Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election show the CDU holding steady near 20 percent under new top candidate Stefan Evers, following Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal amid earlier declines. This places the party in a narrow contest with Die Linke at 21–22 percent and the AfD at 18 percent, while the Greens and SPD trail further behind in a fragmented field where five parties cluster between roughly 12 and 22 percent. Trader pricing reflects this stability and the typical three-point polling margin of error, with the two central bins capturing the most probable outcomes. Late shifts in turnout among undecided voters or last-minute issue salience on housing and security could still move the CDU result across the 20 percent line before polls close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড17-20% 45%
20-23% 39%
<17% 9%
23%+ 8.8%
$29,462 Vol.
$29,462 Vol.
<17%
9%
17-20%
45%
20-23%
40%
23%+
9%
17-20% 45%
20-23% 39%
<17% 9%
23%+ 8.8%
$29,462 Vol.
$29,462 Vol.
<17%
9%
17-20%
45%
20-23%
40%
23%+
9%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election show the CDU holding steady near 20 percent under new top candidate Stefan Evers, following Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal amid earlier declines. This places the party in a narrow contest with Die Linke at 21–22 percent and the AfD at 18 percent, while the Greens and SPD trail further behind in a fragmented field where five parties cluster between roughly 12 and 22 percent. Trader pricing reflects this stability and the typical three-point polling margin of error, with the two central bins capturing the most probable outcomes. Late shifts in turnout among undecided voters or last-minute issue salience on housing and security could still move the CDU result across the 20 percent line before polls close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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