Unity's withdrawal from the October 2026 Israeli legislative election on September 4 explains the market's strong consensus for a sub-0.5% vote share. The right-wing party, formed in August by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein after splitting from Likud, consistently polled well below the 3.25% threshold in surveys through early September. Failed alliance talks with Benny Gantz's Blue and White list, combined with assessments that even a merged slate would struggle, prompted Erdan's announcement citing insufficient public support for a unity government and weak standalone prospects. With the party off the ballot entirely, traders see negligible chance of meaningful votes. Late reversals of the withdrawal or unusual ballot dynamics remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before the October 27 vote.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড<0.5% 96.5%
0.5-0.75% <1%
0.75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
<0.5%
97%
0.5-0.75%
1%
0.75-1%
1%
1-2%
1%
2%+
<1%
<0.5% 96.5%
0.5-0.75% <1%
0.75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
<0.5%
$596 Vol.
97%
0.5-0.75%
$162 Vol.
1%
0.75-1%
$109 Vol.
1%
1-2%
$112 Vol.
1%
2%+
$223 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Unity's withdrawal from the October 2026 Israeli legislative election on September 4 explains the market's strong consensus for a sub-0.5% vote share. The right-wing party, formed in August by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein after splitting from Likud, consistently polled well below the 3.25% threshold in surveys through early September. Failed alliance talks with Benny Gantz's Blue and White list, combined with assessments that even a merged slate would struggle, prompted Erdan's announcement citing insufficient public support for a unity government and weak standalone prospects. With the party off the ballot entirely, traders see negligible chance of meaningful votes. Late reversals of the withdrawal or unusual ballot dynamics remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before the October 27 vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,202শেষ তারিখ
Oct 27, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Unity's withdrawal from the October 2026 Israeli legislative election on September 4 explains the market's strong consensus for a sub-0.5% vote share. The right-wing party, formed in August by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein after splitting from Likud, consistently polled well below the 3.25% threshold in surveys through early September. Failed alliance talks with Benny Gantz's Blue and White list, combined with assessments that even a merged slate would struggle, prompted Erdan's announcement citing insufficient public support for a unity government and weak standalone prospects. With the party off the ballot entirely, traders see negligible chance of meaningful votes. Late reversals of the withdrawal or unusual ballot dynamics remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before the October 27 vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ভলিউম
$1,202শেষ তারিখ
Oct 27, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Unity's withdrawal from the October 2026 Israeli legislative election on September 4 explains the market's strong consensus for a sub-0.5% vote share. The right-wing party, formed in August by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein after splitting from Likud, consistently polled well below the 3.25% threshold in surveys through early September. Failed alliance talks with Benny Gantz's Blue and White list, combined with assessments that even a merged slate would struggle, prompted Erdan's announcement citing insufficient public support for a unity government and weak standalone prospects. With the party off the ballot entirely, traders see negligible chance of meaningful votes. Late reversals of the withdrawal or unusual ballot dynamics remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before the October 27 vote.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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