Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations drive the 96.4% market-implied probability it lists first. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June 2026, targets a late-September prospectus, and plans to begin marketing in mid-October, supported by a pending $15 billion credit facility and major underwriters. OpenAI filed shortly after but has shifted toward a 2027 debut to pursue a $1 trillion valuation amid market volatility and internal readiness concerns. This timeline gap underpins trader consensus. Even with strong momentum, delays from regulatory reviews, financing finalization, or broader equity market swings could still allow OpenAI to close the gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic
96% probabilidad
$340,096 Vol.
$340,096 Vol.
30 dic 2027
Anthropic
96% probabilidad
$340,096 Vol.
$340,096 Vol.
30 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations drive the 96.4% market-implied probability it lists first. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June 2026, targets a late-September prospectus, and plans to begin marketing in mid-October, supported by a pending $15 billion credit facility and major underwriters. OpenAI filed shortly after but has shifted toward a 2027 debut to pursue a $1 trillion valuation amid market volatility and internal readiness concerns. This timeline gap underpins trader consensus. Even with strong momentum, delays from regulatory reviews, financing finalization, or broader equity market swings could still allow OpenAI to close the gap.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$340,096Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations drive the 96.4% market-implied probability it lists first. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June 2026, targets a late-September prospectus, and plans to begin marketing in mid-October, supported by a pending $15 billion credit facility and major underwriters. OpenAI filed shortly after but has shifted toward a 2027 debut to pursue a $1 trillion valuation amid market volatility and internal readiness concerns. This timeline gap underpins trader consensus. Even with strong momentum, delays from regulatory reviews, financing finalization, or broader equity market swings could still allow OpenAI to close the gap.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$340,096Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations drive the 96.4% market-implied probability it lists first. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June 2026, targets a late-September prospectus, and plans to begin marketing in mid-October, supported by a pending $15 billion credit facility and major underwriters. OpenAI filed shortly after but has shifted toward a 2027 debut to pursue a $1 trillion valuation amid market volatility and internal readiness concerns. This timeline gap underpins trader consensus. Even with strong momentum, delays from regulatory reviews, financing finalization, or broader equity market swings could still allow OpenAI to close the gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿La oferta pública inicial de Anthropic ocurrirá en octubre de 2026 (ET)?
59%
Sí
¿Anthropic u OpenAI: cuál tendrá una mayor capitalización de mercado al cierre de su OPI?
68%
Anthropic
¿La capitalización de mercado de Anthropic será de 600.000 millones de dólares o más al cierre del mercado en el día de su salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027?
96%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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