Ongoing outbreaks of Bundibugyo Ebola virus in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda have reached several thousand confirmed cases with high case fatality but remain classified as a PHEIC rather than a pandemic, limited by transmission requiring close contact rather than efficient airborne spread. Similar dynamics apply to current mpox and hantavirus clusters, which lack sustained human-to-human chains capable of global escalation. Authoritative estimates place the annual probability of a COVID-scale zoonotic pandemic at roughly 2–3 percent, implying low cumulative odds over the next 16 months amid post-COVID surveillance gains, though ecological pressures and lab-related risks continue to elevate longer-term concerns. Recent model analyses of sarbecovirus emergence further suggest population-level cross-immunity may dampen near-term novel coronavirus threats.