Apple's longstanding pattern of annual iPhone releases drives the near-certain 99.8% implied probability for a 2026 launch. The company has maintained this September cadence for over a decade, with iPhone 17 expected in 2025 positioning the next model for the following year amid ongoing hardware and software development cycles. Traders weigh this consistency heavily against potential disruptions like supply chain constraints or regulatory hurdles, yet no credible signals point to delays or skipped years. Upcoming catalysts such as supply reports or developer conferences could offer minor updates, but historical precedent and Apple's scale make any shift in timeline unlikely.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড>99% সম্ভাবনা
$251,958 Vol.
$251,958 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
>99% সম্ভাবনা
$251,958 Vol.
$251,958 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's longstanding pattern of annual iPhone releases drives the near-certain 99.8% implied probability for a 2026 launch. The company has maintained this September cadence for over a decade, with iPhone 17 expected in 2025 positioning the next model for the following year amid ongoing hardware and software development cycles. Traders weigh this consistency heavily against potential disruptions like supply chain constraints or regulatory hurdles, yet no credible signals point to delays or skipped years. Upcoming catalysts such as supply reports or developer conferences could offer minor updates, but historical precedent and Apple's scale make any shift in timeline unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
ভলিউম
$251,958শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's longstanding pattern of annual iPhone releases drives the near-certain 99.8% implied probability for a 2026 launch. The company has maintained this September cadence for over a decade, with iPhone 17 expected in 2025 positioning the next model for the following year amid ongoing hardware and software development cycles. Traders weigh this consistency heavily against potential disruptions like supply chain constraints or regulatory hurdles, yet no credible signals point to delays or skipped years. Upcoming catalysts such as supply reports or developer conferences could offer minor updates, but historical precedent and Apple's scale make any shift in timeline unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$251,958শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Apple's longstanding pattern of annual iPhone releases drives the near-certain 99.8% implied probability for a 2026 launch. The company has maintained this September cadence for over a decade, with iPhone 17 expected in 2025 positioning the next model for the following year amid ongoing hardware and software development cycles. Traders weigh this consistency heavily against potential disruptions like supply chain constraints or regulatory hurdles, yet no credible signals point to delays or skipped years. Upcoming catalysts such as supply reports or developer conferences could offer minor updates, but historical precedent and Apple's scale make any shift in timeline unlikely.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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