Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active preparations for a public prospectus in late September and marketing in mid-October, has established it as the frontrunner for a 2026 listing at a potential $2 trillion valuation. OpenAI’s June 8 filing has not translated into comparable momentum; reports indicate the company is leaning toward a 2027 debut to achieve its $1 trillion valuation target amid market volatility after the SpaceX IPO and heavy infrastructure spending commitments. This sequencing gap, reinforced by statements from OpenAI’s CFO and leadership expectations that Anthropic will price first, underpins the market’s 96.4 percent implied probability for Anthropic. Remaining variables include regulatory review timelines, completion of Anthropic’s $15 billion credit facility, or shifts in public-market conditions that could compress or extend either window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic
96% সম্ভাবনা
$338,517 Vol.
$338,517 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
Anthropic
96% সম্ভাবনা
$338,517 Vol.
$338,517 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active preparations for a public prospectus in late September and marketing in mid-October, has established it as the frontrunner for a 2026 listing at a potential $2 trillion valuation. OpenAI’s June 8 filing has not translated into comparable momentum; reports indicate the company is leaning toward a 2027 debut to achieve its $1 trillion valuation target amid market volatility after the SpaceX IPO and heavy infrastructure spending commitments. This sequencing gap, reinforced by statements from OpenAI’s CFO and leadership expectations that Anthropic will price first, underpins the market’s 96.4 percent implied probability for Anthropic. Remaining variables include regulatory review timelines, completion of Anthropic’s $15 billion credit facility, or shifts in public-market conditions that could compress or extend either window.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
ভলিউম
$338,517শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active preparations for a public prospectus in late September and marketing in mid-October, has established it as the frontrunner for a 2026 listing at a potential $2 trillion valuation. OpenAI’s June 8 filing has not translated into comparable momentum; reports indicate the company is leaning toward a 2027 debut to achieve its $1 trillion valuation target amid market volatility after the SpaceX IPO and heavy infrastructure spending commitments. This sequencing gap, reinforced by statements from OpenAI’s CFO and leadership expectations that Anthropic will price first, underpins the market’s 96.4 percent implied probability for Anthropic. Remaining variables include regulatory review timelines, completion of Anthropic’s $15 billion credit facility, or shifts in public-market conditions that could compress or extend either window.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$338,517শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active preparations for a public prospectus in late September and marketing in mid-October, has established it as the frontrunner for a 2026 listing at a potential $2 trillion valuation. OpenAI’s June 8 filing has not translated into comparable momentum; reports indicate the company is leaning toward a 2027 debut to achieve its $1 trillion valuation target amid market volatility after the SpaceX IPO and heavy infrastructure spending commitments. This sequencing gap, reinforced by statements from OpenAI’s CFO and leadership expectations that Anthropic will price first, underpins the market’s 96.4 percent implied probability for Anthropic. Remaining variables include regulatory review timelines, completion of Anthropic’s $15 billion credit facility, or shifts in public-market conditions that could compress or extend either window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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