President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China sparked the market, though subsequent clarifications from Energy Secretary Chris Wright emphasized non-explosive system and subcritical tests rather than full-yield detonations. The United States has maintained a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear tests since 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, with officials noting 24-36 months needed for any underground explosive resumption under current plans. Recent Senate testimony and NNSA planning documents through 2028 highlight ongoing internal assessments amid accusations of low-yield activity by adversaries, while the UN and arms-control groups warn of risks to the global nonproliferation regime. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and diplomatic hurdles, with no confirmed explosive tests reported through mid-2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডদ্বারা মার্কিন পারমাণবিক পরীক্ষা...?
দ্বারা মার্কিন পারমাণবিক পরীক্ষা...?
$794,314 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
৩০ সেপ্টেম্বর, ২০২৬
1%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬
5%
$794,314 Vol.
৩০ সেপ্টেম্বর, ২০২৬
$57,546 Vol.
1%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬
$75,957 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China sparked the market, though subsequent clarifications from Energy Secretary Chris Wright emphasized non-explosive system and subcritical tests rather than full-yield detonations. The United States has maintained a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear tests since 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, with officials noting 24-36 months needed for any underground explosive resumption under current plans. Recent Senate testimony and NNSA planning documents through 2028 highlight ongoing internal assessments amid accusations of low-yield activity by adversaries, while the UN and arms-control groups warn of risks to the global nonproliferation regime. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and diplomatic hurdles, with no confirmed explosive tests reported through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
ভলিউম
$794,314শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China sparked the market, though subsequent clarifications from Energy Secretary Chris Wright emphasized non-explosive system and subcritical tests rather than full-yield detonations. The United States has maintained a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear tests since 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, with officials noting 24-36 months needed for any underground explosive resumption under current plans. Recent Senate testimony and NNSA planning documents through 2028 highlight ongoing internal assessments amid accusations of low-yield activity by adversaries, while the UN and arms-control groups warn of risks to the global nonproliferation regime. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and diplomatic hurdles, with no confirmed explosive tests reported through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$794,314শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China sparked the market, though subsequent clarifications from Energy Secretary Chris Wright emphasized non-explosive system and subcritical tests rather than full-yield detonations. The United States has maintained a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear tests since 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, with officials noting 24-36 months needed for any underground explosive resumption under current plans. Recent Senate testimony and NNSA planning documents through 2028 highlight ongoing internal assessments amid accusations of low-yield activity by adversaries, while the UN and arms-control groups warn of risks to the global nonproliferation regime. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and diplomatic hurdles, with no confirmed explosive tests reported through mid-2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা