Texas's 38th Congressional District, an open seat following Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid, carries a strong Republican lean confirmed by multiple forecasters rating it Solid or Safe Republican. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination after winning the May 2026 primary runoff with 64.8% of the vote, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump, Sen. Ted Cruz, and House Speaker Mike Johnson. As a local mortgage banker, Bonck benefits from the district's partisan composition and fundraising edge. Melissa McDonough, the Democratic nominee who lost the 2024 general by roughly 25 points, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have historically dominated. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the seat's baseline and Bonck's primary momentum, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-38 House Election Winner
TX-38 House Election Winner
$28,006 Vol.
$28,006 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jon Bonck (R)
93%
Melissa McDonough (D)
4%
$28,006 Vol.
$28,006 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jon Bonck (R)
$17,956 Vol.
93%
Melissa McDonough (D)
$10,050 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th Congressional District, an open seat following Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid, carries a strong Republican lean confirmed by multiple forecasters rating it Solid or Safe Republican. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination after winning the May 2026 primary runoff with 64.8% of the vote, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump, Sen. Ted Cruz, and House Speaker Mike Johnson. As a local mortgage banker, Bonck benefits from the district's partisan composition and fundraising edge. Melissa McDonough, the Democratic nominee who lost the 2024 general by roughly 25 points, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have historically dominated. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the seat's baseline and Bonck's primary momentum, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$28,006শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th Congressional District, an open seat following Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid, carries a strong Republican lean confirmed by multiple forecasters rating it Solid or Safe Republican. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination after winning the May 2026 primary runoff with 64.8% of the vote, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump, Sen. Ted Cruz, and House Speaker Mike Johnson. As a local mortgage banker, Bonck benefits from the district's partisan composition and fundraising edge. Melissa McDonough, the Democratic nominee who lost the 2024 general by roughly 25 points, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have historically dominated. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the seat's baseline and Bonck's primary momentum, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$28,006শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 38th Congressional District, an open seat following Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid, carries a strong Republican lean confirmed by multiple forecasters rating it Solid or Safe Republican. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination after winning the May 2026 primary runoff with 64.8% of the vote, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump, Sen. Ted Cruz, and House Speaker Mike Johnson. As a local mortgage banker, Bonck benefits from the district's partisan composition and fundraising edge. Melissa McDonough, the Democratic nominee who lost the 2024 general by roughly 25 points, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have historically dominated. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the seat's baseline and Bonck's primary momentum, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or unexpected turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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