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Politik·4. Nov. Wahlen

MS-04 Wahlsieger

icon for MS-04 Wahlsieger
Politik·4. Nov. Wahlen

MS-04 Wahlsieger

Polymarket

$40,255 Vol.

Polymarket

$40,255 Vol.

Mike Ezell (R)

$25,175 Vol.

97%

Jeffrey Hulum III (D)

$15,080 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the MS-04 nomination after winning his March 2026 primary with 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger. The Gulf Coast district, encompassing areas such as Gulfport, Biloxi, and Hattiesburg, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in consistent nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Ezell maintains substantial campaign resources and institutional support heading into the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III, a state representative and retired Army veteran who prevailed in his own primary. Forecasters cite the district’s partisan composition and Ezell’s incumbency as primary drivers of the current trader consensus. A major scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$40,255
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the MS-04 nomination after winning his March 2026 primary with 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger. The Gulf Coast district, encompassing areas such as Gulfport, Biloxi, and Hattiesburg, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in consistent nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Ezell maintains substantial campaign resources and institutional support heading into the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III, a state representative and retired Army veteran who prevailed in his own primary. Forecasters cite the district’s partisan composition and Ezell’s incumbency as primary drivers of the current trader consensus. A major scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$40,255
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Republikanische Partei den MS-03 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Republikanische Partei den MS-03 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

97%
Ja
icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den MS-02 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den MS-02 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

94%
Ja
icon for Wird die Republikanische Partei den MI-04 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Republikanische Partei den MI-04 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

55%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„MS-04 Wahlsieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Mike Ezell (R)" mit 97%, gefolgt von „Jeffrey Hulum III (D)" mit 3%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 97¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 97% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „MS-04 Wahlsieger" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $40.3K generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 28, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „MS-04 Wahlsieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „MS-04 Wahlsieger" ist „Mike Ezell (R)" mit 97%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 97% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Jeffrey Hulum III (D)" mit 3%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „MS-04 Wahlsieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.