Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or market at 64.3% implied probability due to his standout goal-scoring output and central role in Bayern Munich's league and Champions League campaigns throughout the 2025-26 season. Traders have incorporated his England captaincy, consistent individual awards, and head-to-head performances against top sides as decisive factors. Lamine Yamal sits at 15% on the back of his breakout form at Barcelona and Spain's results, while Kylian Mbappé at 9% and Rodri at 6.5% reflect strong club contributions offset by Kane's broader impact. Market pricing accounts for the award's emphasis on peak individual excellence amid team success in major competitions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHarry Kane 64.3%
Lamine Yamal 15.0%
Kylian Mbappé 9.0%
Rodri 7%
$31,740,745 Vol.
$31,740,745 Vol.
30 oct 2026
Harry Kane
64%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Rodri
7%
Lionel Messi
2%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabián Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Julián Álvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martínez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernández
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Díaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsí
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 64.3%
Lamine Yamal 15.0%
Kylian Mbappé 9.0%
Rodri 7%
$31,740,745 Vol.
$31,740,745 Vol.
30 oct 2026
Harry Kane
$3,871,436 Vol.
64%
Lamine Yamal
$2,028,072 Vol.
15%
Kylian Mbappé
$1,836,489 Vol.
9%
Rodri
$1,329,532 Vol.
7%
Lionel Messi
$2,224,467 Vol.
2%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$1,327,159 Vol.
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
$2,036,692 Vol.
1%
Fabián Ruiz
$1,018,375 Vol.
1%
Erling Haaland
$1,452,617 Vol.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$1,156,896 Vol.
<1%
Vitinha
$766,698 Vol.
<1%
Michael Olise
$1,305,306 Vol.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$1,058,718 Vol.
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
$1,068,433 Vol.
<1%
Pedri
$886,501 Vol.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$680,943 Vol.
<1%
Declan Rice
$854,890 Vol.
<1%
Julián Álvarez
$737,170 Vol.
<1%
Raphinha
$695,112 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
$709,222 Vol.
<1%
Lautaro Martínez
$489,013 Vol.
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$473,380 Vol.
<1%
Enzo Fernández
$67,071 Vol.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$448,076 Vol.
<1%
Desire Doue
$743,483 Vol.
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
$740,083 Vol.
<1%
Luis Díaz
$440,729 Vol.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$168,279 Vol.
<1%
Pau Cubarsí
$881,699 Vol.
<1%
Rodrygo
$96,121 Vol.
<1%
Bukayo Saka
$148,088 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or market at 64.3% implied probability due to his standout goal-scoring output and central role in Bayern Munich's league and Champions League campaigns throughout the 2025-26 season. Traders have incorporated his England captaincy, consistent individual awards, and head-to-head performances against top sides as decisive factors. Lamine Yamal sits at 15% on the back of his breakout form at Barcelona and Spain's results, while Kylian Mbappé at 9% and Rodri at 6.5% reflect strong club contributions offset by Kane's broader impact. Market pricing accounts for the award's emphasis on peak individual excellence amid team success in major competitions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Volumen
$31,740,745Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or market at 64.3% implied probability due to his standout goal-scoring output and central role in Bayern Munich's league and Champions League campaigns throughout the 2025-26 season. Traders have incorporated his England captaincy, consistent individual awards, and head-to-head performances against top sides as decisive factors. Lamine Yamal sits at 15% on the back of his breakout form at Barcelona and Spain's results, while Kylian Mbappé at 9% and Rodri at 6.5% reflect strong club contributions offset by Kane's broader impact. Market pricing accounts for the award's emphasis on peak individual excellence amid team success in major competitions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volumen
$31,740,745Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or market at 64.3% implied probability due to his standout goal-scoring output and central role in Bayern Munich's league and Champions League campaigns throughout the 2025-26 season. Traders have incorporated his England captaincy, consistent individual awards, and head-to-head performances against top sides as decisive factors. Lamine Yamal sits at 15% on the back of his breakout form at Barcelona and Spain's results, while Kylian Mbappé at 9% and Rodri at 6.5% reflect strong club contributions offset by Kane's broader impact. Market pricing accounts for the award's emphasis on peak individual excellence amid team success in major competitions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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