**USD/CAD trades near 1.38 in September 2026, shaped by persistent U.S.-Canada policy divergence and commodity-trade dynamics.** The Bank of Canada holds its overnight rate at 2.25% while markets price potential Federal Reserve hikes later this year amid sticky U.S. inflation and firmer growth signals. Escalating bilateral tariffs have weighed on the loonie despite Brent crude above $97 per barrel, which normally supports CAD as Canada’s key export. Recent U.S. payroll surprises and upcoming September CPI data, alongside the Fed’s September 16 decision, remain key near-term catalysts that could widen or narrow the yield gap and shift the pair toward the 1.36–1.40 range observed in recent months. Longer-term forecasts from major banks cluster between 1.28 and 1.36 by year-end, reflecting expectations of eventual Fed easing offset by trade risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$14,495 Vol.
↑1,70
4%
↑1.60
8%
↑1.55
25%
↑1,50
28%
↑1,45
28%
↓1.33
48%
↓1,30
50%
↓1.25
46%
↓1.20
33%
↓1,10
41%
$14,495 Vol.
↑1,70
4%
↑1.60
8%
↑1.55
25%
↑1,50
28%
↑1,45
28%
↓1.33
48%
↓1,30
50%
↓1.25
46%
↓1.20
33%
↓1,10
41%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**USD/CAD trades near 1.38 in September 2026, shaped by persistent U.S.-Canada policy divergence and commodity-trade dynamics.** The Bank of Canada holds its overnight rate at 2.25% while markets price potential Federal Reserve hikes later this year amid sticky U.S. inflation and firmer growth signals. Escalating bilateral tariffs have weighed on the loonie despite Brent crude above $97 per barrel, which normally supports CAD as Canada’s key export. Recent U.S. payroll surprises and upcoming September CPI data, alongside the Fed’s September 16 decision, remain key near-term catalysts that could widen or narrow the yield gap and shift the pair toward the 1.36–1.40 range observed in recent months. Longer-term forecasts from major banks cluster between 1.28 and 1.36 by year-end, reflecting expectations of eventual Fed easing offset by trade risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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