Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 53.8% of the vote in California’s 45th Congressional District, well ahead of Republican Chuong Vo’s 15.3%. Forecasters rate the November general election as likely or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s D+1 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Democratic voter registration edge, and recent redistricting adjustments. Tran’s substantial fundraising lead—nearly $5 million raised versus roughly $500,000 for Vo—has supported stronger campaign infrastructure and visibility. The seat flipped narrowly Democratic in 2024, and no major developments since the primary have altered the competitive landscape. Late shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, national political currents, or unforeseen candidate events could still affect the outcome before November 3.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-45 House Election Winner
CA-45 House Election Winner
$35,629 Vol.
$35,629 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Derek Tran (D)
92%
Chuong Vo (R)
8%
$35,629 Vol.
$35,629 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Derek Tran (D)
$19,878 Vol.
92%
Chuong Vo (R)
$15,751 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 53.8% of the vote in California’s 45th Congressional District, well ahead of Republican Chuong Vo’s 15.3%. Forecasters rate the November general election as likely or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s D+1 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Democratic voter registration edge, and recent redistricting adjustments. Tran’s substantial fundraising lead—nearly $5 million raised versus roughly $500,000 for Vo—has supported stronger campaign infrastructure and visibility. The seat flipped narrowly Democratic in 2024, and no major developments since the primary have altered the competitive landscape. Late shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, national political currents, or unforeseen candidate events could still affect the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$35,629শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 53.8% of the vote in California’s 45th Congressional District, well ahead of Republican Chuong Vo’s 15.3%. Forecasters rate the November general election as likely or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s D+1 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Democratic voter registration edge, and recent redistricting adjustments. Tran’s substantial fundraising lead—nearly $5 million raised versus roughly $500,000 for Vo—has supported stronger campaign infrastructure and visibility. The seat flipped narrowly Democratic in 2024, and no major developments since the primary have altered the competitive landscape. Late shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, national political currents, or unforeseen candidate events could still affect the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$35,629শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 53.8% of the vote in California’s 45th Congressional District, well ahead of Republican Chuong Vo’s 15.3%. Forecasters rate the November general election as likely or lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s D+1 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Democratic voter registration edge, and recent redistricting adjustments. Tran’s substantial fundraising lead—nearly $5 million raised versus roughly $500,000 for Vo—has supported stronger campaign infrastructure and visibility. The seat flipped narrowly Democratic in 2024, and no major developments since the primary have altered the competitive landscape. Late shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, national political currents, or unforeseen candidate events could still affect the outcome before November 3.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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