Recent AI breakthroughs in formal mathematical reasoning, including OpenAI's September 2026 resolution of the Navier-Stokes equations via thousands of autonomous agents, have sharpened trader focus on the remaining Millennium Prize Problems. This has fueled a tight contest between the Hodge Conjecture (44.5% implied probability) and Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture (37.5%), as both involve deep structures in algebraic geometry and number theory where large language models show growing benchmark strength. Rumors of internal progress on Hodge at OpenAI and parallel Anthropic efforts on BSD create the key swing factors, while low odds on Riemann or P versus NP reflect their relative resistance to current model capabilities. Verification timelines and potential follow-on announcements over the next months will likely drive further shifts before the 2027 cutoff.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHodge Conjecture 45%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer 38%
No solution by Dec 31, 2027 16%
Yang-Mills 2.9%
$99,678 Vol.
$99,678 Vol.
Hodge Conjecture
45%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
38%
No solution by Dec 31, 2027
16%
Yang-Mills
3%
Riemann Hypothesis
2%
P versus NP
1%
Hodge Conjecture 45%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer 38%
No solution by Dec 31, 2027 16%
Yang-Mills 2.9%
$99,678 Vol.
$99,678 Vol.
Hodge Conjecture
45%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
38%
No solution by Dec 31, 2027
16%
Yang-Mills
3%
Riemann Hypothesis
2%
P versus NP
1%
If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No solution by Dec 31, 2027". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.
The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 9, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No solution by Dec 31, 2027". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.
The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent AI breakthroughs in formal mathematical reasoning, including OpenAI's September 2026 resolution of the Navier-Stokes equations via thousands of autonomous agents, have sharpened trader focus on the remaining Millennium Prize Problems. This has fueled a tight contest between the Hodge Conjecture (44.5% implied probability) and Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture (37.5%), as both involve deep structures in algebraic geometry and number theory where large language models show growing benchmark strength. Rumors of internal progress on Hodge at OpenAI and parallel Anthropic efforts on BSD create the key swing factors, while low odds on Riemann or P versus NP reflect their relative resistance to current model capabilities. Verification timelines and potential follow-on announcements over the next months will likely drive further shifts before the 2027 cutoff.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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