Incumbent Republican Mark Alford’s strong position in the Missouri 4th District race stems from the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins exceeding 40 points. Alford secured his party’s nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 78 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jordan Herrera advanced from a crowded field with roughly 30 percent. Alford’s substantial fundraising edge and alignment with state Republican priorities have reinforced trader consensus ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health development, or unusually large national Democratic shift would be required to narrow the gap significantly under current conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMO-04 Wahlsieger
MO-04 Wahlsieger
$50,168 Vol.
$50,168 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Mark Alford (R)
93%
Jordan Herrera (D)
8%
$50,168 Vol.
$50,168 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Mark Alford (R)
$32,792 Vol.
93%
Jordan Herrera (D)
$17,376 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Alford’s strong position in the Missouri 4th District race stems from the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins exceeding 40 points. Alford secured his party’s nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 78 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jordan Herrera advanced from a crowded field with roughly 30 percent. Alford’s substantial fundraising edge and alignment with state Republican priorities have reinforced trader consensus ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health development, or unusually large national Democratic shift would be required to narrow the gap significantly under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$50,168Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Alford’s strong position in the Missouri 4th District race stems from the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins exceeding 40 points. Alford secured his party’s nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 78 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jordan Herrera advanced from a crowded field with roughly 30 percent. Alford’s substantial fundraising edge and alignment with state Republican priorities have reinforced trader consensus ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health development, or unusually large national Democratic shift would be required to narrow the gap significantly under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$50,168Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mark Alford’s strong position in the Missouri 4th District race stems from the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins exceeding 40 points. Alford secured his party’s nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 78 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jordan Herrera advanced from a crowded field with roughly 30 percent. Alford’s substantial fundraising edge and alignment with state Republican priorities have reinforced trader consensus ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health development, or unusually large national Democratic shift would be required to narrow the gap significantly under current conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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