The tight contest between Republican incumbent Jon Husted and Democratic challenger Sherrod Brown, with recent polls showing a near statistical tie around 46% each, has elevated trader expectations for turnout in the mid-4 million range. Ohio’s roughly 8 million registered voters, combined with strong base mobilization from both parties, elevated independent and unaffiliated engagement seen in the May primary, and voter outreach focused on economic concerns and generational divides, support projected totals clustering between 4.35 million and 4.8 million. These bins align with historical midterm benchmarks in the battleground state while reflecting the added intensity of a competitive special election six weeks before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection au Sénat de l'Ohio : participation
4,35M-4,5M 40%
4,5M-4,65M 24.3%
4,65M-4,8M 23%
4,95M-5,1M 5.3%
$22,221 Vol.
$22,221 Vol.
<3,9M
3%
3,9M-4,05M
5%
4,05M-4,2M
5%
4,2M-4,35M
3%
4,35M-4,5M
40%
4,5M-4,65M
24%
4,65M-4,8M
23%
4,8M-4,95M
4%
4,95M-5,1M
5%
5,1 M+
1%
4,35M-4,5M 40%
4,5M-4,65M 24.3%
4,65M-4,8M 23%
4,95M-5,1M 5.3%
$22,221 Vol.
$22,221 Vol.
<3,9M
3%
3,9M-4,05M
5%
4,05M-4,2M
5%
4,2M-4,35M
3%
4,35M-4,5M
40%
4,5M-4,65M
24%
4,65M-4,8M
23%
4,8M-4,95M
4%
4,95M-5,1M
5%
5,1 M+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest between Republican incumbent Jon Husted and Democratic challenger Sherrod Brown, with recent polls showing a near statistical tie around 46% each, has elevated trader expectations for turnout in the mid-4 million range. Ohio’s roughly 8 million registered voters, combined with strong base mobilization from both parties, elevated independent and unaffiliated engagement seen in the May primary, and voter outreach focused on economic concerns and generational divides, support projected totals clustering between 4.35 million and 4.8 million. These bins align with historical midterm benchmarks in the battleground state while reflecting the added intensity of a competitive special election six weeks before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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