Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination for the open Texas 30th congressional district after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a Senate bid, winning his March 2026 primary with roughly 73 percent of the vote and endorsements from party leaders and progressive groups. The district's consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles, combined with Haynes' substantial fundraising lead and unified party support, underpins the market's 95.9 percent implied probability for his victory over Republican nominee Everett Jackson. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or sharp national partisan realignment could still narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited scope for such shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-30 House Election Winner
TX-30 House Election Winner
$48,309 Vol.
$48,309 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Frederick Haynes III (D)
96%
Everett Jackson (R)
3%
$48,309 Vol.
$48,309 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Frederick Haynes III (D)
$5,583 Vol.
96%
Everett Jackson (R)
$42,726 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination for the open Texas 30th congressional district after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a Senate bid, winning his March 2026 primary with roughly 73 percent of the vote and endorsements from party leaders and progressive groups. The district's consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles, combined with Haynes' substantial fundraising lead and unified party support, underpins the market's 95.9 percent implied probability for his victory over Republican nominee Everett Jackson. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or sharp national partisan realignment could still narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited scope for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$48,309শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination for the open Texas 30th congressional district after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a Senate bid, winning his March 2026 primary with roughly 73 percent of the vote and endorsements from party leaders and progressive groups. The district's consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles, combined with Haynes' substantial fundraising lead and unified party support, underpins the market's 95.9 percent implied probability for his victory over Republican nominee Everett Jackson. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or sharp national partisan realignment could still narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited scope for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$48,309শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination for the open Texas 30th congressional district after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a Senate bid, winning his March 2026 primary with roughly 73 percent of the vote and endorsements from party leaders and progressive groups. The district's consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles, combined with Haynes' substantial fundraising lead and unified party support, underpins the market's 95.9 percent implied probability for his victory over Republican nominee Everett Jackson. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or sharp national partisan realignment could still narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited scope for such shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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