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icon for Senatswahl in Oregon: Wahlbeteiligung
Politik·Midterm MOV

Senatswahl in Oregon: Wahlbeteiligung

icon for Senatswahl in Oregon: Wahlbeteiligung
Politik·Midterm MOV

Senatswahl in Oregon: Wahlbeteiligung

1,5 Mio.–1,6 Mio. 21.8%

1,7 Mio.–1,8 Mio. 18%

2 Mio.–2,1 Mio. 17%

2,1 Mio.–2,2 Mio. 14%

Polymarket
NEU

1,5 Mio.–1,6 Mio. 21.8%

1,7 Mio.–1,8 Mio. 18%

2 Mio.–2,1 Mio. 17%

2,1 Mio.–2,2 Mio. 14%

Polymarket
NEU

<1,5 Mio.

$153 Vol.

15%

1,5 Mio.–1,6 Mio.

$102 Vol.

22%

1,6M-1,7M

$70 Vol.

6%

1,7 Mio.–1,8 Mio.

$138 Vol.

18%

1,8 Mio.–1,9 Mio.

$57 Vol.

15%

1,9M-2M

$60 Vol.

8%

2 Mio.–2,1 Mio.

$165 Vol.

17%

2,1 Mio.–2,2 Mio.

$53 Vol.

14%

2,2M+

$91 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oregon’s all-mail voting system and automatic voter registration continue to support elevated participation rates heading into the November 3 general election. Record primary turnout of 1.28 million ballots in May 2026, driven by a contentious gas-tax referendum, has raised expectations for strong engagement among both partisan and unaffiliated voters. The safe Democratic Senate contest featuring incumbent Jeff Merkley against Republican David Brock Smith lacks the intensity of the concurrent gubernatorial rematch, limiting additional mobilization. Recent data on higher late-ballot rejection rates and a modest narrowing of the Democratic registration edge may temper overall volume compared with presidential cycles. Trader pricing reflects these structural and cyclical dynamics, keeping probabilities distributed across mid-range turnout brackets.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$889
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oregon’s all-mail voting system and automatic voter registration continue to support elevated participation rates heading into the November 3 general election. Record primary turnout of 1.28 million ballots in May 2026, driven by a contentious gas-tax referendum, has raised expectations for strong engagement among both partisan and unaffiliated voters. The safe Democratic Senate contest featuring incumbent Jeff Merkley against Republican David Brock Smith lacks the intensity of the concurrent gubernatorial rematch, limiting additional mobilization. Recent data on higher late-ballot rejection rates and a modest narrowing of the Democratic registration edge may temper overall volume compared with presidential cycles. Trader pricing reflects these structural and cyclical dynamics, keeping probabilities distributed across mid-range turnout brackets.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$889
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?

37%
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Werden die Gesamtstimmen, die bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus Ohio abgegeben werden, zwischen 4.500.000 und 4.650.000 liegen?

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Ja
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50%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl in Oregon: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „1,5 Mio.–1,6 Mio." mit 22%, gefolgt von „1,7 Mio.–1,8 Mio." mit 18%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 22¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 22% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Senatswahl in Oregon: Wahlbeteiligung" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 18, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Senatswahl in Oregon: Wahlbeteiligung" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 9 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl in Oregon: Wahlbeteiligung" ist „1,5 Mio.–1,6 Mio." mit 22%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 22% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „1,7 Mio.–1,8 Mio." mit 18%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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