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Politik·Französisch

France United Left Primary Winner

icon for France United Left Primary Winner
Politik·Französisch

France United Left Primary Winner

Abgesagt 91.3%

Marine Tondelier 1.4%

François Ruffin 1.1%

Clémentine Autain <1%

Polymarket

$227,640 Vol.

Abgesagt 91.3%

Marine Tondelier 1.4%

François Ruffin 1.1%

Clémentine Autain <1%

Polymarket

$227,640 Vol.

icon for Abgesagt

Abgesagt

$91,881 Vol.

91%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$49,788 Vol.

1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$31,157 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$7,369 Vol.

1%

icon for Benjamin Lucas-Lundy

Benjamin Lucas-Lundy

$4,216 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lydie Massard

Lydie Massard

$43,228 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The high probability assigned to cancellation for the 2026 United Left primary reflects the Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote to run its own closed primary instead, alongside non-participation by La France Insoumise and Place Publique. Key withdrawals, including those of Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy in July, further eroded the process initiated in late 2025 by figures from Les Écologistes, Debout!, and L'Après. With only a narrow set of smaller movements remaining committed ahead of the planned October 11 vote, traders see formal abandonment as the most likely outcome under the market's resolution criteria. A reversal would require coordinated re-engagement by major left parties or an official continuation announcement before the scheduled date, developments that appear improbable given current party positions.

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.

This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.

If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$227,640
Enddatum
11. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The high probability assigned to cancellation for the 2026 United Left primary reflects the Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote to run its own closed primary instead, alongside non-participation by La France Insoumise and Place Publique. Key withdrawals, including those of Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy in July, further eroded the process initiated in late 2025 by figures from Les Écologistes, Debout!, and L'Après. With only a narrow set of smaller movements remaining committed ahead of the planned October 11 vote, traders see formal abandonment as the most likely outcome under the market's resolution criteria. A reversal would require coordinated re-engagement by major left parties or an official continuation announcement before the scheduled date, developments that appear improbable given current party positions.

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.

This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.

If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$227,640
Enddatum
11. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Raphaël Glucksmann die erste Runde der französischen sozialistischen Vorwahl gewinnen?

Wird Raphaël Glucksmann die erste Runde der französischen sozialistischen Vorwahl gewinnen?

87%
Ja
icon for Wird die französische Sozialisten-Vorwahl bereits in der ersten Runde eindeutig entschieden?

Wird die französische Sozialisten-Vorwahl bereits in der ersten Runde eindeutig entschieden?

34%
Ja
icon for Wird Olivier Faure in der ersten Runde der französischen Sozialisten-Vorwahlen den zweiten Platz belegen?

Wird Olivier Faure in der ersten Runde der französischen Sozialisten-Vorwahlen den zweiten Platz belegen?

67%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„France United Left Primary Winner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Abgesagt" mit 91%, gefolgt von „Marine Tondelier" mit 1%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 91¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 91% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „France United Left Primary Winner" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $227.6K generiert, seit der Markt am May 5, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „France United Left Primary Winner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 6 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „France United Left Primary Winner" ist „Abgesagt" mit 91%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 91% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Marine Tondelier" mit 1%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „France United Left Primary Winner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.