The Bayesian Conspiracy

Bonus 269

Eneasz Brodski — Tue, 25 Aug 2026 08:06:42 GMT

Castle Rat & live music, audio trouble, medical advances

269 - The Power of Specificity in Argument (audio)

Eneasz Brodski — Tue, 25 Aug 2026 08:01:53 GMT

A lot of updates and feedback before the main post. Then we get into The Power to Demolish Bad Arguments by Liron.

LINKS
The Power to Demolish Bad Arguments
The Overhang forecasting & futurism conference in DC
I Think Knot read-through podcast of The Knot (or get audio) at HPMORpodcast.com
BayesWatch
Ordinary Abundance

00:01:14.000 – Side-projects and feedback
00:54:58.000 – Specificity
01:41:12.000 – Guild of the Rose

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus. maybe returning someday.

269 - The Power of Specificity in Argument (video)

Eneasz Brodski — Tue, 25 Aug 2026 08:01:53 GMT

A lot of updates and feedback before the main post. Then we get into The Power to Demolish Bad Arguments by Liron.

LINKS
The Power to Demolish Bad Arguments
The Overhang forecasting & futurism conferen…

extra – Vishal: Short form video is kinda Satanic

Eneasz Brodski — Sun, 16 Aug 2026 06:38:28 GMT

Vishal talks about PlzDontKillUs and short form video culture. Plus AI Doom!

Vishal’s Blog

Vishal’s Compute Cop video, and also all the rest

268 – The Other Sexual Orientation & Disappearing the Kinky (audio)

Eneasz Brodski — Tue, 11 Aug 2026 07:02:06 GMT

Wes joins us! We discuss Aella’s post The Other Sexual Orientation. Then we find fault with a Kegan-level-4 post about how CNC Kink should be disappeared.

LINKS
The Other Sexual Orientation
A Bad Tweet
The Sex & Sensibility Podcast
The Details of the HuggingFace Incident AI Message Board via Zvi

Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow Chat, Full Video

00:02:32 – Follow-up on the HuggingFace Incident
00:14:56 – The Other Sexual Orientation
00:37:46 – A Bad Tweet
01:29:57 – Guild of the Rose
01:32:16 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus. maybe returning someday.

268 – The Other Sexual Orientation & Disappearing the Kinky (video)

Eneasz Brodski — Tue, 11 Aug 2026 06:54:58 GMT

Wes joins us! We discuss Aella’s post The Other Sexual Orientation. Then we find fault with a Kegan-level-4 post about how CNC Kink should be disappeared.

LINKS
The Other Sexual Orientation
A Bad Tweet
T…

Bonus 268

Eneasz Brodski — Tue, 11 Aug 2026 06:38:27 GMT

K-pop stars, doing things, and depression!

extra – Milo on PlzDontKillUs, short form video, and rationality

Eneasz Brodski — Fri, 07 Aug 2026 08:31:57 GMT

Milo’s favorite video –

plzdontkillus – https://portal.plzdontkillus.com/home

Original video:

extra - Jessiah on HPMOR, video essays, and fiction

Eneasz Brodski — Thu, 30 Jul 2026 19:25:42 GMT

Jessiah Mellot talks about HPMOR, and the video essay he made about HPMOR for PlzDontKillUs.

Watch this on Youtube here

see Jessiah’s video essay here

267 - HuggingFace Hack & Effective Altruism Funding Flood (audio)

Eneasz Brodski — Thu, 30 Jul 2026 01:41:38 GMT

First feedback, then we talk about OpenAI’s latest megamodel independently commiting cybercrime in a world-first incident. Then the Haters who hate altruism when it’s the outgroup’s charities. Also a brief nod to Stochastic Terrorism.

LINKS
Scott Alexander on the HuggingFace hack
The Effective-Altruism Comeback
Scanning Tons of Books
Against Stochastic Terrorism

Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow Chat, Full Video

00:03:56 – Feedback
00:32:41 – HuggingFace Hack
00:51:48 – Effective Altruism Funding Flood
01:11:55 – Against Stochastic Terrorism
01:14:51 – Guild of the Rose
01:15:44 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus. maybe returning someday.

267 - HuggingFace Hack & Effective Altruism Funding Flood (video)

Eneasz Brodski — Thu, 30 Jul 2026 01:35:11 GMT

Bonus 267

Eneasz Brodski — Thu, 30 Jul 2026 01:21:44 GMT

Home maintenance, PDKU, other life things

266 - AI2040 Plan A Rundown

Eneasz Brodski — Wed, 15 Jul 2026 07:37:26 GMT

We go through AI2040 Plan A in years.

LINKS
AI-2040
AskWho Casts Pro
Tomas Bjartur’s “The Company Man” and “The Origami Men”

Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow Chat, Full Video

00:04:33 – AI-2040: Plan A
01:14:41 – Guild of the Rose
01:19:52 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus. maybe returning someday.

266 - AI2040 Plan A Rundown (video)

Eneasz Brodski — Wed, 15 Jul 2026 07:33:17 GMT

We go through AI2040 Plan A in years.

LINKS
AI-2040
AskWho Casts Pro
Tomas Bjartur’s “The Company Man” and “The Origami Men”

Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow Chat

00:04:33 – AI-2040: Plan A
01:14:4…

Bonus 266 Video

Eneasz Brodski — Wed, 15 Jul 2026 07:29:14 GMT

Steven is back in work!

Bonus 266 audio

Eneasz Brodski — Wed, 15 Jul 2026 07:27:46 GMT

Steven is back in work!

265 - VibeCamp 5 with Wes, Gina, and Mary

Steven Zuber — Tue, 30 Jun 2026 07:04:09 GMT

Steven is joined by the hosts of the Sex and Sensibility podcast! Join us as we explore the vibrant world of VibeCamp, a unique gathering where creativity, curiosity, and community collide. From unconventional events like imagining eating someone to building playgrounds, this episode dives into the eclectic and wholesome spirit of VibeCamp. Join us as we explore the vibrant experiences of Vibe Camp, from highlight events like the solstice and emo night to personal stories of connection, creativity, and community. Discover how this unique gathering fosters trust, fun, and self-expression in a high-trust environment.

Also, no video this week. We actually had a technical hiccup that made my track out of sync with everyone else’s and fixing it in audio was a pain. Fixing the video was either impossible or too annoying to trouble myself with.

LINKS
Sex and Sensibility Podcast
Episode 190 - Interview with Brooke about VibeCamp 2
Wes’s Solstice speech about how his daughter is his hero (she’s mine too!)
Gina’s Solstice speech about aging in reverse
Mary’s heartwarming tweet about how the work she does impacts people
Steven's Solstice speech about generating gratitude to find happiness now
Gina's band, The Fine Vintages

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus. probably returning someday.

264 - Becoming a Romantic with Damon and Ivy

Steven Zuber — Thu, 11 Jun 2026 09:01:55 GMT

Eneasz and Steven are at LessOnline/SummerCamp and Steven was lucky enough to attend a short presentation by Damon (Daystar Eld) and Ivy on How to Become a Romantic. The presentation was too short for Steven’s satisfaction, so we found a time slot to record a (too short) episode.

LINKS
Damon/Daystar Eld

Ivy’s X handle and website

Guild of the Rose

Paid Bonus content for the week – Full Video

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus. probably returning someday.

264 - Becoming a Romantic with Damon and Ivy (video)

Steven Zuber — Thu, 11 Jun 2026 09:01:03 GMT

263 - Human Values Were Forged in Malthusian Competition

Eneasz Brodski — Tue, 26 May 2026 06:04:11 GMT

Our values are robust against Moloch because they were forged in his flames.

LINKS
When does competition lead to recognisable values?
Our episode 18 – Robin Hanson Interview
Chex Quest
FarmKind – Animal Welfare Offsets (matching code “cagefree”)

Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow Chat, Full Video

00:03:02 – A Good Post-AGI Future
00:15:07 – Human Values Were Forged in Malthusian Competition
00:52:57 – Feedback
01:24:17 – Guild of the Rose
01:25:23 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus. maybe returning someday.