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icon for Welche Senatsrennen werden innerhalb von 1 % liegen?
Politik·Senat

Welche Senatsrennen werden innerhalb von 1 % liegen?

icon for Welche Senatsrennen werden innerhalb von 1 % liegen?
Politik·Senat

Welche Senatsrennen werden innerhalb von 1 % liegen?

NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Polymarket

$2,912 Vol.

Polymarket

Ohio (Special)

$84 Vol.

53%

Iowa

$100 Vol.

39%

Maine

$18 Vol.

22%

Texas

$52 Vol.

19%

Michigan

$177 Vol.

17%

Alaska

$208 Vol.

17%

New Hampshire

$269 Vol.

17%

Minnesota

$109 Vol.

10%

Georgia

$0 Vol.

10%

North Carolina

$189 Vol.

7%

New Mexico

$274 Vol.

4%

Colorado

$945 Vol.

4%

Montana

$154 Vol.

3%

Virginia

$157 Vol.

2%

Nebraska

$106 Vol.

42%

Florida (Special)

$70 Vol.

46%

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several Republican-held seats, including Maine, Ohio (special), Texas, Alaska, and Iowa, along with the open Michigan contest, currently rank as the tightest 2026 Senate races according to polling averages and forecasters like Decision Desk HQ and the Economist model. A national environment favoring Democrats in generic ballot measures, combined with open seats from retirements in North Carolina, Michigan, and New Hampshire plus contentious Republican primaries in Texas and elsewhere, has narrowed projected margins in these states to toss-up status. Recent August-September polling shifts have moved the overall Senate control forecast to a pure toss-up, with traders pricing Iowa, Michigan, Alaska, Ohio, and Texas highest for sub-1% finishes on November 3. Late-cycle events such as debates, turnout efforts in battleground states, and any shifts in the presidential approval environment could further compress or widen these margins before Election Day.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.

The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,912
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several Republican-held seats, including Maine, Ohio (special), Texas, Alaska, and Iowa, along with the open Michigan contest, currently rank as the tightest 2026 Senate races according to polling averages and forecasters like Decision Desk HQ and the Economist model. A national environment favoring Democrats in generic ballot measures, combined with open seats from retirements in North Carolina, Michigan, and New Hampshire plus contentious Republican primaries in Texas and elsewhere, has narrowed projected margins in these states to toss-up status. Recent August-September polling shifts have moved the overall Senate control forecast to a pure toss-up, with traders pricing Iowa, Michigan, Alaska, Ohio, and Texas highest for sub-1% finishes on November 3. Late-cycle events such as debates, turnout efforts in battleground states, and any shifts in the presidential approval environment could further compress or widen these margins before Election Day.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.

The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,912
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

icon for Wird das Senatsrennen 2026 in Texas innerhalb von 5 % liegen?

Wird das Senatsrennen 2026 in Texas innerhalb von 5 % liegen?

84%
Ja
icon for Will Nebraska have the closest Senate race in 2026?

Will Nebraska have the closest Senate race in 2026?

21%
icon for Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

25%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Welche Senatsrennen werden innerhalb von 1 % liegen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 16 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Ohio (Special)" mit 53%, gefolgt von „Florida (Special)" mit 46%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 53¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Welche Senatsrennen werden innerhalb von 1 % liegen?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 21, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Welche Senatsrennen werden innerhalb von 1 % liegen?" ist „Ohio (Special)" mit 53%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Florida (Special)" mit 46%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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