The Democratic Party holds a 96.7% implied probability in the CA-07 House election market because the June 2, 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democratic candidates—incumbent Doris Matsui and Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang—while Republican contenders finished third and fourth. Multiple forecasters rate the district solid or safe Democratic following recent redistricting, and the November 3 general election will therefore be decided entirely within the Democratic primary electorate. This matchup structure, combined with the district’s partisan composition and historical incumbent retention patterns in similar California seats, drives the overwhelming trader consensus. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain limited to extreme late developments such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or major unforeseen events before Election Day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-07 House Election Winner
CA-07 House Election Winner
$12,782 Vol.
$12,782 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
1%
$12,782 Vol.
$12,782 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,634 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$6,147 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a 96.7% implied probability in the CA-07 House election market because the June 2, 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democratic candidates—incumbent Doris Matsui and Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang—while Republican contenders finished third and fourth. Multiple forecasters rate the district solid or safe Democratic following recent redistricting, and the November 3 general election will therefore be decided entirely within the Democratic primary electorate. This matchup structure, combined with the district’s partisan composition and historical incumbent retention patterns in similar California seats, drives the overwhelming trader consensus. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain limited to extreme late developments such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or major unforeseen events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ভলিউম
$12,782শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a 96.7% implied probability in the CA-07 House election market because the June 2, 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democratic candidates—incumbent Doris Matsui and Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang—while Republican contenders finished third and fourth. Multiple forecasters rate the district solid or safe Democratic following recent redistricting, and the November 3 general election will therefore be decided entirely within the Democratic primary electorate. This matchup structure, combined with the district’s partisan composition and historical incumbent retention patterns in similar California seats, drives the overwhelming trader consensus. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain limited to extreme late developments such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or major unforeseen events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$12,782শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a 96.7% implied probability in the CA-07 House election market because the June 2, 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democratic candidates—incumbent Doris Matsui and Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang—while Republican contenders finished third and fourth. Multiple forecasters rate the district solid or safe Democratic following recent redistricting, and the November 3 general election will therefore be decided entirely within the Democratic primary electorate. This matchup structure, combined with the district’s partisan composition and historical incumbent retention patterns in similar California seats, drives the overwhelming trader consensus. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain limited to extreme late developments such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or major unforeseen events before Election Day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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