Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed holds a clear lead in trader pricing for Michigan’s open Senate seat, reflecting the state’s recent Democratic performance in federal races and his August primary win over Rep. Haley Stevens. Recent September polling shows a narrower contest, with El-Sayed ahead of Republican nominee Mike Rogers by 1–3 points in surveys from Emerson, Washington Post-Schar, and others, well within margins of error and consistent with toss-up ratings from major forecasters. Key factors include voter preferences on education levels, urban-rural divides, and the broader environment favoring Democrats for Senate control, though El-Sayed’s progressive profile and the divisive primary have kept the race competitive. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with limited major developments in the past week beyond fresh survey releases.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Michigan
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Michigan
$836,553 Vol.
$836,553 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
66%
Mike Rogers (R)
35%
$836,553 Vol.
$836,553 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$469,002 Vol.
66%
Mike Rogers (R)
$367,551 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed holds a clear lead in trader pricing for Michigan’s open Senate seat, reflecting the state’s recent Democratic performance in federal races and his August primary win over Rep. Haley Stevens. Recent September polling shows a narrower contest, with El-Sayed ahead of Republican nominee Mike Rogers by 1–3 points in surveys from Emerson, Washington Post-Schar, and others, well within margins of error and consistent with toss-up ratings from major forecasters. Key factors include voter preferences on education levels, urban-rural divides, and the broader environment favoring Democrats for Senate control, though El-Sayed’s progressive profile and the divisive primary have kept the race competitive. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with limited major developments in the past week beyond fresh survey releases.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$836,553Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed holds a clear lead in trader pricing for Michigan’s open Senate seat, reflecting the state’s recent Democratic performance in federal races and his August primary win over Rep. Haley Stevens. Recent September polling shows a narrower contest, with El-Sayed ahead of Republican nominee Mike Rogers by 1–3 points in surveys from Emerson, Washington Post-Schar, and others, well within margins of error and consistent with toss-up ratings from major forecasters. Key factors include voter preferences on education levels, urban-rural divides, and the broader environment favoring Democrats for Senate control, though El-Sayed’s progressive profile and the divisive primary have kept the race competitive. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with limited major developments in the past week beyond fresh survey releases.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$836,553Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed holds a clear lead in trader pricing for Michigan’s open Senate seat, reflecting the state’s recent Democratic performance in federal races and his August primary win over Rep. Haley Stevens. Recent September polling shows a narrower contest, with El-Sayed ahead of Republican nominee Mike Rogers by 1–3 points in surveys from Emerson, Washington Post-Schar, and others, well within margins of error and consistent with toss-up ratings from major forecasters. Key factors include voter preferences on education levels, urban-rural divides, and the broader environment favoring Democrats for Senate control, though El-Sayed’s progressive profile and the divisive primary have kept the race competitive. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with limited major developments in the past week beyond fresh survey releases.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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