Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a commanding position in Florida’s 21st Congressional District race, with traders assigning him roughly 90 percent implied probability. The district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Mast’s 24-point victory in 2024. Recent Republican-led redistricting preserved the seat’s partisan character while strengthening the statewide GOP map. Mast’s primary was uncontested, he maintains a large fundraising edge of roughly $4.3 million to $579,000, and all major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee James Martin, who prevailed in a close August primary, has emphasized local issues such as cost of living and water quality but faces structural headwinds. A late-breaking scandal, national political reversal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such developments have materialized as of mid-September 2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFL-21 House Election Winner
FL-21 House Election Winner
$15,440 Vol.
$15,440 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Brian Mast (R)
91%
James Martin (D)
10%
$15,440 Vol.
$15,440 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Brian Mast (R)
$9,240 Vol.
91%
James Martin (D)
$6,201 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a commanding position in Florida’s 21st Congressional District race, with traders assigning him roughly 90 percent implied probability. The district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Mast’s 24-point victory in 2024. Recent Republican-led redistricting preserved the seat’s partisan character while strengthening the statewide GOP map. Mast’s primary was uncontested, he maintains a large fundraising edge of roughly $4.3 million to $579,000, and all major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee James Martin, who prevailed in a close August primary, has emphasized local issues such as cost of living and water quality but faces structural headwinds. A late-breaking scandal, national political reversal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such developments have materialized as of mid-September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
ভলিউম
$15,440শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a commanding position in Florida’s 21st Congressional District race, with traders assigning him roughly 90 percent implied probability. The district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Mast’s 24-point victory in 2024. Recent Republican-led redistricting preserved the seat’s partisan character while strengthening the statewide GOP map. Mast’s primary was uncontested, he maintains a large fundraising edge of roughly $4.3 million to $579,000, and all major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee James Martin, who prevailed in a close August primary, has emphasized local issues such as cost of living and water quality but faces structural headwinds. A late-breaking scandal, national political reversal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such developments have materialized as of mid-September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$15,440শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a commanding position in Florida’s 21st Congressional District race, with traders assigning him roughly 90 percent implied probability. The district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Mast’s 24-point victory in 2024. Recent Republican-led redistricting preserved the seat’s partisan character while strengthening the statewide GOP map. Mast’s primary was uncontested, he maintains a large fundraising edge of roughly $4.3 million to $579,000, and all major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee James Martin, who prevailed in a close August primary, has emphasized local issues such as cost of living and water quality but faces structural headwinds. A late-breaking scandal, national political reversal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such developments have materialized as of mid-September 2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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