OPEC's continued coordination among core members, including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and others, underpins the 96.9% trader consensus against dissolution by the end of 2026. Despite the UAE's exit effective May 2026 over production quota disputes and the Iran conflict's supply disruptions, the group has held regular meetings through September, reaffirming voluntary adjustments and planning 2027 baselines while maintaining output targets. Prior departures by Angola, Qatar, and others have not ended the organization, which retains 11 members and institutional mechanisms for market stability. Realistic shifts could stem from escalated quota disagreements prompting additional exits or a breakdown in compliance, though recent statements show sustained commitment to cooperation amid geopolitical pressures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourL'OPEP se dissout en 2026 ?
L'OPEP se dissout en 2026 ?
Oui
3% chance
$34,792 Vol.
$34,792 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
3% chance
$34,792 Vol.
$34,792 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC's continued coordination among core members, including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and others, underpins the 96.9% trader consensus against dissolution by the end of 2026. Despite the UAE's exit effective May 2026 over production quota disputes and the Iran conflict's supply disruptions, the group has held regular meetings through September, reaffirming voluntary adjustments and planning 2027 baselines while maintaining output targets. Prior departures by Angola, Qatar, and others have not ended the organization, which retains 11 members and institutional mechanisms for market stability. Realistic shifts could stem from escalated quota disagreements prompting additional exits or a breakdown in compliance, though recent statements show sustained commitment to cooperation amid geopolitical pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Volume
$34,792Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC's continued coordination among core members, including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and others, underpins the 96.9% trader consensus against dissolution by the end of 2026. Despite the UAE's exit effective May 2026 over production quota disputes and the Iran conflict's supply disruptions, the group has held regular meetings through September, reaffirming voluntary adjustments and planning 2027 baselines while maintaining output targets. Prior departures by Angola, Qatar, and others have not ended the organization, which retains 11 members and institutional mechanisms for market stability. Realistic shifts could stem from escalated quota disagreements prompting additional exits or a breakdown in compliance, though recent statements show sustained commitment to cooperation amid geopolitical pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$34,792Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...OPEC's continued coordination among core members, including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and others, underpins the 96.9% trader consensus against dissolution by the end of 2026. Despite the UAE's exit effective May 2026 over production quota disputes and the Iran conflict's supply disruptions, the group has held regular meetings through September, reaffirming voluntary adjustments and planning 2027 baselines while maintaining output targets. Prior departures by Angola, Qatar, and others have not ended the organization, which retains 11 members and institutional mechanisms for market stability. Realistic shifts could stem from escalated quota disagreements prompting additional exits or a breakdown in compliance, though recent statements show sustained commitment to cooperation amid geopolitical pressures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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