes (1.90), Alloa ML (2.00), Arsenal to lift trophy (1.80), Machida Zelvia ML (1.86), Sanfreece Hiroshima ML (1.86), Vissel Kobe v FC Tokyo BTTS - Yes (1.90), Kashima Antlers ML (1.81), Calvary ML (2.10), Top Ford: Joey Logano (2.50), Joey Logano top five (2.20), Hamlin or Logano Either to win (3.30), Shane van Gisbergen to beat Daniel Suarez (1.90), Denny Hamlin to beat Christopher Bell (1.83), Chase Elliott to beat William Byron (2.05)

USL Championship

Brooklyn v Pittsburgh

2.62 - 3.25 - 2.40

Both of these teams’ results last week felt massive for their playoff stature. Pittsburgh engineered their first win scoring three goals against Charleston since 2021, keeping the Riverhounds fifth in the table and alive in the hunt for a home playoff game (five points ahead of Indy Eleven who are in sixth). Brooklyn saw a halftime lead slip away to lose 2-1 against Las Vegas last week, making it now three consecutive defeats for the first time since May, and no wins in their last four games (their longest streak since March). While Brooklyn did have a 2-0 win over Pittsburgh on July 4th at FNB Stadium, I am fully off the Brooklyn train at the moment until they can end this losing run—in the league, Brooklyn have not scored a goal at home any of their last three home games (which dates back to May 9th). The Riverhounds look to be the team in better form at the moment and should get the result in this one even if the odds are more forgiving of Brooklyn’s chances.

Bet 1: Pittsburgh draw no bet (1.80)

Bet 2: Pittsburgh to score first (1.90)

Detroit v Tampa Bay

2.75 - 3.20 - 2.37

My USLC match of the weekend, as league leading Tampa Bay visits Keyworth to take on Detroit City. This series has been even across their nine previous meetings, three wins each and three draws. The Rowdies had their win over Detroit on PKs in the first round of the 2024 USL playoffs, but have not won a match away at Keyworth inside 90’ since April 2023 (the only time Detroit was shutout at home by Tampa Bay). Detroit however are looking to avoid three matches at home without a win for the first time since August 2024. In spite of their USL Cup exit last week on PKs to Louisville, Tampa Bay are still unbeaten in their last five games played in the league.

How much do you think it will be a daunting task to go into Keyworth and get a win for the Rowdies I think will drive your wager, as Tampa Bay are yet to lose on the road in the league this season, but Detroit have lost at home only once. I could see this game being a really close affair with the opening goal likely being the team who walks away with the result in this one. A true test for both teams, but a fun watch for us neutrals.

Bet 1: Draw (3.20)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes (1.83)

Bet 3: Tampa Bay to score first (1.90)

Possible scoreline bet: Detroit 1-1 Tampa Bay (6.50)

Indy Eleven v Louisville

3.10 - 3.60 - 2.05

Another fun edition of the LIPAFC is set to occur this weekend, and Louisville enters the match arguably in the most confident form they have been in under Simon Bird, having gone unbeaten in four of their last five games played across all competitions. Last week was massive for Louisville’s morale as they got past Tampa Bay on PKs in the USL Cup and then followed that up with a 3-2 win over West leaders Orange County. For the hosts, I was about ready to find my panic button on Indy Eleven last week prior to their late winning goal against the struggling Sporting Jax (I still might find the panic button for Indy Eleven though). But, Indy Eleven are still a playoff team and Louisville are still in the top four of the East, and anything can happen in a rivalry game.

Indy Eleven will be looking for their first win over Louisville since August 2022 (Top Gun: Maverick (2022) was #1 in theaters at the time). That’s six games in this series Louisville have remained unbeaten against their Indiana neighbors, and Louisville have scored multiple goals in the last five games of this series. Immediately, this game is BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals just for the rivalry sake alone, but I think Louisville are flying too high on confidence at the moment to let a result here slip away, and what a result it would be for Bird and company to get a result in a derby match after last week’s success.

Bet 1: BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.95)

Bet 2: Louisville win or draw halftime, Louisville win or draw fulltime (1.53)

Lexington v Las Vegas

1.57 - 4.00 - 4.75

One of the underrated matches of the weekend as currently outside the playoffs Lexington plays host to a Las Vegas Lights just a point in front of them but crucially inside the playoffs. Lexington saw their four match unbeaten run reach an end last week with a 1-0 defeat on the road against Sacramento, but they return to a venue where Lexington have won their last three home games. Las Vegas has quietly put together an unbeaten run that has hit now six consecutive matches after a come from behind 2-1 win over Brooklyn last week (four wins and two draws in that time, three shutouts as well). This is Las Vegas’ longest unbeaten run since October 2024 (which reached eight games). There are not too many teams the Lights can say they are unbeaten against, but Lexington is one of them with two wins and one draw in their three previous meetings, including two Las Vegas shutouts too.

What will drive this wager is how much you believe the venue plays a role in this fixture as like Lexington’s three game win streak at home, Las Vegas have won their last three road games, scoring the opening goal in their last two. The Western Conference is super congested right now in the table, but the winner of this game will put themselves in an excellent position for the postseason. Maybe against better judgement, but going to fade Las Vegas’ current unbeaten run and back the hosts in this one. But multiple wagers from me on this match.

Bet 1: First half draw (2.37)

Bet 2: Lexington ML (1.57)

Bet 3: BTTS - Yes (1.80)

Loudoun v New Mexico

2.15 - 3.40 - 3.00

New Mexico keeps winning, that’s now wins in their last six games and having gone unbeaten in their last nine games. NMU have also been stellar in defense during this run with five clean sheets to their name, outscoring opponents 16-5 in this time, bringing them to just one point behind Orange County in the West. Despite getting a point away at a tricky Keyworth Stadium last week, Loudoun has not scored in their last two games and remain five points behind the Eastern Conference playoff cutline. I just can’t bring myself to bet against this current New Mexico United run, especially if we are offered such enticing odds as 3.00 ML! Keeping it simple with this one.

Bet: New Mexico ML (3.00)

Charleston v Miami

1.52 - 4.75 - 5.75

Last week did not go to plan for the Charleston Battery, as their trip to Pittsburgh resulted in the club’s heaviest defeat since July 4th, and most goals allowed in a game since April 22nd. The relief this weekend comes in the form of Miami, who have not won any of their last five games in the league, and have not won road match since they beat Jacksonville back in March. While the goals have been there for Miami, having scored in three of these last five games including multiple goals in two of them, the defense has not kept a clean sheet since July 15th. Charleston really need to take advantage of this matchup to maintain their spot as the second best team in the East. Miami with a loss in this match risks falling further behind the playoff line in the East themselves.

Bet 1: Charleston -1.5 spread (2.10)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals (1.57)

Bet 3: Charleston first half ML (1.83)

Rhode Island v Monterey Bay

1.44 - 4.20 - 6.00

I know they took a 2-0 defeat last week, a match we did predict correctly, but I’ve chopped up that loss by Rhode Island as just running into a really good Tampa Bay team. RIFC are still unbeaten in their last five home games in the league, an important stat as they prepare to face a Monterey Bay team with no wins away from home this season. That’s a stat on top of Monterey bay currently on a seven match winless run (though they did stop the a six game losing streak with a 1-1 draw last week). Being back at home, and this fixture being one of the longest road trips in USL to play, I think all of this plays into Rhode Island’s favor. A further angle to play is how many goals you expect to see from this match, as Rhode Island should win this one, while also getting the result at halftime as well. Plenty of wagers on Rhode Island’s fortune in this match.

Bet 1: Rhode Island win to nil (2.50)

Bet 2: BTTS - No, Under 3.5 total goals (2.20)

Bet 3: Rhode Island to score first (1.40)

Birmingham v Jacksonville

1.57 - 4.10 - 4.33

A nominee for our USLC “sickos game of the weekend” as Birmingham plays host to fellow Eastern Conference cellar dweller, Jacksonville. Both sides took defeats in extremely painful fashion last week, conceding the losing goal in 90+’ stoppage time. Jacksonville made it three defeats in a row as an own goal against Indy Eleven saw them lose 1-0. Birmingham with the more painful of the results, as after taking the lead at 85’, they conceded twice in stoppage time at 90+4’ and 90+9’ to ultimately lose to Colorado Springs. How both of these teams react after that result will be interesting, especially as each sides’ playoffs continue to fade—or in Jacksonville’s case, looks finished already.

Sickos games call for a wager of at minimum BTTS - Yes, but I actually think we could see an angle playing on Jacksonville to get a result in the first half, as Birmingham have not won any of their last six game first halves played. But I would not go any further on Sporting Jax in the results wager—even the first half double chance wager is more of a punt. Birmingham should be winning this game, needs to be winning this game.

Bet 1: BTTS - Yes (1.80)

Bet 2: Jacksonville first half win or draw (1.72)

Bet 3: Birmingham ML (1.57)

Colorado Springs v El Paso

1.70 - 3.70 - 4.20

Having talked about it on previous USL Shows, I just can’t get an accurate week-to-week read on the Colorado Springs Switchbacks. The team is on the edge of the playoff spots in the West and after a loss to Phoenix on Wednesday of this week, has lost three of their last four games. That’s not the form you want to see when a team like Lexington who is unbeaten in four of their last five and Las Vegas unbeaten in their last six games, are pushing the Switchbacks for this playoff spot. For El Paso, the side has won four of their last five games, all in “win to nil” fashion and have won three games in a row for the first time since April. Locomotive have kept a clean sheet streak for the last 298’—or nearly five hours of matchplay (enough time to watch David Fincher’s two best films in my opinion, Fight Club (1999) and Zodiac (2007) with two minutes to spare).

The benefit that exists for Colorado Springs in this match is that they return to Weidner Field where El Paso has not won at since May 2023, and the venue where Colorado Springs has the best home record in the West at the moment having won their last four home games scoring multiple goals in each (though three matches were BTTS - Yes and those three games were also over 2.5 total goals). I think we should be taking BTTS - Yes in this one and it’s really tough to go against Colorado Springs at home this season, but if El Paso can score twice, they might very well have a chance in this one. I’d avoid a fulltime results wager on this one however—though consider that the Switchbacks’ last eight games have been tied at halftime.

Bet 1: BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (2.10)

Bet 2: El Paso to score over 1.5 team goals (3.40)

Bet 3: Draw at halftime (2.30)

San Antonio v Oakland

1.85 - 3.50 - 3.75

It was an uncharacteristically bad defeat for San Antonio last week, though one we saw coming, as they lost 3-0 at home to El Paso. It was their worst ever home loss to El Paso and worst loss since May 2025. Oakland’s result last week, a 1-1 draw with Monterey Bay, was more of the same as the Roots current winless run stretched to a seventh game in the league. While Oakland managed to gain a lead for the first time since June 20th (the date of their last win), it lasted for only 32’ of matchplay last weekend. While I have had doubts about how San Antonio have been playing as of late, they are still in the top four of the Western Conference playoff picture, facing off against an Oakland team who is solidly out of the playoffs at the moment. The Roots have gone unbeaten on their two previous trips to SAFC, but if that streak continues to a third game, it will be through a draw in this match. I think the game tomorrow between these two teams will be low-scoring and I just don’t have the belief in this current Oakland team to get a win.

Bet: San Antonio win or draw, under 2.5 total goals (2.40)

Orange County v Tulsa

2.25 - 3.30 - 2.87

It’s strange that for these longtime Western Conference foes, in their previous matchups, we have only seen one draw, but it’s Orange County with the distinct advantage in record with nine wins to Tulsa’s five. Both sides have lost back-to-back games in the league in their last two matches, first time it’s happened for OC since May 2025, and first time for Tulsa since October 2024. While Orange County still sit atop the West at the moment, that position has been looking more at risk in recent weeks as New Mexico has been hot on their trail and likely will surpass them this weekend. Tulsa meanwhile have tumbled down the table and if results go against them this weekend, could find themselves out of the playoff picture entirely after tomorrow. Having not scored in the last 3.5 hours—or nearly enough time to watch The Irishman (2019)—I am more worried about Tulsa during this losing run than I am Orange County at the moment. Tulsa also has the lowest BTTS - Yes hit rate in the West at the moment as it’s only occurred once in their last five games played. OC should get back to winning ways in this match, but fading Tulsa I believe should be the play here, more than being confident in Orange County.

Bet 1: BTTS - No, Orange County win or draw (3.00)

Bet 2: Halftime draw result (2.10)

Sacramento v Phoenix

1.83 - 3.40 - 3.50

Phoenix needed that win on Wednesday night over Colorado Springs, 3-1, to end a three match winless run. It’s kept Rising within touching distance of the playoffs spots (three points back), as they go on the road to face Sacramento this weekend. Phoenix actually have not won any of their five previous road games played in the league, a boost to a Sacramento team who are unbeaten in their last three home games and have dropped points in just three of their nine home games all season. Republic picked up a 1-0 win over Lexington last week for a fourth consecutive game that saw a BTTS - No scoreline involving Sacramento. In fact, the last three Sacramento home games against Phoenix have been BTTS - No scorelines with Republic scoring exactly two goals in each of these games. I think I have to side with the hosts again on this one and let’s follow the historical trends with a few options of bets for this match.

Bet 1: Sacramento win to nil (3.25)

Bet 2: BTTS - No (1.83)

Bet 3: Correct scoreline wager: Sacramento 2-0 Phoenix (9.00)

USL1

Chattanooga v NY Cosmos

1.53 - 4.00 - 4.75

It’s a first ever meeting for these two sides as Chattanooga returns home after losing to Sarasota midweek to make it now three defeats in their last four games. The Cosmos picked up their first ever road victory on the season with a massive 2-0 win over Corpus Christi on Wednesday night as well. While it’s still left the Cosmos at the foot of the table, the side has won back-to-back games for the first time since April. Chattanooga holds the final playoff spot at the moment, but a loss in this game could very quickly bring Corpus Christi and Fort Wayne back into the conversation the #8 seed. In the nine previous games at CHI Memorial Stadium this season, we’ve yet to see a draw as Chattanooga has won four of their last five games here, each of those four wins being a “win to nil” scoreline. Maybe against judgement because the Cosmos are playing better as of late, their road form still is a bit of a worry. I’m picking Chattanooga to get back to wining ways in this one despite likely tired legs on both sides. Keep it low-scoring however.

Bet 1: Chattanooga ML (1.53)

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals (2.30)

Richmond v Portland

2.62 - 3.50 - 2.25

A team that is back to reality after a brief stint of joy, and another side in utter free fall. For Richmond, after winning two games in a row, it was a 5-1 defeat to Omaha last Sunday to rush the team back to Earth—it was the Kickers worst defeat since July 15th. Portland though might be having a worse run of form of late, no wins in their last six league games having watched another lead and possible three points slip away. Hearts of Pine would be nine points better off in the table (and in a playoff spot) had they held any of these leads that have slipped away in these last six games. But Portland has never lost to Richmond in three previous meetings and won the last two meetings by a combined score of 10-3. If Hearts of Pine can’t find a victory in this game against a struggling all season Richmond team, I might be ready to call time on the season for Portland find my panic button for the team. The odds may favor Portland, but I just don’t have as much faith in this team to get a result here.

Bet 1: Portland to score first, Richmond win or draw (5.00)

Bet 2: Draw result (3.50)

Bet 3: Richmond 1-1 Portland scoreline wager (7.50)

Omaha v Sarasota

1.48 - 4.10 - 5.00

After ending their five match winless run on Wednesday with a 3-2 win over Chattanooga, Sarasota makes it a double matchweek as they travel to take on Omaha. Sarasota actually won the last meeting between these two teams, 2-0 (though that might be more explained by Omaha being in the midst of a three match road streak that saw them lose all three games). Since July 1st, Omaha have gone unbeaten in the league having won five of their last six games including their last four. In each of those four wins, Omaha have scored multiple goals (though have kept one clean sheet), and scored the opening goal in three of those games. Sarasota may have picked up a win on Wednesday, but I can’t bet against Omaha when they are playing like the hottest team in the league right now.

Bet 1: Omaha ML, Omaha to score first (1.66)

Bet 2: Omaha win or draw first half, Over 2.5 total goals (1.83)

Knoxville v Boise

2.25 - 3.40 - 2.62

For the third match in a row, Knoxville were able to get a boost off of late heroics to earn some points as a late tying goal against Portland on Wednesday night saved a point. Every time Knoxville seems like they are out of it, they manage to find a goal to save the match (it’s caused five of their last six games to go BTTS - Yes recently). In those six games, Knoxville have conceded the opening goal on four occasions. Boise had an idle week last week and will look to make it three games unbeaten as they make the trip to Tennessee—it would be the club’s longest unbeaten run since July 25th if they avoid defeat. For 4th hosting 5th in the table, this game could either bring Boise further into the conversation for possibly hosting a home playoff game, or likely slam the door shut on the current top four to start making playoff game hosting plans. I think there is an angle to play on Boise scoring the opening goal here as they have in three of the last four, but I do think Knoxville ultimately gets the result again.

Bet: Boise to score first, Knoxville win or draw (2.37)

Madison v Charlotte

2.00 - 3.60 - 3.00

My pick for the USL1 match of the weekend as Madison plays host to Charlotte, #3 vs #2 in the table, respectively. It’s a fixture with huge playoff implications, and could very well be a preview of a possible postseason matchup this season as each side looks to increase their lead over 5th in the table and hold onto home playoff games. Madison had a controlling 2-1 win over Portland away last week, while Charlotte cruised past Sarasota, both outcomes we had predicted in our picks article last week. Of note, trips to Wisconsin has historically not been great for Charlotte, as they have not won any of their previous visits to Breese Stevens Field since May 2022 (six away games ago). This series has usually seen the home team prevail and given both teams are averaging over 2.5 total goals in games this season, we could be in for an attacking showcase tomorrow night. Going with history and backing the hosts in this match, but Charlotte won’t make it easy, this team might be their best chance at getting a road win over Madison for the first time since Doctor Strange and the Multiverse of Madness (2022) was in theaters.

Bet 1: Madison win or draw, Over 2.5 total goals (2.15)

Bet 2: Madison first half ML (2.50)

Corpus Christi v Westchester

1.83 - 3.50 - 3.40

I was wrong to back Corpus Christi on Wednesday as they fell 2-0 to the NY Cosmos, giving the latter their first road victory of the season. It ended a six match unbeaten run for CCFC and kept them out of possibly spending a few days inside the playoff spots entering this match weekend. After going up 3-0 at halftime last week, Westchester were ultimately able to hold on for a thrilling 3-2 win over Naples, but remain nine perilous points out of the playoff picture. It might be worth a further look in the future, but the playoff spots in USL1 is starting to narrow to just about the top ten teams currently in the table. When last these two teams met, Westchester won 5-1 at home towards the start of the season, but Corpus Christi has hardly been an easy place to visit (CCFC’s last defeat at home not withstanding). After the Cosmos’ win on Wednesday, Westchester is the last remaining team without a road win this season—surely Corpus Christi does not give up two first time road victories on the season in the same week? Maybe it’s worth a sprinkle even though I do think Corpus Christi are the better side…

Bet: Westchester Draw No Bet (2.62)

Spokane v Greenville

1.66 - 3.75 - 4.00

For just the third time all season, Spokane lost a home match last week, falling 3-2 against Corpus Christi (losing on a 90+6’ goal for a gut punch of a result). It’s just the second time Spokane has conceded multiple goals at home this year, and Velocity lost both matches. For Greenville, they nearly had all three points against Knoxville last week only to allow a 90+’ stoppage time goal themselves to settle for a 1-1 draw. To the Triumph’s credit, they’ve only lost one of their last five games, the one match they failed to score in (BTTS - Yes has hit in four of the last five Greenville games). Perhaps there might be an angle to play on Greenville who in three previous trips to Spokane, have not lost any of those matches and even scored first and won the previous two games.

That being said, Greenville are still well out of a playoff spot at the moment while Spokane’s gap over the playoff cutline is now just three points, Velocity need this result much more than their opponents in terms of saving their season. But if you can wager BTTS - Yes, that might be worth a chance.

Bet 1: Spokane ML (1.66)

Bet 2: Greenville halftime win or draw (1.61)

AV Alta v Naples

1.85 - 3.60 - 3.40

While we were right to fade Naples last week, as they lost 3-2 away at Westchester, across the Hudson River, AV Alta let us down with a 1-0 loss away at NY Cosmos. A bit concerning for AV Alta as they have now lost three of their last four games (though each of those three defeats came on the road). As both teams move from the NYC metro area to southern California for this match, AV Alta being back at home where they have lost just once all season in the league, should tip the scales back in their favor. That’s especially taking into account that Naples have just one win on the road all season (which came back in March against Richmond). AV Alta should get the win in this one to get a better hold on their playoff spot, but Naples have scored against AV Alta in all previous meetings and BTTS - Yes is hitting in four of the last five Naples games, so we may see a high-scoring contest between two teams averaging over 2.5 total goals per game.

Bet 1: AV Alta ML (1.85)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals (1.72)

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Charleston, Lexington, Rhode Island, Birmingham ML parlay (5.06)

• San Antonio, Sacramento ML parlay (3.39)

• Chattanooga, Omaha, Spokane ML parlay (3.78)

• Madison, AV Alta ML parlay (3.70)

BTTS/Goals Parlay:

• Over 2.5 total goals parlay: Omaha v Sarasota, Madison v Charlotte, AV Alta v Naples (4.26)

• Under 2.5 total goals parlay: Chattanooga v NY Cosmos, San Antonio v Oakland (4.60)

• BTTS - No parlay: Rhode Island v Monterey Bay, Orange County v Tulsa, Sacramento v Phoenix (6.68)

• BTTS - Yes parlay: Indy Eleven v Louisville, Birmingham v Jacksonville, Colorado Springs v El Paso (4.27)

Underdog Parlay:

• New Mexico win or draw, El Paso win or draw (3.25)

• Richmond win or draw, Westchester win or draw (2.76)

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USLC Parlay: 12.21

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USL1 Parlay: 4.55

Non-USL Related Bets

Other Soccer:

MLS

• Charlotte ML (1.80)

• Cincinnati ML, BTTS - Yes (2.60)

• Chicago win or draw, BTTS - Yes (1.75)

• Nashville ML (1.70)

• San Diego win or draw, BTTS - Yes (1.90)

• San Jose ML (2.15)

• Vancouver, LAFC ML parlay (2.21)

MLS Player Props

• Anders Dreyer (SD) ATGS (1.95)

• Peter Musa (DAL) goal or assist (2.05)

• Hany Mukhtar (NSH) goal or assist (1.72)

• Toklomati (CLT), Saint-Maximin (CLT), Baribo (DC) 1+ shot on target each (2.50)

• Evander Ferreira (CIN) ATGS (1.83)

• Luis Suarez (MIA) to assist (2.75)

England/Scotland

• Manchester United ML, Manchester United over 2.5 team goals (2.30)

• Sunderland ML (2.62)

• Everton v Crystal Palace, Nottingham Forest v Leeds each BTTS - Yes (3.06)

• Brighton v Aston Villa, Manchester City v Bournemouth each BTTS - Yes (2.53)

• Newcastle v Liverpool:

  • Liverpool ML (1.90)

  • Alexander Isak ATGS (1.95)

  • Over 2.5 total goals, Over 1.5 Liverpool team goals (1.75)

• Brentford v Tottenham:

  • BTTS - Yes, Brentford or draw (2.10)

  • Igor Thiago ATGS (2.10)

  • Brentford to score first (1.83)

  • Draw at halftime (2.30)

  • 1-1 final scoreline wager (7.50)

• Chelsea ML (1.85)

• Millwall v Norwich BTTS - Yes (1.72)

• West Ham, Southampton ML parlay (2.09)

• Wrexham ML (1.86)

• West Brom v Burnley BTTS - Yes (1.80)

• Luton, Leicester ML parlay (2.34)

• Dundee United v Dundee FC BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (2.00)

• Arbroath ML (2.10)

• Raith Rovers ML (1.85)

• Queen’s Park v Stenhousemuir BTTS - Yes (1.90)

• Ross County ML (1.66)

Elsewhere (Europe, J-League, Canadian Premier League)

• Real Madrid, Barcelona, Atletico Madrid ML parlay (3.47)

• PSG win or draw, BTTS - Yes (1.80)

• Como ML (1.83)

• Inter Milan, Juventus ML parlay (1.74)

• Cavalry, Forge ML parlay (1.87)

• Inter Toronto v Supra du Quebec BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.72)

• Kashima Antlers ML (1.72)

• Sanfreece Hiroshima ML (1.62)

• Machida Zelvia ML (1.72)

• Yokohama F-Marinos v Vissel Kobe BTTS - Yes (1.80)

Other Sports:

Formula 1 - Dutch Grand Prix from Zandvoort

Note, all picks below are made prior to qualifying.

• Mercedes race winning car (1.95)

• Norris podium finish (1.33)

• Mercedes double podium finish (2.10)

• Under 18.5 classified drivers (2.10)

• Arvid Lindblad points finish (2.00)

• Sergio Perez or Valterri Bottas not to be classified (both are 2.62)

NASCAR - Dollar Tree 301 from New Hampshire Motor Speedway

Manufacturer Plays:

• Top Chevy: Kyle Larson (3.40)

• Top Ford: Ryan Blaney (2.45)

• Top Toyota: Christopher Bell (3.00)

Placement Bets:

• Christopher Bell top five (1.95)

• Ryan Blaney top five (1.86)

• Joey Logano top ten (1.40)

• Denny Hamlin top ten (1.44)

• Bell & Blaney top three finish (7.00)

• Kyle Larson top ten (1.74)

Head-to-Head Bets:

• Kyle Larson H2H v Josh Berry (1.86)

• Chase Elliott H2H v William Byron (1.86)

• Chase Briscoe H2H v Ty Gibbs (1.68)

Outright Win Bets:

• Christopher Bell (5.50)

• Ryan Blaney (5.50)

• Either to win: 2.90

Final Thoughts

The season will have begun earlier today, but I published my 2026/27 Premier League predictions article earlier this week. As usual, I also included one bold prediction for each of the 20 teams for the season ahead. Happy to have the Premier League back on weekend mornings! Tottenham, please don’t let me down again…

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Follow me on Bluesky @ilm-ryan.bsky.social and follow the USL Show, @theUSLshow.bsky.social.

So much in the sports world is happening this weekend! The USL Super League is back—check out John Morrissey’s preview article here—the USLC and USL1 playoff races are heating up. Elsewhere, the English Championship is beginning a new season along with more leagues in Europe and beyond (J-League in Japan on YouTube)! We even have preseason NFL games (don’t bet those…). There’s so much to watch, let’s make it a profitable weekend!

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, August 14.

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USLC: Lexington v Phoenix Draw at halftime (2.30), Charleston ML (1.90), Pittsburgh v Sacramento Draw at halftime, Under 2.5 total goals in game (2.70), Tulsa v Detroit Under 2.5 total goals (1.61), Tulsa v Detroit Draw at halftime (2.00), El Paso v Oakland Under 2.5 total goals (2.20), El Paso win or tie, BTTS - No (3.00), Tampa Bay ML (1.80), Tampa Bay to score first (1.61), Indy Eleven to score first, Under 1.5 Hartford team goals (1.95)

USL1: Omaha draw no bet (2.00), Knoxville to score first (1.53), Knoxville win or draw first half, Knoxville ML (1.66), Boise v Madison Over 2.5 total goals (1.80), AV Alta to score first, AV Alta draw no bet

Parlays: Charleston, Tampa Bay ML parlay (3.43), Under 2.5 total goals: Tulsa v Detroit, Pittsburgh v Sacramento (2.66), Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USL1 Parlay (not including AV Alta v Fort Wayne): 3.21

Beyond USL: Millwall to advance v QPR (1.70), Sheffield United to advance v Mansfield (1.50), West Ham, West Brom, Charlton all to advance (2.25), Raith Rovers ML (1.90), Ross County, Hamilton ML parlay (2.11), Kelty Hearts ML (2.00), Vissel Kobe ML (1.90), FC Tokyo v Machida Zelvida BTTS - Yes (1.95), Kashiwa Reysol, Sanfreece Hiroshima ML parlay (2.17), Tokyo Verdy v Kawasaki Frontale BTTS - Yes (1.90), Rays ML (2.03), Top Ford: Ryan Blaney (1.80), Ryan Blaney top five (1.71), Ty Gibbs top ten (1.76), Chase Briscoe to beat William Byron (1.76)

USL Championship

Detroit v Loudoun

1.53 - 3.90 - 5.25

I had completely missed this development in recent weeks, but Detroit are now currently part of a four-way tie for the second best defense in the USLC at the moment with just 17 goals conceded (alongside Hartford, New Mexico, Tulsa) and behind Sacramento with 16 goals allowed. That’s coming off a 1-0 win away at Tulsa last week as well, Detroit’s first win to nil result away from home since November of last season. Not to get ahead of myself, but I think Detroit fans can start planning for a home playoff game at Keyworth this season. On the opposite side is Loudoun who find themselves still chasing a playoff spot, currently four points behind 8th in the East. They took a 1-0 home defeat last week to Charleston in a match where they outshot the Battery 13-6.

In a weird streak of this series, Loudoun has scored in each of their four previous visits to Keyworth all-time, including winning their last trip here in October 2025 (with two defeats and one draw prior to that win), so this can be a team unswayed by the Detroit home atmosphere. However, Detroit having lost last time at home I believe will motivate this team to get all three points and avoid losing consecutive home games for the first time since September 2025. But can Loudoun find a goal in this one to keep their scoring at Keyworth streak alive?

Bet 1: Detroit ML (1.53)

Bet 2: Loudoun to score under 0.5 team goals (2.25)

Hartford v Miami

1.72 - 3.50 - 3.90

Sometimes you just need a Cup match to get a team back on track, and that was what happened for one of the teams here, but not the other. Hartford benefited from their USL Cup quarterfinals match on Wednesday with a resounding 4-2 win over Charlotte on Wednesday—ending a four match winless run since their last win in all competitions and was Hartford’s highest scoring match since June 6th. For a team who had only scored multiple goals twice in the last nine games prior to Wednesday, that match was much needed for Hartford. The same couldn’t be said about Miami however who, despite the red cards to both sides, lost 2-1 against San Antonio in their USL Cup quarterfinals game. What initially looked like a good start to July (unbeaten in three games), has now given way to a poor run of form since then for Miami (no wins in their last five games across all competitions).

Both sides here are still in the midst of a playoff struggle as Miami occupies 8th in the table to Hartford’s 9th, this match could very well be the difference maker come October. Miami has not beaten Hartford since September 2023, and it was August of that year the last time they won away at Hartford. However, Hartford has just one win at home this season (and five draws), compared to Miami’s one road victory this season. This match really needs to be a win for Hartford if they are to be a serious playoff team and I think they do get all three points here as the woes for Miami deepen, but this might not be the most appealing match to watch on the weekend.

Bet 1: Hartford ML (1.72)

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals (2.10)

Bet 3: Draw halftime result 92.30)

Pittsburgh v Charleston

2.50 - 3.10 - 2.50

In this 29th meeting of these long-time USL foes, Charleston are looking for their first time winning consecutive games away at Pittsburgh in the last 12 years at least. Pittsburgh’s last four games have all been low-scoring (no more than 1.5 total goals), BTTS - No scorelines, which has seen the Riverhounds shutout three times and only win one of those four games. For Charleston, they may have been held much lower-scoring than I would have expected against Loudoun (though still won 1-0), but are searching for their first three game winning streak June. While this has been a tough place to visit in the past, Pittsburgh have not won any of their previous three home games, failing to score in each of them. A Charleston victory would undoubtedly create a gap between the Battery in second and the Riverhounds in fifth for the home playoff spots. But I do think this game goes with another low-scoring contest.

Bet 1: Charleston win or draw, Under 2.5 total goals (2.30)

Bet 2: BTTS - No (1.83)

Jacksonville v Indy Eleven

3.70 - 3.60 - 1.75

We’ve had plenty of success in fading Jacksonville all season that it was strange to not include them in our bets against last week due to the club sitting idle—and a break might have been needed after a 5-0 loss to Sacramento on August 1st in their last game. Jacksonville will be hoping to avoid a three game losing streak for the first time since June, as they prepare to face an Indy Eleven team winless in their last five games. While Indy Eleven managed to end a four match losing run last week with a 1-1 draw against Hartford, this form has been enough for me to keep wanting to fade the Indiana club in recent weeks. That fade is particularly prudent when Indy Eleven play on the road as they have not won any of their eight road games this season (a record only better than Monterey Bay and Jacksonville themselves who have not won any of their 10 road games this year).

However, Jacksonville are the league’s worst team by a fair margin, and are still woeful at home (though their home record is nearer some fellow Eastern Conference teams). Jacksonville have allowed a whopping 28 goals at home across nine home games. Only once in the league this season has a team visited Jacksonville and scored just one goal (Tampa Bay weirdly), so Indy Eleven really need to not only win their first road match of the season, but do so in style.

Bet 1: Indy Eleven ML (1.75)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.95)

Tampa Bay v Rhode Island

1.66 - 3.60 - 4.20

Not to downplay the result entirely, as Tampa Bay lost out on an early chance at silverware having exited the USL Cup quarterfinals on Wednesday against Louisville on penalties, but I think that outcome will be a minor bump in the form—especially since Tampa Bay are still unbeaten in their six games across all competitions (though that match was their first time being shutout since June 13th). Rhode Island have now won three of their last four games played, each game going under 2.5 total goals and BTTS - No scorelines. It’s Rhode Island’s best run of form in the league since October of last year. In previous matchups, Rhode Island has been a thorn in the Rowdies side, controlling the all-time series with three wins, from their five previous meetings.

All that being said, I am still quite high on the Rowdies as things stand and have more question-marks over Rhode Island in comparison. Taking the hosts to open the scoring, get all three points, and to be leading at halftime for what would be the fifth time in their last seven games played if it occurs.

Bet 1: Tampa Bay to score first (1.57)

Bet 2: Tampa Bay halftime/fulltime result (2.60)

Bet 3: BTTS - No (2.00)

Colorado Springs v Birmingham

1.55 - 3.90 - 4.75

For one reason or another, it’s felt like Birmingham has hardly played any matches this season (either due to scheduling, travel delays or weather postponements), but the Legion make a trip out to Colorado Springs tomorrow after last weekend’s travel cancelled game. For the Switchbacks, they are off the back of a penalty shootout win over Spokane in the quarterfinals of the USL Cup on Wednesday—though it does continue a streak of three matches without a win for Colorado Springs (Wednesday’s game being the first they had scored in since July 25th). Birmingham will be looking for their first road win since May 2nd as they make just a second visit all-time to Weidner Field.

If there has been one thing that’s typically consistent in an ever-inconsistent Colorado Springs team this year, it’s been their home form (which is fourth best in the West, with the conference’s second best goal differential at home too), and with Birmingham’s documented struggles away from home this year, it’s had me leaning towards the Switchbacks in this match. I will bring up that both teams are prone to a first half draw this year, occurring in 11 matches of 17 for Birmingham and 14 in 18 matches for Colorado Springs (including the last five for the Switchbacks). My one hesitation towards fully backing the hosts in this game is their attacking problems of late.

Bet 1: Draw at halftime (2.40)

San Antonio v El Paso

2.25 - 3.30 - 2.80

San Antonio advanced to the USL Cup semifinals themselves on Wednesday with a hard-fought 2-1 win over Miami at home. For as quietly as San Antonio has gone about their games this season, they are back on an unbeaten run of four games across all competitions for the fourth time this season. El Paso meanwhile have won three of their last four games (each in win to nil fashion) for their best run of form since April 11th of this season. However, El Paso in games against San Antonio have not been as successful of late, having not won any of their last four games against their Texan neighbors (each game however did go over 2.5 total goals and were BTTS - Yes scorelines). To their credit, El Paso has scored in each of their last six games played against San Antonio, so I think penciling this game in to be a BTTS - Yes and over 2.5 total goals scoreline should be our initial pick. One thing I should mention is that San Antonio, as per American Soccer Analysis, are currently over-performing their xG numbers so this could very well be a match that is a trap game for the hosts. I’m avoiding a fulltime results bet for that reason alone.

Bet 1: BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (2.25)

Bet 2: El Paso to score first (2.10)

Bet 3: El Paso win or draw first half (1.40)

New Mexico v Tulsa

2.05 - 3.30 - 3.00

I don’t know why I had my doubts about New Mexico last week against a Monterey Bay team that has been floundering in recent weeks, NMU are on a five game winning streak, and a further eight game unbeaten run. It’s moved Dennis Sanchez’s side into third in the East and with their games in hand over Orange County and San Antonio ahead of them, very much in the hunt the West #1 seed. What started as a rocky opening half of the season, has become a New Mexico team I think we all knew they could be ultimately. Tulsa however are still just as competitive entering this match fourth in the West, just behind New Mexico. Despite the 1-0 loss to Detroit at home last week ending a four match unbeaten and shutout run, this can still be a frustrating Tulsa team to play against—especially since they currently hold a five match unbeaten streak against New Mexico.

But having made the mistake last week to doubt New Mexico, I won’t be repeating that this week (watch them let me down now, ha!). I’m picking New Mexico to get their first win over Tulsa since August 2023, officially throwing their hat into the ring as a serious contender to take the Western Conference #1 seed. Tulsa may frustrate this New Mexico team in the match to keep it low-scoring though.

Bet 1: New Mexico ML (2.05)

Bet 2: New Mexico to score first, Under 2.5 total goals (3.75)

• Although the above is separately, New Mexico to score first 1.80, Under 2.5 total goals 1.95

Bet 3: Halftime Draw (2.20)

Oakland v Monterey Bay

1.90 - 3.40 - 3.50

This might be the most “meme-able” matchup of the weekend for the USLC. I am fully off the hype train for Oakland right now as the Roots lost 1-0 to El Paso last week, making it six games without a win, and three games without a goal (5.5 hours without a goal, enough time to watch The Last House (2026) on Netflix three times, but please don’t subject yourself to that…). Monterey Bay however have lost five games in a row, and conceded five goals against New Mexico last week, their most allowed in a game since April 2022 (when they allowed 6 goals against San Antonio). Monterey Bay have also not won any of their last six games, looking for their first win since June 20th. If you want a hilarious match to view, this might be your sickos game of the week.

Oakland are the worst team in the West at home this season so far. However, Monterey Bay have not won any of their last two trips to the Coliseum, and are the worst team in the West on the road this season (also still looking for their first road win of the season). Stoppable force, meet the movable object. Avoid a fulltime results bet on this one, let’s root for chaos.

Bet: BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (2.05)

Orange County v Louisville

3.70 - 3.60 - 1.75

In my pick for my USLC match of the weekend, Louisville make the trip out west to play current Western Conference leaders, Orange County. In terms of results, Louisville advancing on penalties against Tampa Bay on Wednesday in the USL Cup could really go a long way for Simon Bird’s tenure as manager of Louisville—especially since Louisville might be the best team left in that competition (depending on your feelings over San Antonio at the moment). A cup competition like this one could be a platform to build for the league, especially as Louisville prepare to face an Orange County team who they have never lost to before. Orange County took a heavy 3-0 defeat against Tampa Bay in the league last week, for their heaviest league defeat since September 2025 (and worst league defeat at home since May 2025).

How much will the travel play a role for Louisville in this game, as the Kentucky club has not won a road match in California since May 2025, and have conceded a third-highest in the East, 19 goals away from home this season. Although, Orange County home games have been rather low-scoring this year, the aforementioned 3-0 loss to Tampa Bay being just the second time in the league this year of a home match going over 2.5 total goals for Orange County. If Louisville can get a win in this game, it would be massive for Bird and his squad moving forward.

Bet 1: Under 2.5 total goals, Louisville win or draw (2.40)

Bet 2: Louisville to score first (1.61)

Las Vegas v Brooklyn

1.80 - 3.60 - 3.60

Las Vegas are unbeaten in five consecutive games, a streak absolutely no one could have predicted this season. It’s their longest unbeaten streak since October 2024, featuring three wins and three shutouts as well. While the West has been very bunched together for the playoff race (all the more excitement for us neutrals), are Las Vegas, still the only team currently occupying a playoff spot with a negative goal differential, a real playoff team? For Brooklyn, travel delays postponed their home game against Birmingham last week, leaving the club with an idle week of sorts, though more time to possible wallow in their 5-0 loss to Charleston last match they played.

I think what’s going to define this match is the cross-country journey, as Brooklyn have won just one road game all season (July 4th versus Pittsburgh). While Las Vegas have not won any of their last five home games, this run of form the team finds itself on should give them a boost in this game. I’m picking the Lights to get their first home win since May 23rd, and let’s fade Brooklyn’s attack a bit in this game as well.

Bet 1: Las Vegas ML (1.80)

Bet 2: Las Vegas to score first, Brooklyn under 1.5 team goals (1.95)

Sacramento v Lexington

2.05 - 3.25 - 3.10

It’s flown a bit under the radar, but Lexington, now unbeaten in their last four games having won three of those games, are making a serious push for a home playoff spot in the West (only one point behind fourth). Sacramento meanwhile are winless in two consecutive games for the first time since May, and goalless in two consecutive games for the first time since November 2025. But Republic are back at home where they have won four of their last five home games, in what has been a Summer spent mostly on the road. Lexington’s road form has been encouraging in recent weeks, unbeaten in their last three road games, but they have struggled on these longer road trips this season (see 0-0 against Orange County from April for example).

In the brief history of this series, we’ve seen three previous matchups and three draws from those games. Surely, we should not pick a draw again for the fulltime result right (though I do like a halftime draw, a scoreline that has been the majority hit for both teams this season). If either side is likely to get a win, it would be Sacramento, but a Lexington win would be a massive statement of intent for the Kentucky club (and might be an angle to play double chance).

Bet 1: Halftime Draw (2.10)

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals (1.75)

USL1

Charlotte v Sarasota

1.55 - 4.00 - 4.50

Charlotte were a really trendy pick for an upset in the USL Cup quarterfinals against Hartford, only to find themselves trailing 4-0 after 70’ played. While they scored twice to make a respectable 4-2 losing scoreline, the Independence has to be disappointed to exit a competition they could have made lots of noise in. But, it gives Charlotte time to refocus on the league and their quest to chase down Omaha. The Independence have the chance to win four consecutive league games for the first time since July 1st as they prepare to take on Sarasota in a first ever meeting between these clubs. Sarasota has seen the wheels fall off in recent weeks with no wins from their last five games played across all competitions—it’s seen Paradise sink to 15th in the table and ten points out of a playoff spot. Much like their neighbors Naples, I just can’t trust Sarasota until I see them get a result and taking on a Charlotte team with something to prove after Wednesday’s disappointment, I think this match goes the way of the hosts.

Bet: Charlotte -1.0 spread (1.95)

NY Cosmos v AV Alta

2.80 - 3.60 - 2.10

AV Alta continues to be the team of two different types of performances, having gone three games without a win (including bad losses to struggling Richmond and Naples teams), prior to a 3-0 win over Fort Wayne where they were outshot 22-12 in that game. It’s helped salvage AV Alta from being at risk of tumbling out of the playoff spots altogether. For the NY Cosmos, having a week off due to the travel delays with Spokane, may have been a blessing in disguise, to give the team time to rest and regroup. As the USL1 wooden spoon beckons for the Cosmos, I’m sure this maiden season is not what the team had in mind for the year. However, it has been good for us bettors in fading the Cosmos all year. Until I see otherwise, I will keep fading the Cosmos in games. Backing AV Alta in this one, and to get the result at halftime as well.

Bet: AV Alta ML, AV Alta win or draw first half (2.25)

• Though AV Alta ML at 2.10 may be already sufficient odds.

Greenville v Knoxville

3.00 - 3.40 - 2.05

All things considered, a 1-1 draw away at Madison on Wednesday is a good result for Greenville, as they are now unbeaten in three of their last four league games (their best streak since October 2025). But, the Triumph are set to take on a Knoxville team they have not beaten in any of their last four meetings dating back to November 2024 the last time Greenville won against the Tennessee club (Knoxville having scored first in each of those last four games). Knoxville last week ended their three match losing run with a 2-1 win over Sarasota, but now find themselves in a more competitive race for a home playoff game as Madison and Boise are nearby in the table either side of Knoxville. With a chance to take the all-time series lead for the winner of this match, can Knoxville make a better case for themselves in hosting a home playoff game with a win, or will Greenville make it three games in a row at home unbeaten? I may look to avoid a result in this one and just wager the opening goal.

Bet: Knoxville to score first (1.80)

Westchester v Naples

2.05 - 3.50 - 2.90

Well done to Naples for ending their seven match losing streak in the league last week with a 2-1 win on Wednesday over AV Alta. After the coaching change, this was starting to seem like a lost second season for Naples, especially as the club sit eight points out of a playoff spot. But perhaps this result can be a platform towards building momentum towards the 2027 season. Westchester return home after two consecutive games having failed to score, their longest such streak since July 5th.

In a strange statline, Westchester at home has been very good for a club currently sitting outside the playoff spots, five wins from nine played and just eight goals allowed to 23 scored from the New York team at home. Not to mention in the history of this series, the visiting team has yet to win a match. Though they may have tasted victory last week, the joy may be short-lived for Naples…

Bet 1: Westchester ML (2.05)

Bet 2: Westchester to score first (1.72)

Fort Wayne v Chattanooga

2.20 - 3.40 - 2.70

We’ve spoken on the USL Show about how Fort Wayne should be the second best (maybe at times, even the best) USL1 expansion team this season. But recent weeks has made me question that placement (especially as Corpus Christi continue to make gains) for Fort Wayne after they have lost three in a row and four of their last five games. I will say, the three teams that beat Fort Wayne in that run are all playoff teams (Omaha, Spokane and AV Alta) at the moment. But perhaps that’s a worry for the Indiana club’s postseason ambitions. For Chattanooga, it’s been two heavy back-to-back defeats in recent weeks, losing both games by a combined score of 8-3. As both teams prepare to face off, each either side the playoff cutline (Chattanooga above and Fort Wayne below), this match will be massive for the playoff picture come October.

Fort Wayne still has just one defeat at home this season and Chattanooga have lost two of their last three road games. Is that the angle to play for this match, backing the hosts as they make their return to Ruoff Mortgage Stadium? I will be taking over 2.5 total goals though given how porous the Red Wolves defense has been of late.

Bet 1: Over 2.5 total goals (1.72)

Bet 2: Fort Wayne ML (2.20)

Spokane v Corpus Christi

1.66 - 3.50 - 4.33

Commiserations to Spokane who bowed out of the USL Cup on Wednesday after taking USLC side, Colorado Springs, all the way to penalties (although a shot difference of 14-2 in favor of Colorado Springs does paint the picture of that match). Turning back to the league, two teams with unbeaten runs in the league of at least three matches (Spokane, and five games for Corpus Christi) prepare to face off. Corpus Christi has gone from solidly out of a playoff spot at season’s start, to practically knocking on the door in recent weeks (just two points back). It’s a testament to the club’s form of this latest unbeaten run to climb into the playoff race. But, a trip to one of the toughest grounds in the league is no easy feat for CCFC, as Spokane has lost just twice at home this season and are unbeaten in three of their last four home games. While this is absolutely a match where Corpus Christi can get a result (and these odds are enticing enough to possibly take them double chance), that might be a bit too far for me to be confident in that outcome. I do think this match will be low-scoring (especially with Corpus Christi averaging the lowest total goals per game average in the league).

Bet: Under 2.5 total goals, Spokane win or draw (2.00)

Portland v Madison

No odds as of writing

Starting off our USL1 Sunday with Portland playing host to Madison. In what has been a sophomore slump for the Maine club, Portland have not won any of their last four games in the league (with three defeats in that time). In three of those previous four games where Portland have scored, they failed to win each of them, and a defeat to Corpus Christi at home last weekend was the third match in a row where Hearts of Pine failed to win inside of 90’ at home. Madison Played out a 1-1 draw with Greenville on Wednesday and have now gone two consecutive games without a win in the league for the first time since May. The defining stat for this match in my opinion will be Madison having just one win in their last five road games in the league entering this game. For a vulnerable Portland team at home as of late, this really needs to be a game Madison takes full advantage of—especially as they are in an aforementioned tough fight for a home playoff game with Knoxville and Boise. Madison has won at Fitzpatrick Stadium before, on October 4th last season (scoring three goals in the process, the most scored by a road opponent at this ground in Portland’s USL1 history).

In what might be my most bold pick of the weekend, I think Madison are able to come into Portland and get a win, in a similarly high-scoring game for both of these teams that are averaging over 3 total goals per game this season. If Madison are to be hosting a home playoff game, this is a match they need to win. If Portland lose this game once more, further questions will be asked over the club’s struggles this season.

Bet 1: Madison ML

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals

Bet 3: Madison halftime ML

Omaha v Richmond

No odds as of writing

Closing out our USL1 Sunday with Omaha v Richmond. The last few weeks for Kickers must feel incredibly (and rather unfamiliar) pleasant as the club are on a two game winning streak for the first time May. For Omaha, it’s been business as usual in recent weeks as the club carry a three game winning streak into this contest that currently has the Nebraska team atop the league by two points over Charlotte. To be fair to Richmond, they have beaten Omaha in the last two games they’ve played (and hold the all-time series lead as well with 6 wins of the 15 total meetings against Omaha). However, I do not foresee Richmond making it three wins in a row, in the league or against Omaha in particular, this weekend. With Omaha having scored multiple goals in each of their last five games played in the league (also games they have gone unbeaten in), I’m taking the hosts to win four consecutive games in the league for the first time since May.

Bet: Omaha ML, Over 2.5 total goals

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Detroit, Hartford ML parlay (2.64)

• Indy Eleven, Tampa Bay ML parlay (3.00)

• Las Vegas, New Mexico ML parlay (3.69)

• Charlotte, AV Alta ML parlay (3.25)

• Fort Wayne, Westchester ML parlay (4.51)

BTTS/Goals Parlay:

• BTTS - Yes parlay: Jacksonville v Indy Eleven, San Antonio v El Paso, Oakland v Monterey Bay (4.65)

• BTTS - No parlay: Detroit v Loudoun, Tampa Bay v Rhode Island (3.81)

• Over 2.5 total goals: Charlotte v Sarasota, Fort Wayne v Chattanooga (2.71)

• Over 2.5 total goals: Jacksonville v Indy Eleven, Oakland v Monterey Bay (2.88)

• Under 2.5 total goals: Pittsburgh v Charleston, New Mexico v Tulsa (3.36)

• Under 2.5 total goals: Detroit v Loudoun, Hartford v Miami (4.41)

Underdog Parlay:

• Charleston win or draw, El Paso win or draw parlay (2.21)

• Sacramento win or draw, Colorado Springs v Birmingham draw parlay (5.01)

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USLC Parlay: 11.95

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USL1 Parlay (Saturday only): 3.32

Non-USL Related Bets

Other Soccer:

MLS:

• Atlanta v NY Red Bulls, Charlotte v Columbus BTTS - Yes parlay (2.20)

• Nashville or draw, BTTS - Yes (1.95)

• Colorado, LAFC ML parlay (2.35)

• Chicago ML, Over 2.5 total goals (1.83)

• Vancouver ML (1.86)

Player Props:

• Allen Saint-Maximin (CLT) to score or assist (2.20)

• Kevin Denkey (CIN) to score or assist (1.72)

• Antoine Griezmann (ORL) ATGS (1.90)

• Evander Ferreira (CIN) ATGS (2.10)

  • Griezmann, Ferreira ATGS parlay is 4.20

• Robert Lewandowski (CHI) to score two or more goals (3.75)

• Thomas Muller (VAN) goal or assist (1.61)

• Son Heung-Min (LAFC) ATGS (1.95)

• Timo Werner (SJ) ATGS (2.37)

  • Though Werner 1.80 goal or assist might be safer.

England/Scotland

• Middlesbrough, Portsmouth ML parlay (2.92)

• Stoke v Swansea draw (3.20)

• Sheffield United v Birmingham City BTTS - Yes (1.72)

• West Ham win or draw, BTTS - Yes v Burnley (2.05)

• Cardiff win or draw, BTTS - Yes v Wrexham (2.10)

• Southampton ML (2.05)

• Millwall ML (2.65)

• Leicester ML (1.96)

• Huddersfield, Bradford ML parlay (2.55)

• Grimsby ML (1.76)

• Celtic/Dunfermiline to advance (2.10)

• Rangers v St Mirren BTTS - Yes (1.90)

• Celtic, Hearts, Motherwell ML in 90’ parlay (2.46)

• Alloa ML (2.00)

• East Kilbride, Dumbarton ML parlay (2.71)

• England Community Shield bets:

  • Arsenal to lift trophy (1.80)

  • Under 2.5 total goals (1.90)

  • Over 8.5 total corners (1.72)

Elsewhere

J-League

• Machida Zelvia ML (1.86)

• Sanfreece Hiroshima ML (1.86)

• Vissel Kobe v FC Tokyo BTTS - Yes (1.90)

• Kashima Antlers ML (1.81)

Canadian Premier League

• Vancouver ML (1.60)

• Calvary ML (2.10)

Other Sports:

Friday MLB:

• Rays ML (1.61)

• Guardians ML (1.79)

• Nationals at Mets over 8.5 runs (1.86)

• Yankees, Braves ML parlay (2.54)

• Brewers at Dodgers over 8 runs (2.00)

• Dodgers ML (1.55)

• Rockies at Giants over 7.5 total runs (1.83)

NASCAR - Cook Out 400 at Richmond Raceway

Qualifying:

• Denny Hamlin to win pole position (5.00)

Manufacturer Plays:

• Top Chevy: Austin Dillon (4.00)

• Top Ford: Joey Logano (2.50)

• Top Toyota: Denny Hamlin (3.10)

Placement Bets:

• Austin Dillon top ten (1.71)

• Austin Dillon top five sprinkle (2.95)

• Brad Keselowski top ten (2.95)

• Ross Chastain top ten (3.00)

• Shane van Gisbergen top ten sprinkle (3.90)

• Joey Logano top five (2.20)

• Denny Hamlin top three (2.55)

Head-to-Head Bets:

• Shane van Gisbergen to beat Daniel Suarez (1.90)

• Denny Hamlin to beat Christopher Bell (1.83)

• Chase Elliott to beat William Byron (2.05)

Outright Win Bets:

• Denny Hamlin (5.25)

• Austin Dillon (13.00)

• Hamlin or Logano Either to win (3.30)

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Welcome to August. Congrats to Vermont Green on their second consecutive USL2 title, having won the final last week! With USLC and USL1 in focus as we enter the final third of the season, the playoff races are heating up in both leagues! Now is the perfect time to make your push towards the playoff spots for teams vying for a chance at postseason glory this season. Still on the horizon, the quarterfinals of knockouts in the Prinx Tires USL Cup occurring next midweek, but for now, it’s a full slate of league play for both USLC and USL1 this weekend. Best of luck to your wagers ahead, let’s have a great weekend!

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, August 7th.

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USLC: San Antonio halftime win or draw, San Antonio ML (2.00), San Antonio to score first (1.66), Lexington ML (1.55), Loudoun ML (2.10), Loudoun v Hartford Under 2.5 total goals (1.95), Detroit win or draw, BTTS - Yes (2.15), Charleston ML, Over 1.5 Charleston team goals (1.61), Charleston HT/FT result (2.00), BTTS - Yes, Tampa Bay win or draw (2.05), New Mexico to score first (2.05), New Mexico draw no bet (2.00), Pittsburgh win or draw halftime (1.40), Orange County ML (2.10), Draw halftime scoreline (2.25), Sacramento win to nil (2.00)

USL1: Charlotte ML (2.10), Charlotte v Knoxville Over 2.5 total goals (1.66), Greenville v Portland Over 2.5 total goals (1.85), Omaha to score first (2.00), Omaha draw no bet (1.90), Madison ML (1.50)

USL2: Vermont Green to lift trophy (1.90), Over 2.5 total goals (1.50)

Parlays: Charlotte, Loudoun ML parlay (4.51), San Antonio, Sacramento ML parlay (2.66), New Mexico ML, Phoenix win or draw, Omaha win or draw (5.85)

Beyond USL: Braves ML (1.83), Rangers at Astros over 7.5 total runs (1.90), Supra du Quebec ML (2.20), DC v Nashville under 2.5 total goals (1.95), Cincinnati win or draw, BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals, Philadelphia ML (1.70), Portland win or draw, BTTS - Yes (1.95), Chicago v Charlotte BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.80), Robert Lewandowski (CHI) ATGS (1.66), Preston Judd (SJ) score or assist (2.05), Timo Werner (SJ) ATGS (2.40), Luis Suarez (MIA) ATGS (2.00), Son Heung-Min (LAFC) ATGS (2.75), Calvary, Vancouver ML parlay (2.31)

USL Championship

Brooklyn v Birmingham

2.15 - 3.50 - 2.90

A first-ever meeting between these two sides currently looking outside the playoff picture at the moment. For the hosts, Brooklyn are off the back of two consecutive defeats where they failed to score, a first for the club since March of this season. It’s left them eight points behind the playoff cutline. However for Birmingham, the side ended a nine match winless run in the league with a 1-0 victory over Rhode Island last week, and keeping them within range of the playoffs just four points behind eighth. Still though, in spite of the win, that was the tenth game where Birmingham have yet to score over 1.5 team goals in the match in the league. For Brooklyn, they return home looking for their first win at Maimonides Park since April, as Birmingham have just one win away from home all season (coming back in May).

Of their last ten games, eight of those scorelines for Birmingham were under 2.5 total goals, while Brooklyn has seen six of their last ten games go over 2.5 total goals, but none of their last four home games has seen over 2.5 total goals for the New York club. As their gap to a playoff spot continues to slip away, I am going to keep fading Brooklyn, but I’m not sure I see the offense in either side for this to be a grand display of goals tomorrow night.

Bet 1: Under 2.5 total goals, Birmingham win or draw (3.00)

Lexington v Phoenix

1.80 - 3.60 - 4.00

Two teams bringing three match unbeaten runs into this game, Lexington the better of the two in that time with two wins and a draw to Phoenix’s two draws and a win. The West has been an incredibly tight playoff race all season, and Lexington are currently above the cutline with Phoenix below, all due to recent runs of form. Last week, Lexington had a come from behind win over Monterey Bay, after having trailed 2-0 after a half hour, to win it 3-2. Phoenix meanwhile made two draws in a row for the first time since March, as well as going now four games without a win on the road. In a rarity, Phoenix is actually one team Lexington has performed against rather well, winning both of their games played against Rising last season (each in win to nil scorelines). I think I am slowly getting onboard the Lexington hype train, especially at home as Lexington has lost just one of their last five home games (winning the other four, and scoring multiple goals in those four wins as well). Picking the hosts to win and score multiple goals once more.

Bet 1: Draw at halftime (2.30)

Bet 2: Lexington ML, Lexington over 1.5 team goals (2.20)

Loudoun v Charleston

3.50 - 3.60 - 1.90

For the first time since September 2025, Loudoun have won two consecutive games in the league, and have won these last two games in win to nil fashion no less. I’ve mentioned previously how it’s been a frustrating season for the Virginia club, but that I still thought they could turn a corner very soon (especially given that they remain just three points behind a playoff spot). Charleston meanwhile had a 5-0 dominating win over Brooklyn last week, ending a three match winless skid the team was on. It was the Battery’s highest margin of victory since October 2025, and the third time this season Charleston has scored five team goals in a game. This is the Battery club we thought we would see more often this season, as they lead the league in goals.

Charleston carry a 13 match unbeaten run against Loudoun into this match, with their last loss to Loudoun coming in October 2019 (just as Joker (2019) was hitting theaters). The Battery have scored in each of those 13 games, and scored multiple goals in nine of those games versus Loudoun (including their last three). While I like the hosts having improved in recent weeks, Charleston is about to go another nice run of form I believe.

Bet 1: Charleston ML (1.90)

Bet 2: Charleston to score in both halves (2.75)

Miami v Las Vegas

2.35 - 3.40 - 2.45

This used to be USL’s silliest “derby” (and maybe it still is) as both teams are known for the strange promotion or “meme-ability” of their existence. But this year is different, Miami are a current playoff contender in the East currently tied on 22 points for the sixth best record in the conference, while Las Vegas in the West are hunting down a playoff spot themselves, a win away from joining the top eight if other results go their way. Since joining USLC, Miami has never made the postseason, their last playoff game of any kind coming in NISA where they beat Stumptown Athletic (LOL) 3-0 in that 2019/20 final. Las Vegas are looking for just their second playoff appearance as a club and would be their first since 2024.

Entering this match, Las Vegas are unbeaten in their last four games played in the league, their best streak since October 2024. Though Miami were moments away from three points against Detroit, they remain winless in their last three games in the league. But, the last time Las Vegas visited South Beach, April 2023, Miami walked out as visitors 4-1, so this is not an easy road trip to make for the Lights. In spite of the results, it does feel like Miami are nearly there and have just been unlucky in recent weeks that I think the luck this week will change. The odds are even towards both sides in this game, but I think the hosts are the ones to get the result (especially since this is another series in the league that has never seen the road team win).

Bet: Miami win or draw, BTTS - Yes (2.15)

Pittsburgh v Sacramento

2.10 - 3.20 - 3.00

One game you’re beating Jacksonville 5-0, the next, you’re losing 1-0 to Tulsa away, but such was the week for Sacramento Republic after their midweek Wednesday result. The loss on Wednesday ended a four match unbeaten run for Republic as they now venture further east to take on Pittsburgh at FNB Stadium, in just their second visit to the stadium (most recently was July 2023 where a 0-0 draw was played out). For Pittsburgh, they won 1-0 over another California club last time out, Oakland, which was their first road win since May 9th. However, they return home to a stadium that should be a fortress, having lost their last two home games. Pittsburgh has not lost three consecutive home games since July 2024. But Sacramento has not done well in these cross-country road trips, as they have not beaten an Eastern Conference team in a road game since September 2025 (Tampa Bay 2-0). I do believe this game will be a low-scoring contest, and will be picking the hosts to get back to winning ways and avoiding losing three home games in a row.

Bet 1: Pittsburgh ML (2.10)

Bet 2: Draw at halftime, Under 2.5 total goals in game (2.70)

Rhode Island v Colorado Springs

2.05 - 3.30 - 3.30

Rhode Island’s scoring has gone cold in recent weeks, despite having two wins in this span, they have not scored over 1.5 team goals in any of their last five games, and by no surprise that streak caught up with them as they lost 1-0 against Birmingham last week. Colorado Springs had a 1-0 defeat themselves last week away at New Mexico, which ended a three match winning streak for the Switchbacks. While Rhode Island has been in the headlines lately for news off the pitch, it will be interesting to see how much that distraction may play on the team (likely little effect but the thought lingers). One benefit in Rhode Island’s favor is that Colorado Springs have been woeful away from home this season, the second worst road record in the West this season (though they have won two of their last three road games). But my concern will be if Rhode Island can generate any level of offense for themselves, especially as the Switchbacks are averaging one goal in each of their last three road games. Still, you have to imagine the hosts can score in this one.

Bet 1: Draw (3.30)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes (1.72)

Bet 3: Rhode Island 1-1 Colorado Springs correct scoreline bet (6.50)

Louisville v San Antonio

1.44 - 4.00 - 6.50

Oh Louisville, that’s so unfortunate. It’s rare this season to find a team who could put Tampa Bay on the ropes in a match, but Louisville were leading 3-0 away at Al Lang at halftime last week, it looked like that was the game that would finally cement Simon Bird’s status as a manager without question marks (or as many questions) with that win. But after conceding five second half goals (including three in the span of five minutes to be tied 3-3 by 54’) to lose the game 5-4 against Tampa Bay, we are left with more worries and questions for Louisville City. Hosting a San Antonio team challenging for the Western Conference’s top spot, in a rematch of the 2022 USLC final, might not be the best recovery game for Louisville. San Antonio are back to winning ways after a 3-1 win last week, winning consecutive matches for the first time since March. San Antonio have also won their last two road games as well, a first since March 2025.

Louisville are still in the top four (at the moment) of the East so a home playoff game is still within reach, but Pittsburgh are close behind if the Kentucky club were to slip up again, but Louisville are back to winning ways at Lynn Family Stadium, having won their last two home games. This match is one two matches I have my eye on this weekend for their intriguing storylines surrounding it, so let’s hope the game delivers.

Bet 1: BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (2.30)

Bet 2: San Antonio win or draw halftime (1.80)

Tulsa v Detroit

2.62 - 2.90 - 2.50

Under 2.5 total goals. If you bet anything on this game, take under 2.5 total goals. For Detroit, they’re averaging 2.47 total goals a game this season, for Tulsa, it’s a Western Conference low 2.12 total goals a game. That was the case from Wednesday where Tulsa defeated Sacramento 1-0, making it four matches unbeaten and their last four games being BTTS - No scorelines characterized by four clean sheets from the Oklahoma club. Tulsa have played 6.5 hours of soccer since their last conceded goal—or enough time to watch the entirety of the Star Wars Original Trilogy. For Detroit, they played out a hard-fought 2-2 draw with Miami last week but a bit more worryingly, Detroit have now gone back-to-back games without a win for the first time since June 10th, and they getting ready to face a Tulsa team they have never beaten before in five previous meetings. Have to back the hosts here—and with these odds, Tulsa ML might be all we need.

Bet 1: Tulsa win to nil (4.33)

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals (1.61)

Bet 3: Draw at halftime (2.00)

El Paso v Oakland

1.85 - 3.50 - 3.30

The wheels really have fallen off for Oakland in recent weeks. While their 0-0 draw with Las Vegas on Wednesday helped end their four match losing streak, the Roots still have not won any of their last five league games played and have been shutout in three of their last four games. Continuing this road trip is a visit to El Paso, who are off the back of a 1-0 win over Monterey Bay also on Wednesday of this week. Tied on points with Lexington for the final playoff spot, Locomotive’s form is starting to improve now with two wins from their last three games played (both win to nil results). Also to mention, the last four El Paso matches have had BTTS - No scorelines (though El Paso only winning two of those four games), and given how much Oakland has struggled in scoring of late, this could be a low-scoring contest (those four games all being under 2.5 total goals for El Paso as well).

The last four meetings of these two teams has seen the home team get the result (Oakland’s 3-2 win over El Paso away in April 2024 being the last time a visiting team won a game in this series). While Oakland has controlled this series all-time with six wins from ten total meetings, I am leaning the way of the hosts to get the result out of this one as the attacking woes deepen for the Roots.

Bet 1: Under 2.5 total goals (2.20)

Bet 2: El Paso win or tie, BTTS - No (3.00)

Monterey Bay v New Mexico

2.15 - 3.40 - 2.80

One of my favorite matchups in USLC, solely because of how similar these teams’ crests look to each other. New Mexico are well and truly back, having extended their winning streak to now four in a row after a 1-0 win over Colorado Springs last week (their first win to nil scoreline since June). Away from home, New Mexico’s results have been more middle of the road (3 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses) but categorized by low-scoring games (7 goals scored and allowed). I am officially back in fading Monterey Bay until further notice as the California club have now lost four games in a row and are winless in five, after their 1-0 defeat on Wednesday (which was also their first time being shutout since July 4th). With New Mexico in red hot form and Monterey Bay headed in the other direction, surely it’s a slam dunk to take New Mexico here, right?

However, in the all-time history of this series, the road team has yet to win a match in ten previous meetings. New Mexico has visited Monterey Bay five times and it’s resulted in three defeats and two draws, and NMU has not scored multiple goals in any of those games. But surely given the run of form New Mexico are on, and these specific odds, this is a game New Mexico should be winning right? Well, maybe we go for the trap game play here. (Although New Mexico as underdogs might indicate the books are onto this game).

Bet: Monterey Bay win or draw, BTTS - Yes (2.00)

Orange County v Tampa Bay

3.75 - 3.75 - 1.80

This game has to be the “main event” of the weekend and possibly a preview of the USLC final perhaps. A rematch of the 2021 USLC final as Tampa Bay—fresh off of their massive come from behind win over Louisville where they scored five second half goals to win 5-4—make the trek across the country to face Western Conference #1 seed currently, Orange County. Best in the East versus Best in the West. Orange County made it back-to-back wins last week for the first time since June 24th. OCSC also extended their home unbeaten run to four games (despite having a long road trip during the month of June that may have derailed much of their progress). Tampa Bay are unbeaten on the road this season, having not lost away from home since October 2025, but if there is any team that can beat the Rowdies, it might very well be the best side the West has to offer.

Orange County has not trailed at halftime of any of their last 16 games played, which may give them an initial edge to open this match, and both teams have nearly identical total goals averages (2.89 for Tampa Bay to 2.67 for Orange County). If there is a winner, it may be from a 2-1 scoreline, but which way are we leaning? Honestly, I could see this game being a cagey affair to start, a low-scoring first half, before it really opens up in the second half and I just have a good feeling about this Rowdies side after last week.

Bet 1: Draw halftime (2.20)

Bet 2: Tampa Bay ML (1.80)

Bet 3: Tampa Bay to score first (1.61)

Correct score wagers:

• Orange County 0-0 Tampa Bay halftime (3.00)

• Orange County 1-2 Tampa Bay fulltime (9.00)

Indy Eleven v Hartford

1.83 - 3.50 - 3.75

We close out our USLC weekend slate of matches with the team currently holding the final spot in the East’s playoff picture, Indy Eleven, hosting the side just on the other side in ninth, Hartford. Both sides have gone through rather poor runs of form as of late, Indy Eleven having lost four games in a row for the first time since August 2025, and Hartford having no wins in their last six games in the league while having not scored a goal in the last 4.5 hours of match play (or enough time to watch both Spider-Verse movies in their entirety). While fading both teams has been the play for us as of late, what happens when “the stoppable force meets the movable object?”

Indy Eleven have gone unbeaten in the last seven games played against Hartford, and perhaps being back at home (where Indy have only lost once all season) is playing to their strengths. However, Hartford does have the second best record away from home in the East this season (admittedly everyone outside of Tampa Bay in the East has been rather poor on the road), so this opponent might not be the easy outing for Indy Eleven. But surely this game needs to be a win for Indy Eleven, not just to keep their unbeaten run against Hartford, but just to stop me from finding the panic button on this team.

Bet 1: Indy Eleven ML (1.83)

Bet 2: Indy Eleven to score first, Under 1.5 Hartford team goals (1.95)

USL1

Charlotte v Greenville

1.55 - 4.00 - 4.50

Greenville has not been the reliable fade as we are used to seeing them this season as of late, as the Triumph have put together consecutive games unbeaten for the first time since July 8th in recent weeks (with each game going over 4.5 total goals impressively!). That statline for goals alone, against the high-scoring Charlotte Independence makes this game immediately one for over 2.5 total goals (and it might even occur all before halftime). Charlotte won 3-1 over Knoxville last week, making the Independence the “leader in waiting” behind Omaha as it stands (just two points back in the table). The Independence will be looking to make it three wins in a row for the first time since July 1st with a result tomorrow. Charlotte has won eight games at home across nine played all season, and it honestly would be foolish to bet against this Independence team right now.

But if you can grab BTTS - Yes wagers on this game, take that (in addition to our over 2.5 total goals bet).

Bet: Charlotte ML, Over 2.5 total goals (2.15)

Chattanooga v Omaha

2.25 - 3.50 - 2.60

The two sides currently holding the first and final playoff spot in the table at the moment. For Omaha, the current league leaders, they are on an unbeaten run of four games entering this weekend and have won their last two road games, a first for the club to win consecutive games away from home since May. The Nebraska side will be looking to win three road games in a row for the first time since June 2025. On the other side, Chattanooga had their match against Spokane postponed last week due to weather, but they do still have an unbeaten run at home of their last four home games being victories (all in win to nil scorelines too). CHI Memorial Stadium has not been an easy place to visit for many teams, but the Red Wolves have lost twice at home this season and for Omaha, the league’s second best team away from home this season, that might be the opening.

I would not expect Omaha to be leading at the break though, as they have only won a first half once in their last 15 games, with Chattanooga leading at half of just one of their last 7 games (halftime draw penciled in), but I just think Omaha are about to hit a rather good run of form in the coming weeks to confirm themselves as the Players’ Shield favorites once more.

Bet 1: Draw at halftime (2.30)

Bet 2: Omaha draw no bet (2.00)

NY Cosmos v Spokane

4.75 - 3.80 - 1.55

The Cosmos are a complete mess at the moment, and a 2-0 defeat to a resurgent Richmond team on Wednesday did not help matters, as it extended a winless run for the team to four games. Spokane had their match against Chattanooga last week postponed due to rain, so they still carry a three game winning streak in the league into this match and two of those games have been matches going over 2.5 total goals (with Spokane scoring multiple goals in all three of those wins). With the Cosmos having the league’s leakiest defense with 40 goals conceded, I have to imagine Spokane will take advantage of this opportunity. But how much scoring do you expect this Cosmos team to do, especially against Spokane’s defense having just conceded 22 goals on the year? That will be what drives the 2.5 total goals line. Keeping it simple otherwise.

Bet: Spokane ML (1.55)

Portland v Corpus Christi

2.05 - 3.40 - 3.00

While the news of the stadium plans for Portland will dominate the headlines this midweek, Hearts of Pine on the pitch has been unable to translate the positive momentum off the field into results, winless in their last three games in the league (each game going over 2.5 goals however). A concern for Portland has been that they have scored the opening goal in each of those games only to let the three points slip away from them (the seven points dropped in this time would put Portland into a playoff spot). This might very well be the reason Hearts of Pine are not in a playoff spot come the Fall. Corpus Christi has been quietly on a decent run of form, unbeaten in their last four games in the league with three consecutive clean sheets entering this game (no goals conceded in their last 5.5 hours, or enough time to watch 82% of first three Matrix movies).

However, I am backing the hosts to get a goal in this match to end that clean sheet streak from Corpus Christi, but this really needs to be a game Portland wins or else we might very well be looking back at games like these as a reason they are not in a playoff spot at season’s end.

Bet 1: Portland ML (2.05)

Bet 2: Portland to score first (1.72)

Knoxville v Sarasota

1.60 - 3.60 - 4.75

Should I be worried about Knoxville? For the first time since 2024, the club has lost three games in a row in the league, which has now seen them tumble out of the top three (being replaced by Madison). But is this match against a Sarasota team who has not played a game in any competition since July 11th the possible cure for Knoxville? Due to scheduling and rain postponement last week, this game will be Sarasota’s first in four weeks. While the break may have been good for injury recovery and rest, I imagine it has to be frustrating for Sarasota Paradise, team and fans alike, to see the season interrupted in such way—especially since the club finds themselves without a win since June 13th and 10 points outside of a playoff spot.

I am looking at this match very cautiously in regards to Knoxville, as a slip up in this game might be cause to find my panic button the team as of late. But surely they can’t let a team who has not a played a game in nearly a month, come into Covenant Health Park and get a win, right?

Bet 1: Knoxville to score first (1.53)

Bet 2: Knoxville win or draw first half, Knoxville ML (1.66)

Boise v Madison

2.10 - 3.25 - 3.00

Madison just keeps winning, that’s now six games in a row in the league (and a further eight games since their last loss in the league). Is this the greatest time to be a Forward Madison fan? What has impressed me about Madison in each of these results is that they have scored multiple goals in six of their last seven wins during this unbeaten run, and they have scored first in each of the eight games of this unbeaten run. What kicked off this unbeaten run of form, was a 5-1 win over their opponents this week, Boise (back on June 13th).

Boise has seen their recent three game winning streak run flat once more, as they have gone winless in their last two games played, a streak they had not had since May of this season. But is being back at home this week enough to end Madison’s long unbeaten run and exact some revenge for the loss that started such a good Summer for Madison? On four occasions, Boise has lost at home (most recently coming at the start of July against Knoxville). As Madison has thrown their hat into the ring for possibly hosting a home playoff game and maybe even challenging for the Shield, I think momentum is on the side of the visitors here. Backing Madison until they let me down!

Bet 1: Madison ML (3.00)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals (1.80)

AV Alta v Fort Wayne

No odds as of writing

And there’s my doubts over AV Alta coming back to focus, as the club took a 2-1 defeat against Naples on Wednesday. Now, perhaps the the long travel AV Alta has been on this week complicated things, as they lost 3-2 to Richmond last Saturday preceding the defeat to Naples. But with Naples having lost seven consecutive games prior to beating AV Alta, the optics for AV Alta were not great. Fort Wayne themselves have lost three of their last four games, including having lost their last two road games—especially crucial since AV Alta has lost just once at home all season in the league, which occurred back in April. I have to imagine after a long week of travel, being back in friendlier surroundings will be welcomed for AV Alta. Though Fort Wayne are one of the league’s better road teams in terms of record, the hosts should be up for this match back in front of their home support.

Bet 1: AV Alta to score first

Bet 2: AV Alta draw no bet

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Charlotte, Spokane, Knoxville ML parlay (3.84)

• Lexington, Louisville ML parlay (2.60)

• Charleston, Tampa Bay ML parlay (3.43)

• Charlotte, Louisville ML parlay (2.23)

BTTS/Goals Parlay:

• BTTS - Yes parlay: Miami v Las Vegas, Rhode Island v Colorado Springs, Monterey Bay v New Mexico (4.26)

• Under 2.5 total goals: Tulsa v Detroit, Pittsburgh v Sacramento (2.66)

• Under 2.5 total goals: Brooklyn v Birmingham, El Paso v Oakland (4.73)

• Over 2.5 total goals: Charlotte v Greenville, Boise v Madison (2.82)

Underdog Parlay:

• Tulsa or draw, Colorado Springs or draw (2.49)

• Omaha or draw, Madison or draw (2.45)

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USLC Parlay: 15.32

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USL1 Parlay (not including AV Alta v Fort Wayne): 3.21

Non-USL Related Bets

Other Soccer:

England/Scotland

• Millwall to advance v QPR (1.70)

• Sheffield United to advance v Mansfield (1.50)

• West Ham, West Brom, Charlton all to advance (2.25)

• Bolton to advance v Sheffield Wednesday (1.61)

• Dundee FC v Aberdeen and St Mirren v St Johnston BTTS - Yes parlay (2.77)

• Motherwell ML (1.76)

• Dundee United over 0.5 team goals, Hibernian over 0.5 team goals (2.16)

• Raith Rovers ML (1.90)

• Ross County, Hamilton ML parlay (2.11)

• Kelty Hearts ML (2.00)

Elsewhere

• Vissel Kobe ML (1.90)

• FC Tokyo v Machida Zelvida BTTS - Yes (1.95)

• Kashiwa Reysol, Sanfreece Hiroshima ML parlay (2.17)

• Tokyo Verdy v Kawasaki Frontale BTTS - Yes (1.90)

• Cavalry, Atletico Ottawa ML parlay (2.88)

• Forge FC ML (1.65)

• Pacific FC v Inter Toronto BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.83)

Other Sports:

Friday’s MLB:

• Phillies, Red Sox ML parlay (2.02)

• Angels at Marlins over 8.5 total runs (1.83)

• Braves at Yankees over 8.0 total runs (1.80)

• Cubs, Brewers ML parlay (2.55)

• Cardinals, Dodgers ML parlay (2.55)

• Rays ML (2.03)

NASCAR - Iowa Corn 350 at Iowa Speedway

Manufacturer Plays:

• Top Chevy: Carson Hocevar (7.00)

• Top Ford: Ryan Blaney (1.80)

• Top Toyota: Denny Hamlin (2.70)

Placement Bets:

• Denny Hamlin top three (2.20)

• Ryan Blaney top five (1.71)

• Ty Gibbs top ten (1.76)

• Carson Hocevar top ten (1.80)

Head-to-Head Bets:

• Denny Hamlin to beat Christopher Bell (1.80)

• Tyler Reddick to beat Bubba Wallace (1.76)

• Chase Briscoe to beat William Byron (1.76)

Outright Win Bets:

• Ryan Blaney (5.25)

• Denny Hamlin (5.25)

• Either to win: 2.80

Final Thoughts

As mentioned above during their match preview, Portland Hearts of Pine announced this week their intention to build a new, soccer stadium set to have a capacity of 11k and opening in 2029. Hearts of Pine has been doing everything off the pitch in building this club as a blueprint to follow for any USL team, and this stadium is another impressive step in that process. This stadium will become another jewel of a ground for the league.

In USL articles that caught my eye this week: Luke Martin’s latest article talking about when Jeopardy is shown on tv (and which network holds the rights) in each USL1 market was a delightful read! It matches the Venn-diagram of soccer fans and Jeopardy fans perfectly! Also, check out John Morrissey’s newsletter this week which was a fan questions mailbag edition. Come for the soccer, stay for his preview of the year’s remaining movies!

Futi’s latest game, Centurions, has been an excellent way to spend a few minutes every day since it released on Monday. I’ve honestly found myself having more fun “Remembering some Players” in building lineups in their MLS mode! And yes…I have discovered that it is possible to build a lineup in this game that can achieve 0 points and 254 goals conceded…Though I have to say, I think I have enjoyed American Soccer Analysis’ MLS variant of the game even more.

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Follow me on Bluesky @ilm-ryan.bsky.social and follow the USL Show, @theUSLshow.bsky.social.

We end July with a full slate of USL action on the weekend ahead. Whether it’s watching the USLC, USL1 or tuning in to watch the USL2 final between the Flint City Bucks and Vermont Green, there is no shortage of options to keep up with in watching and wagering this weekend (and yes, you can bet on the USL2 final on Bet365, more on that later…). Best of luck to your wagers, let’s make it a fun weekend ahead!

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, July 31.

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USLC: Tampa Bay ML (1.61), Tampa Bay ML (1.61), Miami v Tampa Bay BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (2.20), Tulsa win or draw halftime, Lexington win or draw fulltime (2.37), Colorado Springs v Charleston Draw at halftime (2.30), Colorado Springs to score first (1.80), Colorado Springs v Charleston BTTS - Yes (1.61), El Paso ML (1.42), Monterey Bay v Orange County Draw first half (2.20), Orange County win or draw fulltime, Orange County to score first (2.20), BTTS - Yes, Sacramento win or draw (2.40)

USL1: Charlotte -1.5 spread (1.975), Charlotte v Richmond Over 2.5 total goals (1.44), Chattanooga v Knoxville Under 2.5 total goals (1.85), Boise ML (1.80), Madison halftime/fulltime (2.40), Madison v Naples Over 2.5 total goals (1.75), Madison -1.5 spread (2.50), Corpus Christi ML (2.05), Corpus Christi to score first (1.80), Spokane ML (1.80), Spokane v Fort Wayne Over 2.5 total goals (1.72)

USL2: Flint City Bucks ML (1.65)

Parlays: Charlotte, Madison ML parlay (2.20), Charlotte v Richmond and Madison v Naples over 2.5 total goals, Chattanooga v Knoxville under 2.5 total goals (4.67)

Beyond USL: Inter Miami ML (2.15), NYCFC v Chicago parlay: BTTS - Yes, Nicolas Fernandez Mercau and Robert Lewandowski 1+ shot on target each (2.40), Philadelphia ML (2.10), LAFC -2.5 spread (2.50), Son Heung-Min (LAFC) ATGS (1.66), Milan Iloski (PHI) ATGS (2.62), Antonelli Podium Finish (1.57), Sergio Perez to be classified - No (3.25), Carson Hocevar top ten finish, Atletico Ottawa, Forge FC ML parlay (2.40)

USL Championship

San Antonio v Indy Eleven

1.90 - 3.30 - 3.40

Get your USLC weekend started tonight with San Antonio v Indy Eleven! Having lost just one match at home all season, San Antonio returns to Toyota Field to take on an Indy Eleven team still searching for their first road win in the league this season and have lost three matches in a row entering this contest—Indy Eleven’s first three match losing streak since August 2025. San Antonio grounded out a tough 1-0 win away at Brooklyn last week in a match I was admittedly fading SAFC in, while Indy Eleven has been shutout in their last 270’ played—or enough time to watch the Blu-Ray extended edition version of Lord of the Rings: Return of the King (2003) in its entirety. However, in their four previous meetings, Indy Eleven are unbeaten against San Antonio all-time (three wins and one draw, the draw coming on Indy Eleven’s lone visit to Toyota Field back in 2023). San Antonio are also unbeaten in their last 11 (no pun intended) halfitme scorelines while Indy have only led in one of their last 10 halftime scorelines.

I think the hosts get the result this weekend, but do you think Indy Eleven can end their scoring drought tonight? That question will dictate our wager for this evening.

Bet 1: San Antonio halftime win or draw, San Antonio ML (2.00)

Bet 2: San Antonio to score first (1.66)

Bet 3: Indy Eleven under 0.5 team goals (2.62)

Lexington v Monterey Bay

1.55 - 3.75 - 4.75

While it was not a win last week against Tulsa (0-0 scoreline), Lexington have recorded consecutive clean sheet results for the first time in the league since March, and the Kentucky club returns home where they have won three of their last four games in this stadium (including a 3-1 win already over their opponents this week). Monterey Bay, despite their initial turnaround in recent weeks, have seemingly hit a wall again, with no wins in their last three games played in the league. While those matches did not ultimately go in MBFC’s favor, the club only trailed in 67’ out of those 270’ total played. This team can still put up a tough fight on their day and it’s no easy feat getting a result against this California club. That said, I am taking Lexington to win this game as the side has climbed into the heart of the playoff race after toiling away outside the playoff picture to start the season. I cannot see Lexington passing up this opportunity to further cement themselves as a serious contender for the playoff spots.

Bet: Lexington ML (1.55)

Loudoun v Hartford

2.10 - 3.30 - 2.90

It has been a tough season for Loudoun this year, but they managed to find some optimism last week with their second win on the year in a 1-0 result over Indy Eleven away. While Loudoun sit six points out of playoff spot (and five points behind their opponents this week), they currently are still looking for their first home win in the league this season (it reminds me a bit of the 2015 Wilmington Hammerheads campaign that waited until August 8th of that season to get our first home win of the league, but I digress). Hartford meanwhile have gone their last five games in the league without a win and have been shutout in four of those games. Hartford not scored in any of their previous three road matches, is this the opening Loudoun needs for the home faithful at Segra Field to finally be sent home with a win, and possibly bring Loudoun into the playoff conversation?

Hartford has lost their last four visits to Loudoun in fact, dating back to October 2021 the last time they won in Northern Virginia, but Hartford’s road form is the second best in the East at the moment, and their games categorized by low-scoring affairs (just a combined 11 goals seen in those nine games played). This feels like a match Loudoun needs to win or else their chances for a home victory are starting to become fewer and further between (especially with Charleston and New Mexico next on the home schedule after this one). I am going to hesitantly back the hosts to win this one, but I am taking this game to be low-scoring like previous Hartford road games.

Bet 1: Loudoun ML (2.10)

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals (1.95)

Miami v Detroit

3.60 - 3.50 - 1.83

Oh Miami, that was the chance. If the South Beach club were finally going to get a result over their Floridian rivals in the Tampa Bay Rowdies, last week was a golden opportunity. After playing the second half up a player due to a red card on Tampa Bay, Miami could only tie the game with 15’ to play, only to allow a rather silly half-field shot to lose the match 3-2. If there was ever a team who cannot get out of their own way sometimes, it’s Miami FC. Detroit though took a rather baffling result last week themselves, as their long unbeaten run at Keyworth met a startling end as DCFC lost 1-0 to Las Vegas, a team they outshot on the match 12-4. Over the course of a long season, random defeats are bound to happen to even the best of teams, is this possibly reason for concern for Detroit moving forward? That being said, Detroit has only lost to Miami once all-time, back in October 2022, with Pitbull Stadium being the site of two Detroit wins in their last two visits. Detroit has also only lost one of their last five road games played in the league (with just two of those games going BTTS - Yes). Miami has not been shutout in a home game since April so I have to imagine they still find the back of the net in this match though.

Bet: Detroit win or draw, BTTS - Yes (2.15)

Charleston v Brooklyn

1.40 - 4.50 - 6.00

Should I be worried about Charleston? Surely not with Ben Pirmann still at the helm, I trust the Battery gets this winless skid figured out as the Lowcountry club are winless in their last three games played in the league. Perhaps last week, the late conceded goal against Colorado Springs was unfortunate, especially as their gap to Tampa Bay atop the East at the moment continues to slip away, but this is still a talented Charleston team. For Brooklyn, it’s just one win in their last ten games played in the league, with that lone win in that span of time being their only road victory on the season in USLC play. Simply put, I am finding my panic button if Charleston fail to win this match, especially as Detroit and Louisville are close behind and could pass the Battery in the table if results go their way. This really needs to be a Charleston Battery win, and let’s root for the hosts to get back to their high-scoring ways that we remember them from June.

Bet 1: Charleston ML, Over 1.5 Charleston team goals (1.61)

Bet 2: Charleston HT/FT result (2.00)

Bet 3: BTTS - Yes (1.66)

Birmingham v Rhode Island

3.00 - 3.30 - 2.05

Making it nine games in the league without a win, Birmingham lost 2-1 against Louisville, away, on Wednesday this midweek. May 2nd is the last time Birmingham won a match, which came against their opponents this week, Rhode Island (who apparently have Kawhi Leonard as a part-owner now?). Birmingham has been able to score in these games, having found a goal in each of their last seven games (of course each of those games going BTTS - Yes), but they’ve failed to score multiple goals in each of those games as well. Four 1-1 draws, and three 2-1 losses have been the trend for Birmingham in these games. For Rhode Island, they are off the back of consecutive 1-0 wins in the league (against Hartford and Pittsburgh), for their first back-to-back wins since October 2025, and first back-to-back shutout wins since September 2025. Rhode Island’s last four road games have been alternating loss and a win to follow it (and they just recently won their last road game…). All that being considered, Birmingham really needs to break out of this rut that they currently find themselves in at the moment, but with Rhode Island looking to better secure their playoff spot, I’m not sure it will be in this match for the hosts.

Bet 1: Birmingham under 1.5 team goals, BTTS - Yes (3.10)

Bet 2: Rhode Island draw no bet (1.57)

Tampa Bay v Louisville

1.85 - 3.50 - 3.30

I still believe this series has not lost its full glamor of being a marquee matchup that we have seen in years’ past. Louisville, in spite of their struggles this season, are still fighting for a home playoff game in the East, and are off of a win midweek 2-1 over Birmingham. Tampa Bay meanwhile continue to extend their lead atop the Eastern Conference, now a full eight points clear of the three-way points tie that Louisville (along with Charleston and Detroit) finds themselves in. The last three matches between these teams that played at Al Lang Stadium went over 2.5 goals and BTTS - Yes scorelines, with Louisville winning these last two trips. Each of these teams have had BTTS - Yes scorelines in three of their last four games played in the league as well, so let’s pencil that in as one wager we’ll do. But how well do you think this Louisville team is up for the task of taking on the high-flying Tampa Bay Rowdies? The odds favor Tampa Bay, but is the better angle here to play Louisville? It would be a major ask of the Kentucky club to walk out of Al Lang with a win. Weird stat, Louisville has had a draw at halftime of each of their last five games, and have only been leading at half of one of their 17 games played this season.

Bet 1: Draw at halftime (2.25)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes, Tampa Bay win or draw (2.05)

New Mexico v Colorado Springs

2.70 - 3.40 - 2.25

We kept waiting last week for New Mexico’s match against Birmingham to occur, after weather delayed last Friday’s match to Saturday, before ultimately postponing the game entirely (perhaps the scheduling conflict at Birmingham’s Protective Stadium that initially moved that game, worked out for all parties). New Mexico are still on red hot form having won their last three games, and are unbeaten in their last six games in the league. Colorado Springs are carrying excellent form into this match as well, having won three in a row in the league as well, scoring multiple goals in each of those games. Across the 22 meetings of these two Western Conference neighbors, one thing we have not seen however is a Switchbacks win away at New Mexico (seven wins for NMU across nine all-time meetings at Isotopes Park against Colorado Springs). But when these two teams meet, there’s always bound to be goals, as four of the last five games played saw BTTS - Yes scorelines, with the last four games going over 2.5 total goals as well (three of those previous four meetings going over 3.5 total goals). If there is a match to watch this weekend, this is the game to check out!

Bet 1: New Mexico to score first (2.05)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (2.05)

Bet 3: New Mexico draw no bet (2.00)

Oakland v Pittsburgh

2.25 - 3.20 - 2.75

Two teams that look to this match as a chance to end rather poor form that each finds themselves in. I was onboard the Ryan Martin/Oakland Roots hype train to start the season, but Oakland have now lost three games in a row in the league for the first time since March 2025. It’s seen the Roots tumble out of the playoff spots in the West (though it is a very congested Western Conference table). For Pittsburgh, they took a midweek defeat to Tulsa at home on Wednesday, making it three defeats from their last four games played in the league (and the first time since May 2025 that Pittsburgh has lost back-to-back games in the league as well).

In each of their last ten games played, Oakland has yet to be leading at halftime, so perhaps backing the hosts to get a result at the break is a play for us this weekend. Looking to the fulltime outcome, Oakland has one of the highest BTTS - Yes hit rates in the league (70%), so I could see this match having each team finding a goal in this one.

Bet 1: Pittsburgh win or draw halftime (1.40)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes, Draw outcome (4.50)

Bet 3: Oakland 1-1 Pittsburgh correct scoreline bet (6.50)

Orange County v El Paso

2.10 - 3.30 - 2.90

El Paso needed that win last week to give their home fans their first three points since April. Locomotive finds themselves still clinging to a playoff spot in the West by just a single point as it stands. For Orange County, it’s now eight games unbeaten in the league as they have reclaimed the top spot in the West over San Antonio. If OCSC can maintain this momentum, it’s not out of the question that they could take the Players’ Shield away from Tampa Bay (even though I’d still give the edge to the Rowdies). In this series however, Orange County has not beaten El Paso at home since the 2023 USL playoffs, and OC has not scored multiple goals against El Paso in a home game since May 2022. Entering this match, Orange County has yet to trail at halftime of any of their last 12-games played in the league as well, but only five of their last eight games played saw Orange County scoring the opening goal (same figure for El Paso in their last eight games played).

If San Antonio wins on Friday as I have picked above, that puts the pressure on Orange County to match in turn or else they’ll leave this weekend tied on points with San Antonio atop the Western Conference…and I believe Orange County do finally get that first win over El Paso at home since that 2023 playoff match.

Bet 1: Orange County ML (2.10)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals (1.80)

Las Vegas v Phoenix

2.45 - 3.40 - 2.45

Where did that result come from Las Vegas? Keyworth is one of USL’s toughest venues to enter, a stadium no team had left with three points this season, and the Las Vegas Lights win 1-0 away at Detroit last week, the first team to “win to nil” away at Keyworth since October 2025. Phoenix played out a frustrating 0-0 draw with Hartford last week, where they had 20 shots to Hartford’s 9, but had to settle for sharing the points. With both of these teams currently level on 21 points, a win for either side would be massive for their playoff hopes in an incredibly tight Western Conference playoff picture.

Las Vegas remains the Western Conference’s team with the highest BTTS - Yes hit rate (75%), but three of the last four games in this series have been BTTS - No scorelines. Phoenix has not lost away at Las Vegas since June 2022, and that might be our angle to play for this match. The last four Phoenix matches have been draw scorelines at halftime, with Las Vegas having four draw halftime scorelines in their last eight games played. I trust Rising to get the result out of this match that could really be described as a coin flip’s chance for either team.

Bet 1: Draw halftime scoreline (2.25)

Bet 2: Phoenix to score first (1.90)

Sacramento v Jacksonville

1.27 - 5.00 - 8.00

This match might be one of the more lopsided affairs of the weekend. Sacramento are one of the league’s most prestigious clubs, while Jacksonville are the struggling newcomers to USLC. However, Sacramento has taken a while to finally start to play like their reputation expects as a win over Oakland last week extended their unbeaten run in the league to three, the club’s longest such unbeaten run in the league since May. Jacksonville lost 2-0 away at El Paso last week, making it no wins from their nine road games on the season this year. Goals were starting to become more common for Jacksonville prior to that loss to El Paso (having scored in their nine games before that defeat). Perhaps Sacramento having not held a clean sheet in a home match in the league since April 4th is an opening that Jacksonville needs for this match to get a result. That said, Republic should win this one and finally record that first clean sheet at home since April.

Bet 1: Sacramento win to nil (2.00)

Bet 2: Sacramento 2-0 correct scoreline bet (6.50)

USL1

Charlotte v Knoxville

2.10 - 3.50 - 2.80

A clash of two of USL1’s top three sides at the moment! Knoxville enters this game having surprisingly lost two games in a row, a first for the club since June 2024! It shows the pedigree and level of success expected of Knoxville every week. Charlotte, as we predicted last week, got back to winning ways with a 3-1 result over Richmond (after having lost two consecutive games themselves prior to that match). With Omaha ahead of both of these teams, the winner of this match could very well be setting the tone for who is the league’s “leader in waiting.” Despite Charlotte’s success at home this season, my hesitation in picking them fully in this game is that they have only one win over Knoxville in ten previous meetings (coming on May 2025, the last time Knoxville visited Charlotte as well with the four meetings since then being played in Tennessee). For Knoxville, they have not lost three games in a row since that aforementioned June 2024 stint, which would be truly unseen for the defending champions as of late.

I’ve immediately penciled in this game to be over 2.5 total goals, and if your book offers BTTS - Yes bets, I’d say take it as well. That said, I think I am going Austin bold here and picking Charlotte to win (but not covering a -1.5 spread), and giving Knoxville their third consecutive defeat for the first time since 2024.

Bet 1: Charlotte ML (2.10)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals (1.66)

Chattanooga v Spokane

2.10 - 3.25 - 3.00

Chattanooga’s three game winning streak reached an end on Wednesday as they fell in a high-scoring 5-2 loss to Madison. Spokane, who’s manager Leigh Veidman we interviewed on the USL Show this week, have won three games in a row themselves entering this match and are looking for back-to-back road wins for the first time this season (that part might be more of a challenge since the Velocity have only scored four goals away from home all year across seven road matches). Chattanooga meanwhile have won their last four home games as well, and I think that might be the angle we play this weekend in this match. Even though both teams are averaging over 2.5 total goals in games this season, the last four Chattanooga home games have been under 2.5 total goals (and all “win to nil” results in favor of the Red Wolves). Spokane’s travel for road games are well-documented and was spoken to in this week’s interview with Veidman, and I think will play a factor in this match this weekend.

Bet: Chattanooga win or draw, Under 2.5 total goals (2.20)

Greenville v Portland

2.10 - 3.40 - 2.87

Greenville needed that win on Wednesday, 3-2 over Boise at home. It was the most goals they had scored in a match since their last win (3-0 over the NY Cosmos on July 4th). For a Greenville team who has seen more low points than high points this season, that win on Wednesday might be a confidence boosting scoreline. For Portland, they have lost consecutive games for the second time in their last six games played. Both of these teams sit well out of a playoff spot at the moment, a gap of 11 points for Greenville and 8 points for Portland, but perhaps a win this weekend can go a long way in clawing back some respectability towards each team’s playoff chances.

Greenville did not win any of their meetings against Portland last season, with each game going BTTS - Yes and and two of them going over 2.5 total goals as well. Portland’s last eight games in the league have been over 2.5 total goals, as they are one of five teams in USL1 averaging over 3.0 total goals in games this season. I think that will be our wager since the result is a bit of a challenge to predict in my opinion.

Bet: Over 2.5 total goals (1.85)

Richmond v AV Alta

4.00 - 3.75 - 1.66

Well, I was ready to go all in on AV Alta last week, after their win over Knoxville on July 18th did a lot to convince me, only for AV Alta to draw 0-0 with Westchester at home. Richmond of course did as we anticipated they would do when taking on Charlotte, which was adding another a defeat to their miserable season on the record. For AV Alta, this game needs to be a win to get back into the hunt for a home playoff game, especially against a struggling for Richmond team. For the Kickers, it’s now ten games without a win in the league with six times they have failed to score in those games. Richmond fans have not seen their club win a home game since May 1st, with May 30th being the last time Richmond fans saw their team score a goal at City Stadium.

Both sides are averaging under 40% occurrences of scoring the opening goal of their games, and AV Alta lead the league in draws at the moment (as well as having failed to lead at halftime of any of their last four games played). I think AV Alta can get a win from this game, especially at these odds, but I just am getting a gut feeling this game ends with the points shared.

Bet 1: Draw (3.75)

Bet 2: Richmond 0-0 AV Alta correct scoreline bet (12.00)

Fort Wayne v Omaha

2.30 - 3.40 - 2.60

While Charlotte and Knoxville do battle a half hour earlier, Omaha take a trip across the midwest to Fort Wayne in a first ever visit to Ruoff Mortgage Stadium for the two time league champions. With their 2-1 win over Portland last week, Omaha ended a three match losing run in road league games, a result that’s left them atop the league table as it stands. However, well away days challenges be back for Omaha as they prepare to take on a Fort Wayne team who are still unbeaten in the league in their brand new stadium (four wins, three draws, and a goal differential of 13-3 in favor of FWFC). Though Fort Wayne has lost two of their last three games played, I think being back at home is a boost for the Indiana club, but Omaha might be the toughest visitor to this ground in recent memory as far as USL1 opposition goes. It could be worth our while to take a chance on the visitors in this one, at least finding a goal in this match (take BTTS - Yes if you can). But do we go as far as to pick Omaha to get all three points and hand Fort Wayne their first ever home loss in the league?

Bet 1: Over 2.5 total goals (1.65)

Bet 2: Omaha to score first (2.00)

Bet 3: Omaha draw no bet (1.90)

Sarasota v Naples

1.90 - 3.50 - 3.30

For Sarasota, I think this is a match they’ve had circled on their calendar for quite a while, especially since it has been nearly three weeks since their last game! It’s a Florida derby, their first home game against Naples when these clubs have shared USL1 as league opponents…and what a time to run into Naples right now. We’ve documented previously how much of a fall off Naples has been under this season, having lost their last nine games in a row across all competitions (with seven of those games in the league). For Sarasota, they have just one win in their last four games played in USL1 and the last time we saw this team, they were on the losing end of a 5-0 result against Miami in the Cup. All that being said, Sarasota should be the side of these two teams more excited for this game, and until I see Naples put a win on the board to end this losing run, I cannot trust them.

Bet 1: Sarasota ML (1.90)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals (1.95)

Madison v Westchester

1.50 - 4.00 - 5.25

What an unreal run of form Madison has been on as of late, with their 5-2 win over Chattanooga on Wednesday extending their winning streak to five consecutive games in the league. Having scored 14 goals in this run, four of those five wins for Madison have been over 2.5 total goals in the match all hit by Madison on their own. It’s tough to bet against the Wisconsin club right now, especially considering that Westchester has yet to win a road game in the league this season (though their last road win did come against Madison, on June 18th, 2025). Keeping it simple with this one, Madison gets another victory and they themselves might be able to get over 2.5 total goals once again. This is a very fun time to a Madison supporter!

Bet 1: Madison ML (1.50)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals (1.70)

Parlay both: 2.20

Boise v Corpus Christi

1.60 - 3.75 - 4.50

It was a chaotic first half for Boise in their midweek clash with Greenville, as it was 2-2 after a half hour played. However, a second half goal conceded meant that Boise saw their three game winning streak reach a conclusion as they lost 3-2 away at the Triumph. Boise have not been hurting for goals lately, having scored in each of their last nine games played, and perhaps being back in front of their home crowd will be to their benefit. Corpus Christi however has been stout defensively, having recorded back-to-back clean sheets in the league for the first time this season with their 1-0 win over Greenville last week. But, we are still waiting for Corpus Christi’s first road win in the league as they have been outscored 17-7 in those games as well. Boise should get the job done and might even do it in a shutout as well.

Bet: Boise ML (1.60)

USL2 Final:

Flint City Bucks v Vermont Green

2.35 - 3.75 - 2.35

Bet 1: Vermont Green to lift trophy (1.90)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals (1.50)

Sprinkle on game decided after extra time (6.50)

Note, these wagers are offered only on bet365.

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Madison, Boise ML parlay (2.40)

• Charlotte, Loudoun ML parlay (4.51)

• Tampa Bay, Charleston, Lexington ML parlay (4.07)

• San Antonio, Sacramento ML parlay (2.66)

BTTS/Goals Parlay:

• BTTS - Yes parlay: Birmingham v Rhode Island, Tampa Bay v Louisville, Las Vegas v Phoenix (4.50)

• Over 2.5 total goals: Charlotte v Knoxville, Fort Wayne v Omaha, Madison v Westchester (4.67)

Underdog Parlay:

• New Mexico ML, Phoenix win or draw, Omaha win or draw (5.85)

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USLC Parlay: 11.41

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USL1 Parlay: 4.90

Non-USL Related Bets

Other Soccer:

MLS

• NYCFC ML (1.70)

• DC v Nashville under 2.5 total goals (1.95)

• Cincinnati win or draw, BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals

• Miami ML (1.65)

• Philadelphia ML (1.70)

• Kansas City v Houston BTTS - Yes (1.53)

• Portland win or draw, BTTS - Yes (1.95)

• Chicago v Charlotte BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.80)

MLS Player Props

• Robert Lewandowski (CHI) ATGS (1.66)

• Agustin Ojeda (NYC) score or assist (1.80)

• Kevin Denkey (CIN) ATGS (1.80)

• Preston Judd (SJ) score or assist (2.05)

• Timo Werner (SJ) ATGS (2.40)

• Luis Suarez (MIA) ATGS (2.00)

• Casemiro (MIA) 1+ shot on target (1.50)

• Son Heung-Min (LAFC) ATGS (2.75)

Elsewhere

• Supra du Quebec ML (2.20)

• Calvary, Vancouver ML parlay (2.31)

Other Sports:

Friday’s MLB:

• Pirates ML (1.80)

  • Under 8.0 total runs (1.86)

• White Sox at Rays over 8.5 total runs (2.00)

• Braves ML (1.83)

• Rangers at Astros over 7.5 total runs (1.90)

• Brewers, Guardians ML parlay (2.64)

Final Thoughts

I did not expect Javier ‘Chicharito’ Hernandez signing with Atletico Dallas would be something that occurs this USLC season. Atletico Dallas are doing big things in the market, and this move only builds the anticipation for the club entering next season!

I had a chance to see Spider-Man: Brand New Day (2026) yesterday and I quite enjoyed it. I believe it was famous Tottenham fan, Tom Holland’s, best Spider-Man movie in the MCU, so much so that it has found its way into my top ten MCU movies to date (Letterboxd MCU movies ranked list here!). I was also able to watch The Odyssey (2026) today as well. I am not as high on the film as the overall Letterboxd scores had given it (4/5 from me), it still ranks among my top Nolan movies (Nolan’s movies ranked list here), and I’m glad I saw it on the big screen. All things said, I’ve seen 16 movies released in 2026 so far and have compiled a mid-year check-in rankings for those movies here! Excited for the year’s films that lie ahead!

As we move into the month of August, let me know if there would be any interesting in my predictions for the 2026/27 English Premier League season as the start fast approaches. If there would be any interest in college football and/or NFL predictions as well, let me know too! About to be a busy time of the sports calendar!

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The World Cup has come and gone, which leaves the focus of the soccer world back on its biggest league, USL! As the Summer continues onward, we have the heart of the league schedule at the forefront. Teams are starting to make their playoff pushes as the postseason picture for both USLC and USL1 starts to become more clear. Best of luck to your wagers ahead for the weekend!

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, July 24.

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USLC: Detroit win to nil (3.00), Tampa Bay to score first (1.50), Jacksonville v Brooklyn BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (1.83), Rhode Island v Hartford Under 2.5 total goals (1.90), Rhode Island v Hartford BTTS - No (1.83), Phoenix v Monterey Bay BTTS - Yes (1.72)

USL1: Boise ML (1.60), Boise v Portland Over 2.5 total goals (1.60), Charlotte v Chattanooga Over 2.5 total goals (1.70), NY Cosmos v Corpus Christi Draw (3.50), Richmond v Spokane Under 2.5 total goals (1.90), Fort Wayne ML (1.95), Fort Wayne to score first (1.72), Knoxville v AV Alta Draw at halftime (2.30), Westchester win or draw halftime (1.80)

Parlays: Loudoun v Tampa Bay and Jacksonville v Brooklyn BTTS - Yes (2.64), Charlotte v Chattanooga and Omaha v Westchester both over 2.5 total goals (2.67)

Beyond USL: France v England BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (1.66), Mbappe ATGS (1.72), Mbappe to score 2+ goals (4.50), Bellingham goal or assist (2.50), Denis Bouanga (LAFC) ATGS (1.83), Asheville City win or draw (1.80) v Lionsbridge FC, San Francisco City ML (1.75) v FC Tucson, Mercedes race winning car (1.61), Kimi Antonelli race win (2.10), Lance Stroll to be classified - No (2.00), World Cup final Draw at 90’ (3.00), World Cup final First Half 0-0 scoreline (2.62), World Cup final No goal before 32:00 (1.83), World Cup final Under 2.5 total goals in 90’ (1.66), Spain to lift trophy (1.61), Bubba Wallace top ten (2.25), Ty Gibbs top ten (1.62), Carson Hocevar to beat Chris Buescher (1.71), Ty Gibbs to beat Ryan Preece and Chase Briscoe to beat Ross Chastain (2.22)

USL Championship

Birmingham v New Mexico

2.15 - 3.40 - 2.80

Get your USL weekend started with Birimingham v New Mexico. Played at a smaller venue than usual for the Legion, due to a scheduling conflict at Protective Stadium, the unique stadium will provide a closer setting for both clubs to contend with this week. Entering this match, New Mexico has been hot, winning their last four games across all competitions, and no defeats in any competition since May 20th (with five clean sheets in those eight games). Having last week off, Birmingham has not played since July 11th (USL Cup match) and will be looking for their first win in the league since May 2nd (eight matches ago in the league for the Alabama side). However, in that eight match winless run in the league, Birmingham did manage to score in six of those games (their previous six played entering this match)—boasting a BTTS - Yes hit rate of 67% entering this match, compared to New Mexico’s rate of 50%. While Birmingham has only been leading at halftime of one of their last nine games played, there has been six draws at half for the Legion, and five draws at halftime in New Mexico’s last eight played. The change venue I think will create a tough to predict atmosphere for both teams, so I’ll shy away from a fulltime wager for this match—even though these odds are enticing for New Mexico ML.

Bet 1: BTTS - Yes (1.61)

Bet 2: Draw at halftime (2.25)

Brooklyn v San Antonio

2.35 - 3.30 - 2.60

Maybe I need to pump the brakes a bit on the San Antonio hype I gave them last week. I had mentioned how quietly San Antonio has gone about their business this season in getting results, only for SAFC to throw away a halftime 1-0 lead to lose to Las Vegas 2-1. For Brooklyn, they were involved in another high-scoring 2-2 draw with Jacksonville this season, last week coming back from trailing 2-0 at halftime as well. Coming back home though, Brooklyn are looking for their first win in the league at home since April 11th (though there has only been three home games played in the league since then). However, would it be a bold take to say, I could see Brooklyn getting an “upset pick” in this match (even though the odds have them as favorites)? Perhaps my faith in San Antonio last week was misplaced and fading them this week might be the move? Both of these sides are averaging roughly around the 2.5 total goals mark this season, and looking at their first team to score stats has both team averaging a return of first goal in roughly the 40% range. However, San Antonio are the second best team in the league right now in halftime results (averaging 1.81 points per halftime scoreline this year), but I just could see Brooklyn getting a result from this game.

Bet: San Antonio win or draw halftime, Brooklyn win or draw fulltime (2.25)

Detroit v Las Vegas

1.57 - 3.75 - 4.75

Detroit at Keyworth continues to be an near unstoppable atmosphere for any club to enter, as DCFC made it six wins from seven home games this season last week with a 2-0 win over Indy Eleven. With just three goals allowed at home this season, “Detroit win to nil” has been a great prop bet for us this season’s DCFC home games. But can Las Vegas disrupt that trend? The Lights have won their last two road games in the league, with back-to-back wins across all competitions for the first time since June 2025. What did stand out to me when looking at this match was Las Vegas road games has seen a combined 33 total goals scored, and the Lights this season in the league have yet to be shutout on the road as well. But, they have not visited a venue quite like Keyworth, I’m picking Detroit to not only win, but give Las Vegas their first scoreless road game in the league this season.

Bet 1: Detroit win to nil (2.62)

Bet 2: Detroit halftime-fulltime (2.37)

Scoreline Bet: Detroit 2-0 Las Vegas (8.00)

Indy Eleven v Loudoun

1.66 - 3.70 - 4.00

On paper, this might be one of the more even fixtures of the weekend, when it likely should not be as close as I am thinking it might be. Loudoun was able to rescue a 1-1 draw with Tampa Bay last weekend as the side still searches for their second win in the league on the season, while Indy Eleven lost 2-0 away at Detroit last weekend, making it consecutive defeats in the league for the first time since October of last year. The reprieve for Indy Eleven is being back at home where they have yet to lose this season and across seven home games, have only conceded five goals—and when you are a Loudoun team with no wins in any of your last three road games, being outscored 9-3 in that span, that’s an encouraging sign for Indy Eleven as well. Backing the hosts to get back to winning ways and avoid losing three games in a row in the league for the first time since August 2025.

Bet: Indy Eleven ML (1.66)

Bet 2: Indy Eleven over 1.5 team goals, Indy Eleven win or draw at halftime (1.83)

Miami v Tampa Bay

4.33 - 3.70 - 1.61

Is this the biggest matchup of this Floridian Derby between Miami and Tampa Bay? Despite the former’s 2-0 defeat to Colorado Springs on Wednesday of this midweek, they have looked more competent this season than in years’ past, and for the latter, what more praise can we give to Dom Casciato’s Tampa Bay Rowdies that has not already been said? In spite of the Rowdies having a few “banter moments” in their struggles of previous seasons, much out of character to have challenges, they still manage to beat Miami in every meeting—they have not lost to Miami inside 90’ of play since April 2022 (or when Sonic the Hedgehog 2 (2022) was in theaters). That’s a ten match unbeaten run for Tampa Bay where they racked up nine wins since Miami last beat the Rowdies.

But can this time be different? Six of the last seven matches of this series hosted by Miami have seen BTTS/Over 2.5 total goals combinations, all matches won by Tampa Bay. When looking at BTTS - Yes hit rates for both teams this season, each of these sides are just a bit under 50% at the moment, with the average goals on either side of 2.5 (under for Tampa Bay, over for Miami) on the season. But these are rivalry games where anything can happen, and I believe Miami should be up for this match, but the Rowdies are still the Rowdies, and I’m picking the hosts to ultimately prevail in the end.

Bet 1: Tampa Bay ML (1.61)

Bet 2: Tampa Bay to score first, Tampa Bay ML first half (2.30)

Bet 3: BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (2.20)

Pittsburgh v Rhode Island

2.55 - 3.10 - 2.45

A tale of two matches in the week that was for Pittsburgh last week. The Riverhounds went from handing Jacksonville their first win on the season on Wednesday, to scoring the fastest ever hat tricks in USLC history from Trevor Amann on Saturday in a 3-1 win over Louisville on CBS (their first win at home against Louisville as well). Rhode Island meanwhile picked up another derby day victory over Hartford last Saturday, their first clean sheet win in the league since April of this season. Both of these teams currently find themselves on the other side of where they might envision themselves ending the season—Pittsburgh a spot out of a home playoff game, Rhode Island just holding onto a playoff spot. Pittsburgh enter this match with four wins from their last five home games and I believe that plays a factor in this match tomorrow, especially since Pittsburgh have beaten Rhode Island in three of the four total games all-time played at FNB Stadium. The number of goals scored in this match is a tougher to predict angle since both teams are on either side of the 2.5 goals average this year (Rhode Island just below, Pittsburgh above). Sticking to a results wager in this one.

Bet 1: Pittsburgh to score first (2.05)

Bet 2: Pittsburgh win or draw first half, Pittsburgh ML (2.70)

Tulsa v Lexington

2.50 - 3.30 - 2.45

Are Lexington USLC’s most difficult to predict team at the moment? I feel like for every good result they put on the board (wins over Tampa Bay on July 4th, and more recently on Wednesday of this week, 2-0 win over Oakland), they still have a bad scoreline in them (losing 4-2 against neighbors Louisville and losing 4-1 against New Mexico). Still, the Kentucky club are in a playoff spot in the middle of the Summer, which is an upgrade over their standing of last season. Tulsa, while they have won two of their last three home games showing that ONEOK Field can still be a challenging venue on its day, have just those two wins in their last five games played. Less of a guarantee than they were last season, Tulsa have become more a coin flip’s chance on our wagers for them this season. Tulsa have led at halftime of each of their last three league games, well enough for the second best first half team in the West at the moment, but this Lexington I just have a bit more faith in at the moment to get the fulltime result.

Bet 1: Tulsa win or draw halftime, Lexington win or draw fulltime (2.37)

Bet 2: Tulsa to score first (2.00)

Colorado Springs v Charleston

2.15 - 3.40 - 2.75

For as tough a place to visit as Colorado Springs’ Weidner Field is, the club has not won three consecutive home matches since their run to the 2024 league title through the playoffs, but a victory over the Charleston Battery tomorrow would see the Switchbacks winning three games in a row at home for the first time since they last lifted silverware. In recent weeks, Colorado Springs have quietly moved back into the race for a home playoff game in the West, with three wins of their last five games played in the league. For Charleston, it’s been two matches in the league without a win and the Battery will be looking to avoid going three consecutive games in the league without a win for the first time since April. One concern I have for Charleston is their road form, which is just two wins from eight road games played in USLC matches, and a whopping 15 goals allowed away from home this year. All of that culminates in five defeats on the road this season—not to mention Charleston has not won either of their previous two visits to Colorado Springs since 2022.

This coincides with the Switchbacks being the second best team in the West at the moment in home games (only behind San Antonio). But, the Switchbacks have lost two of their last four home games played as well, so perhaps that is the opening the Battery need for this game. An astounding 11 matches (of 15 played) for Colorado Springs has been tied at halftime as well, which feels like a wager we should certainly do, but how well do you expect Charleston to do away from home will dictate your wager for this one.

Bet 1: Draw at halftime (2.30)

Bet 2: Colorado Springs to score first (1.80)

Bet 3: BTTS - Yes (1.61)

El Paso v Jacksonville

1.42 - 4.20 - 6.25

Are Jacksonville alive now? After beating Pittsburgh midweek last Wednesday, they followed that performance up with a 2-2 draw against Brooklyn on the weekend where they let three points slip away after leading 2-0 at halftime. To Jacksonville’s credit, it’s three matches unbeaten at the moment, and they have not been shutout in any of their last nine games played in the league (each game going BTTS - Yes and over 2.5 total goals of course). For El Paso, with just one win in their last eight games played across all competitions, this match really needs to be a win for me not to get worried about the Locomotive’s current state. From the start, this game should be BTTS - Yes and Over 2.5 total goals (both teams are averaging BTTS - Yes hit rates above 70% on the year, and each team’s total goals scored per match is above 3.0 as well). Surely this needs to be an El Paso win, especially for a fanbase that has not seen a home victory in the league since April 4th (which has given El Paso the worst home record in USLC league matches at the moment). There is a possibility, depending on results, that Locomotive could be just one point above last place in the West after this weekend, simply unthinkable for a team who opened the season winning four of their first five games played in the league.

Bet 1: BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (2.00)

Bet 2: El Paso ML (1.42)

Monterey Bay v Orange County

2.10 - 3.30 - 2.90

A meeting of first in the West (Orange County) against the current bottom of the conference (Monterey Bay). Monterey Bay had a high-scoring, but ultimately heartbreaking, loss to Phoenix in the league last week while Orange County was able to rest idle during that matchweek. One stat standing out to me currently is that Orange County has just one defeat on the road this season in the league across 10 road games played—but Monterey Bay might not be so easily beaten now as they were at the start of the season as MBFC have won their last four home games played in the league as well (and have beaten Orange County in each of their last two visits away at Monterey Bay as well). You have to go back to April 2024 to find the last time Orange County beat Monterey Bay, and October 2023 the last time OC won away at MBFC. Could there be an angle in Monterey Bay getting a result in this match, or should we go with the sensible choice and pick Orange County? I think hosts might stick around with Orange County for a half, but I think Orange County do see out the result in the end.

Bet 1: Draw first half (2.20)

Bet 2: Orange County win or draw fulltime, Orange County to score first (2.20)

Possible sprinkle on BTTS - Yes for this match though (1.80 odds)

Oakland v Sacramento

2.37 - 3.20 - 2.70

The second of two California derbies on Saturday evening, arguably the more intriguing of the two as these two Northern California neighbors prepare to do battle in the heart of the Western Conference playoff picture. Sacramento last week were able to grind out a 1-1 draw with Charleston despite the man deficit they ended the match on, while Oakland sat idle last week. One possible lean towards Oakland’s favor this week is that Sacramento has won just one game away from home all season in the league (June 13th at Colorado Springs). However, Oakland are looking for their first home win since May 9th, having not won any of their five home games across all competitions since then—and that’s including a 1-0 win for Sacramento at the Coliseum in the USL Cup back on May 16th as well. Historically speaking, Republic has always seemed to have Oakland’s number as well, carrying an unbeaten streak of four consecutive games in this series entering this match. While Oakland has one of the higher BTTS - Yes hit rates in the league at the moment at 73%, I think if Oakland do get a result out of this one, it will be through a scoring draw. But there’s something about Sacramento in this series where it’s tough to count them out.

Bet: BTTS - Yes, Sacramento win or draw (2.40)

Phoenix v Hartford

1.83 - 3.50 - 3.60

Phoenix needed that win last week over Monterey Bay, to end a six match winless skid across all competitions. While they are still occupying a playoff spot at the moment, the slip down the table had become a point of concern for me. Meanwhile Hartford found themselves on the familiar end of a derby day match against Rhode Island, losing 1-0 on the road. Having to follow-up that tough contest with a trip across the country to the desert to play Phoenix. However, Hartford are the East’s second best road team this season, taking on Phoenix who’s performances at home this season have been rather hit and miss. When looking at the stats, Hartford have been averaging under 2.0 total goals per game this season and their BTTS - Yes hit rate is the lowest in USLC at the moment at 27%. Not to mention in the three previous meetings of these clubs all-time, Phoenix has not lost to Hartford in any of those games.

Bet 1: Phoenix ML (1.83)

Bet 2: Phoenix to score first, Hartford under 1.5 team goals (1.95)

USL1

Charlotte v Richmond

1.38 - 4.50 - 6.00

Well these last two games have not gone as expected for Charlotte lately. It was a tough 4-2 loss to Chattanooga last weekend, only to follow it up with a bad 3-0 defeat against Spokane (albeit a tough place to visit) on Wednesday of this midweek. It’s the first time that the Independence have lost back-to-back games in the league since April, and the first time since the end of last season that they have gone three matches without a win. However, there might not be a better team to face in USL1 when you are low on confidence, than the Richmond Kickers at the moment. Richmond are off of a loss to Spokane as well (2-0 last weekend) and have not scored a goal in the league in the last 5.5 hours—or nearly enough time to watch the first three movies of the Star Trek: The Original Series cast (Motion Picture, Wrath of Khan, and Search for Spock) in their entirety. Richmond also did not score in either of their two visits to the Queen City last season as well, with the Independence having scored multiple goals against Richmond in each of their last three games played (all Charlotte wins too).

If the Independence do not win this game, I would be rather curious as to how the team has fallen off in these recent weeks, but I expect Charlotte to get it right in this game against a hapless Richmond team.

Bet 1: Charlotte -1.5 spread (1.975)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals (1.44)

Chattanooga v Knoxville

2.20 - 3.30 - 2.80

A Smokey Mountain, Tennessee derby matchday tomorrow night! This series has been characterized by dominance for the home team, with the home side avoiding defeat in each of the last seven meetings of this series. Furthermore, these games are always tightly contested with seven of the last eight meetings of Knoxville and Chattanooga going under 2.5 total goals (50% of games being BTTS - No as well). Despite the loss to AV Alta last week, Knoxville are still a talented team, and Chattanooga looked much more like the Scott McKenzie team we are used to seeing with their 4-2 win over Charlotte last week as well.

I think this is my game to watch of the weekend in USL1 and Knoxville have not been trailing at halftime of any of their last six games played, though Chattanooga has only been behind at half in one of their last ten games played. While both teams are averaging over 2.5 total goals this season in matches, I just get the feeling we are following the historical trends and this game will be low-scoring much like the recent contests of this series. Should be a fun, compelling fixture to watch!

Bet 1: Draw halftime-Draw fulltime (5.50)

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals (1.85)

Bet 3: Chattanooga 1-1 Knoxville correct scoreline bet (7.00)

NY Cosmos v Boise

3.50 - 3.70 - 1.80

I’m back fading the NY Cosmos again, after the side took a heavy 3-0 defeat to neighbors Westchester on Wednesday, and especially so with Boise coming to town. Boise are off of a massive 2-1 come from behind win over Portland last Friday. It’s three wins from their last four games played for Boise entering this match as well, while the Cosmos are just one win their last eleven games played. While Boise’s road form might be a bit of cause for concern (just two road wins this year, each by a score of 1-0), the Cosmos’ recent home form has seen the club shutout in two of their last three games at Hinchcliffe Stadium (and having failed to score multiple goals at home in each of their last four home games). I believe Boise should win this one, but I question how many goals they could manage against the league’s worst defense. Going with a simple wager on this one (maybe it should be draw no bet though…).

Bet: Boise ML (1.80)

Madison v Naples

1.60 - 3.90 - 4.33

It is full fade time for Naples, as the Floridian club have lost their last eight games in a row across all competitions, including be shutout in four of those games played. What was a semifinal playoff appearance for Naples last season, has simply not gone to plan this year after a change of manager. Naples finds themselves nine points out of a playoff spot currently, and nine points behind their opponents this week in Madison. Madison meanwhile are unbeaten in their last six games played across all competitions, including five wins in that run and are fresh off a derby day win over Richmond 4-0 a little over a week ago. Simply put, I do not see the current poor run of form for Naples ending anytime soon, and given the form Madison are on currently, it would be foolish not to back them in this match. Going heavy on Madison in this one.

Bet 1: Madison halftime/fulltime (2.40)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals (1.75)

Bet 3: Madison -1.5 spread (2.50)

Corpus Christi v Greenville

2.05 - 3.40 - 3.00

Draws have been a specialty of Corpus Christi in the league this year as they picked up their seventh draw on the season, making them currently the only club with more draws than wins in the league this year as it stands. For Greenville, they have been a club tough to predict on a given week, just when you think the side has a result that’s turned around their form (like 3-0 over the Cosmos earlier in the month), they’ll put out a scoreline that makes me worried for them again, which was the case last week with a 3-0 defeat away at Fort Wayne. Greenville also only has one win on the road this season, while CCFC are unbeaten in their last six home games in the league (four of those games going BTTS - Yes). In four of those six home games, Corpus Christi also scored the opening goal as well. Not sure if I am entirely confident on the hosts to walk away as winners of this match, but the Triumph are struggling away from home this year that I am willing to take a chance given these odds.

Bet 1: Corpus Christi ML (2.05)

Bet 2: Corpus Christi to score first (1.80)

Spokane v Fort Wayne

1.80 - 3.50 - 3.75

Just like that, my possible worries over fading Spokane, have vanished a bit, as the Velocity have won two consecutive games and moved back into a home playoff spot for the time being (and have a massive 3-0 win over Charlotte on Wednesday as well). Fort Wayne picked up a 3-0 win themselves last time out, against Greenville last weekend. Both of these teams are a game or less in terms of points above the playoff cutline at the moment. While Fort Wayne’s road record has been perfectly balanced (as all things should be…as Thanos would say) at 3-3-3 (with 11 goals for and allowed), Spokane’s home record is the best in USL1 at the moment (8 wins and 2 defeats). Getting to Spokane makes this one of the most difficult away days in USL1 for any visiting team, and that might play a factor for Fort Wayne in this match (even if they beat Spokane 3-0 on July 4th recently). The visitors might very well find a goal, and Spokane did have those two home defeats come within their last four home games (where they outshot Madison and Knoxville only to lose both games by a combined score of 5-0). If Fort Wayne can be defensively stout, they have a chance, but I think I still have to side with the hosts here.

Bet 1: Spokane ML (1.80)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals (1.72)

AV Alta v Westchester

1.80 - 3.70 - 3.40

Close out your USL1 evening with this cross country battle of Westchester making the trek to California to take on AV Alta. As discussed on The USL Show this week, AV Alta’s 3-2 win away at Knoxville last week might have been the result I needed to be truly convinced by this team. While their nine-match unbeaten run in the league was impressive in its own right, I kept waiting for this AV Alta team to run into a top quality side of the league, but between Omaha, Charlotte and Knoxville, they’ve taken four points against those top three teams of the league in the month of July. It’s brought AV Alta to just one point behind Spokane for the top four, and two points behind Charlotte for the top three. I think I can officially say I have been more convinced of AV Alta now. Westchester meanwhile ended their four game winless run with a massive derby day victory over the NY Cosmos on Wednesday, 3-0 (their largest margin of victory in a match where they also recorded a shutout since June 14th).

The story of this game for me is that Westchester are still searching for their first road win of the season in the league and have allowed 17 goals in their eight road games this season (three of those games being 1-0 scorelines, with Westchester shutout in five road games this year). If AV Alta can score the opening goal (something they have only done with 39% hit rate this season), that might be enough to see out the result for the hosts.

Bet 1: AV Alta ML (1.80)

Bet 2: AV Alta 2-0 Westchester correct scoreline wager (11.00)

USL2 Playoffs:

Flint City Bucks v Peoria City

1.65 - 4.00 - 3.75

Bet: Flint City Bucks ML (1.65)

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Charlotte, Madison ML parlay (2.20)

• AV Alta, Spokane ML parlay (3.24)

• Detroit, Tampa Bay, Indy Eleven ML parlay (4.23)

• El Paso, Phoenix ML parlay (2.60)

BTTS/Goals Parlay:

• Charlotte v Richmond and Madison v Naples over 2.5 total goals, Chattanooga v Knoxville under 2.5 total goals (4.67)

• Indy Eleven v Loudoun, Miami v Tampa Bay, and El Paso v Jacksonville all over 2.5 total goals (4.47)

• BTTS - Yes: Colorado Springs v Charleston, Oakland v Sacramento, Phoenix v New Mexico (4.81)

• BTTS - Yes: Birmingham v New Mexico, BTTS - No: Detroit v Las Vegas (3.08)

Underdog Parlay:

• Pittsburgh win or draw, Orange County win or draw, Sacramento win or draw (3.46)

• Lexington win or draw, Knoxville win or draw (2.23)

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USLC Parlay: 12.89

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USL1 Parlay: 3.79

Non-USL Related Bets

Other Soccer:

MLS

• NY Red Bulls v Charlotte BTTS - Yes, NYRB win or draw (1.90)

• Columbus v Cincinnati BTTS - Yes, Over 3.5 total goals (2.05)

• Miami ML (2.15)

• NYCFC v Chicago parlay: BTTS - Yes, Nicolas Fernandez Mercau and Robert Lewandowski 1+ shot on target each (2.40)

• Orlando v Nashville: BTTS - Yes, Nashville win or draw (2.00)

• Philadelphia ML (2.10)

• Houston v Austin Draw (4.00)

• LAFC -2.5 spread (2.50)

• San Jose ML (1.85)

• Portland v Real Salt Lake Draw (3.75)

MLS Player Props

• Son Heung-Min (LAFC) ATGS (1.66)

• Antoine Griezmann (ORL) ATGS (2.50)

• Evander (CIN) ATGS (2.50)

• Milan Iloski (PHI) ATGS (2.62)

• Preston Judd (SJ) ATGS (2.05)

• Timo Werner (SJ) to assist (4.00)

Elsewhere

• Cavalry ML v Vancouver FC (2.00)

• Atletico Ottawa, Forge FC ML parlay (2.40)

• AC Milan ML v Celtic (2.35)

• Tottenham ML, Over 3.5 total goals v Auckland FC (2.20)

  • Mateus Fernandes ATGS (3.50)

  • Luca Williams-Barnet ATGS (2.75)

Other Sports:

Formula 1 - Hungarian Grand Prix

Grand Prix picks are made prior to qualifying.

Race:

• Ferrari race winning car (1.61)

• Antonelli Podium Finish (1.57)

• Lerclerc race win (3.00)

• Hamilton to finish P2 (3.60)

  • Note, Leclerc top two finish is 1.80, Hamilton is 1.90 if you want a safer angle

• Sergio Perez to be classified - No (3.25)

• Aston Martin 1 classified driver (2.30)

NASCAR - Brickyard 400 at Indianapolis Motor Speedway

Picks are made prior to odds being published for all options.

Manufacturer Plays:

• Top Chevy: Kyle Larson

• Top Ford: Ryan Blaney

• Top Toyota: Denny Hamlin

Placement Bets:

• Kyle Larson top five finish

• Ryan Blaney top five finish

• Todd Gilliland top ten finish

• Bubba Wallace top ten finish

• Carson Hocevar top ten finish

Outright Win Bets:

• Denny Hamlin (4.50)

• Christopher Bell (10.00)

Final Thoughts

For some infrequent Marvel thoughts: X-Men ‘97 has been in an excellent second season and has been moving at a quick pace in its story. With just three episodes to go in the season, I am excited to see how this season reaches its conclusion, especially since it has been green-lit for a fourth season (and has ambitions for possibly ten seasons!). The newest Avengers: Doomsday trailer looked interesting. While I am still a bit more cautiously optimistic for the film, this trailer did a lot to convince me it will be good come December. Lastly, super excited to watch Spider-Man: Brand New Day next week!

In other watches lately, Jon Bois of Secret Base has been doing an excellent series this summer on “The History of Charging the Mound” and the latest episode six might be the best one of the series so far!

I surpassed 300 total miles run in 2026 this morning, which is well ahead of the pace of miles run in a calendar year than where I was at this point in 2025. With a goal of at least 35 miles run every month, it has been a very good year of running thus far!

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With the conclusion of the Prinx Tire USL Cup group stage (and the quarterfinals of that competition scheduled for August), we are back, fully-focused on the league seasons for USLC and USL1. The middle of the Summer are the matches where teams can really cement their spot as league favorites, to playoff hopefuls, to teams maybe looking towards the off-season already. There are still angles to play for our wagers on a busy sports weekend ahead. Best of luck to your bets!

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, July 17th.

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USL Cup: Pittsburgh win or draw, Under 2.5 total goals (2.50), Hartford ML (1.30), Charleston v Charlotte Over 2.5 total goals (1.57), Fort Wayne win or tie halftime, Detroit win or tie fulltime (2.30), Miami ML (1.83), Tampa Bay -1.5 (1.75), Madison v Omaha Over 2.5 total goals (1.61), Lexington to score first (2.60), Louisville v Lexington Over 2.5 total goals (1.61), Corpus Christi to score first (2.05), Corpus Christi v Knoxville Draw at 90’ (4.00), New Mexico ML (2.40), New Mexico to score first (1.90), San Antonio ML (1.33), Boise v Sacramento Under 2.5 total goals (2.25)

Parlays: San Antonio, Hartford, Tampa Bay ML parlay (2.22), Charleston v Charlotte, Madison v Omaha, Louisville v Lexington Over 2.5 total goals (4.10), Hartford v Westchester, Portland v NY Cosmos Over 2.5 total goals (2.14), Pittsburgh v Loudoun and Boise v Sacramento Under 2.5 total goals (4.83)

Beyond USL: England to qualify, BTTS - Yes (2.50), Nyland (NOR) 4+ saves, Pickford (ENG) 2+ saves (2.15), Kobel (SUI) 4+ saves (1.72), Top Ford: Ryan Blaney (3.40), Top Toyota: Christopher Bell (5.50), Ryan Blaney top five finish (2.80), Carson Hocevar top ten finish (1.90), Carson Hocevar H2H v Austin Cindric (2.00), Christopher Bell H2H v Brad Keselowski (1.80), William Byron H2H v Chase Briscoe (1.80), Ty Gibbs H2H v Chris Buescher (2.00), Ryan Blaney H2H v Kyle Larson (1.76)

USL Championship

Pittsburgh v Louisville

2.90 - 3.20 - 2.15

Oh Pittsburgh, what are you doing? Someone was eventually going to be the team to give up the first win to the languishing expansion side, Sporting Jax, but the reigning USLC champions to do it is a surprise (and shows how chaotic this league can be on any given weekend). For Louisville, perhaps their demise was greatly exaggerated, as the Kentucky club are unbeaten in their last six games across all competitions, with three shutouts, and are off the back of a huge 4-2 win over in-state neighbors Lexington at home last week in the cup. Despite what was a tough May for Louisville, they seem to have turned things around.

Looking to this early lunchtime kickoff on Saturday, Louisville are actually on an unbeaten run of 12 consecutive games at FNB Stadium against Pittsburgh (which are all visits for Louisville to this ground). Though Pittsburgh won 1-0 away at Louisville back in May when last these clubs faced, this historical run of form has to be impressive for Louisville City and is why I am leaning towards backing them to continue it this weekend. If you’re Pittsburgh, how do you respond after losing to the league’s worst side for their first victory on the season?

Bet 1: Louisville ML (2.15)

Bet 2: Pittsburgh under 1.5 team goals, Louisville win or draw halftime, and win or draw fulltime (1.66)

Detroit v Indy Eleven

1.80 - 3.25 - 4.00

A clash of teams on the cusp of the home field advantage playoff line at the moment (and two sides who both have yet to lose at home in the league this season). Indy Eleven had a midweek match that resulted in a defeat to Miami on Wednesday, making it eight consecutive road matches across all competitions this year without a win. Detroit enter this match unbeaten in their last six games over all competitions played, and I believe will extend that run in this game as well. The “key” to this match for me has to be Keyworth Stadium, until I see a team enter this ground and leave with three points, it is really tough to back the visitors in any game here—particularly since Indy Eleven has not won here since March 2023 (the only road game they’ve scored a goal in at Keyworth as well).

Bet: Detroit win to nil (3.00)

Loudoun v Tampa Bay

4.75 - 4.00 - 1.53

I know I’ve spoken in the past about Loudoun being just around the corner of turning their form around (as the Northern Virginia club extends their winless run to six games across all competitions). That being said, Tampa Bay is not the team you want to face when you are in dire need of improving results. While the Rowdies have taken a bit of a wobble in recent weeks (just two wins from their last five in all competitions played), this is still a very talented Tampa Bay team. When these sides met back in March, it was Tampa Bay winning 3-1 at Al Lang, which actually ended a four match unbeaten run for Loudoun against the Rowdies, so they can prove to be a frustrating team to beat, especially this season (BTTS - Yes hit rates for Loudoun games this year are at 71%). However, I believe these odds are good for the Rowdies and though this game might be a challenge, I think it’s worth picking Tampa Bay here to win their first match at Segra Field since 2023.

Bet 1: Tampa Bay ML (1.53)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (2.05)

Bet 3: Tampa Bay to score first (1.50)

Jacksonville v Brooklyn

2.70 - 3.50 - 2.20

Well done Jacksonville, that’s your first win of the league season on the board! It was a 2-1 win over Pittsburgh on Wednesday to give the Floridian club their first three point result of the season. While Sporting Jax are still adrift at the bottom of the league, it’s only five points back of their opponents this weekend, fellow 2026 expansion team, Brooklyn FC. For the visitors, it’s only one loss in their last six games played across all competitions (including a rain-shortened 2-2 draw with Jacksonville at the start of this streak). However, Brooklyn are still searching for their first road win in the league this season and that might very well play into Jacksonville’s hands to get a second consecutive win. That being considered, each of these teams are averaging over 2.5 total goals on the season per game, have BTTS - Yes hit rates nearly identical (roughly 66%), so picking this match to be BTTS/over2.5 goals is an initial first move for me. Beyond that, I think taking Brooklyn to score first and to be leading or tied at halftime should be our other wagers here.

Bet 1: BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (1.83)

Bet 2: Brooklyn to score first (1.80)

Bet 3: Brooklyn win or draw at halftime (1.36)

Parlay Bets 2 & 3: 1.86

Charleston v Sacramento

1.83 - 3.25 - 3.80

There are not many teams in USLC that can say they have Charleston’s number, but the Sacramento Republic are one of those sides. The California club have yet to be shutout against Charleston in their five previous meetings (while also leading the series with three wins, a draw and one defeat). However, both of these teams are in very different places this season than years’ past. Neill Collins’ Republic side has looked inconsistent in recent weeks, having not won consecutive games in all competitions since May, and have also lost three of their last four road games in all competitions. For Charleston, though they exited the USL Cup last week, the goal now for the club should be fully focused on chasing down Tampa Bay for first in the East (and maybe even the Players’ Shield). Though we have seen Sacramento enter the Lowcountry before and leave with a win (2022), this Battery team still has yet to lose at home this season, and in each home match, and has trailed for a collective 38’ across all matches played at home this season. Sacramento has also yet to be leading at halftime of a road game this season, so I take us leaning on the home atmosphere for Charleston in our bets for this match.

Bet 1: Charleston to score first (1.66)

Bet 2: Charleston win or draw halftime, Charleston ML (1.90)

Rhode Island v Hartford

1.70 - 3.40 - 4.33

It’s always a joy when these two USLC New England rivals can meet on the pitch, and this weekend’s matchup is the third such meeting in 2026—with Rhode Island unbeaten in the two previous matches this season. Hartford advanced to the knockouts of the USL Cup last week, another chance to defend their trophy from last season, while both of these sides are jockeying for the final playoff spots in the league (Rhode Island currently on the outside looking in, with Hartford just above the playoff line). Both of these teams’ statlines make this match tough to call: BTTS - Yes hit rates are opposite (Rhode Island at 77% to Hartford’s 28%), Hartford getting the first goal is the second lowest in the league save for Jacksonville (28%), even total goals is in opposite directions with Rhode Island averaging 3.15 to Hartford’s league low 1.79.

I will be leaning on Rhode Island here from the fact that Hartford has still yet to beat their neighbors in a road match inside 90’ in their seven previous meetings. If Rhode Island can grab the opening goal, that might be enough to win it.

Bet 1: Under 2.5 total goals (1.90)

Bet 2: Draw halftime, Rhode Island win or draw fulltime (2.50)

Bet 3: BTTS - No (1.83)

Tulsa v El Paso

1.90 - 3.50 - 3.25

The headline grabbing story last week for El Paso was the debut of Cristo Fernandez in Locomotive’s USL Cup defeat to New Mexico. As the focus returns to the league, we shall see the impact the former ‘Ted Lasso’ star will have on a Locomotive team who have won just one of their last nine league games (but will be looking for their first back-to-back wins in the league since April). For Tulsa, this recent run of form has me starting to question if we should start fading the reigning West champions. It’s just one win in their last six games across all competitions (a 2-0 win over Monterey Bay). It’s not out of the question that Tulsa could be outside the playoff picture by the end of this weekend if this match does not break their way. For two teams needing results to get out of a rut, I have to imagine both sides are encouraged to go for goal in this game, which leads me to initially pick BTTS - Yes in this match (which has happened in the last three meetings of these two teams, and El Paso have scored in each of the last four meetings versus Tulsa). However with both teams struggling for wins right now, leaning the way of a scoring draw in this match.

Bet 1: Draw (3.50)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes (1.66)

Parlay both: 4.75

San Antonio v Las Vegas

2.05 - 3.30 - 3.00

San Antonio feels like the most ‘under the radar’ good team in the league at the moment. We have rarely given the Texan club their proper plaudits it feels on the USL Show at times, but like Louisville of years’ past, they just quietly keep getting the job done with results, currently just one defeat in their last nine games. While the performances might not have been convincing entirely, getting the result is hard to deny. For Las Vegas, it’s starting to look like a typical Lights season where they are involved in some chaotic games (having one of the league’s highest BTTS - Yes hit rates at 78%, and are averaging at 3.43 total goals per game), but are languishing in the bottom portion of the West. To their reprieve, a lot of the West right now are clustered together and one week can change a teams’ fortunes quickly. However, this is a Las Vegas team who has not won any of their six previous visits to San Antonio, and have not scored multiple goals against San Antonio since a 4-2 win in October 2019 (nine meetings ago). Backing the hosts to keep the Lights at bay, in a match where I’d like to see San Antonio put in a convincing performance.

Bet 1: San Antonio win or draw, Las Vegas under 1.5 team goals (1.57)

Bet 2: Draw halftime (2.20)

Phoenix v Monterey Bay

1.65 - 3.70 - 4.00

Both teams taking defeats in their last group stage of the USL Cup might not be the result they wanted, but it may very well be a blessing in disguise for each of these teams to return focus on the league. For Phoenix, they have lost five of their last six games (and six of their last eight), having not won a match since May 30th (2-0 over Sacramento). To Phoenix’s credit, while the results have not been there as of late, they have scored in each of their last four games, only to be let down by their defense (Phoenix have been outscored 6-10 in their last four games across all competitions). While Monterey Bay have been on the upswing in recent weeks, just two defeats in their last eight games played across all competitions (only being shutout twice in that time). A win in this match (or a result in this game and Las Vegas failing to get a result) could see Monterey Bay not at the bottom of the table for the first time all season…and I think that will be what happens.

Monterey Bay have strangely been a thorn in the side of Phoenix historically, having won three of their last four meetings, with two of those games being BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals too. These odds are enticing for a Monterey Bay ML pick, but I think I will keep it simple and have Monterey Bay getting a result as one wager, and trusting another BTTS - Yes performance from both teams as the other (a coin flip’s percentage chance for both teams this season stats wise).

Bet 1: Monterey Bay win or draw (2.10)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes (1.72)

Parlay both: 3.10

USL1

Boise v Portland

1.60 - 3.90 - 4.33

We get our USL weekend started with a Friday night showdown between AC Boise and Portland Hearts of Pine, a first ever meeting between these two sides. If Portland were the template for new expansion teams to follow, Boise are working hard to follow that blueprint themselves, and possibly take it to the next level (“Raising Your Game” anyone…?). A massive 2-0 win over USLC’s Sacramento in the Cup has to be a confidence booster for the hosts who, after a tough May and June, are seemingly back to winning ways with three wins from their last four games played, all three wins being shutout victories. For Portland, they are unbeaten in their last three games played across all competitions, and have scored in their last 11 consecutive games as well. Immediately, that jumps out to me to pick this match going over 2.5 total goals, something both teams are currently averaging in total goals per match this season thus far (Boise at 2.88, Portland at 3.20). The concern for me lies in Portland’s road form on the season, especially for these long cross-country flights which are never easy for any road team in USL1. Backing the hosts to get the job done throwing themselves back into the race for a home playoff game with the result as well.

Bet 1: Boise ML (1.60)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals (1.60)

Charlotte v Chattanooga

1.95 - 3.50 - 3.20

To start our Saturday USL1 slate, fresh off their penalties win over Charleston, and advancement to the USL Cup quarterfinals, we have Charlotte hosting Chattanooga. “When in doubt, trust in the Independence” has almost become a betting mantra of mine as of late, as Charlotte are unbeaten in their last 14 games (including ten wins) across all competitions. 11 of those games have gone BTTS - Yes (showing Charlotte’s USL1 high 85% hit rate on BTTS - Yes matches, if your sportsbook offers it, take it). Chattanooga has played the fewest games in the league by a fair margin versus everyone else save for Greenville, as they sit on the outside of the playoff picture. Despite that, only three teams have conceded fewer goals than this Red Wolves team (Knoxville, Madison and Fort Wayne), showing how tough of a team they can be. When last these clubs met in May, Charlotte had to work for a 3-2 win over Chattanooga, putting up 25 shots in the process for the Independence.

Back in front of their home fans, I think Charlotte has a much easier task ahead of them in this one as I will continue to back the Independence until they lose. ML is an initial pick, but consider Charlotte to cover the spread in this one as well.

Bet 1: Charlotte ML (1.95)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals (1.70)

Bet 3: Charlotte -1.5 (3.45)

NY Cosmos v Corpus Christi

2.30 - 3.50 - 2.55

For the first time since April, the Cosmos have avoided defeat in two consecutive matches. While they ultimately lost on penalties to Portland in the USL Cup group stage last time out, these performances are needed for a struggling Cosmos team. Corpus Christi, a team I mentioned a few weeks ago as my “team to buy” in USL1, have lost just one of their last six games played (their lone road game in those last six games played as well). It’s a good thing someone is hosting this match as both of these sides are still searching for their first road victory on the year…however the Cosmos’ home record is the second worst in USL1 this season (save for only Richmond behind them). Corpus Christi themselves have not only lost their last three road games across all competitions, but have been outscored 8-1 in that time as well. This match might honestly be one that gets the “toughest to predict” moniker this week…which leads to only one possible result to predict for this game.

Bet: Draw (3.50)

Richmond v Spokane

3.30 - 3.40 - 1.95

Derby day defeats will happen sometimes for every team, but Richmond’s 0-4 loss to Madison on Wednesday in the Henny Derby was their worst ever scoreline against the Wisconsin club. For a Kickers team low on confidence and no wins in their last eight games played in the league (a streak dating back to May), it’s tough to see an end to this poor run of form. However, their opponents this weekend, Spokane Velocity, are still searching for their first road win on the season, and have scored the fewest road goals (two across six road games) all season in USL1. To consider the history, Spokane are five wins and one defeat in six previous meetings with Richmond and have won twice at City Stadium already.

With both teams averaging under 2.5 total goals on the season, I think we might be in for a low-scoring affair on Saturday night, and I just don’t have enough confidence in either side to inspire a feeling of a ML wager here.

Bet 1: Draw (3.40)

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals (1.90)

Scoreline wager: 0-0 (10.00)

Fort Wayne v Greenville

1.95 - 3.40 - 3.25

Well, what was shaping up to be a really intriguing match on Wednesday certainly started that way between Fort Wayne and Knoxville, after a red card just three seconds into the match put the Indiana club down to ten players early. Even though Knoxville got a red card themselves later in the match, it would not be enough for Fort Wayne to overcome as they fell midweek 2-1 against Knoxville. That defeat on Wednesday ended Fort Wayne’s 11-match unbeaten run in the league that had lasted since April, but back at home, Fort Wayne will look to start a new streak against a struggling Greenville team. Though Greenville have back-to-back clean sheets in the league for the first time since October of last season, the South Carolina club finds themselves adrift of a playoff spot by nine points already, and just one win away from home in the league this season (against fellow USL1 struggling side, NY Cosmos).

Each of these clubs’ BTTS - Yes hit rates are among the lowest in the league—Fort Wayne at 47% and Greenville at a league low 38%. Not to mention Fort Wayne are still unbeaten at home in USL1 play this season, having scored the opening goal in five of those matches (with one 0-0 scoreline). Eventually Fort Wayne will lose a home match this season, but I don’t think it will come against Greenville.

Bet 1: Fort Wayne ML (1.95)

Bet 2: Fort Wayne to score first (1.72)

And if your book offers BTTS bets, take BTTS - No, or Fort Wayne win to nil.

Knoxville v AV Alta

1.61 - 3.70 - 4.33

As mentioned above, the early red card to Fort Wayne made Knoxville’s midweek victory a truly bizarre spectacle to watch, especially as they picked up a red card themselves and still saw out all three points. But for Knoxville, that’s another win to keep the pace with Charlotte and Omaha, a trio of clubs I believe will be competing for the Players’ Shield all season as the clear best three teams in the league. Enter this weekend, Knoxville are the current league leaders, but AV Alta are still in and around the hunt for a home playoff spot. However, AV Alta took a 1-0 loss to Chattanooga away midweek, and will stay in Tennessee for this match this weekend. While AV Alta were in unfamiliar territory with their long unbeaten run in the league at the starting months of the year, are we beginning to see this club come back to reality—especially with no wins in any of their last three played away from home.

Knoxville are a perfect 2-0-0 against AV Alta all-time, and while AV Alta are one of the better teams in USL1 away from home this season in the league, I’d still back Knoxville to win this match, and score the opening goal (something that has happened for Knoxville in 80% of their matches this season). But AV Alta might prove to frustrate Knoxville in this game as we could see this match going into the break with a draw.

Bet 1: Knoxville ML, Knoxville to score first (1.80)

Bet 2: Draw at halftime (2.30)

Parlay both:

Omaha v Westchester

1.50 - 4.10 - 5.00

The Westchester we all know from last season, might have made a return without many noticing, as the New York club has now lost four consecutive matches across all competitions for the first time since June. While this year’s Westchester side does look more positively than they did a season ago, the results have been similar. Omaha are in a similar rut themselves, with just one win in their last five games…however, those four defeats in those last five games have all come on the road. Outside of a 5-1 loss to Louisville in the USL Cup group stage, Omaha has not lost any other match at home this season and only have one draw in those matches as well. In their two previous meetings, we had Omaha winning 2-1 over Westchester in both of those games played last season as well. Omaha should win this one, and will make a possible addition to any parlay you have on the weekend, but how much do you think Westchester can get involved in this match is the question…and lately it’s been not much involvement for Westchester’s recent games.

Weird streak ongoing though, Westchester has not lost any of their last five halftime socrelines, while Omaha has not led any of their last five halftime scorelines at home. Consider Westchester to not be behind at the break as a possible bet.

Bet 1: Omaha ML (1.50)

Bet 2: Omaha 2-1 Westchester correct scoreline (9.50)

Bet 3: Westchester win or draw halftime (1.80)

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Boise, Knoxville ML parlay (2.58)

• Charlotte, Fort Wayne, Omaha ML parlay (5.70)

• Detroit, Tampa Bay, Charleston ML parlay (5.06)

• San Antonio, Louisville ML parlay (4.40)

• Tulsa v El Paso, Richmond v Spokane Draw parlay (11.90)

BTTS/Goals Parlay:

• Pittsburgh v Louisville and Detroit v Indy Eleven BTTS - No (3.50)

• Loudoun v Tampa Bay and Jacksonville v Brooklyn BTTS - Yes (2.64)

• Tulsa v El Paso and Phoenix v Monterey Bay BTTS - Yes (2.87)

• Pittsburgh v Louisville and Richmond v Spokane both under 2.5 total goals (3.51)

• Charlotte v Chattanooga and Omaha v Westchester both over 2.5 total goals (2.67)

• Boise v Portland and Loudoun v Tampa Bay both over 2.5 total goals (2.58)

Underdog Parlay:

• Corpus Christi win or draw, Monterey Bay win or draw (3.15)

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USLC Parlay: 6.68

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USL1 Parlay: 3.93

Non-USL Related Bets

Other Soccer:

Saturday’s World Cup Third Place Game: France v England

• France to finish third (1.50)

• BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (1.66)

• Mbappe ATGS (1.72)

  • Mbappe to score 2+ goals (4.50)

• Bellingham goal or assist (2.50)

• Over 8.5 total corners (1.66)

Sunday’s World Cup Final, Spain v Argentina:

• Draw at 90’ (3.00)

• Yamal, Oyarzabal, Messi each 1+ shot on target (2.30)

• Porro 1+ shot on target (4.50)

• First Half 0-0 scoreline (2.62)

• No goal before 32:00 (1.83)

• Under 2.5 total goals in 90’ (1.66)

• Simon (ESP) 3+ saves, Martinez (ARG) 2+ saves (1.75)

• Messi goal or assist (1.90)

• Oyzarzabal ATGS (2.10)

• Spain to lift trophy (1.61)

MLS

• LA Galaxy v LAFC BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (1.80)

• Nashville ML, Nashville over 1.5 team goals (1.75)

MLS Player Props

• Hany Mukhtar (NSH) ATGS (2.25)

• Denis Bouanga (LAFC) ATGS (1.83)

• Marco Reus (LAG) goal or assist (2.00)

Elsewhere:

• Atletico Ottawa ML (1.75)

• San Francisco City ML (1.75) v FC Tucson

• Asheville City win or draw (1.80) v Lionsbridge FC

Other Sports:

Formula 1 - Belgian Grand Prix

Picks for the Grand Prix are made prior to qualifying

Race:

• Race Win: Mercedes race winning car (1.61)

• Kimi Antonelli race win (2.10)

• Lewis Hamilton podium finish (1.80)

• VCARB double points finish (1.57)

• Lance Stroll to be classified - No (2.00)

• Fernando Alonso to be classified - No (2.00)

• Valterri Bottas to be classified - No (2.25)

• Aston Martin first constructor retirement (7.50)

NASCAR - Window World 450 at North Wilkesboro Speedway

Manufacturer Plays:

• Top Chevy: Kyle Larson (2.55)

• Top Ford: Ryan Blaney (1.76)

• Top Toyota: Christopher Bell (2.50)

Placement Bets:

• Ryan Blaney top five (1.71)

• Christopher Bell top five (1.86)

• Kyle Larson top five (2.10)

• Carson Hocevar top ten (2.20)

• Ty Gibbs top ten (1.62)

• Bubba Wallace top ten (2.25)

Head-to-Head Bets:

• Chase Elliott to beat William Byron (1.86)

• Ryan Blaney to beat Denny Hamlin (1.76)

• Carson Hocevar to beat Chris Buescher (1.71)

• Ty Gibbs to beat Ryan Preece and Chase Briscoe to beat Ross Chastain (2.22)

Outright Win Bets:

• Kyle Larson (8.50)

• Christopher Bell (5.50)

• Either to win: 3.50

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We are reaching the final stages of a very important cup competition this weekend, of course I am referring to the last matchday of the Prinx Tires USL Cup! While some teams’ fates are already confirmed (congrats to Colorado Springs and Tampa Bay for clinching their groups), we still have plenty other games left to wager on with lots to play for! Take note of the group standings when evaluating games to bet on, as there may be a few dead rubber matches among them. Best of luck to your bets!

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, July 10th.

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USLC: Loudoun v Jacksonville BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (1.90), Rhode Island v Orange County BTTS - Yes (1.83), Louisville v Hartford Draw halftime result (2.37), Louisville v Hartford BTTS - No (1.90), Colorado Springs v Phoenix BTTS - Yes (1.66), New Mexico to score first (1.90), New Mexico win or draw, over 1.5 total goals (1.83), Las Vegas win or draw halftime, Las Vegas or El Paso to win (1.86), Las Vegas v El Paso Over 2.5 total goals (1.66), Miami v Birmingham BTTS - Yes

USL1: Naples v Portland Over 2.5 total goals (1.80), Sarasota win or draw halftime, Sarasota win or draw fulltime (1.57), NY Cosmos v Greenville Over 2.5 total goals, Greenville ML, Chattanooga win or draw halftime, Fort Wayne ML, Charlotte win or draw first half, New Mexico win or draw, Sarasota win or draw (2.14)

Parlay: Rhode Island v Orange County, Colorado Springs v Phoenix, Las Vegas v El Paso each BTTS - Yes (4.80), Louisville v Hartford, Pittsburgh v Brooklyn, San Antonio v Monterey Bay each BTTS - No (7.00)

Beyond USL: Orioles ML (1.83), Braves ML (1.86), Blue Jays ML (1.76), Marlins at Athletics over 10.5 runs (1.86), Giants at Rockies over 11 runs (1.90), Joey Chestnut to win by 15+ hot dogs (1.50), Morocco ML (1.75), Mbappe (FRA) ATGS (1.66), England to qualify (1.72), Kane (ENG) ATGS (2.50), BTTS - Yes (2.00), Top Ford: Ryan Blaney (2.00), Denny Hamlin top three (1.80), Ty Gibbs top ten (1.55), Kyle Larson to beat Tyler Reddick H2H (1.95)

USL Cup

Oakland v Spokane

2.10 - 4.00 - 2.60

A matinee kickoff to get us started on Saturday, as Oakland play host to Spokane. Currently in second of the group, Spokane have a chance to stake a claim as the runner-up of this group with a win, though the chances of being the best second place team look a bit more hazy with numerous current second place teams in front of them. But Oakland could leap over Spokane with a win themselves, in a match where getting a good performance in might be more important than the result itself. In a second ever meeting of these two teams, Oakland will be looking for their first ever win against Spokane (Velocity won 2-1 in this fixture last year in the Cup). My pick here is to back Oakland, as they face a Spokane team who have not won any of their last eight road games, and are currently just one win in their last five games played, both stats across all competitions. And for an Oakland team without a win at home since May 9th, this match provides an opportunity to put in a good showing in front of the Roots home support.

Bet: Oakland ML (2.10)

Pittsburgh v Loudoun

1.80 - 3.40 - 3.80

Two teams coming off rather interesting results last week with this match tomorrow night. Both sides’ hopes of advancing are either likely finished (Loudoun) or needing a lot to go right (Pittsburgh). For the hosts, Pittsburgh lost 2-0 to Brooklyn last week at home, ending a six match unbeaten run across all competitions for the Riverhounds and their first home defeat without scoring a goal since May 2nd. Loudoun played out a thrilling 2-2 draw with Jacksonville last week, as the team still looks to put a third win across USL and USL Cup play on the board this season (with no wins since June 6th when they beat Richmond in group stage play). Simply put, Pittsburgh need a win in this match and to outscore Charlotte’s losing result later, to have a chance to advance. I just don’t see this Riverhounds team putting more goals in the back of the net than Charlotte (who might very well give Charleston a good game later as the two clash for the Group 6 lead), but this Loudoun team have been struggling of late to find that win, that I do trust Pittsburgh with the result more.

Bet: Pittsburgh win or draw, Under 2.5 total goals (2.50)

Greenville v Richmond

1.85 - 3.60 - 3.40

Another chapter of this longtime USL1 matchup will be written tomorrow night with both sides having nothing more to play for in this game than pride, as each sit at the bottom of Group 6. For Richmond, they need any amount of a good result to go their way, as the Kickers are searching for their first win in all competitions since May 9th (against Greenville away no less), while the Triumph are carrying a two match clean sheet streak into this match. Both sides may approach this match looking for any performance they can use to build momentum and carry it into the league season next week to jumpstart each club’s league campaigns. I feel more confident in Greenville than I do Richmond as it stands, but I do wonder how motivated for the match both of these teams might be.

Bet 1: Draw at 90’ (3.60)

Bet 2: 0-0 correct scoreline (12.00)

Hartford v Westchester

1.30 - 5.00 - 7.00

Hartford will be looking to book their ticket into the knockout rounds, to defend their USL Cup title once more, with a win over Westchester. The visitors enter this match at the bottom of the group standings, having lost three games in a row for the first time since June 6th. Westchester are also one of four teams to have not won any of their three group stage games played in this competition as well. Hartford picked up a come from behind draw last match against Orange County with two second half goals after trailing 2-0 at half. It’s a simple task ahead for Hartford, win and advance to knockouts, and for the club who have only conceded one goal in this group stage already, I think they will.

Bet: Hartford ML (1.30)

Portland v NY Cosmos

1.61 - 4.33 - 3.80

Well done Cosmos for picking up a win on Wednesday, defeating Naples 1-0 to end their seven match losing streak. Though they are out of the competition here in the Cup already, they can possibly play spoiler for their opponents (and also check how well they measure against another possible playoff chasing team) this weekend. Portland have recorded back-to-back wins in the league entering this match, first time since September of last season that Portland have won two consecutive games as well. If these teams are not tired of playing each other yet, we now have a third match this season between the clubs (which saw the two previous games finish by a scoreline of Portland 3-1). While I think it’s unlikely we will see Portland in the next round, I am willing to make this bet our “lottery ticket” pick of the week and choose a scoreline—picking history to repeat itself once more.

Bet: Portland 3-1 NY Cosmos scoreline bet (13.00)

Charleston v Charlotte

1.61 - 3.80 - 4.33

Arguably the main match of the evening in this final group stage matchday! Winner takes the Group 6 crown, the loser likely has quite the case of being the best second place finisher. A meeting of two Carolina neighbors in the Lowcountry as Charleston hosts Charlotte. Though they are off a 0-2 loss last week to Indy Eleven, I still have not lost the faith in this Charleston team, especially at home where they have not lost all season. Enter Charlotte, who are unbeaten in all competitions over their last 13 matches played in that time, scoring in each one, eight of those games seeing the Independence go over 1.5 team goals scored. Immediately, this game is a clear over 2.5 total goals pick, and as much as the odds might tempt me into a Charlotte results bet, I think the likelier outcome is backing the team who have not lost a home match since inside 90’ played since May 2025.

Bet 1: Over 2.5 total goals (1.57)

Bet 2: Charleston ML (1.61)

Fort Wayne v Detroit

3.80 - 4.33 - 1.61

Alex Ashton had an article this week speaking about how stellar Fort Wayne have been this season, and we saw that last week as they took apart a Spokane team 3-0 at home. While this group stage has not gone to plan for Fort Wayne, who play out this final matchday on just one lone point to their name, it’s a chance to test themselves against one USLC’s better clubs in Detroit tomorrow night. For Detroit, they need a win, a Louisville loss (among other results) and lots of goals to make up the deficit they need to advance from this group stage. Though, Detroit are unbeaten in their last five games played inside 90’ across all competitions. While Fort Wayne have yet to lose a home match since the official move to Ruoff Mortgage Stadium, I think a Detroit team with more to play for, will be too much for Fort Wayne, but don’t expect the hosts to go away too quietly against Detroit.

Bet: Fort Wayne win or tie halftime, Detroit win or tie fulltime (2.30)

Rhode Island v Brooklyn

1.50 - 4.10 - 5.00

To my own surprise, I did not expect this match on the final group stage matchday, to turn into a battle for knockouts in the group. Brooklyn to their credit have put six points on the board thus far and a win (coupled with Hartford dropping points) could very well see them advance. But don’t count out Rhode Island so easily in this match, especially since Rhode Island have already beaten Brooklyn 4-1 this season (May 23rd). The last three RIFC games have been BTTS - Yes, while Brooklyn’s last three road matches has yet to see the New York club drop points. One stat that will be to Brooklyn’s benefit is being the group’s current highest scorers (8 goals). With that as a notable tiebreaker, Brooklyn will put themselves into a great position with a win in this match. All that being said, Rhode Island have lost at home just once all season, showing how tough of a ground this still is to visit. Brooklyn will put up a good fight, but backing the hosts in this match.

Bet: Rhode Island win or draw, Over 2.5 total goals (1.83)

Sarasota v Miami

3.20 - 3.90 - 1.83

From their midweek match against Greenville, Sarasota are now on a streak of two consecutive clean sheets (and three of their last four games keeping a ball out of the back of their own net) for the first time in club history. However finding that goal has come as more of a challenge for the Paradise, as they have not scored in two consecutive games for the first time since April. Miami, bolstered by a returning World Cup heroes of Room and Locadia, played out a 1-1 draw with Birmingham last time out. Furthermore, Miami are still within a chance of finishing as the best second place team of the group stage, but it has to start with a win tomorrow night. For these southern Floridian sides meeting tomorrow night, Sarasota will be back at home seeking their third straight win at home while Miami are hoping to end a four match losing run. I think with the visitors having more to play for, I have to back them on this pick.

Bet: Miami ML (1.83)

Tampa Bay v Naples

1.28 - 5.50 - 6.50

I was already backing the Tampa Bay Rowdies, winners of Group 7 confirmed, to win this match against the bottom of the group FC Naples at the start of this week. However, even with the announcement of Naples making a change at manager (what losing to the NY Cosmos does to a team), naming Zak Gordon as the interim as Matt Poland exits the club, I still feel very confident in the Rowdies in this match. Perhaps Gordon will use this match as almost a “friendly” to get a feel for his squad, test out new formations and tactics, or perhaps the Rowdies will use this match in the same manner. All that being said, I still expect Tampa Bay to win this match, but it then becomes a question of, by how much you are feeling brave enough to pick them by.

Bet: Tampa Bay -1.5 (1.75)

Birmingham v Tulsa

1.85 - 3.60 - 3.40

With second place likely at stake for both Birmingham and Tulsa tomorrow, there is still all to play for from this fixture. Given Tulsa’s history of switching conferences seemingly every other year, these two teams have built up some history against each other, with eleven previous meetings, and an even split of results from those games (4 wins apiece and 3 draws). The last five meetings of these teams have gone BTTS - Yes too, so if your book offers that wager, I’d say take it. Birmingham are winless in their last five games played (each game BTTS - Yes), and have conceded the opening goal in four of those five games played. Tulsa sat idle last week due to rainstorms postponing their scheduled match in the league against Sacramento, so the Oklahoma club have not played since June 20th, three weeks ago! I have to wonder how the extended time off may impact Tulsa in this one, especially with the side having just one win in their last five games played as well. Picking a draw at 90’ from this one, as this one is admittedly tough to call.

Bet: Draw at 90’ (3.60)

Madison v Omaha

3.10 - 3.60 - 1.95

Madison will be looking to end their group stage campaign on a high note after having lost all three previous matches of this competition already, playing their way out of advancing. Their task to put some points on the board before bowing out of the competition is to beat a team they have not defeated inside 90’ in any of their last six meetings (and have not scored a goal against in any of their last four games against). For Omaha, the group win is still in reach if Louisville can drop points to Lexington (a far cry from Omaha losing 5-1 against Louisville in a group stage match back in May). A tad worrying, Omaha only just now ended a three match losing run, with all of those games being played away from home, with a win last week against AV Alta. Omaha have not won a road match since May 27th against the NY Cosmos (who are losing to nearly everyone these days). Madison’s last four home matches have seen three of those games go over 2.5 goals as well (with Madison scoring over 2.5 team goals in three of those games). This match I think will hinge on what lineup Madison plays for a game that in essence means very little for them, and with Omaha having more of the need to advance with a good showing, they might be more willing to go for it in this one.

Bet 1: Over 2.5 total goals (1.61)

Bet 2: Omaha ML (1.95)

Louisville v Lexington

1.61 - 4.00 - 4.00

These are the joys of the USL Cup, having these neighbors face off in pivotal group stage matches (Louisville and Lexington really ought to be in the same conference, but alas). For Louisville, a win would send them through to the knockout rounds of the competition. For a season of tumultuous performances, Louisville staying alive in this cup might offer a reprieve and opportunity to rescue what’s been a disappointing season. But Lexington, who could still advance themselves, will certainly want to play spoiler, especially at the expense of their Bluegrass rivals. However, Louisville have a perfect 5-0-0 record against Lexington in all previous matchups, Louisville scoring exactly 2 goals in each of the four previous meetings (and scoring the opening goal in three of those games). Louisville have already beaten Lexington twice this season as well, in the USOC and the league back in their early stages of the season. But circumstances of both teams’ campaigns have changed. Lexington are unbeaten in their last five played and are off the back of a major 4-1 win over Tampa Bay last weekend. I cannot believe I am about to make this pick, but I think we have a good chance for an upset in this game…

Bet 1: Lexington ML (4.00)

Bet 2: Lexington to score first (2.60)

Bet 3: Over 2.5 total goals (1.61)

Corpus Christi v Knoxville

2.62 - 4.00 - 2.05

The top of Group 3 may be out of reach for both of these teams, but this match offers a chance to see how Corpus Christi are progressing against the top teams of USL1, in this case, Knoxville. Having already drawn their two previous meetings on the year thus far (most recently a 2-2 game back in May), can either side find a winner on Saturday? For Knoxville, they have won four of their last five games played in all competitions, while Corpus Christi have put three wins from their last five played on the board (and are unbeaten in their last six home games). Both of these teams are on the upswing in recent weeks and this is a pairing of more unusual travel for any side on the visiting end of this fixture. While their USL Cup runs may reach an end after tomorrow, this game still has plenty of intrigue for me.

Bet 1: Corpus Christi to score first (2.05)

Bet 2: Draw at 90’ (4.00)

El Paso v New Mexico

2.40 - 3.60 - 2.40

If there is another match to watch tomorrow night, it’s this one. While Colorado Springs have won the group already, the winner of El Paso v New Mexico (another rivalry no less), will have an excellent claim to being the best second place finisher of the group stage on nine points. Are New Mexico back; the side have not lost any of their last six games, scoring first in each match and keeping four clean sheets in that time. El Paso meanwhile ended a five match winless skid with a 2-1 result over Las Vegas last week, their first time scoring multiple goals in a game since May. El Paso picked up a draw last time out against New Mexico, and 4-0 win in the Open Cup back in April, so while the hosts can show their strength in a game against New Mexico, I’m backing the visitors in this one given the favorable odds.

Bet 1: New Mexico ML (2.40)

Bet 2: New Mexico to score first (1.90)

San Antonio v Chattanooga

1.33 - 5.50 - 5.50

Group 3 really has been the group of teams from the far reaches of USL, with every away day being one of immense travel distances. For San Antonio, a win will clinch the group and send them into the knockouts, and all that is standing in their way is a Chattanooga team rock bottom of the group standings on just 2 points (and the Red Wolves already lost last week in Texas away at Corpus Christi). While I may have some pause over San Antonio in league play in recent weeks, they should have more than enough to get the job done tomorrow to send them into knockouts.

Bet: San Antonio ML (1.33)

Boise v Sacramento

2.50 - 3.75 - 2.25

For what has been a lackluster league season, Sacramento are still atop of the Group 1 standings and can book a spot in knockouts with a win away at Boise. Though the path is more unlikely, a win for Boise could throw their hat into the ring for a chance to advance as group winners, provided they get some help from Oakland. A matchup like this reminds me of Nate Miller's former San Diego Loyal taking on Sacramento Republic, and if this game is anything like those contests were, we should be in for a fun one tomorrow night. Republic’s form of recent weeks has been more inconsistent, just two wins from their last five games played, but so has Boise’s form (three wins from their last five played, but none were consecutive wins). I look to Sacramento’s record of just one goal allowed in this group stage thus far and I believe that will be the key to seeing the visitors advance, if they can keep this game low-scoring.

Bet: Under 2.5 total goals (2.25)

Monterey Bay v Las Vegas

2.15 - 3.75 - 2.60

For both sides, neither of these teams will be moving on in the competition after tomorrow given they sit at the foot of the group standings. However, that does not mean this game will be for naught. I look at this match as setting the tone for the USLC Western Conference’s lower half of the table as the current USLC West #11 (Las Vegas) takes on the #12 (Monterey Bay) in this match. Monterey Bay to their credit have turned it around after what was a horrid start to the season, as it seems their 4-3 defeat to Boise back in May has galvanized the team. MBFC are just one defeat in the seven games that’s followed including three clean sheets in that time. For Las Vegas, it’s three defeats from their last four games played, and just one win (last time away, against Birmingham) away from home this season. This match might set the pecking order for these two teams for the league season ahead, and I think it will be Monterey Bay getting the better of the Lights tomorrow.

Bet: Monterey Bay ML (2.15)

Orange County v Colorado Springs

2.50 - 3.75 - 2.25

For as well as Orange County have done in the league this year, their USL Cup group stage has been the opposite, three losses from three games. For Colorado Springs, they have since clinched Group 2’s first place and their spot in knockouts. As a match for both teams, this might very well be a game that has rotated squads in the starting XIs, so check with caution before making a wager in this game. But Orange County are unbeaten in their last five games played across all competitions and have seen BTTS - Yes scorelines in each of those five games. After a six match road trip, OC are back at home and I think pick up a win to hold their heads high after this group stage draws to a close.

Bet: Orange County ML (2.50)

AV Alta v Phoenix

No odds as of writing

Closing out the group stage round with AV Alta hosting Phoenix Rising. Both sides will not be advancing due to finishing with fewer points than the winner El Paso v New Mexico, the two teams in front of both sides facing off as well this round. Phoenix enter this match with no wins from any of their last five games played, and no wins away from home since May 2nd. For AV Alta, their four match winning streak has since gave way to a winless run of three games in a row as they’ve met Omaha and Charlotte in their last two games (two of USL1’s better opposition). However, AV Alta have shown with just one defeat at home this season, this is not an easy ground to visit, especially notable with this Phoenix team having been outscored 11-2 in the four road games played since then. Still though, this offers a chance for Phoenix to end this run of bad form against an AV Alta team who might be overperforming their expectations at the moment. Hesitantly, taking Phoenix to get a result in this one.

Bet: Phoenix win or draw

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• San Antonio, Hartford, Tampa Bay ML parlay (2.22)

• Portland, Charleston, New Mexico ML parlay (6.26)

• Orange County, Monterey Bay ML parlay (5.37)

Goals Parlay:

• Over 2.5 total goals:

  • Charleston v Charlotte, Madison v Omaha, Louisville v Lexington (4.10)

  • Hartford v Westchester, Portland v NY Cosmos (2.14)

• Under 2.5 total goals: Pittsburgh v Loudoun and Boise v Sacramento (4.83)

Underdog Parlay:

• Lexington or draw, Corpus Christi or draw (3.39)

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USL Cup Matches Parlay (without AV Alta v Phoenix): 21.90

Non-USL Related Bets

Other Soccer:

World Cup

Norway v England

• England to qualify, BTTS - Yes (2.50)

• Haaland (NOR) ATGS (2.20)

• Kane (ENG) ATGS (1.83)

• Nyland (NOR) 4+ saves, Pickford (ENG) 2+ saves (2.15)

• England win or draw first half, Under 1.5 first half goals (1.61)

Argentina v Switzerland

• Argentina win to nil (2.50)

• Messi (ARG) ATGS (1.83)

• Argentina halftime/fulltime (2.87)

• Kobel (SUI) 4+ saves (1.72)

Other Sports:

NASCAR - Quaker State 400 at EchoPark Speedway (Atlanta)

Manufacturer Top Driver:

• Chevy: Chase Elliott (5.50)

• Ford: Ryan Blaney (3.40)

• Toyota: Christopher Bell (5.50)

Placement Bets:

• Ryan Blaney top five finish (2.80)

• Chase Elliot top five finish (3.20)

• Carson Hocevar top ten finish (1.90)

• Austin Cindric top ten finish (2.25)

• Daniel Suarez top ten finish (2.40)

Head-to-Head Bets:

• Carson Hocevar H2H v Austin Cindric (2.00)

• Christopher Bell H2H v Brad Keselowski (1.80)

• William Byron H2H v Chase Briscoe (1.80)

• Ty Gibbs H2H v Chris Buescher (2.00)

• Bubba Wallace H2H v Ross Chastain (1.76)

• Ryan Blaney H2H v Kyle Larson (1.76)

Outright Winner:

• Chase Elliott (13.00)

• William Byron (15.00)

• Either to win: 7.50

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After USL had a weekend off last week, we are back with the biggest league in the world! It’s felt like ages since our last article, and last USL matches watched prior to this week. There is plenty to wager on across the next 72 hours! With a three-day weekend ahead, what better way to spend it than with the USL? Enjoy the matches and best of luck to your wagers!

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, July 3rd.

USL Championship

Loudoun v Jacksonville

1.60 - 3.90 - 4.33

The USL Championship gets us started with Loudoun v Jacksonville on Friday night—a total Sickos Derby for all you USL watchers out there! And it’s our USL Show live show location for the year, as Kaylor, John and Phil will all be on location this evening for the match, if you see them, say hi! I do feel like Loudoun are around the corner from it all clicking for the Limbrick era, which has just one win in the league to their name. Loudoun has not been shutout in a loss this season (though they have three 0-0 scorelines already) but the results have been few and far between, as they last picked up consecutive results back in May (in the midst of six unbeaten). But, the well-documented struggles of Sporting Jacksonville might be just what Loudoun needs to get some confidence back in the team. For Jacksonville, the defeats will continue until morale improves, as the still winless in the league Florida team carry a three match losing streak into this game, having been outscored 13-5 in that span. It’s starting to run out of teams that I think Jacksonville could possibly beat.

To Jacksonville’s credit, they are scoring (having not been shutout in a match in the league since the start of May, BTTS - Yes hits for Jacksonville in 64% of their games), but they concede goals at an incredibly high rate as well (39 goals allowed is by far the most in the USLC). For Loudoun, this really feels like it is a must win match for me not to start fading the side for the foreseeable future—and I think it’s a match they do win because, LADS protocol (for longtime listeners of the USL Show) is in effect. With the USL Show live show on location, Loudoun has to deliver.

Bet 1: Loudoun ML (1.60)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (1.90)

Bet 3: Loudoun -1.5 spread (2.50)

Indy Eleven v Charleston

2.62 - 3.40 - 2.25

In a nice matinee fixture to get our USLC Saturday started, we have Indy Eleven v Charleston where each of the last five meetings of these two teams have gone over 2.5 total goals (with Charleston scoring multiple goals in each match). The Battery are hitting the scoring form with ease in recent weeks, scoring a combined 14 goals over their last three matches played (the league’s most potent attack). For Indy Eleven, they are able to boast a home record that is best in the East save for their opponents this weekend, as the Indiana club has yet to lose at home this season (and are on a four game winning streak across all competitions as well at home). But, if there is a team who can walk into Carroll Stadium and leave with a win, it’s this Charleston team. I think we take the history and back this fixture to have lots of goals to it, with Charleston getting multiple goals themselves—and if Charleston can score twice, I think they win.

Bet 1: Charleston ML, BTTS - Yes (4.00)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.83)

Tampa Bay v Lexington

1.57 - 3.80 - 4.75

This game is actually rather intriguing to me this weekend, as Lexington look to win three consecutive games in the league for the first time since August of last season, but doing so in Al Lang Stadium against the high-flying Tampa Bay Rowdies is no easy task. Tampa Bay got back to winning ways last time out with a 2-0 win over Brooklyn, after their long unbeaten run reached an end the week prior. But I think the rest will have benefited both teams here, but the visitors in Lexington have seemingly found their mettle away from home as of late (picking up a win at El Paso and a draw at the always tough place to go Keyworth), could they spark an upset here against Tampa Bay? Despite the fast start, the Rowdies have not won their last two games at home and have not gone three games consecutive at home without a win since September of last year. However, I still like this Tampa Bay team and I think they are able to keep this momentum going with another win, but expecting Lexington to make this tricky for them.

Bet: Tampa Bay ML (1.57)

Pittsburgh v Brooklyn

1.53 - 3.80 - 5.50

A first meeting between Pittsburgh and Brooklyn, facing off at FNB Stadium. For the reigning league champs, Pittsburgh are unbeaten in their last six games across all competitions, picking up five shutouts in that time (with all six games going under 2.5 total goals). Picking the under for Riverhounds home games seem to be a relic of the Lilley-era carried over here, under 2.5 total goals has hit in three of the five Pittsburgh home games this year (of which Pittsburgh have won four). For Brooklyn, the side are still searching for their first road win of the season but have scored in each of their previous four road games played in the league. Both of these teams are among the four teams in the East that have BTTS - Yes hit rates under 50%, so we may be in for a low-scoring match tomorrow night. I think Pittsburgh continues this good run of form with another result, and I think they can keep another clean sheet to make it five clean sheets in a row (as they have not allowed a goal in the last 428’ played across all competitions, or enough time to watch all three Star Trek reboot films since 2009 in their entirety).

Bet: Pittsburgh win to nil (2.62)

Rhode Island v Orange County

1.60 - 3.80 - 4.75

In our longest away day of the weekend, Orange County make the cross-country flight to Rhode Island as these two teams meet at opposite ends of the table. OCSC are currently atop the Western Conference while RIFC are on the outside of the playoff picture in the East (an admittedly unfamiliar spot for them from previous seasons). The Orange County attack has been stellar in recent weeks, avoiding being shutout in each of their last six league games (scoring multiple goals in five of those six games)…but they’ve also yet to keep a clean sheet in any of those six games as well. For Rhode Island’s last six games, it’s been a tale of two teams as to which side shows up; the team who can score multiple goals in high-scoring wins over Brooklyn (4-1), Charleston (4-0) and Loudoun (4-1), or the team taking defeats to Birmingham (1-3) and Indy Eleven (0-1). As RIFC prepare to welcome the West’s best team away from home this season, I can’t help but feel this is a game Rhode Island need as a chance to prove they still belong in the mix for being a solid playoff team.

While I think I am avoiding a results bet on this one, taking into account the possible challenges from the long-distance travel, I am keeping it simple on this bet and following an Orange County current trend.

Bet: BTTS - Yes (1.83)

Louisville v Hartford

1.57 - 4.00 - 4.75

Is there currently a team occupying a playoff spot in the USLC that needs a win right now more than Louisville City? The Simon Bird interim era has been frustrating, as a bettor and I imagine for the Louisville faithful, as the club have just one win in their last seven league games (despite good results in the Cup since then). The thought crossed my mind as Louisville enter Lynn Family Stadium having not won in this building since April, is the pressure at home where the fans expect so much out of this team, getting to the club? Enter Hartford, who have already beaten Tampa Bay in Al Lang Stadium this season, showing they are capable of going into tough home environments and getting wins. Hartford are looking for their longest unbeaten run in the league since March of this season, however this is a ground they have yet to win at, against a team they only beat for the first time in 2024 despite having shared a league since 2019.

If Louisville don’t get the win this weekend, I am finding my panic button on the team and putting them into the fade category until something changes. I will initially pick this to be a draw at halftime (something that has happened in eight Louisville games this year, and no halftime ML results for Louisville since their second game of the season as well), but I am just not sure this Louisville team deserves full backing of a win, even though they should get the result in this one.

Bet 1: Draw halftime result (2.37)

Bet 2: BTTS - No (1.90)

Tulsa v Sacramento

2.50 - 3.20 - 2.60

I’m still not quite sure I know exactly what to make of either of these teams this season. For Tulsa, their defense of their Western Conference title last season has seen them be off the pace this year (still in the hunt for a home playoff game, but not near the top of the conference mixing it up for the #1 seed as I expected). For Sacramento, this has to be a disappointing campaign for Neill Collins’ squad, as they currently find themselves outside the playoff picture entirely. For both teams, it’s just one win in their last five games played across all competitions. While I am not ready to throw in the fade on Sacramento just yet (nor even close to that for Tulsa), this game does not inspire confidence in me for a results wager. Looking at the goals bets, it’s roughly a coin toss’ likelihood of these two teams’ games going BTTS - Yes, as each also average either at (Tulsa with 2.54) or below (Sacramento with 2.08) that total goals per game tally. I will add, like Louisville, Sacramento has only led at halftime once all season (and none of their seven previous games in the league)—I think that’s one angle to play in this one. I think the other angle is Tulsa finding the opening goal, which is something they have done in their last four home games across all competitions.

Bet 1: Tulsa win or draw first half (1.33)

Bet 2: Tulsa to score first (2.00)

Parlay both: 2.05

Colorado Springs v Phoenix

1.70 - 3.80 - 4.10

One of the more even series in the Western Conference writes another chapter this weekend, as Colorado Springs hosts Phoenix for the 21st matchup all-time of these two long-time conference opponents. It’s the Switchbacks that hold the all-time advantage in the series, with 9 wins to Phoenix’s 8 wins (and 3 draws). Phoenix are entering in this match having not won away at Colorado Springs since August 2019 (and failing to score in three of the four visits to the Switchbacks since then). However at home this year, Colorado Springs have been out of sorts, only better at home this season in the West than El Paso, and looking to avoid losing three consecutive home games for the first time since September of last year. But, we are meeting Phoenix in a run of no wins in their last four games played across all competitions (being outscored 4-11 in that time), and no wins in any of their last three road games as well.

While it won’t take a herculean effort, I believe, for either team to walk away as winners in this one. I have more belief in Colorado Springs to get the result than the visitors, but not as much faith to back the Switchbacks to get the win. A scoring draw is my pick.

Bet 1: Draw (3.80)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes (1.66)

Bet 3: 1-1 correct scoreline (8.00)

San Antonio v Monterey Bay

1.83 - 3.40 - 3.90

They may still sit rock bottom of the Western Conference, but Monterey Bay are quietly on one of their best run of results in club history, with four wins from their last five games played in the league, something the team has not achieved since 2023. Say what you will about the teams they beat (Jacksonville, Loudoun, Birmingham and El Paso), just getting results on the board has been massive for MBFC. However, San Antonio have looked like their former selves again this season, and are chasing down Orange County for the #1 seed in the West this year. San Antonio are also the only team left in the West that is still unbeaten at home in the league as well—and in 13 previous matchups, Monterey Bay has won just once (2019, back when Toy Story 4 (2019) was in theaters), and MBFC have not scored against San Antonio since 2024. Backing the hosts in this one as a task too large to handle for Monterey Bay, it’s just a matter of how much confidence do we have on San Antonio?

Bet 1: San Antonio HT/FT Result (2.87)

Bet 2: San Antonio win to nil (3.25)

New Mexico v Oakland

2.45 - 3.60 - 2.45

The battle for a home playoff game in the West heats up as New Mexico hosts Oakland, with both sides carrying unbeaten runs of at least four games across all competitions into this match. To my surprise when researching this game, Oakland actually leads the all-time series, with 4 wins across 10 previous meetings (vs New Mexico’s 3 wins and 3 draws). However, the Roots have not won away at Isotopes Park since 2023, their lone victory in five previous trips. While I may have had hesitation of New Mexico in the season’s start, their last five games played has seen NMU put together three wins (all win to nil scorelines) and four clean sheets, with four of those games going under 2.5 goals as well. Oakland needs a win in this one to keep pace with Orange County and San Antonio for the top of the West, while New Mexico can better their chances at hosting a home playoff game with a win in this match. Taking the hosts to get the result, and to score the opening goal, but Oakland will make this challenging.

Bet 1: New Mexico to score first (1.90)

Bet 2: New Mexico win or draw, over 1.5 total goals (1.83)

Las Vegas v El Paso

2.62 - 3.50 - 2.35

Closing out our USLC Saturday with one of the silliest matchups historical in the Western Conference. Across 12 previous meetings between Las Vegas and El Paso, there has yet to be a single draw still (El Paso leading the series 8-4)—with 6 of these 12 games (including the last three) going over 2.5 total goals. For El Paso, it’s been eight games winless in the league (has it really been that long ago since their last win in April?). For Las Vegas, it’s just two wins in their last five, and all of sudden they have Monterey Bay right behind them in the table just barely avoiding the bottom of the conference. In an additional stat, Las Vegas has yet to trail in any of their previous six games in the league—that’s one bet we’ll do and I think for the memes of this series, we’ll back this game to not end in a draw as well. But taking this one to have goals in it.

Bet 1: Las Vegas win or draw halftime, Las Vegas or El Paso to win (1.86)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals (1.66)

Miami v Birmingham

No odds as of writing

Closing out our USLC weekend with Miami v Birmingham. Since our last weekly article, Miami FC got global attention due to the play of Eloy Room at the World Cup for Curaçao, including a shutout performance against Ecuador on June 20th, as well Jurgen Locadia being featured for Curaçao as well. But back in the league, Locadia and Room’s teammates are in the midst of just one win in their last six games played in the league (a strange 4-3 victory of Louisville), which included a 2-4 loss to Orange County on Wednesday night where they conceded three goals in the second half. Birmingham played their midweek game a day later, with a 1-2 defeat to Detroit at home, as a Ben Morris goal for Detroit at 90+2’ would see the visitors past the Legion. Looking at this matchup in particular, these two teams played out a 0-0 draw back in May for their first meeting of the season, but I think this match on Sunday will have more goals to it than the previous matchup. Each of these sides are at BTTS - Yes hit rates of at or above 50% (including the last five Birmingham games going BTTS - Yes). Still, I want to bring up how Birmingham have only trailed at halftime once all season in the league, that I think the angle to play this one is going the way of Birmingham, who I do believe can get all three points in this match, particularly with these odds.

Bet 1: Birmingham ML

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes

Bet 3: Birmingham win or draw halftime, Birmingham ML

USL1

Naples v Portland

2.00 - 3.50 - 3.00

We get our Friday started between two teams looking for a much needed improvement in their form as both sit outside the playoff picture currently. Naples has seen a dramatic step back from the playoff team of last season, into a sophomore slump of this year, having lost their last five consecutive matches played across all competitions. Portland were able to halt their four match losing run with a massive 5-1 win over Richmond last time out, but the Maine club are looking to win back-to-back matches for the first time since September 2025. Naples were unable to secure a win against Portland in any of their four meetings previously, but this will be Portland’s just second trip to face Naples away (first match being 0-0 in March 2025). Both teams are averaging over 2.5 total goals in games this season (Portland averaging over 3 total goals), but it’s the form about these teams that makes me question a results pick.

Portland have just one win away from home in the league this year, while Naples have picked up four wins in the league at home—but it’s just one win in their last five home games across all competitions. While I think the results odds are better towards Portland, I think to be safer, I’ll back this match to go over 2.5 total goals.

Bet: Over 2.5 total goals (1.80)

Richmond v Sarasota

2.60 - 3.40 - 2.30

A meeting of Richmond past and present this weekend at City Stadium as Sarasota visits the Kickers this evening in the first ever meeting of these two clubs. Richmond saw the managerial change, but the Ownby interim era could not be off to a worse start with losses to Fort Wayne, and a bad defeat to Portland last time out (5-1, the second time Richmond has conceded 5 goals in a league match this season). While Sarasota has seen a bit of a wobble in recent weeks, two defeats from their last three played while getting out-scored 7-4 in that time. They may sit outside a playoff spot like Richmond, a win for Sarasota tonight could bring the Floridian club into the best team not currently in a playoff spot—and I think Sarasota getting a result at minimum is the wager to back here. Until I see Richmond get a win, I cannot trust this team.

Bet: Sarasota win or draw halftime, Sarasota win or draw fulltime (1.57)

NY Cosmos v Greenville

No odds as of writing

What better way to get our Saturday started than with a meeting of two of USL’s more chaotic teams, watching either of these sides—each averaging over 2.5 total goals per game, (and in the case of the Cosmos, nearly at 4.0 total goals per game), should give us some entertainment to start the evening. The NY Cosmos have been in total free fall, no wins in any of their last six games played across all competitions, no wins in the league since April 3rd. Not to mention the Cosmos’ inability to keep a clean sheet, having not held an opponent scoreless since March 28th (also the last time they kept an opponent under 1.5 team goals). However, the Greenville Triumph are still looking for their first win away from home all season, and they themselves have only scored one road goal in the league this year! Not really the statline you want to read but perhaps the Cosmos’ “Swiss Cheese like defense” might strike confidence into the Triumph attack.

What Greenville does have going for them is having beaten the Cosmos previously already, a 3-2 scoreline back in March. However, while I like these opportunity for Greenville to get the win here, that road record just worries me already. If you are able, take this game to be BTTS - Yes, and already penciling it in for over 2.5 total goals as well. But, if you want to be bold, Greenville to win (or even just get a result here) seems intriguing.

Bet 1: Over 2.5 total goals

Bet 2: Greenville ML

Corpus Christi v Chattanooga

No odds as of writing

A matchup of two teams slowly coming around to finding their form in recent weeks. Each side were dealt tough opening schedules by the league—Corpus Christi with their long road trip to begin the season, Chattanooga with an inconsistent match schedule that has left them with multiple games in hand over the rest of the league. But, as we spoke on the USL Show this week, these are two teams I think are worth ‘buying’ into their stock now. Chattanooga picked up a 2-0 win over Westchester on Wednesday, and while Corpus Christi took a defeat to Charlotte, that was a tough opponent for most anyone in the league. Even in previous meetings on the season, Corpus Christi beat Chattanooga 1-0 in a USL Cup group stage match for CCFC’s first win across all competitions as a club. However, Corpus Christi has proven to be a tough place to go and get a result, having lost just one match at home in the league all season, and Chattanooga have just one win in their last four road games played this season. That being said, I think the angle to play for this match is to keep it low-scoring, picking under 2.5 total goals. As for a result, I think this match angles towards a draw and I think the odds are better on Chattanooga to get a first half result (they have not been trailing at halftime of a match in any of their last seven league games played).

Bet 1: Draw result

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals

Bet 3: Chattanooga win or draw halftime

Fort Wayne v Spokane

No odds as of writing

Spokane has become a confusing team to try and wager on in recent weeks. While the results overall as of late have been poor (defeats to Knoxville 0-4, Portland 1-2, AV Alta 0-1, and most recently, Madison on Wednesday 0-1), they have still been able to surprise with a win here and there (2-1 over Boise in the Cup on June 6th and 2-1 over Westchester on June 24th). For Fort Wayne, it’s ten games unbeaten in the league, a streak dating back to March 28th for their last defeat. Part of this stretch has also been making their new home ground, Ruoff Mortgage Stadium, a fortress, where they are still unbeaten at the ground in five games played (two wins and three draws). But after having gone the entire month of June without a home game (weird USL1 scheduling strikes again), it will be interesting to see how the club adjusts to being back in friendlier surroundings, especially since FWFC have not played a match since June 20th (a full two-weeks since their last game). But with Spokane in relative free fall (and no wins away from home against USL1 opposition since October 2025, a streak of ten games), I think Fort Wayne get back to winning ways and pick up three points in this match.

Bet: Fort Wayne ML

Westchester v Boise

No odds as of writing

I’ve written about in previous articles, but I am starting to cool my belief in Boise at the moment, and their 2-1 loss at home to Knoxville (while on the surface, not an unexpected result given a tough opponent), was their fourth defeat in seven games in the league. Though to the hosts of this match, Westchester have lost back-to-back games in the league for the first time since May, and their 2-0 defeat to Chattanooga on Wednesday was the first time Westchester were shutout in a league match since May as well. One stat I am looking to, and will be an immediate bet in this one, is that both of these teams are averaging at or over 3.00 total goals per game this season, and four of the seven Westchester home games this season went over 2.5 goals as well. We even saw this Boise team beat Westchester 4-0 in a match back in April too. However, Boise’s road record is not great (one win in six road trips, none of their last five road games being a win), to their credit, they have only been shutout in one of those six road games. Lean the way of the hosts to get a result, but definitely picking this game to go over 2.5 total goals.

Bet 1: Westchester win or draw

bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals

AV Alta v Charlotte

No odds as of writing

We spoke about it on this week’s USL Show as well, but AV Alta are a team that, up until their defeat to Omaha on Wednesday, were on a nine game unbeaten run in the league, their longest in club history. But it was their own unfamiliarity at being in this position, being in the hunt for a home playoff game, that caused us on the show this week to ‘sell’ this team’s prospects of staying there, and the loss to Omaha seemed to reinforce that belief. However, at home this year, they’ve only lost once in the league, but is that enough to take down the high-flying Charlotte Independence, winners of their last eight league games? It was a come from behind result (the second in this run of eight wins) on Wednesday as Charlotte beat Corpus Christi 2-1. The longer this unbeaten run continues, the more I wonder where it will be that trips up the Independence next? That being said the two previous meetings of these sides each went over 2.5 total goals and were BTTS - Yes scorelines (splitting the results one win each), so perhaps a trip to AV Alta is tougher than it appears.

I like Charlotte to get a result at the halftime interval, where they have only trailed at half just once this season, as well as this game to go over 2.5 total goals (Charlotte currently averages the most goals in total per game matches this season). But given these odds, I think we might have to back an Independence win as well.

Bet 1: Charlotte win or draw first half

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals

Bet 3: Charlotte ML

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Loudoun, Tampa Bay, Pittsburgh ML parlay (3.85)

• Charleston, San Antonio ML parlay (4.12)

BTTS/Goals Parlay:

• Indy Eleven v Charleston and Naples v Portland each over 2.5 total goals (2.90)

• Rhode Island v Orange County, Colorado Springs v Phoenix, Las Vegas v El Paso each BTTS - Yes (4.80)

• Louisville v Hartford, Pittsburgh v Brooklyn, San Antonio v Monterey Bay each BTTS - No (7.00)

Underdog Parlay:

• New Mexico win or draw, Sarasota win or draw (2.14)

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USLC Parlay (Friday, Saturday matches only):

Non-USL Related Bets

Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest:

• Joey Chestnut Over 70.5 hot dogs eaten (2.00)

• Joey Chestnut to win by 15+ hot dogs (1.50)

Other Soccer:

World Cup Knockouts:

Friday

• Friday Results Parlay: Egypt to Advance, Argentina ML, Colombia ML (2.62)

• Argentina -2.5 spread (2.25)

  • Messi (ARG) ATGS, Martinez (ARG) goal or assist (2.10)

• Colombia v Ghana under 2.5 goals (1.80)

  • Diaz (COL), Rodriguez (COL) 1+ shot on target each (2.00)

Saturday

• Morocco ML (1.75)

• Canada v Morocco under 2.5 total goals (1.66)

• France -1.5 spread (1.625)

  • Mbappe (FRA) ATGS (1.66)

  • Dembele (FRA) goal or assist (1.72)

Sunday

Brazil v Norway

• Brazil to qualify, Over 2.5 total goals (2.37)

• Cunha (BRA) ATGS 2.50

• Shots on Target: Vinicius (BRA), Cunha (BRA), Haaland (NOR) each 1+ shot on target (2.37)

• Odegaard (NOR) to score or assist (3.20), though to give assist at 4.33 is intriguing

Mexico v England

• England to qualify (1.72)

• Kane (ENG) ATGS (2.50)

• BTTS - Yes (2.00)

• 90’ Result: 3.20

• Match decided in extra time: Yes (6.50)

Other Sports:

MLB:

Friday Games Only

• Cubs ML (1.76)

• Orioles ML (1.83)

• Braves ML (1.86)

• Blue Jays ML (1.76)

• Marlins at Athletics over 10.5 runs (1.86)

• Giants at Rockies over 11 runs (1.90)

Formula 1 - British Grand Prix at Silverstone

• Lance Stroll not to be classified (2.00)

• Valtteri Bottas not to be classified (2.00)

• Carlos Sainz not to be classified (4.50)

NASCAR - Eero 400 at Chicagoland Speedway

• Top Driver of Manufacturer:

  • Chevy: Kyle Larson (2.30)

  • Ford: Ryan Blaney (2.00)

  • Toyota: Denny Hamlin (2.60)

• Placement Bets:

  • Denny Hamlin top three (1.80)

  • Kyle Larson top five (1.83)

  • Ryan Blaney top ten (1.50)

  • Ty Gibbs top ten (1.55)

  • Carson Hocevar top ten (2.20)

• Match-Up Bets:

  • Chase Elliott to beat Chase Briscoe H2H (1.83)

  • Kyle Larson to beat Tyler Reddick H2H (1.95)

  • Ty Gibbs to beat William Byron H2H (1.86)

  • Ryan Preece to beat Zane Smith H2H (1.86)

• Outright Win Bets:

  • Denny Hamlin (4.00)

  • Kyle Larson (8.00)

  • Either to win: 2.60

Final Thoughts

X-Men ‘97 are back for their second season with a three episode premiere and I thought it was a very good start to the season! The animation was as solid as ever and I am looking forward to seeing how the season develops moving forward!

Halfway through the calendar year, I am up to 274 total miles run, ahead of pace on my goal to run 500+ miles in 2026! I have started to add a few 10k runs into my routine, having run two in the month of June already. Here’s to a successful second half of the year in running!

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Follow me on Bluesky @ilm-ryan.bsky.social and follow the USL Show, @theUSLshow.bsky.social.

There is another soccer tournament continuing onward, but the biggest league in the world keeps playing as we have a full weekend of USLC, USL1 and USL Cup action this weekend! The summer rolls on and it’s best to spend it with the greatest league to watch, USL!

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, June 19th.

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USLC: Detroit ML (1.53), Charleston ML, BTTS - Yes (4.00), Louisville v Brooklyn Draw first half (2.75), Colorado Springs v Sacramento Draw halftime result (2.05), New Mexico win or draw, Under 2.5 total goals (2.40)

USL1: Knoxville ML, Knoxville to score first (1.61), Knoxville v NY Cosmos Over 2.5 total goals (1.72), Corpus Christi ML (2.00)

Parlays: Charlotte, Knoxville ML parlay (2.22), Over 2.5 total goals parlay: Portland v Chattanooga, Charlotte v Naples, Knoxville v NY Cosmos (4.88), Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USL1 Parlay (not including Sunday): 4.20

Beyond USL: USA ML (2.10), Scotland ML, Brazil win or draw (1.79), Brazil v Morocco BTTS - Yes (2.05), Germany -3.5 (1.90), Germany’s Kai Havertz to score two or more goals (3.10), Germany v Curacao over 1.5 total goals in each half (2.10), Sweden ML, Viktor Gyokeres (SWE) score or assist (1.90), New York Knicks +5.5 (1.86), New York Knicks ML 2.65, New York under 27.5 first quarter points (1.74), San Antonio first half ML, New York game ML (6.75), Carolina ML (1.86), Stankoven (CAR) 1+ point (1.71), Empty Net Goal in Game, Orioles ML (1.76), Rangers at Red Sox over 8.5 runs (1.90), Diamondbacks ML (1.95), Braves at Mets over 8 runs (1.86), Trey Yesavage (TOR) under 6.5 total strikeouts (1.66), Mauricio Dubon (ATL), Marcus Semien (NYM) 1+ hit each (2.20), Brandon Lowe (PGH) 1+ HR (4.50), Nick Kurtz (ATH) 1+ HR (2.65), Norris to beat Piastri Qualifying H2H (1.80), Norris to finish third (3.10), Gasly points finish (2.00), Bottas to be classified - No (3.75), Top Toyota: Denny Hamlin (2.25), Top Ford: Ryan Blaney (1.90), Byron to win H2H vs Bell (2.10), Jones to win H2H vs Keselowski (2.20), Erik Jones top ten finish (3.25), Outright win bet Denny Hamlin (3.50)

USL Championship

Brooklyn v Tampa Bay

5.00 - 3.80 - 1.53

Well, our hype train for Tampa Bay last week took a brief halt, as the Rowdies were frustrated by a Brendan Burke Hartford team last Saturday to lose 1-0, ending their quest for an invincible season. But what better way to begin a new unbeaten run for Tampa Bay than with a trip against the winless in their last six league games, Brooklyn FC. Now, to Brooklyn’s credit, they played mighty impressively against Louisville last week, minutes away from securing a massive win at Lynn Family Stadium only to share the points. And we’ve seen games at Maimonides Park frustrate teams in the past before (Brooklyn’s extremely narrow pitch has seen results against Sacramento, Charleston Indy Eleven already), so this might not be as easy of an outing for Tampa Bay as it appears to be on paper. Though they are struggling for results, Brooklyn have scored in each of their last four games played across all competitions, so I want to imagine Brooklyn can find the back of the net in this one. I just have more faith in the Rowdies to get back to winning ways after last week’s loss.

Bet 1: Tampa Bay ML (1.53)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes (1.72)

Hartford v Pittsburgh

2.25 - 2.90 - 3.00

Well done to Hartford last week for ending the Tampa Bay Rowdies unbeaten start to the season with a 1-0 win at Al Lang Stadium—also making that just one loss in their last five league games played consecutive clean sheets in the league for the first time since March. On the schedule this weekend, is the club who knocked out Hartford in last year’s playoffs en route to their own league title, the Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Pittsburgh have been in scintillating form of late, unbeaten in 90’ across all competitions of their last five played, including four clean sheets in those five games (a streak that is currently surpassing five hours, or enough time to watch The Spongebob Squarepants Movie (2004) nearly four times!).

One thing that has stuck out to me for both teams is how low-scoring each side has been this year, hearkening back to the Lilley-Riverhounds days. These two sides boast BTTS - Yes hit rates of under 50% (Hartford are a league low 27%), and while Pittsburgh had some high-scoring early season games to average over 2.5 total goals on the year, Hartford’s 1.82 total goals per game is a league low as well. While we have seen high-scoring games out of these two in the past (50% of the last six games having been BTTS/over 2.5 total goals), I am more inclined to take the under and lean the way of the visitors in this one.

Bet 1: First Half Draw (2.05)

Bet 2: Pittsburgh win or draw, Under 2.5 total goals (2.30)

Jacksonville v Charleston

5.50 - 4.10 - 1.45

Will Jacksonville win a match this season? That is the question I keep asking each weekend, and we’ve correctly been fading them every week. Last time out, Jacksonville were demolish 6-2 against Detroit, their heaviest loss of the season—“the defeats will continue until morale improves.” Welcoming in the Charleston Battery is not the light at the end of the tunnel for Sporting JAX, but likely another oncoming train (Hi Ange Postecoglou). For Charleston, they’re off a week where they nearly beat Tampa Bay in Al Lang, and just won 5-1 over Tulsa for their fifth win across all competitions covering a -1.5 spread. When these teams met back in May, it was Charleston winning 4-0 which included leading 3-0 at half.

To Sporting Jax’s credit, they’ve found their goalscoring form, having been shutout just once in the eight games since they last played Charleston, but I am looking to go heavy on the Battery in this one as the woes continue for Jacksonville.

Bet 1: Charleston -2.5 spread fulltime (3.80)

Bet 2: Charleston over 2.5 team goals (2.50)

Bet 3: BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (2.10)

Birmingham v Loudoun

1.66 - 3.70 - 4.10

After a matinee 1-1 draw with Oakland on Wednesday, Birmingham returns home to host Loudoun. For the Legion, they have lost just twice all season at home, making Protective Stadium a ground that Birmingham has usually been able to ‘protect’ their lead rather well (especially since the Legion have trailed at halftime just once all season). For Loudoun, I think the Limbrick era has been frustrating to say the least, as the Virginia club sit near the bottom of the East with just one win on the board in the league. Last week was a calamitous 4-1 loss to Rhode Island in the league, and a bad 3-1 defeat to Greenville in the Cup. I think the time has come to start fading Loudoun for the time being.

While Loudoun could very well find the back of the net in this one (as they have avoided being shutout in each of their last four games played), I cannot trust this Loudoun team until they show otherwise. Birmingham takes another halftime lead or tie, but ultimately prevails.

Bet 1: Birmingham win or draw halftime, Birmingham ML (1.72)

Bet 2: Birmingham over 1.5 team goals (1.66)

Tulsa v Colorado Springs

2.40 - 3.40 - 2.50

Tulsa got back to winning ways on Wednesday as they picked up a much needed 2-0 win over Monterey Bay, washing away the concerns left by their 5-1 loss to Charleston last week. That was also Tulsa’s third clean sheet in their last four games played as well, as this strong Luke Spencer crafted defense is starting to reappear again. For Colorado Springs, they took a disappointing 1-0 loss to Sacramento at home last week, it was their first home defeat since September of last year. This game might be a bit tougher to call in spite of Colorado Springs’ struggles away from home this season (just one win in six games). Both teams are at or above 2.50 total goals scored averages at the moment, and their halftime results have leaned towards draws this season (both teams averaging around 1.25 points per halftime result). Four of the last five meetings between these teams saw BTTS - No scorelines, with Colorado Springs winning three of those five matches (but only once in Tulsa). Between the two teams, I lean the way of Tulsa getting the result from this one, but I think the number of goals in this one will be driven from the success Colorado Springs may (or may not) have in front of net. I think it’s a better angle to fade the visitors here.

Bet 1: Tulsa win or tie, Colorado Springs under 1.5 team goals (1.83)

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals (2.07)

Monterey Bay v El Paso

2.60 - 3.50 - 2.30

Monterey Bay’s momentarily turn of form towards the good reached an end on Wednesday as they lost 2-0 to Tulsa, which also was Monterey Bay’s first match where they failed to score since April 4th (ten matches since then across all competitions). But, MBFC return home where they carry a three match winning streak at Cardinale Stadium—their longest home winning streak since April 12th, 2025 (also three games in a row). They prepare to welcome an El Paso team they have not beaten since September 2023. For Locomotive, this run of form since the middle April until now has been a tad worrying, no wins in the league (seven games played) since April 11th (only wins coming in USL Cup play against Orange County and AV Alta). But surely, given their history of results against Monterey Bay, this is a chance to end that bad run of form for El Paso?

Each team carries a BTTS - Yes hit rate of above 50% entering this match (El Paso even on 83%, a league high for a defense I was worried about in preseason). El Paso’s mark of averaging 3.75 total goals a game is a conference high as well. More anecdotally, Locomotive has scored the first goal in four of their last five league games played as well, so that might be an angle to play in this one especially given the odds having the Texan club at plus odds. But I feel a bit more encouraged by Monterey Bay of recent weeks, but not so encouraged to feel moved to wager a result on this game.

Bet 1: El Paso to score first (1.83)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.72)

Las Vegas v Orange County

2.05 - 3.25 - 3.10

The Las Vegas Lights have to be one of the most challenging teams to wager on in USLC this season. Last week, the Lights picked up their first road win since June 2025, with a 2-1 victory over Birmingham Legion (sorry Kaylor), seeing Las Vegas go three games unbeaten in the league for the first time since September 2025 (and having two clean sheets in this current run as well). Orange County enter this game with their own form having dropped in recent weeks, with just one win in the league since May began, and zero clean sheets in any of the seven matches played across all competitions since April 18th. BTTS - Yes has hit in each of those seven games, which bodes well for us since Las Vegas has seen BTTS - Yes scorelines in 75% of their league games this year. To Las Vegas’ credit, Orange County has only won on one occasion in their last five visits to Cashman Field as well, but surely this needs to be a game for Orange County to win to end this rut of bad form? At least we know once wager we certainly be doing.

Bet: BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (2.00)

Phoenix v Oakland

2.10 - 3.40 - 2.90

A pair of teams struggling to find consistent form right now, in their last four games played each, only one (Phoenix) has a win to their name. Oakland played out a 1-1 draw on Wednesday afternoon against Birmingham, but it was off the back of Peter Wilson heroics to rescue the point after he scored the tying goal in 90+3’. A bit more worrying, Oakland has not led in a league game since May 9th (their 2-1 win over El Paso), as the Ryan Martin project has hit a bit of a wall (despite being fourth in the West at the moment). For Phoenix, last week was categorized by a loss to Louisville midweek and a rather average 1-1 draw with El Paso. However, Rising should be encouraged by the fact that they have not lost to Oakland in any of their last seven matches (last defeat coming back in September 2022). In each of these team’s last four league games, each team has hit under 2.5 total goals in three of their respective games.

In a match that is increasingly looking tough to predict on paper, that usually points to one outcome more than likely occurring.

Bet 1: Draw fulltime (3.40)

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals (2.15)

Sacramento v New Mexico

1.75 - 3.40 - 3.90

For two of the Western Conference’s premier clubs, finding themselves towards the bottom half of the conference has been unbecoming for both Sacramento and New Mexico. But as a point separates these two in the table, a single win can bring either team into the conversation for hosting a home playoff game if results break their way this weekend. Sacramento halted their losing streak in the league last week with a 1-0 win over Colorado Springs, their first clean sheet victory in the league since April. For New Mexico, they are looking to make it four games unbeaten in the league for the first time since November 2025. Republic enters another edition of this series carrying a three match winning streak against New Mexico and have not lost to New Mexico at home since July 2019 (or when Toy Story 4 (2019) was in theaters).

One of the more even contests to wager this weekend, both teams in their BTTS - Yes hit rates are about a coin flip’s odds, with each being more unlikely to find than the opening goal than the rest of the league. Really feels like the bet calling most attention to it would be the under on total goals (as both teams are averaging under 2.5 total goals this season). Plus with neither side having led at halftime of many games this season, we might be in for a quiet match to cap off the night.

Bet 1: Draw fulltime (3.40)

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals (1.85)

Bet 3: Draw halftime (2.20)

(Draw-Draw HT/FT result is 5.50)

USL1

Westchester v Portland

2.50 - 3.50 - 2.40

After the USA v Australia match wraps up earlier this afternoon, get your USL weekend started with Westchester v Portland on Friday night! It was a 2-2 affair when these clubs met in this exact fixture in USL Cup play, with the New York club prevailing on penalties. In fact, all three previous meetings of these two sides have been BTTS - Yes but also over a whopping 3.5 total goals each time! What a fun possibility for a crazy match we have on our hands tonight. Westchester ended their winless run last last week with a massive 4-0 win over Greenville, while Portland have now lost three in a row in all competitions and are looking to avoid three consecutive defeats in the league for the first time in club history.

Easily, we should be wagering over 2.5 total goals in this one (and if you can do BTTS, do that as well). But would I be crazy to back the hosts to get the result in this one (they have led at halftime of their last two league games as well)? I just worry this form Portland has been in might compound the issues and they have struggled at this ground in this matchup before.

Bet 1: Over 2.5 total goals (1.72)

Bet 2: Westchester win or draw, Over 2.5 total goals (2.70)

Chattanooga v Naples

1.66 - 3.70 - 4.00

Making it a habit these past few weeks, Chattanooga have been picking up wins in matches where I am ready to give up on this Red Wolves project. Their season schedule to open the year has hardly done them any favors, but a massive win over Portland, away no less, last week is impressive. Conversely, Naples have now lost four in a row across all competitions, getting outscored 13-5 in that time. Twice last week against Charlotte, they fought back from trailing to tie the match, but it was not enough to find the win in the end. Naples are also still looking for their first win over Chattanooga after three previous matchups last season resulted in one defeat and two draws for the Floridian club.

I actually think we should move towards Chattanooga in our wager this week, especially for a Red Wolves team who has scored 11 goals at home this season in the league and has a +6 goal differential in those matches as well.

Bet: Chattanooga ML (1.66)

Greenville v AV Alta

1.83 - 3.50 - 3.50

Maybe it’s the new ground for Greenville that produced their solid results (wins over Madison and Loudoun) these last two weeks, as a 4-0 loss to Westchester last Sunday—Greenville’s worst defeat since March 2025—was unexpected. Every time I think Greenville has turned a corner, they put together one of their worse losses of the season (Sunday’s being the sixth time they lost a match in not only win to nil fashion, and fifth time they failed to cover a +1.5 spread in those defeats). AV Alta are carrying a three match winning streak into this one, but all three of those games across all competitions were at home. AV Alta’s cross country trips are never easy travel on the team but they have picked up a win on the East coast previously, at Sarasota in May. While I think being back at home will be beneficial to Greenville, I think the better money lies with the visitors here to get a result away.

Bet: AV Alta win or draw (1.80)

Richmond v Fort Wayne

2.40 - 3.40 - 2.50

The big news surrounding this match has to be that of now former Richmond Kickers manager, Darren Sawatzky, departing from the club on Monday after seven years in charge (to join Sporting Cascades, a new USL1 expansion team for 2027). While the results for Richmond this year had turned against Sawatzky (no wins since May 9, five losses in their last six games played and missing the playoffs in two of the last three seasons), a move to see Sawatzky hired away before he might have been fired is a cleaner exit for all parties involved (especially Richmond). In steps Richmond native, and former Kickers and Louisville City player, Brian Ownby as the interim. We spoke about it on this week’s USL Show on what to expect from the now “Ownby era” for Richmond how much of a runaway he will be given to audition for the role, but it all starts with Fort Wayne tomorrow. The Indiana club on their second road trip of the week, after a 1-1 draw with Madison on Wednesday made it three draws from their last three league games played.

For Richmond, this game might be one of cautious optimism as they prepare to start a new direction for the club that I might look to this team for a new manager bounce. But Fort Wayne has shown, over the long run, that they are one of USL1’s better expansion teams this league has seen in quite sometime, they won’t be an easy out. Still, I can just see Richmond getting the opening goal in this one to start out with a positive note in Ownby’s first match in charge. But I do see Fort Wayne scoring as well.

Bet 1: Draw fulltime (3.40)

Bet 2: Richmond to score first (1.95)

Madison v NY Cosmos

1.48 - 4.10 - 5.25

It’s now five matches in a row across all competitions that the NY Cosmos have lost, and no wins in the league since April 3rd. I have taken the approach now of fading the Cosmos in all matches regardless of opponent until they prove me otherwise, and it’s been profitable. Not to mention 14 of the Cosmos’ 15 games played across all competitions have gone over 2.5 total goals, it’s become automatic for us. Madison had to settle for a draw against Fort Wayne on Wednesday, but it maintained the Wisconsin club’s unbeaten run at home against USL1 opposition dating back to August of last year.

But until the Cosmos can prove to me they can pick up results, or even just take a lead (something they have only done for 18’ in their last five matches played), we have to keep fading them. Madison pick up a win and let’s back the goals hitting the over as the visitors bring in their league worst defense.

Bet 1: Madison ML (1.48)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals (1.57)

Parlay both: 2.05

Corpus Christi v Sarasota

1.90 - 3.30 - 3.40

It took a while to get it figured out, but Eamon Zayed always gets it done eventually, as he now has his Corpus Christi side putting results on the board, with back-to-back wins in the league, after a 1-0 win over Richmond last week (both games at home too). Once this CCFC team began to gel together, it felt like a matter time before the results would follow. But, Sarasota enters this game as one of USL1’s hottest teams, with three wins from their last four league games played, including three 2-0 results in that time. It won’t be an easy outing for Zayed’s CCFC team, but a good test to see if the Texan club can keep moving up the table. Sarasota may also be benefiting from having played significantly more games this season already than most of the league.

Bet 1: Sarasota win or draw first half, Sarasota win or draw fulltime (1.95)

Spokane v Knoxville

2.20 - 3.20 - 2.90

Our first rematch of last year’s USL1 league final, as Knoxville makes the cross country trip to Spokane, looking to extend their unbeaten run in this series against the Washington club to a sixth match. The last two trips to Spokane for Knoxville resulted in draws, as these two sides duke it out for the home playoff spots tomorrow night. Knoxville are unbeaten in their last four games played across all competitions and have scored multiple goals in three of those four games. However, Spokane has won their last six home games across all competitions, making this one of the toughest grounds in the league to get a result in (even if Knoxville has done so already on two previous trips). As much as I want to pick a draw in this one, six wins in their last six home games is tough to ignore. Perhaps I regret this pick on Sunday but for now…

Bet: Spokane ML (2.20)

Boise v Omaha

2.15 - 3.40 - 2.80

Is Boise okay? All of us at the USL Show were very high on Nate Miller’s expansion side but since May 23rd, in the six games they have played since then, they have just one win across all competitions and have seen three defeats failing to cover +1.5 scorelines (including last week where they shockingly lost 5-1 against Madison away). Omaha have not been much better in the immediate history—two defeats in their last two played (hoping to avoid three losses in a row for the first time in the league since July 2025). Amazingly, we still have Omaha atop the league table (but Charlotte are catching up quickly). This match, where Omaha will try to avoid its third straight loss, is also their third consecutive road game as well (lots of travel). That might be the motivation Boise need to get a confidence boosting result out of this game. All of that taken into account, I like this match going over 2.5 total goals, and since Omaha has not been leading at halftime of a game since the third league game played for them, I think that’s the angle we play.

Bet: Boise win or draw first half, Over 2.5 total goals (2.25)

USL Cup

Detroit v Louisville

2.00 - 3.60 - 3.00

The first of two USL Cup matches this weekend, will go a long way towards determining who wins Group 4. Detroit plays host to Louisville at Keyworth, a ground that has given Louisville issues in previous visits. But in USL Cup action, Louisville has been unstoppable: two wins from two played for the group lead, the competition’s highest scoring team, and a win this weekend would all but clinch their spots in the knockouts. However, a Detroit win would make this group table very interesting, especially since still has not lost a home match this season and have already beat Louisville at home already this year too (back in May, 2-1). Last time at Keyworth, that was the first time Detroit had conceded the opening goal as well, and Louisville’s recent form (where they needed to rescue a draw with Brooklyn last week), has still had me worried. I think we have the potential for a fun upset pick in this one.

Bet: Detroit win or tie, Detroit to score first (2.37)

Lexington v Indy Eleven

2.10 - 3.60 - 2.75

In the other match of USL Cup play this week, we stay in Group 4 in a middle of the group clash between Lexington and Indy Eleven. The latter was supposed to have a match in the league against Brooklyn on Wednesday, but it was postponed due to weather, leaving both having had a full week to prepare for this one. Lexington are off the back of a 2-0 win over San Antonio at home last weekend in the league, having made it just one loss in their last four games played across all competitions (and Lexington have not been shutout in a match since April 18th, seven games in a row scoring in all competitions). Each of the last two games played in this series went BTTS - Yes scorelines (something both teams are averaging over 50% in league games this season), so this fixture is one to expect goals in. Looking at the standings of Group 4, Indy Eleven are on their last group stage game of the competition while Lexington still has one to play after this. Each team are a point behind Louisville and Omaha on six points for the top of the group standings, with the loser likely seeing their chances to advance all but eliminated (certainly so if Indy Eleven do not win).

While they had not won either of the two previous meetings before, I just feel there is something to this Lexington team in recent weeks that makes me want to back them in this game, especially since Indy Eleven’s USL Cup campaign is more than likely finished after tomorrow’s match.

Bet: Lexington ML, Over 2.5 total goals (2.80)

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Birmingham, Tampa Bay, Charleston ML parlay (3.70)

• Detroit, Lexington ML parlay (4.20)

• Chattanooga, Madison ML parlay (2.46)

BTTS/Goals Parlay:

• Westchester v Portland, Madison v Cosmos, Lexington v Indy Eleven all over 2.5 total goals (4.07)

• Hartford v Pittsburgh and Sacramento v New Mexico both under 2.5 total goals (3.08)

• Brooklyn v Tampa Bay, Jacksonville v Charleston each BTTS - Yes (3.10)

Underdog Parlay:

• Pittsburgh or draw, Westchester or draw (2.21)

Non-USL Related Bets

Other Soccer:

World Cup:

• Morocco ML (1.65)

• Brazil to score in both halves (2.00 on bet365)

• Vinicius Jr ATGS (1.72) in Brazil v Haiti

• Turkiye ML (2.00)

• Netherlands v Sweden BTTS - Yes (1.75)

• Germany -1.5 spread (2.37)

• Japan, Belgium, Uruguay, Egypt ML parlay (5.24)

• Lamine Yamal ATGS (1.95) in Spain v Saudi Arabia

USA v Australia:

• USA ML (1.61)

• Folarin Balogun (2.40)

• USA HT/FT (2.40)

Other Sports:

MLB:

Friday Games Only:

• Tigers, Yankees ML parlay (2.03)

• Brewers at Braves over 7.5 total runs (1.86)

• Rays ML (1.76)

• Pirates at Rockies over 11.5 total runs (1.90)

• Mariners ML (1.90)

• Athletics, Diamondbacks ML parlay (2.55)

NASCAR - Andruil 250 at San Diego Street Course

Top Driver of Manufacturer:

• Chevy: Shane van Gisbergen (1.38)

• Ford: Ryan Blaney (3.80)

• Toyota: Ty Gibbs (3.40)

Matchup Bets:

• Chase Briscoe to beat Christopher Bell H2H (1.80)

• AJ Allmendinger to beat Kyle Larson H2H (1.95)

Placement Bets:

• AJ Allmendinger top ten (1.76)

• Kevin Magnussen top ten (2.20)

• Connor Zilisch top three (2.15)

• Ty Gibbs top five (2.75)

Outright Win Bets:

• Shane van Gisbergen (1.54)

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The eyes of the world turn to North America for the start of the 2026 World Cup this week, but it’s the USL continuing onward with the season. There’s no rest for the biggest league in the world, and no rest for our wagers this weekend. Stay cool with this very hot weather across the country this week, and let’s make it a great weekend with our wagers! Best of luck!

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, June 12.

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USL: Hartford ML (1.61), Indy Eleven win or draw, Indy Eleven to score first (1.41), Tampa Bay -1.5 spread (2.35), Sarasota ML (3.80), Rhode Island ML, Over 2.5 total goals (1.95), Rhode Island HT/FT result (2.10), Fort Wayne win or draw halftime, Omaha win or draw fulltime (2.15), Colorado Springs win or draw and Over 2.5 total goals, Spokane ML, Spokane v Boise over 2.5 total goal

Parlays: Indy Eleven, Hartford, Tampa Bay ML parlay (3.50)

Beyond USL: Dodgers, Brewers ML parlay (2.46), Cardinals ML (1.71), Royals at Twins under 8.5 total runs (1.90), Trey Yesavage (TOR) under 6.5 total strikeouts (1.62), Andy Pages (LAD), Freddie Freeman (LAD) 1+ hit each (2.00), Knicks +6.5 (2.90), Rebounds: Bridges (NYK), Brunson (NYK) over 2.5 each (2.75), Threes: Champagnie (SA) 3+, Anunoby (NYK) 2+ threes made (2.90), Canes at Golden Knights Over 5.5 total goals (1.80), Canes at Golden Knights Tie after three periods (4.00), Antonelli to beat Russell H2H (1.72), Verstappen top three qualifying (2.10), Hadjar top six finish (2.75), Hamlin top Toyota driver (3.10), Buescher to beat Briscoe H2H (2.25), Hamlin top three (2.10), Larson top five (2.25), Hocevar top ten (1.83), Denny Hamlin or Christopher Bell either to win (2.60), Hamlin outright win (4.50)

USL Championship

Loudoun v Rhode Island

3.20 - 3.60 - 1.90

In the brief history of these two clubs interacting (four games since 2024), every single match has gone under 2.5 goals, has been BTTS - No scorelines, and we’ve seen a whopping three 0-0 results! That history is a stark contrast to the over 50% hit rates on BTTS - Yes scorelines we are seeing out of Loudoun and Rhode Island this season, as we prepare to watch these two sides outside the playoff picture right now. Can Rhode Island get their first win over Loudoun all-time—despite the side having won just one league match since April? Loudoun have just one in their last seven league games played (but are just off a bad 3-1 loss to Greenville in the Cup midweek), but five draws in that time as well. Given that recent form, and the history of this series, I think we have one result to wager standing before us…

Bet 1: Draw (3.60)

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals (1.95)

Bet 3: 0-0 scoreline (12.00)

Lexington v San Antonio

1.90 - 3.20 - 3.40

It’s Lexington’s first home game in a month’s time, and the side are off the back of their first road win in the league this season, and a win over Detroit on PKs in the Cup? Everything is coming up Milhouse Lexington in recent weeks (who also have not been shutout in any of their last six games played across all competitions). But welcoming in Western Conference leaders San Antonio, who have not lost a match across all competitions since the start of April, is no easy feat. Nine games played since their last defeat, three clean sheets and San Antonio have scored over 1.5 team goals in five of those games. San Antonio also has already picked up a 2-0 win over Lexington back in March—and in this very fixture last year, it was San Antonio winning 3-2 away at Lexington. I think this match will have goals to it from both teams, but San Antonio winning might be more worth our while.

Bet 1: BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (2.20)

Bet 2: San Antonio ML (3.40)

Pittsburgh v Indy Eleven

1.70 - 3.60 - 4.00

Ever since joining USLC, this series between Pittsburgh and Indy Eleven has been relatively even (Pittsburgh leading the 18 all-time matchups 7 wins, 5 draws and 6 Indy Eleven wins). But dating back to August 2023, Indy Eleven has scored in each of the last seven matches of this series, and has even won two of their last three trips to Highmark Stadium. With both teams averaging above a 50% hit rate on BTTS - Yes scoreline, and seven of the last eight matches between these two teams being BTTS - Yes, I think that’s one wager to follow. Both sides are also averaging over 2.5 total goals in a game for all league games this season as well. I have actually been liking the better form of Indy Eleven in this one, with the odds tipping them as underdogs, I think that’s the angle to play.

Bet: Indy Eleven win or draw, BTTS - Yes (2.90)

Jacksonville v Detroit

4.75 - 3.90 - 1.53

The hits keep coming for Jacksonville, as a midweek trip out West to face fellow cellar dwellers (but maybe not for long for this club) Monterey Bay resulted in a 2-1 defeat where the Florida club was 10’ away from a point. That’s now 12 games without a win in the league for Jacksonville, it’s nearing 2013 Antigua Barracuda levels of bad (even 2016 FC Montreal had one win in their first 12 games played). For Detroit, weather delayed the ending to their midweek game, a 1-1 draw with El Paso that saw an onslaught of shots at the Locomotive net only for the honors to be shared at fulltime.

One pause I have entering this match is that Detroit are still searching for their first road win of the season in the league and have scored a joint-conference low three goals away from home this year (a stark contrast to their record at Keyworth). But as this Jacksonville team are approaching infamous levels of bad, surely this is where Detroit pick up that first road win of the year?

Bet: Detroit ML (1.53)

Charleston v Tulsa

1.66 - 3.30 - 4.75

In a match that would have been a very intriguing Cup final had Charleston made it that far last season, we get Tulsa’s first trip to the Lowcountry since September 2023. Midweek on Wednesday, we saw Charleston give the Tampa Bay Rowdies (more on them shortly) their toughest test of the season as they battled to a 2-2 draw at Al Lang that only saw the points dropped after the tying goal was scored at 90’. For Tulsa, it was a 2-1 defeat against San Antonio last time out, their first defeat in the league since April 11th. In the five previous meetings of these two long-time USL clubs (dating back to 2022), we have yet to see a draw as Charleston leads the series 4-1, with each of the last four games going BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals as well. Tulsa are looking for their first win away at Charleston all-time, which does not inspire confidence given that the Battery are unbeaten in home games this season. Backing the Battery to get the win in this one, but let’s keep the BTTS - Yes trend going.

Bet: Charleston ML, BTTS - Yes (4.00)

Tampa Bay v Hartford

1.44 - 3.80 - 6.25

Wednesday’s game against Charleston nearly saw Tampa Bay’s unbeaten start to the season reach an end, but it was a Mattheus equalizer at 90+1’ to rescue the point and keep the invincible season hopes alive for the Rowdies. This Rowdies team has still scored the opening goal in every league match they have played this season, has yet to trail at halftime of matches, and boasts the league’s meanest defense with just seven goals allowed all season. On the Hartford side of things, their form is starting to improve, as they have only one loss in their last four games played, including three wins where Hartford has scored over 1.5 team goals in each of those victories. But trips to Al Lang Stadium have rarely been kind to the Connecticut club, who last won away at Tampa Bay back in July 2021 (or when the ninth Fast & Furious film had reached theaters). Until they fail to do so, I think we have to keep backing Tampa Bay in these games. All aboard the hype train!

Bet 1: Tampa Bay ML, Tampa Bay to score first, Over 1.5 total goals (2.05)

Bet 2: Tampa Bay HT-FT (2.10)

Birmingham v Las Vegas

1.85 - 3.50 - 3.40

In weird historical records, Las Vegas are actually unbeaten against Birmingham all-time (two draws and one win, which the latter result occurred when these clubs last met in 2024 which was a 3-0 win for the Lights). However, we run into both of these teams in very different situations since that last matchup in 2024. For the visitors, they have just one win in their last five played, including getting shutout in three of their last four games. For Birmingham, who still have yet to trail at halftime of a league match this season, the Alabama club have just one defeat across all competitions since the start of April—and have only been shutout in three of those games. While Legion are searching for their first win in the league since May 2nd (currently a three match winless run), I think Birmingham should pick up their first ever win all-time against Las Vegas tomorrow night.

Bet: Birmingham win or draw first half, Birmingham ML (1.95)

Louisville v Brooklyn

1.36 - 4.75 - 6.00

There you are Louisville, their longest winless streak in club history of five has reached an end as the Kentucky club picked up a 2-0 win away at Phoenix on Wednesday. It was Louisville’s first win since April 18th, and their third win to nil result on the year. Included in those previous win to nil results was the reverse of this fixture as Louisville defeated Brooklyn at Coney Island on March 28th, 1-0. Brooklyn has become a club that plays to the peak of their abilities at home, and then look lost on the road as the side is still searching for their first road victory in the league this season—and a visit to Lynn Family Stadium might not be the venue to find that first road win. Interestingly, only once this season has Louisville led at halftime of a game, so this team is very much a slow start out of the gates, but I have to imagine the win on Wednesday has breathed life back into this Louisville team again and should will them over the line tomorrow.

Bet 1: Louisville ML, Over 1.5 Louisville team goals (1.53)

Bet 2: Draw first half (2.75)

Colorado Springs v Sacramento

2.05 - 3.20 - 3.20

Strangely, the home team has not won a match of this series in any of the last four games of this series (two home games apiece for each side). But we are looking at two sides with identical records and goal differences in the table. For Colorado Springs, they’ve only lost one match in all competitions since April, and have scored in every other game beyond that defeat. For Sacramento, they are looking to avoid losing three games in a row in the league for the first time since October 2022. But, Republic have won their last two visits to Weidner Field, however are also still searching for their first road win this season (one of three West teams without a road victory on the year). Neither team tends to do well with the halftime result (both having two or fewer games this year when they are leading at half). But I do believe in Colorado Springs finding the opening goal in this one, in a match that will have goals to it (seven of the Switchbacks’ eight home games against USL clubs this year have gone over 2.5 total goals).

Bet 1: Draw halftime result (2.05)

Bet 2: Colorado Springs to score first, Over 1.5 total goals (2.15)

El Paso v Phoenix

1.75 - 3.50 - 3.75

As mentioned above, El Paso might consider themselves lucky to have escaped Keyworth with a 1-1 draw against Detroit given the xG battle of that match, but it was the side’s first result in the league since May 6th as Locomotive are still looking for their first win in the league since April 11th. For Phoenix, they have now been on the losing end of “win to nil” scorelines in three of their last four games played across all competitions, having lost most recently to Louisville on Wednesday (each of those four games were BTTS - No) scorelines too. This match gives us an interesting contrast as El Paso are averaging near 4 total goals per game vs Phoenix averaging under 2.5 total goals a game. Phoenix are under 50% BTTS hit rates, while El Paso are a league high 82%. As El Paso look for their first win over Phoenix since August 2022, this might be the best opportunity to do just that. Interestingly, Locomotive has five results in their last six home games against Phoenix (losing against them in the playoffs at home last season), so this is hardly an easy ground to visit. But those five results were featuring four draws and each game going BTTS - Yes.

All that being considered, I still think this is an unfavorable ground for Phoenix to visit and Rising have been too inconsistent in recent weeks for me to trust them.

Bet: El Paso win or draw, Over 2.5 total goals (1.90)

New Mexico v Orange County

1.85 - 3.60 - 3.50

Don’t look now, but New Mexico have not allowed a goal in any of their last three games across all competitions—or no goals allowed in any of their nearly last six hours of play (or enough time to nearly watch the first four Toy Story movies). It’s been no secret that this start to the season for Dennis Sanchez’s squad has been rocky, but NMU might slowly be turning things around as they prepare to face an Orange County side they have not lost to in any of their last six meetings—and Orange County has not won away at New Mexico since September 2019. Despite their strong start to the season, that still has them in second in the West, Orange County have just one win across all competitions in their last seven games played. That once stifling defense of OC has not kept a clean sheet since April 18th, and hasn’t kept a clean sheet away from home since April 11th. I think we are in for a low-scoring match with both teams averaging under 2.5 total goals in games this year. But I am more trusting of New Mexico at the moment.

Bet: New Mexico win or draw, Under 2.5 total goals (2.40)

Oakland v Miami

1.57 - 3.80 - 4.75

Just when I thought the month of May was a turnaround point for this Miami FC team, who are still in a playoff spot as it stands, they’ve now lost three of their last four played (with a 4-3 win over Louisville to their credit). Oakland did get a confidence boosting win in the Cup last weekend 2-0 over Las Vegas, but are looking to avoid three defeats in a row in the league for the first time since March 2025 (and three games winless in the league for the first time since April. I’ve mentioned pumping the brakes on the Ryan Martin project at Oakland of recent weeks, but surely this is the weekend the Oakland Roots squad get back to winning ways, especially at home where they’ve won three of their six home games already—and when Miami have scored just one goal in their last four road games in the league. Keeping it simple on this one.

Bet: Oakland ML (1.57)

USL1

Portland v Chattanooga

2.55 - 3.40 - 2.30

It was a tough week for Portland Hearts of Pine last week, a heartbreaking 3-2 loss to hand Corpus Christi their first win in the league on Wednesday, then a red card-impacted 5-1 defeat away at Brooklyn in the Cup. Though both of those games kept up a trend of over 2.5 total goals hitting in Portland matches (which has happened in eight of their last ten games across all competitions), it brought an end to their four match unbeaten run. But this match is a return home for Hearts of Pine who still have not lost a game at Fitzpatrick Stadium since October 2025. Chattanooga enters this match, off the back of another long break in their weird schedule to open the season having not played a game in two weeks (and their last game was a 3-2 loss at home to Charlotte). This scheduling cadence of games has to be impacting the Red Wolves who seemingly cannot stretch together any meaningful results as they have not had consecutive games where they picked up at least point since the season began in March.

Portland’s back at home for the first time in two weeks, with two of those last three home games across all competitions have gone over 2.5 total goals. Backing the Maine club here.

Bet 1: Portland ML, Over 2.5 total goals (4.00)

Bet 2: Portland to score first (2.00)

Charlotte v Naples

1.53 - 3.90 - 4.75

Once again, the Charlotte Independence proved that “if in doubt, trust Mike Jeffries” as the Independence picked up their fourth consecutive win, with a 2-0 result over Omaha last week (making the North Carolina club unbeaten in all games played since April 18th). And very recently, we have seen this matchup on June 3rd where Charlotte traveled to Florida and walked away with a 5-1 win over Naples where they led 5-0 after 71’ played. For Naples, that aforementioned 5-1 defeat was part of what is now a three match losing streak where they have been outscored 9-2 in that time. Not to mention Naples has not won a road match since March 21 (five road games ago across all competitions). I am going to trust Charlotte in this one to replicate a similar performance as they did last time out against Naples…

Bet: Charlotte -1.5 (2.35)

Although Charlotte -2.5 (4.00) is tempting.

Knoxville v NY Cosmos

1.45 - 4.10 - 5.50

My trend of recent weeks has been to fade the New York Cosmos, who have now lost four games in a row in all competitions with each of those games going over 2.5 total goals too. This Cosmos defense cannot keep a clean sheet this season (with their lone clean sheet coming on March 28th against Fort Wayne). Betting over 2.5 total goals on Cosmos matches has become automatic for me this season, but facing a Knoxville team who averages under 2.5 total goals in games this season brings us an interesting dilemma. Knoxville, who have two wins in their last four league games played, should win this match and it’s going to be my wager, but how porous of a defense is this NY Cosmos team going to be to show up, especially for a Knoxville side who has not seen a game at home go over 2.5 goals and a Knoxville win since April. Perhaps it’s still worth a sprinkle on the over on goals in this one.

Bet 1: Knoxville ML, Knoxville to score first (1.61)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals (1.72)

Sarasota v Omaha

2.70 - 3.40 - 2.20

Fresh off of signing Emiliano Terzaghi from Portland today, Sarasota will be looking to rebound after a midweek defeat to AV Alta. After having won three in a row across all competitions, Sarasota’s loss to AV Alta on Wednesday (3-1 scoreline) felt like a gut punch as the California club has made it two wins against Sarasota already. Needing a rebound game themselves, we have Union Omaha who saw their four match winning streak end against Charlotte last week for a 2-0 loss, Omaha’s first road defeat since April. August of last season was the last time Omaha lost two consecutive games in the league and Omaha has not lost consecutive road games since July of last year. With both sides averaging over 2.5 total goals in games this season, I immediately believe that’s a wager worth taking, but to add on a bit more to that, I think this game sees a winner as well with both teams having had just one draw apiece in the league this season.

Bet: Sarasota or Omaha double chance, Over 2.5 total goals (2.05)

Madison v Boise

2.75 - 3.30 - 2.20

I am officially worried about Madison again. The Wisconsin club has just one win in their last six games played across all competitions, and they have been shutout four of those games (including their last two). Perhaps getting back home and facing a Boise team going through a rough patch of their own (just one win in their last five played) might breath some life into Madison. To Boise’s credit, they have only been shutout in two games all season and always seem likely to find the back of the net at any moment of a match. With Madison having been rather worrisome in recent weeks, I believe the smart money should lie with Boise in this one.

Bet 1: Boise to score first (1.83)

Bet 2: Boise draw no bet (1.66)

Corpus Christi v Richmond

2.00 - 3.40 - 3.10

Loss to Birmingham in the Cup from Tuesday aside, well done to Corpus Christi for earning their first win in the league last week with a massive 3-2 win over Portland. No longer at the bottom of the league (sorry Cosmos…) is this start of the slow climb up the table for CCFC? For Richmond, it’s another worrisome rough patch of form as the Kickers have not won any of their last five games played, and have allowed multiple goals in each of those five games played (being outscored 15-3 in that time). Form seems to have compounded on itself for Richmond in this run of matches, and it takes a lot for this team to break out of that rut. But for us, I think that gives a chance to see what this Corpus Christi team can do, especially with Richmond on a day’s shorter rest and traveling back from Boise to south Texas.

Bet: Corpus Christi ML (2.00)

AV Alta v Spokane

2.50 - 3.30 - 2.40

Has AV Alta figured it out? Since May began, AV Alta have amassed a record of 5-1-1 in their seven games played across all competitions, and most recently picked up a 3-1 win over Sarasota on Wednesday. But they are taking on a Spokane team Alta has never beaten before in four previous games (with Spokane having won three of those meetings). Spokane has been in similar good form as well, having won four of their last five games played across all competitions, and have scored the opening goal in each of those five games played (Velocity’s opening goal percentage of 70% is one of the best in USL1). Only once this season has Spokane trailed at halftime as well. Despite the good form of AV Alta, I think they are running into a better team in this with Spokane.

Bet 1: Spokane to score first (1.95)

Bet 2: Spokane win or draw halftime, Spokane win or draw fulltime (1.61)

Westchester v Greenville

No odds as of writing

We close out our USL1 weekend slate on Sunday as Westchester plays host to Greenville. Westchester put a stop to their five game losing streak with a 1-1 draw with Fort Wayne on Wednesday, but the New York club still has not won a match across all competitions since April 8th. Greenville, ever since the move to their brand new stadium, has won their most recent two games played including an impressive 3-1 win over Loudoun midweek. Entering this match, Triumph have still yet to lose to Westchester in three previous meetings, with the two most recent games seeing Greenville cover a -1.5 spread and the match go over 2.5 total goals. I don’t think I am ready to trust Westchester to get the result just yet given their form, but Greenville are still searching for their first road win since September 2025. With both teams averaging over 2.5 total goals in games this year, I think we will see some scoring to this one, but the last four Westchester games in the league have all gone under 2.5 goals. Picking the points to be shared in this one.

Bet: Draw

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Detroit, Charleston, Louisville ML parlay (3.48)

• Tampa Bay, Oakland ML parlay (2.26)

• Charlotte, Knoxville ML parlay (2.22)

BTTS/Goals Parlay:

• BTTS - Yes Parlay: Pittsburgh v Indy Eleven, Lexington v San Antonio, El Paso v Phoenix (4.57)

• Over 2.5 total goals parlay: Lexington v San Antonio, Tampa Bay v Hartford (3.42)

• Over 2.5 total goals parlay: Portland v Chattanooga, Charlotte v Naples, Knoxville v NY Cosmos (4.88)

• Under 2.5 total goals parlay: Loudoun v Rhode Island, New Mexico v Orange County (3.99)

• Under 2.5 total goals parlay: Madison v Boise, Corpus Christi v Richmond (3.80)

Underdog Parlay:

• Portland ML, San Antonio ML (8.67)

• Indy Eleven win or draw, Loudoun v Rhode Island Draw (7.02)

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USLC Parlay: 10.46

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USL1 Parlay (not including Sunday): 4.20

Non-USL Related Bets

Other Soccer:

World Cup

USA v Paraguay:

• USA ML (2.10)

• Draw first half (2.00)

• Pulisic 1+ shot on target, Orlando Gill (PAR), Matt Turner (USA) 2+ Saves

• Almiron (PAR) 1+ shot on target (2.00)

  • Maybe Almiron goal or assist at 3.50 is tempting

Other World Cup picks on Saturday and Sunday:

• Switzerland win to nil (1.80)

• Qatar v Switzerland Under 3.5 total goals, Switzerland win to nil (2.30)

• Scotland ML, Brazil win or draw (1.79)

• Brazil v Morocco BTTS - Yes (2.05)

• Lawrence Shankland (SCO) ATGS 2.25

• Turkiye ML (1.70)

• Germany -3.5 (1.90)

• Germany’s Kai Havertz to score two or more goals (3.10)

• Germany v Curacao over 1.5 total goals in each half (2.10)

• Netherlands ML (2.00)

• Sweden ML (1.85)

• Viktor Gyokeres (SWE) score or assist (1.90)

Other Sports:

NBA Finals Game Six - Saturday

• New York +5.5 (1.86)

• New York ML 2.65

• Points O/U: Anunoby (NY) over 18.5 (1.90), Alvarado (NY) over 3.5 (1.71)

• Threes: Anunoby, Brunson (NY), Vassell (SA) 2+ threes made (2.45)

• San Antonio over 29.5 first quarter points (1.95), New York under 27.5 first quarter points (1.74)

• San Antonio first half ML, New York game ML (6.75)

NHL Stanley Cup Finals Game Six - Sunday

• Carolina ML (1.86)

• Over 5.5 goals (1.76)

• Staal (CAR) ATGS (3.80)

• Stankoven (CAR) 1+ point (1.71)

• Not offered on Bet365, but I’ve seen BetMGM offer odds on there being an empty net goal scored in the game. I think that’s worth a chance in this one, especially if it’s Carolina with the lead late and Vegas pushing for a tying goal as a last chance effort at the Cup.

MLB:

Friday Games Only

• Pirates ML (1.71)

• Orioles ML (1.76)

• Rangers at Red Sox over 8.5 runs (1.90)

• Diamondbacks ML (1.95)

• Braves at Mets over 8 runs (1.86)

• Rays, Brewers ML parlay (2.22)

• Dodgers at White Sox Under 9 runs (1.86)

• Player Props:

  • Trey Yesavage (TOR) under 6.5 total strikeouts (1.66)

  • Mauricio Dubon (ATL), Marcus Semien (NYM) 1+ hit each (2.20)

  • Fernando Tatis Jr (SD), Brandon Nimmo (TEX), Brandon Lowe (PGH) 1+ hit each (2.41)

  • Eugenio Suarez (CIN), Sal Stewart (CIN), Nolan Arendao (ARI) 1+ batter strikeout each (3.00)

  • HR Picks:

    • Jose Ramirez (CLE) 1+ HR (5.00)

    • Brandon Lowe (PGH) 1+ HR (4.50)

    • Nick Kurtz (ATH) 1+ HR (2.65)

    • Hunter Goodman (COL) 1+ HR (2.70)

    • Brent Rooker (ATH) 1+ HR (2.90)

Formula 1 - Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix

Picks are made before qualifying

Qualifying:

• Qualifying Match Bets: Gasly to beat Colapinto H2H (1.72), Norris to beat Piastri H2H (1.80)

Grand Prix:

• Antonelli race win (2.37)

• Norris to finish third (3.10)

• Gasly points finish (2.00)

• Bottas to be classified - No (3.75)

NASCAR - Great American Getaway 400 at Pocono Raceway

• Top Driver of Manufacturer:

  • Chevrolet: Chase Elliott 3.50

  • Toyota: Denny Hamlin 2.25

  • Ford: Ryan Blaney 1.90

• Matchup Bets:

  • Byron to win H2H vs Bell (2.10)

  • Jones to win H2H vs Keselowski (2.20)

• Placement Bets:

  • Erik Jones top ten finish (3.25)

  • Alex Bowman top ten finish (3.75)

  • Brad Keselowski top ten finish (2.60)

  • Ryan Blaney top five finish (2.50)

• Outright Win bets:

  • Denny Hamlin (3.50)

  • Chase Elliott (11.00)

  • Chase Briscoe (11.00)

Final Thoughts

The series 21 finale of Taskmaster was last night and it capped off another really fun and hilarious edition of the show. I felt each of the five cast members this series were outstanding. I’ve mentioned Taskmaster previously before, but the show continues to deliver with each new series, give it a watch!

I ran a 10k this morning upon waking up, continuing my pace for more miles run in 2026 than I had at this point through 2025!

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Follow me on Bluesky @ilm-ryan.bsky.social and follow the USL Show, @theUSLshow.bsky.social.

Well done to Lexington SC in their championship in the USL Super League. After an incredible season, Lexington completed the double, adding the league title to their Player’s Shield, with a 3-1 victory over Carolina Ascent in extra time. With another USL Super League season in the books, the clubs of USL Championship and USL1 both take a pause on their regular seasons’ to focus on the third (or for some, fourth and final) matchday of the USL Cup group stage. By this stage of the group stage, a few teams are likely resigned to their fate in the competition, but there is still a chance to play for rivalries, or a chance to turnaround floundering form, in these games. Squad rotation, though something to consider, provides an opportunity for us to profit. Have a good weekend of wagers, and best of luck to your bets.

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, June 5th. Of note, Bet365 currently only has odds on games through the 8pm Eastern kickoffs on Saturday, any match past that time does not currently have odds on them and likely will be added day of the fixture.

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USLC: Charleston ML (1.80), Charleston to score first (1.66), Hartford v New Mexico Draw (3.50), Hartford v New Mexico 0-0 scoreline (13.00), Tampa Bay ML (3.40), Tampa Bay win or draw first half, Tampa Bay to score first (2.40), Pittsburgh win or tie, Under 2.5 total goals (2.15), Phoenix win or tie first half, Under 2.5 total goals (2.10)

USL1: Knoxville ML, Knoxville to score first (2.10), Madison v Corpus Christi Over 2.5 total goals (1.95), Portland or Spokane to win, Over 2.5 total goals (2.30), Richmond v Boise Over 2.5 total goals (1.85), Sarasota win or draw, Over 2.5 total goals (1.95), Omaha correct scoreline 2-1 (9.50)

USL Super League Final: Under 2.5 total goals at 90’ (1.75)

Parlays: Knoxville, Omaha ML parlay (2.93), Under 2.5 total goals parlay: Lexington v Carolina Ascent, Hartford v New Mexico, Pittsburgh v Miami (7.08), Over 2.5 total goals parlay: Sarasota v NY Cosmos, Portland v Spokane (3.50), Tampa Bay ML, Phoenix win or draw, Indy Eleven win or draw parlay (7.65)

Beyond USL: Kai Havertz (ARS) to score or assist (2.50), Champions League final Under 2.5 total goals (1.72), Champions League final Over 9.5 total corners (1.83), Braves ML (1.71), Pirates ML (1.74), Guardians ML (1.76), Dodgers ML, Giants at Rockies over 10.5 total runs parlay (3.36), Braves over 4.5 team runs, Pirates over 3.5 team runs (2.90), Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 1+ hit each (3.00), Ozzie Albies (ATL), Tyler Stephenson (2.20) each 1+ hit (2.20), Mike Yastrzemski (ATL) 1+ hit, 1+ RBI (3.30), Logan Webb (SF) 5+ pitcher strikeouts (2.10), Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) over 29.5 points (1.89), Canes ML (1.38), Canadiens at Canes over 5.5 total goals (1.90), Canes over 2.5 team goals, Canadiens under 2.5 total goals (2.00), Logan Stankoven (CAR) ATGS (3.00), Nikolaj Ehlers (CAR) 1+ point (1.71), Top Toyota Driver: Denny Hamlin (3.00), Top Ford Driver: Ryan Blaney (1.66), Winning Manufacturer: Toyota (1.86), Denny Hamlin to beat Christopher Bell (1.62), Joey Logano to beat Brad Keselowski (1.71), Zane Smith top ten finish (4.00), Denny Hamlin top three finish (2.20), Outright Win Bet: Denny Hamlin (4.50)

USL Cup

Loudoun v Richmond

1.72 - 3.70 - 3.80

Our weekend gets started with a Virginia derby between Loudoun and the Richmond Kickers. The state’s original USL club travel to face their neighbors from USLC, with memories of the Kickers’ 1-0 win over Loudoun in the Open Cup from earlier this season. Both sides are still searching for their first win of the group stage, Richmond having lost two games already (likely having played their way out of the competition). Loudoun lost their first match of the group stage, and have struggled for results across the season as a whole, just one win in the regular season as the Anthony Limbrick era has been a challenging start. But perhaps a derby day revenge result is exactly the performance Limbrick needs to give his Loudoun side a jolt in form (especially since their last game was an embarrassing 4-1 loss to fellow USLC cellar-dwellers, Monterey Bay).

Richmond have been bleeding goals in this competition, having allowed a group high six already (actually tied for most goals allowed across all groups). Loudoun matches this year are averaging over 2.5 goals in the league, and I think that’s a trend that carries over to this competition. Neither of these teams seem likely to advance, but playing for the badge and bragging rights within the state of Virginia should be the motivation needed for both sides (particularly given the traveling contingent of Kickers fans making the journey). I think we see a fun fixture on hand.

Bet: Over 2.5 total goals (1.66)

Charleston v Pittsburgh

2.05 - 3.30 - 3.10

With two wins in the group stage on the board, the Charleston Battery are quickly staking their claim as one of the favorites to win this competition (Charleston are one of six teams who have won their first two group stage games already). Welcoming in the reigning USLC champions Pittsburgh Riverhounds to this game, the Battery will look to continue their four match winning streak over Pittsburgh in the history of this series. For the Riverhounds, a win would put them right back into the conversation for winning Group 6, and to their credit, the Pennsylvania outfit has lost just one of their last six games inside 90’. But visits to the Lowcountry has not been kind to the Riverhounds, as they have not won here since August 2021 (seven away games ago). Charleston has already beaten Pittsburgh at home this season too (2-1 back in March) and the Battery have not lost a home across all competitions inside 90’ since Greenville won in the group stage of last year’s Jagermeister Cup on May 31st. When you extend that to USLC opponents, Charleston have not lost at home since March 2025.

Bet: Charleston ML (2.05)

NY Cosmos v Hartford

4.20 - 3.90 - 1.61

A pair of clubs I have been worried about, and fading for sometime, meet in this matchup at Hinchcliffe. The Cosmos have been in complete free fall, off the back of three straight defeats and five losses in their last six played (their last win coming on May 15th in their last group stage game). In those five defeats, the Cosmos have been outscored 14-3. That Cosmos defense would strike confidence into the eyes of attackers for most any team, except for that of Hartford Athletic. Though Hartford has stopped the bleeding of recent weeks (just one loss in their last six played across all competitions), their attack has left a lot to be desired—averaging just 0.66 goals a match in those previous six played (including being shutout four times). Even last week, we correctly predicted Hartford would draw 0-0 with New Mexico. All that being said, I just simply do not trust the NY Cosmos to get a result as of late. While the winner of this match will put themselves in prime position to stay in the hunt for a wild card spot (or possibly the group lead if results break their way), I have to imagine talent prevails and goes the way of the USLC side.

Bet 1: Hartford ML (1.61)

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals (2.30)

Detroit v Lexington

1.72 - 3.40 - 4.20

In a surprising twist (though helped by red cards), Lexington actually won a match away from home last time out, their first win on the road since since September 2025. Coincidentally, the last team that Lexington defeated away from home in that September fixture, was Detroit City (1-0 on September 20th). But Lexington are running into a Detroit team who are a perfect 5-0-0 at home this season, off to one of their best home starts in club history. In weird scheduling, both of these teams have played just one lone group stage match of the competition already, so both will be eager to make up ground on group leaders Louisville, especially after each having already won their first group stage match. Going with the hosts in this one to continue their stellar home form, especially since they have scored the opening goal in each of those five home games played as well. Perhaps this match is worth a look at Detroit “win to nil” scoreline too.

Bet: Detroit ML, Detroit to score first (1.90)

Indy Eleven v Madison

1.44 - 4.00 - 5.75

Maybe it was just new stadium buzz that helped propel Greenville to their win over Madison on Wednesday of this week. But for the Wisconsin club, that’s now just one win in their last five games played. This stat also jumped out to me with Madison as well, they have just two wins in their last eight road games—despite being the second best team in USL1 by road record. For Indy Eleven, they are unbeaten in their last four played (with three of those games going over 2.5 total goals) with three wins in that time. Indy Eleven would also score the first goal in each of their last three games played as well. A win for either team would keep their hopes alive in Group 4 while the loser likely will close their chances on advances. When these sides met in the group stage of this competition last year, it was Indy Eleven winning by a 4-0 scoreline. Going with the host to continue their streak of finding the opening goal and I think it’s likely this one continues the trend of Indy Eleven staying unbeaten.

Bet: Indy Eleven win or draw, Indy Eleven to score first (1.41)

Jacksonville v Tampa Bay

5.25 - 3.90 - 1.50

Tampa Bay just keeps winning. I’ve said it repeatedly that I am a major believer of Dom Casciato’s project here at Al Lang Stadium, and a massive 2-0 victory over Louisville in league last weekend is a major statement of intent for the Rowdies. The last remaining unbeaten team across all of USL, Tampa Bay have scored first in every match they have played. This matchup might be among the most lopsided in the league at the moment (though it was just a 1-0 victory for Tampa Bay when they last visited Jacksonville back in April). For Sporting Jax, while they have one true win inside 90’ this season (over Sarasota in this competition), the side keeps inventing new ways to disappoint against USLC opposition (having blown a 3-0 lead for a 4-4 draw with San Antonio last week, and a rain-shortened draw ended any chance at a win over Brooklyn on Sunday). While Jacksonville has found their goal-scoring form as of late, having scored in their last five games played across all competitions, I don’t see how you can bet against Tampa Bay right now. I offer a few wagers heavy in the favor of the Rowdies.

Bet 1: Tampa Bay ML, Over 2.5 total goals (2.37)

Bet 2: Tampa Bay -1.5 spread (2.35)

Possible sprinkle on Tampa Bay -2.5 spread (4.15)

Of note,

Naples v Sarasota

1.80 - 3.40 - 3.80

The narrative surrounding these two lowest ranked teams in Group 7 have completely turned upside down in recent weeks. Naples are off the back of a 5-1 hammering at home against Charlotte from Wednesday (where they trailed 3-0 at halftime and 5-0 after 71’ played only to score a consolation goal). That’s just one win in their last nine games across all competitions, including six defeats in that time (three of which they failed to cover a +1.5 spread). For Sarasota, they were on track through May to follow a similar narrative as Naples, but now are off the back of two straight wins, including a massive road win against Boise to end the month of May—which we discussed on this week’s USL Show. Going for a third consecutive win across all competitions for Sarasota, while their Floridian rivals are falling in form, I think we have to back the visitors in this derby.

While these two sides might be likely out of it for the USL Cup, and though Naples have won the previous two meetings between these teams, I am riding the confidence to take advantage of the low morale Naples side. But bet for goals in this one.

Bet 1: Sarasota ML (3.80)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals (1.95)

Rhode Island v Westchester

1.40 - 4.33 - 6.00

For both sides, the loser of this game likely sees their USL Cup hopes end before they even play their last group stage game as these two teams sit rock bottom of Group 5 right now. This match represents more so an intangible though in my eyes, each side is faltering in form. Westchester are without a win across all competitions since April (five losses inside 90’ and one draw, in games against USL clubs in that time). For Rhode Island, just one win in 90’ in their last six played. Both sides could really use a win in this match not just for their hopes of advancing in this competition (though the priority of that might be falling by the wayside for each team), but mainly for the confidence booster this game could be for their season. Both Rhode Island and Westchester games in the league this year are averaging over 3 total goals scored (Rhode Island in USLC play still actually has a positive goal differential despite being out of a playoff spot currently). Immediately, I think this game will be high-scoring (a total of 12 goals have been scored across these two teams’ four completed group stage games already), but I am backing the hosts to win, and making it five defeats from their last five played for Westchester.

Bet 1: Rhode Island ML, Over 2.5 total goals (1.95)

Bet 2: Rhode Island HT/FT result (2.10)

Omaha v Fort Wayne

1.60 - 3.60 - 4.75

In one of the more intriguing matchups of the weekend, a fixture I wish we had gotten in the league first—but alas are left waiting until that date in August. Fort Wayne, unbeaten in their last seven matches played, are likely, for all intents and purposes, out of the USL Cup given their gap of points to make up is five, but they will still see this match as an excellent test against USL1’s best. Omaha have been red hot, having won their last three games played. Though the Nebraska side took a heavy 5-1 loss to Louisville (red card impacting the match) last time out in this competition, they remain competitive for a wild card spot provided they win their remaining games. Furthermore, Omaha at home against USL1 opposition has not lost since July 2025. Of note, Omaha’s first half record in league games has been rather dismal, having not lead at halftime of any of their last seven league fixtures (and hold a USL1 joint-high eight draws). Perhaps that is an angle to play for Fort Wayne who have not trailed at halftime of a match since March. But I do ultimately trust Omaha more to find the result in this one, especially with more to play for in this competition still.

Bet: Fort Wayne win or draw halftime, Omaha win or draw fulltime (2.15)

Tulsa v San Antonio

No odds as of writing

These two teams have to be tired of playing each other already, this being the third match between them this season (with a fourth on the horizon in September). In the league back in March, it was a 0-0 draw; in the US Open Cup in April, it was Tulsa eking out 1-0 win. Both of those games extended Tulsa’s unbeaten run over San Antonio to now seven consecutive games across all competitions—June 2022 was the last time San Antonio beat Tulsa. You have to go back to September 2017 to find the last time San Antonio won away at Tulsa too—but despite all of these streaks, the all-time series is only now just an even 8 wins apiece with 7 draws. The winner of this game will put their side in a great position to be the likely winners of Group 3 as well. For San Antonio, their scoring over their last five games played in the league has seen five BTTS - Yes scorelines and averaging 4.8 goals per game. But there is something about Tulsa that disrupts any form San Antonio are on, not to mention Tulsa having gone unbeaten in their last seven games in 90’ across all competitions, while maintaining a clean sheet in each of their last three games. This might be closer than you would think given the high-scoring nature of San Antonio of late, but picking the hosts to get the result in a low-scoring game.

Bet 1: Tulsa win or draw, Under 2.5 total goals

Bet 2: San Antonio win or draw halftime

Colorado Springs v El Paso

No odds as of writing

If you want an entertaining game from a purely neutral perspective, tune into Colorado Springs v El Paso from Weidner Field tomorrow night. These two sides are the two highest average total goals per game teams in USLC at the moment (3.40 a game for Colorado Springs, 4.10 a game for El Paso). Four of their last five meetings have had BTTS - Yes scorelines—and this series has a history of all-time classic matches, who could forget that 4-4 game from 2022! For Colorado Springs, they have not lost at home since September 2025, and while El Paso’s form of late has taken a tumble (just one win in their last five games played), Locomotive have not been shutout in a game this season. Not to mention these are two of the six teams in the competition who have won their first two league games already, leaving the winner of this match in the top spot of the group (and very likely the one to advance at the expense possibly of the other). El Paso are searching for their first win over Colorado Springs since 2023 (six match unbeaten run for the Switchbacks). Going the way of the hosts to get the result, as they have yet to concede a goal in this group stage (that stat likely ends tomorrow), but looking forward to this match most of all for tomorrow.

Bet: Colorado Springs win or draw, Over 2.5 total goals

Spokane v Boise

No odds as of writing

Like Oakland (who I will get to a little bit further down), maybe the Boise project under Nate Miller should be pumping the brakes on our hype train wagers of the club—Boise have no wins in their last three games played, needing a pair of late second half goals last week to rescue a draw with Richmond, having lost two home games prior to that. They take on a Spokane team who have won three of their last four games played across all competitions and have not lost at home since September 2025. When these sides met back in April (for Boise’s home opener), it was a 1-1 draw where Boise had the majority of possession and more shots. However, Spokane has made their home ground as much of a fortress as Boise hopes their home stadium can become one day, and I believe that propels Spokane to win this weekend (especially given these odds)—but I expect Boise to score in this one.

Bet 1: Spokane ML

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals

New Mexico v Phoenix

No odds as of writing

In the USLC, these two teams have been the sides I have not been able to entirely figure out thus far (the epitome of mid-table clubs LOL). That mid-table form extends to this competition too as each side has a win and a draw on their records and occupy the middle part of Group 2. For New Mexico, it’s one win in their last four games played (over Charleston no less, and each of those four games being BTTS - No scorelines). For Phoenix, it’s one defeat in their last five games played (and Rising have scored in four of those games, losing the one match they failed to score). Phoenix in this series’ recent history has lost just one of their last four matches against New Mexico, and have won two of their last three visits to Isotopes Park as well. With each side averaging right at the 2.5 total goals mark for their league games played this season already, there’s not really an angle to play on that side.

Bet 1: Draw after 90’

Bet 2: 1-1 scoreline wager

Las Vegas v Oakland

No odds as of writing

Another game featuring two clubs at the bottom of their group stage table entering this weekend. I feel like I should be pumping the brakes a bit on the Ryan Martin project at Oakland in recent weeks, especially as the Roots have lost their last three games played across all competitions (and have just one win in their last five played). To add more worries to their recent form, Oakland have been shutout in two of their last three games played across all competitions, a run of form not achieved since June of last year. But for Las Vegas, this team has become more unpredictable to wager on in recent weeks—especially since the side achieved their first back-to-back clean sheets since September 2025, this past week. Weirdly, dating back to last season, Las Vegas are unbeaten in their last nine home matches played (August 23, 2025 being their last defeat at Cashman Field inside 90’). Oakland has however already defeated Las Vegas in a high-scoring game this season already (4-2 at the Coliseum in April), but weirdly, I think the better angle given these odds is on Las Vegas (the Lights have been unbeaten at half of their last four league games played).

Bet: Las Vegas win or draw

AV Alta v Orange County

No odds as of writing

One of the Cupsets of last season’s Open Cup was AV Alta defeating Orange County on penalties in the third round. It was one of the first major results for AV Alta as a club. But this season is a very different story from the sides that met in that USOC game last year. Both teams are among five teams in the competition who have lost their first two group stage games played, with the loser of this match all but eliminating themselves from the USL Cup. Both sides might be treating this game more as a chance to give some squad rotation or test out some new ideas as we are lining up the makings of a fixture that might ultimately be a dead rubber come end of the group stage. With Orange County averaging under 2.5 total goals scored in their matches this season, I’m inclined to back the USLC side, however, OC’s form of late has been worrying (one win in their last six games). AV Alta meanwhile has just one loss in their last five games played (and just one defeat at home all season across all competitions too). Don’t be surprised if the USL1 side make a tough match out of this one.

Bet 1: Draw after 90’

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals

Sacramento v Monterey Bay

No odds as of writing

Don’t look now but Monterey Bay have now won back-to-back games for the first time since, checks notes has it really been nearly a full calendar year (June 7, 2025)? MBFC have been looking a lot more fun in these last two wins, having scored four goals in a victory over Loudoun last week for the most goals they have scored in a game since June 2023 (also weirdly in a 4-1 win over Loudoun, can we play you every week…). For Sacramento, Neill Collins will be hoping his Republic do not lose three games in a row across all competitions for the first time since October 2022 (with LA Galaxy II being the third defeat in that run, of all teams, for your trivia question of the week). But what Sacramento does have going for them is having won their first two group stage games already and a third win here likely all but confirming their spot in the knockouts. I think with the knowledge of a win likely being enough to see them through to the next stage, Republic will be motivated on that basis alone to get three points. But I don’t know, though Monterey Bay have not won away at Sacramento since June 2023, this MBFC team has been playing more inspired as of late. But with Sacramento having yet to concede a goal in this competition thus far, I will come back to reality and pick the capital club in this one.

Bet: Sacramento ML

Brooklyn v Portland

No odds as of writing

Oh dear Portland, you just have to feel for the side after their 3-2 loss to Corpus Christi on Wednesday. Leading at 3-1 85’, only to allow a tying own goal at 90+5’ and then the eventual losing goal at 90+8’. It would hand Corpus Christi their first ever win the league too, while Portland saw their unbeaten in their last four matches played streak reach a conclusion. For Brooklyn, their last outing was a rain-shortened draw with Jacksonville in which they let a 2-0 lead slip to share the points. The Coney Island locals have not won a match since their last USL Cup game in April (3-0 against NY Cosmos). I think a defining characteristic of this Brooklyn is how streaky they’ve been this year, which makes it tough to see when a rut of bad form might reach a conclusion, especially as they welcome one of USL1’s better sides into town. The winner of this match puts themselves into a great spot to advance and with both of these teams averaging over 1.5 team goals across their first two group stage games, I think we are likely to see plenty of chances in this one, but the narrow pitch of Maimonides Park will surely frustrate that I’m going to shy away from a total goals wager and instead back the results upset.

Bet: Portland win or draw

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Indy Eleven, Hartford, Tampa Bay ML parlay (3.50)

• Charleston, Detroit, Rhode Island ML parlay (4.95)

BTTS/Goals Parlay:

• All games Over 2.5 total goals: Loudoun v Richmond, Jacksonville v Tampa Bay, Rhode Island v Westchester

• All games Under 2.5 total goals: Detroit v Lexington, NY Cosmos v Hartford (4.14)

Underdog Parlay:

• Richmond win or draw, Sarasota win or draw parlay (3.50)

Non-USL Related Bets

MLB

Friday games only:

• Yankees, Braves ML parlay (2.77)

• Diamondbacks ML (1.74)

• Dodgers, Brewers ML parlay (2.46)

• Cardinals ML (1.71)

• Royals at Twins under 8.5 total runs (1.90)

• Rays at Marlins over 7.5 total runs (1.83)

• Red Sox at Yankees over 8 total runs (1.86)

• Player props:

  • Trey Yesavage (TOR) under 6.5 total strikeouts (1.62)

  • Cody Bellinger (NYY), Trent Grisham (NYY) 1+ hit each (2.10)

  • Jarren Duran (BOS) over 1.5 batter strikeouts (2.00)

  • Spencer Steer (CIN), Alec Burleson (STL) 1+ hit each (1.83)

  • Edwin Arroyo (CIN), Sal Stewart (CIN) 1+ batter strikeout each (2.30)

  • Andy Pages (LAD), Freddie Freeman (LAD) 1+ hit each (2.00)

  • HR picks:

    • Ronald Acuna Jr (ATL) 1+ HR 4.90

    • Nick Kurtz (ATH) 1+ HR 4.00

    • Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Mike Trout (LAA) 1+ HR each (13.00)

NBA Finals Game 2:

• Spurs ML (1.43)

• Knicks +6.5 (2.90)

• Points: Brunson (NYK), Wembenyama (SA) 25+ points each (2.60)

• Points: Champagnie (SA) over 10.5, Alvarado (NYK) over 2.5 (2.90)

• Threes: Champagnie (SA) 3+, Anunoby (NYK) 2+ threes made (2.90)

• Rebounds: Bridges (NYK), Brunson (NYK) over 2.5 each (2.75)

• Rebounds: Castle (SA) over 4.5, Alvarado (NYK) over 0.5 (2.75)

NHL Stanley Cup Finals Game 3:

• Over 5.5 total goals (1.80)

• Tie after three periods (4.00)

• Nikolaj Ehlers (CAR) ATGS (3.50)

• Mark Stone (VGK) 1+ point (1.71)

Formula 1 - Monaco Grand Prix

Qualifying Saturday

• Leclerc fastest qualifier (1.72)

• Antonelli to beat Russell H2H (1.72)

• Colapinto to beat Ocon H2H, Bearman to beat Ocon H2H (2.00)

• Verstappen top three qualifying (2.10)

• Bearman to reach Q3 (2.00)

• Leclerc fastest qualifier, wins race (2.75)

Grand Prix Sunday

• Verstappen podium finish (1.61)

  • Verstappen to finish third is 3.25

• Over 19.5 total classified drivers (3.00)

  • Over 20.5 total classified drivers at 7.00 is tempting

• Hadjar top six finish (2.75)

• Hulkenberg points finish (1.50)

NASCAR Cup Series - FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway

• Hamlin top Toyota driver (3.10)

• Keselowski top Ford driver (6.00)

• Head-to-Head Bets:

  • Buescher to beat Briscoe H2H (2.25)

  • Keselowski to beat Logano H2H (1.76)

  • Bowman to beat Chastain H2H (2.25)

• Placement Bets:

  • Hamlin top three (2.10)

  • Buescher top five (3.00)

  • Larson top five (2.25)

  • Keselowski top ten (2.50)

  • Hocevar top ten (1.83)

• Either to win:

  • Denny Hamlin or Christopher Bell either to win (2.60)

    • Hamlin outright win (4.50)

    • Bell outright win (5.50)

• Outright win option: Hocevar outright win at 21.00 is interesting

Final Thoughts

The Pittsburgh Riverhounds announced this week of their '“Hounds Pass” fan affordability imitative. For just $60, fans will be granted standing room only access to the 12 remaining Pittsburgh Riverhounds home games for the rest of the regular season. Pittsburgh has always been a club to lead the way with building fan relations with their supporter base so you love to see these types of deals.

Congrats to the Greenville Triumph on opening GE Verona Park this past Wednesday, debuting the new stadium with a 1-0 victory over Forward Madison in front of a crowd of 4,252 (a new club record home attendance). The atmosphere at the ground was fantastic and the newest soccer specific stadium joining the league looked great.

The browser game “82-0”—picking a starting five of NBA players across history to achieve a hypothetical 82-0 record—has been going through Bluesky this week. However, my quest for the game is to see if an 0-82 record is possible—I’ve only been able to achieve 3-79 at my “best” play-through of the game (0-82 might not be possible). The World Cup version of this game series have been equally fun.

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Follow me on Bluesky @ilm-ryan.bsky.social and follow the USL Show, @theUSLshow.bsky.social.

As we move towards the World Cup happening next month, the rest of the world’s club seasons are either reaching a conclusion or a pause for the time being, leaving the USL Championship and USL1 as one of the few leagues in the world continuing on in through the summer (the biggest league in the world for a reason…). We also have the final for the USL Super League tomorrow afternoon as well as Lexington hosts the Carolina Ascent. Still, plenty of options to wager on games throughout the weekend, let’s make it a fun weekend ahead!

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, May 29

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USLC: Loudoun v Detroit Tie at halftime (2.20), Indy Eleven v Lexington BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (2.05), Rhode Island ML (1.57), Tampa Bay HT-FT Result (2.37), Tampa Bay to score first, Tampa Bay over 1.5 team goals (2.05), Orange County v Oakland Draw halftime result (2.10)

USL1: Boise or Fort Wayne to win, Over 2.5 total goals (1.90), AV Alta to score first (1.61), Over 2.5 total goals, AV Alta or NY Cosmos to win (1.86), Spokane ML, Spokane to score first

USL Super League: Lexington to advance, Lexington to score first, Dallas under 1.5 team goals, Carolina to advance

Beyond USL: Nashville ML (1.75), San Jose win or draw, BTTS - Yes (1.86), Columbus, Miami ML parlay (2.17), Julian Hall (NYRB) goal or assist (1.90), Philip Zinckernagel (CHI) to assist (2.62), Evander Ferreira (CIN) ATGS (1.72), Bruno Fernandes to assist (2.62), Sunderland win or draw (1.80), West Ham ML (1.75), Bolton v Stockport BTTS - Yes (1.75), St. Mirren ML (1.62), Celtic -1.5 (1.62), Daizen Maeda ATGS (1.80), Bayern Munich ML, Over 2.5 total goals, Harry Kane ATGS (1.95), Villarreal v Atletico Madrid BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.66), Braves, Blue Jays ML parlay (2.36), Twins at Red Sox over 7.5 total runs (1.95), Jacob deGrom (TEX) under 7.5 total strikeouts (1.83), Thunder +1.5 (1.95), SA threes parlay: Castle 1+ made, Vassell and Wembenyama each 2+ made (2.25), OKC threes parlay: Caruso and McCain each 2+ made (2.65), Hartenstein over 7.5 rebounds (1.74), De’Aaron Fox (SA) over 13.5 points (1.86), Alex Caruso (OKC) over 10.5 points (1.95), Mercedes winning car (1.44), Under 18.5 total classified drivers (2.50), Pato O’Ward top five finish (1.90), Chevrolet winning manufacturer (2.60), Brad Keselowski to beat Carson Hocevar h2h (2.10), Ryan Preece to beat Austin Cindric h2h (1.86)

USL Championship

Charleston v Detroit

1.80 - 3.25 - 3.80

Our USLC weekend gets started with Ben Pirmann’s Charleston Battery, hosting his former club in Detroit City. The month of May has been inconsistently scheduled for the Battery, who have had to endure a period of 13 days between matches at the start of the month, and this being only their third league game of the month. But Charleston will be happy to be back at home where they still have yet to lose (a streak dating back to March 2025 in the league)—and the Battery may especially be happy in knowing that their opponents, Detroit, are still looking for their first road victory on the season as well in the league (two draws and three defeats previously). In each of those five games, Detroit did not lead at any point in those matches and goal they have scored away from home this season, has come in the second half.

While it has been Detroit’s home form that has the Michigan rocketing up the table, their road form is still a concern for me, especially as they meet a Charleston team who are nearly as good at home as Detroit are at Keyworth. Picking Charleston to rebound from their defeat last week, with a win at home as Detroit’s quest for a road victory continues another week.

Bet 1: Charleston ML (1.80)

Bet 2: Charleston to score first (1.66)

Hartford v New Mexico

1.83 - 3.50 - 3.40

We are catching Hartford in one of their worst goal-scoring droughts in league play in quite some time. Aside from their 2-1 win over Detroit on May 9th, their last five games in the league has seen Hartford shutout on four occasions (and outscored 7-3 in that time). For New Mexico, it’s just two defeats in their last five league games played, with each of those losses featuring NMU being shutout (not to mention a heavy 4-0 defeat to Colorado Springs in the Cup as well in that run). But for two teams even on points currently, and currently marred in a mid-table mediocrity matchup, this game can represent a spark to turn around the season. For Hartford, they simply have to score in this match for not to be officially worried about their threat in front of goal. For New Mexico, just one win away from this year, and looking for their first win away at an Eastern Conference team since March 2025 (they did lose to Hartford away last season 4-0…), that is not reassuring of form for me to be entirely confident in this side. Have we low key ran into another edition of the “stoppable force meets the movable object”, if so, there’s only one outcome to select…

Bet 1: Draw (3.50)

Scoreline wager: 0-0 (13.00)

Indy Eleven v Rhode Island

2.50 - 3.40 - 2.37

A pair of teams off the back of wins last time out in the league, as this match could prove to be vitally important come the end of the season with each team either side of the playoff line at the moment. For Indy Eleven, they are trying to win three games in a row in USLC play for the first time since June 2024, while Rhode Island are looking for their first win over Indy Eleven since these sides met in the 2024 USLC playoffs. Both of these sides have been extremely reliable wagers for goals this season, each having a BTTS - Yes hit ratio of 77%, and each are averaging over 2.5 total goals per game this season (RIFC averaging over 3 total goals per game this season in fact). However, only two of their five all-time meetings have been BTTS - Yes and over 2.5 goals (both of those games going over 4.5 goals actually). History of the series aside, Indy Eleven have not been shutout at home since June 2025 (1-0 defeat to Las Vegas), while you have to go back to last season’s Eastern Conference to find the last time Rhode Island were shutout on the road. Not to mention Indy Eleven has still not lost a home match since to a team that’s not Union Omaha since August 2025 (Louisville 3-1).

I do believe both teams are finding a goal in this match, but it will be Indy Eleven at least walking away with the points in this one. Add on a further leg to the parlay for if you are more confident in there being more than just the BTTS - Yes total goals being scored.

Bet: Indy Eleven win or draw, BTTS - Yes (2.25)

Louisville v Tampa Bay

1.83 - 3.50 - 3.40

The match of the weekend by all accounts for the USL Championship—Nicholas Murray certainly agrees as well. But gather here if you are starting to get rather worried about Louisville City of recent weeks. Having lost three consecutive games in the league, the reigning player shield winners have been going through their worst stretch of league games since July 2023 (when they also lost three in a row). Coming off their high-scoring loss to Miami from last weekend, 4-3 (and their first defeat to Miami since September 2023 in another 4-3 scoreline), I am hesitantly worried about Louisville City. Losing four games in a row in the league would a first for the club’s existence, even going four matches winless in the league would be a first since June 2018 (when they went five games winless at the time, and when Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (2018) was in theaters).

Now, that’s not to take anything away from an excellent Tampa Bay Rowdies team, the league’s last remaining unbeaten side. I have been a big follower, and we’ve taken lots of profit already, of Dom Casciato’s Rowdies team this season, who have opened a seven point lead atop the Eastern Conference already. Tampa Bay are looking for their first win against Louisville since October 2023 (also the last time they won away at Louisville).

In admittedly a tough to predict game, this match will be a great test for both teams and may very well set the rest of the tone for the Eastern Conference. I quite like these odds for Tampa Bay ML that I think it’s worth a sprinkle, but you have to imagine Louisville scores in this match (the club has not been shutout in back-to-back home games in the league ever before). The safe option is to pick goals in this match, but that might not result in the best odds return, so the better angle is to play for the visitors. I offer a few options.

Bet 1: Tampa Bay ML (3.40)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (2.10)

Bet 3: Tampa Bay win or draw first half, Tampa Bay to score first (2.40)

Pittsburgh v Miami

1.65 - 3.50 - 4.50

The surprise package of the season has to be Miami FC, I’m not sure any of us would’ve had this team above the reigning league champions after a third of the season played, and certainly not Miami having defeat Louisville and Rhode Island already on the year. But off the back of their high-scoring 4-3 win over Louisville (aforementioned an identical scoreline to their last win over Louisville), the South Beach club are riding a high wave of momentum as they prepare to visit Highmark Stadium and look for their first win away at Pittsburgh since August 2021. For the Riverhounds, their title defense season has been more a mixed bag of results. Undoubtedly some good results in beating Louisville away and Detroit at home, but some equally puzzling ones in losing to Phoenix at home and falling on PKs to Charlotte in the Cup (each of these games happening this month).

But this stadium has not been a kind one to visit for Miami, failing to win in each of their last four visits (however they’ve nearly escaped with a result win only to settle for a 1-1 draw in two of those games). I do believe Miami are capable of getting a result from this match, especially with the side looking to earn their first win away from home since April. That being said, I’m still more inclined to side with the hosts in this one, but a win for Miami would be a massive statement of intent for the season.

Bet: Pittsburgh win or tie, Under 2.5 total goals (2.15)

Oakland v Colorado Springs

2.40 - 3.30 - 2.50

Oakland under Ryan Martin have certainly been reliable for goals, as in their 3-2 defeat to Orange County last week, they played out their 8th game this season in a BTTS - Yes scoreline, and have gone over 2.5 goals in a game on seven occasions. But while the goals have been there, the results are trickier to predict (even with just two defeats on the board, having split their other eight games with four wins and four draws makes result betting Oakland a bit more uncertain). But we may be in for another high-scoring showcase as we welcome Colorado Springs to the Coliseum, another team averaging over 2.5 total goals per game this year, and has their BTTS - Yes scoreline near 80% on the season. But the Switchbacks have gone winless in their last three league games for the first time since April of this season, but they are visiting a team who they have not lost to June 2023 (an unbeaten run of six games in this series and Oakland’s only win over Colorado Springs all-time).

I think at minimum, we are going to see goals in this game, but can the Roots overturn that historical trend and pick up their first win over Colorado Springs at home in the history of this series? Oakland ML/BTTS - Yes looks intriguing, but I’ll offer a few options at minimum to wager on this one.

Bet 1: BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (2.05)

Bet 2: Oakland ML/BTTS - Yes (4.75)

Bet 3: Oakland win or draw first half (1.36)

El Paso v Lexington

2.05 - 3.50 - 2.90

El Paso will certainly be glad they had the USL Cup match on Wednesday (a 2-0 win over AV Alta) to use as a ‘get right’ game as the Texan side have gone their last three games in the league without a win for the first time since the end of the 2025 season (though they have scored in each of those three games, with each being over 2.5 goals and BTTS - Yes as well). Lexington are off the back of a 3-1 defeat to Indy Eleven last week and are still searching for their first road victory since September 2025 (eight games away from home since then without a win). Not to mention El Paso also still holds an all-time series lead over Lexington of winning both of their previous meetings (each by a score of 2-1, each scoring first and leading at half in each of those games).

With both of these teams leaking goals of a late, I feel confident in taking BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals in this match, but will lean the way of El Paso for the result as I am going to keep fading Lexington until they get a road victory.

Bet: El Paso win or draw, BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (2.40)

Monterey Bay v Loudoun

2.40 - 3.40 - 2.50

Well done Monterey Bay in picking up your first win on the season last week in a 2-0 win over the Birmingham Legion (sorry Kaylor…). I had mentioned previously that I felt like Monterey Bay’s first win was around the corner, eventually, and to pick up that first one of the season just instilled some belief back into the team (and it was the first time they covered a -1.5 spread since March 2025). MBFC welcome in a Loudoun United team who lead the league in draws (6) and currently are on a six match unbeaten run (with five of those draws in that time…). The Limbrick era at Loudoun has been a challenging to predict start (though mainly that’s just me not tending to predict as many draws). Loudoun’s 1-0 win over Brooklyn back on May 9th is their lone win on the board thus far. To the benefit of the hosts, Monterey Bay lead the all-time series of this match 2-1, but it was a 3-0 win for Loudoun last time these teams met in May 2024.

With both sides averaging under 50% hit rates in getting the opening goal of matches, and their BTTS - Yes returns hovering at around 50%, it is not exactly the stats that inspire a return on goals. Furthermore, both of these teams have been leading at halftime only once all season, each. In Loudoun’s first cross country away day of the season, it will be interesting to see how they approach this one and that might even bode well for the hosts here, but I think I see an opportunity for a result wager in this one.

Bet: Draw Halftime-Draw Fulltime (6.00)

(Of note, BetMGM offers odds on Draw for either HT/FT, though those odds have not been posted).

Las Vegas v Tulsa

2.62 - 3.25 - 2.35

Alright Tulsa, this recent run of form has put my concerns at your start of the season (which was one win in their first six games played) at ease. The reigning league runner-ups have won three games in a row in the league for the first time since their run to the final last season (outscoring opponents 8-2 in that time). This looks more like the Luke Spencer team of last year as Tulsa has leapt up the table back into the home playoff spots. Las Vegas meanwhile are off the back of a 2-0 win over Colorado Springs and have won their last two home games (first time winning back-to-back home games since April 2024). Las Vegas remains one of our more reliable teams for goals in their matches—80% of their games having been BTTS - Yes and the second highest team in the league for total goals scored (only El Paso ahead). For Tulsa, they have been averaging under 2.5 total goals a game this season, and their BTTS - Yes hit rate just over 50%.

All that being said, this is a Tulsa team who have not lost to Las Vegas in ten previous all-time meetings, and Las Vegas has not even drawn Tulsa since September 2024 (and have not drawn with Tulsa at home since May 2023). A lot of history is working in favor of the visitors here and given these odds, I think I am leaning towards back that historical trend, but let’s keep this one a bit safer.

Bet: Tulsa Draw No Bet (1.72)

Phoenix v Sacramento

2.80 - 3.10 - 2.30

Closing out our Saturday night with one of the great Western Conference matchups as Phoenix Rising play host to Sacramento Republic, in the 31st edition of this series (of which it has been quite even, 11 draws with 10 wins going the way of Sacramento and 9 going the way of Phoenix). November 2023, when Phoenix knocked Republic out of the playoffs, was the last time they were able to beat the California side (Sacramento carrying a five match unbeaten run in this series since then). However, both teams are coming off humbling defeats in the league last time out, Phoenix losing 3-0 to Tampa Bay (trailing at halftime 3-0 for the first time since July 2023 when, coincidentally enough, Sacramento led 4-0 at halftime) and Sacramento losing 2-1 to San Antonio. When these sides met back in April of this year, it was a 2-0 win for Sacramento. As both teams find themselves on the edge of the playoff line in the mid-table at the moment, a win tomorrow would go a long way in creating some space for the victor.

Both teams are averaging at or below 2.5 total goals scored per game this season, and strangely, Sacramento has led at halftime of just one match all season. I think this game will be headed for another low-scoring affair for these teams, and I believe an angle can exist for the hosts to not be trailing at the break. A fulltime result would be a bit trickier to forecast however.

Bet: Phoenix win or tie first half, Under 2.5 total goals (2.10)

Jacksonville v Brooklyn

2.50 - 3.30 - 2.50

What a match that was for Sporting Jacksonville on Wednesday. Leading 3-0 at half, only to throw away said lead against San Antonio to trail 4-3, only to then tie it(!) it at 89’ to share the points, 4-4. While the Florida club is still searching for their first win in the league on the season, to their credit, they are unbeaten in their last three matches played across all competitions (and have not been shutout in their last four played). Brooklyn enters this ‘2026 expansion derby’ having lost their last four games played across all competitions and are hoping not to make it four consecutive defeats in the league for the first time since March. In that time, Brooklyn have been outscored 10-3 and failed to score the opening goal in each of those four games.

Brooklyn I’ve described as “streaky” in the past so their form can flip at a moment’s notice, but I’ve also been fading Jacksonville until they can prove to me that they can win a match. This might be their best chance of the season thus far and honestly, I’m willing to take a chance knowing they might very well miss the opportunity, that Jacksonville gets their first win of the season here.

Bet: Jacksonville ML (2.50)

USL1

Knoxville v Greenville

1.83 - 3.70 - 3.40

We get our USL weekend started with Knoxville v Greenville, as the hosts are looking to avoid going three games winless in the league for the first time since June 2025. For Greenville, even though they stopped their losing streak last week with a 1-1 draw away at Portland, the side has still be in absolute free fall with no wins since March and winless in their last four league games (first time since the end of the 2025 season that has happened for Greenville). Knoxville has also won their last three games against the Triumph all-time as well. Picking the hosts to halt this winless run and pick up the victory this evening as the woes for Greenville continue to worsen.

Bet: Knoxville ML, Knoxville to score first (2.10)

Madison v Corpus Christi

1.90 - 3.50 - 3.40

Also this evening, we have Madison’s second game at Breese Stevens Field this season as the Wisconsin club hosts newcomers Corpus Christi on CBS Golazo. Madison took an early lead against Charlotte last week, only to fall behind 10’ later to ultimately lose 3-1. Corpus Christi meanwhile are the last team in USL1 still searching for their first win in the league, but amazingly are only two points behind. Eamon Zayed has had a challenging start schedule wise, to the season as Corpus Christi face another road match, but it does feel like this team is around the corner from their first win on the season.

Madison are looking to avoid their third consecutive loss in the league, which has not happened since July 2025. While I do think CCFC are eventually going to find their first win in the league in the coming weeks, I’m less confident in it coming this evening against Madison—especially since last week was only the first time CCFC scored the opening goal of a match this season in the league as well as being the first time since season they’ve been leading at halftime. Backing the goals to be scored in this one.

Bet 1: Over 2.5 total goals (1.95)

Portland v Spokane

2.45 - 3.40 - 2.45

We begin our Saturday with Portland Hearts of Pine playing host to Spokane Velocity. After meeting in the playoff semifinals last season (with Spokane prevailing on PKs), this is the first matchup since that playoff game. Portland has put a league high 5 draws on the board to open this season, while Spokane are looking at a chance to keep pace with Omaha for their battle atop the league table. Furthermore, Spokane are looking to win three games in a row in the league for the first time since August 2025. Whilst the match was sort of a dead rubber when Portland won 6-1 over Spokane when Velocity visited Fitzpatrick Stadium at the tail end of last regular season, Spokane will certainly be hoping for a much better showing from their side this time out.

I think we will have a fun one on our hands tomorrow evening, especially since both of these teams have had three of their last five games played go over 2.5 total goals. While the hosts have been prone to getting lots of draws to open the season, I just feel like this game is going to see a winner out of it.

Bet: Portland or Spokane to win, Over 2.5 total goals (2.30)

Chattanooga v Charlotte

2.30 - 3.50 - 2.55

You’ll always take a win no matter the circumstances, but it was quite the silly way for Chattanooga to pick up a 5-0 victory over Richmond on Wednesday given the state of the pitch they were playing on…

But that win for Chattanooga ended up being their largest margin of victory in club history and the first time they scored five goals in a match since 2023. With matches still in hand over most of the rest of USL1, the Red Wolves still have the opportunity move up the league table in playing catch up. Welcoming in Charlotte (to hopefully better playing conditions) will be no easy feat as the Independence are unbeaten in their last six games played across all competitions and are now looking to go five games unbeaten in the league for the first time since May 2025. In this 12th all-time meeting, Chattanooga hold a three match unbeaten streak over Charlotte, having these two meetings played. In five all-time visits to CHI Memorial Stadium, Charlotte have only won on just one occasion (July 2024). If the pitch plays any role in this one, that has to be seen as an advantage for the hosts and might very well be the reason I will back them in this game.

Bet: Chattanooga win or draw (1.44)

Richmond v Boise

3.25 - 3.40 - 2.05

Two teams who took surprising defeats on Wednesday of this week, each for different reasons. For the visitors Boise, who have now lost their last two games played (each at home), are we starting to see a blip in the form for Nate Miller’s team? For the hosts, Richmond suffered a 5-0 battering at Chattanooga (with the aforementioned rain soaked pitch) that I think you have to quickly just put out of mind as a game that got away from the Kickers (though they have lost their last two games played across all competitions by a combined 9-0…). As a pair of teams looking to rebound in this match, I think that bodes well for us to see some goals in this game, as each team are averaging at or above 2.5 total goals per match this season. That being said, I think I have more faith in Boise to get a result than Richmond, so perhaps that’s worth a sprinkle on Boise Draw No Bet given these odds (1.50).

Bet: Over 2.5 total goals (1.85)

Fort Wayne v AV Alta

2.20 - 3.30 - 2.87

I think it’s officially time to get on the Fort Wayne bandwagon as the side enters this match unbeaten in their last five games in the league (including some massive wins over Portland and Boise in that time). I had picked preseason that Fort Wayne would be a playoff team and one of the two best expansion sides in the league this season and they appear to now be entering that level of form in these past few weeks. On the AV Alta side of things, they are going after their first four match winning streak in the league since July 2025—though they did lose 2-0 to El Paso in the Cup midweek. The visitors are surely not an easy outing for any side as of late, but this being just their third road match of the year definitely weighs in my mind (it’s the fewest road games played this season thus far). I think we ride the hot streak that the hosts are on and pick them to get a win to make it now six games unbeaten in the league.

Bet: Fort Wayne ML (2.20)

Sarasota v NY Cosmos

1.65 - 3.70 - 4.33

The matches on Wednesday of this midweek clarified some items for both of these teams. For Sarasota, I think I am ready to pump the brakes on my fading of them, as a massive 2-0 win over Boise (away no less) ended a six match losing streak across all competitions. For the Cosmos, it is now three losses in a row in the league after their 90’ goal conceded to lose 2-1 to Omaha, and four defeats in their last five played across all competitions. These two sides are the two worst defenses in the league at the moment (the only two teams with goals conceded at or above 20 right now too). I mentioned it on this week’s USL Show, but Cosmos games have been plentiful for goals, and beneficial for our over 2.5 total goals wagers. That alone has to be what back for this match of expecting this game to be rather high-scoring, but I am going to back the hosts to get a point out of this game as the worries for the Cosmos continue to worsen.

Bet: Sarasota win or draw, Over 2.5 total goals (1.95)

Omaha v Naples

1.60 - 3.60 - 4.50

A lesson learned on Wednesday is to never count out Omaha, as the side left it late against the Cosmos only to eek out another win for the league leaders (a comfortable five point lead atop the table I may add). That’s unbeaten in their last five league games played for the first time since the end of last season—though it was their opponents this week who ended Omaha’s year last season. Naples, for as much panic I had over their recent four match winless run in the league (which was ended with a 1-0 win over Westchester last week), are still in the top four of the league at the moment and go into a tie for second this week if results go their way.

In this match of the USL1 weekend, we are given two really talented squads that split their season meetings last year with each one win and one draw (only for Naples to prevail on penalties in the playoffs from that one draw). But Omaha are at home and if in doubt, always back the Nebraska team at home here. I’m confident that Omaha are able to score twice, but do you think Naples (who have a BTTS - Yes hit rate of a league low 27%) can score? I offer a few options.

Bet 1: Omaha ML, Omaha to score first (1.80)

Correct score wagers: Omaha 2-0 (7.50), Omaha 2-1 (9.50)

USL Super League Final

Lexington v Carolina Ascent

1.85 - 3.60 - 3.40

We bring a close to the second season of the USL Super League with the final occurring tomorrow between Lexington and Carolina Ascent. The two Players’ Shield winners in league history face off as Lexington attempt to do the double, while Carolina will look to finish the job they fell short of completing last season. Both sides prevailed in a low-scoring, “win to nil” result in the semifinals last week, which would beg the question on if this final will be similarly low-scoring tomorrow? Across seven all-time meetings (two of the three meetings occurring this season), this matchup has gone under 2.5 total goals—and results wise it was a perfectly even split of one win apiece and a draw in their three matches this season. Carolina would score the opening goal in each of those three games as well, and enter this final having won 11 of their last 12 games played (and their last seven in a row). Lexington are unbeaten in their last six played entering the final, but that team to last defeat them…was Carolina back in April.

I do think this game leans more towards the low-scoring affair that we have seen from this series already this season, with the opening goal being absolutely crucial. Given these odds, I think the better angle to play is going to be backing the Carolina Ascent to lift the trophy and finishing the job they were unable to do last season. But if Lexington are able to find the opening goal, that does make the job much more challenging for the Ascent who have trailed for just 9’ since the side last lost on February 14th.

Bet 1: Carolina Ascent ML (3.40)

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals (1.75)

Bet 3: Lexington 0-1 Carolina correct scoreline (9.50)

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Charleston, Oakland ML parlay (4.32)

• Hartford v New Mexico and Monterey Bay v Loudoun each to be a Draw parlay (11.90)

• Knoxville, Omaha ML parlay (2.93)

• Fort Wayne ML, Carolina Ascent win or draw parlay (3.96)

BTTS/Goals Parlay:

• BTTS - Yes parlay: Indy Eleven v Rhode Island, Louisville v Tampa Bay, Oakland v Colorado Springs (4.65)

• Under 2.5 total goals parlay: Lexington v Carolina Ascent, Hartford v New Mexico, Pittsburgh v Miami (7.08)

• Over 2.5 total goals parlay: Oakland v Colorado Springs, El Paso v Lexington (2.82)

• Over 2.5 total goals parlay: Sarasota v NY Cosmos, Portland v Spokane (3.50)

Underdog Parlay:

• Tampa Bay ML, Phoenix win or draw, Indy Eleven win or draw parlay (7.65)

• Portland win or draw, Corpus Christi win or draw parlay (2.60)

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USLC Parlay: 10.94

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USL1 Parlay: 5.54

Non-USL Related Bets

Other Sports:

Champions League final, Paris Saint Germain v Arsenal

• Arsenal to lift the trophy (2.10)

• Kai Havertz (ARS) to score or assist (2.50)

• Declan Rice (ARS) over 0.5 shots on target (2.75)

• Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Ousmane Dembele each over 0.5 shots on target (1.72)

• Under 2.5 total goals (1.72)

• Halftime score 0-0 (2.75)

• Over 9.5 total corners (1.83)

  • Arsenal over 4.5 total corners (1.90)

• Correct scoreline wager: PSG 0-1 Arsenal (9.00)

MLB:

Friday Games Only

• Braves ML (1.71)

• Pirates ML (1.74)

• Guardians ML (1.76)

• Rays, Giants ML parlay (2.64)

• Dodgers ML, Giants at Rockies over 10.5 total runs parlay (3.36)

• Braves over 4.5 team runs, Pirates over 3.5 team runs (2.90)

• Player props:

  • Bet365 Super Boost: Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 1+ hit each (3.00)

  • Freddie Freeman (LAD), Andy Pages (LAD) each over 0.5 hits (1.95)

  • Eugenio Suarez (CIN) over 0.5 home runs (4.50)

  • Ozzie Albies (ATL), Tyler Stephenson (2.20) each 1+ hit (2.20)

  • Mike Yastrzemski (ATL) 1+ hit, 1+ RBI (3.30)

  • Mike Trout (LAA) over 0.5 home runs (4.50)

  • Logan Webb (SF) 5+ pitcher strikeouts (2.10)

NBA:

San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder Game Seven on Saturday, May 30

• Thunder ML (1.62)

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) over 29.5 points (1.89)

• Victor Wembanyama (SA) over 12.5 rebounds (1.80)

• Devin Vassell (SA) over 2.5 threes made (2.00)

• Dylan Harper (SA) over 0.5 threes made, Alex Caruso (OKC) over 1.5 threes made (2.30)

NHL:

Canes vs Canadiens Game Five

• Canes ML (1.38)

• Over 5.5 total goals (1.90)

• Canes over 2.5 team goals, Canadiens under 2.5 total goals (2.00)

• Logan Stankoven (CAR) 3.00

• Nikolaj Ehlers (CAR) 1+ point (1.71)

NASCAR - Cracker Barrel 400 at Nashville Superspeedway

• Top Toyota Driver: Denny Hamlin (3.00)

• Top Ford Driver: Ryan Blaney (1.66)

• Winning Manufacturer: Toyota (1.86)

• Race H2H Match-Up Bets:

  • Denny Hamlin to beat Christopher Bell (1.62)

  • Ryan Blaney to beat Tyler Reddick (1.86)

  • Joey Logano to beat Brad Keselowski (1.71)

• Placement Bets:

  • Joey Logano top ten finish (2.00)

  • Zane Smith top ten finish (4.00)

  • Ryan Blaney top five finish (2.00)

  • Kyle Larson top five finish (2.50)

  • Denny Hamlin top three finish (2.20)

• Outright Win Bet:

  • Denny Hamlin (4.50)

Final Thoughts

Over the past week, I surpassed 200 total miles run in 2026, already ahead of the pace of total miles I ran in 2025 (483).

In my second trip to the movie theaters this year, I saw the Backrooms (2026) yesterday. As someone who is not usually a horror movie viewer, I must say that I did like seeing this film. The feeling of the film was eerie, with some excellent camera work and great set design.

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We have a full weekend of wagers ahead for the three-day weekend. Between both USLC and USL1, the USL Super League playoffs, one of the biggest days in motorsports on Sunday, and much more, there will be plenty of options of bets for our extended weekend. Best of luck to your wagers.

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, May 22.

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USL: Westchester v NY Cosmos Over 2.5 total goals (1.40), Charlotte win or tie halftime, Pittsburgh win or tie fulltime (2.25), Portland win or tie halftime, Portland win or tie fulltime (2.10), Portland to score first (2.50), Detroit win or tie, under 2.5 total goals (2.10), Hartford win or tie, Under 2.5 total goals (2.05), Brooklyn v Hartford Draw halftime result (2.05), Brooklyn v Hartford 0-0 first half scoreline (2.60), Tampa Bay ML (2.00), Knoxville v San Antonio Under 2.5 total goals (1.80), San Antonio to score first (1.66), Tulsa ML (1.66), Boise ML (2.30), Colorado Springs ML, Over 2.5 total goals (2.87), AV Alta Draw No Bet, AV Alta to score first, Naples v Jacksonville Draw at 90’, Omaha v Louisville Over 2.5 total goals, Spokane ML first half, Spokane to score first

Parlays: Tampa Bay, Tulsa, Boise ML parlay (7.66), Westchester v NY Cosmos and Colorado Springs v New Mexico each over 2.5 total goals (2.45), Brooklyn v Hartford and Knoxville v San Antonio each under 2.5 total goals (3.00), Portland win or tie, Fort Wayne win or tie (3.30)

Beyond USL: Manchester United ML (1.61), Manchester City ML (1.62), Antoine Semenyo to score or assist (1.83), Antoine Semenyo or Erling Haaland to score first goal (2.50), Celtic ML/BTTS - Yes (2.87), Celtic to win the Scottish Premiership (1.57), Daizen Maeda (CEL) ATGS (2.10), Falkirk v Rangers BTTS - Yes (1.57), Partick Thistle v Dunfermline BTTS - Yes (1.95), Hamilton v Clyde BTTS - Yes (1.72), St Pauli v Wolfsburg BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (1.95), Wolfsburg win or tie (1.40), Dortmund ML (2.00), Inter Toronto ML (2.05), Braves ML (1.66), Rays ML (1.83), Schlittler (NYY) over 5.5 strikeouts, Holmes (NYM) over 4.5 strikeouts (2.65), Nick Kurtz HR (3.65), Trey Yesavage (TOR) over 5.5 strikeouts (1.83), Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer (both CIN) each 1+ HIT (2.35), Julio Rodriguez (SEA), Manny Machado (SD) each 1+ strikeout (2.00), Bobby Whitt Jr (KC) and Alec Burleson (STL) each 1+ hit, Jordan Walker (STL) 1+ strikeout (2.30), Pistons +4 (1.90), Spurs ML (1.45), Stephon Castle (SA) over 15.5 points (1.86), Dylan Harper (SA) over 10.5 total points (1.83)

USL Championship

Tulsa v Hartford

1.83 - 3.25 - 3.70

We start out the holiday weekend with a match that featured two teams who had very successful 2025 campaigns. The USLC defending Western Conference champions, Tulsa, plays host to last season’s Jagermeister Cup winners, Hartford. We are actually running into both teams in quietly, rather good form. Hartford are unbeaten in their previous four games against USL clubs, Tulsa unbeaten in their last five including a three match winning run across all competitions (the hosts have not won four games in a row across all competitions since their run to the final last year). However, despite the uptick in each side’s form, we are still meeting these teams in rather dour goalscoring marks—each side are averaging at or below 2.5 total goals scored per match in the league right now (Hartford are one of four teams who still have not reached double digit goals scored in USLC play). This might be a low-scoring affair early on, especially since Tulsa have been leading at halftime of just one of their eight games played (and have five first half ties already, four of which were 0-0 at the break).

However, the six all-time meetings between these two teams were each BTTS - Yes results, five of those games went over 2.5 total goals. But with each of these teams playing out more low-scoring games as of late, I am going to shy away from any goals wagers on this match and look towards the result.

Bet: Draw first half result, Tulsa win or tie fulltime (2.50)

Loudoun v Detroit

2.75 - 3.30 - 2.35

That was a tremendous performance from Detroit midweek to grind out the 2-1 win over Miami after going down to ten players after a red card. For Detroit, that’s now three wins from their last four games across all competitions and it’s helped them climb to second in the East off of that result. Loudoun meanwhile are unbeaten in their last five games played in the league, and they picked up their first win of the Limbrick era two weeks ago on May 9th. Loudoun have not gone six games consecutive unbeaten since July 2024. In the history of this series, we actually are catching Loudoun in a three match unbeaten run against Detroit, and Detroit has not won away at Loudoun since October 2023.

But with how the Michigan club have been playing lately, I am more confident in backing them to get a result versus Loudoun at the moment—particularly at these odds. I do think this game will have goals to it, each team averaging over 2 total goals scored in matches this year, and each team’s BTTS - Yes percentage above 60%. But with how much Detroit have been on a roll lately, I going with the hosts in this one. Though I do think this match has a likelihood of being tied at halftime.

Bet 1: Detroit win or tie, over 1.5 total goals (1.80)

Bet 2: Tie at halftime (2.20)

Indy Eleven v Lexington

2.15 - 3.30 - 2.90

Ever since they moved up to the Championship, Lexington always got dealt a tough hand in scheduling, getting placed in the Western Conference (another reason the Kentucky club may draw ire towards their in-state foes, Louisville). So whenever Lexington have a drive-able road match against an Eastern Conference team, as they do Indy Eleven this weekend, it is always welcomed over their usual treks further west. However, Lexington have not won a road game since September of last season, having gone winless in their previous seven road games played dating back to that match. That record has been one of my hesitations on fully trusting this Lexington team, especially since they’ve scored just three goals in those seven games since their last road win. For Indy Eleven, I’ve been trusting the side for more high-scoring goal involved games than results (as the team has not been able to get back-to-back wins against USL opposition since September of last season), as they are averaging 2.75 total goals per game this year and 75% of their matches have been BTTS - Yes scorelines a well.

If you’re Lexington, the form on the road has to turn around if you are to be a serious Western Conference contender, and perhaps it starts here. Indianapolis is in for a busy weekend between this match and one of the biggest spectacles in motorsport with the Indy 500 on Sunday. I think we see this game contribute to that spectacle and we get a proper goal-fest on our hands.

Bet: BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (2.05)

Miami v Louisville

5.25 - 3.90 - 1.53

Miami are on short rest and off the back of two humbling defeats in the past week. Losing to rivals Tampa Bay in the Prinx Cup 4-1 at home is not great, but not getting at least a point away at Keyworth against Detroit when they were up a player for 60’ is rather disappointing (while it is a ground Miami has only gotten a result at once, back in 2022, you’d expect more from that opportunity). Louisville got back to winning ways, and in a big way, as they beat Union Omaha in the Cup 5-1 last Sunday. It prevented Louisville from losing three consecutive games and gives them huge momentum entering this match.

I sooner think those two defeats to Detroit and Pittsburgh for Louisville was just a blip and not cause for further concern—and they’re taking on a Miami team who they lead the all-time series eight wins to two wins across ten meetings (Miami last won back in September 2023, a five game win streak for Louisville). While I do believe Louisville should win this match, I am hesitantly looking at the -1.5 spread on this one as a possible sprinkle (Louisville has only covered this spread just twice this season, once already against Miami back in March at home). I do feel more confident that Louisville are winning and finding the back of the net at least twice, but what does Miami have in store having been shutout at home only twice across six total home games this year?

Bet 1: Louisville ML, Louisville over 1.5 team goals (1.80)

Bet 2: Louisville -1.5 spread (2.37)

Rhode Island v Brooklyn

1.57 - 4.00 - 4.75

Brooklyn have been the definition of a streaky team this season. Win their opening game, lose their next four, go unbeaten in their next three across all competitions, and now they find themselves having lost three in a row again. It’s made the team quite more challenging to wager on than usual expansion teams that are easily faded, as they can always pop up with a result in surprise. Rhode Island find themselves in a bit of a rut as well, having no wins in their four previous games played but their previous three games have all been BTTS - Yes scorelines (and a further two over 2.5 total goals). These teams will meet again in the Prinx Cup in July (in a match that could very well be a dead rubber for the group stage), but in this first of three matchups this season, I think Rhode Island simply has to win this one for me to not get more worried about this start to the season.

Rhode Island matches this year have been high-scoring, they have the fewest points of teams with as many goals scored as them in the Eastern Conference, but their leaky defense has cost them points (just two clean sheets through eight games played). While I could see Brooklyn scoring in this one, I am keeping it simple backing the team that simply needs this game more.

Bet: Rhode Island ML (1.57)

Tampa Bay v Phoenix

1.55 - 3.80 - 4.75

What a performance for Tampa Bay as Casciato’s squad just keep rolling, as a 1-0 win over New Mexico on Wednesday makes it unbeaten in their last 11 games across all competitions to open the season. That win midweek was also their sixth win to nil result on the season as well, leaving Tampa Bay comfortably atop the Eastern Conference by five points already. While the longer this unbeaten run goes on, the more nervous it becomes they’ll lose eventually, I have been fully onboard the hype train all season. For Phoenix, they have caught themselves in good form as well, with just one defeat in their last five played across all competitions. Phoenix are looking to make it unbeaten in four games in the league for the first time since November 2025.

A few stats jumping out to me in this matchup is that Tampa Bay still have scored the opening goal in all nine of their league games played this season and have yet to trail at halftime of a match as well (leading in five, drawing in four). I think we have to keep backing the Rowdies until they let us down, but I offer a few options on this match.

Bet 1: Tampa Bay HT-FT Result (2.37)

Bet 2: Tampa Bay to score first, Tampa Bay over 1.5 team goals (2.05)

San Antonio v Sacramento

2.55 - 3.10 - 2.60

Might we be seeing an early preview of a possible Western Conference playoff matchup in this game? The current West leaders in San Antonio are playing host to Sacramento, a team they have not beaten since October 2024. But both teams are entering this game having not lost a match since the end of March/start of April. Not to mention these two teams have been showcasing stellar defenses this year, each averaging under 2.5 total goals scored in their matches this season. While Sacramento has gotten the better of San Antonio in recent meetings (having won four of the last six played in this series), Republic have won just two of their previous seven games away at San Antonio. I think this one will be angling towards a draw as the outcome, but I offer a separate scoreline bet as an option as well.

Bet 1: Draw (3.10)

Bet 2: 1-1 scoreline (6.50)

New Mexico v Charleston

2.90 - 3.30 - 2.10

Part of me wants to attribute New Mexico’s loss to Tampa Bay midweek just the latter being on a great run of form, but being outplayed at home, days after losing 4-0 to Colorado Springs in the Prinx Cup cannot be good for morale. Dennis Sanchez certainly has a headache given the screeching halt the once good form of New Mexico has run into lately—and welcoming in a Charleston Battery team having outscored opponents 10-1 in their last three games across all competitions is less than ideal. Not to mention it’s a Battery team who have won their last three games played against New Mexico, including their last two visits to Isotopes Park.

I think with the forms of both teams taken into account, and given these odds, the better angle here has to be on Charleston. I could very well see New Mexico putting in a performance to salvage an outcome (both teams are averaging over 2.5 total goals in league games this season), but these odds seem too good to pass up.

Bet: Charleston ML (2.10)

Monterey Bay v Birmingham

2.75 - 3.40 - 2.30

Monterey Bay nearly had their first win inside 90’ on the season last week in the Prinx Cup against Boise, leading 3-1 at half—only to crumble in the second half and lose 4-3. While Monterey Bay have been trustworthy to fade results wise and goals (averaging 4 total goals a game in each of their last four played), I just cannot back MBFC in a result until they get a win—and their opponents this week, the Birmingham Legion, are a perfect 2-0 all-time against Monterey Bay. Legion are actually carrying a seven match unbeaten run entering this game, but with just two wins inside 90’ in that time. However, Birmingham are one of three teams left in USLC that have yet to trail at halftime of a match this season in the league. Monterey Bay’s rate at scoring the first goals has also been woeful, a league-tied low of 11% (alongside Jacksonville).

But until Monterey Bay get a win on the board, I am going to keep fading them.

Bet 1: Birmingham to score first (1.83)

Bet 2: Birmingham win or tie, Birmingham over 1.5 team goals (2.30), although Birmingham over 1.5 team goals is 2.10 odds on its own.

Orange County v Oakland

2.50 - 3.25 - 2.55

A fun California derby of two teams of completely opposite styles of play, wagering tactics for us viewers. For Orange County, they are averaging under 2 total goals a game this year with just 40% of their matches going BTTS - Yes. For Oakland, 78% of their matches have been BTTS - Yes, averaging over 3 total goals in their games. With the chance to go top of the Western Conference for the winner (depending on other results), I think both teams will be up for this match. Historically, Orange County have won three of the last five meetings between these two teams, including the reverse fixture 1-0 back in March of this year at the Coliseum. All that being said, Orange County currently finds themselves without a win in each of their last five games played (but having BTTS - Yes scorelines in their four previous games).

I consider myself still a believer of the Ryan Martin Oakland Roots project, but Orange County at home has been like Detroit at home, a low-scoring venue to visit (the first five OC home games has resulted in just three total goals). Whoever scores first (which has been OC 70% of the time this year vs 44% from Oakland), may very well win the match. I am going for the under on goals, and Orange County to earn a result in this one.

Bet 1: Under 2.5 total goals, Orange County win or tie (2.37)

Bet 2: Draw halftime result (2.10)

Las Vegas v Colorado Springs

3.30 - 3.50 - 1.95

Las Vegas enter this match looking to do something they have not achieved since September 2019 and that is beat Colorado Springs. The Switchbacks carry an unbeaten run of ten matches against the Lights into this game (including a 3-2 win at Weidner Field in March of this season already). In a further strange streak, Colorado Springs have still yet to trail in a match at halftime of this league campaign, but it’s through seven of their eight games being drawn at halftime. For this Las Vegas’ side, I have been trusting them for goals all season thus far, averaging 3.89 total goals per game this season, with 89% of their games going BTTS - Yes scorelines in the league this year (including their last five).

Colorado Springs are on a rather good run of form lately, unbeaten in their last nine games played across all competitions, while Las Vegas has just one win in their last seven played (but having been shutout in just one of those games), I have to back the hosts to get the result in this one, but in a very fun scoreline and parlay to close out USLC play on the weekend.

Bet: Colorado Springs win or tie, BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (2.70)

USL1

Portland v Greenville

2.25 - 3.30 - 2.70

There you go Portland, the slow start is turning things around. After a run of five games without a win against USL1 opposition, Portland have strung together a run of one defeat in their last four games played (with each game going over 2.5 goals too). It was a 2-1 win over Rhode Island in the Prinx Cup last week too, extending a run of seven games without a loss at home. Greenville have hit a rough patch in form, having lost their last four games in win to nil scorelines (a combined 9-0 in that time)—it’s a run of 6.5 hours since the Triumph last scored a goal (or enough time to watch the first three John Wick movies). And when these two sides played last season, it was two victories for Portland, each game over 3.5 total goals.

With Portland on the rise in recent weeks and Greenville floundering themselves, I have to back the hosts in this one, and frankly, am feeling like Hearts of Pine are able to cover the spread in this match as well.

Bet: Portland -1.5 (4.15)

Charlotte v Madison

1.75 - 3.50 - 4.00

Quietly, Charlotte are unbeaten in their last five games played across all competitions (three wins and two draws in that time, with three games going over 2.5 total goals). Madison are off the back of just one win in their last four games played, having been shut out in back-to-back games for the first time since August 2025. One thing I have noted in Charlotte this season is being another club reliable for goals, eight of their ten games against USL opposition has been BTTS - Yes scorelines, with seven of those games going over 2.5 total goals as well. Charlotte have also scored the opening goal in each of the last three games played as well. I think all of this is lining up well for the Independence to get a result out of this match, but I am little more iffy on the goals line, as I think that will rely on some help from Madison.

Bet: Charlotte win or tie, Charlotte to score first (1.70)

Naples v Westchester

1.70 - 3.50 - 4.20

A matchup of two teams in complete freefall at the moment, as Naples (winless in their last six games played) hosts Westchester (winless in their last five games played). Something has to give and honestly, I feel more concerned over Naples at the moment. This is a team who have weirdly changed up their tactics in recent weeks and has not entirely worked. Though they may have earned the PK shootout win in the Prinx Cup over Jacksonville, it’s still Jacksonville and they needed a 90’ goal to send it to the shootout. For Westchester, the side is looking to avoid four consecutive defeats for the first time since July 2025. But for both teams, we can find plenty of chances for goals to be scored, each has seen three of their last five games played against USL opponents go over 2.5 goals. With both teams out of form, I really don’t have an angle on a result from this game (it was an even 1 win each and 1 draw in their three meetings last season). Rooting for goals in this one.

Bet: Over 2.5 total goals (1.75)

Omaha v Chattanooga

1.72 - 3.50 - 4.00

If you’re Omaha, you pretty much just have to wall off the 5-1 defeat in the Prinx Cup last Sunday to Louisville. The red card undoubtedly impacted things and then Louisville just simply showed their quality in a match they really needed to end such a dour run of form. But I wouldn’t let it weigh too heavily on a possible decision to fade Omaha in this match, I’m certainly not fading them myself. Omaha have scored in their last eleven games played against USL clubs (with nine of those games going over 2.5 goals). While Chattanooga may have steadied the ship a bit with their 4-1 win over Sarasota and 90’ draw (only to lose on PKs in the cup) against Birmingham, I still have not been entirely convinced by the Red Wolves. But Chattanooga are at least scoring goals, they have scored in five of their seven games played against USL opposition this season, so could certainly find the back of the net in this one. Let’s just say if Omaha don’t win this game, it would be a sizable upset for the Nebraska team.

Bet: Omaha ML, Over 2.5 total goals (2.70)

Corpus Christi v Knoxville

3.00 - 3.20 - 2.15

Knoxville kept it mostly even with San Antonio last weekend in the cup, only to lose 1-0 in the end. For Corpus Christi, it was a 1-0 defeat to Tulsa last weekend in the Cup and then salvaging a 1-1 draw with Fort Wayne where they were out-shot by the Indiana club 19-5. CCFC still have yet to score the opening goal in a league match this season, and playing from behind consistently is just never a recipe for sustained success. Knoxville meanwhile have scored the opening goal in 78% of their league games played this season. While Corpus Christi has still yet to win a match to open this initial league season as a club, and strangely enough, the halftime result (of which they have yet to be leading at half of a match this season), has mirrored their exact fulltime result of each match as well.

Corpus Christi are still figuring things out as a club, and I do think that first win in the league is coming, but I don’t see it happening against the reigning league champions. While 75% of Corpus Christi games this year have been BTTS - Yes, I think this is a match that Knoxville controls and keeps it low-scoring. I have the visitors finding the opening goal again, and this game going under 2.5 goals.

Bet: Knoxville to score first, under 2.5 total goals (3.60)

Boise v Fort Wayne

1.66 - 3.60 - 4.20

This has the makings to be the most high-scoring game of the weekend. Both teams are averaging over 2 total goals scored in league games this season, both teams have only been shutout once in games since March 28th, and Boise home matches have produced some thrilling results already (four of the five Boise home games across all competitions has seen the hosts score multiple goals in the match). If you had asked me at the start of the season, Boise and Fort Wayne were the two expansion teams I was not only the most interested in, but also felt the most confident in being playoff teams. This match should be a must-watch for all USL1 fans this weekend!

Both teams have been unbeaten at halftime of each of their last five games too. A result here might actually be more challenging to pick, but I do think this game avoids a draw and of course going with over 2.5 total goals in this one as well.

Bet: Boise or Fort Wayne to win, Over 2.5 total goals (1.90)

AV Alta v NY Cosmos

1.80 - 3.60 - 3.60

I have mentioned previously that AV Alta has made it difficult to predict which team will show up each week, but the NY Cosmos are quickly entering that territory as well. While each club has been averaging over 2.5 total goals this season (and the Cosmos are leading the league in total average goals per game at 4), the results have been tougher to forecast for both of these teams, each with just two wins in the league at the moment. However AV Alta are off the back of two wins in a row and are looking to win three games in a row for the first time since July 2025. Each team also finds themselves on BTTS - Yes scoreline percentages above 75% as well, with AV Alta the more likely of the two to grab the opening goal.

It’s been tough to get a proper read on either of these teams in predicting results, but goals have been something we can more reliably count on. I do think the hosts find the scoring first, but I can see the Cosmos getting an equalizer as well. A few options on offer for this match.

Bet 1: AV Alta to score first (1.61)

Bet 2: Draw at halftime (2.30)

Bet 3: Over 2.5 total goals, AV Alta or NY Cosmos to win (1.86)

Spokane v Sarasota

No odds as of writing

Closing out our USL weekend as two teams next to each other alphabetically in the league, play out the longest road trip in the league as Sarastoa makes the trek across country to Spokane. That fact alone already makes me want to back the hosts to win this match, coupled with Sarasota having lost their last five games played (while also failing to score first in each of those five games played). Spokane also has not lost a game at home since September 2025. Keeping it real simple picking the hosts to win this match, but to make our odds better, I’m adding in Spokane getting the opening goal as well.

Bet: Spokane ML, Spokane to score first

USL Super League Picks:

No odds have been published for Jacksonville v Carolina yet, so here are just my picks for each game:

Lexington v Dallas:

• Lexington advance

• Lexington to score first

• Dallas under 1.5 team goals

Jacksonville v Carolina

• Carolina to advance

• BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 team goals

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Rhode Island, Tampa Bay ML parlay (2.43)

• Louisville, Omaha ML parlay (2.64)

• Rhode Island, Tampa Bay, Louisville, Omaha ML parlay (6.45)

• Charleston, Portland ML parlay (4.72)

BTTS/Goals Parlay:

• Naples v Westchester, Boise v Fort Wayne, AV Alta v NY Cosmos each over 2.5 total goals (5.20)

• San Antonio v Sacramento, Orange County v Oakland, Corpus Christi v Knoxville each under 2.5 total goals (5.08)

• Indy Eleven v Lexington, Miami v Louisville, Las Vegas v Colorado Springs each BTTS - Yes (4.34)

Underdog Parlay:

• San Antonio v Sacramento draw, Detroit win or draw (4.34)

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USLC Parlay: 10.83

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USL1 Parlay (Saturday only): 4.38

Non-USL Related Bets

Other Soccer:

MLS

• Nashville ML (1.75)

• Kansas City win or draw (1.72)

• San Jose win or draw, BTTS - Yes (1.86)

• Columbus, Miami ML parlay (2.17)

• LAFC v Seattle BTTS - Yes (1.61)

MLS Player Props

• Wilfried Zaha (CLT) goal or assist (1.83)

• Hany Mukhtar (NSH) ATGS (2.50)

• Julian Hall (NYRB) goal or assist (1.90)

• Timo Werner (SJ) goal or assist (1.72)

• Philip Zinckernagel (CHI) to assist (2.62)

• Evander Ferreira (CIN) ATGS (1.72)

England/Scotland

• Brighton v Manchester United: Bruno Fernandes to assist (2.62)

• Liverpool v Brentford BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.72)

• Tottenham v Everton and West Ham v Leeds each BTTS - Yes parlay (2.69)

• Manchester City over 2.5 team goals (1.72)

• Sunderland win or draw (1.80)

• West Ham ML (1.75)

• Tottenham v Everton

  • Everton win or draw fulltime (1.90)

  • Everton to score first (2.37)

  • Everton win or draw halftime (1.53)

  • Richarlison (TOT), Tel (TOT) each over 0.5 shots on target (1.90)

  • Over 1.5 second half goals (1.90)

• Middlesbrough to win promotion, Under 3.5 total goals (1.86)

• Bolton v Stockport BTTS - Yes (1.75)

• Notts County v Salford City BTTS - Yes (1.80)

• St. Mirren ML (1.62)

• Celtic -1.5 (1.62)

  • Daizen Maeda ATGS (1.80)

Elsewhere

• Bayern Munich ML, Over 2.5 total goals, Harry Kane ATGS (1.95)

• Real Madrid, Barcelona ML parlay (2.68)

• Celta Vigo ML (1.70)

• Villarreal v Atletico Madrid BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.66)

• Como, Juventus ML parlay (2.23)

• AC Milan, Napoli ML parlay (1.90)

Other Sports:

MLB:

Friday games only:

• Braves, Blue Jays ML parlay (2.36)

• Rangers, Padres ML parlay (2.84)

• Twins at Red Sox over 7.5 total runs (1.95)

• Mariners at Royals over 8 total runs (1.86)

• Player props:

  • Jacob deGrom (TEX) under 7.5 total strikeouts (1.83)

  • Gerrit Cole (NYY) over 4.5 total strikeouts (1.62)

  • Brandon Lowe (PGH), Jarren Duran (BOS) 1+ hit each (2.04)

  • JP Crawford (SEA) and Rob Refsnyder (SEA) over 0.5 batter strikeouts (2.65)

  • HR Props:

    • Bobby Whitt Jr (KC) 6.25

    • Ozzie Albies (ATL) 6.50

    • Jake Berger (TEX) 6.00

NBA:

Friday

• Thunder +1.5 (1.95)

• SA threes parlay: Castle 1+ made, Vassell and Wembenyama each 2+ made (2.25)

• OKC threes parlay: Caruso and McCain each 2+ made (2.65)

• Hartenstein over 7.5 rebounds (1.74)

• De’Aaron Fox (SA) over 13.5 points (1.86)

• Alex Caruso (OKC) over 10.5 points (1.95)

Saturday

• Cavaliers ML (1.74)

NHL:

• Avalanche, Hurricanes to win their respective game twos parlay (2.27)

Formula 1 - Canadian Grand Prix

Picks are made prior to qualifying

• Mercedes winning car (1.44)

• Lando Norris podium finish (2.00)

• Under 18.5 total classified drivers (2.50)

• Lance Stroll to not be classified (3.25)

• Cadillac first constructor retirement (5.50)

Indianapolis 500

• Alex Palou podium finish (1.76)

• Pato O’Ward top five finish (1.90)

• Race Win: Alex Palou (3.50)

NASCAR - Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway

• Placement Bets:

  • William Byron top five finish (2.25)

  • Brad Keselowski top five finish (2.30)

  • Ross Chastain top ten finish (2.50)

  • Austin Dillon top ten finish (5.50)

• Chevrolet winning manufacturer (2.60)

• Brad Keselowski to beat Carson Hocevar h2h (2.10)

• Ryan Preece to beat Austin Cindric h2h (1.86)

• Austin Cindric to win a group of himself, Erik Jones, Corey Heim and Daniel Suarez (2.55)

• Michael McDowell to win a group of himself, Noah Gragson, John Hunter Nemechek and Shane van Gisbergen (3.25)

• Outright wins options:

  • William Byron (8.00)

  • Chase Elliott (13.00)

  • Austin Dillon (67.00)

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We put the league on pause once again, returning for some more USL Prinx Cup action! After having played the first group stage matches back in April, the second matchday will really set the tone for how teams may approach the remainder of this competition. After this weekend, for many teams still, this will remain a piece of silverware worth pursuing. For a few teams, their remaining group stage games might become nothing more than valuable playing time for the fringe players of the squad. These matches ultimately can also help teams jumpstart or revive their lagging league form (looking at you Louisville). For us bettors, the games may be tough to predict, but the potential profit to earn is there. Let’s make it a good weekend.

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, May 15. However, if BetMGM lists better odds for a particular wager, I will make a specific note of it.

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USLC: Lexington ML, over 1.5 total goals (2.00), Colorado Springs v Orange County First Half Result - Draw (2.25), Indy Eleven ML, Over 1.5 Indy Eleven team goals (2.00), New Mexico v Las Vegas BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (2.20),

USL1: Chattanooga ML, Greenville v Richmond Over 2.5 total goals, Fort Wayne ML

Parlay: Lexington, Indy Eleven ML parlay (2.59), Lexington v Monterey Bay over 1.5 total goals, Indy Eleven v Jacksonville over 2.5 total goals, Hartford v Detroit under 3.5 total goals (2.65)

USL Prinx Cup

Westchester v NY Cosmos

2.20 - 3.80 - 2.50

I mentioned it in my first preview article of the Prinx Cup but Group 5 is my favorite in the group stage, all down to its geographic matchups, and another New York City metro area derby is on the fixtures to get us started this weekend. These sides won’t meet in the league until July, but both teams will be looking to make an early impression against their new neighbors. Westchester was prevailing on PKs against Portland in their first group stage match while the Cosmos were demolished 3-0 to Brooklyn in their game. However, we come across both teams a bit out of form, each winless in their last three games against USL opposition in 90’ (and last four games for Westchester). Westchester are riding a three game goalless drought in the league currently, losing each of those games in win to nil scorelines, but their PK shootout win over Portland did interrupt that league streak detailing that anything can happen in this competition.

These two teams are the involved in the highest scoring games in USL1 league play thus far, the Cosmos averaging 4 total goals a game vs Westchester averaging 3.38 total goals. In a competition that encourages scoring, we may be in for some fireworks to open up our weekend. Easily betting over 2.5 total goals in this one, but I think we see the hosts getting the win here as well.

Bet 1: Over 2.5 total goals (1.40)

Bet 2: Westchester ML (2.20)

Charlotte v Pittsburgh

3.00 - 3.30 - 2.05

A meeting between two former USL Championship Eastern Conference opponents is the other game on this Friday night, and it was a series that was littered with low-scoring affairs. Their last match came in September 2021 (a 1-0 win for Charlotte), but each of the last six games from September 2021 back to May 2019 were all under 1.5 total goals scored, but with only one draw (the aforementioned May 2019 meeting). Strangely, Charlotte only lost one of the 15 all-time meetings between these two teams, so is this a return of a thorn in the Riverhounds’ side, or a chance for Pittsburgh to exercise some demons against the Independence?

Off the back of a massive 2-0 victory in the league over Louisville, the reigning USLC winners, Pittsburgh Riverhounds have won three of their last four games across all competitions. Charlotte are unbeaten in their last four in their own right (with three of those games going over 2.5 goals). But both of these teams have been prone to high-scoring games this season, each averaging over 2.5 total goals in their respective league games this year. I think I will side Pittsburgh to get the result tonight, potentially even their first ever win away at Charlotte in the history of this series, but I could see the Independence really making things difficult for the Riverhounds.

Bet: Charlotte win or tie halftime, Pittsburgh win or tie fulltime (2.25)

Portland v Rhode Island

3.70 - 3.50 - 1.80

These cross-USL league matches is what really makes the Prinx Cup a fun competition, and we get another edition of this New England matchup (which Rhode Island has won both previous meetings in 2025). For Portland, the season start still seems to be slow rolling, with just two wins across all competitions, Hearts of Pine carry a streak of just one win in their previous six games into this match (but also just one defeat in that time as well). Portland were even moments from a win away at Omaha before settling for a draw late last week. Rhode Island themselves rescued a point in the waning moments of a match against Tampa Bay last week, but still have not won in their last three games. A win inside 90’ for either club could really bolster their Prinx Cup group stage hopes, while the loser might be looking to sooner end their participation in the competition.

In their meetings last year, Rhode Island found both opening goals and were leading at the break, but only once all this season in the league have Rhode Island been leading at halftime. If you’re Portland, a win here would go a long way towards jumpstarting their campaign in and beyond this competition. Hearts of Pine still have not lost any of their last six home games at Fitzpatrick Stadium too, which leads me to back the hosts in this one, with a few options of wagers.

Bet 1: Portland win or tie halftime, Portland win or tie fulltime (2.10)

Bet 2: Portland to score first (2.50)

Madison v Detroit

3.75 - 3.60 - 1.75

Shockingly, a first ever meeting for these long time Midwestern USL clubs, with very passionate fanbases. Breese-Stevens Field should have a fun atmosphere for Madison’s home opener! We have two teams looking to score their first point(s) in Prinx Cup group stage play this year. Detroit begin their journey in this competition coming off the back of a humbling 2-1 loss away at Hartford in the league last week, while Madison has seen their form fall out of favor, with just one win in their last five games played across all competitions. After what has certainly been an agonizing wait, I think Forward Madison fans will be prepared and eager to see the Flamingos back at home for the first time in 2026. But don’t expect Detroit to be an easy opponent, they have scored the first goal in three of their last four league games (and 62% of the time overall). But, both of these teams are averaging at or below 2.5 total goals scored in games in their respective league campaigns this season. This could be a low-scoring game.

Bet: Detroit win or tie, under 2.5 total goals (2.10)

Richmond v Charleston

4.00 - 3.50 - 1.72

Another matchup of former USLC rivals renewed, as these longtime USL stalwarts face off at City Stadium. Richmond have been on the upswing in recent weeks, picking up three wins from their last four games, including back-to-back clean sheet wins for the first time since September 2025. Charleston meanwhile had last week off, having now gone a full two weeks since their 4-0 victory over Jacksonville in the league being their last match. But strangely, neither of these teams have played each other since July 2018—or when Mission: Impossible - Fallout (2018) was in theaters (this film needs to get onto a more accessible streaming platform as I still need to watch it, but I digress). The home team has won each of the last five meetings between these teams, but the Battery have not won away at the Kickers since September 2016.

If Richmond can find the opening goal, something they have done in each of their last three league games, I think they go on to get a result out of this match. But the long rest to prepare for this one might play into Charleston’s favor to be ready for this match. Picking both teams to have their first draw in this series since August 2016, but the Kickers to find the first goal.

Bet: Richmond to score first, Draw (10.00)

Brooklyn v Hartford

2.90 - 3.25 - 2.15

A fixture we’ve already seen in the league back in March (which ended with Hartford outlasting Brooklyn 2-1 away at Coney Island), but we now meet both teams in interesting places. Hartford did win their last match against Detroit, ending a six match winless run that stretched back to that win over Brooklyn, while the hosts have lost back-to-back games for the first time since March. I’ve spoken a bit previously how fascinating it is to watch a Brooklyn is hosting due to their narrow pitch, but it makes it challenging to try and predict how this match might go. Luckily, we have their meeting in the league to fall back on (albeit Brooklyn still trying to find their footing as a club in that game). I think Hartford, buoyed by their result over Detroit last week will look like the stronger side all match, but this one is low-scoring (BTTS-Yes scorelines have hit in under 40% of games for both teams). We might even see a scoreless first half as well, ironic for a competition trying to encourage goals.

Bet 1: Hartford win or tie, Under 2.5 total goals (2.05)

Bet 2: Draw halftime result (2.05)

Bet 3: 0-0 first half scoreline (2.60)

Chattanooga v Birmingham

No odds as of writing

Keep a watchful eye on the Birmingham Legion. They may have a slow start, partially due to their inconsistent scheduling to open the year (not unlike their opponents), but Jay Heaps finally have this team playing well. Legion are unbeaten in their last six games across all competitions entering this game (though only two wins in that time, but three clean sheets however). For Chattanooga, Scott Mackenzie’s team got a massive 4-1 win over Sarasota in the league last time out, the first time it looked like the Red Wolves of last season that finished second in the USL1 regular season (and first time since April 2024 that Chattanooga scored 4 goals in a match).

Frequent meetings in cup competitions these two teams, Birmingham have won all three previous meetings and did so scoring at least 3 goals in each match (Legion would also cover a -1.5 spread in each of those games). Birmingham did win -1.5 spread over Rhode Island on May 2nd, but their next previous instance of covering such a spread was back on April 27, 2025…against Chattanooga. I think the Legion are the better team (and Birmingham still have yet to trail at halftime of a match this season), but are they -1.5 better? That might be worth a sprinkle on that spread.

Bet: Birmingham win or tie first half, Birmingham ML

Miami v Tampa Bay

3.40 - 3.10 - 2.00

Their match against Rhode Island might have ended up being a draw (and likely was the fair outcome), but I am still riding high on Tampa Bay this season. Dom Casciato leads his players to South Beach to take on Miami FC, a team the Rowdies have not lost to inside 90’ since April 2022 (however these two teams played out a thrilling 3-3 draw in last year’s Jagermeister Cup group stage that saw Miami win on PKs). For Miami, this is already their third match of the Prinx Cup, and their most challenging arguably, having won their first two group stage games. A win here would almost certainly confirm Miami’s likely involvement in the knockouts. However, Tampa Bay have just this competition and the league to compete in this season, and they won’t want to pass up an opportunity at silverware, particularly a trophy I think they have a good chance at winning.

Going to keep following them until they really let me down (please not this week). The Tampa Bay hype train continues.

Bet: Tampa Bay ML (2.00)

Knoxville v San Antonio

3.80 - 3.30 - 1.83

One of the common discussed talking points surrounding this competition is the gap between USLC and USL1—and it’s something we’ve mentioned in the past that the gap might be much closer than you think. This matchup is a prime example of that as the reigning USL1 league champions Knoxville, are playing host to San Antonio this weekend. Knoxville, even after having lost plenty of players from last year’s championship roster, appear to have not skipped a beat since last season, and already prevailed on PKs over Tulsa in the first matchday of this competition back in April. But San Antonio have been very strong this season start, themselves, currently atop of the USLC Western Conference right now, unbeaten in their last five game splayed against USL clubs (though just one win and four draws in that time). In fact, 50% of the games San Antonio have played against USL clubs this season have been draws, including four 0-0 scorelines. For a Knoxville team who have only been shutout in two of their nine games played this year against USLC/1 opposition, this San Antonio defense might be their toughest challenge yet.

We also have to consider that Knoxville had a midweek match (a 2-1 loss to Omaha) on Wednesday while San Antonio did not have a fixture since last Saturday. I do think this game lends itself to be more low-scoring as nine of the twelve games San Antonio have played against USL clubs this year have been under 2.5 goals. I am leaning towards picking this fixture to be another draw on the board for both teams in this group stage, but if I had to lean towards a winner, San Antonio. Three options of picks for this one.

Bet 1: Draw at 90’ (3.30)

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals (1.80)

Bet 3: San Antonio to score first (1.66)

Parlay All of the Above: 13.00

Scoreline 1-1 bet odds: 7.00

Fort Wayne v Indy Eleven

3.50 - 3.50 - 1.83

Our first ever Indiana Derby! This has to be a match circled by both clubs and both fanbases. If you’re Fort Wayne, this is the game you must have dreamed about when the club formed, being able to assert yourselves as top club of the state in a wonderful soccer specific stadium to boot. If you’re Indy Eleven, you cannot just let the upstart side come into Indiana and take your crown, a strong showing at their home turf might go a long way towards reassuring fans in the region who is the better side. But this is why the Prinx Cup exists!

Both teams are off the back of wins in their last game, and Fort Wayne have still yet to lose a home match Ruoff Mortgage Stadium (or even trail in a home match yet). Fort Wayne has also scored the opening goal of the match in each of their last four games played. I think if you are FWFC, you have nothing to lose in this game while it will be Indy Eleven playing with more of the nerves, that bodes well for the hosts. But can they see out the win in the end? I don’t believe Indy Eleven will let this game slip away entirely inside 90’.

Bet: Fort Wayne to score first, Draw fulltime result (8.50)

Oakland v Sacramento

2.35 - 3.10 - 2.75

It’s too bad we don’t get this game in the league until July, as I believe this is a future USLC Western Conference playoff matchup. Ryan Martin has completely transformed the Roots from the doldrums of last season, to currently being the top California club in the league thus far. But Neill Collins has made his Sacramento Republic side a very tough team to beat, entering this match unbeaten in their last five games across all competitions against USL clubs (Oakland unbeaten in six themselves). Interestingly, Neill Collins’ Sacramento met a Ryan Martin managed team in this very competition last season, with Republic advancing on PKs in the quarterfinals (a match where Loudoun dominated shots 23-7). This might be the most interesting managerial matchup of the round between two teams in red hot form entering this game.

We’ve seen this series produce some all-time classic matches, in fact, three of the last four games played in this series have been BTTS - Yes and over 4.5 goals! With this being a group stage game, I don’t think we see the defensive showcase that we saw in that Loudoun-Sacramento game of last year, I think both teams will really go for it in this one and it gets settled inside 90’.

Bet: Oakland or Sacramento to win, Over 2.5 total goals (2.40)

Corpus Christi v Tulsa

4.00 - 3.75 - 1.66

Alright Tulsa, that’s much better in recent weeks. Last season’s USLC runner-ups have won back-to-back games in the league for the first time since November 2025. While it has been two weeks since their last game played, I am starting to cool any worries on Tulsa that may have formed in their early season start. Eamond Zayed’s Corpus Christi are finally back home after a long road trip to open the season, but have only scored one goal for their home fans across two games played at home thus far. I do believe Zayed gets things figured out for CCFC eventually, and to their credit, they currently sit atop the group standings after their 1-0 win over Chattanooga in the first group stage. However, I think they are running into a Tulsa team catching better form at the right moment.

Bet: Tulsa ML (1.66)

Boise v Monterey Bay

2.30 - 3.40 - 2.55

Immediately, I had this game circled as another where I think the USL1 club gets the result over the USLC team, and frankly, this one might not even be an upset in that instance (the odds reflect as much as well). Boise made it two wins from their last three games played with a win over Naples midweek, meanwhile Monterey Bay—who we’ve long discussed their many, many problems this season on this week’s USL Show—is still looking for their first win inside 90’ this season. Furthermore, Monterey Bay have not scored multiple goals in a match since August 2025, and have not won a road game since March 2025. Until I see proof that Monterey Bay can get results away from home (or simply score multiple goals), I cannot back in a match. Keeping it simple.

Bet: Boise ML (2.30)

Colorado Springs v New Mexico

1.90 - 3.40 - 3.40

Much like Oakland-Sacramento above, we find two Western Conference teams meeting in the cup in scintillating form. Back in March, it was Dennis Sanchez’s New Mexico getting the win 3-2 after two stoppage time goals, one from both teams, shifted this from a draw to a NM win. But as the meeting shifts to Weidner Field, New Mexico will be looking to make it three wins in a row in as many visits to this stadium. Colorado Springs have drawn their last three games across all competitions, but each were BTTS-Yes/over 3.5 total goals scorelines. Colorado Springs have scored in each of their last nine games across all competitions, losing just one of them (the aforementioned New Mexico defeat). New Mexico have won three of their last four games played themselves, but have been shutout three times this year themselves. In the historical meetings, Colorado Springs have not beaten New Mexico inside 90’ since April 2023, and tomorrow would be a really good time to break that run of results in this series…and I think it will be the moment.

Bet: Colorado Springs ML, Over 2.5 total goals (2.87)

Phoenix v Orange County

2.00 - 3.25 - 3.30

For a team who opened the year with multiple low-scoring scorelines in a row, Orange County have now gone their last three games being BTTS-Yes and over 2.5 total goals in each of them…and are without wins in their last four games across all competitions as well. For Phoenix, they are unbeaten in each of their last four league games (with two win to nil scorelines on the road in that time), but like Orange County, have also opened the Prinx Cup group stage form with a loss. I think given their placement in the group standings, we could see the loser of this game start to reconsider their approach in these latter two group stage matches after this match. We might even start to see that approach seep into team selection tomorrow night already.

If there is an opening goal (as this one could very well be 0-0 to be honest), I think it would be Orange County scoring it (as they have done so in 70% of their league games played). But with both teams averaging under 2.5 total goals scored across all league games played this season, and Orange County slightly out of form, I feel really only confident in the following wager.

Bet: Under 2.5 total goals (1.90)

Naples v Jacksonville

No odds as of writing

We get our Sunday slate started with another all-Florida matchup from Group 7. Well done to Jacksonville in getting their first win in club history earlier this midweek as they defeated Sarasota 2-0. After having lost eight games in a row prior to that win (and losing nine of their first ten games played), that has to feel like a cathartic release for Jacksonville. Naples meanwhile seem to be in a rut of form lately, having lost their last four games played, all while trialing strange tactical changes in that run (Naples have been outscored 11-2 in those four defeats across all competitions). After two losses on the west coast to Spokane and Boise, Naples will certainly be thrilled to be back at home and might fancy their chances against a still struggling Jacksonville team.

That being said, I am not sure I can truly trust either team in this matchup. Naples are out of form and even off the back of their first win, I still think this Jacksonville team is not very good. We could either be in for an entertainingly bad match on hand, or the most dull game imaginable. I’m leaning more towards the latter, resulting in only one possible outcome after 90’ played…

Bet: Draw at 90’

Omaha v Louisville

No odds as of writing

My pick for the “Match of the Weekend” as two of USL’s premier clubs face off. If you’re Louisville, the club finds itself in unfamiliar territory having lost back-to-back games for the first time since July 2023—when they lost three in a row, a feat Louisville will be hoping to avoid this week. While I am not quite worried for Louisville in the Simon Bird era just yet, facing off against Omaha is less than an ideal opponent for a team in dire need of a “get right” game. Omaha are back in good form once more, having won three of their last four games across all competitions, and having already beaten a USLC club in this group stage as well with a 2-1 win over Indy Eleven (a repeat of the same USOC fixture too). July 2025 in the Jagermeister Cup group stage against El Paso was the last time Omaha had lost a match at home too, so this match might not be so straightforward for Louisville as they would hope.

With both teams averaging over 2.5 total goals in all league games this season, that seems like an initial first wager we should be doing for this match, but I think Omaha ML or at least Omaha draw no bet are worth wagers as well.

Bet 1: Over 2.5 total goals

Bet 2: Omaha draw no bet

Spokane v Las Vegas

No odds as of writing

Closing out our Prinx Cup weekend with Spokane hosting Las Vegas. I think our play for Lights games in this competition is to fade the Nevada club, not in part that they have been matched up against the two of the trickiest to face USL1 clubs in their first two group stage games. Spokane will be eager to turn over their -4 goal differential and get back into this competition, while the Lights will want to find their first win over a USL1 club since these two teams met back in June 2025. Both of these sides are involved in high-scoring games on the year, 81% of Lights matches have gone BTTS, but Las Vegas has a tough time in starting out matches, they’ve lead at halftime only once in the league. I think that’s our angle to play in this match, on top of Velocity finding the opening goal in this one. We could be in for another USL1 cupset in this one (and is worth a sprinkle on Spokane’s fulltime ML odds).

Bet 1: Spokane ML first half

Bet 2: Spokane to score first

USL1

Sarasota v AV Alta

No odds as of writing

Our lone USL1 regular season game of the weekend. Sarasota might be in free fall. In a match I thought they might get to regain some confidence (and momentum) in the midweek against a struggling USLC side in Jacksonville, Sarasota would go on to lose 2-0. That’s now four defeats in a row for the expansion club across all competitions, and just one win since the start of April. For AV Alta, they picked up their first win on the season last week for a 2-0 win over Madison. I’ve mentioned previously that each week, I don’t know which AV Alta team will show up, but to their credit, they have scored a goal in each of their last six games across all competitions. Running into a struggling Sarasota team, this could be a chance for AV Alta to win back-to-back matches for the first time since July 2025.

I like AV Alta to find a goal in this one, possibly even the opening goal (Sarasota has scored first in just 22% of games this season in the league). If you want to be safe, AV Alta double chance seems like the move, but I’ll go a bit further and pick the California club on the Draw No Bet line.

Bet 1: AV Alta Draw No Bet

Bet 2: AV Alta to score first

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Tampa Bay, Tulsa, Boise ML parlay (7.66)

• Colorado Springs, Hartford, Westchester ML parlay (9.03)

BTTS/Goals Parlay:

• Westchester v NY Cosmos and Colorado Springs v New Mexico each over 2.5 total goals (2.45)

• Madison v Detroit and Phoenix v Orange County each under 2.5 total goals (3.42)

• Brooklyn v Hartford and Knoxville v San Antonio each under 2.5 total goals (3.00)

Underdog Parlay:

• Richmond v Charleston and Knoxville v San Antonio each to finish in a Draw at 90’ (11.55)

• Portland win or tie, Fort Wayne win or tie (3.30)

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USL Prinx Cup Parlay (Friday & Saturday games only): 19.95

Non-USL Related Bets

Other Soccer:

MLS

• Austin ML, Montreal v Chicago BTTS - Yes parlay (2.25)

• NY Red Bulls v NYCFC BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (1.80)

• Charlotte v Toronto draw first half (2.37)

• Vancouver ML (1.90)

• San Diego, San Jose ML parlay (3.48)

• Nashville v LAFC BTTS - Yes (1.70)

• Sporting Kansas City under 0.5 team goals (2.62)

MLS Player Props

• Preston Judd (SJ) goal or assist (1.80)

• Philip Zinckernagel (CHI) to assist (3.50)

• Pep Biel (CLT), Djordje Mihailovic (TOR) each over 0.5 shots on target (2.05)

• Eric Mxim Choupo-Moting (NYRB) goal or assist (1.72)

• Nicolas Fernandez (NYC) and Cade Cowell each 1+ shots on target (2.15)

England/Scotland

• Manchester United ML (1.61)

  • Casemiro (MNU) over 0.5 shots on target (2.10)

• Fulham ML (1.90)

• Newcastle v West Ham BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (1.72)

  • West Ham win or tie (1.66)

• FA Cup final, Chelsea v Manchester City

  • Manchester City ML (1.62)

  • Antoine Semenyo to score or assist (1.83)

  • Antoine Semenyo or Erling Haaland to score first goal (2.50)

  • Jeremy Doku over 0.5 shots on target (2.00)

• Celtic ML/BTTS - Yes (2.87)

• Celtic to win the Scottish Premiership (1.57)

  • Weirdly this is better odds than Celtic ML (1.53) which is the result necessary for Celtic to win the league

• Daizen Maeda (CEL) ATGS (2.10)

• Falkirk v Rangers BTTS - Yes (1.57)

• Partick Thistle v Dunfermline BTTS - Yes (1.95)

• Stenhousemuir ML (2.05)

• Hamilton v Clyde BTTS - Yes (1.72)

Elsewhere

• St Pauli v Wolfsburg BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (1.95)

• Wolfsburg win or tie (1.40)

• Dortmund ML (2.00)

• PSG ML/BTTS - Yes (2.50)

• Inter Toronto ML (2.05)

• Atletico Ottawa v Halifax Wanderers BTTS - Yes (1.66)

Other Sports:

MLB:

Friday Games Only:

• Pirates ML (1.74)

• Guardians ML (1.71)

• Orioles ML (1.71)

• Braves ML (1.66)

• Rays ML (1.83)

• 15.63 odds to parlay the above five games

• Diamondbacks at Rockies over 11 total runs (1.90)

• Yankees at Mets

  • Schlittler (NYY) over 5.5 strikeouts, Holmes (NYM) over 4.5 strikeouts (2.65)

• Giants at Athletics over 10 total runs (1.95)

  • Nick Kurtz HR (3.65)

• Assorted player props:

  • Trey Yesavage (TOR) over 5.5 strikeouts (1.83)

  • Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer (both CIN) each 1+ HIT (2.35)

  • Mike Trout HR (5.50)

  • Julio Rodriguez (SEA), Manny Machado (SD) each 1+ strikeout (2.00)

  • Bobby Whitt Jr (KC) and Alec Burleson (STL) each 1+ hit, Jordan Walker (STL) 1+ strikeout (2.30)

NBA:

• Pistons +4 (1.90)

  • James Harden under 19.5 points (1.86)

  • Cade Cunningham over 27.5 points (1.95)

• Spurs ML (1.45)

  • Stephon Castle (SA) over 15.5 points (1.86)

  • Dylan Harper (SA) over 10.5 total points (1.83)

NHL (Saturday):

• Sabres at Canadians Under 6.5 Goals (1.83)

NASCAR - All-Star Race from Dover Motor Speedway

The NASCAR cup series season takes a pause as well for this year’s all-star race this weekend. I am quite a fan of Dover as a track and hope that it soon returns to the regular season as a points race, but alas, it has been relegated to the all-star race this year (first time this track is hosting the event).

This year’s event should be interesting, a change on previous versions, with the full 36-charter car field eligible for the race, with the field being inverted after stage one, and then cutting the ten lowest placed cars after stage two for the final stage. Since 2023, Denny Hamlin is the only driver to have won here multiple times (twice), having also finished in the top five each of the three races here. Other drivers of note who are quite good here are Kyle Larson (only other driver with multiple top five finishes here since 2023), Ryan Blaney and Chase Elliott. Additionally, I like Toyota in general at this track so want to mention Christopher Bell here too.

• Toyota winning manufacturer (2.25)

• Christopher Bell or Denny Hamlin either to win (3.40)

• Denny Hamlin top three finish (2.25)

• Tyler Reddick to beat Alex Bowman h2h (1.80)

• Kyle Larson to beat Ryan Blaney h2h (1.76)

• Chase Elliott to win a group of himself, Ryan Blaney, Ty Gibbs and Tyler Reddick (2.80)

• Joey Logano to win a group of himself, Chris Buescher, Kyle Busch, and Brad Keselowski (2.75)

Final Thoughts

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It was a successful return last week for our bets beyond USL, along with our parlays hitting in USL plus some upset picks that earned us nice returns as well. I’ll be making this a shorter article this week just highlighting the USLC and USL1 matches ahead for the weekend. It’s still a full slate of games for both leagues as we move towards the summer. Best of luck on your wagers this weekend!

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Thursday, May 7th. No odds will be listed for USL1 games due to when this piece was written.

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USL: Oakland win or draw, BTTS - Yes (2.30), Detroit or Louisville to win (1.28), Charleston win to nil (2.37), Brooklyn win or tie first half (1.44), BTTS - Yes, Las Vegas win or tie match (2.40), Tulsa win or tie, BTTS - Yes (2.30), Fort Wayne v Charlotte Over 2.5 total goals (1.80), Omaha ML, Omaha to score first (1.95), Boise ML (2.25)

Parlays: Boise, Omaha ML parlay (3.93), Las Vegas v Lexington and Monterey Bay v Tulsa each BTTS - Yes (3.10), Knoxville win or tie, Oakland win or tie (2.35)

Beyond USL: New England ML (2.15), Atlanta v Montreal BTTS - Yes (1.72), San Diego v LAFC BTTS - Yes, LAFC Win or tie (2.05), Preston Judd (SJ) ATGS (2.50), Carles Gil (NE) ATGS (2.75), Wolves v Sunderland BTTS - Yes (1.90), Newcastle ML (2.50), Arsenal ML (1.45), Manchester United v Liverpool BTTS - Yes, Manchester United win or tie (1.95), Ipswich, Millwall ML parlay (1.69), Sheffield Wedneday or tie (2.50), Southampton ML (1.96), Bolton v Luton BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (1.80), Stevenage, Plymouth ML parlay (2.10), Celtic ML, BTTS - Yes (3.00), Hearts v Rangers BTTS - Yes, Hearts win or tie (2.30), Inverness CT, Stenhousemuir ML parlay (2.30), Edinburgh v Dumbarton over 2.5 total goals (1.57), Villarreal ML (1.70), Mainz ML (2.55), Freiburg v Wolfsburg BTTS - Yes, Wolfsburg win or tie (2.15), Reds at Pirates over 8 total runs (1.86), Brewers, Rays ML parlay (2.70), Acuna Jr (ATL), Moniak (COL) each 1+ hit parlay (1.71), Emmet Sheehan (LAD) 6+ strikeouts (2.00), Lakers +3.5 (1.90), Golden Knights ML (1.86), Canes ML (1.45), Chase Elliott to win H2H v Chase Briscoe (1.86), Chase Elliott top ten finish (1.80), Daniel Suarez to win a group of himself, Kyle Busch, Austin Dillon, Noah Gragson (2.55), Chase Elliott outright win (19.00)

USL Championship

Lexington v Monterey Bay

1.57 - 3.60 - 5.00

This matchup features two clubs in the cellar of the Western Conference, one team many expected to be there and the other that are shockingly floundering to open their campaign. The former, Monterey Bay, seem on the verge of finding that first win inside 90’ eventually. MBFC have scored in their last four games across all competitions, but have not kept a clean sheet in any of them—losing two of those games by at least -1.5 spread from their victorious opponents too. Lexington meanwhile have gone five games in the league without a win for the first time since October 2025. While the Kentucky team managed to get a massive 4-2 win at home in the Prinx Cup two weekends ago, it was a bad 2-1 loss away at Las Vegas last weekend that’s sent Lexington back to the drawing board.

I think crucially for this match, Lexington are back at home. While Lexington been woeful away from home this season (and since September 2025 without a win away), Monterey Bay might be the one team in the league worse away from home than Lexington. The California club have gone 412 days and counting since their last road victory in the league (3-0 away at Orange County). It’s a battle of teams that both are worthy to fade, but until I see a victory out of Monterey Bay, I just cannot trust them. Reluctantly, Lexington get a win here.

Bet: Lexington ML, over 1.5 total goals (2.00)

Colorado Springs v Orange County

1.57 - 3.60 - 4.75

A really intriguing nightcap of a match to close out our Friday as Colorado Springs hosts Orange County. Two teams from opposite sides of the total goals scored statline, as Orange County are averaging 1.67 total goals a game (even with their five-goal thriller last weekend v Sacramento in a 3-2 loss) while Colorado Springs (off the back of a 3-3 draw) are averaging 3.86 total goals a game. Which side ends up controlling this match is going to be really fascinating, especially with how low-scoring Orange County games have been this year (best defense in the West to open the year).

Colorado Springs have been tied at halftime of six of their seven total games to open the season, but have yet to trail at the break of a match this season. Furthermore, the Switchbacks have won four of the last five home games against Orange County as well (though OC hold a current three match winning streak over the Switchbacks). A win this week would go a long way for Colorado Springs in their quest to stay in the playoff spots even this early into the season.

Bet: First Half Result - Draw (2.25)

Brooklyn v Loudoun

2.25 - 3.30 - 2.70

We get our Saturday started in USLC with Brooklyn playing host to Loudoun. At the start of the season, I think many of us would be surprised not only that Brooklyn has wins on the board in the league before Loudoun. But playing at Coney Island is a new challenge for any visiting to such a narrow pitch. Both of Brooklyn’s wins have come at home this year and they’ve averaged just 0.8 goals allowed per home game. Furthermore, Brooklyn have scored the opening goal in their last two home games (and three of their last four games across all competitions). Loudoun enter this match still searching for the first win of the Limbrick era, but showed a lot of spirit and fight against their former manager last week with a 2-2 draw with Oakland. Looking at stats to open the year for Loudoun, they’ve still yet to be leading at halftime of a match, but it’s six draws through seven games, and they’re averaging 3.29 total goals scored in their first seven games played.

If Loudoun are to get a win to jumpstart their campaign, it really has to come here, but we’ve seen the likes of Charleston and Sacramento struggle with the size of the pitch against Brooklyn, who are gelling together more and more as the weeks go by. Without three points this week, I think I’m finding my panic button for Loudoun.

Bet 1: BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (2.10)

Bet 2: First Half Result - Draw (2.20)

Hartford v Detroit

2.20 - 3.20 - 2.87

What a win it was for Detroit last weekend as they welcomed Louisville to Keyworth and earned a 2-1 result. The Michigan club are unbeaten in four of their last five games played in the league and now venture to a ground where they have only lost once all-time in five previous trips (2024). Hartford have become a bit of a worry results wise in recent weeks, and a fade for me personally. With no wins since March 21st, Hartford have not scored a goal against a USLC team in any of their last five games played—or 7.5 hours without a goal (or enough time to watch all of Iron Man’s screentime in the MCU with 92 minutes to spare).

With Detroit riding a wave of better form, I am inclined to side with the visitors in this match, but one stat jumping out to me is that both of these teams are averaging under 2.5 total goals per game, the two lowest marks in the East. Visitors get the result, Hartford might very well go goalless once more, but I’m not going to be that Austin bold and will play this one more safely.

Bet: Detroit win or tie, Under 3.5 total goals (1.90)

Indy Eleven v Jacksonville

1.65 - 3.60 - 4.33

“The losses will continue until morale improves”, sadly seems like the mantra for Jacksonville as they’ve had a tough start to life in USLC. Last weekend, an early red card saw Jacksonville play the majority of their 4-0 defeat to Charleston with 10 players, as the Floridian club have now gone their last five games across all competitions vs USLC clubs without a goal (four in the league). It’s been nearly eight hours since Jacksonville last scored a goal—Din Djarin, the titular character of The Mandalorian has 7 hours and 21 minutes of screentime across every Star Wars property he’s been featured in for comparison. For Indy Eleven, this match represents and excellent opportunity to rebound after a 1-0 defeat to Tampa Bay last weekend which was their first match they were shutout in since March 8th.

I’ve always felt a tad cautious in wagering against a team the longer a bad streak goes on for them. Surely, they cannot be bad forever right? It can’t go on like this, can it—insert Mick McCarthy “It can” meme here. And wouldn’t it just be the most Indy Eleven thing ever to give this Jacksonville team their first win as a club? No, not for the memes, Indy Eleven ML at minimum, but these Jacksonville odds are always going to be lopsided until they win, so we’ll need to add on some further wagers.

Bet: Indy Eleven ML, Over 1.5 Indy Eleven team goals (2.00)

Louisville v Pittsburgh

1.48 - 3.80 - 5.75

A pair of teams who might be scratching their heads at their defeats from last week, and will be looking to this week to rebound in form. For Louisville, it was a defeat to Detroit at a ground where Louisville have typically struggled at. For Pittsburgh, they were shutout at home in a loss for the first time since September 2025 (coincidentally against Louisville) as they fell 1-0 to Phoenix last weekend. As both sides look to keep pace with what’s becoming a rather crowded top half of the Eastern Conference, a win in this match would be massive for the victor, and leave the loser questioning what’s next?

Louisville have not lost back-to-back games in the league since July 2023, while have not lost back-to-back in the league in a year’s time. Pittsburgh are also looking for their first win over Louisville since July 2023 (their win that season in the midst of a three game losing streak for Louisville no less). Both of these teams are at least 60% hit rates in BTTS - Yes scorelines, and I just have more faith in this Louisville team to not make it back-to-back losses for the first time since Indiana Jones & the Dial of Destiny (2023) was in theaters.

Bet: Louisville win or draw, BTTS - Yes (2.30)

Rhode Island v Tampa Bay

2.60 - 3.25 - 2.35

I’ve been riding the hype train of the Tampa Bay Rowdies all early season start and it’s paid dividends for us as they are the last remaining unbeaten team left in the league. After a 1-0 win over Indy Eleven last week, the Rowdies’ fourth clean sheet in the league this season, Tampa Bay take their unbeaten record to a Rhode Island who’s form hit a skid last week after a shocking defeat to Birmingham at home. In what was Rhode Island’s heaviest home defeat since June 2025, two second half Legion goals ended RIFC’s five match unbeaten run against USLC clubs in all competitions. Having to refocus their season welcoming the top USLC team to Pawtucket is no small ask, but Rhode Island does have history on their side as they currently hold a three match win streak over Tampa Bay, including beating them 8-0 on aggregate in 2025’s two meetings. But this is a very different Tampa Bay team this season, and one that has yet to trail at halftime of a match as well while also carrying their 100% score first rate still too.

I am going to keep backing Tampa Bay until they let me down and with these odds, I’m keeping it simple.

Bet: Tampa Bay ML (2.35)

New Mexico v Las Vegas

1.80 - 3.50 - 3.70

Having games in hand may serve as a benefit for New Mexico later down the schedule, but it’s made for a slow start to their campaign here in 2026. However, they are off the back of a 2-2 draw against El Paso at home on Wednesday where they were leading at halftime and managed to scrap a point despite conceding 10 more shots from El Paso. Las Vegas meanwhile won only their second league game of the season with a 2-1 result over Lexington at home last week. One thing I have always relied on from Lights games this year is BTTS - Yes hitting—Las Vegas have yet to be shutout in a match this season and their 87% hit rate on BTTS - Yes is the league’s best mark (New Mexico is at 50% comparatively). With both sides averaging over 3 total goals scored per game, we may be in for a fun match as Dennis Sanchez readies his New Mexico side against his former team.

In a strange streak, the home team in this series has not won a match since March 2022 (2-0 win for New Mexico), eight games played since then. That was also the last time Las Vegas had been shutout in a visit to Isotopes Park, as six of those aforementioned eight games played saw BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals scoreline. I may sprinkle a bit on this Las Vegas team to get a result out of this match, but at minimum, let’s follow the other historical trend for goals.

Bet: BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (2.20)

Oakland v El Paso

2.30 - 3.40 - 2.60

My pick for the USLC match of the weekend as #4 in the West Oakland Roots, plays host to #3 El Paso Locomotive. Two teams who had 2-2 draws on the road last time they played, Oakland last Saturday against Loudoun, El Paso on Wednesday against New Mexico. I’ve been a big believer in the Oakland Roots project that Ryan Martin has been leading, as the club have lost just once all season and are unbeaten in their last four games in the league (though three draws in that time). El Paso have made waves to open the season on a fast start, but now find themselves winless in their last three games for the first time since November 2025. While El Paso averaging a league high 4.13 total goals a game is entertaining, results betting for El Paso has been frustrating to predict. Each of these teams are 75% on BTTS - Yes scorelines this year as well.

In four previous trips to Oakland, El Paso have only won on just once occasion (October 2023), but perhaps the wave of good form that the Roots are on bodes well for their return to the Coliseum. Only once this season, their lone defeat on the year being at home to Orange County 1-0, has Oakland not scored the opening goal in a home game, but they welcome El Paso who are the conference’s best team away from home this season. This match might be the toughest one to predict this week for the USLC. Siding with the hosts to get the scoring started, but for points to be shared ultimately to make it four draws from their last five games in the league for Oakland.

Bet 1: Oakland to score first (1.83)

Bet 2: Draw (3.40)

Phoenix v San Antonio

2.20 - 3.10 - 2.90

Both of these sides had some absolutely unexpected results last week historically speaking. For Phoenix, it was their first win away at Pittsburgh since 2014, for San Antonio, their first 3-3 draw since 2023. But, to the visitor’s credit, it’s just one defeat in the league this season despite an own goal last weekend v Colorado Springs snatching a draw from the cusp of victory. One interesting streak Phoenix have currently been following is their last five games against USLC clubs have all been BTTS - No scorelines, with Phoenix having won three of those five games (two of those three games being 3-0 scorelines).

Rising are looking to win four games in a row in the league for the first time since April 2022, while San Antonio are trying to keep pace atop the Western Conference as they look for their first win away at Phoenix in the league since 2023. I think the opening goal of this match is incredibly crucial as with both of these teams averaging 2.5 total goals per game or fewer this season, we may be in for a tight fixture. A draw however is rare in this series, as each of the last seven games have seen a winner. Keep it low-scoring, but this match really could go either way.

Bet: Phoenix or San Antonio to win, Under 2.5 total goals (2.87)

USL1

Chattanooga v Sarasota

No odds as of writing

We get our USL1 Saturday started in Tennessee as Chattanooga hosts Sarasota. I’ve spoken previously about the weird scheduling to open the season for Chattanooga. The Red Wolves have played the fewest games against USL1 opposition to open the season (in just four league games and one Prinx Cup match), which has undoubtedly contributed to their winless start to the season. What lies before them is an expansion Sarasota team going through their own growing pains as they have just one win in their last five games played in the league, seemingly having gone cold. It’s the Sarasota defense that’s become a bit of a worry these past few weeks as these last five league games for Sarasota has seen them outscored 4-10 in that time.

If I’m Chattanooga, I am looking at this match as a great opportunity to wipe away the misfortune of a start to the season with a win over a struggling Sarasota Paradise—and that’s the result I am going to back (maybe against better judgement).

Bet: Chattanooga ML

Greenville v Richmond

No odds as of writing

A series renewed between these longtime USL1 stalwarts. Richmond are on the verge of winning three games in a row in the league for the first time since September 2022. Greenville are trying to avoid losing three games in a row in the league for the first time since September 2024. But what always follows this match is the current streak Greenville are riding, which is the Triumph have not lost to Richmond in 90’ in their last eight meetings (dating back to March 2023). For how chaotic USL1 is at times, streaks like this one persisting for as long as it has can be simply astounding. While Greenville are averaging over 2.5 total goals per game this season, Richmond have been under that figure averaging just 2 total goals per game.

To me, this feels like Richmond’s best opportunity in quite sometime to end this streak against Greenville and still, something is cautioning me to not bet the Kickers here. If we’re being safe, I like over 2.5 total goals in this match, but I might very well sprinkle a small Richmond ML wager here.

Bet: Over 2.5 total goals

Fort Wayne v Westchester

No odds as of writing

I have a feeling Fort Wayne will turn Ruoff Mortgage Stadium into a fortress, as after a 2-2 draw to open the ground last week against Charlotte, Fort Wayne earned their first three points with a victory over Portland, 3-0, on Wednesday of this week. Getting that win in front of the home crowd to reward their support is a massive platform for the team to build on in the weeks to come. Westchester arrive in a bit of bad form themselves, no wins inside 90’ in each of their last three games vs USL1 clubs and back-to-back road shutouts in the league (first time in club history). But what each tam has going for them is that they both average over 2.5 total goals per game (Westchester being one of the league’s higher goal involvement teams at 3.71 total goals per game). Westchester may have had a day’s extra rest since their last match last week, and Fort Wayne had the midweek game as well, but I just have a feeling the momentum carried from Wednesday’s win for the Indiana club, continues into the weekend. Would not shock me to see this game similarly high-scoring, but backing the hosts to get the win.

Bet: Fort Wayne ML

Omaha v Portland

No odds as of writing

If you’re Portland, a 3-0 defeat on Wednesday and having to face Omaha on Saturday is a less than ideal week on the schedule. Having been out-shot all night, Hearts of Pine gave Fort Wayne their first home victory as a club in the midweek. Omaha last week kept it clinical with a 2-0 win over Greenville (a pattern followed by Louisville in USLC all last year to win games by that scoreline). At 71% of their matches, Omaha is the second best team in the league at scoring first in games (bested only by Knoxville). Furthermore, Omaha have not lost a home game since July 2025 (2-1 v Tormenta). Given the midweek game Portland, coupled with the venue, it’s really hard to bet against Omaha in this one.

Bet 1: Omaha to score first, Omaha ML

Bet 2: Omaha 2-0 correct scoreline

Corpus Christi v Charlotte

No odds as of writing

Eamond Zayed will get this Corpus Christi team figured out eventually, but the Texan side, who had their first home game played last week (0-0 versus Spokane), are one of two teams in USL1 right now without a win. Charlotte had a massive 1-0 victory over Boise midweek that sees the club unbeaten in their last three games against USL1 opposition. Charlotte’s game in the midweek was actually the first match since their season opener that went under 2.5 total goals too. While Corpus Christi are currently on a stretch of back-to-back clean sheets versus USL1 clubs, the side have not scored multiple goals in a match since their season opener back in March. They need to figure out this attack before I can truly trust them more (and get a win on the board before I trust them to wager on their results). Going with the visitors to find a result from this one, and to keep it low-scoring.

Bet: Charlotte win or draw, under 2.5 total goals

AV Alta v Madison

No odds as of writing

I continue to be unable to get a proper read on this AV Alta team this 2026 season. As the last of two teams still without a win in the league this season, it should make this AV Alta team a reliable fade. But with four draws on the season (the most in the league), it’s shown this AV Alta can put in a performance capable of deserving points. For Madison, they did not let a 4-2 loss to Lexington in the Prinx Cup get them down as they immediately followed up that result with a strong 3-1 win away at Sarasota last weekend. It was Madison’s largest margin of victory away from home since October 2025, making this Madison’s best start to a USL1 season since 2021.

In their two meetings last season, it was a pair of draws, including one chaotic 3-3 result last September when Madison visited AV Alta (where it was 2-2 at halftime no less). With both teams averaging over 2.5 total goals a game this season, and AV Alta having a BTTS - Yes hit rate of over 80%, we might be in for a fun repeat showing of that 3-3 thriller. But I am backing Madison to find the opening goal at least, something the club have done in 60% of their games played this year.

Bet 1: Madison to score first

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Lexington, Indy Eleven ML parlay (2.59)

• Louisville, Tampa Bay ML parlay (3.47)

BTTS/Goals Parlay:

• Brooklyn v Loudoun, New Mexico v Las Vegas, Oakland v El Paso all BTTS - Yes (4.52)

• Lexington v Monterey Bay over 1.5 total goals, Indy Eleven v Jacksonville over 2.5 total goals, Hartford v Detroit under 3.5 total goals (2.65)

Underdog Parlay:

• Detroit win or draw, Oakland v El Paso draw (5.27)

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USLC Parlay: 8.51

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After a fun weekend of Prinx USL Cup action, and USOC action midweek—it was a nice run for Louisville, Colorado Springs and Knoxville who all exited the USOC in the midweek—we are back focused on league play. We have expansion teams with their home openers (finally) in USL1, along with some very interesting USLC matches on offer this weekend. And above all else, an agreement between the USL and USLPA for the next USLC CBA is nearing final ratification! Formula 1 is back, the NBA and NHL playoffs continue, the Kentucky Derby on Saturday evening, let’s make it a good weekend of wagers!

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, May 1.

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USL Prinx Cup: Charleston win or tie, over 2.5 total goals (2.10), Omaha win or draw, Over 2.5 goals (4.00), Lexington ML (1.65), Louisville -1.5 (1.95), Tampa Bay ML, Tampa Bay to score first (1.57), Knoxville win or draw (1.90), Knoxville to score first (2.40), New Mexico ML, Over 2.5 total goals (2.20)

Parlays: Louisville, Tampa Bay, New Mexico ML parlay (2.89), NY Cosmos v Brooklyn, Louisville v Fort Wayne, Westchester v Portland all over 2.5 total goals scored (3.74), Omaha DC, Knoxville DC (4.29)

Beyond USL: Nashville ML (1.66), Vancouver o2.5 team goals (2.00), Kansas City u0.5 team goals (2.25), Chicago -2.5 spread (2.67), Timo Werner (SJ) goal or assist (1.90), Hugo Cuypers (CHI) to score two or more goals (4.00), Hany Mukhtar (NSH) to assist (3.75), Kevin Denkey (CIN) to score (1.83), Arsenal win to nil (2.50), Oxford ML (1.42), Birmingham v Bristol City BTTS - Yes (1.72), Coventry v Wrexham BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.95), Stockport, Luton ML parlay (2.01), Forfar, East Kilbride ML parlay (1.83), Barcelona ML, Atletico Madrid win or tie parlay (2.07), Como ML (1.80), Orioles ML (1.80), Rockies +1.5 spread (1.83), Tigers at Reds over 8.5 total runs (1.83), Braves ML (1.66), White Sox ML (1.80), Cubs at Dodgers over 9 total runs (1.90), Pirates ML (1.80), Skenes over 6.5 total strikeouts (2.05), Pete Alonso (BAL), Ernie Clement (TOR), Mickey Moniak (COL) 1+ hit each (2.94), Spurs ML (1.83), Magic +2.5 spread (1.90), Hurricanes ML (1.80), Penguins ML (2.00), Chevrolet winning manufacturer (2.45)

USL Championship

Loudoun v Oakland

2.15 - 3.40 - 2.80

It’s a Ryan Martin homecoming as he brings his Oakland Roots team to his old stomping ground of Segra Field to take on his former club, Loudoun United. We’ve spoken about it on the USL Show in the past, but Ryan Martin’s exit from Loudoun felt like a manager the club let slip away, and his early returns from his time at Oakland is reinforcing that fact (just one defeat in their first seven league games, the only match the club has been shutout in as well). Anthony Limbrick’s Loudoun tenure is still without a win against USLC/1 opposition across all competitions, but the side has drawn their last three league games played. But the longer the Virginia club goes without a win, you have to wonder if the decision to part ways with Martin was ultimately the right one.

The narrative behind Martin’s history cannot be ignored for this matchup (and history already tilts in Oakland’s favor as they have won three of the four all-time meetings including this very fixture away at Loudoun last year). Martin will have his team motivated to go out and get a result in this game, particularly since former Loudoun players such as Florian Valot, Tommy McCabe, Keegan Tingey all left the club last season and followed Martin to Oakland. I think Oakland get a result from this match at minimum, but expect both teams to score (BTTS - Yes, has hit in each of the last four Roots games across all competitions). Though at these ML odds for Oakland, that might be worth a wager.

Bet: Oakland win or draw, BTTS - Yes (2.30)

Detroit v Louisville

3.00 - 3.10 - 2.20

Louisville put up a good fight against Houston in the USOC on Wednesday, but fell short of advancing after extra time. Turning their attention back on the league in one of the more trickier away days for the Kentucky club, a trip to Keyworth Stadium. Detroit at home, as I’ve mentioned previously, is a different team entirely that can frustrate opponents at this ground. Louisville are one of the better vistors to this ground to their credit, as in five previous visits they have won twice—four of those five games were under 2.5 total goals and only once did a Louisville visit to this ground see BTTS - Yes. You might be able value in Detroit getting a result out of this one (1.57 double chance), but one bet I will for certain is under 2.5 goals—Detroit averaging 1.83 total goals per game this year. The last four times this game has had a winner, the team who scored first went on to win so the opening goal will be crucial. If Detroit can score first, I think they are able to bunker and hold onto the win.

Bet 1: Under 2.5 total goals (1.65)

Bet 2: Detroit or Louisville to win (1.28)

Parlay both: 2.75

Charleston v Jacksonville

1.38 - 4.20 - 6.50

Like their match against Louisville, we have another game involving Jacksonville away that features some of the most lopsided odds you will see in USL. But thinking back to that Louisville match, Jacksonville only lost on a 90’ winner from Louisville nearly escaping Lynn Family Stadium with a draw. While that performance might stick in one’s mind for a bit, this Sporting Jacksonville team are still searching for their first win as a club, have lost their last six games in a row across all competitions, and have not scored in any of their last four games played (or nearly 6.5 hours since their last goal, or enough time to watch all of Marvel’s WandaVision (2021)). Charleston themselves are looking to snap a three game winless run in the league, their first since October 2024.

I just cannot back Jacksonville at all until I see this team win, as they are currently pulling a 2013 Antigua Barracuda like showing on their start as a club. Being back at home for the Battery is also very huge, as Charleston fans have not seen their team lose a USLC home match since March 2025. Picking another extension to the goal drought for Jacksonville, with Charleston snapping their three game winless run in the process.

Bet: Charleston win to nil (2.37)

Miami v Brooklyn

2.10 - 3.30 - 2.90

Some absolutely wild results for both of these teams in their most recent game. Starting with the visitors, Brooklyn picked up their first victory away from Coney Island last weekend with a 3-0 win over the NY Cosmos in the Prinx Cup, making it three games unbeaten against USL clubs for Brooklyn. Miami’s previous week saw them string together back-to-back wins in their Prinx Cup group stage games, first 1-0 against Jacksonville, then a massive 4-1 win over Naples on Wednesday. For the second time this season, Miami has two consecutive wins in games versus USL clubs. Wednesday was also Miami’s largest margin of victory in a match since August 2023—a 4-0 win over El Paso just as Barbie (2023) was hitting theaters.

I still personally need to see more out of this Brooklyn team away from home before I can completely trust them, however I could absolutely see them pulling off the upset over Miami given our preseason expectations for both teams. Suggesting a few options of wagers for this one in what might be a very close affair for both teams.

Bet 1: Brooklyn to score first (2.10)

Bet 2: Brooklyn win or tie first half (1.44)

Bet 3: Under 2.5 total goals (2.00)

Parlay Bets 1 and 2: 2.15

Pittsburgh v Phoenix

1.85 - 3.20 - 3.75

I admittedly have been slower to react to the new paradigm for Pittsburgh Riverhounds matches than I should be. Gone are the days for a low-scoring, grind out the 1-0 scoreline as Rob Vincent’s defending champion Riverhounds side, have a 71% BTTS - Yes stat on the season and are averaging over 3 total goals per game to open the season. Not to mention Highmark, sorry FNB Stadium, is still a fortress for Pittsburgh as they have not lost a home match since September 2025. Phoenix make the trek across the country looking to win three consecutive league games for the first time since May 2025. In this meeting between two long time USL sides separated by conferences, we have only seen five all-time meetings, and Phoenix has not won away at Pittsburgh since September 2014 (or around the same time the first Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) movie was hitting theaters). But, it’s been an even split all-time in the five games of two wins apiece and one draw.

Pittsburgh has not been shutout at home this season and has yet to score under 1.5 goals in a home game as well. Phoenix are finding their form and have been slowly moving up the Western Conference table, but I am backing the Riverhounds to get a result in their newly named FNB Stadium tomorrow.

Bet: Pittsburgh win or draw, over 1.5 total goals (1.57)

Rhode Island v Birmingham

1.65 - 3.50 - 4.50

Just like that, Rhode Island’s early season woes have quietly disappeared and I am no longer looking for my RIFC panic button. Rhode Island are unbeaten inside 90’ in their last six games across all competitions, and in the league, are fresh off the back of a 4-0 win over Charleston for their largest margin of victory in USLC since October 2025. A win tomorrow would see Rhode Island win three consecutive games in the league for the first time since November 2024. Birmingham—the early season incongruent scheduling seems behind them—are entering this game on an unbeaten run against USL opposition of their own, having reached four games without a loss inside 90’ with their 0-0 Prinx Cup result against San Antonio last week (Legion would lose on PKs however). While I do think this Birmingham team slowly continue to build and eventually turn a corner—Legion weirdly have yet to trail in a match at halftime this year—I think they are running into a Rhode Island team hitting their stride at just the right time for this game.

Both sides are at or above 50% BTTS - Yes occurrences in league games this year and both teams are averaging at least 2.5 total goals per match this season, but I think this RIFC are going to announce themselves as part of the conversation for the home playoff spots in the East with a win tomorrow night.

Bet: Rhode Island ML, Over 1.5 total goals (2.10)

Tampa Bay v Indy Eleven

1.55 - 3.80 - 4.75

This might be one of my underrated favorite matchups in USL today, a relic of the old NASL days of Tampa Bay v Indy Eleven—and as someone who loves wagering on the Rowdies, it’s a fixture the Rowdies have only lost to Indy Eleven just three times in 21 meetings. As the last remaining unbeaten team left in USLC, it now becomes a quest to see how far into the season the Rowdies can go before their first defeat in the league. Indy Eleven have not beaten Tampa Bay since September 2018—or when Venom (2018) was getting ready to hit theaters—with the Rowdies having won six of the last ten games against Indy Eleven (including the last four in a row).

I have just been fully onboard with Casciato’s project for Tampa Bay this season, and it has paid dividends for us in wagers. The Rowdies have a 100% return on scoring the opening goal of USLC matches this season, while also having yet to trail at halftime of a match this season. Both teams are averaging at least 2.5 total goals a game this season as well—with Indy Eleven’s last five league games going BTTS - Yes as well. I’m going to keep believing in Tampa Bay until I am given a reason to doubt.

Bet 1: Tampa Bay ML, BTTS - Yes (3.25)

Bet 2: Tampa Bay-Tampa Bay HT/FT Wager (2.30)

Bet 3: Tampa Bay 2-1 Indy Eleven scoreline wager (8.50)

San Antonio v Colorado Springs

2.20 - 3.10 - 2.90

Commiserations to Colorado Springs, who took the Colorado Rapids all the way to penalties in their USOC round of 16 exit on Wednesday, it was Khori Bennett penalty on 119’ to send it to the shootout as well. Getting refocused on the league, while San Antonio have had the week off, will be a tough adjustment for Colorado Springs. Entering this game, San Antonio has seen an uptick in their form, with no losses in their last three games versus USL clubs and keeping two clean sheets in that run. Similarly, Colorado Springs has not lost in any of their last four games against USL teams. Another matchup of two opposite styles as the Switchbacks are the joint-second highest scoring team in the West, while San Antonio are the joint-second lowest goals allowed in the conference.

While this series has been rather one-sided towards San Antonio’s favor (14 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats in 24 total meetings), the stat that really jumps out to me is that Colorado Springs has still never won a game away at San Antonio in 13 previous trips—including defeats in their last eight visits, seven of which were San Antonio win to nil results. Given that San Antonio boasts USLC’s mark for the lowest BTTS - Yes hit rates (25%, alongside Orange County), I’m going to back the hosts against tired legs for tomorrow to continue their BTTS - No results, but San Antonio ML might be odds favorable enough.

Bet: San Antonio win to nil (3.75)

Sacramento v Orange County

1.90 - 3.00 - 4.00

We have another chapter to be written in the history of these long time USL neighbors as the 33rd meeting between Sacramento and Orange County takes place tomorrow night. It’s a meeting of the two “lowest total goals scored” in a match teams in the league—Orange County the lowest at 1.25 and Sacramento next on 1.63. In fact, the last six games in the league for Orange County has not seen BTTS - Yes scorelines, while Sacramento enters this match unbeaten in their last four games against USL opposition. The history of this series is another in USL that is an even split of 12 wins each and 8 draws, but the recent history has been one controlled largely by the hosting team. Orange County have not won inside 90’ away at Sacramento since August 2023. In the last ten meetings, six of those games were under 2.5 goals, and given how at a premium goals are to come by for games involving these teams in the league, that feels like our wager for this weekend.

Bet: Under 2.5 total goals (1.53)

Las Vegas v Lexington

2.50 - 3.10 - 2.45

Did Lexington need a performance like the one they had last week against Forward Madison in the Prinx Cup—scoring four goals en route to a strong 4-2 win over an improved Madison team. It ended a run of five matches against USL clubs without a win for the Kentucky team and hopefully breathed some confidence back into a side currently under-performing their expectations. Tomorrow’s match provides an excellent chance to build on that confidence as Lexington runs one of the few teams lower than them in the table right now, Las Vegas. The Lights have been the league’s most reliable BTTS - Yes wager all season, with it hitting in 86% of their matches (their win over Monterey Bay from March being the lone match it did not hit in). Coupled with that BTTS - Yes stat, Las Vegas are averaging 4 total goals a match this season, tied with El Paso for most in the league. We could be in for a fun game tomorrow evening if Lexington can find their scoring form—which has been lacking away from home this year, Lexington has yet to score multiple goals in a road USLC league game since March 2025.

If there was ever a time for Lexington to remember how to score, it should come against a Lights team who cannot keep a clean sheet this season. But Lexington still have yet to win a match against Las Vegas all-time, and it was a 1-0 Lights win when Lexington visited the Sin City last season. This may be against my better judgement in this pick, but I offer two separate wagers on this one…because I have a sinking feeling Dr. Lexington might be seeing Las Vegas this weekend.

Bet 1: Lexington win or tie first half (1.36)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes, Las Vegas win or tie match (2.40)

Bet 3: Lexington win or tie first half, Las Vegas win or tie match parlay (2.30)

Monterey Bay v Tulsa

2.60 - 3.30 - 2.37

In the Prinx Cup last week, Monterey Bay prevailed on a penalty shootout over Oakland to get their first result on the board for the season. We spoke on The USL Show this week how much of a relief that is for Monterey Bay to finally get that result in a match where they looked the most competent they’ve been all season. However, Monterey Bay announced this week that head coach Jordan Stewart would department from the role anyways. A new change in manager awaits as Monterey Bay face another team who picked up a massive result in their last game, FC Tulsa. While a red card to El Paso’s Gabriel Torres on 11’ definitely set the tone for the match early, Tulsa still scored four goals in a 4-1 win over Locomotive on Wednesday. I had been rather tepid on Tulsa all season start to the point of fading them, but this is a game that helped restore a bit of faith and belief in this team. Tulsa scored four goals in a league match for the first time since August 2025 and picked up their first win in the league since March 21st.

Riding a three game win streak, Tulsa are looking to make it four in a row victories over Monterey Bay. You have to go back to April 2019—just before Avengers: Endgame (2019) would enter theater—to find the last time Monterey Bay beat Tulsa. Still though, as much as I liked what I saw from MBFC against Oakland last time out, the change in manager has scared me away from fully trusting them. I do think we see BTTS - Yes (something that’s occurred in the last two games for both teams), but I’m more confident in backing the visitors in this match.

Bet: Tulsa win or tie, BTTS - Yes (2.30)

USL1

Richmond v Westchester

2.05 - 3.30 - 3.00

Our USL weekend gets us started with a fun match on offer as Richmond hosts Westchester. I’ve spoken previously about how different this Westchester team is this season, and they are proving to be reliable for one particular wager this season, over on goals. Against seven USL1 opponents across all competitions, they’ve hit the over 2.5 goals mark in five of those games, but Westchester are entering this match without a win inside 90’ since April 8th. Richmond are reliable for goals themselves, their last four games across all competitions all going over 2.5 goals as well, and it was a 2-1 win over Omaha last time out in the league (a side they have become a weird bogey team for).

When these teams met last season, we were always in for a spectacle, as their first meeting in April 2025 was a 4-4 showcase, followed a 2-2 draw later in May, before someone finally picked up all three points in this series with a 2-0 Richmond win in September. Given that history, let’s root for goals this evening.

Bet: Richmond or Westchester to win, Over 2.5 total goals (2.15)

Portland v NY Cosmos

1.95 - 3.40 - 3.25

We have the return fixture of the first ever NY Cosmos 3.0 game of their club history, and the visitors will be looking for a similar scoreline as they make a visit to Fitzpatrick Stadium for the first time. Both of these USL1 clubs are off the back of games in the Prinx Cup that did not go their way last weekend. The Cosmos were shutout in a 3-0 loss to Brooklyn at home, meanwhile across the Hudson River, Westchester outlasted Portland on penalties, after a 2-2 scoreline at 90’ (where an Ollie Wright goal at 85’ rescued the point before the shootout). That match versus Brooklyn was the first time the Cosmos were shutout in a game this season, but the team still carries a league high 83% BTTS - Yes statline. Portland meanwhile have only seen BTTS - Yes hit in 40% of games played this season.

While the Cosmos are the highest total goals in games side in the league, averaging 4 total goals a game this season, Portland have been the opposite, averaging just 1.40 total goals a game this season, with their last four games in the league seeing just three total goals scored. If Portland want to get their second win of the season out of this match, they’ll need to keep things low-scoring from the Cosmos (exactly the blueprint that saw Portland win 3-1 over the Cosmos back in March). Still think the Cosmos continue to score in every USL1 match they have played, but Portland get something from this game themselves.

Bet 1: Draw (3.40)

Bet 2: 1-1 scoreline (7.00)

Naples v Knoxville

2.37 - 3.10 - 2.70

A pair of teams off the back of 4-1 midweek defeats, but for separate reasons entirely. Knoxville saw that scoreline as they exited the USOC against Columbus Crew on Wednesday—congrats to Knoxville still on being the division’s furthest advanced club and getting that payday. Naples meanwhile looked disorganized and out of sorts as they lost by that scoreline to Miami also on Wednesday.

Sometimes when it is not your night, it really isn’t but this game just quickly got away from Naples, who found themselves 3-0 down after 20’ of play and red cards to both teams in the second half saw each side end on 10 players.

Looking at this match in particular, it was Knoxville who have gotten the better of Naples in all three meetings last season, with the Tennessee club winning two, including this exact fixture in Florida last season. Each of those games saw BTTS - No scorelines and all three were under 2.5 goals (Knoxville’s pair of wins came from 1-0 scorelines). In a weird streak, the last five Knoxville games have all been tied at halftime. Furthermore, both of these teams are averaging under 2.5 total goals in games this season (1.86 for Naples and 2.14 for Knoxville). We may be in for a low-scoring fixture tomorrow evening.

Bet 1: Draw halftime result (2.00)

Bet 2: Under 2.5 total goals (1.57)

Fort Wayne v Charlotte

2.50 - 3.40 - 2.40

I am sure Fort Wayne are thrilled to be finished with their two month road trip to open their existence as a club, as they get set to play their home opener at Ruoff Mortgage Stadium tomorrow night. Personally, I think the stadium looks quite cool and you just love to see new soccer specific stadiums popping across the country, I’m excited for you Fort Wayne fans! Into the match itself, Fort Wayne were able to pick up their first win of the season with a 1-0 scoreline over Chattanooga on April 11th, but last week it was a tough 3-1 loss in the Prinx Cup at the hands of Louisville—but FWFC did lead for a brief moment having scored the opening goal of the match and were tied at halftime too! Charlotte meanwhile saw an Enzo Martinez first half brace be enough goals to win 2-1 over Richmond in their respective Prinx Cup match, which also ended a three match losing skid across all competitions for the Independence.

As a home opener, you’d want to impress the crowd and send the fans home with a win to christen the new ground, which is why I expect this match to be a high-scoring affair. Both teams are averaging over 2 total goals per game this season, Charlotte even averaging 3.5 total goals per game this season. While I am not so certain to back Fort Wayne all the way for a win just yet, I think both teams put on a show for the crowd tomorrow night. Enjoy the evening Fort Wayne fans, this stadium has been a long time coming.

Bet: Over 2.5 total goals (1.80)

Sarasota v Madison

2.50 - 3.20 - 2.50

I think Sarasota might be the USL1 team I cannot get the best read on this season. The team has gone cold lately, with losses in four of their last five games in all competitions, but they did beat (likely a very travel weary) Corpus Christi team last time out in the league to end their three game losing skid. Madison put up a valiant fight against Lexington in the Prinx Cup last week, losing 4-2 ultimately, but have otherwise looked great in the league (loss to Omaha aside). Sarasota has seen their frequency of being the first team to score crater in recent weeks, as it is now just a dismal 29% of games for them this season where they’ve opened the scoring. Both teams have seen goals for them being rare to come by as in the league, each side are averaging under 2.5 total goals scored per game this season. Madison have also yet to trail in a game this season in the league as well (compared to four Sarasota matches being drawn at halftime across their seven played). I think we are in for a low-scoring contest tomorrow night and I fancy the visiting team to get the result more so than the hosts at this time.

Bet: Under 2.5 total goals (1.72)

Omaha v Greenville

1.75 - 3.50 - 3.80

A result so nice, Omaha did it twice as they beat Indy Eleven in another cup match 2-1 last week to open up their Prinx Cup group stage. Omaha has begun this year with just two defeats in eight games across all competitions against USL opposition this year, and could go top of the league this weekend if results go their way. Greenville last week lost 3-0 away at Pittsburgh in their first Prinx Cup match, the club’s heaviest defeat against a USL side since October 2025. Greenville also have not won any of their last five visits to Omaha dating back to June 2022, furthermore, Greenville have only once of the previous 11 meetings between these two teams as well. Omaha at home are just a different team entirely, especially since they have not lost a home league game since July 2025. If in doubt, back Union Omaha.

Bet: Omaha ML, Omaha to score first (1.95)

Corpus Christi v Spokane

2.90 - 3.40 - 2.10

While they may be a bit overshadowed in the home openers this weekend, Corpus Christi FC are also ending their long road trip to open the season and play host to Spokane in their first ever USL1 home match. While they are still looking for a win in the league, Corpus Christi—much like Fort Wayne above—beat Chattanooga in a match last time out to record their first win a USL1 club (in the Prinx Cup). Despite three consecutive defeats in the league, Corpus Christi still managed to find a goal in each one, as they still work to figure out this defense. Spokane make the trip down to Texas looking to win three games in a row in the league for the first time since August 2025. A statline that still sticks out to me on Corpus Christi is that they (alongside Chattanooga) are the only teams in USL1 who have yet to score the opening goal in a league match this season. No better time to get their first ever lead in USL1 play than in the home opener. This will be a complete prayer of a bet in this pick, but I want to back the hosts to finally get an opening goal in a match this season, particularly given these odds.

Bet: Corpus Christi to score first (2.20)

Boise v Chattanooga

2.25 - 3.30 - 2.75

Maybe it’s the early season schedule doing the club no favors (just five games since March 14th across all competitions), but Chattanooga’s season start has been brutal. Fewest games played in USL1 league play at the moment, just one victory on the board and having been shutout in three of those five games played (including to a open division team from the USOC), it’s enough to make me fade the Red Wolves until further notice. On the flip side, fading Chattanooga comes at a perfect time for them to visit Nate Millers’ AC Boise. Off the back of a PK shootout win in the Prinx Cup over Las Vegas (an upset we called last week), the Idaho club are unbeaten in their last four games across all competitions against USL clubs, and just like the Cosmos, having scored in every USL1 league game played this season so far. Last time out in the league at home, it was a 4-0 battering of Westchester.

I truly believe this Boise team will be the league’s best expansion side this season, and their form at home is going to make them a tough to beat as they turn that stadium into a fortress. The Red Wolves are inconsistent and out of form, backing the high-flying Boise team tomorrow night.

Bet: Boise ML (2.25)

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Charleston, Tampa Bay, Rhode Island ML (3.52)

• Detroit or Louisville to win, Richmond or Westchester to win, Brooklyn win or tie (2.57)

• Boise, Omaha ML (3.93)

BTTS/Goals Parlay:

• Loudoun v Oakland and Tampa Bay v Indy Eleven each BTTS - Yes (2.79)

• Las Vegas v Lexington and Monterey Bay v Tulsa each BTTS - Yes (3.10)

• Charleston v Jacksonville and San Antonio v Colorado Springs each BTTS - No (3.36)

• Detroit v Louisville and Sacramento v Orange County each under 2.5 total goals (2.53)

• Richmond v Westchester and Fort Wayne v Charlotte each over 2.5 total goals (3.51)

• Naples v Knoxville and Sarasota v Madison each under 2.5 total goals (2.71)

Underdog Parlay:

• Knoxville win or tie, Oakland win or tie (2.35)

• Oakland ML, Las Vegas win or tie (4.04)

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USLC Parlay: 11.69

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USL1 Parlay: 6.16

Non-USL Related Bets

Other Soccer:

MLS:

• Seattle ML (1.70)

• New England ML (2.15)

• New England v Charlotte, BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (1.95)

• Atlanta v Montreal BTTS - Yes (1.72)

• Chicago ML (1.72)

• Vancouver ML (2.00)

• San Diego v LAFC BTTS - Yes, LAFC Win or tie (2.05)

• Miami ML, San Jose win or tie, NYCFC win or tie (2.04)

MLS Player Props:

• Timo Werner (SJ) goal or assist (1.80)

• Preston Judd (SJ) ATGS (2.50)

• Luis Suarez (MIA) ATGS (1.90)

• Carles Gil (NE) ATGS (2.75)

• Philip Zinckernagel (CHI) ATGS (2.40)

• Brian White (VAN) goal or assist (1.80)

England/Scotland:

• West Ham win or draw (1.83)

• Wolves v Sunderland BTTS - Yes (1.90)

• Newcastle ML (2.50)

• Arsenal ML (1.45)

• Bournemouth v Crystal Palace BTTS - Yes (1.70)

• Manchester United v Liverpool BTTS - Yes, Manchester United win or tie (1.95)

• Aston Villa v Tottenham

  • Aston Villa ML (2.15)

  • Aston Villa to score first (1.72)

  • Tottenham under 1.5 team goals (1.50)

• Ipswich, Millwall ML parlay (1.69)

• Watford v Coventry BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 goals (1.80)

• Sheffield Wedneday or tie (2.50)

• Southampton ML (1.96)

• Wrexham v Middlesbrough BTTS - Yes, Wrexham win or tie (2.20)

• Bolton v Luton BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (1.80)

• Stevenage, Plymouth ML parlay (2.10)

• Falkirk v Motherwell BTTS - Yes, Motherwell win or tie (2.25)

• Celtic ML, BTTS - Yes (3.00)

• Hearts v Rangers BTTS - Yes, Hearts win or tie (2.30)

• Dunfermline ML (2.10)

• Particlk Thistle ML (1.55)

• Inverness CT, Stenhousemuir ML parlay (2.30)

• Edinburgh v Dumbarton over 2.5 total goals (1.57)

• Spartans FC, East Kilbridge ML parlay (2.39)

Elsewhere:

• Como v Napoli BTTS - Yes (1.90)

• AC Milan ML (1.70)

• Villarreal ML (1.70)

• Valencia ML (1.75)

• Real Sociedad ML (2.87)

• Barcelona, Real Madrid ML parlay (2.93)

• PSG, Monaco ML parlay (1.88)

• Lens ML (1.75)

• Mainz ML (2.55)

• Borussia Dortmund ML (2.55)

• Freiburg v Wolfsburg BTTS - Yes, Wolfsburg win or tie (2.15)

Other Sports:

MLB:

Friday games only

• Brewers, Rays ML parlay (2.70)

• Astros ML (2.05)

• Reds at Pirates over 8 total runs (1.86)

• Dodgers, Braves ML parlay (2.39)

• Angels ML (2.05)

• Athletics ML (1.95)

MLB Player Props:

• Ozzie Albies (ATL) 1+ HR (6.00)

• Oneil Cruz (PGH) 1+ HR (4.75)

• De La Cruz (CIN), Griffin (PGH) each 1+ hit parlau (2.15)

• Acuna Jr (ATL), Moniak (COL) each 1+ hit parlay (1.71)

• MacKenzie Gore (TEX) 6+ strikeouts (1.71)

• Nimmo (TEX), Vierling (DET) each 1+ hit parlay (2.15)

• Judge (NYY) 1+ HR (3.20)

• Trout (LAA), Soto each 1+ HR (13.00)

• Emmet Sheehan (LAD) 6+ strikeouts (2.00)

• Tucker (LAD), Burleson (STL) each 1+ hit (2.10)

NBA:

Friday

• Cavs, Pistons ML parlay (2.42)

• Lakers +3.5 (1.90)

Saturday

• Celtics -7.5 (1.90)

NHL:

• Lightning at Canadiens over 5.5 total goals (1.90)

• Golden Knights ML (1.86)

• Canes ML (1.45)

Formula 1 - Miami Grand Prix

Bets below are picks prior to qualifying and are for Sunday’s Grand Prix only.

• George Russell race win (3.25)

• Charles Leclerc podium finish (1.83)

• Lance Stroll to be classified - no (1.83)

NASCAR - Wurth 400 at Texas Motor Speedway

• Chase Elliott to win H2H v Chase Briscoe (1.86)

• Ty Gibbs to win H2H v Chris Buescher (1.86)

• Chase Elliott top ten finish (1.80)

• Kyle Larson top five finish (2.00)

• Chevy winning manufacturer (2.80)

• Joey Logano top Ford driver (5.00)

• Carson Hocevar top Chevy driver (5.25)

• Carson Hocevar top five finish (3.50)

• Daniel Suarez to win a group of himself, Kyle Busch, Austin Dillon, Noah Gragson (2.55)

• Outright win picks:

  • Kyle Larson 6.50

  • Carson Hocevar 15.00

  • Chase Elliott 19.00

The 152nd running of the Kentucky Derby (2026:

• My horse to win: Commandment 7/1

Final Thoughts

I spoke about it on this week’s USL Show at the end, but take a moment to visit the ‘Save The Caps’ website. The news across North American soccer this week is the developing story of MLS looking to move the Vancouver Whitecaps out of Vancouver. Matthew Doyle also wrote an excellent piece on the situation as well. No city should ever lose their club—I sadly know from experience—and the Whitecaps should stay in Vancouver. Their fans deserve better than how MLS has handled this situation—deleted tweets from a ‘hacked’ Don Garber Twitter account only making things worse. Football clubs are fixtures of a community, and should not be moved at the whims of their billionaire owners. Keep the Whitecaps in Vancouver.

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We take a short break from league play this weekend with the first group stage matchday of the USL Prinx Cup (Jagermeister Cup is gone but never forgotten). With a full slate of 20 matches ahead, we should be in for an exciting day of fixtures with a regional flair and a few cross-league matches of USLC versus USL1 opposition. With this being a separate competition to the league, teams might very well play rotated squads, or we could see more USL1 over USLC upsets, but all of this should make for entertaining options of bets ahead. Let’s dive in to the preview!

Crucial note, group stage USL Prinx Cup matches that are tied at 90’ are then decided by a penalty shootout. The bets picked below are for the 90’ result of the match. In all likelihood, many sportsbooks are going to offer rather limited odds options on the matches of this competition. Additionally, the tiebreaker in group stage is most goals scored, so teams are encouraged to play more attacking—hopefully—in these matches.

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 (unless otherwise listed from another sportsbook) as of Friday, April 24th.

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USLC: Tampa Bay to score first (2.25), Colorado Springs HT/FT Result (2.25), Louisville win to nil (1.83), Phoenix over 0.5 team goals, Phoenix win or tie (1.57), Orange County win or tie, under 2.5 total goals (2.30), Oakland to score first (2.00), Indy Eleven win or tie, BTTS - Yes (2.60), Birmingham to score first, Birmingham win or tie at halftime (1.83)

USL1: Knoxville v Charlotte First half result - Draw (2.20), Boise ML (1.55), Boise v Westchester over 2.5 goals (1.44), Boise ML/Over 2.5 total goals (2.00), NY Cosmos v Madison over 2.5 total goals

Beyond USL: Vancouver -2.5 spread vs Sporting Kansas City (1.72), Vancouver win to nil (1.90), Colorado v Miami over 3.5 total goals (1.90), Hugo Cuypers (CHI) ATGS (2.37), Houston ML (2.55), Seattle ML (1.72), NYCFC v Charlotte BTTS - Yes (1.70), Newcastle v Bournemouth BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.72), Leeds ML (1.60), Everton v Liverpool BTTS - Yes, Manchester City v Arsenal Under 3.5 total goals (2.26), Manchester United win or tie, Over 1.5 total goals (1.95), Nottingham Forest, Aston Villa ML parlay (2.55), Manchester City v Arsenal over 10 total corners (2.10), Southampton ML (1.71), Portsmouth ML (2.20), West Bromwich Albion win or tie, Under 3.5 total goals (1.61), Lincoln win or draw, Cardiff ML (2.20), Clyde FC, East Kilbride ML parlay (1.92), BTTS - Yes (1.61), Knicks, Nuggets, Cavaliers ML parlay (2.57), Wild at Stars over 5.5 goals (1.80), Toyota winning manufacturer (2.00), Kyle Larson top Chevy driver (2.45), Kyle Larson top five finish (1.80), Bubba Wallace top ten finish (2.00), Chris Buescher top ten finish (2.00), Chris Buescher to beat Carson Hocevar (1.80), Spurs -11 spread, Avalanche, Golden Knights ML parlay (2.30)

USL Prinx Cup

NY Cosmos v Brooklyn

3.00 - 3.30 - 2.20

Group 5 of the USL Prinx Cup might be my favorite set of teams, geographically speaking, for this year’s tournament—and this matchup is a reason why. I have long-since believed every borough of New York City and the surrounding states could support a professional soccer team, and this match is bringing that belief into reality. USLC expansion side Brooklyn FC, travel across the Hudson River to New Jersey to play the New York Cosmos. Brooklyn have looked more improved in recent weeks, picking up a 1-1 draw against a solid Sacramento team this midweek, while the Cosmos are unbeaten in their last three games played and still have not been shutout this season.

It may be worth an article in future weeks, but one thing that is starting to develop for me, is that Brooklyn might be a team worth backing at home for their uniquely small pitch, but on the road, is a team to fade. In two road matches already played for Brooklyn, they’ve lost both by a score of 3-0 each time. With the Cosmos unbeaten in their last three games and scoring in each match, coupled with Brooklyn looking more like the team we expected to look this year when they go on the road, I have to take the hosts to get a result in this one.

Bet 1: Cosmos ML (3.30)

Bet 2: Cosmos to score first (2.10)

Loudoun v Charleston

3.10 - 3.25 - 2.15

Well, this is shaping up to be quite the soul searching match for these two clubs. Charleston are licking their wounds from a 4-0 loss to Rhode Island midweek, yet another baffling shutout defeat allowing over multiple goals by the Battery (uncharacteristic of Ben Pirmann teams). Meanwhile for Loudoun, they have started the new era at manager, rather poorly or unlucky, no wins in six played in the league, but they have drawn their last three games played (including one game against Louisville that finished 3-3). To me, this is a Loudoun team who are more so figuring things out under Limbrick that just has not culminated in a win, rather than a bad football club. But how do either of these teams approach this match, each needing a win?

Charleston has yet to be shutout in a visit to Segra Field in seven previous trips dating back to 2019. Furthermore, Loudoun has just one victory over Charleston all-time in 14 total meetings (which also came back in 2019). If there was ever a time to get another win Loudoun, it would be now. But I still have question marks over this Battery team to fully back them to get all three points (but I do expect them to get the result at 90’).

Bet: Charleston win or tie, over 2.5 total goals (2.10)

Richmond v Charlotte

2.20 - 3.30 - 3.00

Well done Richmond, that 2-1 win over Omaha last week was a much-needed result to earn your first USL1 league victory of the year. It even landed Darren Sawatzky coach of the week honors as well. It might very well be a blessing that Richmond’s first Prinx Cup group stage match is against a fellow USL1 opposition in Charlotte Independence (fresh off a 2-1 loss to Knoxville in the league last time out) as a way to test how strong this Kickers team can truly be. For Charlotte, they are looking to avoid three consecutive defeats against USL1 opponents for the first time since November 2025. All of this taken into account, Charlotte does hold the all-time series lead over Richmond in 26 games, having won 13 and draw 8. Richmond has not beaten the Independence in any of their four meetings (dating back to September 2024), and has not won at home against Charlotte since June 2022.

I can really see this match going either way given that history working against Richmond, but Charlotte being equally out of form.

Bet: Richmond to score first (1.80)

Chattanooga v Corpus Christi

2.00 - 3.25 - 3.40

September 2024 was the last time that Eamond Zayed faced off against Chattanooga as his Northern Colorado Hailstorm played out a 0-0 draw. Zayed’s Corpus Christi team lost 2-1 to Sarasota on Wednesday this week, extending their winless run to open their club’s existence. This match against Chattanooga will be their final of this long opening road trip, before they can make their home opener in May. Chattanooga meanwhile have not played a match since April 11th, a 1-0 loss to Fort Wayne. For last season’s USL1 regular season runner-ups, the start to this year has been slow. After a matchday one win over Greenville, an incongruent schedule has seen the team fall out of form with no wins since.

This might be a rather close affair as both teams continue to figure things out as the season begins for both. Over 2.5 goals has hit in each of the last three Corpus Christi matches and in two of the three Chattanooga league games this year.

Bet: Over 2.5 total goals (1.85)

Hartford v Rhode Island

2.35 - 3.25 - 2.80

Another clash of these neighbors in New England, as Hartford plays Rhode Island for the second meeting this season (strangely they’ll have met twice in the Cups before facing each other in the league this year). Last time these two teams met, in the USOC, Rhode Island prevailed 2-0, in a match that kicked off Hartford’s current goalless run of four consecutive games without scoring across all competitions—six hours since Hartford last scored a goal, or nearly enough time to watch all three movies of Sam Raimi’s Spider-Man trilogy. Rhode Island are also off the back of a 4-0 win over Charleston in the league midweek, their largest margin of victory in a match since winning 5-0 in October 2025 against Tampa Bay.

While Hartford are on a major goal-scoring drought and have not won a match in over a month, one thing they may have going for them is in the history of this series, the visiting team has not won a match inside 90’ before (Hartford won a PK shootout in the group stage of the Jagermeister Cup last season as a visiting team). But with Rhode Island off the back of that match midweek, and Hartford having gone cold, I just don’t think I can trust Hartford in this match.

Bet: Rhode Island win or tie, Rhode Island to score first (2.37)

Indy Eleven v Omaha

1.53 - 4.10 - 5.00

So soon after these USLC and USL1 clubs met in the USOC—21 days—we get a repeat matchup of Indy Eleven and Union Omaha. Last time out in the Cup, it was Omaha winning 2-1, outshooting Indy Eleven 18-11 and dominating 70% possession in that match. Since that match however, Indy Eleven has yet to lose picking up two draws and a win in the three games played (each game being BTTS, and two being over 2.5 goals). Omaha last time out lost 2-1 away in the league at Richmond—albeit at a ground we’ve mentioned last week that the Nebraska club struggled at previously. While the result of this match might very well be different to the fixture from the USOC in March, one thing I am certain on is this being another high-scoring game that goes over 2.5 goals. Indy Eleven won their group stage last season in the USL Cup, scoring 8 goals across four matches and scored in each of those four games. I think we see another goals fest in the making for this weekend.

All of that being said, 5.00 odds for a team who inside 90’ last time these two teams met (Omaha) is more than worth a sprinkle (2.25 double chance).

Bet: Omaha win or draw, Over 2.5 goals (4.00)

Lexington v Madison

1.65 - 3.75 - 4.33

This match represents a rare meeting between once USL1 opponents, who now find themselves in different USL leagues, but is the talent level that dramatically different between these two teams? Lexington, for all the hype they had entering the season, has not won any of their last five games played across all competition and has only beaten one other USL club this year, an expansion team in Brooklyn. Madison for me has been a more pleasant surprise start to their season. Defeat to Omaha away and USOC exit to Flint City aside, the team are looking much improved from their poor 2025 campaign. When these two sides met in USL1, it was Madison who prevailed more often, as across their seven total meetings, Lexington only won on a single occasion. One thing Lexington does have going for them in this match is that Madison was unable to win away at this ground in three previous meetings, not even scoring a goal in those matches as well. For a Lexington team that needs a confidence boosting result to end this poor run of form, and a chance to flex their strength, the Kentucky club should be looking for a win in this match.

Bet: Lexington ML (1.65)

Louisville v Fort Wayne

1.38 - 5.00 - 6.25

While it took until the 90’ (and having outshot their opponents 23-2), Louisville did eventually get all three points in a win over Jacksonville (who held on as valiantly as they could) last time out. For their opponents Fort Wayne, this will be the Indiana club’s last road match to open their maiden season, before their home opener on May 2nd. The club scored their first ever win last time out on April 11th, a 1-0 victory vs Chattanooga. Aside from a high-scoring 2-2 draw with Sarasota, three of the four Fort Wayne matches played have all been under 2.5 goals and BTTS - No scorelines. After a grueling road trip, I do not foresee Louisville letting slip this result. What Louisville needs after last season’s Players’ Shield but unsuccessful playoff result, is silverware. For the class of USL, to have not won a Cup since 2018’s league title is an unheard of drought for this dominant organization. I think Louisville starts their Prinx Cup campaign with a win over Fort Wayne, but a Round of 16 Open Cup match away at Houston looms on Wednesday and will undoubtedly have more of Louisville’s focus. Talent should prevail in this one.

Bet: Louisville -1.5 (1.95)

Pittsburgh v Greenville

1.40 -4.20 - 6.25

Maybe it is not so far-fetched that these two longtime USL stalwarts have not run into each other, but tomorrow’s fixture at Highmark Stadium represents the first competitive game between the reigning USLC champions, Pittsburgh Riverhounds, and the Greenville Triumph. Incredibly, Greenville has not played a match since April 4th, a full three weeks ago! In that same span of time, Pittsburgh has played three matches including a USOC exit to NY Red Bulls last week alongside a 2-1 win over Detroit. One has to wonder how rusty Greenville might look in this match having gone so long since their last competitive game played, especially as they prepare to visit one of the toughest grounds as a visiting team. While just two of their seven games to open the season have been under 2.5 total goals for Pittsburgh, I just cannot see Greenville scoring multiple goals in this match (Triumph’s last game was a 1-0 loss away at Naples). Pittsburgh get the result in this one and keep it low-scoring.

Bet: Pittsburgh win or tie, Under 2.5 total goals (2.80)

Westchester v Portland

3.00 - 3.30 - 2.20

As I mentioned above for the NY Cosmos v Brooklyn matchup, Group 5 is my favorite set of teams to open the group stage in the Prinx Cup this season, there is nothing like soccer in the northeast! For these two USL1 neighbors, their two meetings last year gave us a combined nine total goals with Portland winning one and drawing the other game. If history is anything to go off of, we may be in for another fun one tomorrow. That being said, this is a very different Westchester team to the dismal pilot season they had last year that produced those high-scoring 2025 matches—and Portland have opened the season still waiting on their second win of the campaign (having not won since March 14th). While Westchester are clearly eager to forget their 4-0 defeat against Boise last week (and a 5-2 loss against NYCFC in the USOC last week as well), one could easily discount those results to travel for the former, and pure talent difference of MLS to the latter.

That being said, Westchester are on a trend of having high-scoring games against USL1 clubs this year as four of their first six games played in the league were over 2.5 goals (as well as four games being BTTS - Yes). If you can find BTTS - Yes odds, take that wager, but I am having this one to go over 2.5 goals, with this game having a winner in 90’.

Bet: Westchester or Portland to win, over 2.5 total goals (1.90)

Jacksonville v Miami

3.50 - 3.30 - 2.05

For this new Floridian derby, their first meeting back in March was pure chaos. Six goals on nearly 30 total shots, both sides having led the match for at least 30’ apiece, we could be in for a treat tomorrow. What was a confident start for Miami FC to open the year, saw the club lose their first game since March 14th last week in a 3-0 battering by Phoenix. Don’t look now, but Miami have not scored a goal in their last three games, a little over five hours ago—or enough time to watch every animated How To Train Your Dragon movie. Jacksonville meanwhile as mentioned above, nearly escaped Louisville with a proudly fought for draw, only to concede at 90’ to lose their fifth match in a row…and Jacksonville also has not scored a goal in their last three games.

We may be in for pure hilarity between these two teams this weekend that it makes it must watch television. Given these odds, I’m backing Miami to get the win, but each team should contribute to scoring to end their current goalless droughts.

Bet: Miami ML, Over 2.5 total goals (3.00)

Tampa Bay v Sarasota

1.40 - 4.33 - 6.25

The Tampa Bay Rowdies, in Dom Casciato’s first full season in charge, came roaring out of the gates winning their first four games played. These last two matches have seen the club hype have their brakes pumped a little, after back to back draws against Oakland (a match they arguably should’ve won) and a tense 1-1 draw with Charleston last weekend. But the Rowdies are still unbeaten to open the season, and facing a new USL1 expansion team in Sarasota Paradise—who are off the back of a 2-1 win midweek versus Corpus Christi—is an opportunity to rebound in their only Cup competition outside of the league.

Keeping it simple, taking the Rowdies to win this one and finding the opening goal.

Bet: Tampa Bay ML, Tampa Bay to score first (1.57)

Tulsa v Knoxville

1.75 - 3.50 - 3.90

We saw this fixture in last season’s USL Jagermeister Cup and it was Knoxville prevailing on penalties, 2-2 after 90’ over the soon USL Championship runner-ups, Tulsa. It was a match that turned out to showcase the best teams that USLC and USL1 had to offer. This season is a different story. Knoxville very much look like their usual selves, while Tulsa’s 2026 campaign has a step back from last season (just one win in the league in spite of a small USOC run that ended last week). While Tulsa was able to pester the goal of Oakland last week with 20 shots, they settled for a draw with the Roots. Knoxville meanwhile advanced in the USOC on penalties over DC United and then followed up that massive advancement with a win over Charlotte Independence. The Tennessee club has not lost a match across all competitions since March 14th.

With Tulsa in disarray to open the season, and Knoxville carrying the momentum from last season’s USL1 title (and more recently, that USOC advancement over an MLS team), I’m actually backing the USL1 side in this one to get a result. Knoxville were moments away from winning this fixture last season, don’t be surprised if they win it this year.

Bet 1: Knoxville win or draw (1.90)

Bet 2: Knoxville to score first (2.40)

San Antonio v Birmingham

2.10 - 3.25 - 3.00

These past few weeks for Birmingham, to me at least, has been the club slowly starting to come together, and their last three games have been a good showcase of where this team might be headed. Last Sunday, Birmingham was able to save a point against Indy Eleven in a match they had previously let nearly slip away (something 2025 Birmingham would have almost certainly had lost). The Legion are unbeaten in three consecutive games against USL clubs for the first time since October of last year. For San Antonio, what a way to end their goalless drought last week with a surprising 3-2 win over El Paso (coincidentally their highest scoring match as a team since their 5-2 win over El Paso from October 2025). It’s the sort of game where it can get San Antonio back on track, and taking on a Birmingham team they have only lost once to all-time represents a good chance for an encore performance. While San Antonio have been shutout against Birmingham in their last two meetings, home field advantage plays a crucial role in this series as the visiting team has not won a match between these two teams since 2022, and four of these previous matches have gone over 2.5 goals as well. Look for the hosts to get back on track in form with a result in this game.

Bet: San Antonio win or draw, San Antonio to score first (1.95)

New Mexico v AV Alta

1.50 - 4.00 - 5.25

A bad loss followed by an extended period of time until your next match is never a pleasant feeling. For New Mexico, to lose 3-0 against neighboring Phoenix Rising nearly two weeks ago, it’s tough to stomach. For NMU, this season beginning has not gone to plan at times for a team who was in a conference final last season—heavy defeats to both El Paso and Phoenix—and yet they’ve also scored a 1-0 victory over Orange County and a high-scoring result over Colorado Springs, 3-2. Looking across the pitch at their opponents, AV Alta are one of two winless sides remaining in USL1, but it’s not for a lack of trying, AV Alta’s last four games have all been BTTS - Yes (each going over 2.5 goals as well). For a side looking for their first win since October 2025, this season start has been nothing short of frustrating.

But perhaps for both of these teams, the Prinx Cup offers a sort of reprieve, a chance to experiment tactics and try out new ideas. AV Alta were able to get a win in regulation (and another in penalties) over USLC opposition in last year’s edition of this competition. All that being said, New Mexico has let the bad taste of their 3-0 loss to Phoenix sit for far too long, I expect the hosts to come out ready to play and will walk away with all three points in this one.

Bet: New Mexico ML, Over 2.5 total goals (2.20)

Monterey Bay v Oakland

3.40 - 3.25 - 2.05

I feel for Monterey Bay, I really do. The team has not yet made the playoffs in USLC in club history and just seem like each year are struggling on the pitch—and this year is no different. Rock bottom of the USLC Western Conference, no wins in seven games played and the lowest scoring team in the league, it’s not gone well for MBFC to open the year. I’ve spoken previously in the past how much I believe in the Ryan Martin project in Oakland, and they had another match to prove my trust in this team was valid as they beat Las Vegas 4-2 during the midweek, Oakland’s highest scoring match as a club since May 2023 (4-1 win over Birmingham).

I wish I could say differently about Monterey Bay, for the sake of their own fans, but I just can’t see them taking three points from this match. Oakland Roots overrun Monterey Bay for the win.

Bet: Oakland ML (2.05)

Orange County v El Paso

2.37 - 3.25 - 2.70

I almost wish the first meeting of Orange County and El Paso this year, currently first and third in the Western Conference respectively, came in the league (but alas we are left waiting until August for that league match). Until then, these footballing opposites will meet in the Prinx Cup. You have the USLC’s highest scorers in El Paso, taking on the league’s stingiest defense in Orange County. El Paso’s seven games against USLC opposition this year have all gone over 2.5 goals while Orange County has seen only two of their eight games against USLC opponents be BTTS - Yes (and none of their last six games hit that mark). Furthermore, Orange County has not conceded a goal in any of their last three games played, their longest streak of that kind against USL opponents since July 2025. From a tactically perspective, this might be the most fascinating match playing out tomorrow—an unstoppable force meeting an immovable object.

Bet: Draw (3.25)

Phoenix v Colorado Springs

2.15 - 3.25 - 3.00

Honestly, I think we are starting to see Phoenix Rising quietly sneak up the Western Conference table. It was a 3-0 win over Miami last time out for Phoenix, their second consecutive win in the league (also second consecutive 3-0 scoreline win). Phoenix has won two consecutive games by 3 goals or more for the first time since May 2021. For Colorado Springs, what a week last week was! The Switchbacks absolutely battered a bad Sporting Kansas City team in the USOC, and then followed up that performance with another three goal victory margin, in a win over Monterey Bay in the league. Both of these are riding high waves of momentum entering this match that the winner could really see their season start to accelerate from here.

For Colorado Springs, they have a match with MLS’ Colorado Rapids next Wednesday while Phoenix will have a week off after this game. That could very well play a role in determining what lineups might be played for both teams on Saturday. I think for the Switchbacks, they may be more likely to rotate given their date with an MLS club on Wednesday. Given that possibility of squad rotation, I am going to lean on Phoenix to grab the result from this one.

Bet: Phoenix win or tie (1.30)

Sacramento v Spokane

1.72 - 3.50 - 4.20

As I mentioned above, any team visiting Brooklyn this season will be subjected to the smallest pitch in the league, a distinct advantage for Brooklyn, but will cause any visiting team to change how they play for that match. That was the case for Sacramento this midweek as they barely rescued a point away at Brooklyn in the league, 1-1. Back at home, they play host to Spokane Velocity, who are off the back of back-to-back wins in the league, but has not played since April 11th. Spokane’s entire April has been spent west of Colorado in terms of travel, while Sacramento are making the cross country trek back from New York City this week. When these sides met last year in a Jagermeister Cup group stage match, it was Sacramento winning 1-0. Back at home I think is crucial for Republic for this match, as Sacramento has only lost at home once all season (to El Paso), but have otherwise kept games low-scoring here, and I believe that will be the case tomorrow night. Republic prevail with the result, in a low-scoring match, but the angle is on the under.

Bet: Under 2.5 total goals (2.00)

Las Vegas v Boise

No odds as of writing

Upset alert! Boise seem to be hitting their stride in USL1 this early in their club’s tenure, off the back of their first ever home win in club history last week, a 4-0 dominating result over Westchester. Having made waves all offseason with their signings, Boise will be a trendy pick for an upset in this match. Las Vegas meanwhile enter this match second bottom of the USLC Western Conference, with just one win on the board, and having lost 4-2 against Oakland midweek. The Nevada club has not won since March 28th (against Monterey Bay of all teams…), but Las Vegas has yet to be shutout in a game this season much to their credit. Furthermore, Las Vegas has not been shutout at home since July 4th of last year, Cashman Field is one for the entertainment value alone. But I just have a feeling on this Boise team to go into Cashman Field, and walk away with a win in normal time. Definitely over 2.5 goals, but this one going the way of the USL1 team would not surprise me,.

Bet 1: Boise ML

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Louisville, Tampa Bay, New Mexico ML parlay (2.89)

• Oakland, Sacramento ML parlay (3.54)

Goals Scored/To Score First Parlay:

• Pittsburgh v Greenville and Sacramento v Spokane both under 2.5 total goals scored (5.25)

• NY Cosmos v Brooklyn, Louisville v Fort Wayne, Westchester v Portland all over 2.5 total goals scored (3.74)

• Indy Eleven v Omaha and Jacksonville v Miami both over 2.5 total goals scored (2.38)

• Tampa Bay, Oakland, New Mexico, Louisville all to score first (4.63)

• Richmond and Miami to score first (3.10)

Underdog Parlay:

• NY Cosmos DC, Rhode Island DC (2.53)

• Omaha DC, Knoxville DC (4.29)

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USL Prinx Cup Matches After 90’ Parlay (minus Las Vegas v Boise): 63.75 (don’t make this wager, come on now)

Non-USL Related Bets

Other Soccer:

MLS:

• Nashville ML (1.66)

• Toronto ML (1.85)

• Orlando win or draw (1.90)

• Vancouver o2.5 team goals (2.00)

• Seattle, San Diego, San Jose all DC parlay (2.05)

• Kansas City u0.5 team goals (2.25)

• Charlotte u0.5 team goals (2.37)

• Chicago -2.5 spread (2.67)

MLS Player Props:

• Timo Werner (SJ) goal or assist (1.90)

• Hugo Cuypers (CHI) to score two or more goals (4.00)

• Hany Mukhtar (NSH) to assist (3.75)

• Kevin Denkey (CIN) to score (1.83)

• Josh Sargent (TOR) to score (2.10)

• Kelvin Yeboah (MIN) to score or assist (2.00)

England/Scotland:

• Crystal Palace win or draw (2.50)

• West Ham v Everton draw (3.40)

• West Ham v Everton under 2.5 total goals (1.90)

• Wolves win or draw (2.15)

  • Matt Doherty ATGS (15.00), Goal or Assist (7.00)

• Arsenal win to nil (2.50)

• Leeds to advance (2.25)

• Manchester City win to nil (2.00)

• Ipswich ML (2.00)

• Oxford ML (1.42)

• Birmingham v Bristol City BTTS - Yes (1.72)

• Coventry v Wrexham BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.95)

• Stockport, Luton ML (2.01)

• England National League title decider: Rochdale v York City BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (2.00)

• Celtic, Rangers ML parlay (2.06)

• Hibernian v Hearts BTTS - Yes (1.70)

• Hibernian v Hearts Draw (3.30)

• Partick Thistle ML (2.00)

• Queen of the South FC, Inverness CT ML parlay (2.02)

• Forfar, East Kilbride ML parlay (1.83)

Elsewhere:

• Stuttgart, Dortmund ML parlay (2.09)

• Heidenheim v St Pauli BTTS - Yes, Heidenheim win or draw (2.20)

• Barcelona ML, Atletico Madrid win or tie parlay (2.07)

• Osasuna ML (2.05)

• Como ML (1.80)

• AC Milan v Juventus BTTS - Yes (1.70)

• Monaco ML (1.95)

• Paris FC v Lille BTTS - Yes (1.75)

Other Sports:

MLB:

• Orioles ML (1.80)

• Rockies +1.5 spread (1.83)

• Tigers at Reds over 8.5 total runs (1.83)

• Braves ML (1.66)

• White Sox ML (1.80)

• Cubs at Dodgers over 9 total runs (1.90)

• Pirates ML (1.80)

  • Skenes over 6.5 total strikeouts (2.05)

• Pete Alonso (BAL), Ernie Clement (TOR), Mickey Moniak (COL) 1+ hit each (2.94)

• Byron Buxton (MIN), Michael Harris II (ATL), Ozzie Albies (ATL) 1+ hit each (2.63)

• Seiya Suzuki (CHC) and Josh Naylor (SEA) 1+ hit each (2.08)

• Byron Buxton (MIN) 1+ HR (4.50)

• Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 1+ HR (2.75)

• Brandon Nimmo (ATH) 1+ HR (5.75)

NBA:

Friday:

• Rockets, Celtics ML parlay (1.72)

• Spurs ML (1.83)

Saturday:

• Magic +2.5 spread (1.90)

• Hawks ML (2.10)

Sunday:

• Cavaliers ML (1.62)

NHL:

Friday:

• Golden Knights ML (1.90)

• Lightning v Canadiens over 6 total goals (1.95)

Saturday:

• Hurricanes ML (1.80)

• Penguins ML (2.00)

NASCAR Jack Link’s 500 at Talladega Superspeedway:

This superspeedway is incredibly volatile and prone to a lot of wrecks, which can throw a wrench into any driver’s day. Be warned of that possibility when betting on this race.

• Chase Briscoe top ten finish (2.25)

• Todd Gilliland top ten finish (3.00)

• Bubba Wallace top five finish (3.50)

• Chevrolet winning manufacturer (2.45)

• Christopher Bell to beat Kyle Busch h2h (2.00)

• Chase Briscoe to beat Carson Hocevar h2h (2.00)

• Joey Logano to beat Brad Keselowski h2h (1.80)

• William Byron top Chevy driver (6.50)

• Joey Logano top Ford driver (4.50)

• Todd Gilliland to win a group of himself, Ross Chastain, Josh Berry and Austin Dillon (3.25)

• Race Win Options:

  • Bubba Wallace: 15.00

  • Chase Briscoe: 21.00

  • Either Wallace or Briscoe to win: 9.00

Final Thoughts

Some Around the USL Content shout outs from this week: Alex Ashton’s article on the newcomers to USL1 making headlines, John Morrissey with a status update on the current USL Championship CBA negotiations, and Nicholas Murray’s preview of the USL Prinx Cup weekend ahead as well!

Daredevil: Born Again season two is already nearing its conclusion with just two episodes to go, but this week’s episode was quite the development in what has been a fascinating season to watch.

Having finally made it to YouTube, Jon Bois from Secret Base released the first episode in his series on the “The History to Charging the Mound in MLB”. It was a very funny episode that I look forward to seeing more of the series throughout the summer.

Subscribe now

Follow me on Bluesky @ilm-ryan.bsky.social and follow the USL Show, @theUSLshow.bsky.social.

After a fun midweek of US Open Cup matches—well done to Colorado Springs, Louisville and One Knoxville on your wins over MLS opposition—we are back to league play for USLC and USL1 this weekend. Catch up on John Morrissey’s US Open Cup recap on Backheeled, here! In what is a bit of a lighter schedule for both leagues this week, it allows us more time to focus on each match and hopefully, walk away with some profitable wagers for the weekend. Best of luck to your bets ahead!

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, April 17.

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USL: Orange County win or tie, Under 3.5 total goals (2.50), Orange County to score first (2.60), Sacramento win or tie, Under 2.5 goals (1.95), Omaha to score first, Omaha ML (1.95), Portland v Knoxville Draw (3.30), Naples to score first, Naples ML and Naples v Sarasota Under 2.5 goals, Spokane ML (1.60), Boise win or tie and Over 2.5 total goals

Parlays: Detroit v Jacksonville and Brooklyn v Charleston each BTTS - No (3.30), El Paso win or tie, Orange County win or tie, Miami win or tie parlay (5.95)

Beyond USL: Brentford v Everton BTTS - Yes, Brentford win or draw (2.15), Brighton ML (1.70), Southampton ML (1.71), Hearts v Motherwell BTTS - Yes (1.70), Partick Thistle ML (1.90), Bayern Munich win to nil v St Pauli (2.37), Frankfurt win or tie, BTTS - Yes (2.05), Cardinals ML (2.20), Lakers +2.5 spread, San Jose ML (1.80), Colorado v Houston BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.95), Brian White (VAN) ATGS 2.10, Preston Judd (SJ) score or assist 1.72, Sunderland ML (2.70), Sunderland first team to score (2.00), Tottenham to score in first - No (1.66), Ty Gibbs top ten finish (1.52), Ryan Blaney top three finish (2.80), Kyle Larson top Chevy (1.83), Toyota Winning Manufacturer (2.15), Joe Gibbs Racing winning team (2.35), Austin Cindric to beat Ross Chastain H2H (2.00), Carson Hocevar top ten finish (2.10)

USL Championship

Charleston v Tampa Bay

1.95 - 3.40 - 3.40

My pick for the USL Championship game of the week, but it’s both teams coming off of results that either is baffling to see, or a match where they should have gotten more. Let’s start with the former, Charleston’s 3-0 defeat to expansion side Brooklyn was surprising—especially with the Battery off the back of a win over Louisville. While Charleston absolutely controlled possession all night (71%), the Battery could not escape having their worst loss in a match where they failed to score since June 2023 (when Indy Eleven won 4-0). On to the latter, Tampa Bay had led on two occasions against Oakland last week, including the 2-1 lead at halftime (where the Rowdies have still yet to trail this season at the break), but an early second half goal conceded and no further breakthrough saw them share the points in a draw to end their winning streak.

For the hosts, this feels like a match they need to win to get back into the conversation for the top of the conference. While the season can’t be won in April, falling behind early creates an unnecessary hole for teams and Charleston are already four points back of Tampa Bay (and Louisville) for top of the conference—and can be further behind without a win this weekend. For Tampa Bay, this match is a chance to get their first win away at Charleston since October 2021, or just before No Time to Die (2021) had hit theaters. Nine of the last ten games in this series have gone over 2.5 total goals and nine of those ten games were BTTS - Yes as well. But, there has only been one draw in those ten previous meetings. I could really see either team winning this one (these odds are intriguing for Tampa Bay ML), but I am only certain on this match to have its share of goals in it. Should be a fun fixture.

Bet 1: Charleston or Tampa Bay to win, BTTS - Yes (2.30)

Bet 2: Tampa Bay to score first (2.25)

Colorado Springs v Monterey Bay

1.50 - 3.90 - 5.00

For a team who had not won a match in any competition since March 17th, Colorado Springs picked up not only a confidence boosting win, but a massive Cupset (is Sporting Kansas City the worst MLS team…?) in the Open Cup this midweek, 3-0 in dominating fashion. We have seen with many teams how an Open Cup win can just propel a team through the season on momentum alone and I believe this will be the case for the Switchbacks as they take on the lone team left in the West without a win, Monterey Bay. It was a 3-1 loss for Monterey Bay last week against Indy Eleven, as the California team still has not scored multiple goals in a match since August 2025.

Looking at this match, the series has been more even than expected across their 12 meetings all-time, Colorado Springs leading 7-5 (no draws). Monterey Bay has not yet won a match in Colorado Springs and this exact fixture back in September 2025 (a 2-1 Switchbacks home win) was the first time MBFC had even scored at this ground. Furthermore, MBFC is the only team in USLC who have yet to score the opening goal of a match this season. Strangely, neither team has yet to be leading at halftime of a game this season—and Colorado Springs’ first five games each saw them tied at halftime. But the Switchbacks, off the back of a massive win in the Cup I think use that momentum to get another win this weekend, and let’s pick them to finally get a first half win as well.

Bet: Colorado Springs HT/FT Result (2.25)

Louisville v Jacksonville

1.16 - 6.25 - 13.00

Will this be the most lopsided fixture of USLC this season? Louisville, off the back of their own USOC advancement over MLS’ Austin FC, has been the premier USL club since their inception. Sporting Jacksonville is a new expansion team boasting the most goals conceded to start the season, is without a win and entering one of the toughest grounds to visit for much weaker opponents compared to Louisville. Jacksonville has not scored a goal in 209’—or nearly enough time to watch both Zootopia movies.

While Louisville has not won any of their previous two league matches (and has not gone three matches in the league without a win since October 2023), I just cannot see them losing this match, or Jacksonville gaining much of a foothold in this game. Multiple wagers on offer for this one.

Bet 1: Louisville win to nil (1.83)

Bet 2: Louisville -2.5 spread (2.35)

Though Louisville -3.5 (3.90) or even -4 (6.80) is tempting.

Hartford v Loudoun

1.83 - 3.40 - 3.70

That last match was a result reminiscent of the Hartford Athletic of old, losing 4-0 at home to El Paso (albeit a very good El Paso team). It was Hartford’s largest loss since April 2024 (losing 6-0 away at Louisville) and their largest defeat at home since August 10, 2019 (losing 5-1 to New York Red Bulls II, in a match that featured current Hartford captain Jordan Scarlett playing for NYRB II). It’s to say that result was something a long ways from the Hartford team we have today.

Loudoun meanwhile had another match that went BTTS - Yes last week, as it was a high-scoring 3-3 affair with Louisville. While it was the fourth Loudoun match from five played that saw both sides scoring, the Virginia club are still searching for their first win of the season. While the Limbrick era for Loudoun could be classified as frustrating if you are a fan of the club, it has been profitable for finding goals.

On this match, Hartford historically has held the all-time series lead (12 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses for the hosts), but the last four meetings of these sides have seen Loudoun win on three occasions—and each of those four games were BTTS - No. But quietly, Hartford have now gone two consecutive games without scoring for the first time since their playoff exit last season, and three of their six games played this season Hartford have failed to score. This match seems rife for Loudoun to take advantage of an out of form Hartford team that I could see the visitors finding the opening goal to really put the pressure on the hosts. But I think Hartford do score, as the side has not gone three games in a row without a goal in the league since July 2024.

Bet 1: Loudoun to score first (2.37)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes (1.66)

Miami v Phoenix

2.45 - 3.20 - 2.55

Are The Miami FC…competent this year, maybe even good? Miami are riding a five match unbeaten run (two wins and three draws) entering this match—it’s Miami’s longest unbeaten run since October 2022 when they went eight games unbeaten. It’s brought the Floridian club to 6th in the East. Phoenix put up a really good fight against San Jose in the USOC midweek, only to lose 2-0 despite out-shooting the MLS side—San Jose manager Bruce Arena was quite complimentary of USL in his post-game thoughts after the win over Phoenix. In the league last time out, Phoenix had a dominant 3-0 win over New Mexico. We are setting up a fun one at Pitbull Stadium tomorrow, who would’ve guessed that a month ago?

The home team has won each match of this series all-time, but each of these teams are one of the lowest conversion rates in terms of scoring first so that angle is one that will be a coin toss. Miami are also off the back of two consecutive nil-nil scorelines (in fact all three draws during this unbeaten run have been goalless scores). I just have a feeling with this Phoenix team that they get a result from this one and at least grab one goal as well.

Bet: Phoenix over 0.5 team goals, Phoenix win or tie (1.57)

Pittsburgh v Detroit

2.30 - 3.00 - 3.10

If there has ever been a series that represents the ‘Under’ most, it’s this one. All eleven meetings of these two teams have seen the series go under 2.5 goals each time, and there have been six draws as well. Only once has Detroit entered Highmark Stadium and left with a win, during the 2023 USL playoffs. While Pittsburgh’s title defense campaign has been a bumpy beginning, Detroit has been much more defensively stout to open their season with four clean sheets in their first five games. Detroit has been one of the most reliable teams to find the opening goal of a match but only once have they ever scored first at Highmark Stadium (the aforementioned 2023 win).

Surely we have to follow the trend once more and take this game to be under 2.5 goals again. If I had to pick a result, I’m taking this one to be yet another draw in the chapter of Pittsburgh-Detroit.

Bet: Under 2.5 goals, Draw (3.50)

El Paso v San Antonio

2.10 - 2.80 - 3.30

Even in spite of their USOC exit midweek against Houston, there has been no hotter team in USLC right now than El Paso Locomotive. With two games in hand over Orange County, El Paso is one point off the lead of the West and is one of two unbeaten teams left in the league (alongside Tampa Bay). Locomotive have been playing matches in style for the neutrals to enjoy, four of their last five have been BTTS - Yes, averaging 3.80 total goals a game for El Paso matches, and El Paso has yet to be trailing at halftime this season. Sam Antonio meanwhile has gone cold, winless and goalless in their last three games—over four hours since their last goal scored or enough time to watch Casino Royale (2006) and Skyfall (2012).

While El Paso has not beaten San Antonio since June 2025, and has not beaten them at home since August 2021, I am backing the red hot Locomotive to continue their good form and get a win this weekend. However, the angle is whether you think San Antonio can contribute with their own goals, in spite of their recent form, SAFC has only been shutout by El Paso once in their previous ten meetings.

Bet: El Paso ML, Over 1.5 total goals (2.87)

Oakland v Tulsa

2.60 - 3.20 - 2.50

Well, maybe I need to pump the brakes on the Oakland hype just a bit as their winless run has now reached a third game in a row (though credit to Ryan Martin’s team for grabbing a point in a draw away at Tampa Bay). With no midweek match, the Roots will be well-rested at home and ready to face the defending USL Runner-Ups FC Tulsa, who exited the USOC to St Louis City midweek, 4-0. Tulsa has begun the year more inconsistently, just one win in their first five games, and it was a concern for Luke Spencer’s team that we spoke about this week on the USL Show. This could very well be a match that both teams could see setting the tone for their next few months of play if the result goes their way.

Weirdly, each of Tulsa’s first five games of the season have been tied at halftime, while Oakland has only been trailing at the break once all season. I like Oakland to get back on track this week as I still feel Tulsa are figuring some things out tactically before I can fully trust them again. But let’s offer a few possibilities this week on this match at the Coliseum.

Bet 1: Draw at halftime (2.10)

Bet 2: Oakland to score first (2.00)

Bet 3: Oakland ML (2.60)

Parlay all three: 7.50

Orange County v Lexington

2.40 - 3.30 - 2.62

Admittedly, I thought preseason that these clubs would be at each other’s place in the table by now. Orange County has opened the year where everyone thought Lexington might be preseason, first in the West, meanwhile Lexington have had a less than ideal start to the campaign finding themselves second bottom of the conference. Lexington, aside from their 3-0 win over Brooklyn, has no other wins on the schedule and no other game in which they have scored multiple goals. Not to mention Lexington’s struggles away from home have been well-documented already as their last five road games dating back to last season have all been defeats.

One stat standing out to me for this match is that both of these teams are likely to be involved in tight, low-scoring affairs. Orange County has yet to play a match over 2.5 goals this season, the only team in the league to have that mark (averaging just 1.43 total goals a game). Orange County’s last five games played have been BTTS - No as well, as Orange County has not conceded a goal in nearly four hours of play—or enough time to watch the first two Ant-Man movies (238’). I think we see a similarly low-scoring match that sees the hosts get the result.

Bet: Orange County win or tie, under 2.5 total goals (2.30)

Birmingham v Indy Eleven

2.10 - 3.40 - 3.10

We close out the weekend with Birmingham playing their last Sunday match until July, when they play host to Indy Eleven. Legion ended last week for USLC with a 1-0 victory over Pittsburgh, for the first win of the Jay Heaps era for the club, and their first shutout home victory since June of last year. Heaps will be hoping to oversee Birmingham’s first back-to-back wins since June 2024 this week as they face an Indy Eleven team the Legion have not beaten in any of their six previous meetings dating back to 2023. Indy Eleven put together a 3-1 win over Monterey Bay last week and have quietly gone unbeaten in their last four games since their opening week loss to Brooklyn—it’s Indy Eleven’s longest unbeaten run in the league since October 2024.

Looking at this match, Birmingham continued a streak last week of having not trailed at halftime this season, and have scored the opening goal for the third game in a row. But, 80% of Indy Eleven’s games this year have been BTTS and the games they have been involved in have been averaging 2.80 total goals in them. I think we could very well see the Legion scoring first in this match, but ultimately dropping the result to Indy Eleven in the end. But, perhaps we continue to back Birmingham leading at halftime.

Bet 1: Indy Eleven win or tie, BTTS - Yes (2.60)

Bet 2: Birmingham to score first, Birmingham win or tie at halftime (1.83)

USL1

Richmond v Omaha

3.50 - 3.60 - 1.80

Two teams suffering the losing end of Open Cup exits without scoring a goal against MLS opposition this midweek. However, the league form of both of these teams are complete opposites—Omaha already towards the top of the table looking as strong as ever, and Richmond at the other end rock bottom of the league. The Kickers have not started a season without a win in their first five games played since joining USL1. As questions are asked over Richmond manager Darren Sawatzky, having to face an in-form talented Omaha team is just not what you want to see as a Kickers fan.

That being said, strangely, Omaha has not yet won a match away at City Stadium in the 14 game history of this series (five wins apiece and four draws for an even series record). Omaha has not even scored at this ground since May 2022 (or when Doctor Strange and the Multiverse of Madness (2022) was in theaters). Omaha has yet to trail at halftime of a match this season and Richmond yet to be leading at halftime. I think this match is a great opportunity for the Nebraska club to get their first win at this ground, ever. I’m not sure how much the Kickers will be ready for this game as well given the run of form both teams are on.

Bet: Omaha HT-FT result (2.87)

Knoxville v Charlotte

1.90 - 3.40 - 3.30

Well done Knoxville on their advancement in the USOC past MLS club DC United-twice coming from behind to tie (and even at one point lead) the match. Knoxville has done USL1 proud with this result and will look to make it eight games unbeaten across all competitions this weekend against Charlotte Independence. The Independence were at the rough end of a 6-0 defeat to their city’s MLS club (a red card having impacted the match significantly), and will be looking to avoid three losses in a row across all competitions for the first time since November 2025.

In nine total meetings between these neighbors, Knoxville has only lost to Charlotte once (May 2025) and is unbeaten at home against the Independence too. In four of their six games played this year, Knoxville has been tied at halftime (the previous four games played). While Charlotte have been involved in some high-scoring games on average this year (3.67 total goals per contest), Knoxville has comparatively been involved in games averaging just 2.00 total goals. If Knoxville get a result, I think it will be through controlling the match and keeping it low-scoring. That being said, in six previous trips to Knoxville, the Independence have scored away in this city on four occasions. Knoxville gets the result, but the question remains on if Charlotte gets involved in this game.

Bet 1: Knoxville win or tie, under 2.5 total goals (2.20)

Bet 2: First half result - Draw (2.20)

Boise v Westchester

1.55 - 4.00 - 4.50

Closing out Saturday evening with Westchester making the cross-country trip to Boise for a first ever meeting between these teams. Westchester midweek kept it close with NYCFC in the Open Cup for the first 22’ of the match in front of a packed Mount Vernon Stadium, only for the MLS team to pour on the goals and win 5-2. I will give credit to Westchester this season, they look night and day different compared to the Westchester team of last year that was rooted to the foot of the league table all campaign.

That being said, I am still quite high on Nate Miller’s AC Boise team and I think the midweek off and the long trek Westchester has to make for this match, bodes well for the hosts looking for their first home win in club history. Having scored in each of their four previous games played (and the last three Boise games being BTTS), I could see us on track for a thrilling shootout of a match as Westchester has scored in each of their five games played as well. If you can get odds on this game BTTS - Yes, I’d take them (betMGM offers it), but a few possible wagers for you. I am ultimately taking the hosts to get the win here.

Bet 1: Boise ML (1.55)

Bet 2: BTTS - Yes

Bet 3: Over 2.5 total goals (1.44)

Parlay bets 1 and 3: 2.00

NY Cosmos v Madison

No odds as of writing

Sunday gets us started with a matinee kickoff between the team riding a two-match winning streak in the New York Cosmos, and visitors Forward Madison. For the Cosmos, it’s been two weeks since their last league match, a 3-2 win over Charlotte. Meanwhile for Madison, their unbeaten start to the season reached an end with a 1-0 defeat against Omaha last Saturday. As Madison’s long road trip to open the season continues, the Cosmos will be looking to take advantage of their time off (and their opponents’ travel fatigue) in this match. Looking at the season trends thus far, the Cosmos have still yet to be shutout in a game this season as four of their five games played have also gone over 2.5 goals. Madison is a different story as the club have still yet to trail at halftime of a match this season, but have been involved in more low-scoring games thus far (2/3 games under 2.5 goals this season).

The opening goal of this match will be crucial, as the Cosmos have scored first in each of their last two games played, versus Madison having scored first in only one of their previous three games. I’m siding with the Cosmos on this one as I believe the time off will be to their benefit and simply having more matches played than their opponents is vital game time experience for a new expansion team.

Bet 1: NY Cosmos to score first

Bet 2: Over 2.5 total goals

Portland v Naples

No odds as of writing

To start, I want to send my thoughts with Portland Hearts of Pine midfielder, Masashi Wada, who had a scary injury last week. Wishing him a healthy and speedy recovery. Portland would go on to draw 0-0 in that match with Knoxville last week and had the midweek off. Naples meanwhile made it back-to-back win to nil results in the league last week with a 2-0 win over in-state foes Sarasota, but could not make it two wins in a row over in-state opponents as Naples lost in the USOC to Orlando.

In their three meetings last year, Portland would end up winning two (both home games) and drawing the other, so Hearts of Pine has matched up favorably against Naples in the past. That being said, this Naples team are atop USL1 at the moment having started the year strongly—having scored the opening goal in all but one of their six games and all but one of their six games has been BTTS - No results too. If this match is low-scoring, Naples is taking the result. That being said, Portland playing at home, in front of a packed Fitzpatrick Stadium still eager to see Hearts of Pine’s first home goal this season might will the hosts to get something out of this match. I could very well see Portland repeating last year’s success at home against Naples tomorrow.

Bet: Naples to score first, Portland win or tie

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Omaha, Knoxville, Boise ML (5.32)

• Louisville, Colorado Springs, El Paso ML (3.67)

BTTS/Goals Parlay:

• Knoxville v Charlotte under 2.5 goals, Boise v Westchester over 2.5 goals (2.67)

• Charleston v Tampa Bay, Louisville v Jacksonville, Colorado Springs v Monterey Bay all over 2.5 goals (4.29)

• Pittsburgh v Detroit and Orange County v Lexington each under 2.5 goals (2.62)

• Charleston v Tampa Bay, Hartford v Loudoun, Birmingham v Indy Eleven all BTTS - Yes (4.79)

Underdog Parlay:

• Phoenix win or tie, Indy Eleven win or tie (2.40)

• Pittsburgh v Detroit draw, Oakland ML (7.80)

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USLC Parlay: 10.02

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USL1 Parlay (Saturday only): 1.78

Non-USL Related Bets

Other Soccer:

MLS:

• Vancouver -2.5 spread vs Sporting Kansas City (1.72)

• Vancouver win to nil (1.90)

• NY Red Bulls win or tie, BTTS - Yes (2.10)

• Colorado v Miami over 3.5 total goals (1.90)

• Nasheville ML (2.15)

• Chicago ML (2.60)

• NYCFC v Charlotte Draw (3.75)

• NYCFC v Charlotte BTTS - Yes (1.70)

• Dallas v LA Galaxy, Minnesota v Portland each BTTS - Yes (2.35)

• Houston ML (2.55)

• Seattle ML (1.72)

• LAFC ML, Over 2.5 total goals (2.00)

MLS Player Props:

• Brian White (VAN) to score 2 or more goals (3.20)

• Emil Forsberg (NY) score or assist (1.95)

• Warren Madrigal (NSH) 1+ shot on target (1.72)

• Sam Surridge (NSH) ATGS (1.90)

• Hugo Cuypers (CHI) ATGS (2.37)

• Son Heung-Min (LAFC) to assist (2.75)

• Timo Werner (SJ) goal or assist (2.20)

England/Scotland:

• Brentford win or tie, BTTS - Yes (2.05)

• Newcastle v Bournemouth BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.72)

• Leeds ML (1.60)

• Manchester United win or tie, Over 1.5 total goals (1.95)

• Nottingham Forest, Aston Villa ML parlay (2.55)

• Everton v Liverpool BTTS - Yes, Manchester City v Arsenal Under 3.5 total goals (2.26)

• Haaland and Semenyo (MCI) each over 0.5 shots on target (2.00)

• Manchester City v Arsenal over 10 total corners (2.10)

• Southampton ML (1.71)

• Millwall, Charlton ML parlay (2.81)

• Ipswich v Middlesbrough BTTS - Yes (1.61)

• Wrexham v Stoke BTTS - Yes (1.72)

• Portsmouth ML (2.20)

• West Bromwich Albion win or tie, Under 3.5 total goals (1.61)

• Lincoln win or draw, Cardiff ML (2.20)

• Celtic, Falkirk ML Scottish Cup parlay (2.20)

• Partick Thistle, Inverness CT ML parlay (1.98)

• Stenhousemuir ML (2.00)

• Clyde FC, East Kilbride ML parlay (1.92)

Tottenham Hotspur v Brighton:

• Brighton ML (2.35)

• Brighton to score first (1.83)

• BTTS - Yes (1.61)

• Danny Welbeck (BHA) ATGS (2.60)

Elsewhere:

• Napoli, AC Milan, Juventus ML parlay (3.53)

• Genoa ML (2.35)

• Dortmund win or tie, BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (2.60)

• Union Berlin ML (2.15)

• Stuttgart, Bayern Munich ML (2.33)

• Atletico Madrid ML in Copa del Rey final (1.76)

• Lille, Monaco ML parlay (2.30)

• PSG ML, Dembele ATGS (1.95)

Other Sports:

MLB:

Friday only

• Nationals +1.5 spread vs Giants (1.76)

• Rays ML at Pirates (2.05)

• Royals at Yankees over 8 total runs (1.95)

• Tigers ML at Red Sox (2.05)

• Dodgers at Rockies over 9.5 total runs (2.00)

  • Shohei Ohtani 1+ HR (3.05)

• Mariners, Diamondbacks ML parlay (3.07)

NBA:

Friday play-in

• Hornets -3.5 spread

  • Ball 20+ points, Hornets ML (3.50)

  • Miller (CHA) 3+ threes made and White (CHA) 2+ threes made

  • White (CHA) over 13.5 total points

• Warriors +3.5 spread

Saturday

• Knicks, Nuggets, Cavaliers ML parlay (2.57)

Sunday

• Spurs -11 spread

NHL:

Saturday

• Hurricanes, Penguins ML parlay (2.77)

• Wild at Stars over 5.5 goals (1.80)

Sunday:

• Avalanche, Golden Knights ML parlay (2.30)

NASCAR - AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway

Of note, this track has been my favorite in NASCAR since the move to this current next gen car, so this race should be a fun one to watch on Sunday.

• Toyota winning manufacturer (2.00)

• Joe Gibbs Racing team of race winner (2.35)

• Ryan Blaney top Ford driver (1.83)

• Kyle Larson top Chevy driver (2.45)

• Kyle Larson top five finish (1.80)

• Denny Hamlin top three finish (2.70)

• Bubba Wallace top ten finish (2.00)

• Chris Buescher top ten finish (2.00)

• Head-to-Head picks:

  • Chris Buescher to beat Carson Hocevar (1.80)

  • Chase Briscoe to beat Tyler Reddick (1.86)

  • Ty Gibbs to beat William Byron (1.86)

• Either to win the race: Christopher Bell or Denny Hamlin (3.40)

Final Thoughts

I was able to eclipse over 150 total miles run in 2026 this past week (and ran a 7’20” mile this week as well). I am currently on pace to run more miles this year than I ran in 2025 and have slowly been lowering my average mile time these past few weeks.

In adding to the movies I am excited for this year, we got our first look at Godzilla Minus Zero (2026) this week in a newly released teaser!

Channeling all of my energy to get my Charlotte Hornets into the playoffs tonight! It’s been a long road for the franchise and a win tonight could see the team in the postseason for the first time in a decade. This season has been a lot of fun to watch and a playoff series against Detroit in the first round would be wildly entertaining. Come on Hornets!

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April rolls on as we continue forward with the USL Championship and USL1 seasons. We are already starting to see trends develop as a teams’ form starts to play a role in these early days of the season. With enough games played for numerous teams across the league, we can start to find recurring patterns that we can use to our betting advantage. By the end of this month, I think we will have our “reliable” wagers sorted for the rest of the year.

As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.

All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, April 10.

Previous Week Recap:

Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:

USLC: Rhode Island v Detroit Draw (3.10), Birmingham win or draw first half, Birmingham win or draw match (2.00), Indy Eleven v Pittsburgh BTTS - Yes (1.83), El Paso-El Paso HT/FT Result (2.62), El Paso to score in both halves (2.62), Monterey Bay u0.5 team goals (2.62), Sacramento win or tie, under 2.5 total goals (3.75)

USL1: Naples win or tie, Naples to score first (2.05), Omaha ML (2.00)

Parlays: Westchester v Corpus Christi and NY Cosmos v Charlotte each over 2.5 goals (3.02)

Beyond USL: Motherwell v Falkirk BTTS - Yes (1.80), Bayern Munich, RB Leipzig ML (2.71), Forge FC ML (2.10), St Johnstone ML (1.70), Partick Thistle ML (2.10), Clyde ML, Spartans ML, East Kilbride win or tie (2.78), Fiorentina ML (1.90), Inter Milan v Roma BTTS/over 2.5 goals (2.37), Braves ML (1.86), LAFC, Real Salt Lake, Vancouver ML parlay (2.58), Charlotte ML (2.10), Atlanta v Columbus, Toronto v Colorado each BTTS - Yes (2.53), Michigan, UConn ML parlay (3.85), UConn ML first half (2.05), Michigan v Arizona over 157.5 points (1.90), Canes, Penguins ML parlay (2.09)

USL Championship

Loudoun v Louisville

5.25 - 3.80 - 1.50

For Louisville, last week likely was just an unfortunate result from being FM’ed against Charleston, it happens (American Soccer Analysis had them leading xG 1.61-0.46, in spite of the 2-0 defeat). But for Louisville, they are never a club to stay down for long—they’ve not lost back-to-back matches since July 2023, which is also the last time they’ve shutout in back-to-back games. You can always count on this team to bounce back.

Loudoun meanwhile has seen more of a challenge to start the Anthony Limbrick era. Still searching for their first win, Loudoun has not gone the first five games of the season without a win in club history (not even when they were the DC United B-team). But this Loudoun team did beat Louisville early in the Jagermeister Cup group stage last year, and they have avoided being shutout by Louisville in each of the last three meetings.

But I am more so counting on Louisville to rebound with a better performance in this match, but I could see Loudoun taking a goal for themselves.

Bet: Louisville ML, BTTS - Yes (3.40)

Detroit v Jacksonville

1.50 - 3.70 - 5.50

Detroit will be happy to be back around friendlier surroundings at Keyworth Stadium this week, where DCFC has yet to concede a goal at this season in league play. Detroit’s three clean sheets (two of which have come at home) is the most in the East thus far—the Michigan club enters this game against Jacksonville having not allowed a goal in 208’, or nearly enough time to watch Whiplash (2014) twice.

This is a tough ground for any team to enter, but for a Jacksonville team looking for their first win in their inaugural season, it’s near an impossible task. But to Jacksonville’s credit, they were minutes away from a point against Tampa Bay last week, and they have scored as many goals as Detroit have this season (5). But allowing a league leading 12 goals conceded on the year of course will play their way out of matches very quickly. American Soccer Analysis has Sporting Jax with the most xG allowed on the season thus far by a fair margin (11.80 through five games). Detroit should win this game, but how many goals can this DCFC team generate? Aside from their 3-0 win over Brooklyn on opening day, the Michigan side has yet to score multiple goals in a league match this season. However, I just can’t find any faith in this porous Jacksonville defense still looking for their first clean sheet.

Bet: Detroit ML, Detroit over 1.5 team goals (1.83)

Brooklyn v Charleston

4.50 - 3.50 - 1.61

While they were out-shot 10-3 away at Louisville last week, Charleston getting the 2-0 victory —the Battery’s first ever win away at that ground (and the first time Louisville conceded multiple goals in a shutout defeat at home since November 2024)—has to be a confidence boosting result for Ben Pirmann’s squad. The Battery will be eager to carry on this result against a struggling Brooklyn team tomorrow. Brooklyn have lost four games in a row, getting outscored 1-9 in that time (only three teams have conceded more goals in the league this year than Brooklyn). Brooklyn has not been leading at halftime of a match in any of these last four played, and only one of these last four defeats has Brooklyn avoided being shutout (their 20% BTTS - Yes hit rate in matches is lowest in the East).

As Brooklyn seem like a club in disarray, I have Charleston winning this one in a shutout. I hesitate to pick this one for multiple goals as only one of the previous three games played at Maimonides Park have gone over 2.5 goals (even Louisville struggled here last week with just a 1-0 victory). Charleston winning is what I am confident in however. But do you think Brooklyn is involved in the scoring?

Bet 1: Charleston win to nil (2.75)

Bet 2: Charleston HT/FT Result (2.50)

Hartford v El Paso

2.10 - 3.20 - 3.00

Is El Paso a new hype train on the year? Locomotive have won three matches in a row in the league and have victories in their last five games played across all competitions. The Texas club has not won four consecutive games in the league since June 2023, but having scored multiple goals in each of their matches played (across all competitions) is one hell of a way to open the season. Hartford meanwhile has had a bit of a wobble if we’re being honest. It was a rescued draw against Indy Eleven two weeks ago, exiting the USOC to rivals Rhode Island, and then followed all of that up with a 0-0 draw versus Miami in a match that likely could’ve been an email…

But of the seven competitive matches Hartford have played to open the season, six of them have been on the road, so perhaps the travel is just wearing on the Connecticut team and being around familiar surroundings will do the side some benefit. Both of these teams have yet to trail at halftime of a match this season, so we could be in for a fun one at Trinity Health Stadium tomorrow night. El Paso’s 3.75 total goals per game on average is a league leading mark currently, with 75% of Locomotive games ending in BTTS scorelines (although that figure is just 40% for Hartford). Of the two teams getting a win, I think I side more with El Paso (especially worth a chance on these odds), but being back at home for Hartford might give them some more encouragement for this match.

Bet: BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 goals (2.20)

Indy Eleven v Monterey Bay

1.83 - 3.20 - 3.75

I really want this Monterey Bay team to figure things out. For a club still searching for their first playoff appearance in their history, it’s just never come together. While a 0-0 draw against San Antonio last week was a surprising result, in their first clean sheet of the season, Monterey Bay scoring just one goal on the year is extremely unlucky. And with another road match this weekend—MBFC had just one victory away from home all season, over a year ago in March 2025—this does not seem like a favorable fixture.

Indy Eleven has picked up back-to-back draws in the league for the first time since May 2025, with last week’s 1-1 outing with Pittsburgh seeing all three points slip away at 90’. However, Indy Eleven fans have not seen their team lose a home league match in any of their last five games played Michael A. Carroll Stadium, dating back to last season (August 2025). Historically, this series has been a strange even split, two wins apiece with Indy winning each of the last two meetings. But MBFC has visited this ground before and walked away as winners (April 2023, a 3-2 result for the California club). As bad as Monterey Bay were last year, they still were not shut out in three consecutive games, a feat the visitors will be looking to avoid this week (MBFC has not been shutout in three consecutive games since September 2024). All that taken into account, Indy Eleven should be getting a result out of this one. Monterey Bay have still not scored the opening goal of a match this season too I must add.

Bet: Indy Eleven win or draw, Under 2.5 goals (2.20)

Lexington v Rhode Island

2.05 - 3.25 - 3.10

Back at home, Lexington has to be thrilled. While they were able to earn their first result on the road last week since September 2025, playing at home has been where Lexington has had more success—two-thirds of their wins last year being at this ground. Rhode Island’s early season frustrations in the league continued last week as they were unable to get more than a point in a 0-0 draw against a Detroit team they out-shot 14-4. Another side still searching for a win, RIFC will want to avoid going five games without a win for the first time since August 2025.

This game strikes me as a close affair, likely under 2.5 goals, but Lexington double chance first half stands out to me as they’ve trailed at the break only once this season, while RIFC has yet to be leading a match at halftime all year. While I am cautiously searching for a panic button on Rhode Island, Lexington could certainly get back on track with a win at home this week.

Bet 1: Under 2.5 goals (1.85)

Tampa Bay v Oakland

1.57 - 3.60 - 5.00

My USLC match of the weekend taking place at Al Lang Stadium tomorrow night. While I had to take a one week pause on the Ryan Martin hype train that is Oakland due to the Roots sitting idle last week, a good test to see how well this hype train can keep rolling exists against the Rowdies this week. Tampa Bay, who I have raved about being “back” in previous articles, left it late last week against Jacksonville, but made it four wins in a row to open the season. Casciato’s Rowdies team will be looking to make it five consecutive wins to open the season for the first time since 2021 (the last time they started a season as well as they have this year). Tampa Bay has not won five straight matches since August 2022 (and any Rowdies fans waiting for five consecutive wins to cut their hair has a chance this weekend…).

All that being said, I do think this Oakland Roots team is the toughest side Tampa Bay will have faced up until this point in the season. While the Roots may have come back down to Earth a bit in these last two games dropping points to Phoenix and Orange County, I still believe in the squad Ryan Martin is building in Oakland. As a neutral, I feel like these are my two favorite teams to watch this season, making this a “must-watch” match. Have to back Tampa Bay to get the win just to be part of the streak at minimum, but this should have some goals to it (although Oakland are still searching for their first ever goal scored away at Tampa Bay in their now third trip).

Bet: Tampa Bay ML, Over 2.5 goals (2.50)

Tulsa v Orange County

1.70 - 3.50 - 4.20

Are Orange County the surprise package to open the season for the Western Conference? After a 2-0 win midweek over San Antonio, Orange County find themselves tied on points with that very San Antonio team atop the conference. All three of OC’s wins this year have been win to nil results and OC has scored the opening goal in four of their six games played. But interestingly, OC still has yet to have a game played go over 2.5 goals (and only two of their matches have been BTTS - Yes). This weekend’s match against last season’s conference champions in Tulsa, will represent a good test at where Orange County will want to be this year.

Tulsa had nine days off since their last match played, a 1-0 advancement in the USOC against San Antonio and it was a 1-1 draw with Phoenix last time out in the league. For the reigning conference champs, the season start has not been much to write home about, with two draws where they out-shot their opponents standing out as missed opportunities. But, a match against a team who has been a thorn in their side over recent meetings might not be what Tulsa wants to see—Orange County has only one loss to Tulsa in their last seven meetings.

I think this match will be angling towards a lower-scoring affair, but I am actually more high on Orange County to get a result out of this one at the moment (particularly with 1.95 double chance odds), than I am Tulsa. If the visitors can find the opening goal (which they have done in two-thirds of their games played thus far vs Tulsa’s only 25% mark), that might be enough to find a result in this one.

Bet 1: Orange County win or tie, Under 3.5 total goals (2.50)

Bet 2: Orange County to score first (2.60)

San Antonio v Miami

1.75 - 3.40 - 3.90

Perhaps San Antonio is coming back down to Earth over these past few results. SAFC will likely be disappointed to not have gotten a goal against Monterey Bay last week, settling for a 0-0 scoreline with zero shots on target too. To follow that up with a 2-0 loss midweek to Orange County, San Antonio have now been shutout in back-to-back games for the first time since October 2025. Miami have quietly been rather solid to open the season, having gone unbeaten in their last four league games (with two wins in that span no less). It’s Miami’s longest unbeaten run in the league since May 2025. Is the tide starting to turn for this South Beach team and pointing towards good fortunes ahead at Pitbull Stadium?

In truly weird historical records, Miami holds a three wins to one win series lead over San Antonio in their four all-time meetings, including having won their two previous trips to Toyota Field. An upset pick for Miami to get a result out of this game might be a trendy option. All that being said, San Antonio still has not lost at home in the league in any of their last six home games dating back to last season (September 2025) and these two teams have absolute opposite wagering trends of late: San Antonio averaging 1.33 total goals a game to Miami’s 2.80, Miami with 60% of their games being BTTS - Yes to just 16% from San Antonio, and San Antonio the more likely of the two in scoring the opening goal (50%) as opposed to Miami (20%). I am going with a rare BTTS - Yes result for a game involving San Antonio and honestly, I could see Miami finding a result here, but won’t go that far as of yet to select it for my wagers here.

Bet: BTTS - Yes (1.72)

Phoenix v New Mexico

2.20 - 3.40 - 2.75

This is one of the great matchups in the Western Conference, almost near an even split of results historically—Phoenix ahead with seven wins to New Mexico’s six, and four draws. However we come across both teams looking rather different than the playoff teams we remember them of last season. New Mexico bookended a disappointing 4-0 USOC loss to El Paso, with their two wins in the league to open the year, over the last two weeks. Phoenix meanwhile are still without a win through their first five games played and have not gone their first six games of a season without a win in club history. With no clean sheets on the season, and only once against USL opposition having scored multiple goals in a match (in the USOC against Orange County), I am starting to get rather worried for Phoenix Rising currently.

The last five fixtures of this series has seen its fair share of goals, four of those five fixtures going BTTS/over 2.5 goals with an even split of results, two wins each and a draw. This match might be my toughest game to call in USLC this week, each team has under 25% of matches played this year where they scored the opening goal, so tough to call that angle for us. But I do think this game goes the way of the visitors as Phoenix are left with more question-marks over their season start.

Bet: New Mexico ML (2.75)

Las Vegas v Sacramento

3.10 - 3.00 - 2.20

Las Vegas has been involved in now three 3-2 scorelines this season, each occurring in the last four games played including their loss last week to El Paso. Amazingly over the course of those three separate 3-2 defeats, Las Vegas has only led for a total of 8’ of play. High-scoring, BTTS, and chaotic is how I would describe the Lights to open the year. But they are preparing to face a Sacramento team—fresh off a 2-0 win last week—who beat the Lights three times last season, outscoring them 11-0 in that span. While trips to Cashman Field has not been as successful of late for Republic, just two wins in their last five visits dating back to 2022, this Sacramento team has one of the better defenses in the West.

Las Vegas still has yet to be leading a match at halftime this year and Sacramento’s first half time lead of the season came in last week’s win. That being said, Republic are the better team and should get a result here, but in nine all-time visits to Cashman Field, Sacramento has only had two clean sheets, each coming in their last two matches played away here. Do the Lights have a goal in them?

Bet: Sacramento win or tie, Under 2.5 goals (1.95)

Birmingham v Pittsburgh

2.60 - 3.20 - 2.45

Closing out our USLC weekend with Birmingham v Pittsburgh, as the Legion play a second match within the span of eight days time for the first time since the start of March. While Birmingham are also still searching for their first win, they looked the better of the two sides in their 2-2 draw with Loudoun last week, ten minutes away from all three points too. Pittsburgh rescued a point away at Indy Eleven last week, after a busy week with a USOC advancement as well.

This might be Birmingham’s best chance to grab a win against a Riverhounds team they have beaten only once before in their history—back in September 2022. Not to mention Birmingham has yet to trail at halftime of a match this season—could be worth a flyer on the same double chance for this match. But I could just see Legion “pulling a Westchester” (maybe after last week, I have to retire that joke) and scoring first, only to drop points in the end. I offer up two wagers.

Bet 1: Pittsburgh win or tie, BTTS - Yes (2.50)

Bet 2: Birmingham to score first, Birmingham win or tie at halftime (2.10)

USL1

Omaha v Madison

1.72 - 3.70 - 3.60

Saturday’s slate of USL1 action gets us started with a fun one as Union Omaha plays host to Forward Madison. Omaha have gone three wins in a row since their last loss in the league and could make it four consecutive wins in the league this week for the first time since September 2025. Omaha have scored the opening goal in each of these last three wins and each win was BTTS/over 2.5 goals as well. But enter Madison, who are one of two final unbeaten teams left in USL1 this season after wins over Knoxville and Naples to start the year (albeit their win over Naples came two weeks ago). Madison has never opened a season with three wins in a row before in club history, but getting a result away at Omaha is something they have not done since May 2023. If the hosts grab the opening goal, I think they go on to win this match. But I cannot see Madison staying out of this fixture either. If your book offers BTTS bets, I’d highly consider it.

Bet 1: Omaha to score first, Omaha ML (1.95)

Bet 2: Over 2.5 goals (1.70)

Portland v Knoxville

3.00 - 3.30 - 2.10

Last season was purely magic for Portland Hearts of Pine, and they were a penalty shootout away from a cup final against their opponents this week. But this year has been a more turgid start, almost a sophomore slump. Perhaps the two weeks it has been since Hearts of Pine last played has allowed the team a chance to refocus themselves after having gone the last 183’ without a goal in the league (or the runtime of Avengers: Endgame (2019)). The big story of this one is that Portland are back at Fitzpatrick Stadium for their home opener. I saw firsthand last season how much of a difference maker the crowd and supporters at this stadium can be for Hearts of Pine, that I think they play a role in this match as they welcome the defending champions, One Knoxville into town.

Knoxville has gone unbeaten since their loss to Madison nearly a month ago, and has scored the opening goal in 80% of their games played this season. For as strong as Knoxville were at home over the past year, they were still in the top third of teams in road record last year. While I think this Knoxville team is still very good and capable, this stadium is almost a twelfth player for Portland every time they play here (even Knoxville got a 1-1 draw in their lone visit here last season). I may ponder the idea of Portland to get a win up until kickoff. But for now…

Bet: Draw (3.30)

Chattanooga v Fort Wayne

No odds as of writing

If there is any team who will be ready to have a home match, it will be Fort Wayne (two more games this month until their home opener in May). Until then, another tricky away day to Chattanooga awaits the Indiana club who were shutout in a 2-0 loss to NY Cosmos last week (their second shutout loss on the year). Last week, after two first half goals to be leading at the break, Chattanooga will be disappointed not to take all three points against AV Alta last week. But I believe the Tennessee team will rebound this week in their own home opener on the season, a ground where they lost at just once all last year in the league (a mark only bested by Knoxville). Backing the Red Wolves to open up their home slate with a win, and for Fort Wayne ready to be finished with this early season road trip.

Bet: Chattanooga ML

Naples v Sarasota

No odds as of writing

What a couple of days ahead it will be for FC Naples, on top of their excellent start to the USL1 season. While a US Open Cup match against a struggling Orlando City looms next week (Cupset anyone…?), we have another Florida derby in a first meeting between these new neighbors. Naples picked up their third “win to nil” result last week with a 1-0 victory over Greenville, that’s left them currently tied atop the table in points. Sarasota meanwhile has seen their start to life in USL1 hit a rough patch of form. Just the one win at the end of March and a 2-0 defeat away at a resurgent Westchester midweek, Sarasota will be looking to turn around this beginning of the season.

But with Naples in good form already, and Sarasota only once in five games played scoring the opening goal of a match, if the hosts grab the lead initially, that might be enough to see out this game. This fixture, if it goes the way of Naples, might be especially low-scoring as four of their first five games played have been under 2.5 goals, and four of their first five games were also BTTS - No. I have Naples getting a result out of this one, and to keep it low-scoring once more. But certainly Naples to score first.

Bet 1: Naples to score first

Bet 2: Naples ML, Under 2.5 goals

Spokane v Richmond

1.60 - 3.90 - 4.20

Ever since their 4-0 loss away at Charlotte, I have been curious how Spokane would respond to such a significant defeat. In the league since then, they took a point away at neighbors Boise’s home opener, and this week had a come from behind win over AV Alta at home off the back of two second half goals. This is the Spokane team we are more used to seeing, as they welcome a Richmond still searching for their first win of the season. While the Kickers did advance in the USOC last time out, nine days ago, it has been two weeks since Richmond last took the field for a USL1 league game, a 1-0 defeat Knoxville away (early season USL1 scheduling is weird).

In now their third trip to eastern Washington, Richmond has still yet to defeat Spokane away, and Velocity hold a 4-1 series lead in their five all-time meeting. Richmond has led against Spokane for only 77’ in 450’ total played. More crucially, Spokane has not lost at home in any of their last six games played here at One Spokane Stadium dating back to last season (September 2025). Picking the hosts to keep their winning ways going in this venue.

Bet: Spokane ML (1.60)

AV Alta v AC Boise

No odds as of writing

Last time out for AV Alta midweek, they grabbed the lead early and nearly led at halftime for the first time all season, but a conceded an equalizer to Spokane on 45’, and then two more goals allowed in the second half saw the California side lose 3-1. AV Alta continue to be the most frustrating team to wager in USL1, especially since this team has only been shutout once all season (four of five games BTTS - Yes), but this defense has become a worry of recent weeks, allowing 8 of their 9 total goals conceded in their last three games.

AC Boise, while gutted that they did not earn all three points in their home opener against Spokane last week, a 1-1 draw the scoreline, should feel encouraged moving forward still in their maiden season. John Morrissey spoke about Boise’s latest match in his recent Back Four post, as the Idaho club has the pieces there to be really good, but is still waiting for Nate Miller’s tactics to truly all come together into something truly stellar. I think it could very well be in this match against an out of sorts AV Alta team (who are tough to anticipate each week which AV Alta side shows up). That being said, Boise are too good to pass up at least a chance. But this game should likely have some goals to it.

Bet: Boise win or tie, Over 2.5 total goals

Parlays

ML Parlay:

• Omaha, Spokane ML parlay (2.76)

• Louisville, Detroit, Charleston ML parlay (3.63)

• Tampa Bay, New Mexico ML parlay (4.32)

BTTS/Goals Parlay:

• Omaha v Madison, Hartford v El Paso each over 2.5 total goals (3.06)

• Hartford v El Paso and San Antonio v Miami each BTTS - Yes (2.98)

• Detroit v Jacksonville and Brooklyn v Charleston each BTTS - No (3.30)

• Lexington v Rhode Island and Las Vegas v Sacramento each under 2.5 total goals (2.96)

Underdog Parlay:

• El Paso win or tie, Orange County win or tie, Miami win or tie parlay (5.95)

Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USLC Parlay: 14.23

Non-USL Related Bets:

Other Soccer:

MLS:

• Charlotte v Nashville BTTS - Yes, Charlotte win or tie (2.10)

• Montreal v Philadelphia BTTS - Yes, Montreal win or tie (2.20)

• Miami win to nil (3.25)

• San Jose ML (1.80)

• San Diego, Chicago ML parlay (2.72)

• Colorado v Houston BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.95)

MLS Player Props:

• Sam Surridge (NSH) ATGS 2.05

• Son Heung-Min (LAFC) assist 3.00

• Brian White (VAN) ATGS 2.10

• Preston Judd (SJ) score or assist 1.72

• Anders Dreyer (SD) ATGS 1.95

England/Scotland:

• Brentford v Everton BTTS - Yes, Brentford win or draw (2.15)

• Brighton ML (1.70)

• Fulham win or tie, over 1.5 total goals (2.62), though Fulham win or tie is 2.20

• Manchester City ML (2.15)

• Coventry win to nil (1.80)

• Norwich v Ipswich BTTS - Yes (1.72)

• Watford or tie (1.57)

• Southampton ML (1.71)

• Birmingham v Wrexham BTTS - Yes (1.66)

• Hibernian ML (2.05)

• Celtic, Rangers ML parlay (2.17)

• Hearts v Motherwell BTTS - Yes (1.70)

• Patrick Thistle ML (1.90)

Sunderland v Tottenham:

• Sunderland ML (2.70)

• Tottenham to score in first half - No (1.66)

• Sunderland first team to score (2.00)

Elsewhere:

• AC Milan ML, Como v Inter Milan BTTS - Yes (2.36)

• Atalanta v Juventus BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (2.10)

• Dortmund v Leverkusen BTTS - Yes, Over 2.5 total goals (1.72)

• Bayern Munich win to nil v St Pauli (2.37)

• Frankfurt win or tie, BTTS - Yes (2.05)

• Barcelona ML, Atletico Madrid win or tie (1.92)

• Calvary FC (2.00)

• Forge FC (1.70)

• Pacific FC win to nil v Supra du Quebec (2.75)

Other Sports:

MLB:

Friday Only:

• Rockies at Padres over 8 total runs (1.86)

• Cardinals ML (2.20)

• Dodgers, Brewers, Royals ML parlay (3.28)

NBA:

Friday Only

• Lakers +2.5 spread

NHL:

Saturday

• Canadiens ML (1.71)

• Avalanche ML (1.71)

• Sharks, Stars ML parlay (2.25)

NASCAR - Food City 500 at Bristol Motorspeedway

• Ty Gibbs top ten finish (1.52)

• Denny Hamlin top five finish (1.76)

• Brad Keselowski top ten finish (2.00)

• Carson Hocevar top ten finish (2.10)

• Ryan Blaney top three finish (2.80)

• Kyle Larson top Chevy (1.83)

• Toyota Winning Manufacturer (2.15)

• Joe Gibbs Racing winning team (2.35)

• Christopher Bell or Denny Hamlin either to win (3.30)

• Austin Cindric to beat Ross Chastain H2H (2.00)

• Brad Keselowski to beat Carson Hocevar H2H (1.76)

• Brad Keselowski to win a group of himself, Chase Briscoe, Tyler Reddick and Austin Cindric (3.50)

Final Thoughts

We recorded our first Patreon exclusive episode for the USL Show this week. So if you are subscribed to our Patreon, first off, thank you so much for your support, we truly do appreciate it, and secondly, enjoy the exclusive episode!

Movie recommendation of the week: Blue Giant (2023). If you enjoy jazz music and really creative animated visuals during said music, I’d recommend watching this anime film from a few years ago—and if Whiplash (2014) left you feeling on edge, this is a much more wholesome palate cleansing jazz movie.

Taskmaster Series 21 started this week with a really funny premiere episode. This show became an obsession of mine during 2025 that I have now become an avid watcher of this truly hilarious show. Check it out if you have not already!

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Follow me on Bluesky @ilm-ryan.bsky.social and follow the USL Show, @theUSLshow.bsky.social.