Trader consensus strongly favors an 87-88°F peak at Black Rock City during the August 30–September 7 event, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and nearby station data showing daytime highs generally capped in the mid-to-upper 80s amid a seasonal cooling trend into early September. Pre-event model runs highlighted a shift from potential near-95°F readings in late August to more moderate conditions, with actual observations at proximate sites like Lovelock reaching no higher than about 85°F early in the period before settling into the 70s–low 80s. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines for the Black Rock Desert, where late-summer highs typically decline as monsoon moisture wanes and northerly flow strengthens. A late heat surge or stalled high-pressure system could still push readings above 90°F before final verification, though current agency guidance shows low likelihood of such deviation.