<script data-pm-proxy="intercept"></script><?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[There Will Be Trouble]]></title><description><![CDATA[My thoughts about politics, the world, war, and cats. ]]></description><link>https://williamowen.substack.com</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LHcl!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb9c36cdc-9758-42fb-9f6d-adeddcb641ff_436x436.png</url><title>There Will Be Trouble</title><link>https://williamowen.substack.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Wed, 02 Sep 2026 07:13:13 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="/__u/williamowen.substack.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Bill Owen]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[williamowen@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[williamowen@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Bill Owen]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Bill Owen]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[williamowen@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[williamowen@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Bill Owen]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Big War Coming ]]></title><description><![CDATA[But Don't Worry, Because It Will Be the Greatest War, the Finest War]]></description><link>https://williamowen.substack.com/p/big-war-coming</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://williamowen.substack.com/p/big-war-coming</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bill Owen]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 30 Aug 2026 16:11:53 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4u6d!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4ebc997b-a8e6-40dc-9aba-7597d85c2ed2_393x450.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="native-video-embed" data-component-name="VideoPlaceholder" data-attrs="{&quot;mediaUploadId&quot;:&quot;b0c69952-a15a-45df-9fc8-a14e9e62cd36&quot;,&quot;duration&quot;:null}"></div><p></p><p>Many people, including ones who I like and respect - say that "Putin" should hit targets like drone factories in the EU. He can of course do that with unstoppable <a href="https://x.com/hashtag/oreshniks?src=hashtag_click">#oreshniks</a> he also knows that if he does that, he could trigger Article Five and enrage the masses. Good idea?</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://williamowen.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading There Will Be Trouble! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pQGL!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2c3d3f0-1ae5-4bbe-add3-b0bcaaf17c61_680x238.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pQGL!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, 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/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pQGL!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2c3d3f0-1ae5-4bbe-add3-b0bcaaf17c61_680x238.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pQGL!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2c3d3f0-1ae5-4bbe-add3-b0bcaaf17c61_680x238.jpeg" width="680" height="238" 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/__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2c3d3f0-1ae5-4bbe-add3-b0bcaaf17c61_680x238.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pQGL!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2c3d3f0-1ae5-4bbe-add3-b0bcaaf17c61_680x238.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pQGL!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2c3d3f0-1ae5-4bbe-add3-b0bcaaf17c61_680x238.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pQGL!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2c3d3f0-1ae5-4bbe-add3-b0bcaaf17c61_680x238.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PI29!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef6f0f8b-c401-4d36-8cc6-4f4233c648bb_893x218.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PI29!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef6f0f8b-c401-4d36-8cc6-4f4233c648bb_893x218.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PI29!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef6f0f8b-c401-4d36-8cc6-4f4233c648bb_893x218.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PI29!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef6f0f8b-c401-4d36-8cc6-4f4233c648bb_893x218.jpeg 1272w, 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data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ef6f0f8b-c401-4d36-8cc6-4f4233c648bb_893x218.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:218,&quot;width&quot;:893,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Image&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Image" title="Image" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PI29!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef6f0f8b-c401-4d36-8cc6-4f4233c648bb_893x218.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PI29!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef6f0f8b-c401-4d36-8cc6-4f4233c648bb_893x218.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PI29!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef6f0f8b-c401-4d36-8cc6-4f4233c648bb_893x218.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PI29!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef6f0f8b-c401-4d36-8cc6-4f4233c648bb_893x218.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Another day, another rung on the #escalationladder <br>Few notice. <br>Fewer care. <br>Millions demand MOAR<br>Such idiocy.</p><p>Many of the people who demand escalation don't understand <a href="https://x.com/hashtag/gametheory?src=hashtag_click">#gametheory</a>. Game theory, which is what all the actors engage in, provides the mathematical and strategic framework for analyzing how rational actors make decisions when the outcome depends on the choices of both players. When applied to nuclear war and Cold War superpower planning, it transformed military strategy into a calculated exercise in deterrence, brinkmanship, and credible threats. We&#8217;ve been living in this mad world since WWII ended. </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4u6d!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4ebc997b-a8e6-40dc-9aba-7597d85c2ed2_393x450.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4u6d!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4ebc997b-a8e6-40dc-9aba-7597d85c2ed2_393x450.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4u6d!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4ebc997b-a8e6-40dc-9aba-7597d85c2ed2_393x450.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4u6d!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4ebc997b-a8e6-40dc-9aba-7597d85c2ed2_393x450.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4u6d!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!skJG!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F47d63a61-1b5d-44c5-a0a2-2979343e9198_893x440.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!skJG!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F47d63a61-1b5d-44c5-a0a2-2979343e9198_893x440.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!skJG!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F47d63a61-1b5d-44c5-a0a2-2979343e9198_893x440.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!skJG!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F47d63a61-1b5d-44c5-a0a2-2979343e9198_893x440.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!skJG!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F47d63a61-1b5d-44c5-a0a2-2979343e9198_893x440.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!skJG!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F47d63a61-1b5d-44c5-a0a2-2979343e9198_893x440.jpeg" width="893" height="440" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/47d63a61-1b5d-44c5-a0a2-2979343e9198_893x440.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:440,&quot;width&quot;:893,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Image&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Image" title="Image" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!skJG!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F47d63a61-1b5d-44c5-a0a2-2979343e9198_893x440.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!skJG!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F47d63a61-1b5d-44c5-a0a2-2979343e9198_893x440.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!skJG!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F47d63a61-1b5d-44c5-a0a2-2979343e9198_893x440.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!skJG!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F47d63a61-1b5d-44c5-a0a2-2979343e9198_893x440.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>In the case of extreme tension and hostility between nuclear powers, the question of, indeed the demand for, a <a href="https://x.com/hashtag/preemptivestrike?src=hashtag_click">#preemptivestrike</a> ineluctably arises due to: first-mover advantage, information asymmetry, and stability structures like rules, capabilities, and perceptions. </p><p>Stability is only maintained when both sides are absolutely certain that no matter who strikes first, both sides will die. Tragically, perhaps insanely, there are those in the US who now believe that the Empire does indeed have nuclear primacy, that a 1st strike could succeed.</p><p>When both sides believe war is inevitable, the situation often structurally degrades into a <a href="https://x.com/hashtag/PrisonersDilemma?src=hashtag_click">#PrisonersDilemma</a>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CxFZ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3712f24f-043b-409c-9942-ade625d2e65f_900x506.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CxFZ!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3712f24f-043b-409c-9942-ade625d2e65f_900x506.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CxFZ!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3712f24f-043b-409c-9942-ade625d2e65f_900x506.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CxFZ!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3712f24f-043b-409c-9942-ade625d2e65f_900x506.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CxFZ!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3712f24f-043b-409c-9942-ade625d2e65f_900x506.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CxFZ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3712f24f-043b-409c-9942-ade625d2e65f_900x506.png" width="900" height="506" 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/__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3712f24f-043b-409c-9942-ade625d2e65f_900x506.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CxFZ!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3712f24f-043b-409c-9942-ade625d2e65f_900x506.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CxFZ!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3712f24f-043b-409c-9942-ade625d2e65f_900x506.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CxFZ!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3712f24f-043b-409c-9942-ade625d2e65f_900x506.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>If State A strikes first and destroys a large portion of State B&#8217;s arsenal, State A suffers significantly less damage than if it absorbs a first strike. If both states wait, peace remains. However, if State A waits and State B strikes first, State A faces total destruction.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KGAz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcc04c625-210d-4664-9069-a93608466836_888x499.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KGAz!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcc04c625-210d-4664-9069-a93608466836_888x499.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KGAz!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, 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/__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcc04c625-210d-4664-9069-a93608466836_888x499.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KGAz!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcc04c625-210d-4664-9069-a93608466836_888x499.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KGAz!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcc04c625-210d-4664-9069-a93608466836_888x499.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KGAz!, 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13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Because the payoff for striking first is higher than the payoff for absorbing a nation ending first strike, the "rational" choice for both states shifts toward a preemptive strike.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DcQX!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd927cd62-b604-49b9-9c5f-f42ceff76d20_900x377.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DcQX!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd927cd62-b604-49b9-9c5f-f42ceff76d20_900x377.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DcQX!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd927cd62-b604-49b9-9c5f-f42ceff76d20_900x377.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DcQX!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd927cd62-b604-49b9-9c5f-f42ceff76d20_900x377.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DcQX!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd927cd62-b604-49b9-9c5f-f42ceff76d20_900x377.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DcQX!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd927cd62-b604-49b9-9c5f-f42ceff76d20_900x377.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Game theory shows that when the fear of being struck first is high enough, mutual defection (mutual preemptive strikes) becomes the Nash equilibrium, even though both states would prefer mutual peace, or indeed national, if not global, survival.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iQdk!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca6906a9-a1e8-4ab3-a660-459d98325f76_900x567.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iQdk!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca6906a9-a1e8-4ab3-a660-459d98325f76_900x567.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iQdk!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca6906a9-a1e8-4ab3-a660-459d98325f76_900x567.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iQdk!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca6906a9-a1e8-4ab3-a660-459d98325f76_900x567.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iQdk!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca6906a9-a1e8-4ab3-a660-459d98325f76_900x567.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iQdk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca6906a9-a1e8-4ab3-a660-459d98325f76_900x567.jpeg" width="900" height="567" 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/__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca6906a9-a1e8-4ab3-a660-459d98325f76_900x567.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iQdk!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca6906a9-a1e8-4ab3-a660-459d98325f76_900x567.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iQdk!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca6906a9-a1e8-4ab3-a660-459d98325f76_900x567.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iQdk!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca6906a9-a1e8-4ab3-a660-459d98325f76_900x567.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>A Nash equilibrium is a set of strategies in a game where no player can gain a higher payoff by unilaterally changing their own strategy, assuming all other players stick to theirs.<br>In short: Everyone is doing as well as they can, given what everyone else is doing.</p><p>Thomas Schelling, a pioneer of game theory in nuclear strategy, introduced the concept of, "the reciprocal fear of surprise attack." Thus the incentive to preempt depends entirely on the size of the first-mover advantage in destroying the opponents retaliatory capability.</p><p>If either leader believes that striking first yields a massive strategic advantage - or conversely, that waiting guarantees total vulnerability - the pressure to launch a preemptive strike becomes mathematically overwhelming to preempt the opponent's presumed preemption. This concept is where the famous phrase, &#8220;use em or lose em&#8221;, originates.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TOn4!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7c58bc2-fd08-45a1-9599-069bdc63d23b_900x534.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TOn4!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7c58bc2-fd08-45a1-9599-069bdc63d23b_900x534.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TOn4!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, 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/__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7c58bc2-fd08-45a1-9599-069bdc63d23b_900x534.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TOn4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7c58bc2-fd08-45a1-9599-069bdc63d23b_900x534.jpeg" width="900" height="534" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c7c58bc2-fd08-45a1-9599-069bdc63d23b_900x534.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:534,&quot;width&quot;:900,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Image&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Image" title="Image" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TOn4!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7c58bc2-fd08-45a1-9599-069bdc63d23b_900x534.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TOn4!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7c58bc2-fd08-45a1-9599-069bdc63d23b_900x534.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TOn4!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7c58bc2-fd08-45a1-9599-069bdc63d23b_900x534.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TOn4!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc7c58bc2-fd08-45a1-9599-069bdc63d23b_900x534.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>This is where MAD, Mutually Assured Destruction comes in, the idea that no matter how hard the opponent is hit, they can hit back. It used be nuclear subs with SLBMs aka  boomers that assured that, but today though, the "Sovs" have <a href="https://x.com/hashtag/poseidon?src=hashtag_click">#poseidon</a>. This is called "nuclear deterrence" and it's worked for decades.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VHc6!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ea88405-5948-4299-9ac6-ed5040fc14da_680x445.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VHc6!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ea88405-5948-4299-9ac6-ed5040fc14da_680x445.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VHc6!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, 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/__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ea88405-5948-4299-9ac6-ed5040fc14da_680x445.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VHc6!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ea88405-5948-4299-9ac6-ed5040fc14da_680x445.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VHc6!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ea88405-5948-4299-9ac6-ed5040fc14da_680x445.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VHc6!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ea88405-5948-4299-9ac6-ed5040fc14da_680x445.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UDlB!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faafb36d4-7e02-4ef7-b08e-2f8449b84df3_900x423.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UDlB!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faafb36d4-7e02-4ef7-b08e-2f8449b84df3_900x423.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UDlB!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faafb36d4-7e02-4ef7-b08e-2f8449b84df3_900x423.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UDlB!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faafb36d4-7e02-4ef7-b08e-2f8449b84df3_900x423.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UDlB!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faafb36d4-7e02-4ef7-b08e-2f8449b84df3_900x423.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img 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/__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faafb36d4-7e02-4ef7-b08e-2f8449b84df3_900x423.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UDlB!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faafb36d4-7e02-4ef7-b08e-2f8449b84df3_900x423.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Game theory says that the rationality of a preemptive strike is determined by vulnerability. If a nuclear power believes its arsenal can be wiped out in a first strike, game theory predicts a powerful &#8220;rational&#8221; pressure to strike preemptively during a crisis.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eWIw!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07664e49-887c-4c8f-989b-54b209392555_680x487.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eWIw!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07664e49-887c-4c8f-989b-54b209392555_680x487.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eWIw!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07664e49-887c-4c8f-989b-54b209392555_680x487.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eWIw!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07664e49-887c-4c8f-989b-54b209392555_680x487.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eWIw!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07664e49-887c-4c8f-989b-54b209392555_680x487.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eWIw!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07664e49-887c-4c8f-989b-54b209392555_680x487.jpeg" width="680" height="487" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/07664e49-887c-4c8f-989b-54b209392555_680x487.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:487,&quot;width&quot;:680,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Image&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Image" title="Image" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eWIw!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07664e49-887c-4c8f-989b-54b209392555_680x487.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eWIw!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07664e49-887c-4c8f-989b-54b209392555_680x487.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eWIw!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07664e49-887c-4c8f-989b-54b209392555_680x487.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eWIw!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F07664e49-887c-4c8f-989b-54b209392555_680x487.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Now here&#8217;s the rub. For deterrence to work - both sides must believe that the other is a rational actor. If State A believes State B&#8217;s leader is fundamentally irrational, the psychological structure collapses, making a preemptive strike appear to be the only logical choice left.</p><p>Nixon wanted the &#8220;Sovs&#8221; to believe that he was literally insane. Arguably, he was. <br>Trump though? He is nuts. If and when Trump decides to launch his nuclear arsenal, the entire process takes about 5 minutes. He cannot be stopped. See the problem? The &#8220;Sovs&#8221; do.</p><p>I could go on about maniacs like Keith Payne, and his concept of &#8220;Victory&#8221;, but I think this is enough for now. To conclude I argue that due to the strategic instability now extant, that there are men on both sides who are arguing for a 1st strike.</p><p>These arguments. Maniacs like this!</p><p>FAIL-SAFE: The First Strike Argument</p><div id="youtube2-NXZF6DwKvCI" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;NXZF6DwKvCI&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/NXZF6DwKvCI?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://williamowen.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading There Will Be Trouble! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Commenting on Sy Hersh and Nord Stream]]></title><description><![CDATA[Because he won't let us...]]></description><link>https://williamowen.substack.com/p/commenting-on-sy-hersh-and-nord-stream</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://williamowen.substack.com/p/commenting-on-sy-hersh-and-nord-stream</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bill Owen]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 05 Apr 2023 15:25:22 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/6cOWwd6zShM" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Seymour Hersh has published several reports to date on the attack on the Russian/German Nord Stream pipeline that was used to supply natural gas to German and Europe. He reports that is was the United States - with the assistance of Finland who actually blew up Nord Stream, which is an act of war - not just against Russia, but against Germany as well.</p><p>His latest report, is here: </p><div class="embedded-post-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:112697251,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/the-nord-stream-ghost-ship&quot;,&quot;publication_id&quot;:1377040,&quot;embedding_publication_id&quot;:null,&quot;publication_name&quot;:&quot;Seymour Hersh&quot;,&quot;publication_logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F972a3674-1cd8-4e4e-9ba2-8d38d3306045_1280x1280.png&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;THE NORD STREAM GHOST SHIP&quot;,&quot;truncated_body_text&quot;:&quot;America&#8217;s Central Intelligence Agency is constantly running covert operations around the world, and all must have a cover story in case things go badly, as they often do. It is just as important to have an explanation when things go well, as they did in the Baltic Sea last fall. Within weeks of my&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;2023-04-05T11:02:15.464Z&quot;,&quot;like_count&quot;:445,&quot;comment_count&quot;:0,&quot;bylines&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:3455155,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Seymour Hersh&quot;,&quot;previous_name&quot;:null,&quot;photo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9bbe858d-9ba2-49fc-a3d0-8ce15f53d936_144x144.png&quot;,&quot;bio&quot;:null,&quot;profile_set_up_at&quot;:&quot;2023-02-26T21:26:49.657Z&quot;,&quot;publicationUsers&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:1338452,&quot;user_id&quot;:3455155,&quot;publication_id&quot;:1377040,&quot;role&quot;:&quot;admin&quot;,&quot;public&quot;:true,&quot;is_primary&quot;:false,&quot;publication&quot;:{&quot;id&quot;:1377040,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Seymour Hersh&quot;,&quot;subdomain&quot;:&quot;seymourhersh&quot;,&quot;custom_domain&quot;:null,&quot;custom_domain_optional&quot;:false,&quot;hero_text&quot;:&quot;It's worse than you think&quot;,&quot;logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/972a3674-1cd8-4e4e-9ba2-8d38d3306045_1280x1280.png&quot;,&quot;author_id&quot;:3455155,&quot;theme_var_background_pop&quot;:&quot;#B599F1&quot;,&quot;created_at&quot;:&quot;2023-02-02T23:53:12.212Z&quot;,&quot;rss_website_url&quot;:null,&quot;email_from_name&quot;:&quot;Seymour Hersh&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;Seymour Hersh&quot;,&quot;founding_plan_name&quot;:&quot;Founding Member&quot;,&quot;community_enabled&quot;:true,&quot;invite_only&quot;:false,&quot;payments_state&quot;:&quot;enabled&quot;}}],&quot;is_guest&quot;:false,&quot;bestseller_tier&quot;:1000}],&quot;utm_campaign&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;newsletter&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:null}" data-component-name="EmbeddedPostToDOM"><a class="embedded-post" native="true" href="/__u/seymourhersh.substack.com/p/the-nord-stream-ghost-ship?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_campaign=post_embed&amp;utm_medium=web"><div class="embedded-post-header"><img class="embedded-post-publication-logo" src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N-_5!,w_56,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F972a3674-1cd8-4e4e-9ba2-8d38d3306045_1280x1280.png"><span class="embedded-post-publication-name">Seymour Hersh</span></div><div class="embedded-post-title-wrapper"><div class="embedded-post-title">THE NORD STREAM GHOST SHIP</div></div><div class="embedded-post-body">America&#8217;s Central Intelligence Agency is constantly running covert operations around the world, and all must have a cover story in case things go badly, as they often do. It is just as important to have an explanation when things go well, as they did in the Baltic Sea last fall. Within weeks of my&#8230;</div><div class="embedded-post-cta-wrapper"><span class="embedded-post-cta">Read more</span></div><div class="embedded-post-meta">3 years ago &#183; 445 likes &#183; Seymour Hersh</div></a></div><div id="youtube2-6cOWwd6zShM" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;6cOWwd6zShM&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/6cOWwd6zShM?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p>Unfortunately, he only allowed comments on one article the rest are closed. I completely disagree with this practice as I strongly feel that we must always be allowed to comment, push back, correct, and discuss any article from anyone. Truth is never an edict - it&#8217;s a process. </p><p>And so I am putting this space up here for anyone who would like to comment on any his articles. Please tell your friends and readers about this space. </p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://williamowen.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading There Will Be Trouble! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[THE POLICE ARE OUT OF CONTROL]]></title><description><![CDATA["We love you truckers"]]></description><link>https://williamowen.substack.com/p/the-police-are-out-of-control</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://williamowen.substack.com/p/the-police-are-out-of-control</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bill Owen]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 13 Feb 2022 13:05:33 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blNY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8cce2a40-8791-438c-b45c-173a1f8e2e95_2036x1121.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blNY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8cce2a40-8791-438c-b45c-173a1f8e2e95_2036x1121.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blNY!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8cce2a40-8791-438c-b45c-173a1f8e2e95_2036x1121.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blNY!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8cce2a40-8791-438c-b45c-173a1f8e2e95_2036x1121.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blNY!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8cce2a40-8791-438c-b45c-173a1f8e2e95_2036x1121.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blNY!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8cce2a40-8791-438c-b45c-173a1f8e2e95_2036x1121.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blNY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8cce2a40-8791-438c-b45c-173a1f8e2e95_2036x1121.png" width="1456" height="802" 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/__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8cce2a40-8791-438c-b45c-173a1f8e2e95_2036x1121.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blNY!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8cce2a40-8791-438c-b45c-173a1f8e2e95_2036x1121.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blNY!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8cce2a40-8791-438c-b45c-173a1f8e2e95_2036x1121.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!blNY!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8cce2a40-8791-438c-b45c-173a1f8e2e95_2036x1121.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Parliament Hill, Ottawa, Photo by Noriko</figcaption></figure></div><h1>UPDATE</h1><p>It now looks like that a former member of Trudeau&#8217;s personal security detail, a sniper no less, leaked Trudeau&#8217;s itinerary to the &#8220;truckers&#8221; .</p><p>For sure this would have shaken Trudeau and Public Safety Minister Bill Blair hard. </p><p>A member of the Praetorian guard, a sniper gone rogue; had gone over to a group whose goal was the overthrow of the Canadian government. </p><p>The EMA had little to do with &#8216;truckers&#8217;, who when the day came, were routed easily, and everything to do with a apprehended police insurrection. </p><h1>Former Mountie denies leaking prime minister's schedule</h1><h5>Daniel Bulford called the allegation, contained in an OPP document, 'categorically false.'</h5><p><a href="https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/former-mountie-deny-leak-1.6641542">https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/former-mountie-deny-leak-1.6641542</a></p><h1>UPDATE</h1><h2>Convoy lawyer says protesters were receiving a 'steady stream' of leaked police information<br>Keith Wilson said leaks came from CSIS, RCMP, OPP and the Ottawa police</h2><p><a href="https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/former-mountie-deny-leak-1.6641542">https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/wilson-marazzo-pat-king-emergencies-act-1.6637766</a></p><h1>UPDATE</h1><p>The inquiry into the invocation of the Emergency Measures Act has revealed that the Ottawa Police did indeed take sides in the so called &#8220;Truckers&#8221; Protest. The EMA was all about bringing rogue cops to heel.</p><blockquote><p>The <a href="https://pressprogress.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/OPS00003086-Convoy-Jan-2022-Threat-assessment.pdf">intelligence assessment</a>, authored by Ottawa Police Sgt. Chris Kiez, describes the convoy as a &#8220;spontaneous grassroots protest&#8221; and expresses sympathy with the convoy and broader protests opposing COVID-19 public health rules.</p><p>&#8220;There are increasing numbers of spontaneous protests against regimes globally concerning COVID-19 restrictions,&#8221; the Ottawa Police intelligence report states. &#8220;The success of global protests on the subject of vaccine mandates, etc. creates a sense of efficacy, a sense that one&#8217;s actions actually have an impact.&#8221;</p><p>The report describes other protests as &#8220;repetitive&#8221; with the &#8220;same players, same chants,&#8221; mocking left-wing activists who &#8220;glue themselves to something, waiting for the same old supper hour news shows and write-ups in hard-left handbills, blogs and undernourished Twitter feeds.&#8221;</p><p>&#8220;A real protest springs up with something close to spontaneity and with tremendous suddenness enlists hundreds of thousands, even millions,&#8221; the Ottawa Police intelligence report concludes.</p><p>&#8220;The convoy appears to be this sort of protest.&#8221;</p></blockquote><p><a href="https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/former-mountie-deny-leak-1.6641542">https://pressprogress.ca/ottawa-police-intelligence-unit-relied-on-dubious-and-politically-biased-information-about-convoy/</a></p><h1><strong>UPDATE</strong></h1><h3><strong>Trudeau just brought in the <a href="https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trudeau-premiers-cabinet-1.6350734">Emergency Measures Act</a> for the first time ever. It&#8217;s about to get real for the &#8216;truckers&#8217;.</strong></h3><p>Before I was banned there, I said it a thousand times on Twitter, that the Police everywhere in America and Canada are &#8220;out of control&#8221;.</p><p>Here are two <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/think/opinion/video-new-york-police-without-masks-subway-just-tip-iceberg-ncna1282221">out of control cops</a> in NYC roughing up a guy for demanding that they wear masks. Poor things. As the author asks, &#8220;If there is no plausible way to get all officers to wear a small strip of fabric that does quantifiable good for the public, what does that say about the institution as a whole? Who really controls police?&#8221;</p><p>The police control the police, they are now a &#8220;power centre&#8221;, who must be consulted, who must be asked, or as the case today, &#8220;begged&#8221;. I&#8217;ve always known this, but it is only now becoming apparent to Canadians who are easily the most credulous and supine polity in the world. </p><p>Until recently. </p><p>Now, today, here in Ottawa, we see this happening in real time. The &#8216;truckers&#8217; a misnomer - it&#8217;s actually a motley collection of antivaxxers, maniacs, lugans, fools, the mentally ill, and the just plain stupid - are running wild, and the police are taking selfies with them. The &#8216;truckers&#8217; have publicly thanked them for all the love (unprecedented). The situation is clear. Even Ottawa city councilors, who have spent decades loving on, lavishly funding and worshipping the police, have noticed. </p><div class="twitter-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://twitter.com/ShawnMenard1/status/1492552278338949126?s=20&quot;,&quot;full_text&quot;:&quot;The big question on my mind lately is: \n\nWhen will residents of <span class=\&quot;tweet-fake-link\&quot;>#Ottawa</span> stop being lied to by authorities? \n\nWe are hearing over and over again that enforcement is taking place but that is clearly, and verifiably, a lie. <span class=\&quot;tweet-fake-link\&quot;>#OttawaOccupied</span> <span class=\&quot;tweet-fake-link\&quot;>#Ottnews</span>&quot;,&quot;username&quot;:&quot;ShawnMenard1&quot;,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Shawn Menard&quot;,&quot;profile_image_url&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;Sat Feb 12 17:32:48 +0000 2022&quot;,&quot;photos&quot;:[],&quot;quoted_tweet&quot;:{},&quot;reply_count&quot;:0,&quot;retweet_count&quot;:1119,&quot;like_count&quot;:4802,&quot;impression_count&quot;:0,&quot;expanded_url&quot;:{},&quot;video_url&quot;:null,&quot;video_preview_media_key&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true}" data-component-name="Twitter2ToDOM"></div><p>As our dissident Ottawa City councillor says, there are only a few possibilities: that the chief, and the line support the truckers, or maybe just the line, and not a weak, and unliked &#8220;progressive&#8221; chief who was parachuted in from Toronto after being passed over for chief there. It doesn't matter. Here we are, under occupation by flying monkeys, and the police are doing nothing. </p><p>Listen to Pat King a leader in the &#8220;trucker&#8221; movement say that he got a police escort into Ottawa, and that the police knew that they would stay here &#8220;indefinitely&#8221;. Former OPS Chief Sloly claims that he was led to believe it would only be &#8220;three days&#8221;. </p><div id="youtube2-y2OlAXDW7W0" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;y2OlAXDW7W0&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:&quot;872&quot;,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/y2OlAXDW7W0?start=872&amp;rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p>Mayor Watson is old and tired and will not say what needs to be said, let alone take action against the police. Is he afraid? Does he not see it? </p><p>What do they want? Depends on which monkey you ask. Some seem to think that this is the revolution, and that Trudeau will be hanged by the neck until dead, presumably in &#8220;Freedom Square&#8221;. The more reasonable ones just want him to &#8220;resign&#8221;.  </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3ZEu!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef944b62-b40b-452c-8d7e-1265876c0cac_1928x1060.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3ZEu!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef944b62-b40b-452c-8d7e-1265876c0cac_1928x1060.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3ZEu!, 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/__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef944b62-b40b-452c-8d7e-1265876c0cac_1928x1060.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3ZEu!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef944b62-b40b-452c-8d7e-1265876c0cac_1928x1060.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Wellington Street, Ottawa. Photo by Noriko</figcaption></figure></div><p>Covid has killed millions of people, something that the &#8216;truckers&#8217; never even noticed. The real damage though has been to our society. Trust in the Ottawa police, and police in general, will never come back. What needs to be done, but what will not be done by the weaklings in power, is a full purge, police will need to be charged, fired, and there needs to be a Federal inquiry. This will not happen. Mayor Watson is terrified of them. The Police board, like police boards everywhere is a rubber stamp group - are also terrified of them. No one wants to get Serpicoed. </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8T4V!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a6b8d6f-3988-49cf-beda-a1c7f6d4f864_1723x1015.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8T4V!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a6b8d6f-3988-49cf-beda-a1c7f6d4f864_1723x1015.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8T4V!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a6b8d6f-3988-49cf-beda-a1c7f6d4f864_1723x1015.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8T4V!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a6b8d6f-3988-49cf-beda-a1c7f6d4f864_1723x1015.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8T4V!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a6b8d6f-3988-49cf-beda-a1c7f6d4f864_1723x1015.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8T4V!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a6b8d6f-3988-49cf-beda-a1c7f6d4f864_1723x1015.png" width="1456" height="858" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5a6b8d6f-3988-49cf-beda-a1c7f6d4f864_1723x1015.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:858,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2636760,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8T4V!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a6b8d6f-3988-49cf-beda-a1c7f6d4f864_1723x1015.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8T4V!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a6b8d6f-3988-49cf-beda-a1c7f6d4f864_1723x1015.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8T4V!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a6b8d6f-3988-49cf-beda-a1c7f6d4f864_1723x1015.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8T4V!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a6b8d6f-3988-49cf-beda-a1c7f6d4f864_1723x1015.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Downtown Ottawa, Police preparing for a lovefest. Photo by Noriko</figcaption></figure></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mutd!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2295d7c-1cb2-4c63-acf1-95c917a10139_1244x1067.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mutd!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2295d7c-1cb2-4c63-acf1-95c917a10139_1244x1067.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mutd!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, 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/__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2295d7c-1cb2-4c63-acf1-95c917a10139_1244x1067.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mutd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2295d7c-1cb2-4c63-acf1-95c917a10139_1244x1067.png" width="1244" height="1067" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a2295d7c-1cb2-4c63-acf1-95c917a10139_1244x1067.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1067,&quot;width&quot;:1244,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:839643,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mutd!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2295d7c-1cb2-4c63-acf1-95c917a10139_1244x1067.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mutd!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2295d7c-1cb2-4c63-acf1-95c917a10139_1244x1067.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mutd!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2295d7c-1cb2-4c63-acf1-95c917a10139_1244x1067.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mutd!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2295d7c-1cb2-4c63-acf1-95c917a10139_1244x1067.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>It gets worse too. It is clear to me that the antivaxxers (for want of a better term) are very well represented in our military. Hundreds have refused &#8220;the jab&#8221; as they call it, and will be dismissed. One has even <a href="https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/military-investigating-after-officer-appears-in-anti-vaccine-video-1.5777574">publicly called on his fellow troops to disobey orders</a>. </p><blockquote><p>Yet while officials say Armed Forces members who discredit the Canadian military will be held accountable, <strong>it remains unclear just how far the military is willing to go in dealing with such incidents.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Never forget too that a serving Canadian Armed Forces member crashed the gate at Trudeau&#8217;s official residence in his TRUCK, and then made his way on foot, with military weapons, toward Trudeau&#8217;s residence. He was apprehended, not shot, by POLICE who somehow talked him down. Bizarrely this was never sold to us for what it was, an assassination attempt, oh no, it was just a slightly deranged guy who wanted to &#8220;talk&#8221;. He was never charged with attempted murder, and wound up with a paltry 6 year sentence for jaywalking or something. We give drunk drivers more time.</p><p>We also know that Daniel Bulford, a former RCMP sniper, who used to guard Justin Trudeau; a man he seems to hate, an ex-CSIS analyst, and many former soldiers, are a big part of this. Who doubts that the sniper, and the spy are not sharing secrets on security, and police protocols? </p><p>Hurren was a victim of Qanon memes. The &#8216;truckers&#8217; are victims of Qanon memes. We now know that the Canadian Armed Forces, like the Police, do not like Trudeau, they do not like lockdowns, masks and the like. The situation is dire. </p><blockquote><p>Hurren, who told police he hadn't qualified for emergency aid benefits, was angry about losing his business and his guns. He believed Canada was turning into a communist state.</p><p>Hurren also told police at the scene that he wanted to show Trudeau "how angry everyone was about the gun ban and the COVID-19 restrictions" and said the prime minister "is a communist who is above the law and corrupt."</p></blockquote><p>Imagine believing that a genuine member of the elites, a man like Trudeau, who grew up in a golden world of true privilege, who is a neoliberal; is a &#8220;communist&#8221;. There was no &#8220;gun ban&#8221; either. But hey! </p><p>We blew past the &#8220;LOGIC, REASON AND FACTS IN 5 KILOMETERS&#8221; truck turnoff a long time ago with these people. Talking about mass formation psychosis is trendy now, but it&#8217;s something I have been talking about for a long time. The liberals have &#8220;Russiagate&#8221;, the &#8216;truckers&#8217; have Qanon and chips. Both have lost the thread.</p><div><hr></div><p><a href="https://twitter.com/CAMSOttawa/status/1492703344305098754?s=20">Here is an on duty OPP officer truth-telling, &#8220;We support you 100%&#8221;.</a></p><p><a href="https://twitter.com/Gray_Mackenzie/status/1492883827659845634?s=20">Trucker literally tries to run over counter-protester. Ottawa cop could care less.</a> </p><p><a href="https://youtu.be/lYu_8OE3sCE">Because no one wants to get Serpicoed.</a></p><p>As of February 14th, 05:49, Give Send Go, the Christian website being used to fund the trucker revolution is tango down. </p><p></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zrub!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66173c5b-3d07-4c78-b356-afe274fd29a4_632x128.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zrub!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66173c5b-3d07-4c78-b356-afe274fd29a4_632x128.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zrub!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66173c5b-3d07-4c78-b356-afe274fd29a4_632x128.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zrub!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66173c5b-3d07-4c78-b356-afe274fd29a4_632x128.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zrub!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66173c5b-3d07-4c78-b356-afe274fd29a4_632x128.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zrub!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66173c5b-3d07-4c78-b356-afe274fd29a4_632x128.png" width="632" height="128" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/66173c5b-3d07-4c78-b356-afe274fd29a4_632x128.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:128,&quot;width&quot;:632,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:9467,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zrub!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66173c5b-3d07-4c78-b356-afe274fd29a4_632x128.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zrub!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66173c5b-3d07-4c78-b356-afe274fd29a4_632x128.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zrub!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66173c5b-3d07-4c78-b356-afe274fd29a4_632x128.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Zrub!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66173c5b-3d07-4c78-b356-afe274fd29a4_632x128.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><a href="https://www.jacobinmag.com/2022/02/canada-freedom-convoy-conservative-right-wing-anti-worker-anti-vaccine">Good article from Jacobin. The &#8216;truckers&#8217; are not our friends </a></p><p><a href="https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/special-forces-investigation-protest-1.6350458?__vfz=medium%3Dsharebar">If they call in the military, will they come? Canadian special forces are part of the protest.</a></p><p><a href="https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/10/the-police-are-still-out-of-control-112160/">The Police are Still Out of Control - Frank Serpico</a> </p><p><a href="https://twitter.com/VigilantFox/status/1493590027095400450?s=20">Love, love, love&#8230;</a></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://ottawacitizen.com/news/canada/ottawa-police-chief-peter-sloly-resigns-under-heavy-criticism" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L3lk!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90b8756d-7c3f-49a8-a492-7fbd33d0f000_987x183.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L3lk!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90b8756d-7c3f-49a8-a492-7fbd33d0f000_987x183.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L3lk!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90b8756d-7c3f-49a8-a492-7fbd33d0f000_987x183.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L3lk!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90b8756d-7c3f-49a8-a492-7fbd33d0f000_987x183.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L3lk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90b8756d-7c3f-49a8-a492-7fbd33d0f000_987x183.png" width="987" height="183" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/90b8756d-7c3f-49a8-a492-7fbd33d0f000_987x183.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:183,&quot;width&quot;:987,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:41911,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://ottawacitizen.com/news/canada/ottawa-police-chief-peter-sloly-resigns-under-heavy-criticism&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L3lk!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90b8756d-7c3f-49a8-a492-7fbd33d0f000_987x183.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L3lk!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90b8756d-7c3f-49a8-a492-7fbd33d0f000_987x183.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L3lk!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90b8756d-7c3f-49a8-a492-7fbd33d0f000_987x183.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L3lk!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90b8756d-7c3f-49a8-a492-7fbd33d0f000_987x183.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>I keep hearing talk of &#8220;foreign interference&#8221;, presumably from &#8220;Russia&#8221;. We know were the interference is coming from. </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://twitter.com/SenBoehm/status/1494069243159191556?s=20" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_o9!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9120be59-7ccf-464b-855a-e6397cd585b7_742x171.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_o9!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9120be59-7ccf-464b-855a-e6397cd585b7_742x171.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_o9!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9120be59-7ccf-464b-855a-e6397cd585b7_742x171.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_o9!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9120be59-7ccf-464b-855a-e6397cd585b7_742x171.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_o9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9120be59-7ccf-464b-855a-e6397cd585b7_742x171.png" width="742" height="171" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/9120be59-7ccf-464b-855a-e6397cd585b7_742x171.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:171,&quot;width&quot;:742,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:30036,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://twitter.com/SenBoehm/status/1494069243159191556?s=20&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_o9!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9120be59-7ccf-464b-855a-e6397cd585b7_742x171.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_o9!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9120be59-7ccf-464b-855a-e6397cd585b7_742x171.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_o9!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9120be59-7ccf-464b-855a-e6397cd585b7_742x171.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_o9!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9120be59-7ccf-464b-855a-e6397cd585b7_742x171.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>&#8221;I&#8217;m not listening. I can&#8217;t hear you!&#8221;, is the perfect metaphor for the anti-vaxx, anti-science movement there is.</p><div class="twitter-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://twitter.com/JorgeBarrera/status/1494375401140981770?s=20&quot;,&quot;full_text&quot;:&quot;On an Ottawa downtown street corner. &quot;,&quot;username&quot;:&quot;JorgeBarrera&quot;,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Jorge Barrera&quot;,&quot;profile_image_url&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;Thu Feb 17 18:17:14 +0000 2022&quot;,&quot;photos&quot;:[{&quot;img_url&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.substack.com/image/upload/w_728,c_limit/l_twitter_play_button_rvaygk,w_120/mwz4hwpqofbucleljull&quot;,&quot;link_url&quot;:&quot;https://t.co/q8Ye42zDOD&quot;,&quot;alt_text&quot;:null}],&quot;quoted_tweet&quot;:{},&quot;reply_count&quot;:0,&quot;retweet_count&quot;:3767,&quot;like_count&quot;:22296,&quot;impression_count&quot;:0,&quot;expanded_url&quot;:{},&quot;video_url&quot;:&quot;https://video.twimg.com/ext_tw_video/1494375109511028741/pu/vid/640x360/3JKknqkKaibr5M0n.mp4?tag=12&quot;,&quot;video_preview_media_key&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true}" data-component-name="Twitter2ToDOM"></div><p>Tamara Lich, convoy Queen, has been arrested. </p><div class="twitter-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://twitter.com/rFreedomConvoy/status/1494494256978972674?s=20&quot;,&quot;full_text&quot;:&quot;Tamara Lich has been arrested, but we will continue to <span class=\&quot;tweet-fake-link\&quot;>#holdtheline</span> &quot;,&quot;username&quot;:&quot;rFreedomConvoy&quot;,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;FreedomConvoy2022&quot;,&quot;profile_image_url&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;Fri Feb 18 02:09:31 +0000 2022&quot;,&quot;photos&quot;:[{&quot;img_url&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.substack.com/image/upload/w_728,c_limit/l_twitter_play_button_rvaygk,w_120/nllhr4zintsbvs2jobib&quot;,&quot;link_url&quot;:&quot;https://t.co/GaPZdsrhVe&quot;,&quot;alt_text&quot;:null}],&quot;quoted_tweet&quot;:{},&quot;reply_count&quot;:0,&quot;retweet_count&quot;:2119,&quot;like_count&quot;:4789,&quot;impression_count&quot;:0,&quot;expanded_url&quot;:{},&quot;video_url&quot;:&quot;https://video.twimg.com/ext_tw_video/1494494158848991235/pu/vid/480x854/YMStvbIw2MtynhrL.mp4?tag=12&quot;,&quot;video_preview_media_key&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true}" data-component-name="Twitter2ToDOM"></div><p>As usual Glenn is worried about the animals. This is a threat yes, but it&#8217;s also good that Ottawa is thinking about the animals.</p><div class="twitter-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://twitter.com/ggreenwald/status/1494355504356855809?s=20&quot;,&quot;full_text&quot;:&quot;One possible, explicit punishment for participating in a peaceful protest in Canada -- beyond freezing your bank accounts -- is that the state will take your pet and, after 8 days, declare it \&quot;relinquished\&quot; if other \&quot;arrangements are not made.\&quot; &quot;,&quot;username&quot;:&quot;ggreenwald&quot;,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Glenn Greenwald&quot;,&quot;profile_image_url&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;Thu Feb 17 16:58:10 +0000 2022&quot;,&quot;photos&quot;:[],&quot;quoted_tweet&quot;:{&quot;full_text&quot;:&quot;Attention animal owners at demonstration\n\nIf you are unable to care for your animal as a result of enforcement actions, your animal will placed into protective care for 8 days, at your cost. After 8 days, if arrangements are not made, your animal will be considered relinquished. https://t.co/OkbXc8RE3c&quot;,&quot;username&quot;:&quot;OttawaBylaw&quot;,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Ottawa By-law&quot;},&quot;reply_count&quot;:0,&quot;retweet_count&quot;:1563,&quot;like_count&quot;:5575,&quot;impression_count&quot;:0,&quot;expanded_url&quot;:{},&quot;video_url&quot;:null,&quot;video_preview_media_key&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true}" data-component-name="Twitter2ToDOM"></div><p><a href="https://www.theprogressreport.ca/are_the_police_on_strike">&#8221;Are the police on strike?&#8221; (podcast)</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The War on Russia]]></title><description><![CDATA[Real Men go to Moscow]]></description><link>https://williamowen.substack.com/p/the-war-on-russia</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://williamowen.substack.com/p/the-war-on-russia</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bill Owen]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 29 Jan 2022 18:02:52 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yGIZ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F40c4ad10-e2d6-4363-94f7-059f9f75b0f9_641x641.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>War does not determine who is right - only who is left.</p><p><strong>Bertrand Russell</strong></p></blockquote><h4>The Day Deterrence Died</h4><p>The &#8220;foundational&#8221; Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty used to be considered by all as a &#8220;cornerstone of strategic stability&#8221;. Which it was. </p><p>WWIII started on June 13th, 2002, that&#8217;s the day when &#8216;Bush&#8217; tore up the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-Ballistic_Missile_Treaty">ABM Treaty</a> because that&#8217;s the day the race to American nuclear primacy began in earnest. <a href="https://carnegieendowment.org/2021/12/13/u.s.-exit-from-anti-ballistic-missile-treaty-has-fueled-new-arms-race-pub-85977">ABMs</a> are inherently destabilising because if IRBMs, and ICBMs can be shot down, then Mutual Assured Destruction fails. And, if MAD fails then all bets are off&#8212;nuclear war becomes not just thinkable, but doable, and inevitable. </p><h4>About that Propaganda . . .</h4><p>My whole life I have been told that the USSR was The Enemy; that they were literally evil, and of course, &#8220;Russia is bent on world domination!&#8221;. It was received wisdom, &#8216;Everyone knows!&#8217;. More recently as part of the growing war fever in the West, we have also have been led to believe that if you don&#8217;t see Russia as an enemy, or war as a solution, well that means that you are a &#8220;bot&#8221;, or a &#8220;Putin tool&#8221;. You will then be dismissed as crazy or evil and &#8220;reported&#8221;&#8212;just as it was under McCarthyism; just as it is on social media like Twitter, and soon enough, here. </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wMj8!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F806649b5-fd49-4356-883a-3ee31f62cf6a_692x220.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wMj8!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F806649b5-fd49-4356-883a-3ee31f62cf6a_692x220.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wMj8!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F806649b5-fd49-4356-883a-3ee31f62cf6a_692x220.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wMj8!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F806649b5-fd49-4356-883a-3ee31f62cf6a_692x220.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wMj8!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F806649b5-fd49-4356-883a-3ee31f62cf6a_692x220.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wMj8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F806649b5-fd49-4356-883a-3ee31f62cf6a_692x220.jpeg" width="584" height="185.66473988439307" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/806649b5-fd49-4356-883a-3ee31f62cf6a_692x220.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:220,&quot;width&quot;:692,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:584,&quot;bytes&quot;:20989,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wMj8!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F806649b5-fd49-4356-883a-3ee31f62cf6a_692x220.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wMj8!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F806649b5-fd49-4356-883a-3ee31f62cf6a_692x220.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wMj8!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F806649b5-fd49-4356-883a-3ee31f62cf6a_692x220.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wMj8!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F806649b5-fd49-4356-883a-3ee31f62cf6a_692x220.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Who told you and I this? That, &#8220;Russia is evil and must be destroyed&#8221;? The US, British and Canadian governments, their militaries, their intelligence organisations, the pundits, the TV, the radio, the newspapers, the magazines, and now course the internet. Anti-Russian propaganda is everywhere, and always was. We used to be told the threat was communism. Today the threat is not from a competing economic system; today the danger comes from a comic book caricature of an evil dictator named &#8220;Putin&#8221;. </p><p>All of that propaganda is aimed at maintaining and expanding an empire, an empire unlike any in history, but an empire nonetheless. To that end America, The Empire, has <a href="https://www.wearethemighty.com/articles/these-are-the-only-3-countries-america-hasnt-invaded/">&#8220;invaded or fought in 84 of the 193 countries recognized by the United Nations and has been militarily involved with 191 of 193 &#8211; a staggering 98 percent&#8221;.</a> They have <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/may/05/cia-long-history-kill-leaders-around-the-world-north-korea">assassinated leaders</a>, <a href="https://www.orlandosentinel.com/opinion/guest-commentary/os-op-biden-election-interference-history-20210628-gtf7qfwmhngnrm6ywksxjikgku-story.html">interfered in at least 80 foreign elections</a>, <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/9/10/infographic-us-military-presence-around-the-world-interactive">they&#8217;ve built 750 bases in at least 80 countries</a>, and <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/12/23/the-cia-says-russia-hacked-the-u-s-election-here-are-6-things-to-learn-from-cold-war-attempts-to-change-regimes/">toppled &#8220;regimes&#8221; aplenty</a>. All of that was not just applauded but supported by their media, and by Hollywood. Hollywood&#8212; who just might be their greatest weapon because it is <a href="https://youtu.be/iCPYKEPC5CI">Hollywood/Pentagon</a> propaganda and disinfo that has convinced most people in the West that when The Empire killed literally 10&#8217;s of millions of people following WWII, well that was done in &#8220;self defence&#8221;, and of course, for &#8220;Freedom&#8221;.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yGIZ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F40c4ad10-e2d6-4363-94f7-059f9f75b0f9_641x641.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yGIZ!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, 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stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><blockquote><p>"Over a period of three years or so, we killed off &#8212; what &#8212; 20 percent of the population," Air Force Gen. Curtis LeMay about his genocidal bombing campaign in North Korea</p></blockquote><p>But hey, &#8220;Russia is the problem&#8221;, not an empire rampant. </p><p>And now that most of the world is under American domination, there are only two islands of resistance, one in China, and one in Russia. The only real question for the deep and enduring powers in America is which one to &#8216;do&#8217; first. The answer seems to be, &#8220;Russia&#8221;. </p><blockquote><p>"The policy of the Reagan administration has to be seen as adventurous and serving the goal of world domination," Soviet marshal Nikolai Ogarkov to a gathering of the Warsaw Pact chiefs of staff in September 1982</p></blockquote><p>Little has changed since the Reagan days, as Reagan was only following the lead of the MIC, and the US Deep State&#8212;just as Obama did, just as Trump did, as does barely there President Placeholder; the old man formerly known as &#8216;biden&#8217;.</p><p>Here in the Canadas, where our media and our narratives are essentially American controlled&#8212;most people completely buy into the evidence-free Clinton/CIA story that Putin was somehow instrumental in helping Trump &#8220;steal the election&#8221;. They believe that Putin then went on to &#8220;control&#8221; Trump with weaponised pee tapes, &#8216;kompromat&#8217;, and the like. And so they hate him and by extension, &#8220;Russia&#8221;. Never mind that that narrative has been debunked; because it was only debunked outside of the mainstream/corporate media matrix in alternative outlets by rogue journalists that struggle to reach a mass audience; journalists like: Max Blumenthal, Aaron Mat&#233;, or the Greenwald. Never mind that given all the imaginary power that &#8220;Putin&#8221; (now a mythological figure) had over Trump, Putin never really did anything with that &#8216;power&#8217;. Go figure. </p><p>Now &#8216;biden&#8217;, a broken and demented wraith of a man, is theoretically &#8220;in charge&#8221;; it seems that is now time to &#8220;confront Russia&#8221; over &#8220;Ukraine&#8221;. Here in client state Canada, Trudeau, a small man of no real intellect or principle, is down with all this aggression (as are the ludicrously named Canadian &#8216;opposition&#8217; parties). In fact, Trudeau sent 1100 Canadian troops to the Russian border in 2015 after Obama &#8220;asked&#8221; him too during a visit his Ottawa. There was no debate in client state Canada about that, and even if there had been, it would have come down to the opposition parties demanding that he send even more. Most Canadians are not even aware that we have troops right on the Russian border or what their purpose is&#8212;troops whose role, according to a NATO General, is to, &#8220;act as tripwires&#8221;.  It&#8217;s the same in the UK, France, and Germany; as well as in the Scandinavian countries where millions are now convinced (again) that Russians are coming! </p><p>And so here we are today. On the brink of war. Russia has a swaggering, bellicose NATO on their borders, their country is ringed with troops, tanks, artillery, bases, and anti-ballistic missiles. Bases, and missiles that the Americans (there is no &#8220;NATO&#8221; just Empire client states) that have been put there. This despite the fact that James Baker told Gorbachev that NATO would not move &#8220;<a href="https://fpif.org/its-time-for-nato-to-go-the-way-of-the-warsaw-pact/">one inch Eastward</a>&#8221;. As I write this, America is getting ready to deploy some 8500 soldiers to the &#8216;Russian Front&#8217;. You know, to &#8220;defend democracy&#8221;, and to &#8220;teach Putin a lesson&#8221;.  </p><p><em>The map below is old, and out-of-date, but it still gives a pretty good picture of the current balance of power</em></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BaXs!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0d63248-c0a7-4c2a-9a9c-a1292b032675_4961x3508.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BaXs!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0d63248-c0a7-4c2a-9a9c-a1292b032675_4961x3508.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BaXs!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0d63248-c0a7-4c2a-9a9c-a1292b032675_4961x3508.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BaXs!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0d63248-c0a7-4c2a-9a9c-a1292b032675_4961x3508.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BaXs!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0d63248-c0a7-4c2a-9a9c-a1292b032675_4961x3508.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BaXs!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0d63248-c0a7-4c2a-9a9c-a1292b032675_4961x3508.jpeg" width="1456" height="1030" 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/__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0d63248-c0a7-4c2a-9a9c-a1292b032675_4961x3508.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BaXs!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0d63248-c0a7-4c2a-9a9c-a1292b032675_4961x3508.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BaXs!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0d63248-c0a7-4c2a-9a9c-a1292b032675_4961x3508.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BaXs!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe0d63248-c0a7-4c2a-9a9c-a1292b032675_4961x3508.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">NATO vs Russia</figcaption></figure></div><p>Before I was banned on Twitter forever, &#8220;suspended&#8221; as their Orwellian phraseology goes, I used to talk about the &#8220;War on Russia&#8221; a lot. That&#8217;s because I see the coming war on Russia as the greatest threat extant to humanity. Nuclear war, not pronouns, not Trump, not Maduro, nor Assange; or any of the many &#8216;issues&#8217; that fill our minds. Anthropogenic climate change will for sure destroy civilisation, but that will take decades. A war on Russia could do that, will do that, in just a few hours. Yet there is no debate war about a possible war with or on Russia that I can see, people seem unconcerned, and unafraid, it&#8217;s simply not an issue. Back in the 80s the fear of a global nuclear war was palpable, real, top-of-mind. Today? Hardly at all. </p><blockquote><p>In most postures that do not involve automatic mutual annihilation there will be an advantage in striking first. </p><p><strong>Herman Kahn</strong></p></blockquote><p>Because of all the propaganda many people believe that. . .</p><ul><li><p>the deliberate encirclement of Russia</p></li><li><p>the development of more accurate thermonuclear weapons</p></li><li><p>the development of anti-ballistic missiles </p></li><li><p>the vast expansion of NATO</p></li><li><p>Obama&#8217;s $1.2 trillion dollar &#8220;nuclear upgrade&#8221; </p></li><li><p>and the <a href="https://www.thenation.com/article/archive/tom-dispatch-america-defense-budget-bigger-than-you-think/">astonishingly large US &#8216;defence&#8217; budget</a></p></li></ul><p>are all about &#8220;containing Russia&#8221;, defending America, and Europe. A common explanation for all the never-ending aggressions are, &#8220;it&#8217;s about weapons sales, it&#8217;s a new arms race&#8221;.  The USSR, as &#8216;bad&#8217; as they were was never trying to take Europe, let alone the world.  Poland, Czechoslovakia, these were not conquests in the classical sense but mere &#8216;buffer states&#8217; against <a href="http://www.events.orthodoxengland.org.uk/why-did-western-europe-invade-russia-four-times-in-130-years-and-why-does-it-carry-out-an-information-cold-war-against-it-today/">yet another invasion from the West.</a> Those days are now over. No one is going to drive tanks to Moscow. Buffer states make no strategic sense in the age of space weapons. No one wants Poland. That aside, the USSR is long gone, and this. is. Russia. A new country. </p><p>Fortunately there was never was a time in the past when, despite the very best efforts of the maniacs, and their captured Nazi rocket scientists, to get the cowboy &#8216;drop&#8217; on the Sovs; nuclear primacy never was achieved. MAD - Mutual Assured Destruction, was always the order-of-the-day. No matter what scenario was envisioned, what new missile was developed&#8212;any attack on Russia was, &#8220;the end of the world&#8221;. Everyone agreed on that much at least. And, so we lived. </p><p>It&#8217;s no good asking a thoroughly propagandised Canuck, Brit, or Yank, &#8220;We sent troops to the Russian border. What if Putin had sent troops to the Mexican border?&#8221;. At best you&#8217;ll get some TIME or CBC argument about &#8220;Russian aggression&#8221;, or the always cogent, &#8220;That&#8217;s different!&#8221;. Of course it&#8217;s different, because to them, &#8216;we&#8217; are the &#8216;good guys&#8217;, just as the TV, and the films say. We live, and will die in a cartoon, a Hollywood film. </p><blockquote><p>By means of ever more effective methods of mind-manip&#173;ulation, the democracies will change their nature; the quaint old forms&#8212; elections, parliaments, Supreme Courts, and all the rest&#8212;will remain. The underlying substance will be a new kind of non-violent totalitari&#173;anism. All the traditional names, all the hallowed slo&#173;gans will remain exactly what they were in the good old days. Democracy, and freedom will be the theme of every broadcast, and editorial&#8212;but democracy, and free&#173;dom in a strictly Pickwickian sense. Meanwhile the ruling oligarchy, and its highly trained elite of sol&#173;diers, policemen, thought-manufacturers, and mind-manipulators will quietly run the show as they see fit.</p><p><strong>Aldous Huxley, Brave New World Revisited</strong></p></blockquote><p></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pQWj!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4243e59-5324-4cd2-a2a4-05955924eca8_905x666.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pQWj!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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/__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4243e59-5324-4cd2-a2a4-05955924eca8_905x666.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pQWj!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4243e59-5324-4cd2-a2a4-05955924eca8_905x666.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pQWj!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, 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stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><blockquote><p>1. Between 1947 and 1989, the United States tried to change other nations&#8217; governments 72 times</p><p>That&#8217;s a remarkable number. It includes 66 covert operations and six&nbsp;overt ones.</p><p>Of course, that doesn&#8217;t excuse Russia&#8217;s meddling in the 2016 U.S. presidential election.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/12/23/the-cia-says-russia-hacked-the-u-s-election-here-are-6-things-to-learn-from-cold-war-attempts-to-change-regimes/">Washington Post</a></strong></p></blockquote><h4>Why now?</h4><p>American power now believes that they finally have &#8220;<a href="https://www.belfercenter.org/sites/default/files/legacy/files/is3004_advanceproof_lieberandpress.pdf">Nuclear Primacy</a>&#8221;; that their dark dream of a <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pre-emptive_nuclear_strike">&#8220;pre-emptive first strike&#8221;</a> on Russia could neutralise Russia&#8217;s ability to retaliate with nuclear weapons&#8212;that &#8220;Soviet&#8221; bombers, ICBMs, SLBMs, and IRBMs can be destroyed in their silos, and subs using super-accurate ICBMs. Any missiles that are not destroyed in the initial attack will be <a href="https://youtu.be/e5JtVp-YCAo">destroyed during the boost stage</a> or they can be <a href="https://youtu.be/m6MOaECL6FM">destroyed on re-entry</a>. Millions will die in Russia, and with any &#8216;luck&#8217;, The Empire might only lose a city or two. No big deal. </p><blockquote><p>&#8220;Mr. President, I'm not saying we wouldn't get our hair mussed. But I do say no more than ten to twenty million killed, tops. Uh, depending on the breaks.</p><p><strong>General "Buck" Turgidson</strong> </p></blockquote><p>The maniac&#8217;s have a term for that, they call it &#8220;acceptable losses&#8221; IOW twenty or so <a href="https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/megadeath">megadeaths</a> would be totally &#8220;worth it&#8221; to them; safe as they will be in their deep underground bunkers.</p><p>And because the Pentagon arguably has strategic superiority, they believe that Putin will not dare &#8220;<a href="https://warontherocks.com/2017/11/false-allure-escalation-dominance/">climb the escalation ladder&#8221;</a>, and use nuclear weapons if he is losing a conventional war. Russia will climb any ladder you throw at them; bet on it. America never understands its enemies, and they always underestimate them. Just ask <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2018/02/26/what-went-wrong-in-vietnam">Victor Charlie</a>. </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eDNc!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3734ae8-2237-4f08-9cc6-96b0c34d2711_1034x1001.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eDNc!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3734ae8-2237-4f08-9cc6-96b0c34d2711_1034x1001.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eDNc!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3734ae8-2237-4f08-9cc6-96b0c34d2711_1034x1001.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eDNc!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3734ae8-2237-4f08-9cc6-96b0c34d2711_1034x1001.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eDNc!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, 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/__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3734ae8-2237-4f08-9cc6-96b0c34d2711_1034x1001.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eDNc!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3734ae8-2237-4f08-9cc6-96b0c34d2711_1034x1001.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eDNc!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3734ae8-2237-4f08-9cc6-96b0c34d2711_1034x1001.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eDNc!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff3734ae8-2237-4f08-9cc6-96b0c34d2711_1034x1001.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Mikhail Gorbachev </figcaption></figure></div><p>Sadly for The Empire, the &#8220;Sovs&#8221; have not been idle, and they are as usual, developing weapons systems to counter NATO ABMs, most notably hypersonic missiles that, so far at least, cannot be intercepted. They have also deployed <a href="https://www.19fortyfive.com/2021/11/poseidon-why-russias-nuclear-weapon-torpedo-drone-is-terrifying/">Poseidon</a>, a nuclear powered, nuclear armed drone that can be launched from a submarine. Poseidon&#8217;s nuclear warhead could annihilate entire flotillas, or it could start a coast destroying tsunami. Poseidon is almost certainly invulnerable to detection or to counter-measures. </p><p>What this all means is that in the next few years, that brief and shining moment of strategic superiourity will be gone, &#8216;so better to hit them now, before they get too strong.&#8217;. - The Maniacs <br>(It&#8217;s a given in some <a href="https://goo.gl/maps/MA7uxuS5mCzWUVGW7">circles</a> that war with Russia is an utter inevitability) </p><blockquote><p>New developments in weapon systems during the 1950s, and early 1960s created a situation that was most dangerous, and even conducive to accidental war.</p><p><strong>Herman Kahn</strong></p></blockquote><h4>Game Theory, and Herman Kahn </h4><p>&#8220;The Cold Equations&#8221;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" 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/__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F386a8eec-221b-4ea1-90d9-89dfad8c6e83_393x450.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CU9U!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F386a8eec-221b-4ea1-90d9-89dfad8c6e83_393x450.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CU9U!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F386a8eec-221b-4ea1-90d9-89dfad8c6e83_393x450.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CU9U!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F386a8eec-221b-4ea1-90d9-89dfad8c6e83_393x450.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Herman Kahn</figcaption></figure></div><p>Herman Kahn was a genius, a maniac, and a true believer in the logical, practical diktats of <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2017/08/16/what-game-theory-tells-us-about-nuclear-war-with-north-korea/">Game Theory</a>. Kahn was one of the leading lights at RAND Corporation, and as such was the intellectual father of much of American nuclear doctrine. </p><blockquote><p>They were eggheads in a world of meatheads, and they regarded the uniformed military man in the same way that the baseball statistician Bill James regards Don Zimmer: as a relic of the pre-scientific dark ages, when the wisdom of experience passed for strategic thought.</p><p><a href="https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2005/06/27/fat-man">Louis Menand, New Yorker magazine</a></p></blockquote><p>Herman Kahn also thought that nuclear war was &#8220;winnable&#8221;. Today&#8217;s war planners still do. &#8220;Few people differentiate between having 10 million dead, 50 million dead, or 100 million dead. It all seems too horrible.&#8220;&#8212;Herman Kahn <br>Few people outside the Pentagon, the Rand Corporation, and Langley, that is. </p><p><a href="https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2003/05/keith-payne-is-don-rumsfeld-s-dr-strangelove.html">Dr. Keith Payne</a>, one of the authors of Trump&#8217;s Nuclear Posture Review, an old cold warrior, and a Kahn disciple, once wrote an article on nuclear war that he called, &#8220;Victory is Possible&#8221;, by which he meant that &#8220;an intelligent United States offensive [nuclear] strategy, wedded to homeland defenses, should reduce U.S. casualties to approximately 20 million . . . a level compatible with national survival, and recovery.&#8221; Victory! </p><p>The new Russian weapons are game changers. Hypersonic missiles defeat ABMs. Poseidon drones obviate <a href="https://dosits.org/people-and-sound/history-of-underwater-acoustics/the-cold-war-history-of-the-sound-surveillance-system-sosus/">SOSUS</a> arrays. And so on. Unfortunately new weapons systems, even so-called defensive ones like ABMs, create strategic instability, and that&#8217;s a very bad thing.</p><blockquote><p>The easiest way in which one can put unintentional strains on the enemy is to have a force which looks "trigger-happy." <strong>The one circumstance under which almost all Soviet experts agree the Russians might strike is the one in which they feel they are anticipating a strike by us.</strong> It will be difficult for them to read our intentions. They will doubtless err on the side of caution.</p><p><strong>Herman Kahn</strong></p></blockquote><p>And vice versa of course. Game theory again. In times of tension, like today, Russia has to assume that America could launch a decapitation strike. So America has to assume that Russia will attempt to pre-empt by striking first. And so on. . . </p><h4>Sleepwalking into nuclear war</h4><p>No matter your beliefs about intentions, two superpowers going toe-to-toe, has certain ramifications. Game theory says . . .</p><div id="youtube2-NXZF6DwKvCI" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;NXZF6DwKvCI&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/NXZF6DwKvCI?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><h4><strong>Whose War?</strong></h4><p>The MIC, and the maniacs of course. War is their <a href="https://youtu.be/B2SaM8RJ30c">reason for being</a>, the love of their life, their dream, and no one, certainly no mere President, not the Congress, and no peacenik (<a href="https://antiwar.com/">the few that are left</a>) is going to stop them. Even though &#8220;<a href="https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/33505-why-of-course-the-people-don-t-want-war-why-should">the people do not want war</a>&#8221;. <br>That&#8217;s true, most of &#8220;the people&#8221; don&#8217;t want war. <br>Some though, they positively lust for it. </p><blockquote><p>The pitiful mentality, and ethic that can tirelessly banter, threaten, and toy with omnicide cannot be permitted to wield such power&#8230; The obvious joy that men like Teller, Kaysen, LeMay, Rostow, Kissinger, Haig, Brzezinski, Allen, and Reagan reflect in wielding such power provides a clear warning of our peril.</p><p>We certainly can add the names of Bush, Cheney, Wolfowitz, Perle, Netanyahu, and a slew of neoconservatives. While working in a Top Secret war room, I personally witnessed officers planning wars of untold destruction. If necrophilia exudes a tone, then the prevailing mood in that war room was necrophilia. The clear warning is that <strong>we have allowed civilization to drift into the hands of necrophiliacs.</strong></p><p><strong>former US Attorney General Ramsey Clark</strong></p></blockquote><p>It was never about stopping Russia because they are &#8216;evil&#8217;&#8212;(there&#8217;s plenty of genuine human evil to go around)&#8212;it&#8217;s about world hegemony. Russia is in the way! Russia must go! There is no great mystery, no secret conspiracy. They can be quite explicit about it. </p><blockquote><p>&#8220;America should write the rules. America should call the shots.&#8221;</p><p><strong>Obama</strong></p></blockquote><p>As I hope I have demonstrated, it&#8217;s a mistake to talk about &#8220;what the people want&#8221;, (in particular when majorities can be led to want anything), or what the Congress wants, or even what the Commander-in-Chief, demented or not, wants. The only thing that matters is what the deep, and enduring power in America want, and that&#8217;s total power, global hegemony. </p><blockquote><p>&#8220;Our first objective is to prevent the re-emergence of a new rival, either on the territory of the former Soviet Union or elsewhere, which poses a threat on the order of that posed formerly by the Soviet Union. This is a dominant consideration underlying the new regional defense strategy, and requires that we endeavor to prevent any hostile power from dominating a region whose resources would, under consolidated control, be sufficient to generate global power.&#8221;</p><p><strong>Paul Wolfowitz, Wolfowitz Doctrine</strong> </p></blockquote><p>In 1962, then U.S Secretary of Defence, Robert Strange McNamara, decided that US nuclear weapons should be protected from a maniacal rogue General like Curtis Lemay, or an accidental launch. To that end he ordered every nuclear weapon locked with numerical codes known as &#8220;PALs&#8221;, Permissive Action Links.  In response to that order from a mere civilian, Strategic Air Command obeyed the order but set all the codes to strings of zeros. This fact was not discovered by the civilian leadership until 1977! </p><p>American Foreign Policy never changes, governments come, and governments go. Sometimes the Republicans sit in the catbird seat, and sometimes the Democrats. Either way, the wars never end. The Project continues. &#8220;World Domination or Bust!&#8221; </p><p>It was nice knowing you. We had some good times, but those days are over. There&#8217;s a big war coming. </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QL_P!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f5691f0-9aaf-47cf-bbe5-fdc9f6d427f3_1200x676.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QL_P!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f5691f0-9aaf-47cf-bbe5-fdc9f6d427f3_1200x676.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QL_P!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f5691f0-9aaf-47cf-bbe5-fdc9f6d427f3_1200x676.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QL_P!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f5691f0-9aaf-47cf-bbe5-fdc9f6d427f3_1200x676.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QL_P!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f5691f0-9aaf-47cf-bbe5-fdc9f6d427f3_1200x676.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QL_P!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f5691f0-9aaf-47cf-bbe5-fdc9f6d427f3_1200x676.jpeg" width="1200" height="676" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2f5691f0-9aaf-47cf-bbe5-fdc9f6d427f3_1200x676.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:676,&quot;width&quot;:1200,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:133844,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QL_P!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f5691f0-9aaf-47cf-bbe5-fdc9f6d427f3_1200x676.jpeg 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QL_P!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f5691f0-9aaf-47cf-bbe5-fdc9f6d427f3_1200x676.jpeg 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QL_P!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f5691f0-9aaf-47cf-bbe5-fdc9f6d427f3_1200x676.jpeg 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QL_P!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f5691f0-9aaf-47cf-bbe5-fdc9f6d427f3_1200x676.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Diefenbunker, Carp Ontario</figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><h4><em><strong>Resources and links</strong></em> </h4><p><a href="https://ericmargolis.com/2022/01/stop-the-neocons-from-starting-a-war/">New from the great Eric Margolis</a><br><a href="https://ericmargolis.com/2022/01/stop-the-neocons-from-starting-a-war/" title="Permanent Link to STOP THE NEOCONS FROM STARTING A WAR!">STOP THE NEOCONS FROM STARTING A WAR!</a></p><p>This thread, but <a href="/__u/mate.substack.com/p/the-ukraine-crisis-sponsored-by-us">Aaron Mat&#233;</a> in general. <br>Mat&#233; is one of best Russiagate/Russia debunkers.</p><div class="twitter-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://twitter.com/aaronjmate/status/1486088112778268675?s=20&quot;,&quot;full_text&quot;:&quot;Amy Goodman of <span class=\&quot;tweet-fake-link\&quot;>@democracynow</span> asks \&quot;where are the progressives?\&quot; on stopping war in Ukraine. The answer is that progressives like DN encouraged war by parroting Russiagate propaganda and excluding dissenting voices, e.g. the late Stephen F. Cohen, barred from DN after April 2017. &quot;,&quot;username&quot;:&quot;aaronjmate&quot;,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Aaron Mat&#233;&quot;,&quot;profile_image_url&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;Tue Jan 25 21:26:30 +0000 2022&quot;,&quot;photos&quot;:[{&quot;img_url&quot;:&quot;https://pbs.substack.com/media/FJ-kXv7VEAIsRo3.png&quot;,&quot;link_url&quot;:&quot;https://t.co/Hz596CSGLp&quot;,&quot;alt_text&quot;:null}],&quot;quoted_tweet&quot;:{},&quot;reply_count&quot;:0,&quot;retweet_count&quot;:386,&quot;like_count&quot;:1596,&quot;impression_count&quot;:0,&quot;expanded_url&quot;:{},&quot;video_url&quot;:null,&quot;video_preview_media_key&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true}" data-component-name="Twitter2ToDOM"></div><div id="youtube2-FZlpQUdAmeA" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;FZlpQUdAmeA&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/FZlpQUdAmeA?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p>A typical propaganda victim </p><div class="twitter-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://twitter.com/ImSpeaking13/status/1485992539568193546?s=20&quot;,&quot;full_text&quot;:&quot;Tucker Carlson works for Putin.&quot;,&quot;username&quot;:&quot;ImSpeaking13&quot;,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Kate &#129293;&#127482;&#127480;&quot;,&quot;profile_image_url&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;Tue Jan 25 15:06:44 +0000 2022&quot;,&quot;photos&quot;:[],&quot;quoted_tweet&quot;:{},&quot;reply_count&quot;:0,&quot;retweet_count&quot;:1953,&quot;like_count&quot;:10696,&quot;impression_count&quot;:0,&quot;expanded_url&quot;:{},&quot;video_url&quot;:null,&quot;video_preview_media_key&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true}" data-component-name="Twitter2ToDOM"></div><p><a href="https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/nuclear-vault/2018-08-15/us-nuclear-war-plan-option-sought-destruction-china-soviet-union-viable-societies">U.S. Nuclear War Plan Option Sought Destruction of China and Soviet Union as &#8220;Viable&#8221; Societies</a> - NSA Archive</p><p><a href="https://www.belfercenter.org/sites/default/files/legacy/files/is3004_advanceproof_lieberandpress.pdf">The End of MAD? The Nuclear Dimension of U.S. Primacy</a>  - Keir A. Lieber and Daryl G. Press </p><p><a href="https://militarist-monitor.org/profile/keith-payne/">Keith Payne</a> - bio</p><p><a href="https://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/document/116191.pdf">NSC 68</a> - The &#8220;blueprint&#8221; for the cold war</p><p></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4PzL!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ddf057b-bfe2-4751-9b59-18afbef90161_1119x623.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4PzL!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_424, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ddf057b-bfe2-4751-9b59-18afbef90161_1119x623.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4PzL!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ddf057b-bfe2-4751-9b59-18afbef90161_1119x623.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4PzL!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ddf057b-bfe2-4751-9b59-18afbef90161_1119x623.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4PzL!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_webp, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ddf057b-bfe2-4751-9b59-18afbef90161_1119x623.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="/__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4PzL!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ddf057b-bfe2-4751-9b59-18afbef90161_1119x623.png" width="1119" height="623" 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/__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ddf057b-bfe2-4751-9b59-18afbef90161_1119x623.png 424w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4PzL!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_848, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ddf057b-bfe2-4751-9b59-18afbef90161_1119x623.png 848w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4PzL!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1272, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ddf057b-bfe2-4751-9b59-18afbef90161_1119x623.png 1272w, /__u/substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!4PzL!, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/w_1456, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/c_limit, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/f_auto, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/q_auto:good, /__u/williamowen.substack.com/fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9ddf057b-bfe2-4751-9b59-18afbef90161_1119x623.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><a href="https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-features/taibbi-trump-russia-mueller-investigation-815060/">Matt Taibbi on Russiagate</a></p><p><a href="https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/education/resources/cold-war-on-file/operation-unthinkable/">Operation Unthinkable</a> </p><p><a href="https://www.docdroid.net/LjUq5xg/colliers-weekly-27-october-1951-pdf">Preview of the War we did not Want, Colliers Magazine</a></p><p><a href="https://carnegieendowment.org/2021/12/13/u.s.-exit-from-anti-ballistic-missile-treaty-has-fueled-new-arms-race-pub-85977">The U.S. Exit From the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty Has Fueled a New Arms Race</a></p><p><a href="https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/education/resources/cold-war-on-file/soviet-striving-for-security/">&#8220;Striving for security&#8221;</a> - Extract from memo from Frank Roberts, British Ambassador in Moscow to Ernest Bevin, 17 March 1946</p><p></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Censorship on Social Media]]></title><description><![CDATA[Welcome to There Will Be Trouble by me, Bill Owen.]]></description><link>https://williamowen.substack.com/p/coming-soon</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://williamowen.substack.com/p/coming-soon</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Bill Owen]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 08 Sep 2021 18:30:14 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LHcl!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb9c36cdc-9758-42fb-9f6d-adeddcb641ff_436x436.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Welcome to There Will Be Trouble by me, Bill Owen. 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