Recent NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks for September 2026 favor above-normal temperatures across the western and southern U.S. with equal chances in northern plains and Midwest regions, consistent with a developing El Niño pattern that typically shifts storm tracks and moderates early cold outbreaks. Measurable snowfall (≥0.1 inch liquid equivalent per NWS standards) remains unlikely in major northern cities through mid-October, aligning with historical medians placing first accumulations in the Midwest and Northeast between late October and December. Higher-elevation Rockies and Alaska have already seen isolated early events, but traders monitoring CPC monthly updates, GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs, and lake-effect setup potential in the Great Lakes should watch for any rapid cooling signals in late September forecasts that could accelerate timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPremière neige de la saison 2026

Buffalo, NY d'ici le 31 octobre
56%

Denver, CO d'ici le 31 octobre
64%

Minneapolis, MN d'ici le 31 octobre
59%

Salt Lake City, UT d'ici le 31 octobre
54%

Boston, MA d'ici le 15 novembre
55%

Buffalo, NY d'ici le 15 novembre
93%

Chicago, IL d'ici le 15 novembre
65%

Denver, CO d'ici le 15 novembre
94%

Détroit, MI d'ici le 15 novembre
91%

Indianapolis, IN d'ici le 15 novembre
85%

Kansas City, MO d'ici le 15 novembre
33%

Minneapolis, MN d'ici le 15 novembre
89%

Pittsburgh, PA avant le 15 novembre
62%

Salt Lake City, UT d'ici le 15 novembre
84%

Boston, MA avant le 30 novembre
92%

Buffalo, NY avant le 30 novembre
92%

Chicago, IL d'ici au 30 novembre
72%

Cincinnati, OH d'ici le 30 novembre
83%

Dallas, TX d'ici le 30 novembre
11%

Denver, CO avant le 30 novembre
99%

Detroit, MI avant le 30 novembre
89%

Indianapolis, IN d'ici le 30 novembre
94%

Kansas City, MO d'ici le 30 novembre
84%

Minneapolis, MN avant le 30 novembre
93%

Nashville, TN d'ici le 30 novembre
29%

New York, NY d'ici le 30 novembre
68%

Philadelphie, PA d'ici le 30 novembre
14%

Pittsburgh, PA d'ici le 30 novembre
77%

Salt Lake City, UT d'ici le 30 novembre
88%

St. Louis, MO d'ici le 30 novembre
75%

Washington, DC d'ici le 30 novembre
44%
$7,568 Vol.

Buffalo, NY d'ici le 31 octobre
56%

Denver, CO d'ici le 31 octobre
64%

Minneapolis, MN d'ici le 31 octobre
59%

Salt Lake City, UT d'ici le 31 octobre
54%

Boston, MA d'ici le 15 novembre
55%

Buffalo, NY d'ici le 15 novembre
93%

Chicago, IL d'ici le 15 novembre
65%

Denver, CO d'ici le 15 novembre
94%

Détroit, MI d'ici le 15 novembre
91%

Indianapolis, IN d'ici le 15 novembre
85%

Kansas City, MO d'ici le 15 novembre
33%

Minneapolis, MN d'ici le 15 novembre
89%

Pittsburgh, PA avant le 15 novembre
62%

Salt Lake City, UT d'ici le 15 novembre
84%

Boston, MA avant le 30 novembre
92%

Buffalo, NY avant le 30 novembre
92%

Chicago, IL d'ici au 30 novembre
72%

Cincinnati, OH d'ici le 30 novembre
83%

Dallas, TX d'ici le 30 novembre
11%

Denver, CO avant le 30 novembre
99%

Detroit, MI avant le 30 novembre
89%

Indianapolis, IN d'ici le 30 novembre
94%

Kansas City, MO d'ici le 30 novembre
84%

Minneapolis, MN avant le 30 novembre
93%

Nashville, TN d'ici le 30 novembre
29%

New York, NY d'ici le 30 novembre
68%

Philadelphie, PA d'ici le 30 novembre
14%

Pittsburgh, PA d'ici le 30 novembre
77%

Salt Lake City, UT d'ici le 30 novembre
88%

St. Louis, MO d'ici le 30 novembre
75%

Washington, DC d'ici le 30 novembre
44%
Any amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of "T" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves "Yes" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves "No" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.
The observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KBUF (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).
Resolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as "M") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves "Yes". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KBUF, issued as product CLIBUF. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIBUF.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Any amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of "T" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves "Yes" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves "No" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.
The observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KBUF (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).
Resolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as "M") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves "Yes". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KBUF, issued as product CLIBUF. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIBUF.
Recent NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks for September 2026 favor above-normal temperatures across the western and southern U.S. with equal chances in northern plains and Midwest regions, consistent with a developing El Niño pattern that typically shifts storm tracks and moderates early cold outbreaks. Measurable snowfall (≥0.1 inch liquid equivalent per NWS standards) remains unlikely in major northern cities through mid-October, aligning with historical medians placing first accumulations in the Midwest and Northeast between late October and December. Higher-elevation Rockies and Alaska have already seen isolated early events, but traders monitoring CPC monthly updates, GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs, and lake-effect setup potential in the Great Lakes should watch for any rapid cooling signals in late September forecasts that could accelerate timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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