A strengthening super El Niño, now firmly established with sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding 2°C in key Pacific regions and a greater than 90% chance of a very strong event through winter 2026-27 per NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, represents the dominant driver of trader positioning. This pattern typically shifts the jet stream southward, favoring above-normal temperatures across the northern tier of the United States and Alaska while boosting precipitation in the southern and western states. Historical analogs suggest delayed first measurable snow in northern cities due to suppressed cold air outbreaks early in the season, though mountain snowpack in the southern Rockies and Sierra Nevada may see earlier accumulation. NOAA's next monthly outlook update and evolving ENSO model runs will provide key signals ahead of typical first-snow windows in late fall.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrimera nevada de la temporada 2026

Buffalo, NY antes del 31 de octubre
76%

Denver, CO antes del 31 de octubre
62%

Minneapolis, MN antes del 31 de octubre
56%

Salt Lake City, UT antes del 31 de octubre
54%

Boston, MA antes del 15 de noviembre
63%

Buffalo, NY antes del 15 de noviembre
93%

Chicago, IL antes del 15 de noviembre
69%

Denver, CO antes del 15 de noviembre
99%

Detroit, MI antes del 15 de noviembre
65%

Indianápolis, IN antes del 15 de noviembre
77%

Kansas City, MO antes del 15 de noviembre
33%

Minneapolis, MN antes del 15 de noviembre
89%

Pittsburgh, PA antes del 15 de noviembre
52%

Salt Lake City, UT antes del 15 de noviembre
84%

Boston, MA antes del 30 de noviembre
84%

Buffalo, NY antes del 30 de noviembre
94%

Chicago, IL antes del 30 de noviembre
72%

Cincinnati, OH antes del 30 de noviembre
83%

Dallas, TX antes del 30 de noviembre
11%

Denver, CO antes del 30 de noviembre
99%

Detroit, MI antes del 30 de noviembre
85%

Indianápolis, IN antes del 30 de noviembre
94%

Kansas City, MO antes del 30 de noviembre
56%

Minneapolis, MN antes del 30 de noviembre
93%

Nashville, TN antes del 30 de noviembre
29%

Ciudad de Nueva York, NY antes del 30 de noviembre
68%

Filadelfia, PA antes del 30 de noviembre
49%

Pittsburgh, PA antes del 30 de noviembre
77%

Salt Lake City, UT antes del 30 de noviembre
71%

St. Louis, MO antes del 30 de noviembre
75%

Washington, DC antes del 30 de noviembre
43%
$9,203 Vol.

Buffalo, NY antes del 31 de octubre
76%

Denver, CO antes del 31 de octubre
62%

Minneapolis, MN antes del 31 de octubre
56%

Salt Lake City, UT antes del 31 de octubre
54%

Boston, MA antes del 15 de noviembre
63%

Buffalo, NY antes del 15 de noviembre
93%

Chicago, IL antes del 15 de noviembre
69%

Denver, CO antes del 15 de noviembre
99%

Detroit, MI antes del 15 de noviembre
65%

Indianápolis, IN antes del 15 de noviembre
77%

Kansas City, MO antes del 15 de noviembre
33%

Minneapolis, MN antes del 15 de noviembre
89%

Pittsburgh, PA antes del 15 de noviembre
52%

Salt Lake City, UT antes del 15 de noviembre
84%

Boston, MA antes del 30 de noviembre
84%

Buffalo, NY antes del 30 de noviembre
94%

Chicago, IL antes del 30 de noviembre
72%

Cincinnati, OH antes del 30 de noviembre
83%

Dallas, TX antes del 30 de noviembre
11%

Denver, CO antes del 30 de noviembre
99%

Detroit, MI antes del 30 de noviembre
85%

Indianápolis, IN antes del 30 de noviembre
94%

Kansas City, MO antes del 30 de noviembre
56%

Minneapolis, MN antes del 30 de noviembre
93%

Nashville, TN antes del 30 de noviembre
29%

Ciudad de Nueva York, NY antes del 30 de noviembre
68%

Filadelfia, PA antes del 30 de noviembre
49%

Pittsburgh, PA antes del 30 de noviembre
77%

Salt Lake City, UT antes del 30 de noviembre
71%

St. Louis, MO antes del 30 de noviembre
75%

Washington, DC antes del 30 de noviembre
43%
Any amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of "T" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves "Yes" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves "No" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.
The observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KBUF (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).
Resolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as "M") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves "Yes". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KBUF, issued as product CLIBUF. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIBUF.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Any amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of "T" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves "Yes" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves "No" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.
The observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KBUF (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).
Resolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as "M") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves "Yes". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KBUF, issued as product CLIBUF. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIBUF.
A strengthening super El Niño, now firmly established with sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding 2°C in key Pacific regions and a greater than 90% chance of a very strong event through winter 2026-27 per NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, represents the dominant driver of trader positioning. This pattern typically shifts the jet stream southward, favoring above-normal temperatures across the northern tier of the United States and Alaska while boosting precipitation in the southern and western states. Historical analogs suggest delayed first measurable snow in northern cities due to suppressed cold air outbreaks early in the season, though mountain snowpack in the southern Rockies and Sierra Nevada may see earlier accumulation. NOAA's next monthly outlook update and evolving ENSO model runs will provide key signals ahead of typical first-snow windows in late fall.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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