Florida's Republican structural advantages, including a registration edge exceeding one million voters and no Democratic gubernatorial win since 1994, underpin trader consensus favoring Byron Donalds at 81% for the November 3 general election. Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with 48% of the vote and holds endorsements from Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis, alongside a commanding fundraising lead exceeding $41 million on hand. David Jolly, who won the Democratic primary with 61%, trails in resources and faces recent polls showing a narrow or tied contest within margins of error. Key upcoming catalysts include candidate forums in September and October, with markets pricing in the state's partisan baseline over short-term polling volatility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de Florida
Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida
$62,828 Vol.
$62,828 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
81%
David Jolly (D)
20%
$62,828 Vol.
$62,828 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
$29,515 Vol.
81%
David Jolly (D)
$33,313 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican structural advantages, including a registration edge exceeding one million voters and no Democratic gubernatorial win since 1994, underpin trader consensus favoring Byron Donalds at 81% for the November 3 general election. Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with 48% of the vote and holds endorsements from Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis, alongside a commanding fundraising lead exceeding $41 million on hand. David Jolly, who won the Democratic primary with 61%, trails in resources and faces recent polls showing a narrow or tied contest within margins of error. Key upcoming catalysts include candidate forums in September and October, with markets pricing in the state's partisan baseline over short-term polling volatility.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$62,828Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican structural advantages, including a registration edge exceeding one million voters and no Democratic gubernatorial win since 1994, underpin trader consensus favoring Byron Donalds at 81% for the November 3 general election. Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with 48% of the vote and holds endorsements from Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis, alongside a commanding fundraising lead exceeding $41 million on hand. David Jolly, who won the Democratic primary with 61%, trails in resources and faces recent polls showing a narrow or tied contest within margins of error. Key upcoming catalysts include candidate forums in September and October, with markets pricing in the state's partisan baseline over short-term polling volatility.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$62,828Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's Republican structural advantages, including a registration edge exceeding one million voters and no Democratic gubernatorial win since 1994, underpin trader consensus favoring Byron Donalds at 81% for the November 3 general election. Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with 48% of the vote and holds endorsements from Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis, alongside a commanding fundraising lead exceeding $41 million on hand. David Jolly, who won the Democratic primary with 61%, trails in resources and faces recent polls showing a narrow or tied contest within margins of error. Key upcoming catalysts include candidate forums in September and October, with markets pricing in the state's partisan baseline over short-term polling volatility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes