Incumbent Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+2 Partisan Voter Index and his consistent fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million. Mitchell Berman secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary but trails substantially in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Race ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Likely or Solid Republican. Berman’s early September advertising push emphasizes working-class concerns and contrasts with Steil’s background, yet available polling shows the race remaining competitive within a narrow margin. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, assigning Steil the higher implied probability while leaving room for shifts from turnout patterns or late-cycle developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$10,175 Vol.
$10,175 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Bryan Steil (R)
69%
Mitchell Berman (D)
32%
$10,175 Vol.
$10,175 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Bryan Steil (R)
$5,439 Vol.
69%
Mitchell Berman (D)
$4,737 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+2 Partisan Voter Index and his consistent fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million. Mitchell Berman secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary but trails substantially in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Race ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Likely or Solid Republican. Berman’s early September advertising push emphasizes working-class concerns and contrasts with Steil’s background, yet available polling shows the race remaining competitive within a narrow margin. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, assigning Steil the higher implied probability while leaving room for shifts from turnout patterns or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volumen
$10,175Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+2 Partisan Voter Index and his consistent fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million. Mitchell Berman secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary but trails substantially in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Race ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Likely or Solid Republican. Berman’s early September advertising push emphasizes working-class concerns and contrasts with Steil’s background, yet available polling shows the race remaining competitive within a narrow margin. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, assigning Steil the higher implied probability while leaving room for shifts from turnout patterns or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,175Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+2 Partisan Voter Index and his consistent fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million. Mitchell Berman secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary but trails substantially in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Race ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Likely or Solid Republican. Berman’s early September advertising push emphasizes working-class concerns and contrasts with Steil’s background, yet available polling shows the race remaining competitive within a narrow margin. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, assigning Steil the higher implied probability while leaving room for shifts from turnout patterns or late-cycle developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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