Incumbent Pat Fallon secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 4th Congressional District with over 80 percent in the March primary, facing Democrat Jason Pearce in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican based on its partisan composition, consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, and the absence of competitive challengers or notable shifts in voter sentiment. The district's exurban and rural character in eastern Texas and parts of the Dallas-Fort Worth area has produced reliable Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent House and presidential contests. Trader consensus on Fallon's commanding position aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still influence the final result.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-04 House Election Winner
TX-04 House Election Winner
$39,977 Vol.
$39,977 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Pat Fallon (R)
95%
Jason Pearce (D)
6%
$39,977 Vol.
$39,977 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Pat Fallon (R)
$21,766 Vol.
95%
Jason Pearce (D)
$18,211 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Pat Fallon secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 4th Congressional District with over 80 percent in the March primary, facing Democrat Jason Pearce in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican based on its partisan composition, consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, and the absence of competitive challengers or notable shifts in voter sentiment. The district's exurban and rural character in eastern Texas and parts of the Dallas-Fort Worth area has produced reliable Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent House and presidential contests. Trader consensus on Fallon's commanding position aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ভলিউম
$39,977শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Pat Fallon secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 4th Congressional District with over 80 percent in the March primary, facing Democrat Jason Pearce in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican based on its partisan composition, consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, and the absence of competitive challengers or notable shifts in voter sentiment. The district's exurban and rural character in eastern Texas and parts of the Dallas-Fort Worth area has produced reliable Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent House and presidential contests. Trader consensus on Fallon's commanding position aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$39,977শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Pat Fallon secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 4th Congressional District with over 80 percent in the March primary, facing Democrat Jason Pearce in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican based on its partisan composition, consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, and the absence of competitive challengers or notable shifts in voter sentiment. The district's exurban and rural character in eastern Texas and parts of the Dallas-Fort Worth area has produced reliable Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent House and presidential contests. Trader consensus on Fallon's commanding position aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still influence the final result.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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