Incumbent John Rutherford secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, advancing to the November 3 general election in a district rated solid or safe Republican by multiple nonpartisan analysts. His established record, substantial fundraising edge, and the area's consistent partisan lean have shaped trader consensus around his strong position. Democratic nominee Rachel Grage won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered a wide Republican margin in the prior cycle. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still alter the outcome before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-05
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-05
$16,874 Vol.
$16,874 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
John Rutherford (R)
93%
Rachel Grage (D)
8%
$16,874 Vol.
$16,874 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
John Rutherford (R)
$8,871 Vol.
93%
Rachel Grage (D)
$8,002 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent John Rutherford secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, advancing to the November 3 general election in a district rated solid or safe Republican by multiple nonpartisan analysts. His established record, substantial fundraising edge, and the area's consistent partisan lean have shaped trader consensus around his strong position. Democratic nominee Rachel Grage won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered a wide Republican margin in the prior cycle. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$16,874Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent John Rutherford secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, advancing to the November 3 general election in a district rated solid or safe Republican by multiple nonpartisan analysts. His established record, substantial fundraising edge, and the area's consistent partisan lean have shaped trader consensus around his strong position. Democratic nominee Rachel Grage won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered a wide Republican margin in the prior cycle. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,874Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent John Rutherford secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, advancing to the November 3 general election in a district rated solid or safe Republican by multiple nonpartisan analysts. His established record, substantial fundraising edge, and the area's consistent partisan lean have shaped trader consensus around his strong position. Democratic nominee Rachel Grage won her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered a wide Republican margin in the prior cycle. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still alter the outcome before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes