**Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome Polymarket centers on former U.S. intelligence and law enforcement officials facing active federal scrutiny, alongside select activists and international figures.** John Brennan and James Comey draw the highest implied probabilities due to ongoing grand jury investigations and congressional probes into prior official conduct, including intelligence matters. Anthony Fauci's recent Senate testimony, where he invoked the Fifth Amendment repeatedly, has kept his shares active amid discussions of potential contempt or related charges. Mahmoud Khalil's position reflects prior ICE detention and ongoing immigration proceedings that could lead to rearrest before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Lower-priced outcomes for figures such as Adam Schiff, Barack Obama, or José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero reflect fewer confirmed enforcement signals. Key variables include the pace of DOJ actions, Senate committee outcomes, court rulings on detentions, and any late-cycle indictments within the remaining months.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$426,337 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
8%
John Brennan
24%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
6%
Adam Schiff
4%
Barack Obama
2%
James Comey
4%
Mahmoud Khalil
18%
James Clapper
12%
Letitia James
8%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
1%
Loretta Lynch
8%
Susan Rice
9%
Candace Owens
6%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
1%
Pam Bondi
2%
Tom Homan
3%
Kash Patel
1%
Brandon Johnson
10%
Lisa Cook
4%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
1%
$426,337 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
$167,265 Vol.
8%
John Brennan
$25,423 Vol.
24%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$24,453 Vol.
6%
Adam Schiff
$17,048 Vol.
4%
Barack Obama
$29,834 Vol.
2%
James Comey
$11,362 Vol.
4%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,390 Vol.
18%
James Clapper
$8,469 Vol.
12%
Letitia James
$4,419 Vol.
8%
Hillary Clinton
$26,679 Vol.
3%
Bill Clinton
$2,889 Vol.
1%
Loretta Lynch
$2,411 Vol.
8%
Susan Rice
$304 Vol.
9%
Candace Owens
$288 Vol.
6%
Gavin Newsom
$39,460 Vol.
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,949 Vol.
5%
John Kerry
$503 Vol.
1%
Pam Bondi
$2,189 Vol.
2%
Tom Homan
$42,154 Vol.
3%
Kash Patel
$607 Vol.
1%
Brandon Johnson
$3,290 Vol.
10%
Lisa Cook
$4,042 Vol.
4%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 Vol.
11%
Joe Biden
$9,115 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome Polymarket centers on former U.S. intelligence and law enforcement officials facing active federal scrutiny, alongside select activists and international figures.** John Brennan and James Comey draw the highest implied probabilities due to ongoing grand jury investigations and congressional probes into prior official conduct, including intelligence matters. Anthony Fauci's recent Senate testimony, where he invoked the Fifth Amendment repeatedly, has kept his shares active amid discussions of potential contempt or related charges. Mahmoud Khalil's position reflects prior ICE detention and ongoing immigration proceedings that could lead to rearrest before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Lower-priced outcomes for figures such as Adam Schiff, Barack Obama, or José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero reflect fewer confirmed enforcement signals. Key variables include the pace of DOJ actions, Senate committee outcomes, court rulings on detentions, and any late-cycle indictments within the remaining months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
ভলিউম
$426,337মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome Polymarket centers on former U.S. intelligence and law enforcement officials facing active federal scrutiny, alongside select activists and international figures.** John Brennan and James Comey draw the highest implied probabilities due to ongoing grand jury investigations and congressional probes into prior official conduct, including intelligence matters. Anthony Fauci's recent Senate testimony, where he invoked the Fifth Amendment repeatedly, has kept his shares active amid discussions of potential contempt or related charges. Mahmoud Khalil's position reflects prior ICE detention and ongoing immigration proceedings that could lead to rearrest before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Lower-priced outcomes for figures such as Adam Schiff, Barack Obama, or José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero reflect fewer confirmed enforcement signals. Key variables include the pace of DOJ actions, Senate committee outcomes, court rulings on detentions, and any late-cycle indictments within the remaining months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$426,337মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...**Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome Polymarket centers on former U.S. intelligence and law enforcement officials facing active federal scrutiny, alongside select activists and international figures.** John Brennan and James Comey draw the highest implied probabilities due to ongoing grand jury investigations and congressional probes into prior official conduct, including intelligence matters. Anthony Fauci's recent Senate testimony, where he invoked the Fifth Amendment repeatedly, has kept his shares active amid discussions of potential contempt or related charges. Mahmoud Khalil's position reflects prior ICE detention and ongoing immigration proceedings that could lead to rearrest before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Lower-priced outcomes for figures such as Adam Schiff, Barack Obama, or José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero reflect fewer confirmed enforcement signals. Key variables include the pace of DOJ actions, Senate committee outcomes, court rulings on detentions, and any late-cycle indictments within the remaining months.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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