Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Kevin Lincoln in California's 13th congressional district, where redistricting added Stockton and shifted the baseline toward Democrats. Gray's 2024 narrow victory and the district's consistent Democratic performance in presidential and state races underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Democratic outcome. Forecasters rate the November general as Lean or Likely Democratic, citing incumbency, fundraising edges, and limited polling showing double-digit margins. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong national environment for the party, unexpected turnout shifts among Latino or Central Valley voters, or late developments such as candidate-specific controversies altering the current trajectory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-13 House Election Winner
CA-13 House Election Winner
$15,991 Vol.
$15,991 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
$15,991 Vol.
$15,991 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,113 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$6,915 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Kevin Lincoln in California's 13th congressional district, where redistricting added Stockton and shifted the baseline toward Democrats. Gray's 2024 narrow victory and the district's consistent Democratic performance in presidential and state races underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Democratic outcome. Forecasters rate the November general as Lean or Likely Democratic, citing incumbency, fundraising edges, and limited polling showing double-digit margins. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong national environment for the party, unexpected turnout shifts among Latino or Central Valley voters, or late developments such as candidate-specific controversies altering the current trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
ভলিউম
$15,991শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Kevin Lincoln in California's 13th congressional district, where redistricting added Stockton and shifted the baseline toward Democrats. Gray's 2024 narrow victory and the district's consistent Democratic performance in presidential and state races underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Democratic outcome. Forecasters rate the November general as Lean or Likely Democratic, citing incumbency, fundraising edges, and limited polling showing double-digit margins. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong national environment for the party, unexpected turnout shifts among Latino or Central Valley voters, or late developments such as candidate-specific controversies altering the current trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$15,991শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Kevin Lincoln in California's 13th congressional district, where redistricting added Stockton and shifted the baseline toward Democrats. Gray's 2024 narrow victory and the district's consistent Democratic performance in presidential and state races underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Democratic outcome. Forecasters rate the November general as Lean or Likely Democratic, citing incumbency, fundraising edges, and limited polling showing double-digit margins. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong national environment for the party, unexpected turnout shifts among Latino or Central Valley voters, or late developments such as candidate-specific controversies altering the current trajectory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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