The 13th district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent, drives the heavy trader consensus behind John Joyce’s re-election bid. As the sitting representative since 2019, Joyce advanced unopposed through the May 19 Republican primary while securing over $2 million in fundraising compared with under $40,000 for Democratic nominee Beth Farnham, who also ran without primary opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3 contest as safe or solid Republican, aligning with Joyce’s prior results above 70 percent. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected withdrawal would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome in this rural south-central Pennsylvania district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPA-13 Wahlsieger
PA-13 Wahlsieger
$17,812 Vol.
$17,812 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
John Joyce (R)
98%
Beth Farnham (D)
3%
$17,812 Vol.
$17,812 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
John Joyce (R)
$9,886 Vol.
98%
Beth Farnham (D)
$7,927 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 13th district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent, drives the heavy trader consensus behind John Joyce’s re-election bid. As the sitting representative since 2019, Joyce advanced unopposed through the May 19 Republican primary while securing over $2 million in fundraising compared with under $40,000 for Democratic nominee Beth Farnham, who also ran without primary opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3 contest as safe or solid Republican, aligning with Joyce’s prior results above 70 percent. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected withdrawal would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome in this rural south-central Pennsylvania district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$17,812Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 13th district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent, drives the heavy trader consensus behind John Joyce’s re-election bid. As the sitting representative since 2019, Joyce advanced unopposed through the May 19 Republican primary while securing over $2 million in fundraising compared with under $40,000 for Democratic nominee Beth Farnham, who also ran without primary opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3 contest as safe or solid Republican, aligning with Joyce’s prior results above 70 percent. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected withdrawal would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome in this rural south-central Pennsylvania district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$17,812Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...The 13th district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent, drives the heavy trader consensus behind John Joyce’s re-election bid. As the sitting representative since 2019, Joyce advanced unopposed through the May 19 Republican primary while securing over $2 million in fundraising compared with under $40,000 for Democratic nominee Beth Farnham, who also ran without primary opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3 contest as safe or solid Republican, aligning with Joyce’s prior results above 70 percent. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected withdrawal would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome in this rural south-central Pennsylvania district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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