Several 2026 Senate contests sit within narrow polling margins as Election Day approaches on November 3, with aggregates showing races in Texas, Ohio (special), Alaska, Michigan, Maine, and New Hampshire often decided by low single digits or less. Recent surveys from sources including CNN/SSRS, YouGov, and InsiderAdvantage indicate Democratic nominees holding small leads or near-parity in multiple Republican-held seats, reflecting a national generic ballot edge for Democrats and competitive candidate matchups in open or retiring-incumbent states. Primary resolutions and endorsements have clarified fields, while structural factors such as incumbency advantages in Maine and Alaska keep those outcomes fluid. Traders price the tightest contests based on these late-cycle polling trends and state-specific dynamics that could produce final margins near 1 percent.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডনতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Ohio (Special)
53%
Iowa
45%
Maine
20%
Texas
19%
Michigan
17%
Alaska
17%
New Hampshire
15%
Minnesota
15%
Georgia
9%
North Carolina
6%
Colorado
4%
Montana
3%
Virginia
2%
New Mexico
2%
Nebraska
43%
Florida (Special)
46%
$2,997 Vol.
Ohio (Special)
$84 Vol.
53%
Iowa
$117 Vol.
45%
Maine
$36 Vol.
20%
Texas
$52 Vol.
19%
Michigan
$177 Vol.
17%
Alaska
$228 Vol.
17%
New Hampshire
$269 Vol.
15%
Minnesota
$109 Vol.
15%
Georgia
$0 Vol.
9%
North Carolina
$219 Vol.
6%
Colorado
$945 Vol.
4%
Montana
$154 Vol.
3%
Virginia
$157 Vol.
2%
New Mexico
$274 Vol.
2%
Nebraska
$106 Vol.
43%
Florida (Special)
$70 Vol.
46%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests sit within narrow polling margins as Election Day approaches on November 3, with aggregates showing races in Texas, Ohio (special), Alaska, Michigan, Maine, and New Hampshire often decided by low single digits or less. Recent surveys from sources including CNN/SSRS, YouGov, and InsiderAdvantage indicate Democratic nominees holding small leads or near-parity in multiple Republican-held seats, reflecting a national generic ballot edge for Democrats and competitive candidate matchups in open or retiring-incumbent states. Primary resolutions and endorsements have clarified fields, while structural factors such as incumbency advantages in Maine and Alaska keep those outcomes fluid. Traders price the tightest contests based on these late-cycle polling trends and state-specific dynamics that could produce final margins near 1 percent.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,997শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests sit within narrow polling margins as Election Day approaches on November 3, with aggregates showing races in Texas, Ohio (special), Alaska, Michigan, Maine, and New Hampshire often decided by low single digits or less. Recent surveys from sources including CNN/SSRS, YouGov, and InsiderAdvantage indicate Democratic nominees holding small leads or near-parity in multiple Republican-held seats, reflecting a national generic ballot edge for Democrats and competitive candidate matchups in open or retiring-incumbent states. Primary resolutions and endorsements have clarified fields, while structural factors such as incumbency advantages in Maine and Alaska keep those outcomes fluid. Traders price the tightest contests based on these late-cycle polling trends and state-specific dynamics that could produce final margins near 1 percent.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$2,997শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Several 2026 Senate contests sit within narrow polling margins as Election Day approaches on November 3, with aggregates showing races in Texas, Ohio (special), Alaska, Michigan, Maine, and New Hampshire often decided by low single digits or less. Recent surveys from sources including CNN/SSRS, YouGov, and InsiderAdvantage indicate Democratic nominees holding small leads or near-parity in multiple Republican-held seats, reflecting a national generic ballot edge for Democrats and competitive candidate matchups in open or retiring-incumbent states. Primary resolutions and endorsements have clarified fields, while structural factors such as incumbency advantages in Maine and Alaska keep those outcomes fluid. Traders price the tightest contests based on these late-cycle polling trends and state-specific dynamics that could produce final margins near 1 percent.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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