Russian forces have conducted incremental offensive operations and infiltration attempts around Bilytske in Donetsk Oblast as part of efforts to pressure the Pokrovsk-Dobropillya axis and support wider advances toward the Fortress Belt. Geolocated footage from mid-September 2026 shows Ukrainian units advancing or holding positions in western and southwestern Bilytske, countering Russian claims of gains there. Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi counteroffensive north of Lyman has cleared Russian infiltrators from multiple settlements and disrupted logistics supporting Russian groupings in the broader Donetsk theater. These developments, combined with persistent drone warfare and contested urban fighting, have kept the settlement in a gray-zone or partially Ukrainian-controlled status. Markets reflect trader consensus that full Russian capture of defined positions within specific timeframes remains low-probability absent major shifts in manpower, artillery, or air support.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Russland Bilytske erobern, bis...?
Wird Russland Bilytske erobern, bis...?
$417,484 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
30. September
15%
31. Dezember
81%
$417,484 Vol.
30. September
$109,245 Vol.
15%
31. Dezember
$13,494 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date ET.
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted incremental offensive operations and infiltration attempts around Bilytske in Donetsk Oblast as part of efforts to pressure the Pokrovsk-Dobropillya axis and support wider advances toward the Fortress Belt. Geolocated footage from mid-September 2026 shows Ukrainian units advancing or holding positions in western and southwestern Bilytske, countering Russian claims of gains there. Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi counteroffensive north of Lyman has cleared Russian infiltrators from multiple settlements and disrupted logistics supporting Russian groupings in the broader Donetsk theater. These developments, combined with persistent drone warfare and contested urban fighting, have kept the settlement in a gray-zone or partially Ukrainian-controlled status. Markets reflect trader consensus that full Russian capture of defined positions within specific timeframes remains low-probability absent major shifts in manpower, artillery, or air support.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date ET.
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 29, 2026, 8:17 PM ET
Volumen
$417,484Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jun 29, 2026, 8:17 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date ET.
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted incremental offensive operations and infiltration attempts around Bilytske in Donetsk Oblast as part of efforts to pressure the Pokrovsk-Dobropillya axis and support wider advances toward the Fortress Belt. Geolocated footage from mid-September 2026 shows Ukrainian units advancing or holding positions in western and southwestern Bilytske, countering Russian claims of gains there. Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi counteroffensive north of Lyman has cleared Russian infiltrators from multiple settlements and disrupted logistics supporting Russian groupings in the broader Donetsk theater. These developments, combined with persistent drone warfare and contested urban fighting, have kept the settlement in a gray-zone or partially Ukrainian-controlled status. Markets reflect trader consensus that full Russian capture of defined positions within specific timeframes remains low-probability absent major shifts in manpower, artillery, or air support.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date ET.
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volumen
$417,484Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jun 29, 2026, 8:17 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted incremental offensive operations and infiltration attempts around Bilytske in Donetsk Oblast as part of efforts to pressure the Pokrovsk-Dobropillya axis and support wider advances toward the Fortress Belt. Geolocated footage from mid-September 2026 shows Ukrainian units advancing or holding positions in western and southwestern Bilytske, countering Russian claims of gains there. Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi counteroffensive north of Lyman has cleared Russian infiltrators from multiple settlements and disrupted logistics supporting Russian groupings in the broader Donetsk theater. These developments, combined with persistent drone warfare and contested urban fighting, have kept the settlement in a gray-zone or partially Ukrainian-controlled status. Markets reflect trader consensus that full Russian capture of defined positions within specific timeframes remains low-probability absent major shifts in manpower, artillery, or air support.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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