The closely matched probabilities between the 1.1M-1.2M and 1.2M-1.3M turnout ranges reflect uncertainty over general election participation in Oklahoma's low-engagement environment. Historical midterm turnout has averaged near 40% of eligible voters, with the 2022 Senate contest at 39.6%, while the state's 2024 presidential rate reached 53.3%. Recent primaries and runoffs posted just 22-26% turnout amid an open but safe Republican seat featuring Kevin Hern and N'Kiyla Thomas. Limited competitiveness, modest statewide mobilization, and Oklahoma's consistent ranking among the lowest-turnout states keep the middle ranges favored in trader assessments, though early voting trends or national developments in the final weeks could shift volumes toward higher or lower brackets.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড1.2M-1.3M 45%
1.1M-1.2M 41%
1M-1.1M 11.9%
1.4M+ 5.2%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
<900K
<1%
900K-1M
1%
1M-1.1M
12%
1.1M-1.2M
41%
1.2M-1.3M
45%
1.3M-1.4M
3%
1.4M+
5%
1.2M-1.3M 45%
1.1M-1.2M 41%
1M-1.1M 11.9%
1.4M+ 5.2%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
<900K
$361 Vol.
<1%
900K-1M
$374 Vol.
1%
1M-1.1M
$264 Vol.
12%
1.1M-1.2M
$1,429 Vol.
41%
1.2M-1.3M
$925 Vol.
45%
1.3M-1.4M
$2,034 Vol.
3%
1.4M+
$759 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities between the 1.1M-1.2M and 1.2M-1.3M turnout ranges reflect uncertainty over general election participation in Oklahoma's low-engagement environment. Historical midterm turnout has averaged near 40% of eligible voters, with the 2022 Senate contest at 39.6%, while the state's 2024 presidential rate reached 53.3%. Recent primaries and runoffs posted just 22-26% turnout amid an open but safe Republican seat featuring Kevin Hern and N'Kiyla Thomas. Limited competitiveness, modest statewide mobilization, and Oklahoma's consistent ranking among the lowest-turnout states keep the middle ranges favored in trader assessments, though early voting trends or national developments in the final weeks could shift volumes toward higher or lower brackets.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
ভলিউম
$6,145শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities between the 1.1M-1.2M and 1.2M-1.3M turnout ranges reflect uncertainty over general election participation in Oklahoma's low-engagement environment. Historical midterm turnout has averaged near 40% of eligible voters, with the 2022 Senate contest at 39.6%, while the state's 2024 presidential rate reached 53.3%. Recent primaries and runoffs posted just 22-26% turnout amid an open but safe Republican seat featuring Kevin Hern and N'Kiyla Thomas. Limited competitiveness, modest statewide mobilization, and Oklahoma's consistent ranking among the lowest-turnout states keep the middle ranges favored in trader assessments, though early voting trends or national developments in the final weeks could shift volumes toward higher or lower brackets.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$6,145শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities between the 1.1M-1.2M and 1.2M-1.3M turnout ranges reflect uncertainty over general election participation in Oklahoma's low-engagement environment. Historical midterm turnout has averaged near 40% of eligible voters, with the 2022 Senate contest at 39.6%, while the state's 2024 presidential rate reached 53.3%. Recent primaries and runoffs posted just 22-26% turnout amid an open but safe Republican seat featuring Kevin Hern and N'Kiyla Thomas. Limited competitiveness, modest statewide mobilization, and Oklahoma's consistent ranking among the lowest-turnout states keep the middle ranges favored in trader assessments, though early voting trends or national developments in the final weeks could shift volumes toward higher or lower brackets.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডসম্পর্কিত
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