<script data-pm-proxy="intercept"></script><?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[The White House Confirmed]]></title><description><![CDATA[The White House Confirmed delivers independent, data-driven analysis of U.S. politics. Get three weekly newsletters (Monday, Wednesday, Friday) breaking down the latest  moves, policies, and debates with clarity and no partisan spin.

]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xRct!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F17150085-ebeb-4bd2-a1a4-59e13a7cfdfe_400x400.png</url><title>The White House Confirmed</title><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Wed, 02 Sep 2026 08:03:53 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="/__u/thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[thewhitehouseconfirmed@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[thewhitehouseconfirmed@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[thewhitehouseconfirmed@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[thewhitehouseconfirmed@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Spain’s Democratic Transition as a Model for Venezuela]]></title><description><![CDATA[Washington is protecting Chavistas who cooperate. Now it must guarantee democracy]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/spains-democratic-transition-as-a</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/spains-democratic-transition-as-a</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 26 Jul 2026 01:33:29 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xRct!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F17150085-ebeb-4bd2-a1a4-59e13a7cfdfe_400x400.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Marco Rubio cited Spain&#8217;s transition to democracy before the Senate as a possible model for Venezuela. This was not a comparison invented by outside observers; it formed part of Washington&#8217;s explanation for pursuing gradual change. The United States removed Maduro but kept Delcy Rodr&#237;guez, the military, the state bureaucracy, and PDVSA in place. This may reflect a carefully designed strategy or simply a pragmatic response to the fear of creating another Iraq. Either way, the principle is the same: change the regime without destroying the state that must survive it.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Trump’s Delcy Dilemma]]></title><description><![CDATA[Use her for the transition or remove her]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/trumps-delcy-dilemma</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/trumps-delcy-dilemma</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 17 Jul 2026 10:48:58 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xRct!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F17150085-ebeb-4bd2-a1a4-59e13a7cfdfe_400x400.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Venezuela has moved back to the center of Trump&#8217;s foreign policy agenda. In his White House speech on U.S. election security, the president again linked Nicol&#225;s Maduro&#8217;s regime to allegations of electronic election manipulation that have resurfaced in the debate over the 2020 election. The declassified documents do not prove the election was stolen, but they show that such manipulation was technically possible and that Venezuela appears in the intelligence. The timing was notable. Just as Trump made these claims, Javier Negre released an interview with Delcy Rodr&#237;guez from Miraflores Palace, in which Venezuela&#8217;s acting president presented herself as a pragmatic leader open to a respectful relationship with Washington, even calling Trump a partner and friend of Venezuela.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Cuba and Trump’s Backyard]]></title><description><![CDATA[Venezuela taught Washington that pressure is easy; the day after is not]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/cuba-and-trumps-backyard</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/cuba-and-trumps-backyard</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 04 Jul 2026 14:48:26 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xRct!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F17150085-ebeb-4bd2-a1a4-59e13a7cfdfe_400x400.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Trump is trying to recover an idea that Washington never fully abandoned: that the Caribbean and northern South America are part of the United States&#8217; vital security, not a distant chessboard where others can settle in, finance hostile regimes, or turn American weakness into a habit. In that logic, Cuba is not a lost island or a romantic relic of the Cold War, but a still-active piece in the pressure system aimed at the United States within its own sphere of influence. That is why the move toward Havana matters. This is not just about sanctions, votes in Florida, or anticommunist rhetoric; it is about whether the United States will once again put its backyard back in order, or continue belatedly managing the fires others ignite ninety miles from its coast.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Venezuela No Longer Fits Trump’s Plan]]></title><description><![CDATA[Delcy, Machado and Figuera on a Broken Chessboard]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/venezuela-no-longer-fits-trumps-plan</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/venezuela-no-longer-fits-trumps-plan</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 03 Jul 2026 12:28:46 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xRct!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F17150085-ebeb-4bd2-a1a4-59e13a7cfdfe_400x400.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The crisis after the earthquake is redefining the political balance and exposing the limits of U.S. strategy</p><p>Until the earthquake, Trump&#8217;s line on Venezuela seemed clear: a controlled transition, with Delcy Rodr&#237;guez as a useful piece of the old Chavista apparatus and Mar&#237;a Corina Machado pushed to one side. The justification was that Corina lacked enough internal support to govern. Let&#8217;s be clear: by that logic, Delcy had even less. But she served the purpose Washington had at the time: stability, oil, a channel to what remains of the regime, and an orderly exit without major shocks.</p><p>The problem is that reality is often stronger than any plan. The earthquake of June 24 destroyed not only part of the country, but also the fiction that Delcy Rodr&#237;guez controlled the state. The handling of the disaster &#8212; criticized for its slowness, the initial chaos, and its dependence on civilian networks and foreign aid &#8212; revealed a country with no real command, no effective administration, and no response capacity equal to the scale of the tragedy. Delcy may have looked like a solution from a Washington office. Amid the rubble of La Guaira and Caracas, she looks like something else: the continuation of an exhausted structure.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Trump's Mistake on Iran]]></title><description><![CDATA[When domestic politics becomes foreign policy, Iran buys time]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/trumps-mistake-on-iran</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/trumps-mistake-on-iran</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 19 Jun 2026 21:35:21 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xRct!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F17150085-ebeb-4bd2-a1a4-59e13a7cfdfe_400x400.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Trump's mistake on Iran goes beyond the agreement, or even the war. It is deeper than that: he confused domestic calculation with foreign strategy. He believed that a show of force could help him discipline his own coalition, recover authority among Republican hawks, energize the hard-line electorate, and present himself as the man who could make Tehran bend. But the Middle East is not a rally in Ohio. Iran was not a stage prop for domestic consumption. And when a superpower acts primarily to serve its internal narrative, the adversary detects weakness before it detects strength.</p><p>Trump entered the confrontation with Iran carrying an implicit promise: maximum pressure, decisive strikes, and the political capitulation of the adversary. The result has been far more ambiguous. After weeks of tension, airstrikes, threats, and back-channel negotiations, Washington has ended up accepting a framework that opens the door to talks while leaving the central questions unresolved: enriched uranium, ballistic missiles, sanctions, and Iran's regional posture. Even within the Republican Party, the criticism has been sharp, with hawks accusing Trump of giving away too much.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The weapon is doubt]]></title><description><![CDATA[Trump doesn't need Iran to be divided. He just needs someone to believe it is.]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/the-weapon-is-doubt</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/the-weapon-is-doubt</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 22 Apr 2026 11:06:48 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xRct!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F17150085-ebeb-4bd2-a1a4-59e13a7cfdfe_400x400.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There's an uncomfortable truth about 21st-century geopolitics: reality is secondary; perception is what drives outcomes. When Donald Trump justifies extending the ceasefire by pointing to a "serious division" within Iran, he isn't describing a situation. He's constructing one. And in terms of power, that's worth more than any set of facts.</p><p>In modern warfare, and this is modern warfare even if it's fought with missiles and blockades, communication doesn't support strategy. It is the strategy. Suggesting an internal fracture in Tehran injects something corrosive that cuts in two directions. Internally, it breeds distrust among real or latent factions. Externally, it legitimizes any move: waiting, pressuring, striking. Everything falls under the same premise: "they're not aligned."</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Trump Method]]></title><description><![CDATA[When diplomacy is the screen, not the instrument]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/the-trump-method</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/the-trump-method</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 12 Apr 2026 12:25:32 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xRct!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F17150085-ebeb-4bd2-a1a4-59e13a7cfdfe_400x400.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Trump has done this before. And it worked. January 2020. First term. Donald Trump orders the killing of Qasem Soleimani in Baghdad. Not an impulse. A sequence of ambiguous signals, the illusion of an open channel, the sense that there was still room to maneuver. Soleimani bought the setup. Lowered his guard. Flew commercial. Died on arrival.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Trump's Overreach]]></title><description><![CDATA[He threatened to destroy a civilization and ended up signing a ceasefire: neither victory nor defeat, just noise]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/trumps-overreach</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/trumps-overreach</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 08 Apr 2026 13:28:57 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xRct!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F17150085-ebeb-4bd2-a1a4-59e13a7cfdfe_400x400.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Trump's overreach isn't military. It's political. For hours, the world watched the White House adopt an almost apocalyptic tone, hinting at the capacity to devastate Iran entirely. The message was clear: we can do anything, and we can do it now. And yet, the outcome was something else. A last-minute ceasefire, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and a return to negotiations. There is no war. But there is no coherent narrative either.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Trump. The Purge as a System]]></title><description><![CDATA[This isn't personnel management. It's the systematic redesign of power, and it's happening in plain sight]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/trump-the-purge-as-a-system</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/trump-the-purge-as-a-system</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 03 Apr 2026 00:17:02 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xRct!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F17150085-ebeb-4bd2-a1a4-59e13a7cfdfe_400x400.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The rules haven't changed. That&#8217;s precisely the point. Donald Trump isn&#8217;t rewriting the Constitution or dismantling the law. He&#8217;s doing something more precise: replacing the people who are supposed to interpret it. Every prosecutor who hesitates, every general who doesn&#8217;t owe his career to the president, every official who treats the institution as something other than an extension of the executive: out. The official narrative calls it &#8220;vision.&#8221; The operational reality is simpler. Control who enforces the rules, and the rules themselves become secondary.</p><p>The pattern is now unmistakable. This week, Pam Bondi was dismissed as attorney general for failing to pursue the president&#8217;s political enemies with sufficient aggression. The same day, General Randy George was forced into immediate retirement as Army Chief of Staff,  more than a year before the end of his term. His replacement is General Christopher LaNeve, a former military aide to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Not a coincidence. A criterion: those who introduce friction are removed; those who guarantee alignment remain. In a corporation, that might be called leadership. In a constitutional republic, it is something categorically different.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Lots of Crowds. Same People]]></title><description><![CDATA[When a protest needs foreign amplification, that&#8217;s your answer]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/lots-of-crowds-same-people</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/lots-of-crowds-same-people</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 28 Mar 2026 20:40:04 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xRct!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F17150085-ebeb-4bd2-a1a4-59e13a7cfdfe_400x400.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The anti-Donald Trump protests are filling streets again. They are big, loud, and photogenic. But something doesn&#8217;t hold up under a cold read: this isn&#8217;t the country rising up. It&#8217;s the same people showing up, again &#8212; the same activist networks, the same organizing infrastructure, the same constituencies that have been doing this for years. Plenty of noise. Not much new.</p><p>That is not a moral judgment on the protesters or their causes. It&#8217;s a basic political observation: repetition is not representation.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Desperately seeking Iran’s Delcy]]></title><description><![CDATA[The war in plain sight. The power shift behind it.]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/desperately-seeking-irans-delcy</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/desperately-seeking-irans-delcy</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 25 Mar 2026 11:02:52 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xRct!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F17150085-ebeb-4bd2-a1a4-59e13a7cfdfe_400x400.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What we&#8217;re watching in the Middle East right now is not chaos, it is method. Missiles strike Tehran, Israel, and critical infrastructure across the Gulf, yet something far more consequential is unfolding in parallel: signals of coordination that simply don&#8217;t fit a full-scale war. Iran denies negotiations while quietly allowing conditional transit through the Strait of Hormuz. The United States speaks of an imminent deal while deploying troops. Markets, instead of panicking, are pushing oil prices down. None of this is contradiction. It is design.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Trump’s Ceiling]]></title><description><![CDATA[Iran isn&#8217;t the problem. The problem is the United States itself]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/trumps-ceiling</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/trumps-ceiling</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 19 Mar 2026 21:13:47 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xRct!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F17150085-ebeb-4bd2-a1a4-59e13a7cfdfe_400x400.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A majority of Americans oppose the war with Iran, most polls place it somewhere between 50% and 60%. Trump knows it, and it doesn&#8217;t change anything, because these numbers are no longer situational; they are structural.</p><p>His base supports him overwhelmingly&#8212;over 80% of Republicans back the strikes&#8212;while Democrats and independents reject them just as decisively. The country isn&#8217;t reacting to events; it is splitting along pre-existing lines. This isn&#8217;t about Iran. It&#8217;s about a system where even crisis gets absorbed into the divide.</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[This Never Happens. And It Just Did]]></title><description><![CDATA[A top intelligence official resigns and publicly challenges the justification for war]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/this-never-happens-and-it-just-did</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/this-never-happens-and-it-just-did</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 17 Mar 2026 16:31:05 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xRct!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F17150085-ebeb-4bd2-a1a4-59e13a7cfdfe_400x400.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Joe Kent's resignation as Director of the National Counterterrorism Center is not just another development in Washington's relentless political churn. By its nature&#8212;and by the way it unfolded&#8212;it stands apart as something far more consequential. This was not a quiet transition or a routine departure. It was an explicit break, accompanied by a public letter that directly questions the foundation of a major military decision.</p><p>What makes this moment truly striking is not only the resignation itself, but the reasoning behind it. Kent states that Iran did not pose an imminent threat and suggests that the path to conflict was shaped by external pressures. Statements of this kind, coming from someone with direct access to classified intelligence, cut against the grain of the official narrative. This is not outside criticist,  is dissent from within the system.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading The White House Confirmed! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Under normal circumstances, disagreements inside the national security apparatus are handled internally. They exist, but they are contained. The system is designed to absorb friction without exposing it. That is precisely why a public break of this magnitude matters. It signals more than a policy disagreement, it points to a deeper fracture.</p><p>Equally significant is the method of communication. There was no carefully staged press conference, no tightly controlled institutional statement. Instead, there was a direct letter, released publicly, in clear and unambiguous terms. That choice reflects intent: not just to resign, but to create a permanent, public record that cannot easily be reframed.</p><p>The implications are immediate. In the short term, this introduces political pressure and raises questions about the strength of the official case for war. Over time, it may erode credibility if others voice similar concerns. Internationally, it projects a jarring image, one of visible tension within the U.S. security establishment at a critical moment.</p><p>But beyond the immediate impact, the real significance lies in the precedent. When someone with access to the most sensitive intelligence not only steps down but explains why in public, it sends a message that extends far beyond a single resignation. It suggests that, at certain moments, the gap between political decision-making and intelligence assessment can no longer be kept out of sight.</p><p>And once that line has been crossed, it rarely holds.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading The White House Confirmed! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Pedro Sánchez: A Dangerous Sicko]]></title><description><![CDATA[Washington is Watching]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/pedro-sanchez-a-dangerous-sicko</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/pedro-sanchez-a-dangerous-sicko</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 02 Mar 2026 19:43:44 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xRct!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F17150085-ebeb-4bd2-a1a4-59e13a7cfdfe_400x400.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The message from the United States is loud and clear. Donald Trump and Marco Rubio have made it plain: the free world is watching Spain closely. Pedro S&#225;nchez, the current President of the Government of Spain (Prime Minister), isn't just a typical politician. He's a power-obsessed addict. He has turned Spain's leadership into a personal fortress. He'll do anything to cling to power&#8212;and Washington has had enough.</p><p>His latest stunt is a clear betrayal of the Western alliance. S&#225;nchez blocked U.S. access to the Rota and Mor&#243;n bases for operations against Iran. This forced the withdrawal of at least 15 American tanker aircraft. Trump has slammed it as a "weak-kneed surrender." Iran's regime openly praised S&#225;nchez. This move isn't about sovereignty or peace. It's cynical. He appeases his radical base. He weakens Spain's NATO role. He sides with anti-Western dictators over loyal democratic allies. While he condemns violence and appeals to the UN, his decision fuels Tehran's propaganda. It risks American lives and global security. As Rubio has warned, a leader who cozies up to ayatollahs over trusted partners is a direct threat.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading The White House Confirmed! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>S&#225;nchez leads the most extremist government in Western Europe. It's a shaky minority coalition. Sumar brings in communists. EH Bildu delivers key votes&#8212;direct heirs to ETA's terrorist legacy. S&#225;nchez cuts deals with those who whitewash terrorism that killed hundreds of Spaniards, including his own party members. His former Podemos allies had ties to funding from Iran and Venezuela. Now Iran's embassy cheers his base refusal. The pattern is obvious: anti-Americanism, anti-Israel bias, and excuses for totalitarian regimes. This isn't progress. It's a betrayal of core democratic values&#8212;and Washington is taking note.</p><p>Corruption isn't a side issue&#8212;it's the glue. It traces back to his rise. Reports link S&#225;nchez to benefits from a sleazy business empire run by his father-in-law, Sabiniano G&#243;mez. It centered on gay saunas and brothels&#8212;like Sauna Ad&#225;n on San Bernardo Street&#8212;where prostitution thrived under cover. These spots generated black money, with allegations of recordings for blackmail. Bego&#241;a G&#243;mez handled the accounting for these family ventures. That money reportedly helped fund his early political steps and housing. Today, Bego&#241;a faces probes for influence peddling and embezzlement. His brother David heads to trial for prevarication. Ex-ministers like &#193;balos are in pretrial detention over pandemic mask kickbacks. Ex-number-three Santos Cerd&#225;n is tainted too. Trump has called it "Third World corruption." Yet S&#225;nchez clings on, crying "lawfare" at every scandal.</p><p>He refuses elections because he'd lose big. He squats in office until 2027 via separatist pacts and parliamentary blackmail. He has twisted the system to shield himself while the country suffers.</p><p>Bottom line: Pedro S&#225;nchez isn't just dangerous&#8212;he's sick with power. From deals with terrorists to the sleazy sauna profits that helped launch him, he serves only himself. He sabotages the U.S.-Spain alliance to stay on top. But the tide is turning. Trump and Rubio have sent a sharp signal to Madrid: Take note. The free world is watching, and the days of betraying allies without consequences are over.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading The White House Confirmed! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Elon Musk Apologizes to Trump]]></title><description><![CDATA[Who Holds More Power, the U.S. President or the World&#8217;s Richest Person?]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/elon-musk-apologizes-to-trump</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/elon-musk-apologizes-to-trump</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 11 Jun 2025 18:40:23 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xRct!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F17150085-ebeb-4bd2-a1a4-59e13a7cfdfe_400x400.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Elon Musk, the world&#8217;s richest individual and tech mogul, stunned observers by issuing a public apology on his platform X, expressing regret for critical remarks aimed at U.S. President Donald Trump. The feud ignited when Musk slammed Trump&#8217;s tax bill, dubbed the &#8220;One Big Beautiful Bill,&#8221; calling it a &#8220;repugnant abomination&#8221; for ballooning the federal deficit. After a heated public spat, with Trump threatening to cancel federal contracts with Musk&#8217;s companies, the billionaire backtracked, admitting his posts &#8220;went too far.&#8221; This clash raises a critical question: who wields more power, the President of the United States or the wealthiest person alive?</p><p>The power of a U.S. president stems from their ability to shape legislation, steer national policy, and leverage government resources, including federal contracts and subsidies that companies like Tesla and SpaceX rely on. Trump&#8217;s threat to sever these contracts, potentially costing Musk billions, exposed the billionaire&#8217;s vulnerability despite his vast wealth. Trump&#8217;s ability to rally political allies and sway public opinion, particularly among Republican voters, further cements his authority. Musk&#8217;s swift response&#8212;deleting provocative posts and apologizing&#8212;suggests that even the richest person in the world recognizes the limits of their influence when facing the institutional might of the presidency.</p><p>Musk&#8217;s wealth, estimated at over $334 billion, and his control over pivotal companies like Tesla, SpaceX, and X grant him significant influence, but it&#8217;s a different kind. His fortune allows him to fund political campaigns, like the nearly $300 million he poured into Trump&#8217;s 2024 campaign, and shape public discourse through his platform. Yet, this influence hinges on political and economic contexts. Musk&#8217;s businesses depend on government contracts and regulations, and his brief threat to dismantle SpaceX&#8217;s Dragon spacecraft, vital for U.S. space access, was quickly retracted. This shows his economic power can&#8217;t directly challenge the president&#8217;s authority on matters of national interest.</p><p>Ultimately, this showdown reveals that while Musk&#8217;s wealth affords him considerable sway, the president&#8217;s political and institutional power, backed by the state&#8217;s control over critical resources and regulations, holds greater weight. Musk&#8217;s apology reflects not just a tactical move to protect his business interests but also an implicit admission that Trump&#8217;s political authority, supported by the presidency, outstrips his personal fortune. The episode underscores that in the power struggle, the presidency&#8217;s ability to enforce laws and shape policy remains a dominant force over individual wealth, even that of a titan like Elon Musk.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading The White House Confirmed! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Trump’s Tariff Threat: A 50% Blow to Europe]]></title><description><![CDATA[Is This a Negotiation Tactic or a Trade War Trigger?]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/trumps-tariff-threat-a-50-blow-to</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/trumps-tariff-threat-a-50-blow-to</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 24 May 2025 16:15:24 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c795d0a4-fb33-4311-b6e9-af3d49adfadf_816x626.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>President Donald Trump has ignited fresh economic uncertainty with a Truth Social post threatening 50% tariffs on European Union (EU) imports starting June 1, 2025. Following his aggressive trade moves against China, Trump now targets Europe, accusing the bloc of maintaining a $250 billion trade deficit with the U.S. through &#8220;trade barriers, taxes, corporate sanctions, and monetary manipulations.&#8221; This bold escalation, framed as a response to an &#8220;unacceptable&#8221; trade relationship, raises questions about whether it&#8217;s a hardline negotiation ploy or the prelude to a broader trade war.</p><p>The announcement follows a pattern of Trump&#8217;s protectionist playbook. Earlier this year, he floated a 20% tariff on the EU, only to pause it, while recently imposing up to 145% tariffs on Chinese goods, effectively stalling trade with Beijing. The new threat against Europe appears designed to pressure the EU, with Trump claiming ongoing trade talks are &#8220;going nowhere.&#8221; His history suggests a strategy of leveraging tariff threats to extract concessions, as seen in preliminary deals with China and the UK.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading The White House Confirmed! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Europe&#8217;s response has been swift and resolute. EU Trade Commissioner Maro&#353; &#352;ef&#269;ovi&#269; emphasized the need for &#8220;mutual respect&#8221; in negotiations, while nations like Ireland and France warn of severe economic fallout. The EU is already preparing retaliatory tariffs, potentially targeting U.S. tech giants like Google. Markets have felt the strain, with the S&amp;P 500 dipping after Trump&#8217;s announcement, reflecting investor fears of escalating trade tensions.</p><p>The economic stakes are high. The Kiel Institute estimates a 1.5% hit to U.S. growth, with Europe&#8212;especially Germany and Ireland&#8212;facing significant losses in sectors like automotive and pharmaceuticals. Global supply chains could also take a hit, threatening broader economic stability. Yet, some analysts, like Agathe Demarais from the European Council on Foreign Relations, argue this could be a calculated bluff, given Trump&#8217;s tendency to soften stances after securing deals.</p><p>The EU now faces a tough choice: negotiate under pressure or retaliate, risking a full-blown trade war. Trump&#8217;s rhetoric, accusing the EU of &#8220;taking advantage&#8221; of the U.S., complicates the path to diplomacy. With markets on edge and time running short, the coming weeks will determine whether this tariff threat sparks a breakthrough or a costly confrontation.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading The White House Confirmed! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Debt under Trump]]></title><description><![CDATA[Is the concern over U.S. debt under Trump justified? A historical and current Analysis]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/debt-under-trump</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/debt-under-trump</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 19 May 2025 14:58:04 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f29532e7-aa90-44b3-b3f9-aabd7b8c5fb8_551x410.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Recent market turbulence, marked by falling stocks, a weakening dollar, and rising bond yields, has brought renewed attention to concerns about the United States&#8217; debt under President Donald Trump&#8217;s second term. This unease, intensified by Moody&#8217;s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating last Friday, reflects fears about the fiscal impact of Trump&#8217;s policies and the broader health of the economy. But are these concerns truly warranted? A comparative analysis of Trump&#8217;s first term (2017-2021) and the administrations of other recent presidents provides perspective on whether this anxiety is proportionate or an overreaction by markets.</p><p>During Trump&#8217;s first presidency, U.S. public debt grew significantly, from approximately $19.9 trillion in 2017 to $27.7 trillion by 2020, according to Treasury Department data. This increase was partly driven by the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which lowered tax rates for individuals and corporations, reducing federal revenue. While Trump argued that the tax cuts would spur enough economic growth to offset the revenue loss, the annual fiscal deficit rose from $665 billion in 2017 to $3.1 trillion in 2020, the latter inflated by pandemic-related spending. Although pre-pandemic economic growth was solid (with real GDP growing at an average of 2.5% annually), it fell short of projections needed to fully finance the tax cuts. This history suggests that Trump&#8217;s policies tend to increase debt, lending some credence to current concerns about his new agenda, particularly with proposals to make the 2017 tax cuts permanent.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading The White House Confirmed! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>However, the current situation is not unique to Trump. Under President Barack Obama (2009-2017), public debt nearly doubled, from $10.6 trillion to $19.9 trillion, largely due to stimulus measures to counter the Great Recession and the costs of wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Similarly, during President Joe Biden&#8217;s term (2021-2025), debt reached $36 trillion, exceeding 120% of GDP, according to Reuters. This was driven by massive programs like the American Rescue Plan and infrastructure investments, which also widened fiscal deficits. In this context, debt growth under Trump is not an outlier but part of a long-term trend where presidents, regardless of party, have prioritized spending over fiscal restraint. Blaming Trump alone for the &#8220;debt crisis&#8221; overlooks this broader structural issue.</p><p>The market&#8217;s reaction, with Treasury yields rising (the 10-year yield hit 4.54% and the 30-year surpassed 5%), reflects perceived risks to debt sustainability, especially after Moody&#8217;s downgrade, which cited concerns over the fiscal deficit and rising debt costs. This echoes past events, such as S&amp;P&#8217;s 2011 downgrade under Obama, which also sparked market volatility. Yet, the notion that Treasury bonds are losing their &#8220;safe haven&#8221; status appears overstated. Despite the turbulence, demand for U.S. debt remains strong, as evidenced by a $39 billion debt auction in April 2025 that proceeded smoothly. The dollar&#8217;s 0.8% drop against major currencies does not signal an immediate loss of global confidence, given the lack of a viable alternative to the dollar as the world&#8217;s reserve currency in the near term.</p><p>Still, Trump&#8217;s specific policies, such as tariffs and potential pressure on the Federal Reserve&#8217;s independence, add uncertainty. In his first term, tariffs on China and other countries raised costs for U.S. consumers and disrupted supply chains but did not trigger a broader economic crisis. In 2025, the reintroduction of tariffs, though temporarily paused, has raised fears of inflation and slower global growth, which could exacerbate debt pressures if tax revenues fall short of Trump&#8217;s expectations. Criticism of the Fed, which has contributed to declines in indices like the S&amp;P 500 (down 1% in early Monday trading), also suggests that Trump&#8217;s rhetoric may be driving volatility more than his policies themselves. Compared to presidents like George W. Bush, whose administration saw deficits rise due to tax cuts and wars, Trump&#8217;s approach is not radically different, but his confrontational style heightens perceptions of risk.</p><p>In conclusion, concerns about U.S. debt under Trump are grounded, given his first term&#8217;s record of rising deficits and current proposals that could exacerbate the issue. However, these concerns must be viewed within a historical trend where debt has grown under multiple administrations, driven by expansive policies and unforeseen crises. Markets are reacting to uncertainty rather than an imminent catastrophe, and the resilience of the dollar and Treasury bonds suggests that confidence in the U.S., though shaken, remains intact. To avert a genuine crisis, Trump will need to balance his fiscal ambitions with measures that preserve the nation&#8217;s economic credibility&#8212;a challenge not unique to him but made more visible by his leadership style.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading The White House Confirmed! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Trump, the king of news ]]></title><description><![CDATA[In his first 100 days, Trump outshines Biden in media coverage with his polarizing style]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/trump-the-king-of-news</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/trump-the-king-of-news</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 05 May 2025 23:50:34 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8027802d-b7a7-4c16-bb57-62bd73e01771_783x502.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In the first 100 days of his second term (January to April 2025), Donald Trump dominates the front pages of major U.S. media outlets. From The New York Times to Fox News, his name is plastered across headlines about immigration policies, executive orders, and personal controversies. Finding a front page without him is rare, except in niche publications like Wired or ESPN that steer clear of politics. This media stranglehold showcases Trump&#8217;s knack for grabbing attention with a confrontational style that keeps everyone talking about him. </p><p>Looking back at Joe Biden&#8217;s first 100 days in 2021, the media landscape was less saturated. Biden captured headlines with his pandemic response and reversal of Trump-era policies, but front pages without his name were more common, especially during non-political stories like cultural events. Trump, though out of office, still lingered in headlines tied to his statements or legal probes, proving his media shadow never fully faded. Yet, his presence then paled compared to the blanket coverage of his own presidency. </p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading The White House Confirmed! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Does Trump manage headlines well? His constant presence says yes. In 2025, actions like signing over 140 executive orders and sparking immigration debates fuel polarized coverage: conservative outlets like Breitbart cheer him on, while The New York Times slams his chaotic approach. This divide works in Trump&#8217;s favor, rallying his base and keeping him relevant to critics. He doesn&#8217;t just make the news&#8212;he shapes it, wielding controversy as a tool to stay front and center. </p><p>Biden, in 2021, took a different tack, projecting stability through issues like mass vaccinations. His coverage, while steady, was less gripping, often overshadowed by broader stories like economic recovery. This calmer approach, though effective for signaling competence, gave him less control over the media narrative. Trump, by contrast, thrives on chaos, ensuring every day brings a fresh headline with his name. </p><p>In short, Trump outpaces Biden in commanding front pages during their first 100 days, showcasing unmatched media dominance. His ability to stay in the spotlight, divisive as it is, makes him a news juggernaut. Yet, with a 41% approval rating in April 2025, this headline monopoly doesn&#8217;t guarantee broad support. The question remains whether Trump&#8217;s reign over the news will remain his greatest asset or eventually wear thin, even for his loyalists. </p><p> </p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading The White House Confirmed! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[J.D. Vance: Trump’s Pick?]]></title><description><![CDATA[From Rust Belt Roots to MAGA&#8217;s Frontline Fighter, Vance Eyes the Throne]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/jd-vance-trumps-pick</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/jd-vance-trumps-pick</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 04 May 2025 21:03:41 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/02ec6bce-80b1-4be4-9fd0-d6bf8361a745_645x603.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>James David Vance, known as J.D. Vance, has emerged as a pivotal figure in the "Make America Great Again" (MAGA) movement, and, according to recent reports, as Donald Trump&#8217;s potential successor. At 40, the current vice president of the United States has followed a remarkable path: from a fierce critic of Trump, whom he compared to Hitler in 2016, to his most loyal ally and running mate in 2024. Today, May 4, 2025, Trump is reported to have said it&#8217;s &#8220;too early&#8221; to name a successor but praised Vance, stating he&#8217;s &#8220;doing a fantastic job&#8221; as vice president and that he doesn&#8217;t want to get involved in picking an heir. While not an explicit endorsement, this statement bolsters Vance&#8217;s privileged position. His bestselling book Hillbilly Elegy, which chronicles the struggles of the white working class, propelled him to fame and established him as a voice for the frustrations that fueled Trumpism.</p><p>Born in Middletown, Ohio, into a family marked by poverty and addiction, Vance embodies the American Dream. Raised by his grandparents amid his father&#8217;s absence and his mother&#8217;s struggles, he served in the Marines, earned a law degree from Yale, and thrived as a venture capitalist before entering politics. Elected senator from Ohio in 2022 with Trump&#8217;s backing, his youth and humble roots make him an ideal candidate to inherit MAGA&#8217;s leadership, particularly among voters in industrial regions. However, Trump&#8217;s statement today, which highlights Vance&#8217;s performance but stops short of a clear commitment, aligns with earlier remarks. In February 2025, in a Fox News interview, Trump denied Vance was his successor, saying, &#8220;No, but he&#8217;s very capable&#8221; and &#8220;it&#8217;s too early,&#8221; while also mentioning Marco Rubio as another option. This suggests the narrative of Vance as heir may be more speculative than definitive.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading The White House Confirmed! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>As vice president, Vance has taken on an aggressive role, breaking from the traditional restraint of the office. His confrontation with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in the Oval Office, accusing him of ingratitude, and his criticism of European elites at the Munich Security Conference have elevated his profile as a champion of &#8220;America First.&#8221; These actions underscore his loyalty to Trump and cement him as a polarizing figure. Trump&#8217;s comments today, praising him without directly naming him as successor, reflect the former president&#8217;s strategic ambiguity, as he has historically avoided committing to a single candidate to maintain his influence. This positions Vance favorably but not guaranteed within the Republican Party.</p><p>Vance&#8217;s rise is not without controversy. His shift from Trump critic to supporter has been labeled opportunistic, and his hardline stances&#8212;opposition to abortion, same-sex marriage, aid to Ukraine, and tough rhetoric on immigration&#8212;make him unpopular with moderates and international allies. His 2024 campaign remarks disparaging &#8220;childless women&#8221; sparked backlash, though he softened his tone in debates like the one against Tim Walz. The claim that Trump endorsed him as successor today, while supported by positive remarks, lacks explicit confirmation, and earlier reports, such as Newsweek&#8217;s in February 2025, show Trump declining to name him heir. This ambiguity suggests current claims may reflect MAGA base enthusiasm more than a final decision.</p><p>Vance&#8217;s future as Trumpism&#8217;s leader hinges on his ability to retain MAGA loyalty while appealing to a broader electorate. Though Trump&#8217;s comments today, describing him as a successful vice president, strengthen his standing, the mention of others like Rubio and Trump&#8217;s caution indicate the succession is far from settled. With Trump constitutionally barred from a third term, Vance holds an edge as vice president, but contenders like Rubio or Donald Trump Jr. could challenge him. For now, Vance leverages his personal story, combative style, and Trump&#8217;s partial backing to position himself as the movement&#8217;s future, though the absence of a clear designation leaves his status as successor uncertain.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading The White House Confirmed! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Trump at 100 days: a divided nation]]></title><description><![CDATA[His base holds firm amid soaring polarization]]></description><link>https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/trump-at-100-days-a-divided-nation</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/p/trump-at-100-days-a-divided-nation</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Confirmado La Moncloa]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2025 09:06:22 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/66543934-0454-448e-aebb-8d13aac5597b_578x650.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>At the 100-day mark of Donald Trump&#8217;s second term, his approval rating stands at 45%, the lowest for any president at this point since 1952, except for his own 41% in 2017. Compared to Joe Biden (55-58% in 2021), Barack Obama (60-69% in 2009), George W. Bush (55-58% in 2001), and Bill Clinton (55% in 1993), Trump faces stark rejection, with just 4% support from Democrats and 37% from independents, though he retains a robust 90% among Republicans. This polarization, unmatched in modern history, dwarfs Biden&#8217;s 10% Republican support and Obama&#8217;s low teens, signaling a deeply fractured America. </p><p>In the 2024 election, Trump secured 76.9 million votes (49.7%), narrowly winning the popular vote against Kamala Harris&#8217;s 74.4 million but falling short of a majority. This contrasts with Biden&#8217;s 81.3 million (51.3%) in 2020, Obama&#8217;s 52.9% in 2008, and Clinton&#8217;s 49.2% in 1996, all of whom garnered broader support. Trump&#8217;s 312 electoral votes hinged on razor-thin margins&#8212;230,000 votes across Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin&#8212;magnifying the perception of a strong mandate despite limited popular backing. </p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading The White House Confirmed! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Trump&#8217;s voter base remains unshaken, retaining 97% of his 2020 supporters, while Biden lost 10% of his to Trump. Yet, his 54% disapproval reflects a fiercely united opposition, not a shrinking base. Policies like sweeping tariffs, sparking economic turbulence, and 129 executive orders have fueled Democratic and independent backlash, though his immigration stance retains 48% trust. Unlike Bush and Obama, who enjoyed broader &#8220;honeymoons,&#8221; or Clinton, who faced less partisan venom, Trump&#8217;s approval is constrained by ideological divides. </p><p>The 86-point gap between Republican and Democratic approval, the highest ever recorded, underscores that Trump&#8217;s lower ratings stem from intensified opposition, not a crumbling base. Economic woes, including inflation fears, have shaved 7% off his approval since January, but his core supporters remain loyal. Looking ahead, Virginia&#8217;s 2025 elections and the 2026 midterms will test his grip. Economic stabilization or immigration wins could bolster his standing, but entrenched opposition and independent skepticism point to a volatile path, where governing may hinge on rallying his steadfast base amid a polarized storm. </p><p> </p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thewhitehouseconfirmed.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading The White House Confirmed! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>