<script data-pm-proxy="intercept"></script><?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[AI Driven Talent]]></title><description><![CDATA[Latest trends and news about use of AI in finding great talent.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5-2J!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6fd83f18-98f9-44e4-9fbe-0a2616c692d1_1024x1024.png</url><title>AI Driven Talent</title><link>https://talentnews.substack.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 06:31:08 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[talentnews@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[talentnews@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[talentnews@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[talentnews@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Four in Five Surveyed HR Leaders Are Managing an AI Problem]]></title><description><![CDATA[91% of surveyed HR leaders use AI to recruit; nine monitoring platforms logged 121 data-sharing instances.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/four-in-five-surveyed-hr-leaders</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/four-in-five-surveyed-hr-leaders</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 28 Aug 2026 14:36:48 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/70f90a19-fbf1-4a02-ab70-a0ec86c8c9f9_1600x900.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my work as a Silicon Valley HR-tech startup executive, I've watched the question stop being whether AI is in the hiring stack and start being what it costs to keep it running there (91% of more than 1,000 surveyed US HR and recruitment leaders already use AI somewhere in recruitment, and four in five say they are actively managing at least one issue with it). The bill is arriving on both sides of the transaction: AI drove more than 25% of Workday's new annual contract value last quarter, while researchers testing nine employee-monitoring platforms logged 121 unique instances of workers' identifying data going to third parties, with only two of the nine providers naming any specific third party in their privacy policies. The six stories below are about the upkeep &#8212; what adoption actually costs once the installing is done.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.hrdive.com/news/hiring-managers-say-they-trust-ai-but-actively-manage-issues-with-it/828884/">71% of surveyed HR leaders believe over half the applications they screen are AI-written</a> (<a href="https://www.hrdive.com/news/hiring-managers-say-they-trust-ai-but-actively-manage-issues-with-it/828884/">HR Dive</a>)</strong></p><p>Paylocity surveyed more than 1,000 US-based HR and recruitment leaders and found 91% already use AI somewhere in their recruitment process, with the remainder saying they intend to within the next 18 months. The same respondents are not relaxed about it: 71% believe more than half of the applications they screen were written using generative tools, four in five say they are actively managing at least one issue with their AI tools, and 26% are concerned about not seeing some candidates because of AI screening. Adoption is plainly not the constraint &#8212; 85% said they trust AI to assess applicants "regardless of background," 89% said the tools have helped identify better candidates, and 43% said AI saves their recruiting teams the equivalent of a full working day each week. One handling note: Paylocity sells recruiting software, this is its own research on a self-selected sample, and the write-up states no field dates or margin of error, so read 91% as a vendor's adoption claim rather than a census &#8212; the more durable finding is the issue list, which is specific and unglamorous: bias concerns (16%), compliance and regulatory risks (16%), loss of control and transparency (11%), and candidate trust and drop-offs (11%). For HR operations leaders, audit which of those four your own stack is quietly absorbing, because each one is somebody's recurring unbudgeted hours.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/workday-announces-fiscal-2027-second-quarter-financial-results-302862164.html">Workday says AI drove over 25% of its new annual contract value last quarter</a> (<a href="https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/workday-announces-fiscal-2027-second-quarter-financial-results-302862164.html">Workday</a>)</strong></p><p>Workday reported fiscal 2027 second-quarter results for the three months ended July 31 and quoted its chief executive saying the company had a strong quarter "with AI driving more than 25% of our new ACV" &#8212; annual contract value from newly signed business, a term the release itself never expands. The company also said more than 5,500 customers now use one or more of its organic agents, a base it described as up more than 35% from the prior quarter. Total revenue was $2.649 billion, up 12.8% year over year, subscription revenue $2.471 billion, up 13.9%, and non-GAAP operating margin 31.1%, against 29.0% a year earlier. These are the vendor's own figures on the vendor's own definitions &#8212; the 25% appears only inside a quotation and in no financial table, "organic agents" is Workday's term, the release does not state the usage threshold that makes a customer a user, and a share of new bookings is not a share of total revenue &#8212; but it is a rare hard commercial number attached to agentic HR at this scale, and a 35%-plus quarterly jump is off a young base. For HR technology leaders, price your next renewal against that disclosure, because the vendor has now told the market what AI is worth to it.</p><p><strong><a href="https://hrexecutive.com/employee-monitoring-apps-send-worker-data-to-facebook-google-and-microsoft-report-finds/">Nine monitoring platforms logged 121 data-sharing instances; two disclosed recipients in privacy policies</a> (<a href="https://hrexecutive.com/employee-monitoring-apps-send-worker-data-to-facebook-google-and-microsoft-report-finds/">HR Executive</a>)</strong></p><p>Researchers affiliated with Columbia Law School's Center for Law and the Economy and Northeastern University's Khoury College examined nine workplace-monitoring platforms and found all nine shared workers' identifying data with third parties, producing 121 unique instances of data sharing involving companies including Facebook, Google and Microsoft. The same platforms transmitted workers' online-activity data to 145 unique third-party domains, three of the nine included features that could track a worker's precise location while the app ran in the background, and some shared worker email addresses with as many as six third parties. Only two of the nine providers named specific third parties in their privacy policies, and the researchers noted even those two disclosures covered just a fraction of what they observed. Nine platforms is a small, non-random sample tested by the researchers themselves rather than a census of the market, and 121 is a de-duplicated count of unique instances rather than a tally of transmissions, but the asymmetry it documents is hard to explain away: of the 121 instances, 76 involved managerial accounts, meaning the people running the surveillance sat inside the same data flows. For employee relations leaders, separate the surveillance question from the AI question in your vendor reviews, because this data left the building through the monitoring tools' own network traffic.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.staffingindustry.com/news/global-daily-news/manufacturing-and-ai-demand-widen-skilled-trade-talent-gap">2.1 million US skilled-trade openings a year against 800,000 in relevant training</a> (<a href="https://www.staffingindustry.com/news/global-daily-news/manufacturing-and-ai-demand-widen-skilled-trade-talent-gap">Staffing Industry Analysts</a>)</strong></p><p>Labor-market data firm Lightcast counts about 2.1 million US skilled-trade job openings annually against only 800,000 workers in relevant training programs, which it presents as a gap of 1.3 million, though SIA's own lede rounds that to "more than 1 million." A large share of those openings is replacement rather than expansion: roughly 40% resulted from retirements, and more than a quarter of current skilled-trade workers are 55 or older, in a group Lightcast sizes at about 20 million US workers, or 9% of the workforce. Data-center growth alone accounted for 315,000 jobs over the last five years, which is the detail that belongs in any AI-and-employment conversation &#8212; the same buildout blamed for white-collar displacement is generating physical demand nobody can staff. Handle the 1.3 million carefully: Lightcast sells labor-market data, the figure is a modeled residual that subtracts a stock (people enrolled in training today) from a flow (openings per year), it spans 135 occupations the firm defines itself, and it assumes training programs are the only entry route into the trades. For workforce strategy leaders, stage your skilled-trade pipeline against the retirement curve rather than the shortage headline, since roughly 40% of those 2.1 million openings are retirements already sitting on your own census.</p><p><strong><a href="https://hiringlab.indeed.com/2026/08/24/us-labor-market-snapshot-august-2026/">Software development postings on Indeed sit at 74.4 against a February 2020 baseline</a> (<a href="https://hiringlab.indeed.com/2026/08/24/us-labor-market-snapshot-august-2026/">Indeed Hiring Lab</a>)</strong></p><p>Indeed's August labor-market snapshot puts its overall US Job Postings Index at 101.8 as of August 14, 2026, measured against a February 1, 2020 baseline of 100, up 0.2% on the month and down 2.9% on the year. The occupation everyone assumes AI erased tells a more complicated story: postings on Indeed for software development roles sit at 74.4, which Indeed describes as significantly below their pre-pandemic level, but up from a low of 61.1 in May 2025. Production and manufacturing postings are up 8% and loading and stocking up 11% since August of last year, while posted wages rose 2.5% over the year ending July 2026 and real inflation-adjusted wages and salaries for private-sector workers fell 0.4% year over year in the second quarter. Two handling notes: this is Indeed's own platform data measuring advertised vacancies rather than employment, and the page's summary infographic prints different index values than its body text, so quote the body. For talent operations leaders, trace your own requisition mix against these sector splits before concluding that a quiet software pipeline is a permanent one.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.staffingindustry.com/news/global-daily-news/vms-spend-rises-to-303b-with-increase-in-sow">$303 billion flowed through vendor management systems in 2025, 39% of it project work</a> (<a href="https://www.staffingindustry.com/news/global-daily-news/vms-spend-rises-to-303b-with-increase-in-sow">Staffing Industry Analysts</a>)</strong></p><p>SIA's VMS Global Landscape Summary reports $303 billion in global spend flowing through vendor management systems in 2025, up 7%, with statement-of-work project spend at 39% of the total against 60% for temporary and contract workers and 1% for independent contractors and freelancers. The composition is the finding: SIA calls SOW growth the biggest factor in the overall increase, and it more than offset a decline in temporary staffing spend, which is what it looks like when large employers shift toward buying deliverables instead of hours. Concentration is heavy &#8212; the 9% of clients running global contingent programs account for 36% of all spend, and finance and insurance alone is 23.8% of it. Two constraints on that 7%: SIA sells this research and warns on the page that prior years' figures are not necessarily comparable because the respondent set changes, and this is dollar spend rather than hours, so a richer SOW mix can lift the share without any work actually moving. For contingent workforce leaders, rebuild your intake so an SOW request and a headcount request face the same scrutiny, because 39% of the money is now moving through a channel many intake processes were never designed to review.</p><p></p><p><a href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/publish/chat">Click here to share your thoughts</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[31% of Managers Who Use AI on Layoffs Weigh Sick Days]]></title><description><![CDATA[Only 13% of CHROs call job designs AI-ready, employee confidence hit a record-low 43.5%, and college wages face pressure.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/31-of-managers-who-use-ai-on-layoffs</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/31-of-managers-who-use-ai-on-layoffs</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 11 Aug 2026 13:21:47 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8fe2a011-239b-41d3-965a-df33f3707ef3_1512x794.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span>In my work as a Silicon Valley HR-tech startup executive, I watch the AI question keep moving up the stack &#8212; and this week it left the screening funnel entirely and landed on the termination decision itself (59% of AI-using managers say they consult it on layoffs, and 31% of those ask it to weigh sick days or medical leave). The executives who would have to govern that are the least convinced anyone is ready: just 13% of CHROs strongly agree their job designs are AI-ready, against 28% of the wider C-suite. The five stories below show where the decision rights are actually moving.</span></p><p><strong><a href="https://www.hrdive.com/news/managers-are-using-ai-to-make-layoff-decisions/826697/"><span>59% of AI-using managers say it helps decide who gets laid off</span></a><span> (</span><a href="https://www.hrdive.com/news/managers-are-using-ai-to-make-layoff-decisions/826697/"><span>HR Dive</span></a><span>)</span></strong></p><p><span>In a ResumeTemplates.com survey of 1,000 US managers who use AI at work, 59% said they turn to AI when deciding who to lay off and 58% when deciding who to fire. Among the managers who use it on layoffs, 80% ask it to weigh performance and productivity scores, 57% attendance and 42% salary or cost &#8212; but 32% feed it tenure, 31% ask it to consider frequent sick days or medical leave, and 14% ask it to consider age. &#8220;Sick days, medical leave, and age stand apart from the factors a layoff usually turns on, because discrimination based on age, disability, or protected medical leave is illegal,&#8221; said Julia Toothacre, chief career strategist at ResumeTemplates.com. Supervision is thinner than the headline suggests: 43% said they occasionally take a hands-off approach and 17% do so often or all the time, 38% have never been trained on the ethical use of AI in HR decisions, and 58% could not confirm their company had ever tested the tool for bias while 23% said it had not been tested. For HR leaders, inventory every place an AI system already touches a separation decision before opposing counsel does it for you.</span></p><p><strong><a href="https://www.hrdive.com/news/chros-skeptical-regarding-ai-readiness/826929/"><span>13% of CHROs call their job designs AI-ready, against 28% of the C-suite</span></a><span> (</span><a href="https://www.hrdive.com/news/chros-skeptical-regarding-ai-readiness/826929/"><span>HR Dive</span></a><span>)</span></strong></p><p><span>In the latest Protiviti AI Pulse Survey, 28% of C-suite executives strongly agreed their companies&#8217; job designs are ready for AI &#8212; but only 13% of CHROs said the same. The gap is widest against technology: 96% of IT leaders reported being positive about their organization&#8217;s AI learning readiness, versus 36% of C-suite leaders and 14% of CHROs who strongly agree. Almost 80% of executives expect AI to improve bottom-line performance and drive revenue growth over the next three years, yet only 5% of HR leaders expect at least half of HR work to be AI-enabled in that same window, which the report attributes to the perceived complexity of scaling AI inside HR. Fran Maxwell, Protiviti&#8217;s global leader of people and change, said most leaders are focused on the value AI can deliver for the business while &#8220;HR leaders are focused on whether their organizations and people are actually ready to deliver it,&#8221; a reading reinforced by ManpowerGroup Talent Solutions research cited in the same piece, in which just 3% of C-suite, CHRO and senior talent acquisition executives called their leaders &#8220;highly prepared&#8221; to direct AI adoption. For people leaders, challenge any AI business case that books value in three years without funding job redesign in the first one.</span></p><p><strong><a href="https://www.glassdoor.com/blog/glassdoor-employee-confidence-index-july-2026/"><span>Employee confidence hit a record-low 43.5% in July, below the low set in May</span></a><span> (</span><a href="https://www.glassdoor.com/blog/glassdoor-employee-confidence-index-july-2026/"><span>Glassdoor</span></a><span>)</span></strong></p><p><span>The share of US employees reporting a positive six-month business outlook for their employer fell to 43.5% in July from 44.4% in June, a new record low that beat the one set only two months earlier in May. The industry damage is concentrated: telecommunications fell 13.9 percentage points year over year to 31.1%, hotels and travel accommodation fell 12.3 points, and insurance fell 7 points as workers face pressure from leaders to cut costs, automate claims processing with AI, and do more with less. The seniority split is the number talent teams should sit with &#8212; entry-level confidence slipped another 0.4 points month over month and is down 2.9 points on the year, mid-level fell 1.2 points, while senior-level confidence rose 3.1 points in July and is up 1.8 points year over year. &#8220;As energy prices rebounded in July and job security remains a top concern for workers, employee confidence continues to sour,&#8221; wrote Glassdoor chief economist Daniel Zhao, whose July figures run through July 25. For talent leaders, segment your engagement data by level before concluding the mood in the building is company-wide.</span></p><p><strong><a href="https://www.hiringlab.org/2026/08/05/q2-labor-market-outlook-survey/"><span>57% of economists expect AI to press college wages down, versus 34% without degrees</span></a><span> (</span><a href="https://www.hiringlab.org/2026/08/05/q2-labor-market-outlook-survey/"><span>Indeed Hiring Lab</span></a><span>)</span></strong></p><p><span>In the inaugural Indeed Hiring Lab Labor Market Outlook Survey, fielded in July by Pulsenomics among 120 economists and labor-market experts, 57% said they expect AI to place at least slight downward pressure on the wages of college-degree holders over the next year, against 34% who said the same for workers without a degree. Nearly two-thirds of the panel &#8212; 61% &#8212; said their assessment of AI&#8217;s potential to displace college-educated workers had increased at least somewhat over the past year, and 51% expect AI to widen the wage gap between high- and low-skill workers, with not a single panelist predicting that gap narrows significantly. On employment the panel splits and leans slightly negative: 52% expect AI to be at least a mild drag over the next year, 35% expect a net gain, and 13% expect no effect, while nearly all expect a productivity lift that 70% describe as only modest-to-moderate and just 4% call transformative. Software Development appeared on both the biggest-AI-loser and biggest-AI-winner lists, and the fastest-growing postings the panel named &#8212; Personal Care and Home Health, and Nursing &#8212; sit almost entirely outside AI&#8217;s reach, alongside a forecast that the Indeed Job Postings Index falls 1.4% through June 2027 and unemployment drifts from 4.2% to about 4.4%. For recruiting leaders, model your 2027 requisition plan on reallocation inside white-collar work rather than on a headline collapse that this panel does not expect.</span></p><p><strong><a href="https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/mastech-digital-reports-second-quarter-2026-results-302844114.html"><span>AI and data bookings hit $13.6 million as a top-ten client insources staffing work</span></a><span> (</span><a href="https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/mastech-digital-reports-second-quarter-2026-results-302844114.html"><span>PR Newswire</span></a><span>)</span></strong></p><p><span>Mastech Digital reported second-quarter revenue of $41.4 million, down 15.6% year over year, with its Talent segment &#8212; IT staffing &#8212; falling 16.2% to $28.0 million and its Data &amp; AI segment down about 14% to $13.5 million. The two segments are moving in opposite directions underneath those declines: Data &amp; AI bookings reached $13.6 million in the quarter against $9.0 million a year earlier, and segment revenue grew 7.2% sequentially, the first sequential quarter of growth since 2024. The company said that &#8220;as anticipated, insourcing by one of our top ten clients continued to weigh on Talent segment performance, consistent with prior quarters.&#8221; In our read, that is the buy-versus-build line moving in real time &#8212; the client is keeping the AI and data work but has stopped renting the people to do it, which shows up as a staffing-revenue hole for the vendor and an internal capability build for the buyer. For hiring leaders, renegotiate contract-labor commitments on the assumption that your suppliers&#8217; other clients are internalizing the same capability you are.</span></p><p><a href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/publish/chat"><span>Click here to share your thoughts</span></a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[$28 Billion in Lost Pay: AI's Bill Lands on Paychecks]]></title><description><![CDATA[Layoffs fell to 33,429 in July, 32% of managers rehired an AI-cut role, and OpenAI paid $3.2 million.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/28-billion-in-lost-pay-ais-bill-lands</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/28-billion-in-lost-pay-ais-bill-lands</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 09 Aug 2026 21:17:35 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8d19a0f5-9898-4e8e-a00f-4b75bd00d925_1512x794.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span>In my work as a Silicon Valley HR-tech startup executive, I keep watching the AI story move off the headcount line and onto the price and the mechanics of labor. Layoffs just fell to their lowest monthly total in two years while announced hiring plans hit their strongest July since 2022 (33,429 cuts against 16,095 planned hires), and yet AI led all stated reasons for cuts for the fifth month running. The five stories below show where the cost is actually landing.</span></p><p><strong><a href="https://www.challengergray.com/blog/challenger-report-layoffs-fall-hiring-picks-up-ai-leads-for-fifth-straight-month/"><span>Layoffs hit a two-year low of 33,429 &#8212; and AI is still the top stated reason</span></a><span> (</span><a href="https://www.challengergray.com/blog/challenger-report-layoffs-fall-hiring-picks-up-ai-leads-for-fifth-straight-month/"><span>Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas</span></a><span>)</span></strong></p><p><span>US-based employers announced 33,429 job cuts in July, the lowest monthly total in two years and down 27% from June&#8217;s 45,849, according to Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas. Artificial intelligence led all stated reasons for the fifth consecutive month at 10,970 cuts, or 33% of the month&#8217;s total, and has been cited in 112,713 announcements so far this year, roughly 24% of all 2026 cuts. In the same month employers announced plans to hire 16,095 workers, up 47% from June and the highest July total since 2022, led by Aerospace/Defense at 4,625. In our read, the pairing describes a market reallocating rather than shrinking, which is how Andy Challenger framed it: &#8220;while AI is shifting the labor market, it is not dismantling it.&#8221; For recruiting leaders, benchmark your own cut-to-hire ratio against this year&#8217;s 477,033 announced cuts and 107,500 announced hires before assuming the freeze is still on.</span></p><p><strong><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/31/ai-jobs-pay-apollo"><span>Wage growth in AI-exposed jobs ran 6.7 points behind everyone else after 2023</span></a><span> (</span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/31/ai-jobs-pay-apollo"><span>Axios</span></a><span>)</span></strong></p><p><span>Workers in occupations with high AI exposure saw real wage growth 6.7 percentage points lower than workers in low-exposure fields after 2023, the first full year following ChatGPT&#8217;s rollout, according to a white paper from Apollo Global Management economists Sania Edlich and Torsten Slok. Apollo puts the cost to affected workers at $28 billion annually and found no significant AI-driven effect on employment itself. The comparison uses Labor Department wage data across 11 high-exposure occupations, including computer programmers, customer service representatives and financial analysts, with exposure measured by Anthropic&#8217;s Economic Index; Apollo counts about 5.8 million US workers, or roughly 3.7% of the labor force, in those occupations and calls that a low estimate. Axios flags a confounding factor: part of the gap may reflect the AI buildout lifting wages for electricians and construction workers in low-exposure trades. For talent leaders, reprice your AI-exposed bands deliberately rather than letting a quiet market do it on your behalf.</span></p><p><strong><a href="https://www.kellyservices.com/insights/need-to-know-briefing-august-3-2026"><span>32% of hiring managers rehired a role they had eliminated because of AI</span></a><span> (</span><a href="https://www.kellyservices.com/insights/need-to-know-briefing-august-3-2026"><span>Kelly</span></a><span>)</span></strong></p><p><span>Two-thirds of US employers, 66%, plan to increase permanent hiring in the second half of 2026, up from 60% in the first half and 57% a year ago, per a Robert Half survey of more than 2,000 hiring managers fielded in April 2026 and carried in Kelly&#8217;s August 3 briefing. The same Robert Half data shows 32% of US hiring managers eliminated a role primarily because of AI and later rehired for the same or a similar position. Demand is not the binding constraint: 58% say qualified talent is harder to find than a year ago, 63% report significant project delays from talent shortages, and 48% have cancelled projects outright for lack of staff. Separately, workforce analytics firm Orgvue found 39% of business leaders made employees redundant because of AI, and 55% of that group say the wrong decisions were made. For HR leaders, audit every role your organization eliminated on an AI rationale in the past 18 months and price what it cost to bring the work back.</span></p><p><strong><a href="https://www.staffingindustry.com/news/global-daily-news/ai-is-creating-a-two-speed-jobs-market-in-the-uk-indeed-says"><span>UK software-developer postings rose 14% while manufacturing sat 18% below last summer</span></a><span> (</span><a href="https://www.staffingindustry.com/news/global-daily-news/ai-is-creating-a-two-speed-jobs-market-in-the-uk-indeed-says"><span>Staffing Industry Analysts</span></a><span>)</span></strong></p><p><span>UK employers posted roughly 10% fewer vacancies this month than in January 2025, but Indeed data shared with Bloomberg shows that headline hiding a widening split. Software developer postings, in a profession that suffered heavy job losses after 2022, rose 14%, with much of the increase coming from senior roles and roles directly linked to AI, while manufacturing postings sit 58% below June 2022 and 18% below last summer. Indeed senior economist Jack Kennedy said &#8220;the UK labor market is increasingly splitting into two speeds,&#8221; with demand concentrating &#8220;around experienced workers and roles directly connected to AI, rather than flowing evenly through the profession.&#8221; Youth unemployment in Britain is at its highest in over a decade, which Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey attributes to a &#8220;low hire, low fire&#8221; economy. For hiring leaders, retarget sourcing at the segments actually growing instead of reading a single vacancy number as a market-wide verdict.</span></p><p><strong><a href="https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/civil-rights-division-secures-settlement-openai-discriminating-against-us-workers"><span>$3.2 million for fewer than ten postings: OpenAI settles US-worker hiring claims</span></a><span> (</span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/civil-rights-division-secures-settlement-openai-discriminating-against-us-workers"><span>US Department of Justice</span></a><span>)</span></strong></p><p><span>OpenAI OpCo and its subsidiary Statsig will pay a combined $3,200,000 to settle Justice Department allegations that they violated the Immigration and Nationality Act by preferring temporary visa holders over US workers during Permanent Labor Certification recruitment, the department announced on August 4. The amount splits into $1,200,000 in civil penalties and a $2,000,000 back-pay fund, and fewer than ten PERM positions were at issue; the department said the resolution amount reflects the harm to US workers shut out of lucrative technology jobs. The findings turn on recruiting mechanics rather than stated intent: OpenAI kept PERM roles off the external careers site it used for other jobs, required mailed paper applications where it accepted electronic ones elsewhere, and advertised some positions on the radio late at night. The settlement further requires public posting, electronic applications, anti-discrimination training, revised employment policies and departmental monitoring, and is the thirteenth since the Protecting U.S. Workers Initiative was relaunched in 2025. For people leaders, document why each posting channel, application format and advertising window was chosen, because that record is exactly what this case turned on.</span></p><p><a href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/publish/chat"><span>Click here to share your thoughts</span></a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[One staffing giant fills roles 67% faster with AI]]></title><description><![CDATA[Insight Global hiring 1,700; 94% of leaders expect new entry-level roles; skills training lifted wages 30%.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/one-staffing-giant-fills-roles-67</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/one-staffing-giant-fills-roles-67</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 23 Jul 2026 15:11:21 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/cb9d34e5-a5fd-4932-9266-2c318798f003_1600x900.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my work as a Silicon Valley HR-tech startup executive, I see this clearly in the data: AI isn't emptying the workforce&#8212;it's re-speccing it. Hiring is getting faster, the skills demanded are moving up a grade, and the real constraint now is finding people who can build and run AI systems. Four stories below show what that shift looks like in practice.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-manpowergroup-tops-q2-2026-estimates-as-stock-jumps-93CH-4796068">One global staffing firm cut hiring time 67% with AI</a> (<a href="https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-manpowergroup-tops-q2-2026-estimates-as-stock-jumps-93CH-4796068">Investing.com</a>)</strong></p><p>ManpowerGroup's president and chief strategy officer Becky Frankiewicz reported on the Q2 2026 earnings call that the company achieved a 67% decrease in time to fill, powered by AI screening and sales-targeting tools. The results backed it up: $4.9B in Q2 revenue, $0.99 adjusted EPS (beating the $0.95 forecast), and 8% growth in the Manpower brand for the fifth straight quarter. Looking ahead, AI tools are expected to reach roughly 70% of total revenue by year-end 2026, while the company projects $50M&#8211;$100M in partnership-driven revenue this year. In our read, this 67% reduction in time-to-fill represents a meaningful competitive advantage in high-volume hiring where velocity is critical. For recruiting leaders, audit your application-to-screen time and map where AI-powered candidate matching can compress your hiring cycle the most.</p><p><strong><a href="https://thenextweb.com/news/thomson-reuters-engineering-layoffs-ai">500 engineers cut, 250+ new openings&#8212;most senior and AI-native</a> (<a href="https://thenextweb.com/news/thomson-reuters-engineering-layoffs-ai">The Next Web</a>)</strong></p><p>Thomson Reuters is cutting engineering positions globally as it pushes AI through its legal, tax, and regulatory products&#8212;but simultaneously planning to hire more than 250 net-new engineering roles over two years, the large majority senior and AI-native. Internal discussions surfaced cuts affecting as many as 500 roles (roughly 5.2% of the operations and technology division's ~9,400 employees), though the company publicly called it 'a small number of roles'&#8212;about 1.8% of the ~27,100 total workforce. Investors noticed: Thomson Reuters shares closed up roughly 5% that day, among the strongest performers while the broader tech sector sold off. The company is trading a larger number of roles for a smaller number reissued at a higher grade&#8212;a shorter shortlist of roles, most of them senior and AI-native. For HR leaders, pressure-test your talent pipelines (internal mobility, university recruiting, skill training) to see if they can fill the senior and AI-native roles you're creating.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.blackenterprise.com/atlanta-staffing-firm-hire-1700-workers-ai/">One staffing firm hiring 1,700 as AI demand surges 136%</a> (<a href="https://www.blackenterprise.com/atlanta-staffing-firm-hire-1700-workers-ai/">Black Enterprise</a>)</strong></p><p>While many firms freeze hiring, Atlanta-based Insight Global is bringing on more than 1,700 full-time employees in 2026 to meet demand for AI infrastructure and enterprise transformation work. According to Insight Global, overall staffing demand rose 15% year over year, but AI-specific demand surged 136% in early 2026. CEO Bert Bean explained: 'You can't outsource transformation to software. You need people who know how to build and run it.'&#8212;which is exactly why the 1,700-person hiring initiative spans consulting, technical delivery, recruiting, sales, and operations. In our read, this 136% surge in AI-specific demand signals where the market is concentrating: companies building and running AI systems face acute talent scarcity compared to general staffing needs. For recruiting leaders, map where your AI infrastructure and transformation talent is being recruited away, then reassess your career paths and compensation against what growing firms like Insight Global can offer.</p><p><strong><a href="https://news.cognizant.com/2026-07-15-As-AI-Reshapes-Entry-Level-Jobs,-Cognizant-Synapse-Grantees-Show-Skills-Training-Gives-Young-Workers-an-Edge">Entry-level jobs are being rewritten: 94% expect AI-shaped roles</a> (<a href="https://news.cognizant.com/2026-07-15-As-AI-Reshapes-Entry-Level-Jobs,-Cognizant-Synapse-Grantees-Show-Skills-Training-Gives-Young-Workers-an-Edge">Cognizant</a>)</strong></p><p>Here's where the hiring picture flips: 94% of HR leaders expect AI to create entirely new entry-level roles that don't exist today&#8212;roles built around supervising and collaborating with AI systems rather than performing routine tasks. That's not speculation: a randomized controlled trial by Year Up United found program graduates earn 30% higher wages six years post-completion than a matched control group&#8212;the largest earnings impact ever recorded for any workforce-development program tested in an RCT. Cognizant is investing in this shift: the firm hired 20,000 new graduates in 2025 and expects to exceed that number in 2026 to build talent depth in AI-native capabilities. That 94% expectation represents a significant reframing in how talent leaders think about entry-level hiring: the question is no longer 'will AI cut jobs?' but 'what skills do I need my entry-level talent to have to thrive in AI-native teams?' For recruiting leaders, rebuild your entry-level job descriptions and training programs to explicitly teach AI collaboration, data fluency, and prompt engineering&#8212;then verify whether your sourcing and onboarding actually build these skills, not just check boxes.</p><p><a href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/publish/chat">Click here to share your thoughts</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[26 Workers Say Meta’s AI Picked Them for Layoff — Now They’re Suing]]></title><description><![CDATA[Plus: layoffs grew revenue at just 7% of firms, and 7 in 10 AI users ship work they can&#8217;t defend.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/26-workers-say-metas-ai-picked-them</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/26-workers-say-metas-ai-picked-them</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 22 Jul 2026 03:29:37 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a72d7d0c-c8bb-4165-a265-485740fab3d6_1600x900.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my work as a Silicon Valley HR-tech startup executive, I&#8217;ve watched AI get sold as a pure cost play &#8212; efficiency, no friction. But the bills don&#8217;t land that way; this week, four came due: a legal reckoning at Meta, a growth paradox in the data, a skills crisis hiding in plain sight, and the hours workers are burning just to keep AI outputs safe. Four stories below.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.hrdive.com/news/metas-ai-based-layoffs-allegedly-targeted-workers-who-had-taken-protected/825325/">26 Workers Allege Meta&#8217;s AI Ranked Them for Layoff Over Protected Leave</a> (<a href="https://www.hrdive.com/news/metas-ai-based-layoffs-allegedly-targeted-workers-who-had-taken-protected/825325/">HR Dive</a>)</strong></p><p>26 current and former Meta workers filed a lawsuit this week, alleging that the company used artificial-intelligence systems to score and rank employees for termination during its May layoffs. The complaint alleges Meta&#8217;s systems scored and ranked employees using &#8220;performance ratings, calibration scores, productivity and output metrics, &#8216;AI-native&#8217; ratings, and AI-token consumption&#8221; &#8212; inputs that, the suit says, &#8220;by design, cannot be accumulated by an employee who is on protected medical or family leave, or whose output is reduced by a disability.&#8221; The lawsuit cites five federal statutes: the Americans with Disabilities Act, Family and Medical Leave Act, Pregnancy Discrimination Act, Pregnant Workers Fairness Act, and Title VII. Meta has disputed the claims, stating the allegations &#8220;lack merit and are not based on facts,&#8221; and noting that layoff decisions &#8220;were and are made by people, not AI.&#8221; For HR leaders, audit your termination criteria for unintended screening of protected classes &#8212; and document the human owner of every AI-assisted ranking.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.hrdive.com/news/reducing-head-count-may-not-sustainably-increase-revenue/825401/">Adding Headcount Beats Cost-Cutting: 12.2% Growth vs. 6.8% From Layoffs</a> (<a href="https://www.hrdive.com/news/reducing-head-count-may-not-sustainably-increase-revenue/825401/">HR Dive</a>)</strong></p><p>A new Orgvue report on corporate restructuring reveals a counterintuitive finding: firms that grew revenue by hiring outperformed those that shrank headcount, with &#8220;human-fueled growth&#8221; delivering 12.2% YoY revenue growth against 6.8% for companies pursuing &#8220;do more with less&#8221; strategies. Only 7% of companies that routinely cut staff achieved repeated revenue increases, and just 2% sustained that growth pattern over three years &#8212; a sobering ratio for any CFO betting severance will unlock efficiency. Meanwhile, AI mentions in corporate 10-K filings jumped 48% year-over-year, yet only 27% of companies are actively applying AI in operations, and AI has driven less than 10% of restructures despite $50 billion in severance costs. In our read, some firms may be reaching for layoffs as a growth lever before they&#8217;ve wrung value from their existing workforce through AI or redesign &#8212; though Orgvue&#8217;s data captures outcomes, not motives. For talent leaders, pressure-test your cost-reduction thesis against the 7% success rate, and map out what your AI investments will actually do before announcing another headcount cut.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.hrdive.com/news/ai-may-conceal-growing-learning-debt-for-fast-changing-roles/825396/">Workers Jam AI Into Skill Gaps: 29% Can&#8217;t Explain the Work They Shipped</a> (<a href="https://www.hrdive.com/news/ai-may-conceal-growing-learning-debt-for-fast-changing-roles/825396/">HR Dive</a>)</strong></p><p>In a June survey of 1,200 US employees by TalentLMS, 41% reported that their role has evolved faster than their company can train them &#8212; a phenomenon the research team calls &#8220;learning debt.&#8221; Nearly 6 in 10 workers rely on AI at least sometimes to perform tasks they were never trained to do, and 29% have delivered work they couldn&#8217;t fully explain if asked how they accomplished it. The pattern suggests a hidden liability: 47% of workers keep quiet about skill gaps, while 62% use workarounds to compensate for missing training &#8212; both tactics that mask the true scope of the problem. Learning debt accumulates when performance metrics look stable even as underlying capability erodes, creating a lag between what companies think their teams can do and what they&#8217;re actually equipped to deliver. For HR leaders, map your learning debt by surveying role evolution alongside training deployment, and rebuild your curriculum before AI silently fills the gap.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.hrdive.com/news/heavy-ai-users-submit-work-they-dont-understand-glean/825076/">Nearly 7 in 10 AI Users Ship Work They Can&#8217;t Even Defend</a> (<a href="https://www.hrdive.com/news/heavy-ai-users-submit-work-they-dont-understand-glean/825076/">HR Dive</a>)</strong></p><p>Per Glean&#8217;s newly released Work AI Index, which surveyed 6,000 digital workers over the winter, employees now spend nearly a full workday a week &#8220;botsitting&#8221; &#8212; checking, debugging, and fixing AI&#8217;s &#8220;confident-but-wrong&#8221; outputs. Nearly 7 in 10 AI users admit to shipping AI-generated work they haven&#8217;t reviewed, don&#8217;t fully understand, or couldn&#8217;t defend if asked. The toll shows up in retention, where workers who spend 40% or more of their time botsitting are 73% more likely to be actively hunting for another job. Accountability is slipping too: 28% of AI users have blamed AI for a bad output, rising to 41% among heavy users, even as 90% of surveyed HR pros use AI themselves. For HR leaders, audit what your teams are shipping without review before the botsitting tax hardens into an attrition problem.</p><p><a href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/publish/chat">Click here to share your thoughts</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[28,000 White-Collar Jobs Vanish Every Month—Right Where AI Hit First]]></title><description><![CDATA[Also: a $6.5M bet on AI "employees" with their own wallets, and why AI-exposed grads now face nearly 8% unemployment.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/28000-white-collar-jobs-vanish-every</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/28000-white-collar-jobs-vanish-every</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 21 Jul 2026 13:31:16 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e2d03416-e1a1-48e1-8695-5f017e65bfb4_1600x900.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my work as a Silicon Valley <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/anandkarasi">HR Tech startup executive</a>, the clearest signal this week wasn't a splashy layoff headline&#8212;it was a quiet one buried in the government data: finance and information, the two sectors adopting AI fastest, are now shedding a combined 28,000 jobs a month even as the rest of the economy keeps hiring. Against that backdrop the "future of work" got stranger and more concrete at once&#8212;a startup raised $6.5 million to let AI "employees" pay their own bills, while fresh Fed data showed the new-grad market is toughest for exactly the AI-exposed majors everyone assumed were safe. Three stories below on a labor market that's bifurcating&#8212;by sector, by role, and increasingly between humans and the agents being built to work alongside (or instead of) them.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.insurancejournal.com/news/national/2026/07/02/875989.htm">Finance and tech are losing 28,000 jobs a month&#8212;exactly where AI landed first</a> (<a href="https://www.insurancejournal.com/news/national/2026/07/02/875989.htm">Bloomberg via Insurance Journal</a>)</strong></p><p>Payrolls in the financial-activities and information sectors&#8212;the two industries adopting AI fastest&#8212;have been falling by an average of 28,000 jobs a month in 2026, even as the broader economy added more than 113,000 jobs a month through May, according to government data compiled by Bloomberg. The decline looks structural rather than cyclical: layoffs in finance haven't spiked, so the losses are coming through frozen hiring and attrition in exactly the office and administrative roles&#8212;about a quarter of all financial-activities employment&#8212;that AI automates first. Outplacement firm Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas has now tracked roughly 102,000 AI-attributed job cuts this year, and its CEO warns "finance might be the next big sector that's most affected." </p><p><strong><a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/elainepofeldt/2026/07/03/startup-raises-65-million-by-making-it-easier-for-ai-employees-to-make-payments-online/">A $6.5M raise to let AI "employees" pay their own bills&#8212;and reshape your org chart</a> (<a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/elainepofeldt/2026/07/03/startup-raises-65-million-by-making-it-easier-for-ai-employees-to-make-payments-online/">Forbes</a>)</strong></p><p>A San Francisco startup called Alsa just raised $6.5 million in seed funding&#8212;led by Alibaba and Tribe Capital&#8212;to build the financial plumbing that lets AI agents handle money tasks humans do today, like making payments and managing subscriptions on digital platforms. The pitch, aimed at one-person companies and lean startups, treats AI agents less like software and more like staff: entities that need their own payment credentials, spending limits, and a chain of accountability. That reframing matters for HR well beyond fintech, because the moment an agent can transact on the company's behalf, someone has to own the questions we already ask about employees&#8212;who authorized this, what are its limits, and who is liable when it goes wrong. The "agent economy" is quietly forcing a governance conversation most people teams haven't started: Gartner projects 40% of enterprise applications will embed task-specific AI agents by the end of 2026&#8212;up from a small fraction just two years ago. Get ahead of it by drafting an "agent onboarding" policy now&#8212;provisioning, spend caps, audit trails, and a named human owner for every agent&#8212;so your controls exist before the agents do.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.insidehighered.com/news/students/careers/2026/06/29/job-market-recent-college-grads-5-charts">New grads face 5.6% unemployment&#8212;but AI-exposed computer-engineering majors hit nearly 8%</a> (<a href="https://www.insidehighered.com/news/students/careers/2026/06/29/job-market-recent-college-grads-5-charts">Inside Higher Ed</a>)</strong></p><p>A new Inside Higher Ed analysis built on Federal Reserve Bank of New York data cuts through the doom narrative: recent-graduate unemployment was 5.6% as of March 2026 versus 4.2% for all workers&#8212;elevated, but "not the worst it's ever been," in the words of NY Fed economist Jaison Abel. The nuance that matters for hiring is that the pain is concentrated by major&#8212;computer-engineering grads, long assumed to be the safest bet, now face nearly 8% unemployment (second only to anthropology), while criminal-justice majors sit at just 3.6%. Roughly a third of all graduates are "underemployed" in jobs that don't require a degree, a share that has held remarkably steady across good and bad economies for three decades. </p><p><strong><a href="https://www.hrdive.com/news/reducing-head-count-may-not-sustainably-increase-revenue/825401/">Adding Headcount Beats Cost-Cutting: 12.2% Growth vs. 6.8% From Layoffs</a> (<a href="https://www.hrdive.com/news/reducing-head-count-may-not-sustainably-increase-revenue/825401/">HR Dive</a>)</strong></p><p>A new Orgvue report on corporate restructuring reveals a counterintuitive finding: firms that grew revenue by hiring outperformed those that shrank headcount, with &#8220;human-fueled growth&#8221; delivering 12.2% YoY revenue growth against 6.8% for companies pursuing &#8220;do more with less&#8221; strategies. Only 7% of companies that routinely cut staff achieved repeated revenue increases, and just 2% sustained that growth pattern over three years &#8212; a sobering ratio for any CFO betting severance will unlock efficiency. Meanwhile, AI mentions in corporate 10-K filings jumped 48% year-over-year, yet only 27% of companies are actively applying AI in operations, and AI has driven less than 10% of restructures despite $50 billion in severance costs. In our read, some firms may be reaching for layoffs as a growth lever before they&#8217;ve wrung value from their existing workforce through AI or redesign &#8212; though Orgvue&#8217;s data captures outcomes, not motives. For talent leaders, pressure-test your cost-reduction thesis against the 7% success rate, and map out what your AI investments will actually do before announcing another headcount cut.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.hrdive.com/news/ai-may-conceal-growing-learning-debt-for-fast-changing-roles/825396/">Workers Jam AI Into Skill Gaps: 29% Can&#8217;t Explain the Work They Shipped</a> (<a href="https://www.hrdive.com/news/ai-may-conceal-growing-learning-debt-for-fast-changing-roles/825396/">HR Dive</a>)</strong></p><p>In a June survey of 1,200 US employees by TalentLMS, 41% reported that their role has evolved faster than their company can train them &#8212; a phenomenon the research team calls &#8220;learning debt.&#8221; Nearly 6 in 10 workers rely on AI at least sometimes to perform tasks they were never trained to do, and 29% have delivered work they couldn&#8217;t fully explain if asked how they accomplished it. The pattern suggests a hidden liability: 47% of workers keep quiet about skill gaps, while 62% use workarounds to compensate for missing training &#8212; both tactics that mask the true scope of the problem. </p><p><a href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/publish/chat">Click here to share your thoughts</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[55% of Bosses Regret Their AI Layoffs — Now They're Quietly Rehiring]]></title><description><![CDATA[Also: June hiring cratered to 57,000 jobs, Microsoft cut ~5,500 more, and AI's biggest spenders grew headcount 10%.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/55-of-bosses-regret-their-ai-layoffs</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/55-of-bosses-regret-their-ai-layoffs</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 06 Jul 2026 13:49:07 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6f61882c-64de-46f2-8bc2-38f9db5af02a_1600x900.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my work as a Silicon Valley HR Tech startup executive, this was the week the tidy "AI is replacing everyone" story cracked: a new Forrester read found 55% of employers who cut roles for AI now regret it, even as June payrolls limped to just 57,000 new jobs and Microsoft queued up roughly 5,500 more cuts to fund its AI build-out. And yet the sharpest number pointed the other way &#8212; the companies spending the most on AI grew headcount 10%, and entry-level hiring 12%. Five stories below on a labor market being restructured faster than anyone can agree on what AI is actually doing to it.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/01/employers-who-laid-off-workers-for-ai-are-reversing-their-decisions.html">55% of employers regret their AI layoffs &#8212; and the quiet rehiring has begun</a> (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/01/employers-who-laid-off-workers-for-ai-are-reversing-their-decisions.html">CNBC</a>)</strong></p><p>The wave of 2025&#8211;2026 "AI-first" layoffs is now running in reverse: Forrester found that 55% of employers who cut roles citing AI regret the decision, and it projects that half of all AI-attributed reductions will end in quiet rehires &#8212; frequently offshore or at lower salaries. The reversals are already visible, with Ford pulling experienced engineers back to fix quality problems automation couldn't, IBM and Commonwealth Bank of Australia walking back cuts, and CBA rehiring 45 customer-service staff after its "voice bot" increased call volumes instead of reducing them. Even OpenAI's Sam Altman has conceded there's "some AI washing" &#8212; leaders blaming AI for cuts they wanted to make anyway. For talent leaders, the lesson is expensive: severance-then-rehire cycles destroy institutional knowledge and torch trust, and "we automated it" is not a workforce plan. Before signing off on an AI-driven reduction, pressure-test the productivity claim against real output data and model the rehire cost &#8212; because a growing share of these decisions are being reversed within months.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.cnn.com/2026/07/02/economy/us-jobs-report-june-final">June hiring cratered to 57,000 jobs as labor-force participation hit a five-year low</a> (<a href="https://www.cnn.com/2026/07/02/economy/us-jobs-report-june-final">CNN Business</a>)</strong></p><p>The U.S. added just 57,000 jobs in June, roughly half the ~115,000 economists expected, and the prior two months were revised down by a combined 74,000 (April to 148,000, May to 129,000). Unemployment ticked down to 4.2%, but for the wrong reason: labor-force participation fell three-tenths to 61.5%, its lowest since March 2021, meaning the rate improved because people stopped looking, not because they found work. Hiring is now averaging about 92,000 a month across the first half of 2026 &#8212; positive, but historically weak &#8212; with the softness concentrated in the white-collar and entry-level roles most exposed to AI. For HR, this is the macro backdrop that makes internal mobility non-negotiable: when external hiring is this thin, your next critical hire is more likely to be a redeployment than a requisition. Build the skills-adjacency map now so you can move people toward demand instead of competing for scarce outside talent.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.bls.gov/news.release/jolts.nr0.htm">Openings hit a two-year high of 7.6 million &#8212; yet hiring and quitting stayed frozen</a> (<a href="https://www.bls.gov/news.release/jolts.nr0.htm">BLS</a>)</strong></p><p>The Job Openings and Labor Turnover data released June 30 showed openings holding at 7.6 million &#8212; a two-year high &#8212; while hires were flat at 5.2 million and quits stuck at 3.1 million. That combination is the statistical fingerprint of a "low-hire, low-fire" economy: employers are posting roles and clinging to the people they have, but they're not pulling the trigger on new hires, and workers aren't confident enough to jump. Layoffs and discharges, tellingly, held at just 1.7 million &#8212; so this freeze is about hesitation, not mass firing. For talent teams, a frozen quit rate is a double-edged signal: retention looks great on paper, but it often masks disengaged "job-hugging" employees who would leave in a healthier market. Use stay interviews and internal-gig programs to convert that captive-but-restless population into mobility before the thaw sends your quiet flight risks out the door.</p><p><strong><a href="https://techstartups.com/2026/07/01/microsoft-plans-to-lay-off-thousands-as-ai-spending-reshapes-its-workforce/">Microsoft is cutting roughly 5,500 jobs to keep funding its AI build-out</a> (<a href="https://techstartups.com/2026/07/01/microsoft-plans-to-lay-off-thousands-as-ai-spending-reshapes-its-workforce/">Tech Startups</a>)</strong></p><p>Microsoft is preparing to cut around 5,500 roles &#8212; fewer than 2.5% of its workforce &#8212; in an early-July restructuring concentrated in sales, consulting, and its Xbox division, according to multiple reports tied to the start of its new fiscal year. The cuts follow an earlier voluntary-retirement offer that nearly 9,000 U.S. employees qualified for and about a third accepted, underscoring that this is deliberate reallocation rather than distress: the company is trimming customer-facing headcount while pouring tens of billions into AI infrastructure. It's the clearest expression yet of the "AI reallocation trade" &#8212; cut people in mature functions to fund compute &#8212; that has defined 2026's biggest tech restructurings. For HR leaders, the signal is that headcount planning and capital-allocation strategy are now the same conversation, and "where is the AI money coming from" increasingly means "which teams." Map which of your functions are being taxed to fund AI bets, and get ahead of redeployment for the people in them before the budget decides for you.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/ai-jobs-data-study-hiring-economy-rcna352206">AI's heaviest spenders grew headcount 10% &#8212; and entry-level hiring 12%</a> (<a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/ai-jobs-data-study-hiring-economy-rcna352206">NBC News</a>)</strong></p><p>Cutting against the doom narrative, a new study from Ramp and Revelio Labs &#8212; matching AI-vendor spending to workforce records for 21,559 U.S. companies from 2021 to early 2026 &#8212; found that high-intensity AI adopters grew total headcount 10.2% in the two years after adoption, and entry-level hiring 12%. In other words, the firms leaning hardest into AI are expanding, not hollowing out, their teams &#8212; including the junior roles everyone assumes are most at risk. The researchers are careful to flag correlation over causation (heavy adopters were already larger, faster-growing, and more technical), but the pattern lines up with IBM's move to triple U.S. entry-level hiring and with the rehiring reversals above. For talent leaders, it reframes AI from a headcount-reduction lever into a growth-and-capacity lever &#8212; the winners are using productivity gains to enter new markets, not just to shrink. The takeaway: pair every AI deployment with a hiring-and-redeployment plan, because the organizations treating AI purely as a cost cut are the ones most likely to be quietly rehiring in six months.</p><p><a href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/publish/chat">Click here to share your thoughts</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[This Week in AI-Driven Talent: AI Job Cuts, 62% Skill Premiums & the End of Entry-Level Hiring ]]></title><description><![CDATA[In this episode of TalentNews, we break down the biggest June trends shaping the future of work: rising AI wage premiums, disappearing entry-level roles, AI-driven layoffs.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/this-week-in-ai-driven-talent-ai</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/this-week-in-ai-driven-talent-ai</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 06 Jul 2026 06:23:04 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://api.substack.com/feed/podcast/205460001/c0dca06fd8b41ba92b9c60049745494d.mp3" length="0" type="audio/mpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We cover the signals every talent leader should be watching &#8212; from a <strong>62% premium for AI skills</strong>, to <strong>25,000 jobs erased by AI in a single month</strong>, to major workforce shifts at companies like Uber, Intuit, BILL, and Amdocs.</p><p>If you work in HR, recruiting, people operations, or future-of-work strategy, this video connects the headlines to the deeper shift: AI is no longer just a productivity tool &#8212; it is changing who gets hired, who gets paid more, and which roles are disappearing first.</p><p><strong>In this video:</strong></p><p>- Why AI skills are commanding a 62% wage premium</p><p>- Why entry-level hiring is quietly shrinking</p><p>- How AI is driving layoffs across knowledge work</p><p>- What workforce restructurings at major companies reveal</p><p>- What talent leaders need to do next</p><p>If you&#8217;re tracking the future of hiring, workforce transformation, and AI strategy, make sure to <strong>like, subscribe, and comment</strong> on what topic I should cover next.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[AI's Biggest Job Cutters Just Pledged $500M to Retrain the Displaced]]></title><description><![CDATA[Also: June layoffs cooled 53% but AI still led the cuts, and 52% of talent leaders are onboarding AI agents.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/ais-biggest-job-cutters-just-pledged</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/ais-biggest-job-cutters-just-pledged</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2026 15:23:59 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/850f3a5b-8298-4fe8-88b3-9a89fa14d1c2_1600x900.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my work as a Silicon Valley HR Tech startup executive, I keep noticing the same split-screen: the companies automating jobs fastest are also the ones now writing the biggest checks to clean up the fallout. This week a coalition of AI's largest employers pledged more than $500 million to retrain the workers their own tools are displacing, even as June's layoff data showed AI is now the single most-cited reason for cuts for the fourth month running &#8212; and Amazon's internal documents mapped a path to skip 600,000 future hires. Six stories below on an industry being handed AI faster than it has learned to redeploy, govern, or account for the people it moves.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.techtimes.com/articles/319395/20260630/ai-workforce-retraining-fund-hits-500m-companies-cutting-jobs-are-paying-fix.htm">The tech giants behind 50,000 AI layoffs just pledged $500M to retrain workers</a> (<a href="https://www.techtimes.com/articles/319395/20260630/ai-workforce-retraining-fund-hits-500m-companies-cutting-jobs-are-paying-fix.htm">Tech Times</a>)</strong></p><p>A new nonprofit called RAISE US, launched June 25 by former Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo and former Indiana Governor Eric Holcomb, has already raised more than $500 million toward a $1 billion goal to retrain American workers for the AI economy &#8212; and the first checks came from Amazon, Anthropic, Microsoft, and the OpenAI Foundation, the very companies that have attributed more than 50,000 U.S. layoffs to AI in the past 18 months. The coalition (whose backers also include IBM, Workday, ServiceNow, ADP, and Cisco) is piloting employer-linked training, wage insurance, and redeployment in Arkansas, Connecticut, Maryland, and Utah. The design is a direct response to hard evidence: a study of more than 23 million federal Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act records found that traditional retraining rarely moves people into less automation-exposed jobs &#8212; the one exception being employer-led apprenticeships. For talent leaders, the signal is that redeployment beats severance, and the programs that actually work are the ones you build and staff yourself rather than outsource to a classroom after the layoff.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.challengergray.com/blog/challenger-report-june-layoffs-cool-to-45849-down-53-from-may-ai-leads-reasons-for-fourth-consecutive-month/">June layoffs fell 53% &#8212; but AI stayed the No. 1 reason for cuts</a> (<a href="https://www.challengergray.com/blog/challenger-report-june-layoffs-cool-to-45849-down-53-from-may-ai-leads-reasons-for-fourth-consecutive-month/">Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas</a>)</strong></p><p>U.S. employers announced 45,849 job cuts in June, down 53% from May's 97,006 and the lowest monthly total since December 2025 &#8212; but artificial intelligence still led all stated reasons for the fourth consecutive month, cited in 14,029 of those cuts (31%). AI has now been named in 101,743 layoffs so far in 2026, roughly 23% of the year's total, while technology remains the epicenter with 15,503 cuts in June and 139,156 year-to-date, up 83% from the same period in 2025. The telling nuance for HR: even as the raw pace of layoffs slows, AI's <em>share</em> of the rationale keeps climbing, meaning it has become a structural driver of headcount decisions rather than a cyclical one. Notably, planned hiring is also up &#8212; employers announced 91,405 new hires year-to-date, 10% above last year &#8212; so the real story is reallocation, and workforce planners should expect to cut and build inside the same org at the same time.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.foxbusiness.com/media/amazon-plans-avoid-hiring-600000-workers-through-ai-automation-strategy-double-sales-2033">Amazon's own documents map a plan to skip 600,000 hires by automating 75% of operations</a> (<a href="https://www.foxbusiness.com/media/amazon-plans-avoid-hiring-600000-workers-through-ai-automation-strategy-double-sales-2033">Fox Business</a>)</strong></p><p>Internal strategy documents reviewed by The New York Times reveal that Amazon aims to automate roughly 75% of its operations &#8212; a path that would let it avoid hiring more than 160,000 workers by 2027 and over 600,000 by 2033, even as it plans to double the products it sells. The near-term math is stark: skipping those 2025&#8211;2027 hires is projected to save about 30 cents per item shipped, or roughly $12.6 billion. MIT economist and Nobel laureate Daron Acemoglu warned that "nobody else has the same incentive as Amazon to find the way to automate," and that once it works profitably, "it will spread to others." For HR leaders, this is the clearest published blueprint of automation-first workforce planning, and it reframes the core question from "how many do we hire" to "how many roles do we design out before they ever open."</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.kornferry.com/about-us/press/korn-ferry-research-unveils-top-talent-acquisition-trends-shaping-2026">52% of talent leaders are onboarding AI agents &#8212; some with employee records</a> (<a href="https://www.kornferry.com/about-us/press/korn-ferry-research-unveils-top-talent-acquisition-trends-shaping-2026">Korn Ferry</a>)</strong></p><p>Korn Ferry's 2026 Talent Acquisition Trends report, based on a survey of more than 1,670 global talent leaders, found that 52% plan to add autonomous AI agents to their teams this year &#8212; and that many are already creating employee records, access permissions, and defined responsibilities for those agents as if they were staff. Yet the same research found only 11% of leaders believe their executives are well-prepared to lead through the AI transition, and 73% still rank human critical thinking as their top hiring priority. The implication for HR is concrete and immediate: managing a "hybrid" team of people and agents pulls onboarding, performance tracking, and access governance squarely into the HR function's remit. The move now is to define who owns an AI agent's lifecycle &#8212; provisioning, oversight, and offboarding &#8212; before agents proliferate across departments without an owner.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.gallup.com/workplace/704225/rising-adoption-spurs-workforce-changes.aspx">Half of U.S. workers now use AI &#8212; but only 8% say it changed their work</a> (<a href="https://www.gallup.com/workplace/704225/rising-adoption-spurs-workforce-changes.aspx">Gallup</a>)</strong></p><p>Gallup's survey of 23,717 U.S. employees found that half now use AI at work at least occasionally &#8212; up from 21% in 2023 &#8212; with 28% using it weekly and 13% daily, yet only 8% strongly agree AI has fundamentally changed how work gets done in their organization. The gap between adoption and transformation is the whole story: employees report real individual productivity gains, but firms have largely not redesigned workflows around the tools, and 27% of workers in AI-adopting organizations report large-scale disruption versus 17% elsewhere. Worker anxiety is climbing in step, with 18% of all employees &#8212; and 23% inside AI-adopting firms &#8212; saying it's likely their job is eliminated by AI within five years. For HR, the takeaway is that buying AI licenses is the easy part; capturing value requires redesigning roles and coaching managers, since the organizations that redesign work see far more return than those that simply switch the tools on.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-bill/3339/text">A new federal bill would force employers to disclose when AI causes a mass layoff</a> (<a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-bill/3339/text">Congress.gov</a>)</strong></p><p>The bipartisan AI Workforce PREPARE Act (S. 3339) would amend the WARN Act to require employers to disclose when AI was a "substantial factor" in a covered mass layoff &#8212; including the type of AI used, the estimated share of job losses attributable to it, and any retraining offered beforehand. It arrives alongside the SKILL Act, introduced June 24 by Representatives Sam Liccardo and Jimmy Panetta, which would use tax credits to push companies to co-fund sub-two-year reskilling programs with community colleges, while Connecticut has become one of the first states to require employers to flag any relationship between layoffs and AI. No federal law yet mandates AI-layoff disclosure, but the direction is unmistakable, and the documentation burden will land on HR and people-ops teams. The prudent move is to start tracking AI's role in restructuring decisions now &#8212; because "we didn't record that" is not a defense any regulator or plaintiff will accept once these rules take effect.</p><p><a href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/publish/chat">Click here to share your thoughts</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[A Bank Just Reclassified 7,800 Workers as “Lower-Value Human Capital”]]></title><description><![CDATA[Also: a $5.5 trillion skills gap looms, half of HR teams use no AI, and 96% of recruiters now do.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/a-bank-just-reclassified-7800-workers</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/a-bank-just-reclassified-7800-workers</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 30 Jun 2026 12:48:04 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b8732321-9bbf-4ad2-826a-42a0d8444a93_1600x900.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my work as a Silicon Valley HR Tech startup executive, I keep seeing the same split-screen: the tools to automate HR are everywhere now &#8212; autonomous sourcing agents, AI interviewers, AI governance dashboards &#8212; yet adoption, trust, and skills keep lagging the hype. This week a global bank reclassified 7,800 of its own back-office staff as &#8220;lower-value human capital,&#8221; even as SHRM found over half of HR teams have deployed no AI at all and a new IDC report pegged the global skills gap at $5.5 trillion. Six stories below on an industry that has been handed AI faster than it has learned to staff, govern, or trust it.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.shrm.org/topics-tools/research/state-of-ai-hr-2026/full-report">Half of HR teams have deployed zero AI &#8212; even as 92% of CHROs plan to expand it</a> (<a href="https://www.shrm.org/topics-tools/research/state-of-ai-hr-2026/full-report">SHRM</a>)</strong></p><p>SHRM&#8217;s State of AI in HR 2026, a survey of 1,722 HR professionals, found that 54% of organizations have adopted no AI in their HR function and have no plans to in 2026 &#8212; even though 92% of CHROs expect AI adoption to grow. The single biggest reason for non-adoption isn&#8217;t cost or risk; it&#8217;s awareness, with 67% saying they simply don&#8217;t know what AI can actually do in hiring. Where AI is used, it clusters in recruiting (27%) and HR technology (21%), while 87% of HR pros still believe customer preference for a human touch will keep the function from ever being fully automated. For talent leaders, the bottleneck is literacy, not technology &#8212; closing the gap starts with showing your own team concrete, low-risk use cases before a competitor&#8217;s HR function out-learns yours.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.hrgrapevine.com/content/article/2026-05-20-standard-chartered-steps-up-ai-use-to-replace-lower-value-human-capital">7,800 jobs just got reclassified as &#8220;lower-value human capital&#8221; &#8212; and HR was first in line</a> (<a href="https://www.hrgrapevine.com/content/article/2026-05-20-standard-chartered-steps-up-ai-use-to-replace-lower-value-human-capital">HR Grapevine</a>)</strong></p><p>Standard Chartered told investors it will cut roughly 7,800 roles &#8212; more than 15% of its 52,000-strong corporate-functions workforce &#8212; by 2030 as AI absorbs back-office work, with CEO Bill Winters framing it as &#8220;replacing lower-value human capital&#8221; with technology investment. The first functions on the block are human resources, risk, and compliance: the rule-based, documentation-heavy work that consumes headcount without generating direct revenue. Winters later walked back the phrasing after backlash, but the strategic signal stands &#8212; process-heavy HR operations are now an explicit automation target inside one of the world&#8217;s largest banks. For HR leaders, the defensive move is to get ahead of the framing and quantify the judgment, relationships, and risk calls your team makes that no agent can, before someone else prices your work as &#8220;lower-value.&#8221;</p><p><strong><a href="https://hrexecutive.com/littler-ai-overtakes-immigration-dei-as-top-employer-concern/">Employer fear of AI rules just doubled to 84% &#8212; now beating DEI and immigration</a> (<a href="https://hrexecutive.com/littler-ai-overtakes-immigration-dei-as-top-employer-concern/">HR Executive</a>)</strong></p><p>In Littler&#8217;s 2026 Annual Employer Survey of more than 300 executives and in-house lawyers, 84% now expect AI policy or regulatory changes to hit their business in the next 12 months &#8212; double the 42% who said so in 2025 &#8212; vaulting AI past immigration and DEI as the top workplace-law concern. Yet governance is lagging the anxiety: 68% have a formal AI policy (up from 38% a year ago), but only 55% have a real review process for AI tools and just 54% restrict what data can be entered into them. A full 79% are worried about AI-related litigation, with employee and candidate data the leading fear (49%), followed by discrimination and bias (45%). For talent leaders, this is the year to close the gap between &#8220;we have a policy&#8221; and &#8220;we can prove how every hiring algorithm was vetted,&#8221; because that is exactly what plaintiffs and regulators will ask for.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260520017045/en/Juicebox-Launches-AI-Agents-That-Continuously-Source-Top-Talent-Across-Every-Open-Role">An AI recruiter raised $36M to source candidates from 800 million profiles</a> (<a href="https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260520017045/en/Juicebox-Launches-AI-Agents-That-Continuously-Source-Top-Talent-Across-Every-Open-Role">Business Wire</a>)</strong></p><p>Juicebox raised $36 million &#8212; including a $30 million Series A led by Sequoia Capital &#8212; to scale autonomous recruiting agents that source, qualify, and engage candidates across more than 800 million profiles from 60-plus data sources. The startup grew revenue more than 10x in the past year to $10 million in ARR, serving 2,500-plus customers including teams at Ramp and Perplexity, after bootstrapping its first $1 million in ARR with just four people. Its &#8220;Agents&#8221; mode promises a fully autonomous sourcing partner rather than a recruiter copilot &#8212; a direct bet that top-of-funnel sourcing is the first recruiting task to go entirely hands-off. For talent leaders, the message is to decide deliberately which parts of the funnel you want automated, because the tools to remove the human from sourcing altogether are now funded and shipping.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.workera.ai/guides-reports/the-5-5-trillion-skills-gap-what-idcs-new-report-reveals-about-ai-workforce-readiness">The AI skills gap could cost the global economy $5.5 trillion by year&#8217;s end</a> (<a href="https://www.workera.ai/guides-reports/the-5-5-trillion-skills-gap-what-idcs-new-report-reveals-about-ai-workforce-readiness">Workera</a>)</strong></p><p>A new IDC report finds that more than 90% of global enterprises are on track to face critical skills shortages by the end of 2026, with the resulting drag on productivity and growth potentially reaching $5.5 trillion. The gap persists even as AI literacy ranks as the fastest-growing skill worldwide &#8212; and even as most employees report receiving zero formal AI training from their employers. The disconnect is structural: companies are buying AI far faster than they are teaching anyone to use it well. For HR and L&amp;D leaders, the cheapest risk reduction available right now is structured, role-specific AI upskilling, since organizations with mature training programs consistently capture far more AI ROI than those treating skills as an afterthought.</p><p><strong><a href="https://blog.theinterviewguys.com/the-state-of-ai-in-job-interviews-2026-the-year-96-of-hiring-pros/">96% of recruiters now use AI &#8212; and 1 in 5 candidates uses it live in interviews</a> (<a href="https://blog.theinterviewguys.com/the-state-of-ai-in-job-interviews-2026-the-year-96-of-hiring-pros/">The Interview Guys</a>)</strong></p><p>A 2026 analysis of AI in hiring found that 96% of hiring professionals now use AI in at least one recruiting task, while across the table 74% of job seekers use AI in their search and 22% admit to using it live, in real time, during actual interviews. The result is an AI-versus-AI screening loop &#8212; machine-written applications evaluated by machine screeners, with humans increasingly unsure what signal survives. The most common employer uses (automated job descriptions at 61%, candidate communication at 55%, and r&#233;sum&#233; filtering at 45%) are exactly the steps candidates are now gaming back. For talent leaders, the fix is verification-first hiring: live problem-solving and work samples that reveal real ability, because the r&#233;sum&#233; and the scripted interview answer are fast becoming AI artifacts on both sides.</p><p><a href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/publish/chat">Click here to share your thoughts</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[AI now drives 56% of 2026's layoffs—and this week it hit HR software itself]]></title><description><![CDATA[Also: AI now drives 56% of 2026's layoffs, long-term unemployment hits a four-year high, and workplace AI agents jumped 15x.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/ai-now-drives-56-of-2026s-layoffsand</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/ai-now-drives-56-of-2026s-layoffsand</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 28 Jun 2026 14:33:28 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/708d22c5-2a52-432a-81a9-5021d7a5c9c8_1600x900.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my work as a Silicon Valley <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/anandkarasi">HR Tech startup executive</a>, I keep seeing the same split-screen. On one side, AI is now woven so deeply into hiring and headcount decisions that a single court ruling could expose employers to claims from <em>hundreds of millions</em> of rejected applicants, and trackers now blame AI for more than half of 2026's layoffs. On the other, the payoff keeps slipping away &#8212; long-term unemployment just hit a four-year high, the entry-level rung is thinning, and Microsoft says the thing blocking AI's value isn't the technology but the culture HR owns. Six stories below on a workforce that has deployed AI faster than it has learned to govern, defend, or trust it.</p><p><strong><a href="https://techcrunch.com/2026/06/22/the-running-list-major-tech-layoffs-in-2026-where-employers-cited-ai/">AI now drives 56% of 2026's layoffs&#8212;and this week it hit HR software itself</a> (<a href="https://techcrunch.com/2026/06/22/the-running-list-major-tech-layoffs-in-2026-where-employers-cited-ai/">TechCrunch</a>)</strong></p><p>Across 2026, AI, automation, or machine learning has been cited in 56% of layoff events, affecting roughly 156,270 workers at 150 companies, with the pace running near 1,115 cuts a day &#8212; almost double last year's rate. The irony arrived this week: Culture Amp, an employee-experience platform built to help companies engage their people, cut 70 jobs (about 9% of staff) on June 25 in its third round in three years, while Oracle trimmed another 500 roles in Romania the same day. When the vendors selling "better workplaces" are themselves restructuring around AI, the signal to every CHRO is that no function is insulated. Treat your own team's roadmap the way you'd advise a client's &#8212; map which tasks AI absorbs before the budget cycle does it for you.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/04/long-term-unemployment-economy-jobs.html">Long-term unemployment just hit a four-year high while the headline jobs number looked fine</a> (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/04/long-term-unemployment-economy-jobs.html">CNBC</a>)</strong></p><p>The count of long-term unemployed Americans &#8212; those out of work 27 weeks or longer &#8212; rose by 155,000 to nearly 2 million, the highest level since December 2021, even as the topline unemployment rate held flat at 4.3%. This is the quiet damage hiding inside a "stable" labor market: firing stays low, but hiring has frozen, so people who lose jobs stay jobless far longer, and remote workers are turning up as a disproportionate share of the unemployed. For talent leaders, the scarring is real &#8212; long gaps compound, and the longer-term unemployed get screened out by the very automated filters now under legal challenge. If you're hiring, this is the moment to widen criteria and revisit candidates the algorithms have been silently aging out.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0106">Workers aged 22&#8211;25 in AI-exposed jobs have lost 13% of their employment since 2022</a> (<a href="https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0106">Dallas Fed</a>)</strong></p><p>New analysis finds the youngest workers in the most AI-exposed occupations have seen employment fall about 13% since late 2022, and unemployment among 20-to-30-year-olds in tech-exposed roles has climbed nearly three percentage points since early 2025 &#8212; notably steeper than for older workers in the same fields. The mechanism isn't mass layoffs of the young; it's that fewer of them are being pulled into these jobs in the first place as AI absorbs the junior tasks that used to be the on-ramp. That quietly breaks the pipeline that produces tomorrow's senior talent. Companies that keep deliberately hiring and training juniors now will own a scarce, loyal mid-level bench in three years.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/worklab/work-trend-index/agents-human-agency-and-the-opportunity-for-every-organization">AI agents jumped 15x in a year&#8212;but culture, not technology, is blocking the payoff</a> (<a href="https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/worklab/work-trend-index/agents-human-agency-and-the-opportunity-for-every-organization">Microsoft</a>)</strong></p><p>Microsoft's 2026 Work Trend Index, drawn from 20,000 workers across 10 markets, reports active AI agents on Microsoft 365 grew 15x year over year &#8212; 18x inside large enterprises &#8212; yet concludes the biggest barrier to real value isn't the tech or the workers but ingrained organizational culture. A separate June 24 Remesh study underlines the gap: only 44% of organizations give employees clear guidance on how to use AI at all. That makes the bottleneck squarely HR's mandate &#8212; norms, training, and permission to change how work gets done. Before buying another agent license, publish the AI-use guidance the majority of companies still don't have.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.w3global.com/2026-hiring-trends-ai-skills-based-strategies-and-workforce-shifts-every-executive-must-know">Skills-based hiring hit 81% of employers&#8212;just as AI made r&#233;sum&#233;s impossible to trust</a> (<a href="https://www.w3global.com/2026-hiring-trends-ai-skills-based-strategies-and-workforce-shifts-every-executive-must-know">W3Global</a>)</strong></p><p>Skills-based hiring is now used by 81% of employers, up from 57% in 2022, and the teams doing it well report 89% higher retention and 88% fewer mishires. But the same period gave rise to "skillfishing" &#8212; SHRM's term for the widening gap between how candidates present their abilities and how they actually perform &#8212; as AI tools generate tailored r&#233;sum&#233;s, cover letters, and even real-time interview answers. The result is that a polished application now carries less signal than ever, and leading teams are shifting from attraction-first to verification-first hiring: live problem-solving, work samples, and multiple human interactions. If your funnel still scores candidates mostly on self-reported skills, you're optimizing for whoever has the best AI, not the best fit.</p><p><a href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/publish/chat">Click here to share your thoughts</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[90% of Companies Use AI to Hire—Under 5% Say It Works]]></title><description><![CDATA[Also: Colorado delays its AI-hiring law to 2027, managers now run 12-person teams, and Paytm adds 4,000 AI roles.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/90-of-companies-use-ai-to-hireunder</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/90-of-companies-use-ai-to-hireunder</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 26 Jun 2026 13:05:14 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c3f18e5c-508e-4b19-9480-09a2578649f6_1600x900.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my work as a Silicon Valley HR Tech startup executive, the story this month is the widening gap between how much AI we&#8217;ve poured into hiring and how little of it actually works yet. More than 90% of companies now run AI somewhere in talent acquisition, managers are absorbing ever-larger teams as the middle layer thins, and Paytm is adding 4,000 AI-focused roles&#8212;yet fewer than 5% of firms call their AI hiring results transformational, nearly 4 in 10 candidates are walking out of AI interviews, and Colorado just gutted the AI-hiring law everyone spent two years preparing for. Six stories below on a market that adopted AI faster than it learned to govern, staff, or trust it.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/90-of-companies-use-ai-in-hiring-fewer-than-5-are-seeing-it-work-302808083.html">90% of Companies Now Use AI to Hire&#8212;Fewer Than 5% Say It Works</a> (<a href="https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/90-of-companies-use-ai-in-hiring-fewer-than-5-are-seeing-it-work-302808083.html">ManpowerGroup</a>)</strong></p><p>New research from ManpowerGroup Talent Solutions and Everest Group finds that more than 90% of organizations have deployed AI across talent acquisition, yet fewer than 5% report transformational outcomes on any key hiring metric. The survey of 80 C-suite, CHRO, and senior TA leaders across the US and UK found the gains concentrated in sourcing, resume screening, and candidate engagement&#8212;but rarely compounding into end-to-end value. The diagnosis matters for HR leaders: most teams are bolting AI onto workflows built for a pre-AI world, with siloed tools and data that stop value from accumulating across the funnel. Before buying the next point solution, audit whether your stack shares data across the hiring lifecycle&#8212;integration, not more tools, is what separates the 5% from everyone else.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-06-17/why-companies-are-cutting-middle-managers-in-the-ai-era">One Manager, 12 Reports: AI Is Quietly Erasing the Middle Layer</a> (<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-06-17/why-companies-are-cutting-middle-managers-in-the-ai-era">Bloomberg</a>)</strong></p><p>Companies are thinning their management ranks, and the math is visible in spans of control: the average number of direct reports per manager rose from 10.9 in 2024 to 12.1 in 2025, per Gallup&#8212;part of a nearly 50% jump in team size since 2013. A 2026 WRITER survey found 95% of executives say roles and team structures are already changing because of AI, and 75% expect AI agents to be part of company leadership within five years. For HR, this reshapes the org chart faster than career ladders can adjust&#8212;fewer rungs between individual contributor and executive, and more pressure on the managers who remain. Invest now in span-of-control planning and manager enablement; the leaders left standing are supervising 12-plus people and need AI to absorb the reporting, not just the headcount math.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.business-standard.com/companies/news/paytm-plans-to-hire-4-000-employees-amid-ai-expansion-with-some-roles-cut-126060900260_1.html">4,000 Hires, 400 Cuts: Inside Paytm&#8217;s 10% AI Headcount Reset</a> (<a href="https://www.business-standard.com/companies/news/paytm-plans-to-hire-4-000-employees-amid-ai-expansion-with-some-roles-cut-126060900260_1.html">Business Standard</a>)</strong></p><p>Paytm plans to hire about 4,000 people through March 2027&#8212;roughly a 10% increase on its ~40,000 headcount&#8212;while cutting about 1% (~400 roles) after its current appraisal cycle. The new roles concentrate in product, technology, AI, merchant services, and leadership, following four straight profitable quarters for the Indian fintech. It&#8217;s a clean example of the AI reallocation pattern talent leaders keep seeing: net hiring up even as specific roles are trimmed, with the growth flowing to AI-adjacent and revenue-facing work. When you model &#8220;AI headcount impact,&#8221; model the reallocation, not just the cuts&#8212;Paytm is adding roughly nine new roles for every one it removes.</p><p><strong><a href="https://fortune.com/2026/05/04/4-in-10-job-candidates-bailed-hiring-rounds-required-ai-interview/">Nearly 4 in 10 Candidates Now Walk Away From AI-Required Interviews</a> (<a href="https://fortune.com/2026/05/04/4-in-10-job-candidates-bailed-hiring-rounds-required-ai-interview/">Fortune</a>)</strong></p><p>Hiring is sliding into an AI-versus-AI standoff: nearly 4 in 10 job candidates have abandoned a hiring round because it required an AI interview, according to Fortune. On the other side, roughly three in four job seekers now use AI to polish applications, and Workday alone processed 173 million applications in a recent half-year&#8212;up 31% even as open requisitions grew just 7%. For talent teams, application volume is no longer a signal of demand; AI-generated applications are drowning recruiters while AI screeners push qualified candidates to walk. Re-examine where automation actually helps versus where it erodes trust&#8212;if 40% of your strongest candidates exit at the AI-interview step, that&#8217;s a funnel leak, not an efficiency gain.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.littler.com/news-analysis/asap/colorado-amends-its-artificial-intelligence-law-substantially-reducing">Colorado Just Delayed Its AI-Hiring Law to 2027 and Cut Its Toughest Rules</a> (<a href="https://www.littler.com/news-analysis/asap/colorado-amends-its-artificial-intelligence-law-substantially-reducing">Littler</a>)</strong></p><p>The AI-hiring deadline employers spent two years preparing for just moved: Colorado&#8217;s SB 189, signed May 14, 2026, pushes the AI Act&#8217;s effective date from June 30, 2026 to January 1, 2027 and substantially scales it back. The revised law eliminates the duty of care to prevent algorithmic discrimination, drops mandatory risk-management programs and impact assessments, narrows record-keeping from four years to three, and limits enforcement to the state attorney general. For HR and compliance leaders the reprieve is real but partial&#8212;notice, human review of adverse actions, and disclosure obligations remain, and states like Illinois and California are tightening rather than loosening. Don&#8217;t dismantle the bias-audit and documentation muscle you built; treat the delay as breathing room to standardize AI-hiring governance before the 2027 deadline and the next state law arrive.</p><p><strong><a href="https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/jobless-claims">Jobless Workers Are Stuck Longer: Continuing Claims Hit a 3-Month High of 1.81M</a> (<a href="https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/jobless-claims">Trading Economics</a>)</strong></p><p>The labor market&#8217;s &#8220;low-hire, low-fire&#8221; freeze is trapping people longer: continuing jobless claims rose to about 1.81 million in early June 2026, the highest in nearly three months, even as new claims eased to 226,000. Layoffs aren&#8217;t spiking, but the workers who do lose jobs are taking longer to find new ones&#8212;a sign that hiring, not firing, is where AI-era caution shows up first. For talent leaders this is the quiet half of the AI labor story: companies aren&#8217;t refilling roles, so external candidates sit longer and internal mobility matters more. Lean into redeployment and internal hiring now&#8212;when external demand is frozen, the cheapest qualified candidate is often already on your payroll.</p><p><a href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/publish/chat">Click here to share your thoughts</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Talent News June 2026 Update]]></title><description><![CDATA[I reviewed all four June publications from Talent News to map what is changing in hiring, layoffs, AI skills, and workforce strategy.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/talent-news-june-2026-update</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/talent-news-june-2026-update</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 21 Jun 2026 00:52:42 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://api.substack.com/feed/podcast/202904206/c01fd4ca8c3483c020c8802d4c2144be.mp3" length="0" type="audio/mpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I reviewed all four June publications from Talent News to map what is changing in hiring, layoffs, AI skills, and workforce strategy.</p><p>The pattern is clear. Companies are not just experimenting with AI anymore.</p><p>They are redesigning headcount, compensation, recruiting, and management expectations around it.</p><p>AI skills now pay a 62% premium while the entry level quietly disappears.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[AI Layoffs Are Already Reversing—and 72% Can't Govern Their Agents]]></title><description><![CDATA[Also: ServiceNow cuts staff for "AI efficiencies," Google's $50M trains 300,000 tradespeople, and jobless claims hit a four-month high.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/ai-layoffs-are-already-reversingand</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/ai-layoffs-are-already-reversingand</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 20 Jun 2026 21:35:04 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/fa7b8ecb-7aef-480e-a082-bd6c0061a6fc_1600x900.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my work as a <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/anandkarasi">Silicon Valley HR Tech startup executive</a>, this week read like a market correcting its own hype: 72% of enterprises now admit they can't fully govern the AI agents they've already turned loose, and 55% of employers who cut staff for AI say they regret it. Meanwhile the smart money is quietly moving the other way&#8212;Google just put $50M into training 300,000 tradespeople and Salesforce committed $1B that leans on reskilling, not just cutting. Six stories below on where authority is outrunning control, where the layoffs are reversing, and where leaders are betting on people again.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.kore.ai/news/new-kore-ai-survey-72-of-enterprises-say-their-ai-agents-operate-with-unmanaged-risk-and-create-new-operational-burdens">72% of Companies Can't Control the AI Agents They've Already Deployed</a> (<a href="https://www.kore.ai/news/new-kore-ai-survey-72-of-enterprises-say-their-ai-agents-operate-with-unmanaged-risk-and-create-new-operational-burdens">Kore.ai</a>)</strong></p><p>Kore.ai's June 17 Agent Productivity Index, a survey of 400+ IT leaders at U.S. firms with 2,000+ employees, found 72% say their AI agents run with unmanaged financial or compliance risk&#8212;and 79% have already had to reverse an action an agent took. More striking for anyone building a workforce plan: 42% report lost revenue tied to an agent failure, and 40% watched a single agent's mistake cascade across multiple systems. Gartner adds that by 2027, 40% of enterprises will demote or decommission autonomous agents over governance failures. The lesson for HR and ops leaders is that "deploy now, govern later" is becoming a liability; treat agent oversight, audit trails, and human approval gates as roles to staff, not afterthoughts to bolt on.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.tomsguide.com/ai/half-of-ai-job-cuts-will-be-reversed-by-2027-and-it-reveals-the-biggest-mistake-companies-are-making">55% of Employers Regret AI Layoffs&#8212;and Half the Cut Roles Return by 2027</a> (<a href="https://www.tomsguide.com/ai/half-of-ai-job-cuts-will-be-reversed-by-2027-and-it-reveals-the-biggest-mistake-companies-are-making">Tom's Guide</a>)</strong></p><p>A wave of mid-June coverage of Gartner and Forrester research lands on an uncomfortable number: half of the companies that replaced customer-service staff with AI are expected to rehire by 2027, and 55% of employers who restructured around AI already regret it. The cautionary tale is Klarna, which cut its support team from roughly 2,300 to 1,600 and let AI handle about 70% of interactions&#8212;before quality slipped and humans came back. The pattern matters because the rehire often reappears offshore, under a new title, at lower pay, masking the reversal in the headcount data. For talent leaders, the takeaway is to resist preemptive cuts based on AI capabilities that don't exist yet, and to model the true cost of rehiring before you eliminate a function.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.salesforceben.com/servicenow-lays-off-hundreds-of-staff-and-hails-real-ai-efficiencies-within-business/">117,000 Tech Jobs Gone in 2026 as ServiceNow Cuts Staff for "AI Efficiencies"</a> (<a href="https://www.salesforceben.com/servicenow-lays-off-hundreds-of-staff-and-hails-real-ai-efficiencies-within-business/">Salesforce Ben</a>)</strong></p><p>ServiceNow confirmed on June 11 it is cutting a three-figure number of employees, framing the move as proof that "our platform is generating real AI efficiencies inside our own business." It's a notable reversal for a company whose CEO pledged no job cuts in 2023, and it lands against a 2026 backdrop of 117,879 tech workers laid off at 178 companies, per Layoffs.fyi. The "we run the way we ask our customers to run" framing signals that AI-vendor self-cuts are becoming a sales proof point&#8212;which means more such announcements are coming. HR leaders at enterprise software firms should expect their own headcount to be cited as an AI ROI case study, and prepare redeployment paths before restructuring becomes a marketing narrative.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/06/11/google-trade-worker-initiative-ai">Google's $50M Bet: AI Money Is Now Funding 300,000 New Electricians and Welders</a> (<a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/06/11/google-trade-worker-initiative-ai">Axios</a>)</strong></p><p>On June 11 Google.org committed $50 million from its AI Opportunity Fund to train more than 300,000 skilled-trade workers across 20+ states&#8212;electricians, welders, pipefitters, and HVAC technicians among them. The irony is pointed: the same AI boom squeezing white-collar entry-level roles is now financing the blue-collar trades that build its data centers, with funding flowing through 14 labor unions and four trade associations. It signals where durable, AI-resistant demand is concentrating, even as knowledge-work hiring softens. For workforce planners, it's a cue to widen talent pipelines beyond the four-year-degree funnel and to treat skilled-trade and infrastructure roles as a strategic, not secondary, hiring lane.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.salesforce.com/news/press-releases/2026/06/16/1-billion-ai-transformation-investment-italy/">A $1 Billion Bet That AI Upskilling Beats Headcount Cuts</a> (<a href="https://www.salesforce.com/news/press-releases/2026/06/16/1-billion-ai-transformation-investment-italy/">Salesforce</a>)</strong></p><p>Salesforce announced on June 16 a $1 billion, five-year investment in Italy centered on a new Milan office, workforce expansion, and AI upskilling programs rather than pure automation. Notably, it includes a partnership with the ELIS consortium aimed at extending career longevity for workers over 55&#8212;a demographic usually written off in AI-transformation plans. The move is a counterweight to the cut-to-fund-AI narrative dominating 2026 and a reminder that some of the largest AI players are investing in human capacity, not just trimming it. For HR leaders, it's a model worth borrowing: pair AI rollout with concrete reskilling commitments and multigenerational pathways, and you protect institutional knowledge while you modernize.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.staffingindustry.com/news/global-daily-news/us-jobless-claims-jump-to-229000-highest-since-february">Jobless Claims Hit 229,000, a Four-Month High as Hiring Quietly Freezes</a> (<a href="https://www.staffingindustry.com/news/global-daily-news/us-jobless-claims-jump-to-229000-highest-since-february">Staffing Industry Analysts</a>)</strong></p><p>New U.S. jobless claims jumped to 229,000 in early June, the highest since February, while separate data showed IT job growth flat in May&#8212;a labor market that isn't collapsing so much as quietly seizing up. The pattern fits the "low-hire, low-fire" posture leaders have adopted as AI deployments let them skip refilling roles rather than cut openly. The risk is that a frozen entry ramp compounds over time: when hiring resumes, the pipeline of mid-level talent that should have been developing simply won't be there. Talent leaders should use this lull to invest in internal mobility and apprenticeships now, so they aren't caught flat-footed when demand snaps back.</p><p><a href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/publish/chat">Click here to share your thoughts</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[AI Skills Now Pay a 62% Premium—While the Entry Level Quietly Disappears]]></title><description><![CDATA[Also: Amdocs cuts 10% to build AI, Factorial's $700M bet, and 73% of tech jobs now want AI skills.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/ai-skills-now-pay-a-62-premiumwhile</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/ai-skills-now-pay-a-62-premiumwhile</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2026 13:12:57 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/85c3106b-dcb0-4f30-81fe-e5f6fa206d2e_1408x768.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my work as a Silicon Valley HR Tech startup executive, I keep seeing the same split screen: the people who can wield AI are getting more valuable while the bottom rung of the ladder is being sawed off. This week the numbers got specific&#8212;AI skills now carry a 62% wage premium, even as the Fed reports firms quietly skipping entire entry-level recruiting classes. Here are six stories with the data every talent leader needs as the labor market splits in two, AI rebuilds the HR stack itself, and the cost of sitting still keeps rising.</p><p><strong><a href="https://cryptobriefing.com/amdocs-layoffs-3000-ai-restructuring/">A 29,000-person software firm is cutting 10% to fund a new AI division</a> (<a href="https://cryptobriefing.com/amdocs-layoffs-3000-ai-restructuring/">Crypto Briefing</a>)</strong></p><p>Telecom-software giant Amdocs is cutting roughly 3,000 jobs&#8212;about 10% of its 29,000-person workforce&#8212;as new CEO Shimie Hortig reorganizes the company around a dedicated AI division. It is the firm's third consecutive year of major reductions, with hundreds of the cuts landing in Israel, where Amdocs employs around 5,000 people. For talent leaders, this is the now-familiar pattern: a profitable incumbent trading headcount for an AI roadmap and reframing layoffs as "restructuring" under a new leader's mandate. Watch how Amdocs redeploys survivors into the AI division&#8212;because internal mobility, not severance, is what separates a real transformation from a cost cut wearing AI as a costume.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.peoplematters.in/news/funding-and-investment/hr-tech-unicorn-factorial-raises-dollar150-million-at-dollar25-billion-valuation-50127">HR software is being rebuilt around two AI agents, and investors just bet $700M on it</a> (<a href="https://www.peoplematters.in/news/funding-and-investment/hr-tech-unicorn-factorial-raises-dollar150-million-at-dollar25-billion-valuation-50127">People Matters</a>)</strong></p><p>Barcelona-based Factorial raised a $150 million Series D at a $2.5 billion valuation, with General Catalyst committing up to $540 million more&#8212;bringing total capital to over $700 million&#8212;to turn its HR suite into an "AI Workforce Operations Platform." The product bet is notable: instead of dozens of point agents, its Factorial One workspace runs a two-agent architecture, one agent representing company policy and another helping each employee execute work within it. The company serves 16,000 businesses across more than 90 countries and says it now hires up to 50 people a week. The signal for HR buyers: investors are paying unicorn prices for platforms rebuilt around AI from the ground up, not legacy tools with an AI feature bolted on&#8212;so expect your incumbent vendors to be repriced against that bar.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/news-room/press-releases/2026/pwc-2026-ai-jobs-barometer.html">Workers with AI skills now earn a 62% wage premium, up from 57% a year ago</a> (<a href="https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/news-room/press-releases/2026/pwc-2026-ai-jobs-barometer.html">PwC</a>)</strong></p><p>PwC's 2026 Global AI Jobs Barometer, built on over a billion job ads, finds the AI-skills wage premium has climbed to 62%, up from 57% a year ago and reaching 118% in sectors like consumer markets. The labor market is splitting into two tracks: "professionalised" roles are seeing jobs grow at twice the rate of "democratised" ones, with salaries rising 42% faster. Jobs demanding specific AI skills grew roughly 9%&#8212;about eight times faster than the overall market. For talent leaders, the takeaway is that AI fluency is now a compensation lever, not a nice-to-have, and pay bands written before this shift are already out of date.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.dice.com/hiring/recruitment/reports/dice-tech-job-report">73% of tech job posts now demand AI skills as hiring rebounds 23%</a> (<a href="https://www.dice.com/hiring/recruitment/reports/dice-tech-job-report">Dice</a>)</strong></p><p>Tech hiring is rebounding: U.S. tech job postings rose 23% year-over-year in May&#8212;the strongest annual comparison of 2026&#8212;according to Dice's latest report. AI skill requirements now appear in 73% of tech postings, up from 71% a month earlier, and Staffing, Insurance, and Manufacturing each posted growth near 100% as AI-integrated workflows mature. The story isn't a jobs apocalypse so much as a reshuffle: demand is real, but it is concentrating in roles that assume AI fluency. Recruiters should rewrite job descriptions and screens around demonstrated AI competence now, because the candidates who have it are commanding both the openings and the premiums.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.staffingindustry.com/news/global-daily-news/beige-book-finds-weaker-labor-market-ai-taking-some-jobs">Across all 12 Fed districts, AI is quietly killing the entry-level hire</a> (<a href="https://www.staffingindustry.com/news/global-daily-news/beige-book-finds-weaker-labor-market-ai-taking-some-jobs">Federal Reserve</a>)</strong></p><p>The Federal Reserve's latest Beige Book reports that across its 12 districts, more employers are limiting headcount through hiring freezes, replacement-only hiring, and attrition than through outright layoffs. Crucially, multiple contacts said even modest AI deployments let them avoid refilling roles or "skip a recruiting class of entry-level workers" entirely. That is the quiet mechanism behind the data: not dramatic mass layoffs, but a slow starving of the bottom rung that never shows up as a headline cut. HR leaders who own early-career pipelines should make the business case now for protected entry-level cohorts&#8212;because once a company skips a class, rebuilding that talent funnel takes years.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.uctoday.com/productivity-automation/ai-productivity-reports-2026/">Only 29% of companies see real AI returns&#8212;while individuals get 5x more productive</a> (<a href="https://www.uctoday.com/productivity-automation/ai-productivity-reports-2026/">UC Today</a>)</strong></p><p>Even as adoption soars, the returns are lumpy: 72% of enterprises now run at least one AI workload in production (up from 55% in 2024), yet only about 29% report significant ROI from generative AI. The gap isn't the technology&#8212;individual users report up to 5x productivity gains, but 56% of the workforce says they've had no recent training and 57% lack access to mentorship. For HR and L&amp;D leaders, that is the clearest signal of the year: the bottleneck to AI value is enablement, not licenses. Fund structured training and manager coaching, because the firms that close the skills gap are the ones converting 5x individual gains into enterprise ROI.</p><p><a href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/publish/chat">Click here to share your thoughts</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[AI Erased 25,000 Jobs Last Month—May's 172K Blowout Hid It]]></title><description><![CDATA[Also: Salesforce's 15K engineering freeze, BCG's 66% productivity waste, and Goldman's Gen Z job loss tracker.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/ai-erased-25000-jobs-last-monthmays</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/ai-erased-25000-jobs-last-monthmays</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 09 Jun 2026 13:22:20 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/06e28c5d-b655-4003-bdfa-4417d249faf6_1408x768.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my work as a Silicon Valley <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/anandkarasi">HR Tech startup executive</a>, I've been watching a split-screen economy emerge in real time: Friday's official May jobs report printed 172,000 new payrolls &#8212; nearly triple Wall Street's forecast &#8212; while Goldman Sachs' AI tracker simultaneously confirmed AI is still erasing 25,000 knowledge-worker positions every month, with tech layoffs hitting a near two-year high inside the same report. The headline strength is real, but it's concentrated in logistics, healthcare, and construction &#8212; not the HR, marketing, legal, and IT roles that make up most of our organizations. Here are five stories with the numbers every talent leader needs as the job market splits in two, AI costs force a reckoning with tokenmaxxing, and Salesforce's CEO tells us the one skill set no AI agent can replace.</p><p><strong><a href="https://fortune.com/2026/06/05/may-jobs-report-takeaways-layoffs-hiring-ai-analyst-reaction/">May's 172,000 Jobs Beat Hides a 2-Year High in Tech Layoffs and 25K Monthly AI Losses</a> (<a href="https://fortune.com/2026/06/05/may-jobs-report-takeaways-layoffs-hiring-ai-analyst-reaction/">Fortune</a>)</strong></p><p>The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported 172,000 new payrolls in May &#8212; nearly triple Goldman Sachs' 60,000 forecast and well above Wall Street's consensus of 89,000 &#8212; but analysts parsing the data found a labor market quietly fracturing underneath the blowout headline. The job gains were concentrated in leisure and hospitality, local government, and healthcare, while tech payrolls fell and Capital IQ data showed U.S. tech companies cut workers at a pace not seen in nearly two years. Fifth Third's chief economist found that the labor force is shrinking by 35,000 workers every month &#8212; meaning the 4.3% unemployment rate is holding not because the economy is healthy, but because fewer Americans are participating at all. For talent leaders in marketing, legal, accounting, HR, and IT &#8212; the functions most exposed to AI substitution &#8212; the headline number offers no comfort, and analysts say the true shock is still ahead.</p><p><strong><a href="https://fortune.com/2026/05/28/ai-slashes-white-collar-jobs-salesforce-ceo-marc-benioff-one-department-still-hiring-sales/">Salesforce's 15,000 Engineers Have Been Flat for 2 Years&#8212;and Benioff Is Only Growing Sales</a> (<a href="https://fortune.com/2026/05/28/ai-slashes-white-collar-jobs-salesforce-ceo-marc-benioff-one-department-still-hiring-sales/">Fortune</a>)</strong></p><p>On Salesforce's Q1 FY27 earnings call, CEO Marc Benioff confirmed that the $145 billion company hasn't grown its 15,000-person engineering team in roughly two years, and has no plans to &#8212; because AI coding tools are generating "even more dramatic capabilities" with every passing month. Benioff added that the hiring freeze extends to GA roles as well; the one function growing at double-digit rates is sales, where account executives have increased more than 20% year over year. "Agents can qualify, they can provide service, but in sales we still scale," Benioff said &#8212; a rare, explicit public benchmark from a major tech CEO on what AI can and cannot replace. For talent leaders planning workforce strategy, Benioff's call is a forcing function: the skills most protected from AI substitution are those requiring relationship-building, negotiation, and contextual customer judgment that agents cannot yet replicate at enterprise scale.</p><p><strong><a href="https://fortune.com/2026/06/05/ai-productivity-paradox-bad-leadership-tokenmaxxing-big-tech-boston-consulting-group/">42% of Workers Are Saving a Full Day Per Week with AI&#8212;and 66% Got Zero Guidance on What to Do With It</a> (<a href="https://fortune.com/2026/06/05/ai-productivity-paradox-bad-leadership-tokenmaxxing-big-tech-boston-consulting-group/">Fortune</a>)</strong></p><p>BCG's 2026 Global AI at Work report, surveying nearly 12,000 frontline employees, found that 42% are saving eight hours per week &#8212; an entire workday &#8212; through regular AI use, but two-thirds received limited or no guidance on what to do with that reclaimed time, and half aren't using it for more strategic work. BCG's David Martin, global leader of the firm's People &amp; Organization practice, traced the problem directly to leadership failure: "Senior leaders are really struggling to articulate what the vision and strategy is on AI." The failure has a name &#8212; "tokenmaxxing," pushing employees to hit AI-usage metrics rather than deliver business results &#8212; and it hit companies' cost bases hard enough that Amazon scrapped its internal AI tracking system after employees deployed bots to complete meaningless tasks. The takeaway for CHROs: if your AI rollout strategy ends at tool access, you're going to create exactly this paradox &#8212; productivity gains sitting unused while AI spend climbs and ROI stays invisible.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/19/ai-hiring-slowdown-skilled-trade-workers.html">Robotics Technician Demand Surged 107% Since AI Took Off&#8212;AT&amp;T Just Bet $38 Billion on It</a> (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/19/ai-hiring-slowdown-skilled-trade-workers.html">CNBC</a>)</strong></p><p>While AI is compressing knowledge-worker hiring, it's quietly generating one of the most aggressive skilled-trades labor markets in U.S. history: demand for robotics technicians has surged 107% since 2022, HVAC engineers are up 67%, and industrial automation roles up 51%, with 400,000 unfilled skilled trade positions in the market and signing bonuses of $5,000 to $15,000 now standard. AT&amp;T alone is committing $38 billion over the next five years to hire and train blue-collar technicians for its fiber expansion &#8212; already having hired 10,000 in recent years and adding 3,000 more this year. The wage premium has followed: skilled trade workers have seen a 30% pay bump in recent years, and in some metro markets, experienced HVAC and electrical technicians now earn comparable to entry-level software engineers. For HR leaders in industries relying on technical infrastructure &#8212; or competing for that same labor pool &#8212; this isn't a separate labor market anymore; it's a direct recruiting competition.</p><p><strong><a href="https://fortune.com/2026/06/01/how-many-jobs-is-ai-destroying-goldman-sachs-11000-per-month-gen-z-economy/">AI Is Erasing 11,000 Net Jobs Monthly&#8212;and Data Center Hiring Is Just Masking the Knowledge-Worker Damage</a> (<a href="https://fortune.com/2026/06/01/how-many-jobs-is-ai-destroying-goldman-sachs-11000-per-month-gen-z-economy/">Fortune</a>)</strong></p><p>Goldman Sachs' updated AI Adoption Tracker puts the net monthly job loss attributable to AI at 11,000 &#8212; improved from 16,000 per month in April &#8212; but the reason for the improvement tells a more troubling story: data center construction has added 212,000 jobs since 2022 and now generates roughly 9,000 new positions monthly, temporarily masking the full scope of white-collar displacement. AI substitution is still wiping out an estimated 25,000 knowledge-worker jobs per month, with Gen Z bearing the heaviest concentration of losses in entry-level roles across finance, software, customer service, and communications. Goldman's economists flagged the next frontier: chemical manufacturing and electrical equipment firms now report the largest planned increases in AI adoption ahead &#8212; meaning the displacement wave is beginning its move from knowledge work into industrial settings. For talent leaders, the 11,000 headline is misleading; the 25,000 substitution figure is the one that should be driving workforce planning.</p><p><a href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/publish/chat">Click here to share your thoughts</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[AI Tops Layoff Reasons 3 Months Straight—Uber's HR Learns First]]></title><description><![CDATA[Also: 122K private jobs beat forecasts, Microsoft's June 30 buyout deadline, and employee wellbeing hits a COVID low.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/ai-tops-layoff-reasons-3-months-straightubers</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/ai-tops-layoff-reasons-3-months-straightubers</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2026 13:34:22 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/753c7591-6733-471e-ad84-cdbe9b67078e_1408x768.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my work as a Silicon Valley HR Tech startup executive, the most striking data point this week isn't a layoff&#8212;it's a target. Uber's decision to cut 23% of its own HR and recruitment division signals that the function built to manage AI workforce transitions is now experiencing one. Here are five stories with the numbers every talent leader needs as AI claims a record share of job cuts and begins restructuring the people teams meant to manage change.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/03/uber-layoffs-people-division-ai.html">Uber Cuts 23% of Its HR and Recruitment Division</a> (<a href="https://www.staffingindustry.com/news/global-daily-news/uber-cuts-23-of-people-in-hr-and-recruitment-division">Staffing Industry Analysts</a>)</strong></p><p>Uber eliminated 23% of its People and Places division this week&#8212;covering HR, recruitment, workplace facilities, and culture&#8212;as newly promoted president Jill Hazelbaker restructured "complex and fragmented" teams that had grown too far from the businesses they support. The cuts affect fewer than 1% of Uber's 34,000 global employees but are concentrated among senior roles, and HR employees previously approved for full remote work are simultaneously being called back to a three-day office mandate. The company officially denied AI as a cause, yet CEO Dara Khosrowshahi confirmed the same week that Uber is slowing hiring due to internal AI adoption&#8212;a distinction that will mean little to the affected recruiters and HR business partners. For talent leaders, this is a preview: as AI handles more screening, onboarding, and analytics, the recruitment function itself is becoming a target for consolidation.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.challengergray.com/blog/challenger-report-may-job-cuts-rise-16-from-april-highest-may-total-since-2020/">AI Named Top Reason for US Job Cuts for Third Straight Month</a> (<a href="https://www.cfodive.com/news/ai-cited-top-reason-us-job-cuts-third-straight-month/822029/">CFO Dive</a>)</strong></p><p>Employers announced 97,006 job cuts in May, up 16% from April and the highest May total since 2020, with AI cited as the reason for 38,579 of them&#8212;40% of all May cuts and the highest monthly AI-attributed total since Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas began tracking the category in 2023. For context: the same figure was just 7% in January, 25% in March, and 26% in April, meaning the AI-as-reason trend has accelerated sharply through the first half of 2026. Total AI-attributed cuts for the year now stand at 87,714&#8212;already 60% higher than all of 2025 combined. CHROs who have been treating AI displacement as a future planning scenario are running out of runway.</p><p><strong><a href="https://fortune.com/2026/06/03/adp-data-jobs-jolts-report-ai-white-collar-may-2026/">AI Was Supposed to Be Killing Jobs. In Spring, the Labor Market Is Opening Up Instead</a> (<a href="https://fortune.com/2026/06/03/adp-data-jobs-jolts-report-ai-white-collar-may-2026/">Fortune</a>)</strong></p><p>Private employers added 122,000 jobs in May according to ADP&#8212;the largest gain in 16 months, beating the 110,000 consensus forecast&#8212;and April job openings climbed to 7.6 million, the highest in nearly two years. Economists at Employ America attribute the resilience to years of pandemic over-hiring finally reversing, not AI-driven job creation, but the stabilization is real: eight of ten ADP sectors gained payrolls in May. The exception is the information sector (software, data processing, telecom), which shed 9,000 jobs while posting the slowest wage growth of any industry at 4.0%. For talent leaders, the labor market isn't collapsing&#8212;but it is bifurcating, with AI-exposed tech roles softening while healthcare and small employers quietly do the hiring.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/23/microsoft-plans-first-voluntary-retirement-program-for-us-employees.html">Microsoft Will Offer Voluntary Retirement to Thousands&#8212;June 30 Deadline Approaching</a> (<a href="https://www.inc.com/leila-sheridan/microsoft-ai-buyout-9000/91335472">Inc.</a>)</strong></p><p>Microsoft's first-ever voluntary retirement program&#8212;open to US employees whose age plus years of service totals 70 or more&#8212;affects approximately 7% of its US workforce (roughly 8,750 eligible workers) and carries a $900 million price tag confirmed by CFO Amy Hood. Eligible employees who accept by June 30 can receive up to 39 weeks of base salary plus five years of health, dental, and vision coverage&#8212;a package designed to thin the organization without the headline toxicity of a layoff wave. The program is explicitly framed as an AI-driven portfolio reallocation: reduce headcount in legacy roles while redeploying capital toward AI infrastructure and ML engineering. With the June 30 departure deadline 26 days away, talent leaders at Microsoft's partner and vendor ecosystem should anticipate workflow disruptions as senior institutional knowledge exits.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.mercer.com/about/newsroom/mercer-s-global-talent-trends-2026-report/">99% of CEOs Expect AI to Cut Headcount&#8212;and Their Employees Are at a COVID Low on Wellbeing</a> (<a href="https://www.mercer.com/about/newsroom/mercer-s-global-talent-trends-2026-report/">Mercer</a>)</strong></p><p>Mercer's Global Talent Trends 2026 report&#8212;based on nearly 12,000 C-suite executives, HR leaders, investors, and employees worldwide&#8212;found that 99% of CEOs now expect AI to result in headcount reductions within two years, while only 44% of employees report thriving at work, a sharp drop from 66% in 2024 and lower than at any point during COVID-19. The paradox: 63% of employees say they'd trade a 10% pay raise for the chance to upskill in AI and digital tools, yet only 35% of organizations have a mature, workforce-wide AI training program in place. C-suite confidence in human-machine readiness has slipped from 65% in 2024 to 51% today. The implication for HR leaders is urgent: the wellbeing crisis is not separate from the AI transition&#8212;it is caused by it, and workforce design strategies built before 2024 are unlikely to be adequate.</p><p><a href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/publish/chat">Click here to share your thoughts</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[30% Layoffs + $1B Buyback—AI Is Rewriting the Corporate Playbook]]></title><description><![CDATA[Also: Intuit cuts 17% while signing OpenAI deals, California mandates AI worker review, and the training ROI gap.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/30-layoffs-1b-buybackai-is-rewriting</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/30-layoffs-1b-buybackai-is-rewriting</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 02 Jun 2026 13:40:53 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/fda04b96-ffb6-4ef7-a67a-a2029bfa2866_1408x768.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my work as a Silicon Valley <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/anandkarasi">HR Tech startup executive</a>, I'm watching a counterintuitive pattern emerge: companies cutting workers and buying back stock on the same day, while signing AI partnership deals with OpenAI and Anthropic. This week, BILL Holdings announced a 30% workforce cut alongside a $1 billion buyback&#8212;simultaneously&#8212;while Intuit eliminated 3,000 positions and immediately disclosed new multi-year AI contracts with both OpenAI and Anthropic. Here are five stories with the numbers every talent leader needs as AI restructuring moves from exceptional to expected.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.pymnts.com/earnings/2026/bill-plans-30-workforce-cut-as-ai-becomes-top-priority/">BILL Cuts 30% of Workers, Authorizes $1B Buyback&#8212;On the Same Day</a> (<a href="https://www.pymnts.com/earnings/2026/bill-plans-30-workforce-cut-as-ai-becomes-top-priority/">PYMNTS</a>)</strong></p><p>On May 7, BILL Holdings announced it would cut up to 30% of its workforce&#8212;approximately 709 jobs&#8212;on the same day its board authorized a $1 billion stock buyback, signaling that capital is being redirected from labor to shareholder returns as AI absorbs operational functions. CEO Ren&#233; Lacerte framed the restructuring around AI acceleration in both BILL's internal operations and the financial platform it sells to businesses, with $30 to $60 million in restructuring charges expected by fiscal Q1 2027. For talent leaders, this is the clearest articulation yet of the AI reallocation thesis: workforce reduction and shareholder return happening simultaneously, not sequentially. </p><p><strong><a href="https://techcrunch.com/2026/05/20/intuit-to-lay-off-over-3000-employees-to-refocus-on-ai/">Intuit Cuts 3,000 Jobs, Then Signs AI Deals With Both OpenAI and Anthropic</a> (<a href="https://techcrunch.com/2026/05/20/intuit-to-lay-off-over-3000-employees-to-refocus-on-ai/">TechCrunch</a>)</strong></p><p>On May 20, Intuit eliminated 3,000 positions&#8212;17% of its global workforce&#8212;and simultaneously announced multi-year AI partnerships with both OpenAI and Anthropic, embedding their models into TurboTax, QuickBooks, and other products while making Intuit's financial tools available inside ChatGPT and Claude. The restructuring carries $300 to $340 million in charges, and CEO Sasan Goodarzi cited "too many layers of leadership" as a structural drag on speed, framing flatter organizations as the prerequisite for competing in an AI-native market. For HR leaders, the Intuit model demonstrates a new disclosure pattern: announcing layoffs and AI partnership strategy simultaneously, linking headcount reduction explicitly to AI capability acquisition. The severance package&#8212;16 weeks of base pay plus two additional weeks per year of service&#8212;may set a benchmark as similar restructurings follow this year.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/28/wix-layoffs-ai-exchange-rates.html">Wix CEO Calls AI 'The Biggest Change Since Programming Languages'&#8212;Then Cuts 1,000 Jobs</a> (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/28/wix-layoffs-ai-exchange-rates.html">CNBC</a>)</strong></p><p>On May 28, Wix announced the largest layoff in its history&#8212;20% of its workforce, or roughly 1,000 of 5,277 employees&#8212;with CEO Avishai Abrahami calling AI "the most significant change in how companies are built since programming languages in the 1970s." Two forces drove the cuts: AI reducing headcount needs and a strengthening Israeli shekel creating structural cost pressure, with Wix's Q1 2026 revenue of $541 million missing analyst estimates and swinging to a $57.5 million net loss. The announcement reinforces an architecture pattern appearing across May's restructurings&#8212;Coinbase, Upwork, and now Wix all explicitly moved toward smaller, flatter teams directing AI agents rather than doing the work manually. For CHROs, May 2026's cluster of announcements signals it's time to audit which roles have shifted from "work performer" to "AI director" without a corresponding organizational structure change.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.gov.ca.gov/2026/05/21/governor-newsom-signs-first-of-its-kind-executive-order-to-prepare-workers-and-businesses-for-potential-ai-disruption/">California Becomes First State to Mandate AI Workforce Displacement Review</a> (<a href="https://www.gov.ca.gov/2026/05/21/governor-newsom-signs-first-of-its-kind-executive-order-to-prepare-workers-and-businesses-for-potential-ai-disruption/">Office of the Governor</a>)</strong></p><p>On May 21, Governor Gavin Newsom signed what his office called a "first-of-its-kind" executive order directing California labor agencies, economists, and universities to study AI-driven displacement and develop worker protection policies&#8212;from WARN Act revisions and severance standards to universal basic capital and worker ownership models. The Employment Development Department must now report twice per year through 2027 on how AI is influencing employer hiring and payroll decisions, creating a data pipeline that could fuel binding regulation within 12 to 24 months. The order creates no immediate employer obligations, but for multistate employers, California's EDD reporting mandate means your AI-related workforce decisions may become part of a state dataset within months. </p><p><strong><a href="https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260226726072/en/Companies-Are-Investing-in-AI-But-Their-Workforces-Arent-Ready-According-to-New-DataCampYouGov-Report">82% of Companies Offer AI Training. Only 21% See Meaningful ROI. Here's the Gap.</a> (<a href="https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260226726072/en/Companies-Are-Investing-in-AI-But-Their-Workforces-Arent-Ready-According-to-New-DataCampYouGov-Report">Business Wire</a>)</strong></p><p>A DataCamp and YouGov survey of 517 U.S. and U.K. enterprise leaders found that 82% of organizations offer some form of AI training&#8212;but 59% still report a significant AI skills gap, and only 35% have built a mature, workforce-wide upskilling program. The ROI gap is stark: organizations with structured, organization-wide AI literacy programs are nearly twice as likely to report significant AI returns, yet only 21% of all leaders surveyed say they're seeing meaningful ROI from their AI investments. For CHROs and L&amp;D leaders, the data confirms that providing access to training is not the same as building workforce AI capability&#8212;the difference lies in program maturity, reinforcement, and linking training to measurable workflow change. </p><p><a href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/publish/chat">Click here to share your thoughts</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Under-25 Developer Jobs Down 20% as OpenAI Prepares to Disrupt Hiring]]></title><description><![CDATA[Also: Upwork's CEO kills two-pizza teams, 60% of C-suite plan AI-refuser layoffs, and Deloitte finds most firms still aren't redesigning for AI.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/under-25-developer-jobs-down-20-as</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/under-25-developer-jobs-down-20-as</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 30 May 2026 15:29:26 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4fa27e56-18fb-496a-9a9b-04ebaa7746a4_1408x768.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my work as a Silicon Valley <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/anandkarasi">HR Tech startup executive</a>, the most jarring data point this week is simple: employment for software developers aged 22&#8211;25 has fallen nearly 20% since 2024, even as senior engineer headcount grows. Upwork's CEO just declared the era of "two pizza teams" over, cutting 24% of his workforce with the argument that AI enables smaller teams to outperform larger ones. Here are five stories with the numbers every talent leader needs as the AI workforce reshuffling moves from prediction to reality.</p><p><strong><a href="https://hai.stanford.edu/news/inside-the-ai-index-12-takeaways-from-the-2026-report">Stanford AI Index 2026: Entry-Level Developer Employment Falls 20% Since 2024</a> (<a href="https://hai.stanford.edu/news/inside-the-ai-index-12-takeaways-from-the-2026-report">Stanford HAI</a>)</strong></p><p>Stanford's 2026 AI Index report reveals that employment among software developers aged 22&#8211;25 has fallen nearly 20% from its 2024 peak, the sharpest contraction in any tracked occupational cohort. The explanation is structural: AI code generation tools now handle exactly the tasks junior developers were hired for&#8212;boilerplate, tests, routine bug fixes&#8212;enabling senior engineers to skip the handoff entirely. For talent leaders, this is the canary in the coal mine; the same compression will migrate to adjacent white-collar roles in finance, legal, and operations within 18 to 24 months. The same report shows agentic AI job postings surged 10,854% and AI governance roles grew 17%&#8212;signals of where your talent pipeline needs to be pointing now.</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://talentnews.substack.com/p/under-25-developer-jobs-down-20-as?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/p/under-25-developer-jobs-down-20-as?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><p><strong><a href="https://www.barchart.com/story/news/1887310/upwork-stock-plunges-amid-24-layoffs-ceo-says-two-pizza-teams-are-dead">Upwork CEO Says "Two Pizza Teams Are Dead," Cuts 24% of Workforce</a> (<a href="https://www.barchart.com/story/news/1887310/upwork-stock-plunges-amid-24-layoffs-ceo-says-two-pizza-teams-are-dead">BarChart</a>)</strong></p><p>On May 7, Upwork CEO Hayden Brown announced the elimination of approximately 145 positions&#8212;24% of the company&#8212;declaring "two pizza teams are dead" because AI enables smaller, differently resourced engineering teams to deliver more than larger ones ever did. The restructuring is expected to generate $40 million in annualized savings, with $16 to $23 million in pre-tax Q2 charges primarily composed of severance. The counterintuitive angle: Upwork, a marketplace built to connect companies with freelancers, is itself cutting headcount to run leaner on AI&#8212;which tells you how quickly the math on team size is shifting even for platforms that profit from employment. HR leaders should expect this same logic&#8212;fewer people, higher output per person&#8212;to dominate headcount planning conversations with finance teams throughout the second half of 2026.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/about/press-room/state-of-ai-report-2026.html">Deloitte: AI Tool Access Jumped 50% in One Year&#8212;But Only 30% Are Redesigning How Work Gets Done</a> (<a href="https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/about/press-room/state-of-ai-report-2026.html">Deloitte</a>)</strong></p><p>Deloitte's 2026 State of AI in the Enterprise report&#8212;based on 3,235 leaders across 24 countries&#8212;found that workforce access to sanctioned AI tools jumped 50% in a single year, from under 40% to roughly 60% of workers now equipped. Yet only 30% of organizations are redesigning key processes around AI, and just 25% have moved 40% or more of their AI pilots into production. For CHROs, the implication is stark: your employees may have the tools, but the workflows haven't been updated to match&#8212;creating a widening gap between access and value. The report also found that 85% of companies expect to deploy custom AI agents, meaning job redesign at scale is no longer a future consideration but an urgent 2026 priority.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.unleash.ai/artificial-intelligence/openai-unveils-jobs-platform-and-certifications-as-both-disruptor-of-and-solution-for-ai-based-future-of-work/">OpenAI to Launch AI-Powered Hiring Platform by Mid-2026, Targeting LinkedIn and Indeed</a> (<a href="https://www.unleash.ai/artificial-intelligence/openai-unveils-jobs-platform-and-certifications-as-both-disruptor-of-and-solution-for-ai-based-future-of-work/">UNLEASH</a>)</strong></p><p>OpenAI is entering the $150 billion global recruitment market with a mid-2026 jobs platform that will match employers and workers based on demonstrated AI competency rather than traditional resume keywords, directly competing with LinkedIn and Indeed. The platform is paired with an AI Certifications initiative developed with Walmart and BCG, targeting 10 million certified Americans by 2030; Walmart will give all 1.6 million of its U.S. workers free access from launch. For talent acquisition leaders, this is a market-disrupting signal: the infrastructure for AI-native hiring is being built by the same company whose models are driving the displacement described above. Expect sourcing strategies to shift significantly once OpenAI certifications become a meaningful differentiator in candidate selection.</p><p><strong><a href="https://writer.com/blog/enterprise-ai-adoption-2026/">60% of C-Suite Leaders Plan Layoffs for Employees Who Refuse AI&#8212;And Block Promotions for 77%</a> (<a href="https://writer.com/blog/enterprise-ai-adoption-2026/">Writer</a>)</strong></p><p>Writer's 2026 enterprise AI adoption survey found that 60% of C-suite leaders plan to lay off employees who don't become AI proficient, and 77% say non-adopters will not be considered for promotions&#8212;turning AI adoption from a soft culture initiative into a formal employment criterion at most major companies. The upside for adopters is substantial: AI super-users save nine hours per week, are three times more likely to have received a recent promotion, and are five times more productive than their AI-averse peers. For HR leaders, this creates a new talent stratification risk: a growing internal divide between adopters and resisters that will show up in performance reviews, promotion slates, and eventually attrition curves. Building structured AI fluency pathways now is not just an L&amp;D initiative&#8212;it is the core retention play for 2026's second half.</p><p><a href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/publish/chat">Click here to share your thoughts</a></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://talentnews.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading AI Driven Talent! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[4,000 Cisco Jobs Gone at Record Revenue—The AI Reallocation Era Is Here]]></title><description><![CDATA[Also: entry-level candidates face a new experience paradox, 64% of workers are job hugging, and state AI hiring laws multiply.]]></description><link>https://talentnews.substack.com/p/4000-cisco-jobs-gone-at-record-revenuethe</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://talentnews.substack.com/p/4000-cisco-jobs-gone-at-record-revenuethe</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Anand Karasi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 26 May 2026 13:34:49 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/906e25af-e9ab-4b5a-9981-a7a5a6a8c12a_1408x768.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my work as a Silicon Valley <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/anandkarasi">HR Tech startup executive</a>, this week's data arrived with a message that can no longer be ignored: record financial results and workforce reduction are no longer contradictions&#8212;they are the new standard operating procedure for the AI era. Cisco just posted its highest quarterly revenue in company history while cutting 4,000 positions, the New York Fed confirmed AI skill requirements in job postings have nearly doubled year over year, and new ManpowerGroup data shows 64% of global workers are now "job hugging"&#8212;staying put rather than risking the AI-disrupted labor market. Here are five stories with the numbers every talent leader needs heading into the second half of 2026.</p><p><strong><a href="https://techcrunch.com/2026/05/14/cisco-cuts-nearly-4000-jobs-to-spend-more-on-ai-reports-record-quarterly-revenue/">Cisco Cuts Nearly 4,000 Jobs to Spend More on AI, Reports 'Record Quarterly Revenue'</a> (<a href="https://techcrunch.com">TechCrunch</a>)</strong></p><p>Cisco announced layoffs of fewer than 4,000 employees&#8212;under 5% of its global workforce&#8212;on May 14, the same day the company reported record Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue of $15.8 billion (up 12% year-over-year) and disclosed $5.3 billion in AI infrastructure orders from hyperscalers, projecting $9 billion in AI orders for the full fiscal year. CEO Chuck Robbins was explicit: the cuts are a reallocation, not a cost save&#8212;the company is continuing to hire in silicon and optics, security, and AI employee tooling while eliminating roles deemed lower-value in an AI-first operating model. The pattern is now unmistakable: Cloudflare, Coinbase, and Cisco have all announced layoffs in the same quarter as record financial performance, confirming that the "AI reallocation trade"&#8212;headcount out, compute in&#8212;is now a template being copied across the enterprise technology sector. </p><p><strong><a href="https://www.icims.com/company/newsroom/mayinsights2026/">AI Is Reshaping Early Career Hiring Expectations, New iCIMS Data Reveals</a> (<a href="https://www.icims.com">iCIMS</a>)</strong></p><p>iCIMS's May 2026 workforce report reveals a structural mismatch at the entry level that should alarm every TA leader: 78% of entry-level job seekers ages 18&#8211;24 believe AI and automation are changing the volume and nature of entry-level roles, 54% say employers now expect mid-level experience even for entry-level positions, and only 19% of early-career candidates feel "very confident" in their career outlook&#8212;with nearly one in three reporting low or no confidence at all. At the same time, April 2026 job openings hit a 12-month peak at 15% above baseline, yet application volume dropped 10% and hiring velocity sat at 0% growth, confirming that employers are posting more roles than ever while candidates are increasingly reluctant to engage. </p><p><strong><a href="https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2026/05/do-job-postings-show-early-labor-market-effects-of-ai/">Do Job Postings Show Early Labor-Market Effects of AI?</a> (<a href="https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org">Liberty Street Economics / NY Fed</a>)</strong></p><p>New research from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York finds that the share of full-time job postings explicitly mentioning AI has nearly doubled year over year, reaching 4.2% of all postings, with 35% of entry-level jobs now requiring demonstrated AI skills&#8212;yet the NY Fed's conclusion is counterintuitive: AI is not the primary driver of the current hiring slowdown, with interest rates and prior over-hiring still the dominant factors. Alongside those findings, a separate NY Fed data point shows recent college graduate unemployment reached 5.6% in March 2026, one of the highest readings in more than a decade outside of the pandemic spike.</p><p><strong><a href="https://natlawreview.com/article/federal-government-quietly-removed-its-ai-hiring-guidance-four-states-are-writing">The Federal Government Quietly Removed Its AI Hiring Guidance. Four States Are Writing Their Own.</a> (<a href="https://natlawreview.com">National Law Review</a>)</strong></p><p>With the EEOC's AI employment guidance quietly removed from eeoc.gov and a Trump executive order directing the federal government to review state AI laws deemed inconsistent with a national policy framework, HR compliance teams now face a rapidly expanding multi-state patchwork: Illinois's AI anti-discrimination law (effective January 1, 2026) prohibits any AI tool that produces disparate impact across the full employment life cycle from recruitment through termination, California's FEHA automated decision regulations (effective October 2025) require four years of retained AI decision data, and New York City's bias audit mandate has been in force since 2023.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.manpowergroup.com/en/news-releases/news/global-talent-barometer-2026-ai-use-accelerates-as-worker-confidence-falls-and-job-hugging-takes-hold">Global Talent Barometer 2026: AI Use Accelerates as Worker Confidence Falls and "Job Hugging" Takes Hold</a> (<a href="https://www.manpowergroup.com">ManpowerGroup</a>)</strong></p><p>ManpowerGroup's 2026 Global Talent Barometer, surveying workers across 16 countries, finds that regular AI usage jumped 13 percentage points to reach 45% of workers&#8212;while overall worker confidence fell for the first time in three years, with 43% of workers fearing automation will replace their job within two years and 64% planning to stay with their current employer rather than risk the disrupted labor market, a behavioral pattern ManpowerGroup has labeled "job hugging." The divergence between AI adoption and confidence is sharpest among older generations, with Baby Boomers reporting a 35% drop in technology confidence and Gen X declining 25%, even as their AI tool usage grew. More than half of global workers (56%) reported receiving no recent training and 57% reported no access to mentorship opportunities&#8212;a dual absence of learning infrastructure that creates acute vulnerability as role requirements evolve faster than workers can self-update. </p><p><a href="/__u/talentnews.substack.com/publish/chat">Click here to share your thoughts</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>